NamJooHyuk的个人主页 - 老虎社区

NamJooHyuk

NamJooHyuk

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2021-08-21

Hodl

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-26

$ISHARESHSTECH(03067)$Why !?!

2021-06-28

Wow

US IPO Week Ahead: DiDi makes its billion-dollar debut in a 17 IPO week<blockquote>美国IPO未来一周：滴滴在17个IPO周内首次亮相10亿美元</blockquote>

2021-06-23

Great

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-23

Great

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-21

Wow

PPT Assemble: Biden Summons Powell, Yellen, Gensler After Market Rout<blockquote>PPT集会：市场暴跌后拜登召见鲍威尔、耶伦、詹斯勒</blockquote>

2021-06-19

Wow

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-18

What is cheap ?

Goldman sees Fed-driven dip in commodities as a 'buying opportunity'<blockquote>高盛将美联储推动的大宗商品下跌视为“买入机会”</blockquote>

2021-06-18

Nice

Alibaba Stock: The Bottoming Process Looks To Be Forming Already<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股票：触底过程似乎已经形成</blockquote>

2021-06-16

Plz shoot to the moon

How Much Longer Will Alibaba Stay Cheap?<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW还会保持便宜多久？</blockquote>

2021-06-01

Best is to dca even if market crash

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-05-11

$Vanguard S&P 500 ETF(VOO)$Wah the dip is crazy !

2021-03-22

Gme to moon !

