【有奖话题】你觉得股市中最难预测的是什么？政策、情绪，还是技术面？

小虎活动

04-11

自从特朗普又开始“关税脱口秀”，市场就像坐上了过山车。昨天还喊着“牛市不言顶”，今天可能就变成“关灯吃面”，股市的剧本永远比悬疑片还烧脑！

我们常说，炒股难，最难的是预测“变数”—是政策突袭让人防不胜防？是情绪波动让市场忽上忽下？还是技术分析一套又一套，最后还是“打脸”居多？

📢 今天，小虎君来向大家发问：你觉得股市中最难预测的是什么？政策、情绪，还是技术面？欢迎各位资深股民用你们的“过来人经验”现身说法。

【参与方式】

转发本帖并@至少一位好友，一起加入讨论！
评论区留言，说出你心中最难预测的“股市变数”

【活动时间】

🗓️ 2025年4月11日 - 2025年4月17日

【活动奖品】

🎁 参与奖：凡留言参与的虎友，获得5虎币。转发并艾特好友，再加5虎币！
🎁 人气奖：点赞最高评论，获得5美元股票代金券
🎁 幸运奖：从所有评论中随机抽取一位幸运虎友，送出老虎周边一个！ $老虎证券(TIGR)$

特朗普关税再生变！美股你是偏悲观or乐观？

免责声明：上述内容仅代表发帖人个人观点，不构成本平台的任何投资建议。

精彩评论

机智大剑君
04-11
机智大剑君
最难的是知行合一！明知道每天波动太大，反转剧情也常上演，同个方向没有持续性，还是会被超高的波动率吸引，去追涨杀跌，杀红眼了还会全仓梭哈，全然忘记规避风险，远离不确定性。
- AAA小飞飞:
  👍
夜流沙
04-11
夜流沙
股市最难预测的是股市本身是不可预测的。作为参与者不要试图用预测去指导操作，而是应该用市场本身的参数去决定什么时候下注赔率会高一些。借用巴菲特的话，如果你不知道该买什么，就买指数基金吧，80%的主动基金都跑不过标普500[贱笑] @GORIC @俯瞰繁华 @日添一线
iBob
04-13
iBob
股市中最难预测的是情绪。努力修为先，并且想清楚：自己到底是要赚情绪的钱、还是公司发展的钱。
如果向巴菲特学习——去赚公司发展的钱，那就一定不要被眼下的市场情绪所影响，只要长期看好公司的发展、那么短期公司股价的波动就只是市场情绪的体现，完全可以忽略不计。 @悠闲54321
- 悠闲54321:
  [强][强][强][爱心]
admin0513
04-13
admin0513
@小虎活动股市中最难预测的是人性，同一事件可以理解为利空，也可以理解为利空出尽为利好，反之亦然。当然对于最近的美股，最难预测的是特朗普的言行
Denver_2485
04-13
Denver_2485
股市最难预测的是股市本身是不可预测的。作为参与者不要试图用预测去指导操作，而是应该用市场本身的参数去决定什么时候下注赔率会高一些。借用巴菲特的话，如果你不知道该买什么，就买指数基金吧，80%的主动基金都跑不过标普500[贱笑]<a href="https://laohu8.com/U/4119448333036000"> @GORIC </a><a href="https://laohu8.com/U/10000000000010317"> @俯瞰繁华 </a><a href="https://laohu8.com/U/10000000000010309"> @日添一线 </a>
阿弥陀佛2025
04-12
阿弥陀佛2025
股市中最难预测的是投资者情绪。情绪受群体心理、突发消息等非线性因素驱动，易引发羊群效应（如恐慌抛售或狂热追涨）；政策虽具突发性，但可跟踪宏观信号；技术面依赖历史规律，但易被市场操纵或突发事件打破。情绪的非理性波动往往超越逻辑框架，成为市场短期剧烈波动的核心推手。

发表看法

121

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