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keane3921

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2022-02-03

Gdd

EV Stocks Dropped in Morning Trading<blockquote>电动汽车股早盘下跌</blockquote>

2022-01-24

Nonknk

@OptionPlus:年度捡钱机会来了！最适合ATVI的期权操作！

2022-01-15

Will.... Study on it.

@话题虎:3700多亿资金南下，机构高喊：2022年积极做多港股！

2022-01-15

Cats... We will look for u.

@漫投资:黑猫白猫抓到老鼠的就是好猫（2021年投资总结）

2022-01-15

Look into it!

@小虎说英股:哈萨克斯坦🇰🇿乱了！可以在老虎抄底吗？有有有[开心] 哈萨克斯坦拥有全世界最丰富的铀资源[财迷] 所以世界最大的开采铀的公司是一家哈萨克斯坦公司。该公司在$伦敦证券交易所(LSEG.UK)$挂牌、就是KAZATOMPROM[财迷] [财迷] [财迷] $JOINT STOCK COMPANY NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM(KAP.UK)$公司的伦敦股票以美金计价和支付股息[微笑] KAZATAPROM是伦交所唯一哈萨克斯坦挂牌公司由于最近几年世界有越来越多的核电站、铀价格一直在上涨、KAZATOMPROM非常赚钱。公司股息回报率大约3.6%大家都不知道什么会发生了所以在短期KAZATOMPROM的股价波动应该会很大。昨天跌了7%另外俄罗斯政府正在派士兵去哈萨克斯坦、帮国家政府、这个影响俄罗斯最大蓝筹股如天然气巨头$俄罗斯天然气工业股份公司（Gazprom）(OGZD.UK)$和开采巨头$诺里尔斯克镍业(MNOD.UK)$投资俄罗斯和哈萨克斯坦股的小虎门应该记好安全带[鬼脸] $Lithium Americas Corp.(LAC)$$普拉格能源(PLUG)$

2021-11-18

Good

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-11-12

$Alibaba(BABA)$ go up

2021-11-05

$NIO Inc.(NIO)$ is back....

2021-10-31

When he open mouth.... All related share will drop.....???

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-10-28

Good news. Share will gradually up....

@小虎综合资讯:小鹏汽车发布P5交付方案，预计明年3月31日起补装雷达

2021-10-24

Need booster jab...

2021-10-19

Coming back slowly..

@BillionaireQ:$小鹏汽车(XPEV)$ 42.13 补回150股，41.8好像到不了，41.9多一点就回去了。后面如果跌破41.8就再加150股。个人操作，仅供参考。

2021-10-16

稳赚无陪！

@KennethLong:$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$ This one is looking like it will steadily increase.

2021-09-25

C 6 screwc vvqq3

Friday's Market Minute: Takeaways From Another Volatile Earnings Season<blockquote>周五市场纪要：另一个波动的财报季的要点</blockquote>

2021-09-14

Is a good sign..... Share price will gradually up!

Ocugen shares surged more than 13% in Monday morning trading<blockquote>Ocugen股价周一早盘飙升逾13%</blockquote>

2021-09-12

Buy

Buy or Sell Apple Stock Ahead of iPhone Event?<blockquote>在iPhone活动之前买入或卖出苹果股票？</blockquote>

2021-09-09

Good or bad news?

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-09-07

Come

Jerome Powell's Quest For Economic Stability Is Destabilizing<blockquote>杰罗姆·鲍威尔对经济稳定的追求正在破坏稳定</blockquote>

2021-09-07

Good news... got competition!

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-09-07

That is wat he reserve ...

