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盲人摸大象
04-24
阅
“黑天鹅”又悄然埋伏,小心黄金沦为“弃子”!
盲人摸大象
04-18
1
新“带头大哥”浮出水面---外号“秃鹰队长”,带着千人炒期权、规模大到撼动美股
盲人摸大象
04-18
$Strategy STRANGLE 250502 PUT 270.0/CALL 320.0$
盲人摸大象
04-18
[强]
盲人摸大象
04-18
美元现金和国债换纸黄金吗?
盲人摸大象
04-18
[捂脸]
盲人摸大象
04-18
[捂脸]
盲人摸大象
04-16
前期高点是回不去了,特不靠谱这一折腾,破坏了整个国际金融市场
盲人摸大象
04-14
[开心][开心][开心]
盲人摸大象
04-14
[强]
盲人摸大象
04-11
特不靠谱在位,真的是债券都赔钱了!
盲人摸大象
04-11
同问
盲人摸大象
04-02
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看
@芝士虎:5.想做买方,又害怕时间价值衰减,这个策略完美解决!
盲人摸大象
03-28
1
盲人摸大象
03-26
$JD 20250417 46.0 CALL$
盲人摸大象
03-26
谨慎观望
盲人摸大象
03-26
谨慎观望
盲人摸大象
03-20
1
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CBOE\">芝加哥期权交易所</a>波动率指数(简称VIX指数)——仍远高于历史正常水平,这表明目前市场受波动性主导,而非呈现出稳定的态势。</p>\n<p>在正常情况下,不确定性会促使投资者逃往避险资产,但如今就连一些避险资产也不再可靠。美国国债已成为特朗普政府贸易战中的一个政治谈判工具。结果,许多国家的政府都在抛售美国国债,导致国债收益率上升而非下降。</p>\n<p>与此同时,由于政治和政策的不稳定,美元持续下跌。特朗普对美联储主席鲍威尔的威胁又增加了一层不确定性。</p>\n<p>随着金融市场的动荡,黄金已成为投资者首选的避险资产。今年到目前为止,黄金价格大幅飙升,以至于这种贵金属看起来成为了一种过度拥挤的交易选择。</p>\n<h2>日元套利交易的崩塌或重演?</h2>\n<p>股票、债券、美元,以及黄金,都在发出不同程度的警告信号。但投资者面临的最大风险并非来自市场,而是一种交易——即<strong>“日元套利交易”</strong>。</p>\n<p>去年夏天,这种交易的逆转导致美股下跌了10%。如今,市场面临着类似的情况,而且形势更加严峻。和去年夏天一样,<strong>投资者并没有预见到麻烦的到来</strong>。</p>\n<p>事情是这样的。2024年7月,日本央行第二次加息,并暗示将进一步加息,同时宣布减少计划中的每月日本政府债券购买量。这是日本央行多年来发出的较为鹰派的信号之一,因此让金融市场大吃一惊。</p>\n<p>日本央行的这一举措引发了日元的大幅上涨。这给那些在美元强势时借入低成本日元,并用这些钱购买其他资产(比如当时的美国科技股)的交易员带来了压力。在日本央行加息导致日元升值后,这些交易员的头寸出现亏损。他们被迫解除日元套利交易,并且不得不出售股票来平仓。这就是去年夏天由日元驱动的美股抛售潮回调。</p>\n<p>去年,美元兑日元汇率曾跌至140,随后又反转走弱。如今,这一汇率又徘徊在同样的140水平附近。</p>\n<p><strong>美元兑日元汇率达到140,不仅是一个心理上的重要关口,还可能引发一波交易员平仓日元头寸的浪潮。</strong>去年,鉴于美股总体上处于稳定的上升趋势,交易员们的日元空头头寸可能更有韧性。但<strong>今年没有这样的利好因素。</strong><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/161125\">标普500</a>指数已经进入了回调区间,而且市场普遍预期美国经济增长将会放缓,通胀将会上升。随着日元升值和风险资产下跌,<strong>日元空头交易员可能没有理由继续持有头寸。这可能会进一步加速全球股市的下跌趋势。</strong></p>\n<h2>黄金可能失去光芒?</h2>\n<p>这就是黄金面临的问题。美元和美国国债收益率通常密切相关。美国国债收益率下降会使美元和以美元计价的资产双双走弱。如今,美元疲软,但美国国债收益率却在上升。<strong>这种脱节令人高度担忧,不仅增加了股市进一步下跌的风险,还带来了不可预测的尾部风险。</strong></p>\n<p>在这种情况下,市场可能会经历一段崎岖的道路。随着政治不稳定加剧和贸易战的升级,美元将继续下跌,尤其是美元兑日元汇率。再加上对经济衰退的担忧和通胀风险,<strong>股市可能遭遇进一步抛售</strong>。结果是,<strong>追加保证金的通知会增多,许多投资者将被迫出售投资组合中的资产以交付保证金。</strong></p>\n<p>此时,“出赢保亏效应”就会发挥作用。这是一个行为金融学概念,解释了投资者通常为何会卖出盈利的资产,而持有亏损的资产(由于损失厌恶心理)。</p>\n<p>而2025年到目前为止,各类金融资产中,最大赢家之一莫过于黄金。就在资金净流入数据和投资组合配置调查都表明投资者正在大量涌入黄金市场时,<strong>这些追加保证金的通知将引发黄金抛售。</strong></p>\n<p>在这种不稳定的市场背景下,美联储可能会采取行动来支持经济增长,并保持金融流动性的畅通。随着美联储量化紧缩的步伐放缓,如果美债市场仍然不稳定,那么可以合理地认为<strong>美联储可能会转向量化宽松政策。</strong></p>\n<p>在这种情况下,股票和黄金价格将下跌,而<strong>美国国债——尤其是长期国债——将重新成为市场的安全阀</strong>。</p>\n<p>当然,这只是一种可能的结果。但如今市场情绪紧张,当恐惧占据主导时,传统的市场间关系往往会固化。因此,分析师Michael A. Gayed认为,从长期来看,美国国债可能是更好的投资选择,而不是黄金。</p></body></html>","source":"xnew_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>“黑天鹅”又悄然埋伏,小心黄金沦为“弃子”!</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n“黑天鹅”又悄然埋伏,小心黄金沦为“弃子”!\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2025-04-23 12:51 北京时间 <a href=https://xnews.jin10.com/webapp/details.html?id=173243&type=news&data_type=0><strong>金十数据</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>近三周以来,股市一直大幅波动,而且目前看不到任何缓和的迹象。华尔街的“恐慌指数”—— 芝加哥期权交易所波动率指数(简称VIX指数)——仍远高于历史正常水平,这表明目前市场受波动性主导,而非呈现出稳定的态势。\n在正常情况下,不确定性会促使投资者逃往避险资产,但如今就连一些避险资产也不再可靠。美国国债已成为特朗普政府贸易战中的一个政治谈判工具。结果,许多国家的政府都在抛售美国国债,导致国债收益率上升而...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://xnews.jin10.com/webapp/details.html?id=173243&type=news&data_type=0\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d63c4b7f0fed80012c8b751d783a3376","relate_stocks":{"BK4588":"碎股","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","OEX":"标普100","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","SPY":"标普500ETF","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","SH":"标普500反向ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares"},"source_url":"https://xnews.jin10.com/webapp/details.html?id=173243&type=news&data_type=0","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2529519405","content_text":"近三周以来,股市一直大幅波动,而且目前看不到任何缓和的迹象。