Weeckee
2021-12-06
Fly high high
Will Apple Stock Fly or Fall in 2022?<blockquote>2022年苹果股票会飞还是跌？</blockquote>
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What's impressive is that Apple has staged a comeback despite supply chain challenges that hurt its sales in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2021 (which ended on Sept. 25). In addition, investors have shown their faith in the tech giant even with weaker-than-expected guidance for the quarter that ends in December.</p><p><blockquote>本公司之股份<b>苹果</b>在经历了不稳定的开局后，2021年已经很好地复苏，涨幅超过23%。令人印象深刻的是，尽管供应链挑战损害了其2021财年第四季度（截至9月25日）的销售，但苹果还是卷土重来。此外，尽管截至12月的季度指引弱于预期，但投资者仍表现出了对这家科技巨头的信心。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/01f45160862cc6cb5e3ed7b3185ae9a9\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"387\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>AAPL data by YCharts.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>YCharts提供的AAPL数据。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> As the chart above shows, Apple stock has gained momentum since the beginning of October. That's not surprising as the launch of the iPhone 13 gave investors a reason to cheer, with the device witnessing robust demand that outpaced supply. The company hasn't been able to make enough iPhones to meet the higher-than-expected demand as component shortages and coronavirus-driven shutdowns crippled production.</p><p><blockquote>如上图所示，苹果股票自10月初以来势头强劲。这并不奇怪，因为iPhone 13的推出给了投资者一个欢呼的理由，该设备的强劲需求超过了供应。由于零部件短缺和冠状病毒导致的停工导致生产瘫痪，该公司无法生产足够的iPhone来满足高于预期的需求。</blockquote></p><p> In an ideal world, this should lead to strong iPhone shipments in 2022 when the supply chain improves, boosting Apple's top and bottom lines and its stock price in the process. But that may not be the case, causing the stock to lose momentum early in the new year. Let's see why.</p><p><blockquote>在理想的情况下，当供应链改善时，这应该会导致2022年iPhone出货量强劲，从而提振苹果的营收和利润以及股价。但事实可能并非如此，导致该股在新年伊始失去动力。让我们看看为什么。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a9f332fa65e3d67539a23dd91573637d\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1125\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Image Source: Getty Images.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Why Apple stock might fall next year</b></p><p><blockquote><b>为什么苹果股价明年可能下跌</b></blockquote></p><p> The iPhone is Apple's most important product. It produced nearly $192 billion in revenue for the company in fiscal 2021, which was just over 52% of its total revenue of $365.8 billion. Now, there are rumors that Apple may be losing customers due to its inability to make enough iPhones to satisfy demand.</p><p><blockquote>iPhone是苹果最重要的产品。2021财年，它为公司创造了近1920亿美元的收入，略高于其3658亿美元总收入的52%。现在，有传言称，由于无法生产足够的iPhone来满足需求，苹果可能正在失去客户。</blockquote></p><p> According to a Bloomberg report, the company has reportedly told its component suppliers that the demand for iPhone 13 models has weakened as potential consumers aren't interested anymore in buying the device due to lack of availability. A survey carried out in Japan indicates that the number of existing iPhone owners interested in upgrading to the latest device is lower than last year when more people were interested in upgrading to the iPhone 12.</p><p><blockquote>据彭博社报道，据报道，该公司已告诉其零部件供应商，由于缺乏可用性，潜在消费者不再有兴趣购买该设备，因此对iPhone 13型号的需求已经减弱。在日本进行的一项调查表明，有兴趣升级到最新设备的现有iPhone用户数量低于去年，当时有更多人有兴趣升级到iPhone 12。</blockquote></p><p> One of the reasons that may be the case is because of the long waiting times for the iPhone 13 Pro models, which are in stronger demand than the standard models. Third-party reports showed that the waiting time for the iPhone 13 Pro and the Pro Max ranged between 16 days and 23 days on Nov. 28. It is worth noting that Apple had reportedly reduced its 2021 iPhone 13 production target by 10 million units due to component shortages, which explains why its devices are still showing extensive waiting times.