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New9
02-02
$黄金主连 2504(GCmain)$
New9
2024-10-08
$WTI原油主连 2411(CLmain)$
New9
2023-12-15
$WTI原油主连 2401(CLmain)$
New9
2023-12-07
$燕之屋(01497)$
贵妇收割机,即食燕窝成当下悦己消费新趋势。
New9
2023-11-04
$WTI原油主连 2312(CLmain)$
要涨了原油
New9
2023-10-05
$WTI原油2311(CL2311)$
New9
2023-05-02
$日元主连 2306(JPYmain)$
New9
2022-02-17
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看
全球最重要的油价升破100美元
New9
2021-07-31
$WTI原油2109(CL2109)$
最后一秒下单拉升礼拜一好玩儿喽
New9
2021-04-12
这张名单不一样
New9
2021-04-07
$WTI原油2105(CL2105)$
恐惧
New9
2021-03-29
看多看多 穿头漏水了
抱歉,原内容已删除
New9
2021-03-29
船漏水了
抱歉,原内容已删除
New9
2021-03-29
$WTI原油2105(CL2105)$
原油呀再跌一点
New9
2021-03-07
完全沒有供過於求的問題,而且過高的油價,對美國經濟發展復甦非常不利,不僅讓可支配所得減少而且消費力減少,也就是說引起通膨,中間偏低的油價,最適合於美國的與世界的復甦與經濟發展 ,美國是一個以消費為主的含蓋70%GDP,過高的油價是要讓美國消費力減少了壞處大於出口石油好處,不僅引起通膨而且讓美國的可支配所得的消費力減弱
抱歉,原内容已删除
New9
2021-03-03
超级周期说的是你们 没有超级周期还是你们
抱歉,原内容已删除
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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贵妇收割机,即食燕窝成当下悦己消费新趋势。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/249539900428416","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1791,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":237631916880104,"gmtCreate":1699048375209,"gmtModify":1699048377045,"author":{"id":"3466339296189384","authorId":"3466339296189384","name":"New9","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c50e8da5a6f650822328bc2dc9ac6f52","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3466339296189384","authorIdStr":"3466339296189384"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/CLmain\">$WTI原油主连 2312(CLmain)$ </a>要涨了原油","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/CLmain\">$WTI原油主连 2312(CLmain)$ </a>要涨了原油","text":"$WTI原油主连 2312(CLmain)$ 要涨了原油","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/237631916880104","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2044,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":227117568651368,"gmtCreate":1696456625276,"gmtModify":1696456626072,"author":{"id":"3466339296189384","authorId":"3466339296189384","name":"New9","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c50e8da5a6f650822328bc2dc9ac6f52","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3466339296189384","authorIdStr":"3466339296189384"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/CL2311\">$WTI原油2311(CL2311)$ </a>","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/CL2311\">$WTI原油2311(CL2311)$ </a>","text":"$WTI原油2311(CL2311)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/227117568651368","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":894,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":658460643,"gmtCreate":1682988902182,"gmtModify":1682988903029,"author":{"id":"3466339296189384","authorId":"3466339296189384","name":"New9","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c50e8da5a6f650822328bc2dc9ac6f52","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3466339296189384","authorIdStr":"3466339296189384"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/JPYmain\">$日元主连 2306(JPYmain)$ </a>","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/JPYmain\">$日元主连 2306(JPYmain)$ </a>","text":"$日元主连 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11:18","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"全球最重要的油价升破100美元","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2212029699","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"在看多声音越来越高涨的形势下,全球最重要的原油价格终于突破了100美元关口价位。