Ivychai
2021-10-15
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4 Unstoppable Stocks to Buy If There's a Stock Market Crash<blockquote>如果股市崩盘，值得买入的4只不可阻挡的股票</blockquote>
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While nothing is guaranteed on Wall Street, a number of signs appear to be pointing to the growing likelihood of downside for the broader market.</p><p><blockquote>近日，基准<b>标普500</b>经历了10个月内至少5%的首次修正。虽然华尔街没有什么是可以保证的，但一些迹象似乎表明大盘下跌的可能性越来越大。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/abf177a2ce4f54e7ed16e4189edb28a7\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1334\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>There are a laundry list of catalysts that could send the market lower</b></p><p><blockquote><b>有一系列催化剂可能会导致市场走低</b></blockquote></p><p> For instance, since the beginning of 1950, there have been 38 double-digit percentage declines in the S&P 500. That equates to one drop of at least 10%, on average, every 1.87 years. We're now more than 1.5 years removed from the chaotic bear market decline that bottomed out during the initial stages of the coronavirus pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>例如，自1950年初以来，标普500出现了38次两位数的百分比下降。这相当于平均每1.87年下降至少10%。我们现在距离冠状病毒大流行初期触底的混乱熊市下跌已经过去了1.5年多。</blockquote></p><p> To build on this point, the broader market has responded very similarly following crashes or corrections for the past 60 years. Following each of the previous eight bear markets, excluding the coronavirus crash, there were either one or two declines of 10% in the S&P 500 within three years. What this tells us is that rebounding from a bear market is a process and pretty much never the straight line higher that investors have reveled in for more than 18 months.</p><p><blockquote>在这一点上，大盘在过去60年的崩盘或调整后做出了非常相似的反应。在之前的八次熊市之后，不包括冠状病毒崩盘，标普500在三年内都有一两次下跌10%。这告诉我们，从熊市中反弹是一个过程，而且几乎不会像投资者18个多月来所陶醉的直线上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Macroeconomic factors and fundamental metrics pose warnings, too. Rapidly rising crude oil and natural-gas prices threaten pocketbooks and could quickly throttle down economic growth following the pandemic-induced recession.</p><p><blockquote>宏观经济因素和基本面指标也发出了警告。原油和天然气价格的快速上涨威胁着人们的钱包，并可能在大流行引发的衰退后迅速抑制经济增长。</blockquote></p><p> There's also margin debt, which has climbed at a precipitous pace in 2021. Data from market-analytics company Yardeni Research shows that there have only been three instances since the beginning of 1995 where margin debt rose 60% or more in a single year. The previous two occurred just months before the dot-com bubble burst and the financial crisis began.</p><p><blockquote>还有保证金债务，该债务在2021年急剧攀升。市场分析公司Yardeni Research的数据显示，自1995年初以来，只有三起保证金债务在一年内上涨60%或以上的情况。前两次发生在互联网泡沫破裂和金融危机开始前几个月。</blockquote></p><p> Even valuations are a concern. The S&P 500's Shiller price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio sits at 37.7, which is well over double its 151-year average of 16.9. Perhaps more worrisome, the S&P 500's Shiller P/E has only crossed above and held 30 on five occasions in 151 years. The previous four instances saw minimum declines of at least 20% after the Shiller P/E ratio peaked.</p><p><blockquote>甚至估值也是一个问题。标普500的席勒市盈率(P/E)为37.7，远高于151年平均水平16.9的两倍多。也许更令人担忧的是，标普500的席勒市盈率在151年里只有五次突破并保持在30以上。在席勒市盈率见顶后，前四次的最低跌幅至少为20%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5907a4556df957bb90a0b8342cf7d9b9\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1390\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Crashes and corrections are an opportunity to buy great stocks at a discount</p><p><blockquote>崩盘和调整是以折扣价购买优质股票的机会</blockquote></p><p> But there's another side to this story. Even though stock market corrections occur often, they've always eventually been erased by a bull-market rally. Buying great companies at a discount during a crash or correction and holding those stakes for long periods of time is a recipe to build wealth over time.</p><p><blockquote>但是这个故事还有另一面。尽管股市调整经常发生，但它们最终总是被牛市反弹抹去。在崩盘或调整期间以折扣价购买优秀公司并长期持有这些股份是随着时间的推移积累财富的秘诀。</blockquote></p><p> If a stock market crash or double-digit percentage correction does materialize from this recent uptick in volatility, the following four unstoppable stocks would make for perfect buys.</p><p><blockquote>如果最近波动性上升确实导致股市崩盘或两位数百分比调整，那么以下四只势不可挡的股票将是完美的买入对象。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Berkshire Hathaway</b></p><p><blockquote><b>伯克希尔哈撒韦</b></blockquote></p><p> One of the safest ways to build wealth over the long run is to follow in the footsteps of billionaire investor Warren Buffett. The easiest way to do that is to buy shares of <b>Berkshire Hathaway</b>(NYSE:BRK.A)(NYSE:BRK.B), the conglomerate run by Buffett that's averaged ajaw-dropping annual return of 20%since the beginning of 1965 (an aggregate return of close to 3,300,000%).