华尔街的“恐慌指数”—— 芝加哥期权交易所波动率指数(简称VIX指数)——仍远高于历史正常水平,这表明目前市场受波动性主导,而非呈现出稳定的态势。\n在正常情况下,不确定性会促使投资者逃往避险资产,但如今就连一些避险资产也不再可靠。美国国债已成为特朗普政府贸易战中的一个政治谈判工具。结果,许多国家的政府都在抛售美国国债,导致国债收益率上升而非下降。\n与此同时,由于政治和政策的不稳定,美元持续下跌。特朗普对美联储主席鲍威尔的威胁又增加了一层不确定性。\n随着金融市场的动荡,黄金已成为投资者首选的避险资产。今年到目前为止,黄金价格大幅飙升,以至于这种贵金属看起来成为了一种过度拥挤的交易选择。\n日元套利交易的崩塌或重演?\n股票、债券、美元,以及黄金,都在发出不同程度的警告信号。但投资者面临的最大风险并非来自市场,而是一种交易——即“日元套利交易”。\n去年夏天,这种交易的逆转导致美股下跌了10%。如今,市场面临着类似的情况,而且形势更加严峻。和去年夏天一样,投资者并没有预见到麻烦的到来。\n事情是这样的。2024年7月,日本央行第二次加息,并暗示将进一步加息,同时宣布减少计划中的每月日本政府债券购买量。这是日本央行多年来发出的较为鹰派的信号之一,因此让金融市场大吃一惊。\n日本央行的这一举措引发了日元的大幅上涨。这给那些在美元强势时借入低成本日元,并用这些钱购买其他资产(比如当时的美国科技股)的交易员带来了压力。在日本央行加息导致日元升值后,这些交易员的头寸出现亏损。他们被迫解除日元套利交易,并且不得不出售股票来平仓。这就是去年夏天由日元驱动的美股抛售潮回调。\n去年,美元兑日元汇率曾跌至140,随后又反转走弱。如今,这一汇率又徘徊在同样的140水平附近。\n美元兑日元汇率达到140,不仅是一个心理上的重要关口,还可能引发一波交易员平仓日元头寸的浪潮。去年,鉴于美股总体上处于稳定的上升趋势,交易员们的日元空头头寸可能更有韧性。但今年没有这样的利好因素。标普500指数已经进入了回调区间,而且市场普遍预期美国经济增长将会放缓,通胀将会上升。随着日元升值和风险资产下跌,日元空头交易员可能没有理由继续持有头寸。这可能会进一步加速全球股市的下跌趋势。\n黄金可能失去光芒?\n这就是黄金面临的问题。美元和美国国债收益率通常密切相关。美国国债收益率下降会使美元和以美元计价的资产双双走弱。如今,美元疲软,但美国国债收益率却在上升。这种脱节令人高度担忧,不仅增加了股市进一步下跌的风险,还带来了不可预测的尾部风险。\n在这种情况下,市场可能会经历一段崎岖的道路。随着政治不稳定加剧和贸易战的升级,美元将继续下跌,尤其是美元兑日元汇率。再加上对经济衰退的担忧和通胀风险,股市可能遭遇进一步抛售。结果是,追加保证金的通知会增多,许多投资者将被迫出售投资组合中的资产以交付保证金。\n此时,“出赢保亏效应”就会发挥作用。这是一个行为金融学概念,解释了投资者通常为何会卖出盈利的资产,而持有亏损的资产(由于损失厌恶心理)。\n而2025年到目前为止,各类金融资产中,最大赢家之一莫过于黄金。就在资金净流入数据和投资组合配置调查都表明投资者正在大量涌入黄金市场时,这些追加保证金的通知将引发黄金抛售。\n在这种不稳定的市场背景下,美联储可能会采取行动来支持经济增长,并保持金融流动性的畅通。随着美联储量化紧缩的步伐放缓,如果美债市场仍然不稳定,那么可以合理地认为美联储可能会转向量化宽松政策。\n在这种情况下,股票和黄金价格将下跌,而美国国债——尤其是长期国债——将重新成为市场的安全阀。\n当然,这只是一种可能的结果。但如今市场情绪紧张,当恐惧占据主导时,传统的市场间关系往往会固化。因此,分析师Michael A. Gayed认为,从长期来看,美国国债可能是更好的投资选择,而不是黄金。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":59,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":425602017006456,"gmtCreate":1744916886203,"gmtModify":1744916887816,"author":{"id":"3468529827816752","authorId":"3468529827816752","name":"盲人摸大象","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bb02d1b702bab9b5f01bc747be51aef1","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3468529827816752","authorIdStr":"3468529827816752"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"1","listText":"1","text":"1","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/425602017006456","repostId":"2528792419","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2528792419","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1744888831,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2528792419?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2025-04-17 19:20","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"新“带头大哥”浮出水面---外号“秃鹰队长”,带着千人炒期权、规模大到撼动美股","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2528792419","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"David Chau的“铁秃鹰”策略专注于一种复杂的期权交易,只要标普500指数保持在设定的交易区间内或超出该区间,就能实现盈利。在他带领下,千人“秃鹰军团”的头寸规模之大,足以撼动整个美股市场,部分交易甚至超过了30,000份合约。","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote><p>David Chau的“铁秃鹰”策略专注于一种复杂的期权交易,只要标普500指数保持在设定的交易区间内或超出该区间,就能实现盈利。在他带领下,千人“秃鹰军团”的头寸规模之大,足以撼动整个美股市场,部分交易甚至超过了30,000份合约。</p></blockquote><p>你可能从未听说过大卫·周(David Chau)这个名字,但在华尔街期权交易圈里,“<strong>秃鹰队长</strong>”(Captain Condor)的名号如雷贯耳。</p><p>这位31岁的顶级交易员,并不像传统金融大佬那样出现在华尔街高楼的顶层办公室,而是在内华达州自己的家中,通过一套复杂的期权策略,指挥着一支超过1000人的交易军团。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/432005759a6166428c2a96ee8a347f1f\" tg-width=\"1099\" tg-height=\"827\"/></p><p><strong>其交易规模之大,有时甚至能够撼动整个美股市场。</strong></p><h2 id=\"id_2751709591\">从神秘大户到“秃鹰队长”</h2><p>“秃鹰队长”首次进入大众视野是在去年。当时,一些人注意到市场上出现了与标普500指数挂钩的数百万美元期权大单。很快,这些足以撼动市场的庞大交易开始被冠以“秃鹰大军”称号,一群期权交易者决心揭开“队长”的真实身份。</p><p>很快,David Chau出面“认证”,“秃鹰队长”正是他本人。</p><p>Chau自称“社恐”,喜欢宅家做交易,但他并非独行侠。</p><p>他经营着一个拥有1000多名成员的线上交易社区。当他在社区中分享自己的股指期权交易时,许多追随者会跟进下注,放大他的交易影响力。