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2021-07-25

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2021-07-25

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Here are Wall Street's favorite big tech stocks as the Nasdaq closes in on another milestone<blockquote>随着纳斯达克接近另一个里程碑，以下是华尔街最受欢迎的大型科技股</blockquote>

2021-06-18

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Alibaba Stock: The Bottoming Process Looks To Be Forming Already<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股票：触底过程似乎已经形成</blockquote>

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(Getty Images)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>约88%的分析师将动视暴雪评级为“买入”，他们的一致目标价比该股7月23日的收盘价高出27%。（盖蒂图片社）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> All three of the major U.S. stock indexes hit records Friday, and the Nasdaq Composite Index might reach its next milestone -- 15,000 -- next week.</p><p><blockquote>美国三大股指周五均创下历史新高，纳斯达克综合指数下周可能会达到下一个里程碑——15,000点。</blockquote></p><p> Below is a list of stocks whose gains have powered the Nasdaq Composite Index's gains this year, along with another list of analysts' favorite stocks among the Nasdaq-100 Index .</p><p><blockquote>以下是今年以来推动纳斯达克综合指数上涨的股票列表，以及纳斯达克100指数中分析师最喜欢的股票列表。</blockquote></p><p> Here's a summary of Friday's action:</p><p><blockquote>以下是周五行动的摘要：</blockquote></p><p> (Note: All price changes in this article exclude dividends.)</p><p><blockquote>（注：本文中的所有价格变化均不包括股息。）</blockquote></p><p> <b>Nasdaq-100 winners for 2021</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2021年纳斯达克100指数获奖者</b></blockquote></p><p> The Nasdaq-100 Index is made up of the 100 largest non-financial companies by market capitalization in the full Nasdaq Composite Index. It is reconstituted each year in December. Both indexes are weighted by market cap, and the Nasdaq-100's market cap of $17.21 trillion is about 73% of the full index. So most of the full Nasdaq's performance is represented by the Nasdaq-100, which is tracked by the Invesco QQQ Trust <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QQQ\">$(QQQ)$</a>.</p><p><blockquote>纳斯达克100指数由整个纳斯达克综合指数中市值最大的100家非金融公司组成。它在每年12月重组。两个指数均按市值加权，纳斯达克100指数17.21万亿美元的市值约占整个指数的73%。因此，整个纳斯达克的大部分表现都由景顺QQQ信托追踪的纳斯达克100指数代表<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QQQ\">$(QQQ)$</a>.</blockquote></p><p> Here are the 10 stocks among the Nasdaq-100 that have risen the most during 2021 through July 23:</p><p><blockquote>以下是2021年至7月23日期间纳斯达克100指数中涨幅最大的10只股票：</blockquote></p><p> <table>  <tbody>   <tr>    <td>Company</td>    <td>Price change -- 2021</td>    <td>Price change -- July 23</td>    <td>52-week high</td>    <td>Date of 52-week high</td>    <td>Decline from 52-week high</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Moderna Inc. MRNA</td>    <td>233.9%</td>    <td>7.8%</td>    <td>$349.45</td>    <td>07/23/2021</td>    <td>-0.2%</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Applied Materials Inc. AMAT</td>    <td>60.4%</td>    <td>0.9%</td>    <td>$146.00</td>    <td>04/05/2021</td>    <td>-5.2%</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Alphabet Inc. Class C GOOG</td>    <td>57.3%</td>    <td>3.4%</td>    <td>$2,776.17</td>    <td>07/23/2021</td>    <td>-0.7%</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>ASML Holding NV ADR ASML</td>    <td>53.4%</td>    <td>2.5%</td>    <td>$756.78</td>    <td>07/23/2021</td>    <td>-1.1%</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Alphabet Inc. Class A GOOGL</td>    <td>51.8%</td>    <td>3.6%</td>    <td>$2,667.98</td>    <td>07/23/2021</td>    <td>-0.3%</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Nvidia Corp.</td>    <td>49.8%</td>    <td>-0.2%</td>    <td>$208.75</td>    <td>07/07/2021</td>    <td>-6.3%</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>EBay Inc. EBAY</td>    <td>46.3%</td>    <td>2.1%</td>    <td>$73.77</td>    <td>07/23/2021</td>    <td>-0.3%</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Intuit Inc. INTU</td>    <td>39.1%</td>    <td>1.4%</td>    <td>$532.33</td>    <td>07/23/2021</td>    <td>-0.7%</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Idexx Laboratories Inc. IDXX</td>    <td>38.8%</td>    <td>1.6%</td>    <td>$696.35</td>    <td>07/23/2021</td>    <td>-0.4%</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>DocuSign Inc. DOCU</td>    <td>38.8%</td>    <td>0.2%</td>    <td>$310.51</td>    <td>07/22/2021</td>    <td>-0.6%</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>CDW Corp. CDW</td>    <td>37.3%</td>    <td>2.0%</td>    <td>$184.58</td>    <td>04/16/2021</td>    <td>-2.0%</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Source: FactSet</td>    <td></td>    <td></td>    <td></td>    <td></td>    <td></td>   </tr>  </tbody> </table> Actually, there are 11 stocks on the list because the index includes Alphabet Inc.'s Class C <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOGL\">$(GOOGL)$</a> and Class A (GOOGL) shares.</p><p><blockquote><table><tbody><tr><td>公司</td><td>价格变动--2021</td><td>价格变化——7月23日</td><td>52周高点</td><td>52周高点日期</td><td>较52周高点下跌</td></tr><tr><td>莫德纳公司MRNA</td><td>233.9%</td><td>7.8%</td><td>$349.45</td><td>07/23/2021</td><td>-0.2%</td></tr><tr><td>应用材料公司AMAT</td><td>60.4%</td><td>0.9%</td><td>$146.00</td><td>04/05/2021</td><td>-5.2%</td></tr><tr><td>Alphabet公司C类GOOG</td><td>57.3%</td><td>3.4%</td><td>$2,776.17</td><td>07/23/2021</td><td>-0.7%</td></tr><tr><td>ASML控股NV ADR ASML</td><td>53.4%</td><td>2.5%</td><td>$756.78</td><td>07/23/2021</td><td>-1.1%</td></tr><tr><td>Alphabet A级GOOGL</td><td>51.8%</td><td>3.6%</td><td>$2,667.98</td><td>07/23/2021</td><td>-0.3%</td></tr><tr><td>英伟达公司。</td><td>49.8%</td><td>-0.2%</td><td>$208.75</td><td>07/07/2021</td><td>-6.3%</td></tr><tr><td>EBay公司EBay</td><td>46.3%</td><td>2.1%</td><td>$73.77</td><td>07/23/2021</td><td>-0.3%</td></tr><tr><td>Intuit公司INTU</td><td>39.1%</td><td>1.4%</td><td>$532.33</td><td>07/23/2021</td><td>-0.7%</td></tr><tr><td>Idexx实验室公司IDXX</td><td>38.8%</td><td>1.6%</td><td>$696.35</td><td>07/23/2021</td><td>-0.4%</td></tr><tr><td>DocuSign Inc.DOCU</td><td>38.8%</td><td>0.2%</td><td>$310.51</td><td>07/22/2021</td><td>-0.6%</td></tr><tr><td>CDW公司CDW</td><td>37.3%</td><td>2.0%</td><td>$184.58</td><td>04/16/2021</td><td>-2.0%</td></tr><tr><td>来源：FactSet</td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td></tr></tbody></table>事实上，名单上有11只股票，因为该指数包括Alphabet公司的C类股票<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOGL\">$（GOOGL）$</a>和A类（GOOGL）股份。</blockquote></p><p> Seven of those stocks hit 52-week highs July 23.</p><p><blockquote>其中7只股票于7月23日触及52周高点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wall Street's favorite stocks in the Nasdaq-100</b></p><p><blockquote><b>纳斯达克100指数中华尔街最喜欢的股票</b></blockquote></p><p> Here are the 10 stocks in the Nasdaq-100 with \"buy\" or equivalent ratings among at least 75% of analysts polled by FactSet, with the most 12-month upside potential implied by consensus price targets:</p><p><blockquote>以下是纳斯达克100指数中至少75%的分析师给予“买入”或同等评级的10只股票，共识价格目标暗示了最大的12个月上涨潜力：</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <table>  <tbody>   <tr>    <td>Company</td>    <td>Share \"buy\" ratings</td>    <td>Closing price -- July 23</td>    <td>Consensus price target</td>    <td>Implied 12-month upside potential</td>    <td>Price change -- July 23</td>    <td>Price change -- 2021</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Baidu Inc. ADR Class A BIDU</td>    <td>86%</td>    <td>$172.66</td>    <td>$311.92</td>    <td>81%</td>    <td>-3.3%</td>    <td>-20.2%</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Micron Technology Inc. MU</td>    <td>88%</td>    <td>$75.94</td>    <td>$121.25</td>    <td>60%</td>    <td>0.5%</td>    <td>1.0%</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>JD.com Inc. ADR Class A JD</td>    <td>91%</td>    <td>$72.29</td>    <td>$98.15</td>    <td>36%</td>    <td>-4.8%</td>    <td>-17.8%</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>NetEase Inc. ADR</td>    <td>86%</td>    <td>$103.53</td>    <td>$134.54</td>    <td>30%</td>    <td>-8.0%</td>    <td>8.1%</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Vertex Pharmaceuticals Inc. VRTX</td>    <td>78%</td>    <td>$200.50</td>    <td>$259.71</td>    <td>30%</td>    <td>2.3%</td>    <td>-15.2%</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Microchip Technology Inc. MCHP</td>    <td>76%</td>    <td>$139.22</td>    <td>$177.14</td>    <td>27%</td>    <td>0.6%</td>    <td>0.8%</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Activision Blizzard Inc. ATVI</td>    <td>88%</td>    <td>$91.50</td>    <td>$116.09</td>    <td>27%</td>    <td>1.1%</td>    <td>-1.5%</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Fiserv Inc. FISV</td>    <td>85%</td>    <td>$111.79</td>    <td>$141.27</td>    <td>26%</td>    <td>1.6%</td>    <td>-1.8%</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MELI\">MercadoLibre</a> Inc. MELI</td>    <td>78%</td>    <td>$1,613.81</td>    <td>$2,021.37</td>    <td>25%</td>    <td>1.4%</td>    <td>-3.7%</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Netflix Inc. NFLX</td>    <td>78%</td>    <td>$515.41</td>    <td>$619.67</td>    <td>20%</td>    <td>0.7%</td>    <td>-4.7%</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Source: FactSet</td>    <td></td>    <td></td>    <td></td>    <td></td>    <td></td>    <td></td>   </tr>  </tbody> </table> Chinese stocks listed in the U.S. took a beating Friday, and you can see from the three on this list (Baidu Inc. (K3SD.SG), JD.com Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">$(JD)$</a> and NetEase Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTES\">$(NTES)$</a>) that this hasn't been a good year for the group. Therese Poletti explained why.