</p><p><blockquote>可能出现这种情况的原因之一是iPhone 13 Pro机型的等待时间很长，而iPhone 13 Pro机型的需求比标准机型更强劲。第三方报告显示，11月28日，iPhone 13 Pro和Pro Max的等待时间在16天到23天之间。值得注意的是，据报道，由于零部件短缺，苹果将2021年iPhone 13的产量目标减少了1000万部，这解释了为什么其设备仍然显示出长时间的等待时间。</blockquote></p><p> The problem is that iPhone 13 delays are expected to last until February 2022, as reported by DigiTimes last month. These long waiting times and delays are reportedly causing customers to put off their iPhone 13 purchases. This isn't surprising, as the iPhone 13 will be nearly half a year old by the time it will be readily available for purchase in February next year.</p><p><blockquote>问题是，正如DigiTimes上个月报道的那样，iPhone 13的延迟预计将持续到2022年2月。据报道，这些漫长的等待时间和延迟导致客户推迟购买iPhone 13。这并不奇怪，因为iPhone 13在明年2月上市时已经有近半年的历史了。</blockquote></p><p> This could lead customers to drop the idea of purchasing the iPhone 13 and instead go for the 2022 models. As a result, iPhone revenue could take a hit in the near term and weigh on the company's financial performance and stock price in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>这可能会导致客户放弃购买iPhone 13的想法，转而购买2022款。因此，iPhone收入可能会在短期内受到打击，并拖累该公司2022年的财务业绩和股价。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The stock could fly higher in the long run</b></p><p><blockquote><b>从长远来看，该股可能会飞得更高</b></blockquote></p><p> Savvy investors, however, shouldn't worry about the potential short-term challenges Apple faces. Even if iPhone sales aren't as great as expected in the early part of 2022 due to problems out of the tech titan's control, one shouldn't forget the massive upgrade cycle that's driving Apple's growth.</p><p><blockquote>然而，精明的投资者不应该担心苹果面临的潜在短期挑战。即使由于科技巨头无法控制的问题，iPhone在2022年初的销量没有预期的那么好，人们也不应该忘记推动苹果增长的大规模升级周期。</blockquote></p><p> According to IDC, Apple shipped 50.4 million iPhones in the third quarter of 2021, a jump of nearly 21% over the year-ago period. The company delivered this impressive growth during a quarter when the overall smartphone market contracted 6.7% year over year, with its biggest rivals <b>Samsung</b> and <b>Xiaomi</b> witnessing a contraction in their shipments.</p><p><blockquote>根据IDC的数据，苹果2021年第三季度iPhone出货量为5040万部，同比增长近21%。该公司在整个智能手机市场同比萎缩6.7%的季度实现了令人印象深刻的增长，其最大的竞争对手<b>三星</b>和<b>小米</b>见证了他们的出货量的收缩。</blockquote></p><p> What's more, Apple is enjoying a nice bump in the average selling price of each iPhone. Sales might be hamstrung by component shortages over the next few months, but it cannot be denied that the company is enjoying a mix of volume and price growth thanks to the adoption of 5G smartphones.</p><p><blockquote>更重要的是，苹果每部iPhone的平均售价都大幅上涨。未来几个月，销售可能会因零部件短缺而受到阻碍，但不可否认的是，由于5G智能手机的采用，该公司正在享受销量和价格的混合增长。</blockquote></p><p> More importantly, there were more than a billion iPhone users at the beginning of 2021. Wedbush analyst Dan Ives pointed out in October that 25% of Apple's installed base of users haven't upgraded their iPhones in the past three and a half years, which means that there are at least 250 million users in an upgrade window who could buy the iPhone 13.</p><p><blockquote>更重要的是，2021年初iPhone用户超过10亿。Wedbush分析师Dan Ives在10月份指出，苹果25%的安装用户在过去三年半中没有升级iPhone，这意味着至少有2.5亿用户处于升级窗口，可以购买iPhone 13。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Additionally, the number of iPhone users without a 5G device is even higher since the first 5G iPhone went on sale just over a year ago. All of this indicates that investors shouldn't miss the forest for the trees as the iPhone juggernaut can continue rolling in the long run and the supply chain constraints would probably be just a bump in the road.</p><p><blockquote>此外，自一年多前首款5G iPhone上市以来，没有5G设备的iPhone用户数量甚至更高。