昨夜今晨：拜登宣布新泽西州和纽约州进入联邦紧急状态

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>nio</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>蔚来</span></p></blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>EV Stocks Dropped in Morning Trading<blockquote>电动汽车股早盘下跌</blockquote></title>\n<style 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#7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nEV Stocks Dropped in Morning Trading<blockquote>电动汽车股早盘下跌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2022-02-02 22:40</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>Tesla, Nio, XPeng, and Li Auto fell between 1% and 3% in morning trading.</p><p><blockquote><html><head></head><body>特斯拉、蔚来、小鹏汽车和理想汽车早盘跌幅在1%至3%之间。</body></html></blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eee2a7d57e8975380425d690fa964aaa\" tg-width=\"711\" tg-height=\"607\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>nio</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>蔚来</span></p></blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LI":"理想汽车","XPEV":"小鹏汽车","NIO":"蔚来"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1143415910","content_text":"Tesla, Nio, XPeng, and Li Auto fell between 1% and 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<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">$微软(MSFT)$</a> 在毫无征兆的情况下，宣布将以每股95美元的价格全现金<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ATVI\">$动视暴雪(ATVI)$</a> ，交易总价值687亿美元，较ATVI的前天收盘溢价45%。全球游戏玩家和股民炸开了锅。 这不仅是迄今为止全球游戏行业内规模最大的收购案，也是微软自1975年成立以来所进行的最大一笔收购。交易完成后，微软将获得动视暴雪和子公司King旗下所有工作室的运营管理权，暴雪旗下的游戏我就不细数了，80年代的回忆杀。全现金、明年完成！微软和暴雪的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/RN?name=RNLive&amp;rndata={&quot;liveId&quot;:&quot;16425609441647&quot;}\" target=\"_blank\">电话会</a>中显示双方都认为这个收购是完美的！说明交易成功性非常高，这对近期深陷丑闻漩涡暴雪来说无疑是迎来了一次涅槃重生的机会。而这笔交易的完成，也意味着微软将超过任天堂成为全球收入第三高的游戏公司，仅次于腾讯和索尼。微软CEO纳德拉表示，这笔交易将对微软下一步开发元宇宙发挥关键作用，这些游戏IP将是元宇宙的入口。 关于收购的分析今天已经很多，推荐大家看今天电话会的文字稿，非常具有前瞻指导。 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/697415374\" target=\"_blank\">微软687亿美元并购动视暴雪会议纪要完整版</a>","listText":"“上帝给暴雪关上了一个door，就会给他开一扇Windows”。 <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">$微软(MSFT)$</a> 在毫无征兆的情况下，宣布将以每股95美元的价格全现金<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ATVI\">$动视暴雪(ATVI)$</a> ，交易总价值687亿美元，较ATVI的前天收盘溢价45%。全球游戏玩家和股民炸开了锅。 这不仅是迄今为止全球游戏行业内规模最大的收购案，也是微软自1975年成立以来所进行的最大一笔收购。交易完成后，微软将获得动视暴雪和子公司King旗下所有工作室的运营管理权，暴雪旗下的游戏我就不细数了，80年代的回忆杀。全现金、明年完成！微软和暴雪的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/RN?name=RNLive&amp;rndata={&quot;liveId&quot;:&quot;16425609441647&quot;}\" target=\"_blank\">电话会</a>中显示双方都认为这个收购是完美的！说明交易成功性非常高，这对近期深陷丑闻漩涡暴雪来说无疑是迎来了一次涅槃重生的机会。而这笔交易的完成，也意味着微软将超过任天堂成为全球收入第三高的游戏公司，仅次于腾讯和索尼。微软CEO纳德拉表示，这笔交易将对微软下一步开发元宇宙发挥关键作用，这些游戏IP将是元宇宙的入口。 关于收购的分析今天已经很多，推荐大家看今天电话会的文字稿，非常具有前瞻指导。 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/697415374\" target=\"_blank\">微软687亿美元并购动视暴雪会议纪要完整版</a>","text":"“上帝给暴雪关上了一个door，就会给他开一扇Windows”。 $微软(MSFT)$ 在毫无征兆的情况下，宣布将以每股95美元的价格全现金$动视暴雪(ATVI)$ ，交易总价值687亿美元，较ATVI的前天收盘溢价45%。全球游戏玩家和股民炸开了锅。 这不仅是迄今为止全球游戏行业内规模最大的收购案，也是微软自1975年成立以来所进行的最大一笔收购。交易完成后，微软将获得动视暴雪和子公司King旗下所有工作室的运营管理权，暴雪旗下的游戏我就不细数了，80年代的回忆杀。全现金、明年完成！微软和暴雪的电话会中显示双方都认为这个收购是完美的！说明交易成功性非常高，这对近期深陷丑闻漩涡暴雪来说无疑是迎来了一次涅槃重生的机会。而这笔交易的完成，也意味着微软将超过任天堂成为全球收入第三高的游戏公司，仅次于腾讯和索尼。微软CEO纳德拉表示，这笔交易将对微软下一步开发元宇宙发挥关键作用，这些游戏IP将是元宇宙的入口。 关于收购的分析今天已经很多，推荐大家看今天电话会的文字稿，非常具有前瞻指导。 微软687亿美元并购动视暴雪会议纪要完整版","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd4d2f45c217529a7e6c7582585fd3ee","width":"890","height":"894"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/96914bbe34bd1729e28e4b2efe18e428","width":"902","height":"922"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4bdd90625e539365f110b177070842bf","width":"1272","height":"372"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/697422155","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2329,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":697997085,"gmtCreate":1642203522457,"gmtModify":1642203522723,"author":{"id":"3584355133514261","authorId":"3584355133514261","name":"keane3921","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f91e2aa3ce2d41b7ddd61125b2e64e06","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584355133514261","authorIdStr":"3584355133514261"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Will.... Study on it.&nbsp;","listText":"Will.... Study on it.&nbsp;","text":"Will.... Study on it.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/697997085","repostId":"695555339","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":695555339,"gmtCreate":1641528209298,"gmtModify":1750507658813,"author":{"id":"3502767768442965","authorId":"3502767768442965","name":"话题虎","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d418c2def5dc1d094b03270b450f71ce","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3502767768442965","authorIdStr":"3502767768442965"},"themes":[],"title":"3700多亿资金南下，机构高喊：2022年积极做多港股！","htmlText":"2021年的港股熊遍全球，在全球重要指数排名中，占据跌幅榜前三：在恒指成份股中： <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">$阿里巴巴-SW(09988)$</a>，年跌48.88%，市值缩水超2万亿港元； <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">$腾讯控股(00700)$</a> ，年跌18.79%，市值缩水超万亿港元； <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02318\">$中国平安(02318)$</a> 、<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03690\">$美团-W(03690)$</a> 、<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01810\">$小米集团-W(01810)$</a> 等市值也缩水超三千亿港元。 如今，港股市场情绪极度悲观，流通性也开始下降，甚至有人认为港股市场已经到了“无药可救”的地步。然而，就当散户们哀声一片时，机构们却开始看好2022年港股的反弹行情，并且开始抄底。 据统计，2021年南向资金累计净买入3765.79亿元，虽然不及2020年，但仍位列历年流入金额第二：<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/601555\">$东吴证券(601555)$</a> 分析师认为： 在当前港股市场底部区域应该更为乐观， 以合理的股息率为价值锚，应积极做多港股。 同时，东吴证券给出了2022五条布局主线： 1、出海：突破内需天花板 在内需疲软的情况下，国际竞争力强、具备国际化视野的企业估值中枢有望得到提升。看好家居、五","listText":"2021年的港股熊遍全球，在全球重要指数排名中，占据跌幅榜前三：在恒指成份股中： <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">$阿里巴巴-SW(09988)$</a>，年跌48.88%，市值缩水超2万亿港元； <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">$腾讯控股(00700)$</a> ，年跌18.79%，市值缩水超万亿港元； <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02318\">$中国平安(02318)$</a> 、<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03690\">$美团-W(03690)$</a> 、<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01810\">$小米集团-W(01810)$</a> 等市值也缩水超三千亿港元。 如今，港股市场情绪极度悲观，流通性也开始下降，甚至有人认为港股市场已经到了“无药可救”的地步。然而，就当散户们哀声一片时，机构们却开始看好2022年港股的反弹行情，并且开始抄底。 据统计，2021年南向资金累计净买入3765.79亿元，虽然不及2020年，但仍位列历年流入金额第二：<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/601555\">$东吴证券(601555)$</a> 分析师认为： 在当前港股市场底部区域应该更为乐观， 以合理的股息率为价值锚，应积极做多港股。 同时，东吴证券给出了2022五条布局主线： 1、出海：突破内需天花板 在内需疲软的情况下，国际竞争力强、具备国际化视野的企业估值中枢有望得到提升。看好家居、五","text":"2021年的港股熊遍全球，在全球重要指数排名中，占据跌幅榜前三：在恒指成份股中： $阿里巴巴-SW(09988)$，年跌48.88%，市值缩水超2万亿港元； $腾讯控股(00700)$ ，年跌18.79%，市值缩水超万亿港元； $中国平安(02318)$ 、$美团-W(03690)$ 、$小米集团-W(01810)$ 等市值也缩水超三千亿港元。 如今，港股市场情绪极度悲观，流通性也开始下降，甚至有人认为港股市场已经到了“无药可救”的地步。然而，就当散户们哀声一片时，机构们却开始看好2022年港股的反弹行情，并且开始抄底。 据统计，2021年南向资金累计净买入3765.79亿元，虽然不及2020年，但仍位列历年流入金额第二：$东吴证券(601555)$ 分析师认为： 在当前港股市场底部区域应该更为乐观， 以合理的股息率为价值锚，应积极做多港股。 同时，东吴证券给出了2022五条布局主线： 1、出海：突破内需天花板 在内需疲软的情况下，国际竞争力强、具备国际化视野的企业估值中枢有望得到提升。看好家居、五","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19bb4c0e339fcacc0f7f9869a48c90b3","width":"560","height":"680"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ade9c6bf6770394eab798245fa395222","width":"851","height":"548"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fe1e720d23d6490ac8b1df020d162f8","width":"1280","height":"890"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/695555339","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"subType":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2263,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":697994400,"gmtCreate":1642203478886,"gmtModify":1642203479062,"author":{"id":"3584355133514261","authorId":"3584355133514261","name":"keane3921","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f91e2aa3ce2d41b7ddd61125b2e64e06","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584355133514261","authorIdStr":"3584355133514261"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Cats... We will look for u.&nbsp;","listText":"Cats... We will look for u.&nbsp;","text":"Cats... We will look for u.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/697994400","repostId":"692404368","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":692404368,"gmtCreate":1641125452404,"gmtModify":1641141003279,"author":{"id":"3451627561239325","authorId":"3451627561239325","name":"漫投资","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/84032dec87e05e119903d285a35661a1","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3451627561239325","authorIdStr":"3451627561239325"},"themes":[],"title":"黑猫白猫抓到老鼠的就是好猫（2021年投资总结）","htmlText":"2021已经结束，在年末的这几天里，一直都想写总结，但是却总是在反复纠结中，纠结的就是到底总结的经验是对还是不对？不卖到底对不对？卖出到底对不对？越跌越买对不对？追高对不对？木头姐的<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARKK\">$ARK Innovation ETF(ARKK)$</a>&nbsp;基金下Zoom，Teladoc等股票一直都在越跌越买，芒格连续两个季度抄底<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$阿里巴巴(BABA)$</a>&nbsp;，大空头Miacheal Burry做空美债，特斯拉，ARK反而及时止损，但他们做的都对吗？仔细想想，每个人的背景，资产，投资风格，抗风险能力等都各不相同。当别人持续抄底并熬到反弹的时候，你也许早就没有子弹，甚至早早就缴械投降割在脚脖子了。当别人已经感知风险的时候走为上时，你也许还认为这是价值投资死等反转剧情的上演。虽然2021年股票账户大幅跑输大盘，但多少还有点盲目的认为自己的投资策略没有太大问题。当媳妇问我2021年股票收益咋样时？其实你一切的解释各种投资策略的迷之自信，在人家某某某可是赚钱的反问下变得荡然无存。是啊，不论黑猫白猫抓到老鼠的就是好猫，投资的策略哪有对错，但是否赚钱是检验投资成功与否的唯一标准。在被媳妇打脸后，也就没有了那么多纠结，好好复盘了2021年的所有盈亏，对于自己的投资策略，提炼了我觉的最重要的经验教训或者避雷策略RULE #1：成长股的飞刀不要接！— 估值高的成长股突然大幅下跌不是开玩笑，当初涨得有多猛，之后跌得就有多惨。成长股的增长逻辑就是核心业务的增长速度，市场关心的要么是对用户规模的增速，要么是收入的增速，但通常不会是考核利润，高增长能支撑起高估值，但是增速如果出现问题就","listText":"2021已经结束，在年末的这几天里，一直都想写总结，但是却总是在反复纠结中，纠结的就是到底总结的经验是对还是不对？不卖到底对不对？卖出到底对不对？越跌越买对不对？追高对不对？木头姐的<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARKK\">$ARK Innovation ETF(ARKK)$</a>&nbsp;基金下Zoom，Teladoc等股票一直都在越跌越买，芒格连续两个季度抄底<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$阿里巴巴(BABA)$</a>&nbsp;，大空头Miacheal Burry做空美债，特斯拉，ARK反而及时止损，但他们做的都对吗？仔细想想，每个人的背景，资产，投资风格，抗风险能力等都各不相同。当别人持续抄底并熬到反弹的时候，你也许早就没有子弹，甚至早早就缴械投降割在脚脖子了。当别人已经感知风险的时候走为上时，你也许还认为这是价值投资死等反转剧情的上演。虽然2021年股票账户大幅跑输大盘，但多少还有点盲目的认为自己的投资策略没有太大问题。当媳妇问我2021年股票收益咋样时？其实你一切的解释各种投资策略的迷之自信，在人家某某某可是赚钱的反问下变得荡然无存。是啊，不论黑猫白猫抓到老鼠的就是好猫，投资的策略哪有对错，但是否赚钱是检验投资成功与否的唯一标准。在被媳妇打脸后，也就没有了那么多纠结，好好复盘了2021年的所有盈亏，对于自己的投资策略，提炼了我觉的最重要的经验教训或者避雷策略RULE #1：成长股的飞刀不要接！— 估值高的成长股突然大幅下跌不是开玩笑，当初涨得有多猛，之后跌得就有多惨。成长股的增长逻辑就是核心业务的增长速度，市场关心的要么是对用户规模的增速，要么是收入的增速，但通常不会是考核利润，高增长能支撑起高估值，但是增速如果出现问题就","text":"2021已经结束，在年末的这几天里，一直都想写总结，但是却总是在反复纠结中，纠结的就是到底总结的经验是对还是不对？不卖到底对不对？卖出到底对不对？越跌越买对不对？追高对不对？木头姐的$ARK Innovation ETF(ARKK)$ 基金下Zoom，Teladoc等股票一直都在越跌越买，芒格连续两个季度抄底$阿里巴巴(BABA)$ ，大空头Miacheal 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into it!&nbsp;","listText":"Look into it!&nbsp;","text":"Look into it!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/697994838","repostId":"695629248","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":695629248,"gmtCreate":1641448950448,"gmtModify":1641501701838,"author":{"id":"3528966054893519","authorId":"3528966054893519","name":"小虎说英股","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b444754ad4cb8cbfaf0dcb4fb2537c79","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3528966054893519","authorIdStr":"3528966054893519"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"哈萨克斯坦🇰🇿乱了！可以在老虎抄底吗？有有有[开心]&nbsp;哈萨克斯坦拥有全世界最丰富的铀资源[财迷]&nbsp;所以世界最大的开采铀的公司是一家哈萨克斯坦公司。该公司在<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LSEG.UK\">$伦敦证券交易所(LSEG.UK)$</a>挂牌、就是KAZATOMPROM[财迷]&nbsp;[财迷]&nbsp;[财迷]&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KAP.UK\">$JOINT STOCK COMPANY NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY 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KAZATAPROM是伦交所唯一哈萨克斯坦挂牌公司由于最近几年世界有越来越多的核电站、铀价格一直在上涨、KAZATOMPROM非常赚钱。公司股息回报率大约3.6%大家都不知道什么会发生了所以在短期KAZATOMPROM的股价波动应该会很大。昨天跌了7%另外俄罗斯政府正在派士兵去哈萨克斯坦、帮国家政府、这个影响俄罗斯最大蓝筹股如天然气巨头$俄罗斯天然气工业股份公司（Gazprom）(OGZD.UK)$和开采巨头$诺里尔斯克镍业(MNOD.UK)$投资俄罗斯和哈萨克斯坦股的小虎门应该记好安全带[鬼脸] $Lithium Americas 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back....&nbsp;","text":"$NIO Inc.(NIO)$ is back....","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed0c0f50ff05b923fc7a4f4062955d6c","width":"1200","height":"2795"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/846106206","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2169,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":840624439,"gmtCreate":1635644852149,"gmtModify":1635644852234,"author":{"id":"3584355133514261","authorId":"3584355133514261","name":"keane3921","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f91e2aa3ce2d41b7ddd61125b2e64e06","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584355133514261","authorIdStr":"3584355133514261"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"When he open mouth.... All related share will drop.....???&nbsp;","listText":"When he open mouth.... All related share will drop.....???&nbsp;","text":"When he open mouth.... All related share will drop.....???","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/840624439","repostId":"2179223698","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3022,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3566385558470298","authorId":"3566385558470298","name":"Venus_M","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/525433622d774840840ddaacaf2281d2","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3566385558470298","authorIdStr":"3566385558470298"},"content":"[笑哭] Trump is actually better for stock market. Biden has never cared about make it collapse. that is a known fact from the start","text":"[笑哭] Trump is actually better for stock market. Biden has never cared about make it collapse. that is a known fact from the start","html":"[笑哭] Trump is actually better for stock market. Biden has never cared about make it collapse. that is a known fact from the start"},{"author":{"id":"3566385558470298","authorId":"3566385558470298","name":"Venus_M","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/525433622d774840840ddaacaf2281d2","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3566385558470298","authorIdStr":"3566385558470298"},"content":"for this case, he has urge them to increase production. thus market perceive the shortage issue will be resolved soon. mkt is forward looking thus the drop? 🤔","text":"for this case, he has urge them to increase production. thus market perceive the shortage issue will be resolved soon. mkt is forward looking thus the drop? 🤔","html":"for this case, he has urge them to increase production. thus market perceive the shortage issue will be resolved soon. mkt is forward looking thus the drop? 🤔"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":855481856,"gmtCreate":1635390541519,"gmtModify":1635390541600,"author":{"id":"3584355133514261","authorId":"3584355133514261","name":"keane3921","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f91e2aa3ce2d41b7ddd61125b2e64e06","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584355133514261","authorIdStr":"3584355133514261"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good news. Share will gradually up....&nbsp;","listText":"Good news. Share will gradually up....&nbsp;","text":"Good news. Share will gradually up....","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/855481856","repostId":"852686762","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":852686762,"gmtCreate":1635262026853,"gmtModify":1635262026853,"author":{"id":"3527667586584720","authorId":"3527667586584720","name":"小虎综合资讯","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667586584720","authorIdStr":"3527667586584720"},"themes":[],"title":"小鹏汽车发布P5交付方案，预计明年3月31日起补装雷达","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">$小鹏汽车(XPEV)$</a>官方晚间发布小鹏P5交付方案。在交付方案中，小鹏汽车表示，因毫米雷达供货短缺，影响部分车型的生产和交付时间。对于选择提车后补装雷达交付方案的客户，小鹏方面预计2022年3月31日起分批启动补装雷达。","listText":"<a 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补回150股，41.8好像到不了，41.9多一点就回去了。后面如果跌破41.8就再加150股。个人操作，仅供参考。","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c03f11fc67169ac1e35a6945c317d8f7","width":"750","height":"120"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/824269866","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":484,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":824498084,"gmtCreate":1634344521348,"gmtModify":1634348637109,"author":{"id":"3584355133514261","authorId":"3584355133514261","name":"keane3921","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f91e2aa3ce2d41b7ddd61125b2e64e06","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584355133514261","authorIdStr":"3584355133514261"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"稳赚无陪！","listText":"稳赚无陪！","text":"稳赚无陪！","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/824498084","repostId":"822612817","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":822612817,"gmtCreate":1634125567737,"gmtModify":1634265908684,"author":{"id":"9000000000000141","authorId":"9000000000000141","name":"KennethLong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/168415c8fa94e7b14ffb415e8098eac9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"9000000000000141","authorIdStr":"9000000000000141"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C6L.SI\">$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$</a> This one is looking like it will steadily increase.","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C6L.SI\">$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$</a> This one is looking like it will steadily increase.","text":"$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$ This one is looking like it will steadily increase.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/822612817","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1074,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":861274475,"gmtCreate":1632508173097,"gmtModify":1632714603489,"author":{"id":"3584355133514261","authorId":"3584355133514261","name":"keane3921","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f91e2aa3ce2d41b7ddd61125b2e64e06","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584355133514261","authorIdStr":"3584355133514261"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"C 6 screwc vvqq3","listText":"C 6 screwc vvqq3","text":"C 6 screwc vvqq3","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":11,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/861274475","repostId":"2169153886","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2169153886","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1632494459,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2169153886?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-24 22:40","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Friday's Market Minute: Takeaways From Another Volatile Earnings Season<blockquote>周五市场纪要：另一个波动的财报季的要点</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2169153886","media":"Benzinga","summary":"For many, Nike’s (NYSE: NKE) quarterly report means the unofficial end to earnings season. While bank earnings are now only a few weeks away, marking the start to the third-quarter reports, the second quarter was one worth noting.","content":"<p>  <b>Each quarter’s reports have brought on their own set of hills and valleys. Here is the Summary...</b>  For many, <b>Nike’s </b>(NYSE:NKE) quarterly report means the unofficial end to earnings season. While bank earnings are now only a few weeks away, marking the start to the third-quarter reports, the second quarter was <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> worth noting. Since the pandemic sent the broader market into disarray roughly a year and a half ago, each quarter’s reports have brought on their own set of hills and valleys.</p><p><blockquote><b>每个季度的报告都带来了自己的丘陵和山谷。这是总结...</b>对许多人来说，<b>耐克的</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：NKE）季度报告意味着财报季的非正式结束。虽然距离银行财报发布仅几周时间，标志着第三季度报告的开始，但第二季度<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>值得注意。自从大约一年半前疫情让大盘陷入混乱以来，每个季度的报告都带来了自己的起伏。</blockquote></p><p> The average earnings growth for the period was over 93%, which is the highest on record since 4Q of 2009. On a quarter-over-quarter basis, earnings grew over 6% on average from 1Q21 to 2Q21 and were well above year-ago levels (although facing relatively easy comps to last year’s economic backdrop). Revenue also grew substantially, posting the largest improvement compared to the last nine quarters.</p><p><blockquote>该期间的平均盈利增长率超过93%，是自2009年第四季度以来的最高纪录。从2021年第一季度到2021年第二季度的盈利环比平均增长超过6%，远高于去年同期水平（尽管与去年的经济背景相比相对容易）。收入也大幅增长，与过去九个季度相比，增幅最大。</blockquote></p><p> Plus, not only was there a record amount of companies beating earnings estimates, but these companies also beat expectations by a much higher margin compared to historical levels. Over 87% of companies beat in 2Q, which tied for the highest percentage beat rate in history. The earnings beat was also 87% in 1Q21, 79% in 4Q20, 84% in 3Q20, and 82% in 2Q20 – showing the real strength of the last five quarters. For historical context, the average beat rate since 1994 stands at roughly 66%.</p><p><blockquote>此外，不仅有创纪录数量的公司超出了盈利预期，而且与历史水平相比，这些公司超出预期的幅度也要高得多。超过87%的公司在第二季度获胜，并列历史上最高的获胜百分比。2021年第一季度、2020年第四季度、2020年第三季度和2020年第二季度的盈利超出预期分别为87%、79%、84%和82%，显示了过去五个季度的真实实力。就历史背景而言，自1994年以来的平均节拍率约为66%。</blockquote></p><p> Within the heavily traded and scrutinized FAANG stocks, <b>Amazon </b>(NASDAQ:AMZN) was the only company that reported revenue that disappointed the Street. It was also the e-commerce giant’s first miss since 3Q of 2018, and the stock saw a good amount of selling following the miss (-7.5%). Nike also saw some pressure after reporting a bottom-line beat, but a miss on the top line. The athletic apparel retailer highlighted one major theme that has been mentioned consistently throughout the quarter: supply chain disruptions. Nike’s management said its fiscal 1Q sales would have been higher than reported, if not for supply-chain issues.</p><p><blockquote>在交易量大且受到密切关注的FAANG股票中，<b>亚马逊</b>（纳斯达克：AMZN）是唯一一家报告收入令华尔街失望的公司。这也是这家电子商务巨头自2018年第三季度以来的首次失误，该股在失误后出现了大量抛售（-7.5%）。耐克在报告盈利增长但营收未达预期后也面临一些压力。这家运动服装零售商强调了整个季度一直被提及的一个主要主题：供应链中断。耐克管理层表示，如果不是因为供应链问题，其第一财季销售额将高于报告。</blockquote></p><p> While it is unclear how to gauge when this headwind will be resolved, as several parts of the world continue in a reduced capacity or lockdown, this is a pressure that is extended into the upcoming quarter.</p><p><blockquote>虽然尚不清楚如何衡量这种逆风何时会得到解决，但随着世界上几个地区继续处于产能减少或封锁状态，这种压力将延续到下个季度。</blockquote></p><p> For many, Nike’s quarterly report means the unofficial end to earnings season. While bank earnings are now only a few weeks away, marking the start to the third quarter reports, the second quarter was one worth noting. Since the pandemic sent the broader market into disarray roughly a year and a half ago, each quarter’s reports have brought on their own set of hills and valleys. The average earnings growth for the period was over 93%, which is the highest on record since 4Q of 2009. On a quarter-over-quarter basis, earnings grew over 6% on average from 1Q21 to 2Q21 and were well-above year ago levels (although facing relatively easy comps to last year’s economic backdrop). Revenue also grew substantially, posting the largest improvement compared to the last nine quarters.</p><p><blockquote>对于许多人来说，耐克的季度报告意味着财报季的非正式结束。虽然距离银行盈利只有几周时间，标志着第三季度报告的开始，但第二季度值得注意。自从大约一年半前疫情让大盘陷入混乱以来，每个季度的报告都带来了自己的起伏。该期间的平均盈利增长率超过93%，是自2009年第四季度以来的最高纪录。从2021年第一季度到2021年第二季度的盈利环比平均增长超过6%，远高于去年的水平（尽管与去年的经济背景相比相对容易）。收入也大幅增长，与过去九个季度相比，增幅最大。</blockquote></p><p> Plus, not only was there a record amount of companies beating earnings estimates, these companies also beat expectations by a much higher margin compared to historical levels. Over 87% of companies beat in 2Q, which tied for the highest percentage beat rate in history. Earnings beat was also 87% in 1Q21, 79% in 4Q20, 84% in 3Q20, and 82% in 2Q20 – showing the real strength of the last five quarters. For historical context, the average beat rate since 1994 stands at roughly 66%.</p><p><blockquote>此外，不仅有创纪录数量的公司超出了盈利预期，而且与历史水平相比，这些公司超出预期的利润率也高得多。超过87%的公司在第二季度获胜，并列历史上最高的获胜百分比。2021年第一季度、2020年第四季度、2020年第三季度和2020年第二季度的盈利超出预期分别为87%、79%、84%和82%，显示了过去五个季度的真实实力。就历史背景而言，自1994年以来的平均节拍率约为66%。</blockquote></p><p> Within the heavily traded and scrutinized FAAMG stocks, Amazon was the only company who reported revenue that disappointed the Street. It was also the e-commerce giant’s first miss since 3Q of 2018, and the stock saw a good amount of selling following the miss (-7.5%). Nike also saw some pressure after reporting a bottom-line beat, but a miss on top line. The athletic apparel retailer highlighted one major theme that has been mentioned consistently throughout the quarter: supply chain disruptions. Nike’s management said its fiscal 1Q sales would have been higher than reported, if not for supply-chain issues.</p><p><blockquote>在交易量大、受到密切关注的FAAMG股票中，亚马逊是唯一一家营收令华尔街失望的公司。这也是这家电子商务巨头自2018年第三季度以来的首次失误，该股在失误后出现了大量抛售（-7.5%）。耐克在报告盈利增长但营收未达预期后也面临一些压力。这家运动服装零售商强调了整个季度一直被提及的一个主要主题：供应链中断。耐克管理层表示，如果不是因为供应链问题，其第一财季销售额将高于报告。</blockquote></p><p> While it is unclear how to gauge when this headwind will be resolved, as several parts of the world continue in a reduced capacity or lockdown, this is a pressure that is extended into the upcoming quarter.</p><p><blockquote>虽然尚不清楚如何衡量这种逆风何时会得到解决，但随着世界上几个地区继续处于产能减少或封锁状态，这种压力将延续到下个季度。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Friday's Market Minute: Takeaways From Another Volatile Earnings Season<blockquote>周五市场纪要：另一个波动的财报季的要点</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFriday's Market Minute: Takeaways From Another Volatile Earnings Season<blockquote>周五市场纪要：另一个波动的财报季的要点</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-09-24 22:40</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  <b>Each quarter’s reports have brought on their own set of hills and valleys. Here is the Summary...</b>  For many, <b>Nike’s </b>(NYSE:NKE) quarterly report means the unofficial end to earnings season. While bank earnings are now only a few weeks away, marking the start to the third-quarter reports, the second quarter was <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> worth noting. Since the pandemic sent the broader market into disarray roughly a year and a half ago, each quarter’s reports have brought on their own set of hills and valleys.</p><p><blockquote><b>每个季度的报告都带来了自己的丘陵和山谷。这是总结...</b>对许多人来说，<b>耐克的</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：NKE）季度报告意味着财报季的非正式结束。虽然距离银行财报发布仅几周时间，标志着第三季度报告的开始，但第二季度<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>值得注意。自从大约一年半前疫情让大盘陷入混乱以来，每个季度的报告都带来了自己的起伏。</blockquote></p><p> The average earnings growth for the period was over 93%, which is the highest on record since 4Q of 2009. On a quarter-over-quarter basis, earnings grew over 6% on average from 1Q21 to 2Q21 and were well above year-ago levels (although facing relatively easy comps to last year’s economic backdrop). Revenue also grew substantially, posting the largest improvement compared to the last nine quarters.</p><p><blockquote>该期间的平均盈利增长率超过93%，是自2009年第四季度以来的最高纪录。从2021年第一季度到2021年第二季度的盈利环比平均增长超过6%，远高于去年同期水平（尽管与去年的经济背景相比相对容易）。收入也大幅增长，与过去九个季度相比，增幅最大。</blockquote></p><p> Plus, not only was there a record amount of companies beating earnings estimates, but these companies also beat expectations by a much higher margin compared to historical levels. Over 87% of companies beat in 2Q, which tied for the highest percentage beat rate in history. The earnings beat was also 87% in 1Q21, 79% in 4Q20, 84% in 3Q20, and 82% in 2Q20 – showing the real strength of the last five quarters. For historical context, the average beat rate since 1994 stands at roughly 66%.</p><p><blockquote>此外，不仅有创纪录数量的公司超出了盈利预期，而且与历史水平相比，这些公司超出预期的幅度也要高得多。超过87%的公司在第二季度获胜，并列历史上最高的获胜百分比。2021年第一季度、2020年第四季度、2020年第三季度和2020年第二季度的盈利超出预期分别为87%、79%、84%和82%，显示了过去五个季度的真实实力。就历史背景而言，自1994年以来的平均节拍率约为66%。</blockquote></p><p> Within the heavily traded and scrutinized FAANG stocks, <b>Amazon </b>(NASDAQ:AMZN) was the only company that reported revenue that disappointed the Street. It was also the e-commerce giant’s first miss since 3Q of 2018, and the stock saw a good amount of selling following the miss (-7.5%). Nike also saw some pressure after reporting a bottom-line beat, but a miss on the top line. The athletic apparel retailer highlighted one major theme that has been mentioned consistently throughout the quarter: supply chain disruptions. Nike’s management said its fiscal 1Q sales would have been higher than reported, if not for supply-chain issues.</p><p><blockquote>在交易量大且受到密切关注的FAANG股票中，<b>亚马逊</b>（纳斯达克：AMZN）是唯一一家报告收入令华尔街失望的公司。这也是这家电子商务巨头自2018年第三季度以来的首次失误，该股在失误后出现了大量抛售（-7.5%）。耐克在报告盈利增长但营收未达预期后也面临一些压力。这家运动服装零售商强调了整个季度一直被提及的一个主要主题：供应链中断。耐克管理层表示，如果不是因为供应链问题，其第一财季销售额将高于报告。</blockquote></p><p> While it is unclear how to gauge when this headwind will be resolved, as several parts of the world continue in a reduced capacity or lockdown, this is a pressure that is extended into the upcoming quarter.</p><p><blockquote>虽然尚不清楚如何衡量这种逆风何时会得到解决，但随着世界上几个地区继续处于产能减少或封锁状态，这种压力将延续到下个季度。</blockquote></p><p> For many, Nike’s quarterly report means the unofficial end to earnings season. While bank earnings are now only a few weeks away, marking the start to the third quarter reports, the second quarter was one worth noting. Since the pandemic sent the broader market into disarray roughly a year and a half ago, each quarter’s reports have brought on their own set of hills and valleys. The average earnings growth for the period was over 93%, which is the highest on record since 4Q of 2009. On a quarter-over-quarter basis, earnings grew over 6% on average from 1Q21 to 2Q21 and were well-above year ago levels (although facing relatively easy comps to last year’s economic backdrop). Revenue also grew substantially, posting the largest improvement compared to the last nine quarters.</p><p><blockquote>对于许多人来说，耐克的季度报告意味着财报季的非正式结束。虽然距离银行盈利只有几周时间，标志着第三季度报告的开始，但第二季度值得注意。自从大约一年半前疫情让大盘陷入混乱以来，每个季度的报告都带来了自己的起伏。该期间的平均盈利增长率超过93%，是自2009年第四季度以来的最高纪录。从2021年第一季度到2021年第二季度的盈利环比平均增长超过6%，远高于去年的水平（尽管与去年的经济背景相比相对容易）。收入也大幅增长，与过去九个季度相比，增幅最大。</blockquote></p><p> Plus, not only was there a record amount of companies beating earnings estimates, these companies also beat expectations by a much higher margin compared to historical levels. Over 87% of companies beat in 2Q, which tied for the highest percentage beat rate in history. Earnings beat was also 87% in 1Q21, 79% in 4Q20, 84% in 3Q20, and 82% in 2Q20 – showing the real strength of the last five quarters. For historical context, the average beat rate since 1994 stands at roughly 66%.</p><p><blockquote>此外，不仅有创纪录数量的公司超出了盈利预期，而且与历史水平相比，这些公司超出预期的利润率也高得多。超过87%的公司在第二季度获胜，并列历史上最高的获胜百分比。2021年第一季度、2020年第四季度、2020年第三季度和2020年第二季度的盈利超出预期分别为87%、79%、84%和82%，显示了过去五个季度的真实实力。就历史背景而言，自1994年以来的平均节拍率约为66%。</blockquote></p><p> Within the heavily traded and scrutinized FAAMG stocks, Amazon was the only company who reported revenue that disappointed the Street. It was also the e-commerce giant’s first miss since 3Q of 2018, and the stock saw a good amount of selling following the miss (-7.5%). Nike also saw some pressure after reporting a bottom-line beat, but a miss on top line. The athletic apparel retailer highlighted one major theme that has been mentioned consistently throughout the quarter: supply chain disruptions. Nike’s management said its fiscal 1Q sales would have been higher than reported, if not for supply-chain issues.</p><p><blockquote>在交易量大、受到密切关注的FAAMG股票中，亚马逊是唯一一家营收令华尔街失望的公司。这也是这家电子商务巨头自2018年第三季度以来的首次失误，该股在失误后出现了大量抛售（-7.5%）。耐克在报告盈利增长但营收未达预期后也面临一些压力。这家运动服装零售商强调了整个季度一直被提及的一个主要主题：供应链中断。耐克管理层表示，如果不是因为供应链问题，其第一财季销售额将高于报告。</blockquote></p><p> While it is unclear how to gauge when this headwind will be resolved, as several parts of the world continue in a reduced capacity or lockdown, this is a pressure that is extended into the upcoming quarter.</p><p><blockquote>虽然尚不清楚如何衡量这种逆风何时会得到解决，但随着世界上几个地区继续处于产能减少或封锁状态，这种压力将延续到下个季度。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NKE":"耐克","AMZN":"亚马逊"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2169153886","content_text":"Each quarter’s reports have brought on their own set of hills and valleys. Here is the Summary...\n\nFor many, Nike’s (NYSE:NKE) quarterly report means the unofficial end to earnings season. While bank earnings are now only a few weeks away, marking the start to the third-quarter reports, the second quarter was one worth noting. Since the pandemic sent the broader market into disarray roughly a year and a half ago, each quarter’s reports have brought on their own set of hills and valleys.\nThe average earnings growth for the period was over 93%, which is the highest on record since 4Q of 2009. On a quarter-over-quarter basis, earnings grew over 6% on average from 1Q21 to 2Q21 and were well above year-ago levels (although facing relatively easy comps to last year’s economic backdrop). Revenue also grew substantially, posting the largest improvement compared to the last nine quarters.\nPlus, not only was there a record amount of companies beating earnings estimates, but these companies also beat expectations by a much higher margin compared to historical levels. Over 87% of companies beat in 2Q, which tied for the highest percentage beat rate in history. The earnings beat was also 87% in 1Q21, 79% in 4Q20, 84% in 3Q20, and 82% in 2Q20 – showing the real strength of the last five quarters. For historical context, the average beat rate since 1994 stands at roughly 66%.\nWithin the heavily traded and scrutinized FAANG stocks, Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) was the only company that reported revenue that disappointed the Street. It was also the e-commerce giant’s first miss since 3Q of 2018, and the stock saw a good amount of selling following the miss (-7.5%). Nike also saw some pressure after reporting a bottom-line beat, but a miss on the top line. The athletic apparel retailer highlighted one major theme that has been mentioned consistently throughout the quarter: supply chain disruptions. Nike’s management said its fiscal 1Q sales would have been higher than reported, if not for supply-chain issues.\nWhile it is unclear how to gauge when this headwind will be resolved, as several parts of the world continue in a reduced capacity or lockdown, this is a pressure that is extended into the upcoming quarter.\nFor many, Nike’s quarterly report means the unofficial end to earnings season. While bank earnings are now only a few weeks away, marking the start to the third quarter reports, the second quarter was one worth noting. Since the pandemic sent the broader market into disarray roughly a year and a half ago, each quarter’s reports have brought on their own set of hills and valleys. The average earnings growth for the period was over 93%, which is the highest on record since 4Q of 2009. On a quarter-over-quarter basis, earnings grew over 6% on average from 1Q21 to 2Q21 and were well-above year ago levels (although facing relatively easy comps to last year’s economic backdrop). Revenue also grew substantially, posting the largest improvement compared to the last nine quarters.\nPlus, not only was there a record amount of companies beating earnings estimates, these companies also beat expectations by a much higher margin compared to historical levels. Over 87% of companies beat in 2Q, which tied for the highest percentage beat rate in history. Earnings beat was also 87% in 1Q21, 79% in 4Q20, 84% in 3Q20, and 82% in 2Q20 – showing the real strength of the last five quarters. For historical context, the average beat rate since 1994 stands at roughly 66%.\nWithin the heavily traded and scrutinized FAAMG stocks, Amazon was the only company who reported revenue that disappointed the Street. It was also the e-commerce giant’s first miss since 3Q of 2018, and the stock saw a good amount of selling following the miss (-7.5%). Nike also saw some pressure after reporting a bottom-line beat, but a miss on top line. The athletic apparel retailer highlighted one major theme that has been mentioned consistently throughout the quarter: supply chain disruptions. Nike’s management said its fiscal 1Q sales would have been higher than reported, if not for supply-chain issues.\nWhile it is unclear how to gauge when this headwind will be resolved, as several parts of the world continue in a reduced capacity or lockdown, this is a pressure that is extended into the upcoming quarter.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMZN":0.9,"NKE":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":913,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":886131631,"gmtCreate":1631574281023,"gmtModify":1631891106705,"author":{"id":"3584355133514261","authorId":"3584355133514261","name":"keane3921","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f91e2aa3ce2d41b7ddd61125b2e64e06","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584355133514261","authorIdStr":"3584355133514261"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Is a good sign..... Share price will gradually up!","listText":"Is a good sign..... Share price will gradually up!","text":"Is a good sign..... Share price will gradually up!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":7,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/886131631","repostId":"1126978010","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1126978010","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1631544701,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1126978010?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-13 22:51","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Ocugen shares surged more than 13% in Monday morning trading<blockquote>Ocugen股价周一早盘飙升逾13%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1126978010","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Ocugen shares surged more than 13% in Monday morning trading.\n\nVarious companies have been engaged i","content":"<p>Ocugen shares surged more than 13%&nbsp;in Monday morning trading.</p><p><blockquote>Ocugen股价在周一早盘交易中飙升超过13%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8fcba6c91ee88af0dd90608a79065282\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Various companies have been engaged in producing COVID-19 vaccines since the onset of the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>自疫情爆发以来，多家公司一直在生产新冠肺炎疫苗。</blockquote></p><p> Clinical-stage biotech firm Ocugen (<b>OCGN</b>) joined the race in December 2020, announcing its partnership with India-based Bharat Biotech. Ocugen collaborated with the Indian biotech company to jointly develop Covaxin.</p><p><blockquote>临床阶段生物技术公司Ocugen（<b>OCGN</b>）于2020年12月加入竞争，宣布与印度Bharat Biotech合作。Ocugen与印度生物技术公司合作，共同开发科瓦克辛。</blockquote></p><p> The announcement helped its stock to propel from under 30 cents a share to a stunning, eventual high of&nbsp;$18.77 a share in February. However, prices plummeted to nearly $9 per share in the next month.</p><p><blockquote>这一公告帮助其股价从每股30美分以下上涨至2月份每股18.77美元的惊人高点。然而，在接下来的一个月里，价格暴跌至每股近9美元。</blockquote></p><p> As rival companies came forward with their vaccines while Ocugen lagged behind, the stock started to bleed.</p><p><blockquote>随着竞争对手公司推出疫苗，而Ocugen却落后了，该股开始下跌。</blockquote></p><p> However, OCGN stock is once again witnessing an upward move. Here’s a detailed analysis to find out what’s really happening with the stock. I’m neutral on Ocugen.</p><p><blockquote>然而，OCGN股票再次出现上涨。这里有一个详细的分析，以了解股票的真实情况。我对Ocugen持中立态度。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Delta Variant Concerns Pushing OCGN Stock up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>德尔塔变异毒株担忧推高OCGN股价</b></blockquote></p><p> Newly discovered variants of COVID-19 have been a major cause of concern lately. These variants are more infectious, and resistant, to the already existing COVID-19 vaccines. The Delta variant is one such dangerous strain that has caught the attention of people worldwide.</p><p><blockquote>新发现的新冠肺炎变种是最近令人担忧的主要原因。这些变种对现有的新冠肺炎疫苗更具传染性和耐药性。德尔塔变异毒株病毒就是这样一种危险的菌株，已经引起了全世界人们的注意。</blockquote></p><p> This new variant has piqued global interest in Ocugen, and its Covaxin. Notably, Covaxin is yet to receive approval from FDA. However, the once-forgotten OCGN stock is again back in the discussion, with stock prices moving up by a decent 8.5% in August.</p><p><blockquote>这种新变种激起了全球对Ocugen及其科瓦克辛的兴趣。值得注意的是，科瓦克辛尚未获得FDA的批准。然而，曾经被遗忘的OCGN股票再次回到讨论中，8月份股价上涨了8.5%。</blockquote></p><p> According to many analysts, value investors aren’t interested in this stock. Rather, it is mainly retail investors who are eyeing Ocugen for some quick profit.</p><p><blockquote>许多分析师表示，价值投资者对这只股票不感兴趣。相反，主要是散户投资者关注Ocugen以获取快速利润。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Short-term Catalyst behind the Sudden Spike</b></p><p><blockquote><b>突然飙升背后的短期催化剂</b></blockquote></p><p> Ocugen has been jointly developing Covaxin with Bharat Biotech for use in the North American market. Share prices suffered a decline when Ocugen was denied emergency-use authorization from the FDA, which recommended that the company apply for a biologics-license application instead.</p><p><blockquote>Ocugen一直在与Bharat Biotech联合开发科瓦克辛，用于北美市场。当Ocugen被FDA拒绝紧急使用授权时，股价下跌，FDA建议该公司申请生物制剂许可证申请。</blockquote></p><p> Health Canada is reviewing Covaxin currently. It has not yet been granted approval. However, the news of review was enough to push Ocugen stock higher.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大卫生部目前正在审查科瓦克辛。它尚未获得批准。然而，审查的消息足以推高Ocugen股价。</blockquote></p><p> Moreover, the company intends to submit an Investigational New Drug application for one of its gene therapy candidates. OCU400 is designed to target retinal diseases. Ocugen has already started to assess options to begin trials in Europe in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>此外，该公司打算为其基因治疗候选药物之一提交研究性新药申请。OCU400旨在针对视网膜疾病。Ocugen已经开始评估2022年在欧洲开始试验的选择。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Ocugen Needs to Progress</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Ocugen需要进步</b></blockquote></p><p> The biotech company released a much-awaited business update on August 6. Ocugen failed to generate revenue during the second quarter. Unlike many of its rivals, it doesn’t have any commercialized products at the moment.</p><p><blockquote>这家生物技术公司于8月6日发布了期待已久的业务更新。Ocugen第二季度未能产生收入。与许多竞争对手不同，它目前没有任何商业化产品。</blockquote></p><p> On top of that, it posted a&nbsp;net loss of $26 million during Q2. Expenses related to research and development stood at $18.9 million in the current quarter, as opposed to $1.6 million last year. In addition, administrative expenses increased by 279.8% year-over-year, to $6.8 million.</p><p><blockquote>除此之外，该公司第二季度净亏损2600万美元。本季度与研发相关的费用为1890万美元，而去年为160万美元。此外，管理费用同比增长279.8%，达到680万美元。</blockquote></p><p> As of June 30, cash and cash equivalents stood at $115.6 million.</p><p><blockquote>截至6月30日，现金及现金等价物为1.156亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wall Street’s Take</b></p><p><blockquote><b>华尔街的看法</b></blockquote></p><p> As per TipRanks’ analyst rating consensus, Ocugen stock is a Moderate Buy. Out of four analysts, there are two Buy recommendations, and two Hold recommendations.</p><p><blockquote>根据TipRanks的分析师评级共识，Ocugen股票属于适度买入。四位分析师中，有两位建议买入，两位建议持有。</blockquote></p><p> The&nbsp;average OCGN price target&nbsp;is $8.88. The analyst price targets range from a high of $15 per share, to a low of $4.50 per share.</p><p><blockquote>OCGN平均目标价为8.88美元。分析师的目标价范围从每股15美元的高点到每股4.50美元的低点。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c696ea686fdeaa8d6550e1282efebf7\" tg-width=\"1099\" tg-height=\"374\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>Bottom Line</b></p><p><blockquote><b>底线</b></blockquote></p><p> Ocugen stock could very well profit from the mounting global concerns about the Delta variant.</p><p><blockquote>Ocugen股票很可能从全球对德尔塔变异毒株日益增长的担忧中获利。</blockquote></p><p> There might even be a stock rally. However, the company is badly in need of positive regulatory updates right now.</p><p><blockquote>股票甚至可能会上涨。然而，该公司目前迫切需要积极的监管更新。</blockquote></p><p> It’s an interesting play, but not without risk.</p><p><blockquote>这是一出有趣的戏，但并非没有风险。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Ocugen shares surged more than 13% in Monday morning trading<blockquote>Ocugen股价周一早盘飙升逾13%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOcugen shares surged more than 13% in Monday morning trading<blockquote>Ocugen股价周一早盘飙升逾13%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-09-13 22:51</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Ocugen shares surged more than 13%&nbsp;in Monday morning trading.</p><p><blockquote>Ocugen股价在周一早盘交易中飙升超过13%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8fcba6c91ee88af0dd90608a79065282\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Various companies have been engaged in producing COVID-19 vaccines since the onset of the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>自疫情爆发以来，多家公司一直在生产新冠肺炎疫苗。</blockquote></p><p> Clinical-stage biotech firm Ocugen (<b>OCGN</b>) joined the race in December 2020, announcing its partnership with India-based Bharat Biotech. Ocugen collaborated with the Indian biotech company to jointly develop Covaxin.</p><p><blockquote>临床阶段生物技术公司Ocugen（<b>OCGN</b>）于2020年12月加入竞争，宣布与印度Bharat Biotech合作。Ocugen与印度生物技术公司合作，共同开发科瓦克辛。</blockquote></p><p> The announcement helped its stock to propel from under 30 cents a share to a stunning, eventual high of&nbsp;$18.77 a share in February. However, prices plummeted to nearly $9 per share in the next month.</p><p><blockquote>这一公告帮助其股价从每股30美分以下上涨至2月份每股18.77美元的惊人高点。然而，在接下来的一个月里，价格暴跌至每股近9美元。</blockquote></p><p> As rival companies came forward with their vaccines while Ocugen lagged behind, the stock started to bleed.</p><p><blockquote>随着竞争对手公司推出疫苗，而Ocugen却落后了，该股开始下跌。</blockquote></p><p> However, OCGN stock is once again witnessing an upward move. Here’s a detailed analysis to find out what’s really happening with the stock. I’m neutral on Ocugen.</p><p><blockquote>然而，OCGN股票再次出现上涨。这里有一个详细的分析，以了解股票的真实情况。我对Ocugen持中立态度。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Delta Variant Concerns Pushing OCGN Stock up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>德尔塔变异毒株担忧推高OCGN股价</b></blockquote></p><p> Newly discovered variants of COVID-19 have been a major cause of concern lately. These variants are more infectious, and resistant, to the already existing COVID-19 vaccines. The Delta variant is one such dangerous strain that has caught the attention of people worldwide.</p><p><blockquote>新发现的新冠肺炎变种是最近令人担忧的主要原因。这些变种对现有的新冠肺炎疫苗更具传染性和耐药性。德尔塔变异毒株病毒就是这样一种危险的菌株，已经引起了全世界人们的注意。</blockquote></p><p> This new variant has piqued global interest in Ocugen, and its Covaxin. Notably, Covaxin is yet to receive approval from FDA. However, the once-forgotten OCGN stock is again back in the discussion, with stock prices moving up by a decent 8.5% in August.</p><p><blockquote>这种新变种激起了全球对Ocugen及其科瓦克辛的兴趣。值得注意的是，科瓦克辛尚未获得FDA的批准。然而，曾经被遗忘的OCGN股票再次回到讨论中，8月份股价上涨了8.5%。</blockquote></p><p> According to many analysts, value investors aren’t interested in this stock. Rather, it is mainly retail investors who are eyeing Ocugen for some quick profit.</p><p><blockquote>许多分析师表示，价值投资者对这只股票不感兴趣。相反，主要是散户投资者关注Ocugen以获取快速利润。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Short-term Catalyst behind the Sudden Spike</b></p><p><blockquote><b>突然飙升背后的短期催化剂</b></blockquote></p><p> Ocugen has been jointly developing Covaxin with Bharat Biotech for use in the North American market. Share prices suffered a decline when Ocugen was denied emergency-use authorization from the FDA, which recommended that the company apply for a biologics-license application instead.</p><p><blockquote>Ocugen一直在与Bharat Biotech联合开发科瓦克辛，用于北美市场。当Ocugen被FDA拒绝紧急使用授权时，股价下跌，FDA建议该公司申请生物制剂许可证申请。</blockquote></p><p> Health Canada is reviewing Covaxin currently. It has not yet been granted approval. However, the news of review was enough to push Ocugen stock higher.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大卫生部目前正在审查科瓦克辛。它尚未获得批准。然而，审查的消息足以推高Ocugen股价。</blockquote></p><p> Moreover, the company intends to submit an Investigational New Drug application for one of its gene therapy candidates. OCU400 is designed to target retinal diseases. Ocugen has already started to assess options to begin trials in Europe in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>此外，该公司打算为其基因治疗候选药物之一提交研究性新药申请。OCU400旨在针对视网膜疾病。Ocugen已经开始评估2022年在欧洲开始试验的选择。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Ocugen Needs to Progress</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Ocugen需要进步</b></blockquote></p><p> The biotech company released a much-awaited business update on August 6. Ocugen failed to generate revenue during the second quarter. Unlike many of its rivals, it doesn’t have any commercialized products at the moment.</p><p><blockquote>这家生物技术公司于8月6日发布了期待已久的业务更新。Ocugen第二季度未能产生收入。与许多竞争对手不同，它目前没有任何商业化产品。</blockquote></p><p> On top of that, it posted a&nbsp;net loss of $26 million during Q2. Expenses related to research and development stood at $18.9 million in the current quarter, as opposed to $1.6 million last year. In addition, administrative expenses increased by 279.8% year-over-year, to $6.8 million.</p><p><blockquote>除此之外，该公司第二季度净亏损2600万美元。本季度与研发相关的费用为1890万美元，而去年为160万美元。此外，管理费用同比增长279.8%，达到680万美元。</blockquote></p><p> As of June 30, cash and cash equivalents stood at $115.6 million.</p><p><blockquote>截至6月30日，现金及现金等价物为1.156亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wall Street’s Take</b></p><p><blockquote><b>华尔街的看法</b></blockquote></p><p> As per TipRanks’ analyst rating consensus, Ocugen stock is a Moderate Buy. Out of four analysts, there are two Buy recommendations, and two Hold recommendations.</p><p><blockquote>根据TipRanks的分析师评级共识，Ocugen股票属于适度买入。四位分析师中，有两位建议买入，两位建议持有。</blockquote></p><p> The&nbsp;average OCGN price target&nbsp;is $8.88. The analyst price targets range from a high of $15 per share, to a low of $4.50 per share.</p><p><blockquote>OCGN平均目标价为8.88美元。分析师的目标价范围从每股15美元的高点到每股4.50美元的低点。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c696ea686fdeaa8d6550e1282efebf7\" tg-width=\"1099\" tg-height=\"374\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>Bottom Line</b></p><p><blockquote><b>底线</b></blockquote></p><p> Ocugen stock could very well profit from the mounting global concerns about the Delta variant.</p><p><blockquote>Ocugen股票很可能从全球对德尔塔变异毒株日益增长的担忧中获利。</blockquote></p><p> There might even be a stock rally. However, the company is badly in need of positive regulatory updates right now.</p><p><blockquote>股票甚至可能会上涨。然而，该公司目前迫切需要积极的监管更新。</blockquote></p><p> It’s an interesting play, but not without risk.</p><p><blockquote>这是一出有趣的戏，但并非没有风险。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"OCGN":"Ocugen"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1126978010","content_text":"Ocugen shares surged more than 13% in Monday morning trading.\n\nVarious companies have been engaged in producing COVID-19 vaccines since the onset of the pandemic.\nClinical-stage biotech firm Ocugen (OCGN) joined the race in December 2020, announcing its partnership with India-based Bharat Biotech. Ocugen collaborated with the Indian biotech company to jointly develop Covaxin.\nThe announcement helped its stock to propel from under 30 cents a share to a stunning, eventual high of $18.77 a share in February. However, prices plummeted to nearly $9 per share in the next month.\nAs rival companies came forward with their vaccines while Ocugen lagged behind, the stock started to bleed.\nHowever, OCGN stock is once again witnessing an upward move. Here’s a detailed analysis to find out what’s really happening with the stock. I’m neutral on Ocugen.\nDelta Variant Concerns Pushing OCGN Stock up\nNewly discovered variants of COVID-19 have been a major cause of concern lately. These variants are more infectious, and resistant, to the already existing COVID-19 vaccines. The Delta variant is one such dangerous strain that has caught the attention of people worldwide.\nThis new variant has piqued global interest in Ocugen, and its Covaxin. Notably, Covaxin is yet to receive approval from FDA. However, the once-forgotten OCGN stock is again back in the discussion, with stock prices moving up by a decent 8.5% in August.\nAccording to many analysts, value investors aren’t interested in this stock. Rather, it is mainly retail investors who are eyeing Ocugen for some quick profit.\nShort-term Catalyst behind the Sudden Spike\nOcugen has been jointly developing Covaxin with Bharat Biotech for use in the North American market. Share prices suffered a decline when Ocugen was denied emergency-use authorization from the FDA, which recommended that the company apply for a biologics-license application instead.\nHealth Canada is reviewing Covaxin currently. It has not yet been granted approval. However, the news of review was enough to push Ocugen stock higher.\nMoreover, the company intends to submit an Investigational New Drug application for one of its gene therapy candidates. OCU400 is designed to target retinal diseases. Ocugen has already started to assess options to begin trials in Europe in 2022.\nOcugen Needs to Progress\nThe biotech company released a much-awaited business update on August 6. Ocugen failed to generate revenue during the second quarter. Unlike many of its rivals, it doesn’t have any commercialized products at the moment.\nOn top of that, it posted a net loss of $26 million during Q2. Expenses related to research and development stood at $18.9 million in the current quarter, as opposed to $1.6 million last year. In addition, administrative expenses increased by 279.8% year-over-year, to $6.8 million.\nAs of June 30, cash and cash equivalents stood at $115.6 million.\nWall Street’s Take\nAs per TipRanks’ analyst rating consensus, Ocugen stock is a Moderate Buy. Out of four analysts, there are two Buy recommendations, and two Hold recommendations.\nThe average OCGN price target is $8.88. The analyst price targets range from a high of $15 per share, to a low of $4.50 per share.\n\nBottom Line\nOcugen stock could very well profit from the mounting global concerns about the Delta variant.\nThere might even be a stock rally. However, the company is badly in need of positive regulatory updates right now.\nIt’s an interesting play, but not without risk.