</p><p><blockquote><table><tbody><tr><td>公司</td><td>分享“买入”评级</td><td>收盘价——7月23日</td><td>共识价格目标</td><td>隐含的12个月上涨潜力</td><td>价格变化——7月23日</td><td>价格变动--2021</td></tr><tr><td>百度ADR A类BIDU</td><td>86%</td><td>$172.66</td><td>$311.92</td><td>81%</td><td>-3.3%</td><td>-20.2%</td></tr><tr><td>美光科技公司MU</td><td>88%</td><td>$75.94</td><td>$121.25</td><td>60%</td><td>0.5%</td><td>1.0%</td></tr><tr><td>京东ADR A类JD</td><td>91%</td><td>$72.29</td><td>$98.15</td><td>36%</td><td>-4.8%</td><td>-17.8%</td></tr><tr><td>网易公司ADR</td><td>86%</td><td>$103.53</td><td>$134.54</td><td>30%</td><td>-8.0%</td><td>8.1%</td></tr><tr><td>Vertex制药公司VRTX</td><td>78%</td><td>$200.50</td><td>$259.71</td><td>30%</td><td>2.3%</td><td>-15.2%</td></tr><tr><td>微芯科技公司MCHP</td><td>76%</td><td>$139.22</td><td>$177.14</td><td>27%</td><td>0.6%</td><td>0.8%</td></tr><tr><td>动视暴雪公司ATVI</td><td>88%</td><td>$91.50</td><td>$116.09</td><td>27%</td><td>1.1%</td><td>-1.5%</td></tr><tr><td>Fiserv公司FISV</td><td>85%</td><td>$111.79</td><td>$141.27</td><td>26%</td><td>1.6%</td><td>-1.8%</td></tr><tr><td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MELI\">自由市场</a>公司MELI</td><td>78%</td><td>$1,613.81</td><td>$2,021.37</td><td>25%</td><td>1.4%</td><td>-3.7%</td></tr><tr><td>Netflix公司NFLX</td><td>78%</td><td>$515.41</td><td>$619.67</td><td>20%</td><td>0.7%</td><td>-4.7%</td></tr><tr><td>来源：FactSet</td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td></tr></tbody></table>在美国上市的中国股票周五遭受重创，你可以从这份名单上的三只股票（百度公司（K3SD.SG）、京东公司）中看到。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">$（京东）$</a>和网易公司。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTES\">$（NTES）$</a>）今年对该集团来说并不是一个好年景。特里萨·波莱蒂解释了原因。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Here are Wall Street's favorite big tech stocks as the Nasdaq closes in on another milestone<blockquote>随着纳斯达克接近另一个里程碑，以下是华尔街最受欢迎的大型科技股</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHere are Wall Street's favorite big tech stocks as the Nasdaq closes in on another milestone<blockquote>随着纳斯达克接近另一个里程碑，以下是华尔街最受欢迎的大型科技股</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-24 09:00</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>As the Nasdaq Composite Index nears 15,000, analysts see upside for Activision Blizzard, Netflix and Baidu, among others</p><p><blockquote>随着纳斯达克综合指数接近15,000点，分析师认为动视暴雪、Netflix和百度等公司还有上涨空间</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4c007522d36ee30fcaeab059a92a280e\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"485\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Some 88% of analysts rate Activision Blizzard \"buy,\" and their consensus price target is 27% above the stock's closing price July 23. (Getty Images)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>约88%的分析师将动视暴雪评级为“买入”，他们的一致目标价比该股7月23日的收盘价高出27%。（盖蒂图片社）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> All three of the major U.S. stock indexes hit records Friday, and the Nasdaq Composite Index might reach its next milestone -- 15,000 -- next week.</p><p><blockquote>美国三大股指周五均创下历史新高，纳斯达克综合指数下周可能会达到下一个里程碑——15,000点。</blockquote></p><p> Below is a list of stocks whose gains have powered the Nasdaq Composite Index's gains this year, along with another list of analysts' favorite stocks among the Nasdaq-100 Index .</p><p><blockquote>以下是今年以来推动纳斯达克综合指数上涨的股票列表，以及纳斯达克100指数中分析师最喜欢的股票列表。</blockquote></p><p> Here's a summary of Friday's action:</p><p><blockquote>以下是周五行动的摘要：</blockquote></p><p> (Note: All price changes in this article exclude dividends.)</p><p><blockquote>（注：本文中的所有价格变化均不包括股息。）</blockquote></p><p> <b>Nasdaq-100 winners for 2021</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2021年纳斯达克100指数获奖者</b></blockquote></p><p> The Nasdaq-100 Index is made up of the 100 largest non-financial companies by market capitalization in the full Nasdaq Composite Index. It is reconstituted each year in December. Both indexes are weighted by market cap, and the Nasdaq-100's market cap of $17.21 trillion is about 73% of the full index. So most of the full Nasdaq's performance is represented by the Nasdaq-100, which is tracked by the Invesco QQQ Trust <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QQQ\">$(QQQ)$</a>.</p><p><blockquote>纳斯达克100指数由整个纳斯达克综合指数中市值最大的100家非金融公司组成。它在每年12月重组。两个指数均按市值加权，纳斯达克100指数17.21万亿美元的市值约占整个指数的73%。因此，整个纳斯达克的大部分表现都由景顺QQQ信托追踪的纳斯达克100指数代表<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QQQ\">$(QQQ)$</a>.</blockquote></p><p> Here are the 10 stocks among the Nasdaq-100 that have risen the most during 2021 through July 23:</p><p><blockquote>以下是2021年至7月23日期间纳斯达克100指数中涨幅最大的10只股票：</blockquote></p><p> <table>  <tbody>   <tr>    <td>Company</td>    <td>Price change -- 2021</td>    <td>Price change -- July 23</td>    <td>52-week high</td>    <td>Date of 52-week high</td>    <td>Decline from 52-week high</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Moderna Inc. MRNA</td>    <td>233.9%</td>    <td>7.8%</td>    <td>$349.45</td>    <td>07/23/2021</td>    <td>-0.2%</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Applied Materials Inc. AMAT</td>    <td>60.4%</td>    <td>0.9%</td>    <td>$146.00</td>    <td>04/05/2021</td>    <td>-5.2%</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Alphabet Inc. Class C GOOG</td>    <td>57.3%</td>    <td>3.4%</td>    <td>$2,776.17</td>    <td>07/23/2021</td>    <td>-0.7%</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>ASML Holding NV ADR ASML</td>    <td>53.4%</td>    <td>2.5%</td>    <td>$756.78</td>    <td>07/23/2021</td>    <td>-1.1%</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Alphabet Inc. Class A GOOGL</td>    <td>51.8%</td>    <td>3.6%</td>    <td>$2,667.98</td>    <td>07/23/2021</td>    <td>-0.3%</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Nvidia Corp.</td>    <td>49.8%</td>    <td>-0.2%</td>    <td>$208.75</td>    <td>07/07/2021</td>    <td>-6.3%</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>EBay Inc. EBAY</td>    <td>46.3%</td>    <td>2.1%</td>    <td>$73.77</td>    <td>07/23/2021</td>    <td>-0.3%</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Intuit Inc. INTU</td>    <td>39.1%</td>    <td>1.4%</td>    <td>$532.33</td>    <td>07/23/2021</td>    <td>-0.7%</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Idexx Laboratories Inc. IDXX</td>    <td>38.8%</td>    <td>1.6%</td>    <td>$696.35</td>    <td>07/23/2021</td>    <td>-0.4%</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>DocuSign Inc. DOCU</td>    <td>38.8%</td>    <td>0.2%</td>    <td>$310.51</td>    <td>07/22/2021</td>    <td>-0.6%</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>CDW Corp. CDW</td>    <td>37.3%</td>    <td>2.0%</td>    <td>$184.58</td>    <td>04/16/2021</td>    <td>-2.0%</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Source: FactSet</td>    <td></td>    <td></td>    <td></td>    <td></td>    <td></td>   </tr>  </tbody> </table> Actually, there are 11 stocks on the list because the index includes Alphabet Inc.'s Class C <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOGL\">$(GOOGL)$</a> and Class A (GOOGL) shares.</p><p><blockquote><table><tbody><tr><td>公司</td><td>价格变动--2021</td><td>价格变化——7月23日</td><td>52周高点</td><td>52周高点日期</td><td>较52周高点下跌</td></tr><tr><td>莫德纳公司MRNA</td><td>233.9%</td><td>7.8%</td><td>$349.45</td><td>07/23/2021</td><td>-0.2%</td></tr><tr><td>应用材料公司AMAT</td><td>60.4%</td><td>0.9%</td><td>$146.00</td><td>04/05/2021</td><td>-5.2%</td></tr><tr><td>Alphabet公司C类GOOG</td><td>57.3%</td><td>3.4%</td><td>$2,776.17</td><td>07/23/2021</td><td>-0.7%</td></tr><tr><td>ASML控股NV ADR ASML</td><td>53.4%</td><td>2.5%</td><td>$756.78</td><td>07/23/2021</td><td>-1.1%</td></tr><tr><td>Alphabet A级GOOGL</td><td>51.8%</td><td>3.6%</td><td>$2,667.98</td><td>07/23/2021</td><td>-0.3%</td></tr><tr><td>英伟达公司。</td><td>49.8%</td><td>-0.2%</td><td>$208.75</td><td>07/07/2021</td><td>-6.3%</td></tr><tr><td>EBay公司EBay</td><td>46.3%</td><td>2.1%</td><td>$73.77</td><td>07/23/2021</td><td>-0.3%</td></tr><tr><td>Intuit公司INTU</td><td>39.1%</td><td>1.4%</td><td>$532.33</td><td>07/23/2021</td><td>-0.7%</td></tr><tr><td>Idexx实验室公司IDXX</td><td>38.8%</td><td>1.6%</td><td>$696.35</td><td>07/23/2021</td><td>-0.4%</td></tr><tr><td>DocuSign Inc.DOCU</td><td>38.8%</td><td>0.2%</td><td>$310.51</td><td>07/22/2021</td><td>-0.6%</td></tr><tr><td>CDW公司CDW</td><td>37.3%</td><td>2.0%</td><td>$184.58</td><td>04/16/2021</td><td>-2.0%</td></tr><tr><td>来源：FactSet</td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td></tr></tbody></table>事实上，名单上有11只股票，因为该指数包括Alphabet公司的C类股票<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOGL\">$（GOOGL）$</a>和A类（GOOGL）股份。</blockquote></p><p> Seven of those stocks hit 52-week highs July 23.