有时,<strong>他们押注标普500指数波动性的头寸规模足以撼动整个股票市场,部分交易甚至超过了30,000份合约。</strong></p><p>“当合约数量超过10,000份时,就开始成为真正的大事,”芝加哥Kai Volatility Advisors创始人Cem Karsan表示。“如果达到20,000份,那就是市场上的头号大事。”</p><p>作为一个日内交易员,<strong>Chau的招牌交易手法,是在标的资产交易价格之上买入或卖出认购期权,同时在标的资产交易价格之下买入或卖出认沽期权。根据下注方式不同,这一策略在标普500指数保持在特定交易区间内或超出该区间时获利。</strong></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b615d65a05a3335df0b6ec757fff49a5\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"471\"/></p><p>因为当这些交易在图表上展示时,数字会从两侧突出,形如鸟翼,因此该策略又被称为“铁神鹰”策略。<strong>当股价大于高盈亏平衡点或小于低盈亏平衡点时,该策略获得正收益。</strong></p><p>“市场是战场,对吧?你必须像前线士兵一样,需要有坚强的意志力,”Chau在接受媒体采访时表示,“我只是喜欢待在家里,做自己的事。”</p><p>Chau的交易风格极具冒险色彩。当他的一次下注亏损时,第二天他会下另一个赌注,合约数量大约是之前的两倍,而社区成员会跟着他的策略行动。这种做法在赌博界被称为马丁格尔策略(Martingale strategy),旨在让赌徒有机会在押注最终成功时收回损失并获得利润。</p><p>“我的目标不是避免亏损,而是确保亏损不会摧毁投资者的整个账户,”Chau解释道,“不愿承担这种风险的交易者应该选择退出。”</p><h2 id=\"id_4168263013\">千人交易军团</h2><p>Chau的身份,对于那些花钱参加他发起的InsideOptions期权培训项目的人来说早已不是秘密。</p><p>目前,已有超过1000人加入了该项目的Slack频道,在那里学习Chau的交易心法,Chau偶尔也会在Youtube上免费分享一些期权交易的课程。据称,该项目已帮助许多投资者在投资中获得了可观回报。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4cbee278197fba0ebab2031b4253af8d\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"646\"/></p><p>InsideOptions项目对会员的交易资金有一定要求。Chau在Instagram上发布的一个帖子写道:</p><blockquote><p>如果你有26000美元并且想让这笔钱发挥价值,我可以帮你像全球排名前1%的交易者那样交易,用一种经过验证的策略,即使你几乎没有经验也没关系!</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8cbf430f58b2eaaa88a57bd184fcf172\" tg-width=\"784\" tg-height=\"693\"/></p></blockquote><p>至于Chau自己的交易资金来源,他在采访中说,他用自己和他创立的另类基金SPX Program Fund LP的资金进行交易。</p><p>该基金成立于2023年,旨在为复杂的投资者提供有效的主动交易策略。目前,SPX Program有30多位投资者,其中很多人也是InsideOptions项目的成员。<strong>Chau没有透露该基金的资产规模,但称其“超过七位数”。</strong></p><h2 id=\"id_1170808883\">新一代网红交易员,会以何种方式结束?</h2><p>美国散户对明星交易员的关注已有百年之久,从“少年淘金者”杰西·利弗莫尔(Jesse Livermore),到MeMe热中的“咆哮猫咪”基思·吉尔(Keith Gill),这些交易员的故事一直备受瞩目。他们的冒险经历、巨额利润,甚至是毁灭性的亏损,都被人们传颂为励志传奇或警示故事,成为投资界的经典范例。</p><p>而“秃鹰队长”走红的时期恰逢美国期权市场的惊人增长。自2020年底以来,散户的期权交易量激增,当时疫情封锁和政府刺激计划引发了市场反弹,重新唤起了美国人对日内交易的兴趣。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b0123fc3b276996301782e4db87a87d0\" tg-width=\"613\" tg-height=\"826\"/></p><p>根据期权清算公司<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OCC\">$(OCC)$</a>的数据,2024年每天交易的期权合约达4900万份,高于2019年的1900万份。自此以来,交易量每年都在创纪录。随着市场规模的扩大,散户的份额也在增加:数据显示,截至去年年底,他们占所有期权活动的29%,高于2020年初的23%。</p><p>Chau无疑是这些交易中的领军者。然而,<strong>并非所有人都认为期权市场需要一位美国队长式的人物。</strong></p><p>因为这种策略风险巨大,衍生品数据公司SpotGamma的创始人Brent Kochuba表示。</p><blockquote><p>我认为这只会以不好的方式结束。如果他知道自己在做什么,那很好。<strong>但这种规模有点疯狂。在每笔交易上加倍下注简直就是赌博。</strong></p></blockquote><p>Kochuba一直在跟踪Chau及其社区的交易,<strong>他担心如果这些赌注的规模变得太大,而他们的资金支持不足,策略可能会崩溃。</strong></p><p>在其他人的争议中,Chau的影响力不断扩大,他在Instgram的粉丝数量已经超过6.6万。SPX Program目前在孵化基金中进行实盘交易,预计将在2024年下半年进行私募发行。</p><p>但Chau似乎也意识到了风险,他表示正在考虑不再接受新成员。</p><blockquote><p>我一直担心即将到来的厄运。没有什么好事能永远持续下去。</p></blockquote></body></html>","source":"wallstreetcn_hot_news","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>新“带头大哥”浮出水面---外号“秃鹰队长”,带着千人炒期权、规模大到撼动美股</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n新“带头大哥”浮出水面---外号“秃鹰队长”,带着千人炒期权、规模大到撼动美股\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2025-04-17 19:20 北京时间 <a href=https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3745402><strong>华尔街见闻</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>David Chau的“铁秃鹰”策略专注于一种复杂的期权交易,只要标普500指数保持在设定的交易区间内或超出该区间,就能实现盈利。在他带领下,千人“秃鹰军团”的头寸规模之大,足以撼动整个美股市场,部分交易甚至超过了30,000份合约。你可能从未听说过大卫·周(David Chau)这个名字,但在华尔街期权交易圈里,“秃鹰队长”(Captain Condor)的名号如雷贯耳。这位31岁的顶级交易员,...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3745402\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32b629d384b4b612db44ad0d60fc20e1","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3745402","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2528792419","content_text":"David Chau的“铁秃鹰”策略专注于一种复杂的期权交易,只要标普500指数保持在设定的交易区间内或超出该区间,就能实现盈利。