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Winstonlou

Winstonlou

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2022-04-16

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@Buy_Sell:🔥【4月6日】美国股债双杀，科技股领跌，今天有什么交易计划

2022-04-16

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@期权小班长:谈谈美联储为何对自家股市下狠手，以及一个机会

2022-04-16

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@Ivan_甘灿荣:商品区间顶来袭，还有上涨空间？

2022-03-29

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@全球投资:70年代，沃尔克把初级利率提高到20%而政府为其政府债券支付15%，伴随而来的是一场可怕的经济衰退，芒格认为不会再有一个“沃尔克”式经济衰退，但可能会出现别的更难以解除的复杂危机，来听听他的看法吧。

2022-03-29

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@捷克Jack:又一个期权捡芝麻的机会开始了（谁说我的BABA策略赔钱了？）

2022-03-29

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@Ivan_甘灿荣:做好准备，大宗商品的长期“巨震”就要来了

2022-03-28

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@全球投资:70年代，沃尔克把初级利率提高到20%而政府为其政府债券支付15%，伴随而来的是一场可怕的经济衰退，芒格认为不会再有一个“沃尔克”式经济衰退，但可能会出现别的更难以解除的复杂危机，来听听他的看法吧。

2022-03-28

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@捷克Jack:又一个期权捡芝麻的机会开始了（谁说我的BABA策略赔钱了？）

2022-03-28

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@Ivan_甘灿荣:做好准备，大宗商品的长期“巨震”就要来了

2022-03-14

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@程俊Dream:07/08年的感觉回来了：黄金2000，原油不言顶

2022-03-14

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@价值投资为王:中概股再遭血洗，聊聊我是如何应对暴跌的！

2022-03-14

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@言财美股研究社:以史为鉴：油价暴涨，超级滞胀期来临，大类资产怎么配？

2022-03-10

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@库巴财经:股市里最大的穷人思维就是，我只要每天赚1个点，一年就能3倍了

2022-03-10

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@捷克Jack:现在的BABA可能是最适合期权获利的标的

2022-03-10

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Rio Tinto (ASX:RIO) Shares Close in Red Today, Here’s Why

2022-01-18

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抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-11-15

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抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-11-11

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Gett Nears $1.1B SPAC Merger To Go Public

2021-10-20

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抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-10-16