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17:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US IPO Week Ahead: DiDi makes its billion-dollar debut in a 17 IPO week<blockquote>美国IPO未来一周：滴滴在17个IPO周内首次亮相10亿美元</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1150095060","media":"Renaissance Capital","summary":"17 IPOs are slated to raise $9.1 billion in this week, led by long-awaited Chinese ride-hailing giant $DiDi Global Inc.$.DiDi plans to raise $3.9 billion at a $67.5 billion market cap. DiDi is China’s dominant ride-hailing app, with 15 million drivers across 4,000 cities and towns. The unprofitable company saw revenue more than double in the 1Q21 as its business recovered post-pandemic.New and existing investors intend to purchase $1.3 billion of the IPO.Cybersecurity platform $SentinelOne, Inc$","content":"<p>17 IPOs are slated to raise $9.1 billion in this week, led by long-awaited Chinese ride-hailing giant<b>&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIDI\">DiDi Global Inc.</a>.</b></p><p><blockquote>本周17起IPO预计筹集91亿美元，由期待已久的中国网约车巨头领投<b> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIDI\">滴滴全球公司。</a>.</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>DiDi</b>&nbsp;plans to raise $3.9 billion at a $67.5 billion market cap. DiDi is China’s dominant ride-hailing app, with 15 million drivers across 4,000 cities and towns. The unprofitable company saw revenue more than double in the 1Q21 as its business recovered post-pandemic.New and existing investors intend to purchase $1.3 billion of the IPO.</p><p><blockquote><b>迪迪</b>计划以675亿美元的市值筹集39亿美元。滴滴是中国占主导地位的打车应用程序，在4000个城镇拥有1500万司机。随着业务在疫情后复苏，这家尚未盈利的公司在2021年第一季度的收入增长了一倍多。新老投资者打算购买13亿美元的IPO。</blockquote></p><p> Cybersecurity platform&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/S\">SentinelOne, Inc</a></b> plans to raise $880 million at an $8.2 billion market cap. SentinelOne's Singularity Platform is an AI-powered extended detection and response platform that ingests, correlates and queries petabytes of structured and unstructured data to provide autonomous cybersecurity defense. Fast growing and unprofitable, the company had over 4,700 customers as of 4/30/21, up from 2,700 a year prior.</p><p><blockquote>网络安全平台<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/S\">哨兵一号公司</a></b>计划以82亿美元的市值筹集8.8亿美元。SentinelOne的Singularity平台是一个人工智能驱动的扩展检测和响应平台，可以摄取、关联和查询PB的结构化和非结构化数据，以提供自主网络安全防御。截至2011年4月30日，该公司快速增长且未盈利，拥有超过4,700名客户，高于一年前的2,700名。</blockquote></p><p> Turkish e-commerce platform&nbsp;<b>D-MARKET Electronic Services &amp; Trading</b>(HEPS) plans to raise $681 million at a $3.9 billion market cap. Operating under the name Hepsiburada, the company connected 33 million members, 9 million Active Customers, and a base of approximately 45 thousand Active Merchants in 2020. The company is fast growing but EBITDA swung negative in the 1Q21.</p><p><blockquote>土耳其电商平台<b>D-MARKET电子服务与交易</b>(HEPS)计划以39亿美元的市值筹集6.81亿美元。该公司以Hepsiburada的名义运营，在2020年连接了3300万会员、900万活跃客户和约4.5万家活跃商户。该公司增长迅速，但EBITDA在2021年第一季度上转为负值。</blockquote></p><p> Doughnut brand&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DNUT\"><b>Krispy Kreme, Inc.</a> </b>plans to raise $600 million at a $3.8 billion market cap. Krispy Kreme is an omni-channel business operating through a network of doughnut shops, partnerships with retailers, and an e-Commerce and delivery business. The company has a long track record and strong brand awareness, though its growth strategy is unproven.</p><p><blockquote>甜甜圈品牌<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DNUT\"><b>克里斯皮·克雷姆公司。</b></a>计划以38亿美元的市值筹集6亿美元。Krispy Kreme是一家全渠道企业，通过甜甜圈店网络、与零售商的合作伙伴关系以及电子商务和送货业务运营。该公司拥有悠久的业绩记录和强大的品牌知名度，尽管其增长战略尚未得到证实。</blockquote></p><p> Legal solutions provider&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LZ\">LegalZoom.com, Inc</a> </b>plans to raise $488 million at a $5.3 billion market cap. LegalZoom states that it is a leading online platform for legal and compliance solutions, claiming that 10% of new LLCs and 5% of new corporations in the US were formed via LegalZoom in 2020. Profitable on an EBITDA basis in the 1Q21, the company operates across all 50 states and over 3,000 counties in the US.</p><p><blockquote>法律解决方案提供商<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LZ\">LegalZoom.com公司</a></b>计划以53亿美元的市值筹集4.88亿美元。LegalZoom表示，它是法律和合规解决方案的领先在线平台，并声称2020年美国10%的新有限责任公司和5%的新公司是通过LegalZoom成立的。该公司在2021年第一季度以EBITDA为基础实现盈利，业务遍及美国所有50个州和3,000多个县。</blockquote></p><p> Identity verification platform&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YOU\">Clear Secure, Inc.</a></b> plans to raise $376 million at a $4.1 billion market cap. Clear Secure's secure identity platform uses to automate the identity verification process, with main offerings including CLEAR Plus, a consumer aviation subscription service, and two mobile apps. As of 5/31/21, Clear Secure's network included 38 airports, 26 sports and entertainment partners, and 67 Health Pass-enabled partners.</p><p><blockquote>身份验证平台<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YOU\">清晰安全公司。</a></b>计划以41亿美元的市值筹集3.76亿美元。Clear Secure的安全身份平台用于自动化身份验证过程，主要产品包括消费者航空订阅服务CLEAR Plus和两个移动应用程序。截至2011年5月31日，Clear Secure的网络包括38个机场、26个体育和娱乐合作伙伴以及67个支持健康通行证的合作伙伴。</blockquote></p><p> Chinese grocery delivery platform&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DDL\">Dingdong (Cayman) Limited</a> </b>plans to raise $343 million at a $6.0 billion market cap. With fresh groceries as its core product categories, Dingdong states that it is the fastest growing on-demand e-commerce company in China. Unprofitable with explosive growth, the company had a 10% share of the on-demand e-commerce market by GMV in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>中国杂货配送平台<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DDL\">叮咚（开曼）有限公司</a></b>计划以60亿美元的市值筹集3.43亿美元。叮咚表示，以生鲜杂货为核心产品类别，是中国发展最快的按需电子商务公司。由于爆炸式增长，该公司在2020年按GMV计算的按需电子商务市场份额为10%。</blockquote></p><p> SaaS solutions provider&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EVCM\">EverCommerce Inc.</a></b> plans to raise $325 million at a $3.4 billion market cap. EverCommerce is a leading provider of integrated, vertically-tailored SaaS solutions for service-based SMBs. The company serves over 500,000 customers across three core verticals: Home Services, Health Services, and Fitness &amp; Wellness Services.</p><p><blockquote>SaaS解决方案提供商<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EVCM\">EverCommerce公司。</a></b>计划以34亿美元的市值筹集3.25亿美元。EverCommerce是为服务型中小型企业提供垂直定制的集成SaaS解决方案的领先提供商。该公司为三个核心垂直领域的超过500,000名客户提供服务：家庭服务、健康服务以及健身与健康服务。</blockquote></p><p> Software provider&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTA\">Intapp, Inc.</a> </b>plans to raise $278 million at a $1.9 billion market cap. Intapp provides industry-specific, cloud-based software solutions for the professional and financial services industry globally. The company had over 1,600 clients as of March 31, 2021, and it currently has more than 20 clients with contracts greater than $1 million of ARR.</p><p><blockquote>软件供应商<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTA\">Intapp公司。</a></b>计划以19亿美元的市值筹集2.78亿美元。Intapp为全球专业和金融服务行业提供特定行业的基于云的软件解决方案。截至2021年3月31日，该公司拥有超过1,600名客户，目前有超过20名客户的合同ARR超过100万美元。</blockquote></p><p> Online manufacturing marketplace&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XMTR\">Xometry, Inc.</a></b> plans to raise $275 million at a $1.9 billion market cap. Xometry states that it is a leading AI-enabled marketplace for on-demand manufacturing. Its buyers include businesses ranging from self-funded start-ups to Fortune 100 companies. Since its inception, over 6.0 million parts have been manufactured through Xometry's platform.</p><p><blockquote>在线制造市场<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XMTR\">Xometry公司。</a></b>计划以19亿美元的市值筹集2.75亿美元。Xometry表示，它是一个领先的人工智能按需制造市场。其买家包括从自筹资金的初创企业到财富100强公司的企业。自成立以来，已通过Xometry平台制造了超过600万个零件。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IAS\">Integral Ad Science Holding LLC</a> </b>plans to raise $240 million at a $2.5 billion market cap. The company’s technology provides metrics designed to verify that digital ads are served to a real person, viewable on-screen, and appear in a brand-safe and suitable environment in the correct geography. Profitable on an EBIT basis, Integral Ad Science served over 2,000 customers as of 3/31/21.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IAS\">积分广告科学控股有限责任公司</a></b>计划以25亿美元的市值筹集2.4亿美元。该公司的技术提供了旨在验证数字广告是否提供给真人、可在屏幕上查看、并出现在正确地理位置的品牌安全和合适的环境中的指标。截至2011年3月31日，Integral Ad Science在EBIT实现盈利，为2,000多名客户提供服务。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Plus-sized women’s apparel brand&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CURV\">Torrid Holdings</a> </b>plans to raise $156 million at a $2.1 billion market cap. Torrid is the largest direct-to-consumer brand of women's plus-size apparel and intimates in North America by net sales. The profitable company markets directly to consumers via physical stores and its e-commerce platform, which represented a majority of sales in the 12 months ended 5/1/21.</p><p><blockquote>大码女装品牌<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CURV\">托瑞德控股</a></b>计划以21亿美元的市值筹集1.56亿美元。按净销售额计算，Torrid是北美最大的直接面向消费者的女性大码服装和内衣品牌。这家盈利的公司通过实体店及其电子商务平台直接向消费者营销，这占截至2011年5月1日的12个月销售额的大部分。</blockquote></p><p> Alzheimer’s biotech&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABOS\">Acumen Pharmaceuticals, Inc.</a></b> plans to raise $125 million at a $607 million market cap. The company's lead candidate, ACU193, is a humanized monoclonal antibody that selectively targets amyloid-beta oligomers. ACU193 entered a Phase 1 trial in patients with mild dementia or cognitive impairment due to AD in the 2Q21, with data expected by year end 2022.</p><p><blockquote>阿尔茨海默病生物技术<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABOS\">Acumen制药公司。</a></b>计划以6.07亿美元的市值筹集1.25亿美元。该公司的主要候选药物ACU193是一种选择性靶向β淀粉样蛋白寡聚体的人源化单克隆抗体。ACU193在2021年第二季度进入了针对轻度痴呆或AD导致认知障碍患者的1期试验，预计将于2022年底获得数据。</blockquote></p><p> Digital financial services provider&nbsp;<b>AMTD Digital</b>(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HKD\">$(HKD)$</a>) plans to raise $120 million at a $1.4 billion market cap. AMTD Digital states that it is the \"fusion reactor\" at the core of the AMTD SpiderNet ecosystem, operating a comprehensive digital solutions platform in Asia. Profitable with explosive growth, the company primarily generates revenue from fees and commissions in two lines of business.</p><p><blockquote>数字金融服务提供商<b>尚乘数科</b>(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HKD\">$(港币)$</a>）计划以14亿美元的市值筹集1.2亿美元。尚乘数科表示，它是尚乘蜘蛛网生态系统核心的“聚变反应堆”，在亚洲运营着全面的数字化解决方案平台。该公司利润呈爆炸式增长，主要通过两个业务线的费用和佣金产生收入。</blockquote></p><p> Drug formulation developer&nbsp;<b>Aerovate Therapeutics</b>(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVTE\">$(AVTE)$</a>) plans to raise $100 million at a $325 million market cap. Aerovate's initial focus is on advancing AV-101, a dry powder inhaled formulation of imatinib for the treatment of pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH). The company has completed a Phase 1 study in healthy volunteers and expects to begin a Phase 2b/3 trial in PAH patients in the 2H21.</p><p><blockquote>药物制剂开发人员<b>Aerovate疗法</b>(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVTE\">$(AVTE)$</a>）计划以3.25亿美元的市值筹集1亿美元。Aerovate最初的重点是推进AV-101，这是一种用于治疗肺动脉高压（PAH）的伊马替尼干粉吸入制剂。该公司已完成针对健康志愿者的1期研究，并预计将于2021年下半年开始针对PAH患者的2b/3期试验。</blockquote></p><p> Neuromodulation device provider<b>&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVRX\">CVRx Inc</a> </b>plans to raise $100 million at a $333 million market cap. CVRx manufactures and markets its minimally invasive neuromodulation solutions on its proprietary BAROSTIM platform. The company's states that its BAROSTEM NEO product is the first and only commercially available neuromodulation device indicated to improve symptoms for patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction.</p><p><blockquote>神经调节设备提供商<b> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVRX\">CVRx公司</a></b>计划以3.33亿美元的市值筹集1亿美元。CVRx在其专有的BAROSTIM平台上制造和销售其微创神经调节解决方案。该公司表示，其BAROSTEM NEO产品是第一款也是唯一一款可用于改善射血分数降低的心力衰竭患者症状的商用神经调节设备。</blockquote></p><p> Belgium-listed&nbsp;<b>Nyxoah</b>(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NYXH\">$(NYXH)$</a>) plans to raise $87 million at an $803 million market cap. Nyxoah's lead product is the Genio system, a CE-marked, minimally-invasive hypoglossal neurostimulation therapy for obstructive sleep apnea. The company began generating revenue from Genio in Europe in July 2020 and is currently conducting a pivotal trial designed to support marketing authorization in the US.</p><p><blockquote>比利时上市<b>尼克斯阿</b>(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NYXH\">$(NYXH)$</a>）计划以8.03亿美元的市值筹集8700万美元。Nyxoah的主导产品是Genio系统，这是一种通过CE认证的微创舌下神经刺激疗法，用于治疗阻塞性睡眠呼吸暂停。该公司于2020年7月开始在欧洲从Genio产生收入，目前正在进行一项旨在支持美国营销授权的关键试验。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/58f28d5f7f3b8e686c0bd006c2968b99\" tg-width=\"1131\" tg-height=\"684\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/508f1118f1d92b2b76391bc3610bd6c4\" tg-width=\"1131\" tg-height=\"657\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed04cd42fa30b460fcf67e07efa6ddc7\" tg-width=\"1130\" tg-height=\"166\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>IPO Market Snapshot</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IPO市场快照</b></blockquote></p><p> The Renaissance IPO Indices are market cap weighted baskets of newly public companies. As of 6/24/21, the Renaissance IPO Index was up 2.7% year-to-date, while the S&amp;P 500 was up 13.6%. Renaissance Capital's IPO ETF (NYSE: IPO) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Snowflake (SNOW) and Palantir Technologies (PLTR). The Renaissance International IPO Index was down 1.5% year-to-date, while the ACWX was up 10.3%. Renaissance Capital’s International IPO ETF (NYSE: IPOS) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Smoore International and EQT Partners.</p><p><blockquote>文艺复兴IPO指数是新上市公司的市值加权篮子。截至2011年6月24日，文艺复兴IPO指数今年迄今上涨2.7%，而标普500上涨13.6%。Renaissance Capital的IPO ETF（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IPO）跟踪该指数，持有的顶级ETF包括Snowflake（SNOW）和Palantir Technologies（PLTR）。Renaissance International IPO指数今年迄今下跌1.5%，而ACWX指数上涨10.3%。Renaissance Capital的国际IPO ETF（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IPOS）跟踪该指数，持有的顶级ETF包括思摩尔国际和殷拓合伙人。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603787993745","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US IPO Week Ahead: DiDi makes its billion-dollar debut in a 17 IPO week<blockquote>美国IPO未来一周：滴滴在17个IPO周内首次亮相10亿美元</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS IPO Week Ahead: DiDi makes its billion-dollar debut in a 17 IPO week<blockquote>美国IPO未来一周：滴滴在17个IPO周内首次亮相10亿美元</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Renaissance Capital</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-28 17:55</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>17 IPOs are slated to raise $9.1 billion in this week, led by long-awaited Chinese ride-hailing giant<b>&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIDI\">DiDi Global Inc.</a>.</b></p><p><blockquote>本周17起IPO预计筹集91亿美元，由期待已久的中国网约车巨头领投<b> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIDI\">滴滴全球公司。</a>.</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>DiDi</b>&nbsp;plans to raise $3.9 billion at a $67.5 billion market cap. DiDi is China’s dominant ride-hailing app, with 15 million drivers across 4,000 cities and towns. The unprofitable company saw revenue more than double in the 1Q21 as its business recovered post-pandemic.New and existing investors intend to purchase $1.3 billion of the IPO.</p><p><blockquote><b>迪迪</b>计划以675亿美元的市值筹集39亿美元。滴滴是中国占主导地位的打车应用程序，在4000个城镇拥有1500万司机。随着业务在疫情后复苏，这家尚未盈利的公司在2021年第一季度的收入增长了一倍多。新老投资者打算购买13亿美元的IPO。</blockquote></p><p> Cybersecurity platform&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/S\">SentinelOne, Inc</a></b> plans to raise $880 million at an $8.2 billion market cap. SentinelOne's Singularity Platform is an AI-powered extended detection and response platform that ingests, correlates and queries petabytes of structured and unstructured data to provide autonomous cybersecurity defense. Fast growing and unprofitable, the company had over 4,700 customers as of 4/30/21, up from 2,700 a year prior.</p><p><blockquote>网络安全平台<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/S\">哨兵一号公司</a></b>计划以82亿美元的市值筹集8.8亿美元。SentinelOne的Singularity平台是一个人工智能驱动的扩展检测和响应平台，可以摄取、关联和查询PB的结构化和非结构化数据，以提供自主网络安全防御。截至2011年4月30日，该公司快速增长且未盈利，拥有超过4,700名客户，高于一年前的2,700名。</blockquote></p><p> Turkish e-commerce platform&nbsp;<b>D-MARKET Electronic Services &amp; Trading</b>(HEPS) plans to raise $681 million at a $3.9 billion market cap. Operating under the name Hepsiburada, the company connected 33 million members, 9 million Active Customers, and a base of approximately 45 thousand Active Merchants in 2020. The company is fast growing but EBITDA swung negative in the 1Q21.</p><p><blockquote>土耳其电商平台<b>D-MARKET电子服务与交易</b>(HEPS)计划以39亿美元的市值筹集6.81亿美元。该公司以Hepsiburada的名义运营，在2020年连接了3300万会员、900万活跃客户和约4.5万家活跃商户。该公司增长迅速，但EBITDA在2021年第一季度上转为负值。</blockquote></p><p> Doughnut brand&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DNUT\"><b>Krispy Kreme, Inc.</a> </b>plans to raise $600 million at a $3.8 billion market cap. Krispy Kreme is an omni-channel business operating through a network of doughnut shops, partnerships with retailers, and an e-Commerce and delivery business. The company has a long track record and strong brand awareness, though its growth strategy is unproven.</p><p><blockquote>甜甜圈品牌<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DNUT\"><b>克里斯皮·克雷姆公司。</b></a>计划以38亿美元的市值筹集6亿美元。Krispy Kreme是一家全渠道企业，通过甜甜圈店网络、与零售商的合作伙伴关系以及电子商务和送货业务运营。该公司拥有悠久的业绩记录和强大的品牌知名度，尽管其增长战略尚未得到证实。</blockquote></p><p> Legal solutions provider&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LZ\">LegalZoom.com, Inc</a> </b>plans to raise $488 million at a $5.3 billion market cap. LegalZoom states that it is a leading online platform for legal and compliance solutions, claiming that 10% of new LLCs and 5% of new corporations in the US were formed via LegalZoom in 2020. Profitable on an EBITDA basis in the 1Q21, the company operates across all 50 states and over 3,000 counties in the US.</p><p><blockquote>法律解决方案提供商<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LZ\">LegalZoom.com公司</a></b>计划以53亿美元的市值筹集4.88亿美元。LegalZoom表示，它是法律和合规解决方案的领先在线平台，并声称2020年美国10%的新有限责任公司和5%的新公司是通过LegalZoom成立的。该公司在2021年第一季度以EBITDA为基础实现盈利，业务遍及美国所有50个州和3,000多个县。</blockquote></p><p> Identity verification platform&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YOU\">Clear Secure, Inc.</a></b> plans to raise $376 million at a $4.1 billion market cap. Clear Secure's secure identity platform uses to automate the identity verification process, with main offerings including CLEAR Plus, a consumer aviation subscription service, and two mobile apps. As of 5/31/21, Clear Secure's network included 38 airports, 26 sports and entertainment partners, and 67 Health Pass-enabled partners.</p><p><blockquote>身份验证平台<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YOU\">清晰安全公司。</a></b>计划以41亿美元的市值筹集3.76亿美元。Clear Secure的安全身份平台用于自动化身份验证过程，主要产品包括消费者航空订阅服务CLEAR Plus和两个移动应用程序。截至2011年5月31日，Clear Secure的网络包括38个机场、26个体育和娱乐合作伙伴以及67个支持健康通行证的合作伙伴。</blockquote></p><p> Chinese grocery delivery platform&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DDL\">Dingdong (Cayman) Limited</a> </b>plans to raise $343 million at a $6.0 billion market cap. With fresh groceries as its core product categories, Dingdong states that it is the fastest growing on-demand e-commerce company in China. Unprofitable with explosive growth, the company had a 10% share of the on-demand e-commerce market by GMV in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>中国杂货配送平台<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DDL\">叮咚（开曼）有限公司</a></b>计划以60亿美元的市值筹集3.43亿美元。叮咚表示，以生鲜杂货为核心产品类别，是中国发展最快的按需电子商务公司。由于爆炸式增长，该公司在2020年按GMV计算的按需电子商务市场份额为10%。</blockquote></p><p> SaaS solutions provider&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EVCM\">EverCommerce Inc.</a></b> plans to raise $325 million at a $3.4 billion market cap. EverCommerce is a leading provider of integrated, vertically-tailored SaaS solutions for service-based SMBs. The company serves over 500,000 customers across three core verticals: Home Services, Health Services, and Fitness &amp; Wellness Services.</p><p><blockquote>SaaS解决方案提供商<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EVCM\">EverCommerce公司。</a></b>计划以34亿美元的市值筹集3.25亿美元。EverCommerce是为服务型中小型企业提供垂直定制的集成SaaS解决方案的领先提供商。该公司为三个核心垂直领域的超过500,000名客户提供服务：家庭服务、健康服务以及健身与健康服务。</blockquote></p><p> Software provider&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTA\">Intapp, Inc.</a> </b>plans to raise $278 million at a $1.9 billion market cap. Intapp provides industry-specific, cloud-based software solutions for the professional and financial services industry globally. The company had over 1,600 clients as of March 31, 2021, and it currently has more than 20 clients with contracts greater than $1 million of ARR.</p><p><blockquote>软件供应商<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTA\">Intapp公司。</a></b>计划以19亿美元的市值筹集2.78亿美元。Intapp为全球专业和金融服务行业提供特定行业的基于云的软件解决方案。截至2021年3月31日，该公司拥有超过1,600名客户，目前有超过20名客户的合同ARR超过100万美元。</blockquote></p><p> Online manufacturing marketplace&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XMTR\">Xometry, Inc.</a></b> plans to raise $275 million at a $1.9 billion market cap. Xometry states that it is a leading AI-enabled marketplace for on-demand manufacturing. Its buyers include businesses ranging from self-funded start-ups to Fortune 100 companies. Since its inception, over 6.0 million parts have been manufactured through Xometry's platform.</p><p><blockquote>在线制造市场<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XMTR\">Xometry公司。</a></b>计划以19亿美元的市值筹集2.75亿美元。Xometry表示，它是一个领先的人工智能按需制造市场。其买家包括从自筹资金的初创企业到财富100强公司的企业。自成立以来，已通过Xometry平台制造了超过600万个零件。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IAS\">Integral Ad Science Holding LLC</a> </b>plans to raise $240 million at a $2.5 billion market cap. The company’s technology provides metrics designed to verify that digital ads are served to a real person, viewable on-screen, and appear in a brand-safe and suitable environment in the correct geography. Profitable on an EBIT basis, Integral Ad Science served over 2,000 customers as of 3/31/21.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IAS\">积分广告科学控股有限责任公司</a></b>计划以25亿美元的市值筹集2.4亿美元。该公司的技术提供了旨在验证数字广告是否提供给真人、可在屏幕上查看、并出现在正确地理位置的品牌安全和合适的环境中的指标。截至2011年3月31日，Integral Ad Science在EBIT实现盈利，为2,000多名客户提供服务。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Plus-sized women’s apparel brand&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CURV\">Torrid Holdings</a> </b>plans to raise $156 million at a $2.1 billion market cap. Torrid is the largest direct-to-consumer brand of women's plus-size apparel and intimates in North America by net sales. The profitable company markets directly to consumers via physical stores and its e-commerce platform, which represented a majority of sales in the 12 months ended 5/1/21.</p><p><blockquote>大码女装品牌<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CURV\">托瑞德控股</a></b>计划以21亿美元的市值筹集1.56亿美元。按净销售额计算，Torrid是北美最大的直接面向消费者的女性大码服装和内衣品牌。这家盈利的公司通过实体店及其电子商务平台直接向消费者营销，这占截至2011年5月1日的12个月销售额的大部分。</blockquote></p><p> Alzheimer’s biotech&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABOS\">Acumen Pharmaceuticals, Inc.</a></b> plans to raise $125 million at a $607 million market cap. The company's lead candidate, ACU193, is a humanized monoclonal antibody that selectively targets amyloid-beta oligomers. ACU193 entered a Phase 1 trial in patients with mild dementia or cognitive impairment due to AD in the 2Q21, with data expected by year end 2022.</p><p><blockquote>阿尔茨海默病生物技术<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABOS\">Acumen制药公司。</a></b>计划以6.07亿美元的市值筹集1.25亿美元。该公司的主要候选药物ACU193是一种选择性靶向β淀粉样蛋白寡聚体的人源化单克隆抗体。ACU193在2021年第二季度进入了针对轻度痴呆或AD导致认知障碍患者的1期试验，预计将于2022年底获得数据。</blockquote></p><p> Digital financial services provider&nbsp;<b>AMTD Digital</b>(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HKD\">$(HKD)$</a>) plans to raise $120 million at a $1.4 billion market cap. AMTD Digital states that it is the \"fusion reactor\" at the core of the AMTD SpiderNet ecosystem, operating a comprehensive digital solutions platform in Asia. Profitable with explosive growth, the company primarily generates revenue from fees and commissions in two lines of business.</p><p><blockquote>数字金融服务提供商<b>尚乘数科</b>(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HKD\">$(港币)$</a>）计划以14亿美元的市值筹集1.2亿美元。尚乘数科表示，它是尚乘蜘蛛网生态系统核心的“聚变反应堆”，在亚洲运营着全面的数字化解决方案平台。该公司利润呈爆炸式增长，主要通过两个业务线的费用和佣金产生收入。</blockquote></p><p> Drug formulation developer&nbsp;<b>Aerovate Therapeutics</b>(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVTE\">$(AVTE)$</a>) plans to raise $100 million at a $325 million market cap. Aerovate's initial focus is on advancing AV-101, a dry powder inhaled formulation of imatinib for the treatment of pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH). The company has completed a Phase 1 study in healthy volunteers and expects to begin a Phase 2b/3 trial in PAH patients in the 2H21.</p><p><blockquote>药物制剂开发人员<b>Aerovate疗法</b>(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVTE\">$(AVTE)$</a>）计划以3.25亿美元的市值筹集1亿美元。Aerovate最初的重点是推进AV-101，这是一种用于治疗肺动脉高压（PAH）的伊马替尼干粉吸入制剂。该公司已完成针对健康志愿者的1期研究，并预计将于2021年下半年开始针对PAH患者的2b/3期试验。</blockquote></p><p> Neuromodulation device provider<b>&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVRX\">CVRx Inc</a> </b>plans to raise $100 million at a $333 million market cap. CVRx manufactures and markets its minimally invasive neuromodulation solutions on its proprietary BAROSTIM platform. The company's states that its BAROSTEM NEO product is the first and only commercially available neuromodulation device indicated to improve symptoms for patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction.</p><p><blockquote>神经调节设备提供商<b> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVRX\">CVRx公司</a></b>计划以3.33亿美元的市值筹集1亿美元。CVRx在其专有的BAROSTIM平台上制造和销售其微创神经调节解决方案。该公司表示，其BAROSTEM NEO产品是第一款也是唯一一款可用于改善射血分数降低的心力衰竭患者症状的商用神经调节设备。</blockquote></p><p> Belgium-listed&nbsp;<b>Nyxoah</b>(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NYXH\">$(NYXH)$</a>) plans to raise $87 million at an $803 million market cap. Nyxoah's lead product is the Genio system, a CE-marked, minimally-invasive hypoglossal neurostimulation therapy for obstructive sleep apnea. The company began generating revenue from Genio in Europe in July 2020 and is currently conducting a pivotal trial designed to support marketing authorization in the US.</p><p><blockquote>比利时上市<b>尼克斯阿</b>(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NYXH\">$(NYXH)$</a>）计划以8.03亿美元的市值筹集8700万美元。Nyxoah的主导产品是Genio系统，这是一种通过CE认证的微创舌下神经刺激疗法，用于治疗阻塞性睡眠呼吸暂停。该公司于2020年7月开始在欧洲从Genio产生收入，目前正在进行一项旨在支持美国营销授权的关键试验。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/58f28d5f7f3b8e686c0bd006c2968b99\" tg-width=\"1131\" tg-height=\"684\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/508f1118f1d92b2b76391bc3610bd6c4\" tg-width=\"1131\" tg-height=\"657\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed04cd42fa30b460fcf67e07efa6ddc7\" tg-width=\"1130\" tg-height=\"166\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>IPO Market Snapshot</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IPO市场快照</b></blockquote></p><p> The Renaissance IPO Indices are market cap weighted baskets of newly public companies. As of 6/24/21, the Renaissance IPO Index was up 2.7% year-to-date, while the S&amp;P 500 was up 13.6%. Renaissance Capital's IPO ETF (NYSE: IPO) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Snowflake (SNOW) and Palantir Technologies (PLTR). The Renaissance International IPO Index was down 1.5% year-to-date, while the ACWX was up 10.3%. Renaissance Capital’s International IPO ETF (NYSE: IPOS) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Smoore International and EQT Partners.</p><p><blockquote>文艺复兴IPO指数是新上市公司的市值加权篮子。截至2011年6月24日，文艺复兴IPO指数今年迄今上涨2.7%，而标普500上涨13.6%。Renaissance Capital的IPO ETF（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IPO）跟踪该指数，持有的顶级ETF包括Snowflake（SNOW）和Palantir Technologies（PLTR）。Renaissance International IPO指数今年迄今下跌1.5%，而ACWX指数上涨10.3%。Renaissance Capital的国际IPO ETF（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IPOS）跟踪该指数，持有的顶级ETF包括思摩尔国际和殷拓合伙人。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/83318/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-DiDi-makes-its-billion-dollar-debut-in-a-17-IPO-week\">Renaissance Capital</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"INTA":"Intapp, Inc.","XMTR":"Xometry, Inc.","EVCM":"EverCommerce Inc.","CURV":"Torrid Holdings","DIDI":"滴滴(已退市)","CVRX":"CVRx, Inc.","ABOS":"Acumen Pharmaceuticals, Inc.","IAS":"Integral Ad Science Holding","S":"SentinelOne, Inc","HEPS":"D-MARKET Electronic Services & Trading","YOU":"Clear Secure, Inc.","DDL":"叮咚买菜","DNUT":"Krispy Kreme, Inc.","LZ":"LegalZoom.com, Inc"},"source_url":"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/83318/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-DiDi-makes-its-billion-dollar-debut-in-a-17-IPO-week","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1150095060","content_text":"17 IPOs are slated to raise $9.1 billion in this week, led by long-awaited Chinese ride-hailing giant DiDi Global Inc..\nDiDi plans to raise $3.9 billion at a $67.5 billion market cap. DiDi is China’s dominant ride-hailing app, with 15 million drivers across 4,000 cities and towns. The unprofitable company saw revenue more than double in the 1Q21 as its business recovered post-pandemic.New and existing investors intend to purchase $1.3 billion of the IPO.\nCybersecurity platform SentinelOne, Inc plans to raise $880 million at an $8.2 billion market cap. SentinelOne's Singularity Platform is an AI-powered extended detection and response platform that ingests, correlates and queries petabytes of structured and unstructured data to provide autonomous cybersecurity defense. Fast growing and unprofitable, the company had over 4,700 customers as of 4/30/21, up from 2,700 a year prior.\nTurkish e-commerce platform D-MARKET Electronic Services & Trading(HEPS) plans to raise $681 million at a $3.9 billion market cap. Operating under the name Hepsiburada, the company connected 33 million members, 9 million Active Customers, and a base of approximately 45 thousand Active Merchants in 2020. The company is fast growing but EBITDA swung negative in the 1Q21.\nDoughnut brand Krispy Kreme, Inc. plans to raise $600 million at a $3.8 billion market cap. Krispy Kreme is an omni-channel business operating through a network of doughnut shops, partnerships with retailers, and an e-Commerce and delivery business. The company has a long track record and strong brand awareness, though its growth strategy is unproven.\nLegal solutions provider LegalZoom.com, Inc plans to raise $488 million at a $5.3 billion market cap. LegalZoom states that it is a leading online platform for legal and compliance solutions, claiming that 10% of new LLCs and 5% of new corporations in the US were formed via LegalZoom in 2020. Profitable on an EBITDA basis in the 1Q21, the company operates across all 50 states and over 3,000 counties in the US.\nIdentity verification platform Clear Secure, Inc. plans to raise $376 million at a $4.1 billion market cap. Clear Secure's secure identity platform uses to automate the identity verification process, with main offerings including CLEAR Plus, a consumer aviation subscription service, and two mobile apps. As of 5/31/21, Clear Secure's network included 38 airports, 26 sports and entertainment partners, and 67 Health Pass-enabled partners.\nChinese grocery delivery platform Dingdong (Cayman) Limited plans to raise $343 million at a $6.0 billion market cap. With fresh groceries as its core product categories, Dingdong states that it is the fastest growing on-demand e-commerce company in China. Unprofitable with explosive growth, the company had a 10% share of the on-demand e-commerce market by GMV in 2020.\nSaaS solutions provider EverCommerce Inc. plans to raise $325 million at a $3.4 billion market cap. EverCommerce is a leading provider of integrated, vertically-tailored SaaS solutions for service-based SMBs. The company serves over 500,000 customers across three core verticals: Home Services, Health Services, and Fitness & Wellness Services.\nSoftware provider Intapp, Inc. plans to raise $278 million at a $1.9 billion market cap. Intapp provides industry-specific, cloud-based software solutions for the professional and financial services industry globally. The company had over 1,600 clients as of March 31, 2021, and it currently has more than 20 clients with contracts greater than $1 million of ARR.\nOnline manufacturing marketplace Xometry, Inc. plans to raise $275 million at a $1.9 billion market cap. Xometry states that it is a leading AI-enabled marketplace for on-demand manufacturing. Its buyers include businesses ranging from self-funded start-ups to Fortune 100 companies. Since its inception, over 6.0 million parts have been manufactured through Xometry's platform.\nIntegral Ad Science Holding LLC plans to raise $240 million at a $2.5 billion market cap. The company’s technology provides metrics designed to verify that digital ads are served to a real person, viewable on-screen, and appear in a brand-safe and suitable environment in the correct geography. Profitable on an EBIT basis, Integral Ad Science served over 2,000 customers as of 3/31/21.\nPlus-sized women’s apparel brand Torrid Holdings plans to raise $156 million at a $2.1 billion market cap. Torrid is the largest direct-to-consumer brand of women's plus-size apparel and intimates in North America by net sales. The profitable company markets directly to consumers via physical stores and its e-commerce platform, which represented a majority of sales in the 12 months ended 5/1/21.\nAlzheimer’s biotech Acumen Pharmaceuticals, Inc. plans to raise $125 million at a $607 million market cap. The company's lead candidate, ACU193, is a humanized monoclonal antibody that selectively targets amyloid-beta oligomers. ACU193 entered a Phase 1 trial in patients with mild dementia or cognitive impairment due to AD in the 2Q21, with data expected by year end 2022.\nDigital financial services provider AMTD Digital($(HKD)$) plans to raise $120 million at a $1.4 billion market cap. AMTD Digital states that it is the \"fusion reactor\" at the core of the AMTD SpiderNet ecosystem, operating a comprehensive digital solutions platform in Asia. Profitable with explosive growth, the company primarily generates revenue from fees and commissions in two lines of business.\nDrug formulation developer Aerovate Therapeutics($(AVTE)$) plans to raise $100 million at a $325 million market cap. Aerovate's initial focus is on advancing AV-101, a dry powder inhaled formulation of imatinib for the treatment of pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH). The company has completed a Phase 1 study in healthy volunteers and expects to begin a Phase 2b/3 trial in PAH patients in the 2H21.\nNeuromodulation device provider CVRx Inc plans to raise $100 million at a $333 million market cap. CVRx manufactures and markets its minimally invasive neuromodulation solutions on its proprietary BAROSTIM platform. The company's states that its BAROSTEM NEO product is the first and only commercially available neuromodulation device indicated to improve symptoms for patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction.\nBelgium-listed Nyxoah($(NYXH)$) plans to raise $87 million at an $803 million market cap. Nyxoah's lead product is the Genio system, a CE-marked, minimally-invasive hypoglossal neurostimulation therapy for obstructive sleep apnea. The company began generating revenue from Genio in Europe in July 2020 and is currently conducting a pivotal trial designed to support marketing authorization in the US.\n\nIPO Market Snapshot\nThe Renaissance IPO Indices are market cap weighted baskets of newly public companies. As of 6/24/21, the Renaissance IPO Index was up 2.7% year-to-date, while the S&P 500 was up 13.6%. Renaissance Capital's IPO ETF (NYSE: IPO) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Snowflake (SNOW) and Palantir Technologies (PLTR). The Renaissance International IPO Index was down 1.5% year-to-date, while the ACWX was up 10.3%. Renaissance Capital’s International IPO ETF (NYSE: IPOS) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Smoore International and EQT Partners.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"INTA":0.9,"CVRX":0.9,"DNUT":0.9,"LZ":0.9,"S":0.9,"ABOS":0.9,"XMTR":0.9,"YOU":0.9,"HEPS":0.9,"EVCM":0.9,"CURV":0.9,"IAS":0.9,"HKIB":0.9,"DDL":0.9,"DIDI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1231,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":121899253,"gmtCreate":1624457912772,"gmtModify":1634005839668,"author":{"id":"3564363528385098","authorId":"3564363528385098","name":"NamJooHyuk","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/839fb6690754e9dd71f40274a259d94e","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3564363528385098","idStr":"3564363528385098"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great&nbsp;","listText":"Great&nbsp;","text":"Great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/121899253","repostId":"1145825451","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1253,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":121890635,"gmtCreate":1624457895827,"gmtModify":1634005840735,"author":{"id":"3564363528385098","authorId":"3564363528385098","name":"NamJooHyuk","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/839fb6690754e9dd71f40274a259d94e","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3564363528385098","idStr":"3564363528385098"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great&nbsp;","listText":"Great&nbsp;","text":"Great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/121890635","repostId":"1145825451","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1741,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":167494479,"gmtCreate":1624281282091,"gmtModify":1634008488310,"author":{"id":"3564363528385098","authorId":"3564363528385098","name":"NamJooHyuk","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/839fb6690754e9dd71f40274a259d94e","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3564363528385098","idStr":"3564363528385098"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/167494479","repostId":"1157580942","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1157580942","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624280021,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1157580942?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-21 20:53","market":"us","language":"en","title":"PPT Assemble: Biden Summons Powell, Yellen, Gensler After Market Rout<blockquote>PPT集会：市场暴跌后拜登召见鲍威尔、耶伦、詹斯勒</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1157580942","media":"zerohedge","summary":"Did President Joe Biden just call an emergency meeting of the PPT after the Dow's worst week in 8 months?","content":"<p>Did President Joe Biden just call an emergency meeting of the PPT?</p><p><blockquote>乔·拜登总统刚刚召开了PPT紧急会议吗？</blockquote></p><p> Bloomberg reported Monday morning that Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen and a coterie of senior financial regulators have been summoned to a meeting with President Biden at the White House<b>following last week's selloff, which marked the worst week for the Dow in eight months.</b></p><p><blockquote>彭博社周一上午报道称，财政部长珍妮特·耶伦和一群高级金融监管机构已被传唤到白宫与拜登总统会面<b>继上周的抛售之后，这标志着道琼斯指数八个月来最糟糕的一周。</b></blockquote></p><p>   Federal Reserve Chief Jerome Powell, Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen, Acting Chairman of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission Rostin Behnam will attend meeting with President Biden today.Attendees also include:  The meeting, set for Tuesday, has been called to<b>discuss \"the state of the country's financial system and institutions\",</b>including discussions of climate risk and \"financial inclusion\".</p><p><blockquote>美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔、财政部长珍妮特·耶伦、商品期货交易委员会代理主席罗斯汀·贝纳姆将出席今天与拜登总统的会议。与会者还包括：定于周二举行的会议已召开<b>讨论“国家金融体系和机构的状况”，</b>包括气候风险和“金融包容性”的讨论。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/370a41562d7254377e2252191c713e20\" tg-width=\"517\" tg-height=\"333\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Now that the FOMC has signaled that the 'tapering talk' has finally begun via the latest hawkish tilt in its dot plot, released after the close of last week's two-day policy meeting, it's clear that America's economic policymakers are growing increasingly nervous about market stability, given last week's reaction to the Fed. As Lance Roberts pointed out, the implications of tapering are clear: it's positive for rates, and negative for equities.</p><p><blockquote>既然联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）通过上周为期两天的政策会议结束后发布的点阵图中最新的鹰派倾向，表明“缩减购债”终于开始了，很明显，美国经济政策制定者对市场越来越紧张。鉴于上周对美联储的反应，稳定。正如兰斯·罗伯茨（Lance Roberts）指出的那样，缩减规模的影响很明显：它对利率有利，对股市不利。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d8e1f7b0023a0bca720afb4bb5822567\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"249\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">And with President Biden preparing to raise taxes to finance his \"Build Back Better\" program of \"infrastructure\" investment, it's clearly in the White House's interest to do whatever it can to ensure an orderly market transition to the rising rate regime.</p><p><blockquote>随着拜登总统准备增税为他的“基础设施”投资“重建得更好”计划提供资金，尽一切努力确保市场有序过渡到利率上升制度显然符合白宫的利益。</blockquote></p><p> It's not like the PPT has been entirely absent from markets: wehave already seensuspected PPT interventions this year.</p><p><blockquote>市场上并不是完全没有PPT：今年我们已经看到了可疑的PPT干预措施。</blockquote></p><p> If our instincts are correct, this would markthe first meeting of the PPT since a call to discuss \"market conditions\"held last March as equity markets were in the middle of a brutal (if short-lived) bear market.</p><p><blockquote>如果我们的直觉是正确的，这将标志着自去年3月举行讨论“市场状况”的看涨期权以来PPT的首次会议，当时股市正处于残酷（如果短暂）的熊市之中。</blockquote></p><p> Powell is also expected to testify before Congress tomorrow in his latest testimony on the economy as required by the COVID stimulus.</p><p><blockquote>鲍威尔预计也将于明天在国会就新冠刺激计划的要求提供关于经济的最新证词。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>PPT Assemble: Biden Summons Powell, Yellen, Gensler After Market Rout<blockquote>PPT集会：市场暴跌后拜登召见鲍威尔、耶伦、詹斯勒</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPPT Assemble: Biden Summons Powell, Yellen, Gensler After Market Rout<blockquote>PPT集会：市场暴跌后拜登召见鲍威尔、耶伦、詹斯勒</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-21 20:53</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Did President Joe Biden just call an emergency meeting of the PPT?</p><p><blockquote>乔·拜登总统刚刚召开了PPT紧急会议吗？</blockquote></p><p> Bloomberg reported Monday morning that Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen and a coterie of senior financial regulators have been summoned to a meeting with President Biden at the White House<b>following last week's selloff, which marked the worst week for the Dow in eight months.</b></p><p><blockquote>彭博社周一上午报道称，财政部长珍妮特·耶伦和一群高级金融监管机构已被传唤到白宫与拜登总统会面<b>继上周的抛售之后，这标志着道琼斯指数八个月来最糟糕的一周。</b></blockquote></p><p>   Federal Reserve Chief Jerome Powell, Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen, Acting Chairman of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission Rostin Behnam will attend meeting with President Biden today.Attendees also include:  The meeting, set for Tuesday, has been called to<b>discuss \"the state of the country's financial system and institutions\",</b>including discussions of climate risk and \"financial inclusion\".</p><p><blockquote>美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔、财政部长珍妮特·耶伦、商品期货交易委员会代理主席罗斯汀·贝纳姆将出席今天与拜登总统的会议。与会者还包括：定于周二举行的会议已召开<b>讨论“国家金融体系和机构的状况”，</b>包括气候风险和“金融包容性”的讨论。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/370a41562d7254377e2252191c713e20\" tg-width=\"517\" tg-height=\"333\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Now that the FOMC has signaled that the 'tapering talk' has finally begun via the latest hawkish tilt in its dot plot, released after the close of last week's two-day policy meeting, it's clear that America's economic policymakers are growing increasingly nervous about market stability, given last week's reaction to the Fed. As Lance Roberts pointed out, the implications of tapering are clear: it's positive for rates, and negative for equities.</p><p><blockquote>既然联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）通过上周为期两天的政策会议结束后发布的点阵图中最新的鹰派倾向，表明“缩减购债”终于开始了，很明显，美国经济政策制定者对市场越来越紧张。鉴于上周对美联储的反应，稳定。正如兰斯·罗伯茨（Lance Roberts）指出的那样，缩减规模的影响很明显：它对利率有利，对股市不利。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d8e1f7b0023a0bca720afb4bb5822567\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"249\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">And with President Biden preparing to raise taxes to finance his \"Build Back Better\" program of \"infrastructure\" investment, it's clearly in the White House's interest to do whatever it can to ensure an orderly market transition to the rising rate regime.</p><p><blockquote>随着拜登总统准备增税为他的“基础设施”投资“重建得更好”计划提供资金，尽一切努力确保市场有序过渡到利率上升制度显然符合白宫的利益。</blockquote></p><p> It's not like the PPT has been entirely absent from markets: wehave already seensuspected PPT interventions this year.</p><p><blockquote>市场上并不是完全没有PPT：今年我们已经看到了可疑的PPT干预措施。</blockquote></p><p> If our instincts are correct, this would markthe first meeting of the PPT since a call to discuss \"market conditions\"held last March as equity markets were in the middle of a brutal (if short-lived) bear market.</p><p><blockquote>如果我们的直觉是正确的，这将标志着自去年3月举行讨论“市场状况”的看涨期权以来PPT的首次会议，当时股市正处于残酷（如果短暂）的熊市之中。</blockquote></p><p> Powell is also expected to testify before Congress tomorrow in his latest testimony on the economy as required by the COVID stimulus.</p><p><blockquote>鲍威尔预计也将于明天在国会就新冠刺激计划的要求提供关于经济的最新证词。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/ppt-assemble-biden-summons-powel-yellen-gensler-after-market-rout\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/ppt-assemble-biden-summons-powel-yellen-gensler-after-market-rout","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1157580942","content_text":"Did President Joe Biden just call an emergency meeting of the PPT?\nBloomberg reported Monday morning that Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen and a coterie of senior financial regulators have been summoned to a meeting with President Biden at the White Housefollowing last week's selloff, which marked the worst week for the Dow in eight months.\n\n Federal Reserve Chief Jerome Powell, Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen, Acting Chairman of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission Rostin Behnam will attend meeting with President Biden today.Attendees also include:\n\nThe meeting, set for Tuesday, has been called todiscuss \"the state of the country's financial system and institutions\",including discussions of climate risk and \"financial inclusion\".\nNow that the FOMC has signaled that the 'tapering talk' has finally begun via the latest hawkish tilt in its dot plot, released after the close of last week's two-day policy meeting, it's clear that America's economic policymakers are growing increasingly nervous about market stability, given last week's reaction to the Fed. As Lance Roberts pointed out, the implications of tapering are clear: it's positive for rates, and negative for equities.\nAnd with President Biden preparing to raise taxes to finance his \"Build Back Better\" program of \"infrastructure\" investment, it's clearly in the White House's interest to do whatever it can to ensure an orderly market transition to the rising rate regime.\nIt's not like the PPT has been entirely absent from markets: wehave already seensuspected PPT interventions this year.\nIf our instincts are correct, this would markthe first meeting of the PPT since a call to discuss \"market conditions\"held last March as equity markets were in the middle of a brutal (if short-lived) bear market.\nPowell is also expected to testify before Congress tomorrow in his latest testimony on the economy as required by the COVID stimulus.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1088,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":162745635,"gmtCreate":1624077830327,"gmtModify":1634010960839,"author":{"id":"3564363528385098","authorId":"3564363528385098","name":"NamJooHyuk","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/839fb6690754e9dd71f40274a259d94e","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3564363528385098","idStr":"3564363528385098"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/162745635","repostId":"2144218770","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1326,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":166404340,"gmtCreate":1624020947680,"gmtModify":1634024020753,"author":{"id":"3564363528385098","authorId":"3564363528385098","name":"NamJooHyuk","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/839fb6690754e9dd71f40274a259d94e","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3564363528385098","idStr":"3564363528385098"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"What is cheap ?&nbsp;","listText":"What is cheap ?&nbsp;","text":"What is cheap ?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/166404340","repostId":"1131081247","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1131081247","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624019171,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1131081247?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-18 20:26","market":"fut","language":"en","title":"Goldman sees Fed-driven dip in commodities as a 'buying opportunity'<blockquote>高盛将美联储推动的大宗商品下跌视为“买入机会”</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1131081247","media":"Reuters","summary":"(Reuters) - Goldman Sachs said on Friday the recent slip in commodities prices driven by the U.S. Fe","content":"<p>(Reuters) - Goldman Sachs said on Friday the recent slip in commodities prices driven by the U.S. Federal Reserve’s decision to bring forward projections for interest rate hikes into 2023 was a buying opportunity for investors.</p><p><blockquote>（路透社）-高盛周五表示，美联储决定将加息预测提前至2023年，导致大宗商品价格近期下滑，这对投资者来说是一个买入机会。</blockquote></p><p> “The bullish commodity thesis is neither about inflation risks nor Fed forward guidance. It is about scarcity and strong physical demand,” the Wall Street bank said in a note.</p><p><blockquote>这家华尔街银行在一份报告中表示：“看涨大宗商品的论点既不是关于通胀风险，也不是关于美联储的前瞻性指引。而是关于稀缺性和强劲的实物需求。”</blockquote></p><p> Physical scarcity, caused by robust demand growth and inelastic supply, could drive Brent crude oil prices to average $80 in the third quarter, with potential spikes above that level, Goldman analysts wrote.</p><p><blockquote>高盛分析师写道，强劲的需求增长和缺乏弹性的供应造成的实物稀缺可能会推动布伦特原油价格在第三季度平均达到80美元，并有可能飙升至该水平以上。</blockquote></p><p> Prices of commodities including oil, gold and copper fell as the U.S. dollar surged on the Federal Reserve’s outlook on interest rate hikes.</p><p><blockquote>包括石油、黄金和铜在内的大宗商品价格下跌，因美联储加息前景导致美元飙升。</blockquote></p><p> But oil prices were still close to multi-year highs, while gold has since seen a slight rebound, and copper was en route to its biggest weekly decline since March 2020.</p><p><blockquote>但油价仍接近多年高点，而金价此后小幅反弹，铜价有望创下2020年3月以来的最大单周跌幅。</blockquote></p><p> The copper market also remains on course for deficit conditions both over the remainder of this year and into 2022, the bank said, adding recent dips should be viewed as a longer-term buying opportunity.</p><p><blockquote>该行表示，铜市场在今年剩余时间和2022年仍将处于赤字状态，并补充说近期的下跌应被视为长期买入机会。</blockquote></p><p> A recovery in commodities markets excluding energy markets, however, is likely to be slower than from recent sell-offs as transient shocks from weather and Chinese-mandated repositioning have generated negative technical breakthroughs, Goldman warned.</p><p><blockquote>然而，高盛警告称，由于天气和中国强制重新定位的短暂冲击产生了负面的技术突破，不包括能源市场在内的大宗商品市场的复苏可能会慢于最近的抛售。</blockquote></p><p> Earlier this month, China’s state planner renewed a pledge to step up monitoring of commodity prices and strengthen supervision of spot and futures markets, as producer inflation in the country hit over 12 year-highs.</p><p><blockquote>本月早些时候，中国国家规划者再次承诺加强对大宗商品价格的监控，并加强对现货和期货市场的监管，因为中国的生产者通胀创下了12年来的新高。</blockquote></p><p> Goldman also viewed gold as under-valued relative to both real and nominal fundamentals.</p><p><blockquote>高盛还认为，相对于实际和名义基本面，黄金被低估。</blockquote></p><p> “In fact, gold is now pricing a Goldilocks scenario of strong growth without any inflation, implying limited demand for it as either a defensive asset or inflation hedge.”</p><p><blockquote>“事实上，黄金现在定价的是在没有任何通胀的情况下强劲增长的金发姑娘情景，这意味着对其作为防御性资产或通胀对冲的需求有限。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Goldman sees Fed-driven dip in commodities as a 'buying opportunity'<blockquote>高盛将美联储推动的大宗商品下跌视为“买入机会”</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGoldman sees Fed-driven dip in commodities as a 'buying opportunity'<blockquote>高盛将美联储推动的大宗商品下跌视为“买入机会”</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-18 20:26</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Reuters) - Goldman Sachs said on Friday the recent slip in commodities prices driven by the U.S. Federal Reserve’s decision to bring forward projections for interest rate hikes into 2023 was a buying opportunity for investors.</p><p><blockquote>（路透社）-高盛周五表示，美联储决定将加息预测提前至2023年，导致大宗商品价格近期下滑，这对投资者来说是一个买入机会。</blockquote></p><p> “The bullish commodity thesis is neither about inflation risks nor Fed forward guidance. It is about scarcity and strong physical demand,” the Wall Street bank said in a note.</p><p><blockquote>这家华尔街银行在一份报告中表示：“看涨大宗商品的论点既不是关于通胀风险，也不是关于美联储的前瞻性指引。而是关于稀缺性和强劲的实物需求。”</blockquote></p><p> Physical scarcity, caused by robust demand growth and inelastic supply, could drive Brent crude oil prices to average $80 in the third quarter, with potential spikes above that level, Goldman analysts wrote.</p><p><blockquote>高盛分析师写道，强劲的需求增长和缺乏弹性的供应造成的实物稀缺可能会推动布伦特原油价格在第三季度平均达到80美元，并有可能飙升至该水平以上。</blockquote></p><p> Prices of commodities including oil, gold and copper fell as the U.S. dollar surged on the Federal Reserve’s outlook on interest rate hikes.</p><p><blockquote>包括石油、黄金和铜在内的大宗商品价格下跌，因美联储加息前景导致美元飙升。</blockquote></p><p> But oil prices were still close to multi-year highs, while gold has since seen a slight rebound, and copper was en route to its biggest weekly decline since March 2020.</p><p><blockquote>但油价仍接近多年高点，而金价此后小幅反弹，铜价有望创下2020年3月以来的最大单周跌幅。</blockquote></p><p> The copper market also remains on course for deficit conditions both over the remainder of this year and into 2022, the bank said, adding recent dips should be viewed as a longer-term buying opportunity.</p><p><blockquote>该行表示，铜市场在今年剩余时间和2022年仍将处于赤字状态，并补充说近期的下跌应被视为长期买入机会。</blockquote></p><p> A recovery in commodities markets excluding energy markets, however, is likely to be slower than from recent sell-offs as transient shocks from weather and Chinese-mandated repositioning have generated negative technical breakthroughs, Goldman warned.</p><p><blockquote>然而，高盛警告称，由于天气和中国强制重新定位的短暂冲击产生了负面的技术突破，不包括能源市场在内的大宗商品市场的复苏可能会慢于最近的抛售。</blockquote></p><p> Earlier this month, China’s state planner renewed a pledge to step up monitoring of commodity prices and strengthen supervision of spot and futures markets, as producer inflation in the country hit over 12 year-highs.</p><p><blockquote>本月早些时候，中国国家规划者再次承诺加强对大宗商品价格的监控，并加强对现货和期货市场的监管，因为中国的生产者通胀创下了12年来的新高。</blockquote></p><p> Goldman also viewed gold as under-valued relative to both real and nominal fundamentals.</p><p><blockquote>高盛还认为，相对于实际和名义基本面，黄金被低估。</blockquote></p><p> “In fact, gold is now pricing a Goldilocks scenario of strong growth without any inflation, implying limited demand for it as either a defensive asset or inflation hedge.”</p><p><blockquote>“事实上，黄金现在定价的是在没有任何通胀的情况下强劲增长的金发姑娘情景，这意味着对其作为防御性资产或通胀对冲的需求有限。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/article/commodities-research-goldman/goldman-sees-fed-driven-dip-in-commodities-as-a-buying-opportunity-idUSL3N2O02QT\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GS":"高盛"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/article/commodities-research-goldman/goldman-sees-fed-driven-dip-in-commodities-as-a-buying-opportunity-idUSL3N2O02QT","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1131081247","content_text":"(Reuters) - Goldman Sachs said on Friday the recent slip in commodities prices driven by the U.S. Federal Reserve’s decision to bring forward projections for interest rate hikes into 2023 was a buying opportunity for investors.\n“The bullish commodity thesis is neither about inflation risks nor Fed forward guidance. It is about scarcity and strong physical demand,” the Wall Street bank said in a note.\nPhysical scarcity, caused by robust demand growth and inelastic supply, could drive Brent crude oil prices to average $80 in the third quarter, with potential spikes above that level, Goldman analysts wrote.\nPrices of commodities including oil, gold and copper fell as the U.S. dollar surged on the Federal Reserve’s outlook on interest rate hikes.\nBut oil prices were still close to multi-year highs, while gold has since seen a slight rebound, and copper was en route to its biggest weekly decline since March 2020.\nThe copper market also remains on course for deficit conditions both over the remainder of this year and into 2022, the bank said, adding recent dips should be viewed as a longer-term buying opportunity.\nA recovery in commodities markets excluding energy markets, however, is likely to be slower than from recent sell-offs as transient shocks from weather and Chinese-mandated repositioning have generated negative technical breakthroughs, Goldman warned.\nEarlier this month, China’s state planner renewed a pledge to step up monitoring of commodity prices and strengthen supervision of spot and futures markets, as producer inflation in the country hit over 12 year-highs.\nGoldman also viewed gold as under-valued relative to both real and nominal fundamentals.\n“In fact, gold is now pricing a Goldilocks scenario of strong growth without any inflation, implying limited demand for it as either a defensive asset or inflation hedge.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GS":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1246,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":166945895,"gmtCreate":1623989778217,"gmtModify":1634024503597,"author":{"id":"3564363528385098","authorId":"3564363528385098","name":"NamJooHyuk","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/839fb6690754e9dd71f40274a259d94e","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3564363528385098","idStr":"3564363528385098"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice&nbsp;","listText":"Nice&nbsp;","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/166945895","repostId":"1175693382","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1175693382","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623978463,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1175693382?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-18 09:07","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Alibaba Stock: The Bottoming Process Looks To Be Forming Already<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股票：触底过程似乎已经形成</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1175693382","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Alibaba is probably the most undervalued growth stock right now.The company’s multiple growth drivers within a rapidly expanding market made its valuations look even more baffling.The short term technical picture may be turning bullish with a potential double bottom price action signal.When we take things into clearer perspective by comparing China’s growth rate and size of its market to that of the U.S. e-commerce market, we could see the huge differences in their sizes and growth rates as the ","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Alibaba is probably the most undervalued growth stock right now.</li>  <li>The company’s multiple growth drivers within a rapidly expanding market made its valuations look even more baffling.</li>  <li>The short term technical picture may be turning bullish with a potential double bottom price action signal.</li>  <li>We discuss the company’s multiple growth drivers and let investors judge for themselves.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/05e63c77d4f3f3dc3d618e43044638bb\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\"><span>Yongyuan Dai/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>阿里巴巴-SW可能是目前最被低估的成长型股票。</li><li>该公司在快速扩张的市场中的多种增长动力使其估值看起来更加令人困惑。</li><li>短期技术面可能会转向看涨，并出现潜在的双底价格走势信号。</li><li>我们讨论公司的多种增长动力，让投资者自行判断。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>戴永源/iStock未通过Getty Images发布</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Technical Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>技术论文</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7febf6ed056b0e3bc038321cdaad9b1c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"782\"><span>Source: TradingView</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：TradingView</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Alibaba’s&nbsp;stock price has endured a terrible 8 months ever since its Ant Financial IPO was pulled in early Nov 20, with the stock languishing in the doldrums 34% off its high. When considering the health of its long term uptrend, it’s clear that BABA has a relatively strong uptrend bias and has generally been well supported along its key 50W MA. The only other time in the last 4 years that it lost its key 50W MA support level was during the 2018 bear market where BABA dropped about 40%, but was still well supported above the important 200W MA, which we usually consider as the “last line of defense”. Right now BABA is somewhat facing a similar situation again: down 34%, lost the 50W MA, but looks to be well supported above the 200W MA. In addition to that, one interesting observation in price action analysis may lead price action traders/investors to be especially bullish: a potential double bottom formation. BABA's price is seemingly going through a double bottom like it did during the 2018 bear market before it rallied strongly thereafter. As a result, BABA’s current level may offer a possible technical buy entry point now.</p><p><blockquote>自11月20日早些时候蚂蚁金服IPO被取消以来，阿里巴巴-SW的股价已经经历了可怕的8个月，股价低迷，较高点下跌了34%。当考虑其长期上升趋势的健康状况时，很明显BABA具有相对较强的上升趋势偏差，并且通常在其关键的50W MA上得到良好支撑。过去4年中唯一一次失去关键的50W MA支撑位是在2018年熊市期间，BABA下跌了约40%，但仍在重要的200W MA上方得到良好支撑，我们通常认为这是“最后一道防线”。现在阿里巴巴再次面临类似的情况：下跌34%，失去了50W MA，但看起来在200W MA上方得到了很好的支撑。除此之外，价格行为分析中的一个有趣观察可能会导致价格行为交易者/投资者特别看涨：潜在的双底形成。阿里巴巴的价格似乎正在经历双底，就像2018年熊市期间一样，随后强劲反弹。因此，阿里巴巴目前的水平现在可能提供一个可能的技术买入切入点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BABA's Fundamental Thesis: Rapidly Expanding Growth Drivers</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴的基本论点：快速扩大增长动力</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eba49f5881708929949c30628eedc5d4\" tg-width=\"934\" tg-height=\"578\"><span>Annual GMV. Data source: Company filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>年度GMV。数据来源：公司备案</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a4d6c4ed3e2402f5af52b2dea8bab411\" tg-width=\"836\" tg-height=\"517\"><span>Annual e-commerce revenue. Data source: Company filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>年电子商务收入。数据来源：公司备案</span></p></blockquote></p><p> BABA’s GMV grew from 1.68T yuan to 7.49T yuan in just a matter of 7 years, which represented a CAGR of 23.8%, a truly amazing growth rate. We also saw its GMV growth being converted into revenue growth as its China commerce revenue grew from 7.67B yuan to 473.68B yuan, at a CAGR of 51% over the last 10 years. While its international footprint remains considerably smaller, it still grew at a CAGR of 30.42% over the last 10 years, which was by no means slow.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴的GMV在短短7年内从1.68 T元增长到7.49 T元，复合年增长率为23.8%，增速确实惊人。我们还看到其GMV增长转化为收入增长，其中国商业收入从76.7亿元增长至4736.8亿元，过去10年复合年增长率为51%。虽然其国际足迹仍然相当小，但在过去10年中，其复合年增长率仍为30.42%，这一点也不慢。</blockquote></p><p> Even though China’s e-commerce market is expected to grow considerably slower at a CAGR of 12.4% over the next three years, from 13.8T yuan, equivalent to $2.16T in 2021 to 19.6T yuan,equivalent to $3.06T by 2024, the massive size of the market still offers tremendous upside potential for BABA and its closest competitors to grow into.</p><p><blockquote>尽管预计未来三年中国电子商务市场的增长速度将大幅放缓，复合年增长率为12.4%，从2021年的13.8 T元（相当于2.16 T美元）增长到2024年的19.6 T元（相当于3.06 T美元），但庞大的市场规模仍然为阿里巴巴及其最接近的竞争对手提供了巨大的增长潜力。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ffe2dee43f267e1d1399c68e3ca60f36\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>E-commerce revenue in the U.S. Data source: Statista</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>美国电子商务收入数据来源：Statista</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When we take things into clearer perspective by comparing China’s growth rate and size of its market to that of the U.S. e-commerce market, we could see the huge differences in their sizes and growth rates as the U.S. e-commerce market is only expected to grow at a CAGR of 4.67% from 2021 to 2025, which is significantly slower than China’s 12.4%. In addition, the U.S. market is also expected to reach about $563B in total revenue, which is 18% of what the China market is expected to be worth by then.</p><p><blockquote>当我们通过比较中国与美国电子商务市场的增长率和规模来更清晰地看待事物时，我们可以看到它们的规模和增长率的巨大差异，因为美国电子商务市场预计仅增长2021年至2025年的复合年增长率为4.67%，明显低于中国的12.4%。此外，美国市场的总收入预计也将达到约5630亿美元，是届时中国市场预计价值的18%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d5a8d0d8a6a2dcdf667a6f33c6c9771\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"702\"><span>Peers EBIT Margin and Projected EBIT Margin. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>同行息税前利润率和预计息税前利润率。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Even though Alibaba has been facing increased competitive pressures from its fast growing key competitors: JD.com(NASDAQ:JD)and Pinduoduo(NASDAQ:PDD), BABA has already been operating a much more profitable business (both EBIT and FCF), and is expected to continue delivering strong profitability moving forward, which should give the company tremendous flexibility to compete head on with JD and PDD in its quest to extend its leadership. Investors may observe that BABA’s EBIT margin was affected by the one-off administrative penalty of $2,782M that was reflected in its SG&amp;A, and therefore skewed its EBIT margin to the downside.</p><p><blockquote>尽管阿里巴巴-SW一直面临着来自快速增长的主要竞争对手京东（纳斯达克：JD）和拼多多（纳斯达克：PDD）的越来越大的竞争压力，但阿里巴巴已经在经营利润更高的业务（息税前利润和自由现金流），并且预计未来将继续实现强劲的盈利能力，这将使该公司具有巨大的灵活性，可以与京东和拼多多正面竞争，以扩大其领导地位。投资者可能会注意到，阿里巴巴的息税前利润率受到其SG&amp;A中反映的27.82亿美元一次性行政罚款的影响，因此其息税前利润率出现下行。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> One important move was the company’s decision to further its investment in the Community Marketplace, which is PDD’s main e-commerce strategy that saw PDD gain a total of&nbsp;823M AAC&nbsp;in its latest quarter as compared to BABA’s 891M AAC. PDD’s AAC growth is truly phenomenal considering it had only&nbsp;100M AAC in Q2’C17&nbsp;as compared to BABA’s 466M AAC in the same period.</p><p><blockquote>一项重要举措是该公司决定进一步投资社区市场，这是拼多多的主要电子商务战略，拼多多在最近一个季度总共获得了8.23亿AAC，而阿里巴巴的AAC为8.91亿。与阿里巴巴同期的4.66亿AAC相比，拼多多的AAC在2017年第二季度仅有1亿AAC，其AAC增长确实是惊人的。</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, the momentum of growth has surely swung over to the Community Marketplace segment and BABA would need to pull out its big guns (which it has) to compete for dominance with PDD and JD.</p><p><blockquote>因此，增长势头肯定已经转向社区市场领域，阿里巴巴需要拿出重磅炸弹（它已经拥有）来与拼多多和京东争夺主导地位。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b83b69b08b1f4b11a26393c8e6eead5\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Market size of community group buying in China. Data source: iiMedia Research</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国社区团购的市场规模。数据来源：艾媒咨询</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Even though the expected total market size of 102B yuan by 2022 represented only about 21.5% of BABA’s FY 21 China commerce revenue, the expected rapid CAGR of 44.22% over 3 years from 2019 to 2022 cannot be missed by BABA. Although the market is still relatively small, BABA cannot allow the current leader in this market: PDD to so easily dominate and gobble up the early high growth rates at the ignorance of everyone else. Certainly BABA must compete and fight for its place in this segment and strive for early leadership to prevent PDD from extending its lead.</p><p><blockquote>尽管预计到2022年1020亿元的总市场规模仅占阿里巴巴21财年中国商业收入的21.5%左右，但阿里巴巴不能错过2019年至2022年3年内44.22%的预期快速复合年增长率。虽然市场还比较小，但BABA不能让这个市场目前的龙头：PDD在旁人无知的情况下，如此轻易地称霸并吞噬早期的高增长率。当然，阿里巴巴必须竞争并争取自己在这一领域的地位，并争取早期领导地位，以防止拼多多扩大领先优势。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b97b2b4a8a182dc9846d8fb7e4039877\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"770\"><span>PDD profitability metrics &amp; revenue growth forecast. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>PDD盈利指标和收入增长预测。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> We could observe from the above chart that PDD is expected to continue growing its revenue rapidly over the next few years, even though they are expected to normalize subsequently. More importantly, PDD is also expected to increasingly improve its EBIT and FCF profitability moving forward. This shows that the Community Marketplace segment is an highly important growth driver that BABA must use its strength to exploit in order to deny PDD’s claim to undisputed leadership so early on in the game.</p><p><blockquote>我们可以从上图中观察到，拼多多的收入预计将在未来几年继续快速增长，尽管预计随后将正常化。更重要的是，拼多多预计未来的息税前利润和自由现金流盈利能力也将日益提高。这表明社区市场细分市场是一个非常重要的增长动力，阿里巴巴必须利用其优势来利用它，以否认拼多多在游戏早期声称的无可争议的领导地位。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3aadc32155b4108426a1a982e3b5b1c2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\"><span>China public cloud spending. Source:China Internet Watch; Canalys</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国公有云支出。来源：中国互联网观察；Canalys</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c1538b9f7bdc8d6d35a72d9acf8ecbc\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Size of China public cloud market. Data source: CAICT; Sina.com.cn</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国公有云市场规模。