在他带领下,千人“秃鹰军团”的头寸规模之大,足以撼动整个美股市场,部分交易甚至超过了30,000份合约。你可能从未听说过大卫·周(David Chau)这个名字,但在华尔街期权交易圈里,“秃鹰队长”(Captain Condor)的名号如雷贯耳。这位31岁的顶级交易员,并不像传统金融大佬那样出现在华尔街高楼的顶层办公室,而是在内华达州自己的家中,通过一套复杂的期权策略,指挥着一支超过1000人的交易军团。其交易规模之大,有时甚至能够撼动整个美股市场。从神秘大户到“秃鹰队长”“秃鹰队长”首次进入大众视野是在去年。当时,一些人注意到市场上出现了与标普500指数挂钩的数百万美元期权大单。很快,这些足以撼动市场的庞大交易开始被冠以“秃鹰大军”称号,一群期权交易者决心揭开“队长”的真实身份。很快,David Chau出面“认证”,“秃鹰队长”正是他本人。Chau自称“社恐”,喜欢宅家做交易,但他并非独行侠。他经营着一个拥有1000多名成员的线上交易社区。当他在社区中分享自己的股指期权交易时,许多追随者会跟进下注,放大他的交易影响力。有时,他们押注标普500指数波动性的头寸规模足以撼动整个股票市场,部分交易甚至超过了30,000份合约。“当合约数量超过10,000份时,就开始成为真正的大事,”芝加哥Kai Volatility Advisors创始人Cem Karsan表示。“如果达到20,000份,那就是市场上的头号大事。”作为一个日内交易员,Chau的招牌交易手法,是在标的资产交易价格之上买入或卖出认购期权,同时在标的资产交易价格之下买入或卖出认沽期权。根据下注方式不同,这一策略在标普500指数保持在特定交易区间内或超出该区间时获利。因为当这些交易在图表上展示时,数字会从两侧突出,形如鸟翼,因此该策略又被称为“铁神鹰”策略。当股价大于高盈亏平衡点或小于低盈亏平衡点时,该策略获得正收益。“市场是战场,对吧?你必须像前线士兵一样,需要有坚强的意志力,”Chau在接受媒体采访时表示,“我只是喜欢待在家里,做自己的事。”Chau的交易风格极具冒险色彩。当他的一次下注亏损时,第二天他会下另一个赌注,合约数量大约是之前的两倍,而社区成员会跟着他的策略行动。这种做法在赌博界被称为马丁格尔策略(Martingale strategy),旨在让赌徒有机会在押注最终成功时收回损失并获得利润。“我的目标不是避免亏损,而是确保亏损不会摧毁投资者的整个账户,”Chau解释道,“不愿承担这种风险的交易者应该选择退出。”千人交易军团Chau的身份,对于那些花钱参加他发起的InsideOptions期权培训项目的人来说早已不是秘密。目前,已有超过1000人加入了该项目的Slack频道,在那里学习Chau的交易心法,Chau偶尔也会在Youtube上免费分享一些期权交易的课程。据称,该项目已帮助许多投资者在投资中获得了可观回报。InsideOptions项目对会员的交易资金有一定要求。Chau在Instagram上发布的一个帖子写道:如果你有26000美元并且想让这笔钱发挥价值,我可以帮你像全球排名前1%的交易者那样交易,用一种经过验证的策略,即使你几乎没有经验也没关系!至于Chau自己的交易资金来源,他在采访中说,他用自己和他创立的另类基金SPX Program Fund LP的资金进行交易。该基金成立于2023年,旨在为复杂的投资者提供有效的主动交易策略。目前,SPX Program有30多位投资者,其中很多人也是InsideOptions项目的成员。Chau没有透露该基金的资产规模,但称其“超过七位数”。新一代网红交易员,会以何种方式结束?美国散户对明星交易员的关注已有百年之久,从“少年淘金者”杰西·利弗莫尔(Jesse Livermore),到MeMe热中的“咆哮猫咪”基思·吉尔(Keith Gill),这些交易员的故事一直备受瞩目。他们的冒险经历、巨额利润,甚至是毁灭性的亏损,都被人们传颂为励志传奇或警示故事,成为投资界的经典范例。而“秃鹰队长”走红的时期恰逢美国期权市场的惊人增长。自2020年底以来,散户的期权交易量激增,当时疫情封锁和政府刺激计划引发了市场反弹,重新唤起了美国人对日内交易的兴趣。根据期权清算公司$(OCC)$的数据,2024年每天交易的期权合约达4900万份,高于2019年的1900万份。自此以来,交易量每年都在创纪录。随着市场规模的扩大,散户的份额也在增加:数据显示,截至去年年底,他们占所有期权活动的29%,高于2020年初的23%。Chau无疑是这些交易中的领军者。然而,并非所有人都认为期权市场需要一位美国队长式的人物。因为这种策略风险巨大,衍生品数据公司SpotGamma的创始人Brent Kochuba表示。我认为这只会以不好的方式结束。如果他知道自己在做什么,那很好。但这种规模有点疯狂。在每笔交易上加倍下注简直就是赌博。Kochuba一直在跟踪Chau及其社区的交易,他担心如果这些赌注的规模变得太大,而他们的资金支持不足,策略可能会崩溃。在其他人的争议中,Chau的影响力不断扩大,他在Instgram的粉丝数量已经超过6.6万。SPX 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$ </a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> 英伟达失去中国市场,并不会影响它的发展壮大。AI时代刚拉开序幕,爆发性的增长期将会到来,英伟达将会有大幅度的增长。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$ </a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> 英伟达失去中国市场,并不会影响它的发展壮大。AI时代刚拉开序幕,爆发性的增长期将会到来,英伟达将会有大幅度的增长。","text":"$英伟达(NVDA)$ 英伟达失去中国市场,并不会影响它的发展壮大。AI时代刚拉开序幕,爆发性的增长期将会到来,英伟达将会有大幅度的增长。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":7,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/380534336102424","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3421,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"12012867840342","authorId":"12012867840342","name":"王6688","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b5e09cc776acb2a594bc0fa0eb6772c","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"12012867840342","authorIdStr":"12012867840342"},"content":"屁股决定脑袋,我手里有nvda股票,所以我觉得他不会受到事件影响 [开心] [开心]","text":"屁股决定脑袋,我手里有nvda股票,所以我觉得他不会受到事件影响 [开心] [开心]","html":"屁股决定脑袋,我手里有nvda股票,所以我觉得他不会受到事件影响 [开心] [开心]"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":272216815050792,"gmtCreate":1707496948460,"gmtModify":1707496950442,"author":{"id":"3468529827816752","authorId":"3468529827816752","name":"盲人摸大象","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bb02d1b702bab9b5f01bc747be51aef1","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3468529827816752","authorIdStr":"3468529827816752"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"在此新春佳节来临之际,[抱拳]感恩有老虎🐯,恭祝虎友们新春快乐,阖家幸福,龙年吉祥!![烟花][爆竹][爆竹][爆竹]","listText":"在此新春佳节来临之际,[抱拳]感恩有老虎🐯,恭祝虎友们新春快乐,阖家幸福,龙年吉祥!![烟花][爆竹][爆