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ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/613735957","repostId":"619853040","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":619853040,"gmtCreate":1649209671042,"gmtModify":1744960806151,"author":{"id":"3527667596890271","authorId":"3527667596890271","name":"Buy_Sell","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5f0ed79a338c758a22e0b4ea13bf9d2","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667596890271","idStr":"3527667596890271"},"themes":[],"title":"🔥【4月6日】美国股债双杀，科技股领跌，今天有什么交易计划","htmlText":"聊聊今日份的交易想法，包括对于大盘走势后续的看法？看涨/看跌哪只股票、晒晒单等等。 港股市场 4月6日讯，港股大幅低开，恒生指数低开1.25%报22220.21点，国企指数跌1.7%，恒生科技指数跌2.77%。 盘面上，隔夜美股科技股大跌，港股回港科技股集体低开，<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09618\">$京东(09618)$</a>跌5%，<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09999\">$网易(09999)$</a>跌4.48%，<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">$阿里巴巴(09988)$</a>跌4%，<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09888\">$百度(09888)$</a>、<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">$腾讯(00700)$</a>跌近2%，地产股大跌居前，<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01238\">$宝龙地产(01238)$</a>、<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00960\">$龙湖集团(00960)$</a>领衔下跌，互联网医疗股、电力股、海运股、手机概念股、乳制品股普遍走低；另一方面，生物科技股强势，<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/688185\">$康希诺(688185)$</a>生物、","listText":"聊聊今日份的交易想法，包括对于大盘走势后续的看法？看涨/看跌哪只股票、晒晒单等等。 港股市场 4月6日讯，港股大幅低开，恒生指数低开1.25%报22220.21点，国企指数跌1.7%，恒生科技指数跌2.77%。 盘面上，隔夜美股科技股大跌，港股回港科技股集体低开，<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09618\">$京东(09618)$</a>跌5%，<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09999\">$网易(09999)$</a>跌4.48%，<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">$阿里巴巴(09988)$</a>跌4%，<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09888\">$百度(09888)$</a>、<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">$腾讯(00700)$</a>跌近2%，地产股大跌居前，<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01238\">$宝龙地产(01238)$</a>、<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00960\">$龙湖集团(00960)$</a>领衔下跌，互联网医疗股、电力股、海运股、手机概念股、乳制品股普遍走低；另一方面，生物科技股强势，<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/688185\">$康希诺(688185)$</a>生物、","text":"聊聊今日份的交易想法，包括对于大盘走势后续的看法？看涨/看跌哪只股票、晒晒单等等。 港股市场 4月6日讯，港股大幅低开，恒生指数低开1.25%报22220.21点，国企指数跌1.7%，恒生科技指数跌2.77%。 盘面上，隔夜美股科技股大跌，港股回港科技股集体低开，$京东(09618)$跌5%，$网易(09999)$跌4.48%，$阿里巴巴(09988)$跌4%，$百度(09888)$、$腾讯(00700)$跌近2%，地产股大跌居前，$宝龙地产(01238)$、$龙湖集团(00960)$领衔下跌，互联网医疗股、电力股、海运股、手机概念股、乳制品股普遍走低；另一方面，生物科技股强势，$康希诺(688185)$生物、","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4d7da388220bfad782f62f7c19103ddd","width":"806","height":"273"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/619853040","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":1,"subType":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1385,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":613735036,"gmtCreate":1650067084035,"gmtModify":1650067084205,"author":{"id":"3572078772819787","authorId":"3572078772819787","name":"Winstonlou","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/872d534505dadd9f2bcdebec4b5df367","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3572078772819787","idStr":"3572078772819787"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/613735036","repostId":"619671022","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":619671022,"gmtCreate":1649255777887,"gmtModify":1744960806572,"author":{"id":"3527667590215376","authorId":"3527667590215376","name":"期权小班长","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e785bea87af8baf08d2b24111b78c16a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667590215376","idStr":"3527667590215376"},"themes":[],"title":"谈谈美联储为何对自家股市下狠手，以及一个机会","htmlText":"假期发生了三件事：美货币政策进一步收紧，马斯克入股推特，中概股境外上市规定出台。按影响排序我们挨个谈谈看法。 1、美货币政策进一步收紧： 美联储理事鸽派代表布雷纳德周二表示，美联储最早可能5月开始缩表，并将以更为迅速地步伐缩减资产负债表。她还表示，加息的步伐可能会比25个基点的增幅更大。 此言论一出，美联储全面转鹰，国债利率倒挂，股票市场立刻由涨转跌，其中科技股领跌，英伟达大跌5%。 缩表是指美联储缩减自身资产负债表规模，和加息一样，是一种收紧货币政策的手段。在这之前市场就知道要加息缩表一起上，只不过不知道具体执行方法，今晚的美联储会议纪要或披露缩表细节，也许能够一定程度上稳定市场情绪，很关键。 市场受到如此惊吓也可以理解，因为布雷纳德这次发言表述了抑制通胀的决心：https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/brainard20220405a.htm 受通胀影响最严重的不是富人，相反富人持有资产，是通胀的受益者，所以就可以理解为什么抑制通胀股价会跌，股票也是一种资产嘛。 那么持有资产最少的人就是通胀的受害者。而且通胀最严重的食品等必需品消费，穷人占比是富人的两倍，通胀越严重，穷人越惨。为了穷人考虑美联储也要尽快抑制通胀，这就是布雷纳德转鹰的原因。 美国不同收入阶层受通胀影响图 如果是为底层人民考虑那确实好理解，不过对于市场来说有点惨。这段时间无论是航运还是外贸又或者是就业，均显示消费下降趋势。没有消费刺激，通胀自然而然会下降，只不过这个速度布雷纳德还是嫌慢。 航运牛股转熊 那我们如何看待这一轮股市回调呢？ 就在今天CNBC疯狂money节目的主持人吉米克莱默表示让大家快跑，资产要回调了。他表示如果之前持有了一些投机标的，最好趁高位抛售，如果是价值股，那拿着也没什么问题。 我的看法差不多，如果你有近期sell&nbsp;p","listText":"假期发生了三件事：美货币政策进一步收紧，马斯克入股推特，中概股境外上市规定出台。按影响排序我们挨个谈谈看法。 1、美货币政策进一步收紧： 美联储理事鸽派代表布雷纳德周二表示，美联储最早可能5月开始缩表，并将以更为迅速地步伐缩减资产负债表。她还表示，加息的步伐可能会比25个基点的增幅更大。 此言论一出，美联储全面转鹰，国债利率倒挂，股票市场立刻由涨转跌，其中科技股领跌，英伟达大跌5%。 缩表是指美联储缩减自身资产负债表规模，和加息一样，是一种收紧货币政策的手段。在这之前市场就知道要加息缩表一起上，只不过不知道具体执行方法，今晚的美联储会议纪要或披露缩表细节，也许能够一定程度上稳定市场情绪，很关键。 市场受到如此惊吓也可以理解，因为布雷纳德这次发言表述了抑制通胀的决心：https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/brainard20220405a.htm 受通胀影响最严重的不是富人，相反富人持有资产，是通胀的受益者，所以就可以理解为什么抑制通胀股价会跌，股票也是一种资产嘛。 那么持有资产最少的人就是通胀的受害者。而且通胀最严重的食品等必需品消费，穷人占比是富人的两倍，通胀越严重，穷人越惨。为了穷人考虑美联储也要尽快抑制通胀，这就是布雷纳德转鹰的原因。 美国不同收入阶层受通胀影响图 如果是为底层人民考虑那确实好理解，不过对于市场来说有点惨。这段时间无论是航运还是外贸又或者是就业，均显示消费下降趋势。没有消费刺激，通胀自然而然会下降，只不过这个速度布雷纳德还是嫌慢。 航运牛股转熊 那我们如何看待这一轮股市回调呢？ 就在今天CNBC疯狂money节目的主持人吉米克莱默表示让大家快跑，资产要回调了。他表示如果之前持有了一些投机标的，最好趁高位抛售，如果是价值股，那拿着也没什么问题。 我的看法差不多，如果你有近期sell&nbsp;p","text":"假期发生了三件事：美货币政策进一步收紧，马斯克入股推特，中概股境外上市规定出台。按影响排序我们挨个谈谈看法。 1、美货币政策进一步收紧： 美联储理事鸽派代表布雷纳德周二表示，美联储最早可能5月开始缩表，并将以更为迅速地步伐缩减资产负债表。她还表示，加息的步伐可能会比25个基点的增幅更大。 此言论一出，美联储全面转鹰，国债利率倒挂，股票市场立刻由涨转跌，其中科技股领跌，英伟达大跌5%。 缩表是指美联储缩减自身资产负债表规模，和加息一样，是一种收紧货币政策的手段。在这之前市场就知道要加息缩表一起上，只不过不知道具体执行方法，今晚的美联储会议纪要或披露缩表细节，也许能够一定程度上稳定市场情绪，很关键。 市场受到如此惊吓也可以理解，因为布雷纳德这次发言表述了抑制通胀的决心：https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/brainard20220405a.htm 受通胀影响最严重的不是富人，相反富人持有资产，是通胀的受益者，所以就可以理解为什么抑制通胀股价会跌，股票也是一种资产嘛。 那么持有资产最少的人就是通胀的受害者。而且通胀最严重的食品等必需品消费，穷人占比是富人的两倍，通胀越严重，穷人越惨。为了穷人考虑美联储也要尽快抑制通胀，这就是布雷纳德转鹰的原因。 美国不同收入阶层受通胀影响图 如果是为底层人民考虑那确实好理解，不过对于市场来说有点惨。这段时间无论是航运还是外贸又或者是就业，均显示消费下降趋势。没有消费刺激，通胀自然而然会下降，只不过这个速度布雷纳德还是嫌慢。 航运牛股转熊 那我们如何看待这一轮股市回调呢？ 就在今天CNBC疯狂money节目的主持人吉米克莱默表示让大家快跑，资产要回调了。他表示如果之前持有了一些投机标的，最好趁高位抛售，如果是价值股，那拿着也没什么问题。 我的看法差不多，如果你有近期sell p","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d974dabc7de34b01698f46f98f376cbc","width":"-1","height":"-1"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/619671022","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":1,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":966,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":613732707,"gmtCreate":1650067072664,"gmtModify":1650067072896,"author":{"id":"3572078772819787","authorId":"3572078772819787","name":"Winstonlou","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/872d534505dadd9f2bcdebec4b5df367","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3572078772819787","idStr":"3572078772819787"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/613732707","repostId":"619127763","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":619127763,"gmtCreate":1649126347281,"gmtModify":1649127814477,"author":{"id":"3534312224764596","authorId":"3534312224764596","name":"Ivan_甘灿荣","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312224764596","idStr":"3534312224764596"},"themes":[],"title":"商品区间顶来袭，还有上涨空间？","htmlText":"最近对于做多通胀（商品）的投资者来说，不是个好时间，几大类商品均陆续出现大幅调整，具体后市如何，我将会在帖子里和大家分享，具体的交易机会也会在本周四（7号）晚的直播里和大家详细解说，大家多多留意。 从目前美股指的走势看，加息预期已经无法击溃美股，因此美联储理论上已经不担心后续紧缩政策下对股市的影响，从而更针对通胀数据进行打压。那么对于商品来说无疑就是潜在利空。但历史上，靠政策打压通胀，通常都不会是一蹴而就，而是有个积累的过程（要打压市场对通胀的预期，和逐步提高囤积商品的成本），因此这个过程中，商品仍会有不少调整后做多的机会，大家把握好，收益也是可以的。 一、农产品 在3月底周五刚刚公布的USDA农作物种植面积意向报告，决定了农产品的阶段性走势。因此只要各农产品价格不创3月份的价格高点的话，那么阶段性看空至5-6月份。 农产品价格高，供应增多是正常的。但由于化肥土地成本等同步上升，会带来种植成本的进一步上涨，而目前农产品调整，其实就是市场预期当前农产品种植成本的过程，所以调整幅度并不好猜测。而到了5-6月份，种植面积确定后，这部分成本将初步敲定，农产品的整体价格就有了底线，后续再上涨就是对美国种植天气的预期。所以近期农产品的下跌，并不一定是历史大顶的形成，很可能后续还会因天气问题再来一次脉冲式的机会，所以仍需关注。 二、原油 在美国再一次释放战略石油储备和俄乌局势缓和的形势下，油价将逐步转弱。战略石油储备的释放对油价是有短期打压作用的，尤其是这趟公布出来的释放数字是差不多三分一的美国储备，如果联合其它盟国的释放，对油价短期影响不容忽视。至于中期的下跌幅度，预期将在75美元附近，毕竟战略石油储备抛出后，未来是要回补的，抛得越多，对未来油价的支撑力度越强，所以如果并非实质性的原油设施增加，那么油价其实并不需要特别悲观。但是大幅震荡是在所难免的。 短期策略上，油价有效跌穿（以收盘价","listText":"最近对于做多通胀（商品）的投资者来说，不是个好时间，几大类商品均陆续出现大幅调整，具体后市如何，我将会在帖子里和大家分享，具体的交易机会也会在本周四（7号）晚的直播里和大家详细解说，大家多多留意。 从目前美股指的走势看，加息预期已经无法击溃美股，因此美联储理论上已经不担心后续紧缩政策下对股市的影响，从而更针对通胀数据进行打压。那么对于商品来说无疑就是潜在利空。但历史上，靠政策打压通胀，通常都不会是一蹴而就，而是有个积累的过程（要打压市场对通胀的预期，和逐步提高囤积商品的成本），因此这个过程中，商品仍会有不少调整后做多的机会，大家把握好，收益也是可以的。 一、农产品 在3月底周五刚刚公布的USDA农作物种植面积意向报告，决定了农产品的阶段性走势。因此只要各农产品价格不创3月份的价格高点的话，那么阶段性看空至5-6月份。 农产品价格高，供应增多是正常的。但由于化肥土地成本等同步上升，会带来种植成本的进一步上涨，而目前农产品调整，其实就是市场预期当前农产品种植成本的过程，所以调整幅度并不好猜测。而到了5-6月份，种植面积确定后，这部分成本将初步敲定，农产品的整体价格就有了底线，后续再上涨就是对美国种植天气的预期。所以近期农产品的下跌，并不一定是历史大顶的形成，很可能后续还会因天气问题再来一次脉冲式的机会，所以仍需关注。 二、原油 在美国再一次释放战略石油储备和俄乌局势缓和的形势下，油价将逐步转弱。战略石油储备的释放对油价是有短期打压作用的，尤其是这趟公布出来的释放数字是差不多三分一的美国储备，如果联合其它盟国的释放，对油价短期影响不容忽视。至于中期的下跌幅度，预期将在75美元附近，毕竟战略石油储备抛出后，未来是要回补的，抛得越多，对未来油价的支撑力度越强，所以如果并非实质性的原油设施增加，那么油价其实并不需要特别悲观。但是大幅震荡是在所难免的。 短期策略上，油价有效跌穿（以收盘价","text":"最近对于做多通胀（商品）的投资者来说，不是个好时间，几大类商品均陆续出现大幅调整，具体后市如何，我将会在帖子里和大家分享，具体的交易机会也会在本周四（7号）晚的直播里和大家详细解说，大家多多留意。 从目前美股指的走势看，加息预期已经无法击溃美股，因此美联储理论上已经不担心后续紧缩政策下对股市的影响，从而更针对通胀数据进行打压。那么对于商品来说无疑就是潜在利空。但历史上，靠政策打压通胀，通常都不会是一蹴而就，而是有个积累的过程（要打压市场对通胀的预期，和逐步提高囤积商品的成本），因此这个过程中，商品仍会有不少调整后做多的机会，大家把握好，收益也是可以的。 一、农产品 在3月底周五刚刚公布的USDA农作物种植面积意向报告，决定了农产品的阶段性走势。因此只要各农产品价格不创3月份的价格高点的话，那么阶段性看空至5-6月份。 农产品价格高，供应增多是正常的。但由于化肥土地成本等同步上升，会带来种植成本的进一步上涨，而目前农产品调整，其实就是市场预期当前农产品种植成本的过程，所以调整幅度并不好猜测。而到了5-6月份，种植面积确定后，这部分成本将初步敲定，农产品的整体价格就有了底线，后续再上涨就是对美国种植天气的预期。所以近期农产品的下跌，并不一定是历史大顶的形成，很可能后续还会因天气问题再来一次脉冲式的机会，所以仍需关注。 二、原油 在美国再一次释放战略石油储备和俄乌局势缓和的形势下，油价将逐步转弱。战略石油储备的释放对油价是有短期打压作用的，尤其是这趟公布出来的释放数字是差不多三分一的美国储备，如果联合其它盟国的释放，对油价短期影响不容忽视。至于中期的下跌幅度，预期将在75美元附近，毕竟战略石油储备抛出后，未来是要回补的，抛得越多，对未来油价的支撑力度越强，所以如果并非实质性的原油设施增加，那么油价其实并不需要特别悲观。但是大幅震荡是在所难免的。 短期策略上，油价有效跌穿（以收盘价","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a8ffb5331c974d0c373e90646ac03f4a","width":"-1","height":"-1"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f4e658248e1d0a654384bff365dad143","width":"-1","height":"-1"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/74b1f3d5628b2a7accf28937fabb33ac","width":"-1","height":"-1"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/619127763","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1045,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":610339454,"gmtCreate":1648513659116,"gmtModify":1648513659284,"author":{"id":"3572078772819787","authorId":"3572078772819787","name":"Winstonlou","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/872d534505dadd9f2bcdebec4b5df367","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3572078772819787","idStr":"3572078772819787"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/610339454","repostId":"637876679","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":637876679,"gmtCreate":1648025510016,"gmtModify":1648069216226,"author":{"id":"3578199758106112","authorId":"3578199758106112","name":"全球投资","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fbe2723a05b8c06a4e9eecf52f15c7cb","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578199758106112","idStr":"3578199758106112"},"themes":[],"title":"查理 ∙ 芒格：通胀警示","htmlText":"\n \n \n  70年代，沃尔克把初级利率提高到20%而政府为其政府债券支付15%，伴随而来的是一场可怕的经济衰退，芒格认为不会再有一个“沃尔克”式经济衰退，但可能会出现别的更难以解除的复杂危机，来听听他的看法吧。\n \n","listText":"70年代，沃尔克把初级利率提高到20%而政府为其政府债券支付15%，伴随而来的是一场可怕的经济衰退，芒格认为不会再有一个“沃尔克”式经济衰退，但可能会出现别的更难以解除的复杂危机，来听听他的看法吧。","text":"70年代，沃尔克把初级利率提高到20%而政府为其政府债券支付15%，伴随而来的是一场可怕的经济衰退，芒格认为不会再有一个“沃尔克”式经济衰退，但可能会出现别的更难以解除的复杂危机，来听听他的看法吧。","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d7ae2ce222a8456c706d556841c2b6cc","width":"0","height":"0"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/637876679","isVote":1,"tweetType":2,"object":{"id":"2954be96452f4c6483f004ff173569b5","tweetId":"637876679","videoUrl":"https://1254107296.vod2.myqcloud.com/73ba5544vodgzp1254107296/bf4c0f6d387702298001507346/iiUgmflR9zYA.mp4","poster":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d7ae2ce222a8456c706d556841c2b6cc"},"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1295,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":610339504,"gmtCreate":1648513650012,"gmtModify":1648513650174,"author":{"id":"3572078772819787","authorId":"3572078772819787","name":"Winstonlou","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/872d534505dadd9f2bcdebec4b5df367","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3572078772819787","idStr":"3572078772819787"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/610339504","repostId":"637234345","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":637234345,"gmtCreate":1648092173152,"gmtModify":1648174068840,"author":{"id":"212008496769156","authorId":"212008496769156","name":"捷克Jack","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7cc48e563d37c21562541a2874ce20e4","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"212008496769156","idStr":"212008496769156"},"themes":[],"title":"又一个期权捡芝麻的机会开始了（谁说我的BABA策略赔钱了？）","htmlText":"之前，我介绍了一个中概股<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$阿里巴巴(BABA)$</a> 的捡芝麻的机会《<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/632090921\" target=\"_blank\">现在的BABA可能是最适合期权获利的标的</a>》。 不少朋友在中概股跌得最深的两天吓坏了，也有在指责我说跟着做开始亏钱了。 我不得不说，任何的仓位，未平仓之前，都有可能出现浮盈浮亏。而且的确，对于这个振幅，我也非常震惊。但有惊无险，最终依然成功收回权利金（只要你没有仓位过重爆仓）。 我需要明确的几点： 第一、这些都是边角料的赚钱策略，虽然小赚大赔，但我们赢的是95%以上的极大概率。 第二、中概股在3月9日-3月16日出现了“流动性危机”，这已经不是基本面和正常动量变化了，属于极端风险，谁都逃不掉。 第三、均值回归最大的的好处，就是时间是我们的朋友，一定要有耐心。 第四、以上的垂直差价策略的其中一个目的，是建仓。如果是你，在90美金买入了BABA，现在是什么情况呢？ BABA今年以来股价变化 如果你相信这是个长期的概率游戏，并有兴趣通过现金来获得一些超额收益，这样的策略市场上有很多。 今天的主角是“人见人没感觉”的<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">$Meta Platforms(FB)$</a> &nbsp;Facebook。 自从Tik Tok在海外市场占据社媒的主动权之后，Facebook就面临不少打击。再加上苹果的隐私新政，Facebook用了好几个季度都没有缓过来，反而业绩越来越不理想，也让投资者越来越抛弃它。要不是有Instagram续命，可能现在难以维系。 但作为一家千亿美元市值的公司，Facebook手中现","listText":"之前，我介绍了一个中概股<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$阿里巴巴(BABA)$</a> 的捡芝麻的机会《<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/632090921\" target=\"_blank\">现在的BABA可能是最适合期权获利的标的</a>》。 不少朋友在中概股跌得最深的两天吓坏了，也有在指责我说跟着做开始亏钱了。 我不得不说，任何的仓位，未平仓之前，都有可能出现浮盈浮亏。而且的确，对于这个振幅，我也非常震惊。但有惊无险，最终依然成功收回权利金（只要你没有仓位过重爆仓）。 我需要明确的几点： 第一、这些都是边角料的赚钱策略，虽然小赚大赔，但我们赢的是95%以上的极大概率。 第二、中概股在3月9日-3月16日出现了“流动性危机”，这已经不是基本面和正常动量变化了，属于极端风险，谁都逃不掉。 第三、均值回归最大的的好处，就是时间是我们的朋友，一定要有耐心。 第四、以上的垂直差价策略的其中一个目的，是建仓。如果是你，在90美金买入了BABA，现在是什么情况呢？ BABA今年以来股价变化 如果你相信这是个长期的概率游戏，并有兴趣通过现金来获得一些超额收益，这样的策略市场上有很多。 今天的主角是“人见人没感觉”的<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">$Meta Platforms(FB)$</a> &nbsp;Facebook。 自从Tik Tok在海外市场占据社媒的主动权之后，Facebook就面临不少打击。再加上苹果的隐私新政，Facebook用了好几个季度都没有缓过来，反而业绩越来越不理想，也让投资者越来越抛弃它。要不是有Instagram续命，可能现在难以维系。 但作为一家千亿美元市值的公司，Facebook手中现","text":"之前，我介绍了一个中概股$阿里巴巴(BABA)$ 的捡芝麻的机会《现在的BABA可能是最适合期权获利的标的》。 不少朋友在中概股跌得最深的两天吓坏了，也有在指责我说跟着做开始亏钱了。 我不得不说，任何的仓位，未平仓之前，都有可能出现浮盈浮亏。而且的确，对于这个振幅，我也非常震惊。但有惊无险，最终依然成功收回权利金（只要你没有仓位过重爆仓）。 我需要明确的几点： 第一、这些都是边角料的赚钱策略，虽然小赚大赔，但我们赢的是95%以上的极大概率。 第二、中概股在3月9日-3月16日出现了“流动性危机”，这已经不是基本面和正常动量变化了，属于极端风险，谁都逃不掉。 第三、均值回归最大的的好处，就是时间是我们的朋友，一定要有耐心。 第四、以上的垂直差价策略的其中一个目的，是建仓。如果是你，在90美金买入了BABA，现在是什么情况呢？ BABA今年以来股价变化 如果你相信这是个长期的概率游戏，并有兴趣通过现金来获得一些超额收益，这样的策略市场上有很多。 今天的主角是“人见人没感觉”的$Meta Platforms(FB)$ Facebook。 自从Tik Tok在海外市场占据社媒的主动权之后，Facebook就面临不少打击。再加上苹果的隐私新政，Facebook用了好几个季度都没有缓过来，反而业绩越来越不理想，也让投资者越来越抛弃它。要不是有Instagram续命，可能现在难以维系。 但作为一家千亿美元市值的公司，Facebook手中现","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ee52aafe71c2b0d9714da2ed52fe8d8","width":"1280","height":"720"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a7c79c746c7f49d262dd08a472821eec","width":"1775","height":"734"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd137765a687039fe2ad6b5e07e69910","width":"1762","height":"736"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/637234345","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1112,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":610339241,"gmtCreate":1648513641304,"gmtModify":1648513641487,"author":{"id":"3572078772819787","authorId":"3572078772819787","name":"Winstonlou","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/872d534505dadd9f2bcdebec4b5df367","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3572078772819787","idStr":"3572078772819787"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/610339241","repostId":"637051479","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":637051479,"gmtCreate":1647832492764,"gmtModify":1647836867837,"author":{"id":"3534312224764596","authorId":"3534312224764596","name":"Ivan_甘灿荣","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312224764596","idStr":"3534312224764596"},"themes":[],"title":"做好准备，大宗商品的长期“巨震”就要来了","htmlText":"上周美联储进入加息周期正式确认，所以有必要和大家聊聊关于各市场的中长期影响。 记得去年老虎开放日时，我给大家介绍过美元即将进入“纠偏式”的加息周期，相信很多朋友忘记了当时的结论，因此这里想和大家重温一下。而主要的结论其实就是四个字“宽阔震荡”。 加息对需求端（投资需求）的影响大于供应端，虽然目前大宗商品的价格走势基本都受供应端的影响而导致，但需求降温也会对价格产生负面影响，因此单边看涨商品肯定不会是未来2年的最优策略。 一、美股指 由于加息打压通胀，从长远来说会利多经济，因此美股指可谓扛过了最艰难的时刻，当然也包括了亚洲的港股和A股。此前跟大家说过，250日均线是美股指的重要分水岭，上周股指也大幅反弹穿越250日均线，那么美股指短期风险解除，做空美股的朋友们注意止损。做多的朋友们迎来了喘息的机会，至于幅度，目前无法估算，我只能以2000年前后的指数走势作为参考。 毕竟疫情之后，全球经济处于修复期，无论哪个国家都经历不起一次金融市场的大崩溃，虽然我们都知道指数存在一定泡沫，但若当前刺破泡沫的危害远大于承受能力的话，那么政府总会想尽办法去保护它，政府的力量是不能忽视的。中国的房市和美国的股市本质同源，可阶段打压但不能随意踩踏。 二、原油 历史上，原油在纠偏式加息周期下，都是震荡市。而且目前叠加了俄乌冲突，即便俄乌和谈，但国际制裁不可能短期撤销，这会导致的问题在于供应信息混乱，产量的增长会被人为地贸易切断，油价短期不可能太弱势，尽管波动会十分巨大。 技术上，当前油价处于2011-2014年的震荡区间中，也即75-115美元的价格水平，在该水平内，油价将根据短期供应消息大幅震荡，有利好则脉冲，无利好也大幅下跌，因此技术性交易即可。 三、黄金 贵金属总体仍是利率敏感品种，在加息周期下，往往表现偏弱势。最少我们不能很放心地趋势性做多。 诚然，弱势不代表金价暴跌，以目前通胀的基调下，阴跌","listText":"上周美联储进入加息周期正式确认，所以有必要和大家聊聊关于各市场的中长期影响。 记得去年老虎开放日时，我给大家介绍过美元即将进入“纠偏式”的加息周期，相信很多朋友忘记了当时的结论，因此这里想和大家重温一下。而主要的结论其实就是四个字“宽阔震荡”。 加息对需求端（投资需求）的影响大于供应端，虽然目前大宗商品的价格走势基本都受供应端的影响而导致，但需求降温也会对价格产生负面影响，因此单边看涨商品肯定不会是未来2年的最优策略。 一、美股指 由于加息打压通胀，从长远来说会利多经济，因此美股指可谓扛过了最艰难的时刻，当然也包括了亚洲的港股和A股。此前跟大家说过，250日均线是美股指的重要分水岭，上周股指也大幅反弹穿越250日均线，那么美股指短期风险解除，做空美股的朋友们注意止损。做多的朋友们迎来了喘息的机会，至于幅度，目前无法估算，我只能以2000年前后的指数走势作为参考。 毕竟疫情之后，全球经济处于修复期，无论哪个国家都经历不起一次金融市场的大崩溃，虽然我们都知道指数存在一定泡沫，但若当前刺破泡沫的危害远大于承受能力的话，那么政府总会想尽办法去保护它，政府的力量是不能忽视的。中国的房市和美国的股市本质同源，可阶段打压但不能随意踩踏。 二、原油 历史上，原油在纠偏式加息周期下，都是震荡市。而且目前叠加了俄乌冲突，即便俄乌和谈，但国际制裁不可能短期撤销，这会导致的问题在于供应信息混乱，产量的增长会被人为地贸易切断，油价短期不可能太弱势，尽管波动会十分巨大。 技术上，当前油价处于2011-2014年的震荡区间中，也即75-115美元的价格水平，在该水平内，油价将根据短期供应消息大幅震荡，有利好则脉冲，无利好也大幅下跌，因此技术性交易即可。 三、黄金 贵金属总体仍是利率敏感品种，在加息周期下，往往表现偏弱势。最少我们不能很放心地趋势性做多。 诚然，弱势不代表金价暴跌，以目前通胀的基调下，阴跌","text":"上周美联储进入加息周期正式确认，所以有必要和大家聊聊关于各市场的中长期影响。 记得去年老虎开放日时，我给大家介绍过美元即将进入“纠偏式”的加息周期，相信很多朋友忘记了当时的结论，因此这里想和大家重温一下。而主要的结论其实就是四个字“宽阔震荡”。 加息对需求端（投资需求）的影响大于供应端，虽然目前大宗商品的价格走势基本都受供应端的影响而导致，但需求降温也会对价格产生负面影响，因此单边看涨商品肯定不会是未来2年的最优策略。 一、美股指 由于加息打压通胀，从长远来说会利多经济，因此美股指可谓扛过了最艰难的时刻，当然也包括了亚洲的港股和A股。此前跟大家说过，250日均线是美股指的重要分水岭，上周股指也大幅反弹穿越250日均线，那么美股指短期风险解除，做空美股的朋友们注意止损。做多的朋友们迎来了喘息的机会，至于幅度，目前无法估算，我只能以2000年前后的指数走势作为参考。 毕竟疫情之后，全球经济处于修复期，无论哪个国家都经历不起一次金融市场的大崩溃，虽然我们都知道指数存在一定泡沫，但若当前刺破泡沫的危害远大于承受能力的话，那么政府总会想尽办法去保护它，政府的力量是不能忽视的。中国的房市和美国的股市本质同源，可阶段打压但不能随意踩踏。 二、原油 历史上，原油在纠偏式加息周期下，都是震荡市。而且目前叠加了俄乌冲突，即便俄乌和谈，但国际制裁不可能短期撤销，这会导致的问题在于供应信息混乱，产量的增长会被人为地贸易切断，油价短期不可能太弱势，尽管波动会十分巨大。 技术上，当前油价处于2011-2014年的震荡区间中，也即75-115美元的价格水平，在该水平内，油价将根据短期供应消息大幅震荡，有利好则脉冲，无利好也大幅下跌，因此技术性交易即可。 三、黄金 贵金属总体仍是利率敏感品种，在加息周期下，往往表现偏弱势。最少我们不能很放心地趋势性做多。 诚然，弱势不代表金价暴跌，以目前通胀的基调下，阴跌","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/61059ad3f95b15d13ec31ca6a9dd9e60","width":"-1","height":"-1"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93e956b4a65c56b925cbb866f09fd0d7","width":"-1","height":"-1"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44405cd67a35fd924b6809ca12f14f47","width":"-1","height":"-1"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/637051479","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":7,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1165,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":610097484,"gmtCreate":1648423219288,"gmtModify":1648423219460,"author":{"id":"3572078772819787","authorId":"3572078772819787","name":"Winstonlou","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/872d534505dadd9f2bcdebec4b5df367","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3572078772819787","idStr":"3572078772819787"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/610097484","repostId":"637876679","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":637876679,"gmtCreate":1648025510016,"gmtModify":1648069216226,"author":{"id":"3578199758106112","authorId":"3578199758106112","name":"全球投资","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fbe2723a05b8c06a4e9eecf52f15c7cb","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578199758106112","idStr":"3578199758106112"},"themes":[],"title":"查理 ∙ 芒格：通胀警示","htmlText":"\n \n \n  70年代，沃尔克把初级利率提高到20%而政府为其政府债券支付15%，伴随而来的是一场可怕的经济衰退，芒格认为不会再有一个“沃尔克”式经济衰退，但可能会出现别的更难以解除的复杂危机，来听听他的看法吧。\n \n","listText":"70年代，沃尔克把初级利率提高到20%而政府为其政府债券支付15%，伴随而来的是一场可怕的经济衰退，芒格认为不会再有一个“沃尔克”式经济衰退，但可能会出现别的更难以解除的复杂危机，来听听他的看法吧。","text":"70年代，沃尔克把初级利率提高到20%而政府为其政府债券支付15%，伴随而来的是一场可怕的经济衰退，芒格认为不会再有一个“沃尔克”式经济衰退，但可能会出现别的更难以解除的复杂危机，来听听他的看法吧。","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d7ae2ce222a8456c706d556841c2b6cc","width":"0","height":"0"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/637876679","isVote":1,"tweetType":2,"object":{"id":"2954be96452f4c6483f004ff173569b5","tweetId":"637876679","videoUrl":"https://1254107296.vod2.myqcloud.com/73ba5544vodgzp1254107296/bf4c0f6d387702298001507346/iiUgmflR9zYA.mp4","poster":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d7ae2ce222a8456c706d556841c2b6cc"},"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1466,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":610097554,"gmtCreate":1648423212079,"gmtModify":1648423212296,"author":{"id":"3572078772819787","authorId":"3572078772819787","name":"Winstonlou","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/872d534505dadd9f2bcdebec4b5df367","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3572078772819787","idStr":"3572078772819787"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/610097554","repostId":"637234345","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":637234345,"gmtCreate":1648092173152,"gmtModify":1648174068840,"author":{"id":"212008496769156","authorId":"212008496769156","name":"捷克Jack","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7cc48e563d37c21562541a2874ce20e4","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"212008496769156","idStr":"212008496769156"},"themes":[],"title":"又一个期权捡芝麻的机会开始了（谁说我的BABA策略赔钱了？）","htmlText":"之前，我介绍了一个中概股<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$阿里巴巴(BABA)$</a> 的捡芝麻的机会《<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/632090921\" target=\"_blank\">现在的BABA可能是最适合期权获利的标的</a>》。 不少朋友在中概股跌得最深的两天吓坏了，也有在指责我说跟着做开始亏钱了。 我不得不说，任何的仓位，未平仓之前，都有可能出现浮盈浮亏。而且的确，对于这个振幅，我也非常震惊。但有惊无险，最终依然成功收回权利金（只要你没有仓位过重爆仓）。 我需要明确的几点： 第一、这些都是边角料的赚钱策略，虽然小赚大赔，但我们赢的是95%以上的极大概率。 第二、中概股在3月9日-3月16日出现了“流动性危机”，这已经不是基本面和正常动量变化了，属于极端风险，谁都逃不掉。 第三、均值回归最大的的好处，就是时间是我们的朋友，一定要有耐心。 第四、以上的垂直差价策略的其中一个目的，是建仓。如果是你，在90美金买入了BABA，现在是什么情况呢？ BABA今年以来股价变化 如果你相信这是个长期的概率游戏，并有兴趣通过现金来获得一些超额收益，这样的策略市场上有很多。 今天的主角是“人见人没感觉”的<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">$Meta Platforms(FB)$</a> &nbsp;Facebook。 自从Tik Tok在海外市场占据社媒的主动权之后，Facebook就面临不少打击。再加上苹果的隐私新政，Facebook用了好几个季度都没有缓过来，反而业绩越来越不理想，也让投资者越来越抛弃它。要不是有Instagram续命，可能现在难以维系。 但作为一家千亿美元市值的公司，Facebook手中现","listText":"之前，我介绍了一个中概股<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$阿里巴巴(BABA)$</a> 的捡芝麻的机会《<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/632090921\" target=\"_blank\">现在的BABA可能是最适合期权获利的标的</a>》。 