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"OCGN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":686,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":888906108,"gmtCreate":1631418826004,"gmtModify":1631891106715,"author":{"id":"3584355133514261","authorId":"3584355133514261","name":"keane3921","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f91e2aa3ce2d41b7ddd61125b2e64e06","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584355133514261","authorIdStr":"3584355133514261"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Buy","listText":"Buy","text":"Buy","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/888906108","repostId":"1101906502","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1101906502","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1631407634,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1101906502?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-12 08:47","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Buy or Sell Apple Stock Ahead of iPhone Event?<blockquote>在iPhone活动之前买入或卖出苹果股票？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1101906502","media":"TheStreet","summary":"Apple stock was under pressure on Friday, with its iPhone event just days away. Here's how to trade the stock from here.Shares of Apple Report fell $5.10, or 3.31%, to end at $148.97 Friday, as investors digested recent news and prepared for the iPhone event next week.On Sept. 14, the company will hold a virtual event to introduce the new device. Dubbed “California Streaming,” it’s expected that Apple will introduce its new iPhone and Apple Watch.However, Apple remains in the news for other reas","content":"<p>Apple stock was under pressure on Friday, with its iPhone event just days away. Here's how to trade the stock from here.</p><p><blockquote>苹果股价周五承压，距离iPhone发布会只有几天了。以下是如何从这里交易股票。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of Apple&nbsp;Report&nbsp;fell $5.10, or 3.31%, to end at $148.97 Friday, as investors digested recent news and prepared for the iPhone event next week.</p><p><blockquote>苹果报告股价周五下跌5.10美元，跌幅3.31%，收于148.97美元，因投资者消化近期消息并为下周的iPhone发布会做准备。</blockquote></p><p> On Sept. 14, the company will&nbsp;hold a virtual event to introduce&nbsp;the new device. Dubbed “California Streaming,” it’s expected that Apple will introduce its new iPhone and Apple Watch.</p><p><blockquote>9月14日，该公司将举办一场虚拟活动来介绍这款新设备。被称为“加州流媒体”的苹果预计将推出其新的iPhone和苹果手表。</blockquote></p><p> However, Apple remains in the news for other reasons, too.</p><p><blockquote>然而，苹果仍然因为其他原因出现在新闻中。</blockquote></p><p> After hitting new highs earlier this week, the stock declined Friday after news of a court ruling&nbsp;in its case with Epic Games.</p><p><blockquote>在本周早些时候创下新高后，在法院对其与Epic Games的案件做出裁决的消息传出后，该股周五下跌。</blockquote></p><p> That’s alongside a report that was published by well-known Morgan Stanley analyst Katy Huberty, who made the case that Apple stock&nbsp;is “compelling” ahead of its upcoming event.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，摩根士丹利著名分析师凯蒂·休伯蒂(Katy Huberty)发表了一份报告，她认为苹果股票在即将举行的活动之前“引人注目”。</blockquote></p><p> Like I said, it’s a lot of information for investors to digest. Let’s take a look at how the charts are setting up.</p><p><blockquote>就像我说的，投资者需要消化很多信息。让我们来看看图表是如何设置的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Trading Apple Stock</b></p><p><blockquote><b>交易苹果股票</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd94f6dcfc32af44a4ae542425f3c92f\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"429\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Daily chart of Apple stock.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>苹果股票日线图。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Each time Apple has reported earnings this year, it has resulted in a selloff. Unfortunately, those selloffs would come right as the stock was at or near all-time highs. Those events are marked on the chart with blue arrows.</p><p><blockquote>苹果今年每次公布财报，都会引发抛售。不幸的是，当该股处于或接近历史高点时，这些抛售就会发生。这些事件在图表上用蓝色箭头标记。</blockquote></p><p> It was even more frustrating that Apple&nbsp;blew out analysts’ expectations each time, yet the stock sold off anyway.</p><p><blockquote>更令人沮丧的是，苹果每次都超出分析师的预期，但该股仍遭到抛售。</blockquote></p><p> However, rather than a massive dip following the most recent report, the stock only pulled back to the $145 area, near the prior high. It also held the 21-day moving average as support.</p><p><blockquote>然而，在最新报告发布后，该股并没有大幅下跌，而是仅回落至145美元区域，接近之前的高点。它还持有21日均线作为支撑。</blockquote></p><p> The stock has since pushed up through $150 and earlier this week, hit new all-time highs.</p><p><blockquote>此后，该股已升至150美元，并于本周早些时候创下历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> For now, we’re getting a dip back down to the key $150 area and the 21-day moving average. Aggressive bulls can buy this dip ahead of the company’s event on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>目前，我们正在回落至关键的150美元区域和21日移动平均线。激进的多头可以在该公司周二的活动之前逢低买入。</blockquote></p><p> If we break Friday’s low, investors may consider stopping out of the trade and buying on a potentially larger dip down to the 50-day moving average or the $145 area.</p><p><blockquote>如果我们突破周五的低点，投资者可能会考虑停止交易，并在可能更大的跌幅跌至50日移动平均线或145美元区域时买入。</blockquote></p><p> Below $145 may put the $138 level and the 200-day moving average in play.</p><p><blockquote>低于145美元可能会影响138美元水平和200日移动平均线。</blockquote></p><p> Should Apple trade up through the all-time high at $157.26, the 161.8% extension is in play up near $160. Above that mark could put the $172 to $175 zone on the table, depending on how investors react to the event.</p><p><blockquote>如果苹果股价上涨至157.26美元的历史高点，则161.8%的涨幅将升至160美元附近。高于该关口可能会出现172美元至175美元的区域，具体取决于投资者对该事件的反应。</blockquote></p><p> For what it’s worth, September is by far Apple’s worst-performing month, up just three of the last 11 years for the month.</p><p><blockquote>无论如何，9月份是苹果迄今为止表现最差的一个月，在过去11年中，该月份仅增长了3年。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Buy or Sell Apple Stock Ahead of iPhone Event?<blockquote>在iPhone活动之前买入或卖出苹果股票？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBuy or Sell Apple Stock Ahead of iPhone Event?<blockquote>在iPhone活动之前买入或卖出苹果股票？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">TheStreet</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-12 08:47</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Apple stock was under pressure on Friday, with its iPhone event just days away. Here's how to trade the stock from here.</p><p><blockquote>苹果股价周五承压，距离iPhone发布会只有几天了。以下是如何从这里交易股票。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of Apple&nbsp;Report&nbsp;fell $5.10, or 3.31%, to end at $148.97 Friday, as investors digested recent news and prepared for the iPhone event next week.</p><p><blockquote>苹果报告股价周五下跌5.10美元，跌幅3.31%，收于148.97美元，因投资者消化近期消息并为下周的iPhone发布会做准备。</blockquote></p><p> On Sept. 14, the company will&nbsp;hold a virtual event to introduce&nbsp;the new device. Dubbed “California Streaming,” it’s expected that Apple will introduce its new iPhone and Apple Watch.</p><p><blockquote>9月14日，该公司将举办一场虚拟活动来介绍这款新设备。被称为“加州流媒体”的苹果预计将推出其新的iPhone和苹果手表。</blockquote></p><p> However, Apple remains in the news for other reasons, too.</p><p><blockquote>然而，苹果仍然因为其他原因出现在新闻中。</blockquote></p><p> After hitting new highs earlier this week, the stock declined Friday after news of a court ruling&nbsp;in its case with Epic Games.</p><p><blockquote>在本周早些时候创下新高后，在法院对其与Epic Games的案件做出裁决的消息传出后，该股周五下跌。</blockquote></p><p> That’s alongside a report that was published by well-known Morgan Stanley analyst Katy Huberty, who made the case that Apple stock&nbsp;is “compelling” ahead of its upcoming event.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，摩根士丹利著名分析师凯蒂·休伯蒂(Katy Huberty)发表了一份报告，她认为苹果股票在即将举行的活动之前“引人注目”。</blockquote></p><p> Like I said, it’s a lot of information for investors to digest. Let’s take a look at how the charts are setting up.</p><p><blockquote>就像我说的，投资者需要消化很多信息。让我们来看看图表是如何设置的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Trading Apple Stock</b></p><p><blockquote><b>交易苹果股票</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd94f6dcfc32af44a4ae542425f3c92f\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"429\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Daily chart of Apple stock.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>苹果股票日线图。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Each time Apple has reported earnings this year, it has resulted in a selloff. Unfortunately, those selloffs would come right as the stock was at or near all-time highs. Those events are marked on the chart with blue arrows.</p><p><blockquote>苹果今年每次公布财报，都会引发抛售。不幸的是，当该股处于或接近历史高点时，这些抛售就会发生。这些事件在图表上用蓝色箭头标记。</blockquote></p><p> It was even more frustrating that Apple&nbsp;blew out analysts’ expectations each time, yet the stock sold off anyway.</p><p><blockquote>更令人沮丧的是，苹果每次都超出分析师的预期，但该股仍遭到抛售。</blockquote></p><p> However, rather than a massive dip following the most recent report, the stock only pulled back to the $145 area, near the prior high. It also held the 21-day moving average as support.</p><p><blockquote>然而，在最新报告发布后，该股并没有大幅下跌，而是仅回落至145美元区域，接近之前的高点。它还持有21日均线作为支撑。</blockquote></p><p> The stock has since pushed up through $150 and earlier this week, hit new all-time highs.</p><p><blockquote>此后，该股已升至150美元，并于本周早些时候创下历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> For now, we’re getting a dip back down to the key $150 area and the 21-day moving average. Aggressive bulls can buy this dip ahead of the company’s event on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>目前，我们正在回落至关键的150美元区域和21日移动平均线。激进的多头可以在该公司周二的活动之前逢低买入。</blockquote></p><p> If we break Friday’s low, investors may consider stopping out of the trade and buying on a potentially larger dip down to the 50-day moving average or the $145 area.</p><p><blockquote>如果我们突破周五的低点，投资者可能会考虑停止交易，并在可能更大的跌幅跌至50日移动平均线或145美元区域时买入。</blockquote></p><p> Below $145 may put the $138 level and the 200-day moving average in play.</p><p><blockquote>低于145美元可能会影响138美元水平和200日移动平均线。</blockquote></p><p> Should Apple trade up through the all-time high at $157.26, the 161.8% extension is in play up near $160. Above that mark could put the $172 to $175 zone on the table, depending on how investors react to the event.</p><p><blockquote>如果苹果股价上涨至157.26美元的历史高点，则161.8%的涨幅将升至160美元附近。高于该关口可能会出现172美元至175美元的区域，具体取决于投资者对该事件的反应。</blockquote></p><p> For what it’s worth, September is by far Apple’s worst-performing month, up just three of the last 11 years for the month.</p><p><blockquote>无论如何，9月份是苹果迄今为止表现最差的一个月，在过去11年中，该月份仅增长了3年。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/trading-apple-aapl-stock-ahead-of-iphone13-event\">TheStreet</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/trading-apple-aapl-stock-ahead-of-iphone13-event","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1101906502","content_text":"Apple stock was under pressure on Friday, with its iPhone event just days away. Here's how to trade the stock from here.\nShares of Apple Report fell $5.10, or 3.31%, to end at $148.97 Friday, as investors digested recent news and prepared for the iPhone event next week.\nOn Sept. 14, the company will hold a virtual event to introduce the new device. Dubbed “California Streaming,” it’s expected that Apple will introduce its new iPhone and Apple Watch.\nHowever, Apple remains in the news for other reasons, too.\nAfter hitting new highs earlier this week, the stock declined Friday after news of a court ruling in its case with Epic Games.\nThat’s alongside a report that was published by well-known Morgan Stanley analyst Katy Huberty, who made the case that Apple stock is “compelling” ahead of its upcoming event.\nLike I said, it’s a lot of information for investors to digest. Let’s take a look at how the charts are setting up.\nTrading Apple Stock\nDaily chart of Apple stock.\nEach time Apple has reported earnings this year, it has resulted in a selloff. Unfortunately, those selloffs would come right as the stock was at or near all-time highs. Those events are marked on the chart with blue arrows.\nIt was even more frustrating that Apple blew out analysts’ expectations each time, yet the stock sold off anyway.\nHowever, rather than a massive dip following the most recent report, the stock only pulled back to the $145 area, near the prior high. It also held the 21-day moving average as support.\nThe stock has since pushed up through $150 and earlier this week, hit new all-time highs.\nFor now, we’re getting a dip back down to the key $150 area and the 21-day moving average. Aggressive bulls can buy this dip ahead of the company’s event on Tuesday.\nIf we break Friday’s low, investors may consider stopping out of the trade and buying on a potentially larger dip down to the 50-day moving average or the $145 area.\nBelow $145 may put the $138 level and the 200-day moving average in play.\nShould Apple trade up through the all-time high at $157.26, the 161.8% extension is in play up near $160. Above that mark could put the $172 to $175 zone on the table, depending on how investors react to the event.\nFor what it’s worth, September is by far Apple’s worst-performing month, up just three of the last 11 years for the month.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":335,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":889863071,"gmtCreate":1631140645893,"gmtModify":1631891106728,"author":{"id":"3584355133514261","authorId":"3584355133514261","name":"keane3921","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f91e2aa3ce2d41b7ddd61125b2e64e06","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584355133514261","authorIdStr":"3584355133514261"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good or bad news?&nbsp;","listText":"Good or bad news?&nbsp;","text":"Good or bad news?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/889863071","repostId":"2165239949","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":458,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":817513715,"gmtCreate":1630974521337,"gmtModify":1631891106739,"author":{"id":"3584355133514261","authorId":"3584355133514261","name":"keane3921","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f91e2aa3ce2d41b7ddd61125b2e64e06","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584355133514261","authorIdStr":"3584355133514261"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Come","listText":"Come","text":"Come","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/817513715","repostId":"1138372877","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1138372877","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1630932732,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1138372877?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-06 20:52","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Jerome Powell's Quest For Economic Stability Is Destabilizing<blockquote>杰罗姆·鲍威尔对经济稳定的追求正在破坏稳定</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1138372877","media":"zerohedge","summary":"When the chairman of the Federal Reserve Bank speaks the financial markets listen, and this was no d","content":"<p>When the chairman of the Federal Reserve Bank speaks the financial markets listen, and this was no different with Jerome Powell’s virtual address to the annual meeting of central bankers at Jackson Hole, Wyoming. What they got is what Harry Truman complained about when hearing from his economic advisors:<i><b>“On the one hand, ‘this,’ but on the other hand, ‘that’.”</b></i>Truman said that he desperately wanted a one-handed economist.</p><p><blockquote>当美联储主席发表讲话时，金融市场都会倾听，这与杰罗姆·鲍威尔在怀俄明州杰克逊霍尔举行的央行行长年会上的虚拟讲话没有什么不同。他们得到的是哈里·杜鲁门在听取他的经济顾问的意见时所抱怨的：<i><b>“一方面是‘这个’，另一方面是‘那个’。”</b></i>杜鲁门说，他非常想要一个单手经济学家。</blockquote></p><p> After a decade of general economic calm most of the time, with modest to reasonable growth, relatively low price inflation, and, at the beginning of 2020 before the Coronavirus lockdowns, unemployment at its lowest level in half a century,<b>everyone is now worried about what to expect from the Federal Reserve in terms of monetary and interest rate policy in the months and years ahead in the face of all that has been happening for the last year and a half.</b></p><p><blockquote>在经历了十年大部分时间经济总体平静、适度至合理的增长、相对较低的物价通胀，以及在2020年初冠状病毒封锁之前，失业率处于半个世纪以来的最低水平，<b>面对过去一年半发生的一切，每个人现在都在担心美联储在未来几个月和几年的货币和利率政策方面会发生什么。</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Whipsaw GDP and Huge Government Expenditures</b></p><p><blockquote><b>大幅增长的GDP和巨额政府支出</b></blockquote></p><p> After a staggering decline in real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) from $19.2 trillion in the fourth quarter of 2019 to $17.2 trillion in the second quarter of 2020, or a 9 percent decrease of real GDP in a matter of a few months, the latest revised estimate by the&nbsp;Bureau of Economic Analysis&nbsp;(BEA) for the second quarter of 2021 is that real GDP reached $19.36 trillion. This was a 12.5 percent increase over its 2020 low, and a level now above its pre-Coronavirus high.</p><p><blockquote>在实际国内生产总值（GDP）从2019年第四季度的19.2万亿美元惊人下降到2020年第二季度的17.2万亿美元，即实际GDP在几个月内下降了9%之后，经济分析局（BEA）对2021年第二季度的最新修订估计为实际GDP达到19.36万亿美元。这比2020年的低点增长了12.5%，目前高于冠状病毒爆发前的高点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>It is worth keeping in mind, however, that all of these numbers are exaggerated in terms of real private sector vibrancy because in 2019, federal government&nbsp;expenditures&nbsp;came to $4.45 trillion, or 23 percent of that $19.2 trillion GDP total.</b>By the end of 2020, due to the relaxing of the federal and state lockdown and shutdown mandates over much of the U.S. economy in the second half of last year, real GDP had recovered to $18.76 trillion, but federal government expenditures came to $6.6 trillion, or 35 percent of that total GDP. And just in the first half of 2021, out of that $19.36 trillion GDP, federal spending has already been $5.86 trillion of that total, or 30.2 percent.</p><p><blockquote><b>然而，值得记住的是，就私营部门的实际活力而言，所有这些数字都被夸大了，因为2019年，联邦政府支出达到4.45万亿美元，占19.2万亿美元GDP总额的23%。</b>到2020年底，由于去年下半年联邦和州对美国经济大部分地区的封锁和关闭命令放松，实际GDP已恢复至18.76万亿美元，但联邦政府支出达到6.6万亿美元，占GDP总量的35%。就在2021年上半年，在19.36万亿美元的GDP中，联邦支出已经占了5.86万亿美元，占30.2%。</blockquote></p><p> If government spending is even partly discounted from GDP as a false indicator of the economic “health” of the U.S., since Uncle Sam has nothing to spend other than what it either first taxes away from the private sector or has borrowed from the financial markets, the private economy is far from doing as well as the GDP numbers suggest.</p><p><blockquote>如果政府支出甚至部分从GDP中扣除，作为美国经济“健康”的错误指标，因为山姆大叔除了首先从私营部门征税或从金融市场借款之外没有什么可花的，私营经济远没有GDP数据显示的那么好。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lagging Unemployment and Rising Price Inflation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>滞后的失业和不断上升的物价通胀</b></blockquote></p><p> After unemployment had reached a low of 3.5 percent of the labor force at the start of 2020, it rose to almost 15 percent in April of last year, due to the government-commanded halt of a huge amount of economic activity. In&nbsp;July 2021, unemployment had declined to 5.4 percent of the labor force; but this still left it almost 55 percent above its low at the beginning of 2020.</p><p><blockquote>在2020年初达到劳动力3.5%的低点后，由于政府下令停止大量经济活动，失业率在去年4月升至近15%。2021年7月，失业率已降至劳动力的5.4%；但这仍使其比2020年初的低点高出近55%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>After the&nbsp;Consumer Price Index&nbsp;(CPI) mostly fluctuated in a relatively narrow range of between one and two percent, annually, over the last ten years, 2021 has seen the CPI increase to 5.4 percent in July of this year. Certain subgroups, such as energy and used car automotive sectors increased in double digit ranges on an annualized basis.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>在过去十年中，消费者价格指数（CPI）每年大多在1%至2%的相对狭窄范围内波动后，2021年CPI在今年7月上涨至5.4%。某些子组，例如能源和二手车汽车行业，年化增长幅度达到两位数。</b></blockquote></p><p> With unemployment still considered high, with the CPI increasing noticeably above the decade-long annual average, and question marks concerning how GDP will grow for the remainder of this year, given continuing supply-chain disruptions and uncertainties about the impact of variations and new mutations of the Coronavirus, all eyes and ears turned to Jerome Powell’s pronouncements about the future direction of Federal Reserve monetary and interest rate policy.</p><p><blockquote>由于失业率仍然很高，CPI涨幅明显高于十年来的年平均水平，鉴于供应链持续中断以及变异和新变异影响的不确定性，今年剩余时间GDP将如何增长也存在问号冠状病毒，所有的眼睛和耳朵都转向了杰罗姆·鲍威尔关于美联储货币和利率政策未来方向的声明。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Powell’s Maybe This, Maybe That, Policy Pronouncement</b></p><p><blockquote><b>鲍威尔的政策声明也许是这个，也许是那个</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>And what he said was that the Federal Reserve Board of Governors has not decided what to do!</b></p><p><blockquote><b>而他说的是，美联储理事会还没有决定该怎么做！</b></blockquote></p><p> On the one hand, the economy is improving so, perhaps, before the end of the year, the Fed will reduce its current&nbsp;monthly purchase&nbsp;of $120 billion worth of assets – $80 billion of U.S. government securities, and $40 billion of mortgage-backed securities. And it may decide that it is time to no longer use its policy tools to keep key interest rates close to zero.</p><p><blockquote>一方面，经济正在改善，因此，也许在今年年底之前，美联储将减少目前每月购买价值1200亿美元的资产——800亿美元的美国政府证券和400亿美元的抵押贷款支持证券。它可能会决定，是时候不再使用其政策工具将关键利率保持在接近零的水平了。</blockquote></p><p> On the other hand, recent price inflation may only be a transitory spurt due to supply-side problems, so the concern about accelerating price increases may be misplaced. Therefore, it may be premature to reduce asset purchases too quickly and certainly it is necessary to be cautious in any nudging up of interest rates that might cut short the national economic recovery before unemployment has been reduced, once again, to a level closer to standard benchmarks of “full employment.”</p><p><blockquote>另一方面，近期的价格通胀可能只是供给侧问题造成的短暂井喷，因此对价格加速上涨的担忧可能是错位的。因此，过快减少资产购买可能还为时过早，当然，在失业率再次降至更接近“充分就业”标准基准的水平之前，任何可能缩短国民经济复苏的加息都需要谨慎。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> On the one hand, the worst of the Coronavirus may have passed, so there may be no new shutdown hurdles in the way of continuing improvement as reflected in the usual macroeconomic measurements. On the other hand, virus variants may prevent a smooth path to a fully restored and growing economy. So, it may be too soon to really specify when and by how much asset purchases will be reduced or by how much those interest rates will be raised from their current near zero levels.</p><p><blockquote>一方面，冠状病毒最糟糕的时期可能已经过去，因此在持续改善的道路上可能不会出现新的停工障碍，正如通常的宏观经济指标所反映的那样。另一方面，病毒变种可能会阻碍通往全面恢复和增长的经济的顺利道路。因此，现在真正确定何时减少资产购买以及减少多少，或者这些利率将从目前接近零的水平上调多少，可能还为时过早。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed Chairman also said that, on the one hand, the Fed leadership has plenty of experience and policy tools to keep the economy on a sound and even path. On the other hand, such things as the impact of the Coronavirus and the threats facing the world from global warming are unique, making charting the Fed policy course a distinct challenge.</p><p><blockquote>这位美联储主席还表示，一方面，美联储领导层拥有丰富的经验和政策工具，可以让经济保持在稳健、平稳的道路上。另一方面，冠状病毒的影响和全球变暖对世界的威胁是独特的，这使得制定美联储的政策路线成为一个明显的挑战。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Powell’s Reticence and the Political Business Cycle</b></p><p><blockquote><b>鲍威尔的沉默与政治商业周期</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>In other words, Jerome Powell evaded any straightforward policy program, and therefore offered something for almost everyone, in terms of easing fears and concerns that either the policy foot will stay too long where it is on the accelerator or will start putting on the brakes too quickly.</b>Either he is being reticent due to honest doubts about what he thinks is ahead for the economy, or he knows how to play to the audience in the White House and in Congress who will decide whether or not he is appointed for a second term as chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. After all, you don’t want to seem to be planning any clear policy moves that might threaten the reelection of Senators or Congressmen in the 2022 elections, or antagonize a president who does not want to lose his thin majority in the national legislature.</p><p><blockquote><b>换句话说，杰罗姆·鲍威尔回避了任何直截了当的政策计划，因此为几乎所有人提供了一些东西，缓解了人们的恐惧和担忧，即政策要么会在油门上停留太久，要么会开始踩刹车太快。</b>要么他是因为对他认为的经济前景的诚实怀疑而保持沉默，要么他知道如何迎合白宫和国会的观众，他们将决定他是否被任命为美联储系统理事会主席的第二个任期。毕竟，你不想看起来正在计划任何可能威胁参议员或众议员在2022年选举中连任的明确政策举措，或者激怒一位不想失去在国家立法机构中微弱多数的总统。</blockquote></p><p> That politicians and central bankers are sensitive to the phases of the business cycle as they may impact the political electoral cycle in thinking about their policy decisions and directions has been understood by some economists at least since Johan Akerman’s (1896-1982) analysis of the&nbsp;“Political Economic Cycle”&nbsp;(<i>Kyklos</i>, May 1947), in which he traced out observed changes in those running governments in democratic societies resulting from the phases in the business cycle, and how those in government attempt to manage public policy to maintain their political positions.</p><p><blockquote>至少自约翰·阿克曼（Johan Akerman，1896-1982）对“政治经济周期”（<i>基克洛斯</i>在这篇文章中，他追溯了在民主社会中由商业周期的各个阶段引起的政府管理者的变化，以及政府中的那些人如何试图管理公共政策以维持他们的政治地位。</blockquote></p><p> Historically, Akerman said, looking over the period from the mid-19th&nbsp;century to 1945 in countries like Great Britain, the United States, Germany, and Sweden, the result of the analysis could be summarized in the following way: “All general economic depressions in England . . . lead to cabinet crises and a change of the party in power . . . In the United States the presidential elections as a rule involve a change in party control when votes are cast during a depression and a maintenance of the party in office when the votes are cast during periods of prosperity,” in sixteen of the twenty elections between 1865 and 1945.</p><p><blockquote>阿克曼说，从历史上看，纵观19世纪中期至1945年期间的英国、美国、德国和瑞典等国家，分析结果可以总结如下：“英国所有普遍的经济萧条……都会导致内阁危机和执政党的更迭……在美国，总统选举通常涉及在萧条时期投票时改变政党控制，在繁荣时期投票时维持政党执政”，在1865年至1945年的20次选举中有16次。</blockquote></p><p> Governments, Akerman also pointed out, try “to stabilize financial and economic conditions, and for a brief period may succeed in doing so.” While not pursuing it in his article, the fact is that the underlying circumstances that create “booms” that result in “busts” are usually of the government’s own policy. making. The “good times” monetary and fiscal policies finally create the economic crises that threaten the political policy-makers’ positions in authority. Hence, a government’s frequent demise in the next election when a recession or depression finally occurs. (p. 107)</p><p><blockquote>阿克曼还指出，各国政府试图“稳定金融和经济状况，在短时间内可能会成功。”虽然他的文章没有追究这一点，但事实是，造成“繁荣”导致“萧条”的潜在环境通常是政府自己的政策。制作。“好时代”的货币和财政政策最终造成了经济危机，威胁到政治决策者的权威地位。因此，当经济衰退或萧条最终发生时，政府往往会在下一次选举中垮台。（第107页）</blockquote></p><p> <b>Interest Rates Should Coordinate Savings and Investment</b></p><p><blockquote><b>利率应协调储蓄和投资</b></blockquote></p><p> But this gets to the real essence of the dilemma in Jerome Powell’s statement of Federal Reserve policy and its possible future direction. The underlying presumption is that a central bank can and should be attempting to manage the monetary system and the level of interest rates in the financial markets and, therefore, trying to macro-manage the society as a whole.</p><p><blockquote>但这触及了杰罗姆·鲍威尔美联储政策声明中困境的真正本质及其未来可能的方向。潜在的假设是，中央银行可以也应该试图管理货币体系和金融市场的利率水平，因此，试图对整个社会进行宏观管理。</blockquote></p><p> Let us start with interest rates. The role of market prices is to bring into coordinated balance the two sides of demand and supply. Prices do so by effectively informing those needing to know on the supply side what is it that demanders want and the value they place upon it in terms of what they are willing to pay to get it; prices, at the same time, inform demanders what suppliers can and are willing to produce and offer for sale, and at what price reflecting the producer’s opportunity costs of bringing a particular good or service to market. The competitive interaction of those two sides of the market brings about the balance between them.</p><p><blockquote>让我们从利率开始。市场价格的作用是使供求双方达到协调平衡。价格通过有效地告知那些在供应方需要知道需求者想要什么以及他们愿意支付什么来获得它的价值来做到这一点；与此同时，价格告诉需求者供应商能够并且愿意生产和出售什么，以及以什么价格反映了生产者将特定商品或服务推向市场的机会成本。市场双方的竞争互动带来了它们之间的平衡。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The role of interest rates is to do the same for borrowers and lenders. It is the trading of the use of resources across time between those who are interested and willing to defer the more immediate use of resources (expressed in money) in their possession or under their control, in return for a premium in the future from those interested in more immediate uses of those resources beyond their own capacity in exchange for paying such a premium in the future. That premium is the rate of interest, which may vary with the duration of the loan and risk elements in extending it.</p><p><blockquote>利率的作用是为借款人和贷款人做同样的事情。它是那些有兴趣并愿意推迟更直接地使用其拥有或控制的资源（以货币表示）的人之间对资源使用的交易，以换取那些有兴趣更直接地使用超出其自身能力的资源的人在未来支付这种溢价。该溢价就是利率，它可能会随着贷款期限和延长贷款的风险因素而变化。</blockquote></p><p> The role of the rate of interest is to coordinate the willingness of savers with the desires of borrowers. Any rate of interest above or below this results in, respectively, an excess of savings over investment demand or an excess of investment demand over available savings.</p><p><blockquote>利率的作用是协调储户的意愿和借款人的意愿。高于或低于这一利率的任何利率分别导致储蓄超过投资需求或投资需求超过可用储蓄。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Manipulating Interests Rates Distorts Markets</b></p><p><blockquote><b>操纵利率扭曲市场</b></blockquote></p><p> The crucial difference between a price, say, for hats that is set below the market-clearing, or coordinating, level is that a shortage results with some willing buyers leaving the market empty-handed; but when the Federal Reserve, or any central bank, wishes to manipulate interest rates below the market coordinating level, it fills the gap with newly created money with which loans may be extended in excess of actual savings in the economy.</p><p><blockquote>比如说，低于市场清算或协调水平的帽子价格之间的关键区别在于，短缺会导致一些有意愿的买家空手离开市场；但是，当美联储或任何中央银行希望将利率操纵到市场协调水平以下时，它就会用新创造的货币来填补缺口，这些货币可以用来发放超过经济实际储蓄的贷款。</blockquote></p><p> This not only results in an increase in the number of units of the medium of exchange through which buyers can express their greater demand for desired goods and services, tending, in general, to place upward pressure on overall market prices. It also influences the structure of relative prices and wages, since increases in the supply of money can only enter the economy through the increased demand for the particular goods, resources, and services those borrowers of that new money wish to purchase and use. But the money is then passed to another group of hands; that is, those who have sold those goods, resources and services to the borrowers. This second group, in turn, spends the new money that they have received from sales on other goods, resources and services for which they wish to increase their demand.</p><p><blockquote>这不仅导致交换媒介单位数量的增加，购买者可以通过这种媒介表达他们对所需商品和服务的更大需求，通常倾向于对总体市场价格施加上行压力。它还影响相对价格和工资的结构，因为货币供应量的增加只能通过对新货币的借款人希望购买和使用的特定商品、资源和服务的需求增加而进入经济。但是这些钱随后被传递到另一组人手中；即那些向借款人出售这些商品、资源和服务的人。反过来，第二组人将他们从销售中获得的新钱花在他们希望增加需求的其他商品、资源和服务上。</blockquote></p><p> Step-by-step, in a patterned sequence through time, the newly created money increases the demands and the prices of one set of goods and services, and then another, and then another, until, finally, in principle, all prices for finished goods and the factors of production will have been impacted to one degree or another, at different times in the sequence, with changes in relative profit margins and employment opportunities for as long as the monetary inflationary process continues.</p><p><blockquote>随着时间的推移，新创造的货币一步一步地增加了一套商品和服务的需求和价格，然后是另一套，然后是另一套，直到最后，原则上，成品和生产要素的所有价格都会在序列的不同时间受到某种程度的影响，只要货币通货膨胀过程继续，相对利润率和就业机会就会发生变化。</blockquote></p><p> This also means that whenever the monetary expansion stops or slows down, or even, perhaps, fails to accelerate, the resulting patterned use of labor, resources, and capital equipment brought into existence due to the way the money has entered into the economy and is being spent, period-after-period, begins to fall apart. This precipitates a readjustment process during which it is discovered that labor, capital and resources have been directed into allocated and applied for uses that are unsustainable once the inflationary process comes to an end.</p><p><blockquote>这也意味着，每当货币扩张停止或放缓，甚至可能未能加速时，由于货币进入经济和支出的方式而产生的劳动力、资源和资本设备的模式使用就开始分崩离析。这引发了一个重新调整过程，在此过程中，人们发现，一旦通货膨胀过程结束，劳动力、资本和资源已被分配和应用于不可持续的用途。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Fed’s Monetary Expansion and Bank Reserve Tricks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>美联储的货币扩张和银行准备金技巧</b></blockquote></p><p> For over ten years, since the financial and housing crisis of 2008-2009, the Federal Reserve has been dramatically expanding the money supply. In January 2008, the&nbsp;Monetary Base&nbsp;(loanable reserves in the banking system plus currency in general circulation) equaled $837 billion; by August 2014, the Monetary Base had been expanded to over $4 trillion. In February 2020, just before the Coronavirus crisis impacted the U.S. in terms of the government mandated lockdowns and shutdowns, it still was historically high at $3.45 trillion; but by July 2021, the Monetary Base stood at $6.13 trillion, or a nearly 78 percent increase just in the last year and a half.</p><p><blockquote>自2008-2009年金融和房地产危机以来的十多年里，美联储一直在大幅扩大货币供应。2008年1月，货币基础（银行体系可供借贷储备加上一般流通货币）为8,370亿元；到2014年8月，货币基础已扩大到超过4万亿美元。2020年2月，就在冠状病毒危机影响美国政府强制封锁和停工之前，仍处于3.45万亿美元的历史高位；但到2021年7月，基础货币为6.13万亿美元，仅在过去一年半内就增长了近78%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Why has there not been the expected general price inflation from such a huge increase in the money supply through the banking system? Because the Federal Reserve has been paying banks not to fully lend the loanable reserves at their disposal.</b>As a result, as of&nbsp;July 2021, banks were holding “excess reserves,” (that is, reserves above the minimum Federal Reserve rules require banks to hold against possible cash withdrawals by their depositors), of around $3.9 trillion, upon which the Federal Reserve&nbsp;pays&nbsp;those banks an interest rate of 0.15 percent. In other words, 63 percent of the Monetary Base is being held off the active loan market.</p><p><blockquote><b>为什么通过银行系统如此巨大的货币供应增加没有出现预期的普遍价格通胀？因为美联储一直在付钱给银行，让他们不要完全借出他们可以支配的可贷准备金。</b>因此，截至2021年7月，银行持有约3.9万亿美元的“超额准备金”（即高于美联储规则要求银行为储户可能提取现金而持有的最低准备金），美联储向这些银行支付0.15%的利率。换句话说，63%的基础货币被活跃的贷款市场拒之门外。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Given that real GDP in the United States has increased by over 25 percent since 2010, and the velocity of circulation of money (number of times money turns over in transactions per period of time), has decreased by almost 40 percent over the last ten years or so, it is not too surprising that prices in general have not been rising more, or more rapidly, given these countervailing factors, plus the Federal Reserve’s “trick” of paying banks to not lend all the huge amount of bank reserves their open market operations have created during the past decade.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于美国的实际GDP自2010年以来增长了25%以上，而货币流通速度（每段时间内货币在交易中周转的次数）在过去十年左右下降了近40%，鉴于这些抵消因素，再加上美联储付钱给银行不要将其公开市场操作在过去十年中创造的所有巨额银行准备金放贷的“伎俩”，价格总体上没有上涨更多或更快也就不足为奇了。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Markets Still Distorted, Even with Low Price Inflation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>即使价格通胀较低，市场仍然扭曲</b></blockquote></p><p> It is nonetheless the case, that through its continuing large purchases of U.S. treasuries and mortgage-backed securities, market interest rates have been artificially pushed significantly below any rates of interest that would prevail on financial markets not manipulated in this manner.</p><p><blockquote>然而，事实是，通过持续大量购买美国国债和抵押贷款支持证券，市场利率被人为地大幅推低到不以这种方式操纵的金融市场的任何利率以下。</blockquote></p><p> <b>It is not unreasonable to ask what informational role market interest rates have been even playing about the real underlying savings and investment borrowing relationship in the economy in such a setting. Federal Reserve monetary and interest rate policy has undermined any reasonably accurate intertemporal price to coordinate saving with borrowing.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>在这种情况下，人们不禁要问，市场利率在经济中真正的潜在储蓄和投资借贷关系中发挥了什么信息作用。美联储的货币和利率政策破坏了任何合理准确的跨期价格来协调储蓄和借贷。</b></blockquote></p><p> Another way of saying this is that the Federal Reserve’s monetary central planning has virtually abolished a market-based pricing system for the allocation and use of resources across time. How can anyone easily know what real savings is available to fund investment and other loan uses in a way that is not throwing the economy out of serious balance?</p><p><blockquote>另一种说法是，美联储的货币中央计划实际上废除了跨时间资源分配和使用的基于市场的定价体系。任何人怎么能轻易地知道有哪些真正的储蓄可以用来为投资和其他贷款用途提供资金，而不会使经济严重失衡？</blockquote></p><p> In the name of trying to steer the economic “ship” to assure growing GDP, moderate price inflation, and “full employment” of the labor force, Jerome Powell and his fellow Fed Board members are, in fact, setting the stage for an eventual economic downturn by distorting a series of interconnected “microeconomic” relationships in the name of “macroeconomic” stability.</p><p><blockquote>杰罗姆·鲍威尔（Jerome Powell）和他的美联储董事会成员以试图驾驭经济“船”以确保GDP增长、温和的价格通胀和劳动力“充分就业”的名义，实际上是在通过以“宏观经济”稳定的名义扭曲一系列相互关联的“微观经济”关系，为最终的经济衰退埋下伏笔。</blockquote></p><p> When the Fed chairman cautiously suggests that the American central bankers are not sure what they are going to do, it is because they cannot do what they say they want to do.<b>By trying to pursue their declared goals through the monetary and interest rate policy tools at their disposal, they are, in fact, continuing to imbalance and wrongly “twist” the real economy in ways that will result in the instability, and the eventual recession and likely price inflation they say they wish to prevent.</b></p><p><blockquote>当美联储主席谨慎地暗示美国央行行长们不确定他们要做什么时，那是因为他们不能做他们说想做的事情。<b>通过试图通过他们所掌握的货币和利率政策工具来追求他们宣称的目标，他们实际上是在继续失衡和错误地“扭曲”实体经济，从而导致不稳定、最终的衰退和他们所说的他们希望防止的可能的价格通胀。</b></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Jerome Powell's Quest For Economic Stability Is Destabilizing<blockquote>杰罗姆·鲍威尔对经济稳定的追求正在破坏稳定</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nJerome Powell's Quest For Economic Stability Is Destabilizing<blockquote>杰罗姆·鲍威尔对经济稳定的追求正在破坏稳定</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-06 20:52</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>When the chairman of the Federal Reserve Bank speaks the financial markets listen, and this was no different with Jerome Powell’s virtual address to the annual meeting of central bankers at Jackson Hole, Wyoming. What they got is what Harry Truman complained about when hearing from his economic advisors:<i><b>“On the one hand, ‘this,’ but on the other hand, ‘that’.”</b></i>Truman said that he desperately wanted a one-handed economist.</p><p><blockquote>当美联储主席发表讲话时，金融市场都会倾听，这与杰罗姆·鲍威尔在怀俄明州杰克逊霍尔举行的央行行长年会上的虚拟讲话没有什么不同。他们得到的是哈里·杜鲁门在听取他的经济顾问的意见时所抱怨的：<i><b>“一方面是‘这个’，另一方面是‘那个’。”</b></i>杜鲁门说，他非常想要一个单手经济学家。</blockquote></p><p> After a decade of general economic calm most of the time, with modest to reasonable growth, relatively low price inflation, and, at the beginning of 2020 before the Coronavirus lockdowns, unemployment at its lowest level in half a century,<b>everyone is now worried about what to expect from the Federal Reserve in terms of monetary and interest rate policy in the months and years ahead in the face of all that has been happening for the last year and a half.</b></p><p><blockquote>在经历了十年大部分时间经济总体平静、适度至合理的增长、相对较低的物价通胀，以及在2020年初冠状病毒封锁之前，失业率处于半个世纪以来的最低水平，<b>面对过去一年半发生的一切，每个人现在都在担心美联储在未来几个月和几年的货币和利率政策方面会发生什么。</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Whipsaw GDP and Huge Government Expenditures</b></p><p><blockquote><b>大幅增长的GDP和巨额政府支出</b></blockquote></p><p> After a staggering decline in real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) from $19.2 trillion in the fourth quarter of 2019 to $17.2 trillion in the second quarter of 2020, or a 9 percent decrease of real GDP in a matter of a few months, the latest revised estimate by the&nbsp;Bureau of Economic Analysis&nbsp;(BEA) for the second quarter of 2021 is that real GDP reached $19.36 trillion. This was a 12.5 percent increase over its 2020 low, and a level now above its pre-Coronavirus high.</p><p><blockquote>在实际国内生产总值（GDP）从2019年第四季度的19.2万亿美元惊人下降到2020年第二季度的17.2万亿美元，即实际GDP在几个月内下降了9%之后，经济分析局（BEA）对2021年第二季度的最新修订估计为实际GDP达到19.36万亿美元。这比2020年的低点增长了12.5%，目前高于冠状病毒爆发前的高点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>It is worth keeping in mind, however, that all of these numbers are exaggerated in terms of real private sector vibrancy because in 2019, federal government&nbsp;expenditures&nbsp;came to $4.45 trillion, or 23 percent of that $19.2 trillion GDP total.</b>By the end of 2020, due to the relaxing of the federal and state lockdown and shutdown mandates over much of the U.S. economy in the second half of last year, real GDP had recovered to $18.76 trillion, but federal government expenditures came to $6.6 trillion, or 35 percent of that total GDP. And just in the first half of 2021, out of that $19.36 trillion GDP, federal spending has already been $5.86 trillion of that total, or 30.2 percent.</p><p><blockquote><b>然而，值得记住的是，就私营部门的实际活力而言，所有这些数字都被夸大了，因为2019年，联邦政府支出达到4.45万亿美元，占19.2万亿美元GDP总额的23%。</b>到2020年底，由于去年下半年联邦和州对美国经济大部分地区的封锁和关闭命令放松，实际GDP已恢复至18.76万亿美元，但联邦政府支出达到6.6万亿美元，占GDP总量的35%。就在2021年上半年，在19.36万亿美元的GDP中，联邦支出已经占了5.86万亿美元，占30.2%。</blockquote></p><p> If government spending is even partly discounted from GDP as a false indicator of the economic “health” of the U.S., since Uncle Sam has nothing to spend other than what it either first taxes away from the private sector or has borrowed from the financial markets, the private economy is far from doing as well as the GDP numbers suggest.</p><p><blockquote>如果政府支出甚至部分从GDP中扣除，作为美国经济“健康”的错误指标，因为山姆大叔除了首先从私营部门征税或从金融市场借款之外没有什么可花的，私营经济远没有GDP数据显示的那么好。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lagging Unemployment and Rising Price Inflation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>滞后的失业和不断上升的物价通胀</b></blockquote></p><p> After unemployment had reached a low of 3.5 percent of the labor force at the start of 2020, it rose to almost 15 percent in April of last year, due to the government-commanded halt of a huge amount of economic activity. In&nbsp;July 2021, unemployment had declined to 5.4 percent of the labor force; but this still left it almost 55 percent above its low at the beginning of 2020.</p><p><blockquote>在2020年初达到劳动力3.5%的低点后，由于政府下令停止大量经济活动，失业率在去年4月升至近15%。2021年7月，失业率已降至劳动力的5.4%；但这仍使其比2020年初的低点高出近55%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>After the&nbsp;Consumer Price Index&nbsp;(CPI) mostly fluctuated in a relatively narrow range of between one and two percent, annually, over the last ten years, 2021 has seen the CPI increase to 5.4 percent in July of this year. Certain subgroups, such as energy and used car automotive sectors increased in double digit ranges on an annualized basis.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>在过去十年中，消费者价格指数（CPI）每年大多在1%至2%的相对狭窄范围内波动后，2021年CPI在今年7月上涨至5.4%。某些子组，例如能源和二手车汽车行业，年化增长幅度达到两位数。</b></blockquote></p><p> With unemployment still considered high, with the CPI increasing noticeably above the decade-long annual average, and question marks concerning how GDP will grow for the remainder of this year, given continuing supply-chain disruptions and uncertainties about the impact of variations and new mutations of the Coronavirus, all eyes and ears turned to Jerome Powell’s pronouncements about the future direction of Federal Reserve monetary and interest rate policy.</p><p><blockquote>由于失业率仍然很高，CPI涨幅明显高于十年来的年平均水平，鉴于供应链持续中断以及变异和新变异影响的不确定性，今年剩余时间GDP将如何增长也存在问号冠状病毒，所有的眼睛和耳朵都转向了杰罗姆·鲍威尔关于美联储货币和利率政策未来方向的声明。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Powell’s Maybe This, Maybe That, Policy Pronouncement</b></p><p><blockquote><b>鲍威尔的政策声明也许是这个，也许是那个</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>And what he said was that the Federal Reserve Board of Governors has not decided what to do!</b></p><p><blockquote><b>而他说的是，美联储理事会还没有决定该怎么做！</b></blockquote></p><p> On the one hand, the economy is improving so, perhaps, before the end of the year, the Fed will reduce its current&nbsp;monthly purchase&nbsp;of $120 billion worth of assets – $80 billion of U.S. government securities, and $40 billion of mortgage-backed securities. And it may decide that it is time to no longer use its policy tools to keep key interest rates close to zero.</p><p><blockquote>一方面，经济正在改善，因此，也许在今年年底之前，美联储将减少目前每月购买价值1200亿美元的资产——800亿美元的美国政府证券和400亿美元的抵押贷款支持证券。它可能会决定，是时候不再使用其政策工具将关键利率保持在接近零的水平了。</blockquote></p><p> On the other hand, recent price inflation may only be a transitory spurt due to supply-side problems, so the concern about accelerating price increases may be misplaced. Therefore, it may be premature to reduce asset purchases too quickly and certainly it is necessary to be cautious in any nudging up of interest rates that might cut short the national economic recovery before unemployment has been reduced, once again, to a level closer to standard benchmarks of “full employment.”</p><p><blockquote>另一方面，近期的价格通胀可能只是供给侧问题造成的短暂井喷，因此对价格加速上涨的担忧可能是错位的。因此，过快减少资产购买可能还为时过早，当然，在失业率再次降至更接近“充分就业”标准基准的水平之前，任何可能缩短国民经济复苏的加息都需要谨慎。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> On the one hand, the worst of the Coronavirus may have passed, so there may be no new shutdown hurdles in the way of continuing improvement as reflected in the usual macroeconomic measurements. On the other hand, virus variants may prevent a smooth path to a fully restored and growing economy. So, it may be too soon to really specify when and by how much asset purchases will be reduced or by how much those interest rates will be raised from their current near zero levels.</p><p><blockquote>一方面，冠状病毒最糟糕的时期可能已经过去，因此在持续改善的道路上可能不会出现新的停工障碍，正如通常的宏观经济指标所反映的那样。另一方面，病毒变种可能会阻碍通往全面恢复和增长的经济的顺利道路。因此，现在真正确定何时减少资产购买以及减少多少，或者这些利率将从目前接近零的水平上调多少，可能还为时过早。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed Chairman also said that, on the one hand, the Fed leadership has plenty of experience and policy tools to keep the economy on a sound and even path. On the other hand, such things as the impact of the Coronavirus and the threats facing the world from global warming are unique, making charting the Fed policy course a distinct challenge.</p><p><blockquote>这位美联储主席还表示，一方面，美联储领导层拥有丰富的经验和政策工具，可以让经济保持在稳健、平稳的道路上。另一方面，冠状病毒的影响和全球变暖对世界的威胁是独特的，这使得制定美联储的政策路线成为一个明显的挑战。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Powell’s Reticence and the Political Business Cycle</b></p><p><blockquote><b>鲍威尔的沉默与政治商业周期</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>In other words, Jerome Powell evaded any straightforward policy program, and therefore offered something for almost everyone, in terms of easing fears and concerns that either the policy foot will stay too long where it is on the accelerator or will start putting on the brakes too quickly.</b>Either he is being reticent due to honest doubts about what he thinks is ahead for the economy, or he knows how to play to the audience in the White House and in Congress who will decide whether or not he is appointed for a second term as chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. After all, you don’t want to seem to be planning any clear policy moves that might threaten the reelection of Senators or Congressmen in the 2022 elections, or antagonize a president who does not want to lose his thin majority in the national legislature.</p><p><blockquote><b>换句话说，杰罗姆·鲍威尔回避了任何直截了当的政策计划，因此为几乎所有人提供了一些东西，缓解了人们的恐惧和担忧，即政策要么会在油门上停留太久，要么会开始踩刹车太快。</b>要么他是因为对他认为的经济前景的诚实怀疑而保持沉默，要么他知道如何迎合白宫和国会的观众，他们将决定他是否被任命为美联储系统理事会主席的第二个任期。毕竟，你不想看起来正在计划任何可能威胁参议员或众议员在2022年选举中连任的明确政策举措，或者激怒一位不想失去在国家立法机构中微弱多数的总统。</blockquote></p><p> That politicians and central bankers are sensitive to the phases of the business cycle as they may impact the political electoral cycle in thinking about their policy decisions and directions has been understood by some economists at least since Johan Akerman’s (1896-1982) analysis of the&nbsp;“Political Economic Cycle”&nbsp;(<i>Kyklos</i>, May 1947), in which he traced out observed changes in those running governments in democratic societies resulting from the phases in the business cycle, and how those in government attempt to manage public policy to maintain their political positions.</p><p><blockquote>至少自约翰·阿克曼（Johan Akerman，1896-1982）对“政治经济周期”（<i>基克洛斯</i>在这篇文章中，他追溯了在民主社会中由商业周期的各个阶段引起的政府管理者的变化，以及政府中的那些人如何试图管理公共政策以维持他们的政治地位。</blockquote></p><p> Historically, Akerman said, looking over the period from the mid-19th&nbsp;century to 1945 in countries like Great Britain, the United States, Germany, and Sweden, the result of the analysis could be summarized in the following way: “All general economic depressions in England . . . lead to cabinet crises and a change of the party in power . . . In the United States the presidential elections as a rule involve a change in party control when votes are cast during a depression and a maintenance of the party in office when the votes are cast during periods of prosperity,” in sixteen of the twenty elections between 1865 and 1945.</p><p><blockquote>阿克曼说，从历史上看，纵观19世纪中期至1945年期间的英国、美国、德国和瑞典等国家，分析结果可以总结如下：“英国所有普遍的经济萧条……都会导致内阁危机和执政党的更迭……在美国，总统选举通常涉及在萧条时期投票时改变政党控制，在繁荣时期投票时维持政党执政”，在1865年至1945年的20次选举中有16次。</blockquote></p><p> Governments, Akerman also pointed out, try “to stabilize financial and economic conditions, and for a brief period may succeed in doing so.” While not pursuing it in his article, the fact is that the underlying circumstances that create “booms” that result in “busts” are usually of the government’s own policy. making. The “good times” monetary and fiscal policies finally create the economic crises that threaten the political policy-makers’ positions in authority. Hence, a government’s frequent demise in the next election when a recession or depression finally occurs. (p. 107)</p><p><blockquote>阿克曼还指出，各国政府试图“稳定金融和经济状况，在短时间内可能会成功。”虽然他的文章没有追究这一点，但事实是，造成“繁荣”导致“萧条”的潜在环境通常是政府自己的政策。制作。“好时代”的货币和财政政策最终造成了经济危机，威胁到政治决策者的权威地位。因此，当经济衰退或萧条最终发生时，政府往往会在下一次选举中垮台。（第107页）</blockquote></p><p> <b>Interest Rates Should Coordinate Savings and Investment</b></p><p><blockquote><b>利率应协调储蓄和投资</b></blockquote></p><p> But this gets to the real essence of the dilemma in Jerome Powell’s statement of Federal Reserve policy and its possible future direction. The underlying presumption is that a central bank can and should be attempting to manage the monetary system and the level of interest rates in the financial markets and, therefore, trying to macro-manage the society as a whole.</p><p><blockquote>但这触及了杰罗姆·鲍威尔美联储政策声明中困境的真正本质及其未来可能的方向。潜在的假设是，中央银行可以也应该试图管理货币体系和金融市场的利率水平，因此，试图对整个社会进行宏观管理。</blockquote></p><p> Let us start with interest rates. The role of market prices is to bring into coordinated balance the two sides of demand and supply. Prices do so by effectively informing those needing to know on the supply side what is it that demanders want and the value they place upon it in terms of what they are willing to pay to get it; prices, at the same time, inform demanders what suppliers can and are willing to produce and offer for sale, and at what price reflecting the producer’s opportunity costs of bringing a particular good or service to market. The competitive interaction of those two sides of the market brings about the balance between them.</p><p><blockquote>让我们从利率开始。市场价格的作用是使供求双方达到协调平衡。价格通过有效地告知那些在供应方需要知道需求者想要什么以及他们愿意支付什么来获得它的价值来做到这一点；与此同时，价格告诉需求者供应商能够并且愿意生产和出售什么，以及以什么价格反映了生产者将特定商品或服务推向市场的机会成本。市场双方的竞争互动带来了它们之间的平衡。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The role of interest rates is to do the same for borrowers and lenders. It is the trading of the use of resources across time between those who are interested and willing to defer the more immediate use of resources (expressed in money) in their possession or under their control, in return for a premium in the future from those interested in more immediate uses of those resources beyond their own capacity in exchange for paying such a premium in the future. That premium is the rate of interest, which may vary with the duration of the loan and risk elements in extending it.</p><p><blockquote>利率的作用是为借款人和贷款人做同样的事情。它是那些有兴趣并愿意推迟更直接地使用其拥有或控制的资源（以货币表示）的人之间对资源使用的交易，以换取那些有兴趣更直接地使用超出其自身能力的资源的人在未来支付这种溢价。该溢价就是利率，它可能会随着贷款期限和延长贷款的风险因素而变化。</blockquote></p><p> The role of the rate of interest is to coordinate the willingness of savers with the desires of borrowers. Any rate of interest above or below this results in, respectively, an excess of savings over investment demand or an excess of investment demand over available savings.</p><p><blockquote>利率的作用是协调储户的意愿和借款人的意愿。高于或低于这一利率的任何利率分别导致储蓄超过投资需求或投资需求超过可用储蓄。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Manipulating Interests Rates Distorts Markets</b></p><p><blockquote><b>操纵利率扭曲市场</b></blockquote></p><p> The crucial difference between a price, say, for hats that is set below the market-clearing, or coordinating, level is that a shortage results with some willing buyers leaving the market empty-handed; but when the Federal Reserve, or any central bank, wishes to manipulate interest rates below the market coordinating level, it fills the gap with newly created money with which loans may be extended in excess of actual savings in the economy.</p><p><blockquote>比如说，低于市场清算或协调水平的帽子价格之间的关键区别在于，短缺会导致一些有意愿的买家空手离开市场；但是，当美联储或任何中央银行希望将利率操纵到市场协调水平以下时，它就会用新创造的货币来填补缺口，这些货币可以用来发放超过经济实际储蓄的贷款。</blockquote></p><p> This not only results in an increase in the number of units of the medium of exchange through which buyers can express their greater demand for desired goods and services, tending, in general, to place upward pressure on overall market prices. It also influences the structure of relative prices and wages, since increases in the supply of money can only enter the economy through the increased demand for the particular goods, resources, and services those borrowers of that new money wish to purchase and use. But the money is then passed to another group of hands; that is, those who have sold those goods, resources and services to the borrowers. This second group, in turn, spends the new money that they have received from sales on other goods, resources and services for which they wish to increase their demand.