据彭博社报道,S&P Global Platts的数据显示,即期布伦特原油现货价格(Dated Brent)在本周三触及","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>在看多声音越来越高涨的形势下,全球最重要的原油价格终于突破了100美元关口价位。</p><p>据彭博社报道,S&P Global Platts的数据显示,即期布伦特原油现货价格(Dated Brent)在本周三触及<b>每桶100.80美元,为2014年以来首次。</b></p><p>即期布伦特原油现货价格冲破100美元至关重要,<b>因为这个价格是众多石油衍生品价格的核心,为每天数百万桶原油交易设定了基准。</b></p><p>另外,根据ICE欧洲期货交易所的数据,布伦特原油期货6个月时间价差在周三一度触及每桶8.74美元,为2007年以来的最大价差。<b>巨大价差也表明市场目前的紧张状况相当罕见。</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e9aeec9352d073887ae27eb780f2092\" tg-width=\"617\" tg-height=\"347\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>在原油现货价格也已经站上100美元之后,有越来越多的人认为原油期货价格突破100美元已经指日可待,纷纷将其下一个目标瞄准了125美元。</p><p>而这时,有市场老兵更是喊出了更高的期待。</p><p>本周一,能源服务公司JTD Energy Services主管John Driscoll在接受CNBC采访时表示:</p><p>“由于在原油勘探方面缺乏资本投入,原油出现供给短缺......<b>价格有望突破每桶120美元,甚至是150美元。</b>”</p><p>他认为:</p><blockquote>市场处于极度的现货溢价状态,这给任何即时可用的实物石油提供了溢价。(因此)我们感受到需求正在复苏,并持续关注供给短缺。</blockquote><h2>供给短缺是主因</h2><p>在供给短缺方面,先是欧佩克+“心有余而力不足”,新增产量低于此前承诺的目标。根据S&P Global Platts数据显示,1月产量比目标低70万桶。</p><p>据IEA表示,自2021年初以来,市场实际损失了3亿桶原油。</p><p>再是欧美等国家推动可再生能源转型带来的传统能源投资不足,也是造成原油产量下降的关键原因。</p><p>壳牌首席执行官Ben van Beurden就曾表示:</p><blockquote>公司更关注未来的能源系统,而不是传统的石油和天然气能源系统。</blockquote><h2>油价还会走高?除非需求被“破坏”</h2><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RY\">加拿大皇家银行</a>的分析师Michael Tran本周一在报告中表示,现在唯一能够扭转油价上涨势头的,就是需求暴跌:</p><blockquote>现在说可能为时尚早,但是在宏观经济形势保持不变的情况下,我们预计在明年乃至更长周期内,石油价格都将上涨,直到需求被一定程度的破坏。</blockquote><p>他还补充道:</p><blockquote>从历史上看,如果没有需求破坏或供应激增,因供给短缺和库存收紧而导致的价格走高很难被缓解,但这两个(推手)似乎都不会出现。</blockquote><p>原油作为重要的化工产品原料,其价格走势和下游汽油、柴油、天然气和塑料的消费情况密切相关。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">高盛</a>能源研究主管Damien Courvalin曾对彭博社表示,他预计汽油、柴油和塑料的消费量都将在今明两年创下刷新历史新高,<b>虽然“减碳”已经成为各主要经济体的发展方针,但这是一个循序渐进的过程,很难一蹴而就。</b></p><h2>避险资产大获青睐</h2><p>长期以来,避险资产总是在市场风险预期上抬时大放异彩,近期就是一个很好的证明。</p><p>一方面,俄乌争端带来的地缘政治紧张局势助推油价走高。虽然俄罗斯方面表示撤军,但是美国和北约均认为俄罗斯在边境的军队人数不降反增,这可能会造成市场紧张情绪进一步升级,并开始青睐原油等避险资产。</p><p>另一方面,面对40年难遇的高企通胀和超强就业形势,市场预计美联储可能会因此走上一条更为激进的紧缩之路。而且按照鲍威尔在1月FOMC会后的发言,美联储最终的关注点还是实体经济,金融市场只会在影响到“最大化就业和稳定物价双重目标”时,才会被纳入考量。</p><p>由此美联储似乎已经达成了“风险资产市场难获重视”的共识,大量资金开始从风险资产转向避险资产,原油大获青睐。</p></body></html>","source":"wallstreetcn_api","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>全球最重要的油价升破100美元</title>\n<style 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Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3faadc006e67e6ac130a7b171f263b4d","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF","BK4504":"桥水持仓","USO":"美国原油ETF","UCO":"二倍做多彭博原油ETF","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4552":"Archegos爆仓风波概念","SCO":"二倍做空彭博原油指数ETF","BK4127":"投资银行业与经纪业","GS":"高盛","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3652152","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2212029699","content_text":"在看多声音越来越高涨的形势下,全球最重要的原油价格终于突破了100美元关口价位。