</p><p><blockquote>从长远来看，积累财富最安全的方法之一是追随亿万富翁投资者沃伦·巴菲特的脚步。最简单的方法是购买<b>伯克希尔哈撒韦</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：BRK.A）（纽约证券交易所代码：BRK.B），巴菲特经营的企业集团，自1965年初以来的平均年回报率为令人瞠目结舌的20%（总回报率接近3,300,000%）。</blockquote></p><p> Berkshire Hathaway's portfolio is successful for two key reasons. First,it's highly cyclical, with about 85% of the company's invested assets tied up in tech stocks, financial stocks, and consumer staples. Though the Oracle of Omaha is fully aware that recessions are an inevitable part of the economic cycle, he also understands that economic downturns don't last very long. He's positioned Berkshire's investment portfolio to take advantage of multiyear periods of expansion.</p><p><blockquote>伯克希尔·哈撒韦的投资组合之所以能够成功，有两个关键原因。首先，它具有很强的周期性，该公司约85%的投资资产与科技股、金融股和必需消费品相关。尽管这位奥马哈先知充分意识到经济衰退是经济周期不可避免的一部分，但他也明白经济衰退不会持续很久。他将伯克希尔的投资组合定位为利用多年的扩张期。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The other catalyst working in the company's favor is its dividend income. Over the next 12 months, Berkshire Hathaway should collect more than $5 billion in common and preferred dividends, which equates to about a 5% yield, relative to the company's cost basis on its investments. Warren Buffett has demonstrated how easy it is to build wealth on Wall Street by purchasing businesses with clear-cut competitive advantages and not selling.</p><p><blockquote>对该公司有利的另一个催化剂是其股息收入。未来12个月，伯克希尔哈撒韦公司应收取超过50亿美元的普通股和优先股股息，相对于公司投资的成本基础，这相当于约5%的收益率。沃伦·巴菲特已经证明，通过购买具有明显竞争优势的企业而不是出售，在华尔街积累财富是多么容易。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/79e58192e80c4f6d82046daca6fcb496\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1334\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Trulieve Cannabis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Trulieve大麻</b></blockquote></p><p> If growth stocks are more your thing,marijuana stock<b>Trulieve Cannabis</b>(OTC:TCNNF) has the look of an unstoppable buy if a crash or correction strikes.</p><p><blockquote>如果你更喜欢成长型股票，大麻股票<b>Trulieve大麻</b>（场外交易代码：TCNNF）看起来是一个不可阻挡的买入，如果崩盘或调整来袭。</blockquote></p><p> First of all, we witnessed during the pandemic that cannabis is treated as a non-discretionary good. In other words, people kept buying pot products, no matter how badly the pandemic altered the economic landscape in North America.</p><p><blockquote>首先，我们在疫情期间目睹了大麻被视为非自由支配的商品。换句话说，无论疫情如何严重改变北美的经济格局，人们都会继续购买大麻产品。</blockquote></p><p> More specific to Trulieve, it's really differentiated itself from other pot stocks. With most multistate operators (MSOs) setting up shop in well over a dozen legalized U.S. markets, Trulieve focused most of its attention on medical marijuana-legal Florida. Trulieve has 94 operating dispensaries in the Sunshine State, which represents about a quarter of all cannabis retail locations statewide.</p><p><blockquote>更具体地说，Trulieve确实与其他大麻股有所不同。随着大多数多州运营商(MSO)在十几个合法的美国市场开设商店，Trulieve将大部分注意力集中在医用大麻合法的佛罗里达州。Trulieve在阳光之州拥有94家运营药房，约占全州所有大麻零售点的四分之一。</blockquote></p><p> Saturating one of the largest pot markets in the U.S. has helped the company effectively build up its brand without breaking the bank on the marketing front. As a result, Trulieve Cannabis has been profitable for more than three years.</p><p><blockquote>美国最大的大麻市场之一的饱和帮助该公司有效地建立了自己的品牌，而不会在营销方面倾家荡产。因此，Trulieve Cannabis已经盈利三年多了。</blockquote></p><p> What's more, Trulieve recently completed its all-share acquisition of MSO Harvest Health & Recreation. This deal moves it into new markets, and most importantly, makes it the key player in Arizona, which legalized recreational marijuana in November 2020.</p><p><blockquote>此外，Trulieve最近完成了对MSO Harvest Health&Recreation的全股收购。这笔交易将其带入了新的市场，最重要的是，使其成为亚利桑那州的关键参与者，该州于2020年11月将娱乐性大麻合法化。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/454f3bd12d9f51f0677b0832102292fc\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Viatris</b></p><p><blockquote><b>维亚特里斯</b></blockquote></p><p> Want deep-discount value and a market-topping dividend yield? Drug-company<b>Viatris</b>(NASDAQ:VTRS)and its 3.2% yield may well be the unstoppable stock to buy if there's a stock market crash or correction.</p><p><blockquote>想要大幅折扣价值和市场领先的股息收益率？制药公司<b>维亚特里斯</b>（纳斯达克：VTRS）如果股市崩盘或调整，其3.2%的收益率很可能是不可阻挡的买入股票。</blockquote></p><p> Viatris was officially formed less than a year ago by combining Pfizer's established drug unit UpJohn with generic-drug company Mylan. The idea was that the combined entity would be stronger than the two individual units would have ever been.