数据来源：中国信通技术；新浪网</span></p></blockquote></p><p> BABA has a 40% share in China’s public cloud market, way ahead of its key competitors. However, it’s important to note that despite this leadership, BABA is still in heavy investment mode to continue growing its market share as China’s public cloud market is expected to grow from 26.48B yuan in 2017 to 230.74B yuan by 2023, which would represent a CAGR of 43.4%, an incredibly stellar growth rate. This is especially clear when we compare China’s growth rate to the worldwide growth rate (see below) as public cloud spending worldwide is expected to grow from $145B in 2017 to $397B by 2022, that would represent a CAGR of 22.3%.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴在中国公有云市场拥有40%的份额，远远领先于其主要竞争对手。然而，值得注意的是，尽管处于领先地位，阿里巴巴仍处于大力投资模式，以继续扩大其市场份额，因为中国公共云市场预计将从2017年的264.8亿元增长到2023年的2307.4亿元，这将代表CAGR 43.4%，这是一个令人难以置信的出色增长率。当我们将中国的增长率与全球增长率（见下文）进行比较时，这一点尤其明显，因为全球公共云支出预计将从2017年的1450亿美元增长到2022年的3970亿美元，这将代表22.3%的CAGR。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06198c569504bc303c34563041dfb294\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Worldwide public cloud spending. Data source: Gartner</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>全球公共云支出。数据来源：Gartner</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8482037f60575f964053ab732496bee3\" tg-width=\"1176\" tg-height=\"700\"><span>Worldwide public cloud market share. Source:CnTechPost; Gartner</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>全球公共云市场份额。来源：CnTechPost；Gartner</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Therefore, I don’t find it surprising that Ali Cloud has continued to extend its lead over Alphabet’s(NASDAQ:GOOGL)(NASDAQ:GOOG)GCP with a market share of 9.5% in 2020. While AMZN remains the clear leader in the market, its market share has been coming down considerably as public cloud spending continues to expand, indicating that there is a huge potential for growth for multiple players to exist. With BABA’s leadership in the rapidly expanding Chinese market, I’m increasingly bullish on the future profit and FCF contribution from this segment to BABA’s performance over time. Although BABA’s cloud segment has not been EBIT profitable yet (FY 21 EBIT margin: -15%, FY 20 EBIT margin: -17.5%), it’s also useful to note that GCP has also not been profitable for Alphabet as well (FY 20 EBIT margin: -42.9%, FY 19 EBIT margin: -52%). Therefore, we need to give BABA some time to scale up its cloud services in APAC and in China where it is expected to have stronger leadership to allow it to grow faster and investors should expect this to be a highly profitable segment over time.</p><p><blockquote>因此，阿里云在2020年以9.5%的市场份额继续扩大对Alphabet（纳斯达克：GOOGL）（纳斯达克：GOOG）GCP的领先优势，我并不觉得奇怪。虽然亚马逊仍然是市场上明显的领导者，但随着公共云支出的持续扩大，其市场份额一直在大幅下降，这表明多个参与者存在巨大的增长潜力。凭借阿里巴巴在快速扩张的中国市场的领导地位，我越来越看好该细分市场未来的利润和自由现金流对阿里巴巴业绩的贡献。尽管阿里巴巴的云部门尚未实现息税前利润（21财年息税前利润率：-15%，20财年息税前利润率：-17.5%），但值得注意的是，Alphabet的GCP也尚未实现盈利（20财年息税前利润率：-42.9%，19财年息税前利润率：-52%）。因此，我们需要给阿里巴巴一些时间来扩大其在亚太地区和中国的云服务规模，预计阿里巴巴将拥有更强大的领导力，使其能够更快地增长，投资者应该预计随着时间的推移，这将是一个高利润的细分市场。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BABA's Valuations Look Highly Compelling</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴的估值看起来非常引人注目</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62a087c4b3ef7efc2c5dde813e3b959d\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"600\"><span>NTM TEV / EBIT 3Y range.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>NTM TEV/EBIT 3Y范围。</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2605c0e5ad364a7a43929fef204595c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"687\"><span>EV / Fwd EBIT and EV / Fwd Rev trend. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>EV/Fwd息税前利润和EV/Fwd Rev趋势。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When we consider BABA's TEV / EBIT historical range, where the 3Y mean read 33.54x, BABA’s EV / Fwd EBIT trend certainly imply a hugely undervalued stock as BABA is still expected to grow its revenue and operating profits rapidly. However, as we wanted to obtain greater clarity over how its counterparts are also valued, we thought it would be useful if we value BABA’s EBIT over a set of benchmark companies that is presented below.</p><p><blockquote>当我们考虑阿里巴巴的TEV/EBIT历史范围（3年平均值为33.54倍）时，阿里巴巴的EV/Fwd EBIT趋势无疑意味着该股票被严重低估，因为预计阿里巴巴的收入和营业利润仍将快速增长。然而，由于我们希望更清楚地了解其同行的估值情况，我们认为如果我们对阿里巴巴的息税前利润进行估值，而不是下面介绍的一组基准公司，这将是有用的。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d27873e676dfb23c98d4a69aa5861e02\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"1117\"><span>Peers EV / EBIT Valuations. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>同行EV/EBIT估值。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> By using a blend of historical and forward EBIT, we could see that BABA’s EV / EBIT really looks undervalued when compared to the median value of the set of observed values from the benchmark companies. We derived a fair value range for BABA of $294.98 at the midpoint of the range, that represented a potential upside of 40.5% based on the current stock price of $210.</p><p><blockquote>通过混合使用历史和远期息税前利润，我们可以看到，与基准公司一组观察值的中值相比，阿里巴巴的EV/EBIT看起来确实被低估了。我们得出阿里巴巴的公允价值范围为294.98美元，位于该范围的中点，基于当前210美元的股价，这意味着40.5%的潜在上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks to Assumptions</b></p><p><blockquote><b>假设风险</b></blockquote></p><p> Now, it’s obviously baffling to watch how Mr. Market has decided to discount BABA to such an extent as if the company has lost all its key sources of growth, when in fact there is still so much potential upside coming from its commerce segment, the new marketplace initiatives and its growing Ali Cloud segment, among others. The main realistic reason that we identified for the stock's underperformance would simply be regulatory risk. We think investors should acknowledge that this risk is very real and at times huge Chinese companies have found themselves to be subjected to extra scrutiny (which is nothing new in fact) by the Chinese government. What’s critical here is that the Chinese government seemingly has significant clout over the behavior and actions of their tech behemoths that at times may be largely unpredictable. The market certainly hates unpredictability and therefore they may have significantly discounted BABA as a result of that. If investors are not able to handle uncertainty with regard to potentially unpredictable regulatory actions and their aftermath, then BABA may not be appropriate for you. However, if you believe that this is just a blip in BABA’s long journey, then you would surely find BABA's valuations extremely attractive right now, coupled with a long term mindset.</p><p><blockquote>现在，看着先生如何表现显然令人困惑。市场决定对阿里巴巴进行折扣，就好像该公司已经失去了所有关键的增长来源，而事实上，其商业部门、新的市场举措和不断增长的阿里云部门仍有很大的潜在上涨空间，其中。我们认为该股表现不佳的主要现实原因只是监管风险。我们认为投资者应该承认这种风险是非常真实的，有时大型中国公司会发现自己受到中国政府的额外审查（事实上这并不是什么新鲜事）。这里关键的是，中国政府似乎对其科技巨头的行为和行动拥有重大影响力，而这些影响力有时可能在很大程度上是不可预测的。市场当然讨厌不可预测性，因此他们可能会因此大幅折扣阿里巴巴。如果投资者无法应对潜在不可预测的监管行动及其后果的不确定性，那么阿里巴巴可能不适合您。然而，如果你认为这只是阿里巴巴漫长旅程中的一个短暂时刻，那么你肯定会发现阿里巴巴现在的估值极具吸引力，再加上长期思维。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wrapping It All Up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>把这一切包起来</b></blockquote></p><p> Alibaba has continued to deliver solid results that demonstrated the strong capability of the company to execute well. As the company continues to operate within a market with so many growth drivers that are expected to drive the company’s future growth, investors should find the current valuations highly attractive.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW继续取得稳健的业绩，展示了公司强大的执行能力。由于该公司继续在一个拥有如此多增长动力的市场中运营，预计将推动公司未来的增长，投资者应该会发现当前的估值非常有吸引力。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba Stock: The Bottoming Process Looks To Be Forming Already<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股票：触底过程似乎已经形成</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba Stock: The Bottoming Process Looks To Be Forming Already<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股票：触底过程似乎已经形成</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-18 09:07</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Alibaba is probably the most undervalued growth stock right now.</li>  <li>The company’s multiple growth drivers within a rapidly expanding market made its valuations look even more baffling.</li>  <li>The short term technical picture may be turning bullish with a potential double bottom price action signal.</li>  <li>We discuss the company’s multiple growth drivers and let investors judge for themselves.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/05e63c77d4f3f3dc3d618e43044638bb\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\"><span>Yongyuan Dai/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>阿里巴巴-SW可能是目前最被低估的成长型股票。</li><li>该公司在快速扩张的市场中的多种增长动力使其估值看起来更加令人困惑。</li><li>短期技术面可能会转向看涨，并出现潜在的双底价格走势信号。</li><li>我们讨论公司的多种增长动力，让投资者自行判断。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>戴永源/iStock未通过Getty Images发布</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Technical Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>技术论文</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7febf6ed056b0e3bc038321cdaad9b1c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"782\"><span>Source: TradingView</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：TradingView</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Alibaba’s&nbsp;stock price has endured a terrible 8 months ever since its Ant Financial IPO was pulled in early Nov 20, with the stock languishing in the doldrums 34% off its high. When considering the health of its long term uptrend, it’s clear that BABA has a relatively strong uptrend bias and has generally been well supported along its key 50W MA. The only other time in the last 4 years that it lost its key 50W MA support level was during the 2018 bear market where BABA dropped about 40%, but was still well supported above the important 200W MA, which we usually consider as the “last line of defense”. Right now BABA is somewhat facing a similar situation again: down 34%, lost the 50W MA, but looks to be well supported above the 200W MA. In addition to that, one interesting observation in price action analysis may lead price action traders/investors to be especially bullish: a potential double bottom formation. BABA's price is seemingly going through a double bottom like it did during the 2018 bear market before it rallied strongly thereafter. As a result, BABA’s current level may offer a possible technical buy entry point now.</p><p><blockquote>自11月20日早些时候蚂蚁金服IPO被取消以来，阿里巴巴-SW的股价已经经历了可怕的8个月，股价低迷，较高点下跌了34%。当考虑其长期上升趋势的健康状况时，很明显BABA具有相对较强的上升趋势偏差，并且通常在其关键的50W MA上得到良好支撑。过去4年中唯一一次失去关键的50W MA支撑位是在2018年熊市期间，BABA下跌了约40%，但仍在重要的200W MA上方得到良好支撑，我们通常认为这是“最后一道防线”。现在阿里巴巴再次面临类似的情况：下跌34%，失去了50W MA，但看起来在200W MA上方得到了很好的支撑。除此之外，价格行为分析中的一个有趣观察可能会导致价格行为交易者/投资者特别看涨：潜在的双底形成。阿里巴巴的价格似乎正在经历双底，就像2018年熊市期间一样，随后强劲反弹。因此，阿里巴巴目前的水平现在可能提供一个可能的技术买入切入点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BABA's Fundamental Thesis: Rapidly Expanding Growth Drivers</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴的基本论点：快速扩大增长动力</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eba49f5881708929949c30628eedc5d4\" tg-width=\"934\" tg-height=\"578\"><span>Annual GMV. Data source: Company filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>年度GMV。数据来源：公司备案</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a4d6c4ed3e2402f5af52b2dea8bab411\" tg-width=\"836\" tg-height=\"517\"><span>Annual e-commerce revenue. Data source: Company filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>年电子商务收入。数据来源：公司备案</span></p></blockquote></p><p> BABA’s GMV grew from 1.68T yuan to 7.49T yuan in just a matter of 7 years, which represented a CAGR of 23.8%, a truly amazing growth rate. We also saw its GMV growth being converted into revenue growth as its China commerce revenue grew from 7.67B yuan to 473.68B yuan, at a CAGR of 51% over the last 10 years. While its international footprint remains considerably smaller, it still grew at a CAGR of 30.42% over the last 10 years, which was by no means slow.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴的GMV在短短7年内从1.68 T元增长到7.49 T元，复合年增长率为23.8%，增速确实惊人。我们还看到其GMV增长转化为收入增长，其中国商业收入从76.7亿元增长至4736.8亿元，过去10年复合年增长率为51%。虽然其国际足迹仍然相当小，但在过去10年中，其复合年增长率仍为30.42%，这一点也不慢。</blockquote></p><p> Even though China’s e-commerce market is expected to grow considerably slower at a CAGR of 12.4% over the next three years, from 13.8T yuan, equivalent to $2.16T in 2021 to 19.6T yuan,equivalent to $3.06T by 2024, the massive size of the market still offers tremendous upside potential for BABA and its closest competitors to grow into.</p><p><blockquote>尽管预计未来三年中国电子商务市场的增长速度将大幅放缓，复合年增长率为12.4%，从2021年的13.8 T元（相当于2.16 T美元）增长到2024年的19.6 T元（相当于3.06 T美元），但庞大的市场规模仍然为阿里巴巴及其最接近的竞争对手提供了巨大的增长潜力。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ffe2dee43f267e1d1399c68e3ca60f36\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>E-commerce revenue in the U.S. Data source: Statista</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>美国电子商务收入数据来源：Statista</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When we take things into clearer perspective by comparing China’s growth rate and size of its market to that of the U.S. e-commerce market, we could see the huge differences in their sizes and growth rates as the U.S. e-commerce market is only expected to grow at a CAGR of 4.67% from 2021 to 2025, which is significantly slower than China’s 12.4%. In addition, the U.S. market is also expected to reach about $563B in total revenue, which is 18% of what the China market is expected to be worth by then.</p><p><blockquote>当我们通过比较中国与美国电子商务市场的增长率和规模来更清晰地看待事物时，我们可以看到它们的规模和增长率的巨大差异，因为美国电子商务市场预计仅增长2021年至2025年的复合年增长率为4.67%，明显低于中国的12.4%。此外，美国市场的总收入预计也将达到约5630亿美元，是届时中国市场预计价值的18%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d5a8d0d8a6a2dcdf667a6f33c6c9771\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"702\"><span>Peers EBIT Margin and Projected EBIT Margin. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>同行息税前利润率和预计息税前利润率。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Even though Alibaba has been facing increased competitive pressures from its fast growing key competitors: JD.com(NASDAQ:JD)and Pinduoduo(NASDAQ:PDD), BABA has already been operating a much more profitable business (both EBIT and FCF), and is expected to continue delivering strong profitability moving forward, which should give the company tremendous flexibility to compete head on with JD and PDD in its quest to extend its leadership. Investors may observe that BABA’s EBIT margin was affected by the one-off administrative penalty of $2,782M that was reflected in its SG&amp;A, and therefore skewed its EBIT margin to the downside.</p><p><blockquote>尽管阿里巴巴-SW一直面临着来自快速增长的主要竞争对手京东（纳斯达克：JD）和拼多多（纳斯达克：PDD）的越来越大的竞争压力，但阿里巴巴已经在经营利润更高的业务（息税前利润和自由现金流），并且预计未来将继续实现强劲的盈利能力，这将使该公司具有巨大的灵活性，可以与京东和拼多多正面竞争，以扩大其领导地位。投资者可能会注意到，阿里巴巴的息税前利润率受到其SG&amp;A中反映的27.82亿美元一次性行政罚款的影响，因此其息税前利润率出现下行。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> One important move was the company’s decision to further its investment in the Community Marketplace, which is PDD’s main e-commerce strategy that saw PDD gain a total of&nbsp;823M AAC&nbsp;in its latest quarter as compared to BABA’s 891M AAC. PDD’s AAC growth is truly phenomenal considering it had only&nbsp;100M AAC in Q2’C17&nbsp;as compared to BABA’s 466M AAC in the same period.</p><p><blockquote>一项重要举措是该公司决定进一步投资社区市场，这是拼多多的主要电子商务战略，拼多多在最近一个季度总共获得了8.23亿AAC，而阿里巴巴的AAC为8.91亿。与阿里巴巴同期的4.66亿AAC相比，拼多多的AAC在2017年第二季度仅有1亿AAC，其AAC增长确实是惊人的。</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, the momentum of growth has surely swung over to the Community Marketplace segment and BABA would need to pull out its big guns (which it has) to compete for dominance with PDD and JD.</p><p><blockquote>因此，增长势头肯定已经转向社区市场领域，阿里巴巴需要拿出重磅炸弹（它已经拥有）来与拼多多和京东争夺主导地位。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b83b69b08b1f4b11a26393c8e6eead5\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Market size of community group buying in China. Data source: iiMedia Research</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国社区团购的市场规模。数据来源：艾媒咨询</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Even though the expected total market size of 102B yuan by 2022 represented only about 21.5% of BABA’s FY 21 China commerce revenue, the expected rapid CAGR of 44.22% over 3 years from 2019 to 2022 cannot be missed by BABA. Although the market is still relatively small, BABA cannot allow the current leader in this market: PDD to so easily dominate and gobble up the early high growth rates at the ignorance of everyone else. Certainly BABA must compete and fight for its place in this segment and strive for early leadership to prevent PDD from extending its lead.</p><p><blockquote>尽管预计到2022年1020亿元的总市场规模仅占阿里巴巴21财年中国商业收入的21.5%左右，但阿里巴巴不能错过2019年至2022年3年内44.22%的预期快速复合年增长率。虽然市场还比较小，但BABA不能让这个市场目前的龙头：PDD在旁人无知的情况下，如此轻易地称霸并吞噬早期的高增长率。当然，阿里巴巴必须竞争并争取自己在这一领域的地位，并争取早期领导地位，以防止拼多多扩大领先优势。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b97b2b4a8a182dc9846d8fb7e4039877\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"770\"><span>PDD profitability metrics &amp; revenue growth forecast. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>PDD盈利指标和收入增长预测。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> We could observe from the above chart that PDD is expected to continue growing its revenue rapidly over the next few years, even though they are expected to normalize subsequently. More importantly, PDD is also expected to increasingly improve its EBIT and FCF profitability moving forward. This shows that the Community Marketplace segment is an highly important growth driver that BABA must use its strength to exploit in order to deny PDD’s claim to undisputed leadership so early on in the game.</p><p><blockquote>我们可以从上图中观察到，拼多多的收入预计将在未来几年继续快速增长，尽管预计随后将正常化。更重要的是，拼多多预计未来的息税前利润和自由现金流盈利能力也将日益提高。这表明社区市场细分市场是一个非常重要的增长动力，阿里巴巴必须利用其优势来利用它，以否认拼多多在游戏早期声称的无可争议的领导地位。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3aadc32155b4108426a1a982e3b5b1c2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\"><span>China public cloud spending. Source:China Internet Watch; Canalys</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国公有云支出。来源：中国互联网观察；Canalys</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c1538b9f7bdc8d6d35a72d9acf8ecbc\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Size of China public cloud market. Data source: CAICT; Sina.com.cn</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国公有云市场规模。数据来源：中国信通技术；新浪网</span></p></blockquote></p><p> BABA has a 40% share in China’s public cloud market, way ahead of its key competitors. However, it’s important to note that despite this leadership, BABA is still in heavy investment mode to continue growing its market share as China’s public cloud market is expected to grow from 26.48B yuan in 2017 to 230.74B yuan by 2023, which would represent a CAGR of 43.4%, an incredibly stellar growth rate. This is especially clear when we compare China’s growth rate to the worldwide growth rate (see below) as public cloud spending worldwide is expected to grow from $145B in 2017 to $397B by 2022, that would represent a CAGR of 22.3%.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴在中国公有云市场拥有40%的份额，远远领先于其主要竞争对手。然而，值得注意的是，尽管处于领先地位，阿里巴巴仍处于大力投资模式，以继续扩大其市场份额，因为中国公共云市场预计将从2017年的264.8亿元增长到2023年的2307.4亿元，这将代表CAGR 43.4%，这是一个令人难以置信的出色增长率。当我们将中国的增长率与全球增长率（见下文）进行比较时，这一点尤其明显，因为全球公共云支出预计将从2017年的1450亿美元增长到2022年的3970亿美元，这将代表22.3%的CAGR。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06198c569504bc303c34563041dfb294\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Worldwide public cloud spending. Data source: Gartner</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>全球公共云支出。数据来源：Gartner</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8482037f60575f964053ab732496bee3\" tg-width=\"1176\" tg-height=\"700\"><span>Worldwide public cloud market share. Source:CnTechPost; Gartner</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>全球公共云市场份额。来源：CnTechPost；Gartner</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Therefore, I don’t find it surprising that Ali Cloud has continued to extend its lead over Alphabet’s(NASDAQ:GOOGL)(NASDAQ:GOOG)GCP with a market share of 9.5% in 2020. While AMZN remains the clear leader in the market, its market share has been coming down considerably as public cloud spending continues to expand, indicating that there is a huge potential for growth for multiple players to exist. With BABA’s leadership in the rapidly expanding Chinese market, I’m increasingly bullish on the future profit and FCF contribution from this segment to BABA’s performance over time. Although BABA’s cloud segment has not been EBIT profitable yet (FY 21 EBIT margin: -15%, FY 20 EBIT margin: -17.5%), it’s also useful to note that GCP has also not been profitable for Alphabet as well (FY 20 EBIT margin: -42.9%, FY 19 EBIT margin: -52%). Therefore, we need to give BABA some time to scale up its cloud services in APAC and in China where it is expected to have stronger leadership to allow it to grow faster and investors should expect this to be a highly profitable segment over time.</p><p><blockquote>因此，阿里云在2020年以9.5%的市场份额继续扩大对Alphabet（纳斯达克：GOOGL）（纳斯达克：GOOG）GCP的领先优势，我并不觉得奇怪。虽然亚马逊仍然是市场上明显的领导者，但随着公共云支出的持续扩大，其市场份额一直在大幅下降，这表明多个参与者存在巨大的增长潜力。凭借阿里巴巴在快速扩张的中国市场的领导地位，我越来越看好该细分市场未来的利润和自由现金流对阿里巴巴业绩的贡献。尽管阿里巴巴的云部门尚未实现息税前利润（21财年息税前利润率：-15%，20财年息税前利润率：-17.5%），但值得注意的是，Alphabet的GCP也尚未实现盈利（20财年息税前利润率：-42.9%，19财年息税前利润率：-52%）。因此，我们需要给阿里巴巴一些时间来扩大其在亚太地区和中国的云服务规模，预计阿里巴巴将拥有更强大的领导力，使其能够更快地增长，投资者应该预计随着时间的推移，这将是一个高利润的细分市场。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BABA's Valuations Look Highly Compelling</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴的估值看起来非常引人注目</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62a087c4b3ef7efc2c5dde813e3b959d\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"600\"><span>NTM TEV / EBIT 3Y range.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>NTM TEV/EBIT 3Y范围。</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2605c0e5ad364a7a43929fef204595c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"687\"><span>EV / Fwd EBIT and EV / Fwd Rev trend. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>EV/Fwd息税前利润和EV/Fwd Rev趋势。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When we consider BABA's TEV / EBIT historical range, where the 3Y mean read 33.54x, BABA’s EV / Fwd EBIT trend certainly imply a hugely undervalued stock as BABA is still expected to grow its revenue and operating profits rapidly. However, as we wanted to obtain greater clarity over how its counterparts are also valued, we thought it would be useful if we value BABA’s EBIT over a set of benchmark companies that is presented below.</p><p><blockquote>当我们考虑阿里巴巴的TEV/EBIT历史范围（3年平均值为33.54倍）时，阿里巴巴的EV/Fwd EBIT趋势无疑意味着该股票被严重低估，因为预计阿里巴巴的收入和营业利润仍将快速增长。然而，由于我们希望更清楚地了解其同行的估值情况，我们认为如果我们对阿里巴巴的息税前利润进行估值，而不是下面介绍的一组基准公司，这将是有用的。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d27873e676dfb23c98d4a69aa5861e02\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"1117\"><span>Peers EV / EBIT Valuations. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>同行EV/EBIT估值。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> By using a blend of historical and forward EBIT, we could see that BABA’s EV / EBIT really looks undervalued when compared to the median value of the set of observed values from the benchmark companies. We derived a fair value range for BABA of $294.98 at the midpoint of the range, that represented a potential upside of 40.5% based on the current stock price of $210.</p><p><blockquote>通过混合使用历史和远期息税前利润，我们可以看到，与基准公司一组观察值的中值相比，阿里巴巴的EV/EBIT看起来确实被低估了。我们得出阿里巴巴的公允价值范围为294.98美元，位于该范围的中点，基于当前210美元的股价，这意味着40.5%的潜在上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks to Assumptions</b></p><p><blockquote><b>假设风险</b></blockquote></p><p> Now, it’s obviously baffling to watch how Mr. Market has decided to discount BABA to such an extent as if the company has lost all its key sources of growth, when in fact there is still so much potential upside coming from its commerce segment, the new marketplace initiatives and its growing Ali Cloud segment, among others. The main realistic reason that we identified for the stock's underperformance would simply be regulatory risk. We think investors should acknowledge that this risk is very real and at times huge Chinese companies have found themselves to be subjected to extra scrutiny (which is nothing new in fact) by the Chinese government. What’s critical here is that the Chinese government seemingly has significant clout over the behavior and actions of their tech behemoths that at times may be largely unpredictable. The market certainly hates unpredictability and therefore they may have significantly discounted BABA as a result of that. If investors are not able to handle uncertainty with regard to potentially unpredictable regulatory actions and their aftermath, then BABA may not be appropriate for you. However, if you believe that this is just a blip in BABA’s long journey, then you would surely find BABA's valuations extremely attractive right now, coupled with a long term mindset.</p><p><blockquote>现在，看着先生如何表现显然令人困惑。市场决定对阿里巴巴进行折扣，就好像该公司已经失去了所有关键的增长来源，而事实上，其商业部门、新的市场举措和不断增长的阿里云部门仍有很大的潜在上涨空间，其中。我们认为该股表现不佳的主要现实原因只是监管风险。我们认为投资者应该承认这种风险是非常真实的，有时大型中国公司会发现自己受到中国政府的额外审查（事实上这并不是什么新鲜事）。这里关键的是，中国政府似乎对其科技巨头的行为和行动拥有重大影响力，而这些影响力有时可能在很大程度上是不可预测的。市场当然讨厌不可预测性，因此他们可能会因此大幅折扣阿里巴巴。如果投资者无法应对潜在不可预测的监管行动及其后果的不确定性，那么阿里巴巴可能不适合您。然而，如果你认为这只是阿里巴巴漫长旅程中的一个短暂时刻，那么你肯定会发现阿里巴巴现在的估值极具吸引力，再加上长期思维。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wrapping It All Up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>把这一切包起来</b></blockquote></p><p> Alibaba has continued to deliver solid results that demonstrated the strong capability of the company to execute well. As the company continues to operate within a market with so many growth drivers that are expected to drive the company’s future growth, investors should find the current valuations highly attractive.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW继续取得稳健的业绩，展示了公司强大的执行能力。由于该公司继续在一个拥有如此多增长动力的市场中运营，预计将推动公司未来的增长，投资者应该会发现当前的估值非常有吸引力。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435297-alibaba-stock-bottoming-process-forming-buy-now\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴","09988":"阿里巴巴-W"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435297-alibaba-stock-bottoming-process-forming-buy-now","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1175693382","content_text":"Summary\n\nAlibaba is probably the most undervalued growth stock right now.\nThe company’s multiple growth drivers within a rapidly expanding market made its valuations look even more baffling.\nThe short term technical picture may be turning bullish with a potential double bottom price action signal.\nWe discuss the company’s multiple growth drivers and let investors judge for themselves.\n\nYongyuan Dai/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images\nThe Technical Thesis\nSource: TradingView\nAlibaba’s stock price has endured a terrible 8 months ever since its Ant Financial IPO was pulled in early Nov 20, with the stock languishing in the doldrums 34% off its high. When considering the health of its long term uptrend, it’s clear that BABA has a relatively strong uptrend bias and has generally been well supported along its key 50W MA. The only other time in the last 4 years that it lost its key 50W MA support level was during the 2018 bear market where BABA dropped about 40%, but was still well supported above the important 200W MA, which we usually consider as the “last line of defense”. Right now BABA is somewhat facing a similar situation again: down 34%, lost the 50W MA, but looks to be well supported above the 200W MA. In addition to that, one interesting observation in price action analysis may lead price action traders/investors to be especially bullish: a potential double bottom formation. BABA's price is seemingly going through a double bottom like it did during the 2018 bear market before it rallied strongly thereafter. As a result, BABA’s current level may offer a possible technical buy entry point now.\nBABA's Fundamental Thesis: Rapidly Expanding Growth Drivers\nAnnual GMV. Data source: Company filings\nAnnual e-commerce revenue. Data source: Company filings\nBABA’s GMV grew from 1.68T yuan to 7.49T yuan in just a matter of 7 years, which represented a CAGR of 23.8%, a truly amazing growth rate. We also saw its GMV growth being converted into revenue growth as its China commerce revenue grew from 7.67B yuan to 473.68B yuan, at a CAGR of 51% over the last 10 years. While its international footprint remains considerably smaller, it still grew at a CAGR of 30.42% over the last 10 years, which was by no means slow.\nEven though China’s e-commerce market is expected to grow considerably slower at a CAGR of 12.4% over the next three years, from 13.8T yuan, equivalent to $2.16T in 2021 to 19.6T yuan,equivalent to $3.06T by 2024, the massive size of the market still offers tremendous upside potential for BABA and its closest competitors to grow into.\nE-commerce revenue in the U.S. Data source: Statista\nWhen we take things into clearer perspective by comparing China’s growth rate and size of its market to that of the U.S. e-commerce market, we could see the huge differences in their sizes and growth rates as the U.S. e-commerce market is only expected to grow at a CAGR of 4.67% from 2021 to 2025, which is significantly slower than China’s 12.4%. In addition, the U.S. market is also expected to reach about $563B in total revenue, which is 18% of what the China market is expected to be worth by then.\nPeers EBIT Margin and Projected EBIT Margin. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nEven though Alibaba has been facing increased competitive pressures from its fast growing key competitors: JD.com(NASDAQ:JD)and Pinduoduo(NASDAQ:PDD), BABA has already been operating a much more profitable business (both EBIT and FCF), and is expected to continue delivering strong profitability moving forward, which should give the company tremendous flexibility to compete head on with JD and PDD in its quest to extend its leadership. Investors may observe that BABA’s EBIT margin was affected by the one-off administrative penalty of $2,782M that was reflected in its SG&A, and therefore skewed its EBIT margin to the downside.\nOne important move was the company’s decision to further its investment in the Community Marketplace, which is PDD’s main e-commerce strategy that saw PDD gain a total of 823M AAC in its latest quarter as compared to BABA’s 891M AAC. PDD’s AAC growth is truly phenomenal considering it had only 100M AAC in Q2’C17 as compared to BABA’s 466M AAC in the same period.\nTherefore, the momentum of growth has surely swung over to the Community Marketplace segment and BABA would need to pull out its big guns (which it has) to compete for dominance with PDD and JD.\nMarket size of community group buying in China. Data source: iiMedia Research\nEven though the expected total market size of 102B yuan by 2022 represented only about 21.5% of BABA’s FY 21 China commerce revenue, the expected rapid CAGR of 44.22% over 3 years from 2019 to 2022 cannot be missed by BABA. Although the market is still relatively small, BABA cannot allow the current leader in this market: PDD to so easily dominate and gobble up the early high growth rates at the ignorance of everyone else. Certainly BABA must compete and fight for its place in this segment and strive for early leadership to prevent PDD from extending its lead.\nPDD profitability metrics & revenue growth forecast. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nWe could observe from the above chart that PDD is expected to continue growing its revenue rapidly over the next few years, even though they are expected to normalize subsequently. More importantly, PDD is also expected to increasingly improve its EBIT and FCF profitability moving forward. This shows that the Community Marketplace segment is an highly important growth driver that BABA must use its strength to exploit in order to deny PDD’s claim to undisputed leadership so early on in the game.\nChina public cloud spending. Source:China Internet Watch; Canalys\nSize of China public cloud market. Data source: CAICT; Sina.com.cn\nBABA has a 40% share in China’s public cloud market, way ahead of its key competitors. However, it’s important to note that despite this leadership, BABA is still in heavy investment mode to continue growing its market share as China’s public cloud market is expected to grow from 26.48B yuan in 2017 to 230.74B yuan by 2023, which would represent a CAGR of 43.4%, an incredibly stellar growth rate. This is especially clear when we compare China’s growth rate to the worldwide growth rate (see below) as public cloud spending worldwide is expected to grow from $145B in 2017 to $397B by 2022, that would represent a CAGR of 22.3%.\nWorldwide public cloud spending. Data source: Gartner\nWorldwide public cloud market share. Source:CnTechPost; Gartner\nTherefore, I don’t find it surprising that Ali Cloud has continued to extend its lead over Alphabet’s(NASDAQ:GOOGL)(NASDAQ:GOOG)GCP with a market share of 9.5% in 2020. While AMZN remains the clear leader in the market, its market share has been coming down considerably as public cloud spending continues to expand, indicating that there is a huge potential for growth for multiple players to exist. With BABA’s leadership in the rapidly expanding Chinese market, I’m increasingly bullish on the future profit and FCF contribution from this segment to BABA’s performance over time. Although BABA’s cloud segment has not been EBIT profitable yet (FY 21 EBIT margin: -15%, FY 20 EBIT margin: -17.5%), it’s also useful to note that GCP has also not been profitable for Alphabet as well (FY 20 EBIT margin: -42.9%, FY 19 EBIT margin: -52%). Therefore, we need to give BABA some time to scale up its cloud services in APAC and in China where it is expected to have stronger leadership to allow it to grow faster and investors should expect this to be a highly profitable segment over time.\nBABA's Valuations Look Highly Compelling\nNTM TEV / EBIT 3Y range.\nEV / Fwd EBIT and EV / Fwd Rev trend. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nWhen we consider BABA's TEV / EBIT historical range, where the 3Y mean read 33.54x, BABA’s EV / Fwd EBIT trend certainly imply a hugely undervalued stock as BABA is still expected to grow its revenue and operating profits rapidly. However, as we wanted to obtain greater clarity over how its counterparts are also valued, we thought it would be useful if we value BABA’s EBIT over a set of benchmark companies that is presented below.\nPeers EV / EBIT Valuations. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nBy using a blend of historical and forward EBIT, we could see that BABA’s EV / EBIT really looks undervalued when compared to the median value of the set of observed values from the benchmark companies. We derived a fair value range for BABA of $294.98 at the midpoint of the range, that represented a potential upside of 40.5% based on the current stock price of $210.