</p><p><blockquote>其中7只股票于7月23日触及52周高点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wall Street's favorite stocks in the Nasdaq-100</b></p><p><blockquote><b>纳斯达克100指数中华尔街最喜欢的股票</b></blockquote></p><p> Here are the 10 stocks in the Nasdaq-100 with \"buy\" or equivalent ratings among at least 75% of analysts polled by FactSet, with the most 12-month upside potential implied by consensus price targets:</p><p><blockquote>以下是纳斯达克100指数中至少75%的分析师给予“买入”或同等评级的10只股票，共识价格目标暗示了最大的12个月上涨潜力：</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <table>  <tbody>   <tr>    <td>Company</td>    <td>Share \"buy\" ratings</td>    <td>Closing price -- July 23</td>    <td>Consensus price target</td>    <td>Implied 12-month upside potential</td>    <td>Price change -- July 23</td>    <td>Price change -- 2021</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Baidu Inc. ADR Class A BIDU</td>    <td>86%</td>    <td>$172.66</td>    <td>$311.92</td>    <td>81%</td>    <td>-3.3%</td>    <td>-20.2%</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Micron Technology Inc. MU</td>    <td>88%</td>    <td>$75.94</td>    <td>$121.25</td>    <td>60%</td>    <td>0.5%</td>    <td>1.0%</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>JD.com Inc. ADR Class A JD</td>    <td>91%</td>    <td>$72.29</td>    <td>$98.15</td>    <td>36%</td>    <td>-4.8%</td>    <td>-17.8%</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>NetEase Inc. ADR</td>    <td>86%</td>    <td>$103.53</td>    <td>$134.54</td>    <td>30%</td>    <td>-8.0%</td>    <td>8.1%</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Vertex Pharmaceuticals Inc. VRTX</td>    <td>78%</td>    <td>$200.50</td>    <td>$259.71</td>    <td>30%</td>    <td>2.3%</td>    <td>-15.2%</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Microchip Technology Inc. MCHP</td>    <td>76%</td>    <td>$139.22</td>    <td>$177.14</td>    <td>27%</td>    <td>0.6%</td>    <td>0.8%</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Activision Blizzard Inc. ATVI</td>    <td>88%</td>    <td>$91.50</td>    <td>$116.09</td>    <td>27%</td>    <td>1.1%</td>    <td>-1.5%</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Fiserv Inc. FISV</td>    <td>85%</td>    <td>$111.79</td>    <td>$141.27</td>    <td>26%</td>    <td>1.6%</td>    <td>-1.8%</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MELI\">MercadoLibre</a> Inc. MELI</td>    <td>78%</td>    <td>$1,613.81</td>    <td>$2,021.37</td>    <td>25%</td>    <td>1.4%</td>    <td>-3.7%</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Netflix Inc. NFLX</td>    <td>78%</td>    <td>$515.41</td>    <td>$619.67</td>    <td>20%</td>    <td>0.7%</td>    <td>-4.7%</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Source: FactSet</td>    <td></td>    <td></td>    <td></td>    <td></td>    <td></td>    <td></td>   </tr>  </tbody> </table> Chinese stocks listed in the U.S. took a beating Friday, and you can see from the three on this list (Baidu Inc. (K3SD.SG), JD.com Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">$(JD)$</a> and NetEase Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTES\">$(NTES)$</a>) that this hasn't been a good year for the group. Therese Poletti explained why.</p><p><blockquote><table><tbody><tr><td>公司</td><td>分享“买入”评级</td><td>收盘价——7月23日</td><td>共识价格目标</td><td>隐含的12个月上涨潜力</td><td>价格变化——7月23日</td><td>价格变动--2021</td></tr><tr><td>百度ADR A类BIDU</td><td>86%</td><td>$172.66</td><td>$311.92</td><td>81%</td><td>-3.3%</td><td>-20.2%</td></tr><tr><td>美光科技公司MU</td><td>88%</td><td>$75.94</td><td>$121.25</td><td>60%</td><td>0.5%</td><td>1.0%</td></tr><tr><td>京东ADR A类JD</td><td>91%</td><td>$72.29</td><td>$98.15</td><td>36%</td><td>-4.8%</td><td>-17.8%</td></tr><tr><td>网易公司ADR</td><td>86%</td><td>$103.53</td><td>$134.54</td><td>30%</td><td>-8.0%</td><td>8.1%</td></tr><tr><td>Vertex制药公司VRTX</td><td>78%</td><td>$200.50</td><td>$259.71</td><td>30%</td><td>2.3%</td><td>-15.2%</td></tr><tr><td>微芯科技公司MCHP</td><td>76%</td><td>$139.22</td><td>$177.14</td><td>27%</td><td>0.6%</td><td>0.8%</td></tr><tr><td>动视暴雪公司ATVI</td><td>88%</td><td>$91.50</td><td>$116.09</td><td>27%</td><td>1.1%</td><td>-1.5%</td></tr><tr><td>Fiserv公司FISV</td><td>85%</td><td>$111.79</td><td>$141.27</td><td>26%</td><td>1.6%</td><td>-1.8%</td></tr><tr><td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MELI\">自由市场</a>公司MELI</td><td>78%</td><td>$1,613.81</td><td>$2,021.37</td><td>25%</td><td>1.4%</td><td>-3.7%</td></tr><tr><td>Netflix公司NFLX</td><td>78%</td><td>$515.41</td><td>$619.67</td><td>20%</td><td>0.7%</td><td>-4.7%</td></tr><tr><td>来源：FactSet</td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td></tr></tbody></table>在美国上市的中国股票周五遭受重创，你可以从这份名单上的三只股票（百度公司（K3SD.SG）、京东公司）中看到。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">$（京东）$</a>和网易公司。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTES\">$（NTES）$</a>）今年对该集团来说并不是一个好年景。特里萨·波莱蒂解释了原因。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/here-are-wall-streets-favorite-big-tech-stocks-as-the-nasdaq-closes-in-on-another-milestone-11627074982?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","NDAQ":"纳斯达克OMX交易所","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","QID":"两倍做空纳斯达克指数ETF-ProShares","MU":"美光科技","JD":"京东","BIDU":"百度","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","NFLX":"奈飞","PSQ":"做空纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","QLD":"2倍做多纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/here-are-wall-streets-favorite-big-tech-stocks-as-the-nasdaq-closes-in-on-another-milestone-11627074982?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2153388319","content_text":"As the Nasdaq Composite Index nears 15,000, analysts see upside for Activision Blizzard, Netflix and Baidu, among others\nSome 88% of analysts rate Activision Blizzard \"buy,\" and their consensus price target is 27% above the stock's closing price July 23. (Getty Images)\nAll three of the major U.S. stock indexes hit records Friday, and the Nasdaq Composite Index might reach its next milestone -- 15,000 -- next week.\nBelow is a list of stocks whose gains have powered the Nasdaq Composite Index's gains this year, along with another list of analysts' favorite stocks among the Nasdaq-100 Index .\nHere's a summary of Friday's action:\n(Note: All price changes in this article exclude dividends.)\nNasdaq-100 winners for 2021\nThe Nasdaq-100 Index is made up of the 100 largest non-financial companies by market capitalization in the full Nasdaq Composite Index. It is reconstituted each year in December. Both indexes are weighted by market cap, and the Nasdaq-100's market cap of $17.21 trillion is about 73% of the full index. So most of the full Nasdaq's performance is represented by the Nasdaq-100, which is tracked by the Invesco QQQ Trust $(QQQ)$.\nHere are the 10 stocks among the Nasdaq-100 that have risen the most during 2021 through July 23:\n\n\n\nCompany\nPrice change -- 2021\nPrice change -- July 23\n52-week high\nDate of 52-week high\nDecline from 52-week high\n\n\nModerna Inc. MRNA\n233.9%\n7.8%\n$349.45\n07/23/2021\n-0.2%\n\n\nApplied Materials Inc. AMAT\n60.4%\n0.9%\n$146.00\n04/05/2021\n-5.2%\n\n\nAlphabet Inc. Class C GOOG\n57.3%\n3.4%\n$2,776.17\n07/23/2021\n-0.7%\n\n\nASML Holding NV ADR ASML\n53.4%\n2.5%\n$756.78\n07/23/2021\n-1.1%\n\n\nAlphabet Inc. Class A GOOGL\n51.8%\n3.6%\n$2,667.98\n07/23/2021\n-0.3%\n\n\nNvidia Corp.\n49.8%\n-0.2%\n$208.75\n07/07/2021\n-6.3%\n\n\nEBay Inc. EBAY\n46.3%\n2.1%\n$73.77\n07/23/2021\n-0.3%\n\n\nIntuit Inc. INTU\n39.1%\n1.4%\n$532.33\n07/23/2021\n-0.7%\n\n\nIdexx Laboratories Inc. IDXX\n38.8%\n1.6%\n$696.35\n07/23/2021\n-0.4%\n\n\nDocuSign Inc. DOCU\n38.8%\n0.2%\n$310.51\n07/22/2021\n-0.6%\n\n\nCDW Corp. CDW\n37.3%\n2.0%\n$184.58\n04/16/2021\n-2.0%\n\n\nSource: FactSet\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nActually, there are 11 stocks on the list because the index includes Alphabet Inc.'s Class C $(GOOGL)$ and Class A (GOOGL) shares.\nSeven of those stocks hit 52-week highs July 23.\nWall Street's favorite stocks in the Nasdaq-100\nHere are the 10 stocks in the Nasdaq-100 with \"buy\" or equivalent ratings among at least 75% of analysts polled by FactSet, with the most 12-month upside potential implied by consensus price targets:\n\n\n\nCompany\nShare \"buy\" ratings\nClosing price -- July 23\nConsensus price target\nImplied 12-month upside potential\nPrice change -- July 23\nPrice change -- 2021\n\n\nBaidu Inc. ADR Class A BIDU\n86%\n$172.66\n$311.92\n81%\n-3.3%\n-20.2%\n\n\nMicron Technology Inc. MU\n88%\n$75.94\n$121.25\n60%\n0.5%\n1.0%\n\n\nJD.com Inc. ADR Class A JD\n91%\n$72.29\n$98.15\n36%\n-4.8%\n-17.8%\n\n\nNetEase Inc. ADR\n86%\n$103.53\n$134.54\n30%\n-8.0%\n8.1%\n\n\nVertex Pharmaceuticals Inc. VRTX\n78%\n$200.50\n$259.71\n30%\n2.3%\n-15.2%\n\n\nMicrochip Technology Inc. MCHP\n76%\n$139.22\n$177.14\n27%\n0.6%\n0.8%\n\n\nActivision Blizzard Inc. ATVI\n88%\n$91.50\n$116.09\n27%\n1.1%\n-1.5%\n\n\nFiserv Inc. FISV\n85%\n$111.79\n$141.27\n26%\n1.6%\n-1.8%\n\n\nMercadoLibre Inc. MELI\n78%\n$1,613.81\n$2,021.37\n25%\n1.4%\n-3.7%\n\n\nNetflix Inc. NFLX\n78%\n$515.41\n$619.67\n20%\n0.7%\n-4.7%\n\n\nSource: FactSet\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nChinese stocks listed in the U.S. took a beating Friday, and you can see from the three on this list (Baidu Inc. (K3SD.SG), JD.com Inc. $(JD)$ and NetEase Inc. $(NTES)$) that this hasn't been a good year for the group. Therese Poletti explained why.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,"MNQmain":0.9,"PSQ":0.9,"QID":0.9,"BIDU":0.9,"QQQ":0.9,"NFLX":0.9,"NQmain":0.9,"MU":0.9,"QLD":0.9,"NDAQ":0.9,"SQQQ":0.9,"TQQQ":0.9,"JD":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1061,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":166815302,"gmtCreate":1624001594006,"gmtModify":1634024305477,"author":{"id":"3584675408304225","authorId":"3584675408304225","name":"Eunicejy","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c144e20102ed34f20125d43447272526","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584675408304225","idStr":"3584675408304225"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Okay","listText":"Okay","text":"Okay","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/166815302","repostId":"1175693382","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1175693382","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623978463,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1175693382?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-18 09:07","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Alibaba Stock: The Bottoming Process Looks To Be Forming Already<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股票：触底过程似乎已经形成</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1175693382","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Alibaba is probably the most undervalued growth stock right now.The company’s multiple growth drivers within a rapidly expanding market made its valuations look even more baffling.The short term technical picture may be turning bullish with a potential double bottom price action signal.When we take things into clearer perspective by comparing China’s growth rate and size of its market to that of the U.S. e-commerce market, we could see the huge differences in their sizes and growth rates as the ","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Alibaba is probably the most undervalued growth stock right now.