竹][爆竹]","text":"在此新春佳节来临之际,[抱拳]感恩有老虎🐯,恭祝虎友们新春快乐,阖家幸福,龙年吉祥!![烟花][爆竹][爆竹][爆竹]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/272216815050792","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1678,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":420142929453184,"gmtCreate":1743604829768,"gmtModify":1743604831618,"author":{"id":"3468529827816752","authorId":"3468529827816752","name":"盲人摸大象","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bb02d1b702bab9b5f01bc747be51aef1","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3468529827816752","authorIdStr":"3468529827816752"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/420142929453184","repostId":"257180022820912","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":257180022820912,"gmtCreate":1703816885478,"gmtModify":1703817226899,"author":{"id":"4093504281887960","authorId":"4093504281887960","name":"芝士虎","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f3a05d038882153678ee817929431fc","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4093504281887960","authorIdStr":"4093504281887960"},"themes":[],"title":"5.想做买方,又害怕时间价值衰减,这个策略完美解决!","htmlText":"虎友,你好欢迎来到期权芝士专栏-高阶策略篇第五期!我们知道,期权买方杠杆大,亏损有限,尤其是做末日轮,可以以有限的亏损博取几十倍甚至上百倍的收益,然而无论是期权小白还是投资老手都知道期权交易有句话叫做:时间是卖方的朋友,买方的敌人,这一点我们在之前的文章中<a href=\"https://www.laohu8.com/post/189347982880944\">Day4.为什么股价没涨没跌,但是期权却在亏钱</a>也提到过,所以虽然做买方可以以小博大,但是时间价值流逝风险也使得买方的胜率往往都比较低。这一点也让很多刚进期权市场的新手痛苦不已,如何既能享受买方的杠杆收益,又能对冲掉时间价值流逝风险呢?今天芝士虎给大家介绍的风险反转策略(risk reverse)就可以实现!一、什么是风险反转策略?所谓风险反转策略,其实就是在买入一个看涨期权的同时,再卖出一个看跌期权,或者在买入一个看跌期权的同时再卖出一个看涨期权,只是前者的方向是看多,后者的方向是看空。这个策略和我们以前介绍的组合期权策略不同的是,该策略虽然是多腿策略,但是却是一个不折不扣的方向性策略,也就是在赌股价单方向的上涨或者下跌。举个例子,假如我们认为12月29号之前特斯拉的股价会上涨,我们就可以在买入执行价为252.5美元的看涨期权的同时再卖出执行价为252.5美元的看跌期权,到期日选12月29号。权利金净支出为0.34美元(5.15-4.81)如果未来特斯拉的股价真的上涨,买入的看涨期权和卖出的看跌期权都是赚钱的,反之则亏钱。既然是赌方向,相对于直接买入看涨期权,该策略的好处是什么呢?首先,该策略解决了我们前面提到的买方要承担时间价值衰减的损失问题,因为卖出的看跌期权带来的时间价值收益可以抵消掉买入看涨期权的时间价值衰减损失,也就是对冲了theta风险。其次,由于风险反转策略是在买入看涨期权的同时多卖出了一个看跌","listText":"虎友,你好欢迎来到期权芝士专栏-高阶策略篇第五期!我们知道,期权买方杠杆大,亏损有限,尤其是做末日轮,可以以有限的亏损博取几十倍甚至上百倍的收益,然而无论是期权小白还是投资老手都知道期权交易有句话叫做:时间是卖方的朋友,买方的敌人,这一点我们在之前的文章中<a href=\"https://www.laohu8.com/post/189347982880944\">Day4.为什么股价没涨没跌,但是期权却在亏钱</a>也提到过,所以虽然做买方可以以小博大,但是时间价值流逝风险也使得买方的胜率往往都比较低。这一点也让很多刚进期权市场的新手痛苦不已,如何既能享受买方的杠杆收益,又能对冲掉时间价值流逝风险呢?今天芝士虎给大家介绍的风险反转策略(risk reverse)就可以实现!一、什么是风险反转策略?所谓风险反转策略,其实就是在买入一个看涨期权的同时,再卖出一个看跌期权,或者在买入一个看跌期权的同时再卖出一个看涨期权,只是前者的方向是看多,后者的方向是看空。这个策略和我们以前介绍的组合期权策略不同的是,该策略虽然是多腿策略,但是却是一个不折不扣的方向性策略,也就是在赌股价单方向的上涨或者下跌。举个例子,假如我们认为12月29号之前特斯拉的股价会上涨,我们就可以在买入执行价为252.5美元的看涨期权的同时再卖出执行价为252.5美元的看跌期权,到期日选12月29号。权利金净支出为0.34美元(5.15-4.81)如果未来特斯拉的股价真的上涨,买入的看涨期权和卖出的看跌期权都是赚钱的,反之则亏钱。既然是赌方向,相对于直接买入看涨期权,该策略的好处是什么呢?首先,该策略解决了我们前面提到的买方要承担时间价值衰减的损失问题,因为卖出的看跌期权带来的时间价值收益可以抵消掉买入看涨期权的时间价值衰减损失,也就是对冲了theta风险。其次,由于风险反转策略是在买入看涨期权的同时多卖出了一个看跌","text":"虎友,你好欢迎来到期权芝士专栏-高阶策略篇第五期!我们知道,期权买方杠杆大,亏损有限,尤其是做末日轮,可以以有限的亏损博取几十倍甚至上百倍的收益,然而无论是期权小白还是投资老手都知道期权交易有句话叫做:时间是卖方的朋友,买方的敌人,这一点我们在之前的文章中Day4.为什么股价没涨没跌,但是期权却在亏钱也提到过,所以虽然做买方可以以小博大,但是时间价值流逝风险也使得买方的胜率往往都比较低。这一点也让很多刚进期权市场的新手痛苦不已,如何既能享受买方的杠杆收益,又能对冲掉时间价值流逝风险呢?今天芝士虎给大家介绍的风险反转策略(risk reverse)就可以实现!一、什么是风险反转策略?所谓风险反转策略,其实就是在买入一个看涨期权的同时,再卖出一个看跌期权,或者在买入一个看跌期权的同时再卖出一个看涨期权,只是前者的方向是看多,后者的方向是看空。这个策略和我们以前介绍的组合期权策略不同的是,该策略虽然是多腿策略,但是却是一个不折不扣的方向性策略,也就是在赌股价单方向的上涨或者下跌。举个例子,假如我们认为12月29号之前特斯拉的股价会上涨,我们就可以在买入执行价为252.5美元的看涨期权的同时再卖出执行价为252.5美元的看跌期权,到期日选12月29号。权利金净支出为0.34美元(5.15-4.81)如果未来特斯拉的股价真的上涨,买入的看涨期权和卖出的看跌期权都是赚钱的,反之则亏钱。既然是赌方向,相对于直接买入看涨期权,该策略的好处是什么呢?首先,该策略解决了我们前面提到的买方要承担时间价值衰减的损失问题,因为卖出的看跌期权带来的时间价值收益可以抵消掉买入看涨期权的时间价值衰减损失,也就是对冲了theta风险。