不少朋友在中概股跌得最深的两天吓坏了，也有在指责我说跟着做开始亏钱了。 我不得不说，任何的仓位，未平仓之前，都有可能出现浮盈浮亏。而且的确，对于这个振幅，我也非常震惊。但有惊无险，最终依然成功收回权利金（只要你没有仓位过重爆仓）。 我需要明确的几点： 第一、这些都是边角料的赚钱策略，虽然小赚大赔，但我们赢的是95%以上的极大概率。 第二、中概股在3月9日-3月16日出现了“流动性危机”，这已经不是基本面和正常动量变化了，属于极端风险，谁都逃不掉。 第三、均值回归最大的的好处，就是时间是我们的朋友，一定要有耐心。 第四、以上的垂直差价策略的其中一个目的，是建仓。如果是你，在90美金买入了BABA，现在是什么情况呢？ BABA今年以来股价变化 如果你相信这是个长期的概率游戏，并有兴趣通过现金来获得一些超额收益，这样的策略市场上有很多。 今天的主角是“人见人没感觉”的<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">$Meta Platforms(FB)$</a> &nbsp;Facebook。 自从Tik Tok在海外市场占据社媒的主动权之后，Facebook就面临不少打击。再加上苹果的隐私新政，Facebook用了好几个季度都没有缓过来，反而业绩越来越不理想，也让投资者越来越抛弃它。要不是有Instagram续命，可能现在难以维系。 但作为一家千亿美元市值的公司，Facebook手中现","text":"之前，我介绍了一个中概股$阿里巴巴(BABA)$ 的捡芝麻的机会《现在的BABA可能是最适合期权获利的标的》。 不少朋友在中概股跌得最深的两天吓坏了，也有在指责我说跟着做开始亏钱了。 我不得不说，任何的仓位，未平仓之前，都有可能出现浮盈浮亏。而且的确，对于这个振幅，我也非常震惊。但有惊无险，最终依然成功收回权利金（只要你没有仓位过重爆仓）。 我需要明确的几点： 第一、这些都是边角料的赚钱策略，虽然小赚大赔，但我们赢的是95%以上的极大概率。 第二、中概股在3月9日-3月16日出现了“流动性危机”，这已经不是基本面和正常动量变化了，属于极端风险，谁都逃不掉。 第三、均值回归最大的的好处，就是时间是我们的朋友，一定要有耐心。 第四、以上的垂直差价策略的其中一个目的，是建仓。如果是你，在90美金买入了BABA，现在是什么情况呢？ BABA今年以来股价变化 如果你相信这是个长期的概率游戏，并有兴趣通过现金来获得一些超额收益，这样的策略市场上有很多。 今天的主角是“人见人没感觉”的$Meta Platforms(FB)$ Facebook。 自从Tik Tok在海外市场占据社媒的主动权之后，Facebook就面临不少打击。再加上苹果的隐私新政，Facebook用了好几个季度都没有缓过来，反而业绩越来越不理想，也让投资者越来越抛弃它。要不是有Instagram续命，可能现在难以维系。 但作为一家千亿美元市值的公司，Facebook手中现","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ee52aafe71c2b0d9714da2ed52fe8d8","width":"1280","height":"720"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a7c79c746c7f49d262dd08a472821eec","width":"1775","height":"734"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd137765a687039fe2ad6b5e07e69910","width":"1762","height":"736"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/637234345","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1087,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":610097685,"gmtCreate":1648423203346,"gmtModify":1648423203480,"author":{"id":"3572078772819787","authorId":"3572078772819787","name":"Winstonlou","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/872d534505dadd9f2bcdebec4b5df367","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3572078772819787","idStr":"3572078772819787"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/610097685","repostId":"637051479","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":637051479,"gmtCreate":1647832492764,"gmtModify":1647836867837,"author":{"id":"3534312224764596","authorId":"3534312224764596","name":"Ivan_甘灿荣","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312224764596","idStr":"3534312224764596"},"themes":[],"title":"做好准备，大宗商品的长期“巨震”就要来了","htmlText":"上周美联储进入加息周期正式确认，所以有必要和大家聊聊关于各市场的中长期影响。 记得去年老虎开放日时，我给大家介绍过美元即将进入“纠偏式”的加息周期，相信很多朋友忘记了当时的结论，因此这里想和大家重温一下。而主要的结论其实就是四个字“宽阔震荡”。 加息对需求端（投资需求）的影响大于供应端，虽然目前大宗商品的价格走势基本都受供应端的影响而导致，但需求降温也会对价格产生负面影响，因此单边看涨商品肯定不会是未来2年的最优策略。 一、美股指 由于加息打压通胀，从长远来说会利多经济，因此美股指可谓扛过了最艰难的时刻，当然也包括了亚洲的港股和A股。此前跟大家说过，250日均线是美股指的重要分水岭，上周股指也大幅反弹穿越250日均线，那么美股指短期风险解除，做空美股的朋友们注意止损。做多的朋友们迎来了喘息的机会，至于幅度，目前无法估算，我只能以2000年前后的指数走势作为参考。 毕竟疫情之后，全球经济处于修复期，无论哪个国家都经历不起一次金融市场的大崩溃，虽然我们都知道指数存在一定泡沫，但若当前刺破泡沫的危害远大于承受能力的话，那么政府总会想尽办法去保护它，政府的力量是不能忽视的。中国的房市和美国的股市本质同源，可阶段打压但不能随意踩踏。 二、原油 历史上，原油在纠偏式加息周期下，都是震荡市。而且目前叠加了俄乌冲突，即便俄乌和谈，但国际制裁不可能短期撤销，这会导致的问题在于供应信息混乱，产量的增长会被人为地贸易切断，油价短期不可能太弱势，尽管波动会十分巨大。 技术上，当前油价处于2011-2014年的震荡区间中，也即75-115美元的价格水平，在该水平内，油价将根据短期供应消息大幅震荡，有利好则脉冲，无利好也大幅下跌，因此技术性交易即可。 三、黄金 贵金属总体仍是利率敏感品种，在加息周期下，往往表现偏弱势。最少我们不能很放心地趋势性做多。 诚然，弱势不代表金价暴跌，以目前通胀的基调下，阴跌","listText":"上周美联储进入加息周期正式确认，所以有必要和大家聊聊关于各市场的中长期影响。 记得去年老虎开放日时，我给大家介绍过美元即将进入“纠偏式”的加息周期，相信很多朋友忘记了当时的结论，因此这里想和大家重温一下。而主要的结论其实就是四个字“宽阔震荡”。 加息对需求端（投资需求）的影响大于供应端，虽然目前大宗商品的价格走势基本都受供应端的影响而导致，但需求降温也会对价格产生负面影响，因此单边看涨商品肯定不会是未来2年的最优策略。 一、美股指 由于加息打压通胀，从长远来说会利多经济，因此美股指可谓扛过了最艰难的时刻，当然也包括了亚洲的港股和A股。此前跟大家说过，250日均线是美股指的重要分水岭，上周股指也大幅反弹穿越250日均线，那么美股指短期风险解除，做空美股的朋友们注意止损。做多的朋友们迎来了喘息的机会，至于幅度，目前无法估算，我只能以2000年前后的指数走势作为参考。 毕竟疫情之后，全球经济处于修复期，无论哪个国家都经历不起一次金融市场的大崩溃，虽然我们都知道指数存在一定泡沫，但若当前刺破泡沫的危害远大于承受能力的话，那么政府总会想尽办法去保护它，政府的力量是不能忽视的。中国的房市和美国的股市本质同源，可阶段打压但不能随意踩踏。 二、原油 历史上，原油在纠偏式加息周期下，都是震荡市。而且目前叠加了俄乌冲突，即便俄乌和谈，但国际制裁不可能短期撤销，这会导致的问题在于供应信息混乱，产量的增长会被人为地贸易切断，油价短期不可能太弱势，尽管波动会十分巨大。 技术上，当前油价处于2011-2014年的震荡区间中，也即75-115美元的价格水平，在该水平内，油价将根据短期供应消息大幅震荡，有利好则脉冲，无利好也大幅下跌，因此技术性交易即可。 三、黄金 贵金属总体仍是利率敏感品种，在加息周期下，往往表现偏弱势。最少我们不能很放心地趋势性做多。 诚然，弱势不代表金价暴跌，以目前通胀的基调下，阴跌","text":"上周美联储进入加息周期正式确认，所以有必要和大家聊聊关于各市场的中长期影响。 记得去年老虎开放日时，我给大家介绍过美元即将进入“纠偏式”的加息周期，相信很多朋友忘记了当时的结论，因此这里想和大家重温一下。而主要的结论其实就是四个字“宽阔震荡”。 加息对需求端（投资需求）的影响大于供应端，虽然目前大宗商品的价格走势基本都受供应端的影响而导致，但需求降温也会对价格产生负面影响，因此单边看涨商品肯定不会是未来2年的最优策略。 一、美股指 由于加息打压通胀，从长远来说会利多经济，因此美股指可谓扛过了最艰难的时刻，当然也包括了亚洲的港股和A股。此前跟大家说过，250日均线是美股指的重要分水岭，上周股指也大幅反弹穿越250日均线，那么美股指短期风险解除，做空美股的朋友们注意止损。做多的朋友们迎来了喘息的机会，至于幅度，目前无法估算，我只能以2000年前后的指数走势作为参考。 毕竟疫情之后，全球经济处于修复期，无论哪个国家都经历不起一次金融市场的大崩溃，虽然我们都知道指数存在一定泡沫，但若当前刺破泡沫的危害远大于承受能力的话，那么政府总会想尽办法去保护它，政府的力量是不能忽视的。中国的房市和美国的股市本质同源，可阶段打压但不能随意踩踏。 二、原油 历史上，原油在纠偏式加息周期下，都是震荡市。而且目前叠加了俄乌冲突，即便俄乌和谈，但国际制裁不可能短期撤销，这会导致的问题在于供应信息混乱，产量的增长会被人为地贸易切断，油价短期不可能太弱势，尽管波动会十分巨大。 技术上，当前油价处于2011-2014年的震荡区间中，也即75-115美元的价格水平，在该水平内，油价将根据短期供应消息大幅震荡，有利好则脉冲，无利好也大幅下跌，因此技术性交易即可。 三、黄金 贵金属总体仍是利率敏感品种，在加息周期下，往往表现偏弱势。最少我们不能很放心地趋势性做多。 诚然，弱势不代表金价暴跌，以目前通胀的基调下，阴跌","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/61059ad3f95b15d13ec31ca6a9dd9e60","width":"-1","height":"-1"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93e956b4a65c56b925cbb866f09fd0d7","width":"-1","height":"-1"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44405cd67a35fd924b6809ca12f14f47","width":"-1","height":"-1"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/637051479","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":7,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1652,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":635416670,"gmtCreate":1647212217987,"gmtModify":1647212218183,"author":{"id":"3572078772819787","authorId":"3572078772819787","name":"Winstonlou","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/872d534505dadd9f2bcdebec4b5df367","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3572078772819787","idStr":"3572078772819787"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment","listText":"Like and comment","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/635416670","repostId":"632524031","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":632524031,"gmtCreate":1646622113150,"gmtModify":1646647050185,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"07/08年的感觉回来了：黄金2000，原油不言顶","htmlText":"上周初的跳空主要缺口并未能得到回补，这确定了近期趋势的进一步强化。黄金开始涨向2000关口，原油则继续高歌猛进完全和美股指脱钩。上一次市场如此疯狂的时刻，还要回到07/08年金融危机。只不过，这次由地缘政治所引发的危机可能比当时还要猛烈。 远离原油 在上周中的直播中，我们对比了美油与标普的长线走势图，类似的情况出现在雷曼时刻前夕——美股已经开始见顶回落大幅修正，油价还继续猛冲了一段时间后才出现断崖式崩盘。基于此，再考虑到当前原油无任何调整的走法，任何左侧交易的猜测头部都是送钱。原油的波动率目前也不再适合普通投资者参与，安静的等待事情起变化或许是最好的选择。 做空欧洲 直播中比较推荐的做空欧洲+做多其他地区的主要逻辑十分明显：俄罗斯乌克兰的局势缺乏快速解决的机会和方法。虽然美国和北约都是遥控指挥，但是毕竟主战场是在欧洲大陆的。如果真有什么的新的大级别的冲突，欧洲是首当其中的倒霉蛋。 欧股和欧元的表现也已经体现了投资者对于这方面的担忧。虽然其他风险资产和非美货币也在下跌，但是最不抗跌的显然还是欧元和欧股。远离主战场（做空主要对应资产）+做多其他同类型资产是我们对于当前局势的看法。 同样的思路可以提前布局到其他可能会出现危机/问题的国家与地区，尤其是哪些前期相对看跌或者涨的比较高的地方。 黄金等待新高 黄金继续保持上涨，和我们的中长期目标方向吻合，多头从1900到2000几乎可以说没有费任何吹灰之力，下一个主要压制就是前期的历史高位了。和原油类似，目前的市场环境找不到任何压制黄金的理由，市场走势本身也是牛气冲天。因此继续待在车上拿稳了就行。 白银同步开始上涨，也取得了趋势线的突破，不过从相对表现来看，还是没有太出彩的地方，这多多少少有些令人失望。不过也不用过于着急，白银或许需要突破站稳30大关之后，才能让那些看空做空白银的资金彻底认输。到时候，类似原油的轧空行情就会到来。贵金属牛","listText":"上周初的跳空主要缺口并未能得到回补，这确定了近期趋势的进一步强化。黄金开始涨向2000关口，原油则继续高歌猛进完全和美股指脱钩。上一次市场如此疯狂的时刻，还要回到07/08年金融危机。只不过，这次由地缘政治所引发的危机可能比当时还要猛烈。 远离原油 在上周中的直播中，我们对比了美油与标普的长线走势图，类似的情况出现在雷曼时刻前夕——美股已经开始见顶回落大幅修正，油价还继续猛冲了一段时间后才出现断崖式崩盘。基于此，再考虑到当前原油无任何调整的走法，任何左侧交易的猜测头部都是送钱。原油的波动率目前也不再适合普通投资者参与，安静的等待事情起变化或许是最好的选择。 做空欧洲 直播中比较推荐的做空欧洲+做多其他地区的主要逻辑十分明显：俄罗斯乌克兰的局势缺乏快速解决的机会和方法。虽然美国和北约都是遥控指挥，但是毕竟主战场是在欧洲大陆的。如果真有什么的新的大级别的冲突，欧洲是首当其中的倒霉蛋。 欧股和欧元的表现也已经体现了投资者对于这方面的担忧。虽然其他风险资产和非美货币也在下跌，但是最不抗跌的显然还是欧元和欧股。远离主战场（做空主要对应资产）+做多其他同类型资产是我们对于当前局势的看法。 同样的思路可以提前布局到其他可能会出现危机/问题的国家与地区，尤其是哪些前期相对看跌或者涨的比较高的地方。 黄金等待新高 黄金继续保持上涨，和我们的中长期目标方向吻合，多头从1900到2000几乎可以说没有费任何吹灰之力，下一个主要压制就是前期的历史高位了。和原油类似，目前的市场环境找不到任何压制黄金的理由，市场走势本身也是牛气冲天。因此继续待在车上拿稳了就行。 白银同步开始上涨，也取得了趋势线的突破，不过从相对表现来看，还是没有太出彩的地方，这多多少少有些令人失望。不过也不用过于着急，白银或许需要突破站稳30大关之后，才能让那些看空做空白银的资金彻底认输。到时候，类似原油的轧空行情就会到来。贵金属牛","text":"上周初的跳空主要缺口并未能得到回补，这确定了近期趋势的进一步强化。黄金开始涨向2000关口，原油则继续高歌猛进完全和美股指脱钩。上一次市场如此疯狂的时刻，还要回到07/08年金融危机。只不过，这次由地缘政治所引发的危机可能比当时还要猛烈。 远离原油 在上周中的直播中，我们对比了美油与标普的长线走势图，类似的情况出现在雷曼时刻前夕——美股已经开始见顶回落大幅修正，油价还继续猛冲了一段时间后才出现断崖式崩盘。基于此，再考虑到当前原油无任何调整的走法，任何左侧交易的猜测头部都是送钱。原油的波动率目前也不再适合普通投资者参与，安静的等待事情起变化或许是最好的选择。 做空欧洲 直播中比较推荐的做空欧洲+做多其他地区的主要逻辑十分明显：俄罗斯乌克兰的局势缺乏快速解决的机会和方法。虽然美国和北约都是遥控指挥，但是毕竟主战场是在欧洲大陆的。如果真有什么的新的大级别的冲突，欧洲是首当其中的倒霉蛋。 欧股和欧元的表现也已经体现了投资者对于这方面的担忧。虽然其他风险资产和非美货币也在下跌，但是最不抗跌的显然还是欧元和欧股。远离主战场（做空主要对应资产）+做多其他同类型资产是我们对于当前局势的看法。 同样的思路可以提前布局到其他可能会出现危机/问题的国家与地区，尤其是哪些前期相对看跌或者涨的比较高的地方。 黄金等待新高 黄金继续保持上涨，和我们的中长期目标方向吻合，多头从1900到2000几乎可以说没有费任何吹灰之力，下一个主要压制就是前期的历史高位了。和原油类似，目前的市场环境找不到任何压制黄金的理由，市场走势本身也是牛气冲天。因此继续待在车上拿稳了就行。 白银同步开始上涨，也取得了趋势线的突破，不过从相对表现来看，还是没有太出彩的地方，这多多少少有些令人失望。不过也不用过于着急，白银或许需要突破站稳30大关之后，才能让那些看空做空白银的资金彻底认输。到时候，类似原油的轧空行情就会到来。贵金属牛","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/611f21bc44ab3370abb3533407653e44","width":"1363","height":"678"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/632524031","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1171,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":635416842,"gmtCreate":1647212206762,"gmtModify":1647212206931,"author":{"id":"3572078772819787","authorId":"3572078772819787","name":"Winstonlou","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/872d534505dadd9f2bcdebec4b5df367","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3572078772819787","idStr":"3572078772819787"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment","listText":"Like and comment","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/635416842","repostId":"635668752","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":635668752,"gmtCreate":1646982498762,"gmtModify":1744960797205,"author":{"id":"21347731130544","authorId":"21347731130544","name":"价值投资为王","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89ffffc59ff9ac9cb9cb74f596418d44","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"21347731130544","idStr":"21347731130544"},"themes":[],"title":"中概股再遭血洗，聊聊我是如何应对暴跌的！","htmlText":"昨夜，美国证监会将5家中概股列入《外国公司问责法》的暂定清单，包括百济神州、百胜中国、再鼎医药、盛美半导体、和黄医药。根据该法案，如果外国上市公司连续三年未能提交美国上市公司会计监督委员会所要求的报告，SEC有权将其从交易所摘牌。这则消息让中概股再遭血洗，拼多多一夜暴跌17%、爱奇艺暴跌22%！恐慌情绪传到港股，美团一度大跌12%；腾讯一度大跌6%，股价创调整新低；阿里巴巴一度大跌8%，跌破90港币大关。其他互联网企业一概遭遇血洗。恐慌之下，很多中概股投资者在犹豫要不要继续抄底？作为10年投资的老司机，也算是经历过2015年A股股灾和2018年的慢熊，分享几个熊市保命的经验。第一点：不用杠杆2015年首先杀的就是杠杆，但凡融资的投资者，基本没有善终的。因此，如果你想抄底中概股，不要用杠杆。第二点：别急着加仓抄底中概的投资者，很多人痛苦的来源就是频繁加仓。以腾讯为例，在410-480横盘震荡区间，很多人反复加仓，包括段永平。大家都认为腾讯长时间的震荡，是大底无疑，害怕错失20PE的腾讯，于是，稍微点几个点，就嚷嚷抄底。结果，腾讯无情的跌破了这个横盘震荡区间，刚跌破的时候有人喊抄底，如今遭遇SEC退市危机，仍然急着考虑要不要买点。个人经验，在熊市的时候，抄底不是按照几个点来规划的，而是腾讯20PE抄底1把、15PE抄一把、10PE打出最后的子弹。所以，20pe抄底的人，不应该在19PE、或者18PE的时候就动手，一定要把抄底加仓的区间拉大。第三点：单一个股设置仓位天花板很多投资者不设仓位天花板，有时候甚至卖出盈利的股，全仓买入亏损的股。我个人对单一股票，或者同行业股票，最大仓位30%，达到之后，无论是多么便宜的价格，都不会再加仓。如果亏损的股是好股，它会在后面涨回来，甚至创下历史新高，比如腾讯。而如果买入的股票是垃圾股，或者基本面恶化，那你加仓越多，亏损越多。所以，如果中概股占","listText":"昨夜，美国证监会将5家中概股列入《外国公司问责法》的暂定清单，包括百济神州、百胜中国、再鼎医药、盛美半导体、和黄医药。根据该法案，如果外国上市公司连续三年未能提交美国上市公司会计监督委员会所要求的报告，SEC有权将其从交易所摘牌。这则消息让中概股再遭血洗，拼多多一夜暴跌17%、爱奇艺暴跌22%！恐慌情绪传到港股，美团一度大跌12%；腾讯一度大跌6%，股价创调整新低；阿里巴巴一度大跌8%，跌破90港币大关。其他互联网企业一概遭遇血洗。恐慌之下，很多中概股投资者在犹豫要不要继续抄底？作为10年投资的老司机，也算是经历过2015年A股股灾和2018年的慢熊，分享几个熊市保命的经验。第一点：不用杠杆2015年首先杀的就是杠杆，但凡融资的投资者，基本没有善终的。因此，如果你想抄底中概股，不要用杠杆。第二点：别急着加仓抄底中概的投资者，很多人痛苦的来源就是频繁加仓。以腾讯为例，在410-480横盘震荡区间，很多人反复加仓，包括段永平。大家都认为腾讯长时间的震荡，是大底无疑，害怕错失20PE的腾讯，于是，稍微点几个点，就嚷嚷抄底。结果，腾讯无情的跌破了这个横盘震荡区间，刚跌破的时候有人喊抄底，如今遭遇SEC退市危机，仍然急着考虑要不要买点。个人经验，在熊市的时候，抄底不是按照几个点来规划的，而是腾讯20PE抄底1把、15PE抄一把、10PE打出最后的子弹。所以，20pe抄底的人，不应该在19PE、或者18PE的时候就动手，一定要把抄底加仓的区间拉大。第三点：单一个股设置仓位天花板很多投资者不设仓位天花板，有时候甚至卖出盈利的股，全仓买入亏损的股。我个人对单一股票，或者同行业股票，最大仓位30%，达到之后，无论是多么便宜的价格，都不会再加仓。如果亏损的股是好股，它会在后面涨回来，甚至创下历史新高，比如腾讯。而如果买入的股票是垃圾股，或者基本面恶化，那你加仓越多，亏损越多。所以，如果中概股占","text":"昨夜，美国证监会将5家中概股列入《外国公司问责法》的暂定清单，包括百济神州、百胜中国、再鼎医药、盛美半导体、和黄医药。根据该法案，如果外国上市公司连续三年未能提交美国上市公司会计监督委员会所要求的报告，SEC有权将其从交易所摘牌。这则消息让中概股再遭血洗，拼多多一夜暴跌17%、爱奇艺暴跌22%！恐慌情绪传到港股，美团一度大跌12%；腾讯一度大跌6%，股价创调整新低；阿里巴巴一度大跌8%，跌破90港币大关。其他互联网企业一概遭遇血洗。恐慌之下，很多中概股投资者在犹豫要不要继续抄底？作为10年投资的老司机，也算是经历过2015年A股股灾和2018年的慢熊，分享几个熊市保命的经验。第一点：不用杠杆2015年首先杀的就是杠杆，但凡融资的投资者，基本没有善终的。因此，如果你想抄底中概股，不要用杠杆。第二点：别急着加仓抄底中概的投资者，很多人痛苦的来源就是频繁加仓。以腾讯为例，在410-480横盘震荡区间，很多人反复加仓，包括段永平。大家都认为腾讯长时间的震荡，是大底无疑，害怕错失20PE的腾讯，于是，稍微点几个点，就嚷嚷抄底。结果，腾讯无情的跌破了这个横盘震荡区间，刚跌破的时候有人喊抄底，如今遭遇SEC退市危机，仍然急着考虑要不要买点。个人经验，在熊市的时候，抄底不是按照几个点来规划的，而是腾讯20PE抄底1把、15PE抄一把、10PE打出最后的子弹。所以，20pe抄底的人，不应该在19PE、或者18PE的时候就动手，一定要把抄底加仓的区间拉大。第三点：单一个股设置仓位天花板很多投资者不设仓位天花板，有时候甚至卖出盈利的股，全仓买入亏损的股。我个人对单一股票，或者同行业股票，最大仓位30%，达到之后，无论是多么便宜的价格，都不会再加仓。如果亏损的股是好股，它会在后面涨回来，甚至创下历史新高，比如腾讯。而如果买入的股票是垃圾股，或者基本面恶化，那你加仓越多，亏损越多。所以，如果中概股占","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/635668752","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":1,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":647,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":635416304,"gmtCreate":1647212196863,"gmtModify":1647212196994,"author":{"id":"3572078772819787","authorId":"3572078772819787","name":"Winstonlou","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/872d534505dadd9f2bcdebec4b5df367","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3572078772819787","idStr":"3572078772819787"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment","listText":"Like and comment","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/635416304","repostId":"632710058","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":632710058,"gmtCreate":1646703674412,"gmtModify":1744960795390,"author":{"id":"4087984885325640","authorId":"4087984885325640","name":"言财美股研究社","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e4b8de7e5193af177d4fd115494e4a8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087984885325640","idStr":"4087984885325640"},"themes":[],"title":"以史为鉴：油价暴涨，超级滞胀期来临，大类资产怎么配？","htmlText":"大类资产轮动是否存在规律？今年以来，多件风险事件叠加监管政策因素持续冲击多个市场，各类资产走势分化。尤其是近期在俄乌冲突升级以后，石油价格以60年最快的速度暴涨，带动大宗商品集体暴动，铜、铝、镍等等近期都走出了摧枯拉朽的走势，暴涨的大宗商品给全球经济带来巨大的压力，经济衰退风险骤然提升，一边是高企的通胀，一边是下行的经济，这种组合，怎么配置？从大类资产轮动的角度出发，站在当下时点，市场所面临的是怎样的环境？回顾历史，以美林时钟以及杠杆周期的核心逻辑为出发点，试图回答这个问题。他山之石，可以攻玉，回顾历史：是否存在轮动规律？从美林时钟出发，回顾近十年来，大类资产的表现，其核心逻辑在于，在经济周期的不同阶段均有表现好于大市的资产出现，因此基于经济周期演变对股票、可转债、利率债以及信用债、房地产、大宗商品这六大类资产的价格走势进行分析。使用工业增加值作为经济增长的代指标，将CPI作为衡量通胀的指标，根据不同组合将经济周期分为：复苏期（经济上行、通胀下行）、过热期（经济上行、通胀上行）、滞涨期（经济下行、通胀上行）、衰退期(经济下行、通胀下行)。Ⅰ衰退：债券&gt;现金&gt;股票&gt;大宗商品Ⅱ复苏：大宗商品&gt;股票&gt;债券&gt;现金Ⅲ过热：股票&gt;大宗商品&gt;现金/债券Ⅳ滞胀：现金&gt;大宗商品/债券&gt;股票当下经济进入了典型的滞涨阶段，大宗商品暴涨，在本阶段，股票成为表现最差的资产，现金与大宗商品则成为表现更好的资产。本文以2007-2015年这一段时间来完整展现，大经济周期之下，各类资产的表现，来分析各类阶段大类资产配置的要点所在。2007 -2012年：回顾大类资产的历史走势，2007至2012年所经历的四年是由经济周期本身驱动的大类资产轮动历程。我们选取选取上证综指、中证转债指数、10年期国债到期收益率、3年期中票到期收益率（AA+）以及信用利","listText":"大类资产轮动是否存在规律？今年以来，多件风险事件叠加监管政策因素持续冲击多个市场，各类资产走势分化。尤其是近期在俄乌冲突升级以后，石油价格以60年最快的速度暴涨，带动大宗商品集体暴动，铜、铝、镍等等近期都走出了摧枯拉朽的走势，暴涨的大宗商品给全球经济带来巨大的压力，经济衰退风险骤然提升，一边是高企的通胀，一边是下行的经济，这种组合，怎么配置？从大类资产轮动的角度出发，站在当下时点，市场所面临的是怎样的环境？回顾历史，以美林时钟以及杠杆周期的核心逻辑为出发点，试图回答这个问题。他山之石，可以攻玉，回顾历史：是否存在轮动规律？从美林时钟出发，回顾近十年来，大类资产的表现，其核心逻辑在于，在经济周期的不同阶段均有表现好于大市的资产出现，因此基于经济周期演变对股票、可转债、利率债以及信用债、房地产、大宗商品这六大类资产的价格走势进行分析。使用工业增加值作为经济增长的代指标，将CPI作为衡量通胀的指标，根据不同组合将经济周期分为：复苏期（经济上行、通胀下行）、过热期（经济上行、通胀上行）、滞涨期（经济下行、通胀上行）、衰退期(经济下行、通胀下行)。Ⅰ衰退：债券&gt;现金&gt;股票&gt;大宗商品Ⅱ复苏：大宗商品&gt;股票&gt;债券&gt;现金Ⅲ过热：股票&gt;大宗商品&gt;现金/债券Ⅳ滞胀：现金&gt;大宗商品/债券&gt;股票当下经济进入了典型的滞涨阶段，大宗商品暴涨，在本阶段，股票成为表现最差的资产，现金与大宗商品则成为表现更好的资产。本文以2007-2015年这一段时间来完整展现，大经济周期之下，各类资产的表现，来分析各类阶段大类资产配置的要点所在。2007 -2012年：回顾大类资产的历史走势，2007至2012年所经历的四年是由经济周期本身驱动的大类资产轮动历程。我们选取选取上证综指、中证转债指数、10年期国债到期收益率、3年期中票到期收益率（AA+）以及信用利","text":"大类资产轮动是否存在规律？今年以来，多件风险事件叠加监管政策因素持续冲击多个市场，各类资产走势分化。尤其是近期在俄乌冲突升级以后，石油价格以60年最快的速度暴涨，带动大宗商品集体暴动，铜、铝、镍等等近期都走出了摧枯拉朽的走势，暴涨的大宗商品给全球经济带来巨大的压力，经济衰退风险骤然提升，一边是高企的通胀，一边是下行的经济，这种组合，怎么配置？从大类资产轮动的角度出发，站在当下时点，市场所面临的是怎样的环境？回顾历史，以美林时钟以及杠杆周期的核心逻辑为出发点，试图回答这个问题。他山之石，可以攻玉，回顾历史：是否存在轮动规律？从美林时钟出发，回顾近十年来，大类资产的表现，其核心逻辑在于，在经济周期的不同阶段均有表现好于大市的资产出现，因此基于经济周期演变对股票、可转债、利率债以及信用债、房地产、大宗商品这六大类资产的价格走势进行分析。使用工业增加值作为经济增长的代指标，将CPI作为衡量通胀的指标，根据不同组合将经济周期分为：复苏期（经济上行、通胀下行）、过热期（经济上行、通胀上行）、滞涨期（经济下行、通胀上行）、衰退期(经济下行、通胀下行)。Ⅰ衰退：债券>现金>股票>大宗商品Ⅱ复苏：大宗商品>股票>债券>现金Ⅲ过热：股票>大宗商品>现金/债券Ⅳ滞胀：现金>大宗商品/债券>股票当下经济进入了典型的滞涨阶段，大宗商品暴涨，在本阶段，股票成为表现最差的资产，现金与大宗商品则成为表现更好的资产。本文以2007-2015年这一段时间来完整展现，大经济周期之下，各类资产的表现，来分析各类阶段大类资产配置的要点所在。2007 -2012年：回顾大类资产的历史走势，2007至2012年所经历的四年是由经济周期本身驱动的大类资产轮动历程。我们选取选取上证综指、中证转债指数、10年期国债到期收益率、3年期中票到期收益率（AA+）以及信用利","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8a808fea3ab7e2767b2ee0699f10b35a","width":"632","height":"136"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6db8bba48fc12eb6685da576f42c7d77","width":"632","height":"160"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4eb1642bde731c50808df9e508e98680","width":"632","height":"385"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/632710058","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":1,"comments":[],"imageCount":6,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":634,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":635356264,"gmtCreate":1646865593407,"gmtModify":1646865593585,"author":{"id":"3572078772819787","authorId":"3572078772819787","name":"Winstonlou","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/872d534505dadd9f2bcdebec4b5df367","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3572078772819787","idStr":"3572078772819787"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment","listText":"Like and comment","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/635356264","repostId":"632942849","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":632942849,"gmtCreate":1646214905941,"gmtModify":1646264074427,"author":{"id":"3582524673862453","authorId":"3582524673862453","name":"库巴财经","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582524673862453","idStr":"3582524673862453"},"themes":[],"title":"股市里最大的穷人思维就是，我只要每天赚1个点，一年就能3倍了","htmlText":"股市里最大的穷人思维就是，如果我每天能赚1个点，一年就能3倍，日积月累下去就可以实现财富自由。如果你脑袋里有这个想法，我得给你泼盆冷水，因为每天赚一个点是一个不可能实现的情况。大多时候，我们的账户是今天赚1个点，明天亏5个点，后天赚3个点，然后继续亏10个点，账户资金稳定下滑。真正能在这个市场赚到钱的人，脑袋里是没有这种每天赚一个点的思维的。想在股市赚到钱的前提有两个，一个是要学会择机重仓，一个是要学会熬得住。择机重仓是什么？是在这个市场看到机会要敢于重仓，因为重仓是改变收益的唯一途径，交易中最大的一次获利决定了一个人能否在这个市场中赚到钱。在这个市场有一个定律，那就是80%的收益，都是在20%的时间里完成的，其余的时间要么在躺平，要么在煎熬。 熬得住是什么呢？当你发现机会并买入知乎，你必须要熬到属于你的那个风口出现的那一天。就像张坤长期重仓白酒，葛兰长期重仓医药一样，他们都等来了自己的高光时刻。所以在这个市场，一定要有赚大钱的豪情，也要有10年饮冰，难凉热血的气魄。<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600519\">$贵州茅台(600519)$</a>&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600276\">$恒瑞医药(600276)$</a>&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">$腾讯控股(00700)$</a>&nbsp;","listText":"股市里最大的穷人思维就是，如果我每天能赚1个点，一年就能3倍，日积月累下去就可以实现财富自由。如果你脑袋里有这个想法，我得给你泼盆冷水，因为每天赚一个点是一个不可能实现的情况。大多时候，我们的账户是今天赚1个点，明天亏5个点，后天赚3个点，然后继续亏10个点，账户资金稳定下滑。真正能在这个市场赚到钱的人，脑袋里是没有这种每天赚一个点的思维的。想在股市赚到钱的前提有两个，一个是要学会择机重仓，一个是要学会熬得住。择机重仓是什么？是在这个市场看到机会要敢于重仓，因为重仓是改变收益的唯一途径，交易中最大的一次获利决定了一个人能否在这个市场中赚到钱。在这个市场有一个定律，那就是80%的收益，都是在20%的时间里完成的，其余的时间要么在躺平，要么在煎熬。 熬得住是什么呢？当你发现机会并买入知乎，你必须要熬到属于你的那个风口出现的那一天。就像张坤长期重仓白酒，葛兰长期重仓医药一样，他们都等来了自己的高光时刻。所以在这个市场，一定要有赚大钱的豪情，也要有10年饮冰，难凉热血的气魄。<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600519\">$贵州茅台(600519)$</a>&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600276\">$恒瑞医药(600276)$</a>&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">$腾讯控股(00700)$</a>&nbsp;","text":"股市里最大的穷人思维就是，如果我每天能赚1个点，一年就能3倍，日积月累下去就可以实现财富自由。如果你脑袋里有这个想法，我得给你泼盆冷水，因为每天赚一个点是一个不可能实现的情况。大多时候，我们的账户是今天赚1个点，明天亏5个点，后天赚3个点，然后继续亏10个点，账户资金稳定下滑。真正能在这个市场赚到钱的人，脑袋里是没有这种每天赚一个点的思维的。想在股市赚到钱的前提有两个，一个是要学会择机重仓，一个是要学会熬得住。择机重仓是什么？是在这个市场看到机会要敢于重仓，因为重仓是改变收益的唯一途径，交易中最大的一次获利决定了一个人能否在这个市场中赚到钱。在这个市场有一个定律，那就是80%的收益，都是在20%的时间里完成的，其余的时间要么在躺平，要么在煎熬。 熬得住是什么呢？当你发现机会并买入知乎，你必须要熬到属于你的那个风口出现的那一天。就像张坤长期重仓白酒，葛兰长期重仓医药一样，他们都等来了自己的高光时刻。所以在这个市场，一定要有赚大钱的豪情，也要有10年饮冰，难凉热血的气魄。$贵州茅台(600519)$ $恒瑞医药(600276)$ $腾讯控股(00700)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/632942849","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":321,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":635356660,"gmtCreate":1646865540943,"gmtModify":1646865541088,"author":{"id":"3572078772819787","authorId":"3572078772819787","name":"Winstonlou","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/872d534505dadd9f2bcdebec4b5df367","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3572078772819787","idStr":"3572078772819787"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment","listText":"Like and comment","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/635356660","repostId":"632090921","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":632090921,"gmtCreate":1646128089266,"gmtModify":1646200337815,"author":{"id":"212008496769156","authorId":"212008496769156","name":"捷克Jack","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7cc48e563d37c21562541a2874ce20e4","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"212008496769156","idStr":"212008496769156"},"themes":[],"title":"现在的BABA可能是最适合期权获利的标的","htmlText":"上一次参与<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3542528121404732\">@麦麦max</a> &nbsp;的直播中，我们聊到了<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$阿里巴巴(BABA)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">$阿里巴巴-SW(09988)$</a> 关于阿里巴巴，大家最近关注的几个点无非就是： 最新季度的财报收入增速创下IPO以来新低； 阿里云因为某些原因被人为限制了； 淘系电商面临短视频竞争激烈； “反垄断”政策的影响后续； 芒格的基金开始大量抄底。 其实，这些所有散户都能很容易触达的信息，往往都是明牌，是很容易“已经”体现在股价中的（Already&nbsp;Priced-in）。而对于投资者来说，无论你下注“多头”（Long）还是“空头”（Short），参与的都是对未来的预期。 刚刚发完财报的公司，往往会有一段时间来消化完财报信息，而这时候的股价波动就并不会特别显著。除非对于财报的一致性预期特别大，比如说强烈的看好或者强烈地看衰，要不然股价都会呈现出“均值回归”的特点。 BABA的股票，已经回到了2017年的水平。 而且目前空头占比只有1.71%，与其说是回补得差不多，不如说是都不愿有人去空它了。 说实话，面对这样基本面的一家公司，抄底的确是个好选择。但是对于我们期权玩家来说，可以用一些期权策略获得更大概率的收益。 我个人认为，一份简单的垂直差价（vertical&nbsp;Spread）就够，当然，是一份看涨的Spread。 卖出，3月18日90美元的PUT，获得权利金1.31美元，","listText":"上一次参与<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3542528121404732\">@麦麦max</a> &nbsp;的直播中，我们聊到了<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$阿里巴巴(BABA)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">$阿里巴巴-SW(09988)$</a> 关于阿里巴巴，大家最近关注的几个点无非就是： 最新季度的财报收入增速创下IPO以来新低； 阿里云因为某些原因被人为限制了； 淘系电商面临短视频竞争激烈； “反垄断”政策的影响后续； 芒格的基金开始大量抄底。 其实，这些所有散户都能很容易触达的信息，往往都是明牌，是很容易“已经”体现在股价中的（Already&nbsp;Priced-in）。而对于投资者来说，无论你下注“多头”（Long）还是“空头”（Short），参与的都是对未来的预期。 刚刚发完财报的公司，往往会有一段时间来消化完财报信息，而这时候的股价波动就并不会特别显著。除非对于财报的一致性预期特别大，比如说强烈的看好或者强烈地看衰，要不然股价都会呈现出“均值回归”的特点。 BABA的股票，已经回到了2017年的水平。 而且目前空头占比只有1.71%，与其说是回补得差不多，不如说是都不愿有人去空它了。 说实话，面对这样基本面的一家公司，抄底的确是个好选择。但是对于我们期权玩家来说，可以用一些期权策略获得更大概率的收益。 我个人认为，一份简单的垂直差价（vertical&nbsp;Spread）就够，当然，是一份看涨的Spread。 卖出，3月18日90美元的PUT，获得权利金1.31美元，","text":"上一次参与@麦麦max 的直播中，我们聊到了$阿里巴巴(BABA)$ $阿里巴巴-SW(09988)$ 关于阿里巴巴，大家最近关注的几个点无非就是： 最新季度的财报收入增速创下IPO以来新低； 阿里云因为某些原因被人为限制了； 淘系电商面临短视频竞争激烈； “反垄断”政策的影响后续； 芒格的基金开始大量抄底。 其实，这些所有散户都能很容易触达的信息，往往都是明牌，是很容易“已经”体现在股价中的（Already Priced-in）。而对于投资者来说，无论你下注“多头”（Long）还是“空头”（Short），参与的都是对未来的预期。 刚刚发完财报的公司，往往会有一段时间来消化完财报信息，而这时候的股价波动就并不会特别显著。除非对于财报的一致性预期特别大，比如说强烈的看好或者强烈地看衰，要不然股价都会呈现出“均值回归”的特点。 BABA的股票，已经回到了2017年的水平。 而且目前空头占比只有1.71%，与其说是回补得差不多，不如说是都不愿有人去空它了。 说实话，面对这样基本面的一家公司，抄底的确是个好选择。但是对于我们期权玩家来说，可以用一些期权策略获得更大概率的收益。 我个人认为，一份简单的垂直差价（vertical Spread）就够，当然，是一份看涨的Spread。 