</li>  <li>The company’s multiple growth drivers within a rapidly expanding market made its valuations look even more baffling.</li>  <li>The short term technical picture may be turning bullish with a potential double bottom price action signal.</li>  <li>We discuss the company’s multiple growth drivers and let investors judge for themselves.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/05e63c77d4f3f3dc3d618e43044638bb\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\"><span>Yongyuan Dai/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>阿里巴巴-SW可能是目前最被低估的成长型股票。</li><li>该公司在快速扩张的市场中的多种增长动力使其估值看起来更加令人困惑。</li><li>短期技术面可能会转向看涨，并出现潜在的双底价格走势信号。</li><li>我们讨论公司的多种增长动力，让投资者自行判断。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>戴永源/iStock未通过Getty Images发布</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Technical Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>技术论文</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7febf6ed056b0e3bc038321cdaad9b1c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"782\"><span>Source: TradingView</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：TradingView</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Alibaba’s&nbsp;stock price has endured a terrible 8 months ever since its Ant Financial IPO was pulled in early Nov 20, with the stock languishing in the doldrums 34% off its high. When considering the health of its long term uptrend, it’s clear that BABA has a relatively strong uptrend bias and has generally been well supported along its key 50W MA. The only other time in the last 4 years that it lost its key 50W MA support level was during the 2018 bear market where BABA dropped about 40%, but was still well supported above the important 200W MA, which we usually consider as the “last line of defense”. Right now BABA is somewhat facing a similar situation again: down 34%, lost the 50W MA, but looks to be well supported above the 200W MA. In addition to that, one interesting observation in price action analysis may lead price action traders/investors to be especially bullish: a potential double bottom formation. BABA's price is seemingly going through a double bottom like it did during the 2018 bear market before it rallied strongly thereafter. As a result, BABA’s current level may offer a possible technical buy entry point now.</p><p><blockquote>自11月20日早些时候蚂蚁金服IPO被取消以来，阿里巴巴-SW的股价已经经历了可怕的8个月，股价低迷，较高点下跌了34%。当考虑其长期上升趋势的健康状况时，很明显BABA具有相对较强的上升趋势偏差，并且通常在其关键的50W MA上得到良好支撑。过去4年中唯一一次失去关键的50W MA支撑位是在2018年熊市期间，BABA下跌了约40%，但仍在重要的200W MA上方得到良好支撑，我们通常认为这是“最后一道防线”。现在阿里巴巴再次面临类似的情况：下跌34%，失去了50W MA，但看起来在200W MA上方得到了很好的支撑。除此之外，价格行为分析中的一个有趣观察可能会导致价格行为交易者/投资者特别看涨：潜在的双底形成。阿里巴巴的价格似乎正在经历双底，就像2018年熊市期间一样，随后强劲反弹。因此，阿里巴巴目前的水平现在可能提供一个可能的技术买入切入点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BABA's Fundamental Thesis: Rapidly Expanding Growth Drivers</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴的基本论点：快速扩大增长动力</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eba49f5881708929949c30628eedc5d4\" tg-width=\"934\" tg-height=\"578\"><span>Annual GMV. Data source: Company filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>年度GMV。数据来源：公司备案</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a4d6c4ed3e2402f5af52b2dea8bab411\" tg-width=\"836\" tg-height=\"517\"><span>Annual e-commerce revenue. Data source: Company filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>年电子商务收入。数据来源：公司备案</span></p></blockquote></p><p> BABA’s GMV grew from 1.68T yuan to 7.49T yuan in just a matter of 7 years, which represented a CAGR of 23.8%, a truly amazing growth rate. We also saw its GMV growth being converted into revenue growth as its China commerce revenue grew from 7.67B yuan to 473.68B yuan, at a CAGR of 51% over the last 10 years. While its international footprint remains considerably smaller, it still grew at a CAGR of 30.42% over the last 10 years, which was by no means slow.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴的GMV在短短7年内从1.68 T元增长到7.49 T元，复合年增长率为23.8%，增速确实惊人。我们还看到其GMV增长转化为收入增长，其中国商业收入从76.7亿元增长至4736.8亿元，过去10年复合年增长率为51%。虽然其国际足迹仍然相当小，但在过去10年中，其复合年增长率仍为30.42%，这一点也不慢。</blockquote></p><p> Even though China’s e-commerce market is expected to grow considerably slower at a CAGR of 12.4% over the next three years, from 13.8T yuan, equivalent to $2.16T in 2021 to 19.6T yuan,equivalent to $3.06T by 2024, the massive size of the market still offers tremendous upside potential for BABA and its closest competitors to grow into.</p><p><blockquote>尽管预计未来三年中国电子商务市场的增长速度将大幅放缓，复合年增长率为12.4%，从2021年的13.8 T元（相当于2.16 T美元）增长到2024年的19.6 T元（相当于3.06 T美元），但庞大的市场规模仍然为阿里巴巴及其最接近的竞争对手提供了巨大的增长潜力。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ffe2dee43f267e1d1399c68e3ca60f36\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>E-commerce revenue in the U.S. Data source: Statista</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>美国电子商务收入数据来源：Statista</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When we take things into clearer perspective by comparing China’s growth rate and size of its market to that of the U.S. e-commerce market, we could see the huge differences in their sizes and growth rates as the U.S. e-commerce market is only expected to grow at a CAGR of 4.67% from 2021 to 2025, which is significantly slower than China’s 12.4%. In addition, the U.S. market is also expected to reach about $563B in total revenue, which is 18% of what the China market is expected to be worth by then.</p><p><blockquote>当我们通过比较中国与美国电子商务市场的增长率和规模来更清晰地看待事物时，我们可以看到它们的规模和增长率的巨大差异，因为美国电子商务市场预计仅增长2021年至2025年的复合年增长率为4.67%，明显低于中国的12.4%。此外，美国市场的总收入预计也将达到约5630亿美元，是届时中国市场预计价值的18%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d5a8d0d8a6a2dcdf667a6f33c6c9771\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"702\"><span>Peers EBIT Margin and Projected EBIT Margin. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>同行息税前利润率和预计息税前利润率。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Even though Alibaba has been facing increased competitive pressures from its fast growing key competitors: JD.com(NASDAQ:JD)and Pinduoduo(NASDAQ:PDD), BABA has already been operating a much more profitable business (both EBIT and FCF), and is expected to continue delivering strong profitability moving forward, which should give the company tremendous flexibility to compete head on with JD and PDD in its quest to extend its leadership. Investors may observe that BABA’s EBIT margin was affected by the one-off administrative penalty of $2,782M that was reflected in its SG&amp;A, and therefore skewed its EBIT margin to the downside.</p><p><blockquote>尽管阿里巴巴-SW一直面临着来自快速增长的主要竞争对手京东（纳斯达克：JD）和拼多多（纳斯达克：PDD）的越来越大的竞争压力，但阿里巴巴已经在经营利润更高的业务（息税前利润和自由现金流），并且预计未来将继续实现强劲的盈利能力，这将使该公司具有巨大的灵活性，可以与京东和拼多多正面竞争，以扩大其领导地位。投资者可能会注意到，阿里巴巴的息税前利润率受到其SG&amp;A中反映的27.82亿美元一次性行政罚款的影响，因此其息税前利润率出现下行。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> One important move was the company’s decision to further its investment in the Community Marketplace, which is PDD’s main e-commerce strategy that saw PDD gain a total of&nbsp;823M AAC&nbsp;in its latest quarter as compared to BABA’s 891M AAC. PDD’s AAC growth is truly phenomenal considering it had only&nbsp;100M AAC in Q2’C17&nbsp;as compared to BABA’s 466M AAC in the same period.</p><p><blockquote>一项重要举措是该公司决定进一步投资社区市场，这是拼多多的主要电子商务战略，拼多多在最近一个季度总共获得了8.23亿AAC，而阿里巴巴的AAC为8.91亿。与阿里巴巴同期的4.66亿AAC相比，拼多多的AAC在2017年第二季度仅有1亿AAC，其AAC增长确实是惊人的。</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, the momentum of growth has surely swung over to the Community Marketplace segment and BABA would need to pull out its big guns (which it has) to compete for dominance with PDD and JD.</p><p><blockquote>因此，增长势头肯定已经转向社区市场领域，阿里巴巴需要拿出重磅炸弹（它已经拥有）来与拼多多和京东争夺主导地位。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b83b69b08b1f4b11a26393c8e6eead5\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Market size of community group buying in China. Data source: iiMedia Research</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国社区团购的市场规模。数据来源：艾媒咨询</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Even though the expected total market size of 102B yuan by 2022 represented only about 21.5% of BABA’s FY 21 China commerce revenue, the expected rapid CAGR of 44.22% over 3 years from 2019 to 2022 cannot be missed by BABA. Although the market is still relatively small, BABA cannot allow the current leader in this market: PDD to so easily dominate and gobble up the early high growth rates at the ignorance of everyone else. Certainly BABA must compete and fight for its place in this segment and strive for early leadership to prevent PDD from extending its lead.</p><p><blockquote>尽管预计到2022年1020亿元的总市场规模仅占阿里巴巴21财年中国商业收入的21.5%左右，但阿里巴巴不能错过2019年至2022年3年内44.22%的预期快速复合年增长率。虽然市场还比较小，但BABA不能让这个市场目前的龙头：PDD在旁人无知的情况下，如此轻易地称霸并吞噬早期的高增长率。当然，阿里巴巴必须竞争并争取自己在这一领域的地位，并争取早期领导地位，以防止拼多多扩大领先优势。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b97b2b4a8a182dc9846d8fb7e4039877\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"770\"><span>PDD profitability metrics &amp; revenue growth forecast. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>PDD盈利指标和收入增长预测。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> We could observe from the above chart that PDD is expected to continue growing its revenue rapidly over the next few years, even though they are expected to normalize subsequently. More importantly, PDD is also expected to increasingly improve its EBIT and FCF profitability moving forward. This shows that the Community Marketplace segment is an highly important growth driver that BABA must use its strength to exploit in order to deny PDD’s claim to undisputed leadership so early on in the game.