其次,由于风险反转策略是在买入看涨期权的同时多卖出了一个看跌","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/74beb5b512189e7725e79a9a0d78e274","width":"1080","height":"1920"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/37899d3dd7e703fa31a667a21b183fa8","width":"1080","height":"2338"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3d625e4cd8b87da3ad2a584150d9c301","width":"961","height":"540"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/257180022820912","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":215,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":293942195069088,"gmtCreate":1712793750677,"gmtModify":1712793752470,"author":{"id":"3468529827816752","authorId":"3468529827816752","name":"盲人摸大象","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bb02d1b702bab9b5f01bc747be51aef1","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3468529827816752","authorIdStr":"3468529827816752"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"但愿能持续!","listText":"但愿能持续!","text":"但愿能持续!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/293942195069088","repostId":"1149446579","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1149446579","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据,旨在帮助投资者理解世界,做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1712717603,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1149446579?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2024-04-10 10:53","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"IPO热点速览|港股打新开启春日回暖模式?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1149446579","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"4月10日,港股打新开启春日回暖模式?近期10支港股IPO新股,共计8支首日上涨,2支下跌。截至4月8日收盘,4支累计上涨翻倍,过半数累计上涨超50%!","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>4月10日,港股打新开启春日回暖模式?近期10支港股IPO新股,共计8支首日上涨,2支下跌。截至4月8日收盘,4支累计上涨翻倍,过半数累计上涨超50%!</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fb63cbe9ea2572ee38fcbd22b69e9fca\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"1888\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>IPO热点速览|港股打新开启春日回暖模式?</title>\n<style 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}\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIPO热点速览|港股打新开启春日回暖模式?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2024-04-10 10:53</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>4月10日,港股打新开启春日回暖模式?近期10支港股IPO新股,共计8支首日上涨,2支下跌。截至4月8日收盘,4支累计上涨翻倍,过半数累计上涨超50%!</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fb63cbe9ea2572ee38fcbd22b69e9fca\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"1888\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6b69e234a63c2c0a69ccede7b0faaa18","relate_stocks":{"06959":"长久股份","02540":"乐思集团","09879":"米高集团","02598":"连连数字","02536":"百乐皇宫","02497":"富景中国控股","02453":"美中嘉和","HSI":"恒生指数","02509":"荃信生物-B","02535":"泓基集团","HSTECH":"恒生科技指数","02477":"经纬天地(新)"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1149446579","content_text":"4月10日,港股打新开启春日回暖模式?近期10支港股IPO新股,共计8支首日上涨,2支下跌。截至4月8日收盘,4支累计上涨翻倍,过半数累计上涨超50%!","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":842,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":297000822485280,"gmtCreate":1713538702590,"gmtModify":1713538704364,"author":{"id":"3468529827816752","authorId":"3468529827816752","name":"盲人摸大象","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bb02d1b702bab9b5f01bc747be51aef1","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3468529827816752","authorIdStr":"3468529827816752"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"阅[眼眼] ","listText":"阅[眼眼] ","text":"阅[眼眼]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/297000822485280","repostId":"2428654463","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2428654463","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1713535592,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2428654463?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2024-04-19 22:06","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"美股“抄底”机会来了?专家:建议逢低买入,标普500有望升破5400点","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2428654463","media":"智通财经","summary":"她说,标普500指数在2023年上涨24%之后,在第一季度飙升10%,创下自2019年以来的最佳开局,连续三周的暴跌是交易员的一次健康整合。