</p><p><blockquote>Viatris于不到一年前正式成立，由辉瑞已成立的药品部门UpJohn与仿制药公司Mylan合并而成。这个想法是，合并后的实体将比两个单独的单位更强大。</blockquote></p><p> As you might imagine, combining two drug juggernauts should yield significant efficiencies. The expectation is for more than $1 billion in annual cost synergies by 2023. Further, Viatris' management team expects to have whittled down the company's debt load from $26 billion, when the combination closed, to $19.5 billion by the end of 2023. Less debt outstanding means more financial flexibility and, potentially, the ability to reignite the company's internal research engine.</p><p><blockquote>正如您可能想象的那样，将两种药物巨头结合起来应该会产生显着的效率。预计到2023年，年度成本协同效应将超过10亿美元。此外，Viatris的管理团队预计，到2023年底，公司的债务负担将从合并完成时的260亿美元削减至195亿美元。未偿债务的减少意味着更大的财务灵活性，并有可能重新点燃公司内部研究引擎。</blockquote></p><p> The real beauty of Viatris is the consistency of demand for its products. Since healthcare stocks are highly defensive, a poorly performing stock market won't change the fact that people need prescribed drugs. Viatris' leading generic division is also perfectly positioned to take advantage of an aging U.S. and global population.</p><p><blockquote>Viatris的真正魅力在于对其产品需求的一致性。由于医疗保健股具有很强的防御性，表现不佳的股市不会改变人们需要处方药的事实。Viatris领先的仿制药部门也完全有能力利用美国和全球人口老龄化的优势。</blockquote></p><p> With a forward-year P/E ratio below 4, Viatris has about as a cheap of a multiple as you'll ever see in the healthcare space.</p><p><blockquote>Viatris的远期市盈率低于4，其市盈率几乎是您在医疗保健领域看到的最便宜的市盈率。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5b7df57a973eb8047515b9d2de719a53\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Sea Limited</b></p><p><blockquote><b>海有限公司</b></blockquote></p><p> A fourth unstoppable stock to gobble up if there's a stock market crash or correction is Singapore-based <b>Sea Limited</b>(NYSE:SE). Sea has three exceptionally fast-growing operating segments that could one day push its valuation to $1 trillion.</p><p><blockquote>如果股市崩盘或调整，第四只不可阻挡的股票是新加坡<b>海有限公司</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：SE）。Sea拥有三个增长异常快速的运营部门，有朝一日可能会将其估值推至1万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> First, there's its digital-entertainment segment, which primarily encompasses mobile gaming. Sea ended June with 725 million quarterly active users, 12.7% of which (92.2 million) were paying to play. The average pay-to-play ratio throughout the gaming industry is closer to 2%. Additionally, average bookings per user rose to $1.60 in Q2 from $1.40 in the prior-year period. For the time being, this is the only segment generating positive earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA).</p><p><blockquote>首先是其数字娱乐部门，主要包括移动游戏。截至6月，Sea的季度活跃用户为7.25亿，其中12.7%（9220万）是付费用户。整个游戏行业的平均付费游戏比接近2%。此外，第二季度每位用户的平均预订量从去年同期的1.40美元升至1.60美元。目前，这是唯一一个产生正息税折旧摊销前利润(EBITDA)的部门。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Second, Sea has its rapidly growing e-commerce platform, known as Shopee. In the latest quarter, Shopee handled 1.4 billion gross orders (up 127% year over year) and $15 billion in gross merchandise value (GMV). For some context, Shopee handled $10 billion in GMV in the entirety of 2018. The company's annual online retail run rate has sextupled in 2.5 years.</p><p><blockquote>其次，Sea拥有快速增长的电子商务平台Shopee。最近一个季度，Shopee处理了14亿笔总订单（同比增长127%）和150亿美元的商品总价值(GMV)。在某些情况下，Shopee在2018年全年处理了100亿美元的GMV。该公司的年在线零售运行率在2.5年内增长了6倍。</blockquote></p><p> Lastly, its digital financial services segment has 32.7 million paying digital-wallet users and oversaw more than $4.1 billion in payments in the June-ended quarter. Since many of the emerging markets Sea serves are underbanked, digital wallets could be a sneaky long-term growth story for the company.</p><p><blockquote>最后，其数字金融服务部门拥有3270万付费数字钱包用户，在截至6月底的季度中监管了超过41亿美元的支付。由于Sea服务的许多新兴市场银行服务不足，数字钱包对该公司来说可能是一个偷偷摸摸的长期增长故事。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>4 Unstoppable Stocks to Buy If There's a Stock Market Crash<blockquote>如果股市崩盘，值得买入的4只不可阻挡的股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n4 Unstoppable Stocks to Buy If There's a Stock Market Crash<blockquote>如果股市崩盘，值得买入的4只不可阻挡的股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-14 18:00</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Key Points</b></p><p><blockquote><b>要点</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Double-digit percentage declines in the broader market are more common than investors realize.</li> <li>There are no shortage of catalysts that could cause a stock market crash or correction.</li> <li>Buying this quartet of unstoppable companies during a broad-market decline would be a wise move.