</p><p><blockquote>我们可以从上图中观察到，拼多多的收入预计将在未来几年继续快速增长，尽管预计随后将正常化。更重要的是，拼多多预计未来的息税前利润和自由现金流盈利能力也将日益提高。这表明社区市场细分市场是一个非常重要的增长动力，阿里巴巴必须利用其优势来利用它，以否认拼多多在游戏早期声称的无可争议的领导地位。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3aadc32155b4108426a1a982e3b5b1c2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\"><span>China public cloud spending. Source:China Internet Watch; Canalys</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国公有云支出。来源：中国互联网观察；Canalys</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c1538b9f7bdc8d6d35a72d9acf8ecbc\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Size of China public cloud market. Data source: CAICT; Sina.com.cn</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国公有云市场规模。数据来源：中国信通技术；新浪网</span></p></blockquote></p><p> BABA has a 40% share in China’s public cloud market, way ahead of its key competitors. However, it’s important to note that despite this leadership, BABA is still in heavy investment mode to continue growing its market share as China’s public cloud market is expected to grow from 26.48B yuan in 2017 to 230.74B yuan by 2023, which would represent a CAGR of 43.4%, an incredibly stellar growth rate. This is especially clear when we compare China’s growth rate to the worldwide growth rate (see below) as public cloud spending worldwide is expected to grow from $145B in 2017 to $397B by 2022, that would represent a CAGR of 22.3%.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴在中国公有云市场拥有40%的份额，远远领先于其主要竞争对手。然而，值得注意的是，尽管处于领先地位，阿里巴巴仍处于大力投资模式，以继续扩大其市场份额，因为中国公共云市场预计将从2017年的264.8亿元增长到2023年的2307.4亿元，这将代表CAGR 43.4%，这是一个令人难以置信的出色增长率。当我们将中国的增长率与全球增长率（见下文）进行比较时，这一点尤其明显，因为全球公共云支出预计将从2017年的1450亿美元增长到2022年的3970亿美元，这将代表22.3%的CAGR。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06198c569504bc303c34563041dfb294\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Worldwide public cloud spending. Data source: Gartner</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>全球公共云支出。数据来源：Gartner</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8482037f60575f964053ab732496bee3\" tg-width=\"1176\" tg-height=\"700\"><span>Worldwide public cloud market share. Source:CnTechPost; Gartner</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>全球公共云市场份额。来源：CnTechPost；Gartner</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Therefore, I don’t find it surprising that Ali Cloud has continued to extend its lead over Alphabet’s(NASDAQ:GOOGL)(NASDAQ:GOOG)GCP with a market share of 9.5% in 2020. While AMZN remains the clear leader in the market, its market share has been coming down considerably as public cloud spending continues to expand, indicating that there is a huge potential for growth for multiple players to exist. With BABA’s leadership in the rapidly expanding Chinese market, I’m increasingly bullish on the future profit and FCF contribution from this segment to BABA’s performance over time. Although BABA’s cloud segment has not been EBIT profitable yet (FY 21 EBIT margin: -15%, FY 20 EBIT margin: -17.5%), it’s also useful to note that GCP has also not been profitable for Alphabet as well (FY 20 EBIT margin: -42.9%, FY 19 EBIT margin: -52%). Therefore, we need to give BABA some time to scale up its cloud services in APAC and in China where it is expected to have stronger leadership to allow it to grow faster and investors should expect this to be a highly profitable segment over time.</p><p><blockquote>因此，阿里云在2020年以9.5%的市场份额继续扩大对Alphabet（纳斯达克：GOOGL）（纳斯达克：GOOG）GCP的领先优势，我并不觉得奇怪。虽然亚马逊仍然是市场上明显的领导者，但随着公共云支出的持续扩大，其市场份额一直在大幅下降，这表明多个参与者存在巨大的增长潜力。凭借阿里巴巴在快速扩张的中国市场的领导地位，我越来越看好该细分市场未来的利润和自由现金流对阿里巴巴业绩的贡献。尽管阿里巴巴的云部门尚未实现息税前利润（21财年息税前利润率：-15%，20财年息税前利润率：-17.5%），但值得注意的是，Alphabet的GCP也尚未实现盈利（20财年息税前利润率：-42.9%，19财年息税前利润率：-52%）。因此，我们需要给阿里巴巴一些时间来扩大其在亚太地区和中国的云服务规模，预计阿里巴巴将拥有更强大的领导力，使其能够更快地增长，投资者应该预计随着时间的推移，这将是一个高利润的细分市场。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BABA's Valuations Look Highly Compelling</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴的估值看起来非常引人注目</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62a087c4b3ef7efc2c5dde813e3b959d\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"600\"><span>NTM TEV / EBIT 3Y range.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>NTM TEV/EBIT 3Y范围。</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2605c0e5ad364a7a43929fef204595c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"687\"><span>EV / Fwd EBIT and EV / Fwd Rev trend. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>EV/Fwd息税前利润和EV/Fwd Rev趋势。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When we consider BABA's TEV / EBIT historical range, where the 3Y mean read 33.54x, BABA’s EV / Fwd EBIT trend certainly imply a hugely undervalued stock as BABA is still expected to grow its revenue and operating profits rapidly. However, as we wanted to obtain greater clarity over how its counterparts are also valued, we thought it would be useful if we value BABA’s EBIT over a set of benchmark companies that is presented below.</p><p><blockquote>当我们考虑阿里巴巴的TEV/EBIT历史范围（3年平均值为33.54倍）时，阿里巴巴的EV/Fwd EBIT趋势无疑意味着该股票被严重低估，因为预计阿里巴巴的收入和营业利润仍将快速增长。然而，由于我们希望更清楚地了解其同行的估值情况，我们认为如果我们对阿里巴巴的息税前利润进行估值，而不是下面介绍的一组基准公司，这将是有用的。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d27873e676dfb23c98d4a69aa5861e02\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"1117\"><span>Peers EV / EBIT Valuations. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>同行EV/EBIT估值。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> By using a blend of historical and forward EBIT, we could see that BABA’s EV / EBIT really looks undervalued when compared to the median value of the set of observed values from the benchmark companies. We derived a fair value range for BABA of $294.98 at the midpoint of the range, that represented a potential upside of 40.5% based on the current stock price of $210.</p><p><blockquote>通过混合使用历史和远期息税前利润，我们可以看到，与基准公司一组观察值的中值相比，阿里巴巴的EV/EBIT看起来确实被低估了。我们得出阿里巴巴的公允价值范围为294.98美元，位于该范围的中点，基于当前210美元的股价，这意味着40.5%的潜在上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks to Assumptions</b></p><p><blockquote><b>假设风险</b></blockquote></p><p> Now, it’s obviously baffling to watch how Mr. Market has decided to discount BABA to such an extent as if the company has lost all its key sources of growth, when in fact there is still so much potential upside coming from its commerce segment, the new marketplace initiatives and its growing Ali Cloud segment, among others. The main realistic reason that we identified for the stock's underperformance would simply be regulatory risk. We think investors should acknowledge that this risk is very real and at times huge Chinese companies have found themselves to be subjected to extra scrutiny (which is nothing new in fact) by the Chinese government. What’s critical here is that the Chinese government seemingly has significant clout over the behavior and actions of their tech behemoths that at times may be largely unpredictable. The market certainly hates unpredictability and therefore they may have significantly discounted BABA as a result of that. If investors are not able to handle uncertainty with regard to potentially unpredictable regulatory actions and their aftermath, then BABA may not be appropriate for you. However, if you believe that this is just a blip in BABA’s long journey, then you would surely find BABA's valuations extremely attractive right now, coupled with a long term mindset.</p><p><blockquote>现在，看着先生如何表现显然令人困惑。市场决定对阿里巴巴进行折扣，就好像该公司已经失去了所有关键的增长来源，而事实上，其商业部门、新的市场举措和不断增长的阿里云部门仍有很大的潜在上涨空间，其中。我们认为该股表现不佳的主要现实原因只是监管风险。我们认为投资者应该承认这种风险是非常真实的，有时大型中国公司会发现自己受到中国政府的额外审查（事实上这并不是什么新鲜事）。这里关键的是，中国政府似乎对其科技巨头的行为和行动拥有重大影响力，而这些影响力有时可能在很大程度上是不可预测的。市场当然讨厌不可预测性，因此他们可能会因此大幅折扣阿里巴巴。如果投资者无法应对潜在不可预测的监管行动及其后果的不确定性，那么阿里巴巴可能不适合您。然而，如果你认为这只是阿里巴巴漫长旅程中的一个短暂时刻，那么你肯定会发现阿里巴巴现在的估值极具吸引力，再加上长期思维。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wrapping It All Up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>把这一切包起来</b></blockquote></p><p> Alibaba has continued to deliver solid results that demonstrated the strong capability of the company to execute well. As the company continues to operate within a market with so many growth drivers that are expected to drive the company’s future growth, investors should find the current valuations highly attractive.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW继续取得稳健的业绩，展示了公司强大的执行能力。由于该公司继续在一个拥有如此多增长动力的市场中运营，预计将推动公司未来的增长，投资者应该会发现当前的估值非常有吸引力。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba Stock: The Bottoming Process Looks To Be Forming Already<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股票：触底过程似乎已经形成</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba Stock: The Bottoming Process Looks To Be Forming Already<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股票：触底过程似乎已经形成</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-18 09:07</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Alibaba is probably the most undervalued growth stock right now.</li>  <li>The company’s multiple growth drivers within a rapidly expanding market made its valuations look even more baffling.</li>  <li>The short term technical picture may be turning bullish with a potential double bottom price action signal.</li>  <li>We discuss the company’s multiple growth drivers and let investors judge for themselves.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/05e63c77d4f3f3dc3d618e43044638bb\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\"><span>Yongyuan Dai/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>阿里巴巴-SW可能是目前最被低估的成长型股票。</li><li>该公司在快速扩张的市场中的多种增长动力使其估值看起来更加令人困惑。</li><li>短期技术面可能会转向看涨，并出现潜在的双底价格走势信号。</li><li>我们讨论公司的多种增长动力，让投资者自行判断。