所有这些都表明，投资者不应只见树木不见森林，因为从长远来看，iPhone巨头可以继续发展，而供应链限制可能只是道路上的一个坎坷。</blockquote></p><p> As such, Apple stock can eventually regain its mojo once it gets the production challenges out of the way in 2022 and ships more iPhones to customers. And this is just one of the reasons this tech stock could fly higher next year as it is working on more products that could accelerate its growth in 2022 and beyond. That's why it might be a good idea to buy the stock in case of a dip as the near-term challenges could eventually make way for long-term gains.</p><p><blockquote>因此，一旦苹果在2022年解决生产挑战并向客户运送更多iPhone，其股票最终可以重拾魔力。这只是这只科技股明年可能走高的原因之一，因为它正在开发更多产品，这些产品可能会在2022年及以后加速增长。这就是为什么在股价下跌时购买该股可能是个好主意，因为近期的挑战最终可能会为长期收益让路。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Will Apple Stock Fly or Fall in 2022?<blockquote>2022年苹果股票会飞还是跌？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWill Apple Stock Fly or Fall in 2022?<blockquote>2022年苹果股票会飞还是跌？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-06 22:12</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Shares of <b>Apple</b> have recovered nicely in 2021 after a shaky start to the year, gaining more than 23%. What's impressive is that Apple has staged a comeback despite supply chain challenges that hurt its sales in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2021 (which ended on Sept. 25). In addition, investors have shown their faith in the tech giant even with weaker-than-expected guidance for the quarter that ends in December.</p><p><blockquote>本公司之股份<b>苹果</b>在经历了不稳定的开局后，2021年已经很好地复苏，涨幅超过23%。令人印象深刻的是，尽管供应链挑战损害了其2021财年第四季度（截至9月25日）的销售，但苹果还是卷土重来。此外，尽管截至12月的季度指引弱于预期，但投资者仍表现出了对这家科技巨头的信心。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/01f45160862cc6cb5e3ed7b3185ae9a9\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"387\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>AAPL data by YCharts.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>YCharts提供的AAPL数据。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> As the chart above shows, Apple stock has gained momentum since the beginning of October. That's not surprising as the launch of the iPhone 13 gave investors a reason to cheer, with the device witnessing robust demand that outpaced supply. The company hasn't been able to make enough iPhones to meet the higher-than-expected demand as component shortages and coronavirus-driven shutdowns crippled production.</p><p><blockquote>如上图所示，苹果股票自10月初以来势头强劲。这并不奇怪，因为iPhone 13的推出给了投资者一个欢呼的理由，该设备的强劲需求超过了供应。由于零部件短缺和冠状病毒导致的停工导致生产瘫痪，该公司无法生产足够的iPhone来满足高于预期的需求。</blockquote></p><p> In an ideal world, this should lead to strong iPhone shipments in 2022 when the supply chain improves, boosting Apple's top and bottom lines and its stock price in the process. But that may not be the case, causing the stock to lose momentum early in the new year. Let's see why.</p><p><blockquote>在理想的情况下，当供应链改善时，这应该会导致2022年iPhone出货量强劲，从而提振苹果的营收和利润以及股价。但事实可能并非如此，导致该股在新年伊始失去动力。让我们看看为什么。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a9f332fa65e3d67539a23dd91573637d\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1125\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Image Source: Getty Images.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Why Apple stock might fall next year</b></p><p><blockquote><b>为什么苹果股价明年可能下跌</b></blockquote></p><p> The iPhone is Apple's most important product. It produced nearly $192 billion in revenue for the company in fiscal 2021, which was just over 52% of its total revenue of $365.8 billion. Now, there are rumors that Apple may be losing customers due to its inability to make enough iPhones to satisfy demand.</p><p><blockquote>iPhone是苹果最重要的产品。2021财年，它为公司创造了近1920亿美元的收入，略高于其3658亿美元总收入的52%。