</li> </ul> </p><p><blockquote><ul><li>大盘两位数的百分比下跌比投资者意识到的更常见。</li><li>不乏可能导致股市崩盘或调整的催化剂。</li><li>在大盘下跌期间收购这四家势不可挡的公司将是明智之举。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p> Some investors might not be thrilled with what I'm about to say, but it's simply a matter of allowing historical data do the talking: A stock market crash or correction may be brewing.</p><p><blockquote>一些投资者可能不会对我要说的话感到兴奋，但这只是一个让历史数据说话的问题：股市崩盘或调整可能正在酝酿。</blockquote></p><p> Recently, the benchmark <b>S&P 500</b> underwent its first correction of at least 5% in 10 months. While nothing is guaranteed on Wall Street, a number of signs appear to be pointing to the growing likelihood of downside for the broader market.</p><p><blockquote>近日，基准<b>标普500</b>经历了10个月内至少5%的首次修正。虽然华尔街没有什么是可以保证的，但一些迹象似乎表明大盘下跌的可能性越来越大。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/abf177a2ce4f54e7ed16e4189edb28a7\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1334\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>There are a laundry list of catalysts that could send the market lower</b></p><p><blockquote><b>有一系列催化剂可能会导致市场走低</b></blockquote></p><p> For instance, since the beginning of 1950, there have been 38 double-digit percentage declines in the S&P 500. That equates to one drop of at least 10%, on average, every 1.87 years. We're now more than 1.5 years removed from the chaotic bear market decline that bottomed out during the initial stages of the coronavirus pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>例如，自1950年初以来，标普500出现了38次两位数的百分比下降。这相当于平均每1.87年下降至少10%。我们现在距离冠状病毒大流行初期触底的混乱熊市下跌已经过去了1.5年多。</blockquote></p><p> To build on this point, the broader market has responded very similarly following crashes or corrections for the past 60 years. Following each of the previous eight bear markets, excluding the coronavirus crash, there were either one or two declines of 10% in the S&P 500 within three years. What this tells us is that rebounding from a bear market is a process and pretty much never the straight line higher that investors have reveled in for more than 18 months.</p><p><blockquote>在这一点上，大盘在过去60年的崩盘或调整后做出了非常相似的反应。在之前的八次熊市之后，不包括冠状病毒崩盘，标普500在三年内都有一两次下跌10%。这告诉我们，从熊市中反弹是一个过程，而且几乎不会像投资者18个多月来所陶醉的直线上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Macroeconomic factors and fundamental metrics pose warnings, too. Rapidly rising crude oil and natural-gas prices threaten pocketbooks and could quickly throttle down economic growth following the pandemic-induced recession.</p><p><blockquote>宏观经济因素和基本面指标也发出了警告。原油和天然气价格的快速上涨威胁着人们的钱包，并可能在大流行引发的衰退后迅速抑制经济增长。</blockquote></p><p> There's also margin debt, which has climbed at a precipitous pace in 2021. Data from market-analytics company Yardeni Research shows that there have only been three instances since the beginning of 1995 where margin debt rose 60% or more in a single year. The previous two occurred just months before the dot-com bubble burst and the financial crisis began.</p><p><blockquote>还有保证金债务，该债务在2021年急剧攀升。市场分析公司Yardeni Research的数据显示，自1995年初以来，只有三起保证金债务在一年内上涨60%或以上的情况。前两次发生在互联网泡沫破裂和金融危机开始前几个月。</blockquote></p><p> Even valuations are a concern. The S&P 500's Shiller price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio sits at 37.7, which is well over double its 151-year average of 16.9. Perhaps more worrisome, the S&P 500's Shiller P/E has only crossed above and held 30 on five occasions in 151 years. The previous four instances saw minimum declines of at least 20% after the Shiller P/E ratio peaked.</p><p><blockquote>甚至估值也是一个问题。标普500的席勒市盈率(P/E)为37.7，远高于151年平均水平16.9的两倍多。也许更令人担忧的是，标普500的席勒市盈率在151年里只有五次突破并保持在30以上。在席勒市盈率见顶后，前四次的最低跌幅至少为20%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5907a4556df957bb90a0b8342cf7d9b9\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1390\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Crashes and corrections are an opportunity to buy great stocks at a discount</p><p><blockquote>崩盘和调整是以折扣价购买优质股票的机会</blockquote></p><p> But there's another side to this story. Even though stock market corrections occur often, they've always eventually been erased by a bull-market rally. Buying great companies at a discount during a crash or correction and holding those stakes for long periods of time is a recipe to build wealth over time.</p><p><blockquote>但是这个故事还有另一面。尽管股市调整经常发生，但它们最终总是被牛市反弹抹去。在崩盘或调整期间以折扣价购买优秀公司并长期持有这些股份是随着时间的推移积累财富的秘诀。</blockquote></p><p> If a stock market crash or double-digit percentage correction does materialize from this recent uptick in volatility, the following four unstoppable stocks would make for perfect buys.