</p><p><blockquote>这不仅导致交换媒介单位数量的增加，购买者可以通过这种媒介表达他们对所需商品和服务的更大需求，通常倾向于对总体市场价格施加上行压力。它还影响相对价格和工资的结构，因为货币供应量的增加只能通过对新货币的借款人希望购买和使用的特定商品、资源和服务的需求增加而进入经济。但是这些钱随后被传递到另一组人手中；即那些向借款人出售这些商品、资源和服务的人。反过来，第二组人将他们从销售中获得的新钱花在他们希望增加需求的其他商品、资源和服务上。</blockquote></p><p> Step-by-step, in a patterned sequence through time, the newly created money increases the demands and the prices of one set of goods and services, and then another, and then another, until, finally, in principle, all prices for finished goods and the factors of production will have been impacted to one degree or another, at different times in the sequence, with changes in relative profit margins and employment opportunities for as long as the monetary inflationary process continues.</p><p><blockquote>随着时间的推移，新创造的货币一步一步地增加了一套商品和服务的需求和价格，然后是另一套，然后是另一套，直到最后，原则上，成品和生产要素的所有价格都会在序列的不同时间受到某种程度的影响，只要货币通货膨胀过程继续，相对利润率和就业机会就会发生变化。</blockquote></p><p> This also means that whenever the monetary expansion stops or slows down, or even, perhaps, fails to accelerate, the resulting patterned use of labor, resources, and capital equipment brought into existence due to the way the money has entered into the economy and is being spent, period-after-period, begins to fall apart. This precipitates a readjustment process during which it is discovered that labor, capital and resources have been directed into allocated and applied for uses that are unsustainable once the inflationary process comes to an end.</p><p><blockquote>这也意味着，每当货币扩张停止或放缓，甚至可能未能加速时，由于货币进入经济和支出的方式而产生的劳动力、资源和资本设备的模式使用就开始分崩离析。这引发了一个重新调整过程，在此过程中，人们发现，一旦通货膨胀过程结束，劳动力、资本和资源已被分配和应用于不可持续的用途。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Fed’s Monetary Expansion and Bank Reserve Tricks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>美联储的货币扩张和银行准备金技巧</b></blockquote></p><p> For over ten years, since the financial and housing crisis of 2008-2009, the Federal Reserve has been dramatically expanding the money supply. In January 2008, the&nbsp;Monetary Base&nbsp;(loanable reserves in the banking system plus currency in general circulation) equaled $837 billion; by August 2014, the Monetary Base had been expanded to over $4 trillion. In February 2020, just before the Coronavirus crisis impacted the U.S. in terms of the government mandated lockdowns and shutdowns, it still was historically high at $3.45 trillion; but by July 2021, the Monetary Base stood at $6.13 trillion, or a nearly 78 percent increase just in the last year and a half.</p><p><blockquote>自2008-2009年金融和房地产危机以来的十多年里，美联储一直在大幅扩大货币供应。2008年1月，货币基础（银行体系可供借贷储备加上一般流通货币）为8,370亿元；到2014年8月，货币基础已扩大到超过4万亿美元。2020年2月，就在冠状病毒危机影响美国政府强制封锁和停工之前，仍处于3.45万亿美元的历史高位；但到2021年7月，基础货币为6.13万亿美元，仅在过去一年半内就增长了近78%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Why has there not been the expected general price inflation from such a huge increase in the money supply through the banking system? Because the Federal Reserve has been paying banks not to fully lend the loanable reserves at their disposal.</b>As a result, as of&nbsp;July 2021, banks were holding “excess reserves,” (that is, reserves above the minimum Federal Reserve rules require banks to hold against possible cash withdrawals by their depositors), of around $3.9 trillion, upon which the Federal Reserve&nbsp;pays&nbsp;those banks an interest rate of 0.15 percent. In other words, 63 percent of the Monetary Base is being held off the active loan market.</p><p><blockquote><b>为什么通过银行系统如此巨大的货币供应增加没有出现预期的普遍价格通胀？因为美联储一直在付钱给银行，让他们不要完全借出他们可以支配的可贷准备金。</b>因此，截至2021年7月，银行持有约3.9万亿美元的“超额准备金”（即高于美联储规则要求银行为储户可能提取现金而持有的最低准备金），美联储向这些银行支付0.15%的利率。换句话说，63%的基础货币被活跃的贷款市场拒之门外。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Given that real GDP in the United States has increased by over 25 percent since 2010, and the velocity of circulation of money (number of times money turns over in transactions per period of time), has decreased by almost 40 percent over the last ten years or so, it is not too surprising that prices in general have not been rising more, or more rapidly, given these countervailing factors, plus the Federal Reserve’s “trick” of paying banks to not lend all the huge amount of bank reserves their open market operations have created during the past decade.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于美国的实际GDP自2010年以来增长了25%以上，而货币流通速度（每段时间内货币在交易中周转的次数）在过去十年左右下降了近40%，鉴于这些抵消因素，再加上美联储付钱给银行不要将其公开市场操作在过去十年中创造的所有巨额银行准备金放贷的“伎俩”，价格总体上没有上涨更多或更快也就不足为奇了。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Markets Still Distorted, Even with Low Price Inflation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>即使价格通胀较低，市场仍然扭曲</b></blockquote></p><p> It is nonetheless the case, that through its continuing large purchases of U.S. treasuries and mortgage-backed securities, market interest rates have been artificially pushed significantly below any rates of interest that would prevail on financial markets not manipulated in this manner.</p><p><blockquote>然而，事实是，通过持续大量购买美国国债和抵押贷款支持证券，市场利率被人为地大幅推低到不以这种方式操纵的金融市场的任何利率以下。</blockquote></p><p> <b>It is not unreasonable to ask what informational role market interest rates have been even playing about the real underlying savings and investment borrowing relationship in the economy in such a setting. Federal Reserve monetary and interest rate policy has undermined any reasonably accurate intertemporal price to coordinate saving with borrowing.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>在这种情况下，人们不禁要问，市场利率在经济中真正的潜在储蓄和投资借贷关系中发挥了什么信息作用。美联储的货币和利率政策破坏了任何合理准确的跨期价格来协调储蓄和借贷。</b></blockquote></p><p> Another way of saying this is that the Federal Reserve’s monetary central planning has virtually abolished a market-based pricing system for the allocation and use of resources across time. How can anyone easily know what real savings is available to fund investment and other loan uses in a way that is not throwing the economy out of serious balance?</p><p><blockquote>另一种说法是，美联储的货币中央计划实际上废除了跨时间资源分配和使用的基于市场的定价体系。任何人怎么能轻易地知道有哪些真正的储蓄可以用来为投资和其他贷款用途提供资金，而不会使经济严重失衡？</blockquote></p><p> In the name of trying to steer the economic “ship” to assure growing GDP, moderate price inflation, and “full employment” of the labor force, Jerome Powell and his fellow Fed Board members are, in fact, setting the stage for an eventual economic downturn by distorting a series of interconnected “microeconomic” relationships in the name of “macroeconomic” stability.</p><p><blockquote>杰罗姆·鲍威尔（Jerome Powell）和他的美联储董事会成员以试图驾驭经济“船”以确保GDP增长、温和的价格通胀和劳动力“充分就业”的名义，实际上是在通过以“宏观经济”稳定的名义扭曲一系列相互关联的“微观经济”关系，为最终的经济衰退埋下伏笔。</blockquote></p><p> When the Fed chairman cautiously suggests that the American central bankers are not sure what they are going to do, it is because they cannot do what they say they want to do.<b>By trying to pursue their declared goals through the monetary and interest rate policy tools at their disposal, they are, in fact, continuing to imbalance and wrongly “twist” the real economy in ways that will result in the instability, and the eventual recession and likely price inflation they say they wish to prevent.</b></p><p><blockquote>当美联储主席谨慎地暗示美国央行行长们不确定他们要做什么时，那是因为他们不能做他们说想做的事情。<b>通过试图通过他们所掌握的货币和利率政策工具来追求他们宣称的目标，他们实际上是在继续失衡和错误地“扭曲”实体经济，从而导致不稳定、最终的衰退和他们所说的他们希望防止的可能的价格通胀。</b></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/economics/jerome-powells-quest-economic-stability-destabilizing\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/economics/jerome-powells-quest-economic-stability-destabilizing","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1138372877","content_text":"When the chairman of the Federal Reserve Bank speaks the financial markets listen, and this was no different with Jerome Powell’s virtual address to the annual meeting of central bankers at Jackson Hole, Wyoming. What they got is what Harry Truman complained about when hearing from his economic advisors:“On the one hand, ‘this,’ but on the other hand, ‘that’.”Truman said that he desperately wanted a one-handed economist.\nAfter a decade of general economic calm most of the time, with modest to reasonable growth, relatively low price inflation, and, at the beginning of 2020 before the Coronavirus lockdowns, unemployment at its lowest level in half a century,everyone is now worried about what to expect from the Federal Reserve in terms of monetary and interest rate policy in the months and years ahead in the face of all that has been happening for the last year and a half.\nWhipsaw GDP and Huge Government Expenditures\nAfter a staggering decline in real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) from $19.2 trillion in the fourth quarter of 2019 to $17.2 trillion in the second quarter of 2020, or a 9 percent decrease of real GDP in a matter of a few months, the latest revised estimate by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) for the second quarter of 2021 is that real GDP reached $19.36 trillion. This was a 12.5 percent increase over its 2020 low, and a level now above its pre-Coronavirus high.\nIt is worth keeping in mind, however, that all of these numbers are exaggerated in terms of real private sector vibrancy because in 2019, federal government expenditures came to $4.45 trillion, or 23 percent of that $19.2 trillion GDP total.By the end of 2020, due to the relaxing of the federal and state lockdown and shutdown mandates over much of the U.S. economy in the second half of last year, real GDP had recovered to $18.76 trillion, but federal government expenditures came to $6.6 trillion, or 35 percent of that total GDP. And just in the first half of 2021, out of that $19.36 trillion GDP, federal spending has already been $5.86 trillion of that total, or 30.2 percent.\nIf government spending is even partly discounted from GDP as a false indicator of the economic “health” of the U.S., since Uncle Sam has nothing to spend other than what it either first taxes away from the private sector or has borrowed from the financial markets, the private economy is far from doing as well as the GDP numbers suggest.\nLagging Unemployment and Rising Price Inflation\nAfter unemployment had reached a low of 3.5 percent of the labor force at the start of 2020, it rose to almost 15 percent in April of last year, due to the government-commanded halt of a huge amount of economic activity. In July 2021, unemployment had declined to 5.4 percent of the labor force; but this still left it almost 55 percent above its low at the beginning of 2020.\nAfter the Consumer Price Index (CPI) mostly fluctuated in a relatively narrow range of between one and two percent, annually, over the last ten years, 2021 has seen the CPI increase to 5.4 percent in July of this year. Certain subgroups, such as energy and used car automotive sectors increased in double digit ranges on an annualized basis.\nWith unemployment still considered high, with the CPI increasing noticeably above the decade-long annual average, and question marks concerning how GDP will grow for the remainder of this year, given continuing supply-chain disruptions and uncertainties about the impact of variations and new mutations of the Coronavirus, all eyes and ears turned to Jerome Powell’s pronouncements about the future direction of Federal Reserve monetary and interest rate policy.\nPowell’s Maybe This, Maybe That, Policy Pronouncement\nAnd what he said was that the Federal Reserve Board of Governors has not decided what to do!\nOn the one hand, the economy is improving so, perhaps, before the end of the year, the Fed will reduce its current monthly purchase of $120 billion worth of assets – $80 billion of U.S. government securities, and $40 billion of mortgage-backed securities. And it may decide that it is time to no longer use its policy tools to keep key interest rates close to zero.\nOn the other hand, recent price inflation may only be a transitory spurt due to supply-side problems, so the concern about accelerating price increases may be misplaced. Therefore, it may be premature to reduce asset purchases too quickly and certainly it is necessary to be cautious in any nudging up of interest rates that might cut short the national economic recovery before unemployment has been reduced, once again, to a level closer to standard benchmarks of “full employment.”\nOn the one hand, the worst of the Coronavirus may have passed, so there may be no new shutdown hurdles in the way of continuing improvement as reflected in the usual macroeconomic measurements. On the other hand, virus variants may prevent a smooth path to a fully restored and growing economy. So, it may be too soon to really specify when and by how much asset purchases will be reduced or by how much those interest rates will be raised from their current near zero levels.\nThe Fed Chairman also said that, on the one hand, the Fed leadership has plenty of experience and policy tools to keep the economy on a sound and even path. On the other hand, such things as the impact of the Coronavirus and the threats facing the world from global warming are unique, making charting the Fed policy course a distinct challenge.\nPowell’s Reticence and the Political Business Cycle\nIn other words, Jerome Powell evaded any straightforward policy program, and therefore offered something for almost everyone, in terms of easing fears and concerns that either the policy foot will stay too long where it is on the accelerator or will start putting on the brakes too quickly.Either he is being reticent due to honest doubts about what he thinks is ahead for the economy, or he knows how to play to the audience in the White House and in Congress who will decide whether or not he is appointed for a second term as chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. After all, you don’t want to seem to be planning any clear policy moves that might threaten the reelection of Senators or Congressmen in the 2022 elections, or antagonize a president who does not want to lose his thin majority in the national legislature.\nThat politicians and central bankers are sensitive to the phases of the business cycle as they may impact the political electoral cycle in thinking about their policy decisions and directions has been understood by some economists at least since Johan Akerman’s (1896-1982) analysis of the “Political Economic Cycle” (Kyklos, May 1947), in which he traced out observed changes in those running governments in democratic societies resulting from the phases in the business cycle, and how those in government attempt to manage public policy to maintain their political positions.\nHistorically, Akerman said, looking over the period from the mid-19th century to 1945 in countries like Great Britain, the United States, Germany, and Sweden, the result of the analysis could be summarized in the following way: “All general economic depressions in England . . . lead to cabinet crises and a change of the party in power . . . In the United States the presidential elections as a rule involve a change in party control when votes are cast during a depression and a maintenance of the party in office when the votes are cast during periods of prosperity,” in sixteen of the twenty elections between 1865 and 1945.\nGovernments, Akerman also pointed out, try “to stabilize financial and economic conditions, and for a brief period may succeed in doing so.” While not pursuing it in his article, the fact is that the underlying circumstances that create “booms” that result in “busts” are usually of the government’s own policy. making. The “good times” monetary and fiscal policies finally create the economic crises that threaten the political policy-makers’ positions in authority. Hence, a government’s frequent demise in the next election when a recession or depression finally occurs. (p. 107)\nInterest Rates Should Coordinate Savings and Investment\nBut this gets to the real essence of the dilemma in Jerome Powell’s statement of Federal Reserve policy and its possible future direction. The underlying presumption is that a central bank can and should be attempting to manage the monetary system and the level of interest rates in the financial markets and, therefore, trying to macro-manage the society as a whole.\nLet us start with interest rates. The role of market prices is to bring into coordinated balance the two sides of demand and supply. Prices do so by effectively informing those needing to know on the supply side what is it that demanders want and the value they place upon it in terms of what they are willing to pay to get it; prices, at the same time, inform demanders what suppliers can and are willing to produce and offer for sale, and at what price reflecting the producer’s opportunity costs of bringing a particular good or service to market. The competitive interaction of those two sides of the market brings about the balance between them.\nThe role of interest rates is to do the same for borrowers and lenders. It is the trading of the use of resources across time between those who are interested and willing to defer the more immediate use of resources (expressed in money) in their possession or under their control, in return for a premium in the future from those interested in more immediate uses of those resources beyond their own capacity in exchange for paying such a premium in the future. That premium is the rate of interest, which may vary with the duration of the loan and risk elements in extending it.\nThe role of the rate of interest is to coordinate the willingness of savers with the desires of borrowers. Any rate of interest above or below this results in, respectively, an excess of savings over investment demand or an excess of investment demand over available savings.\nManipulating Interests Rates Distorts Markets\nThe crucial difference between a price, say, for hats that is set below the market-clearing, or coordinating, level is that a shortage results with some willing buyers leaving the market empty-handed; but when the Federal Reserve, or any central bank, wishes to manipulate interest rates below the market coordinating level, it fills the gap with newly created money with which loans may be extended in excess of actual savings in the economy.\nThis not only results in an increase in the number of units of the medium of exchange through which buyers can express their greater demand for desired goods and services, tending, in general, to place upward pressure on overall market prices. It also influences the structure of relative prices and wages, since increases in the supply of money can only enter the economy through the increased demand for the particular goods, resources, and services those borrowers of that new money wish to purchase and use. But the money is then passed to another group of hands; that is, those who have sold those goods, resources and services to the borrowers. This second group, in turn, spends the new money that they have received from sales on other goods, resources and services for which they wish to increase their demand.\nStep-by-step, in a patterned sequence through time, the newly created money increases the demands and the prices of one set of goods and services, and then another, and then another, until, finally, in principle, all prices for finished goods and the factors of production will have been impacted to one degree or another, at different times in the sequence, with changes in relative profit margins and employment opportunities for as long as the monetary inflationary process continues.\nThis also means that whenever the monetary expansion stops or slows down, or even, perhaps, fails to accelerate, the resulting patterned use of labor, resources, and capital equipment brought into existence due to the way the money has entered into the economy and is being spent, period-after-period, begins to fall apart. This precipitates a readjustment process during which it is discovered that labor, capital and resources have been directed into allocated and applied for uses that are unsustainable once the inflationary process comes to an end.\nThe Fed’s Monetary Expansion and Bank Reserve Tricks\nFor over ten years, since the financial and housing crisis of 2008-2009, the Federal Reserve has been dramatically expanding the money supply. In January 2008, the Monetary Base (loanable reserves in the banking system plus currency in general circulation) equaled $837 billion; by August 2014, the Monetary Base had been expanded to over $4 trillion. In February 2020, just before the Coronavirus crisis impacted the U.S. in terms of the government mandated lockdowns and shutdowns, it still was historically high at $3.45 trillion; but by July 2021, the Monetary Base stood at $6.13 trillion, or a nearly 78 percent increase just in the last year and a half.\nWhy has there not been the expected general price inflation from such a huge increase in the money supply through the banking system? Because the Federal Reserve has been paying banks not to fully lend the loanable reserves at their disposal.As a result, as of July 2021, banks were holding “excess reserves,” (that is, reserves above the minimum Federal Reserve rules require banks to hold against possible cash withdrawals by their depositors), of around $3.9 trillion, upon which the Federal Reserve pays those banks an interest rate of 0.15 percent. In other words, 63 percent of the Monetary Base is being held off the active loan market.\nGiven that real GDP in the United States has increased by over 25 percent since 2010, and the velocity of circulation of money (number of times money turns over in transactions per period of time), has decreased by almost 40 percent over the last ten years or so, it is not too surprising that prices in general have not been rising more, or more rapidly, given these countervailing factors, plus the Federal Reserve’s “trick” of paying banks to not lend all the huge amount of bank reserves their open market operations have created during the past decade.\nMarkets Still Distorted, Even with Low Price Inflation\nIt is nonetheless the case, that through its continuing large purchases of U.S. treasuries and mortgage-backed securities, market interest rates have been artificially pushed significantly below any rates of interest that would prevail on financial markets not manipulated in this manner.\nIt is not unreasonable to ask what informational role market interest rates have been even playing about the real underlying savings and investment borrowing relationship in the economy in such a setting. Federal Reserve monetary and interest rate policy has undermined any reasonably accurate intertemporal price to coordinate saving with borrowing.\nAnother way of saying this is that the Federal Reserve’s monetary central planning has virtually abolished a market-based pricing system for the allocation and use of resources across time. How can anyone easily know what real savings is available to fund investment and other loan uses in a way that is not throwing the economy out of serious balance?\nIn the name of trying to steer the economic “ship” to assure growing GDP, moderate price inflation, and “full employment” of the labor force, Jerome Powell and his fellow Fed Board members are, in fact, setting the stage for an eventual economic downturn by distorting a series of interconnected “microeconomic” relationships in the name of “macroeconomic” stability.\nWhen the Fed chairman cautiously suggests that the American central bankers are not sure what they are going to do, it is because they cannot do what they say they want to do.By trying to pursue their declared goals through the monetary and interest rate policy tools at their disposal, they are, in fact, continuing to imbalance and wrongly “twist” the real economy in ways that will result in the instability, and the eventual recession and likely price inflation they say they wish to prevent.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":388,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":817519634,"gmtCreate":1630974462728,"gmtModify":1631891106753,"author":{"id":"3584355133514261","authorId":"3584355133514261","name":"keane3921","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f91e2aa3ce2d41b7ddd61125b2e64e06","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584355133514261","authorIdStr":"3584355133514261"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good news... got competition!&nbsp;","listText":"Good news... got competition!&nbsp;","text":"Good news... got competition!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/817519634","repostId":"1170118110","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":549,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":817536594,"gmtCreate":1630974224618,"gmtModify":1631891106766,"author":{"id":"3584355133514261","authorId":"3584355133514261","name":"keane3921","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f91e2aa3ce2d41b7ddd61125b2e64e06","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584355133514261","authorIdStr":"3584355133514261"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"That is wat he reserve&nbsp; ...","listText":"That is wat he reserve&nbsp; ...","text":"That is wat he reserve ...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/817536594","repostId":"1180054973","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1180054973","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1630972663,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1180054973?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-07 07:57","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"昨夜今晨：拜登宣布新泽西州和纽约州进入联邦紧急状态","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1180054973","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"摘要：全球主要股指周一集体收涨，美股市场因劳工节休市一天；比特币涨破51000美元，币圈乱象蠢蠢欲动；美国就业市场1000万个岗位空缺，缘何仍有840万人失业。\n\n海外市场\n1、9月6日美国股市因劳工","content":"<blockquote>\n 摘要：全球主要股指周一集体收涨，美股市场因劳工节休市一天；比特币涨破51000美元，币圈乱象蠢蠢欲动；美国就业市场1000万个岗位空缺，缘何仍有840万人失业。\n</blockquote>\n<p>海外市场</p>\n<p><b>1、9月6日美国股市因劳工节休市1天</b></p>\n<p>9月6日是美国劳工节，包括美股在内的美国金融市场将休市1天。加拿大多伦多证券交易所休市一日。ICE旗下布伦特原油合约交易提前于北京时间7日01：30结束。CME旗下贵金属、美国原油和外汇合约交易提前于北京时间7日01：00结束。</p>\n<p><b>2、欧股创下20年新高 科技股领涨</b></p>\n<p>泛欧斯托克600指数收盘上涨3.26点，涨幅0.69%，报475.19点。其中科技股领涨，上涨1.7%，公用事业股下跌0.2%。</p>\n<p>德国DAX30指数收盘上涨150.92点，涨幅0.96%，报15932.12点。</p>\n<p><b>3、WTI原油期货微跌0.1% 市场预期沙特降价将导致竞争更激烈</b></p>\n<p>原油延续跌势，此前沙特阿拉伯对亚洲买家降价的举动令产油国发生激烈竞争的可能性升高，与此同时，新冠疫情的卷土重来继续令需求前景蒙上阴影。</p>\n<p><b>4、美元绝对反击、黄金在主要阻力下方徘徊不前</b></p>\n<p>金价周一徘徊在两个半月高位下方，此前美国公布的非农就业数据令人失望，暗示美联储可能推迟缩减刺激措施的时间，这增强了黄金作为通胀对冲工具的吸引力。美市尾盘，现货黄金收报1823.17美元/盎司，下跌4.88美元或0.26%，日内最低触及1821.30美元/盎司，最高触及1830.26美元/盎司。上周，现货黄金收涨10.63美元或0.59%，为连续第四周上涨。</p>\n<p>国际宏观</p>\n<p><b>1、数百万美国人的大流行失业救济金将在劳工节结束</b></p>\n<p>由于在新冠病毒大流行初期实施的三项联邦计划于周一到期，本周将有超过 700 万失业的美国人失去所有失业救济金。</p>\n<p>此外还有 300 万工人将失去额外300美元的州失业救济金。</p>\n<p><b>2、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2165333627\" target=\"_blank\"><b>美国总统拜登宣布新泽西州和纽约州进入联邦紧急状态</b></a></p>\n<p>美国总统拜登于当地时间9月6日发布声明，宣布新泽西州和纽约州进入联邦紧急状态。</p>\n<p>此前，这两个州因为热带风暴“艾达”带来的暴雨而遭受了洪水袭击，拜登的声明意味着两个州可以获得联邦政府的救灾基金。</p>\n<p>市场观点</p>\n<p><b>1、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2165333130\" target=\"_blank\"><b>高盛下调美国经济增长预期 不看好未来消费前景</b></a></p>\n<p>高盛经济学家下调对今年美国经济增长的预测，指出美国消费者面临的前景将比先前预期更为“艰难”。</p>\n<p>经济学家Ronnie Walker周一在给客户的一份报告中写道，预计2021年的整体扩张速度为5.7%，低于8月底公布的6%预期。</p>\n<p><b>2、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2165838200\" target=\"_blank\"><b>美国就业市场1000万个岗位空缺 缘何仍有840万人失业？</b></a></p>\n<p>根据美国劳工部最新数据，8月全美失业人数为840万，工资同比增长4.3%，环比增长0.6%，均高于预计值。但与此同时，招聘公司Indeed估计，目前美国有1000多万个职位空缺，创下了该国纪录。</p>\n<p><b>3、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2165633872\" target=\"_blank\"><b>SPAC模式存在风险 资本市场“盲盒游戏”是否全球适用</b></a></p>\n<p>近两年，部分境外市场通过SPAC模式的上市融资活动大幅增加，还出现了直接上市等新型上市方式，这对传统的IPO模式形成了颠覆性挑战。</p>\n<p>易会满说，有观点认为，这本质上是一种IPO虚拟化和“脱媒”的现象，在公司治理、信息披露、投资者保护等方面都引发了不少新问题。</p>\n<p><b>4、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2165333397\" target=\"_blank\"><b>比特币涨破51000美元 币圈乱象蠢蠢欲动</b></a></p>\n<p>从9月5日比特币涨破51000美元后，9月6日比特币再次站上51000美元，币价的上涨带动了市场的情绪，目前又开始出现一些币民建群拉人头的乱象，并号称有“大神带人”；还有一些矿场也蠢蠢欲动，发布“矿场机位”的推销广告。在业内人士看来，在政策、价格、法律等多重风险下，大家一定要冷静看待炒币、挖矿等行为，谨慎参与、谨防被骗。</p>\n<p>公司新闻</p>\n<p><b>1、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2165084380\" target=\"_blank\"><b>缺芯冲击下 吉利、上汽8月销量大幅下滑 但新能源车表现亮眼</b></a></p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600104\">上汽集团</a>公布8月产销快报显示，上汽8月整车合计销量45.34万辆，同比下降10%；其中新能源汽车8月销量7.08万辆，同比增加171.3%。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00175\">吉利汽车</a>表示，虽受部分地区疫情和晶片供应全球短缺影响集团交付量，集团8月零售销量仍创历史同期新高；新能源和电气化汽车8月销量为8201辆，同比增长24%。除了上汽和吉利的新能源汽车销量走强外，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/002594\">比亚迪</a>8月新能源汽车销量达6.1万辆，同比增加超过3倍，环比增加21.6%。</p>\n<p><b>2、对话宝马齐普策：未来<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DLX\">豪华</a>车也应该是绿色的</b></p>\n<p>日前，在慕尼黑国际汽车及智慧出行博览会中，宝马集团董事长齐普策表示：“可持续和责任对豪华品牌而言不可或缺，未来高档车、豪华车也应该是绿色的。换言之，无可持续，不豪华，气候保护和个人出行并不矛盾。”</p>\n<p><b>3、报告称欧洲大型银行每年在避税天堂计入240亿美元</b></p>\n<p>根据一份新报告，欧洲大型银行每年平均在避税天堂计入 200 亿欧元（237 亿美元），占这些银行总利润的 14%。</p>\n<p>有报告调查了 36 家系统性欧洲银行的活动，涉及的避税港名单中包括了 17 个司法管辖区：巴哈马、百慕大、英属维尔京群岛、开曼群岛、根西岛、直布罗陀、香港等。</p>\n<p><b>4、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2165338723\" target=\"_blank\"><b>丢失王冠 特斯拉欲推低价车打开市场</b></a><b></b></p>\n<p>EV Sales近日发布的数据显示，今年7月比亚迪全球电动车市场的销量达4.7万辆，特斯拉以3.5万辆的成绩摘得亚军。这是今年以来，比亚迪首次超越特斯拉。</p>\n<p>而特斯拉正准备用低价策略进一步打开市场，据外媒报道，特斯拉CEO马斯克近日在公司会议上表明，2023年特斯拉将发布一款起售价为2.5万美元（折合人民币16万元）的新能源汽车，此车或将在9月25日公开发布测试。</p>\n<p><b>5、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2165333903\" target=\"_blank\"><b>台积电涨价的信号 “芯片短缺缓解”的拐点再推迟</b></a></p>\n<p>晶圆产能短缺在2022年或将更严峻，存储器热度波动中延续。</p>\n<p>多年未曾涨价的台积电计划涨价的消息让业界哗然，显示出这场全球范围内的缺芯或许在短期内仍难以得到缓解。而第三季度正是消费电子的旺季，原本价格就有所调涨的存储器市场或许将面临新一轮旺盛期，不过这可能会是结构性的。</p>\n<p><b>6、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2165338426\" target=\"_blank\"><b>高通表示将为雷诺新型电动汽车提供芯片</b></a></p>\n<p>高通公司周一表示，将为雷诺SA新款电动汽车的数字仪表盘提供一种关键的计算芯片。总部位于美国加州圣地亚哥的高通公司是全球最大的手机关键半导体供应商，该公司一直在向汽车领域扩张，其芯片可以同时为仪表盘和信息娱乐系统供电。今年早些时候，高通宣布与<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GM\">通用汽车</a>达成使用高通芯片的协议。</p>\n<p><b>7、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2165338991\" target=\"_blank\"><b>美国众议院不知道雅虎现任CEO是谁？警告信发给了4年前的CEO</b></a></p>\n<p>美国众议院11名共和党议员日前向13家美国科技巨头发出了警告信，提醒他们不要向“国会骚乱”调查委员会提供私人信息。</p>\n<p>值得一提的是，原本发给雅虎的警告信，却被众议院发给了四年前的雅虎CEO马丽莎·梅耶尔（Marissa Mayer）。2012年7月，梅耶尔出任雅虎CEO，但已于2017年离职。但在警告信中，众议院仍称梅耶尔为“雅虎总裁兼CEO”。</p>\n<p><b>8、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2165833859\" target=\"_blank\"><b>宝马CEO预计：芯片供应在未来6-12个月内仍将紧张</b></a></p>\n<p>宝马首席执行官Oliver Zipse周一表示，预计供应链紧张局面将持续到2022年，令有关关键半导体严重短缺将很快结束的希望破灭。他在慕尼黑IAA车展上表示：“我预计，供应链普遍紧张的局面将在未来6至12个月内持续下去。”Zipse和其他汽车业高管一样，也在为半导体短缺导致的产量下降而苦苦挣扎。但他说他认为从长远来看没有问题，并补充称，对芯片制造商来说，汽车行业是非常具有吸引力的客户。</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>昨夜今晨：拜登宣布新泽西州和纽约州进入联邦紧急状态</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 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0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n昨夜今晨：拜登宣布新泽西州和纽约州进入联邦紧急状态\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-09-07 07:57</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<blockquote>\n 摘要：全球主要股指周一集体收涨，美股市场因劳工节休市一天；比特币涨破51000美元，币圈乱象蠢蠢欲动；美国就业市场1000万个岗位空缺，缘何仍有840万人失业。\n</blockquote>\n<p>海外市场</p>\n<p><b>1、9月6日美国股市因劳工节休市1天</b></p>\n<p>9月6日是美国劳工节，包括美股在内的美国金融市场将休市1天。加拿大多伦多证券交易所休市一日。ICE旗下布伦特原油合约交易提前于北京时间7日01：30结束。CME旗下贵金属、美国原油和外汇合约交易提前于北京时间7日01：00结束。</p>\n<p><b>2、欧股创下20年新高 科技股领涨</b></p>\n<p>泛欧斯托克600指数收盘上涨3.26点，涨幅0.69%，报475.19点。其中科技股领涨，上涨1.7%，公用事业股下跌0.2%。</p>\n<p>德国DAX30指数收盘上涨150.92点，涨幅0.96%，报15932.12点。</p>\n<p><b>3、WTI原油期货微跌0.1% 市场预期沙特降价将导致竞争更激烈</b></p>\n<p>原油延续跌势，此前沙特阿拉伯对亚洲买家降价的举动令产油国发生激烈竞争的可能性升高，与此同时，新冠疫情的卷土重来继续令需求前景蒙上阴影。</p>\n<p><b>4、美元绝对反击、黄金在主要阻力下方徘徊不前</b></p>\n<p>金价周一徘徊在两个半月高位下方，此前美国公布的非农就业数据令人失望，暗示美联储可能推迟缩减刺激措施的时间，这增强了黄金作为通胀对冲工具的吸引力。美市尾盘，现货黄金收报1823.17美元/盎司，下跌4.88美元或0.26%，日内最低触及1821.30美元/盎司，最高触及1830.26美元/盎司。上周，现货黄金收涨10.63美元或0.59%，为连续第四周上涨。</p>\n<p>国际宏观</p>\n<p><b>1、数百万美国人的大流行失业救济金将在劳工节结束</b></p>\n<p>由于在新冠病毒大流行初期实施的三项联邦计划于周一到期，本周将有超过 700 万失业的美国人失去所有失业救济金。</p>\n<p>此外还有 300 万工人将失去额外300美元的州失业救济金。</p>\n<p><b>2、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2165333627\" target=\"_blank\"><b>美国总统拜登宣布新泽西州和纽约州进入联邦紧急状态</b></a></p>\n<p>美国总统拜登于当地时间9月6日发布声明，宣布新泽西州和纽约州进入联邦紧急状态。</p>\n<p>此前，这两个州因为热带风暴“艾达”带来的暴雨而遭受了洪水袭击，拜登的声明意味着两个州可以获得联邦政府的救灾基金。</p>\n<p>市场观点</p>\n<p><b>1、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2165333130\" target=\"_blank\"><b>高盛下调美国经济增长预期 不看好未来消费前景</b></a></p>\n<p>高盛经济学家下调对今年美国经济增长的预测，指出美国消费者面临的前景将比先前预期更为“艰难”。</p>\n<p>经济学家Ronnie Walker周一在给客户的一份报告中写道，预计2021年的整体扩张速度为5.7%，低于8月底公布的6%预期。</p>\n<p><b>2、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2165838200\" target=\"_blank\"><b>美国就业市场1000万个岗位空缺 缘何仍有840万人失业？</b></a></p>\n<p>根据美国劳工部最新数据，8月全美失业人数为840万，工资同比增长4.3%，环比增长0.6%，均高于预计值。但与此同时，招聘公司Indeed估计，目前美国有1000多万个职位空缺，创下了该国纪录。</p>\n<p><b>3、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2165633872\" target=\"_blank\"><b>SPAC模式存在风险 资本市场“盲盒游戏”是否全球适用</b></a></p>\n<p>近两年，部分境外市场通过SPAC模式的上市融资活动大幅增加，还出现了直接上市等新型上市方式，这对传统的IPO模式形成了颠覆性挑战。</p>\n<p>易会满说，有观点认为，这本质上是一种IPO虚拟化和“脱媒”的现象，在公司治理、信息披露、投资者保护等方面都引发了不少新问题。</p>\n<p><b>4、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2165333397\" target=\"_blank\"><b>比特币涨破51000美元 币圈乱象蠢蠢欲动</b></a></p>\n<p>从9月5日比特币涨破51000美元后，9月6日比特币再次站上51000美元，币价的上涨带动了市场的情绪，目前又开始出现一些币民建群拉人头的乱象，并号称有“大神带人”；还有一些矿场也蠢蠢欲动，发布“矿场机位”的推销广告。在业内人士看来，在政策、价格、法律等多重风险下，大家一定要冷静看待炒币、挖矿等行为，谨慎参与、谨防被骗。</p>\n<p>公司新闻</p>\n<p><b>1、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2165084380\" target=\"_blank\"><b>缺芯冲击下 吉利、上汽8月销量大幅下滑 但新能源车表现亮眼</b></a></p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600104\">上汽集团</a>公布8月产销快报显示，上汽8月整车合计销量45.34万辆，同比下降10%；其中新能源汽车8月销量7.08万辆，同比增加171.3%。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00175\">吉利汽车</a>表示，虽受部分地区疫情和晶片供应全球短缺影响集团交付量，集团8月零售销量仍创历史同期新高；新能源和电气化汽车8月销量为8201辆，同比增长24%。除了上汽和吉利的新能源汽车销量走强外，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/002594\">比亚迪</a>8月新能源汽车销量达6.1万辆，同比增加超过3倍，环比增加21.6%。</p>\n<p><b>2、对话宝马齐普策：未来<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DLX\">豪华</a>车也应该是绿色的</b></p>\n<p>日前，在慕尼黑国际汽车及智慧出行博览会中，宝马集团董事长齐普策表示：“可持续和责任对豪华品牌而言不可或缺，未来高档车、豪华车也应该是绿色的。换言之，无可持续，不豪华，气候保护和个人出行并不矛盾。”</p>\n<p><b>3、报告称欧洲大型银行每年在避税天堂计入240亿美元</b></p>\n<p>根据一份新报告，欧洲大型银行每年平均在避税天堂计入 200 亿欧元（237 亿美元），占这些银行总利润的 14%。</p>\n<p>有报告调查了 36 家系统性欧洲银行的活动，涉及的避税港名单中包括了 17 个司法管辖区：巴哈马、百慕大、英属维尔京群岛、开曼群岛、根西岛、直布罗陀、香港等。</p>\n<p><b>4、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2165338723\" target=\"_blank\"><b>丢失王冠 特斯拉欲推低价车打开市场</b></a><b></b></p>\n<p>EV Sales近日发布的数据显示，今年7月比亚迪全球电动车市场的销量达4.7万辆，特斯拉以3.5万辆的成绩摘得亚军。这是今年以来，比亚迪首次超越特斯拉。</p>\n<p>而特斯拉正准备用低价策略进一步打开市场，据外媒报道，特斯拉CEO马斯克近日在公司会议上表明，2023年特斯拉将发布一款起售价为2.5万美元（折合人民币16万元）的新能源汽车，此车或将在9月25日公开发布测试。</p>\n<p><b>5、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2165333903\" target=\"_blank\"><b>台积电涨价的信号 “芯片短缺缓解”的拐点再推迟</b></a></p>\n<p>晶圆产能短缺在2022年或将更严峻，存储器热度波动中延续。</p>\n<p>多年未曾涨价的台积电计划涨价的消息让业界哗然，显示出这场全球范围内的缺芯或许在短期内仍难以得到缓解。而第三季度正是消费电子的旺季，原本价格就有所调涨的存储器市场或许将面临新一轮旺盛期，不过这可能会是结构性的。</p>\n<p><b>6、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2165338426\" target=\"_blank\"><b>高通表示将为雷诺新型电动汽车提供芯片</b></a></p>\n<p>高通公司周一表示，将为雷诺SA新款电动汽车的数字仪表盘提供一种关键的计算芯片。总部位于美国加州圣地亚哥的高通公司是全球最大的手机关键半导体供应商，该公司一直在向汽车领域扩张，其芯片可以同时为仪表盘和信息娱乐系统供电。今年早些时候，高通宣布与<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GM\">通用汽车</a>达成使用高通芯片的协议。</p>\n<p><b>7、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2165338991\" target=\"_blank\"><b>美国众议院不知道雅虎现任CEO是谁？警告信发给了4年前的CEO</b></a></p>\n<p>美国众议院11名共和党议员日前向13家美国科技巨头发出了警告信，提醒他们不要向“国会骚乱”调查委员会提供私人信息。</p>\n<p>值得一提的是，原本发给雅虎的警告信，却被众议院发给了四年前的雅虎CEO马丽莎·梅耶尔（Marissa Mayer）。2012年7月，梅耶尔出任雅虎CEO，但已于2017年离职。但在警告信中，众议院仍称梅耶尔为“雅虎总裁兼CEO”。</p>\n<p><b>8、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2165833859\" target=\"_blank\"><b>宝马CEO预计：芯片供应在未来6-12个月内仍将紧张</b></a></p>\n<p>宝马首席执行官Oliver Zipse周一表示，预计供应链紧张局面将持续到2022年，令有关关键半导体严重短缺将很快结束的希望破灭。他在慕尼黑IAA车展上表示：“我预计，供应链普遍紧张的局面将在未来6至12个月内持续下去。”Zipse和其他汽车业高管一样，也在为半导体短缺导致的产量下降而苦苦挣扎。但他说他认为从长远来看没有问题，并补充称，对芯片制造商来说，汽车行业是非常具有吸引力的客户。</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b23574aac95526c9e5c62ebc8dd25130","relate_stocks":{"513500":"标普500ETF","CAN":"嘉楠科技","DJX":"1/100道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF","DOG":"道指ETF-ProShares做空","SDOW":"三倍做空道指30ETF-ProShares","OEX":"标普100","DDM":"2倍做多道指ETF-ProShares","DXD":"两倍做空道琼30指数ETF-ProShares","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","EBON":"亿邦国际",".DJI":"道琼斯","QID":"两倍做空纳斯达克指数ETF-ProShares",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1180054973","content_text":"摘要：全球主要股指周一集体收涨，美股市场因劳工节休市一天；比特币涨破51000美元，币圈乱象蠢蠢欲动；美国就业市场1000万个岗位空缺，缘何仍有840万人失业。\n\n海外市场\n1、9月6日美国股市因劳工节休市1天\n9月6日是美国劳工节，包括美股在内的美国金融市场将休市1天。加拿大多伦多证券交易所休市一日。ICE旗下布伦特原油合约交易提前于北京时间7日01：30结束。CME旗下贵金属、美国原油和外汇合约交易提前于北京时间7日01：00结束。\n2、欧股创下20年新高 科技股领涨\n泛欧斯托克600指数收盘上涨3.26点，涨幅0.69%，报475.19点。其中科技股领涨，上涨1.7%，公用事业股下跌0.2%。\n德国DAX30指数收盘上涨150.92点，涨幅0.96%，报15932.12点。\n3、WTI原油期货微跌0.1% 市场预期沙特降价将导致竞争更激烈\n原油延续跌势，此前沙特阿拉伯对亚洲买家降价的举动令产油国发生激烈竞争的可能性升高，与此同时，新冠疫情的卷土重来继续令需求前景蒙上阴影。\n4、美元绝对反击、黄金在主要阻力下方徘徊不前\n金价周一徘徊在两个半月高位下方，此前美国公布的非农就业数据令人失望，暗示美联储可能推迟缩减刺激措施的时间，这增强了黄金作为通胀对冲工具的吸引力。美市尾盘，现货黄金收报1823.17美元/盎司，下跌4.88美元或0.26%，日内最低触及1821.30美元/盎司，最高触及1830.26美元/盎司。上周，现货黄金收涨10.63美元或0.59%，为连续第四周上涨。\n国际宏观\n1、数百万美国人的大流行失业救济金将在劳工节结束\n由于在新冠病毒大流行初期实施的三项联邦计划于周一到期，本周将有超过 700 万失业的美国人失去所有失业救济金。\n此外还有 300 万工人将失去额外300美元的州失业救济金。\n2、美国总统拜登宣布新泽西州和纽约州进入联邦紧急状态\n美国总统拜登于当地时间9月6日发布声明，宣布新泽西州和纽约州进入联邦紧急状态。\n此前，这两个州因为热带风暴“艾达”带来的暴雨而遭受了洪水袭击，拜登的声明意味着两个州可以获得联邦政府的救灾基金。\n市场观点\n1、高盛下调美国经济增长预期 不看好未来消费前景\n高盛经济学家下调对今年美国经济增长的预测，指出美国消费者面临的前景将比先前预期更为“艰难”。\n经济学家Ronnie Walker周一在给客户的一份报告中写道，预计2021年的整体扩张速度为5.7%，低于8月底公布的6%预期。\n2、美国就业市场1000万个岗位空缺 缘何仍有840万人失业？\n根据美国劳工部最新数据，8月全美失业人数为840万，工资同比增长4.3%，环比增长0.6%，均高于预计值。但与此同时，招聘公司Indeed估计，目前美国有1000多万个职位空缺，创下了该国纪录。\n3、SPAC模式存在风险 资本市场“盲盒游戏”是否全球适用\n近两年，部分境外市场通过SPAC模式的上市融资活动大幅增加，还出现了直接上市等新型上市方式，这对传统的IPO模式形成了颠覆性挑战。\n易会满说，有观点认为，这本质上是一种IPO虚拟化和“脱媒”的现象，在公司治理、信息披露、投资者保护等方面都引发了不少新问题。\n4、比特币涨破51000美元 币圈乱象蠢蠢欲动\n从9月5日比特币涨破51000美元后，9月6日比特币再次站上51000美元，币价的上涨带动了市场的情绪，目前又开始出现一些币民建群拉人头的乱象，并号称有“大神带人”；还有一些矿场也蠢蠢欲动，发布“矿场机位”的推销广告。在业内人士看来，在政策、价格、法律等多重风险下，大家一定要冷静看待炒币、挖矿等行为，谨慎参与、谨防被骗。\n公司新闻\n1、缺芯冲击下 吉利、上汽8月销量大幅下滑 但新能源车表现亮眼\n上汽集团公布8月产销快报显示，上汽8月整车合计销量45.34万辆，同比下降10%；其中新能源汽车8月销量7.08万辆，同比增加171.3%。吉利汽车表示，虽受部分地区疫情和晶片供应全球短缺影响集团交付量，集团8月零售销量仍创历史同期新高；新能源和电气化汽车8月销量为8201辆，同比增长24%。除了上汽和吉利的新能源汽车销量走强外，比亚迪8月新能源汽车销量达6.1万辆，同比增加超过3倍，环比增加21.6%。\n2、对话宝马齐普策：未来豪华车也应该是绿色的\n日前，在慕尼黑国际汽车及智慧出行博览会中，宝马集团董事长齐普策表示：“可持续和责任对豪华品牌而言不可或缺，未来高档车、豪华车也应该是绿色的。换言之，无可持续，不豪华，气候保护和个人出行并不矛盾。”\n3、报告称欧洲大型银行每年在避税天堂计入240亿美元\n根据一份新报告，欧洲大型银行每年平均在避税天堂计入 200 亿欧元（237 亿美元），占这些银行总利润的 14%。\n有报告调查了 36 家系统性欧洲银行的活动，涉及的避税港名单中包括了 17 个司法管辖区：巴哈马、百慕大、英属维尔京群岛、开曼群岛、根西岛、直布罗陀、香港等。\n4、丢失王冠 特斯拉欲推低价车打开市场\nEV Sales近日发布的数据显示，今年7月比亚迪全球电动车市场的销量达4.7万辆，特斯拉以3.5万辆的成绩摘得亚军。这是今年以来，比亚迪首次超越特斯拉。\n而特斯拉正准备用低价策略进一步打开市场，据外媒报道，特斯拉CEO马斯克近日在公司会议上表明，2023年特斯拉将发布一款起售价为2.5万美元（折合人民币16万元）的新能源汽车，此车或将在9月25日公开发布测试。\n5、台积电涨价的信号 “芯片短缺缓解”的拐点再推迟\n晶圆产能短缺在2022年或将更严峻，存储器热度波动中延续。\n多年未曾涨价的台积电计划涨价的消息让业界哗然，显示出这场全球范围内的缺芯或许在短期内仍难以得到缓解。而第三季度正是消费电子的旺季，原本价格就有所调涨的存储器市场或许将面临新一轮旺盛期，不过这可能会是结构性的。\n6、高通表示将为雷诺新型电动汽车提供芯片\n高通公司周一表示，将为雷诺SA新款电动汽车的数字仪表盘提供一种关键的计算芯片。总部位于美国加州圣地亚哥的高通公司是全球最大的手机关键半导体供应商，该公司一直在向汽车领域扩张，其芯片可以同时为仪表盘和信息娱乐系统供电。今年早些时候，高通宣布与通用汽车达成使用高通芯片的协议。\n7、美国众议院不知道雅虎现任CEO是谁？警告信发给了4年前的CEO\n美国众议院11名共和党议员日前向13家美国科技巨头发出了警告信，提醒他们不要向“国会骚乱”调查委员会提供私人信息。\n值得一提的是，原本发给雅虎的警告信，却被众议院发给了四年前的雅虎CEO马丽莎·梅耶尔（Marissa Mayer）。2012年7月，梅耶尔出任雅虎CEO，但已于2017年离职。但在警告信中，众议院仍称梅耶尔为“雅虎总裁兼CEO”。\n8、宝马CEO预计：芯片供应在未来6-12个月内仍将紧张\n宝马首席执行官Oliver Zipse周一表示，预计供应链紧张局面将持续到2022年，令有关关键半导体严重短缺将很快结束的希望破灭。他在慕尼黑IAA车展上表示：“我预计，供应链普遍紧张的局面将在未来6至12个月内持续下去。”Zipse和其他汽车业高管一样，也在为半导体短缺导致的产量下降而苦苦挣扎。但他说他认为从长远来看没有问题，并补充称，对芯片制造商来说，汽车行业是非常具有吸引力的客户。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"513500":0.9,"QQQ":0.9,"EBON":0.9,"CAN":0.9,"TQQQ":0.9,"DXD":0.9,"XBTmain":0.9,"SDOW":0.9,"SDS":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"OEX":0.9,"BTCmain":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"DJX":0.9,"QID":0.9,"SPY":0.9,"SPXU":0.9,"DDM":0.9,"DOG":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":539,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":886131631,"gmtCreate":1631574281023,"gmtModify":1631891106705,"author":{"id":"3584355133514261","authorId":"3584355133514261","name":"keane3921","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f91e2aa3ce2d41b7ddd61125b2e64e06","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584355133514261","authorIdStr":"3584355133514261"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Is a good sign..... Share price will gradually up!","listText":"Is a good sign..... Share price will gradually up!","text":"Is a good sign..... Share price will gradually up!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":7,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/886131631","repostId":"1126978010","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1126978010","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1631544701,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1126978010?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-13 22:51","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Ocugen shares surged more than 13% in Monday morning trading<blockquote>Ocugen股价周一早盘飙升逾13%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1126978010","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Ocugen shares surged more than 13% in Monday morning trading.\n\nVarious companies have been engaged i","content":"<p>Ocugen shares surged more than 13%&nbsp;in Monday morning trading.</p><p><blockquote>Ocugen股价在周一早盘交易中飙升超过13%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8fcba6c91ee88af0dd90608a79065282\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Various companies have been engaged in producing COVID-19 vaccines since the onset of the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>自疫情爆发以来，多家公司一直在生产新冠肺炎疫苗。</blockquote></p><p> Clinical-stage biotech firm Ocugen (<b>OCGN</b>) joined the race in December 2020, announcing its partnership with India-based Bharat Biotech. Ocugen collaborated with the Indian biotech company to jointly develop Covaxin.</p><p><blockquote>临床阶段生物技术公司Ocugen（<b>OCGN</b>）于2020年12月加入竞争，宣布与印度Bharat Biotech合作。Ocugen与印度生物技术公司合作，共同开发科瓦克辛。</blockquote></p><p> The announcement helped its stock to propel from under 30 cents a share to a stunning, eventual high of&nbsp;$18.77 a share in February. However, prices plummeted to nearly $9 per share in the next month.</p><p><blockquote>这一公告帮助其股价从每股30美分以下上涨至2月份每股18.77美元的惊人高点。然而，在接下来的一个月里，价格暴跌至每股近9美元。</blockquote></p><p> As rival companies came forward with their vaccines while Ocugen lagged behind, the stock started to bleed.</p><p><blockquote>随着竞争对手公司推出疫苗，而Ocugen却落后了，该股开始下跌。</blockquote></p><p> However, OCGN stock is once again witnessing an upward move. Here’s a detailed analysis to find out what’s really happening with the stock. I’m neutral on Ocugen.</p><p><blockquote>然而，OCGN股票再次出现上涨。这里有一个详细的分析，以了解股票的真实情况。我对Ocugen持中立态度。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Delta Variant Concerns Pushing OCGN Stock up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>德尔塔变异毒株担忧推高OCGN股价</b></blockquote></p><p> Newly discovered variants of COVID-19 have been a major cause of concern lately. These variants are more infectious, and resistant, to the already existing COVID-19 vaccines. The Delta variant is one such dangerous strain that has caught the attention of people worldwide.</p><p><blockquote>新发现的新冠肺炎变种是最近令人担忧的主要原因。这些变种对现有的新冠肺炎疫苗更具传染性和耐药性。德尔塔变异毒株病毒就是这样一种危险的菌株，已经引起了全世界人们的注意。</blockquote></p><p> This new variant has piqued global interest in Ocugen, and its Covaxin. Notably, Covaxin is yet to receive approval from FDA. However, the once-forgotten OCGN stock is again back in the discussion, with stock prices moving up by a decent 8.5% in August.</p><p><blockquote>这种新变种激起了全球对Ocugen及其科瓦克辛的兴趣。值得注意的是，科瓦克辛尚未获得FDA的批准。然而，曾经被遗忘的OCGN股票再次回到讨论中，8月份股价上涨了8.5%。</blockquote></p><p> According to many analysts, value investors aren’t interested in this stock. Rather, it is mainly retail investors who are eyeing Ocugen for some quick profit.</p><p><blockquote>许多分析师表示，价值投资者对这只股票不感兴趣。相反，主要是散户投资者关注Ocugen以获取快速利润。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Short-term Catalyst behind the Sudden Spike</b></p><p><blockquote><b>突然飙升背后的短期催化剂</b></blockquote></p><p> Ocugen has been jointly developing Covaxin with Bharat Biotech for use in the North American market. Share prices suffered a decline when Ocugen was denied emergency-use authorization from the FDA, which recommended that the company apply for a biologics-license application instead.</p><p><blockquote>Ocugen一直在与Bharat Biotech联合开发科瓦克辛，用于北美市场。当Ocugen被FDA拒绝紧急使用授权时，股价下跌，FDA建议该公司申请生物制剂许可证申请。</blockquote></p><p> Health Canada is reviewing Covaxin currently. It has not yet been granted approval. However, the news of review was enough to push Ocugen stock higher.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大卫生部目前正在审查科瓦克辛。它尚未获得批准。然而，审查的消息足以推高Ocugen股价。</blockquote></p><p> Moreover, the company intends to submit an Investigational New Drug application for one of its gene therapy candidates. OCU400 is designed to target retinal diseases. Ocugen has already started to assess options to begin trials in Europe in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>此外，该公司打算为其基因治疗候选药物之一提交研究性新药申请。OCU400旨在针对视网膜疾病。Ocugen已经开始评估2022年在欧洲开始试验的选择。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Ocugen Needs to Progress</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Ocugen需要进步</b></blockquote></p><p> The biotech company released a much-awaited business update on August 6. Ocugen failed to generate revenue during the second quarter. Unlike many of its rivals, it doesn’t have any commercialized products at the moment.</p><p><blockquote>这家生物技术公司于8月6日发布了期待已久的业务更新。Ocugen第二季度未能产生收入。与许多竞争对手不同，它目前没有任何商业化产品。</blockquote></p><p> On top of that, it posted a&nbsp;net loss of $26 million during Q2. Expenses related to research and development stood at $18.9 million in the current quarter, as opposed to $1.6 million last year. In addition, administrative expenses increased by 279.8% year-over-year, to $6.8 million.</p><p><blockquote>除此之外，该公司第二季度净亏损2600万美元。本季度与研发相关的费用为1890万美元，而去年为160万美元。此外，管理费用同比增长279.8%，达到680万美元。</blockquote></p><p> As of June 30, cash and cash equivalents stood at $115.6 million.</p><p><blockquote>截至6月30日，现金及现金等价物为1.156亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wall Street’s Take</b></p><p><blockquote><b>华尔街的看法</b></blockquote></p><p> As per TipRanks’ analyst rating consensus, Ocugen stock is a Moderate Buy. Out of four analysts, there are two Buy recommendations, and two Hold recommendations.</p><p><blockquote>根据TipRanks的分析师评级共识，Ocugen股票属于适度买入。四位分析师中，有两位建议买入，两位建议持有。</blockquote></p><p> The&nbsp;average OCGN price target&nbsp;is $8.88. The analyst price targets range from a high of $15 per share, to a low of $4.50 per share.</p><p><blockquote>OCGN平均目标价为8.88美元。分析师的目标价范围从每股15美元的高点到每股4.50美元的低点。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c696ea686fdeaa8d6550e1282efebf7\" tg-width=\"1099\" tg-height=\"374\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>Bottom Line</b></p><p><blockquote><b>底线</b></blockquote></p><p> Ocugen stock could very well profit from the mounting global concerns about the Delta variant.</p><p><blockquote>Ocugen股票很可能从全球对德尔塔变异毒株日益增长的担忧中获利。</blockquote></p><p> There might even be a stock rally. However, the company is badly in need of positive regulatory updates right now.</p><p><blockquote>股票甚至可能会上涨。然而，该公司目前迫切需要积极的监管更新。</blockquote></p><p> It’s an interesting play, but not without risk.</p><p><blockquote>这是一出有趣的戏，但并非没有风险。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Ocugen shares surged more than 13% in Monday morning trading<blockquote>Ocugen股价周一早盘飙升逾13%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOcugen shares surged more than 13% in Monday morning trading<blockquote>Ocugen股价周一早盘飙升逾13%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-09-13 22:51</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Ocugen shares surged more than 13%&nbsp;in Monday morning trading.</p><p><blockquote>Ocugen股价在周一早盘交易中飙升超过13%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8fcba6c91ee88af0dd90608a79065282\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Various companies have been engaged in producing COVID-19 vaccines since the onset of the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>自疫情爆发以来，多家公司一直在生产新冠肺炎疫苗。</blockquote></p><p> Clinical-stage biotech firm Ocugen (<b>OCGN</b>) joined the race in December 2020, announcing its partnership with India-based Bharat Biotech. Ocugen collaborated with the Indian biotech company to jointly develop Covaxin.</p><p><blockquote>临床阶段生物技术公司Ocugen（<b>OCGN</b>）于2020年12月加入竞争，宣布与印度Bharat Biotech合作。Ocugen与印度生物技术公司合作，共同开发科瓦克辛。</blockquote></p><p> The announcement helped its stock to propel from under 30 cents a share to a stunning, eventual high of&nbsp;$18.77 a share in February. However, prices plummeted to nearly $9 per share in the next month.</p><p><blockquote>这一公告帮助其股价从每股30美分以下上涨至2月份每股18.77美元的惊人高点。然而，在接下来的一个月里，价格暴跌至每股近9美元。</blockquote></p><p> As rival companies came forward with their vaccines while Ocugen lagged behind, the stock started to bleed.</p><p><blockquote>随着竞争对手公司推出疫苗，而Ocugen却落后了，该股开始下跌。</blockquote></p><p> However, OCGN stock is once again witnessing an upward move. Here’s a detailed analysis to find out what’s really happening with the stock. I’m neutral on Ocugen.</p><p><blockquote>然而，OCGN股票再次出现上涨。这里有一个详细的分析，以了解股票的真实情况。我对Ocugen持中立态度。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Delta Variant Concerns Pushing OCGN Stock up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>德尔塔变异毒株担忧推高OCGN股价</b></blockquote></p><p> Newly discovered variants of COVID-19 have been a major cause of concern lately. These variants are more infectious, and resistant, to the already existing COVID-19 vaccines. The Delta variant is one such dangerous strain that has caught the attention of people worldwide.</p><p><blockquote>新发现的新冠肺炎变种是最近令人担忧的主要原因。这些变种对现有的新冠肺炎疫苗更具传染性和耐药性。德尔塔变异毒株病毒就是这样一种危险的菌株，已经引起了全世界人们的注意。</blockquote></p><p> This new variant has piqued global interest in Ocugen, and its Covaxin. Notably, Covaxin is yet to receive approval from FDA. However, the once-forgotten OCGN stock is again back in the discussion, with stock prices moving up by a decent 8.5% in August.</p><p><blockquote>这种新变种激起了全球对Ocugen及其科瓦克辛的兴趣。值得注意的是，科瓦克辛尚未获得FDA的批准。然而，曾经被遗忘的OCGN股票再次回到讨论中，8月份股价上涨了8.5%。</blockquote></p><p> According to many analysts, value investors aren’t interested in this stock. Rather, it is mainly retail investors who are eyeing Ocugen for some quick profit.</p><p><blockquote>许多分析师表示，价值投资者对这只股票不感兴趣。相反，主要是散户投资者关注Ocugen以获取快速利润。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Short-term Catalyst behind the Sudden Spike</b></p><p><blockquote><b>突然飙升背后的短期催化剂</b></blockquote></p><p> Ocugen has been jointly developing Covaxin with Bharat Biotech for use in the North American market. Share prices suffered a decline when Ocugen was denied emergency-use authorization from the FDA, which recommended that the company apply for a biologics-license application instead.</p><p><blockquote>Ocugen一直在与Bharat Biotech联合开发科瓦克辛，用于北美市场。当Ocugen被FDA拒绝紧急使用授权时，股价下跌，FDA建议该公司申请生物制剂许可证申请。</blockquote></p><p> Health Canada is reviewing Covaxin currently. It has not yet been granted approval. However, the news of review was enough to push Ocugen stock higher.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大卫生部目前正在审查科瓦克辛。它尚未获得批准。然而，审查的消息足以推高Ocugen股价。</blockquote></p><p> Moreover, the company intends to submit an Investigational New Drug application for one of its gene therapy candidates. OCU400 is designed to target retinal diseases. Ocugen has already started to assess options to begin trials in Europe in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>此外，该公司打算为其基因治疗候选药物之一提交研究性新药申请。OCU400旨在针对视网膜疾病。Ocugen已经开始评估2022年在欧洲开始试验的选择。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Ocugen Needs to Progress</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Ocugen需要进步</b></blockquote></p><p> The biotech company released a much-awaited business update on August 6. Ocugen failed to generate revenue during the second quarter. Unlike many of its rivals, it doesn’t have any commercialized products at the moment.</p><p><blockquote>这家生物技术公司于8月6日发布了期待已久的业务更新。Ocugen第二季度未能产生收入。与许多竞争对手不同，它目前没有任何商业化产品。</blockquote></p><p> On top of that, it posted a&nbsp;net loss of $26 million during Q2. Expenses related to research and development stood at $18.9 million in the current quarter, as opposed to $1.6 million last year. In addition, administrative expenses increased by 279.8% year-over-year, to $6.8 million.</p><p><blockquote>除此之外，该公司第二季度净亏损2600万美元。本季度与研发相关的费用为1890万美元，而去年为160万美元。此外，管理费用同比增长279.8%，达到680万美元。</blockquote></p><p> As of June 30, cash and cash equivalents stood at $115.6 million.</p><p><blockquote>截至6月30日，现金及现金等价物为1.156亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wall Street’s Take</b></p><p><blockquote><b>华尔街的看法</b></blockquote></p><p> As per TipRanks’ analyst rating consensus, Ocugen stock is a Moderate Buy. Out of four analysts, there are two Buy recommendations, and two Hold recommendations.</p><p><blockquote>根据TipRanks的分析师评级共识，Ocugen股票属于适度买入。四位分析师中，有两位建议买入，两位建议持有。</blockquote></p><p> The&nbsp;average OCGN price target&nbsp;is $8.88. The analyst price targets range from a high of $15 per share, to a low of $4.50 per share.</p><p><blockquote>OCGN平均目标价为8.88美元。分析师的目标价范围从每股15美元的高点到每股4.50美元的低点。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c696ea686fdeaa8d6550e1282efebf7\" tg-width=\"1099\" tg-height=\"374\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>Bottom Line</b></p><p><blockquote><b>底线</b></blockquote></p><p> Ocugen stock could very well profit from the mounting global concerns about the Delta variant.</p><p><blockquote>Ocugen股票很可能从全球对德尔塔变异毒株日益增长的担忧中获利。</blockquote></p><p> There might even be a stock rally. However, the company is badly in need of positive regulatory updates right now.</p><p><blockquote>股票甚至可能会上涨。然而，该公司目前迫切需要积极的监管更新。</blockquote></p><p> It’s an interesting play, but not without risk.</p><p><blockquote>这是一出有趣的戏，但并非没有风险。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"OCGN":"Ocugen"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1126978010","content_text":"Ocugen shares surged more than 13% in Monday morning trading.