卖出，3月18日90美元的PUT，获得权利金1.31美元，","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd288c41e6cc6a8c3bfdd37ece38327d","width":"1757","height":"733"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ced7ea70d28163182b389c8c498be32","width":"590","height":"342"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20742f1d38218a6937b40ce9ce6a572e","width":"1756","height":"730"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/632090921","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":422,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":635356324,"gmtCreate":1646865318373,"gmtModify":1646865318533,"author":{"id":"3572078772819787","authorId":"3572078772819787","name":"Winstonlou","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/872d534505dadd9f2bcdebec4b5df367","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3572078772819787","idStr":"3572078772819787"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment","listText":"Like and comment","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/635356324","repostId":"1185283439","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1185283439","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1646812051,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1185283439?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-03-09 15:47","market":"other","language":"en","title":"Rio Tinto (ASX:RIO) Shares Close in Red Today, Here’s Why","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1185283439","media":"kalkinemedia","summary":"The share price of Rio Tinto (ASX:RIO) declined consecutively on third day of this week to close 0.5","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The share price of Rio Tinto (ASX:RIO) declined consecutively on third day of this week to close 0.523% lower at AU$119.880 per share on ASX today (March 9, 2022).</p><p>Rio shares closed yesterday&#39;s trading 4.34% lower at AU$120.51 per share on ASX. The company&#39;s shares started this week&#39;s trading on a weak note after the global iron ore giant was ordered to pay a penalty of AU$750,000 for continuous violation of disclosure obligations.</p><p>On Monday, the stock closed a tad lower at AU$125.980 per share on ASX.</p><p>On Monday, Rio Tinto announced that it had reached a settlement with has reached a settlement with the Australian Securities and Investment Commission (ASIC) concerning the disclosure of the impairment of Rio Tinto Coal Mozambique (RTCM).</p><p>Noticeably, RTCM was acquired in 2011 and divested in 2014. The mining giant has said that it will continue to defend itself against the SEC&#39;s allegations vigorously.</p><p>Another essential reason why Rio&#39;s shares are showing a bearish trend can be probably because the company is anticipated to trade ex-dividend on Thursday (March 10, 2022).  Usually, it is seen that when a company reaches its ex-dividend day, its shares are likely to fall as the investors mostly tend to sell off the company&#39;s shares after securing the dividend.</p><p>The mining firm’s US$16.8 billion full-year dividend represents a payout of 79% of underlying earnings. This is higher than the management’s policy of returning between 40% to 60% of underlying earnings to the company’s shareholders.</p><p><b><i>Rio Tinto’s FY21 results:</i></b></p><p>Rio Tinto commands a market capitalisation of roughly AU$44.73 billion. The company declared its half-yearly report for the financial year 2022 (H1 FY22) on 23 February 2022. During this period Rio reported US$21.1 billion of net earnings, up by 116% compared to 2020. Other details from the company’s financials include:</p><ul><li>Rio Tinto&#39;s underlying earnings grew 72% to US$21.4 billion.</li><li>Earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) at US$37.7 billion, an increase of 58% rise compared to the prior corresponding period.</li><li>Rio’s net cash generated from operating activities grew 60% at U$25.3 billion compared to 2020 levels.</li></ul><p>Rio Tinto Limited will organise its annual general meeting on 5 May 2022 at 9:30am (AEST).</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1642396333099","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Rio Tinto (ASX:RIO) Shares Close in Red Today, Here’s Why</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nRio Tinto (ASX:RIO) Shares Close in Red Today, Here’s Why\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-03-09 15:47 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://kalkinemedia.com/au/stocks/metal-and-mining/rio-tinto-asxrio-shares-close-in-red-today-heres-why><strong>kalkinemedia</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The share price of Rio Tinto (ASX:RIO) declined consecutively on third day of this week to close 0.523% lower at AU$119.880 per share on ASX today (March 9, 2022).Rio shares closed yesterday's trading...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://kalkinemedia.com/au/stocks/metal-and-mining/rio-tinto-asxrio-shares-close-in-red-today-heres-why\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"RIO.AU":"力拓"},"source_url":"https://kalkinemedia.com/au/stocks/metal-and-mining/rio-tinto-asxrio-shares-close-in-red-today-heres-why","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1185283439","content_text":"The share price of Rio Tinto (ASX:RIO) declined consecutively on third day of this week to close 0.523% lower at AU$119.880 per share on ASX today (March 9, 2022).Rio shares closed yesterday's trading 4.34% lower at AU$120.51 per share on ASX. The company's shares started this week's trading on a weak note after the global iron ore giant was ordered to pay a penalty of AU$750,000 for continuous violation of disclosure obligations.On Monday, the stock closed a tad lower at AU$125.980 per share on ASX.On Monday, Rio Tinto announced that it had reached a settlement with has reached a settlement with the Australian Securities and Investment Commission (ASIC) concerning the disclosure of the impairment of Rio Tinto Coal Mozambique (RTCM).Noticeably, RTCM was acquired in 2011 and divested in 2014. The mining giant has said that it will continue to defend itself against the SEC's allegations vigorously.Another essential reason why Rio's shares are showing a bearish trend can be probably because the company is anticipated to trade ex-dividend on Thursday (March 10, 2022).  Usually, it is seen that when a company reaches its ex-dividend day, its shares are likely to fall as the investors mostly tend to sell off the company's shares after securing the dividend.The mining firm’s US$16.8 billion full-year dividend represents a payout of 79% of underlying earnings. This is higher than the management’s policy of returning between 40% to 60% of underlying earnings to the company’s shareholders.Rio Tinto’s FY21 results:Rio Tinto commands a market capitalisation of roughly AU$44.73 billion. The company declared its half-yearly report for the financial year 2022 (H1 FY22) on 23 February 2022. During this period Rio reported US$21.1 billion of net earnings, up by 116% compared to 2020. Other details from the company’s financials include:Rio Tinto's underlying earnings grew 72% to US$21.4 billion.Earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) at US$37.7 billion, an increase of 58% rise compared to the prior corresponding period.Rio’s net cash generated from operating activities grew 60% at U$25.3 billion compared to 2020 levels.Rio Tinto Limited will organise its annual general meeting on 5 May 2022 at 9:30am (AEST).","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":455,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":697667913,"gmtCreate":1642464281331,"gmtModify":1642464281701,"author":{"id":"3572078772819787","authorId":"3572078772819787","name":"Winstonlou","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/872d534505dadd9f2bcdebec4b5df367","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3572078772819787","idStr":"3572078772819787"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment","listText":"Like and comment","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":9,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/697667913","repostId":"1119480541","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":674,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":873885121,"gmtCreate":1636928661100,"gmtModify":1636928661100,"author":{"id":"3572078772819787","authorId":"3572078772819787","name":"Winstonlou","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/872d534505dadd9f2bcdebec4b5df367","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3572078772819787","idStr":"3572078772819787"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment","listText":"Like and comment","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/873885121","repostId":"1103944030","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":909,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":870344496,"gmtCreate":1636590390027,"gmtModify":1636590390079,"author":{"id":"3572078772819787","authorId":"3572078772819787","name":"Winstonlou","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/872d534505dadd9f2bcdebec4b5df367","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3572078772819787","idStr":"3572078772819787"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment","listText":"Like and comment","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/870344496","repostId":"1181359044","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1181359044","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1636549935,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1181359044?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-10 21:12","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Gett Nears $1.1B SPAC Merger To Go Public","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1181359044","media":"Benzinga","summary":"Corporate-transportation platform Gett is nearing a special-purpose acquisition company (SPAC) merge","content":"<p>Corporate-transportation platform Gett is nearing a special-purpose acquisition company (SPAC) merger worth $1.1 billion with Rosecliff Acquisition Corp I, the Wall Street Journal reports.</p>\n<p>Gett now aims to streamline the company’s ride-hailing, taxi, and limousine booking options worldwide into one platform to save customers time and money. It initially started as a Uber Technologies&nbsp;competitor.</p>\n<p>Gett now joins companies like Lyft Inc&nbsp;and Indian ride-hailing operator Ola to offer many different services.</p>\n<p>Gett is marketing itself as a solution for global companies to transport workers rapidly, particularly with many remote workers at least part-time during the pandemic.</p>\n<p>Gett works with companies like Apple Inc&nbsp;and Coca-Cola Co, the report adds.</p>\n<p>Gett closed its New York ride-sharing business Juno in 2019. Gett still operates ride-hailing services in markets like Israel and London, but 40% of its trips for corporate clients now come from third parties.</p>\n<p>Price Action: RCLF shares traded higher by 1.63% at $9.95 in the premarket session on the last check Wednesday.</p>","source":"lsy1606299360108","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Gett Nears $1.1B SPAC Merger To Go Public</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGett Nears $1.1B SPAC Merger To Go Public\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-11-10 21:12 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/11/24005887/gett-nears-1-1b-spac-merger-to-go-public><strong>Benzinga</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Corporate-transportation platform Gett is nearing a special-purpose acquisition company (SPAC) merger worth $1.1 billion with Rosecliff Acquisition Corp I, the Wall Street Journal reports.\nGett now ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/11/24005887/gett-nears-1-1b-spac-merger-to-go-public\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/11/24005887/gett-nears-1-1b-spac-merger-to-go-public","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1181359044","content_text":"Corporate-transportation platform Gett is nearing a special-purpose acquisition company (SPAC) merger worth $1.1 billion with Rosecliff Acquisition Corp I, the Wall Street Journal reports.\nGett now aims to streamline the company’s ride-hailing, taxi, and limousine booking options worldwide into one platform to save customers time and money. It initially started as a Uber Technologies competitor.\nGett now joins companies like Lyft Inc and Indian ride-hailing operator Ola to offer many different services.\nGett is marketing itself as a solution for global companies to transport workers rapidly, particularly with many remote workers at least part-time during the pandemic.\nGett works with companies like Apple Inc and Coca-Cola Co, the report adds.\nGett closed its New York ride-sharing business Juno in 2019. Gett still operates ride-hailing services in markets like Israel and London, but 40% of its trips for corporate clients now come from third parties.\nPrice Action: RCLF shares traded higher by 1.63% at $9.95 in the premarket session on the last check Wednesday.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":759,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":859863357,"gmtCreate":1634687631736,"gmtModify":1634687631910,"author":{"id":"3572078772819787","authorId":"3572078772819787","name":"Winstonlou","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/872d534505dadd9f2bcdebec4b5df367","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3572078772819787","idStr":"3572078772819787"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment","listText":"Like and comment","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/859863357","repostId":"1168031107","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":400,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":824514696,"gmtCreate":1634338808231,"gmtModify":1634338808424,"author":{"id":"3572078772819787","authorId":"3572078772819787","name":"Winstonlou","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/872d534505dadd9f2bcdebec4b5df367","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3572078772819787","idStr":"3572078772819787"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment","listText":"Like and comment","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/824514696","repostId":"2175485551","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1129,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":822007081,"gmtCreate":1634075784071,"gmtModify":1634075784244,"author":{"id":"3572078772819787","authorId":"3572078772819787","name":"Winstonlou","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/872d534505dadd9f2bcdebec4b5df367","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572078772819787","authorIdStr":"3572078772819787"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment","listText":"Like and comment","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":13,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/822007081","repostId":"2174962131","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":421,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":881430696,"gmtCreate":1631374421215,"gmtModify":1631889272585,"author":{"id":"3572078772819787","authorId":"3572078772819787","name":"Winstonlou","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/872d534505dadd9f2bcdebec4b5df367","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572078772819787","authorIdStr":"3572078772819787"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment","listText":"Like and comment","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":12,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/881430696","repostId":"2166375184","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":153,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":882940074,"gmtCreate":1631657419498,"gmtModify":1631889272576,"author":{"id":"3572078772819787","authorId":"3572078772819787","name":"Winstonlou","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/872d534505dadd9f2bcdebec4b5df367","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572078772819787","authorIdStr":"3572078772819787"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment","listText":"Like and comment","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":7,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/882940074","repostId":"1147706594","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1147706594","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1631639765,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1147706594?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-15 01:16","market":"other","language":"en","title":"Apple unveils iPhone 13, new iPads and Apple Watch","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1147706594","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Apple CEO Tim Cook moved onto product announcements, starting with a new iPad. The video was recorded in an empty auditorium.Apple’s lowest-cost iPad, simply called iPad, is getting an update with a faster A13 processor and a better, 12 megapixel front-facing camera for better video calls, like on Zoom. It’s got a wider lens to capture more people in a single scene and can have an LTE wireless connection.Apple also announced a new iPad Mini, which has a smaller 8.3-inch screen. It has a redesign","content":"<p>Apple CEO Tim Cook moved onto product announcements, starting with a new iPad. The video was recorded in an empty auditorium.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26d6a31fbb7ecf29e9d253486d082a5b\" tg-width=\"630\" tg-height=\"354\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Apple’s lowest-cost iPad, simply called iPad, is getting an update with a faster A13 processor and a better, 12 megapixel front-facing camera for better video calls, like on Zoom. It’s got a wider lens to capture more people in a single scene and can have an LTE wireless connection.</p>\n<p>It costs $329 with 64GB of storage. That’s more storage but the same starting price as before. It goes on sale next week.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b24dbf81571b194598307fecee1b859\" tg-width=\"2102\" tg-height=\"1160\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Apple also announced a new iPad Mini, which has a smaller 8.3-inch screen. It has a redesign featuring new, flatter design language, like the iPhone 12. It has smaller bezels with no fingerprint sensor on the front and comes in several colors, including purple.</p>\n<p>The TouchID sensor has been built into the top button, which turns the screen on and off. It uses an USB-C connector, instead of Apple’s proprietary Lightning connector. It can support a 5G wireless connection. It works with Apple’s stylus, the second-generation Pencil.</p>\n<p>It starts at $499 and hits stores next week, Apple said.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/08d5a621b63de3c432534e2c8818d294\" tg-width=\"2096\" tg-height=\"1200\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>Apple announces new Apple Watch Series 7</b></p>\n<p>Apple’s next product reveal will be the Apple Watch models, Cook said. The specs are being announced by Apple COO Jeff Williams.</p>\n<p>The new models are called Apple Watch Series 7 will have a redesign, according to a promotional video shown by Apple. The new models have 20% screen area over last year’s Series 6 models but retains an industrial design with rounded edges. Apple says the screen is more crack-resistant and it charges faster.</p>\n<p>Apple has redesigned its software to fit more information on the screen, the company said. It comes several new watch faces.</p>\n<p>The entry-level model comes in five colors, including blue, and red. It also comes in aluminum, steel, and titanium cases, all of which have different prices.</p>\n<p>Previous Apple Watch bands will still work with the new models, Apple said.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0a7f17f4717a866018f2cea4a1930f81\" tg-width=\"630\" tg-height=\"354\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>Apple announces iPhone 13 with smaller notch and bigger battery</b></p>\n<p>With over 2 million viewers watching on YouTube, Apple CEO Tim Cook announced new iPhone models called iPhone 13.</p>\n<p>The iPhone 13 has a smaller display cutout, or \"notch,\" at the top of the screen.</p>\n<p>Otherwise, the new iPhone 13 mostly has the same design as last year with new camera modules arranged diagonally. One camera is a 12-megapixel wide-angle lens, with a big sensor that captures 50% more light, Apple said. The other lens is an ultra-wide lens.</p>\n<p>One camera improvement is a new \"cinematic mode\" that can hold focus on a moving subject.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/28421818b5ca117bc9c589e78ef8bda1\" tg-width=\"630\" tg-height=\"354\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>It also has a bigger battery and brighter screen, Apple said. It comes in two sizes, 5.4-inch, and 6.1-inches, and five colors.</p>\n<p>It has a new Apple-designed chip powering it, which the company is calling A15 Bionic. It has six cores and a specialized portion for running artificial intelligence algorithms.</p>\n<p>Like last year’s model, this year’s iPhones will have 5G connectivity. Apple says it works on carriers in 60 countries.</p>\n<p>The iPhone 13 mini costs $699 and the iPhone 13 costs $799, Apple said, the same prices as last year. Devices now start with 128GB of storage space, an increase over last year.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7f1aaddad155334f27af83cd513064cb\" tg-width=\"630\" tg-height=\"354\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>Apple announces high-end iPhone 13 Pro models with bigger batteries</b></p>\n<p>Apple announced the iPhone 13 Pro and iPhone 13 Pro Max with longer battery life.</p>\n<p>The iPhone 12 Pro should have a 1.5 hour longer battery life and its bigger sibling will have a 2.5 hour longer battery life, Apple said. The iPhone 13 Pro starts at $999 and the Pro Max starts at $1099, the same prices as last year. Apple also has added a larger 1TB storage option.</p>\n<p>The new iPhones will go on sale on September 24, Apple said.</p>\n<p>They have the same screen sizes as last year's models, with a 6.1-inch version and a bigger 6.7-inch version. This year's models also come in a \"Sierra Blue\" version.</p>\n<p>The biggest distinguishing characteristic between iPhone's base models and its Pro models is that they have three rear-facing cameras, including a zoom lens, a wide lens, and an ultra-wide camera, which can focus on objects as close as 2 centimeters away.</p>\n<p>The iPhone 13 Pro has a display that Apple calls \"Super Retina XDR with ProMotion\" that has twice the refresh rate as previous iPhones. This means that scrolling on an iPhone should look smoother with less lag.</p>\n<p>The Pro models have the same chip as the main iPhones, the A15 Bionic, Apple said.</p>\n<p>This year's models are still constructed out of stainless steel, Apple marketing chief Greg Jozwiak said.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b411f06b12d3389f607254c992313eb5\" tg-width=\"2078\" tg-height=\"1010\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple unveils iPhone 13, new iPads and Apple Watch</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple unveils iPhone 13, new iPads and Apple Watch\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-09-15 01:16</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Apple CEO Tim Cook moved onto product announcements, starting with a new iPad. The video was recorded in an empty auditorium.