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>戴永源/iStock未通过Getty Images发布</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Technical Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>技术论文</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7febf6ed056b0e3bc038321cdaad9b1c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"782\"><span>Source: TradingView</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：TradingView</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Alibaba’s&nbsp;stock price has endured a terrible 8 months ever since its Ant Financial IPO was pulled in early Nov 20, with the stock languishing in the doldrums 34% off its high. When considering the health of its long term uptrend, it’s clear that BABA has a relatively strong uptrend bias and has generally been well supported along its key 50W MA. The only other time in the last 4 years that it lost its key 50W MA support level was during the 2018 bear market where BABA dropped about 40%, but was still well supported above the important 200W MA, which we usually consider as the “last line of defense”. Right now BABA is somewhat facing a similar situation again: down 34%, lost the 50W MA, but looks to be well supported above the 200W MA. In addition to that, one interesting observation in price action analysis may lead price action traders/investors to be especially bullish: a potential double bottom formation. BABA's price is seemingly going through a double bottom like it did during the 2018 bear market before it rallied strongly thereafter. As a result, BABA’s current level may offer a possible technical buy entry point now.</p><p><blockquote>自11月20日早些时候蚂蚁金服IPO被取消以来，阿里巴巴-SW的股价已经经历了可怕的8个月，股价低迷，较高点下跌了34%。当考虑其长期上升趋势的健康状况时，很明显BABA具有相对较强的上升趋势偏差，并且通常在其关键的50W MA上得到良好支撑。过去4年中唯一一次失去关键的50W MA支撑位是在2018年熊市期间，BABA下跌了约40%，但仍在重要的200W MA上方得到良好支撑，我们通常认为这是“最后一道防线”。现在阿里巴巴再次面临类似的情况：下跌34%，失去了50W MA，但看起来在200W MA上方得到了很好的支撑。除此之外，价格行为分析中的一个有趣观察可能会导致价格行为交易者/投资者特别看涨：潜在的双底形成。阿里巴巴的价格似乎正在经历双底，就像2018年熊市期间一样，随后强劲反弹。因此，阿里巴巴目前的水平现在可能提供一个可能的技术买入切入点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BABA's Fundamental Thesis: Rapidly Expanding Growth Drivers</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴的基本论点：快速扩大增长动力</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eba49f5881708929949c30628eedc5d4\" tg-width=\"934\" tg-height=\"578\"><span>Annual GMV. Data source: Company filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>年度GMV。数据来源：公司备案</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a4d6c4ed3e2402f5af52b2dea8bab411\" tg-width=\"836\" tg-height=\"517\"><span>Annual e-commerce revenue. Data source: Company filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>年电子商务收入。数据来源：公司备案</span></p></blockquote></p><p> BABA’s GMV grew from 1.68T yuan to 7.49T yuan in just a matter of 7 years, which represented a CAGR of 23.8%, a truly amazing growth rate. We also saw its GMV growth being converted into revenue growth as its China commerce revenue grew from 7.67B yuan to 473.68B yuan, at a CAGR of 51% over the last 10 years. While its international footprint remains considerably smaller, it still grew at a CAGR of 30.42% over the last 10 years, which was by no means slow.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴的GMV在短短7年内从1.68 T元增长到7.49 T元，复合年增长率为23.8%，增速确实惊人。我们还看到其GMV增长转化为收入增长，其中国商业收入从76.7亿元增长至4736.8亿元，过去10年复合年增长率为51%。虽然其国际足迹仍然相当小，但在过去10年中，其复合年增长率仍为30.42%，这一点也不慢。</blockquote></p><p> Even though China’s e-commerce market is expected to grow considerably slower at a CAGR of 12.4% over the next three years, from 13.8T yuan, equivalent to $2.16T in 2021 to 19.6T yuan,equivalent to $3.06T by 2024, the massive size of the market still offers tremendous upside potential for BABA and its closest competitors to grow into.</p><p><blockquote>尽管预计未来三年中国电子商务市场的增长速度将大幅放缓，复合年增长率为12.4%，从2021年的13.8 T元（相当于2.16 T美元）增长到2024年的19.6 T元（相当于3.06 T美元），但庞大的市场规模仍然为阿里巴巴及其最接近的竞争对手提供了巨大的增长潜力。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ffe2dee43f267e1d1399c68e3ca60f36\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>E-commerce revenue in the U.S. Data source: Statista</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>美国电子商务收入数据来源：Statista</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When we take things into clearer perspective by comparing China’s growth rate and size of its market to that of the U.S. e-commerce market, we could see the huge differences in their sizes and growth rates as the U.S. e-commerce market is only expected to grow at a CAGR of 4.67% from 2021 to 2025, which is significantly slower than China’s 12.4%. In addition, the U.S. market is also expected to reach about $563B in total revenue, which is 18% of what the China market is expected to be worth by then.</p><p><blockquote>当我们通过比较中国与美国电子商务市场的增长率和规模来更清晰地看待事物时，我们可以看到它们的规模和增长率的巨大差异，因为美国电子商务市场预计仅增长2021年至2025年的复合年增长率为4.67%，明显低于中国的12.4%。此外，美国市场的总收入预计也将达到约5630亿美元，是届时中国市场预计价值的18%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d5a8d0d8a6a2dcdf667a6f33c6c9771\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"702\"><span>Peers EBIT Margin and Projected EBIT Margin. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>同行息税前利润率和预计息税前利润率。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Even though Alibaba has been facing increased competitive pressures from its fast growing key competitors: JD.com(NASDAQ:JD)and Pinduoduo(NASDAQ:PDD), BABA has already been operating a much more profitable business (both EBIT and FCF), and is expected to continue delivering strong profitability moving forward, which should give the company tremendous flexibility to compete head on with JD and PDD in its quest to extend its leadership. Investors may observe that BABA’s EBIT margin was affected by the one-off administrative penalty of $2,782M that was reflected in its SG&amp;A, and therefore skewed its EBIT margin to the downside.</p><p><blockquote>尽管阿里巴巴-SW一直面临着来自快速增长的主要竞争对手京东（纳斯达克：JD）和拼多多（纳斯达克：PDD）的越来越大的竞争压力，但阿里巴巴已经在经营利润更高的业务（息税前利润和自由现金流），并且预计未来将继续实现强劲的盈利能力，这将使该公司具有巨大的灵活性，可以与京东和拼多多正面竞争，以扩大其领导地位。投资者可能会注意到，阿里巴巴的息税前利润率受到其SG&amp;A中反映的27.82亿美元一次性行政罚款的影响，因此其息税前利润率出现下行。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> One important move was the company’s decision to further its investment in the Community Marketplace, which is PDD’s main e-commerce strategy that saw PDD gain a total of&nbsp;823M AAC&nbsp;in its latest quarter as compared to BABA’s 891M AAC. PDD’s AAC growth is truly phenomenal considering it had only&nbsp;100M AAC in Q2’C17&nbsp;as compared to BABA’s 466M AAC in the same period.</p><p><blockquote>一项重要举措是该公司决定进一步投资社区市场，这是拼多多的主要电子商务战略，拼多多在最近一个季度总共获得了8.23亿AAC，而阿里巴巴的AAC为8.91亿。与阿里巴巴同期的4.66亿AAC相比，拼多多的AAC在2017年第二季度仅有1亿AAC，其AAC增长确实是惊人的。</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, the momentum of growth has surely swung over to the Community Marketplace segment and BABA would need to pull out its big guns (which it has) to compete for dominance with PDD and JD.</p><p><blockquote>因此，增长势头肯定已经转向社区市场领域，阿里巴巴需要拿出重磅炸弹（它已经拥有）来与拼多多和京东争夺主导地位。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b83b69b08b1f4b11a26393c8e6eead5\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Market size of community group buying in China. Data source: iiMedia Research</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国社区团购的市场规模。数据来源：艾媒咨询</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Even though the expected total market size of 102B yuan by 2022 represented only about 21.5% of BABA’s FY 21 China commerce revenue, the expected rapid CAGR of 44.22% over 3 years from 2019 to 2022 cannot be missed by BABA. Although the market is still relatively small, BABA cannot allow the current leader in this market: PDD to so easily dominate and gobble up the early high growth rates at the ignorance of everyone else. Certainly BABA must compete and fight for its place in this segment and strive for early leadership to prevent PDD from extending its lead.</p><p><blockquote>尽管预计到2022年1020亿元的总市场规模仅占阿里巴巴21财年中国商业收入的21.5%左右，但阿里巴巴不能错过2019年至2022年3年内44.22%的预期快速复合年增长率。虽然市场还比较小，但BABA不能让这个市场目前的龙头：PDD在旁人无知的情况下，如此轻易地称霸并吞噬早期的高增长率。当然，阿里巴巴必须竞争并争取自己在这一领域的地位，并争取早期领导地位，以防止拼多多扩大领先优势。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b97b2b4a8a182dc9846d8fb7e4039877\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"770\"><span>PDD profitability metrics &amp; revenue growth forecast. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>PDD盈利指标和收入增长预测。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> We could observe from the above chart that PDD is expected to continue growing its revenue rapidly over the next few years, even though they are expected to normalize subsequently. More importantly, PDD is also expected to increasingly improve its EBIT and FCF profitability moving forward. This shows that the Community Marketplace segment is an highly important growth driver that BABA must use its strength to exploit in order to deny PDD’s claim to undisputed leadership so early on in the game.</p><p><blockquote>我们可以从上图中观察到，拼多多的收入预计将在未来几年继续快速增长，尽管预计随后将正常化。更重要的是，拼多多预计未来的息税前利润和自由现金流盈利能力也将日益提高。这表明社区市场细分市场是一个非常重要的增长动力，阿里巴巴必须利用其优势来利用它，以否认拼多多在游戏早期声称的无可争议的领导地位。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3aadc32155b4108426a1a982e3b5b1c2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\"><span>China public cloud spending. Source:China Internet Watch; Canalys</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国公有云支出。来源：中国互联网观察；Canalys</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c1538b9f7bdc8d6d35a72d9acf8ecbc\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Size of China public cloud market. Data source: CAICT; Sina.com.cn</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国公有云市场规模。