\n\nVarious companies have been engaged in producing COVID-19 vaccines since the onset of the pandemic.\nClinical-stage biotech firm Ocugen (OCGN) joined the race in December 2020, announcing its partnership with India-based Bharat Biotech. Ocugen collaborated with the Indian biotech company to jointly develop Covaxin.\nThe announcement helped its stock to propel from under 30 cents a share to a stunning, eventual high of $18.77 a share in February. However, prices plummeted to nearly $9 per share in the next month.\nAs rival companies came forward with their vaccines while Ocugen lagged behind, the stock started to bleed.\nHowever, OCGN stock is once again witnessing an upward move. Here’s a detailed analysis to find out what’s really happening with the stock. I’m neutral on Ocugen.\nDelta Variant Concerns Pushing OCGN Stock up\nNewly discovered variants of COVID-19 have been a major cause of concern lately. These variants are more infectious, and resistant, to the already existing COVID-19 vaccines. The Delta variant is one such dangerous strain that has caught the attention of people worldwide.\nThis new variant has piqued global interest in Ocugen, and its Covaxin. Notably, Covaxin is yet to receive approval from FDA. However, the once-forgotten OCGN stock is again back in the discussion, with stock prices moving up by a decent 8.5% in August.\nAccording to many analysts, value investors aren’t interested in this stock. Rather, it is mainly retail investors who are eyeing Ocugen for some quick profit.\nShort-term Catalyst behind the Sudden Spike\nOcugen has been jointly developing Covaxin with Bharat Biotech for use in the North American market. Share prices suffered a decline when Ocugen was denied emergency-use authorization from the FDA, which recommended that the company apply for a biologics-license application instead.\nHealth Canada is reviewing Covaxin currently. It has not yet been granted approval. However, the news of review was enough to push Ocugen stock higher.\nMoreover, the company intends to submit an Investigational New Drug application for one of its gene therapy candidates. OCU400 is designed to target retinal diseases. Ocugen has already started to assess options to begin trials in Europe in 2022.\nOcugen Needs to Progress\nThe biotech company released a much-awaited business update on August 6. Ocugen failed to generate revenue during the second quarter. Unlike many of its rivals, it doesn’t have any commercialized products at the moment.\nOn top of that, it posted a net loss of $26 million during Q2. Expenses related to research and development stood at $18.9 million in the current quarter, as opposed to $1.6 million last year. In addition, administrative expenses increased by 279.8% year-over-year, to $6.8 million.\nAs of June 30, cash and cash equivalents stood at $115.6 million.\nWall Street’s Take\nAs per TipRanks’ analyst rating consensus, Ocugen stock is a Moderate Buy. Out of four analysts, there are two Buy recommendations, and two Hold recommendations.\nThe average OCGN price target is $8.88. The analyst price targets range from a high of $15 per share, to a low of $4.50 per share.\n\nBottom Line\nOcugen stock could very well profit from the mounting global concerns about the Delta variant.\nThere might even be a stock rally. However, the company is badly in need of positive regulatory updates right now.\nIt’s an interesting play, but not without risk.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"OCGN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":686,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":833385685,"gmtCreate":1629206260947,"gmtModify":1633686595984,"author":{"id":"3584355133514261","authorId":"3584355133514261","name":"keane3921","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f91e2aa3ce2d41b7ddd61125b2e64e06","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584355133514261","authorIdStr":"3584355133514261"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like n like","listText":"Like n like","text":"Like n like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/833385685","repostId":"1130466931","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":301,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":897844330,"gmtCreate":1628908307220,"gmtModify":1633688579398,"author":{"id":"3584355133514261","authorId":"3584355133514261","name":"keane3921","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f91e2aa3ce2d41b7ddd61125b2e64e06","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584355133514261","authorIdStr":"3584355133514261"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Soonest the market can have alot of EV choice.... Yeah!!!&nbsp;","listText":"Soonest the market can have alot of EV choice.... Yeah!!!&nbsp;","text":"Soonest the market can have alot of EV choice.... Yeah!!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/897844330","repostId":"2159521376","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2159521376","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1628906786,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2159521376?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-14 10:06","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Chasing Tesla: Here are the current electric vehicle plans of every major car maker<blockquote>追逐特斯拉：以下是各大车厂目前的电动汽车计划</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2159521376","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"At President Joe Biden's urging, the auto industry pledged to boost production of electric vehicles ","content":"<p>At President Joe Biden's urging, the auto industry pledged to boost production of electric vehicles to the point that they account for about half of total U.S. sales by 2030, a plan that raises hopes that EVs can shift from niche to normal.</p><p><blockquote>在总统乔·拜登的敦促下，汽车行业承诺到2030年将电动汽车产量提高到约占美国总销量的一半，这一计划让人们燃起了电动汽车从小众转向主流的希望。</blockquote></p><p> EVs accounted for 2.4% of U.S. cars sold in 2020, up from 0.7% five years ago, according to BloombergNEF. The research provider expects that share to increase to 11% in 2025; by 2030, it expects that slightly over a third of vehicles sold in the U.S. will be electric.</p><p><blockquote>根据彭博新能源财经的数据，2020年电动汽车占美国汽车销量的2.4%，高于五年前的0.7%。该研究提供商预计，到2025年，这一份额将增至11%；预计到2030年，美国销售的汽车中有三分之一以上将是电动汽车。</blockquote></p><p> Several auto makers had already announced bigger EV ambitions even before the White House call.</p><p><blockquote>甚至在白宫看涨期权之前，几家汽车制造商就已经宣布了更大的电动汽车雄心。</blockquote></p><p> Here are each major car maker's stated plans for EVs, including, when available, investment amounts and the range of models they hope to bring to market.</p><p><blockquote>以下是各主要汽车制造商对电动汽车的既定计划，包括（如果有）投资金额以及他们希望推向市场的车型范围。</blockquote></p><p> This information was collated from company sites, previous reports, and BloombergNEF projections, and will be updated regularly.</p><p><blockquote>这些信息是根据公司网站、之前的报告和彭博新能源财经的预测整理而成，并将定期更新。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Audi</b></p><p><blockquote><b>奥迪</b></blockquote></p><p> Audi, a brand known for its luxury cars and owned by Germany's Volkswagen AG , has promised to have battery-electric vehicles comprise 35% of its sales by 2025. By that time, Audi buyers will choose from about 20 EV models.</p><p><blockquote>德国大众汽车公司旗下以豪华汽车闻名的奥迪品牌承诺，到2025年，纯电动汽车将占其销量的35%。届时，奥迪买家将有约20款电动车型可供选择。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BMW</b></p><p><blockquote><b>宝马</b></blockquote></p><p> BMW AG , a luxury-car maker from Germany, was among the first EV innovators. It launched its i3 compact EV eight years ago, then as $one of the few serious competitors to Tesla Inc.'s vehicles.</p><p><blockquote>德国豪华汽车制造商宝马公司是最早的电动汽车创新者之一。八年前，该公司推出了i3紧凑型电动汽车，当时是特斯拉汽车为数不多的有力竞争对手之一。</blockquote></p><p> BMW's EV pipeline has slowed, but the auto maker has promised that 25% of its European sales will be all-electric and hybrid vehicles this year, and that all sales of its Mini brand will be battery electric by 2030. It expects to launch more than 10 battery EVs models in the next couple of years.</p><p><blockquote>宝马的电动汽车产品线已经放缓，但该汽车制造商承诺，今年其欧洲销量的25%将是全电动和混合动力汽车，到2030年，其Mini品牌的所有销量都将是纯电动汽车。预计未来几年将推出10多种电池电动汽车车型。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Daimler/Mercedes-Benz</b></p><p><blockquote><b>戴姆勒/奔驰</b></blockquote></p><p> Mercedes-Benz, owned by Daimler AG , expects that between 15% and 25% of its sales will be comprised of EV sales by 2025; by 2030, that percentage is expected to grow to 50%. Mercedes-Benz is slated to end 2021 offering three new electric passenger car models and more to come in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>戴姆勒股份公司旗下的梅赛德斯-奔驰预计，到2025年，其销量的15%至25%将来自电动汽车销量；到2030年，这一比例预计将增长至50%。梅赛德斯-奔驰计划在2021年底推出三款新的电动乘用车车型，并在2022年推出更多车型。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ec4b2abd59e5b19c9eec0034342af25e\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"413\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>SOURCE: MERCEDES</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：梅赛德斯</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Ford</b></p><p><blockquote><b>福特</b></blockquote></p><p> Ford Motor Co. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">$(F)$</a> has said that 40% of its global sales by 2030 will be sales of EVs . Ford is aiming to have dozens of electrified models by 2022, the year that will also mark the debut of its much-awaited all-electric F-150 Lightning pickup truck.</p><p><blockquote>福特汽车公司。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">$(F)$</a>曾表示，到2030年，其全球销量的40%将是电动汽车。福特的目标是到2022年推出数十款电动车型，这一年也将标志着其备受期待的全电动F-150 Lightning皮卡的首次亮相。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a44fec36dac046911679a2ba769cb2b\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"450\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>The Ford F-150 Lightning o JEFF KOWALSKY/AGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE/GETTY IMAGES</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>福特F-150 Lightning作者：杰夫·科瓦尔斯基/法新社/盖蒂图片社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Ford has called the Lightning the \"pillar\" of its more than $22 billion bet on EVs, which includes EV models for other best-selling vehicles such as the Mustang and its Transit van.</p><p><blockquote>福特称Lightning是其超过220亿美元电动汽车押注的“支柱”，其中包括野马及其全顺货车等其他畅销汽车的电动汽车车型。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/87df52ddef1af1d1342d685897e83652\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"392\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>SOURCE: FORD</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：福特</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>GM</b></p><p><blockquote><b>GM</b></blockquote></p><p> General Motors Co. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GM\">$(GM)$</a> surprised Wall Street in January by saying it aims to phase out all of its internal combustion engine vehicles by 2035 and only sell zero-emission vehicles by then. The auto maker also promises to be carbon-neutral by 2040.</p><p><blockquote>通用汽车公司。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GM\">$(GM)$</a>一月份，该公司表示计划到2035年逐步淘汰所有内燃机汽车，届时只销售零排放汽车，令华尔街感到惊讶。该汽车制造商还承诺到2040年实现碳中和。</blockquote></p><p> GM has said that it will offer 30 all-electric models globally by mid-decade, and that 40% percent of the company's U.S. models will be battery electric vehicles by the end of 2025. Its Hummer electric is expected for next year, with production starting this fall.</p><p><blockquote>通用汽车表示，到本世纪中期，将在全球范围内提供30款全电动车型，到2025年底，该公司40%的美国车型将是纯电动汽车。其悍马电动车预计将于明年上市，并于今年秋季开始生产。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Honda</b></p><p><blockquote><b>本田</b></blockquote></p><p> The Japanese maker (7267.TO), which owns the namesake Honda brand and also the luxury-car brand Acura, is projected to derive 40% of its sales from EVs and fuel-cell electric cars by 2030. In April 2020, Honda and GM announced a partnership to develop Honda electric cars using GM's Ultium batteries.</p><p><blockquote>这家日本制造商(7267.TO)拥有同名本田品牌和豪华汽车品牌讴歌，预计到2030年其销售额的40%将来自电动汽车和燃料电池电动汽车。2020年4月，本田和通用汽车宣布合作开发使用通用汽车Ultium电池的本田电动汽车。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Hyundai</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现代</b></blockquote></p><p> The Korean car maker , which also owns Kia, is aiming to have 40% of its Kia and Hyundai brands sales to be of EVs and fuel-cell electric vehicles by 2025. Its Hyundai brand plans on more than 30 electric passenger vehicles by then.</p><p><blockquote>这家还拥有起亚的韩国汽车制造商的目标是到2025年，其起亚和现代品牌销量的40%来自电动汽车和燃料电池电动汽车。其现代品牌计划届时推出30多款电动乘用车。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Mazda</b></p><p><blockquote><b>马自达</b></blockquote></p><p> Mazda plans to offer 5% of its vehicles as battery electric by 2030, but EV sales targets as a percentage of total sales are unknown at the moment. Mazda does not offer EVs in the U.S., but sells a few EV and hybrid models elsewhere.</p><p><blockquote>马自达计划到2030年提供5%的汽车为纯电动汽车，但电动汽车销量占总销量的百分比目标目前尚不清楚。马自达不在美国提供电动汽车，但在其他地方销售一些电动汽车和混合动力车型。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Nissan</b></p><p><blockquote><b>日产</b></blockquote></p><p> Nissan Motor Co. Ltd. was among the first auto makers to offer an all-electric vehicle, and its the Nissan Leaf for years was one of the few options available for those without the deep pockets needed for a Tesla Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$(TSLA)$</a> Model S.</p><p><blockquote>日产汽车有限公司是最早提供全电动汽车的汽车制造商之一，多年来，对于那些没有足够财力购买特斯拉公司的人来说，日产聆风是为数不多的选择之一。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$(TSLA)$</a>S型。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Nissan plans to offer 20 EV models in China by next year, and for the U.S. the company recently said it plans that more than 40% of its U.S. vehicle sales by 2030 will be fully electric.</p><p><blockquote>日产计划明年在中国推出20款电动汽车车型，而在美国，该公司最近表示，计划到2030年，其美国汽车销量的40%以上将是全电动汽车。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5cbdfabce43725b3d966cf5db5b820f6\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>The Nissan Leaf NISSAN</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>日产聆风日产</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Porsche</b></p><p><blockquote><b>保时捷</b></blockquote></p><p> The car maker and almost synonym of sports cars is aiming to have half of its sales be of EV vehicles by 2025.</p><p><blockquote>这家汽车制造商几乎是跑车的代名词，其目标是到2025年让电动汽车占其销量的一半。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stellantis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Stellantis</b></blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STLA\">Stellantis NV</a> (STLA.MI), the global auto maker formed earlier this year through the merger of Fiat Chrysler Automobiles NV and France's PSA Group, said in July it was investing $35 billion in EVs and adjacent technologies through 2025.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STLA\">斯特兰蒂斯公司</a>(STLA.MI)是今年早些时候由菲亚特克莱斯勒汽车公司(Fiat Chrysler Automobiles NV)和法国PSA集团合并而成的全球汽车制造商，该公司7月份表示，到2025年，将在电动汽车和相关技术上投资350亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> By that year, Stellantis is expected to derive 31% of its U.S. sales and 38% of its European sales from EVs, percentages that are seen growing to 35% of U.S. sales and 70% of European sales by 2030.</p><p><blockquote>到那一年，Stellantis预计其美国销售额的31%和欧洲销售额的38%将来自电动汽车，预计到2030年，这一比例将增长到美国销售额的35%和欧洲销售额的70%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Subaru</b></p><p><blockquote><b>斯巴鲁</b></blockquote></p><p> The Japanese maker is expected to derive 40% of its sales from EVs and hybrid electric vehicles by 2030.</p><p><blockquote>预计到2030年，这家日本制造商40%的销售额将来自电动汽车和混合动力电动汽车。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Toyota</b></p><p><blockquote><b>丰田</b></blockquote></p><p> Some 70% of sales for the world's No. 1 car maker (7203.TO) are expected to come from EVs and fuel-cell electric vehicles by 2030. Toyota plans to offer 15 battery EV models by 2025. The car maker, of course, broke ground with its hybrid Toyota Prius two decades ago.</p><p><blockquote>预计到2030年，这家全球第一汽车制造商(7203.TO)约70%的销售额将来自电动汽车和燃料电池电动汽车。丰田计划到2025年提供15款纯电动汽车车型。当然，这家汽车制造商在二十年前就推出了混合动力丰田普锐斯。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Volkswagen</b></p><p><blockquote><b>大众汽车</b></blockquote></p><p> The car maker is expected to derive 70% of its European sales from EVs and 50% of its U.S. sales from EVs by 2030. Volkswagen has pledged to spend about $40 billion through 2025 on EVs.</p><p><blockquote>预计到2030年，该汽车制造商70%的欧洲销量来自电动汽车，50%的美国销量来自电动汽车。大众汽车承诺到2025年在电动汽车上花费约400亿美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Chasing Tesla: Here are the current electric vehicle plans of every major car maker<blockquote>追逐特斯拉：以下是各大车厂目前的电动汽车计划</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nChasing Tesla: Here are the current electric vehicle plans of every major car maker<blockquote>追逐特斯拉：以下是各大车厂目前的电动汽车计划</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-14 10:06</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>At President Joe Biden's urging, the auto industry pledged to boost production of electric vehicles to the point that they account for about half of total U.S. sales by 2030, a plan that raises hopes that EVs can shift from niche to normal.</p><p><blockquote>在总统乔·拜登的敦促下，汽车行业承诺到2030年将电动汽车产量提高到约占美国总销量的一半，这一计划让人们燃起了电动汽车从小众转向主流的希望。</blockquote></p><p> EVs accounted for 2.4% of U.S. cars sold in 2020, up from 0.7% five years ago, according to BloombergNEF. The research provider expects that share to increase to 11% in 2025; by 2030, it expects that slightly over a third of vehicles sold in the U.S. will be electric.</p><p><blockquote>根据彭博新能源财经的数据，2020年电动汽车占美国汽车销量的2.4%，高于五年前的0.7%。该研究提供商预计，到2025年，这一份额将增至11%；预计到2030年，美国销售的汽车中有三分之一以上将是电动汽车。</blockquote></p><p> Several auto makers had already announced bigger EV ambitions even before the White House call.</p><p><blockquote>甚至在白宫看涨期权之前，几家汽车制造商就已经宣布了更大的电动汽车雄心。</blockquote></p><p> Here are each major car maker's stated plans for EVs, including, when available, investment amounts and the range of models they hope to bring to market.</p><p><blockquote>以下是各主要汽车制造商对电动汽车的既定计划，包括（如果有）投资金额以及他们希望推向市场的车型范围。</blockquote></p><p> This information was collated from company sites, previous reports, and BloombergNEF projections, and will be updated regularly.</p><p><blockquote>这些信息是根据公司网站、之前的报告和彭博新能源财经的预测整理而成，并将定期更新。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Audi</b></p><p><blockquote><b>奥迪</b></blockquote></p><p> Audi, a brand known for its luxury cars and owned by Germany's Volkswagen AG , has promised to have battery-electric vehicles comprise 35% of its sales by 2025. By that time, Audi buyers will choose from about 20 EV models.</p><p><blockquote>德国大众汽车公司旗下以豪华汽车闻名的奥迪品牌承诺，到2025年，纯电动汽车将占其销量的35%。届时，奥迪买家将有约20款电动车型可供选择。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BMW</b></p><p><blockquote><b>宝马</b></blockquote></p><p> BMW AG , a luxury-car maker from Germany, was among the first EV innovators. It launched its i3 compact EV eight years ago, then as $one of the few serious competitors to Tesla Inc.'s vehicles.</p><p><blockquote>德国豪华汽车制造商宝马公司是最早的电动汽车创新者之一。八年前，该公司推出了i3紧凑型电动汽车，当时是特斯拉汽车为数不多的有力竞争对手之一。</blockquote></p><p> BMW's EV pipeline has slowed, but the auto maker has promised that 25% of its European sales will be all-electric and hybrid vehicles this year, and that all sales of its Mini brand will be battery electric by 2030. It expects to launch more than 10 battery EVs models in the next couple of years.</p><p><blockquote>宝马的电动汽车产品线已经放缓，但该汽车制造商承诺，今年其欧洲销量的25%将是全电动和混合动力汽车，到2030年，其Mini品牌的所有销量都将是纯电动汽车。预计未来几年将推出10多种电池电动汽车车型。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Daimler/Mercedes-Benz</b></p><p><blockquote><b>戴姆勒/奔驰</b></blockquote></p><p> Mercedes-Benz, owned by Daimler AG , expects that between 15% and 25% of its sales will be comprised of EV sales by 2025; by 2030, that percentage is expected to grow to 50%. Mercedes-Benz is slated to end 2021 offering three new electric passenger car models and more to come in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>戴姆勒股份公司旗下的梅赛德斯-奔驰预计，到2025年，其销量的15%至25%将来自电动汽车销量；到2030年，这一比例预计将增长至50%。梅赛德斯-奔驰计划在2021年底推出三款新的电动乘用车车型，并在2022年推出更多车型。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ec4b2abd59e5b19c9eec0034342af25e\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"413\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>SOURCE: MERCEDES</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：梅赛德斯</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Ford</b></p><p><blockquote><b>福特</b></blockquote></p><p> Ford Motor Co. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">$(F)$</a> has said that 40% of its global sales by 2030 will be sales of EVs . Ford is aiming to have dozens of electrified models by 2022, the year that will also mark the debut of its much-awaited all-electric F-150 Lightning pickup truck.</p><p><blockquote>福特汽车公司。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">$(F)$</a>曾表示，到2030年，其全球销量的40%将是电动汽车。福特的目标是到2022年推出数十款电动车型，这一年也将标志着其备受期待的全电动F-150 Lightning皮卡的首次亮相。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a44fec36dac046911679a2ba769cb2b\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"450\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>The Ford F-150 Lightning o JEFF KOWALSKY/AGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE/GETTY IMAGES</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>福特F-150 Lightning作者：杰夫·科瓦尔斯基/法新社/盖蒂图片社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Ford has called the Lightning the \"pillar\" of its more than $22 billion bet on EVs, which includes EV models for other best-selling vehicles such as the Mustang and its Transit van.</p><p><blockquote>福特称Lightning是其超过220亿美元电动汽车押注的“支柱”，其中包括野马及其全顺货车等其他畅销汽车的电动汽车车型。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/87df52ddef1af1d1342d685897e83652\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"392\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>SOURCE: FORD</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：福特</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>GM</b></p><p><blockquote><b>GM</b></blockquote></p><p> General Motors Co. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GM\">$(GM)$</a> surprised Wall Street in January by saying it aims to phase out all of its internal combustion engine vehicles by 2035 and only sell zero-emission vehicles by then. The auto maker also promises to be carbon-neutral by 2040.</p><p><blockquote>通用汽车公司。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GM\">$(GM)$</a>一月份，该公司表示计划到2035年逐步淘汰所有内燃机汽车，届时只销售零排放汽车，令华尔街感到惊讶。该汽车制造商还承诺到2040年实现碳中和。</blockquote></p><p> GM has said that it will offer 30 all-electric models globally by mid-decade, and that 40% percent of the company's U.S. models will be battery electric vehicles by the end of 2025. Its Hummer electric is expected for next year, with production starting this fall.</p><p><blockquote>通用汽车表示，到本世纪中期，将在全球范围内提供30款全电动车型，到2025年底，该公司40%的美国车型将是纯电动汽车。其悍马电动车预计将于明年上市，并于今年秋季开始生产。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Honda</b></p><p><blockquote><b>本田</b></blockquote></p><p> The Japanese maker (7267.TO), which owns the namesake Honda brand and also the luxury-car brand Acura, is projected to derive 40% of its sales from EVs and fuel-cell electric cars by 2030. In April 2020, Honda and GM announced a partnership to develop Honda electric cars using GM's Ultium batteries.</p><p><blockquote>这家日本制造商(7267.TO)拥有同名本田品牌和豪华汽车品牌讴歌，预计到2030年其销售额的40%将来自电动汽车和燃料电池电动汽车。2020年4月，本田和通用汽车宣布合作开发使用通用汽车Ultium电池的本田电动汽车。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Hyundai</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现代</b></blockquote></p><p> The Korean car maker , which also owns Kia, is aiming to have 40% of its Kia and Hyundai brands sales to be of EVs and fuel-cell electric vehicles by 2025. Its Hyundai brand plans on more than 30 electric passenger vehicles by then.</p><p><blockquote>这家还拥有起亚的韩国汽车制造商的目标是到2025年，其起亚和现代品牌销量的40%来自电动汽车和燃料电池电动汽车。其现代品牌计划届时推出30多款电动乘用车。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Mazda</b></p><p><blockquote><b>马自达</b></blockquote></p><p> Mazda plans to offer 5% of its vehicles as battery electric by 2030, but EV sales targets as a percentage of total sales are unknown at the moment. Mazda does not offer EVs in the U.S., but sells a few EV and hybrid models elsewhere.</p><p><blockquote>马自达计划到2030年提供5%的汽车为纯电动汽车，但电动汽车销量占总销量的百分比目标目前尚不清楚。马自达不在美国提供电动汽车，但在其他地方销售一些电动汽车和混合动力车型。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Nissan</b></p><p><blockquote><b>日产</b></blockquote></p><p> Nissan Motor Co. Ltd. was among the first auto makers to offer an all-electric vehicle, and its the Nissan Leaf for years was one of the few options available for those without the deep pockets needed for a Tesla Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$(TSLA)$</a> Model S.</p><p><blockquote>日产汽车有限公司是最早提供全电动汽车的汽车制造商之一，多年来，对于那些没有足够财力购买特斯拉公司的人来说，日产聆风是为数不多的选择之一。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$(TSLA)$</a>S型。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Nissan plans to offer 20 EV models in China by next year, and for the U.S. the company recently said it plans that more than 40% of its U.S. vehicle sales by 2030 will be fully electric.</p><p><blockquote>日产计划明年在中国推出20款电动汽车车型，而在美国，该公司最近表示，计划到2030年，其美国汽车销量的40%以上将是全电动汽车。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5cbdfabce43725b3d966cf5db5b820f6\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>The Nissan Leaf NISSAN</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>日产聆风日产</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Porsche</b></p><p><blockquote><b>保时捷</b></blockquote></p><p> The car maker and almost synonym of sports cars is aiming to have half of its sales be of EV vehicles by 2025.</p><p><blockquote>这家汽车制造商几乎是跑车的代名词，其目标是到2025年让电动汽车占其销量的一半。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stellantis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Stellantis</b></blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STLA\">Stellantis NV</a> (STLA.MI), the global auto maker formed earlier this year through the merger of Fiat Chrysler Automobiles NV and France's PSA Group, said in July it was investing $35 billion in EVs and adjacent technologies through 2025.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STLA\">斯特兰蒂斯公司</a>(STLA.MI)是今年早些时候由菲亚特克莱斯勒汽车公司(Fiat Chrysler Automobiles NV)和法国PSA集团合并而成的全球汽车制造商，该公司7月份表示，到2025年，将在电动汽车和相关技术上投资350亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> By that year, Stellantis is expected to derive 31% of its U.S. sales and 38% of its European sales from EVs, percentages that are seen growing to 35% of U.S. sales and 70% of European sales by 2030.</p><p><blockquote>到那一年，Stellantis预计其美国销售额的31%和欧洲销售额的38%将来自电动汽车，预计到2030年，这一比例将增长到美国销售额的35%和欧洲销售额的70%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Subaru</b></p><p><blockquote><b>斯巴鲁</b></blockquote></p><p> The Japanese maker is expected to derive 40% of its sales from EVs and hybrid electric vehicles by 2030.</p><p><blockquote>预计到2030年，这家日本制造商40%的销售额将来自电动汽车和混合动力电动汽车。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Toyota</b></p><p><blockquote><b>丰田</b></blockquote></p><p> Some 70% of sales for the world's No. 1 car maker (7203.TO) are expected to come from EVs and fuel-cell electric vehicles by 2030. Toyota plans to offer 15 battery EV models by 2025. The car maker, of course, broke ground with its hybrid Toyota Prius two decades ago.</p><p><blockquote>预计到2030年，这家全球第一汽车制造商(7203.TO)约70%的销售额将来自电动汽车和燃料电池电动汽车。丰田计划到2025年提供15款纯电动汽车车型。当然，这家汽车制造商在二十年前就推出了混合动力丰田普锐斯。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Volkswagen</b></p><p><blockquote><b>大众汽车</b></blockquote></p><p> The car maker is expected to derive 70% of its European sales from EVs and 50% of its U.S. sales from EVs by 2030. Volkswagen has pledged to spend about $40 billion through 2025 on EVs.</p><p><blockquote>预计到2030年，该汽车制造商70%的欧洲销量来自电动汽车，50%的美国销量来自电动汽车。大众汽车承诺到2025年在电动汽车上花费约400亿美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/chasing-tesla-here-are-the-current-electric-vehicle-plans-of-every-major-car-maker-11628876816?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉","HMC":"本田汽车","GM":"通用汽车","TM":"丰田汽车","DDAIF":"戴姆勒汽车","VLKAF":"Volkswagen AG","F":"福特汽车","FUJHF":"Subaru Corporation ","NSANY":"日产汽车","HYEVF":"Hyundai Elevator Co Ltd.","STLA":"Stellantis NV"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/chasing-tesla-here-are-the-current-electric-vehicle-plans-of-every-major-car-maker-11628876816?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2159521376","content_text":"At President Joe Biden's urging, the auto industry pledged to boost production of electric vehicles to the point that they account for about half of total U.S. sales by 2030, a plan that raises hopes that EVs can shift from niche to normal.\nEVs accounted for 2.4% of U.S. cars sold in 2020, up from 0.7% five years ago, according to BloombergNEF. The research provider expects that share to increase to 11% in 2025; by 2030, it expects that slightly over a third of vehicles sold in the U.S. will be electric.\nSeveral auto makers had already announced bigger EV ambitions even before the White House call.\nHere are each major car maker's stated plans for EVs, including, when available, investment amounts and the range of models they hope to bring to market.\nThis information was collated from company sites, previous reports, and BloombergNEF projections, and will be updated regularly.\nAudi\nAudi, a brand known for its luxury cars and owned by Germany's Volkswagen AG , has promised to have battery-electric vehicles comprise 35% of its sales by 2025. By that time, Audi buyers will choose from about 20 EV models.\nBMW\nBMW AG , a luxury-car maker from Germany, was among the first EV innovators. It launched its i3 compact EV eight years ago, then as $one of the few serious competitors to Tesla Inc.'s vehicles.\nBMW's EV pipeline has slowed, but the auto maker has promised that 25% of its European sales will be all-electric and hybrid vehicles this year, and that all sales of its Mini brand will be battery electric by 2030. It expects to launch more than 10 battery EVs models in the next couple of years.\nDaimler/Mercedes-Benz\nMercedes-Benz, owned by Daimler AG , expects that between 15% and 25% of its sales will be comprised of EV sales by 2025; by 2030, that percentage is expected to grow to 50%. Mercedes-Benz is slated to end 2021 offering three new electric passenger car models and more to come in 2022.\nSOURCE: MERCEDES\nFord\nFord Motor Co. $(F)$ has said that 40% of its global sales by 2030 will be sales of EVs . Ford is aiming to have dozens of electrified models by 2022, the year that will also mark the debut of its much-awaited all-electric F-150 Lightning pickup truck.\nThe Ford F-150 Lightning o JEFF KOWALSKY/AGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE/GETTY IMAGES\nFord has called the Lightning the \"pillar\" of its more than $22 billion bet on EVs, which includes EV models for other best-selling vehicles such as the Mustang and its Transit van.\nSOURCE: FORD\nGM\nGeneral Motors Co. $(GM)$ surprised Wall Street in January by saying it aims to phase out all of its internal combustion engine vehicles by 2035 and only sell zero-emission vehicles by then. The auto maker also promises to be carbon-neutral by 2040.\nGM has said that it will offer 30 all-electric models globally by mid-decade, and that 40% percent of the company's U.S. models will be battery electric vehicles by the end of 2025. Its Hummer electric is expected for next year, with production starting this fall.\nHonda\nThe Japanese maker (7267.TO), which owns the namesake Honda brand and also the luxury-car brand Acura, is projected to derive 40% of its sales from EVs and fuel-cell electric cars by 2030. In April 2020, Honda and GM announced a partnership to develop Honda electric cars using GM's Ultium batteries.\nHyundai\nThe Korean car maker , which also owns Kia, is aiming to have 40% of its Kia and Hyundai brands sales to be of EVs and fuel-cell electric vehicles by 2025. Its Hyundai brand plans on more than 30 electric passenger vehicles by then.\nMazda\nMazda plans to offer 5% of its vehicles as battery electric by 2030, but EV sales targets as a percentage of total sales are unknown at the moment. Mazda does not offer EVs in the U.S., but sells a few EV and hybrid models elsewhere.\nNissan\nNissan Motor Co. Ltd. was among the first auto makers to offer an all-electric vehicle, and its the Nissan Leaf for years was one of the few options available for those without the deep pockets needed for a Tesla Inc. $(TSLA)$ Model S.\nNissan plans to offer 20 EV models in China by next year, and for the U.S. the company recently said it plans that more than 40% of its U.S. vehicle sales by 2030 will be fully electric.\nThe Nissan Leaf NISSAN\nPorsche\nThe car maker and almost synonym of sports cars is aiming to have half of its sales be of EV vehicles by 2025.\nStellantis\nStellantis NV (STLA.MI), the global auto maker formed earlier this year through the merger of Fiat Chrysler Automobiles NV and France's PSA Group, said in July it was investing $35 billion in EVs and adjacent technologies through 2025.\nBy that year, Stellantis is expected to derive 31% of its U.S. sales and 38% of its European sales from EVs, percentages that are seen growing to 35% of U.S. sales and 70% of European sales by 2030.\nSubaru\nThe Japanese maker is expected to derive 40% of its sales from EVs and hybrid electric vehicles by 2030.\nToyota\nSome 70% of sales for the world's No. 1 car maker (7203.TO) are expected to come from EVs and fuel-cell electric vehicles by 2030. Toyota plans to offer 15 battery EV models by 2025. The car maker, of course, broke ground with its hybrid Toyota Prius two decades ago.\nVolkswagen\nThe car maker is expected to derive 70% of its European sales from EVs and 50% of its U.S. sales from EVs by 2030. Volkswagen has pledged to spend about $40 billion through 2025 on EVs.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"VLKAF":0.9,"HYEVF":0.9,"TM":0.9,"NSANY":0.9,"FUJHF":0.9,"F":0.9,"STLA":0.9,"AUDVF":0.9,"HMC":0.9,"GM":0.9,"DDAIF":0.9,"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":246,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":830875668,"gmtCreate":1629067609454,"gmtModify":1633687754499,"author":{"id":"3584355133514261","authorId":"3584355133514261","name":"keane3921","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f91e2aa3ce2d41b7ddd61125b2e64e06","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584355133514261","authorIdStr":"3584355133514261"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Getting better and better!&nbsp;","listText":"Getting better and better!&nbsp;","text":"Getting better and better!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/830875668","repostId":"1138705612","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1138705612","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1628995730,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1138705612?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-15 10:48","market":"us","language":"en","title":"AMD, Intel, And Nvidia: Which Is The Best Chip Stock?<blockquote>AMD、英特尔和英伟达：哪个是最好的芯片股？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1138705612","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"AMD's recent CPU and GPU offerings have been more competitive with Intel and NVIDIA's products.AMD’s EPYC server chips have proved to be comparable or even superior to certain Intel chips and have led to AMD gaining server CPU market share.Even so, Intel is the leader in the processor market and holds long-term advantages over AMD in R&D, marketing, and pricing.Nvidia is ahead of AMD in GPU technology and is leveraging its GPUs into adjacent end markets such as artificial intelligence.This left ","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>AMD's recent CPU and GPU offerings have been more competitive with Intel and NVIDIA's products.</li>  <li>AMD’s EPYC server chips have proved to be comparable or even superior to certain Intel chips and have led to AMD gaining server CPU market share.</li>  <li>Even so, Intel is the leader in the processor market and holds long-term advantages over AMD in R&amp;D, marketing, and pricing.</li>  <li>Nvidia is ahead of AMD in GPU technology and is leveraging its GPUs into adjacent end markets such as artificial intelligence.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a8f0aee0f3d10db76a1ee18fe604b40\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"864\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Andy/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>AMD最近的CPU和GPU产品与英特尔和英伟达的产品相比更具竞争力。</li><li>事实证明，AMD的EPYC服务器芯片可以与某些英特尔芯片相媲美，甚至优于某些英特尔芯片，并使AMD获得了服务器CPU市场份额。</li><li>即便如此，英特尔仍是处理器市场的领导者，在研发、营销和定价方面相对于AMD拥有长期优势。</li><li>英伟达在GPU技术上领先于AMD，并正在利用其GPU进入人工智能等邻近的终端市场。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>安迪/iStock来自盖蒂图片社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Intel (INTC) was once the microchip industry equivalent of the Colossus of Rhodes, a monument to the power of Moore’s law. However, the firm stumbled with its 10-nanometer process, and recently announced its 7-nm process will be delayed until 2023.</p><p><blockquote>英特尔（INTC）曾经是微芯片行业的巨人罗德斯岛，是摩尔定律力量的纪念碑。然而，该公司在10纳米工艺上遇到了麻烦，最近宣布其7纳米工艺将推迟到2023年。</blockquote></p><p> This left the door open to Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (AMD), and that firm has taken full advantage of the opportunity. AMD has taken a large share of the CPU market and is making inroads into the once nearly impenetrable server market.</p><p><blockquote>这为Advanced Micro Devices Inc.(AMD)敞开了大门，该公司充分利用了这个机会。AMD已经占据了CPU市场的很大份额，并正在进军曾经几乎难以渗透的服务器市场。</blockquote></p><p> AMD now has seven consecutive quarters of double-digit revenue growth under its belt, and it appears the firm is gaining momentum: management now guides for 60% revenue growth for the full year, up from the 50% forecast provided in the previous quarter.</p><p><blockquote>AMD目前已连续七个季度实现两位数的收入增长，而且该公司似乎正在获得动力：管理层目前预计全年收入增长60%，高于上一季度提供的50%的预测。</blockquote></p><p> However, AMD also competes with NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA), and the latter company’s GPU technology is stealing market share. NVDA has also been successful in gaining access to adjacent markets with its GPUs, especially AI and automotive markets.</p><p><blockquote>然而，AMD也与英伟达公司（NVDA）竞争，后者公司的GPU技术正在窃取市场份额。NVDA还凭借其GPU成功进入了邻近市场，尤其是人工智能和汽车市场。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Ins And Outs of Intel</b></p><p><blockquote><b>英特尔的来龙去脉</b></blockquote></p><p> An understanding of Intel also provides insights into AMD. This is due to the overlap between the two companies, particularly in regards to x86 chips. Intel developed the x86 chip in 1978. To satisfy demands by IBM that Intel would not be the sole supplier of the chips, INTC provided x86 instruction set architecture licensing to AMD.</p><p><blockquote>对英特尔的了解也提供了对AMD的洞察。这是由于两家公司之间的重叠，特别是在x86芯片方面。英特尔在1978年开发了x86芯片。为了满足IBM要求英特尔不是芯片的唯一供应商，INTC向AMD提供了x86指令集架构许可。</blockquote></p><p> Consequently, Intel and AMD have a duopoly position in the PC and server markets, as nearly all computer software is written for x86 architecture. The result is that both have a wide moat related to the x86 ecosystem.</p><p><blockquote>因此，英特尔和AMD在PC和服务器市场处于双头垄断地位，因为几乎所有的计算机软件都是为x86架构编写的。结果是两者都拥有与x86生态系统相关的宽阔护城河。</blockquote></p><p> Gaming consoles in particular are based on x86 architecture due to those platforms generally providing more powerful CPUs and GPUs with multiple compute cores. Like PCs, consoles operate with games that use x86 based software. Once again, this stifles potential competition from ARM-based devices.</p><p><blockquote>特别是游戏控制台基于x86架构，因为这些平台通常提供具有多个计算核心的更强大的CPU和GPU。像PC一样，游戏机运行使用基于x86的软件的游戏。这再次扼杀了来自基于ARM的设备的潜在竞争。</blockquote></p><p> Until fairly recently, AMD was a distant second to INTC as a supplier of x86 chips. However, AMD teamed with Taiwan Semiconductor(NYSE:TSM)to use that manufacturer’s 7nm process to surpass INTC in process technology. Combined with AMD’s developing new innovative chip designs, this one-two punch resulted in INTC losing significant market share.</p><p><blockquote>直到最近，AMD在x86芯片供应商方面还远远落后于INTC。然而，AMD与台积电（NYSE：TSM）合作，使用该制造商的7纳米工艺，在工艺技术上超越了INTC。再加上AMD正在开发新的创新芯片设计，这种组合拳导致INTC失去了大量的市场份额。</blockquote></p><p> At the end of Q1, AMD held 19.30% of the x86 desktop&nbsp;market, a 70 basis point gain year-over-year. In Q2 AMD corralled 8% of the server market, up from a 5%&nbsp;market&nbsp;share in Q4 of 2019.</p><p><blockquote>截至第一季度末，AMD占据x86台式机市场19.30%的份额，同比增长70个基点。第二季度，AMD占据了服务器市场8%的份额，高于2019年第四季度5%的市场份额。</blockquote></p><p> Despite these setbacks, it seems premature to view Intel as a moribund business. INTC is one of the largest semiconductor companies in the world. The firm dominates the server market, and still holds 60% of the global x86 CPU&nbsp;market.</p><p><blockquote>尽管遭遇了这些挫折，但将英特尔视为一个垂死的企业似乎还为时过早。INTC是世界上最大的半导体公司之一。该公司在服务器市场占据主导地位，并且仍然占据全球x86 CPU市场的60%。</blockquote></p><p> The company has an enormous R&amp;D budget, and it is expanding into new markets, primarily Artificial Intelligence, Field-Programmable Gate Array chips, and automotive offerings, through its acquisitions of Habana Labs, Altera, Movidius, and Mobileye.</p><p><blockquote>该公司拥有庞大的研发预算，并正在通过收购Habana Labs、Altera、Movidius和Mobileye扩展到新市场，主要是人工智能、现场可编程门阵列芯片和汽车产品。</blockquote></p><p> Investors should not be swayed by the claim that Intel’s new 10nm chips are inferior to 7nm solely on the basis that 7 is superior to 10. While once used to denote the technology level of a chip design, it has been misused to the point of being useless.</p><p><blockquote>投资者不应该仅仅因为7优于10而被英特尔新的10纳米芯片不如7纳米的说法所左右。虽然曾经用来表示芯片设计的技术水平，但它已经被误用到了无用的地步。</blockquote></p><p> However, there are a number of concerns that must be acknowledged. Intel lags competitors in the smartphone market. As consumers shift to mobile devices, this could result in a sustained headwind as smartphones take the place of PCs. On the other hand, it should be acknowledged that INTC’s server processor business has seen growth associated with the surge in mobile devices and cloud computing.</p><p><blockquote>然而，有一些问题必须承认。英特尔在智能手机市场落后于竞争对手。随着消费者转向移动设备，随着智能手机取代个人电脑，这可能会导致持续的阻力。另一方面，应该承认，INTC的服务器处理器业务随着移动设备和云计算的激增而增长。</blockquote></p><p> Intel also faces increased competition from AMD in the data center space, as well as customers developing their own ARM-based chips for CPUs.</p><p><blockquote>英特尔还面临着来自AMD在数据中心领域日益激烈的竞争，以及客户为CPU开发自己的基于ARM的芯片。</blockquote></p><p> <b>An Overview of AMD</b></p><p><blockquote><b>AMD概述</b></blockquote></p><p> In years past, INTC held the lion’s share of the x86 market. This was due in part to Intel’s leading-edge manufacturing combined with AMD’s wafer supply agreements with less than stellar GlobalFoundries.</p><p><blockquote>过去几年，INTC占据了x86市场的最大份额。这部分归功于英特尔领先的制造以及AMD与不太出色的GlobalFoundries签订的晶圆供应协议。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> However, a seismic shift occurred due to three factors: driven by innovative designs, AMD brought competitive products to market, AMD shifted to TSMC for production, and Intel faced repeated manufacturing delays. The two charts below document the progress the company has made.</p><p><blockquote>然而，由于三个因素，发生了翻天覆地的转变：在创新设计的推动下，AMD将有竞争力的产品推向市场，AMD转向台积电生产，英特尔面临一再的制造延迟。下面两张图表记录了公司取得的进展。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/903df41d5400c9807ff487a75a7e5450\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"989\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Q2 Earnings Presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：第二季度收益报告</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/331cd14b666f520a62d0746d5fadfa5b\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"989\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Q2 Earnings Presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：第二季度收益报告</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Like Intel, AMD’s primary products are CPUs and GPUs. AMD’s chips are designed for PCs, game consoles, servers, and blockchain applications. And like INTC, AMD’s offerings are largely protected from competition due to the preponderance of software for PCs and servers being designed for x86 architecture.</p><p><blockquote>与英特尔一样，AMD的主要产品是CPU和GPU。AMD的芯片专为PC、游戏机、服务器和区块链应用而设计。与INTC一样，由于为x86架构设计的PC和服务器软件占主导地位，AMD的产品在很大程度上免受竞争。</blockquote></p><p> AMD’s strong growth has largely come at the expense of Intel as AMD has steadily chipped away at the former company’s CPU market share.</p><p><blockquote>AMD的强劲增长很大程度上是以牺牲英特尔为代价的，因为AMD稳步蚕食了英特尔的CPU市场份额。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e7f8fbcab5da8a24d01d2b6408bd5686\" tg-width=\"576\" tg-height=\"336\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Seeking Alpha</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：寻求阿尔法</span></p></blockquote></p><p> AMD’s focus on CPU and GPU semi-custom processor applications has resulted in their use in Microsoft Xbox and Sony PlayStation game consoles.</p><p><blockquote>AMD对CPU和GPU半定制处理器应用的关注导致了它们在微软Xbox和Sony PlayStation游戏机中的使用。</blockquote></p><p> In regards to PC integrated GPUs, AMD is roughly in parity with NVIDIA while INTC dominates with roughly 68% of the market.</p><p><blockquote>在PC集成GPU方面，AMD与NVIDIA大致相当，而INTC以大约68%的市场份额占据主导地位。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/67a0fe74d986cf882623a8f39587d0d8\" tg-width=\"544\" tg-height=\"394\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:tom'sHARDWARE</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：汤姆五金</span></p></blockquote></p><p> However, NVIDIA dominates the discrete GPU space with an 80% plus market share with AMD sweeping up what is left. NVIDIA’s discrete GPUs are arguably superior to AMD’s (more on that later); therefore, investors should not look for growth here.</p><p><blockquote>然而，NVIDIA以80%以上的市场份额主导着独立GPU领域，AMD席卷了剩下的市场份额。NVIDIA的独立GPU可以说优于AMD的（稍后会详细介绍）；因此，投资者不应该在这里寻找增长。</blockquote></p><p> Although AMD’s EPYC server CPU products were competitive with that of rivals, initially the company relied on aggressive pricing to promote its first generation of EPYC offerings. However, the EPYC line has gained wider acceptance, and with the Milan processors, the company is gaining market share. As server CPUs provide a better profit margin than the company’s other products, expansion into that space should aid in driving revenue.</p><p><blockquote>尽管AMD的EPYC服务器CPU产品与竞争对手相比具有竞争力，但最初该公司依靠激进的定价来推广其第一代EPYC产品。然而，EPYC系列已经获得了更广泛的认可，随着米兰处理器的推出，该公司正在获得市场份额。由于服务器CPU比该公司的其他产品提供了更好的利润率，因此向该领域的扩张应该有助于增加收入。</blockquote></p><p> Late last year,AMD entered intoa deal&nbsp;to acquire&nbsp;Xilinx (XLNX), a leader in field programmable gate array (FPGA) chips. FPGAs can be used for a wide variety of applications. Because shifting to a competing FPGA provider requires retraining of engineers in software and design tools, customers are loath to make a switch to a competing vendor. Consequently, if the Xilinx deal goes through, AMD will have acquired a wide moat business. Management guides for operational efficiencies of approximately $300 million within 18 months of closing the transaction.</p><p><blockquote>去年年底，AMD达成协议收购现场可编程门阵列(FPGA)芯片领域的领导者Xilinx(XLNX)。FPGA可用于多种应用。由于转向竞争对手的FPGA提供商需要对工程师进行软件和设计工具方面的再培训，因此客户不愿意转向竞争对手的供应商。因此，如果Xilinx交易成功，AMD将获得一条宽阔的护城河业务。交易完成后18个月内运营效率约3亿美元的管理指南。</blockquote></p><p> The Xilinx acquisition should bolster AMD’s data center and artificial intelligence businesses.</p><p><blockquote>收购Xilinx应该会增强AMD的数据中心和人工智能业务。</blockquote></p><p> AMD agreed to acquire Xilinx for $35 billion in an all-stock transaction.</p><p><blockquote>AMD同意以350亿美元的全股票交易收购赛灵思。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A Survey of NVIDIA</b></p><p><blockquote><b>英伟达调查</b></blockquote></p><p> NVDA's focus on the graphics processing units market has led the company to a dominant position in the discrete GPU space. The firm is the leader in discrete GPUs for computing platforms, especially gaming consoles. The fact that Intel licensed intellectual property from NVIDIA to integrate GPUs into its PC chipset testifies to the lead the company maintains.</p><p><blockquote>NVDA对图形处理单元市场的关注使该公司在独立GPU领域占据了主导地位。该公司是计算平台（尤其是游戏机）独立GPU领域的领导者。英特尔从英伟达获得知识产权许可，将GPU集成到其PC芯片组中，这一事实证明了该公司保持的领先地位。</blockquote></p><p> The chart below provides a record of the burgeoning ASP the company has been able to command over the last half decade, beginning with the Pascal architecture in 2016, and progressing through Turing to Ampere.</p><p><blockquote>下图记录了该公司在过去五年中能够控制的蓬勃发展的ASP，从2016年的Pascal架构开始，通过Turing发展到Ampere。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04fb1d71f9df02f6c63907fe784b2fd8\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"720\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:AMD Investor Presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：AMD投资者介绍</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The firm’s chips are also found in many high-end PCs, and NVDA has particular strength in the incipient AI and self-driving vehicle markets.</p><p><blockquote>该公司的芯片也存在于许多高端PC中，NVDA在新兴的人工智能和自动驾驶汽车市场尤其具有优势。</blockquote></p><p> GPUs are being teamed with CPUs to&nbsp;enhance&nbsp;computation workloads. This stratagem is designed to bolster the ability of AI systems to perform computationally intensive tasks. AI related to&nbsp;autonomous&nbsp;vehicles is a developing strength for NVIDIA. Another arena in which the firm is making its mark is in cloud</p><p><blockquote>GPU正在与CPU合作，以增强计算工作负载。这一策略旨在增强人工智能系统执行计算密集型任务的能力。与自动驾驶汽车相关的人工智能是英伟达的发展优势。该公司崭露头角的另一个领域是云领域</blockquote></p><p> AI and data centers pose the most likely avenue of growth for NVDA. To strengthen its position in both businesses, the company moved last year to acquire ARM Holdings (ARMHF) from parent company Softbank for $40 billion.</p><p><blockquote>人工智能和数据中心是NVDA最有可能的增长途径。为了加强其在这两项业务中的地位，该公司去年以400亿美元从母公司软银手中收购了ARM Holdings(ARMHF)。</blockquote></p><p> ARM is the globe’s largest licensor of chip designs. Its chips are ubiquitous and can be found in mobile phones, smart TVs, and tablet computers. 160 billion chips have been made using ARM designs.</p><p><blockquote>ARM是全球最大的芯片设计许可方。它的芯片无处不在，手机、智能电视、平板电脑都能找到。使用ARM设计制造了1600亿个芯片。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Perhaps of equal importance is that 13 million developers work with ARM devices. To place that in context, NVDA has 2 million developers working on its array of devices.</p><p><blockquote>也许同样重要的是，有1300万开发人员使用ARM设备。从背景来看，NVDA有200万开发人员在开发其设备系列。</blockquote></p><p> Unfortunately for investors, bothChinaand theU.K.are reportedly balking at approving the deal.</p><p><blockquote>对投资者来说不幸的是，据报道，中国和英国都不愿批准这笔交易。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Head-To-Head Comparisons</b></p><p><blockquote><b>头对头比较</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation Metrics</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值指标</b></blockquote></p><p> The following chart provides a variety of metrics related to each stock's valuation. All data labeled forward is analysts’ next fiscal year consensus estimate.</p><p><blockquote>下图提供了与每只股票估值相关的各种指标。所有标有前瞻性的数据都是分析师对下一财年的一致预期。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1bdeabcd2ea473601fbaaaa03235de77\" tg-width=\"576\" tg-height=\"336\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Seeking Alpha Premium/ chart by author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Seeking Alpha Premium/作者图表</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Next, I’m using a graph to provide PEG ratios for the three companies. As there can be fairly wide variations in PEG ratios due to analysts’ inputs, I prefer that readers have access to multiple sources when I find wide variance in the ratio.</p><p><blockquote>接下来，我用图表来提供这三家公司的PEG比率。由于分析师的输入可能会导致PEG比率存在相当大的差异，因此当我发现比率存在较大差异时，我希望读者能够访问多个来源。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/884fc2142d97afcc9e2308e50058dd45\" tg-width=\"576\" tg-height=\"336\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Chart by author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>作者图表</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Note that Seeking Alpha provides a three to five-year PEG, Schwab simply lists its metric as a PEG ratio, while Yahoo! Finance calculates a five-year ratio. This could explain some of the variance in the numbers provided.</p><p><blockquote>请注意，Seeking Alpha提供了三到五年的PEG，嘉信理财只是将其指标列为PEG比率，而雅虎！财务计算五年比率。这可以解释所提供数字中的一些差异。</blockquote></p><p> Perusing the first chart, it is obvious that NVDA is the most overvalued. It is also interesting to note that in the current P/E and the forward price/cash flow estimates show AMD as valued near the sector median.</p><p><blockquote>仔细阅读第一张图表，很明显NVDA是最被高估的。还值得注意的是，当前市盈率和远期价格/现金流估计显示AMD的估值接近行业中位数。</blockquote></p><p> Count me as an investor that places great emphasis on a stocks PEG Ratio. Viewing the second chart, AMD has the best PEG of the three companies. I also note that analysts from each source calculated AMD’s PEG ratio as better than the sector median.</p><p><blockquote>我是一个非常重视股票PEG比率的投资者。查看第二张图表，AMD的PEG是三家公司中最好的。我还注意到，各来源的分析师计算出AMD的PEG比率均优于行业中位数。</blockquote></p><p> Do not misinterpret my findings. While INTC has a lower valuation in many respects, when considering other factors, I rate AMD higher overall. In other words, it is not the cheapest valuation but the best valuation, for lack of a better means to articulate my view.</p><p><blockquote>不要误解我的发现。虽然INTC在很多方面的估值较低，但考虑到其他因素，我对AMD的整体评价较高。换句话说，这不是最便宜的估值，而是最好的估值，因为缺乏更好的方式来表达我的观点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>=Advantage AMD</b></p><p><blockquote><b>=优势AMD</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Analysts’ Price Targets</b></p><p><blockquote><b>分析师的价格目标</b></blockquote></p><p> NVIDIA shares currently trade for $202.95. The average 12-month price target of 33 analysts is $186.49. The average price target of the 17 analysts that rated the stock following the latest earnings report is $210.53, about 3.7% above the current price of the stock.</p><p><blockquote>NVIDIA股价目前交易价格为202.95美元。33位分析师的平均12个月目标价为186.49美元。在最新财报发布后对该股进行评级的17名分析师的平均目标价为210.53美元，比该股当前价格高出约3.7%。