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26d6a31fbb7ecf29e9d253486d082a5b\" tg-width=\"630\" tg-height=\"354\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Apple’s lowest-cost iPad, simply called iPad, is getting an update with a faster A13 processor and a better, 12 megapixel front-facing camera for better video calls, like on Zoom. It’s got a wider lens to capture more people in a single scene and can have an LTE wireless connection.</p>\n<p>It costs $329 with 64GB of storage. That’s more storage but the same starting price as before. It goes on sale next week.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b24dbf81571b194598307fecee1b859\" tg-width=\"2102\" tg-height=\"1160\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Apple also announced a new iPad Mini, which has a smaller 8.3-inch screen. It has a redesign featuring new, flatter design language, like the iPhone 12. It has smaller bezels with no fingerprint sensor on the front and comes in several colors, including purple.</p>\n<p>The TouchID sensor has been built into the top button, which turns the screen on and off. It uses an USB-C connector, instead of Apple’s proprietary Lightning connector. It can support a 5G wireless connection. It works with Apple’s stylus, the second-generation Pencil.</p>\n<p>It starts at $499 and hits stores next week, Apple said.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/08d5a621b63de3c432534e2c8818d294\" tg-width=\"2096\" tg-height=\"1200\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>Apple announces new Apple Watch Series 7</b></p>\n<p>Apple’s next product reveal will be the Apple Watch models, Cook said. The specs are being announced by Apple COO Jeff Williams.</p>\n<p>The new models are called Apple Watch Series 7 will have a redesign, according to a promotional video shown by Apple. The new models have 20% screen area over last year’s Series 6 models but retains an industrial design with rounded edges. Apple says the screen is more crack-resistant and it charges faster.</p>\n<p>Apple has redesigned its software to fit more information on the screen, the company said. It comes several new watch faces.</p>\n<p>The entry-level model comes in five colors, including blue, and red. It also comes in aluminum, steel, and titanium cases, all of which have different prices.</p>\n<p>Previous Apple Watch bands will still work with the new models, Apple said.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0a7f17f4717a866018f2cea4a1930f81\" tg-width=\"630\" tg-height=\"354\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>Apple announces iPhone 13 with smaller notch and bigger battery</b></p>\n<p>With over 2 million viewers watching on YouTube, Apple CEO Tim Cook announced new iPhone models called iPhone 13.</p>\n<p>The iPhone 13 has a smaller display cutout, or \"notch,\" at the top of the screen.</p>\n<p>Otherwise, the new iPhone 13 mostly has the same design as last year with new camera modules arranged diagonally. One camera is a 12-megapixel wide-angle lens, with a big sensor that captures 50% more light, Apple said. The other lens is an ultra-wide lens.</p>\n<p>One camera improvement is a new \"cinematic mode\" that can hold focus on a moving subject.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/28421818b5ca117bc9c589e78ef8bda1\" tg-width=\"630\" tg-height=\"354\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>It also has a bigger battery and brighter screen, Apple said. It comes in two sizes, 5.4-inch, and 6.1-inches, and five colors.</p>\n<p>It has a new Apple-designed chip powering it, which the company is calling A15 Bionic. It has six cores and a specialized portion for running artificial intelligence algorithms.</p>\n<p>Like last year’s model, this year’s iPhones will have 5G connectivity. Apple says it works on carriers in 60 countries.</p>\n<p>The iPhone 13 mini costs $699 and the iPhone 13 costs $799, Apple said, the same prices as last year. Devices now start with 128GB of storage space, an increase over last year.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7f1aaddad155334f27af83cd513064cb\" tg-width=\"630\" tg-height=\"354\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>Apple announces high-end iPhone 13 Pro models with bigger batteries</b></p>\n<p>Apple announced the iPhone 13 Pro and iPhone 13 Pro Max with longer battery life.</p>\n<p>The iPhone 12 Pro should have a 1.5 hour longer battery life and its bigger sibling will have a 2.5 hour longer battery life, Apple said. The iPhone 13 Pro starts at $999 and the Pro Max starts at $1099, the same prices as last year. Apple also has added a larger 1TB storage option.</p>\n<p>The new iPhones will go on sale on September 24, Apple said.</p>\n<p>They have the same screen sizes as last year's models, with a 6.1-inch version and a bigger 6.7-inch version. This year's models also come in a \"Sierra Blue\" version.</p>\n<p>The biggest distinguishing characteristic between iPhone's base models and its Pro models is that they have three rear-facing cameras, including a zoom lens, a wide lens, and an ultra-wide camera, which can focus on objects as close as 2 centimeters away.</p>\n<p>The iPhone 13 Pro has a display that Apple calls \"Super Retina XDR with ProMotion\" that has twice the refresh rate as previous iPhones. This means that scrolling on an iPhone should look smoother with less lag.</p>\n<p>The Pro models have the same chip as the main iPhones, the A15 Bionic, Apple said.</p>\n<p>This year's models are still constructed out of stainless steel, Apple marketing chief Greg Jozwiak said.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b411f06b12d3389f607254c992313eb5\" tg-width=\"2078\" tg-height=\"1010\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/13f224bb016b853641f590b6753763d1","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1147706594","content_text":"Apple CEO Tim Cook moved onto product announcements, starting with a new iPad. The video was recorded in an empty auditorium.\n\nApple’s lowest-cost iPad, simply called iPad, is getting an update with a faster A13 processor and a better, 12 megapixel front-facing camera for better video calls, like on Zoom. It’s got a wider lens to capture more people in a single scene and can have an LTE wireless connection.\nIt costs $329 with 64GB of storage. That’s more storage but the same starting price as before. It goes on sale next week.\n\nApple also announced a new iPad Mini, which has a smaller 8.3-inch screen. It has a redesign featuring new, flatter design language, like the iPhone 12. It has smaller bezels with no fingerprint sensor on the front and comes in several colors, including purple.\nThe TouchID sensor has been built into the top button, which turns the screen on and off. It uses an USB-C connector, instead of Apple’s proprietary Lightning connector. It can support a 5G wireless connection. It works with Apple’s stylus, the second-generation Pencil.\nIt starts at $499 and hits stores next week, Apple said.\n\nApple announces new Apple Watch Series 7\nApple’s next product reveal will be the Apple Watch models, Cook said. The specs are being announced by Apple COO Jeff Williams.\nThe new models are called Apple Watch Series 7 will have a redesign, according to a promotional video shown by Apple. The new models have 20% screen area over last year’s Series 6 models but retains an industrial design with rounded edges. Apple says the screen is more crack-resistant and it charges faster.\nApple has redesigned its software to fit more information on the screen, the company said. It comes several new watch faces.\nThe entry-level model comes in five colors, including blue, and red. It also comes in aluminum, steel, and titanium cases, all of which have different prices.\nPrevious Apple Watch bands will still work with the new models, Apple said.\n\nApple announces iPhone 13 with smaller notch and bigger battery\nWith over 2 million viewers watching on YouTube, Apple CEO Tim Cook announced new iPhone models called iPhone 13.\nThe iPhone 13 has a smaller display cutout, or \"notch,\" at the top of the screen.\nOtherwise, the new iPhone 13 mostly has the same design as last year with new camera modules arranged diagonally. One camera is a 12-megapixel wide-angle lens, with a big sensor that captures 50% more light, Apple said. The other lens is an ultra-wide lens.\nOne camera improvement is a new \"cinematic mode\" that can hold focus on a moving subject.\n\nIt also has a bigger battery and brighter screen, Apple said. It comes in two sizes, 5.4-inch, and 6.1-inches, and five colors.\nIt has a new Apple-designed chip powering it, which the company is calling A15 Bionic. It has six cores and a specialized portion for running artificial intelligence algorithms.\nLike last year’s model, this year’s iPhones will have 5G connectivity. Apple says it works on carriers in 60 countries.\nThe iPhone 13 mini costs $699 and the iPhone 13 costs $799, Apple said, the same prices as last year. Devices now start with 128GB of storage space, an increase over last year.\n\nApple announces high-end iPhone 13 Pro models with bigger batteries\nApple announced the iPhone 13 Pro and iPhone 13 Pro Max with longer battery life.\nThe iPhone 12 Pro should have a 1.5 hour longer battery life and its bigger sibling will have a 2.5 hour longer battery life, Apple said. The iPhone 13 Pro starts at $999 and the Pro Max starts at $1099, the same prices as last year. Apple also has added a larger 1TB storage option.\nThe new iPhones will go on sale on September 24, Apple said.\nThey have the same screen sizes as last year's models, with a 6.1-inch version and a bigger 6.7-inch version. This year's models also come in a \"Sierra Blue\" version.\nThe biggest distinguishing characteristic between iPhone's base models and its Pro models is that they have three rear-facing cameras, including a zoom lens, a wide lens, and an ultra-wide camera, which can focus on objects as close as 2 centimeters away.\nThe iPhone 13 Pro has a display that Apple calls \"Super Retina XDR with ProMotion\" that has twice the refresh rate as previous iPhones. This means that scrolling on an iPhone should look smoother with less lag.\nThe Pro models have the same chip as the main iPhones, the A15 Bionic, Apple said.\nThis year's models are still constructed out of stainless steel, Apple marketing chief Greg Jozwiak said.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":196,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":697667913,"gmtCreate":1642464281331,"gmtModify":1642464281701,"author":{"id":"3572078772819787","authorId":"3572078772819787","name":"Winstonlou","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/872d534505dadd9f2bcdebec4b5df367","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572078772819787","authorIdStr":"3572078772819787"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment","listText":"Like and comment","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":9,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/697667913","repostId":"1119480541","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":674,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":176569376,"gmtCreate":1626908200095,"gmtModify":1631893330260,"author":{"id":"3572078772819787","authorId":"3572078772819787","name":"Winstonlou","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/872d534505dadd9f2bcdebec4b5df367","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572078772819787","authorIdStr":"3572078772819787"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment","listText":"Like and comment","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":7,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/176569376","repostId":"1162279901","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1162279901","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1626881599,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1162279901?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-21 23:33","market":"us","language":"en","title":"SPY Preview: Financial Sector Key To Next Market Move","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1162279901","media":"Benzinga","summary":"After large moves lower on Friday and Monday, theSPDR S&P 500 ETF TrustSPY 0.58%traded up almost 1.5","content":"<p>After&nbsp;large moves lower on Friday and Monday, the<b>SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust</b>SPY 0.58%traded up almost 1.5% Tuesday. But the market may still be in trouble.</p>\n<p>An important reason for the move higher was the strength in the financial sector. But the bank stocks are still below an important level. This resistance could put a pause to the move higher in the broader market.</p>\n<p>The $50 level was important support for the<b>SPDR S&amp;P Bank ETF</b>KBE 2.02%. Now, after the selloff, the shares are trading below $50.</p>\n<p>This means investors who bought at $50 and haven’t sold are losing money. Many of them decide they want out, but they don’t want to take a loss.</p>\n<p>As a result, they will be placing their sell orders right around the $50 level. If there are enough of these sellers, it will form resistance. This could put a ceiling on KBE.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df6b06322760de97861bea76ce5444f7\" tg-width=\"1615\" tg-height=\"825\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>SPY Preview: Financial Sector Key To Next Market Move</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSPY Preview: Financial Sector Key To Next Market Move\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-07-21 23:33</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>After&nbsp;large moves lower on Friday and Monday, the<b>SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust</b>SPY 0.58%traded up almost 1.5% Tuesday. But the market may still be in trouble.</p>\n<p>An important reason for the move higher was the strength in the financial sector. But the bank stocks are still below an important level. This resistance could put a pause to the move higher in the broader market.</p>\n<p>The $50 level was important support for the<b>SPDR S&amp;P Bank ETF</b>KBE 2.02%. Now, after the selloff, the shares are trading below $50.</p>\n<p>This means investors who bought at $50 and haven’t sold are losing money. Many of them decide they want out, but they don’t want to take a loss.</p>\n<p>As a result, they will be placing their sell orders right around the $50 level. If there are enough of these sellers, it will form resistance. This could put a ceiling on KBE.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df6b06322760de97861bea76ce5444f7\" tg-width=\"1615\" tg-height=\"825\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1162279901","content_text":"After large moves lower on Friday and Monday, theSPDR S&P 500 ETF TrustSPY 0.58%traded up almost 1.5% Tuesday. But the market may still be in trouble.\nAn important reason for the move higher was the strength in the financial sector. But the bank stocks are still below an important level. This resistance could put a pause to the move higher in the broader market.\nThe $50 level was important support for theSPDR S&P Bank ETFKBE 2.02%. Now, after the selloff, the shares are trading below $50.\nThis means investors who bought at $50 and haven’t sold are losing money. Many of them decide they want out, but they don’t want to take a loss.\nAs a result, they will be placing their sell orders right around the $50 level. If there are enough of these sellers, it will form resistance. This could put a ceiling on KBE.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":346,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":859863357,"gmtCreate":1634687631736,"gmtModify":1634687631910,"author":{"id":"3572078772819787","authorId":"3572078772819787","name":"Winstonlou","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/872d534505dadd9f2bcdebec4b5df367","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572078772819787","authorIdStr":"3572078772819787"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment","listText":"Like and comment","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/859863357","repostId":"1168031107","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":400,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":807483942,"gmtCreate":1628049830686,"gmtModify":1631891612768,"author":{"id":"3572078772819787","authorId":"3572078772819787","name":"Winstonlou","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/872d534505dadd9f2bcdebec4b5df367","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572078772819787","authorIdStr":"3572078772819787"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment","listText":"Like and comment","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/807483942","repostId":"1180553743","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1180553743","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1628047202,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1180553743?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-04 11:20","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Defensive Stocks Might not Protect You Against a Stock Market Crash","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1180553743","media":"The Motley Fool","summary":"Markets were mixed on Tuesday, but one notable stalwart took a big hit to its share price.\nKey Point","content":"<p><i><b>Markets were mixed on Tuesday, but one notable stalwart took a big hit to its share price.</b></i></p>\n<p><b>Key Points</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Stocks were mixed on Tuesday morning.</li>\n <li>One stock in a traditionally defensive area of the market saw a big decline following earnings.</li>\n <li>Heightened valuations can make even defensive stocks risky.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Investors have been on edge lately, and it showed in Tuesday morning's stock market action. Wall Street clawed back some of its early losses, but major indexes remained mixed as market participants tried to balance worries about the pandemic against signs of continuing economic growth. As of 11:30 a.m. EDT today, the&nbsp;<b>Dow Jones Industrial Average</b>(DJINDICES:^DJI)&nbsp;was up 58 points to 34,897. However, the&nbsp;<b>S&amp;P 500</b>(SNPINDEX:^GSPC)&nbsp;had eased lower by 3 points to 4,384, and the&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">NASDAQ</a> fell 89 points to 14,592.</p>\n<p>In times of uncertainty, many investors turn to defensive stocks in areas like&nbsp;consumer staples. But with large numbers of shareholders all seeking the same protection against a stock market crash, valuations on defensive stocks can rise to a point at which they're just as vulnerable to disappointments as any other stock.</p>\n<p>That's what investors in&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CLX\">Clorox</a> found out today, and it's a good warning for any investors who are overly reliant on the purportedly crash-proof reputation that defensive stocks have.</p>\n<h3><b>Clorox can't clean up</b></h3>\n<p>Shares of Clorox were lower by more than 11% Tuesday morning. The maker of bleach and other household cleaning products wasn't able to reassure its investors that it will be able to&nbsp;sustain the massive growth&nbsp;it has enjoyed over the past year.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bc08be95827a03674b6a41470c365f9b\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</p>\n<p>Clorox's numbers for its fiscal fourth quarter, which ended June 30, were downright ugly. Revenue fell 9% from year-ago levels, and adjusted earnings plunged 61% year over year to $0.95 per share. Organic sales dropped 10%.</p>\n<p>Clorox saw pressure across its business. The health and wellness segment suffered a 17% sales decrease, while lifestyle product sales dropped 3%. The bright spot was a 5% rise in international revenue, although segment sales would have declined were it not for an acquisition.</p>\n<p>The company blamed the downturn largely on decelerated demand for products compared to the&nbsp;worst parts of the pandemic. Clorox emphasized that when you go back two years to try to take out the pandemic's impact, sales were up 13% over the longer period. Nevertheless, higher commodity costs wiped out savings from company efficiency efforts, weighing on the bottom line.</p>\n<p>Even worse, Clorox expects tough times to continue. It projected a 2% to 6% drop in revenue for fiscal 2022, with adjusted EPS of $5.40 to $5.70 for the full year representing a decrease of more than 20% from the just-ended 2021 fiscal year. Higher commodity costs are seen continuing, dealing a blow of about 3 to 4 percentage points to gross margin.</p>\n<h3><b>The price of protection</b></h3>\n<p>With today's drop, shares of Clorox are now down by nearly a third from their highest levels about a year ago. That's a massive decline, especially given that the broader market has actually performed quite well over the same period.</p>\n<p>Yet when you look at longer-term trends, you can see the heights to which defensive investors were willing to bid up Clorox's stock. In just eight months in late 2019 and early 2020, shares soared almost 60%, lifted largely on hopes that the stock would help provide protection from a bear market. To be fair, that strategy was successful in avoiding the downturn in stocks in February and March of 2020, but as it turned out, declines got pushed forward rather than being eliminated completely.</p>\n<p>No stock is a sure thing, and even companies with reputations for being smart defensive plays aren't always effective. Clorox's losses today show that even stocks that appear safe can see big losses, and investors have to be prepared for whatever may come -- including a crash in which Clorox and other defensive stocks drop along with the overall market.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Defensive Stocks Might not Protect You Against a Stock Market Crash</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Defensive Stocks Might not Protect You Against a Stock Market Crash\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-04 11:20 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/08/03/defensive-stocks-might-not-protect-market-crash/><strong>The Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Markets were mixed on Tuesday, but one notable stalwart took a big hit to its share price.\nKey Points\n\nStocks were mixed on Tuesday morning.\nOne stock in a traditionally defensive area of the market ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/08/03/defensive-stocks-might-not-protect-market-crash/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯","CLX":"高乐氏"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/08/03/defensive-stocks-might-not-protect-market-crash/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1180553743","content_text":"Markets were mixed on Tuesday, but one notable stalwart took a big hit to its share price.\nKey Points\n\nStocks were mixed on Tuesday morning.