现在，有传言称，由于无法生产足够的iPhone来满足需求，苹果可能正在失去客户。</blockquote></p><p> According to a Bloomberg report, the company has reportedly told its component suppliers that the demand for iPhone 13 models has weakened as potential consumers aren't interested anymore in buying the device due to lack of availability. A survey carried out in Japan indicates that the number of existing iPhone owners interested in upgrading to the latest device is lower than last year when more people were interested in upgrading to the iPhone 12.</p><p><blockquote>据彭博社报道，据报道，该公司已告诉其零部件供应商，由于缺乏可用性，潜在消费者不再有兴趣购买该设备，因此对iPhone 13型号的需求已经减弱。在日本进行的一项调查表明，有兴趣升级到最新设备的现有iPhone用户数量低于去年，当时有更多人有兴趣升级到iPhone 12。</blockquote></p><p> One of the reasons that may be the case is because of the long waiting times for the iPhone 13 Pro models, which are in stronger demand than the standard models. Third-party reports showed that the waiting time for the iPhone 13 Pro and the Pro Max ranged between 16 days and 23 days on Nov. 28. It is worth noting that Apple had reportedly reduced its 2021 iPhone 13 production target by 10 million units due to component shortages, which explains why its devices are still showing extensive waiting times.</p><p><blockquote>可能出现这种情况的原因之一是iPhone 13 Pro机型的等待时间很长，而iPhone 13 Pro机型的需求比标准机型更强劲。第三方报告显示，11月28日，iPhone 13 Pro和Pro Max的等待时间在16天到23天之间。值得注意的是，据报道，由于零部件短缺，苹果将2021年iPhone 13的产量目标减少了1000万部，这解释了为什么其设备仍然显示出长时间的等待时间。</blockquote></p><p> The problem is that iPhone 13 delays are expected to last until February 2022, as reported by DigiTimes last month. These long waiting times and delays are reportedly causing customers to put off their iPhone 13 purchases. This isn't surprising, as the iPhone 13 will be nearly half a year old by the time it will be readily available for purchase in February next year.</p><p><blockquote>问题是，正如DigiTimes上个月报道的那样，iPhone 13的延迟预计将持续到2022年2月。据报道，这些漫长的等待时间和延迟导致客户推迟购买iPhone 13。这并不奇怪，因为iPhone 13在明年2月上市时已经有近半年的历史了。</blockquote></p><p> This could lead customers to drop the idea of purchasing the iPhone 13 and instead go for the 2022 models. As a result, iPhone revenue could take a hit in the near term and weigh on the company's financial performance and stock price in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>这可能会导致客户放弃购买iPhone 13的想法，转而购买2022款。因此，iPhone收入可能会在短期内受到打击，并拖累该公司2022年的财务业绩和股价。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The stock could fly higher in the long run</b></p><p><blockquote><b>从长远来看，该股可能会飞得更高</b></blockquote></p><p> Savvy investors, however, shouldn't worry about the potential short-term challenges Apple faces. Even if iPhone sales aren't as great as expected in the early part of 2022 due to problems out of the tech titan's control, one shouldn't forget the massive upgrade cycle that's driving Apple's growth.</p><p><blockquote>然而，精明的投资者不应该担心苹果面临的潜在短期挑战。即使由于科技巨头无法控制的问题，iPhone在2022年初的销量没有预期的那么好，人们也不应该忘记推动苹果增长的大规模升级周期。</blockquote></p><p> According to IDC, Apple shipped 50.4 million iPhones in the third quarter of 2021, a jump of nearly 21% over the year-ago period. The company delivered this impressive growth during a quarter when the overall smartphone market contracted 6.7% year over year, with its biggest rivals <b>Samsung</b> and <b>Xiaomi</b> witnessing a contraction in their shipments.</p><p><blockquote>根据IDC的数据，苹果2021年第三季度iPhone出货量为5040万部，同比增长近21%。该公司在整个智能手机市场同比萎缩6.7%的季度实现了令人印象深刻的增长，其最大的竞争对手<b>三星</b>和<b>小米</b>见证了他们的出货量的收缩。</blockquote></p><p> What's more, Apple is enjoying a nice bump in the average selling price of each iPhone. Sales might be hamstrung by component shortages over the next few months, but it cannot be denied that the company is enjoying a mix of volume and price growth thanks to the adoption of 5G smartphones.</p><p><blockquote>更重要的是，苹果每部iPhone的平均售价都大幅上涨。