</blockquote></p><p> AMD shares currently trade for $107.58. The average 12-month price target of 28 analysts is $108.56. The average price target of the 11 analysts that rated the stock following the latest earnings report is $117.27, roughly 9% above the prevailing share price.</p><p><blockquote>AMD股价目前交易价格为107.58美元。28位分析师的平均12个月目标价为108.56美元。在最新财报发布后对该股进行评级的11位分析师的平均目标价为117.27美元，比当前股价高出约9%。</blockquote></p><p> Intel shares currently trade for $54.05. The average 12-month price target of 34 analysts is $59.86. The average price target of the 16 analysts that rated the stock following the latest earnings report is $58.97, a 9% premium over the current share price.</p><p><blockquote>英特尔股价目前交易价格为54.05美元。34位分析师的平均12个月目标价为59.86美元。在最新财报发布后对该股进行评级的16位分析师的平均目标价为58.97美元，较当前股价溢价9%。</blockquote></p><p> Investors should be aware that it has been nearly three months since NVDA posted quarterly earnings while INTC and AMD reported recently.</p><p><blockquote>投资者应该知道，自NVDA公布季度收益而INTC和AMD最近公布季度收益以来，已经过去了近三个月。</blockquote></p><p> <b>=Tie AMD/INTC</b></p><p><blockquote><b>=Tie AMD/INTC</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Growth Rates</b></p><p><blockquote><b>增长率</b></blockquote></p><p> The next chart provides data for growth rates. Unless otherwise noted, the metrics reflect analysts' average two-year forecasts.</p><p><blockquote>下一张图表提供了增长率数据。除非另有说明，这些指标反映了分析师的平均两年预测。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e8ae1b79b3731a985fc209e626ca4886\" tg-width=\"577\" tg-height=\"337\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Seeking Alpha Premium/ Chart by author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Seeking Alpha Premium/作者图表</span></p></blockquote></p><p> While investors familiar with these three companies would expect INTC to perform poorly in relation to NVDA and AMD in regarding growth, in several cases Intel is projected to experience negative growth rates.</p><p><blockquote>虽然熟悉这三家公司的投资者预计INTC在增长方面的表现不如NVDA和AMD，但在某些情况下，英特尔预计将出现负增长率。</blockquote></p><p> Advanced Micro Devices projected growth leads that of NVIDIA in every category, and at times by very wide margins.</p><p><blockquote>Advanced Micro Devices的预计增长在每个类别中都领先于NVIDIA，有时甚至大幅领先。</blockquote></p><p> <b>=Advantage AMD</b></p><p><blockquote><b>=优势AMD</b></blockquote></p><p> I considered providing a chart outlining the profitability of each company; however, suffice it to say that each is highly profitable, and that a juxtaposition of the three would result in a tie.</p><p><blockquote>我考虑提供一张图表，概述每家公司的盈利能力；然而，只要说每一个都是高利润就足够了，三者并置会导致平局。</blockquote></p><p> I often provide a comparison that breaks down dividend metrics, but AMD does not pay a dividend, and NVDA has an anemic yield. INTC currently yields about 2.6%. The dividend is well funded.</p><p><blockquote>我经常提供分解股息指标的比较，但AMD不支付股息，而NVDA的收益率也很低。INTC目前的收益率约为2.6%。股息资金充足。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Debt Metrics</b></p><p><blockquote><b>债务指标</b></blockquote></p><p> NVIDIA had $12.67 billion in cash and $5.96 billion at the end of the last quarter. Should the ARM acquisition meet approval, the deal is structured so that $21 billion of the $40 billion purchase price will be in stock.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达拥有126.7亿美元现金，上季度末为59.6亿美元。如果ARM收购获得批准，该交易的结构将使400亿美元收购价格中的210亿美元将是股票。</blockquote></p><p> AMD has restructured its debt resulting in reduced interest costs. AMD had about $3.8 billion in cash and $313 million in long-term debt at the end of the most recent quarter.</p><p><blockquote>AMD重组了债务，从而降低了利息成本。截至最近一个季度末，AMD拥有约38亿美元现金和3.13亿美元长期债务。</blockquote></p><p> Intel's has solid investment-grade credit ratings. The company held nearly $24.86 billion cash at the end of the last quarter and had $31.7 billion long-term debt.</p><p><blockquote>英特尔拥有可靠的投资级信用评级。截至上季度末，该公司持有近248.6亿美元现金，长期债务为317亿美元。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> All three firms have strong financial positions. Weighing the possibility that NVDA and AMD may add debt due to prospective acquisitions, I am rating the three firms as equals.</p><p><blockquote>这三家公司都拥有强劲的财务状况。考虑到NVDA和AMD可能因潜在收购而增加债务的可能性，我对这三家公司的评级相同。</blockquote></p><p> <b>R&amp;D Budgets</b></p><p><blockquote><b>研发预算</b></blockquote></p><p> This is the first time I have&nbsp;compared&nbsp;the R&amp;D budgets of companies for a head-to-head showdown. However, in the semiconductor industry, that can be of pivotal importance.</p><p><blockquote>这是我第一次比较企业的研发预算进行正面对决。然而，在半导体行业，这可能至关重要。</blockquote></p><p> Last fiscal year, Intel devoted over $13.5 billion to R&amp;D, NVDA spent nearly $2.83 billion, and AMD budgeted a bit over $1.9 billion on research and development.</p><p><blockquote>上一财年，英特尔在研发上投入了超过135亿美元，NVDA花费了近28.3亿美元，AMD的研发预算略高于19亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> AMD is at a clear disadvantage, and that weakness is magnified because it often competes against INTC and NVDA in different arenas. It should be noted that a portion of Intel’s R&amp;D is funneled to its foundry business. Nevertheless, it is the clear winner here, and AMD is the obvious loser.</p><p><blockquote>AMD处于明显的劣势，而且这种劣势被放大了，因为它经常在不同的领域与INTC和NVDA竞争。应该指出的是，英特尔的部分研发资金流向了其代工业务。尽管如此，它是这里明显的赢家，AMD是明显的输家。</blockquote></p><p> I should add that NVDA is chipping away at AMD’s share of the discrete GPU market, and I believe that trend will continue, in part due to the disparity in R&amp;D budgets.</p><p><blockquote>我应该补充一点，NVDA正在蚕食AMD在独立GPU市场的份额，我相信这种趋势将继续下去，部分原因是研发预算的差异。</blockquote></p><p> <b>=Advantage INTC</b></p><p><blockquote><b>=优势INTC</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Bottom Line: Which Is The Best Chip Stock?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>一句话：最好的芯片股是哪只？</b></blockquote></p><p> To arrive at an answer, much depends on whether NVIDIA can complete its acquisition of ARM.</p><p><blockquote>要得出答案，很大程度上取决于英伟达能否完成对ARM的收购。</blockquote></p><p> Because ARM processors are more power and cost-efficient than x86 chips, NVDA could gain market share in the data center space. Since around a third of Intel’s revenue flows from data centers, that could represent a headwind for INTC and a positive for NVDA. However, there is a good chance the deal will fail to close.</p><p><blockquote>由于ARM处理器比x86芯片更强大、更具成本效益，NVDA可以在数据中心领域获得市场份额。由于英特尔大约三分之一的收入来自数据中心，这可能对INTC来说是一个阻力，对NVDA来说是一个积极的因素。然而，这笔交易很有可能无法完成。</blockquote></p><p> The degree of success Intel finds as its&nbsp;planned&nbsp;foundries come online is another factor that should be weighed.</p><p><blockquote>英特尔计划的代工厂上线后取得的成功程度是另一个应该权衡的因素。</blockquote></p><p> A development to be weighed is that AMD has now reached parity with INTC in the PC market in terms of the quality of its products. Furthermore, AMD is gaining market share in the server market, and I expect that trend to continue.</p><p><blockquote>一个需要权衡的发展是，就其产品质量而言，AMD现在已经在PC市场上与INTC持平。此外，AMD正在服务器市场获得市场份额，我预计这一趋势将持续下去。</blockquote></p><p> On the other hand, AMD is losing share in the discrete GPU market to NVDA. NVDA has a technological lead in that space which will probably continue.</p><p><blockquote>另一方面，AMD正在将独立GPU市场的份额输给NVDA。NVDA在该领域拥有技术领先地位，这种领先地位可能会持续下去。</blockquote></p><p> While AMD and NVDA are seen as growth machines, one should not ignore that Intel’s Internet of Things business increased by 47% in the last quarter. Mobileye also saw a surge in growth with revenue increasing 124%. Although these businesses only totaled $1.3 billion in revenue, a fraction of Intel's total revenue of $18.5 billion, they still represent areas of high growth.</p><p><blockquote>虽然AMD和NVDA被视为增长机器，但人们不应忽视英特尔的物联网业务在上个季度增长了47%。Mobileye也出现了大幅增长，收入增长了124%。尽管这些业务的总收入只有13亿美元，与英特尔185亿美元的总收入相比只是一小部分，但它们仍然代表着高增长领域。</blockquote></p><p> However, note the header refers to “chip stock.” Consequently, technological advantages are but one part of the puzzle. Any investment decision must take current valuations and prospective growth rates into account.</p><p><blockquote>但是，请注意标题指的是“芯片库存”。因此，技术优势只是难题的一部分。任何投资决策都必须考虑当前估值和预期增长率。</blockquote></p><p> With that in mind, I must rate NVIDIA as a HOLD due to current valuation and growth estimates. Note my rating is based on the current valuation of the stock. I acknowledge the exemplary leadership of the company and believe the long-term prospect for the stock is excellent.</p><p><blockquote>考虑到这一点，由于目前的估值和增长预期，我必须将英伟达评级为持有。请注意，我的评级基于该股票的当前估值。我承认该公司堪称典范的领导力，并相信该股票的长期前景非常好。</blockquote></p><p> I also rate INTC as a HOLD. I previously rated the company as a buy. While I still believe the firm will serve long-term investors well, I now believe its recovery will unfold over a long time span, and better opportunities are available.</p><p><blockquote>我也将INTC评级为持有。我之前将该公司评级为买入。虽然我仍然相信该公司将很好地为长期投资者服务，但我现在相信它的复苏将在很长一段时间内展开，并且会有更好的机会。</blockquote></p><p> I rate AMD as a BUY. This is based on the current valuations and growth rates outlined in this article. I’ll add that those metrics are buttressed by my perception that as Intel works on its recovery, AMD is likely to chip away at market share.</p><p><blockquote>我将AMD评级为买入。这是基于本文概述的当前估值和增长率。我要补充的是，这些指标得到了我的看法的支持，即随着英特尔努力复苏，AMD可能会蚕食市场份额。</blockquote></p><p> For additional insights into the technological aspects of an investment in AMD and INTC, I recommend an excellent article by SA&nbsp;contributor&nbsp;Keyanoush Razavidinani.</p><p><blockquote>为了更多地了解投资AMD和INTC的技术方面，我推荐SA撰稿人Keyanoush Razavidinani的一篇优秀文章。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>AMD, Intel, And Nvidia: Which Is The Best Chip Stock?<blockquote>AMD、英特尔和英伟达：哪个是最好的芯片股？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAMD, Intel, And Nvidia: Which Is The Best Chip Stock?<blockquote>AMD、英特尔和英伟达：哪个是最好的芯片股？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-15 10:48</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>AMD's recent CPU and GPU offerings have been more competitive with Intel and NVIDIA's products.</li>  <li>AMD’s EPYC server chips have proved to be comparable or even superior to certain Intel chips and have led to AMD gaining server CPU market share.</li>  <li>Even so, Intel is the leader in the processor market and holds long-term advantages over AMD in R&amp;D, marketing, and pricing.</li>  <li>Nvidia is ahead of AMD in GPU technology and is leveraging its GPUs into adjacent end markets such as artificial intelligence.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a8f0aee0f3d10db76a1ee18fe604b40\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"864\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Andy/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>AMD最近的CPU和GPU产品与英特尔和英伟达的产品相比更具竞争力。</li><li>事实证明，AMD的EPYC服务器芯片可以与某些英特尔芯片相媲美，甚至优于某些英特尔芯片，并使AMD获得了服务器CPU市场份额。</li><li>即便如此，英特尔仍是处理器市场的领导者，在研发、营销和定价方面相对于AMD拥有长期优势。</li><li>英伟达在GPU技术上领先于AMD，并正在利用其GPU进入人工智能等邻近的终端市场。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>安迪/iStock来自盖蒂图片社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Intel (INTC) was once the microchip industry equivalent of the Colossus of Rhodes, a monument to the power of Moore’s law. However, the firm stumbled with its 10-nanometer process, and recently announced its 7-nm process will be delayed until 2023.</p><p><blockquote>英特尔（INTC）曾经是微芯片行业的巨人罗德斯岛，是摩尔定律力量的纪念碑。然而，该公司在10纳米工艺上遇到了麻烦，最近宣布其7纳米工艺将推迟到2023年。</blockquote></p><p> This left the door open to Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (AMD), and that firm has taken full advantage of the opportunity. AMD has taken a large share of the CPU market and is making inroads into the once nearly impenetrable server market.</p><p><blockquote>这为Advanced Micro Devices Inc.(AMD)敞开了大门，该公司充分利用了这个机会。AMD已经占据了CPU市场的很大份额，并正在进军曾经几乎难以渗透的服务器市场。</blockquote></p><p> AMD now has seven consecutive quarters of double-digit revenue growth under its belt, and it appears the firm is gaining momentum: management now guides for 60% revenue growth for the full year, up from the 50% forecast provided in the previous quarter.</p><p><blockquote>AMD目前已连续七个季度实现两位数的收入增长，而且该公司似乎正在获得动力：管理层目前预计全年收入增长60%，高于上一季度提供的50%的预测。</blockquote></p><p> However, AMD also competes with NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA), and the latter company’s GPU technology is stealing market share. NVDA has also been successful in gaining access to adjacent markets with its GPUs, especially AI and automotive markets.</p><p><blockquote>然而，AMD也与英伟达公司（NVDA）竞争，后者公司的GPU技术正在窃取市场份额。NVDA还凭借其GPU成功进入了邻近市场，尤其是人工智能和汽车市场。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Ins And Outs of Intel</b></p><p><blockquote><b>英特尔的来龙去脉</b></blockquote></p><p> An understanding of Intel also provides insights into AMD. This is due to the overlap between the two companies, particularly in regards to x86 chips. Intel developed the x86 chip in 1978. To satisfy demands by IBM that Intel would not be the sole supplier of the chips, INTC provided x86 instruction set architecture licensing to AMD.</p><p><blockquote>对英特尔的了解也提供了对AMD的洞察。这是由于两家公司之间的重叠，特别是在x86芯片方面。英特尔在1978年开发了x86芯片。为了满足IBM要求英特尔不是芯片的唯一供应商，INTC向AMD提供了x86指令集架构许可。</blockquote></p><p> Consequently, Intel and AMD have a duopoly position in the PC and server markets, as nearly all computer software is written for x86 architecture. The result is that both have a wide moat related to the x86 ecosystem.</p><p><blockquote>因此，英特尔和AMD在PC和服务器市场处于双头垄断地位，因为几乎所有的计算机软件都是为x86架构编写的。结果是两者都拥有与x86生态系统相关的宽阔护城河。</blockquote></p><p> Gaming consoles in particular are based on x86 architecture due to those platforms generally providing more powerful CPUs and GPUs with multiple compute cores. Like PCs, consoles operate with games that use x86 based software. Once again, this stifles potential competition from ARM-based devices.</p><p><blockquote>特别是游戏控制台基于x86架构，因为这些平台通常提供具有多个计算核心的更强大的CPU和GPU。像PC一样，游戏机运行使用基于x86的软件的游戏。这再次扼杀了来自基于ARM的设备的潜在竞争。</blockquote></p><p> Until fairly recently, AMD was a distant second to INTC as a supplier of x86 chips. However, AMD teamed with Taiwan Semiconductor(NYSE:TSM)to use that manufacturer’s 7nm process to surpass INTC in process technology. Combined with AMD’s developing new innovative chip designs, this one-two punch resulted in INTC losing significant market share.</p><p><blockquote>直到最近，AMD在x86芯片供应商方面还远远落后于INTC。然而，AMD与台积电（NYSE：TSM）合作，使用该制造商的7纳米工艺，在工艺技术上超越了INTC。再加上AMD正在开发新的创新芯片设计，这种组合拳导致INTC失去了大量的市场份额。</blockquote></p><p> At the end of Q1, AMD held 19.30% of the x86 desktop&nbsp;market, a 70 basis point gain year-over-year. In Q2 AMD corralled 8% of the server market, up from a 5%&nbsp;market&nbsp;share in Q4 of 2019.</p><p><blockquote>截至第一季度末，AMD占据x86台式机市场19.30%的份额，同比增长70个基点。第二季度，AMD占据了服务器市场8%的份额，高于2019年第四季度5%的市场份额。</blockquote></p><p> Despite these setbacks, it seems premature to view Intel as a moribund business. INTC is one of the largest semiconductor companies in the world. The firm dominates the server market, and still holds 60% of the global x86 CPU&nbsp;market.</p><p><blockquote>尽管遭遇了这些挫折，但将英特尔视为一个垂死的企业似乎还为时过早。INTC是世界上最大的半导体公司之一。该公司在服务器市场占据主导地位，并且仍然占据全球x86 CPU市场的60%。</blockquote></p><p> The company has an enormous R&amp;D budget, and it is expanding into new markets, primarily Artificial Intelligence, Field-Programmable Gate Array chips, and automotive offerings, through its acquisitions of Habana Labs, Altera, Movidius, and Mobileye.</p><p><blockquote>该公司拥有庞大的研发预算，并正在通过收购Habana Labs、Altera、Movidius和Mobileye扩展到新市场，主要是人工智能、现场可编程门阵列芯片和汽车产品。</blockquote></p><p> Investors should not be swayed by the claim that Intel’s new 10nm chips are inferior to 7nm solely on the basis that 7 is superior to 10. While once used to denote the technology level of a chip design, it has been misused to the point of being useless.</p><p><blockquote>投资者不应该仅仅因为7优于10而被英特尔新的10纳米芯片不如7纳米的说法所左右。虽然曾经用来表示芯片设计的技术水平，但它已经被误用到了无用的地步。</blockquote></p><p> However, there are a number of concerns that must be acknowledged. Intel lags competitors in the smartphone market. As consumers shift to mobile devices, this could result in a sustained headwind as smartphones take the place of PCs. On the other hand, it should be acknowledged that INTC’s server processor business has seen growth associated with the surge in mobile devices and cloud computing.</p><p><blockquote>然而，有一些问题必须承认。英特尔在智能手机市场落后于竞争对手。随着消费者转向移动设备，随着智能手机取代个人电脑，这可能会导致持续的阻力。另一方面，应该承认，INTC的服务器处理器业务随着移动设备和云计算的激增而增长。</blockquote></p><p> Intel also faces increased competition from AMD in the data center space, as well as customers developing their own ARM-based chips for CPUs.</p><p><blockquote>英特尔还面临着来自AMD在数据中心领域日益激烈的竞争，以及客户为CPU开发自己的基于ARM的芯片。</blockquote></p><p> <b>An Overview of AMD</b></p><p><blockquote><b>AMD概述</b></blockquote></p><p> In years past, INTC held the lion’s share of the x86 market. This was due in part to Intel’s leading-edge manufacturing combined with AMD’s wafer supply agreements with less than stellar GlobalFoundries.</p><p><blockquote>过去几年，INTC占据了x86市场的最大份额。这部分归功于英特尔领先的制造以及AMD与不太出色的GlobalFoundries签订的晶圆供应协议。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> However, a seismic shift occurred due to three factors: driven by innovative designs, AMD brought competitive products to market, AMD shifted to TSMC for production, and Intel faced repeated manufacturing delays. The two charts below document the progress the company has made.</p><p><blockquote>然而，由于三个因素，发生了翻天覆地的转变：在创新设计的推动下，AMD将有竞争力的产品推向市场，AMD转向台积电生产，英特尔面临一再的制造延迟。下面两张图表记录了公司取得的进展。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/903df41d5400c9807ff487a75a7e5450\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"989\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Q2 Earnings Presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：第二季度收益报告</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/331cd14b666f520a62d0746d5fadfa5b\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"989\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Q2 Earnings Presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：第二季度收益报告</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Like Intel, AMD’s primary products are CPUs and GPUs. AMD’s chips are designed for PCs, game consoles, servers, and blockchain applications. And like INTC, AMD’s offerings are largely protected from competition due to the preponderance of software for PCs and servers being designed for x86 architecture.</p><p><blockquote>与英特尔一样，AMD的主要产品是CPU和GPU。AMD的芯片专为PC、游戏机、服务器和区块链应用而设计。与INTC一样，由于为x86架构设计的PC和服务器软件占主导地位，AMD的产品在很大程度上免受竞争。</blockquote></p><p> AMD’s strong growth has largely come at the expense of Intel as AMD has steadily chipped away at the former company’s CPU market share.</p><p><blockquote>AMD的强劲增长很大程度上是以牺牲英特尔为代价的，因为AMD稳步蚕食了英特尔的CPU市场份额。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e7f8fbcab5da8a24d01d2b6408bd5686\" tg-width=\"576\" tg-height=\"336\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Seeking Alpha</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：寻求阿尔法</span></p></blockquote></p><p> AMD’s focus on CPU and GPU semi-custom processor applications has resulted in their use in Microsoft Xbox and Sony PlayStation game consoles.</p><p><blockquote>AMD对CPU和GPU半定制处理器应用的关注导致了它们在微软Xbox和Sony PlayStation游戏机中的使用。</blockquote></p><p> In regards to PC integrated GPUs, AMD is roughly in parity with NVIDIA while INTC dominates with roughly 68% of the market.</p><p><blockquote>在PC集成GPU方面，AMD与NVIDIA大致相当，而INTC以大约68%的市场份额占据主导地位。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/67a0fe74d986cf882623a8f39587d0d8\" tg-width=\"544\" tg-height=\"394\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:tom'sHARDWARE</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：汤姆五金</span></p></blockquote></p><p> However, NVIDIA dominates the discrete GPU space with an 80% plus market share with AMD sweeping up what is left. NVIDIA’s discrete GPUs are arguably superior to AMD’s (more on that later); therefore, investors should not look for growth here.</p><p><blockquote>然而，NVIDIA以80%以上的市场份额主导着独立GPU领域，AMD席卷了剩下的市场份额。NVIDIA的独立GPU可以说优于AMD的（稍后会详细介绍）；因此，投资者不应该在这里寻找增长。</blockquote></p><p> Although AMD’s EPYC server CPU products were competitive with that of rivals, initially the company relied on aggressive pricing to promote its first generation of EPYC offerings. However, the EPYC line has gained wider acceptance, and with the Milan processors, the company is gaining market share. As server CPUs provide a better profit margin than the company’s other products, expansion into that space should aid in driving revenue.</p><p><blockquote>尽管AMD的EPYC服务器CPU产品与竞争对手相比具有竞争力，但最初该公司依靠激进的定价来推广其第一代EPYC产品。然而，EPYC系列已经获得了更广泛的认可，随着米兰处理器的推出，该公司正在获得市场份额。由于服务器CPU比该公司的其他产品提供了更好的利润率，因此向该领域的扩张应该有助于增加收入。</blockquote></p><p> Late last year,AMD entered intoa deal&nbsp;to acquire&nbsp;Xilinx (XLNX), a leader in field programmable gate array (FPGA) chips. FPGAs can be used for a wide variety of applications. Because shifting to a competing FPGA provider requires retraining of engineers in software and design tools, customers are loath to make a switch to a competing vendor. Consequently, if the Xilinx deal goes through, AMD will have acquired a wide moat business. Management guides for operational efficiencies of approximately $300 million within 18 months of closing the transaction.</p><p><blockquote>去年年底，AMD达成协议收购现场可编程门阵列(FPGA)芯片领域的领导者Xilinx(XLNX)。FPGA可用于多种应用。由于转向竞争对手的FPGA提供商需要对工程师进行软件和设计工具方面的再培训，因此客户不愿意转向竞争对手的供应商。因此，如果Xilinx交易成功，AMD将获得一条宽阔的护城河业务。交易完成后18个月内运营效率约3亿美元的管理指南。</blockquote></p><p> The Xilinx acquisition should bolster AMD’s data center and artificial intelligence businesses.</p><p><blockquote>收购Xilinx应该会增强AMD的数据中心和人工智能业务。</blockquote></p><p> AMD agreed to acquire Xilinx for $35 billion in an all-stock transaction.</p><p><blockquote>AMD同意以350亿美元的全股票交易收购赛灵思。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A Survey of NVIDIA</b></p><p><blockquote><b>英伟达调查</b></blockquote></p><p> NVDA's focus on the graphics processing units market has led the company to a dominant position in the discrete GPU space. The firm is the leader in discrete GPUs for computing platforms, especially gaming consoles. The fact that Intel licensed intellectual property from NVIDIA to integrate GPUs into its PC chipset testifies to the lead the company maintains.</p><p><blockquote>NVDA对图形处理单元市场的关注使该公司在独立GPU领域占据了主导地位。该公司是计算平台（尤其是游戏机）独立GPU领域的领导者。英特尔从英伟达获得知识产权许可，将GPU集成到其PC芯片组中，这一事实证明了该公司保持的领先地位。</blockquote></p><p> The chart below provides a record of the burgeoning ASP the company has been able to command over the last half decade, beginning with the Pascal architecture in 2016, and progressing through Turing to Ampere.</p><p><blockquote>下图记录了该公司在过去五年中能够控制的蓬勃发展的ASP，从2016年的Pascal架构开始，通过Turing发展到Ampere。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04fb1d71f9df02f6c63907fe784b2fd8\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"720\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:AMD Investor Presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：AMD投资者介绍</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The firm’s chips are also found in many high-end PCs, and NVDA has particular strength in the incipient AI and self-driving vehicle markets.</p><p><blockquote>该公司的芯片也存在于许多高端PC中，NVDA在新兴的人工智能和自动驾驶汽车市场尤其具有优势。</blockquote></p><p> GPUs are being teamed with CPUs to&nbsp;enhance&nbsp;computation workloads. This stratagem is designed to bolster the ability of AI systems to perform computationally intensive tasks. AI related to&nbsp;autonomous&nbsp;vehicles is a developing strength for NVIDIA. Another arena in which the firm is making its mark is in cloud</p><p><blockquote>GPU正在与CPU合作，以增强计算工作负载。这一策略旨在增强人工智能系统执行计算密集型任务的能力。与自动驾驶汽车相关的人工智能是英伟达的发展优势。该公司崭露头角的另一个领域是云领域</blockquote></p><p> AI and data centers pose the most likely avenue of growth for NVDA. To strengthen its position in both businesses, the company moved last year to acquire ARM Holdings (ARMHF) from parent company Softbank for $40 billion.</p><p><blockquote>人工智能和数据中心是NVDA最有可能的增长途径。为了加强其在这两项业务中的地位，该公司去年以400亿美元从母公司软银手中收购了ARM Holdings(ARMHF)。</blockquote></p><p> ARM is the globe’s largest licensor of chip designs. Its chips are ubiquitous and can be found in mobile phones, smart TVs, and tablet computers. 160 billion chips have been made using ARM designs.</p><p><blockquote>ARM是全球最大的芯片设计许可方。它的芯片无处不在，手机、智能电视、平板电脑都能找到。使用ARM设计制造了1600亿个芯片。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Perhaps of equal importance is that 13 million developers work with ARM devices. To place that in context, NVDA has 2 million developers working on its array of devices.</p><p><blockquote>也许同样重要的是，有1300万开发人员使用ARM设备。从背景来看，NVDA有200万开发人员在开发其设备系列。</blockquote></p><p> Unfortunately for investors, bothChinaand theU.K.are reportedly balking at approving the deal.</p><p><blockquote>对投资者来说不幸的是，据报道，中国和英国都不愿批准这笔交易。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Head-To-Head Comparisons</b></p><p><blockquote><b>头对头比较</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation Metrics</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值指标</b></blockquote></p><p> The following chart provides a variety of metrics related to each stock's valuation. All data labeled forward is analysts’ next fiscal year consensus estimate.</p><p><blockquote>下图提供了与每只股票估值相关的各种指标。所有标有前瞻性的数据都是分析师对下一财年的一致预期。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1bdeabcd2ea473601fbaaaa03235de77\" tg-width=\"576\" tg-height=\"336\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Seeking Alpha Premium/ chart by author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Seeking Alpha Premium/作者图表</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Next, I’m using a graph to provide PEG ratios for the three companies. As there can be fairly wide variations in PEG ratios due to analysts’ inputs, I prefer that readers have access to multiple sources when I find wide variance in the ratio.</p><p><blockquote>接下来，我用图表来提供这三家公司的PEG比率。由于分析师的输入可能会导致PEG比率存在相当大的差异，因此当我发现比率存在较大差异时，我希望读者能够访问多个来源。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/884fc2142d97afcc9e2308e50058dd45\" tg-width=\"576\" tg-height=\"336\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Chart by author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>作者图表</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Note that Seeking Alpha provides a three to five-year PEG, Schwab simply lists its metric as a PEG ratio, while Yahoo! Finance calculates a five-year ratio. This could explain some of the variance in the numbers provided.</p><p><blockquote>请注意，Seeking Alpha提供了三到五年的PEG，嘉信理财只是将其指标列为PEG比率，而雅虎！财务计算五年比率。这可以解释所提供数字中的一些差异。</blockquote></p><p> Perusing the first chart, it is obvious that NVDA is the most overvalued. It is also interesting to note that in the current P/E and the forward price/cash flow estimates show AMD as valued near the sector median.</p><p><blockquote>仔细阅读第一张图表，很明显NVDA是最被高估的。还值得注意的是，当前市盈率和远期价格/现金流估计显示AMD的估值接近行业中位数。</blockquote></p><p> Count me as an investor that places great emphasis on a stocks PEG Ratio. Viewing the second chart, AMD has the best PEG of the three companies. I also note that analysts from each source calculated AMD’s PEG ratio as better than the sector median.</p><p><blockquote>我是一个非常重视股票PEG比率的投资者。查看第二张图表，AMD的PEG是三家公司中最好的。我还注意到，各来源的分析师计算出AMD的PEG比率均优于行业中位数。</blockquote></p><p> Do not misinterpret my findings. While INTC has a lower valuation in many respects, when considering other factors, I rate AMD higher overall. In other words, it is not the cheapest valuation but the best valuation, for lack of a better means to articulate my view.</p><p><blockquote>不要误解我的发现。虽然INTC在很多方面的估值较低，但考虑到其他因素，我对AMD的整体评价较高。换句话说，这不是最便宜的估值，而是最好的估值，因为缺乏更好的方式来表达我的观点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>=Advantage AMD</b></p><p><blockquote><b>=优势AMD</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Analysts’ Price Targets</b></p><p><blockquote><b>分析师的价格目标</b></blockquote></p><p> NVIDIA shares currently trade for $202.95. The average 12-month price target of 33 analysts is $186.49. The average price target of the 17 analysts that rated the stock following the latest earnings report is $210.53, about 3.7% above the current price of the stock.</p><p><blockquote>NVIDIA股价目前交易价格为202.95美元。33位分析师的平均12个月目标价为186.49美元。在最新财报发布后对该股进行评级的17名分析师的平均目标价为210.53美元，比该股当前价格高出约3.7%。</blockquote></p><p> AMD shares currently trade for $107.58. The average 12-month price target of 28 analysts is $108.56. The average price target of the 11 analysts that rated the stock following the latest earnings report is $117.27, roughly 9% above the prevailing share price.</p><p><blockquote>AMD股价目前交易价格为107.58美元。28位分析师的平均12个月目标价为108.56美元。在最新财报发布后对该股进行评级的11位分析师的平均目标价为117.27美元，比当前股价高出约9%。</blockquote></p><p> Intel shares currently trade for $54.05. The average 12-month price target of 34 analysts is $59.86. The average price target of the 16 analysts that rated the stock following the latest earnings report is $58.97, a 9% premium over the current share price.</p><p><blockquote>英特尔股价目前交易价格为54.05美元。34位分析师的平均12个月目标价为59.86美元。在最新财报发布后对该股进行评级的16位分析师的平均目标价为58.97美元，较当前股价溢价9%。</blockquote></p><p> Investors should be aware that it has been nearly three months since NVDA posted quarterly earnings while INTC and AMD reported recently.</p><p><blockquote>投资者应该知道，自NVDA公布季度收益而INTC和AMD最近公布季度收益以来，已经过去了近三个月。</blockquote></p><p> <b>=Tie AMD/INTC</b></p><p><blockquote><b>=Tie AMD/INTC</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Growth Rates</b></p><p><blockquote><b>增长率</b></blockquote></p><p> The next chart provides data for growth rates. Unless otherwise noted, the metrics reflect analysts' average two-year forecasts.</p><p><blockquote>下一张图表提供了增长率数据。除非另有说明，这些指标反映了分析师的平均两年预测。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e8ae1b79b3731a985fc209e626ca4886\" tg-width=\"577\" tg-height=\"337\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Seeking Alpha Premium/ Chart by author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Seeking Alpha Premium/作者图表</span></p></blockquote></p><p> While investors familiar with these three companies would expect INTC to perform poorly in relation to NVDA and AMD in regarding growth, in several cases Intel is projected to experience negative growth rates.</p><p><blockquote>虽然熟悉这三家公司的投资者预计INTC在增长方面的表现不如NVDA和AMD，但在某些情况下，英特尔预计将出现负增长率。</blockquote></p><p> Advanced Micro Devices projected growth leads that of NVIDIA in every category, and at times by very wide margins.</p><p><blockquote>Advanced Micro Devices的预计增长在每个类别中都领先于NVIDIA，有时甚至大幅领先。</blockquote></p><p> <b>=Advantage AMD</b></p><p><blockquote><b>=优势AMD</b></blockquote></p><p> I considered providing a chart outlining the profitability of each company; however, suffice it to say that each is highly profitable, and that a juxtaposition of the three would result in a tie.</p><p><blockquote>我考虑提供一张图表，概述每家公司的盈利能力；然而，只要说每一个都是高利润就足够了，三者并置会导致平局。</blockquote></p><p> I often provide a comparison that breaks down dividend metrics, but AMD does not pay a dividend, and NVDA has an anemic yield. INTC currently yields about 2.6%. The dividend is well funded.</p><p><blockquote>我经常提供分解股息指标的比较，但AMD不支付股息，而NVDA的收益率也很低。INTC目前的收益率约为2.6%。股息资金充足。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Debt Metrics</b></p><p><blockquote><b>债务指标</b></blockquote></p><p> NVIDIA had $12.67 billion in cash and $5.96 billion at the end of the last quarter. Should the ARM acquisition meet approval, the deal is structured so that $21 billion of the $40 billion purchase price will be in stock.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达拥有126.7亿美元现金，上季度末为59.6亿美元。如果ARM收购获得批准，该交易的结构将使400亿美元收购价格中的210亿美元将是股票。</blockquote></p><p> AMD has restructured its debt resulting in reduced interest costs. AMD had about $3.8 billion in cash and $313 million in long-term debt at the end of the most recent quarter.</p><p><blockquote>AMD重组了债务，从而降低了利息成本。截至最近一个季度末，AMD拥有约38亿美元现金和3.13亿美元长期债务。</blockquote></p><p> Intel's has solid investment-grade credit ratings. The company held nearly $24.86 billion cash at the end of the last quarter and had $31.7 billion long-term debt.</p><p><blockquote>英特尔拥有可靠的投资级信用评级。截至上季度末，该公司持有近248.6亿美元现金，长期债务为317亿美元。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> All three firms have strong financial positions. Weighing the possibility that NVDA and AMD may add debt due to prospective acquisitions, I am rating the three firms as equals.</p><p><blockquote>这三家公司都拥有强劲的财务状况。考虑到NVDA和AMD可能因潜在收购而增加债务的可能性，我对这三家公司的评级相同。</blockquote></p><p> <b>R&amp;D Budgets</b></p><p><blockquote><b>研发预算</b></blockquote></p><p> This is the first time I have&nbsp;compared&nbsp;the R&amp;D budgets of companies for a head-to-head showdown. However, in the semiconductor industry, that can be of pivotal importance.</p><p><blockquote>这是我第一次比较企业的研发预算进行正面对决。然而，在半导体行业，这可能至关重要。</blockquote></p><p> Last fiscal year, Intel devoted over $13.5 billion to R&amp;D, NVDA spent nearly $2.83 billion, and AMD budgeted a bit over $1.9 billion on research and development.</p><p><blockquote>上一财年，英特尔在研发上投入了超过135亿美元，NVDA花费了近28.3亿美元，AMD的研发预算略高于19亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> AMD is at a clear disadvantage, and that weakness is magnified because it often competes against INTC and NVDA in different arenas. It should be noted that a portion of Intel’s R&amp;D is funneled to its foundry business. Nevertheless, it is the clear winner here, and AMD is the obvious loser.</p><p><blockquote>AMD处于明显的劣势，而且这种劣势被放大了，因为它经常在不同的领域与INTC和NVDA竞争。应该指出的是，英特尔的部分研发资金流向了其代工业务。尽管如此，它是这里明显的赢家，AMD是明显的输家。</blockquote></p><p> I should add that NVDA is chipping away at AMD’s share of the discrete GPU market, and I believe that trend will continue, in part due to the disparity in R&amp;D budgets.</p><p><blockquote>我应该补充一点，NVDA正在蚕食AMD在独立GPU市场的份额，我相信这种趋势将继续下去，部分原因是研发预算的差异。</blockquote></p><p> <b>=Advantage INTC</b></p><p><blockquote><b>=优势INTC</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Bottom Line: Which Is The Best Chip Stock?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>一句话：最好的芯片股是哪只？</b></blockquote></p><p> To arrive at an answer, much depends on whether NVIDIA can complete its acquisition of ARM.</p><p><blockquote>要得出答案，很大程度上取决于英伟达能否完成对ARM的收购。</blockquote></p><p> Because ARM processors are more power and cost-efficient than x86 chips, NVDA could gain market share in the data center space. Since around a third of Intel’s revenue flows from data centers, that could represent a headwind for INTC and a positive for NVDA. However, there is a good chance the deal will fail to close.</p><p><blockquote>由于ARM处理器比x86芯片更强大、更具成本效益，NVDA可以在数据中心领域获得市场份额。由于英特尔大约三分之一的收入来自数据中心，这可能对INTC来说是一个阻力，对NVDA来说是一个积极的因素。然而，这笔交易很有可能无法完成。</blockquote></p><p> The degree of success Intel finds as its&nbsp;planned&nbsp;foundries come online is another factor that should be weighed.</p><p><blockquote>英特尔计划的代工厂上线后取得的成功程度是另一个应该权衡的因素。</blockquote></p><p> A development to be weighed is that AMD has now reached parity with INTC in the PC market in terms of the quality of its products. Furthermore, AMD is gaining market share in the server market, and I expect that trend to continue.</p><p><blockquote>一个需要权衡的发展是，就其产品质量而言，AMD现在已经在PC市场上与INTC持平。此外，AMD正在服务器市场获得市场份额，我预计这一趋势将持续下去。</blockquote></p><p> On the other hand, AMD is losing share in the discrete GPU market to NVDA. NVDA has a technological lead in that space which will probably continue.</p><p><blockquote>另一方面，AMD正在将独立GPU市场的份额输给NVDA。NVDA在该领域拥有技术领先地位，这种领先地位可能会持续下去。</blockquote></p><p> While AMD and NVDA are seen as growth machines, one should not ignore that Intel’s Internet of Things business increased by 47% in the last quarter. Mobileye also saw a surge in growth with revenue increasing 124%. Although these businesses only totaled $1.3 billion in revenue, a fraction of Intel's total revenue of $18.5 billion, they still represent areas of high growth.</p><p><blockquote>虽然AMD和NVDA被视为增长机器，但人们不应忽视英特尔的物联网业务在上个季度增长了47%。Mobileye也出现了大幅增长，收入增长了124%。尽管这些业务的总收入只有13亿美元，与英特尔185亿美元的总收入相比只是一小部分，但它们仍然代表着高增长领域。</blockquote></p><p> However, note the header refers to “chip stock.” Consequently, technological advantages are but one part of the puzzle. Any investment decision must take current valuations and prospective growth rates into account.</p><p><blockquote>但是，请注意标题指的是“芯片库存”。因此，技术优势只是难题的一部分。任何投资决策都必须考虑当前估值和预期增长率。</blockquote></p><p> With that in mind, I must rate NVIDIA as a HOLD due to current valuation and growth estimates. Note my rating is based on the current valuation of the stock. I acknowledge the exemplary leadership of the company and believe the long-term prospect for the stock is excellent.</p><p><blockquote>考虑到这一点，由于目前的估值和增长预期，我必须将英伟达评级为持有。请注意，我的评级基于该股票的当前估值。我承认该公司堪称典范的领导力，并相信该股票的长期前景非常好。</blockquote></p><p> I also rate INTC as a HOLD. I previously rated the company as a buy. While I still believe the firm will serve long-term investors well, I now believe its recovery will unfold over a long time span, and better opportunities are available.</p><p><blockquote>我也将INTC评级为持有。我之前将该公司评级为买入。虽然我仍然相信该公司将很好地为长期投资者服务，但我现在相信它的复苏将在很长一段时间内展开，并且会有更好的机会。</blockquote></p><p> I rate AMD as a BUY. This is based on the current valuations and growth rates outlined in this article. I’ll add that those metrics are buttressed by my perception that as Intel works on its recovery, AMD is likely to chip away at market share.</p><p><blockquote>我将AMD评级为买入。这是基于本文概述的当前估值和增长率。我要补充的是，这些指标得到了我的看法的支持，即随着英特尔努力复苏，AMD可能会蚕食市场份额。</blockquote></p><p> For additional insights into the technological aspects of an investment in AMD and INTC, I recommend an excellent article by SA&nbsp;contributor&nbsp;Keyanoush Razavidinani.</p><p><blockquote>为了更多地了解投资AMD和INTC的技术方面，我推荐SA撰稿人Keyanoush Razavidinani的一篇优秀文章。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4448637-amd-intel-nvidia-best-chip-stock\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dad74e350b9b09d45929989f896aaa9d","relate_stocks":{"INTC":"英特尔","NVDA":"英伟达","AMD":"美国超微公司"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4448637-amd-intel-nvidia-best-chip-stock","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1138705612","content_text":"Summary\n\nAMD's recent CPU and GPU offerings have been more competitive with Intel and NVIDIA's products.\nAMD’s EPYC server chips have proved to be comparable or even superior to certain Intel chips and have led to AMD gaining server CPU market share.\nEven so, Intel is the leader in the processor market and holds long-term advantages over AMD in R&D, marketing, and pricing.\nNvidia is ahead of AMD in GPU technology and is leveraging its GPUs into adjacent end markets such as artificial intelligence.\n\nAndy/iStock via Getty Images\nIntel (INTC) was once the microchip industry equivalent of the Colossus of Rhodes, a monument to the power of Moore’s law. However, the firm stumbled with its 10-nanometer process, and recently announced its 7-nm process will be delayed until 2023.\nThis left the door open to Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (AMD), and that firm has taken full advantage of the opportunity. AMD has taken a large share of the CPU market and is making inroads into the once nearly impenetrable server market.\nAMD now has seven consecutive quarters of double-digit revenue growth under its belt, and it appears the firm is gaining momentum: management now guides for 60% revenue growth for the full year, up from the 50% forecast provided in the previous quarter.\nHowever, AMD also competes with NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA), and the latter company’s GPU technology is stealing market share. NVDA has also been successful in gaining access to adjacent markets with its GPUs, especially AI and automotive markets.\nThe Ins And Outs of Intel\nAn understanding of Intel also provides insights into AMD. This is due to the overlap between the two companies, particularly in regards to x86 chips. Intel developed the x86 chip in 1978. To satisfy demands by IBM that Intel would not be the sole supplier of the chips, INTC provided x86 instruction set architecture licensing to AMD.\nConsequently, Intel and AMD have a duopoly position in the PC and server markets, as nearly all computer software is written for x86 architecture. The result is that both have a wide moat related to the x86 ecosystem.\nGaming consoles in particular are based on x86 architecture due to those platforms generally providing more powerful CPUs and GPUs with multiple compute cores. Like PCs, consoles operate with games that use x86 based software. Once again, this stifles potential competition from ARM-based devices.\nUntil fairly recently, AMD was a distant second to INTC as a supplier of x86 chips. However, AMD teamed with Taiwan Semiconductor(NYSE:TSM)to use that manufacturer’s 7nm process to surpass INTC in process technology. Combined with AMD’s developing new innovative chip designs, this one-two punch resulted in INTC losing significant market share.\nAt the end of Q1, AMD held 19.30% of the x86 desktop market, a 70 basis point gain year-over-year. In Q2 AMD corralled 8% of the server market, up from a 5% market share in Q4 of 2019.\nDespite these setbacks, it seems premature to view Intel as a moribund business. INTC is one of the largest semiconductor companies in the world. The firm dominates the server market, and still holds 60% of the global x86 CPU market.\nThe company has an enormous R&D budget, and it is expanding into new markets, primarily Artificial Intelligence, Field-Programmable Gate Array chips, and automotive offerings, through its acquisitions of Habana Labs, Altera, Movidius, and Mobileye.\nInvestors should not be swayed by the claim that Intel’s new 10nm chips are inferior to 7nm solely on the basis that 7 is superior to 10. While once used to denote the technology level of a chip design, it has been misused to the point of being useless.\nHowever, there are a number of concerns that must be acknowledged. Intel lags competitors in the smartphone market. As consumers shift to mobile devices, this could result in a sustained headwind as smartphones take the place of PCs. On the other hand, it should be acknowledged that INTC’s server processor business has seen growth associated with the surge in mobile devices and cloud computing.\nIntel also faces increased competition from AMD in the data center space, as well as customers developing their own ARM-based chips for CPUs.\nAn Overview of AMD\nIn years past, INTC held the lion’s share of the x86 market. This was due in part to Intel’s leading-edge manufacturing combined with AMD’s wafer supply agreements with less than stellar GlobalFoundries.\nHowever, a seismic shift occurred due to three factors: driven by innovative designs, AMD brought competitive products to market, AMD shifted to TSMC for production, and Intel faced repeated manufacturing delays. The two charts below document the progress the company has made.\nSource:Q2 Earnings Presentation\nSource:Q2 Earnings Presentation\nLike Intel, AMD’s primary products are CPUs and GPUs. AMD’s chips are designed for PCs, game consoles, servers, and blockchain applications. And like INTC, AMD’s offerings are largely protected from competition due to the preponderance of software for PCs and servers being designed for x86 architecture.\nAMD’s strong growth has largely come at the expense of Intel as AMD has steadily chipped away at the former company’s CPU market share.\nSource:Seeking Alpha\nAMD’s focus on CPU and GPU semi-custom processor applications has resulted in their use in Microsoft Xbox and Sony PlayStation game consoles.\nIn regards to PC integrated GPUs, AMD is roughly in parity with NVIDIA while INTC dominates with roughly 68% of the market.\nSource:tom'sHARDWARE\nHowever, NVIDIA dominates the discrete GPU space with an 80% plus market share with AMD sweeping up what is left. NVIDIA’s discrete GPUs are arguably superior to AMD’s (more on that later); therefore, investors should not look for growth here.\nAlthough AMD’s EPYC server CPU products were competitive with that of rivals, initially the company relied on aggressive pricing to promote its first generation of EPYC offerings. However, the EPYC line has gained wider acceptance, and with the Milan processors, the company is gaining market share. As server CPUs provide a better profit margin than the company’s other products, expansion into that space should aid in driving revenue.\nLate last year,AMD entered intoa deal to acquire Xilinx (XLNX), a leader in field programmable gate array (FPGA) chips. FPGAs can be used for a wide variety of applications. Because shifting to a competing FPGA provider requires retraining of engineers in software and design tools, customers are loath to make a switch to a competing vendor. Consequently, if the Xilinx deal goes through, AMD will have acquired a wide moat business. Management guides for operational efficiencies of approximately $300 million within 18 months of closing the transaction.\nThe Xilinx acquisition should bolster AMD’s data center and artificial intelligence businesses.\nAMD agreed to acquire Xilinx for $35 billion in an all-stock transaction.\nA Survey of NVIDIA\nNVDA's focus on the graphics processing units market has led the company to a dominant position in the discrete GPU space. The firm is the leader in discrete GPUs for computing platforms, especially gaming consoles. The fact that Intel licensed intellectual property from NVIDIA to integrate GPUs into its PC chipset testifies to the lead the company maintains.\nThe chart below provides a record of the burgeoning ASP the company has been able to command over the last half decade, beginning with the Pascal architecture in 2016, and progressing through Turing to Ampere.\nSource:AMD Investor Presentation\nThe firm’s chips are also found in many high-end PCs, and NVDA has particular strength in the incipient AI and self-driving vehicle markets.\nGPUs are being teamed with CPUs to enhance computation workloads. This stratagem is designed to bolster the ability of AI systems to perform computationally intensive tasks. AI related to autonomous vehicles is a developing strength for NVIDIA. Another arena in which the firm is making its mark is in cloud\nAI and data centers pose the most likely avenue of growth for NVDA. To strengthen its position in both businesses, the company moved last year to acquire ARM Holdings (ARMHF) from parent company Softbank for $40 billion.\nARM is the globe’s largest licensor of chip designs. Its chips are ubiquitous and can be found in mobile phones, smart TVs, and tablet computers. 160 billion chips have been made using ARM designs.\nPerhaps of equal importance is that 13 million developers work with ARM devices. To place that in context, NVDA has 2 million developers working on its array of devices.\nUnfortunately for investors, bothChinaand theU.K.are reportedly balking at approving the deal.\nHead-To-Head Comparisons\nValuation Metrics\nThe following chart provides a variety of metrics related to each stock's valuation. All data labeled forward is analysts’ next fiscal year consensus estimate.\nSource:Seeking Alpha Premium/ chart by author\nNext, I’m using a graph to provide PEG ratios for the three companies. As there can be fairly wide variations in PEG ratios due to analysts’ inputs, I prefer that readers have access to multiple sources when I find wide variance in the ratio.\nChart by author\nNote that Seeking Alpha provides a three to five-year PEG, Schwab simply lists its metric as a PEG ratio, while Yahoo! Finance calculates a five-year ratio. This could explain some of the variance in the numbers provided.\nPerusing the first chart, it is obvious that NVDA is the most overvalued. It is also interesting to note that in the current P/E and the forward price/cash flow estimates show AMD as valued near the sector median.\nCount me as an investor that places great emphasis on a stocks PEG Ratio. Viewing the second chart, AMD has the best PEG of the three companies. I also note that analysts from each source calculated AMD’s PEG ratio as better than the sector median.\nDo not misinterpret my findings. While INTC has a lower valuation in many respects, when considering other factors, I rate AMD higher overall. In other words, it is not the cheapest valuation but the best valuation, for lack of a better means to articulate my view.\n=Advantage AMD\nAnalysts’ Price Targets\nNVIDIA shares currently trade for $202.95. The average 12-month price target of 33 analysts is $186.49. The average price target of the 17 analysts that rated the stock following the latest earnings report is $210.53, about 3.7% above the current price of the stock.\nAMD shares currently trade for $107.58. The average 12-month price target of 28 analysts is $108.56. The average price target of the 11 analysts that rated the stock following the latest earnings report is $117.27, roughly 9% above the prevailing share price.\nIntel shares currently trade for $54.05. The average 12-month price target of 34 analysts is $59.86. The average price target of the 16 analysts that rated the stock following the latest earnings report is $58.97, a 9% premium over the current share price.\nInvestors should be aware that it has been nearly three months since NVDA posted quarterly earnings while INTC and AMD reported recently.\n=Tie AMD/INTC\nGrowth Rates\nThe next chart provides data for growth rates. Unless otherwise noted, the metrics reflect analysts' average two-year forecasts.\nSource:Seeking Alpha Premium/ Chart by author\nWhile investors familiar with these three companies would expect INTC to perform poorly in relation to NVDA and AMD in regarding growth, in several cases Intel is projected to experience negative growth rates.\nAdvanced Micro Devices projected growth leads that of NVIDIA in every category, and at times by very wide margins.\n=Advantage AMD\nI considered providing a chart outlining the profitability of each company; however, suffice it to say that each is highly profitable, and that a juxtaposition of the three would result in a tie.\nI often provide a comparison that breaks down dividend metrics, but AMD does not pay a dividend, and NVDA has an anemic yield. INTC currently yields about 2.6%. The dividend is well funded.\nDebt Metrics\nNVIDIA had $12.67 billion in cash and $5.96 billion at the end of the last quarter. Should the ARM acquisition meet approval, the deal is structured so that $21 billion of the $40 billion purchase price will be in stock.\nAMD has restructured its debt resulting in reduced interest costs. AMD had about $3.8 billion in cash and $313 million in long-term debt at the end of the most recent quarter.\nIntel's has solid investment-grade credit ratings. The company held nearly $24.86 billion cash at the end of the last quarter and had $31.7 billion long-term debt.\nAll three firms have strong financial positions. Weighing the possibility that NVDA and AMD may add debt due to prospective acquisitions, I am rating the three firms as equals.\nR&D Budgets\nThis is the first time I have compared the R&D budgets of companies for a head-to-head showdown. However, in the semiconductor industry, that can be of pivotal importance.\nLast fiscal year, Intel devoted over $13.5 billion to R&D, NVDA spent nearly $2.83 billion, and AMD budgeted a bit over $1.9 billion on research and development.\nAMD is at a clear disadvantage, and that weakness is magnified because it often competes against INTC and NVDA in different arenas. It should be noted that a portion of Intel’s R&D is funneled to its foundry business. Nevertheless, it is the clear winner here, and AMD is the obvious loser.\nI should add that NVDA is chipping away at AMD’s share of the discrete GPU market, and I believe that trend will continue, in part due to the disparity in R&D budgets.\n=Advantage INTC\nBottom Line: Which Is The Best Chip Stock?\nTo arrive at an answer, much depends on whether NVIDIA can complete its acquisition of ARM.\nBecause ARM processors are more power and cost-efficient than x86 chips, NVDA could gain market share in the data center space. Since around a third of Intel’s revenue flows from data centers, that could represent a headwind for INTC and a positive for NVDA. However, there is a good chance the deal will fail to close.\nThe degree of success Intel finds as its planned foundries come online is another factor that should be weighed.\nA development to be weighed is that AMD has now reached parity with INTC in the PC market in terms of the quality of its products. Furthermore, AMD is gaining market share in the server market, and I expect that trend to continue.\nOn the other hand, AMD is losing share in the discrete GPU market to NVDA. NVDA has a technological lead in that space which will probably continue.\nWhile AMD and NVDA are seen as growth machines, one should not ignore that Intel’s Internet of Things business increased by 47% in the last quarter. Mobileye also saw a surge in growth with revenue increasing 124%. Although these businesses only totaled $1.3 billion in revenue, a fraction of Intel's total revenue of $18.5 billion, they still represent areas of high growth.\nHowever, note the header refers to “chip stock.” Consequently, technological advantages are but one part of the puzzle. Any investment decision must take current valuations and prospective growth rates into account.\nWith that in mind, I must rate NVIDIA as a HOLD due to current valuation and growth estimates. Note my rating is based on the current valuation of the stock. I acknowledge the exemplary leadership of the company and believe the long-term prospect for the stock is excellent.\nI also rate INTC as a HOLD. I previously rated the company as a buy. While I still believe the firm will serve long-term investors well, I now believe its recovery will unfold over a long time span, and better opportunities are available.\nI rate AMD as a BUY. This is based on the current valuations and growth rates outlined in this article. I’ll add that those metrics are buttressed by my perception that as Intel works on its recovery, AMD is likely to chip away at market share.\nFor additional insights into the technological aspects of an investment in AMD and INTC, I recommend an excellent article by SA contributor Keyanoush Razavidinani.