数据来源：中国信通技术；新浪网</span></p></blockquote></p><p> BABA has a 40% share in China’s public cloud market, way ahead of its key competitors. However, it’s important to note that despite this leadership, BABA is still in heavy investment mode to continue growing its market share as China’s public cloud market is expected to grow from 26.48B yuan in 2017 to 230.74B yuan by 2023, which would represent a CAGR of 43.4%, an incredibly stellar growth rate. This is especially clear when we compare China’s growth rate to the worldwide growth rate (see below) as public cloud spending worldwide is expected to grow from $145B in 2017 to $397B by 2022, that would represent a CAGR of 22.3%.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴在中国公有云市场拥有40%的份额，远远领先于其主要竞争对手。然而，值得注意的是，尽管处于领先地位，阿里巴巴仍处于大力投资模式，以继续扩大其市场份额，因为中国公共云市场预计将从2017年的264.8亿元增长到2023年的2307.4亿元，这将代表CAGR 43.4%，这是一个令人难以置信的出色增长率。当我们将中国的增长率与全球增长率（见下文）进行比较时，这一点尤其明显，因为全球公共云支出预计将从2017年的1450亿美元增长到2022年的3970亿美元，这将代表22.3%的CAGR。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06198c569504bc303c34563041dfb294\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Worldwide public cloud spending. Data source: Gartner</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>全球公共云支出。数据来源：Gartner</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8482037f60575f964053ab732496bee3\" tg-width=\"1176\" tg-height=\"700\"><span>Worldwide public cloud market share. Source:CnTechPost; Gartner</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>全球公共云市场份额。来源：CnTechPost；Gartner</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Therefore, I don’t find it surprising that Ali Cloud has continued to extend its lead over Alphabet’s(NASDAQ:GOOGL)(NASDAQ:GOOG)GCP with a market share of 9.5% in 2020. While AMZN remains the clear leader in the market, its market share has been coming down considerably as public cloud spending continues to expand, indicating that there is a huge potential for growth for multiple players to exist. With BABA’s leadership in the rapidly expanding Chinese market, I’m increasingly bullish on the future profit and FCF contribution from this segment to BABA’s performance over time. Although BABA’s cloud segment has not been EBIT profitable yet (FY 21 EBIT margin: -15%, FY 20 EBIT margin: -17.5%), it’s also useful to note that GCP has also not been profitable for Alphabet as well (FY 20 EBIT margin: -42.9%, FY 19 EBIT margin: -52%). Therefore, we need to give BABA some time to scale up its cloud services in APAC and in China where it is expected to have stronger leadership to allow it to grow faster and investors should expect this to be a highly profitable segment over time.</p><p><blockquote>因此，阿里云在2020年以9.5%的市场份额继续扩大对Alphabet（纳斯达克：GOOGL）（纳斯达克：GOOG）GCP的领先优势，我并不觉得奇怪。虽然亚马逊仍然是市场上明显的领导者，但随着公共云支出的持续扩大，其市场份额一直在大幅下降，这表明多个参与者存在巨大的增长潜力。凭借阿里巴巴在快速扩张的中国市场的领导地位，我越来越看好该细分市场未来的利润和自由现金流对阿里巴巴业绩的贡献。尽管阿里巴巴的云部门尚未实现息税前利润（21财年息税前利润率：-15%，20财年息税前利润率：-17.5%），但值得注意的是，Alphabet的GCP也尚未实现盈利（20财年息税前利润率：-42.9%，19财年息税前利润率：-52%）。因此，我们需要给阿里巴巴一些时间来扩大其在亚太地区和中国的云服务规模，预计阿里巴巴将拥有更强大的领导力，使其能够更快地增长，投资者应该预计随着时间的推移，这将是一个高利润的细分市场。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BABA's Valuations Look Highly Compelling</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴的估值看起来非常引人注目</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62a087c4b3ef7efc2c5dde813e3b959d\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"600\"><span>NTM TEV / EBIT 3Y range.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>NTM TEV/EBIT 3Y范围。</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2605c0e5ad364a7a43929fef204595c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"687\"><span>EV / Fwd EBIT and EV / Fwd Rev trend. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>EV/Fwd息税前利润和EV/Fwd Rev趋势。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When we consider BABA's TEV / EBIT historical range, where the 3Y mean read 33.54x, BABA’s EV / Fwd EBIT trend certainly imply a hugely undervalued stock as BABA is still expected to grow its revenue and operating profits rapidly. However, as we wanted to obtain greater clarity over how its counterparts are also valued, we thought it would be useful if we value BABA’s EBIT over a set of benchmark companies that is presented below.</p><p><blockquote>当我们考虑阿里巴巴的TEV/EBIT历史范围（3年平均值为33.54倍）时，阿里巴巴的EV/Fwd EBIT趋势无疑意味着该股票被严重低估，因为预计阿里巴巴的收入和营业利润仍将快速增长。然而，由于我们希望更清楚地了解其同行的估值情况，我们认为如果我们对阿里巴巴的息税前利润进行估值，而不是下面介绍的一组基准公司，这将是有用的。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d27873e676dfb23c98d4a69aa5861e02\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"1117\"><span>Peers EV / EBIT Valuations. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>同行EV/EBIT估值。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> By using a blend of historical and forward EBIT, we could see that BABA’s EV / EBIT really looks undervalued when compared to the median value of the set of observed values from the benchmark companies. We derived a fair value range for BABA of $294.98 at the midpoint of the range, that represented a potential upside of 40.5% based on the current stock price of $210.</p><p><blockquote>通过混合使用历史和远期息税前利润，我们可以看到，与基准公司一组观察值的中值相比，阿里巴巴的EV/EBIT看起来确实被低估了。我们得出阿里巴巴的公允价值范围为294.98美元，位于该范围的中点，基于当前210美元的股价，这意味着40.5%的潜在上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks to Assumptions</b></p><p><blockquote><b>假设风险</b></blockquote></p><p> Now, it’s obviously baffling to watch how Mr. Market has decided to discount BABA to such an extent as if the company has lost all its key sources of growth, when in fact there is still so much potential upside coming from its commerce segment, the new marketplace initiatives and its growing Ali Cloud segment, among others. The main realistic reason that we identified for the stock's underperformance would simply be regulatory risk. We think investors should acknowledge that this risk is very real and at times huge Chinese companies have found themselves to be subjected to extra scrutiny (which is nothing new in fact) by the Chinese government. What’s critical here is that the Chinese government seemingly has significant clout over the behavior and actions of their tech behemoths that at times may be largely unpredictable. The market certainly hates unpredictability and therefore they may have significantly discounted BABA as a result of that. If investors are not able to handle uncertainty with regard to potentially unpredictable regulatory actions and their aftermath, then BABA may not be appropriate for you. However, if you believe that this is just a blip in BABA’s long journey, then you would surely find BABA's valuations extremely attractive right now, coupled with a long term mindset.</p><p><blockquote>现在，看着先生如何表现显然令人困惑。市场决定对阿里巴巴进行折扣，就好像该公司已经失去了所有关键的增长来源，而事实上，其商业部门、新的市场举措和不断增长的阿里云部门仍有很大的潜在上涨空间，其中。我们认为该股表现不佳的主要现实原因只是监管风险。我们认为投资者应该承认这种风险是非常真实的，有时大型中国公司会发现自己受到中国政府的额外审查（事实上这并不是什么新鲜事）。这里关键的是，中国政府似乎对其科技巨头的行为和行动拥有重大影响力，而这些影响力有时可能在很大程度上是不可预测的。市场当然讨厌不可预测性，因此他们可能会因此大幅折扣阿里巴巴。如果投资者无法应对潜在不可预测的监管行动及其后果的不确定性，那么阿里巴巴可能不适合您。然而，如果你认为这只是阿里巴巴漫长旅程中的一个短暂时刻，那么你肯定会发现阿里巴巴现在的估值极具吸引力，再加上长期思维。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wrapping It All Up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>把这一切包起来</b></blockquote></p><p> Alibaba has continued to deliver solid results that demonstrated the strong capability of the company to execute well. As the company continues to operate within a market with so many growth drivers that are expected to drive the company’s future growth, investors should find the current valuations highly attractive.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW继续取得稳健的业绩，展示了公司强大的执行能力。由于该公司继续在一个拥有如此多增长动力的市场中运营，预计将推动公司未来的增长，投资者应该会发现当前的估值非常有吸引力。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435297-alibaba-stock-bottoming-process-forming-buy-now\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴","09988":"阿里巴巴-W"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435297-alibaba-stock-bottoming-process-forming-buy-now","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1175693382","content_text":"Summary\n\nAlibaba is probably the most undervalued growth stock right now.\nThe company’s multiple growth drivers within a rapidly expanding market made its valuations look even more baffling.\nThe short term technical picture may be turning bullish with a potential double bottom price action signal.\nWe discuss the company’s multiple growth drivers and let investors judge for themselves.\n\nYongyuan Dai/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images\nThe Technical Thesis\nSource: TradingView\nAlibaba’s stock price has endured a terrible 8 months ever since its Ant Financial IPO was pulled in early Nov 20, with the stock languishing in the doldrums 34% off its high. When considering the health of its long term uptrend, it’s clear that BABA has a relatively strong uptrend bias and has generally been well supported along its key 50W MA. The only other time in the last 4 years that it lost its key 50W MA support level was during the 2018 bear market where BABA dropped about 40%, but was still well supported above the important 200W MA, which we usually consider as the “last line of defense”. Right now BABA is somewhat facing a similar situation again: down 34%, lost the 50W MA, but looks to be well supported above the 200W MA. In addition to that, one interesting observation in price action analysis may lead price action traders/investors to be especially bullish: a potential double bottom formation. BABA's price is seemingly going through a double bottom like it did during the 2018 bear market before it rallied strongly thereafter. As a result, BABA’s current level may offer a possible technical buy entry point now.\nBABA's Fundamental Thesis: Rapidly Expanding Growth Drivers\nAnnual GMV. Data source: Company filings\nAnnual e-commerce revenue. Data source: Company filings\nBABA’s GMV grew from 1.68T yuan to 7.49T yuan in just a matter of 7 years, which represented a CAGR of 23.8%, a truly amazing growth rate. We also saw its GMV growth being converted into revenue growth as its China commerce revenue grew from 7.67B yuan to 473.68B yuan, at a CAGR of 51% over the last 10 years. While its international footprint remains considerably smaller, it still grew at a CAGR of 30.42% over the last 10 years, which was by no means slow.