\nRisks to Assumptions\nNow, it’s obviously baffling to watch how Mr. Market has decided to discount BABA to such an extent as if the company has lost all its key sources of growth, when in fact there is still so much potential upside coming from its commerce segment, the new marketplace initiatives and its growing Ali Cloud segment, among others. The main realistic reason that we identified for the stock's underperformance would simply be regulatory risk. We think investors should acknowledge that this risk is very real and at times huge Chinese companies have found themselves to be subjected to extra scrutiny (which is nothing new in fact) by the Chinese government. What’s critical here is that the Chinese government seemingly has significant clout over the behavior and actions of their tech behemoths that at times may be largely unpredictable. The market certainly hates unpredictability and therefore they may have significantly discounted BABA as a result of that. If investors are not able to handle uncertainty with regard to potentially unpredictable regulatory actions and their aftermath, then BABA may not be appropriate for you. However, if you believe that this is just a blip in BABA’s long journey, then you would surely find BABA's valuations extremely attractive right now, coupled with a long term mindset.\nWrapping It All Up\nAlibaba has continued to deliver solid results that demonstrated the strong capability of the company to execute well. As the company continues to operate within a market with so many growth drivers that are expected to drive the company’s future growth, investors should find the current valuations highly attractive.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BABA":0.9,"09988":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1550,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":169365034,"gmtCreate":1623817554828,"gmtModify":1634027620589,"author":{"id":"3564363528385098","authorId":"3564363528385098","name":"NamJooHyuk","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/839fb6690754e9dd71f40274a259d94e","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3564363528385098","idStr":"3564363528385098"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Plz shoot to the moon&nbsp;","listText":"Plz shoot to the moon&nbsp;","text":"Plz shoot to the moon","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/169365034","repostId":"1180091968","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1180091968","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623403203,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1180091968?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-11 17:20","market":"us","language":"en","title":"How Much Longer Will Alibaba Stay Cheap?<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW还会保持便宜多久？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1180091968","media":"Seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nDown over the past year, shares of Alibaba have not participated with the general rally in ","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Down over the past year, shares of Alibaba have not participated with the general rally in the markets.</li>  <li>Alibaba is a strong business with accelerating free cash flow generation and a clean balance sheet. The company has deep pockets to continue growing.</li>  <li>The valuation that shares trade at is compressed, but seems poised to rebound. Fundamentals eventually steer the share price.</li> </ul> E-commerce has been a powerful investing theme throughout the pandemic. While many stocks that sell over the internet have been thriving, Chinese conglomerate Alibaba Group Holding Limited (BABA) has been a notable laggard. Shares of Alibaba are in the red over the past year, while the S&amp;P 500 has ripped higher, gaining 32%.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>阿里巴巴-SW股价在过去一年下跌后，并未参与市场的普遍上涨。</li><li>阿里巴巴-SW是一家实力强劲的企业，拥有加速的自由现金流生成和干净的资产负债表。该公司财力雄厚，可以继续发展。</li><li>股票交易估值被压缩，但似乎有望反弹。基本面最终会引导股价。</li></ul>在整个疫情，电子商务一直是一个强有力的投资主题。尽管许多通过互联网销售的股票一直蓬勃发展，但中国企业集团阿里巴巴-SW集团控股有限公司（BABA）却明显落后。阿里巴巴-SW的股价在过去一年中一直处于亏损状态，而标普500则大幅上涨，上涨了32%。</blockquote></p><p> Alibaba has been caught in some controversy surrounding thefailed IPOof Ant Group and its founderJack Ma. While the market has focused on these distractions, the actual underlying business of Alibaba is performing at a high level. With strong fundamentals and rapidly growing free cash flow, it's only a matter of time before the market begins to focus on what matters...the business. We will outline our investment thesis below.</p><p><blockquote>围绕蚂蚁集团及其创始人马云的IPO失败，阿里巴巴-SW陷入了一些争议。虽然市场关注这些干扰因素，但阿里巴巴-SW的实际基础业务表现却很高。凭借强劲的基本面和快速增长的自由现金流，市场开始关注重要的事情只是时间问题……业务。我们将在下面概述我们的投资论点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Free Cash Flow Growth Is Stellar</b></p><p><blockquote><b>自由现金流增长惊人</b></blockquote></p><p> Alibaba is a frequently covered business on Seeking Alpha, so I won't rehash the basics about the business or dive into the political controversy that has plagued the stock. Instead, I want to focus on the financial inflection point that Alibaba has recently hit.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW是Seeking Alpha上经常报道的业务，因此我不会重复该业务的基础知识，也不会深入探讨困扰该股的政治争议。相反，我想重点谈谈阿里巴巴-SW最近遇到的金融拐点。</blockquote></p><p> The company ended its fiscal year at the end of March. What we see is a diversified business with several growing segments that align with macroeconomic trends.</p><p><blockquote>该公司于三月底结束了财年。我们看到的是一个多元化的业务，有几个不断增长的细分市场与宏观经济趋势保持一致。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/862988aec2c33c72dc1786de483f952a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"391\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">source: Alibaba Group Holding Limited</p><p><blockquote>资料来源：阿里巴巴-SW集团控股有限公司</blockquote></p><p> The largest revenue contributor, of course, is the company's retail operations. While its commerce segment continues to narrate revenue growth (total core commerce grew 2020 revenues 42% versus company revenues growing 41%), some smaller segments are showing strong growth.</p><p><blockquote>当然，最大的收入贡献者是公司的零售业务。虽然其商业部门继续实现收入增长（2020年核心商业总收入增长42%，而公司收入增长41%），但一些较小的部门也显示出强劲增长。</blockquote></p><p> For example, Alibaba's cloud computing operations grew 50% in 2020, and its new retail and direct sales businesses grew 94% year-over-year. What is most promising is that Alibaba is accelerating its free cash flow growth in recent years. The company's $26.35 billion in 2021 FCF is a 29% year-over-year jump from 2020. Alibaba grew FCF 25% from 2019 to 2020.</p><p><blockquote>例如，阿里巴巴-SW的云计算业务在2020年增长了50%，新零售和直销业务同比增长了94%。最有希望的是，阿里巴巴-SW近年来正在加速其自由现金流的增长。该公司2021年自由现金流为263.5亿美元，较2020年同比增长29%。从2019年到2020年，阿里巴巴-SW的自由现金流增长了25%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ba9d4b224eedbd99d8d22f0a2092b204\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"98\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">source: Alibaba Holding Group Limited</p><p><blockquote>资料来源：阿里巴巴-SW控股集团有限公司</blockquote></p><p> With $72 billion in cash on hand as of March 31st and the business generating more than $26 billion in free cash flow, Alibaba has deep pockets to develop its growing business segments and seek out opportunities to create new growth with M&amp;A or other developments.</p><p><blockquote>截至3月31日，阿里巴巴-SW手头现金为720亿美元，该业务产生了超过260亿美元的自由现金流，拥有雄厚的财力来发展其不断增长的业务部门，并寻找机会通过并购或其他发展创造新的增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>How Long Can Alibaba Stay \"Cheap\"?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴-SW还能“便宜”多久？</b></blockquote></p><p> It's hard to understand just how beaten down Alibaba's stock is until you look at things from a free cash flow perspective. Alibaba is currently trading with an FCF yield approaching 6%. By comparison, the next highest FCF yield is Amazon (AMZN), with a yield of just 1.3%.</p><p><blockquote>除非你从自由现金流的角度看待问题，否则很难理解阿里巴巴-SW的股票有多下跌。阿里巴巴-SW目前的自由现金流收益率接近6%。相比之下，FCF收益率第二高的是亚马逊（AMZN），收益率仅为1.3%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3423f615c0dc856b040442e4ff17b78f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"521\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">source: YCharts</p><p><blockquote>资料来源：YCharts</blockquote></p><p> This is a tremendous discount to Alibaba's peer group, despite the company accelerating FCF growth and having a ton of cash on hand. And because Alibaba is a healthy and growing company, the stock is poised to become even more attractively valued.</p><p><blockquote>尽管阿里巴巴-SW的自由现金流正在加速增长并且手头拥有大量现金，但这对该公司的同行来说是一个巨大的折扣。由于阿里巴巴-SW是一家健康且不断增长的公司，该股的估值将变得更具吸引力。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6d76517c900c76b94c5bd4aaf02ec91a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"226\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">source: Seeking Alpha</p><p><blockquote>资料来源：寻求阿尔法</blockquote></p><p> The company is estimated to continue growing revenues at a swift clip, approaching $210 billion in annual revenue over the next three years. If we apply the company's 24% conversion rate of revenue to FCF, that will give us 2024 FCF of $50 billion. In other words, an FCF yield of 8.6% on today's share price. This is simply something you don't often see for a company's stock growing so rapidly at such an already large size.</p><p><blockquote>预计该公司的收入将继续快速增长，未来三年收入将接近2100亿美元。如果我们将公司24%的收入转化率应用于FCF，那么2024年FCF将达到500亿美元。换句话说，按今天的股价计算，FCF收益率为8.6%。对于一家公司的股票在规模如此之大的情况下增长如此之快，这是你不常见到的。</blockquote></p><p> The stock is clearly being punished for some of the drama that Alibaba has faced over the past year and some of the current tension between the United States and China. This is a risk that investors need to keep in mind, as anything can happen, and Alibaba may become collateral damage of political conflict. However, if it becomes clear to the market that the outlook is promising, Alibaba could aggressively rerate. Even if Alibaba saw its FCF yield fall to around 3%, it would imply an upside in shares of 46%. This would put Alibaba at an enterprise value of more than $800 billion, but I believe those shoes the company could certainly fill.</p><p><blockquote>该股显然因阿里巴巴-SW过去一年面临的一些戏剧性事件以及当前中美之间的一些紧张局势而受到惩罚。这是投资者需要牢记的风险，因为任何事情都可能发生，阿里巴巴-SW可能成为政治冲突的附带损害。然而，如果市场清楚地看到前景看好，阿里巴巴-SW可能会大幅重新评级。即使阿里巴巴-SW的FCF收益率跌至3%左右，也意味着股价上涨46%。这将使阿里巴巴-SW的企业价值超过8000亿美元，但我相信该公司肯定可以填补这些空缺。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wrapping Up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>包装</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Alibaba is a fantastic business that has been caught up in some political drama. Despite its size, the company is growing rapidly, is profitable, and generates tons of free cash flow. Investors cannot ignore the political risks, but the upside is tremendous for brave and patient investors.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW是一个奇妙的企业，却陷入了一些政治戏剧。尽管规模很大，但该公司发展迅速，盈利，并产生大量自由现金流。投资者不能忽视政治风险，但对于勇敢和耐心的投资者来说，上行空间是巨大的。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>How Much Longer Will Alibaba Stay Cheap?<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW还会保持便宜多久？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHow Much Longer Will Alibaba Stay Cheap?<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW还会保持便宜多久？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-11 17:20</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Down over the past year, shares of Alibaba have not participated with the general rally in the markets.</li>  <li>Alibaba is a strong business with accelerating free cash flow generation and a clean balance sheet. The company has deep pockets to continue growing.</li>  <li>The valuation that shares trade at is compressed, but seems poised to rebound. Fundamentals eventually steer the share price.</li> </ul> E-commerce has been a powerful investing theme throughout the pandemic. While many stocks that sell over the internet have been thriving, Chinese conglomerate Alibaba Group Holding Limited (BABA) has been a notable laggard. Shares of Alibaba are in the red over the past year, while the S&amp;P 500 has ripped higher, gaining 32%.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>阿里巴巴-SW股价在过去一年下跌后，并未参与市场的普遍上涨。</li><li>阿里巴巴-SW是一家实力强劲的企业，拥有加速的自由现金流生成和干净的资产负债表。该公司财力雄厚，可以继续发展。</li><li>股票交易估值被压缩，但似乎有望反弹。基本面最终会引导股价。</li></ul>在整个疫情，电子商务一直是一个强有力的投资主题。尽管许多通过互联网销售的股票一直蓬勃发展，但中国企业集团阿里巴巴-SW集团控股有限公司（BABA）却明显落后。阿里巴巴-SW的股价在过去一年中一直处于亏损状态，而标普500则大幅上涨，上涨了32%。</blockquote></p><p> Alibaba has been caught in some controversy surrounding thefailed IPOof Ant Group and its founderJack Ma. While the market has focused on these distractions, the actual underlying business of Alibaba is performing at a high level. With strong fundamentals and rapidly growing free cash flow, it's only a matter of time before the market begins to focus on what matters...the business. We will outline our investment thesis below.</p><p><blockquote>围绕蚂蚁集团及其创始人马云的IPO失败，阿里巴巴-SW陷入了一些争议。虽然市场关注这些干扰因素，但阿里巴巴-SW的实际基础业务表现却很高。凭借强劲的基本面和快速增长的自由现金流，市场开始关注重要的事情只是时间问题……业务。我们将在下面概述我们的投资论点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Free Cash Flow Growth Is Stellar</b></p><p><blockquote><b>自由现金流增长惊人</b></blockquote></p><p> Alibaba is a frequently covered business on Seeking Alpha, so I won't rehash the basics about the business or dive into the political controversy that has plagued the stock. Instead, I want to focus on the financial inflection point that Alibaba has recently hit.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW是Seeking Alpha上经常报道的业务，因此我不会重复该业务的基础知识，也不会深入探讨困扰该股的政治争议。相反，我想重点谈谈阿里巴巴-SW最近遇到的金融拐点。</blockquote></p><p> The company ended its fiscal year at the end of March. What we see is a diversified business with several growing segments that align with macroeconomic trends.</p><p><blockquote>该公司于三月底结束了财年。我们看到的是一个多元化的业务，有几个不断增长的细分市场与宏观经济趋势保持一致。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/862988aec2c33c72dc1786de483f952a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"391\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">source: Alibaba Group Holding Limited</p><p><blockquote>资料来源：阿里巴巴-SW集团控股有限公司</blockquote></p><p> The largest revenue contributor, of course, is the company's retail operations. While its commerce segment continues to narrate revenue growth (total core commerce grew 2020 revenues 42% versus company revenues growing 41%), some smaller segments are showing strong growth.</p><p><blockquote>当然，最大的收入贡献者是公司的零售业务。虽然其商业部门继续实现收入增长（2020年核心商业总收入增长42%，而公司收入增长41%），但一些较小的部门也显示出强劲增长。</blockquote></p><p> For example, Alibaba's cloud computing operations grew 50% in 2020, and its new retail and direct sales businesses grew 94% year-over-year. What is most promising is that Alibaba is accelerating its free cash flow growth in recent years. The company's $26.35 billion in 2021 FCF is a 29% year-over-year jump from 2020. Alibaba grew FCF 25% from 2019 to 2020.</p><p><blockquote>例如，阿里巴巴-SW的云计算业务在2020年增长了50%，新零售和直销业务同比增长了94%。最有希望的是，阿里巴巴-SW近年来正在加速其自由现金流的增长。该公司2021年自由现金流为263.5亿美元，较2020年同比增长29%。从2019年到2020年，阿里巴巴-SW的自由现金流增长了25%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ba9d4b224eedbd99d8d22f0a2092b204\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"98\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">source: Alibaba Holding Group Limited</p><p><blockquote>资料来源：阿里巴巴-SW控股集团有限公司</blockquote></p><p> With $72 billion in cash on hand as of March 31st and the business generating more than $26 billion in free cash flow, Alibaba has deep pockets to develop its growing business segments and seek out opportunities to create new growth with M&amp;A or other developments.</p><p><blockquote>截至3月31日，阿里巴巴-SW手头现金为720亿美元，该业务产生了超过260亿美元的自由现金流，拥有雄厚的财力来发展其不断增长的业务部门，并寻找机会通过并购或其他发展创造新的增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>How Long Can Alibaba Stay \"Cheap\"?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴-SW还能“便宜”多久？</b></blockquote></p><p> It's hard to understand just how beaten down Alibaba's stock is until you look at things from a free cash flow perspective. Alibaba is currently trading with an FCF yield approaching 6%. By comparison, the next highest FCF yield is Amazon (AMZN), with a yield of just 1.3%.</p><p><blockquote>除非你从自由现金流的角度看待问题，否则很难理解阿里巴巴-SW的股票有多下跌。阿里巴巴-SW目前的自由现金流收益率接近6%。相比之下，FCF收益率第二高的是亚马逊（AMZN），收益率仅为1.3%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3423f615c0dc856b040442e4ff17b78f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"521\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">source: YCharts</p><p><blockquote>资料来源：YCharts</blockquote></p><p> This is a tremendous discount to Alibaba's peer group, despite the company accelerating FCF growth and having a ton of cash on hand. And because Alibaba is a healthy and growing company, the stock is poised to become even more attractively valued.</p><p><blockquote>尽管阿里巴巴-SW的自由现金流正在加速增长并且手头拥有大量现金，但这对该公司的同行来说是一个巨大的折扣。由于阿里巴巴-SW是一家健康且不断增长的公司，该股的估值将变得更具吸引力。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6d76517c900c76b94c5bd4aaf02ec91a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"226\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">source: Seeking Alpha</p><p><blockquote>资料来源：寻求阿尔法</blockquote></p><p> The company is estimated to continue growing revenues at a swift clip, approaching $210 billion in annual revenue over the next three years. If we apply the company's 24% conversion rate of revenue to FCF, that will give us 2024 FCF of $50 billion. In other words, an FCF yield of 8.6% on today's share price. This is simply something you don't often see for a company's stock growing so rapidly at such an already large size.</p><p><blockquote>预计该公司的收入将继续快速增长，未来三年收入将接近2100亿美元。如果我们将公司24%的收入转化率应用于FCF，那么2024年FCF将达到500亿美元。换句话说，按今天的股价计算，FCF收益率为8.6%。对于一家公司的股票在规模如此之大的情况下增长如此之快，这是你不常见到的。</blockquote></p><p> The stock is clearly being punished for some of the drama that Alibaba has faced over the past year and some of the current tension between the United States and China. This is a risk that investors need to keep in mind, as anything can happen, and Alibaba may become collateral damage of political conflict. However, if it becomes clear to the market that the outlook is promising, Alibaba could aggressively rerate. Even if Alibaba saw its FCF yield fall to around 3%, it would imply an upside in shares of 46%. This would put Alibaba at an enterprise value of more than $800 billion, but I believe those shoes the company could certainly fill.</p><p><blockquote>该股显然因阿里巴巴-SW过去一年面临的一些戏剧性事件以及当前中美之间的一些紧张局势而受到惩罚。这是投资者需要牢记的风险，因为任何事情都可能发生，阿里巴巴-SW可能成为政治冲突的附带损害。然而，如果市场清楚地看到前景看好，阿里巴巴-SW可能会大幅重新评级。即使阿里巴巴-SW的FCF收益率跌至3%左右，也意味着股价上涨46%。这将使阿里巴巴-SW的企业价值超过8000亿美元，但我相信该公司肯定可以填补这些空缺。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wrapping Up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>包装</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Alibaba is a fantastic business that has been caught up in some political drama. Despite its size, the company is growing rapidly, is profitable, and generates tons of free cash flow. Investors cannot ignore the political risks, but the upside is tremendous for brave and patient investors.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW是一个奇妙的企业，却陷入了一些政治戏剧。尽管规模很大，但该公司发展迅速，盈利，并产生大量自由现金流。投资者不能忽视政治风险，但对于勇敢和耐心的投资者来说，上行空间是巨大的。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4434229-how-much-longer-will-alibaba-stay-cheap\">Seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴","09988":"阿里巴巴-W"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4434229-how-much-longer-will-alibaba-stay-cheap","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1180091968","content_text":"Summary\n\nDown over the past year, shares of Alibaba have not participated with the general rally in the markets.\nAlibaba is a strong business with accelerating free cash flow generation and a clean balance sheet. The company has deep pockets to continue growing.\nThe valuation that shares trade at is compressed, but seems poised to rebound. Fundamentals eventually steer the share price.\n\nE-commerce has been a powerful investing theme throughout the pandemic. While many stocks that sell over the internet have been thriving, Chinese conglomerate Alibaba Group Holding Limited (BABA) has been a notable laggard. Shares of Alibaba are in the red over the past year, while the S&P 500 has ripped higher, gaining 32%.\nAlibaba has been caught in some controversy surrounding thefailed IPOof Ant Group and its founderJack Ma. While the market has focused on these distractions, the actual underlying business of Alibaba is performing at a high level. With strong fundamentals and rapidly growing free cash flow, it's only a matter of time before the market begins to focus on what matters...the business. We will outline our investment thesis below.\nFree Cash Flow Growth Is Stellar\nAlibaba is a frequently covered business on Seeking Alpha, so I won't rehash the basics about the business or dive into the political controversy that has plagued the stock. Instead, I want to focus on the financial inflection point that Alibaba has recently hit.\nThe company ended its fiscal year at the end of March. What we see is a diversified business with several growing segments that align with macroeconomic trends.\nsource: Alibaba Group Holding Limited\nThe largest revenue contributor, of course, is the company's retail operations. While its commerce segment continues to narrate revenue growth (total core commerce grew 2020 revenues 42% versus company revenues growing 41%), some smaller segments are showing strong growth.\nFor example, Alibaba's cloud computing operations grew 50% in 2020, and its new retail and direct sales businesses grew 94% year-over-year. What is most promising is that Alibaba is accelerating its free cash flow growth in recent years. The company's $26.35 billion in 2021 FCF is a 29% year-over-year jump from 2020. Alibaba grew FCF 25% from 2019 to 2020.\nsource: Alibaba Holding Group Limited\nWith $72 billion in cash on hand as of March 31st and the business generating more than $26 billion in free cash flow, Alibaba has deep pockets to develop its growing business segments and seek out opportunities to create new growth with M&A or other developments.\nHow Long Can Alibaba Stay \"Cheap\"?\nIt's hard to understand just how beaten down Alibaba's stock is until you look at things from a free cash flow perspective. Alibaba is currently trading with an FCF yield approaching 6%. By comparison, the next highest FCF yield is Amazon (AMZN), with a yield of just 1.3%.\nsource: YCharts\nThis is a tremendous discount to Alibaba's peer group, despite the company accelerating FCF growth and having a ton of cash on hand. And because Alibaba is a healthy and growing company, the stock is poised to become even more attractively valued.\nsource: Seeking Alpha\nThe company is estimated to continue growing revenues at a swift clip, approaching $210 billion in annual revenue over the next three years. If we apply the company's 24% conversion rate of revenue to FCF, that will give us 2024 FCF of $50 billion. In other words, an FCF yield of 8.6% on today's share price. This is simply something you don't often see for a company's stock growing so rapidly at such an already large size.\nThe stock is clearly being punished for some of the drama that Alibaba has faced over the past year and some of the current tension between the United States and China. This is a risk that investors need to keep in mind, as anything can happen, and Alibaba may become collateral damage of political conflict. However, if it becomes clear to the market that the outlook is promising, Alibaba could aggressively rerate. Even if Alibaba saw its FCF yield fall to around 3%, it would imply an upside in shares of 46%. This would put Alibaba at an enterprise value of more than $800 billion, but I believe those shoes the company could certainly fill.\nWrapping Up\nAlibaba is a fantastic business that has been caught up in some political drama. Despite its size, the company is growing rapidly, is profitable, and generates tons of free cash flow. Investors cannot ignore the political risks, but the upside is tremendous for brave and patient investors.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"09988":0.9,"BABA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1552,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":119685245,"gmtCreate":1622542400387,"gmtModify":1631883954610,"author":{"id":"3564363528385098","authorId":"3564363528385098","name":"NamJooHyuk","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/839fb6690754e9dd71f40274a259d94e","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3564363528385098","idStr":"3564363528385098"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Best is to dca even if market crash","listText":"Best is to dca even if market crash","text":"Best is to dca even if market crash","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/119685245","repostId":"2139589924","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":214,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":193912684,"gmtCreate":1620744620848,"gmtModify":1631884132688,"author":{"id":"3564363528385098","authorId":"3564363528385098","name":"NamJooHyuk","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/839fb6690754e9dd71f40274a259d94e","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3564363528385098","idStr":"3564363528385098"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VOO\">$Vanguard S&amp;P 500 ETF(VOO)$</a>Wah the dip is crazy !&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VOO\">$Vanguard S&amp;P 500 ETF(VOO)$</a>Wah the dip is crazy !&nbsp;","text":"$Vanguard S&P 500 ETF(VOO)$Wah the dip is crazy !","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/193912684","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":283,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":359132402,"gmtCreate":1616373050006,"gmtModify":1634526224216,"author":{"id":"3564363528385098","authorId":"3564363528385098","name":"NamJooHyuk","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/839fb6690754e9dd71f40274a259d94e","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3564363528385098","idStr":"3564363528385098"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Gme to moon !&nbsp;","listText":"Gme to moon !&nbsp;","text":"Gme to moon !","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/359132402","repostId":"1162363864","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":355,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":119685245,"gmtCreate":1622542400387,"gmtModify":1631883954610,"author":{"id":"3564363528385098","authorId":"3564363528385098","name":"NamJooHyuk","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/839fb6690754e9dd71f40274a259d94e","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3564363528385098","idStr":"3564363528385098"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Best is to dca even if market crash","listText":"Best is to dca even if market crash","text":"Best is to dca even if market crash","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/119685245","repostId":"2139589924","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":214,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":166945895,"gmtCreate":1623989778217,"gmtModify":1634024503597,"author":{"id":"3564363528385098","authorId":"3564363528385098","name":"NamJooHyuk","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/839fb6690754e9dd71f40274a259d94e","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3564363528385098","idStr":"3564363528385098"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice&nbsp;","listText":"Nice&nbsp;","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/166945895","repostId":"1175693382","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1175693382","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623978463,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1175693382?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-18 09:07","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Alibaba Stock: The Bottoming Process Looks To Be Forming Already<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股票：触底过程似乎已经形成</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1175693382","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Alibaba is probably the most undervalued growth stock right now.The company’s multiple growth drivers within a rapidly expanding market made its valuations look even more baffling.The short term technical picture may be turning bullish with a potential double bottom price action signal.When we take things into clearer perspective by comparing China’s growth rate and size of its market to that of the U.S. e-commerce market, we could see the huge differences in their sizes and growth rates as the ","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Alibaba is probably the most undervalued growth stock right now.</li>  <li>The company’s multiple growth drivers within a rapidly expanding market made its valuations look even more baffling.</li>  <li>The short term technical picture may be turning bullish with a potential double bottom price action signal.</li>  <li>We discuss the company’s multiple growth drivers and let investors judge for themselves.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/05e63c77d4f3f3dc3d618e43044638bb\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\"><span>Yongyuan Dai/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>阿里巴巴-SW可能是目前最被低估的成长型股票。</li><li>该公司在快速扩张的市场中的多种增长动力使其估值看起来更加令人困惑。</li><li>短期技术面可能会转向看涨，并出现潜在的双底价格走势信号。</li><li>我们讨论公司的多种增长动力，让投资者自行判断。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>戴永源/iStock未通过Getty Images发布</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Technical Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>技术论文</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7febf6ed056b0e3bc038321cdaad9b1c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"782\"><span>Source: TradingView</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：TradingView</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Alibaba’s&nbsp;stock price has endured a terrible 8 months ever since its Ant Financial IPO was pulled in early Nov 20, with the stock languishing in the doldrums 34% off its high. When considering the health of its long term uptrend, it’s clear that BABA has a relatively strong uptrend bias and has generally been well supported along its key 50W MA. The only other time in the last 4 years that it lost its key 50W MA support level was during the 2018 bear market where BABA dropped about 40%, but was still well supported above the important 200W MA, which we usually consider as the “last line of defense”. Right now BABA is somewhat facing a similar situation again: down 34%, lost the 50W MA, but looks to be well supported above the 200W MA. In addition to that, one interesting observation in price action analysis may lead price action traders/investors to be especially bullish: a potential double bottom formation. BABA's price is seemingly going through a double bottom like it did during the 2018 bear market before it rallied strongly thereafter. As a result, BABA’s current level may offer a possible technical buy entry point now.</p><p><blockquote>自11月20日早些时候蚂蚁金服IPO被取消以来，阿里巴巴-SW的股价已经经历了可怕的8个月，股价低迷，较高点下跌了34%。当考虑其长期上升趋势的健康状况时，很明显BABA具有相对较强的上升趋势偏差，并且通常在其关键的50W MA上得到良好支撑。过去4年中唯一一次失去关键的50W MA支撑位是在2018年熊市期间，BABA下跌了约40%，但仍在重要的200W MA上方得到良好支撑，我们通常认为这是“最后一道防线”。现在阿里巴巴再次面临类似的情况：下跌34%，失去了50W MA，但看起来在200W MA上方得到了很好的支撑。除此之外，价格行为分析中的一个有趣观察可能会导致价格行为交易者/投资者特别看涨：潜在的双底形成。阿里巴巴的价格似乎正在经历双底，就像2018年熊市期间一样，随后强劲反弹。因此，阿里巴巴目前的水平现在可能提供一个可能的技术买入切入点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BABA's Fundamental Thesis: Rapidly Expanding Growth Drivers</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴的基本论点：快速扩大增长动力</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eba49f5881708929949c30628eedc5d4\" tg-width=\"934\" tg-height=\"578\"><span>Annual GMV. Data source: Company filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>年度GMV。数据来源：公司备案</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a4d6c4ed3e2402f5af52b2dea8bab411\" tg-width=\"836\" tg-height=\"517\"><span>Annual e-commerce revenue. Data source: Company filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>年电子商务收入。数据来源：公司备案</span></p></blockquote></p><p> BABA’s GMV grew from 1.68T yuan to 7.49T yuan in just a matter of 7 years, which represented a CAGR of 23.8%, a truly amazing growth rate. We also saw its GMV growth being converted into revenue growth as its China commerce revenue grew from 7.67B yuan to 473.68B yuan, at a CAGR of 51% over the last 10 years. While its international footprint remains considerably smaller, it still grew at a CAGR of 30.42% over the last 10 years, which was by no means slow.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴的GMV在短短7年内从1.68 T元增长到7.49 T元，复合年增长率为23.8%，增速确实惊人。我们还看到其GMV增长转化为收入增长，其中国商业收入从76.7亿元增长至4736.8亿元，过去10年复合年增长率为51%。虽然其国际足迹仍然相当小，但在过去10年中，其复合年增长率仍为30.42%，这一点也不慢。</blockquote></p><p> Even though China’s e-commerce market is expected to grow considerably slower at a CAGR of 12.4% over the next three years, from 13.8T yuan, equivalent to $2.16T in 2021 to 19.6T yuan,equivalent to $3.06T by 2024, the massive size of the market still offers tremendous upside potential for BABA and its closest competitors to grow into.</p><p><blockquote>尽管预计未来三年中国电子商务市场的增长速度将大幅放缓，复合年增长率为12.4%，从2021年的13.8 T元（相当于2.16 T美元）增长到2024年的19.6 T元（相当于3.06 T美元），但庞大的市场规模仍然为阿里巴巴及其最接近的竞争对手提供了巨大的增长潜力。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ffe2dee43f267e1d1399c68e3ca60f36\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>E-commerce revenue in the U.S. Data source: Statista</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>美国电子商务收入数据来源：Statista</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When we take things into clearer perspective by comparing China’s growth rate and size of its market to that of the U.S. e-commerce market, we could see the huge differences in their sizes and growth rates as the U.S. e-commerce market is only expected to grow at a CAGR of 4.67% from 2021 to 2025, which is significantly slower than China’s 12.4%. In addition, the U.S. market is also expected to reach about $563B in total revenue, which is 18% of what the China market is expected to be worth by then.</p><p><blockquote>当我们通过比较中国与美国电子商务市场的增长率和规模来更清晰地看待事物时，我们可以看到它们的规模和增长率的巨大差异，因为美国电子商务市场预计仅增长2021年至2025年的复合年增长率为4.67%，明显低于中国的12.4%。此外，美国市场的总收入预计也将达到约5630亿美元，是届时中国市场预计价值的18%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d5a8d0d8a6a2dcdf667a6f33c6c9771\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"702\"><span>Peers EBIT Margin and Projected EBIT Margin. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>同行息税前利润率和预计息税前利润率。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Even though Alibaba has been facing increased competitive pressures from its fast growing key competitors: JD.com(NASDAQ:JD)and Pinduoduo(NASDAQ:PDD), BABA has already been operating a much more profitable business (both EBIT and FCF), and is expected to continue delivering strong profitability moving forward, which should give the company tremendous flexibility to compete head on with JD and PDD in its quest to extend its leadership. Investors may observe that BABA’s EBIT margin was affected by the one-off administrative penalty of $2,782M that was reflected in its SG&amp;A, and therefore skewed its EBIT margin to the downside.</p><p><blockquote>尽管阿里巴巴-SW一直面临着来自快速增长的主要竞争对手京东（纳斯达克：JD）和拼多多（纳斯达克：PDD）的越来越大的竞争压力，但阿里巴巴已经在经营利润更高的业务（息税前利润和自由现金流），并且预计未来将继续实现强劲的盈利能力，这将使该公司具有巨大的灵活性，可以与京东和拼多多正面竞争，以扩大其领导地位。投资者可能会注意到，阿里巴巴的息税前利润率受到其SG&amp;A中反映的27.82亿美元一次性行政罚款的影响，因此其息税前利润率出现下行。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> One important move was the company’s decision to further its investment in the Community Marketplace, which is PDD’s main e-commerce strategy that saw PDD gain a total of&nbsp;823M AAC&nbsp;in its latest quarter as compared to BABA’s 891M AAC. PDD’s AAC growth is truly phenomenal considering it had only&nbsp;100M AAC in Q2’C17&nbsp;as compared to BABA’s 466M AAC in the same period.