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"INTC":0.9,"AMD":0.9,"NVDA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":281,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":807824008,"gmtCreate":1628031130904,"gmtModify":1633754339661,"author":{"id":"3584355133514261","authorId":"3584355133514261","name":"keane3921","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f91e2aa3ce2d41b7ddd61125b2e64e06","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584355133514261","authorIdStr":"3584355133514261"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Really","listText":"Really","text":"Really","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":13,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/807824008","repostId":"2156812076","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":413,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":861274475,"gmtCreate":1632508173097,"gmtModify":1632714603489,"author":{"id":"3584355133514261","authorId":"3584355133514261","name":"keane3921","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f91e2aa3ce2d41b7ddd61125b2e64e06","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584355133514261","authorIdStr":"3584355133514261"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"C 6 screwc vvqq3","listText":"C 6 screwc vvqq3","text":"C 6 screwc vvqq3","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":11,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/861274475","repostId":"2169153886","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2169153886","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1632494459,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2169153886?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-24 22:40","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Friday's Market Minute: Takeaways From Another Volatile Earnings Season<blockquote>周五市场纪要：另一个波动的财报季的要点</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2169153886","media":"Benzinga","summary":"For many, Nike’s (NYSE: NKE) quarterly report means the unofficial end to earnings season. While bank earnings are now only a few weeks away, marking the start to the third-quarter reports, the second quarter was one worth noting.","content":"<p>  <b>Each quarter’s reports have brought on their own set of hills and valleys. Here is the Summary...</b>  For many, <b>Nike’s </b>(NYSE:NKE) quarterly report means the unofficial end to earnings season. While bank earnings are now only a few weeks away, marking the start to the third-quarter reports, the second quarter was <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> worth noting. Since the pandemic sent the broader market into disarray roughly a year and a half ago, each quarter’s reports have brought on their own set of hills and valleys.</p><p><blockquote><b>每个季度的报告都带来了自己的丘陵和山谷。这是总结...</b>对许多人来说，<b>耐克的</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：NKE）季度报告意味着财报季的非正式结束。虽然距离银行财报发布仅几周时间，标志着第三季度报告的开始，但第二季度<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>值得注意。自从大约一年半前疫情让大盘陷入混乱以来，每个季度的报告都带来了自己的起伏。</blockquote></p><p> The average earnings growth for the period was over 93%, which is the highest on record since 4Q of 2009. On a quarter-over-quarter basis, earnings grew over 6% on average from 1Q21 to 2Q21 and were well above year-ago levels (although facing relatively easy comps to last year’s economic backdrop). Revenue also grew substantially, posting the largest improvement compared to the last nine quarters.</p><p><blockquote>该期间的平均盈利增长率超过93%，是自2009年第四季度以来的最高纪录。从2021年第一季度到2021年第二季度的盈利环比平均增长超过6%，远高于去年同期水平（尽管与去年的经济背景相比相对容易）。收入也大幅增长，与过去九个季度相比，增幅最大。</blockquote></p><p> Plus, not only was there a record amount of companies beating earnings estimates, but these companies also beat expectations by a much higher margin compared to historical levels. Over 87% of companies beat in 2Q, which tied for the highest percentage beat rate in history. The earnings beat was also 87% in 1Q21, 79% in 4Q20, 84% in 3Q20, and 82% in 2Q20 – showing the real strength of the last five quarters. For historical context, the average beat rate since 1994 stands at roughly 66%.</p><p><blockquote>此外，不仅有创纪录数量的公司超出了盈利预期，而且与历史水平相比，这些公司超出预期的幅度也要高得多。超过87%的公司在第二季度获胜，并列历史上最高的获胜百分比。2021年第一季度、2020年第四季度、2020年第三季度和2020年第二季度的盈利超出预期分别为87%、79%、84%和82%，显示了过去五个季度的真实实力。就历史背景而言，自1994年以来的平均节拍率约为66%。</blockquote></p><p> Within the heavily traded and scrutinized FAANG stocks, <b>Amazon </b>(NASDAQ:AMZN) was the only company that reported revenue that disappointed the Street. It was also the e-commerce giant’s first miss since 3Q of 2018, and the stock saw a good amount of selling following the miss (-7.5%). Nike also saw some pressure after reporting a bottom-line beat, but a miss on the top line. The athletic apparel retailer highlighted one major theme that has been mentioned consistently throughout the quarter: supply chain disruptions. Nike’s management said its fiscal 1Q sales would have been higher than reported, if not for supply-chain issues.</p><p><blockquote>在交易量大且受到密切关注的FAANG股票中，<b>亚马逊</b>（纳斯达克：AMZN）是唯一一家报告收入令华尔街失望的公司。这也是这家电子商务巨头自2018年第三季度以来的首次失误，该股在失误后出现了大量抛售（-7.5%）。耐克在报告盈利增长但营收未达预期后也面临一些压力。这家运动服装零售商强调了整个季度一直被提及的一个主要主题：供应链中断。耐克管理层表示，如果不是因为供应链问题，其第一财季销售额将高于报告。</blockquote></p><p> While it is unclear how to gauge when this headwind will be resolved, as several parts of the world continue in a reduced capacity or lockdown, this is a pressure that is extended into the upcoming quarter.</p><p><blockquote>虽然尚不清楚如何衡量这种逆风何时会得到解决，但随着世界上几个地区继续处于产能减少或封锁状态，这种压力将延续到下个季度。</blockquote></p><p> For many, Nike’s quarterly report means the unofficial end to earnings season. While bank earnings are now only a few weeks away, marking the start to the third quarter reports, the second quarter was one worth noting. Since the pandemic sent the broader market into disarray roughly a year and a half ago, each quarter’s reports have brought on their own set of hills and valleys. The average earnings growth for the period was over 93%, which is the highest on record since 4Q of 2009. On a quarter-over-quarter basis, earnings grew over 6% on average from 1Q21 to 2Q21 and were well-above year ago levels (although facing relatively easy comps to last year’s economic backdrop). Revenue also grew substantially, posting the largest improvement compared to the last nine quarters.</p><p><blockquote>对于许多人来说，耐克的季度报告意味着财报季的非正式结束。虽然距离银行盈利只有几周时间，标志着第三季度报告的开始，但第二季度值得注意。自从大约一年半前疫情让大盘陷入混乱以来，每个季度的报告都带来了自己的起伏。该期间的平均盈利增长率超过93%，是自2009年第四季度以来的最高纪录。从2021年第一季度到2021年第二季度的盈利环比平均增长超过6%，远高于去年的水平（尽管与去年的经济背景相比相对容易）。收入也大幅增长，与过去九个季度相比，增幅最大。</blockquote></p><p> Plus, not only was there a record amount of companies beating earnings estimates, these companies also beat expectations by a much higher margin compared to historical levels. Over 87% of companies beat in 2Q, which tied for the highest percentage beat rate in history. Earnings beat was also 87% in 1Q21, 79% in 4Q20, 84% in 3Q20, and 82% in 2Q20 – showing the real strength of the last five quarters. For historical context, the average beat rate since 1994 stands at roughly 66%.</p><p><blockquote>此外，不仅有创纪录数量的公司超出了盈利预期，而且与历史水平相比，这些公司超出预期的利润率也高得多。超过87%的公司在第二季度获胜，并列历史上最高的获胜百分比。2021年第一季度、2020年第四季度、2020年第三季度和2020年第二季度的盈利超出预期分别为87%、79%、84%和82%，显示了过去五个季度的真实实力。就历史背景而言，自1994年以来的平均节拍率约为66%。</blockquote></p><p> Within the heavily traded and scrutinized FAAMG stocks, Amazon was the only company who reported revenue that disappointed the Street. It was also the e-commerce giant’s first miss since 3Q of 2018, and the stock saw a good amount of selling following the miss (-7.5%). Nike also saw some pressure after reporting a bottom-line beat, but a miss on top line. The athletic apparel retailer highlighted one major theme that has been mentioned consistently throughout the quarter: supply chain disruptions. Nike’s management said its fiscal 1Q sales would have been higher than reported, if not for supply-chain issues.</p><p><blockquote>在交易量大、受到密切关注的FAAMG股票中，亚马逊是唯一一家营收令华尔街失望的公司。这也是这家电子商务巨头自2018年第三季度以来的首次失误，该股在失误后出现了大量抛售（-7.5%）。耐克在报告盈利增长但营收未达预期后也面临一些压力。这家运动服装零售商强调了整个季度一直被提及的一个主要主题：供应链中断。耐克管理层表示，如果不是因为供应链问题，其第一财季销售额将高于报告。</blockquote></p><p> While it is unclear how to gauge when this headwind will be resolved, as several parts of the world continue in a reduced capacity or lockdown, this is a pressure that is extended into the upcoming quarter.</p><p><blockquote>虽然尚不清楚如何衡量这种逆风何时会得到解决，但随着世界上几个地区继续处于产能减少或封锁状态，这种压力将延续到下个季度。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Friday's Market Minute: Takeaways From Another Volatile Earnings Season<blockquote>周五市场纪要：另一个波动的财报季的要点</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFriday's Market Minute: Takeaways From Another Volatile Earnings Season<blockquote>周五市场纪要：另一个波动的财报季的要点</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-09-24 22:40</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  <b>Each quarter’s reports have brought on their own set of hills and valleys. Here is the Summary...</b>  For many, <b>Nike’s </b>(NYSE:NKE) quarterly report means the unofficial end to earnings season. While bank earnings are now only a few weeks away, marking the start to the third-quarter reports, the second quarter was <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> worth noting. Since the pandemic sent the broader market into disarray roughly a year and a half ago, each quarter’s reports have brought on their own set of hills and valleys.</p><p><blockquote><b>每个季度的报告都带来了自己的丘陵和山谷。这是总结...</b>对许多人来说，<b>耐克的</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：NKE）季度报告意味着财报季的非正式结束。虽然距离银行财报发布仅几周时间，标志着第三季度报告的开始，但第二季度<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>值得注意。自从大约一年半前疫情让大盘陷入混乱以来，每个季度的报告都带来了自己的起伏。</blockquote></p><p> The average earnings growth for the period was over 93%, which is the highest on record since 4Q of 2009. On a quarter-over-quarter basis, earnings grew over 6% on average from 1Q21 to 2Q21 and were well above year-ago levels (although facing relatively easy comps to last year’s economic backdrop). Revenue also grew substantially, posting the largest improvement compared to the last nine quarters.</p><p><blockquote>该期间的平均盈利增长率超过93%，是自2009年第四季度以来的最高纪录。从2021年第一季度到2021年第二季度的盈利环比平均增长超过6%，远高于去年同期水平（尽管与去年的经济背景相比相对容易）。收入也大幅增长，与过去九个季度相比，增幅最大。</blockquote></p><p> Plus, not only was there a record amount of companies beating earnings estimates, but these companies also beat expectations by a much higher margin compared to historical levels. Over 87% of companies beat in 2Q, which tied for the highest percentage beat rate in history. The earnings beat was also 87% in 1Q21, 79% in 4Q20, 84% in 3Q20, and 82% in 2Q20 – showing the real strength of the last five quarters. For historical context, the average beat rate since 1994 stands at roughly 66%.</p><p><blockquote>此外，不仅有创纪录数量的公司超出了盈利预期，而且与历史水平相比，这些公司超出预期的幅度也要高得多。超过87%的公司在第二季度获胜，并列历史上最高的获胜百分比。2021年第一季度、2020年第四季度、2020年第三季度和2020年第二季度的盈利超出预期分别为87%、79%、84%和82%，显示了过去五个季度的真实实力。就历史背景而言，自1994年以来的平均节拍率约为66%。</blockquote></p><p> Within the heavily traded and scrutinized FAANG stocks, <b>Amazon </b>(NASDAQ:AMZN) was the only company that reported revenue that disappointed the Street. It was also the e-commerce giant’s first miss since 3Q of 2018, and the stock saw a good amount of selling following the miss (-7.5%). Nike also saw some pressure after reporting a bottom-line beat, but a miss on the top line. The athletic apparel retailer highlighted one major theme that has been mentioned consistently throughout the quarter: supply chain disruptions. Nike’s management said its fiscal 1Q sales would have been higher than reported, if not for supply-chain issues.</p><p><blockquote>在交易量大且受到密切关注的FAANG股票中，<b>亚马逊</b>（纳斯达克：AMZN）是唯一一家报告收入令华尔街失望的公司。这也是这家电子商务巨头自2018年第三季度以来的首次失误，该股在失误后出现了大量抛售（-7.5%）。耐克在报告盈利增长但营收未达预期后也面临一些压力。这家运动服装零售商强调了整个季度一直被提及的一个主要主题：供应链中断。耐克管理层表示，如果不是因为供应链问题，其第一财季销售额将高于报告。</blockquote></p><p> While it is unclear how to gauge when this headwind will be resolved, as several parts of the world continue in a reduced capacity or lockdown, this is a pressure that is extended into the upcoming quarter.</p><p><blockquote>虽然尚不清楚如何衡量这种逆风何时会得到解决，但随着世界上几个地区继续处于产能减少或封锁状态，这种压力将延续到下个季度。</blockquote></p><p> For many, Nike’s quarterly report means the unofficial end to earnings season. While bank earnings are now only a few weeks away, marking the start to the third quarter reports, the second quarter was one worth noting. Since the pandemic sent the broader market into disarray roughly a year and a half ago, each quarter’s reports have brought on their own set of hills and valleys. The average earnings growth for the period was over 93%, which is the highest on record since 4Q of 2009. On a quarter-over-quarter basis, earnings grew over 6% on average from 1Q21 to 2Q21 and were well-above year ago levels (although facing relatively easy comps to last year’s economic backdrop). Revenue also grew substantially, posting the largest improvement compared to the last nine quarters.</p><p><blockquote>对于许多人来说，耐克的季度报告意味着财报季的非正式结束。虽然距离银行盈利只有几周时间，标志着第三季度报告的开始，但第二季度值得注意。自从大约一年半前疫情让大盘陷入混乱以来，每个季度的报告都带来了自己的起伏。该期间的平均盈利增长率超过93%，是自2009年第四季度以来的最高纪录。从2021年第一季度到2021年第二季度的盈利环比平均增长超过6%，远高于去年的水平（尽管与去年的经济背景相比相对容易）。收入也大幅增长，与过去九个季度相比，增幅最大。</blockquote></p><p> Plus, not only was there a record amount of companies beating earnings estimates, these companies also beat expectations by a much higher margin compared to historical levels. Over 87% of companies beat in 2Q, which tied for the highest percentage beat rate in history. Earnings beat was also 87% in 1Q21, 79% in 4Q20, 84% in 3Q20, and 82% in 2Q20 – showing the real strength of the last five quarters. For historical context, the average beat rate since 1994 stands at roughly 66%.</p><p><blockquote>此外，不仅有创纪录数量的公司超出了盈利预期，而且与历史水平相比，这些公司超出预期的利润率也高得多。超过87%的公司在第二季度获胜，并列历史上最高的获胜百分比。2021年第一季度、2020年第四季度、2020年第三季度和2020年第二季度的盈利超出预期分别为87%、79%、84%和82%，显示了过去五个季度的真实实力。就历史背景而言，自1994年以来的平均节拍率约为66%。</blockquote></p><p> Within the heavily traded and scrutinized FAAMG stocks, Amazon was the only company who reported revenue that disappointed the Street. It was also the e-commerce giant’s first miss since 3Q of 2018, and the stock saw a good amount of selling following the miss (-7.5%). Nike also saw some pressure after reporting a bottom-line beat, but a miss on top line. The athletic apparel retailer highlighted one major theme that has been mentioned consistently throughout the quarter: supply chain disruptions. Nike’s management said its fiscal 1Q sales would have been higher than reported, if not for supply-chain issues.</p><p><blockquote>在交易量大、受到密切关注的FAAMG股票中，亚马逊是唯一一家营收令华尔街失望的公司。这也是这家电子商务巨头自2018年第三季度以来的首次失误，该股在失误后出现了大量抛售（-7.5%）。耐克在报告盈利增长但营收未达预期后也面临一些压力。这家运动服装零售商强调了整个季度一直被提及的一个主要主题：供应链中断。耐克管理层表示，如果不是因为供应链问题，其第一财季销售额将高于报告。</blockquote></p><p> While it is unclear how to gauge when this headwind will be resolved, as several parts of the world continue in a reduced capacity or lockdown, this is a pressure that is extended into the upcoming quarter.</p><p><blockquote>虽然尚不清楚如何衡量这种逆风何时会得到解决，但随着世界上几个地区继续处于产能减少或封锁状态，这种压力将延续到下个季度。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NKE":"耐克","AMZN":"亚马逊"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2169153886","content_text":"Each quarter’s reports have brought on their own set of hills and valleys. Here is the Summary...\n\nFor many, Nike’s (NYSE:NKE) quarterly report means the unofficial end to earnings season. While bank earnings are now only a few weeks away, marking the start to the third-quarter reports, the second quarter was one worth noting. Since the pandemic sent the broader market into disarray roughly a year and a half ago, each quarter’s reports have brought on their own set of hills and valleys.\nThe average earnings growth for the period was over 93%, which is the highest on record since 4Q of 2009. On a quarter-over-quarter basis, earnings grew over 6% on average from 1Q21 to 2Q21 and were well above year-ago levels (although facing relatively easy comps to last year’s economic backdrop). Revenue also grew substantially, posting the largest improvement compared to the last nine quarters.\nPlus, not only was there a record amount of companies beating earnings estimates, but these companies also beat expectations by a much higher margin compared to historical levels. Over 87% of companies beat in 2Q, which tied for the highest percentage beat rate in history. The earnings beat was also 87% in 1Q21, 79% in 4Q20, 84% in 3Q20, and 82% in 2Q20 – showing the real strength of the last five quarters. For historical context, the average beat rate since 1994 stands at roughly 66%.\nWithin the heavily traded and scrutinized FAANG stocks, Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) was the only company that reported revenue that disappointed the Street. It was also the e-commerce giant’s first miss since 3Q of 2018, and the stock saw a good amount of selling following the miss (-7.5%). Nike also saw some pressure after reporting a bottom-line beat, but a miss on the top line. The athletic apparel retailer highlighted one major theme that has been mentioned consistently throughout the quarter: supply chain disruptions. Nike’s management said its fiscal 1Q sales would have been higher than reported, if not for supply-chain issues.\nWhile it is unclear how to gauge when this headwind will be resolved, as several parts of the world continue in a reduced capacity or lockdown, this is a pressure that is extended into the upcoming quarter.\nFor many, Nike’s quarterly report means the unofficial end to earnings season. While bank earnings are now only a few weeks away, marking the start to the third quarter reports, the second quarter was one worth noting. Since the pandemic sent the broader market into disarray roughly a year and a half ago, each quarter’s reports have brought on their own set of hills and valleys. The average earnings growth for the period was over 93%, which is the highest on record since 4Q of 2009. On a quarter-over-quarter basis, earnings grew over 6% on average from 1Q21 to 2Q21 and were well-above year ago levels (although facing relatively easy comps to last year’s economic backdrop). Revenue also grew substantially, posting the largest improvement compared to the last nine quarters.\nPlus, not only was there a record amount of companies beating earnings estimates, these companies also beat expectations by a much higher margin compared to historical levels. Over 87% of companies beat in 2Q, which tied for the highest percentage beat rate in history. Earnings beat was also 87% in 1Q21, 79% in 4Q20, 84% in 3Q20, and 82% in 2Q20 – showing the real strength of the last five quarters. For historical context, the average beat rate since 1994 stands at roughly 66%.\nWithin the heavily traded and scrutinized FAAMG stocks, Amazon was the only company who reported revenue that disappointed the Street. It was also the e-commerce giant’s first miss since 3Q of 2018, and the stock saw a good amount of selling following the miss (-7.5%). Nike also saw some pressure after reporting a bottom-line beat, but a miss on top line. The athletic apparel retailer highlighted one major theme that has been mentioned consistently throughout the quarter: supply chain disruptions. Nike’s management said its fiscal 1Q sales would have been higher than reported, if not for supply-chain issues.\nWhile it is unclear how to gauge when this headwind will be resolved, as several parts of the world continue in a reduced capacity or lockdown, this is a pressure that is extended into the upcoming quarter.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMZN":0.9,"NKE":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":913,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":801947570,"gmtCreate":1627481113290,"gmtModify":1631888657744,"author":{"id":"3584355133514261","authorId":"3584355133514261","name":"keane3921","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f91e2aa3ce2d41b7ddd61125b2e64e06","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584355133514261","authorIdStr":"3584355133514261"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Power","listText":"Power","text":"Power","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/801947570","repostId":"1151337652","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":631,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":840624439,"gmtCreate":1635644852149,"gmtModify":1635644852234,"author":{"id":"3584355133514261","authorId":"3584355133514261","name":"keane3921","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f91e2aa3ce2d41b7ddd61125b2e64e06","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584355133514261","authorIdStr":"3584355133514261"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"When he open mouth.... All related share will drop.....???&nbsp;","listText":"When he open mouth.... All related share will drop.....???&nbsp;","text":"When he open mouth.... All related share will drop.....???","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/840624439","repostId":"2179223698","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3022,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3566385558470298","authorId":"3566385558470298","name":"Venus_M","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/525433622d774840840ddaacaf2281d2","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3566385558470298","authorIdStr":"3566385558470298"},"content":"[笑哭] Trump is actually better for stock market. Biden has never cared about make it collapse. that is a known fact from the start","text":"[笑哭] Trump is actually better for stock market. Biden has never cared about make it collapse. that is a known fact from the start","html":"[笑哭] Trump is actually better for stock market. Biden has never cared about make it collapse. that is a known fact from the start"},{"author":{"id":"3566385558470298","authorId":"3566385558470298","name":"Venus_M","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/525433622d774840840ddaacaf2281d2","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3566385558470298","authorIdStr":"3566385558470298"},"content":"for this case, he has urge them to increase production. thus market perceive the shortage issue will be resolved soon. mkt is forward looking thus the drop? 🤔","text":"for this case, he has urge them to increase production. thus market perceive the shortage issue will be resolved soon. mkt is forward looking thus the drop? 🤔","html":"for this case, he has urge them to increase production. thus market perceive the shortage issue will be resolved soon. mkt is forward looking thus the drop? 🤔"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":889863071,"gmtCreate":1631140645893,"gmtModify":1631891106728,"author":{"id":"3584355133514261","authorId":"3584355133514261","name":"keane3921","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f91e2aa3ce2d41b7ddd61125b2e64e06","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584355133514261","authorIdStr":"3584355133514261"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good or bad news?&nbsp;","listText":"Good or bad news?&nbsp;","text":"Good or bad news?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/889863071","repostId":"2165239949","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":458,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":830041677,"gmtCreate":1628995888099,"gmtModify":1633688085998,"author":{"id":"3584355133514261","authorId":"3584355133514261","name":"keane3921","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f91e2aa3ce2d41b7ddd61125b2e64e06","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584355133514261","authorIdStr":"3584355133514261"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"The best company will react fast and stop it.&nbsp;","listText":"The best company will react fast and stop it.&nbsp;","text":"The best company will react fast and stop it.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/830041677","repostId":"2159214118","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":424,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":892953381,"gmtCreate":1628636283543,"gmtModify":1633745628853,"author":{"id":"3584355133514261","authorId":"3584355133514261","name":"keane3921","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f91e2aa3ce2d41b7ddd61125b2e64e06","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584355133514261","authorIdStr":"3584355133514261"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Tesla fell, NIO XPeng Li will up...&nbsp;","listText":"Tesla fell, NIO XPeng Li will up...&nbsp;","text":"Tesla fell, NIO XPeng Li will up...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/892953381","repostId":"1199439318","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1199439318","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1628583651,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1199439318?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-10 16:20","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla shares fell 1% in premarket trading,as the company delivering 8,621 Chinese-made vehicles in China  in July, down 69% from the previous month.<blockquote>特斯拉股价在盘前交易中下跌1%，该公司7月份在中国交付了8,621辆中国制造汽车，环比下降69%。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1199439318","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Tesla&nbsp;shares&nbsp;fell&nbsp;1%&nbsp;in&nbsp;premarket&nbsp;trading,as&nbsp;the&nbsp;company&nbsp;delivering&nbsp;8,621&nbsp;Chinese-made&nbsp;vehicles&nbsp;in&nbsp;China&nbsp; in July, down 69% from the previous month.","content":"<p>Tesla&nbsp;shares&nbsp;fell&nbsp;1%&nbsp;in&nbsp;premarket&nbsp;trading,as&nbsp;the&nbsp;company&nbsp;delivering&nbsp;8,621&nbsp;Chinese-made&nbsp;vehicles&nbsp;in&nbsp;China&nbsp; in July, down 69% from the previous month.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股价在盘前交易中下跌1%，该公司7月份在中国交付了8,621辆中国制造汽车，环比下降69%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6658f9412245f1a24a5923cb11933e10\" tg-width=\"859\" tg-height=\"613\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla shares fell 1% in premarket trading,as the company delivering 8,621 Chinese-made vehicles in China  in July, down 69% from the previous month.<blockquote>特斯拉股价在盘前交易中下跌1%，该公司7月份在中国交付了8,621辆中国制造汽车，环比下降69%。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla shares fell 1% in premarket trading,as the company delivering 8,621 Chinese-made vehicles in China  in July, down 69% from the previous month.<blockquote>特斯拉股价在盘前交易中下跌1%，该公司7月份在中国交付了8,621辆中国制造汽车，环比下降69%。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-08-10 16:20</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Tesla&nbsp;shares&nbsp;fell&nbsp;1%&nbsp;in&nbsp;premarket&nbsp;trading,as&nbsp;the&nbsp;company&nbsp;delivering&nbsp;8,621&nbsp;Chinese-made&nbsp;vehicles&nbsp;in&nbsp;China&nbsp; in July, down 69% from the previous month.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股价在盘前交易中下跌1%，该公司7月份在中国交付了8,621辆中国制造汽车，环比下降69%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6658f9412245f1a24a5923cb11933e10\" tg-width=\"859\" tg-height=\"613\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1199439318","content_text":"Tesla shares fell 1% in premarket trading,as the company delivering 8,621 Chinese-made vehicles in China  in July, down 69% from the previous month.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":544,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":171294794,"gmtCreate":1626745341018,"gmtModify":1633771474181,"author":{"id":"3584355133514261","authorId":"3584355133514261","name":"keane3921","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f91e2aa3ce2d41b7ddd61125b2e64e06","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584355133514261","authorIdStr":"3584355133514261"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like n share","listText":"Like n share","text":"Like n share","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/171294794","repostId":"2152652683","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":627,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":888906108,"gmtCreate":1631418826004,"gmtModify":1631891106715,"author":{"id":"3584355133514261","authorId":"3584355133514261","name":"keane3921","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f91e2aa3ce2d41b7ddd61125b2e64e06","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584355133514261","authorIdStr":"3584355133514261"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Buy","listText":"Buy","text":"Buy","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/888906108","repostId":"1101906502","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1101906502","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1631407634,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1101906502?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-12 08:47","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Buy or Sell Apple Stock Ahead of iPhone Event?<blockquote>在iPhone活动之前买入或卖出苹果股票？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1101906502","media":"TheStreet","summary":"Apple stock was under pressure on Friday, with its iPhone event just days away. Here's how to trade the stock from here.Shares of Apple Report fell $5.10, or 3.31%, to end at $148.97 Friday, as investors digested recent news and prepared for the iPhone event next week.On Sept. 14, the company will hold a virtual event to introduce the new device. Dubbed “California Streaming,” it’s expected that Apple will introduce its new iPhone and Apple Watch.However, Apple remains in the news for other reas","content":"<p>Apple stock was under pressure on Friday, with its iPhone event just days away. Here's how to trade the stock from here.</p><p><blockquote>苹果股价周五承压，距离iPhone发布会只有几天了。以下是如何从这里交易股票。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of Apple&nbsp;Report&nbsp;fell $5.10, or 3.31%, to end at $148.97 Friday, as investors digested recent news and prepared for the iPhone event next week.</p><p><blockquote>苹果报告股价周五下跌5.10美元，跌幅3.31%，收于148.97美元，因投资者消化近期消息并为下周的iPhone发布会做准备。</blockquote></p><p> On Sept. 14, the company will&nbsp;hold a virtual event to introduce&nbsp;the new device. Dubbed “California Streaming,” it’s expected that Apple will introduce its new iPhone and Apple Watch.</p><p><blockquote>9月14日，该公司将举办一场虚拟活动来介绍这款新设备。被称为“加州流媒体”的苹果预计将推出其新的iPhone和苹果手表。</blockquote></p><p> However, Apple remains in the news for other reasons, too.</p><p><blockquote>然而，苹果仍然因为其他原因出现在新闻中。</blockquote></p><p> After hitting new highs earlier this week, the stock declined Friday after news of a court ruling&nbsp;in its case with Epic Games.</p><p><blockquote>在本周早些时候创下新高后，在法院对其与Epic Games的案件做出裁决的消息传出后，该股周五下跌。</blockquote></p><p> That’s alongside a report that was published by well-known Morgan Stanley analyst Katy Huberty, who made the case that Apple stock&nbsp;is “compelling” ahead of its upcoming event.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，摩根士丹利著名分析师凯蒂·休伯蒂(Katy Huberty)发表了一份报告，她认为苹果股票在即将举行的活动之前“引人注目”。</blockquote></p><p> Like I said, it’s a lot of information for investors to digest. Let’s take a look at how the charts are setting up.</p><p><blockquote>就像我说的，投资者需要消化很多信息。让我们来看看图表是如何设置的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Trading Apple Stock</b></p><p><blockquote><b>交易苹果股票</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd94f6dcfc32af44a4ae542425f3c92f\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"429\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Daily chart of Apple stock.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>苹果股票日线图。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Each time Apple has reported earnings this year, it has resulted in a selloff. Unfortunately, those selloffs would come right as the stock was at or near all-time highs. Those events are marked on the chart with blue arrows.</p><p><blockquote>苹果今年每次公布财报，都会引发抛售。不幸的是，当该股处于或接近历史高点时，这些抛售就会发生。这些事件在图表上用蓝色箭头标记。</blockquote></p><p> It was even more frustrating that Apple&nbsp;blew out analysts’ expectations each time, yet the stock sold off anyway.</p><p><blockquote>更令人沮丧的是，苹果每次都超出分析师的预期，但该股仍遭到抛售。</blockquote></p><p> However, rather than a massive dip following the most recent report, the stock only pulled back to the $145 area, near the prior high. It also held the 21-day moving average as support.</p><p><blockquote>然而，在最新报告发布后，该股并没有大幅下跌，而是仅回落至145美元区域，接近之前的高点。它还持有21日均线作为支撑。</blockquote></p><p> The stock has since pushed up through $150 and earlier this week, hit new all-time highs.</p><p><blockquote>此后，该股已升至150美元，并于本周早些时候创下历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> For now, we’re getting a dip back down to the key $150 area and the 21-day moving average. Aggressive bulls can buy this dip ahead of the company’s event on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>目前，我们正在回落至关键的150美元区域和21日移动平均线。激进的多头可以在该公司周二的活动之前逢低买入。</blockquote></p><p> If we break Friday’s low, investors may consider stopping out of the trade and buying on a potentially larger dip down to the 50-day moving average or the $145 area.</p><p><blockquote>如果我们突破周五的低点，投资者可能会考虑停止交易，并在可能更大的跌幅跌至50日移动平均线或145美元区域时买入。</blockquote></p><p> Below $145 may put the $138 level and the 200-day moving average in play.</p><p><blockquote>低于145美元可能会影响138美元水平和200日移动平均线。</blockquote></p><p> Should Apple trade up through the all-time high at $157.26, the 161.8% extension is in play up near $160. Above that mark could put the $172 to $175 zone on the table, depending on how investors react to the event.</p><p><blockquote>如果苹果股价上涨至157.26美元的历史高点，则161.8%的涨幅将升至160美元附近。高于该关口可能会出现172美元至175美元的区域，具体取决于投资者对该事件的反应。</blockquote></p><p> For what it’s worth, September is by far Apple’s worst-performing month, up just three of the last 11 years for the month.</p><p><blockquote>无论如何，9月份是苹果迄今为止表现最差的一个月，在过去11年中，该月份仅增长了3年。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Buy or Sell Apple Stock Ahead of iPhone Event?<blockquote>在iPhone活动之前买入或卖出苹果股票？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBuy or Sell Apple Stock Ahead of iPhone Event?<blockquote>在iPhone活动之前买入或卖出苹果股票？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">TheStreet</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-12 08:47</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Apple stock was under pressure on Friday, with its iPhone event just days away. Here's how to trade the stock from here.</p><p><blockquote>苹果股价周五承压，距离iPhone发布会只有几天了。以下是如何从这里交易股票。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of Apple&nbsp;Report&nbsp;fell $5.10, or 3.31%, to end at $148.97 Friday, as investors digested recent news and prepared for the iPhone event next week.</p><p><blockquote>苹果报告股价周五下跌5.10美元，跌幅3.31%，收于148.97美元，因投资者消化近期消息并为下周的iPhone发布会做准备。</blockquote></p><p> On Sept. 14, the company will&nbsp;hold a virtual event to introduce&nbsp;the new device. Dubbed “California Streaming,” it’s expected that Apple will introduce its new iPhone and Apple Watch.</p><p><blockquote>9月14日，该公司将举办一场虚拟活动来介绍这款新设备。被称为“加州流媒体”的苹果预计将推出其新的iPhone和苹果手表。</blockquote></p><p> However, Apple remains in the news for other reasons, too.</p><p><blockquote>然而，苹果仍然因为其他原因出现在新闻中。</blockquote></p><p> After hitting new highs earlier this week, the stock declined Friday after news of a court ruling&nbsp;in its case with Epic Games.</p><p><blockquote>在本周早些时候创下新高后，在法院对其与Epic Games的案件做出裁决的消息传出后，该股周五下跌。</blockquote></p><p> That’s alongside a report that was published by well-known Morgan Stanley analyst Katy Huberty, who made the case that Apple stock&nbsp;is “compelling” ahead of its upcoming event.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，摩根士丹利著名分析师凯蒂·休伯蒂(Katy Huberty)发表了一份报告，她认为苹果股票在即将举行的活动之前“引人注目”。</blockquote></p><p> Like I said, it’s a lot of information for investors to digest. Let’s take a look at how the charts are setting up.</p><p><blockquote>就像我说的，投资者需要消化很多信息。让我们来看看图表是如何设置的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Trading Apple Stock</b></p><p><blockquote><b>交易苹果股票</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd94f6dcfc32af44a4ae542425f3c92f\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"429\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Daily chart of Apple stock.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>苹果股票日线图。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Each time Apple has reported earnings this year, it has resulted in a selloff. Unfortunately, those selloffs would come right as the stock was at or near all-time highs. Those events are marked on the chart with blue arrows.</p><p><blockquote>苹果今年每次公布财报，都会引发抛售。不幸的是，当该股处于或接近历史高点时，这些抛售就会发生。这些事件在图表上用蓝色箭头标记。</blockquote></p><p> It was even more frustrating that Apple&nbsp;blew out analysts’ expectations each time, yet the stock sold off anyway.</p><p><blockquote>更令人沮丧的是，苹果每次都超出分析师的预期，但该股仍遭到抛售。</blockquote></p><p> However, rather than a massive dip following the most recent report, the stock only pulled back to the $145 area, near the prior high. It also held the 21-day moving average as support.</p><p><blockquote>然而，在最新报告发布后，该股并没有大幅下跌，而是仅回落至145美元区域，接近之前的高点。它还持有21日均线作为支撑。</blockquote></p><p> The stock has since pushed up through $150 and earlier this week, hit new all-time highs.</p><p><blockquote>此后，该股已升至150美元，并于本周早些时候创下历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> For now, we’re getting a dip back down to the key $150 area and the 21-day moving average. Aggressive bulls can buy this dip ahead of the company’s event on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>目前，我们正在回落至关键的150美元区域和21日移动平均线。激进的多头可以在该公司周二的活动之前逢低买入。</blockquote></p><p> If we break Friday’s low, investors may consider stopping out of the trade and buying on a potentially larger dip down to the 50-day moving average or the $145 area.</p><p><blockquote>如果我们突破周五的低点，投资者可能会考虑停止交易，并在可能更大的跌幅跌至50日移动平均线或145美元区域时买入。</blockquote></p><p> Below $145 may put the $138 level and the 200-day moving average in play.</p><p><blockquote>低于145美元可能会影响138美元水平和200日移动平均线。</blockquote></p><p> Should Apple trade up through the all-time high at $157.26, the 161.8% extension is in play up near $160. Above that mark could put the $172 to $175 zone on the table, depending on how investors react to the event.</p><p><blockquote>如果苹果股价上涨至157.26美元的历史高点，则161.8%的涨幅将升至160美元附近。高于该关口可能会出现172美元至175美元的区域，具体取决于投资者对该事件的反应。</blockquote></p><p> For what it’s worth, September is by far Apple’s worst-performing month, up just three of the last 11 years for the month.</p><p><blockquote>无论如何，9月份是苹果迄今为止表现最差的一个月，在过去11年中，该月份仅增长了3年。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/trading-apple-aapl-stock-ahead-of-iphone13-event\">TheStreet</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/trading-apple-aapl-stock-ahead-of-iphone13-event","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1101906502","content_text":"Apple stock was under pressure on Friday, with its iPhone event just days away. Here's how to trade the stock from here.\nShares of Apple Report fell $5.10, or 3.31%, to end at $148.97 Friday, as investors digested recent news and prepared for the iPhone event next week.\nOn Sept. 14, the company will hold a virtual event to introduce the new device. Dubbed “California Streaming,” it’s expected that Apple will introduce its new iPhone and Apple Watch.\nHowever, Apple remains in the news for other reasons, too.\nAfter hitting new highs earlier this week, the stock declined Friday after news of a court ruling in its case with Epic Games.\nThat’s alongside a report that was published by well-known Morgan Stanley analyst Katy Huberty, who made the case that Apple stock is “compelling” ahead of its upcoming event.\nLike I said, it’s a lot of information for investors to digest. Let’s take a look at how the charts are setting up.\nTrading Apple Stock\nDaily chart of Apple stock.\nEach time Apple has reported earnings this year, it has resulted in a selloff. Unfortunately, those selloffs would come right as the stock was at or near all-time highs. Those events are marked on the chart with blue arrows.\nIt was even more frustrating that Apple blew out analysts’ expectations each time, yet the stock sold off anyway.\nHowever, rather than a massive dip following the most recent report, the stock only pulled back to the $145 area, near the prior high. It also held the 21-day moving average as support.\nThe stock has since pushed up through $150 and earlier this week, hit new all-time highs.\nFor now, we’re getting a dip back down to the key $150 area and the 21-day moving average. Aggressive bulls can buy this dip ahead of the company’s event on Tuesday.\nIf we break Friday’s low, investors may consider stopping out of the trade and buying on a potentially larger dip down to the 50-day moving average or the $145 area.\nBelow $145 may put the $138 level and the 200-day moving average in play.\nShould Apple trade up through the all-time high at $157.26, the 161.8% extension is in play up near $160. Above that mark could put the $172 to $175 zone on the table, depending on how investors react to the event.\nFor what it’s worth, September is by far Apple’s worst-performing month, up just three of the last 11 years for the month.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":335,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":812707314,"gmtCreate":1630622555738,"gmtModify":1631891106774,"author":{"id":"3584355133514261","authorId":"3584355133514261","name":"keane3921","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f91e2aa3ce2d41b7ddd61125b2e64e06","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584355133514261","authorIdStr":"3584355133514261"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great and keep going!&nbsp;","listText":"Great and keep going!&nbsp;","text":"Great and keep going!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/812707314","repostId":"2164825374","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":327,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":837752424,"gmtCreate":1629931207968,"gmtModify":1631891106799,"author":{"id":"3584355133514261","authorId":"3584355133514261","name":"keane3921","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f91e2aa3ce2d41b7ddd61125b2e64e06","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584355133514261","authorIdStr":"3584355133514261"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Look ahead","listText":"Look ahead","text":"Look ahead","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/837752424","repostId":"1198608020","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1198608020","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1629903887,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1198608020?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-25 23:04","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"China Evergrande releases Group profit warning<blockquote>中国恒大发布集团盈利预警</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1198608020","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"China Evergrande releases Group profit warning.\nChina Evergrande expects that there will be a decrea","content":"<p>China Evergrande releases Group profit warning.</p><p><blockquote>中国恒大发布集团盈利预警。</blockquote></p><p> China Evergrande expects that there will be a decrease in the net profit for the six months ended 30 June 2021 as compared with the same period last year. The net profit is expected to be between approximately RMB9.0 billion and RMB10.5 billion, a decrease of approximately 29% to 39% from that of the same period last year. The profit composition consists of the loss from the property business of approximately RMB4.0 billion, the loss of China Evergrande New Energy Vehicle Group Limited of approximately RMB4.8 billion, and the gain from the sale of part of the shares of Hengten Networks Group Limited held by the Group and its holding of the remaining shares on a marked-to-market basis of approximately RMB18.5 billion. The decline in profit in the first half of 2021 was mainly due to the decrease in the selling price of properties and the increase in expenses in the first half of the year.</p><p><blockquote>中国恒大预期截至二零二一年六月三十日止六个月之纯利将较去年同期有所减少。预计净利润约为人民币90亿元至人民币105亿元，较去年同期下降约29%至39%。利润构成包括物业业务亏损约人民币40亿元、中国恒大新能源汽车集团有限公司亏损约人民币48亿元，以及出售本集团持有的恒腾网络集团有限公司部分股份及按市值基准持有馀下股份的收益约人民币185亿元。2021年上半年利润下降主要是由于上半年物业售价下降及费用增加所致。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>China Evergrande releases Group profit warning<blockquote>中国恒大发布集团盈利预警</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nChina Evergrande releases Group profit warning<blockquote>中国恒大发布集团盈利预警</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-08-25 23:04</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>China Evergrande releases Group profit warning.</p><p><blockquote>中国恒大发布集团盈利预警。</blockquote></p><p> China Evergrande expects that there will be a decrease in the net profit for the six months ended 30 June 2021 as compared with the same period last year. The net profit is expected to be between approximately RMB9.0 billion and RMB10.5 billion, a decrease of approximately 29% to 39% from that of the same period last year. The profit composition consists of the loss from the property business of approximately RMB4.0 billion, the loss of China Evergrande New Energy Vehicle Group Limited of approximately RMB4.8 billion, and the gain from the sale of part of the shares of Hengten Networks Group Limited held by the Group and its holding of the remaining shares on a marked-to-market basis of approximately RMB18.5 billion. The decline in profit in the first half of 2021 was mainly due to the decrease in the selling price of properties and the increase in expenses in the first half of the year.</p><p><blockquote>中国恒大预期截至二零二一年六月三十日止六个月之纯利将较去年同期有所减少。预计净利润约为人民币90亿元至人民币105亿元，较去年同期下降约29%至39%。利润构成包括物业业务亏损约人民币40亿元、中国恒大新能源汽车集团有限公司亏损约人民币48亿元，以及出售本集团持有的恒腾网络集团有限公司部分股份及按市值基准持有馀下股份的收益约人民币185亿元。2021年上半年利润下降主要是由于上半年物业售价下降及费用增加所致。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"03333":"中国恒大"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1198608020","content_text":"China Evergrande releases Group profit warning.\nChina Evergrande expects that there will be a decrease in the net profit for the six months ended 30 June 2021 as compared with the same period last year. The net profit is expected to be between approximately RMB9.0 billion and RMB10.5 billion, a decrease of approximately 29% to 39% from that of the same period last year. The profit composition consists of the loss from the property business of approximately RMB4.0 billion, the loss of China Evergrande New Energy Vehicle Group Limited of approximately RMB4.8 billion, and the gain from the sale of part of the shares of Hengten Networks Group Limited held by the Group and its holding of the remaining shares on a marked-to-market basis of approximately RMB18.5 billion. The decline in profit in the first half of 2021 was mainly due to the decrease in the selling price of properties and the increase in expenses in the first half of the year.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"03333":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":370,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":898092816,"gmtCreate":1628440700835,"gmtModify":1633747130313,"author":{"id":"3584355133514261","authorId":"3584355133514261","name":"keane3921","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f91e2aa3ce2d41b7ddd61125b2e64e06","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584355133514261","authorIdStr":"3584355133514261"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"If true... We buy more....&nbsp;","listText":"If true... We buy more....&nbsp;","text":"If true... We buy more....","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/898092816","repostId":"1159872041","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1159872041","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1628385224,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1159872041?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-08 09:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Stock: Headed to $1,200?<blockquote>特斯拉股票：将升至1,200美元？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1159872041","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Tesla deliveries more than doubled year over year in Q2.Rising demand for electric vehicles could benefit Tesla.Investors should exercise caution when it comes to analysts' price targets.It's been a wild year for Teslastock. When the year started, shares initially surged more than 20%. But the stock has now given up all of those gains, with a year-to-date return of negative 1%. This means the stock has significantly underperformed the S&P 500's 18% gain this year.In February,Piper Sandler analys","content":"<p><b>Key Points</b></p><p><blockquote><b>要点</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Tesla deliveries more than doubled year over year in Q2.</li>  <li>Rising demand for electric vehicles could benefit Tesla.</li>  <li>Investors should exercise caution when it comes to analysts' price targets.</li> </ul> It's been a wild year for&nbsp;<b>Tesla</b>(NASDAQ:TSLA)stock. When the year started, shares initially surged more than 20%. But the stock has now given up all of those gains, with a year-to-date return of negative 1%. This means the stock has significantly underperformed the&nbsp;<b>S&amp;P 500</b>'s 18% gain this year.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>特斯拉第二季度的交付量同比增长了一倍多。</li><li>电动汽车需求的增长可能有利于特斯拉。</li><li>投资者在考虑分析师的目标价时应保持谨慎。</li></ul>这是疯狂的一年<b>特斯拉</b>（纳斯达克：TSLA）股票。今年年初，股价最初飙升超过20%。但该股现在已经回吐了所有涨幅，今年迄今的回报率为负1%。这意味着该股的表现明显落后于<b>标普500</b>今年增长了18%。</blockquote></p><p> But one analyst thinks the stock could take off.</p><p><blockquote>但一位分析师认为该股可能会起飞。</blockquote></p><p> <b>\"We still really like this stock.\"</b></p><p><blockquote><b>“我们仍然非常喜欢这只股票。”</b></blockquote></p><p> In February,<b>Piper Sandler</b>&nbsp;analyst Alexander Pottermade a bold call, boosting his 12-month price target for thegrowth stockfrom $515 to $1,200. He said Tesla deliveries could increase from 500,000 vehicles in 2020 to nearly 900,000 this year. Of course, this projection was made before global supply shortages worsened. Nevertheless, Tesla is growing extremely rapidly. The company's second-quarter deliveries more than doubled compared to the year-ago quarter, rising to 201,304.</p><p><blockquote>2月份，<b>派珀·桑德勒</b>分析师Alexander Potter做出了大胆的看涨期权，将这只成长型股票的12个月目标价从515美元上调至1,200美元。他表示，特斯拉的交付量可能会从2020年的50万辆增加到今年的近90万辆。当然，这一预测是在全球供应短缺恶化之前做出的。尽管如此，特斯拉的增长速度极快。该公司第二季度的交付量比去年同期增长了一倍多，达到201,304辆。</blockquote></p><p> Following Tesla's second-quarter earnings release late last month, the analyst reiterated this target, noting that the company looks poised to benefit from market share gains, the monetization of the company's Autopilot software, and \"underappreciated opportunities\" in Tesla's energy business, which includes revenue from battery energy storage and solar energy generation products.</p><p><blockquote>继特斯拉上月底发布第二季度财报后，该分析师重申了这一目标，并指出该公司似乎有望受益于市场份额的增长、该公司自动驾驶软件的货币化以及特斯拉能源业务中“未被充分重视的机会”，其中包括电池储能和太阳能发电产品的收入。</blockquote></p><p> Further, Potter pointed to Tesla's strong second-quarter operating margin of 11%, which he expects will see incremental improvement from Tesla's recently launched Autopilot subscription.</p><p><blockquote>此外，波特指出，特斯拉第二季度营业利润率强劲，为11%，他预计特斯拉最近推出的Autopilot订阅将带来增量改善。</blockquote></p><p> On Aug. 3, Potter once again reiterated an overweight rating on the stock and a $1,200 price target, saying \"We still really like this stock.\" He pointed to growing demand for battery electric vehicles overall.</p><p><blockquote>8月3日，波特再次重申了跑赢大盘对该股的评级和1200美元的目标价，称“我们仍然非常喜欢这只股票”。他指出，总体而言，对纯电动汽车的需求不断增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>So what gives?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那么是什么给了？</b></blockquote></p><p> If shares could truly rise to $1,200, why do so many investors seem to think the stock is worth so much less (based on the stock's price of just under $700 at the time of this writing). After all, if $1,200 was generally viewed by investors as a likely outcome for Tesla stock within the next 12 months, shares would be trading significantly higher today.</p><p><blockquote>如果股价真的能涨到1200美元，为什么这么多投资者似乎认为该股的价值如此之低（基于撰写本文时该股的价格略低于700美元）。毕竟，如果投资者普遍认为特斯拉股票在未来12个月内可能达到1,200美元，那么今天的股价将大幅走高。</blockquote></p><p> The issue boils down to the stock's forward-looking valuation. With a price-to-earnings ratio of about 370 at the time of this writing, Tesla shares are largely priced for strong growth for years to come. Since the company's valuation is based largely on profits far into the future, slight variances in views for Tesla's future growth trajectory yield dramatically different assumptions about the stock's intrinsic value today.</p><p><blockquote>问题归结为股票的前瞻性估值。截至撰写本文时，特斯拉股价的市盈率约为370，很大程度上预计未来几年将强劲增长。由于该公司的估值很大程度上基于未来的利润，因此对特斯拉未来增长轨迹的看法略有差异，就会对该股目前的内在价值产生截然不同的假设。</blockquote></p><p> Investors, therefore, shouldn't be quick to buy Tesla stock just because one analyst has a high price target for shares. Still, Potter does notably have some good points about Tesla's strong business momentum. Even Tesla itself reiterated guidance for vehicle deliveries to grow more than 50% this year -- and that guidance was provided during a time that many companies around the world (including Tesla) are negatively impacted by supply chain shortages. Further, Tesla management noted in its second-quarter update that demand for its vehicles was at an all-time high going into Q3.</p><p><blockquote>因此，投资者不应仅仅因为一位分析师的股价目标较高就急于购买特斯拉股票。尽管如此，波特确实对特斯拉强劲的商业势头有一些优点。就连特斯拉本身也重申了今年汽车交付量增长50%以上的指导意见，而这一指导意见是在全球许多公司（包括特斯拉）都受到供应链短缺的负面影响之际提供的。此外，特斯拉管理层在第二季度更新中指出，进入第三季度，对其车辆的需求创历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> While a $1,200 price target for Tesla stock would be difficult to justify, shares may be trading low enough for investors to start a small position in the stock.</p><p><blockquote>虽然特斯拉股票1,200美元的目标价很难证明合理，但该股的交易价格可能足够低，投资者可以在该股建立少量头寸。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Stock: Headed to $1,200?<blockquote>特斯拉股票：将升至1,200美元？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Stock: Headed to $1,200?<blockquote>特斯拉股票：将升至1,200美元？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-08 09:13</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Key Points</b></p><p><blockquote><b>要点</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Tesla deliveries more than doubled year over year in Q2.</li>  <li>Rising demand for electric vehicles could benefit Tesla.</li>  <li>Investors should exercise caution when it comes to analysts' price targets.