\nOne stock in a traditionally defensive area of the market saw a big decline following earnings.\nHeightened valuations can make even defensive stocks risky.\n\nInvestors have been on edge lately, and it showed in Tuesday morning's stock market action. Wall Street clawed back some of its early losses, but major indexes remained mixed as market participants tried to balance worries about the pandemic against signs of continuing economic growth. As of 11:30 a.m. EDT today, the Dow Jones Industrial Average(DJINDICES:^DJI) was up 58 points to 34,897. However, the S&P 500(SNPINDEX:^GSPC) had eased lower by 3 points to 4,384, and the NASDAQ fell 89 points to 14,592.\nIn times of uncertainty, many investors turn to defensive stocks in areas like consumer staples. But with large numbers of shareholders all seeking the same protection against a stock market crash, valuations on defensive stocks can rise to a point at which they're just as vulnerable to disappointments as any other stock.\nThat's what investors in Clorox found out today, and it's a good warning for any investors who are overly reliant on the purportedly crash-proof reputation that defensive stocks have.\nClorox can't clean up\nShares of Clorox were lower by more than 11% Tuesday morning. The maker of bleach and other household cleaning products wasn't able to reassure its investors that it will be able to sustain the massive growth it has enjoyed over the past year.\nIMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.\nClorox's numbers for its fiscal fourth quarter, which ended June 30, were downright ugly. Revenue fell 9% from year-ago levels, and adjusted earnings plunged 61% year over year to $0.95 per share. Organic sales dropped 10%.\nClorox saw pressure across its business. The health and wellness segment suffered a 17% sales decrease, while lifestyle product sales dropped 3%. The bright spot was a 5% rise in international revenue, although segment sales would have declined were it not for an acquisition.\nThe company blamed the downturn largely on decelerated demand for products compared to the worst parts of the pandemic. Clorox emphasized that when you go back two years to try to take out the pandemic's impact, sales were up 13% over the longer period. Nevertheless, higher commodity costs wiped out savings from company efficiency efforts, weighing on the bottom line.\nEven worse, Clorox expects tough times to continue. It projected a 2% to 6% drop in revenue for fiscal 2022, with adjusted EPS of $5.40 to $5.70 for the full year representing a decrease of more than 20% from the just-ended 2021 fiscal year. Higher commodity costs are seen continuing, dealing a blow of about 3 to 4 percentage points to gross margin.\nThe price of protection\nWith today's drop, shares of Clorox are now down by nearly a third from their highest levels about a year ago. That's a massive decline, especially given that the broader market has actually performed quite well over the same period.\nYet when you look at longer-term trends, you can see the heights to which defensive investors were willing to bid up Clorox's stock. In just eight months in late 2019 and early 2020, shares soared almost 60%, lifted largely on hopes that the stock would help provide protection from a bear market. To be fair, that strategy was successful in avoiding the downturn in stocks in February and March of 2020, but as it turned out, declines got pushed forward rather than being eliminated completely.\nNo stock is a sure thing, and even companies with reputations for being smart defensive plays aren't always effective. Clorox's losses today show that even stocks that appear safe can see big losses, and investors have to be prepared for whatever may come -- including a crash in which Clorox and other defensive stocks drop along with the overall market.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":317,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":159227144,"gmtCreate":1624971608388,"gmtModify":1633946392774,"author":{"id":"3572078772819787","authorId":"3572078772819787","name":"Winstonlou","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/872d534505dadd9f2bcdebec4b5df367","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572078772819787","authorIdStr":"3572078772819787"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment","listText":"Like and comment","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/159227144","repostId":"1142282242","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1142282242","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624971487,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1142282242?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-29 20:58","market":"us","language":"en","title":"One record-breaking retail stock still looks like a winner to this investor","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1142282242","media":"CNBC","summary":"Big-box retailer Target just keeps hitting records.\nThe stock notched a new high on Monday for a fif","content":"<div>\n<p>Big-box retailer Target just keeps hitting records.\nThe stock notched a new high on Monday for a fifth session in a row. The shares have risen 37% in 2021, more than double the gains for the S&P 500. ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/29/target-stock-hits-record-highs-and-investor-sees-more-upside-ahead.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"cnbc_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>One record-breaking retail stock still looks like a winner to this investor</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOne record-breaking retail stock still looks like a winner to this investor\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-29 20:58 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/29/target-stock-hits-record-highs-and-investor-sees-more-upside-ahead.html><strong>CNBC</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Big-box retailer Target just keeps hitting records.\nThe stock notched a new high on Monday for a fifth session in a row. The shares have risen 37% in 2021, more than double the gains for the S&P 500. ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/29/target-stock-hits-record-highs-and-investor-sees-more-upside-ahead.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/29/target-stock-hits-record-highs-and-investor-sees-more-upside-ahead.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/72bb72e1b84c09fca865c6dcb1bbcd16","article_id":"1142282242","content_text":"Big-box retailer Target just keeps hitting records.\nThe stock notched a new high on Monday for a fifth session in a row. The shares have risen 37% in 2021, more than double the gains for the S&P 500. The company was also named by Cowen on Monday as one of the retail brands favored by Gen Z.\nNancy Tengler, chief investment officer at Laffer Tengler Investment, agreed that Target is one retailer likely to continue its rally.\n“This is a company that seems to be firing on all cylinders and recently expressed their confidence in future earnings growth by raising the dividend 32%. They had a standout quarter,” Tengler told CNBC’s “Trading Nation” on Monday.\nTarget reported a 23% increase in sales in its fisal first quarter. The company credited increasing vaccination rates and the reopening economy for higher in-store sales.\n“They are in a very strong position in terms of stores near population in the U.S. They’re at 94% of stores within 60 minutes of anyone in the United States. Amazon has spent billions of dollars over many years and they’re at 77%,” said Tengler.\n“The stock has done very well so you could be patient, but there’s a lot to like about this story,” she said.\nInspired by Cowen’s search for youth-driven stocks, Ari Wald, head of technical analysis at Oppenheimer, looked outside the retail space for his stock pick.\n“We like Activision Blizzard here. It’s best known for its Call of Duty franchise and the stock has been consolidating above its 200-day moving average since breaking through very important resistance in December,” Wald said during the same interview.\n\n“Our assumption is that as long as $90 support is intact, that year-to-date range is more likely to break higher to the upside,” Wald said.\nActivision closed Monday at $95.40 a share. It is 9% below a peak set in February.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":135,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":873885121,"gmtCreate":1636928661100,"gmtModify":1636928661100,"author":{"id":"3572078772819787","authorId":"3572078772819787","name":"Winstonlou","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/872d534505dadd9f2bcdebec4b5df367","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572078772819787","authorIdStr":"3572078772819787"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment","listText":"Like and comment","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/873885121","repostId":"1103944030","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":909,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":819091522,"gmtCreate":1630021097966,"gmtModify":1704954606752,"author":{"id":"3572078772819787","authorId":"3572078772819787","name":"Winstonlou","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/872d534505dadd9f2bcdebec4b5df367","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572078772819787","authorIdStr":"3572078772819787"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment&nbsp;","listText":"Like and comment&nbsp;","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/819091522","repostId":"2162847016","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":343,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":165712023,"gmtCreate":1624157536062,"gmtModify":1634010105299,"author":{"id":"3572078772819787","authorId":"3572078772819787","name":"Winstonlou","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/872d534505dadd9f2bcdebec4b5df367","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572078772819787","authorIdStr":"3572078772819787"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment","listText":"Like and comment","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/165712023","repostId":"1199331995","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":193,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":887434342,"gmtCreate":1632092293486,"gmtModify":1632802981316,"author":{"id":"3572078772819787","authorId":"3572078772819787","name":"Winstonlou","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/872d534505dadd9f2bcdebec4b5df367","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572078772819787","authorIdStr":"3572078772819787"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment","listText":"Like and comment","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/887434342","repostId":"1198486138","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":132,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":839664499,"gmtCreate":1629157458911,"gmtModify":1631889272670,"author":{"id":"3572078772819787","authorId":"3572078772819787","name":"Winstonlou","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/872d534505dadd9f2bcdebec4b5df367","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572078772819787","authorIdStr":"3572078772819787"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment","listText":"Like and comment","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/839664499","repostId":"1152091055","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":208,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":170032707,"gmtCreate":1626395019509,"gmtModify":1631893330298,"author":{"id":"3572078772819787","authorId":"3572078772819787","name":"Winstonlou","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/872d534505dadd9f2bcdebec4b5df367","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572078772819787","authorIdStr":"3572078772819787"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment","listText":"Like and comment","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/170032707","repostId":"1140595356","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1140595356","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626387586,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1140595356?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-16 06:19","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Moderna Stock Is Hitting Another Record High Today","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1140595356","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The vaccine stock benefited from two positive developments.\n\nKey Points\n\nA Wall Street analyst raise","content":"<blockquote>\n The vaccine stock benefited from two positive developments.\n</blockquote>\n<p><b>Key Points</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>A Wall Street analyst raised his price target for Moderna.</li>\n <li>A top European official also stated that a recommendation on authorization for Moderna's COVID-19 vaccine would probably be made by late next week.</li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>What happened</b></p>\n<p>Shares of<b>Moderna</b>(NASDAQ:MRNA)were jumping 4.3% as of 11:10 a.m. EDT on Thursday, hitting another record high for the stock. The bump came after Michael Yee, an analyst at<b>Jefferies</b>, increased his price target on the stock from $170 to $250.</p>\n<p>Also, Dr. Marco Cavaleri, the European Medicines Agency (EMA) head of biological health threats and vaccines strategy, stated in a press conference that a committee would likely finalize a decision on recommending authorization for Moderna's COVID-19 vaccine in children by the end of next week.</p>\n<p><b>So what</b></p>\n<p>Jefferies' higher price target for thevaccine stockreflected expectations of increased sales for Moderna's COVID-19 vaccine this year. Yee now looks for the company to up its full-year revenue guidance to $21 billion. It previously projected sales of $19.2 billion.</p>\n<p>The EMA's decision on authorization of the vaccine in immunizing children ages 12 to 17 could play a key role in driving higher sales. Although there are many more adults in the European Union than children, the pediatric market presents a big opportunity for the company.</p>\n<p>Neither of these news items, however, were compelling reasons for Moderna's shares to move higher. Jefferies' price target is actually lower than its current share price. Also, Cavaleri's comments about the pending decision by an expert committee didn't provide any hints as to what the recommendation would be.</p>\n<p><b>Now what</b></p>\n<p>The most important thing to watch with Moderna in the near term isn't the EMA committee announcement next week. Instead, it's the company's second-quarter update scheduled for Aug. 5. Moderna is likely to boost its full-year sales outlook in that update.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Moderna Stock Is Hitting Another Record High Today</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Moderna Stock Is Hitting Another Record High Today\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-16 06:19 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/15/why-moderna-stock-is-hitting-another-record-high-t/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The vaccine stock benefited from two positive developments.\n\nKey Points\n\nA Wall Street analyst raised his price target for Moderna.\nA top European official also stated that a recommendation on ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/15/why-moderna-stock-is-hitting-another-record-high-t/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MRNA":"Moderna, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/15/why-moderna-stock-is-hitting-another-record-high-t/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1140595356","content_text":"The vaccine stock benefited from two positive developments.\n\nKey Points\n\nA Wall Street analyst raised his price target for Moderna.\nA top European official also stated that a recommendation on authorization for Moderna's COVID-19 vaccine would probably be made by late next week.\n\nWhat happened\nShares ofModerna(NASDAQ:MRNA)were jumping 4.3% as of 11:10 a.m. EDT on Thursday, hitting another record high for the stock. The bump came after Michael Yee, an analyst atJefferies, increased his price target on the stock from $170 to $250.\nAlso, Dr. Marco Cavaleri, the European Medicines Agency (EMA) head of biological health threats and vaccines strategy, stated in a press conference that a committee would likely finalize a decision on recommending authorization for Moderna's COVID-19 vaccine in children by the end of next week.\nSo what\nJefferies' higher price target for thevaccine stockreflected expectations of increased sales for Moderna's COVID-19 vaccine this year. Yee now looks for the company to up its full-year revenue guidance to $21 billion. It previously projected sales of $19.2 billion.\nThe EMA's decision on authorization of the vaccine in immunizing children ages 12 to 17 could play a key role in driving higher sales. Although there are many more adults in the European Union than children, the pediatric market presents a big opportunity for the company.\nNeither of these news items, however, were compelling reasons for Moderna's shares to move higher. Jefferies' price target is actually lower than its current share price. Also, Cavaleri's comments about the pending decision by an expert committee didn't provide any hints as to what the recommendation would be.\nNow what\nThe most important thing to watch with Moderna in the near term isn't the EMA committee announcement next week. Instead, it's the company's second-quarter update scheduled for Aug. 5. Moderna is likely to boost its full-year sales outlook in that update.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":194,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":165715671,"gmtCreate":1624157590593,"gmtModify":1634010104097,"author":{"id":"3572078772819787","authorId":"3572078772819787","name":"Winstonlou","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/872d534505dadd9f2bcdebec4b5df367","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572078772819787","authorIdStr":"3572078772819787"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment","listText":"Like and comment","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/165715671","repostId":"1133385197","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":299,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":635416670,"gmtCreate":1647212217987,"gmtModify":1647212218183,"author":{"id":"3572078772819787","authorId":"3572078772819787","name":"Winstonlou","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/872d534505dadd9f2bcdebec4b5df367","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572078772819787","authorIdStr":"3572078772819787"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment","listText":"Like and comment","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/635416670","repostId":"632524031","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":632524031,"gmtCreate":1646622113150,"gmtModify":1646647050185,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3534312667271286","authorIdStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"07/08年的感觉回来了：黄金2000，原油不言顶","htmlText":"上周初的跳空主要缺口并未能得到回补，这确定了近期趋势的进一步强化。黄金开始涨向2000关口，原油则继续高歌猛进完全和美股指脱钩。上一次市场如此疯狂的时刻，还要回到07/08年金融危机。只不过，这次由地缘政治所引发的危机可能比当时还要猛烈。 远离原油 在上周中的直播中，我们对比了美油与标普的长线走势图，类似的情况出现在雷曼时刻前夕——美股已经开始见顶回落大幅修正，油价还继续猛冲了一段时间后才出现断崖式崩盘。基于此，再考虑到当前原油无任何调整的走法，任何左侧交易的猜测头部都是送钱。原油的波动率目前也不再适合普通投资者参与，安静的等待事情起变化或许是最好的选择。 做空欧洲 直播中比较推荐的做空欧洲+做多其他地区的主要逻辑十分明显：俄罗斯乌克兰的局势缺乏快速解决的机会和方法。虽然美国和北约都是遥控指挥，但是毕竟主战场是在欧洲大陆的。如果真有什么的新的大级别的冲突，欧洲是首当其中的倒霉蛋。 欧股和欧元的表现也已经体现了投资者对于这方面的担忧。虽然其他风险资产和非美货币也在下跌，但是最不抗跌的显然还是欧元和欧股。远离主战场（做空主要对应资产）+做多其他同类型资产是我们对于当前局势的看法。 同样的思路可以提前布局到其他可能会出现危机/问题的国家与地区，尤其是哪些前期相对看跌或者涨的比较高的地方。 黄金等待新高 黄金继续保持上涨，和我们的中长期目标方向吻合，多头从1900到2000几乎可以说没有费任何吹灰之力，下一个主要压制就是前期的历史高位了。和原油类似，目前的市场环境找不到任何压制黄金的理由，市场走势本身也是牛气冲天。因此继续待在车上拿稳了就行。 白银同步开始上涨，也取得了趋势线的突破，不过从相对表现来看，还是没有太出彩的地方，这多多少少有些令人失望。不过也不用过于着急，白银或许需要突破站稳30大关之后，才能让那些看空做空白银的资金彻底认输。到时候，类似原油的轧空行情就会到来。贵金属牛","listText":"上周初的跳空主要缺口并未能得到回补，这确定了近期趋势的进一步强化。黄金开始涨向2000关口，原油则继续高歌猛进完全和美股指脱钩。上一次市场如此疯狂的时刻，还要回到07/08年金融危机。只不过，这次由地缘政治所引发的危机可能比当时还要猛烈。 远离原油 在上周中的直播中，我们对比了美油与标普的长线走势图，类似的情况出现在雷曼时刻前夕——美股已经开始见顶回落大幅修正，油价还继续猛冲了一段时间后才出现断崖式崩盘。基于此，再考虑到当前原油无任何调整的走法，任何左侧交易的猜测头部都是送钱。原油的波动率目前也不再适合普通投资者参与，安静的等待事情起变化或许是最好的选择。 做空欧洲 直播中比较推荐的做空欧洲+做多其他地区的主要逻辑十分明显：俄罗斯乌克兰的局势缺乏快速解决的机会和方法。虽然美国和北约都是遥控指挥，但是毕竟主战场是在欧洲大陆的。如果真有什么的新的大级别的冲突，欧洲是首当其中的倒霉蛋。 欧股和欧元的表现也已经体现了投资者对于这方面的担忧。虽然其他风险资产和非美货币也在下跌，但是最不抗跌的显然还是欧元和欧股。远离主战场（做空主要对应资产）+做多其他同类型资产是我们对于当前局势的看法。 同样的思路可以提前布局到其他可能会出现危机/问题的国家与地区，尤其是哪些前期相对看跌或者涨的比较高的地方。 黄金等待新高 黄金继续保持上涨，和我们的中长期目标方向吻合，多头从1900到2000几乎可以说没有费任何吹灰之力，下一个主要压制就是前期的历史高位了。和原油类似，目前的市场环境找不到任何压制黄金的理由，市场走势本身也是牛气冲天。因此继续待在车上拿稳了就行。 白银同步开始上涨，也取得了趋势线的突破，不过从相对表现来看，还是没有太出彩的地方，这多多少少有些令人失望。不过也不用过于着急，白银或许需要突破站稳30大关之后，才能让那些看空做空白银的资金彻底认输。到时候，类似原油的轧空行情就会到来。贵金属牛","text":"上周初的跳空主要缺口并未能得到回补，这确定了近期趋势的进一步强化。黄金开始涨向2000关口，原油则继续高歌猛进完全和美股指脱钩。上一次市场如此疯狂的时刻，还要回到07/08年金融危机。只不过，这次由地缘政治所引发的危机可能比当时还要猛烈。 远离原油 在上周中的直播中，我们对比了美油与标普的长线走势图，类似的情况出现在雷曼时刻前夕——美股已经开始见顶回落大幅修正，油价还继续猛冲了一段时间后才出现断崖式崩盘。基于此，再考虑到当前原油无任何调整的走法，任何左侧交易的猜测头部都是送钱。原油的波动率目前也不再适合普通投资者参与，安静的等待事情起变化或许是最好的选择。 做空欧洲 直播中比较推荐的做空欧洲+做多其他地区的主要逻辑十分明显：俄罗斯乌克兰的局势缺乏快速解决的机会和方法。虽然美国和北约都是遥控指挥，但是毕竟主战场是在欧洲大陆的。如果真有什么的新的大级别的冲突，欧洲是首当其中的倒霉蛋。 欧股和欧元的表现也已经体现了投资者对于这方面的担忧。虽然其他风险资产和非美货币也在下跌，但是最不抗跌的显然还是欧元和欧股。远离主战场（做空主要对应资产）+做多其他同类型资产是我们对于当前局势的看法。 同样的思路可以提前布局到其他可能会出现危机/问题的国家与地区，尤其是哪些前期相对看跌或者涨的比较高的地方。 黄金等待新高 黄金继续保持上涨，和我们的中长期目标方向吻合，多头从1900到2000几乎可以说没有费任何吹灰之力，下一个主要压制就是前期的历史高位了。和原油类似，目前的市场环境找不到任何压制黄金的理由，市场走势本身也是牛气冲天。因此继续待在车上拿稳了就行。 白银同步开始上涨，也取得了趋势线的突破，不过从相对表现来看，还是没有太出彩的地方，这多多少少有些令人失望。不过也不用过于着急，白银或许需要突破站稳30大关之后，才能让那些看空做空白银的资金彻底认输。到时候，类似原油的轧空行情就会到来。贵金属牛","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/611f21bc44ab3370abb3533407653e44","width":"1363","height":"678"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/632524031","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1171,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":880605225,"gmtCreate":1631051743867,"gmtModify":1631889272613,"author":{"id":"3572078772819787","authorId":"3572078772819787","name":"Winstonlou","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/872d534505dadd9f2bcdebec4b5df367","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572078772819787","authorIdStr":"3572078772819787"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment","listText":"Like and comment","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/880605225","repostId":"1130130857","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1130130857","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1631007146,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1130130857?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-07 17:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Strategists Say the Stock Market Could Struggle This Fall. What to Buy Now?