</p><p><blockquote>一项重要举措是该公司决定进一步投资社区市场，这是拼多多的主要电子商务战略，拼多多在最近一个季度总共获得了8.23亿AAC，而阿里巴巴的AAC为8.91亿。与阿里巴巴同期的4.66亿AAC相比，拼多多的AAC在2017年第二季度仅有1亿AAC，其AAC增长确实是惊人的。</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, the momentum of growth has surely swung over to the Community Marketplace segment and BABA would need to pull out its big guns (which it has) to compete for dominance with PDD and JD.</p><p><blockquote>因此，增长势头肯定已经转向社区市场领域，阿里巴巴需要拿出重磅炸弹（它已经拥有）来与拼多多和京东争夺主导地位。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b83b69b08b1f4b11a26393c8e6eead5\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Market size of community group buying in China. Data source: iiMedia Research</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国社区团购的市场规模。数据来源：艾媒咨询</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Even though the expected total market size of 102B yuan by 2022 represented only about 21.5% of BABA’s FY 21 China commerce revenue, the expected rapid CAGR of 44.22% over 3 years from 2019 to 2022 cannot be missed by BABA. Although the market is still relatively small, BABA cannot allow the current leader in this market: PDD to so easily dominate and gobble up the early high growth rates at the ignorance of everyone else. Certainly BABA must compete and fight for its place in this segment and strive for early leadership to prevent PDD from extending its lead.</p><p><blockquote>尽管预计到2022年1020亿元的总市场规模仅占阿里巴巴21财年中国商业收入的21.5%左右，但阿里巴巴不能错过2019年至2022年3年内44.22%的预期快速复合年增长率。虽然市场还比较小，但BABA不能让这个市场目前的龙头：PDD在旁人无知的情况下，如此轻易地称霸并吞噬早期的高增长率。当然，阿里巴巴必须竞争并争取自己在这一领域的地位，并争取早期领导地位，以防止拼多多扩大领先优势。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b97b2b4a8a182dc9846d8fb7e4039877\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"770\"><span>PDD profitability metrics &amp; revenue growth forecast. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>PDD盈利指标和收入增长预测。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> We could observe from the above chart that PDD is expected to continue growing its revenue rapidly over the next few years, even though they are expected to normalize subsequently. More importantly, PDD is also expected to increasingly improve its EBIT and FCF profitability moving forward. This shows that the Community Marketplace segment is an highly important growth driver that BABA must use its strength to exploit in order to deny PDD’s claim to undisputed leadership so early on in the game.</p><p><blockquote>我们可以从上图中观察到，拼多多的收入预计将在未来几年继续快速增长，尽管预计随后将正常化。更重要的是，拼多多预计未来的息税前利润和自由现金流盈利能力也将日益提高。这表明社区市场细分市场是一个非常重要的增长动力，阿里巴巴必须利用其优势来利用它，以否认拼多多在游戏早期声称的无可争议的领导地位。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3aadc32155b4108426a1a982e3b5b1c2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\"><span>China public cloud spending. Source:China Internet Watch; Canalys</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国公有云支出。来源：中国互联网观察；Canalys</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c1538b9f7bdc8d6d35a72d9acf8ecbc\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Size of China public cloud market. Data source: CAICT; Sina.com.cn</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国公有云市场规模。数据来源：中国信通技术；新浪网</span></p></blockquote></p><p> BABA has a 40% share in China’s public cloud market, way ahead of its key competitors. However, it’s important to note that despite this leadership, BABA is still in heavy investment mode to continue growing its market share as China’s public cloud market is expected to grow from 26.48B yuan in 2017 to 230.74B yuan by 2023, which would represent a CAGR of 43.4%, an incredibly stellar growth rate. This is especially clear when we compare China’s growth rate to the worldwide growth rate (see below) as public cloud spending worldwide is expected to grow from $145B in 2017 to $397B by 2022, that would represent a CAGR of 22.3%.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴在中国公有云市场拥有40%的份额，远远领先于其主要竞争对手。然而，值得注意的是，尽管处于领先地位，阿里巴巴仍处于大力投资模式，以继续扩大其市场份额，因为中国公共云市场预计将从2017年的264.8亿元增长到2023年的2307.4亿元，这将代表CAGR 43.4%，这是一个令人难以置信的出色增长率。当我们将中国的增长率与全球增长率（见下文）进行比较时，这一点尤其明显，因为全球公共云支出预计将从2017年的1450亿美元增长到2022年的3970亿美元，这将代表22.3%的CAGR。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06198c569504bc303c34563041dfb294\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Worldwide public cloud spending. Data source: Gartner</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>全球公共云支出。数据来源：Gartner</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8482037f60575f964053ab732496bee3\" tg-width=\"1176\" tg-height=\"700\"><span>Worldwide public cloud market share. Source:CnTechPost; Gartner</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>全球公共云市场份额。来源：CnTechPost；Gartner</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Therefore, I don’t find it surprising that Ali Cloud has continued to extend its lead over Alphabet’s(NASDAQ:GOOGL)(NASDAQ:GOOG)GCP with a market share of 9.5% in 2020. While AMZN remains the clear leader in the market, its market share has been coming down considerably as public cloud spending continues to expand, indicating that there is a huge potential for growth for multiple players to exist. With BABA’s leadership in the rapidly expanding Chinese market, I’m increasingly bullish on the future profit and FCF contribution from this segment to BABA’s performance over time. Although BABA’s cloud segment has not been EBIT profitable yet (FY 21 EBIT margin: -15%, FY 20 EBIT margin: -17.5%), it’s also useful to note that GCP has also not been profitable for Alphabet as well (FY 20 EBIT margin: -42.9%, FY 19 EBIT margin: -52%). Therefore, we need to give BABA some time to scale up its cloud services in APAC and in China where it is expected to have stronger leadership to allow it to grow faster and investors should expect this to be a highly profitable segment over time.</p><p><blockquote>因此，阿里云在2020年以9.5%的市场份额继续扩大对Alphabet（纳斯达克：GOOGL）（纳斯达克：GOOG）GCP的领先优势，我并不觉得奇怪。虽然亚马逊仍然是市场上明显的领导者，但随着公共云支出的持续扩大，其市场份额一直在大幅下降，这表明多个参与者存在巨大的增长潜力。凭借阿里巴巴在快速扩张的中国市场的领导地位，我越来越看好该细分市场未来的利润和自由现金流对阿里巴巴业绩的贡献。尽管阿里巴巴的云部门尚未实现息税前利润（21财年息税前利润率：-15%，20财年息税前利润率：-17.5%），但值得注意的是，Alphabet的GCP也尚未实现盈利（20财年息税前利润率：-42.9%，19财年息税前利润率：-52%）。因此，我们需要给阿里巴巴一些时间来扩大其在亚太地区和中国的云服务规模，预计阿里巴巴将拥有更强大的领导力，使其能够更快地增长，投资者应该预计随着时间的推移，这将是一个高利润的细分市场。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BABA's Valuations Look Highly Compelling</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴的估值看起来非常引人注目</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62a087c4b3ef7efc2c5dde813e3b959d\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"600\"><span>NTM TEV / EBIT 3Y range.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>NTM TEV/EBIT 3Y范围。</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2605c0e5ad364a7a43929fef204595c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"687\"><span>EV / Fwd EBIT and EV / Fwd Rev trend. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>EV/Fwd息税前利润和EV/Fwd Rev趋势。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When we consider BABA's TEV / EBIT historical range, where the 3Y mean read 33.54x, BABA’s EV / Fwd EBIT trend certainly imply a hugely undervalued stock as BABA is still expected to grow its revenue and operating profits rapidly. However, as we wanted to obtain greater clarity over how its counterparts are also valued, we thought it would be useful if we value BABA’s EBIT over a set of benchmark companies that is presented below.</p><p><blockquote>当我们考虑阿里巴巴的TEV/EBIT历史范围（3年平均值为33.54倍）时，阿里巴巴的EV/Fwd EBIT趋势无疑意味着该股票被严重低估，因为预计阿里巴巴的收入和营业利润仍将快速增长。然而，由于我们希望更清楚地了解其同行的估值情况，我们认为如果我们对阿里巴巴的息税前利润进行估值，而不是下面介绍的一组基准公司，这将是有用的。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d27873e676dfb23c98d4a69aa5861e02\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"1117\"><span>Peers EV / EBIT Valuations. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>同行EV/EBIT估值。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> By using a blend of historical and forward EBIT, we could see that BABA’s EV / EBIT really looks undervalued when compared to the median value of the set of observed values from the benchmark companies. We derived a fair value range for BABA of $294.98 at the midpoint of the range, that represented a potential upside of 40.5% based on the current stock price of $210.</p><p><blockquote>通过混合使用历史和远期息税前利润，我们可以看到，与基准公司一组观察值的中值相比，阿里巴巴的EV/EBIT看起来确实被低估了。我们得出阿里巴巴的公允价值范围为294.98美元，位于该范围的中点，基于当前210美元的股价，这意味着40.5%的潜在上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks to Assumptions</b></p><p><blockquote><b>假设风险</b></blockquote></p><p> Now, it’s obviously baffling to watch how Mr. Market has decided to discount BABA to such an extent as if the company has lost all its key sources of growth, when in fact there is still so much potential upside coming from its commerce segment, the new marketplace initiatives and its growing Ali Cloud segment, among others. The main realistic reason that we identified for the stock's underperformance would simply be regulatory risk. We think investors should acknowledge that this risk is very real and at times huge Chinese companies have found themselves to be subjected to extra scrutiny (which is nothing new in fact) by the Chinese government. What’s critical here is that the Chinese government seemingly has significant clout over the behavior and actions of their tech behemoths that at times may be largely unpredictable. The market certainly hates unpredictability and therefore they may have significantly discounted BABA as a result of that. If investors are not able to handle uncertainty with regard to potentially unpredictable regulatory actions and their aftermath, then BABA may not be appropriate for you. However, if you believe that this is just a blip in BABA’s long journey, then you would surely find BABA's valuations extremely attractive right now, coupled with a long term mindset.</p><p><blockquote>现在，看着先生如何表现显然令人困惑。市场决定对阿里巴巴进行折扣，就好像该公司已经失去了所有关键的增长来源，而事实上，其商业部门、新的市场举措和不断增长的阿里云部门仍有很大的潜在上涨空间，其中。我们认为该股表现不佳的主要现实原因只是监管风险。我们认为投资者应该承认这种风险是非常真实的，有时大型中国公司会发现自己受到中国政府的额外审查（事实上这并不是什么新鲜事）。这里关键的是，中国政府似乎对其科技巨头的行为和行动拥有重大影响力，而这些影响力有时可能在很大程度上是不可预测的。市场当然讨厌不可预测性，因此他们可能会因此大幅折扣阿里巴巴。如果投资者无法应对潜在不可预测的监管行动及其后果的不确定性，那么阿里巴巴可能不适合您。然而，如果你认为这只是阿里巴巴漫长旅程中的一个短暂时刻，那么你肯定会发现阿里巴巴现在的估值极具吸引力，再加上长期思维。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wrapping It All Up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>把这一切包起来</b></blockquote></p><p> Alibaba has continued to deliver solid results that demonstrated the strong capability of the company to execute well. As the company continues to operate within a market with so many growth drivers that are expected to drive the company’s future growth, investors should find the current valuations highly attractive.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW继续取得稳健的业绩，展示了公司强大的执行能力。由于该公司继续在一个拥有如此多增长动力的市场中运营，预计将推动公司未来的增长，投资者应该会发现当前的估值非常有吸引力。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba Stock: The Bottoming Process Looks To Be Forming Already<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股票：触底过程似乎已经形成</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba Stock: The Bottoming Process Looks To Be Forming Already<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股票：触底过程似乎已经形成</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-18 09:07</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Alibaba is probably the most undervalued growth stock right now.</li>  <li>The company’s multiple growth drivers within a rapidly expanding market made its valuations look even more baffling.</li>  <li>The short term technical picture may be turning bullish with a potential double bottom price action signal.</li>  <li>We discuss the company’s multiple growth drivers and let investors judge for themselves.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/05e63c77d4f3f3dc3d618e43044638bb\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\"><span>Yongyuan Dai/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>阿里巴巴-SW可能是目前最被低估的成长型股票。</li><li>该公司在快速扩张的市场中的多种增长动力使其估值看起来更加令人困惑。</li><li>短期技术面可能会转向看涨，并出现潜在的双底价格走势信号。</li><li>我们讨论公司的多种增长动力，让投资者自行判断。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>戴永源/iStock未通过Getty Images发布</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Technical Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>技术论文</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7febf6ed056b0e3bc038321cdaad9b1c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"782\"><span>Source: TradingView</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：TradingView</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Alibaba’s&nbsp;stock price has endured a terrible 8 months ever since its Ant Financial IPO was pulled in early Nov 20, with the stock languishing in the doldrums 34% off its high. When considering the health of its long term uptrend, it’s clear that BABA has a relatively strong uptrend bias and has generally been well supported along its key 50W MA. The only other time in the last 4 years that it lost its key 50W MA support level was during the 2018 bear market where BABA dropped about 40%, but was still well supported above the important 200W MA, which we usually consider as the “last line of defense”. Right now BABA is somewhat facing a similar situation again: down 34%, lost the 50W MA, but looks to be well supported above the 200W MA. In addition to that, one interesting observation in price action analysis may lead price action traders/investors to be especially bullish: a potential double bottom formation. BABA's price is seemingly going through a double bottom like it did during the 2018 bear market before it rallied strongly thereafter. As a result, BABA’s current level may offer a possible technical buy entry point now.</p><p><blockquote>自11月20日早些时候蚂蚁金服IPO被取消以来，阿里巴巴-SW的股价已经经历了可怕的8个月，股价低迷，较高点下跌了34%。当考虑其长期上升趋势的健康状况时，很明显BABA具有相对较强的上升趋势偏差，并且通常在其关键的50W MA上得到良好支撑。过去4年中唯一一次失去关键的50W MA支撑位是在2018年熊市期间，BABA下跌了约40%，但仍在重要的200W MA上方得到良好支撑，我们通常认为这是“最后一道防线”。现在阿里巴巴再次面临类似的情况：下跌34%，失去了50W MA，但看起来在200W MA上方得到了很好的支撑。除此之外，价格行为分析中的一个有趣观察可能会导致价格行为交易者/投资者特别看涨：潜在的双底形成。阿里巴巴的价格似乎正在经历双底，就像2018年熊市期间一样，随后强劲反弹。因此，阿里巴巴目前的水平现在可能提供一个可能的技术买入切入点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BABA's Fundamental Thesis: Rapidly Expanding Growth Drivers</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴的基本论点：快速扩大增长动力</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eba49f5881708929949c30628eedc5d4\" tg-width=\"934\" tg-height=\"578\"><span>Annual GMV. Data source: Company filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>年度GMV。数据来源：公司备案</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a4d6c4ed3e2402f5af52b2dea8bab411\" tg-width=\"836\" tg-height=\"517\"><span>Annual e-commerce revenue. Data source: Company filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>年电子商务收入。数据来源：公司备案</span></p></blockquote></p><p> BABA’s GMV grew from 1.68T yuan to 7.49T yuan in just a matter of 7 years, which represented a CAGR of 23.8%, a truly amazing growth rate. We also saw its GMV growth being converted into revenue growth as its China commerce revenue grew from 7.67B yuan to 473.68B yuan, at a CAGR of 51% over the last 10 years. While its international footprint remains considerably smaller, it still grew at a CAGR of 30.42% over the last 10 years, which was by no means slow.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴的GMV在短短7年内从1.68 T元增长到7.49 T元，复合年增长率为23.8%，增速确实惊人。我们还看到其GMV增长转化为收入增长，其中国商业收入从76.7亿元增长至4736.8亿元，过去10年复合年增长率为51%。虽然其国际足迹仍然相当小，但在过去10年中，其复合年增长率仍为30.42%，这一点也不慢。</blockquote></p><p> Even though China’s e-commerce market is expected to grow considerably slower at a CAGR of 12.4% over the next three years, from 13.8T yuan, equivalent to $2.16T in 2021 to 19.6T yuan,equivalent to $3.06T by 2024, the massive size of the market still offers tremendous upside potential for BABA and its closest competitors to grow into.</p><p><blockquote>尽管预计未来三年中国电子商务市场的增长速度将大幅放缓，复合年增长率为12.4%，从2021年的13.8 T元（相当于2.16 T美元）增长到2024年的19.6 T元（相当于3.06 T美元），但庞大的市场规模仍然为阿里巴巴及其最接近的竞争对手提供了巨大的增长潜力。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ffe2dee43f267e1d1399c68e3ca60f36\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>E-commerce revenue in the U.S. Data source: Statista</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>美国电子商务收入数据来源：Statista</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When we take things into clearer perspective by comparing China’s growth rate and size of its market to that of the U.S. e-commerce market, we could see the huge differences in their sizes and growth rates as the U.S. e-commerce market is only expected to grow at a CAGR of 4.67% from 2021 to 2025, which is significantly slower than China’s 12.4%. In addition, the U.S. market is also expected to reach about $563B in total revenue, which is 18% of what the China market is expected to be worth by then.</p><p><blockquote>当我们通过比较中国与美国电子商务市场的增长率和规模来更清晰地看待事物时，我们可以看到它们的规模和增长率的巨大差异，因为美国电子商务市场预计仅增长2021年至2025年的复合年增长率为4.67%，明显低于中国的12.4%。此外，美国市场的总收入预计也将达到约5630亿美元，是届时中国市场预计价值的18%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d5a8d0d8a6a2dcdf667a6f33c6c9771\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"702\"><span>Peers EBIT Margin and Projected EBIT Margin. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>同行息税前利润率和预计息税前利润率。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Even though Alibaba has been facing increased competitive pressures from its fast growing key competitors: JD.com(NASDAQ:JD)and Pinduoduo(NASDAQ:PDD), BABA has already been operating a much more profitable business (both EBIT and FCF), and is expected to continue delivering strong profitability moving forward, which should give the company tremendous flexibility to compete head on with JD and PDD in its quest to extend its leadership. Investors may observe that BABA’s EBIT margin was affected by the one-off administrative penalty of $2,782M that was reflected in its SG&amp;A, and therefore skewed its EBIT margin to the downside.</p><p><blockquote>尽管阿里巴巴-SW一直面临着来自快速增长的主要竞争对手京东（纳斯达克：JD）和拼多多（纳斯达克：PDD）的越来越大的竞争压力，但阿里巴巴已经在经营利润更高的业务（息税前利润和自由现金流），并且预计未来将继续实现强劲的盈利能力，这将使该公司具有巨大的灵活性，可以与京东和拼多多正面竞争，以扩大其领导地位。投资者可能会注意到，阿里巴巴的息税前利润率受到其SG&amp;A中反映的27.82亿美元一次性行政罚款的影响，因此其息税前利润率出现下行。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> One important move was the company’s decision to further its investment in the Community Marketplace, which is PDD’s main e-commerce strategy that saw PDD gain a total of&nbsp;823M AAC&nbsp;in its latest quarter as compared to BABA’s 891M AAC. PDD’s AAC growth is truly phenomenal considering it had only&nbsp;100M AAC in Q2’C17&nbsp;as compared to BABA’s 466M AAC in the same period.</p><p><blockquote>一项重要举措是该公司决定进一步投资社区市场，这是拼多多的主要电子商务战略，拼多多在最近一个季度总共获得了8.23亿AAC，而阿里巴巴的AAC为8.91亿。与阿里巴巴同期的4.66亿AAC相比，拼多多的AAC在2017年第二季度仅有1亿AAC，其AAC增长确实是惊人的。</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, the momentum of growth has surely swung over to the Community Marketplace segment and BABA would need to pull out its big guns (which it has) to compete for dominance with PDD and JD.</p><p><blockquote>因此，增长势头肯定已经转向社区市场领域，阿里巴巴需要拿出重磅炸弹（它已经拥有）来与拼多多和京东争夺主导地位。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b83b69b08b1f4b11a26393c8e6eead5\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Market size of community group buying in China. Data source: iiMedia Research</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国社区团购的市场规模。数据来源：艾媒咨询</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Even though the expected total market size of 102B yuan by 2022 represented only about 21.5% of BABA’s FY 21 China commerce revenue, the expected rapid CAGR of 44.22% over 3 years from 2019 to 2022 cannot be missed by BABA. Although the market is still relatively small, BABA cannot allow the current leader in this market: PDD to so easily dominate and gobble up the early high growth rates at the ignorance of everyone else. Certainly BABA must compete and fight for its place in this segment and strive for early leadership to prevent PDD from extending its lead.</p><p><blockquote>尽管预计到2022年1020亿元的总市场规模仅占阿里巴巴21财年中国商业收入的21.5%左右，但阿里巴巴不能错过2019年至2022年3年内44.22%的预期快速复合年增长率。虽然市场还比较小，但BABA不能让这个市场目前的龙头：PDD在旁人无知的情况下，如此轻易地称霸并吞噬早期的高增长率。当然，阿里巴巴必须竞争并争取自己在这一领域的地位，并争取早期领导地位，以防止拼多多扩大领先优势。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b97b2b4a8a182dc9846d8fb7e4039877\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"770\"><span>PDD profitability metrics &amp; revenue growth forecast. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>PDD盈利指标和收入增长预测。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> We could observe from the above chart that PDD is expected to continue growing its revenue rapidly over the next few years, even though they are expected to normalize subsequently. More importantly, PDD is also expected to increasingly improve its EBIT and FCF profitability moving forward. This shows that the Community Marketplace segment is an highly important growth driver that BABA must use its strength to exploit in order to deny PDD’s claim to undisputed leadership so early on in the game.</p><p><blockquote>我们可以从上图中观察到，拼多多的收入预计将在未来几年继续快速增长，尽管预计随后将正常化。更重要的是，拼多多预计未来的息税前利润和自由现金流盈利能力也将日益提高。这表明社区市场细分市场是一个非常重要的增长动力，阿里巴巴必须利用其优势来利用它，以否认拼多多在游戏早期声称的无可争议的领导地位。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3aadc32155b4108426a1a982e3b5b1c2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\"><span>China public cloud spending. Source:China Internet Watch; Canalys</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国公有云支出。来源：中国互联网观察；Canalys</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c1538b9f7bdc8d6d35a72d9acf8ecbc\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Size of China public cloud market. Data source: CAICT; Sina.com.cn</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国公有云市场规模。数据来源：中国信通技术；新浪网</span></p></blockquote></p><p> BABA has a 40% share in China’s public cloud market, way ahead of its key competitors. However, it’s important to note that despite this leadership, BABA is still in heavy investment mode to continue growing its market share as China’s public cloud market is expected to grow from 26.48B yuan in 2017 to 230.74B yuan by 2023, which would represent a CAGR of 43.4%, an incredibly stellar growth rate. This is especially clear when we compare China’s growth rate to the worldwide growth rate (see below) as public cloud spending worldwide is expected to grow from $145B in 2017 to $397B by 2022, that would represent a CAGR of 22.3%.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴在中国公有云市场拥有40%的份额，远远领先于其主要竞争对手。然而，值得注意的是，尽管处于领先地位，阿里巴巴仍处于大力投资模式，以继续扩大其市场份额，因为中国公共云市场预计将从2017年的264.8亿元增长到2023年的2307.4亿元，这将代表CAGR 43.4%，这是一个令人难以置信的出色增长率。当我们将中国的增长率与全球增长率（见下文）进行比较时，这一点尤其明显，因为全球公共云支出预计将从2017年的1450亿美元增长到2022年的3970亿美元，这将代表22.3%的CAGR。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06198c569504bc303c34563041dfb294\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Worldwide public cloud spending. Data source: Gartner</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>全球公共云支出。数据来源：Gartner</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8482037f60575f964053ab732496bee3\" tg-width=\"1176\" tg-height=\"700\"><span>Worldwide public cloud market share. Source:CnTechPost; Gartner</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>全球公共云市场份额。来源：CnTechPost；Gartner</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Therefore, I don’t find it surprising that Ali Cloud has continued to extend its lead over Alphabet’s(NASDAQ:GOOGL)(NASDAQ:GOOG)GCP with a market share of 9.5% in 2020. While AMZN remains the clear leader in the market, its market share has been coming down considerably as public cloud spending continues to expand, indicating that there is a huge potential for growth for multiple players to exist. With BABA’s leadership in the rapidly expanding Chinese market, I’m increasingly bullish on the future profit and FCF contribution from this segment to BABA’s performance over time. Although BABA’s cloud segment has not been EBIT profitable yet (FY 21 EBIT margin: -15%, FY 20 EBIT margin: -17.5%), it’s also useful to note that GCP has also not been profitable for Alphabet as well (FY 20 EBIT margin: -42.9%, FY 19 EBIT margin: -52%). Therefore, we need to give BABA some time to scale up its cloud services in APAC and in China where it is expected to have stronger leadership to allow it to grow faster and investors should expect this to be a highly profitable segment over time.</p><p><blockquote>因此，阿里云在2020年以9.5%的市场份额继续扩大对Alphabet（纳斯达克：GOOGL）（纳斯达克：GOOG）GCP的领先优势，我并不觉得奇怪。虽然亚马逊仍然是市场上明显的领导者，但随着公共云支出的持续扩大，其市场份额一直在大幅下降，这表明多个参与者存在巨大的增长潜力。凭借阿里巴巴在快速扩张的中国市场的领导地位，我越来越看好该细分市场未来的利润和自由现金流对阿里巴巴业绩的贡献。尽管阿里巴巴的云部门尚未实现息税前利润（21财年息税前利润率：-15%，20财年息税前利润率：-17.5%），但值得注意的是，Alphabet的GCP也尚未实现盈利（20财年息税前利润率：-42.9%，19财年息税前利润率：-52%）。因此，我们需要给阿里巴巴一些时间来扩大其在亚太地区和中国的云服务规模，预计阿里巴巴将拥有更强大的领导力，使其能够更快地增长，投资者应该预计随着时间的推移，这将是一个高利润的细分市场。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BABA's Valuations Look Highly Compelling</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴的估值看起来非常引人注目</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62a087c4b3ef7efc2c5dde813e3b959d\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"600\"><span>NTM TEV / EBIT 3Y range.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>NTM TEV/EBIT 3Y范围。</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2605c0e5ad364a7a43929fef204595c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"687\"><span>EV / Fwd EBIT and EV / Fwd Rev trend. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>EV/Fwd息税前利润和EV/Fwd Rev趋势。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When we consider BABA's TEV / EBIT historical range, where the 3Y mean read 33.54x, BABA’s EV / Fwd EBIT trend certainly imply a hugely undervalued stock as BABA is still expected to grow its revenue and operating profits rapidly. However, as we wanted to obtain greater clarity over how its counterparts are also valued, we thought it would be useful if we value BABA’s EBIT over a set of benchmark companies that is presented below.</p><p><blockquote>当我们考虑阿里巴巴的TEV/EBIT历史范围（3年平均值为33.54倍）时，阿里巴巴的EV/Fwd EBIT趋势无疑意味着该股票被严重低估，因为预计阿里巴巴的收入和营业利润仍将快速增长。然而，由于我们希望更清楚地了解其同行的估值情况，我们认为如果我们对阿里巴巴的息税前利润进行估值，而不是下面介绍的一组基准公司，这将是有用的。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d27873e676dfb23c98d4a69aa5861e02\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"1117\"><span>Peers EV / EBIT Valuations. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>同行EV/EBIT估值。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> By using a blend of historical and forward EBIT, we could see that BABA’s EV / EBIT really looks undervalued when compared to the median value of the set of observed values from the benchmark companies. We derived a fair value range for BABA of $294.98 at the midpoint of the range, that represented a potential upside of 40.5% based on the current stock price of $210.</p><p><blockquote>通过混合使用历史和远期息税前利润，我们可以看到，与基准公司一组观察值的中值相比，阿里巴巴的EV/EBIT看起来确实被低估了。我们得出阿里巴巴的公允价值范围为294.98美元，位于该范围的中点，基于当前210美元的股价，这意味着40.5%的潜在上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks to Assumptions</b></p><p><blockquote><b>假设风险</b></blockquote></p><p> Now, it’s obviously baffling to watch how Mr. Market has decided to discount BABA to such an extent as if the company has lost all its key sources of growth, when in fact there is still so much potential upside coming from its commerce segment, the new marketplace initiatives and its growing Ali Cloud segment, among others. The main realistic reason that we identified for the stock's underperformance would simply be regulatory risk. We think investors should acknowledge that this risk is very real and at times huge Chinese companies have found themselves to be subjected to extra scrutiny (which is nothing new in fact) by the Chinese government. What’s critical here is that the Chinese government seemingly has significant clout over the behavior and actions of their tech behemoths that at times may be largely unpredictable. The market certainly hates unpredictability and therefore they may have significantly discounted BABA as a result of that. If investors are not able to handle uncertainty with regard to potentially unpredictable regulatory actions and their aftermath, then BABA may not be appropriate for you. However, if you believe that this is just a blip in BABA’s long journey, then you would surely find BABA's valuations extremely attractive right now, coupled with a long term mindset.</p><p><blockquote>现在，看着先生如何表现显然令人困惑。市场决定对阿里巴巴进行折扣，就好像该公司已经失去了所有关键的增长来源，而事实上，其商业部门、新的市场举措和不断增长的阿里云部门仍有很大的潜在上涨空间，其中。我们认为该股表现不佳的主要现实原因只是监管风险。我们认为投资者应该承认这种风险是非常真实的，有时大型中国公司会发现自己受到中国政府的额外审查（事实上这并不是什么新鲜事）。这里关键的是，中国政府似乎对其科技巨头的行为和行动拥有重大影响力，而这些影响力有时可能在很大程度上是不可预测的。市场当然讨厌不可预测性，因此他们可能会因此大幅折扣阿里巴巴。如果投资者无法应对潜在不可预测的监管行动及其后果的不确定性，那么阿里巴巴可能不适合您。然而，如果你认为这只是阿里巴巴漫长旅程中的一个短暂时刻，那么你肯定会发现阿里巴巴现在的估值极具吸引力，再加上长期思维。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wrapping It All Up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>把这一切包起来</b></blockquote></p><p> Alibaba has continued to deliver solid results that demonstrated the strong capability of the company to execute well. As the company continues to operate within a market with so many growth drivers that are expected to drive the company’s future growth, investors should find the current valuations highly attractive.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW继续取得稳健的业绩，展示了公司强大的执行能力。由于该公司继续在一个拥有如此多增长动力的市场中运营，预计将推动公司未来的增长，投资者应该会发现当前的估值非常有吸引力。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435297-alibaba-stock-bottoming-process-forming-buy-now\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴","09988":"阿里巴巴-W"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435297-alibaba-stock-bottoming-process-forming-buy-now","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1175693382","content_text":"Summary\n\nAlibaba is probably the most undervalued growth stock right now.\nThe company’s multiple growth drivers within a rapidly expanding market made its valuations look even more baffling.\nThe short term technical picture may be turning bullish with a potential double bottom price action signal.\nWe discuss the company’s multiple growth drivers and let investors judge for themselves.\n\nYongyuan Dai/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images\nThe Technical Thesis\nSource: TradingView\nAlibaba’s stock price has endured a terrible 8 months ever since its Ant Financial IPO was pulled in early Nov 20, with the stock languishing in the doldrums 34% off its high. When considering the health of its long term uptrend, it’s clear that BABA has a relatively strong uptrend bias and has generally been well supported along its key 50W MA. The only other time in the last 4 years that it lost its key 50W MA support level was during the 2018 bear market where BABA dropped about 40%, but was still well supported above the important 200W MA, which we usually consider as the “last line of defense”. Right now BABA is somewhat facing a similar situation again: down 34%, lost the 50W MA, but looks to be well supported above the 200W MA. In addition to that, one interesting observation in price action analysis may lead price action traders/investors to be especially bullish: a potential double bottom formation. BABA's price is seemingly going through a double bottom like it did during the 2018 bear market before it rallied strongly thereafter. As a result, BABA’s current level may offer a possible technical buy entry point now.\nBABA's Fundamental Thesis: Rapidly Expanding Growth Drivers\nAnnual GMV. Data source: Company filings\nAnnual e-commerce revenue. Data source: Company filings\nBABA’s GMV grew from 1.68T yuan to 7.49T yuan in just a matter of 7 years, which represented a CAGR of 23.8%, a truly amazing growth rate. We also saw its GMV growth being converted into revenue growth as its China commerce revenue grew from 7.67B yuan to 473.68B yuan, at a CAGR of 51% over the last 10 years. While its international footprint remains considerably smaller, it still grew at a CAGR of 30.42% over the last 10 years, which was by no means slow.\nEven though China’s e-commerce market is expected to grow considerably slower at a CAGR of 12.4% over the next three years, from 13.8T yuan, equivalent to $2.16T in 2021 to 19.6T yuan,equivalent to $3.06T by 2024, the massive size of the market still offers tremendous upside potential for BABA and its closest competitors to grow into.\nE-commerce revenue in the U.S. Data source: Statista\nWhen we take things into clearer perspective by comparing China’s growth rate and size of its market to that of the U.S. e-commerce market, we could see the huge differences in their sizes and growth rates as the U.S. e-commerce market is only expected to grow at a CAGR of 4.67% from 2021 to 2025, which is significantly slower than China’s 12.4%. In addition, the U.S. market is also expected to reach about $563B in total revenue, which is 18% of what the China market is expected to be worth by then.\nPeers EBIT Margin and Projected EBIT Margin. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nEven though Alibaba has been facing increased competitive pressures from its fast growing key competitors: JD.com(NASDAQ:JD)and Pinduoduo(NASDAQ:PDD), BABA has already been operating a much more profitable business (both EBIT and FCF), and is expected to continue delivering strong profitability moving forward, which should give the company tremendous flexibility to compete head on with JD and PDD in its quest to extend its leadership. Investors may observe that BABA’s EBIT margin was affected by the one-off administrative penalty of $2,782M that was reflected in its SG&A, and therefore skewed its EBIT margin to the downside.\nOne important move was the company’s decision to further its investment in the Community Marketplace, which is PDD’s main e-commerce strategy that saw PDD gain a total of 823M AAC in its latest quarter as compared to BABA’s 891M AAC. PDD’s AAC growth is truly phenomenal considering it had only 100M AAC in Q2’C17 as compared to BABA’s 466M AAC in the same period.\nTherefore, the momentum of growth has surely swung over to the Community Marketplace segment and BABA would need to pull out its big guns (which it has) to compete for dominance with PDD and JD.\nMarket size of community group buying in China. Data source: iiMedia Research\nEven though the expected total market size of 102B yuan by 2022 represented only about 21.5% of BABA’s FY 21 China commerce revenue, the expected rapid CAGR of 44.22% over 3 years from 2019 to 2022 cannot be missed by BABA. Although the market is still relatively small, BABA cannot allow the current leader in this market: PDD to so easily dominate and gobble up the early high growth rates at the ignorance of everyone else. Certainly BABA must compete and fight for its place in this segment and strive for early leadership to prevent PDD from extending its lead.\nPDD profitability metrics & revenue growth forecast. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nWe could observe from the above chart that PDD is expected to continue growing its revenue rapidly over the next few years, even though they are expected to normalize subsequently. More importantly, PDD is also expected to increasingly improve its EBIT and FCF profitability moving forward. This shows that the Community Marketplace segment is an highly important growth driver that BABA must use its strength to exploit in order to deny PDD’s claim to undisputed leadership so early on in the game.