据彭博社报道,S&P Global Platts的数据显示,即期布伦特原油现货价格(Dated Brent)在本周三触及每桶100.80美元,为2014年以来首次。即期布伦特原油现货价格冲破100美元至关重要,因为这个价格是众多石油衍生品价格的核心,为每天数百万桶原油交易设定了基准。另外,根据ICE欧洲期货交易所的数据,布伦特原油期货6个月时间价差在周三一度触及每桶8.74美元,为2007年以来的最大价差。巨大价差也表明市场目前的紧张状况相当罕见。在原油现货价格也已经站上100美元之后,有越来越多的人认为原油期货价格突破100美元已经指日可待,纷纷将其下一个目标瞄准了125美元。而这时,有市场老兵更是喊出了更高的期待。本周一,能源服务公司JTD Energy Services主管John Driscoll在接受CNBC采访时表示:“由于在原油勘探方面缺乏资本投入,原油出现供给短缺......价格有望突破每桶120美元,甚至是150美元。”他认为:市场处于极度的现货溢价状态,这给任何即时可用的实物石油提供了溢价。(因此)我们感受到需求正在复苏,并持续关注供给短缺。供给短缺是主因在供给短缺方面,先是欧佩克+“心有余而力不足”,新增产量低于此前承诺的目标。根据S&P Global Platts数据显示,1月产量比目标低70万桶。据IEA表示,自2021年初以来,市场实际损失了3亿桶原油。再是欧美等国家推动可再生能源转型带来的传统能源投资不足,也是造成原油产量下降的关键原因。壳牌首席执行官Ben van Beurden就曾表示:公司更关注未来的能源系统,而不是传统的石油和天然气能源系统。油价还会走高?除非需求被“破坏”加拿大皇家银行的分析师Michael Tran本周一在报告中表示,现在唯一能够扭转油价上涨势头的,就是需求暴跌:现在说可能为时尚早,但是在宏观经济形势保持不变的情况下,我们预计在明年乃至更长周期内,石油价格都将上涨,直到需求被一定程度的破坏。他还补充道:从历史上看,如果没有需求破坏或供应激增,因供给短缺和库存收紧而导致的价格走高很难被缓解,但这两个(推手)似乎都不会出现。原油作为重要的化工产品原料,其价格走势和下游汽油、柴油、天然气和塑料的消费情况密切相关。高盛能源研究主管Damien Courvalin曾对彭博社表示,他预计汽油、柴油和塑料的消费量都将在今明两年创下刷新历史新高,虽然“减碳”已经成为各主要经济体的发展方针,但这是一个循序渐进的过程,很难一蹴而就。避险资产大获青睐长期以来,避险资产总是在市场风险预期上抬时大放异彩,近期就是一个很好的证明。一方面,俄乌争端带来的地缘政治紧张局势助推油价走高。虽然俄罗斯方面表示撤军,但是美国和北约均认为俄罗斯在边境的军队人数不降反增,这可能会造成市场紧张情绪进一步升级,并开始青睐原油等避险资产。另一方面,面对40年难遇的高企通胀和超强就业形势,市场预计美联储可能会因此走上一条更为激进的紧缩之路。而且按照鲍威尔在1月FOMC会后的发言,美联储最终的关注点还是实体经济,金融市场只会在影响到“最大化就业和稳定物价双重目标”时,才会被纳入考量。由此美联储似乎已经达成了“风险资产市场难获重视”的共识,大量资金开始从风险资产转向避险资产,原油大获青睐。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1938,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":802951189,"gmtCreate":1627709860841,"gmtModify":1627709860841,"author":{"id":"3466339296189384","authorId":"3466339296189384","name":"New9","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c50e8da5a6f650822328bc2dc9ac6f52","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3466339296189384","authorIdStr":"3466339296189384"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/CL2109\">$WTI原油2109(CL2109)$ 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11:18","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"全球最重要的油价升破100美元","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2212029699","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"在看多声音越来越高涨的形势下,全球最重要的原油价格终于突破了100美元关口价位。据彭博社报道,S&P Global Platts的数据显示,即期布伦特原油现货价格(Dated Brent)在本周三触及","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>在看多声音越来越高涨的形势下,全球最重要的原油价格终于突破了100美元关口价位。</p><p>据彭博社报道,S&P Global Platts的数据显示,即期布伦特原油现货价格(Dated Brent)在本周三触及<b>每桶100.80美元,为2014年以来首次。</b></p><p>即期布伦特原油现货价格冲破100美元至关重要,<b>因为这个价格是众多石油衍生品价格的核心,为每天数百万桶原油交易设定了基准。</b></p><p>另外,根据ICE欧洲期货交易所的数据,布伦特原油期货6个月时间价差在周三一度触及每桶8.74美元,为2007年以来的最大价差。<b>巨大价差也表明市场目前的紧张状况相当罕见。</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e9aeec9352d073887ae27eb780f2092\" tg-width=\"617\" tg-height=\"347\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>在原油现货价格也已经站上100美元之后,有越来越多的人认为原油期货价格突破100美元已经指日可待,纷纷将其下一个目标瞄准了125美元。