从现在开始,Colton Grant预计,基于强劲的盈利增长和持续的经济势头,这轮涨势不仅会恢复,而且会扩大,有可能在2024年收盘前将推高标普500指数升破5400点。标普500指数预计将连续第三周下跌,因在一系列火热的通胀报告出炉后,投资者降低了对美联储降息的预期。纽约梅隆银行财富管理部门预计2024年美股盈利将增长11%。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BK\">纽约梅隆银行</a>财富管理部门首席投资官Sinead Colton Grant表示,美国股市从上月底创下的历史高点回落,给持有现金的投资者提供了买入的机会。她说,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/161125\">标普500</a>指数在2023年上涨24%之后,在第一季度飙升10%,创下自2019年以来的最佳开局,连续三周的暴跌是交易员的一次健康整合。从现在开始,Colton Grant预计,基于强劲的盈利增长和持续的经济势头,这轮涨势不仅会恢复,而且会扩大,有可能在2024年收盘前将推高标普500指数升破5400点。</p><p>她在接受采访时表示:“历史上有很多这样的例子,投资者等待找到绝对低点,却错过了时机,所以如果你有资金可以配置,现在是开始增加敞口的好时机。这是一个迷人的市场,对投资者来说,最糟糕的事情就是完全持有现金。”</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/92464c1e9b020d305de787d38e516ce9\" tg-width=\"695\" tg-height=\"371\"/></p><p>纽约梅隆银行财富管理部门增持美国大盘股,相对于国际和新兴市场股票,它更喜欢美国大盘股。虽然美国股市的市盈率高于其他市场,但Colton Grant表示喜欢大公司产生的自由现金流。她尤其看好科技、医疗保健和工业板块。</p><p>标普500指数预计将连续第三周下跌,因在一系列火热的通胀报告出炉后,投资者降低了对美联储降息的预期。亚特兰大联储主席博斯蒂克(Raphael Bostic)周四重申,他认为年底前降息都是不合适的。</p><p>但一直以来,纽约梅隆银行的降息预期都低于市场对今年降息幅度的预期。当投资者预期是六次降息时,该行的预期为四次。现在,该行只预计美联储将在12月份降息一次。Colton Grant表示:"我们首次看到市场真正对降息预期降低做出反应,我认为这是健康的。"她指出,今年年初,随着交易商缩减降息押注,股市几乎没有反应。</p><p>财报是股市从目前水平上涨的关键。纽约梅隆银行财富管理部门预计2024年美股盈利将增长11%。Colton Grant认为,美联储是否降息并不重要。她说,由于自2008年金融危机以来的大部分时间里,利率一直处于接近于零的水平,一种观点认为,股市需要接近于零的利率和接近2%的通胀率才能表现良好。但对她来说,这是有缺陷的逻辑。</p><p>Colton Grant表示:“股市可以在2%至4%的通胀率范围内表现良好,而我们目前的通胀率正是2%至4%。当我们的通胀率超过5%,并朝着两位数的方向发展时,问题就出现了,就像2022年那样。但我们认为,目前对股市来说,实际上是一个相当有利的环境。”</p></body></html>","source":"stock_zhitongcaijing","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>美股“抄底”机会来了?专家:建议逢低买入,标普500有望升破5400点</title>\n<style 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}\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美股“抄底”机会来了?专家:建议逢低买入,标普500有望升破5400点\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-04-19 22:06 北京时间 <a href=http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1105844.html><strong>智通财经</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>纽约梅隆银行财富管理部门首席投资官Sinead Colton Grant表示,美国股市从上月底创下的历史高点回落,给持有现金的投资者提供了买入的机会。她说,标普500指数在2023年上涨24%之后,在第一季度飙升10%,创下自2019年以来的最佳开局,连续三周的暴跌是交易员的一次健康整合。从现在开始,Colton Grant预计,基于强劲的盈利增长和持续的经济势头,这轮涨势不仅会恢复,而且会扩大,...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1105844.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f6ec6e99c0c8b9feb7f296b78c65a54","relate_stocks":{"OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","SPY":"标普500ETF","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","BK4588":"碎股","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","SH":"标普500反向ETF","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4504":"桥水持仓","OEX":"标普100","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","VOO":"Vanguard标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF"},"source_url":"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1105844.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2428654463","content_text":"纽约梅隆银行财富管理部门首席投资官Sinead Colton Grant表示,美国股市从上月底创下的历史高点回落,给持有现金的投资者提供了买入的机会。她说,标普500指数在2023年上涨24%之后,在第一季度飙升10%,创下自2019年以来的最佳开局,连续三周的暴跌是交易员的一次健康整合。从现在开始,Colton Grant预计,基于强劲的盈利增长和持续的经济势头,这轮涨势不仅会恢复,而且会扩大,有可能在2024年收盘前将推高标普500指数升破5400点。她在接受采访时表示:“历史上有很多这样的例子,投资者等待找到绝对低点,却错过了时机,所以如果你有资金可以配置,现在是开始增加敞口的好时机。这是一个迷人的市场,对投资者来说,最糟糕的事情就是完全持有现金。”纽约梅隆银行财富管理部门增持美国大盘股,相对于国际和新兴市场股票,它更喜欢美国大盘股。虽然美国股市的市盈率高于其他市场,但Colton Grant表示喜欢大公司产生的自由现金流。她尤其看好科技、医疗保健和工业板块。标普500指数预计将连续第三周下跌,因在一系列火热的通胀报告出炉后,投资者降低了对美联储降息的预期。亚特兰大联储主席博斯蒂克(Raphael Bostic)周四重申,他认为年底前降息都是不合适的。但一直以来,纽约梅隆银行的降息预期都低于市场对今年降息幅度的预期。当投资者预期是六次降息时,该行的预期为四次。现在,该行只预计美联储将在12月份降息一次。Colton Grant表示:\"我们首次看到市场真正对降息预期降低做出反应,我认为这是健康的。\"她指出,今年年初,随着交易商缩减降息押注,股市几乎没有反应。财报是股市从目前水平上涨的关键。纽约梅隆银行财富管理部门预计2024年美股盈利将增长11%。Colton Grant认为,美联储是否降息并不重要。她说,由于自2008年金融危机以来的大部分时间里,利率一直处于接近于零的水平,一种观点认为,股市需要接近于零的利率和接近2%的通胀率才能表现良好。但对她来说,这是有缺陷的逻辑。Colton Grant表示:“股市可以在2%至4%的通胀率范围内表现良好,而我们目前的通胀率正是2%至4%。