未来几个月，销售可能会因零部件短缺而受到阻碍，但不可否认的是，由于5G智能手机的采用，该公司正在享受销量和价格的混合增长。</blockquote></p><p> More importantly, there were more than a billion iPhone users at the beginning of 2021. Wedbush analyst Dan Ives pointed out in October that 25% of Apple's installed base of users haven't upgraded their iPhones in the past three and a half years, which means that there are at least 250 million users in an upgrade window who could buy the iPhone 13.</p><p><blockquote>更重要的是，2021年初iPhone用户超过10亿。Wedbush分析师Dan Ives在10月份指出，苹果25%的安装用户在过去三年半中没有升级iPhone，这意味着至少有2.5亿用户处于升级窗口，可以购买iPhone 13。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Additionally, the number of iPhone users without a 5G device is even higher since the first 5G iPhone went on sale just over a year ago. All of this indicates that investors shouldn't miss the forest for the trees as the iPhone juggernaut can continue rolling in the long run and the supply chain constraints would probably be just a bump in the road.</p><p><blockquote>此外，自一年多前首款5G iPhone上市以来，没有5G设备的iPhone用户数量甚至更高。所有这些都表明，投资者不应只见树木不见森林，因为从长远来看，iPhone巨头可以继续发展，而供应链限制可能只是道路上的一个坎坷。</blockquote></p><p> As such, Apple stock can eventually regain its mojo once it gets the production challenges out of the way in 2022 and ships more iPhones to customers. And this is just one of the reasons this tech stock could fly higher next year as it is working on more products that could accelerate its growth in 2022 and beyond. That's why it might be a good idea to buy the stock in case of a dip as the near-term challenges could eventually make way for long-term gains.</p><p><blockquote>因此，一旦苹果在2022年解决生产挑战并向客户运送更多iPhone，其股票最终可以重拾魔力。这只是这只科技股明年可能走高的原因之一，因为它正在开发更多产品，这些产品可能会在2022年及以后加速增长。这就是为什么在股价下跌时购买该股可能是个好主意，因为近期的挑战最终可能会为长期收益让路。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/06/will-apple-stock-fly-or-fall-in-2022/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/06/will-apple-stock-fly-or-fall-in-2022/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1125140621","content_text":"Shares of Apple have recovered nicely in 2021 after a shaky start to the year, gaining more than 23%. What's impressive is that Apple has staged a comeback despite supply chain challenges that hurt its sales in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2021 (which ended on Sept. 25). In addition, investors have shown their faith in the tech giant even with weaker-than-expected guidance for the quarter that ends in December.\nAAPL data by YCharts.\nAs the chart above shows, Apple stock has gained momentum since the beginning of October. That's not surprising as the launch of the iPhone 13 gave investors a reason to cheer, with the device witnessing robust demand that outpaced supply. The company hasn't been able to make enough iPhones to meet the higher-than-expected demand as component shortages and coronavirus-driven shutdowns crippled production.\nIn an ideal world, this should lead to strong iPhone shipments in 2022 when the supply chain improves, boosting Apple's top and bottom lines and its stock price in the process. But that may not be the case, causing the stock to lose momentum early in the new year. Let's see why.\nImage Source: Getty Images.\nWhy Apple stock might fall next year\nThe iPhone is Apple's most important product. It produced nearly $192 billion in revenue for the company in fiscal 2021, which was just over 52% of its total revenue of $365.8 billion. Now, there are rumors that Apple may be losing customers due to its inability to make enough iPhones to satisfy demand.