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1130130857","media":"Barron's","summary":"What a year this has been for the markets!Fueled by a torrent of monetary and fiscal stimulus, economic and earnings growth, and  a mostly receding pandemic, theS&P 500stock index has rallied 20%, notching seven straight months of gains and more than 50 highs along the way. And that’s on top of last year’s 68% rebound from the market’s March 2020 lows.Tailwinds remain in place, but headwinds now loom that could slow stocks’ advance. Stimulus spending has peaked, and economic and corporate-earnin","content":"<p>What a year this has been for the markets! Fueled by a torrent of monetary and fiscal stimulus, economic and earnings growth, and (until recently) a mostly receding pandemic, theS&amp;P 500stock index has rallied 20%, notching seven straight months of gains and more than 50 highs along the way. And that’s on top of last year’s 68% rebound from the market’s March 2020 lows.</p>\n<p>Tailwinds remain in place, but headwinds now loom that could slow stocks’ advance. Stimulus spending has peaked, and economic and corporate-earnings growth are likely to decelerate through the end of the year. What’s more, theFederal Reserve has all but promised to start tapering its bond buyingin coming months, and the Biden administration has proposed hiking corporate and personal tax rates. None of this is apt to sit well with holders of increasingly pricey shares.</p>\n<p>In other words,brace for a volatile fallin which conflicting forces buffet stocks, bonds, and investors. “The everything rally is behind us,” says Saira Malik, chief investment officer of global equities at Nuveen. “It’s not going to be a sharply rising economic tide that lifts all boats from here.”</p>\n<p>That’s the general consensus among the six market strategists and chief investment officers whom<i>Barron’s</i>recently consulted. All see the S&amp;P 500 ending the year near Thursday’s close of 4536. Their average target: 4585.</p>\n<p>Next year’s gains look muted, as well, relative to recent trends. The group expects the S&amp;P 500 to tack on another 6% in 2022, rising to about 4800.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eb61c7b74b9b0f18a019afb4ac44ad59\" tg-width=\"300\" tg-height=\"645\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">With stocks trading for about 21 times the coming year’s expected earnings,bonds yielding little, and cash yielding less than nothing after accounting for inflation, investors face tough asset-allocation decisions. In place of the “everything rally,” which lifted fast-growing tech stocks, no-growth meme stocks, and the Dogecoins of the digital world, our market watchers recommend focusing on “quality” investments. In equities, that means shares of businesses with solid balance sheets, expanding profit margins, and ample and recurring free cash flow. Even if the averages do little in coming months, these stocks are likely to shine.</p>\n<p>The stock market’s massive rally in the past year was a gift of sorts from the Federal Reserve, which flooded the financial system with money to stave off theeconomic damage wrought by the Covid pandemic. Since March 2020, the U.S. central bank has been buying a combined $120 billion a month of U.S. Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities, while keeping its benchmark federal-funds rate target at 0% to 0.25%. These moves have depressed bond yields and pushed investors into riskier assets, including stocks.</p>\n<p>Fed Chairman Jerome <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">Powell</a> has said that the central bank might begin to wind down, or taper, its emergency asset purchases sometime in the coming quarters, a move that could roil risk assets of all sorts. “For us, it’s very simple: Tapering is tightening,” says Mike Wilson, chief investment officer and chief U.S. equity strategist atMorgan Stanley.“It’s the first step away from maximum accommodation [by the Fed]. They’re being very calculated about it this time, but the bottom line is that it should have a negative effect on equity valuations.”</p>\n<p>The government’s stimulus spending, too, has peaked, the strategists note. Supplemental federal unemployment benefits of $300 a week expire as of Sept. 6. Although Congress seems likely to pass a bipartisan infrastructure bill this fall, the near-term economic impact will pale in comparison to the multiple rounds of stimulus introduced since March 2020.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c2cb76c498c1c4c980139e3d0514c261\" tg-width=\"300\" tg-height=\"645\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">The bill includes about $550 billion in new spending—a fraction of the trillions authorized by previous laws—and it will be spread out over many years. The short-term boost that infrastructure stimulus will give to consumer spending, which accounts for almost 70% of U.S. growth domestic product, won’t come close to what the economy saw after millions of Americans received checks from the government this past year.</p>\n<p>A budget bill approved by Democrats only should follow the infrastructure bill, and include spending to support Medicare expansion, child-care funding, free community-college tuition, public housing, and climate-related measures, among other party priorities. Congress could vote to lift taxes on corporations and high-earning individuals to offset that spending—another near-term risk to the market.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6693da658db16059fc99e08a7531675f\" tg-width=\"300\" tg-height=\"645\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Other politically charged issues likewise could derail equities this fall. Congress needs to pass a debt-ceiling increase to fund the government, and a stop-gap spending bill later this month to avoid a <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WASH\">Washington</a> shutdown in October.</p>\n<p>For now, our market experts are relatively sanguine about the economic impact of the Delta variant of Covid-19. As long as vaccines remain effective in minimizing severe infections that lead to hospitalizations and deaths, the negative effects of the current Covid wave will be limited largely to the travel industry and movie theaters, they say. Wall Street’s base case for the market doesn’t include a renewed wave of lockdowns that would undermine economic growth.</p>\n<p>Inflation has been a hot topic at the Fed and among investors, partly because it has been running so hot of late. The U.S. consumer price index rose at an annualized 5.4% in both June and July—a spike the Fed calls transitory, although others aren’t so sure. The strategists are taking Powell’s side of the argument; they expect inflation to fall significantly next year. Their forecasts fall between 2.5% and 3.5%, which they consider manageable for consumers and companies, and an acceptable side effect of rapid economic growth. An inflation rate above 2.5%, however, combined with Fed tapering, would mean that now ultralow bond yields should rise.</p>\n<p>“We think inflation will continue to run hotter than it has since the financial crisis, but it’s hard for us to see inflation much over 2.5% once many of the reopening-related pressures start to dissipate,” says Michael Fredericks, head of income investing for theBlackRockMulti-Asset Strategies Group. “So bond yields do need to move up, but that will happen gradually.”</p>\n<p>The strategists see the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note climbing to around 1.65% by year end. That’s about 35 basis points—or hundredths of a percentage point—above current levels, but below the 1.75% that the yield reached at its March 2021 highs. By next year, the 10-year Treasury could yield 2%, the group says. Those aren’t big moves in absolute terms, but they’re meaningful for&nbsp;the bond market—and could be even more so for stocks.</p>\n<p>Rising yields tend to weigh on stock valuations for two reasons. Higher-yielding bonds offer competition to stocks, and companies’ future earnings are worthless in the present when discounting them at a higher rate. Still, a 10-year yield around 2% won’t be enough to knock stock valuations down to pre-Covid levels. Even if yields climb, market strategists see the price/earnings multiple of the S&amp;P 500 holding well above its 30-year average of 16 times forward earnings. The index’s forward P/E topped 23 last fall.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e08d24cb421d7cc13debd76a9c6fea01\" tg-width=\"660\" tg-height=\"434\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>As long as 10-year Treasury yields stay in the 2% range, the S&amp;P 500 should be able to command a forward P/E in the high teens, strategists say. A return to the 16-times long-term average isn’t in the cards until there is more pressure from much higher yields—or something else that causes stocks to fall.</p>\n<p>If yields surge past 2% or 2.25%, investors could start to question equity valuations more seriously, says&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STT\">State</a> Street’schief portfolio strategist, Gaurav Mallik: “We haven’t seen [the 10-year yield] above 2% for some time now, so that’s an important sentiment level for investors.”</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93ff6490069ab5dc1b4057f1ff7966f3\" tg-width=\"664\" tg-height=\"441\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Wilson is more concerned, noting that the stock market’s valuation risk is asymmetric: “It’s very unlikely that multiples are going to go up, and there’s a good chance that they go down more than 10% given the deceleration in growth and where we are in the cycle,” he says</p>\n<p>If 16 to 23 times forward earnings is the range, he adds, “you’re already at the very high end of that. There’s more potential risk than reward.”</p>\n<p>Some P/E-multiple compression is baked into all six strategists’ forecasts, heaping greater importance on the path of profit growth. On average, the strategists expect S&amp;P 500 earnings to jump 46% this year, to about $204, after last year’s earnings depression. That could be followed by a more normalized gain of 9% in 2022, to about $222.50.</p>\n<p>A potential headwind would be a higher federal corporate-tax rate in 2022. The details of Democrats’ spending and taxation plans will be worked out in the coming weeks, and investors can expect to hear a lot more about potential tax increases. Several strategists see a 25% federal rate on corporate profits as a likely compromise figure, above the 21% in place since 2018, but below the 28% sought by the Biden administration.</p>\n<p>An increase of that magnitude would shave about 5% off S&amp;P 500 earnings next year. The index could drop by a similar amount as the passage of the Democrats’ reconciliation bill nears this fall, but the impact should be limited to that initial correction. As with the tax cuts in December 2017, the change should be a <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a>-time event for the market, some strategists predict.</p>\n<p>These concerns aside, investors shouldn’t miss the bigger picture: The U.S. economy is in good shape and growing robustly. The strategists expect gross domestic product to rise 6.3% this year and about 4% in 2022. “The cyclical uplift and above-trend growth will continue at least through 2022, and we want to be biased toward assets that have that exposure,” says Mallik.</p>\n<blockquote>\n “We’re going to have a hot economy this year and next. When GDP growth is above average, value beats growth and cyclicals beat defensives.”— Lori Calvasina, RBC Capital Markets\n</blockquote>\n<p>The State Street strategist recommends overweighting materials, financials, and technology in investment portfolios. That approach includes both economically sensitive companies, such as banks and miners, and steady growers in the tech sector.</p>\n<p>RBC Capital Markets’ head of U.S. equity strategy, Lori Calvasina, likewise takes a barbell approach, with both cyclical and growth exposure. Her preferred sectors are energy, financials, and technology.</p>\n<p>“Valuations are still a lot more attractive in financials and energy than growth [sectors such as technology or consumer discretionary,]” Calvasina says. “The catalyst in the near term is getting out of the current Covid wave... We’re going to have a hot economy this year and next, and traditionally when GDP growth is above average, value beats growth and cyclicals beat defensives.”</p>\n<p>But the focus on quality will be pivotal, especially moving into the second half of 2022. That’s when the Fed is likely to hike interest rates for the first time in this cycle. By 2023, the economy could return to pre-Covid growth on the order of 2%.</p>\n<p>“The historical playbook is that coming out of a recession, you tend to see low-quality outperformance that lasts about a year, then leadership flips back to high quality,” Calvasina says. “But that transition from low quality back to high quality tends to be very bumpy.”</p>\n<p><b>A Shopping List for Fall</b></p>\n<p>Most strategists favor a combination of economically sensitive stocks and steady growers, including tech shares. Financials should do well, particularly if bond yields rise.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a54c4bd114c1a5f7f700d1fc14d30d8e\" tg-width=\"970\" tg-height=\"230\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Although stocks with quality attributes have outperformed the market this summer, according to a <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLK\">BlackRock</a> analysis, the quality factor has lagged since positive vaccine news was first reported last November.</p>\n<p>“We’re moving into a mid-cycle environment, when underlying economic growth remains strong but momentum begins to decelerate,” BlackRock’s Fredericks says. “Our research shows that quality stocks perform particularly well in such a period.”</p>\n<p>He recommends overweighting profitable technology companies; financials, including banks, and consumer staples and industrials with those quality characteristics.</p>\n<p>For <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WFC\">Wells Fargo</a>’s head of equity strategy, Christopher Harvey, a mix of post-pandemic beneficiaries and defensive exposure is the way to go. He constructed a basket of stocks with lower-than-average volatility—which should outperform during periods of market uncertainty or stress this fall—and high “Covid beta,” or sensitivity to good or bad news about the pandemic. One requirement; The stocks had to be rated the equivalent of Buy by Wells Fargo’s equity analysts.</p>\n<p>“There’s near-term economic uncertainty, interest-rate uncertainty, and Covid risk, and generally we’re in a seasonally weaker part of the year around September,” says Harvey. “If we can balance low vol and high Covid beta, we can mitigate a lot of the upcoming uncertainty and volatility around timing of several of those catalysts. Longer-term, though, we still want to have that [reopening exposure.]”</p>\n<p>Harvey’s list of low-volatility stocks with high Covid beta includesApple(AAPL),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a>(BAC),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTRSP\">Northern</a> Trust(NTRS),Lowe’s(LOW),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IQV\">IQVIA</a> Holdings(IQV), andMasco(MAS).</p>\n<p>Overall, banks are the most frequently recommended group for the months ahead. TheInvesco KBW Bankexchange-traded fund (KBWB) provides broad exposure to the sector in the U.S.</p>\n<p>“We like the valuations [and] credit quality; they are now allowed to buy back shares and increase dividends, and there’s higher Covid beta,” says Harvey.</p>\n<p>Cheaper valuations mean less potential downside in a market correction. And, contrary to much of the rest of the stock market, higher interest rates would be a tailwind for the banks, which could then charge more for loans.</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HCSG\">Healthcare</a> stocks also have some fans. “<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HR\">Healthcare</a> has both defensive and growth attributes to it,” Wilson says. “You’re paying a lot less per unit of growth in healthcare today than you are in other sectors. So we think it provides good balance in this market when we’re worried about valuation.” Health insurerHumana(HUM) makes Wilson’s “Fresh Money Buy List” of stocks Buy-rated by <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">Morgan Stanley</a> analysts and fitting his macro views.</p>\n<p>Nuveen’s Malik is also looking toward health care for relatively underpriced growth exposure, namely in the pharmaceuticals and biotechnology groups. She points toSeagen(SGEN), which is focused on oncology drugs and could be an attractive acquisition target for a pharma giant.</p>\n<p>Malik also likesAbbVie(ABBV) which trades at an undemanding eight times forward earnings and sports a 4.7% dividend yield. The coming expiration of patents on its blockbuster anti-inflammatory drug Humira has kept some investors away, but Malik is confident that management can limit the damage and sees promising drugs in development at the $200 billion company.</p>\n<p>Both stocks have had a tough time in recent days. Seagen fell more than 8% last week, to around $152, on news that its co-founder and CEO sold a large number of shares recently. AndAbbVietanked 7% Wednesday, to $112.27, after the Food and Drug Administration required new warning labels for JAK inhibitors, a type of anti-rheumatoid drug that includes one of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABBV\">AbbVie</a>’s most promising post-Humira products.</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">Pfizer</a>(PFE),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AXP\">American Express</a>(AXP),Johnson &amp; Johnson(JNJ), andCisco Systems(CSCO) are other S&amp;P 500 members that pass a<i>Barron’s</i>screen for quality attributes.</p>\n<p>After a year of steady gains, investors might be reminded this fall that stocks can also decline, as growth momentum and policy support begin to fade. But underlying economic strength supports buying the dip, should the market drop from its highs. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">Just</a> be more selective. And go with quality.</p>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Strategists Say the Stock Market Could Struggle This Fall. What to Buy Now?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nStrategists Say the Stock Market Could Struggle This Fall. What to Buy Now?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-09-07 17:32 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-could-struggle-this-fall-market-strategists-say-stick-with-quality-companies-51630699840?siteid=yhoof2><strong>Barron's</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>What a year this has been for the markets! Fueled by a torrent of monetary and fiscal stimulus, economic and earnings growth, and (until recently) a mostly receding pandemic, theS&P 500stock index has...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-could-struggle-this-fall-market-strategists-say-stick-with-quality-companies-51630699840?siteid=yhoof2\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-could-struggle-this-fall-market-strategists-say-stick-with-quality-companies-51630699840?siteid=yhoof2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1130130857","content_text":"What a year this has been for the markets! Fueled by a torrent of monetary and fiscal stimulus, economic and earnings growth, and (until recently) a mostly receding pandemic, theS&P 500stock index has rallied 20%, notching seven straight months of gains and more than 50 highs along the way. And that’s on top of last year’s 68% rebound from the market’s March 2020 lows.\nTailwinds remain in place, but headwinds now loom that could slow stocks’ advance. Stimulus spending has peaked, and economic and corporate-earnings growth are likely to decelerate through the end of the year. What’s more, theFederal Reserve has all but promised to start tapering its bond buyingin coming months, and the Biden administration has proposed hiking corporate and personal tax rates. None of this is apt to sit well with holders of increasingly pricey shares.\nIn other words,brace for a volatile fallin which conflicting forces buffet stocks, bonds, and investors. “The everything rally is behind us,” says Saira Malik, chief investment officer of global equities at Nuveen. “It’s not going to be a sharply rising economic tide that lifts all boats from here.”\nThat’s the general consensus among the six market strategists and chief investment officers whomBarron’srecently consulted. All see the S&P 500 ending the year near Thursday’s close of 4536. Their average target: 4585.\nNext year’s gains look muted, as well, relative to recent trends. The group expects the S&P 500 to tack on another 6% in 2022, rising to about 4800.\nWith stocks trading for about 21 times the coming year’s expected earnings,bonds yielding little, and cash yielding less than nothing after accounting for inflation, investors face tough asset-allocation decisions. In place of the “everything rally,” which lifted fast-growing tech stocks, no-growth meme stocks, and the Dogecoins of the digital world, our market watchers recommend focusing on “quality” investments. In equities, that means shares of businesses with solid balance sheets, expanding profit margins, and ample and recurring free cash flow. Even if the averages do little in coming months, these stocks are likely to shine.\nThe stock market’s massive rally in the past year was a gift of sorts from the Federal Reserve, which flooded the financial system with money to stave off theeconomic damage wrought by the Covid pandemic. Since March 2020, the U.S. central bank has been buying a combined $120 billion a month of U.S. Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities, while keeping its benchmark federal-funds rate target at 0% to 0.25%. These moves have depressed bond yields and pushed investors into riskier assets, including stocks.\nFed Chairman Jerome Powell has said that the central bank might begin to wind down, or taper, its emergency asset purchases sometime in the coming quarters, a move that could roil risk assets of all sorts. “For us, it’s very simple: Tapering is tightening,” says Mike Wilson, chief investment officer and chief U.S. equity strategist atMorgan Stanley.“It’s the first step away from maximum accommodation [by the Fed]. They’re being very calculated about it this time, but the bottom line is that it should have a negative effect on equity valuations.”\nThe government’s stimulus spending, too, has peaked, the strategists note. Supplemental federal unemployment benefits of $300 a week expire as of Sept. 6. Although Congress seems likely to pass a bipartisan infrastructure bill this fall, the near-term economic impact will pale in comparison to the multiple rounds of stimulus introduced since March 2020.