\nChina public cloud spending. Source:China Internet Watch; Canalys\nSize of China public cloud market. Data source: CAICT; Sina.com.cn\nBABA has a 40% share in China’s public cloud market, way ahead of its key competitors. However, it’s important to note that despite this leadership, BABA is still in heavy investment mode to continue growing its market share as China’s public cloud market is expected to grow from 26.48B yuan in 2017 to 230.74B yuan by 2023, which would represent a CAGR of 43.4%, an incredibly stellar growth rate. This is especially clear when we compare China’s growth rate to the worldwide growth rate (see below) as public cloud spending worldwide is expected to grow from $145B in 2017 to $397B by 2022, that would represent a CAGR of 22.3%.\nWorldwide public cloud spending. Data source: Gartner\nWorldwide public cloud market share. Source:CnTechPost; Gartner\nTherefore, I don’t find it surprising that Ali Cloud has continued to extend its lead over Alphabet’s(NASDAQ:GOOGL)(NASDAQ:GOOG)GCP with a market share of 9.5% in 2020. While AMZN remains the clear leader in the market, its market share has been coming down considerably as public cloud spending continues to expand, indicating that there is a huge potential for growth for multiple players to exist. With BABA’s leadership in the rapidly expanding Chinese market, I’m increasingly bullish on the future profit and FCF contribution from this segment to BABA’s performance over time. Although BABA’s cloud segment has not been EBIT profitable yet (FY 21 EBIT margin: -15%, FY 20 EBIT margin: -17.5%), it’s also useful to note that GCP has also not been profitable for Alphabet as well (FY 20 EBIT margin: -42.9%, FY 19 EBIT margin: -52%). Therefore, we need to give BABA some time to scale up its cloud services in APAC and in China where it is expected to have stronger leadership to allow it to grow faster and investors should expect this to be a highly profitable segment over time.\nBABA's Valuations Look Highly Compelling\nNTM TEV / EBIT 3Y range.\nEV / Fwd EBIT and EV / Fwd Rev trend. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nWhen we consider BABA's TEV / EBIT historical range, where the 3Y mean read 33.54x, BABA’s EV / Fwd EBIT trend certainly imply a hugely undervalued stock as BABA is still expected to grow its revenue and operating profits rapidly. However, as we wanted to obtain greater clarity over how its counterparts are also valued, we thought it would be useful if we value BABA’s EBIT over a set of benchmark companies that is presented below.\nPeers EV / EBIT Valuations. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nBy using a blend of historical and forward EBIT, we could see that BABA’s EV / EBIT really looks undervalued when compared to the median value of the set of observed values from the benchmark companies. We derived a fair value range for BABA of $294.98 at the midpoint of the range, that represented a potential upside of 40.5% based on the current stock price of $210.\nRisks to Assumptions\nNow, it’s obviously baffling to watch how Mr. Market has decided to discount BABA to such an extent as if the company has lost all its key sources of growth, when in fact there is still so much potential upside coming from its commerce segment, the new marketplace initiatives and its growing Ali Cloud segment, among others. The main realistic reason that we identified for the stock's underperformance would simply be regulatory risk. We think investors should acknowledge that this risk is very real and at times huge Chinese companies have found themselves to be subjected to extra scrutiny (which is nothing new in fact) by the Chinese government. What’s critical here is that the Chinese government seemingly has significant clout over the behavior and actions of their tech behemoths that at times may be largely unpredictable. The market certainly hates unpredictability and therefore they may have significantly discounted BABA as a result of that. If investors are not able to handle uncertainty with regard to potentially unpredictable regulatory actions and their aftermath, then BABA may not be appropriate for you. However, if you believe that this is just a blip in BABA’s long journey, then you would surely find BABA's valuations extremely attractive right now, coupled with a long term mindset.\nWrapping It All Up\nAlibaba has continued to deliver solid results that demonstrated the strong capability of the company to execute well. As the company continues to operate within a market with so many growth drivers that are expected to drive the company’s future growth, investors should find the current valuations highly attractive.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BABA":0.9,"09988":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1550,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":359132402,"gmtCreate":1616373050006,"gmtModify":1634526224216,"author":{"id":"3564363528385098","authorId":"3564363528385098","name":"NamJooHyuk","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/839fb6690754e9dd71f40274a259d94e","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3564363528385098","idStr":"3564363528385098"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Gme to moon !&nbsp;","listText":"Gme to moon !&nbsp;","text":"Gme to moon !","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/359132402","repostId":"1162363864","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1162363864","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1616372849,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1162363864?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-22 08:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"GameStop, Adobe, Honeywell, Darden Restaurants, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>游戏驿站、Adobe、Honeywell、Darden Restaurants和其他本周值得投资者关注的股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1162363864","media":"barrons","summary":"The earnings calendar is again sparse this week, during a quiet period between earnings seasons. The","content":"<p>The earnings calendar is again sparse this week,&nbsp;during a quiet&nbsp;period between earnings seasons. The handful of major companies reporting includeAdobeandGameStopon Tuesday,General Millson Wednesday, andDarden Restaurantson Thursday. Unilever andHoneywellInternational will host investor events on Monday and Thursday, respectively. And shareholders ofHuntington BancsharesandTCF Financialwill vote on the companies’ proposed merger on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>在财报季之间的平静时期，本周的财报日历再次稀疏。发布报告的少数大公司包括周二的Adobe和Gamestopon、周三的General Millson和周四的Darden Restaurants。联合利华和霍尼韦尔国际将分别于周一和周四举办投资者活动。Huntington Bancshares和TCF Financial的股东将于周四就两家公司拟议的合并进行投票。</blockquote></p><p> Economic data out this week includes the Census Bureau’s February durable goods report—seen as a decent proxy for business investment—and&nbsp;IHS Markit’sManufacturing and Services Purchasing Managers’ indexes for March, all on Wednesday. On Friday, the Bureau of Economic Analysis will report personal income and spending data for February. The Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation,&nbsp;the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index for February, will also be out on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>本周公布的经济数据包括人口普查局2月份耐用品报告（被视为商业投资的良好指标）以及IHS Markit 3月份制造业和服务业采购经理人指数，所有数据均于周三公布。周五，经济分析局将公布2月份个人收入和支出数据。美联储首选的通胀指标——2月份个人消费支出价格指数也将于周五公布。</blockquote></p><p> Other releases include the National Association of Realtors’&nbsp;existing-home sales data for February on Monday and the Census Bureau’s new single-family home sales for February on Tuesday. Finally on Thursday, the Bureau of Economic Analysis’&nbsp;third and final estimate for fourth-quarter 2020 GDP is expected to be unchanged from its second estimate in late February,&nbsp;at a 4.1% annualized rate of growth.</p><p><blockquote>其他发布的数据包括周一全国房地产经纪人协会2月份现房销售数据和周二人口普查局2月份新单户住宅销售数据。最后，周四，经济分析局对2020年第四季度GDP的第三次也是最终估计预计与2月底的第二次估计持平，年化增长率为4.1%。</blockquote></p><p> Monday 3/22</p><p><blockquote>3/22星期一</blockquote></p><p> <b>The National Association</b>of Realtors reports existing-home sales for February. Consensus estimate is for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 6.55 million homes sold, slightly lower than the January data. The median existing-home sales price was $303,900 in January, up 14.1% year over year, as housing inventory hit a record low.</p><p><blockquote><b>全国协会</b>房地产经纪人报告二月份现房销售情况。市场普遍估计，经季节调整后的房屋销售量为655万套，略低于1月份的数据。由于房屋库存创下历史新低，1月份成屋销售价格中位数为303,900美元，同比上涨14.1%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Federal Reserve</b>Bank of Chicago releases its National Activity index for February. Economists forecast a 0.68 reading, about even with January’s 0.66. A positive reading indicates that the economy is growing faster than historical trends.</p><p><blockquote><b>美联储</b>芝加哥银行发布2月份全国活动指数。经济学家预测为0.68，与1月份的0.66大致持平。积极的读数表明经济增长速度快于历史趋势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Unilever hosts</b>an investor presentation to discuss its U.S. operations.</p><p><blockquote><b>联合利华主机</b>讨论其美国业务的投资者演示文稿。</blockquote></p><p> Tuesday 3/23</p><p><blockquote>星期二3/23</blockquote></p><p> <b>Adobe, IHS Markit,</b>and GameStop report quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote><b>Adobe、IHS Markit、</b>和游戏驿站报告季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b>reports new single-family home sales for February. Expectations are for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 900,000 homes sold, slightly lower than the January figure. New-home sales are just off their post-financial-crisis peak set last July.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>报告二月份新单户住宅销售情况。预计经季节调整后的年增长率为90万套房屋，略低于1月份的数字。新房销售刚刚脱离去年7月创下的金融危机后峰值。</blockquote></p><p> Wednesday 3/24</p><p><blockquote>星期三3/24</blockquote></p><p> <b>General Mills releases</b>fiscal third-quarter earnings.</p><p><blockquote><b>通用磨坊发布</b>第三财季收益。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b>releases the durable goods report for February. The consensus call is for new orders of manufactured durable goods to rise 0.5% month over month to $258 billion. Excluding transportation, new orders are also seen gaining 0.5%. This compares with increases of 3.4% and 1.3%, respectively, in January.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>发布2月份耐用品报告。普遍的看涨期权是耐用品制造业新订单环比增长0.5%，达到2580亿美元。不包括运输，新订单也增长了0.5%。相比之下，1月份的增幅分别为3.4%和1.3%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>IHS Markit releases</b>both its Manufacturing and Services Purchasing Managers’ indexes for March. Economists forecast a 58.8 reading for the Manufacturing PMI and a 59.8 reading for the Services PMI, both similar to the February data. Last month, the composite reading for both PMIs hit a six-year high.</p><p><blockquote><b>IHS Markit发布</b>3月份制造业和服务业采购经理人指数。经济学家预测制造业PMI为58.8，服务业PMI为59.8，均与2月份数据相似。上个月，两项PMI的综合读数均创下六年来的新高。</blockquote></p><p> Thursday 3/25</p><p><blockquote>3/25星期四</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Bureau of Economic</b>Analysis reports its third and final estimate for fourth-quarter 2020 GDP. Economists forecast a 4.1% annual rate of growth, unchanged from the BEA’s second estimate, released in late February.</p><p><blockquote><b>经济局</b>分析报告了对2020年第四季度GDP的第三次也是最终估计。经济学家预测年增长率为4.1%，与东亚银行2月底发布的第二次估计持平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Honeywell International</b>hosts a webcast to discuss its sustainability initiatives.</p><p><blockquote><b>霍尼韦尔国际</b>主持网络广播，讨论其可持续发展计划。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Huntington Bancshares</b>and TCF Financial hold special shareholder meetings to seek approval for their $6 billion merger, first announced in December. The combined company would be one of the 10 largest regional banks in the U.S.</p><p><blockquote><b>亨廷顿银行股份公司</b>和TCF Financial召开特别股东大会，寻求批准他们于12月首次宣布的60亿美元合并。合并后的公司将成为美国十大地区性银行之一。</blockquote></p><p> Friday 3/26</p><p><blockquote>星期五3/26</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Bureau of Economic</b>Analysis reports personal income and spending data for February. Income is projected to decline 7.5% month over month, compared with a 10% jump in January. Spending is expected to be flat, after increasing 2.4% previously. The Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index, the Federal Reserve’s favored inflation gauge, is seen rising 1.5% year over year, matching the January data.</p><p><blockquote><b>经济局</b>分析报告了2月份的个人收入和支出数据。收入预计将环比下降7.5%，而1月份则增长10%。支出预计将持平，此前增长2.4%。美联储青睐的通胀指标个人消费支出价格指数预计同比上涨1.5%，与1月份数据持平。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>GameStop, Adobe, Honeywell, Darden Restaurants, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>游戏驿站、Adobe、Honeywell、Darden Restaurants和其他本周值得投资者关注的股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGameStop, Adobe, Honeywell, Darden Restaurants, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>游戏驿站、Adobe、Honeywell、Darden Restaurants和其他本周值得投资者关注的股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-03-22 08:27</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The earnings calendar is again sparse this week,&nbsp;during a quiet&nbsp;period between earnings seasons. The handful of major companies reporting includeAdobeandGameStopon Tuesday,General Millson Wednesday, andDarden Restaurantson Thursday. Unilever andHoneywellInternational will host investor events on Monday and Thursday, respectively. And shareholders ofHuntington BancsharesandTCF Financialwill vote on the companies’ proposed merger on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>在财报季之间的平静时期，本周的财报日历再次稀疏。发布报告的少数大公司包括周二的Adobe和Gamestopon、周三的General Millson和周四的Darden Restaurants。联合利华和霍尼韦尔国际将分别于周一和周四举办投资者活动。Huntington Bancshares和TCF Financial的股东将于周四就两家公司拟议的合并进行投票。</blockquote></p><p> Economic data out this week includes the Census Bureau’s February durable goods report—seen as a decent proxy for business investment—and&nbsp;IHS Markit’sManufacturing and Services Purchasing Managers’ indexes for March, all on Wednesday. On Friday, the Bureau of Economic Analysis will report personal income and spending data for February. The Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation,&nbsp;the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index for February, will also be out on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>本周公布的经济数据包括人口普查局2月份耐用品报告（被视为商业投资的良好指标）以及IHS Markit 3月份制造业和服务业采购经理人指数，所有数据均于周三公布。周五，经济分析局将公布2月份个人收入和支出数据。美联储首选的通胀指标——2月份个人消费支出价格指数也将于周五公布。</blockquote></p><p> Other releases include the National Association of Realtors’&nbsp;existing-home sales data for February on Monday and the Census Bureau’s new single-family home sales for February on Tuesday. Finally on Thursday, the Bureau of Economic Analysis’&nbsp;third and final estimate for fourth-quarter 2020 GDP is expected to be unchanged from its second estimate in late February,&nbsp;at a 4.1% annualized rate of growth.</p><p><blockquote>其他发布的数据包括周一全国房地产经纪人协会2月份现房销售数据和周二人口普查局2月份新单户住宅销售数据。最后，周四，经济分析局对2020年第四季度GDP的第三次也是最终估计预计与2月底的第二次估计持平，年化增长率为4.1%。</blockquote></p><p> Monday 3/22</p><p><blockquote>3/22星期一</blockquote></p><p> <b>The National Association</b>of Realtors reports existing-home sales for February. Consensus estimate is for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 6.55 million homes sold, slightly lower than the January data. The median existing-home sales price was $303,900 in January, up 14.1% year over year, as housing inventory hit a record low.</p><p><blockquote><b>全国协会</b>房地产经纪人报告二月份现房销售情况。市场普遍估计，经季节调整后的房屋销售量为655万套，略低于1月份的数据。由于房屋库存创下历史新低，1月份成屋销售价格中位数为303,900美元，同比上涨14.1%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Federal Reserve</b>Bank of Chicago releases its National Activity index for February. Economists forecast a 0.68 reading, about even with January’s 0.66. A positive reading indicates that the economy is growing faster than historical trends.</p><p><blockquote><b>美联储</b>芝加哥银行发布2月份全国活动指数。经济学家预测为0.68，与1月份的0.66大致持平。积极的读数表明经济增长速度快于历史趋势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Unilever hosts</b>an investor presentation to discuss its U.S. operations.</p><p><blockquote><b>联合利华主机</b>讨论其美国业务的投资者演示文稿。</blockquote></p><p> Tuesday 3/23</p><p><blockquote>星期二3/23</blockquote></p><p> <b>Adobe, IHS Markit,</b>and GameStop report quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote><b>Adobe、IHS Markit、</b>和游戏驿站报告季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b>reports new single-family home sales for February. Expectations are for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 900,000 homes sold, slightly lower than the January figure. New-home sales are just off their post-financial-crisis peak set last July.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>报告二月份新单户住宅销售情况。预计经季节调整后的年增长率为90万套房屋，略低于1月份的数字。新房销售刚刚脱离去年7月创下的金融危机后峰值。</blockquote></p><p> Wednesday 3/24</p><p><blockquote>星期三3/24</blockquote></p><p> <b>General Mills releases</b>fiscal third-quarter earnings.</p><p><blockquote><b>通用磨坊发布</b>第三财季收益。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b>releases the durable goods report for February. The consensus call is for new orders of manufactured durable goods to rise 0.5% month over month to $258 billion. Excluding transportation, new orders are also seen gaining 0.5%. This compares with increases of 3.4% and 1.3%, respectively, in January.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>发布2月份耐用品报告。普遍的看涨期权是耐用品制造业新订单环比增长0.5%，达到2580亿美元。不包括运输，新订单也增长了0.5%。相比之下，1月份的增幅分别为3.4%和1.3%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>IHS Markit releases</b>both its Manufacturing and Services Purchasing Managers’ indexes for March. Economists forecast a 58.8 reading for the Manufacturing PMI and a 59.8 reading for the Services PMI, both similar to the February data. Last month, the composite reading for both PMIs hit a six-year high.</p><p><blockquote><b>IHS Markit发布</b>3月份制造业和服务业采购经理人指数。经济学家预测制造业PMI为58.8，服务业PMI为59.8，均与2月份数据相似。上个月，两项PMI的综合读数均创下六年来的新高。</blockquote></p><p> Thursday 3/25</p><p><blockquote>3/25星期四</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Bureau of Economic</b>Analysis reports its third and final estimate for fourth-quarter 2020 GDP. Economists forecast a 4.1% annual rate of growth, unchanged from the BEA’s second estimate, released in late February.</p><p><blockquote><b>经济局</b>分析报告了对2020年第四季度GDP的第三次也是最终估计。经济学家预测年增长率为4.1%，与东亚银行2月底发布的第二次估计持平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Honeywell International</b>hosts a webcast to discuss its sustainability initiatives.</p><p><blockquote><b>霍尼韦尔国际</b>主持网络广播，讨论其可持续发展计划。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Huntington Bancshares</b>and TCF Financial hold special shareholder meetings to seek approval for their $6 billion merger, first announced in December. The combined company would be one of the 10 largest regional banks in the U.S.</p><p><blockquote><b>亨廷顿银行股份公司</b>和TCF Financial召开特别股东大会，寻求批准他们于12月首次宣布的60亿美元合并。合并后的公司将成为美国十大地区性银行之一。</blockquote></p><p> Friday 3/26</p><p><blockquote>星期五3/26</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Bureau of Economic</b>Analysis reports personal income and spending data for February. Income is projected to decline 7.5% month over month, compared with a 10% jump in January. Spending is expected to be flat, after increasing 2.4% previously. The Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index, the Federal Reserve’s favored inflation gauge, is seen rising 1.5% year over year, matching the January data.</p><p><blockquote><b>经济局</b>分析报告了2月份的个人收入和支出数据。收入预计将环比下降7.5%，而1月份则增长10%。支出预计将持平，此前增长2.4%。美联储青睐的通胀指标个人消费支出价格指数预计同比上涨1.5%，与1月份数据持平。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/gamestop-adobe-honeywell-darden-restaurants-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51616353213?mod=hp_LATEST\">barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GME":"游戏驿站"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/gamestop-adobe-honeywell-darden-restaurants-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51616353213?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1162363864","content_text":"The earnings calendar is again sparse this week, during a quiet period between earnings seasons. The handful of major companies reporting includeAdobeandGameStopon Tuesday,General Millson Wednesday, andDarden Restaurantson Thursday. Unilever andHoneywellInternational will host investor events on Monday and Thursday, respectively. And shareholders ofHuntington BancsharesandTCF Financialwill vote on the companies’ proposed merger on Thursday.\nEconomic data out this week includes the Census Bureau’s February durable goods report—seen as a decent proxy for business investment—and IHS Markit’sManufacturing and Services Purchasing Managers’ indexes for March, all on Wednesday. On Friday, the Bureau of Economic Analysis will report personal income and spending data for February. The Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation, the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index for February, will also be out on Friday.\nOther releases include the National Association of Realtors’ existing-home sales data for February on Monday and the Census Bureau’s new single-family home sales for February on Tuesday. Finally on Thursday, the Bureau of Economic Analysis’ third and final estimate for fourth-quarter 2020 GDP is expected to be unchanged from its second estimate in late February, at a 4.1% annualized rate of growth.\nMonday 3/22\nThe National Associationof Realtors reports existing-home sales for February. Consensus estimate is for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 6.55 million homes sold, slightly lower than the January data. The median existing-home sales price was $303,900 in January, up 14.1% year over year, as housing inventory hit a record low.\nThe Federal ReserveBank of Chicago releases its National Activity index for February. Economists forecast a 0.68 reading, about even with January’s 0.66. A positive reading indicates that the economy is growing faster than historical trends.\nUnilever hostsan investor presentation to discuss its U.S. operations.\nTuesday 3/23\nAdobe, IHS Markit,and GameStop report quarterly results.\nThe Census Bureaureports new single-family home sales for February. Expectations are for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 900,000 homes sold, slightly lower than the January figure. New-home sales are just off their post-financial-crisis peak set last July.\nWednesday 3/24\nGeneral Mills releasesfiscal third-quarter earnings.\nThe Census Bureaureleases the durable goods report for February. The consensus call is for new orders of manufactured durable goods to rise 0.5% month over month to $258 billion. Excluding transportation, new orders are also seen gaining 0.5%. This compares with increases of 3.4% and 1.3%, respectively, in January.\nIHS Markit releasesboth its Manufacturing and Services Purchasing Managers’ indexes for March. Economists forecast a 58.8 reading for the Manufacturing PMI and a 59.8 reading for the Services PMI, both similar to the February data. Last month, the composite reading for both PMIs hit a six-year high.\nThursday 3/25\nThe Bureau of EconomicAnalysis reports its third and final estimate for fourth-quarter 2020 GDP. Economists forecast a 4.1% annual rate of growth, unchanged from the BEA’s second estimate, released in late February.\nHoneywell Internationalhosts a webcast to discuss its sustainability initiatives.\nHuntington Bancsharesand TCF Financial hold special shareholder meetings to seek approval for their $6 billion merger, first announced in December. The combined company would be one of the 10 largest regional banks in the U.S.\nFriday 3/26\nThe Bureau of EconomicAnalysis reports personal income and spending data for February. Income is projected to decline 7.5% month over month, compared with a 10% jump in January. Spending is expected to be flat, after increasing 2.4% previously. The Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index, the Federal Reserve’s favored inflation gauge, is seen rising 1.5% year over year, matching the January data.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GME":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":355,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":836502454,"gmtCreate":1629505076978,"gmtModify":1633684429845,"author":{"id":"3564363528385098","authorId":"3564363528385098","name":"NamJooHyuk","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/839fb6690754e9dd71f40274a259d94e","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3564363528385098","idStr":"3564363528385098"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hodl&nbsp;","listText":"Hodl&nbsp;","text":"Hodl","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/836502454","repostId":"2161743232","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1294,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":150079996,"gmtCreate":1624878784515,"gmtModify":1633947619374,"author":{"id":"3564363528385098","authorId":"3564363528385098","name":"NamJooHyuk","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/839fb6690754e9dd71f40274a259d94e","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3564363528385098","idStr":"3564363528385098"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/150079996","repostId":"1150095060","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1231,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":121899253,"gmtCreate":1624457912772,"gmtModify":1634005839668,"author":{"id":"3564363528385098","authorId":"3564363528385098","name":"NamJooHyuk","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/839fb6690754e9dd71f40274a259d94e","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3564363528385098","idStr":"3564363528385098"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great&nbsp;","listText":"Great&nbsp;","text":"Great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/121899253","repostId":"1145825451","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1253,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":193912684,"gmtCreate":1620744620848,"gmtModify":1631884132688,"author":{"id":"3564363528385098","authorId":"3564363528385098","name":"NamJooHyuk","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/839fb6690754e9dd71f40274a259d94e","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3564363528385098","idStr":"3564363528385098"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VOO\">$Vanguard S&amp;P 500 ETF(VOO)$</a>Wah the dip is crazy !&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VOO\">$Vanguard S&amp;P 500 ETF(VOO)$</a>Wah the dip is crazy !&nbsp;","text":"$Vanguard S&P 500 ETF(VOO)$Wah the dip is crazy !","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/193912684","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":283,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":166404340,"gmtCreate":1624020947680,"gmtModify":1634024020753,"author":{"id":"3564363528385098","authorId":"3564363528385098","name":"NamJooHyuk","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/839fb6690754e9dd71f40274a259d94e","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3564363528385098","idStr":"3564363528385098"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"What is cheap ?&nbsp;","listText":"What is cheap ?&nbsp;","text":"What is cheap ?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/166404340","repostId":"1131081247","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1131081247","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624019171,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1131081247?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-18 20:26","market":"fut","language":"en","title":"Goldman sees Fed-driven dip in commodities as a 'buying opportunity'<blockquote>高盛将美联储推动的大宗商品下跌视为“买入机会”</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1131081247","media":"Reuters","summary":"(Reuters) - Goldman Sachs said on Friday the recent slip in commodities prices driven by the U.S. Fe","content":"<p>(Reuters) - Goldman Sachs said on Friday the recent slip in commodities prices driven by the U.S. Federal Reserve’s decision to bring forward projections for interest rate hikes into 2023 was a buying opportunity for investors.</p><p><blockquote>（路透社）-高盛周五表示，美联储决定将加息预测提前至2023年，导致大宗商品价格近期下滑，这对投资者来说是一个买入机会。</blockquote></p><p> “The bullish commodity thesis is neither about inflation risks nor Fed forward guidance. It is about scarcity and strong physical demand,” the Wall Street bank said in a note.</p><p><blockquote>这家华尔街银行在一份报告中表示：“看涨大宗商品的论点既不是关于通胀风险，也不是关于美联储的前瞻性指引。而是关于稀缺性和强劲的实物需求。”</blockquote></p><p> Physical scarcity, caused by robust demand growth and inelastic supply, could drive Brent crude oil prices to average $80 in the third quarter, with potential spikes above that level, Goldman analysts wrote.</p><p><blockquote>高盛分析师写道，强劲的需求增长和缺乏弹性的供应造成的实物稀缺可能会推动布伦特原油价格在第三季度平均达到80美元，并有可能飙升至该水平以上。</blockquote></p><p> Prices of commodities including oil, gold and copper fell as the U.S. dollar surged on the Federal Reserve’s outlook on interest rate hikes.</p><p><blockquote>包括石油、黄金和铜在内的大宗商品价格下跌，因美联储加息前景导致美元飙升。</blockquote></p><p> But oil prices were still close to multi-year highs, while gold has since seen a slight rebound, and copper was en route to its biggest weekly decline since March 2020.</p><p><blockquote>但油价仍接近多年高点，而金价此后小幅反弹，铜价有望创下2020年3月以来的最大单周跌幅。</blockquote></p><p> The copper market also remains on course for deficit conditions both over the remainder of this year and into 2022, the bank said, adding recent dips should be viewed as a longer-term buying opportunity.</p><p><blockquote>该行表示，铜市场在今年剩余时间和2022年仍将处于赤字状态，并补充说近期的下跌应被视为长期买入机会。</blockquote></p><p> A recovery in commodities markets excluding energy markets, however, is likely to be slower than from recent sell-offs as transient shocks from weather and Chinese-mandated repositioning have generated negative technical breakthroughs, Goldman warned.</p><p><blockquote>然而，高盛警告称，由于天气和中国强制重新定位的短暂冲击产生了负面的技术突破，不包括能源市场在内的大宗商品市场的复苏可能会慢于最近的抛售。</blockquote></p><p> Earlier this month, China’s state planner renewed a pledge to step up monitoring of commodity prices and strengthen supervision of spot and futures markets, as producer inflation in the country hit over 12 year-highs.</p><p><blockquote>本月早些时候，中国国家规划者再次承诺加强对大宗商品价格的监控，并加强对现货和期货市场的监管，因为中国的生产者通胀创下了12年来的新高。</blockquote></p><p> Goldman also viewed gold as under-valued relative to both real and nominal fundamentals.</p><p><blockquote>高盛还认为，相对于实际和名义基本面，黄金被低估。</blockquote></p><p> “In fact, gold is now pricing a Goldilocks scenario of strong growth without any inflation, implying limited demand for it as either a defensive asset or inflation hedge.”</p><p><blockquote>“事实上，黄金现在定价的是在没有任何通胀的情况下强劲增长的金发姑娘情景，这意味着对其作为防御性资产或通胀对冲的需求有限。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Goldman sees Fed-driven dip in commodities as a 'buying opportunity'<blockquote>高盛将美联储推动的大宗商品下跌视为“买入机会”</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGoldman sees Fed-driven dip in commodities as a 'buying opportunity'<blockquote>高盛将美联储推动的大宗商品下跌视为“买入机会”</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-18 20:26</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Reuters) - Goldman Sachs said on Friday the recent slip in commodities prices driven by the U.S. Federal Reserve’s decision to bring forward projections for interest rate hikes into 2023 was a buying opportunity for investors.</p><p><blockquote>（路透社）-高盛周五表示，美联储决定将加息预测提前至2023年，导致大宗商品价格近期下滑，这对投资者来说是一个买入机会。</blockquote></p><p> “The bullish commodity thesis is neither about inflation risks nor Fed forward guidance. It is about scarcity and strong physical demand,” the Wall Street bank said in a note.</p><p><blockquote>这家华尔街银行在一份报告中表示：“看涨大宗商品的论点既不是关于通胀风险，也不是关于美联储的前瞻性指引。而是关于稀缺性和强劲的实物需求。”</blockquote></p><p> Physical scarcity, caused by robust demand growth and inelastic supply, could drive Brent crude oil prices to average $80 in the third quarter, with potential spikes above that level, Goldman analysts wrote.</p><p><blockquote>高盛分析师写道，强劲的需求增长和缺乏弹性的供应造成的实物稀缺可能会推动布伦特原油价格在第三季度平均达到80美元，并有可能飙升至该水平以上。</blockquote></p><p> Prices of commodities including oil, gold and copper fell as the U.S. dollar surged on the Federal Reserve’s outlook on interest rate hikes.</p><p><blockquote>包括石油、黄金和铜在内的大宗商品价格下跌，因美联储加息前景导致美元飙升。</blockquote></p><p> But oil prices were still close to multi-year highs, while gold has since seen a slight rebound, and copper was en route to its biggest weekly decline since March 2020.</p><p><blockquote>但油价仍接近多年高点，而金价此后小幅反弹，铜价有望创下2020年3月以来的最大单周跌幅。</blockquote></p><p> The copper market also remains on course for deficit conditions both over the remainder of this year and into 2022, the bank said, adding recent dips should be viewed as a longer-term buying opportunity.</p><p><blockquote>该行表示，铜市场在今年剩余时间和2022年仍将处于赤字状态，并补充说近期的下跌应被视为长期买入机会。</blockquote></p><p> A recovery in commodities markets excluding energy markets, however, is likely to be slower than from recent sell-offs as transient shocks from weather and Chinese-mandated repositioning have generated negative technical breakthroughs, Goldman warned.</p><p><blockquote>然而，高盛警告称，由于天气和中国强制重新定位的短暂冲击产生了负面的技术突破，不包括能源市场在内的大宗商品市场的复苏可能会慢于最近的抛售。</blockquote></p><p> Earlier this month, China’s state planner renewed a pledge to step up monitoring of commodity prices and strengthen supervision of spot and futures markets, as producer inflation in the country hit over 12 year-highs.</p><p><blockquote>本月早些时候，中国国家规划者再次承诺加强对大宗商品价格的监控，并加强对现货和期货市场的监管，因为中国的生产者通胀创下了12年来的新高。</blockquote></p><p> Goldman also viewed gold as under-valued relative to both real and nominal fundamentals.</p><p><blockquote>高盛还认为，相对于实际和名义基本面，黄金被低估。</blockquote></p><p> “In fact, gold is now pricing a Goldilocks scenario of strong growth without any inflation, implying limited demand for it as either a defensive asset or inflation hedge.”</p><p><blockquote>“事实上，黄金现在定价的是在没有任何通胀的情况下强劲增长的金发姑娘情景，这意味着对其作为防御性资产或通胀对冲的需求有限。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/article/commodities-research-goldman/goldman-sees-fed-driven-dip-in-commodities-as-a-buying-opportunity-idUSL3N2O02QT\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GS":"高盛"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/article/commodities-research-goldman/goldman-sees-fed-driven-dip-in-commodities-as-a-buying-opportunity-idUSL3N2O02QT","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1131081247","content_text":"(Reuters) - Goldman Sachs said on Friday the recent slip in commodities prices driven by the U.S. Federal Reserve’s decision to bring forward projections for interest rate hikes into 2023 was a buying opportunity for investors.\n“The bullish commodity thesis is neither about inflation risks nor Fed forward guidance. It is about scarcity and strong physical demand,” the Wall Street bank said in a note.\nPhysical scarcity, caused by robust demand growth and inelastic supply, could drive Brent crude oil prices to average $80 in the third quarter, with potential spikes above that level, Goldman analysts wrote.\nPrices of commodities including oil, gold and copper fell as the U.S. dollar surged on the Federal Reserve’s outlook on interest rate hikes.\nBut oil prices were still close to multi-year highs, while gold has since seen a slight rebound, and copper was en route to its biggest weekly decline since March 2020.\nThe copper market also remains on course for deficit conditions both over the remainder of this year and into 2022, the bank said, adding recent dips should be viewed as a longer-term buying opportunity.\nA recovery in commodities markets excluding energy markets, however, is likely to be slower than from recent sell-offs as transient shocks from weather and Chinese-mandated repositioning have generated negative technical breakthroughs, Goldman warned.