</p><p><blockquote>如果最近波动性上升确实导致股市崩盘或两位数百分比调整，那么以下四只势不可挡的股票将是完美的买入对象。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Berkshire Hathaway</b></p><p><blockquote><b>伯克希尔哈撒韦</b></blockquote></p><p> One of the safest ways to build wealth over the long run is to follow in the footsteps of billionaire investor Warren Buffett. The easiest way to do that is to buy shares of <b>Berkshire Hathaway</b>(NYSE:BRK.A)(NYSE:BRK.B), the conglomerate run by Buffett that's averaged ajaw-dropping annual return of 20%since the beginning of 1965 (an aggregate return of close to 3,300,000%).</p><p><blockquote>从长远来看，积累财富最安全的方法之一是追随亿万富翁投资者沃伦·巴菲特的脚步。最简单的方法是购买<b>伯克希尔哈撒韦</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：BRK.A）（纽约证券交易所代码：BRK.B），巴菲特经营的企业集团，自1965年初以来的平均年回报率为令人瞠目结舌的20%（总回报率接近3,300,000%）。</blockquote></p><p> Berkshire Hathaway's portfolio is successful for two key reasons. First,it's highly cyclical, with about 85% of the company's invested assets tied up in tech stocks, financial stocks, and consumer staples. Though the Oracle of Omaha is fully aware that recessions are an inevitable part of the economic cycle, he also understands that economic downturns don't last very long. He's positioned Berkshire's investment portfolio to take advantage of multiyear periods of expansion.</p><p><blockquote>伯克希尔·哈撒韦的投资组合之所以能够成功，有两个关键原因。首先，它具有很强的周期性，该公司约85%的投资资产与科技股、金融股和必需消费品相关。尽管这位奥马哈先知充分意识到经济衰退是经济周期不可避免的一部分，但他也明白经济衰退不会持续很久。他将伯克希尔的投资组合定位为利用多年的扩张期。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The other catalyst working in the company's favor is its dividend income. Over the next 12 months, Berkshire Hathaway should collect more than $5 billion in common and preferred dividends, which equates to about a 5% yield, relative to the company's cost basis on its investments. Warren Buffett has demonstrated how easy it is to build wealth on Wall Street by purchasing businesses with clear-cut competitive advantages and not selling.</p><p><blockquote>对该公司有利的另一个催化剂是其股息收入。未来12个月，伯克希尔哈撒韦公司应收取超过50亿美元的普通股和优先股股息，相对于公司投资的成本基础，这相当于约5%的收益率。沃伦·巴菲特已经证明，通过购买具有明显竞争优势的企业而不是出售，在华尔街积累财富是多么容易。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/79e58192e80c4f6d82046daca6fcb496\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1334\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Trulieve Cannabis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Trulieve大麻</b></blockquote></p><p> If growth stocks are more your thing,marijuana stock<b>Trulieve Cannabis</b>(OTC:TCNNF) has the look of an unstoppable buy if a crash or correction strikes.</p><p><blockquote>如果你更喜欢成长型股票，大麻股票<b>Trulieve大麻</b>（场外交易代码：TCNNF）看起来是一个不可阻挡的买入，如果崩盘或调整来袭。</blockquote></p><p> First of all, we witnessed during the pandemic that cannabis is treated as a non-discretionary good. In other words, people kept buying pot products, no matter how badly the pandemic altered the economic landscape in North America.</p><p><blockquote>首先，我们在疫情期间目睹了大麻被视为非自由支配的商品。换句话说，无论疫情如何严重改变北美的经济格局，人们都会继续购买大麻产品。</blockquote></p><p> More specific to Trulieve, it's really differentiated itself from other pot stocks. With most multistate operators (MSOs) setting up shop in well over a dozen legalized U.S. markets, Trulieve focused most of its attention on medical marijuana-legal Florida. Trulieve has 94 operating dispensaries in the Sunshine State, which represents about a quarter of all cannabis retail locations statewide.</p><p><blockquote>更具体地说，Trulieve确实与其他大麻股有所不同。随着大多数多州运营商(MSO)在十几个合法的美国市场开设商店，Trulieve将大部分注意力集中在医用大麻合法的佛罗里达州。Trulieve在阳光之州拥有94家运营药房，约占全州所有大麻零售点的四分之一。</blockquote></p><p> Saturating one of the largest pot markets in the U.S. has helped the company effectively build up its brand without breaking the bank on the marketing front. As a result, Trulieve Cannabis has been profitable for more than three years.</p><p><blockquote>美国最大的大麻市场之一的饱和帮助该公司有效地建立了自己的品牌，而不会在营销方面倾家荡产。因此，Trulieve Cannabis已经盈利三年多了。</blockquote></p><p> What's more, Trulieve recently completed its all-share acquisition of MSO Harvest Health & Recreation. This deal moves it into new markets, and most importantly, makes it the key player in Arizona, which legalized recreational marijuana in November 2020.</p><p><blockquote>此外，Trulieve最近完成了对MSO Harvest Health&Recreation的全股收购。这笔交易将其带入了新的市场，最重要的是，使其成为亚利桑那州的关键参与者，该州于2020年11月将娱乐性大麻合法化。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/454f3bd12d9f51f0677b0832102292fc\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Viatris</b></p><p><blockquote><b>维亚特里斯</b></blockquote></p><p> Want deep-discount value and a market-topping dividend yield? Drug-company<b>Viatris</b>(NASDAQ:VTRS)and its 3.2% yield may well be the unstoppable stock to buy if there's a stock market crash or correction.