$标普500(.SP_老虎社区_美港股上老虎

转自“信号与噪音”。

#美股# 1947 年以来的 12 次经济衰退中，SPX 的中位数峰谷跌幅为 24%

平均：-30%

现在，博彩市场定价美国今年衰退的概率是41%

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