\nThe bill includes about $550 billion in new spending—a fraction of the trillions authorized by previous laws—and it will be spread out over many years. The short-term boost that infrastructure stimulus will give to consumer spending, which accounts for almost 70% of U.S. growth domestic product, won’t come close to what the economy saw after millions of Americans received checks from the government this past year.\nA budget bill approved by Democrats only should follow the infrastructure bill, and include spending to support Medicare expansion, child-care funding, free community-college tuition, public housing, and climate-related measures, among other party priorities. Congress could vote to lift taxes on corporations and high-earning individuals to offset that spending—another near-term risk to the market.\nOther politically charged issues likewise could derail equities this fall. Congress needs to pass a debt-ceiling increase to fund the government, and a stop-gap spending bill later this month to avoid a Washington shutdown in October.\nFor now, our market experts are relatively sanguine about the economic impact of the Delta variant of Covid-19. As long as vaccines remain effective in minimizing severe infections that lead to hospitalizations and deaths, the negative effects of the current Covid wave will be limited largely to the travel industry and movie theaters, they say. Wall Street’s base case for the market doesn’t include a renewed wave of lockdowns that would undermine economic growth.\nInflation has been a hot topic at the Fed and among investors, partly because it has been running so hot of late. The U.S. consumer price index rose at an annualized 5.4% in both June and July—a spike the Fed calls transitory, although others aren’t so sure. The strategists are taking Powell’s side of the argument; they expect inflation to fall significantly next year. Their forecasts fall between 2.5% and 3.5%, which they consider manageable for consumers and companies, and an acceptable side effect of rapid economic growth. An inflation rate above 2.5%, however, combined with Fed tapering, would mean that now ultralow bond yields should rise.\n“We think inflation will continue to run hotter than it has since the financial crisis, but it’s hard for us to see inflation much over 2.5% once many of the reopening-related pressures start to dissipate,” says Michael Fredericks, head of income investing for theBlackRockMulti-Asset Strategies Group. “So bond yields do need to move up, but that will happen gradually.”\nThe strategists see the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note climbing to around 1.65% by year end. That’s about 35 basis points—or hundredths of a percentage point—above current levels, but below the 1.75% that the yield reached at its March 2021 highs. By next year, the 10-year Treasury could yield 2%, the group says. Those aren’t big moves in absolute terms, but they’re meaningful for the bond market—and could be even more so for stocks.\nRising yields tend to weigh on stock valuations for two reasons. Higher-yielding bonds offer competition to stocks, and companies’ future earnings are worthless in the present when discounting them at a higher rate. Still, a 10-year yield around 2% won’t be enough to knock stock valuations down to pre-Covid levels. Even if yields climb, market strategists see the price/earnings multiple of the S&P 500 holding well above its 30-year average of 16 times forward earnings. The index’s forward P/E topped 23 last fall.\n\nAs long as 10-year Treasury yields stay in the 2% range, the S&P 500 should be able to command a forward P/E in the high teens, strategists say. A return to the 16-times long-term average isn’t in the cards until there is more pressure from much higher yields—or something else that causes stocks to fall.\nIf yields surge past 2% or 2.25%, investors could start to question equity valuations more seriously, says State Street’schief portfolio strategist, Gaurav Mallik: “We haven’t seen [the 10-year yield] above 2% for some time now, so that’s an important sentiment level for investors.”\n\nWilson is more concerned, noting that the stock market’s valuation risk is asymmetric: “It’s very unlikely that multiples are going to go up, and there’s a good chance that they go down more than 10% given the deceleration in growth and where we are in the cycle,” he says\nIf 16 to 23 times forward earnings is the range, he adds, “you’re already at the very high end of that. There’s more potential risk than reward.”\nSome P/E-multiple compression is baked into all six strategists’ forecasts, heaping greater importance on the path of profit growth. On average, the strategists expect S&P 500 earnings to jump 46% this year, to about $204, after last year’s earnings depression. That could be followed by a more normalized gain of 9% in 2022, to about $222.50.\nA potential headwind would be a higher federal corporate-tax rate in 2022. The details of Democrats’ spending and taxation plans will be worked out in the coming weeks, and investors can expect to hear a lot more about potential tax increases. Several strategists see a 25% federal rate on corporate profits as a likely compromise figure, above the 21% in place since 2018, but below the 28% sought by the Biden administration.\nAn increase of that magnitude would shave about 5% off S&P 500 earnings next year. The index could drop by a similar amount as the passage of the Democrats’ reconciliation bill nears this fall, but the impact should be limited to that initial correction. As with the tax cuts in December 2017, the change should be a one-time event for the market, some strategists predict.\nThese concerns aside, investors shouldn’t miss the bigger picture: The U.S. economy is in good shape and growing robustly. The strategists expect gross domestic product to rise 6.3% this year and about 4% in 2022. “The cyclical uplift and above-trend growth will continue at least through 2022, and we want to be biased toward assets that have that exposure,” says Mallik.\n\n “We’re going to have a hot economy this year and next. When GDP growth is above average, value beats growth and cyclicals beat defensives.”— Lori Calvasina, RBC Capital Markets\n\nThe State Street strategist recommends overweighting materials, financials, and technology in investment portfolios. That approach includes both economically sensitive companies, such as banks and miners, and steady growers in the tech sector.\nRBC Capital Markets’ head of U.S. equity strategy, Lori Calvasina, likewise takes a barbell approach, with both cyclical and growth exposure. Her preferred sectors are energy, financials, and technology.\n“Valuations are still a lot more attractive in financials and energy than growth [sectors such as technology or consumer discretionary,]” Calvasina says. “The catalyst in the near term is getting out of the current Covid wave... We’re going to have a hot economy this year and next, and traditionally when GDP growth is above average, value beats growth and cyclicals beat defensives.”\nBut the focus on quality will be pivotal, especially moving into the second half of 2022. That’s when the Fed is likely to hike interest rates for the first time in this cycle. By 2023, the economy could return to pre-Covid growth on the order of 2%.\n“The historical playbook is that coming out of a recession, you tend to see low-quality outperformance that lasts about a year, then leadership flips back to high quality,” Calvasina says. “But that transition from low quality back to high quality tends to be very bumpy.”\nA Shopping List for Fall\nMost strategists favor a combination of economically sensitive stocks and steady growers, including tech shares. Financials should do well, particularly if bond yields rise.\n\nAlthough stocks with quality attributes have outperformed the market this summer, according to a BlackRock analysis, the quality factor has lagged since positive vaccine news was first reported last November.\n“We’re moving into a mid-cycle environment, when underlying economic growth remains strong but momentum begins to decelerate,” BlackRock’s Fredericks says. “Our research shows that quality stocks perform particularly well in such a period.”\nHe recommends overweighting profitable technology companies; financials, including banks, and consumer staples and industrials with those quality characteristics.\nFor Wells Fargo’s head of equity strategy, Christopher Harvey, a mix of post-pandemic beneficiaries and defensive exposure is the way to go. He constructed a basket of stocks with lower-than-average volatility—which should outperform during periods of market uncertainty or stress this fall—and high “Covid beta,” or sensitivity to good or bad news about the pandemic. One requirement; The stocks had to be rated the equivalent of Buy by Wells Fargo’s equity analysts.\n“There’s near-term economic uncertainty, interest-rate uncertainty, and Covid risk, and generally we’re in a seasonally weaker part of the year around September,” says Harvey. “If we can balance low vol and high Covid beta, we can mitigate a lot of the upcoming uncertainty and volatility around timing of several of those catalysts. Longer-term, though, we still want to have that [reopening exposure.]”\nHarvey’s list of low-volatility stocks with high Covid beta includesApple(AAPL),Bank of America(BAC),Northern Trust(NTRS),Lowe’s(LOW),IQVIA Holdings(IQV), andMasco(MAS).\nOverall, banks are the most frequently recommended group for the months ahead. TheInvesco KBW Bankexchange-traded fund (KBWB) provides broad exposure to the sector in the U.S.\n“We like the valuations [and] credit quality; they are now allowed to buy back shares and increase dividends, and there’s higher Covid beta,” says Harvey.\nCheaper valuations mean less potential downside in a market correction. And, contrary to much of the rest of the stock market, higher interest rates would be a tailwind for the banks, which could then charge more for loans.\nHealthcare stocks also have some fans. “Healthcare has both defensive and growth attributes to it,” Wilson says. “You’re paying a lot less per unit of growth in healthcare today than you are in other sectors. So we think it provides good balance in this market when we’re worried about valuation.” Health insurerHumana(HUM) makes Wilson’s “Fresh Money Buy List” of stocks Buy-rated by Morgan Stanley analysts and fitting his macro views.\nNuveen’s Malik is also looking toward health care for relatively underpriced growth exposure, namely in the pharmaceuticals and biotechnology groups. She points toSeagen(SGEN), which is focused on oncology drugs and could be an attractive acquisition target for a pharma giant.\nMalik also likesAbbVie(ABBV) which trades at an undemanding eight times forward earnings and sports a 4.7% dividend yield. The coming expiration of patents on its blockbuster anti-inflammatory drug Humira has kept some investors away, but Malik is confident that management can limit the damage and sees promising drugs in development at the $200 billion company.\nBoth stocks have had a tough time in recent days. Seagen fell more than 8% last week, to around $152, on news that its co-founder and CEO sold a large number of shares recently. AndAbbVietanked 7% Wednesday, to $112.27, after the Food and Drug Administration required new warning labels for JAK inhibitors, a type of anti-rheumatoid drug that includes one of AbbVie’s most promising post-Humira products.\nPfizer(PFE),American Express(AXP),Johnson & Johnson(JNJ), andCisco Systems(CSCO) are other S&P 500 members that pass aBarron’sscreen for quality attributes.\nAfter a year of steady gains, investors might be reminded this fall that stocks can also decline, as growth momentum and policy support begin to fade. But underlying economic strength supports buying the dip, should the market drop from its highs. Just be more selective. And go with quality.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":378,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":813636038,"gmtCreate":1630196472924,"gmtModify":1704956825951,"author":{"id":"3572078772819787","authorId":"3572078772819787","name":"Winstonlou","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/872d534505dadd9f2bcdebec4b5df367","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572078772819787","authorIdStr":"3572078772819787"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment","listText":"Like and comment","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/813636038","repostId":"1162964424","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1162964424","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1630111098,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1162964424?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-28 08:38","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Stock: How It Could Be A Great Inflation Play","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1162964424","media":"TheStreet","summary":"Apple’s iPhone 13 could cost consumers more due to an increase in the price of certain components. This is bad news for users, but probably good news for Apple stock investors.IPhone users thinking of upgrading their devices this year  should expect to reach deeper into their pockets. DigiTimes has reported that Apple’s iPhone 13 could be launched next month at a higher price due to parts inflation.Bad news for consumers could be great news for Apple stock investors. If the price increase is con","content":"<p>Apple’s iPhone 13 could cost consumers more due to an increase in the price of certain components. This is bad news for users, but probably good news for Apple stock investors.</p>\n<p>IPhone users thinking of upgrading their devices this year (or those looking to switch to the iOS-based product) should expect to reach deeper into their pockets. DigiTimes has&nbsp;reported&nbsp;that Apple’s iPhone 13 could be launched next month at a higher price due to parts inflation.</p>\n<p>Bad news for consumers could be great news for Apple stock&nbsp;investors. If the price increase is confirmed, it provides evidence that AAPL might be a great inflation play during these times of worry over rising producer and consumer prices.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d6f4ac9ebc1b90072340731dc5c1e613\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"698\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Figure 1: Apple's iPhone 12 Pro.</span></p>\n<p><b>What happened?</b></p>\n<p>The iPhone is already considered a pricey tech gadget that can cost as much as $1,400 for the fully loaded, higher-end 12 Pro Max model in the US (see figure below). Due to this year’s components shortage, chip maker TSMC may raise its part prices to Apple by 3% to 5%, which could lead to a similar increase in the price of the yet-to-be-announced iPhone 13.</p>\n<p>It is unlikely that one of the largest and most successful consumer product companies in the world would try to raise prices without confidence that doing so does not impact demand for the new iPhone substantially. Apple can probably afford to hike prices because the company understands the value and the appeal of its luxury brand.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0140b9b68bb9eb5dd7e88aaff384785d\" tg-width=\"707\" tg-height=\"370\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Figure 2: iPhone 12 Pro on Apple's store.</span></p>\n<p><b>A quote from Jim Cramer</b></p>\n<p>One of the most concerning headwinds to stocks in the foreseeable future is the possibility of inflation eroding corporate margins and leading to higher interest rates in 2021-2022. But should producer and consumer prices spike, not all stocks will be impacted equally.</p>\n<p>Generally speaking, companies with strong pricing power that are able to pass on the higher production costs to consumers will likely outperform. This is a point that&nbsp;Mad Money’s Jim Cramer has made recently. Here is his quote:</p>\n<blockquote>\n “When you try to think of what’s working in this market... I want you to ask yourself, would you be insensitive to a price increase if the company put one through? [What are] the companies that can raise prices without infuriating you? Go buy their stocks.”\n</blockquote>\n<p><b>The impact to the P&amp;L</b></p>\n<p>Are higher prices a good or a bad thing for a company’s financial performance? The answer is nuanced and depends on a few factors.</p>\n<p>Holding all else constant, higher prices also mean higher revenues (think of the formula for sales: price times quantity). If the increase in price is decoupled from an increase in product or operating costs, then the hike also helps to boost margins – thus profits as well.</p>\n<p>However, “holding all else constant” is not how the world really works. A change in price tends to have an impact on a few key variables, most important of which is demand. If higher prices do not impact units sold by much or at all, this is great news for revenues and, most likely, earnings.</p>\n<p>The other piece to consider is whether the price hike fully or only partially offsets higher costs. Assuming the latter, revenues can still benefit without a corresponding positive effect on margins and profits. The complexity presented by the many moving parts makes it hard to determine with certainty how a more expensive iPhone may impact Apple’s financial statements in the future.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Stock: How It Could Be A Great Inflation Play</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Stock: How It Could Be A Great Inflation Play\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-28 08:38 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.thestreet.com/apple/iphone/apple-stock-how-it-could-be-a-great-inflation-play><strong>TheStreet</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Apple’s iPhone 13 could cost consumers more due to an increase in the price of certain components. This is bad news for users, but probably good news for Apple stock investors.\nIPhone users thinking ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/iphone/apple-stock-how-it-could-be-a-great-inflation-play\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/iphone/apple-stock-how-it-could-be-a-great-inflation-play","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1162964424","content_text":"Apple’s iPhone 13 could cost consumers more due to an increase in the price of certain components. This is bad news for users, but probably good news for Apple stock investors.\nIPhone users thinking of upgrading their devices this year (or those looking to switch to the iOS-based product) should expect to reach deeper into their pockets. DigiTimes has reported that Apple’s iPhone 13 could be launched next month at a higher price due to parts inflation.\nBad news for consumers could be great news for Apple stock investors. If the price increase is confirmed, it provides evidence that AAPL might be a great inflation play during these times of worry over rising producer and consumer prices.\nFigure 1: Apple's iPhone 12 Pro.\nWhat happened?\nThe iPhone is already considered a pricey tech gadget that can cost as much as $1,400 for the fully loaded, higher-end 12 Pro Max model in the US (see figure below). Due to this year’s components shortage, chip maker TSMC may raise its part prices to Apple by 3% to 5%, which could lead to a similar increase in the price of the yet-to-be-announced iPhone 13.\nIt is unlikely that one of the largest and most successful consumer product companies in the world would try to raise prices without confidence that doing so does not impact demand for the new iPhone substantially. Apple can probably afford to hike prices because the company understands the value and the appeal of its luxury brand.\nFigure 2: iPhone 12 Pro on Apple's store.\nA quote from Jim Cramer\nOne of the most concerning headwinds to stocks in the foreseeable future is the possibility of inflation eroding corporate margins and leading to higher interest rates in 2021-2022. But should producer and consumer prices spike, not all stocks will be impacted equally.\nGenerally speaking, companies with strong pricing power that are able to pass on the higher production costs to consumers will likely outperform. This is a point that Mad Money’s Jim Cramer has made recently. Here is his quote:\n\n “When you try to think of what’s working in this market... I want you to ask yourself, would you be insensitive to a price increase if the company put one through? [What are] the companies that can raise prices without infuriating you? Go buy their stocks.”\n\nThe impact to the P&L\nAre higher prices a good or a bad thing for a company’s financial performance? The answer is nuanced and depends on a few factors.\nHolding all else constant, higher prices also mean higher revenues (think of the formula for sales: price times quantity). If the increase in price is decoupled from an increase in product or operating costs, then the hike also helps to boost margins – thus profits as well.\nHowever, “holding all else constant” is not how the world really works. A change in price tends to have an impact on a few key variables, most important of which is demand. If higher prices do not impact units sold by much or at all, this is great news for revenues and, most likely, earnings.\nThe other piece to consider is whether the price hike fully or only partially offsets higher costs. Assuming the latter, revenues can still benefit without a corresponding positive effect on margins and profits. The complexity presented by the many moving parts makes it hard to determine with certainty how a more expensive iPhone may impact Apple’s financial statements in the future.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":180,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":803888065,"gmtCreate":1627431994357,"gmtModify":1631891612780,"author":{"id":"3572078772819787","authorId":"3572078772819787","name":"Winstonlou","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/872d534505dadd9f2bcdebec4b5df367","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572078772819787","authorIdStr":"3572078772819787"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment&nbsp;","listText":"Like and comment&nbsp;","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/803888065","repostId":"2154991792","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":377,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":175024793,"gmtCreate":1626999495312,"gmtModify":1631893330249,"author":{"id":"3572078772819787","authorId":"3572078772819787","name":"Winstonlou","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/872d534505dadd9f2bcdebec4b5df367","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572078772819787","authorIdStr":"3572078772819787"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment","listText":"Like and comment","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/175024793","repostId":"2153367290","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":206,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}