</p><p><blockquote>想要大幅折扣价值和市场领先的股息收益率？制药公司<b>维亚特里斯</b>（纳斯达克：VTRS）如果股市崩盘或调整，其3.2%的收益率很可能是不可阻挡的买入股票。</blockquote></p><p> Viatris was officially formed less than a year ago by combining Pfizer's established drug unit UpJohn with generic-drug company Mylan. The idea was that the combined entity would be stronger than the two individual units would have ever been.</p><p><blockquote>Viatris于不到一年前正式成立，由辉瑞已成立的药品部门UpJohn与仿制药公司Mylan合并而成。这个想法是，合并后的实体将比两个单独的单位更强大。</blockquote></p><p> As you might imagine, combining two drug juggernauts should yield significant efficiencies. The expectation is for more than $1 billion in annual cost synergies by 2023. Further, Viatris' management team expects to have whittled down the company's debt load from $26 billion, when the combination closed, to $19.5 billion by the end of 2023. Less debt outstanding means more financial flexibility and, potentially, the ability to reignite the company's internal research engine.</p><p><blockquote>正如您可能想象的那样，将两种药物巨头结合起来应该会产生显着的效率。预计到2023年，年度成本协同效应将超过10亿美元。此外，Viatris的管理团队预计，到2023年底，公司的债务负担将从合并完成时的260亿美元削减至195亿美元。未偿债务的减少意味着更大的财务灵活性，并有可能重新点燃公司内部研究引擎。</blockquote></p><p> The real beauty of Viatris is the consistency of demand for its products. Since healthcare stocks are highly defensive, a poorly performing stock market won't change the fact that people need prescribed drugs. Viatris' leading generic division is also perfectly positioned to take advantage of an aging U.S. and global population.</p><p><blockquote>Viatris的真正魅力在于对其产品需求的一致性。由于医疗保健股具有很强的防御性，表现不佳的股市不会改变人们需要处方药的事实。Viatris领先的仿制药部门也完全有能力利用美国和全球人口老龄化的优势。</blockquote></p><p> With a forward-year P/E ratio below 4, Viatris has about as a cheap of a multiple as you'll ever see in the healthcare space.</p><p><blockquote>Viatris的远期市盈率低于4，其市盈率几乎是您在医疗保健领域看到的最便宜的市盈率。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5b7df57a973eb8047515b9d2de719a53\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Sea Limited</b></p><p><blockquote><b>海有限公司</b></blockquote></p><p> A fourth unstoppable stock to gobble up if there's a stock market crash or correction is Singapore-based <b>Sea Limited</b>(NYSE:SE). Sea has three exceptionally fast-growing operating segments that could one day push its valuation to $1 trillion.</p><p><blockquote>如果股市崩盘或调整，第四只不可阻挡的股票是新加坡<b>海有限公司</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：SE）。Sea拥有三个增长异常快速的运营部门，有朝一日可能会将其估值推至1万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> First, there's its digital-entertainment segment, which primarily encompasses mobile gaming. Sea ended June with 725 million quarterly active users, 12.7% of which (92.2 million) were paying to play. The average pay-to-play ratio throughout the gaming industry is closer to 2%. Additionally, average bookings per user rose to $1.60 in Q2 from $1.40 in the prior-year period. For the time being, this is the only segment generating positive earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA).</p><p><blockquote>首先是其数字娱乐部门，主要包括移动游戏。截至6月，Sea的季度活跃用户为7.25亿，其中12.7%（9220万）是付费用户。整个游戏行业的平均付费游戏比接近2%。此外，第二季度每位用户的平均预订量从去年同期的1.40美元升至1.60美元。目前，这是唯一一个产生正息税折旧摊销前利润(EBITDA)的部门。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Second, Sea has its rapidly growing e-commerce platform, known as Shopee. In the latest quarter, Shopee handled 1.4 billion gross orders (up 127% year over year) and $15 billion in gross merchandise value (GMV). For some context, Shopee handled $10 billion in GMV in the entirety of 2018. The company's annual online retail run rate has sextupled in 2.5 years.</p><p><blockquote>其次，Sea拥有快速增长的电子商务平台Shopee。最近一个季度，Shopee处理了14亿笔总订单（同比增长127%）和150亿美元的商品总价值(GMV)。在某些情况下，Shopee在2018年全年处理了100亿美元的GMV。该公司的年在线零售运行率在2.5年内增长了6倍。</blockquote></p><p> Lastly, its digital financial services segment has 32.7 million paying digital-wallet users and oversaw more than $4.1 billion in payments in the June-ended quarter. Since many of the emerging markets Sea serves are underbanked, digital wallets could be a sneaky long-term growth story for the company.</p><p><blockquote>最后，其数字金融服务部门拥有3270万付费数字钱包用户，在截至6月底的季度中监管了超过41亿美元的支付。由于Sea服务的许多新兴市场银行服务不足，数字钱包对该公司来说可能是一个偷偷摸摸的长期增长故事。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/10/14/4-unstoppable-stocks-to-buy-if-stock-market-crash/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TCNNF":"Trulieve Cannabis Corporation","SE":"Sea Ltd","BRK.B":"伯克希尔B","BRK.A":"伯克希尔","VTRS":"Viatris Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/10/14/4-unstoppable-stocks-to-buy-if-stock-market-crash/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1184483169","content_text":"Key Points\n\nDouble-digit percentage declines in the broader market are more common than investors realize.