当我们的通胀率超过5%,并朝着两位数的方向发展时,问题就出现了,就像2022年那样。但我们认为,目前对股市来说,实际上是一个相当有利的环境。”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1506,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":273981151932512,"gmtCreate":1707927759320,"gmtModify":1707927763300,"author":{"id":"3468529827816752","authorId":"3468529827816752","name":"盲人摸大象","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bb02d1b702bab9b5f01bc747be51aef1","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3468529827816752","authorIdStr":"3468529827816752"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[举爪][举爪][举爪][看涨][看涨][看涨]","listText":"[举爪][举爪][举爪][看涨][看涨][看涨]","text":"[举爪][举爪][举爪][看涨][看涨][看涨]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a57295cd16861397b0aedb246a2dc48"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/273981151932512","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":383,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":273976794529896,"gmtCreate":1707926628209,"gmtModify":1707955259523,"author":{"id":"3468529827816752","authorId":"3468529827816752","name":"盲人摸大象","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bb02d1b702bab9b5f01bc747be51aef1","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3468529827816752","authorIdStr":"3468529827816752"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"在安全的地方,不论是城市郊区还是农村,有一座小木屋,是家也是工作室,有一小片菜地和一只狗子,一两只猫咪,几只鸡鸭,一个可以一起讨论所有问题、一起做家务的伴侣。即使到80岁,我希望自己仍然能做创造性的工作。","listText":"在安全的地方,不论是城市郊区还是农村,有一座小木屋,是家也是工作室,有一小片菜地和一只狗子,一两只猫咪,几只鸡鸭,一个可以一起讨论所有问题、一起做家务的伴侣。即使到80岁,我希望自己仍然能做创造性的工作。","text":"在安全的地方,不论是城市郊区还是农村,有一座小木屋,是家也是工作室,有一小片菜地和一只狗子,一两只猫咪,几只鸡鸭,一个可以一起讨论所有问题、一起做家务的伴侣。即使到80岁,我希望自己仍然能做创造性的工作。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/273976794529896","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1410,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":264167236829360,"gmtCreate":1705511022979,"gmtModify":1705511027623,"author":{"id":"3468529827816752","authorId":"3468529827816752","name":"盲人摸大象","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bb02d1b702bab9b5f01bc747be51aef1","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3468529827816752","authorIdStr":"3468529827816752"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"全部订阅了,如果抽到我就太感谢了[害羞]","listText":"全部订阅了,如果抽到我就太感谢了[害羞]","text":"全部订阅了,如果抽到我就太感谢了[害羞]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dd9bdc6efd06bbe543b064a44640c322"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/264167236829360","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1236,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":256479717040440,"gmtCreate":1703636344199,"gmtModify":1703636345998,"author":{"id":"3468529827816752","authorId":"3468529827816752","name":"盲人摸大象","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bb02d1b702bab9b5f01bc747be51aef1","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3468529827816752","authorIdStr":"3468529827816752"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"亚马孙上周高点没卖掉,又回落了,不会低买高卖,还要学习呀!","listText":"亚马孙上周高点没卖掉,又回落了,不会低买高卖,还要学习呀!","text":"亚马孙上周高点没卖掉,又回落了,不会低买高卖,还要学习呀!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/256479717040440","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":838,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":274078141292680,"gmtCreate":1707960934840,"gmtModify":1707966145206,"author":{"id":"3468529827816752","authorId":"3468529827816752","name":"盲人摸大象","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bb02d1b702bab9b5f01bc747be51aef1","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3468529827816752","authorIdStr":"3468529827816752"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我的原则就是分散投资,鸡蛋不放在一个篮子里!坚持科技大方向,同时关注传统稳定收益行业公司。还需要跟各位虎友学习交流[抱拳] 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