</p><p>而这时,有市场老兵更是喊出了更高的期待。</p><p>本周一,能源服务公司JTD Energy Services主管John Driscoll在接受CNBC采访时表示:</p><p>“由于在原油勘探方面缺乏资本投入,原油出现供给短缺......<b>价格有望突破每桶120美元,甚至是150美元。</b>”</p><p>他认为:</p><blockquote>市场处于极度的现货溢价状态,这给任何即时可用的实物石油提供了溢价。(因此)我们感受到需求正在复苏,并持续关注供给短缺。</blockquote><h2>供给短缺是主因</h2><p>在供给短缺方面,先是欧佩克+“心有余而力不足”,新增产量低于此前承诺的目标。根据S&P Global Platts数据显示,1月产量比目标低70万桶。</p><p>据IEA表示,自2021年初以来,市场实际损失了3亿桶原油。</p><p>再是欧美等国家推动可再生能源转型带来的传统能源投资不足,也是造成原油产量下降的关键原因。</p><p>壳牌首席执行官Ben van Beurden就曾表示:</p><blockquote>公司更关注未来的能源系统,而不是传统的石油和天然气能源系统。</blockquote><h2>油价还会走高?除非需求被“破坏”</h2><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RY\">加拿大皇家银行</a>的分析师Michael Tran本周一在报告中表示,现在唯一能够扭转油价上涨势头的,就是需求暴跌:</p><blockquote>现在说可能为时尚早,但是在宏观经济形势保持不变的情况下,我们预计在明年乃至更长周期内,石油价格都将上涨,直到需求被一定程度的破坏。</blockquote><p>他还补充道:</p><blockquote>从历史上看,如果没有需求破坏或供应激增,因供给短缺和库存收紧而导致的价格走高很难被缓解,但这两个(推手)似乎都不会出现。</blockquote><p>原油作为重要的化工产品原料,其价格走势和下游汽油、柴油、天然气和塑料的消费情况密切相关。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">高盛</a>能源研究主管Damien Courvalin曾对彭博社表示,他预计汽油、柴油和塑料的消费量都将在今明两年创下刷新历史新高,<b>虽然“减碳”已经成为各主要经济体的发展方针,但这是一个循序渐进的过程,很难一蹴而就。</b></p><h2>避险资产大获青睐</h2><p>长期以来,避险资产总是在市场风险预期上抬时大放异彩,近期就是一个很好的证明。</p><p>一方面,俄乌争端带来的地缘政治紧张局势助推油价走高。虽然俄罗斯方面表示撤军,但是美国和北约均认为俄罗斯在边境的军队人数不降反增,这可能会造成市场紧张情绪进一步升级,并开始青睐原油等避险资产。</p><p>另一方面,面对40年难遇的高企通胀和超强就业形势,市场预计美联储可能会因此走上一条更为激进的紧缩之路。而且按照鲍威尔在1月FOMC会后的发言,美联储最终的关注点还是实体经济,金融市场只会在影响到“最大化就业和稳定物价双重目标”时,才会被纳入考量。</p><p>由此美联储似乎已经达成了“风险资产市场难获重视”的共识,大量资金开始从风险资产转向避险资产,原油大获青睐。</p></body></html>","source":"wallstreetcn_api","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>全球最重要的油价升破100美元</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n全球最重要的油价升破100美元\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-02-17 11:18 北京时间 <a href=https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3652152><strong>华尔街见闻</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>在看多声音越来越高涨的形势下,全球最重要的原油价格终于突破了100美元关口价位。据彭博社报道,S&P Global Platts的数据显示,即期布伦特原油现货价格(Dated Brent)在本周三触及每桶100.80美元,为2014年以来首次。即期布伦特原油现货价格冲破100美元至关重要,因为这个价格是众多石油衍生品价格的核心,为每天数百万桶原油交易设定了基准。另外,根据ICE欧洲期货交易所的数据...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3652152\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3faadc006e67e6ac130a7b171f263b4d","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF","BK4504":"桥水持仓","USO":"美国原油ETF","UCO":"二倍做多彭博原油ETF","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4552":"Archegos爆仓风波概念","SCO":"二倍做空彭博原油指数ETF","BK4127":"投资银行业与经纪业","GS":"高盛","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3652152","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2212029699","content_text":"在看多声音越来越高涨的形势下,全球最重要的原油价格终于突破了100美元关口价位。据彭博社报道,S&P Global Platts的数据显示,即期布伦特原油现货价格(Dated Brent)在本周三触及每桶100.80美元,为2014年以来首次。即期布伦特原油现货价格冲破100美元至关重要,因为这个价格是众多石油衍生品价格的核心,为每天数百万桶原油交易设定了基准。另外,根据ICE欧洲期货交易所的数据,布伦特原油期货6个月时间价差在周三一度触及每桶8.74美元,为2007年以来的最大价差。巨大价差也表明市场目前的紧张状况相当罕见。在原油现货价格也已经站上100美元之后,有越来越多的人认为原油期货价格突破100美元已经指日可待,纷纷将其下一个目标瞄准了125美元。而这时,有市场老兵更是喊出了更高的期待。本周一,能源服务公司JTD Energy Services主管John Driscoll在接受CNBC采访时表示:“由于在原油勘探方面缺乏资本投入,原油出现供给短缺......价格有望突破每桶120美元,甚至是150美元。”