\nThere are no shortage of catalysts that could cause a stock market crash or correction.\nBuying this quartet of unstoppable companies during a broad-market decline would be a wise move.\n\n\nSome investors might not be thrilled with what I'm about to say, but it's simply a matter of allowing historical data do the talking: A stock market crash or correction may be brewing.\nRecently, the benchmark S&P 500 underwent its first correction of at least 5% in 10 months. While nothing is guaranteed on Wall Street, a number of signs appear to be pointing to the growing likelihood of downside for the broader market.\nIMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.\nThere are a laundry list of catalysts that could send the market lower\nFor instance, since the beginning of 1950, there have been 38 double-digit percentage declines in the S&P 500. That equates to one drop of at least 10%, on average, every 1.87 years. We're now more than 1.5 years removed from the chaotic bear market decline that bottomed out during the initial stages of the coronavirus pandemic.\nTo build on this point, the broader market has responded very similarly following crashes or corrections for the past 60 years. Following each of the previous eight bear markets, excluding the coronavirus crash, there were either one or two declines of 10% in the S&P 500 within three years. What this tells us is that rebounding from a bear market is a process and pretty much never the straight line higher that investors have reveled in for more than 18 months.\nMacroeconomic factors and fundamental metrics pose warnings, too. Rapidly rising crude oil and natural-gas prices threaten pocketbooks and could quickly throttle down economic growth following the pandemic-induced recession.\nThere's also margin debt, which has climbed at a precipitous pace in 2021. Data from market-analytics company Yardeni Research shows that there have only been three instances since the beginning of 1995 where margin debt rose 60% or more in a single year. The previous two occurred just months before the dot-com bubble burst and the financial crisis began.\nEven valuations are a concern. The S&P 500's Shiller price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio sits at 37.7, which is well over double its 151-year average of 16.9. Perhaps more worrisome, the S&P 500's Shiller P/E has only crossed above and held 30 on five occasions in 151 years. The previous four instances saw minimum declines of at least 20% after the Shiller P/E ratio peaked.\nIMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.\nCrashes and corrections are an opportunity to buy great stocks at a discount\nBut there's another side to this story. Even though stock market corrections occur often, they've always eventually been erased by a bull-market rally. Buying great companies at a discount during a crash or correction and holding those stakes for long periods of time is a recipe to build wealth over time.\nIf a stock market crash or double-digit percentage correction does materialize from this recent uptick in volatility, the following four unstoppable stocks would make for perfect buys.\nBerkshire Hathaway\nOne of the safest ways to build wealth over the long run is to follow in the footsteps of billionaire investor Warren Buffett. The easiest way to do that is to buy shares of Berkshire Hathaway(NYSE:BRK.A)(NYSE:BRK.B), the conglomerate run by Buffett that's averaged ajaw-dropping annual return of 20%since the beginning of 1965 (an aggregate return of close to 3,300,000%).\nBerkshire Hathaway's portfolio is successful for two key reasons. First,it's highly cyclical, with about 85% of the company's invested assets tied up in tech stocks, financial stocks, and consumer staples. Though the Oracle of Omaha is fully aware that recessions are an inevitable part of the economic cycle, he also understands that economic downturns don't last very long. He's positioned Berkshire's investment portfolio to take advantage of multiyear periods of expansion.\nThe other catalyst working in the company's favor is its dividend income. Over the next 12 months, Berkshire Hathaway should collect more than $5 billion in common and preferred dividends, which equates to about a 5% yield, relative to the company's cost basis on its investments. Warren Buffett has demonstrated how easy it is to build wealth on Wall Street by purchasing businesses with clear-cut competitive advantages and not selling.\nIMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.\nTrulieve Cannabis\nIf growth stocks are more your thing,marijuana stockTrulieve Cannabis(OTC:TCNNF) has the look of an unstoppable buy if a crash or correction strikes.\nFirst of all, we witnessed during the pandemic that cannabis is treated as a non-discretionary good. In other words, people kept buying pot products, no matter how badly the pandemic altered the economic landscape in North America.\nMore specific to Trulieve, it's really differentiated itself from other pot stocks. With most multistate operators (MSOs) setting up shop in well over a dozen legalized U.S. markets, Trulieve focused most of its attention on medical marijuana-legal Florida. Trulieve has 94 operating dispensaries in the Sunshine State, which represents about a quarter of all cannabis retail locations statewide.\nSaturating one of the largest pot markets in the U.S. has helped the company effectively build up its brand without breaking the bank on the marketing front. As a result, Trulieve Cannabis has been profitable for more than three years.\nWhat's more, Trulieve recently completed its all-share acquisition of MSO Harvest Health & Recreation. This deal moves it into new markets, and most importantly, makes it the key player in Arizona, which legalized recreational marijuana in November 2020.\nIMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.\nViatris\nWant deep-discount value and a market-topping dividend yield? Drug-companyViatris(NASDAQ:VTRS)and its 3.2% yield may well be the unstoppable stock to buy if there's a stock market crash or correction.\nViatris was officially formed less than a year ago by combining Pfizer's established drug unit UpJohn with generic-drug company Mylan. The idea was that the combined entity would be stronger than the two individual units would have ever been.\nAs you might imagine, combining two drug juggernauts should yield significant efficiencies. The expectation is for more than $1 billion in annual cost synergies by 2023. Further, Viatris' management team expects to have whittled down the company's debt load from $26 billion, when the combination closed, to $19.5 billion by the end of 2023. Less debt outstanding means more financial flexibility and, potentially, the ability to reignite the company's internal research engine.\nThe real beauty of Viatris is the consistency of demand for its products. Since healthcare stocks are highly defensive, a poorly performing stock market won't change the fact that people need prescribed drugs. Viatris' leading generic division is also perfectly positioned to take advantage of an aging U.S. and global population.\nWith a forward-year P/E ratio below 4, Viatris has about as a cheap of a multiple as you'll ever see in the healthcare space.\nIMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.\nSea Limited\nA fourth unstoppable stock to gobble up if there's a stock market crash or correction is Singapore-based Sea Limited(NYSE:SE). Sea has three exceptionally fast-growing operating segments that could one day push its valuation to $1 trillion.\nFirst, there's its digital-entertainment segment, which primarily encompasses mobile gaming. Sea ended June with 725 million quarterly active users, 12.7% of which (92.2 million) were paying to play. The average pay-to-play ratio throughout the gaming industry is closer to 2%. Additionally, average bookings per user rose to $1.60 in Q2 from $1.40 in the prior-year period. For the time being, this is the only segment generating positive earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA).\nSecond, Sea has its rapidly growing e-commerce platform, known as Shopee. In the latest quarter, Shopee handled 1.4 billion gross orders (up 127% year over year) and $15 billion in gross merchandise value (GMV). For some context, Shopee handled $10 billion in GMV in the entirety of 2018. The company's annual online retail run rate has sextupled in 2.5 years.\nLastly, its digital financial services segment has 32.7 million paying digital-wallet users and oversaw more than $4.1 billion in payments in the June-ended quarter. Since many of the emerging markets Sea serves are underbanked, digital wallets could be a sneaky long-term growth story for the company.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BRK.A":0.9,"SE":0.9,"VTRS":0.9,"BRK.B":0.9,"TCNNF":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":513,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":7,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/825550456"}
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