</li> </ul> It's been a wild year for&nbsp;<b>Tesla</b>(NASDAQ:TSLA)stock. When the year started, shares initially surged more than 20%. But the stock has now given up all of those gains, with a year-to-date return of negative 1%. This means the stock has significantly underperformed the&nbsp;<b>S&amp;P 500</b>'s 18% gain this year.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>特斯拉第二季度的交付量同比增长了一倍多。</li><li>电动汽车需求的增长可能有利于特斯拉。</li><li>投资者在考虑分析师的目标价时应保持谨慎。</li></ul>这是疯狂的一年<b>特斯拉</b>（纳斯达克：TSLA）股票。今年年初，股价最初飙升超过20%。但该股现在已经回吐了所有涨幅，今年迄今的回报率为负1%。这意味着该股的表现明显落后于<b>标普500</b>今年增长了18%。</blockquote></p><p> But one analyst thinks the stock could take off.</p><p><blockquote>但一位分析师认为该股可能会起飞。</blockquote></p><p> <b>\"We still really like this stock.\"</b></p><p><blockquote><b>“我们仍然非常喜欢这只股票。”</b></blockquote></p><p> In February,<b>Piper Sandler</b>&nbsp;analyst Alexander Pottermade a bold call, boosting his 12-month price target for thegrowth stockfrom $515 to $1,200. He said Tesla deliveries could increase from 500,000 vehicles in 2020 to nearly 900,000 this year. Of course, this projection was made before global supply shortages worsened. Nevertheless, Tesla is growing extremely rapidly. The company's second-quarter deliveries more than doubled compared to the year-ago quarter, rising to 201,304.</p><p><blockquote>2月份，<b>派珀·桑德勒</b>分析师Alexander Potter做出了大胆的看涨期权，将这只成长型股票的12个月目标价从515美元上调至1,200美元。他表示，特斯拉的交付量可能会从2020年的50万辆增加到今年的近90万辆。当然，这一预测是在全球供应短缺恶化之前做出的。尽管如此，特斯拉的增长速度极快。该公司第二季度的交付量比去年同期增长了一倍多，达到201,304辆。</blockquote></p><p> Following Tesla's second-quarter earnings release late last month, the analyst reiterated this target, noting that the company looks poised to benefit from market share gains, the monetization of the company's Autopilot software, and \"underappreciated opportunities\" in Tesla's energy business, which includes revenue from battery energy storage and solar energy generation products.</p><p><blockquote>继特斯拉上月底发布第二季度财报后，该分析师重申了这一目标，并指出该公司似乎有望受益于市场份额的增长、该公司自动驾驶软件的货币化以及特斯拉能源业务中“未被充分重视的机会”，其中包括电池储能和太阳能发电产品的收入。</blockquote></p><p> Further, Potter pointed to Tesla's strong second-quarter operating margin of 11%, which he expects will see incremental improvement from Tesla's recently launched Autopilot subscription.</p><p><blockquote>此外，波特指出，特斯拉第二季度营业利润率强劲，为11%，他预计特斯拉最近推出的Autopilot订阅将带来增量改善。</blockquote></p><p> On Aug. 3, Potter once again reiterated an overweight rating on the stock and a $1,200 price target, saying \"We still really like this stock.\" He pointed to growing demand for battery electric vehicles overall.</p><p><blockquote>8月3日，波特再次重申了跑赢大盘对该股的评级和1200美元的目标价，称“我们仍然非常喜欢这只股票”。他指出，总体而言，对纯电动汽车的需求不断增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>So what gives?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那么是什么给了？</b></blockquote></p><p> If shares could truly rise to $1,200, why do so many investors seem to think the stock is worth so much less (based on the stock's price of just under $700 at the time of this writing). After all, if $1,200 was generally viewed by investors as a likely outcome for Tesla stock within the next 12 months, shares would be trading significantly higher today.</p><p><blockquote>如果股价真的能涨到1200美元，为什么这么多投资者似乎认为该股的价值如此之低（基于撰写本文时该股的价格略低于700美元）。毕竟，如果投资者普遍认为特斯拉股票在未来12个月内可能达到1,200美元，那么今天的股价将大幅走高。</blockquote></p><p> The issue boils down to the stock's forward-looking valuation. With a price-to-earnings ratio of about 370 at the time of this writing, Tesla shares are largely priced for strong growth for years to come. Since the company's valuation is based largely on profits far into the future, slight variances in views for Tesla's future growth trajectory yield dramatically different assumptions about the stock's intrinsic value today.</p><p><blockquote>问题归结为股票的前瞻性估值。截至撰写本文时，特斯拉股价的市盈率约为370，很大程度上预计未来几年将强劲增长。由于该公司的估值很大程度上基于未来的利润，因此对特斯拉未来增长轨迹的看法略有差异，就会对该股目前的内在价值产生截然不同的假设。</blockquote></p><p> Investors, therefore, shouldn't be quick to buy Tesla stock just because one analyst has a high price target for shares. Still, Potter does notably have some good points about Tesla's strong business momentum. Even Tesla itself reiterated guidance for vehicle deliveries to grow more than 50% this year -- and that guidance was provided during a time that many companies around the world (including Tesla) are negatively impacted by supply chain shortages. Further, Tesla management noted in its second-quarter update that demand for its vehicles was at an all-time high going into Q3.</p><p><blockquote>因此，投资者不应仅仅因为一位分析师的股价目标较高就急于购买特斯拉股票。尽管如此，波特确实对特斯拉强劲的商业势头有一些优点。就连特斯拉本身也重申了今年汽车交付量增长50%以上的指导意见，而这一指导意见是在全球许多公司（包括特斯拉）都受到供应链短缺的负面影响之际提供的。此外，特斯拉管理层在第二季度更新中指出，进入第三季度，对其车辆的需求创历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> While a $1,200 price target for Tesla stock would be difficult to justify, shares may be trading low enough for investors to start a small position in the stock.</p><p><blockquote>虽然特斯拉股票1,200美元的目标价很难证明合理，但该股的交易价格可能足够低，投资者可以在该股建立少量头寸。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/08/07/tesla-stock-headed-to-1200/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/08/07/tesla-stock-headed-to-1200/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1159872041","content_text":"Key Points\n\nTesla deliveries more than doubled year over year in Q2.\nRising demand for electric vehicles could benefit Tesla.\nInvestors should exercise caution when it comes to analysts' price targets.\n\nIt's been a wild year for Tesla(NASDAQ:TSLA)stock. When the year started, shares initially surged more than 20%. But the stock has now given up all of those gains, with a year-to-date return of negative 1%. This means the stock has significantly underperformed the S&P 500's 18% gain this year.\nBut one analyst thinks the stock could take off.\n\"We still really like this stock.\"\nIn February,Piper Sandler analyst Alexander Pottermade a bold call, boosting his 12-month price target for thegrowth stockfrom $515 to $1,200. He said Tesla deliveries could increase from 500,000 vehicles in 2020 to nearly 900,000 this year. Of course, this projection was made before global supply shortages worsened. Nevertheless, Tesla is growing extremely rapidly. The company's second-quarter deliveries more than doubled compared to the year-ago quarter, rising to 201,304.\nFollowing Tesla's second-quarter earnings release late last month, the analyst reiterated this target, noting that the company looks poised to benefit from market share gains, the monetization of the company's Autopilot software, and \"underappreciated opportunities\" in Tesla's energy business, which includes revenue from battery energy storage and solar energy generation products.\nFurther, Potter pointed to Tesla's strong second-quarter operating margin of 11%, which he expects will see incremental improvement from Tesla's recently launched Autopilot subscription.\nOn Aug. 3, Potter once again reiterated an overweight rating on the stock and a $1,200 price target, saying \"We still really like this stock.\" He pointed to growing demand for battery electric vehicles overall.\nSo what gives?\nIf shares could truly rise to $1,200, why do so many investors seem to think the stock is worth so much less (based on the stock's price of just under $700 at the time of this writing). After all, if $1,200 was generally viewed by investors as a likely outcome for Tesla stock within the next 12 months, shares would be trading significantly higher today.\nThe issue boils down to the stock's forward-looking valuation. With a price-to-earnings ratio of about 370 at the time of this writing, Tesla shares are largely priced for strong growth for years to come. Since the company's valuation is based largely on profits far into the future, slight variances in views for Tesla's future growth trajectory yield dramatically different assumptions about the stock's intrinsic value today.\nInvestors, therefore, shouldn't be quick to buy Tesla stock just because one analyst has a high price target for shares. Still, Potter does notably have some good points about Tesla's strong business momentum. Even Tesla itself reiterated guidance for vehicle deliveries to grow more than 50% this year -- and that guidance was provided during a time that many companies around the world (including Tesla) are negatively impacted by supply chain shortages. Further, Tesla management noted in its second-quarter update that demand for its vehicles was at an all-time high going into Q3.\nWhile a $1,200 price target for Tesla stock would be difficult to justify, shares may be trading low enough for investors to start a small position in the stock.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":414,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":891525076,"gmtCreate":1628402155695,"gmtModify":1633747323542,"author":{"id":"3584355133514261","authorId":"3584355133514261","name":"keane3921","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f91e2aa3ce2d41b7ddd61125b2e64e06","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584355133514261","authorIdStr":"3584355133514261"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Early sale off and come out, run fast &amp; heng&nbsp;ah!&nbsp;","listText":"Early sale off and come out, run fast &amp; heng&nbsp;ah!&nbsp;","text":"Early sale off and come out, run fast & heng ah!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/891525076","repostId":"1190347839","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":673,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":803051047,"gmtCreate":1627397764989,"gmtModify":1633765376379,"author":{"id":"3584355133514261","authorId":"3584355133514261","name":"keane3921","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f91e2aa3ce2d41b7ddd61125b2e64e06","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584355133514261","authorIdStr":"3584355133514261"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Is good move...&nbsp;","listText":"Is good move...&nbsp;","text":"Is good move...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/803051047","repostId":"2154156259","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":329,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":127313493,"gmtCreate":1624835328912,"gmtModify":1633948330482,"author":{"id":"3584355133514261","authorId":"3584355133514261","name":"keane3921","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f91e2aa3ce2d41b7ddd61125b2e64e06","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584355133514261","authorIdStr":"3584355133514261"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yes, too costly to buy.... And return 🐢🐢🐢","listText":"Yes, too costly to buy.... And return 🐢🐢🐢","text":"Yes, too costly to buy.... And return 🐢🐢🐢","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/127313493","repostId":"1184001921","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1184001921","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624763737,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1184001921?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-27 11:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Amazon: Good Stock, Not Good Price<blockquote>亚马逊：好库存，不好价格</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1184001921","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nAmazon is one of the most innovative companies in the world today, leading the E-commerce i","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Amazon is one of the most innovative companies in the world today, leading the E-commerce industry and cloud computing services.</li>  <li>Unfortunately, it's a little overpriced. This is consistent with some of the other mega-cap stocks I've analyzed.</li>  <li>This article looks at what Amazon stock is most likely worth for us investors.</li>  <li>I hope you enjoy.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/451bc93115fb453c0fcb76434c40f7f4\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\"><span>Sundry Photography/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>亚马逊是当今世界最具创新力的公司之一，在电子商务行业和云计算服务领域处于领先地位。</li><li>不幸的是，它的价格有点过高。这与我分析过的其他一些大型股是一致的。</li><li>本文探讨了亚马逊股票对美国投资者来说最有可能的价值。</li><li>我希望你喜欢。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>杂项摄影/iStock社论来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Today, Amazon (AMZN) seems to be a little overpriced based on my intrinsic value model.</p><p><blockquote>今天，根据我的内在价值模型，亚马逊（AMZN）的定价似乎有点过高。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a82d937a2de3f0709088e1ab4548267b\" tg-width=\"371\" tg-height=\"260\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> You might have seen some of my other articles where I've bashed other popular stocks like Apple (AAPL) or Microsoft (MSFT). Well, I guess today it's Amazon's turn. I just try to share what I think companies are worth, and I've found that a lot of companies seem to be overpriced.</p><p><blockquote>您可能已经看过我的其他一些文章，其中我抨击了苹果(AAPL)或微软(MSFT)等其他热门股票。嗯，我想今天轮到亚马逊了。我只是试图分享我认为公司的价值，我发现很多公司似乎定价过高。</blockquote></p><p> In this article, I'll break down how I came up with Amazon's valuation. I know that there's tons of different opinions out there about Amazon, so I'll try to share the reasoning behind my valuation to help you make better investments in the future.</p><p><blockquote>在本文中，我将详细介绍我是如何得出亚马逊估值的。我知道关于亚马逊有很多不同的观点，所以我会尝试分享我的估值背后的理由，以帮助您在未来进行更好的投资。</blockquote></p><p> Something important you should know - I'm not an expert on Amazon, and I have a really difficult time valuing growth stocks. I really doubt that I have the ability to estimate a company's future growth. I made future growth estimates by looking at past growth and making conservative estimates of the future.</p><p><blockquote>你应该知道一些重要的事情——我不是亚马逊专家，我很难评估成长型股票。我真的很怀疑我有能力估计一家公司未来的增长。我通过查看过去的增长并对未来做出保守的估计来做出未来的增长估计。</blockquote></p><p> This method borders on \"data extrapolation\", which is making assumptions based on past data. Data extrapolation isn't great because the future is different from the past - so making future projections based on past data isn't ideal.</p><p><blockquote>这种方法近乎“数据外推”，即根据过去的数据做出假设。数据外推并不好，因为未来与过去不同——所以根据过去的数据进行未来预测并不理想。</blockquote></p><p> But after valuing hundreds of companies, I've found that this kind of style does a good job of getting the valuation approximately right. I always try to set my valuations low, because it's better to buy low and make a killing than buy high and lose money.</p><p><blockquote>但在对数百家公司进行估值后，我发现这种风格可以很好地获得大致正确的估值。我总是尽量把我的估值定低，因为低买大赚总比高买亏好。</blockquote></p><p>   Warren Buffett said, “The three most important words in investing are  <b>margin of safety</b>.” That means to buy stuff on sale... That's the whole secret to great investing.    Rule 1 Investing  This model is built on getting the valuation \"approximately right,\" and looking to buy with a large margin of safety. I hope you enjoy, and as always, I'll try to keep it clean and common sense.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特说：“投资中最重要的三个词是<b>安全边际</b>意思是买打折的东西....这就是伟大投资的全部秘密。规则1投资该模型的基础是获得“大致正确”的估值，并寻求以较大的安全边际进行购买。我希望你喜欢，一如既往，我会尽量保持它的干净和常识。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Business Model</b></p><p><blockquote><b>商业模式</b></blockquote></p><p> Where does Amazon get its money? Amazon is split into 3 segments: North America, International, and AWS.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊的钱从哪里来？亚马逊分为3个部分：北美、国际和AWS。</blockquote></p><p> As a market leader in 2 high growth industries (E-commerce and cloud computing), Amazon will probably continue to see high growth in the future. In this section, I looked at the past revenue growth and operating margins for each of Amazon's segments, and I used this to make conservative future projections.</p><p><blockquote>作为两个高增长行业（电子商务和云计算）的市场领导者，亚马逊未来可能会继续实现高增长。在本节中，我研究了亚马逊每个部门过去的收入增长和营业利润率，并以此做出保守的未来预测。</blockquote></p><p> And later, I added up the numbers from each segment to make projections for the whole company. Here's a look at AMZN's North America segment. This segment's revenue comes from retail sales and subscription service revenues.</p><p><blockquote>后来，我把每个部门的数字加起来，对整个公司进行预测。以下是亚马逊北美业务的概况。该部门的收入来自零售销售和订阅服务收入。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ce022c0ecacc3829cf83378211bbfd9d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"192\"><span>Source: Author with data from 2018 10-K,2019 10-K, and 2020 10-K</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者使用2018年10-K、2019年10-K和2020年10-K的数据</span></p></blockquote></p><p> I projected declining revenue growth and strong operating margins for this segment. I projected slower revenue growth, because I figure there has to be a cap on how much money Amazon can make in North America.</p><p><blockquote>我预计该部门的收入增长将下降，营业利润率将强劲。我预计收入增长会放缓，因为我认为亚马逊在北美的收入必须有一个上限。</blockquote></p><p> Hopefully, Amazon will exceed this revenue growth. But, I do think it would be a pretty incredible feat for Amazon to grow from $200B in revenue to $400B in 5 years.</p><p><blockquote>希望亚马逊能够超过这一收入增长。但是，我确实认为亚马逊在5年内将收入从2000亿美元增长到4000亿美元将是一个非常令人难以置信的壮举。</blockquote></p><p> Here's a look at Amazon's International segment:</p><p><blockquote>以下是亚马逊国际部门的概况：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3d7a5bde370f55e863f58c888abc496\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"219\"><span>Source: Author with data from 2018 10-K,2019 10-K, and 2020 10-K</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者使用2018年10-K、2019年10-K和2020年10-K的数据</span></p></blockquote></p><p> For Amazon's international segment, I projected 20% annual revenue growth, and improving operating margins. I figured that operating margins would gradually improve until the margins reached a similar point to what Amazon sees in its US segment.</p><p><blockquote>对于亚马逊的国际部门，我预计年收入将增长20%，营业利润率也将提高。我认为营业利润率将逐渐提高，直到利润率达到与亚马逊在美国市场类似的水平。</blockquote></p><p> And for Amazon's last and most exciting segment, here's AWS:</p><p><blockquote>对于亚马逊最后也是最令人兴奋的部分，AWS是：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/769700013871f2cd09e8ce47cfb10966\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"203\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> AWS is undoubtedly going to bring high growth for Amazon, and high profits. I projected that the AWS segment will probably continue to grow at a high rate. I projected a 25-30% annual revenue growth rate because cloud computing has a lot of room to grow, and according to Research and Markets, the cloud computing industry should grow at about&nbsp;17.5% CAGR&nbsp;until 2025.</p><p><blockquote>AWS无疑将为亚马逊带来高增长和高利润。我预计AWS细分市场可能会继续高速增长。我预测25-30%的年收入增长率，因为云计算有很大的增长空间，根据研究和市场，云计算行业应该以17.5%的CAGR增长，直到2025年。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Additionally, I projected 28% operating margins, because the AWS business benefits from operating leverage. As more people use the software, the company is able to make higher margins as it spreads costs over more people. It's possible that Amazon could exceed 28% operating margins, so there might be upside to Amazon's fair value.</p><p><blockquote>此外，我预计营业利润率为28%，因为AWS业务受益于运营杠杆。随着越来越多的人使用该软件，该公司能够通过将成本分摊给更多的人来获得更高的利润。亚马逊的营业利润率可能会超过28%，因此亚马逊的公允价值可能会有上升空间。</blockquote></p><p> These projections were added together to help us figure out what the entire company should be worth.</p><p><blockquote>这些预测加在一起有助于我们计算出整个公司的价值。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Capital Allocation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>资本配置</b></blockquote></p><p> How does Amazon spend its money? You might find it interesting to analyze Amazon's capital allocation, so you can see what Amazon does with its money, and where it might be investing for the future.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊是怎么花钱的？你可能会发现分析亚马逊的资本配置很有趣，这样你就可以看到亚马逊用它的钱做了什么，以及它未来可能投资到哪里。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45f5afa0f641ee1aae39aa69cc150165\" tg-width=\"619\" tg-height=\"499\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The biggest portion of Amazon's operating cash flows goes towards capital expenditures. From what I can tell, Amazon has not had any share activity over the past 5 years. The company has issued shares - but from the looks of the cash flow statement, it looks like they haven't raised any money from selling shares, and they haven't spent any money buying back shares.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊运营现金流的最大部分用于资本支出。据我所知，亚马逊在过去5年里没有任何分享活动。该公司已经发行了股票——但从现金流量表来看，他们似乎没有通过出售股票筹集到任何资金，也没有花任何钱回购股票。</blockquote></p><p>   In February 2016, the Board of Directors authorized a program to repurchase up to $5.0 billion of our common stock, with no fixed expiration.  <i>There were no repurchases of common stock in 2018, 2019, or 2020.</i>    Source:2020 10-K&nbsp;page 60,  <i>emphasis added</i>  But for our purposes, this quote shows that Amazon hasn't bought back any stock over the past 3 years. They also haven't spent any money on dividends, which is good because they're a high growth company.</p><p><blockquote>2016年2月，董事会批准了一项回购最多50亿美元普通股的计划，没有固定到期日。<i>2018年、2019年或2020年没有回购普通股。</i>资料来源：2020 10-K第60页，<i>增加了强调</i>但就我们而言，这段报价表明亚马逊在过去3年中没有回购任何股票。他们也没有在股息上花任何钱，这很好，因为他们是一家高增长公司。</blockquote></p><p> Amazon has consistently spent money on acquisitions and paying down debt. What's really interesting is that Amazon has built up a lot of spare cash over the past 5 years. Their cash position has risen about $58B since 2016, going from about $26B at the end of 2016 to about $84B at the end of 2020.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊一直在收购和偿还债务上花钱。真正有趣的是，亚马逊在过去5年里积累了大量闲钱。自2016年以来，他们的现金头寸增加了约580亿美元，从2016年底的约260亿美元增加到2020年底的约840亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Amazon has a lot more cash than they used to, so we could see future spending go towards a dividend, share buybacks, new acquisitions, or maybe more business investments that will lead to growth.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊拥有比以前多得多的现金，因此我们可以看到未来的支出将用于股息、股票回购、新收购，或者更多将带来增长的商业投资。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值</b></blockquote></p><p> First, I used a discount rate of 7.7% for Amazon because that's what I found the company's weighted average cost of capital, or WACC, to be. I assumed an 8% cost of equity, and Amazon has averaged somewhere around a 20-30% tax rate over the past 10 years.</p><p><blockquote>首先，我对亚马逊使用了7.7%的贴现率，因为这是我发现该公司的加权平均资本成本(WACC)。我假设股权成本为8%，而亚马逊在过去10年中的平均税率约为20-30%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c036264f19bb10fdad477a629b40f803\" tg-width=\"361\" tg-height=\"288\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> I used a DCF model to find Amazon's value today. In the model down below, you can see in the top 2 red boxes that I projected that the company would have lower revenue growth and strong operating margins.</p><p><blockquote>我今天用DCF模型找到了亚马逊的价值。在下面的模型中，您可以在顶部2个红框中看到，我预计该公司的收入增长将较低，营业利润率将强劲。</blockquote></p><p> This model projects that Amazon will have over $850B in revenue by 2025. That's absolutely nuts if you think about it, but based on estimated revenue growth, it seems feasible.</p><p><blockquote>该模型预计，到2025年，亚马逊的收入将超过8500亿美元。仔细想想，这绝对是疯狂的，但根据估计的收入增长，这似乎是可行的。</blockquote></p><p> Right now, Walmart(NYSE:WMT)leads the world in revenue with about $550B. Amazon sits in third place for annual revenue, with about $390B. In 5 years, Amazon could easily have the largest revenue of any company in the world.</p><p><blockquote>目前，沃尔玛（纽约证券交易所股票代码：WMT）以约550B美元的收入领先全球。亚马逊的年收入排名第三，约为3900亿美元。5年后，亚马逊很可能成为世界上收入最高的公司。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95c459abcbda43e35b40379a1083ecae\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"510\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Down at the bottom of this model, you can see there's a red box that projects unlevered FCF margins. This basically measures how much of the company's revenue will become business profits, without including interest or debt payments. In the turquoise box, I applied the discount rate to see what the future cash flows are worth today.</p><p><blockquote>在该模型的底部，您可以看到有一个红色框，显示无杠杆自由现金流利润率。这基本上衡量了公司收入中有多少将成为业务利润，不包括利息或债务支付。在绿松石盒子中，我应用了贴现率来查看未来现金流今天的价值。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a3fa0846616fdc847a3fe1fdf7a09bed\" tg-width=\"267\" tg-height=\"404\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Today, it looks like Amazon is slightly overvalued. The model projects that the stock might be about 15% overvalued, and we could expect to make about 5% annual returns over the next 5 years if we invested today.</p><p><blockquote>如今，亚马逊的估值似乎略有高估。该模型预测该股票可能被高估约15%，如果我们今天投资，我们预计未来5年的年回报率约为5%。</blockquote></p><p> These estimations are based on the future cash flows that the business should generate. I don't hate Amazon or anything, I just don't think that Amazon stock would make a great investment at current prices.</p><p><blockquote>该等估计乃基于业务应产生的未来现金流量。我并不讨厌亚马逊或任何东西，我只是不认为亚马逊股票在当前价格下会是一项伟大的投资。</blockquote></p><p> Down at the bottom, I threw in 2 \"Buy Prices\" where Amazon stock might be more appealing. The idea behind this is that the cheaper AMZN stock gets, the higher returns we can expect.</p><p><blockquote>在底部，我提出了两个亚马逊股票可能更有吸引力的“买入价格”。这背后的想法是，AMZN股票越便宜，我们可以预期的回报就越高。</blockquote></p><p> The model projects that you'd make around 15% annual returns at $2,200 per share, and you might make around 22% annual returns at $1,700 per share.</p><p><blockquote>该模型预计，每股2,200美元的年回报率约为15%，每股1,700美元的年回报率约为22%。</blockquote></p><p> \"But doesn't it seem unreasonable to set the buy price in the $2,000s when the stock's trading near $3,500?\" It does a little bit. It seems pretty unlikely that Amazon's share price will nose dive right down past $2,000.</p><p><blockquote>“但当股票交易价格接近3,500美元时，将买入价格定为2,000美元似乎不合理吗？”有一点。亚马逊的股价似乎不太可能暴跌至2,000美元以上。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> But the idea is, if we're patient, we might get an opportunity to buy these shares underpriced. Last February, Amazon traded lower than $1,900 (I wish I bought some back then). We'll probably have opportunities in the future to buy Amazon at a discount.</p><p><blockquote>但我们的想法是，如果我们有耐心，我们可能有机会以低价购买这些股票。去年2月，亚马逊的交易价格低于1,900美元（我希望当时买了一些）。我们将来可能有机会以折扣价购买亚马逊。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Recap</b></p><p><blockquote><b>回顾</b></blockquote></p><p> Today, it seems like Amazon is slightly overvalued, because it seems to offer about 5% annual returns over the next 5 years. That doesn't mean you should sell Amazon if you're a long time holder, because Amazon should continue to do well as a leader in E-commerce and cloud computing.</p><p><blockquote>如今，亚马逊的估值似乎略有高估，因为它似乎在未来5年内提供约5%的年回报率。这并不意味着如果您是长期持有者，您应该出售亚马逊，因为亚马逊应该继续作为电子商务和云计算领域的领导者表现出色。</blockquote></p><p> But if you're looking for your next stock to invest in, Amazon seems to be too expensive right now. And if you've been eyeing Amazon for a while and you're looking to get in, now's not the best time to get into Amazon.</p><p><blockquote>但如果你正在寻找下一只投资股票，亚马逊现在似乎太贵了。如果您关注亚马逊已经有一段时间了，并且正在寻求进入，那么现在不是进入亚马逊的最佳时机。</blockquote></p><p> Even if we don't invest in the stock, we can still watch Amazon as they become the company with the most revenue in the world. And there's a lot we can learn from studying Amazon and Jeff Bezos. He's a smart dude.</p><p><blockquote>即使我们不投资该股票，我们仍然可以看到亚马逊成为世界上收入最多的公司。我们可以从研究亚马逊和杰夫·贝索斯中学到很多东西。他是个聪明人。</blockquote></p><p> Thank you very much for reading, and I hope that you have a great rest of your day.</p><p><blockquote>非常感谢您的阅读，我希望您今天休息得愉快。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Amazon: Good Stock, Not Good Price<blockquote>亚马逊：好库存，不好价格</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAmazon: Good Stock, Not Good Price<blockquote>亚马逊：好库存，不好价格</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-27 11:15</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Amazon is one of the most innovative companies in the world today, leading the E-commerce industry and cloud computing services.</li>  <li>Unfortunately, it's a little overpriced. This is consistent with some of the other mega-cap stocks I've analyzed.</li>  <li>This article looks at what Amazon stock is most likely worth for us investors.</li>  <li>I hope you enjoy.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/451bc93115fb453c0fcb76434c40f7f4\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\"><span>Sundry Photography/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>亚马逊是当今世界最具创新力的公司之一，在电子商务行业和云计算服务领域处于领先地位。</li><li>不幸的是，它的价格有点过高。这与我分析过的其他一些大型股是一致的。</li><li>本文探讨了亚马逊股票对美国投资者来说最有可能的价值。</li><li>我希望你喜欢。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>杂项摄影/iStock社论来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Today, Amazon (AMZN) seems to be a little overpriced based on my intrinsic value model.</p><p><blockquote>今天，根据我的内在价值模型，亚马逊（AMZN）的定价似乎有点过高。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a82d937a2de3f0709088e1ab4548267b\" tg-width=\"371\" tg-height=\"260\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> You might have seen some of my other articles where I've bashed other popular stocks like Apple (AAPL) or Microsoft (MSFT). Well, I guess today it's Amazon's turn. I just try to share what I think companies are worth, and I've found that a lot of companies seem to be overpriced.</p><p><blockquote>您可能已经看过我的其他一些文章，其中我抨击了苹果(AAPL)或微软(MSFT)等其他热门股票。嗯，我想今天轮到亚马逊了。我只是试图分享我认为公司的价值，我发现很多公司似乎定价过高。</blockquote></p><p> In this article, I'll break down how I came up with Amazon's valuation. I know that there's tons of different opinions out there about Amazon, so I'll try to share the reasoning behind my valuation to help you make better investments in the future.</p><p><blockquote>在本文中，我将详细介绍我是如何得出亚马逊估值的。我知道关于亚马逊有很多不同的观点，所以我会尝试分享我的估值背后的理由，以帮助您在未来进行更好的投资。</blockquote></p><p> Something important you should know - I'm not an expert on Amazon, and I have a really difficult time valuing growth stocks. I really doubt that I have the ability to estimate a company's future growth. I made future growth estimates by looking at past growth and making conservative estimates of the future.</p><p><blockquote>你应该知道一些重要的事情——我不是亚马逊专家，我很难评估成长型股票。我真的很怀疑我有能力估计一家公司未来的增长。我通过查看过去的增长并对未来做出保守的估计来做出未来的增长估计。</blockquote></p><p> This method borders on \"data extrapolation\", which is making assumptions based on past data. Data extrapolation isn't great because the future is different from the past - so making future projections based on past data isn't ideal.</p><p><blockquote>这种方法近乎“数据外推”，即根据过去的数据做出假设。数据外推并不好，因为未来与过去不同——所以根据过去的数据进行未来预测并不理想。</blockquote></p><p> But after valuing hundreds of companies, I've found that this kind of style does a good job of getting the valuation approximately right. I always try to set my valuations low, because it's better to buy low and make a killing than buy high and lose money.</p><p><blockquote>但在对数百家公司进行估值后，我发现这种风格可以很好地获得大致正确的估值。我总是尽量把我的估值定低，因为低买大赚总比高买亏好。</blockquote></p><p>   Warren Buffett said, “The three most important words in investing are  <b>margin of safety</b>.” That means to buy stuff on sale... That's the whole secret to great investing.    Rule 1 Investing  This model is built on getting the valuation \"approximately right,\" and looking to buy with a large margin of safety. I hope you enjoy, and as always, I'll try to keep it clean and common sense.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特说：“投资中最重要的三个词是<b>安全边际</b>意思是买打折的东西....这就是伟大投资的全部秘密。规则1投资该模型的基础是获得“大致正确”的估值，并寻求以较大的安全边际进行购买。我希望你喜欢，一如既往，我会尽量保持它的干净和常识。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Business Model</b></p><p><blockquote><b>商业模式</b></blockquote></p><p> Where does Amazon get its money? Amazon is split into 3 segments: North America, International, and AWS.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊的钱从哪里来？亚马逊分为3个部分：北美、国际和AWS。</blockquote></p><p> As a market leader in 2 high growth industries (E-commerce and cloud computing), Amazon will probably continue to see high growth in the future. In this section, I looked at the past revenue growth and operating margins for each of Amazon's segments, and I used this to make conservative future projections.</p><p><blockquote>作为两个高增长行业（电子商务和云计算）的市场领导者，亚马逊未来可能会继续实现高增长。在本节中，我研究了亚马逊每个部门过去的收入增长和营业利润率，并以此做出保守的未来预测。</blockquote></p><p> And later, I added up the numbers from each segment to make projections for the whole company. Here's a look at AMZN's North America segment. This segment's revenue comes from retail sales and subscription service revenues.</p><p><blockquote>后来，我把每个部门的数字加起来，对整个公司进行预测。以下是亚马逊北美业务的概况。该部门的收入来自零售销售和订阅服务收入。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ce022c0ecacc3829cf83378211bbfd9d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"192\"><span>Source: Author with data from 2018 10-K,2019 10-K, and 2020 10-K</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者使用2018年10-K、2019年10-K和2020年10-K的数据</span></p></blockquote></p><p> I projected declining revenue growth and strong operating margins for this segment. I projected slower revenue growth, because I figure there has to be a cap on how much money Amazon can make in North America.</p><p><blockquote>我预计该部门的收入增长将下降，营业利润率将强劲。我预计收入增长会放缓，因为我认为亚马逊在北美的收入必须有一个上限。</blockquote></p><p> Hopefully, Amazon will exceed this revenue growth. But, I do think it would be a pretty incredible feat for Amazon to grow from $200B in revenue to $400B in 5 years.</p><p><blockquote>希望亚马逊能够超过这一收入增长。但是，我确实认为亚马逊在5年内将收入从2000亿美元增长到4000亿美元将是一个非常令人难以置信的壮举。</blockquote></p><p> Here's a look at Amazon's International segment:</p><p><blockquote>以下是亚马逊国际部门的概况：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3d7a5bde370f55e863f58c888abc496\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"219\"><span>Source: Author with data from 2018 10-K,2019 10-K, and 2020 10-K</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者使用2018年10-K、2019年10-K和2020年10-K的数据</span></p></blockquote></p><p> For Amazon's international segment, I projected 20% annual revenue growth, and improving operating margins. I figured that operating margins would gradually improve until the margins reached a similar point to what Amazon sees in its US segment.</p><p><blockquote>对于亚马逊的国际部门，我预计年收入将增长20%，营业利润率也将提高。我认为营业利润率将逐渐提高，直到利润率达到与亚马逊在美国市场类似的水平。</blockquote></p><p> And for Amazon's last and most exciting segment, here's AWS:</p><p><blockquote>对于亚马逊最后也是最令人兴奋的部分，AWS是：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/769700013871f2cd09e8ce47cfb10966\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"203\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> AWS is undoubtedly going to bring high growth for Amazon, and high profits. I projected that the AWS segment will probably continue to grow at a high rate. I projected a 25-30% annual revenue growth rate because cloud computing has a lot of room to grow, and according to Research and Markets, the cloud computing industry should grow at about&nbsp;17.5% CAGR&nbsp;until 2025.</p><p><blockquote>AWS无疑将为亚马逊带来高增长和高利润。我预计AWS细分市场可能会继续高速增长。我预测25-30%的年收入增长率，因为云计算有很大的增长空间，根据研究和市场，云计算行业应该以17.5%的CAGR增长，直到2025年。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Additionally, I projected 28% operating margins, because the AWS business benefits from operating leverage. As more people use the software, the company is able to make higher margins as it spreads costs over more people. It's possible that Amazon could exceed 28% operating margins, so there might be upside to Amazon's fair value.</p><p><blockquote>此外，我预计营业利润率为28%，因为AWS业务受益于运营杠杆。随着越来越多的人使用该软件，该公司能够通过将成本分摊给更多的人来获得更高的利润。亚马逊的营业利润率可能会超过28%，因此亚马逊的公允价值可能会有上升空间。</blockquote></p><p> These projections were added together to help us figure out what the entire company should be worth.</p><p><blockquote>这些预测加在一起有助于我们计算出整个公司的价值。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Capital Allocation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>资本配置</b></blockquote></p><p> How does Amazon spend its money? You might find it interesting to analyze Amazon's capital allocation, so you can see what Amazon does with its money, and where it might be investing for the future.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊是怎么花钱的？你可能会发现分析亚马逊的资本配置很有趣，这样你就可以看到亚马逊用它的钱做了什么，以及它未来可能投资到哪里。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45f5afa0f641ee1aae39aa69cc150165\" tg-width=\"619\" tg-height=\"499\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The biggest portion of Amazon's operating cash flows goes towards capital expenditures. From what I can tell, Amazon has not had any share activity over the past 5 years. The company has issued shares - but from the looks of the cash flow statement, it looks like they haven't raised any money from selling shares, and they haven't spent any money buying back shares.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊运营现金流的最大部分用于资本支出。据我所知，亚马逊在过去5年里没有任何分享活动。该公司已经发行了股票——但从现金流量表来看，他们似乎没有通过出售股票筹集到任何资金，也没有花任何钱回购股票。</blockquote></p><p>   In February 2016, the Board of Directors authorized a program to repurchase up to $5.0 billion of our common stock, with no fixed expiration.  <i>There were no repurchases of common stock in 2018, 2019, or 2020.</i>    Source:2020 10-K&nbsp;page 60,  <i>emphasis added</i>  But for our purposes, this quote shows that Amazon hasn't bought back any stock over the past 3 years. They also haven't spent any money on dividends, which is good because they're a high growth company.</p><p><blockquote>2016年2月，董事会批准了一项回购最多50亿美元普通股的计划，没有固定到期日。<i>2018年、2019年或2020年没有回购普通股。</i>资料来源：2020 10-K第60页，<i>增加了强调</i>但就我们而言，这段报价表明亚马逊在过去3年中没有回购任何股票。他们也没有在股息上花任何钱，这很好，因为他们是一家高增长公司。</blockquote></p><p> Amazon has consistently spent money on acquisitions and paying down debt. What's really interesting is that Amazon has built up a lot of spare cash over the past 5 years. Their cash position has risen about $58B since 2016, going from about $26B at the end of 2016 to about $84B at the end of 2020.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊一直在收购和偿还债务上花钱。真正有趣的是，亚马逊在过去5年里积累了大量闲钱。自2016年以来，他们的现金头寸增加了约580亿美元，从2016年底的约260亿美元增加到2020年底的约840亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Amazon has a lot more cash than they used to, so we could see future spending go towards a dividend, share buybacks, new acquisitions, or maybe more business investments that will lead to growth.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊拥有比以前多得多的现金，因此我们可以看到未来的支出将用于股息、股票回购、新收购，或者更多将带来增长的商业投资。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值</b></blockquote></p><p> First, I used a discount rate of 7.7% for Amazon because that's what I found the company's weighted average cost of capital, or WACC, to be. I assumed an 8% cost of equity, and Amazon has averaged somewhere around a 20-30% tax rate over the past 10 years.</p><p><blockquote>首先，我对亚马逊使用了7.7%的贴现率，因为这是我发现该公司的加权平均资本成本(WACC)。我假设股权成本为8%，而亚马逊在过去10年中的平均税率约为20-30%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c036264f19bb10fdad477a629b40f803\" tg-width=\"361\" tg-height=\"288\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> I used a DCF model to find Amazon's value today. In the model down below, you can see in the top 2 red boxes that I projected that the company would have lower revenue growth and strong operating margins.</p><p><blockquote>我今天用DCF模型找到了亚马逊的价值。在下面的模型中，您可以在顶部2个红框中看到，我预计该公司的收入增长将较低，营业利润率将强劲。</blockquote></p><p> This model projects that Amazon will have over $850B in revenue by 2025. That's absolutely nuts if you think about it, but based on estimated revenue growth, it seems feasible.</p><p><blockquote>该模型预计，到2025年，亚马逊的收入将超过8500亿美元。仔细想想，这绝对是疯狂的，但根据估计的收入增长，这似乎是可行的。</blockquote></p><p> Right now, Walmart(NYSE:WMT)leads the world in revenue with about $550B. Amazon sits in third place for annual revenue, with about $390B. In 5 years, Amazon could easily have the largest revenue of any company in the world.</p><p><blockquote>目前，沃尔玛（纽约证券交易所股票代码：WMT）以约550B美元的收入领先全球。亚马逊的年收入排名第三，约为3900亿美元。5年后，亚马逊很可能成为世界上收入最高的公司。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95c459abcbda43e35b40379a1083ecae\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"510\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Down at the bottom of this model, you can see there's a red box that projects unlevered FCF margins. This basically measures how much of the company's revenue will become business profits, without including interest or debt payments. In the turquoise box, I applied the discount rate to see what the future cash flows are worth today.</p><p><blockquote>在该模型的底部，您可以看到有一个红色框，显示无杠杆自由现金流利润率。这基本上衡量了公司收入中有多少将成为业务利润，不包括利息或债务支付。在绿松石盒子中，我应用了贴现率来查看未来现金流今天的价值。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a3fa0846616fdc847a3fe1fdf7a09bed\" tg-width=\"267\" tg-height=\"404\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Today, it looks like Amazon is slightly overvalued. The model projects that the stock might be about 15% overvalued, and we could expect to make about 5% annual returns over the next 5 years if we invested today.</p><p><blockquote>如今，亚马逊的估值似乎略有高估。该模型预测该股票可能被高估约15%，如果我们今天投资，我们预计未来5年的年回报率约为5%。</blockquote></p><p> These estimations are based on the future cash flows that the business should generate. I don't hate Amazon or anything, I just don't think that Amazon stock would make a great investment at current prices.</p><p><blockquote>该等估计乃基于业务应产生的未来现金流量。我并不讨厌亚马逊或任何东西，我只是不认为亚马逊股票在当前价格下会是一项伟大的投资。</blockquote></p><p> Down at the bottom, I threw in 2 \"Buy Prices\" where Amazon stock might be more appealing. The idea behind this is that the cheaper AMZN stock gets, the higher returns we can expect.</p><p><blockquote>在底部，我提出了两个亚马逊股票可能更有吸引力的“买入价格”。这背后的想法是，AMZN股票越便宜，我们可以预期的回报就越高。</blockquote></p><p> The model projects that you'd make around 15% annual returns at $2,200 per share, and you might make around 22% annual returns at $1,700 per share.</p><p><blockquote>该模型预计，每股2,200美元的年回报率约为15%，每股1,700美元的年回报率约为22%。</blockquote></p><p> \"But doesn't it seem unreasonable to set the buy price in the $2,000s when the stock's trading near $3,500?\" It does a little bit. It seems pretty unlikely that Amazon's share price will nose dive right down past $2,000.</p><p><blockquote>“但当股票交易价格接近3,500美元时，将买入价格定为2,000美元似乎不合理吗？”有一点。亚马逊的股价似乎不太可能暴跌至2,000美元以上。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> But the idea is, if we're patient, we might get an opportunity to buy these shares underpriced. Last February, Amazon traded lower than $1,900 (I wish I bought some back then). We'll probably have opportunities in the future to buy Amazon at a discount.</p><p><blockquote>但我们的想法是，如果我们有耐心，我们可能有机会以低价购买这些股票。去年2月，亚马逊的交易价格低于1,900美元（我希望当时买了一些）。我们将来可能有机会以折扣价购买亚马逊。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Recap</b></p><p><blockquote><b>回顾</b></blockquote></p><p> Today, it seems like Amazon is slightly overvalued, because it seems to offer about 5% annual returns over the next 5 years. That doesn't mean you should sell Amazon if you're a long time holder, because Amazon should continue to do well as a leader in E-commerce and cloud computing.</p><p><blockquote>如今，亚马逊的估值似乎略有高估，因为它似乎在未来5年内提供约5%的年回报率。这并不意味着如果您是长期持有者，您应该出售亚马逊，因为亚马逊应该继续作为电子商务和云计算领域的领导者表现出色。</blockquote></p><p> But if you're looking for your next stock to invest in, Amazon seems to be too expensive right now. And if you've been eyeing Amazon for a while and you're looking to get in, now's not the best time to get into Amazon.</p><p><blockquote>但如果你正在寻找下一只投资股票，亚马逊现在似乎太贵了。如果您关注亚马逊已经有一段时间了，并且正在寻求进入，那么现在不是进入亚马逊的最佳时机。</blockquote></p><p> Even if we don't invest in the stock, we can still watch Amazon as they become the company with the most revenue in the world. And there's a lot we can learn from studying Amazon and Jeff Bezos. He's a smart dude.</p><p><blockquote>即使我们不投资该股票，我们仍然可以看到亚马逊成为世界上收入最多的公司。我们可以从研究亚马逊和杰夫·贝索斯中学到很多东西。他是个聪明人。</blockquote></p><p> Thank you very much for reading, and I hope that you have a great rest of your day.</p><p><blockquote>非常感谢您的阅读，我希望您今天休息得愉快。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4436641-amazon-good-stock-not-good-price\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"亚马逊"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4436641-amazon-good-stock-not-good-price","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1184001921","content_text":"Summary\n\nAmazon is one of the most innovative companies in the world today, leading the E-commerce industry and cloud computing services.\nUnfortunately, it's a little overpriced. This is consistent with some of the other mega-cap stocks I've analyzed.\nThis article looks at what Amazon stock is most likely worth for us investors.\nI hope you enjoy.\n\nSundry Photography/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nToday, Amazon (AMZN) seems to be a little overpriced based on my intrinsic value model.\nSource: Author\nYou might have seen some of my other articles where I've bashed other popular stocks like Apple (AAPL) or Microsoft (MSFT). Well, I guess today it's Amazon's turn. I just try to share what I think companies are worth, and I've found that a lot of companies seem to be overpriced.\nIn this article, I'll break down how I came up with Amazon's valuation. I know that there's tons of different opinions out there about Amazon, so I'll try to share the reasoning behind my valuation to help you make better investments in the future.\nSomething important you should know - I'm not an expert on Amazon, and I have a really difficult time valuing growth stocks. I really doubt that I have the ability to estimate a company's future growth. I made future growth estimates by looking at past growth and making conservative estimates of the future.\nThis method borders on \"data extrapolation\", which is making assumptions based on past data. Data extrapolation isn't great because the future is different from the past - so making future projections based on past data isn't ideal.\nBut after valuing hundreds of companies, I've found that this kind of style does a good job of getting the valuation approximately right. I always try to set my valuations low, because it's better to buy low and make a killing than buy high and lose money.\n\n Warren Buffett said, “The three most important words in investing are\n margin of safety.” That means to buy stuff on sale... That's the whole secret to great investing.\n\n\n Rule 1 Investing\n\nThis model is built on getting the valuation \"approximately right,\" and looking to buy with a large margin of safety. I hope you enjoy, and as always, I'll try to keep it clean and common sense.\nBusiness Model\nWhere does Amazon get its money? Amazon is split into 3 segments: North America, International, and AWS.\nAs a market leader in 2 high growth industries (E-commerce and cloud computing), Amazon will probably continue to see high growth in the future. In this section, I looked at the past revenue growth and operating margins for each of Amazon's segments, and I used this to make conservative future projections.\nAnd later, I added up the numbers from each segment to make projections for the whole company. Here's a look at AMZN's North America segment. This segment's revenue comes from retail sales and subscription service revenues.\nSource: Author with data from 2018 10-K,2019 10-K, and 2020 10-K\nI projected declining revenue growth and strong operating margins for this segment. I projected slower revenue growth, because I figure there has to be a cap on how much money Amazon can make in North America.\nHopefully, Amazon will exceed this revenue growth. But, I do think it would be a pretty incredible feat for Amazon to grow from $200B in revenue to $400B in 5 years.\nHere's a look at Amazon's International segment:\nSource: Author with data from 2018 10-K,2019 10-K, and 2020 10-K\nFor Amazon's international segment, I projected 20% annual revenue growth, and improving operating margins. I figured that operating margins would gradually improve until the margins reached a similar point to what Amazon sees in its US segment.\nAnd for Amazon's last and most exciting segment, here's AWS:\nSource: Author\nAWS is undoubtedly going to bring high growth for Amazon, and high profits. I projected that the AWS segment will probably continue to grow at a high rate. I projected a 25-30% annual revenue growth rate because cloud computing has a lot of room to grow, and according to Research and Markets, the cloud computing industry should grow at about 17.5% CAGR until 2025.\nAdditionally, I projected 28% operating margins, because the AWS business benefits from operating leverage. As more people use the software, the company is able to make higher margins as it spreads costs over more people. It's possible that Amazon could exceed 28% operating margins, so there might be upside to Amazon's fair value.\nThese projections were added together to help us figure out what the entire company should be worth.\nCapital Allocation\nHow does Amazon spend its money? You might find it interesting to analyze Amazon's capital allocation, so you can see what Amazon does with its money, and where it might be investing for the future.\nSource: Author\nThe biggest portion of Amazon's operating cash flows goes towards capital expenditures. From what I can tell, Amazon has not had any share activity over the past 5 years. The company has issued shares - but from the looks of the cash flow statement, it looks like they haven't raised any money from selling shares, and they haven't spent any money buying back shares.\n\n In February 2016, the Board of Directors authorized a program to repurchase up to $5.0 billion of our common stock, with no fixed expiration.\n There were no repurchases of common stock in 2018, 2019, or 2020.\n\n\n Source:2020 10-K page 60,\n emphasis added\n\nBut for our purposes, this quote shows that Amazon hasn't bought back any stock over the past 3 years. They also haven't spent any money on dividends, which is good because they're a high growth company.\nAmazon has consistently spent money on acquisitions and paying down debt. What's really interesting is that Amazon has built up a lot of spare cash over the past 5 years. Their cash position has risen about $58B since 2016, going from about $26B at the end of 2016 to about $84B at the end of 2020.\nAmazon has a lot more cash than they used to, so we could see future spending go towards a dividend, share buybacks, new acquisitions, or maybe more business investments that will lead to growth.\nValuation\nFirst, I used a discount rate of 7.7% for Amazon because that's what I found the company's weighted average cost of capital, or WACC, to be. I assumed an 8% cost of equity, and Amazon has averaged somewhere around a 20-30% tax rate over the past 10 years.\nSource: Author\nI used a DCF model to find Amazon's value today. In the model down below, you can see in the top 2 red boxes that I projected that the company would have lower revenue growth and strong operating margins.\nThis model projects that Amazon will have over $850B in revenue by 2025. That's absolutely nuts if you think about it, but based on estimated revenue growth, it seems feasible.\nRight now, Walmart(NYSE:WMT)leads the world in revenue with about $550B. Amazon sits in third place for annual revenue, with about $390B. In 5 years, Amazon could easily have the largest revenue of any company in the world.\nSource: Author\nDown at the bottom of this model, you can see there's a red box that projects unlevered FCF margins. This basically measures how much of the company's revenue will become business profits, without including interest or debt payments. In the turquoise box, I applied the discount rate to see what the future cash flows are worth today.\nSource: Author\nToday, it looks like Amazon is slightly overvalued. The model projects that the stock might be about 15% overvalued, and we could expect to make about 5% annual returns over the next 5 years if we invested today.\nThese estimations are based on the future cash flows that the business should generate. I don't hate Amazon or anything, I just don't think that Amazon stock would make a great investment at current prices.\nDown at the bottom, I threw in 2 \"Buy Prices\" where Amazon stock might be more appealing. The idea behind this is that the cheaper AMZN stock gets, the higher returns we can expect.\nThe model projects that you'd make around 15% annual returns at $2,200 per share, and you might make around 22% annual returns at $1,700 per share.\n\"But doesn't it seem unreasonable to set the buy price in the $2,000s when the stock's trading near $3,500?\" It does a little bit. It seems pretty unlikely that Amazon's share price will nose dive right down past $2,000.\nBut the idea is, if we're patient, we might get an opportunity to buy these shares underpriced. Last February, Amazon traded lower than $1,900 (I wish I bought some back then). We'll probably have opportunities in the future to buy Amazon at a discount.\nRecap\nToday, it seems like Amazon is slightly overvalued, because it seems to offer about 5% annual returns over the next 5 years. That doesn't mean you should sell Amazon if you're a long time holder, because Amazon should continue to do well as a leader in E-commerce and cloud computing.\nBut if you're looking for your next stock to invest in, Amazon seems to be too expensive right now. And if you've been eyeing Amazon for a while and you're looking to get in, now's not the best time to get into Amazon.\nEven if we don't invest in the stock, we can still watch Amazon as they become the company with the most revenue in the world. And there's a lot we can learn from studying Amazon and Jeff Bezos. He's a smart dude.\nThank you very much for reading, and I hope that you have a great rest of your day.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMZN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":411,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":879246212,"gmtCreate":1636730415932,"gmtModify":1636730416052,"author":{"id":"3584355133514261","authorId":"3584355133514261","name":"keane3921","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f91e2aa3ce2d41b7ddd61125b2e64e06","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584355133514261","authorIdStr":"3584355133514261"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$Alibaba(BABA)$</a>&nbsp;go up","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$Alibaba(BABA)$</a>&nbsp;go up","text":"$Alibaba(BABA)$ go up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/879246212","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2603,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}