他认为:市场处于极度的现货溢价状态,这给任何即时可用的实物石油提供了溢价。(因此)我们感受到需求正在复苏,并持续关注供给短缺。供给短缺是主因在供给短缺方面,先是欧佩克+“心有余而力不足”,新增产量低于此前承诺的目标。根据S&P Global Platts数据显示,1月产量比目标低70万桶。据IEA表示,自2021年初以来,市场实际损失了3亿桶原油。再是欧美等国家推动可再生能源转型带来的传统能源投资不足,也是造成原油产量下降的关键原因。壳牌首席执行官Ben van Beurden就曾表示:公司更关注未来的能源系统,而不是传统的石油和天然气能源系统。油价还会走高?除非需求被“破坏”加拿大皇家银行的分析师Michael Tran本周一在报告中表示,现在唯一能够扭转油价上涨势头的,就是需求暴跌:现在说可能为时尚早,但是在宏观经济形势保持不变的情况下,我们预计在明年乃至更长周期内,石油价格都将上涨,直到需求被一定程度的破坏。他还补充道:从历史上看,如果没有需求破坏或供应激增,因供给短缺和库存收紧而导致的价格走高很难被缓解,但这两个(推手)似乎都不会出现。原油作为重要的化工产品原料,其价格走势和下游汽油、柴油、天然气和塑料的消费情况密切相关。高盛能源研究主管Damien Courvalin曾对彭博社表示,他预计汽油、柴油和塑料的消费量都将在今明两年创下刷新历史新高,虽然“减碳”已经成为各主要经济体的发展方针,但这是一个循序渐进的过程,很难一蹴而就。避险资产大获青睐长期以来,避险资产总是在市场风险预期上抬时大放异彩,近期就是一个很好的证明。一方面,俄乌争端带来的地缘政治紧张局势助推油价走高。虽然俄罗斯方面表示撤军,但是美国和北约均认为俄罗斯在边境的军队人数不降反增,这可能会造成市场紧张情绪进一步升级,并开始青睐原油等避险资产。另一方面,面对40年难遇的高企通胀和超强就业形势,市场预计美联储可能会因此走上一条更为激进的紧缩之路。而且按照鲍威尔在1月FOMC会后的发言,美联储最终的关注点还是实体经济,金融市场只会在影响到“最大化就业和稳定物价双重目标”时,才会被纳入考量。由此美联储似乎已经达成了“风险资产市场难获重视”的共识,大量资金开始从风险资产转向避险资产,原油大获青睐。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1938,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":342392039,"gmtCreate":1618182400621,"gmtModify":1618182400621,"author":{"id":"3466339296189384","authorId":"3466339296189384","name":"New9","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c50e8da5a6f650822328bc2dc9ac6f52","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3466339296189384","authorIdStr":"3466339296189384"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这张名单不一样","listText":"这张名单不一样","text":"这张名单不一样","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ffe9bd01ed3264f571a630dce7cce73d","width":"1080","height":"2400"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/342392039","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2647,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":352421098,"gmtCreate":1616995732514,"gmtModify":1616995732514,"author":{"id":"3466339296189384","authorId":"3466339296189384","name":"New9","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c50e8da5a6f650822328bc2dc9ac6f52","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3466339296189384","authorIdStr":"3466339296189384"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"看多看多 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原油呀再跌一点","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c94c2252db13cf9b55cf52e1bc773abc","width":"1080","height":"2400"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/352687682","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2275,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":320294006,"gmtCreate":1615108655805,"gmtModify":1703484784272,"author":{"id":"3466339296189384","authorId":"3466339296189384","name":"New9","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c50e8da5a6f650822328bc2dc9ac6f52","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3466339296189384","authorIdStr":"3466339296189384"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"完全沒有供過於求的問題,而且過高的油價,對美國經濟發展復甦非常不利,不僅讓可支配所得減少而且消費力減少,也就是說引起通膨,中間偏低的油價,最適合於美國的與世界的復甦與經濟發展 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