\nEarlier this month, China’s state planner renewed a pledge to step up monitoring of commodity prices and strengthen supervision of spot and futures markets, as producer inflation in the country hit over 12 year-highs.\nGoldman also viewed gold as under-valued relative to both real and nominal fundamentals.\n“In fact, gold is now pricing a Goldilocks scenario of strong growth without any inflation, implying limited demand for it as either a defensive asset or inflation hedge.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GS":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1246,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":121890635,"gmtCreate":1624457895827,"gmtModify":1634005840735,"author":{"id":"3564363528385098","authorId":"3564363528385098","name":"NamJooHyuk","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/839fb6690754e9dd71f40274a259d94e","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3564363528385098","idStr":"3564363528385098"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great&nbsp;","listText":"Great&nbsp;","text":"Great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/121890635","repostId":"1145825451","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1741,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":167494479,"gmtCreate":1624281282091,"gmtModify":1634008488310,"author":{"id":"3564363528385098","authorId":"3564363528385098","name":"NamJooHyuk","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/839fb6690754e9dd71f40274a259d94e","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3564363528385098","idStr":"3564363528385098"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/167494479","repostId":"1157580942","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1157580942","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624280021,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1157580942?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-21 20:53","market":"us","language":"en","title":"PPT Assemble: Biden Summons Powell, Yellen, Gensler After Market Rout<blockquote>PPT集会：市场暴跌后拜登召见鲍威尔、耶伦、詹斯勒</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1157580942","media":"zerohedge","summary":"Did President Joe Biden just call an emergency meeting of the PPT after the Dow's worst week in 8 months?","content":"<p>Did President Joe Biden just call an emergency meeting of the PPT?</p><p><blockquote>乔·拜登总统刚刚召开了PPT紧急会议吗？</blockquote></p><p> Bloomberg reported Monday morning that Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen and a coterie of senior financial regulators have been summoned to a meeting with President Biden at the White House<b>following last week's selloff, which marked the worst week for the Dow in eight months.</b></p><p><blockquote>彭博社周一上午报道称，财政部长珍妮特·耶伦和一群高级金融监管机构已被传唤到白宫与拜登总统会面<b>继上周的抛售之后，这标志着道琼斯指数八个月来最糟糕的一周。</b></blockquote></p><p>   Federal Reserve Chief Jerome Powell, Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen, Acting Chairman of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission Rostin Behnam will attend meeting with President Biden today.Attendees also include:  The meeting, set for Tuesday, has been called to<b>discuss \"the state of the country's financial system and institutions\",</b>including discussions of climate risk and \"financial inclusion\".</p><p><blockquote>美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔、财政部长珍妮特·耶伦、商品期货交易委员会代理主席罗斯汀·贝纳姆将出席今天与拜登总统的会议。与会者还包括：定于周二举行的会议已召开<b>讨论“国家金融体系和机构的状况”，</b>包括气候风险和“金融包容性”的讨论。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/370a41562d7254377e2252191c713e20\" tg-width=\"517\" tg-height=\"333\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Now that the FOMC has signaled that the 'tapering talk' has finally begun via the latest hawkish tilt in its dot plot, released after the close of last week's two-day policy meeting, it's clear that America's economic policymakers are growing increasingly nervous about market stability, given last week's reaction to the Fed. As Lance Roberts pointed out, the implications of tapering are clear: it's positive for rates, and negative for equities.</p><p><blockquote>既然联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）通过上周为期两天的政策会议结束后发布的点阵图中最新的鹰派倾向，表明“缩减购债”终于开始了，很明显，美国经济政策制定者对市场越来越紧张。鉴于上周对美联储的反应，稳定。正如兰斯·罗伯茨（Lance Roberts）指出的那样，缩减规模的影响很明显：它对利率有利，对股市不利。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d8e1f7b0023a0bca720afb4bb5822567\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"249\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">And with President Biden preparing to raise taxes to finance his \"Build Back Better\" program of \"infrastructure\" investment, it's clearly in the White House's interest to do whatever it can to ensure an orderly market transition to the rising rate regime.</p><p><blockquote>随着拜登总统准备增税为他的“基础设施”投资“重建得更好”计划提供资金，尽一切努力确保市场有序过渡到利率上升制度显然符合白宫的利益。</blockquote></p><p> It's not like the PPT has been entirely absent from markets: wehave already seensuspected PPT interventions this year.</p><p><blockquote>市场上并不是完全没有PPT：今年我们已经看到了可疑的PPT干预措施。</blockquote></p><p> If our instincts are correct, this would markthe first meeting of the PPT since a call to discuss \"market conditions\"held last March as equity markets were in the middle of a brutal (if short-lived) bear market.</p><p><blockquote>如果我们的直觉是正确的，这将标志着自去年3月举行讨论“市场状况”的看涨期权以来PPT的首次会议，当时股市正处于残酷（如果短暂）的熊市之中。</blockquote></p><p> Powell is also expected to testify before Congress tomorrow in his latest testimony on the economy as required by the COVID stimulus.</p><p><blockquote>鲍威尔预计也将于明天在国会就新冠刺激计划的要求提供关于经济的最新证词。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>PPT Assemble: Biden Summons Powell, Yellen, Gensler After Market Rout<blockquote>PPT集会：市场暴跌后拜登召见鲍威尔、耶伦、詹斯勒</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPPT Assemble: Biden Summons Powell, Yellen, Gensler After Market Rout<blockquote>PPT集会：市场暴跌后拜登召见鲍威尔、耶伦、詹斯勒</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-21 20:53</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Did President Joe Biden just call an emergency meeting of the PPT?</p><p><blockquote>乔·拜登总统刚刚召开了PPT紧急会议吗？</blockquote></p><p> Bloomberg reported Monday morning that Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen and a coterie of senior financial regulators have been summoned to a meeting with President Biden at the White House<b>following last week's selloff, which marked the worst week for the Dow in eight months.</b></p><p><blockquote>彭博社周一上午报道称，财政部长珍妮特·耶伦和一群高级金融监管机构已被传唤到白宫与拜登总统会面<b>继上周的抛售之后，这标志着道琼斯指数八个月来最糟糕的一周。</b></blockquote></p><p>   Federal Reserve Chief Jerome Powell, Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen, Acting Chairman of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission Rostin Behnam will attend meeting with President Biden today.Attendees also include:  The meeting, set for Tuesday, has been called to<b>discuss \"the state of the country's financial system and institutions\",</b>including discussions of climate risk and \"financial inclusion\".</p><p><blockquote>美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔、财政部长珍妮特·耶伦、商品期货交易委员会代理主席罗斯汀·贝纳姆将出席今天与拜登总统的会议。与会者还包括：定于周二举行的会议已召开<b>讨论“国家金融体系和机构的状况”，</b>包括气候风险和“金融包容性”的讨论。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/370a41562d7254377e2252191c713e20\" tg-width=\"517\" tg-height=\"333\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Now that the FOMC has signaled that the 'tapering talk' has finally begun via the latest hawkish tilt in its dot plot, released after the close of last week's two-day policy meeting, it's clear that America's economic policymakers are growing increasingly nervous about market stability, given last week's reaction to the Fed. As Lance Roberts pointed out, the implications of tapering are clear: it's positive for rates, and negative for equities.</p><p><blockquote>既然联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）通过上周为期两天的政策会议结束后发布的点阵图中最新的鹰派倾向，表明“缩减购债”终于开始了，很明显，美国经济政策制定者对市场越来越紧张。鉴于上周对美联储的反应，稳定。正如兰斯·罗伯茨（Lance Roberts）指出的那样，缩减规模的影响很明显：它对利率有利，对股市不利。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d8e1f7b0023a0bca720afb4bb5822567\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"249\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">And with President Biden preparing to raise taxes to finance his \"Build Back Better\" program of \"infrastructure\" investment, it's clearly in the White House's interest to do whatever it can to ensure an orderly market transition to the rising rate regime.</p><p><blockquote>随着拜登总统准备增税为他的“基础设施”投资“重建得更好”计划提供资金，尽一切努力确保市场有序过渡到利率上升制度显然符合白宫的利益。</blockquote></p><p> It's not like the PPT has been entirely absent from markets: wehave already seensuspected PPT interventions this year.</p><p><blockquote>市场上并不是完全没有PPT：今年我们已经看到了可疑的PPT干预措施。</blockquote></p><p> If our instincts are correct, this would markthe first meeting of the PPT since a call to discuss \"market conditions\"held last March as equity markets were in the middle of a brutal (if short-lived) bear market.</p><p><blockquote>如果我们的直觉是正确的，这将标志着自去年3月举行讨论“市场状况”的看涨期权以来PPT的首次会议，当时股市正处于残酷（如果短暂）的熊市之中。</blockquote></p><p> Powell is also expected to testify before Congress tomorrow in his latest testimony on the economy as required by the COVID stimulus.</p><p><blockquote>鲍威尔预计也将于明天在国会就新冠刺激计划的要求提供关于经济的最新证词。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/ppt-assemble-biden-summons-powel-yellen-gensler-after-market-rout\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/ppt-assemble-biden-summons-powel-yellen-gensler-after-market-rout","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1157580942","content_text":"Did President Joe Biden just call an emergency meeting of the PPT?\nBloomberg reported Monday morning that Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen and a coterie of senior financial regulators have been summoned to a meeting with President Biden at the White Housefollowing last week's selloff, which marked the worst week for the Dow in eight months.\n\n Federal Reserve Chief Jerome Powell, Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen, Acting Chairman of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission Rostin Behnam will attend meeting with President Biden today.Attendees also include:\n\nThe meeting, set for Tuesday, has been called todiscuss \"the state of the country's financial system and institutions\",including discussions of climate risk and \"financial inclusion\".\nNow that the FOMC has signaled that the 'tapering talk' has finally begun via the latest hawkish tilt in its dot plot, released after the close of last week's two-day policy meeting, it's clear that America's economic policymakers are growing increasingly nervous about market stability, given last week's reaction to the Fed. As Lance Roberts pointed out, the implications of tapering are clear: it's positive for rates, and negative for equities.\nAnd with President Biden preparing to raise taxes to finance his \"Build Back Better\" program of \"infrastructure\" investment, it's clearly in the White House's interest to do whatever it can to ensure an orderly market transition to the rising rate regime.\nIt's not like the PPT has been entirely absent from markets: wehave already seensuspected PPT interventions this year.\nIf our instincts are correct, this would markthe first meeting of the PPT since a call to discuss \"market conditions\"held last March as equity markets were in the middle of a brutal (if short-lived) bear market.\nPowell is also expected to testify before Congress tomorrow in his latest testimony on the economy as required by the COVID stimulus.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1088,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":162745635,"gmtCreate":1624077830327,"gmtModify":1634010960839,"author":{"id":"3564363528385098","authorId":"3564363528385098","name":"NamJooHyuk","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/839fb6690754e9dd71f40274a259d94e","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3564363528385098","idStr":"3564363528385098"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/162745635","repostId":"2144218770","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1326,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":800397802,"gmtCreate":1627276434606,"gmtModify":1631887399409,"author":{"id":"3564363528385098","authorId":"3564363528385098","name":"NamJooHyuk","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/839fb6690754e9dd71f40274a259d94e","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3564363528385098","idStr":"3564363528385098"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03067\">$ISHARESHSTECH(03067)$</a>Why !?!&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03067\">$ISHARESHSTECH(03067)$</a>Why !?!&nbsp;","text":"$ISHARESHSTECH(03067)$Why !?!","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b190a7553c1384517cadc13fd9ad9d75","width":"828","height":"1434"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/800397802","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2248,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":169365034,"gmtCreate":1623817554828,"gmtModify":1634027620589,"author":{"id":"3564363528385098","authorId":"3564363528385098","name":"NamJooHyuk","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/839fb6690754e9dd71f40274a259d94e","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3564363528385098","idStr":"3564363528385098"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Plz shoot to the moon&nbsp;","listText":"Plz shoot to the moon&nbsp;","text":"Plz shoot to the moon","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/169365034","repostId":"1180091968","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1180091968","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623403203,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1180091968?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-11 17:20","market":"us","language":"en","title":"How Much Longer Will Alibaba Stay Cheap?<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW还会保持便宜多久？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1180091968","media":"Seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nDown over the past year, shares of Alibaba have not participated with the general rally in ","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Down over the past year, shares of Alibaba have not participated with the general rally in the markets.</li>  <li>Alibaba is a strong business with accelerating free cash flow generation and a clean balance sheet. The company has deep pockets to continue growing.</li>  <li>The valuation that shares trade at is compressed, but seems poised to rebound. Fundamentals eventually steer the share price.</li> </ul> E-commerce has been a powerful investing theme throughout the pandemic. While many stocks that sell over the internet have been thriving, Chinese conglomerate Alibaba Group Holding Limited (BABA) has been a notable laggard. Shares of Alibaba are in the red over the past year, while the S&amp;P 500 has ripped higher, gaining 32%.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>阿里巴巴-SW股价在过去一年下跌后，并未参与市场的普遍上涨。</li><li>阿里巴巴-SW是一家实力强劲的企业，拥有加速的自由现金流生成和干净的资产负债表。该公司财力雄厚，可以继续发展。</li><li>股票交易估值被压缩，但似乎有望反弹。基本面最终会引导股价。</li></ul>在整个疫情，电子商务一直是一个强有力的投资主题。尽管许多通过互联网销售的股票一直蓬勃发展，但中国企业集团阿里巴巴-SW集团控股有限公司（BABA）却明显落后。阿里巴巴-SW的股价在过去一年中一直处于亏损状态，而标普500则大幅上涨，上涨了32%。</blockquote></p><p> Alibaba has been caught in some controversy surrounding thefailed IPOof Ant Group and its founderJack Ma. While the market has focused on these distractions, the actual underlying business of Alibaba is performing at a high level. With strong fundamentals and rapidly growing free cash flow, it's only a matter of time before the market begins to focus on what matters...the business. We will outline our investment thesis below.</p><p><blockquote>围绕蚂蚁集团及其创始人马云的IPO失败，阿里巴巴-SW陷入了一些争议。虽然市场关注这些干扰因素，但阿里巴巴-SW的实际基础业务表现却很高。凭借强劲的基本面和快速增长的自由现金流，市场开始关注重要的事情只是时间问题……业务。我们将在下面概述我们的投资论点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Free Cash Flow Growth Is Stellar</b></p><p><blockquote><b>自由现金流增长惊人</b></blockquote></p><p> Alibaba is a frequently covered business on Seeking Alpha, so I won't rehash the basics about the business or dive into the political controversy that has plagued the stock. Instead, I want to focus on the financial inflection point that Alibaba has recently hit.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW是Seeking Alpha上经常报道的业务，因此我不会重复该业务的基础知识，也不会深入探讨困扰该股的政治争议。相反，我想重点谈谈阿里巴巴-SW最近遇到的金融拐点。</blockquote></p><p> The company ended its fiscal year at the end of March. What we see is a diversified business with several growing segments that align with macroeconomic trends.</p><p><blockquote>该公司于三月底结束了财年。我们看到的是一个多元化的业务，有几个不断增长的细分市场与宏观经济趋势保持一致。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/862988aec2c33c72dc1786de483f952a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"391\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">source: Alibaba Group Holding Limited</p><p><blockquote>资料来源：阿里巴巴-SW集团控股有限公司</blockquote></p><p> The largest revenue contributor, of course, is the company's retail operations. While its commerce segment continues to narrate revenue growth (total core commerce grew 2020 revenues 42% versus company revenues growing 41%), some smaller segments are showing strong growth.</p><p><blockquote>当然，最大的收入贡献者是公司的零售业务。虽然其商业部门继续实现收入增长（2020年核心商业总收入增长42%，而公司收入增长41%），但一些较小的部门也显示出强劲增长。</blockquote></p><p> For example, Alibaba's cloud computing operations grew 50% in 2020, and its new retail and direct sales businesses grew 94% year-over-year. What is most promising is that Alibaba is accelerating its free cash flow growth in recent years. The company's $26.35 billion in 2021 FCF is a 29% year-over-year jump from 2020. Alibaba grew FCF 25% from 2019 to 2020.</p><p><blockquote>例如，阿里巴巴-SW的云计算业务在2020年增长了50%，新零售和直销业务同比增长了94%。最有希望的是，阿里巴巴-SW近年来正在加速其自由现金流的增长。该公司2021年自由现金流为263.5亿美元，较2020年同比增长29%。从2019年到2020年，阿里巴巴-SW的自由现金流增长了25%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ba9d4b224eedbd99d8d22f0a2092b204\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"98\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">source: Alibaba Holding Group Limited</p><p><blockquote>资料来源：阿里巴巴-SW控股集团有限公司</blockquote></p><p> With $72 billion in cash on hand as of March 31st and the business generating more than $26 billion in free cash flow, Alibaba has deep pockets to develop its growing business segments and seek out opportunities to create new growth with M&amp;A or other developments.</p><p><blockquote>截至3月31日，阿里巴巴-SW手头现金为720亿美元，该业务产生了超过260亿美元的自由现金流，拥有雄厚的财力来发展其不断增长的业务部门，并寻找机会通过并购或其他发展创造新的增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>How Long Can Alibaba Stay \"Cheap\"?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴-SW还能“便宜”多久？</b></blockquote></p><p> It's hard to understand just how beaten down Alibaba's stock is until you look at things from a free cash flow perspective. Alibaba is currently trading with an FCF yield approaching 6%. By comparison, the next highest FCF yield is Amazon (AMZN), with a yield of just 1.3%.</p><p><blockquote>除非你从自由现金流的角度看待问题，否则很难理解阿里巴巴-SW的股票有多下跌。阿里巴巴-SW目前的自由现金流收益率接近6%。相比之下，FCF收益率第二高的是亚马逊（AMZN），收益率仅为1.3%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3423f615c0dc856b040442e4ff17b78f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"521\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">source: YCharts</p><p><blockquote>资料来源：YCharts</blockquote></p><p> This is a tremendous discount to Alibaba's peer group, despite the company accelerating FCF growth and having a ton of cash on hand. And because Alibaba is a healthy and growing company, the stock is poised to become even more attractively valued.</p><p><blockquote>尽管阿里巴巴-SW的自由现金流正在加速增长并且手头拥有大量现金，但这对该公司的同行来说是一个巨大的折扣。由于阿里巴巴-SW是一家健康且不断增长的公司，该股的估值将变得更具吸引力。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6d76517c900c76b94c5bd4aaf02ec91a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"226\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">source: Seeking Alpha</p><p><blockquote>资料来源：寻求阿尔法</blockquote></p><p> The company is estimated to continue growing revenues at a swift clip, approaching $210 billion in annual revenue over the next three years. If we apply the company's 24% conversion rate of revenue to FCF, that will give us 2024 FCF of $50 billion. In other words, an FCF yield of 8.6% on today's share price. This is simply something you don't often see for a company's stock growing so rapidly at such an already large size.</p><p><blockquote>预计该公司的收入将继续快速增长，未来三年收入将接近2100亿美元。如果我们将公司24%的收入转化率应用于FCF，那么2024年FCF将达到500亿美元。换句话说，按今天的股价计算，FCF收益率为8.6%。对于一家公司的股票在规模如此之大的情况下增长如此之快，这是你不常见到的。</blockquote></p><p> The stock is clearly being punished for some of the drama that Alibaba has faced over the past year and some of the current tension between the United States and China. This is a risk that investors need to keep in mind, as anything can happen, and Alibaba may become collateral damage of political conflict. However, if it becomes clear to the market that the outlook is promising, Alibaba could aggressively rerate. Even if Alibaba saw its FCF yield fall to around 3%, it would imply an upside in shares of 46%. This would put Alibaba at an enterprise value of more than $800 billion, but I believe those shoes the company could certainly fill.</p><p><blockquote>该股显然因阿里巴巴-SW过去一年面临的一些戏剧性事件以及当前中美之间的一些紧张局势而受到惩罚。这是投资者需要牢记的风险，因为任何事情都可能发生，阿里巴巴-SW可能成为政治冲突的附带损害。然而，如果市场清楚地看到前景看好，阿里巴巴-SW可能会大幅重新评级。即使阿里巴巴-SW的FCF收益率跌至3%左右，也意味着股价上涨46%。这将使阿里巴巴-SW的企业价值超过8000亿美元，但我相信该公司肯定可以填补这些空缺。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wrapping Up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>包装</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Alibaba is a fantastic business that has been caught up in some political drama. Despite its size, the company is growing rapidly, is profitable, and generates tons of free cash flow. Investors cannot ignore the political risks, but the upside is tremendous for brave and patient investors.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW是一个奇妙的企业，却陷入了一些政治戏剧。尽管规模很大，但该公司发展迅速，盈利，并产生大量自由现金流。投资者不能忽视政治风险，但对于勇敢和耐心的投资者来说，上行空间是巨大的。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>How Much Longer Will Alibaba Stay Cheap?<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW还会保持便宜多久？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHow Much Longer Will Alibaba Stay Cheap?<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW还会保持便宜多久？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-11 17:20</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Down over the past year, shares of Alibaba have not participated with the general rally in the markets.</li>  <li>Alibaba is a strong business with accelerating free cash flow generation and a clean balance sheet. The company has deep pockets to continue growing.</li>  <li>The valuation that shares trade at is compressed, but seems poised to rebound. Fundamentals eventually steer the share price.</li> </ul> E-commerce has been a powerful investing theme throughout the pandemic. While many stocks that sell over the internet have been thriving, Chinese conglomerate Alibaba Group Holding Limited (BABA) has been a notable laggard. Shares of Alibaba are in the red over the past year, while the S&amp;P 500 has ripped higher, gaining 32%.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>阿里巴巴-SW股价在过去一年下跌后，并未参与市场的普遍上涨。</li><li>阿里巴巴-SW是一家实力强劲的企业，拥有加速的自由现金流生成和干净的资产负债表。该公司财力雄厚，可以继续发展。</li><li>股票交易估值被压缩，但似乎有望反弹。基本面最终会引导股价。</li></ul>在整个疫情，电子商务一直是一个强有力的投资主题。尽管许多通过互联网销售的股票一直蓬勃发展，但中国企业集团阿里巴巴-SW集团控股有限公司（BABA）却明显落后。阿里巴巴-SW的股价在过去一年中一直处于亏损状态，而标普500则大幅上涨，上涨了32%。</blockquote></p><p> Alibaba has been caught in some controversy surrounding thefailed IPOof Ant Group and its founderJack Ma. While the market has focused on these distractions, the actual underlying business of Alibaba is performing at a high level. With strong fundamentals and rapidly growing free cash flow, it's only a matter of time before the market begins to focus on what matters...the business. We will outline our investment thesis below.</p><p><blockquote>围绕蚂蚁集团及其创始人马云的IPO失败，阿里巴巴-SW陷入了一些争议。虽然市场关注这些干扰因素，但阿里巴巴-SW的实际基础业务表现却很高。凭借强劲的基本面和快速增长的自由现金流，市场开始关注重要的事情只是时间问题……业务。我们将在下面概述我们的投资论点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Free Cash Flow Growth Is Stellar</b></p><p><blockquote><b>自由现金流增长惊人</b></blockquote></p><p> Alibaba is a frequently covered business on Seeking Alpha, so I won't rehash the basics about the business or dive into the political controversy that has plagued the stock. Instead, I want to focus on the financial inflection point that Alibaba has recently hit.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW是Seeking Alpha上经常报道的业务，因此我不会重复该业务的基础知识，也不会深入探讨困扰该股的政治争议。相反，我想重点谈谈阿里巴巴-SW最近遇到的金融拐点。</blockquote></p><p> The company ended its fiscal year at the end of March. What we see is a diversified business with several growing segments that align with macroeconomic trends.</p><p><blockquote>该公司于三月底结束了财年。我们看到的是一个多元化的业务，有几个不断增长的细分市场与宏观经济趋势保持一致。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/862988aec2c33c72dc1786de483f952a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"391\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">source: Alibaba Group Holding Limited</p><p><blockquote>资料来源：阿里巴巴-SW集团控股有限公司</blockquote></p><p> The largest revenue contributor, of course, is the company's retail operations. While its commerce segment continues to narrate revenue growth (total core commerce grew 2020 revenues 42% versus company revenues growing 41%), some smaller segments are showing strong growth.</p><p><blockquote>当然，最大的收入贡献者是公司的零售业务。虽然其商业部门继续实现收入增长（2020年核心商业总收入增长42%，而公司收入增长41%），但一些较小的部门也显示出强劲增长。</blockquote></p><p> For example, Alibaba's cloud computing operations grew 50% in 2020, and its new retail and direct sales businesses grew 94% year-over-year. What is most promising is that Alibaba is accelerating its free cash flow growth in recent years. The company's $26.35 billion in 2021 FCF is a 29% year-over-year jump from 2020. Alibaba grew FCF 25% from 2019 to 2020.</p><p><blockquote>例如，阿里巴巴-SW的云计算业务在2020年增长了50%，新零售和直销业务同比增长了94%。最有希望的是，阿里巴巴-SW近年来正在加速其自由现金流的增长。该公司2021年自由现金流为263.5亿美元，较2020年同比增长29%。从2019年到2020年，阿里巴巴-SW的自由现金流增长了25%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ba9d4b224eedbd99d8d22f0a2092b204\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"98\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">source: Alibaba Holding Group Limited</p><p><blockquote>资料来源：阿里巴巴-SW控股集团有限公司</blockquote></p><p> With $72 billion in cash on hand as of March 31st and the business generating more than $26 billion in free cash flow, Alibaba has deep pockets to develop its growing business segments and seek out opportunities to create new growth with M&amp;A or other developments.</p><p><blockquote>截至3月31日，阿里巴巴-SW手头现金为720亿美元，该业务产生了超过260亿美元的自由现金流，拥有雄厚的财力来发展其不断增长的业务部门，并寻找机会通过并购或其他发展创造新的增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>How Long Can Alibaba Stay \"Cheap\"?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴-SW还能“便宜”多久？</b></blockquote></p><p> It's hard to understand just how beaten down Alibaba's stock is until you look at things from a free cash flow perspective. Alibaba is currently trading with an FCF yield approaching 6%. By comparison, the next highest FCF yield is Amazon (AMZN), with a yield of just 1.3%.</p><p><blockquote>除非你从自由现金流的角度看待问题，否则很难理解阿里巴巴-SW的股票有多下跌。阿里巴巴-SW目前的自由现金流收益率接近6%。相比之下，FCF收益率第二高的是亚马逊（AMZN），收益率仅为1.3%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3423f615c0dc856b040442e4ff17b78f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"521\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">source: YCharts</p><p><blockquote>资料来源：YCharts</blockquote></p><p> This is a tremendous discount to Alibaba's peer group, despite the company accelerating FCF growth and having a ton of cash on hand. And because Alibaba is a healthy and growing company, the stock is poised to become even more attractively valued.</p><p><blockquote>尽管阿里巴巴-SW的自由现金流正在加速增长并且手头拥有大量现金，但这对该公司的同行来说是一个巨大的折扣。由于阿里巴巴-SW是一家健康且不断增长的公司，该股的估值将变得更具吸引力。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6d76517c900c76b94c5bd4aaf02ec91a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"226\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">source: Seeking Alpha</p><p><blockquote>资料来源：寻求阿尔法</blockquote></p><p> The company is estimated to continue growing revenues at a swift clip, approaching $210 billion in annual revenue over the next three years. If we apply the company's 24% conversion rate of revenue to FCF, that will give us 2024 FCF of $50 billion. In other words, an FCF yield of 8.6% on today's share price. This is simply something you don't often see for a company's stock growing so rapidly at such an already large size.</p><p><blockquote>预计该公司的收入将继续快速增长，未来三年收入将接近2100亿美元。如果我们将公司24%的收入转化率应用于FCF，那么2024年FCF将达到500亿美元。换句话说，按今天的股价计算，FCF收益率为8.6%。对于一家公司的股票在规模如此之大的情况下增长如此之快，这是你不常见到的。</blockquote></p><p> The stock is clearly being punished for some of the drama that Alibaba has faced over the past year and some of the current tension between the United States and China. This is a risk that investors need to keep in mind, as anything can happen, and Alibaba may become collateral damage of political conflict. However, if it becomes clear to the market that the outlook is promising, Alibaba could aggressively rerate. Even if Alibaba saw its FCF yield fall to around 3%, it would imply an upside in shares of 46%. This would put Alibaba at an enterprise value of more than $800 billion, but I believe those shoes the company could certainly fill.</p><p><blockquote>该股显然因阿里巴巴-SW过去一年面临的一些戏剧性事件以及当前中美之间的一些紧张局势而受到惩罚。这是投资者需要牢记的风险，因为任何事情都可能发生，阿里巴巴-SW可能成为政治冲突的附带损害。然而，如果市场清楚地看到前景看好，阿里巴巴-SW可能会大幅重新评级。即使阿里巴巴-SW的FCF收益率跌至3%左右，也意味着股价上涨46%。这将使阿里巴巴-SW的企业价值超过8000亿美元，但我相信该公司肯定可以填补这些空缺。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wrapping Up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>包装</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Alibaba is a fantastic business that has been caught up in some political drama. Despite its size, the company is growing rapidly, is profitable, and generates tons of free cash flow. Investors cannot ignore the political risks, but the upside is tremendous for brave and patient investors.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW是一个奇妙的企业，却陷入了一些政治戏剧。尽管规模很大，但该公司发展迅速，盈利，并产生大量自由现金流。投资者不能忽视政治风险，但对于勇敢和耐心的投资者来说，上行空间是巨大的。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4434229-how-much-longer-will-alibaba-stay-cheap\">Seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴","09988":"阿里巴巴-W"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4434229-how-much-longer-will-alibaba-stay-cheap","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1180091968","content_text":"Summary\n\nDown over the past year, shares of Alibaba have not participated with the general rally in the markets.\nAlibaba is a strong business with accelerating free cash flow generation and a clean balance sheet. The company has deep pockets to continue growing.\nThe valuation that shares trade at is compressed, but seems poised to rebound. Fundamentals eventually steer the share price.\n\nE-commerce has been a powerful investing theme throughout the pandemic. While many stocks that sell over the internet have been thriving, Chinese conglomerate Alibaba Group Holding Limited (BABA) has been a notable laggard. Shares of Alibaba are in the red over the past year, while the S&P 500 has ripped higher, gaining 32%.\nAlibaba has been caught in some controversy surrounding thefailed IPOof Ant Group and its founderJack Ma. While the market has focused on these distractions, the actual underlying business of Alibaba is performing at a high level. With strong fundamentals and rapidly growing free cash flow, it's only a matter of time before the market begins to focus on what matters...the business. We will outline our investment thesis below.\nFree Cash Flow Growth Is Stellar\nAlibaba is a frequently covered business on Seeking Alpha, so I won't rehash the basics about the business or dive into the political controversy that has plagued the stock. Instead, I want to focus on the financial inflection point that Alibaba has recently hit.\nThe company ended its fiscal year at the end of March. What we see is a diversified business with several growing segments that align with macroeconomic trends.\nsource: Alibaba Group Holding Limited\nThe largest revenue contributor, of course, is the company's retail operations. While its commerce segment continues to narrate revenue growth (total core commerce grew 2020 revenues 42% versus company revenues growing 41%), some smaller segments are showing strong growth.\nFor example, Alibaba's cloud computing operations grew 50% in 2020, and its new retail and direct sales businesses grew 94% year-over-year. What is most promising is that Alibaba is accelerating its free cash flow growth in recent years. The company's $26.35 billion in 2021 FCF is a 29% year-over-year jump from 2020. Alibaba grew FCF 25% from 2019 to 2020.\nsource: Alibaba Holding Group Limited\nWith $72 billion in cash on hand as of March 31st and the business generating more than $26 billion in free cash flow, Alibaba has deep pockets to develop its growing business segments and seek out opportunities to create new growth with M&A or other developments.\nHow Long Can Alibaba Stay \"Cheap\"?\nIt's hard to understand just how beaten down Alibaba's stock is until you look at things from a free cash flow perspective. Alibaba is currently trading with an FCF yield approaching 6%. By comparison, the next highest FCF yield is Amazon (AMZN), with a yield of just 1.3%.\nsource: YCharts\nThis is a tremendous discount to Alibaba's peer group, despite the company accelerating FCF growth and having a ton of cash on hand. And because Alibaba is a healthy and growing company, the stock is poised to become even more attractively valued.\nsource: Seeking Alpha\nThe company is estimated to continue growing revenues at a swift clip, approaching $210 billion in annual revenue over the next three years. If we apply the company's 24% conversion rate of revenue to FCF, that will give us 2024 FCF of $50 billion. In other words, an FCF yield of 8.6% on today's share price. This is simply something you don't often see for a company's stock growing so rapidly at such an already large size.\nThe stock is clearly being punished for some of the drama that Alibaba has faced over the past year and some of the current tension between the United States and China. This is a risk that investors need to keep in mind, as anything can happen, and Alibaba may become collateral damage of political conflict. However, if it becomes clear to the market that the outlook is promising, Alibaba could aggressively rerate. Even if Alibaba saw its FCF yield fall to around 3%, it would imply an upside in shares of 46%. This would put Alibaba at an enterprise value of more than $800 billion, but I believe those shoes the company could certainly fill.\nWrapping Up\nAlibaba is a fantastic business that has been caught up in some political drama. Despite its size, the company is growing rapidly, is profitable, and generates tons of free cash flow. Investors cannot ignore the political risks, but the upside is tremendous for brave and patient investors.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"09988":0.9,"BABA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1552,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}