\nAccording to a Bloomberg report, the company has reportedly told its component suppliers that the demand for iPhone 13 models has weakened as potential consumers aren't interested anymore in buying the device due to lack of availability. A survey carried out in Japan indicates that the number of existing iPhone owners interested in upgrading to the latest device is lower than last year when more people were interested in upgrading to the iPhone 12.\nOne of the reasons that may be the case is because of the long waiting times for the iPhone 13 Pro models, which are in stronger demand than the standard models. Third-party reports showed that the waiting time for the iPhone 13 Pro and the Pro Max ranged between 16 days and 23 days on Nov. 28. It is worth noting that Apple had reportedly reduced its 2021 iPhone 13 production target by 10 million units due to component shortages, which explains why its devices are still showing extensive waiting times.\nThe problem is that iPhone 13 delays are expected to last until February 2022, as reported by DigiTimes last month. These long waiting times and delays are reportedly causing customers to put off their iPhone 13 purchases. This isn't surprising, as the iPhone 13 will be nearly half a year old by the time it will be readily available for purchase in February next year.\nThis could lead customers to drop the idea of purchasing the iPhone 13 and instead go for the 2022 models. As a result, iPhone revenue could take a hit in the near term and weigh on the company's financial performance and stock price in 2022.\nThe stock could fly higher in the long run\nSavvy investors, however, shouldn't worry about the potential short-term challenges Apple faces. Even if iPhone sales aren't as great as expected in the early part of 2022 due to problems out of the tech titan's control, one shouldn't forget the massive upgrade cycle that's driving Apple's growth.\nAccording to IDC, Apple shipped 50.4 million iPhones in the third quarter of 2021, a jump of nearly 21% over the year-ago period. The company delivered this impressive growth during a quarter when the overall smartphone market contracted 6.7% year over year, with its biggest rivals Samsung and Xiaomi witnessing a contraction in their shipments.\nWhat's more, Apple is enjoying a nice bump in the average selling price of each iPhone. Sales might be hamstrung by component shortages over the next few months, but it cannot be denied that the company is enjoying a mix of volume and price growth thanks to the adoption of 5G smartphones.\nMore importantly, there were more than a billion iPhone users at the beginning of 2021. Wedbush analyst Dan Ives pointed out in October that 25% of Apple's installed base of users haven't upgraded their iPhones in the past three and a half years, which means that there are at least 250 million users in an upgrade window who could buy the iPhone 13.\nAdditionally, the number of iPhone users without a 5G device is even higher since the first 5G iPhone went on sale just over a year ago. All of this indicates that investors shouldn't miss the forest for the trees as the iPhone juggernaut can continue rolling in the long run and the supply chain constraints would probably be just a bump in the road.\nAs such, Apple stock can eventually regain its mojo once it gets the production challenges out of the way in 2022 and ships more iPhones to customers. And this is just one of the reasons this tech stock could fly higher next year as it is working on more products that could accelerate its growth in 2022 and beyond. That's why it might be a good idea to buy the stock in case of a dip as the near-term challenges could eventually make way for long-term gains.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1025,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":11,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/606034327"}
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