\nEven though China’s e-commerce market is expected to grow considerably slower at a CAGR of 12.4% over the next three years, from 13.8T yuan, equivalent to $2.16T in 2021 to 19.6T yuan,equivalent to $3.06T by 2024, the massive size of the market still offers tremendous upside potential for BABA and its closest competitors to grow into.\nE-commerce revenue in the U.S. Data source: Statista\nWhen we take things into clearer perspective by comparing China’s growth rate and size of its market to that of the U.S. e-commerce market, we could see the huge differences in their sizes and growth rates as the U.S. e-commerce market is only expected to grow at a CAGR of 4.67% from 2021 to 2025, which is significantly slower than China’s 12.4%. In addition, the U.S. market is also expected to reach about $563B in total revenue, which is 18% of what the China market is expected to be worth by then.\nPeers EBIT Margin and Projected EBIT Margin. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nEven though Alibaba has been facing increased competitive pressures from its fast growing key competitors: JD.com(NASDAQ:JD)and Pinduoduo(NASDAQ:PDD), BABA has already been operating a much more profitable business (both EBIT and FCF), and is expected to continue delivering strong profitability moving forward, which should give the company tremendous flexibility to compete head on with JD and PDD in its quest to extend its leadership. Investors may observe that BABA’s EBIT margin was affected by the one-off administrative penalty of $2,782M that was reflected in its SG&A, and therefore skewed its EBIT margin to the downside.\nOne important move was the company’s decision to further its investment in the Community Marketplace, which is PDD’s main e-commerce strategy that saw PDD gain a total of 823M AAC in its latest quarter as compared to BABA’s 891M AAC. PDD’s AAC growth is truly phenomenal considering it had only 100M AAC in Q2’C17 as compared to BABA’s 466M AAC in the same period.\nTherefore, the momentum of growth has surely swung over to the Community Marketplace segment and BABA would need to pull out its big guns (which it has) to compete for dominance with PDD and JD.\nMarket size of community group buying in China. Data source: iiMedia Research\nEven though the expected total market size of 102B yuan by 2022 represented only about 21.5% of BABA’s FY 21 China commerce revenue, the expected rapid CAGR of 44.22% over 3 years from 2019 to 2022 cannot be missed by BABA. Although the market is still relatively small, BABA cannot allow the current leader in this market: PDD to so easily dominate and gobble up the early high growth rates at the ignorance of everyone else. Certainly BABA must compete and fight for its place in this segment and strive for early leadership to prevent PDD from extending its lead.\nPDD profitability metrics & revenue growth forecast. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nWe could observe from the above chart that PDD is expected to continue growing its revenue rapidly over the next few years, even though they are expected to normalize subsequently. More importantly, PDD is also expected to increasingly improve its EBIT and FCF profitability moving forward. This shows that the Community Marketplace segment is an highly important growth driver that BABA must use its strength to exploit in order to deny PDD’s claim to undisputed leadership so early on in the game.\nChina public cloud spending. Source:China Internet Watch; Canalys\nSize of China public cloud market. Data source: CAICT; Sina.com.cn\nBABA has a 40% share in China’s public cloud market, way ahead of its key competitors. However, it’s important to note that despite this leadership, BABA is still in heavy investment mode to continue growing its market share as China’s public cloud market is expected to grow from 26.48B yuan in 2017 to 230.74B yuan by 2023, which would represent a CAGR of 43.4%, an incredibly stellar growth rate. This is especially clear when we compare China’s growth rate to the worldwide growth rate (see below) as public cloud spending worldwide is expected to grow from $145B in 2017 to $397B by 2022, that would represent a CAGR of 22.3%.\nWorldwide public cloud spending. Data source: Gartner\nWorldwide public cloud market share. Source:CnTechPost; Gartner\nTherefore, I don’t find it surprising that Ali Cloud has continued to extend its lead over Alphabet’s(NASDAQ:GOOGL)(NASDAQ:GOOG)GCP with a market share of 9.5% in 2020. While AMZN remains the clear leader in the market, its market share has been coming down considerably as public cloud spending continues to expand, indicating that there is a huge potential for growth for multiple players to exist. With BABA’s leadership in the rapidly expanding Chinese market, I’m increasingly bullish on the future profit and FCF contribution from this segment to BABA’s performance over time. Although BABA’s cloud segment has not been EBIT profitable yet (FY 21 EBIT margin: -15%, FY 20 EBIT margin: -17.5%), it’s also useful to note that GCP has also not been profitable for Alphabet as well (FY 20 EBIT margin: -42.9%, FY 19 EBIT margin: -52%). Therefore, we need to give BABA some time to scale up its cloud services in APAC and in China where it is expected to have stronger leadership to allow it to grow faster and investors should expect this to be a highly profitable segment over time.\nBABA's Valuations Look Highly Compelling\nNTM TEV / EBIT 3Y range.\nEV / Fwd EBIT and EV / Fwd Rev trend. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nWhen we consider BABA's TEV / EBIT historical range, where the 3Y mean read 33.54x, BABA’s EV / Fwd EBIT trend certainly imply a hugely undervalued stock as BABA is still expected to grow its revenue and operating profits rapidly. However, as we wanted to obtain greater clarity over how its counterparts are also valued, we thought it would be useful if we value BABA’s EBIT over a set of benchmark companies that is presented below.\nPeers EV / EBIT Valuations. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nBy using a blend of historical and forward EBIT, we could see that BABA’s EV / EBIT really looks undervalued when compared to the median value of the set of observed values from the benchmark companies. We derived a fair value range for BABA of $294.98 at the midpoint of the range, that represented a potential upside of 40.5% based on the current stock price of $210.\nRisks to Assumptions\nNow, it’s obviously baffling to watch how Mr. Market has decided to discount BABA to such an extent as if the company has lost all its key sources of growth, when in fact there is still so much potential upside coming from its commerce segment, the new marketplace initiatives and its growing Ali Cloud segment, among others. The main realistic reason that we identified for the stock's underperformance would simply be regulatory risk. We think investors should acknowledge that this risk is very real and at times huge Chinese companies have found themselves to be subjected to extra scrutiny (which is nothing new in fact) by the Chinese government. What’s critical here is that the Chinese government seemingly has significant clout over the behavior and actions of their tech behemoths that at times may be largely unpredictable. The market certainly hates unpredictability and therefore they may have significantly discounted BABA as a result of that. If investors are not able to handle uncertainty with regard to potentially unpredictable regulatory actions and their aftermath, then BABA may not be appropriate for you. However, if you believe that this is just a blip in BABA’s long journey, then you would surely find BABA's valuations extremely attractive right now, coupled with a long term mindset.\nWrapping It All Up\nAlibaba has continued to deliver solid results that demonstrated the strong capability of the company to execute well. As the company continues to operate within a market with so many growth drivers that are expected to drive the company’s future growth, investors should find the current valuations highly attractive.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BABA":0.9,"09988":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1405,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":166815302,"gmtCreate":1624001594006,"gmtModify":1634024305477,"author":{"id":"3584675408304225","authorId":"3584675408304225","name":"Eunicejy","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c144e20102ed34f20125d43447272526","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584675408304225","idStr":"3584675408304225"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Okay","listText":"Okay","text":"Okay","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/166815302","repostId":"1175693382","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1175693382","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623978463,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1175693382?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-18 09:07","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Alibaba Stock: The Bottoming Process Looks To Be Forming Already<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股票：触底过程似乎已经形成</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1175693382","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Alibaba is probably the most undervalued growth stock right now.The company’s multiple growth drivers within a rapidly expanding market made its valuations look even more baffling.The short term technical picture may be turning bullish with a potential double bottom price action signal.When we take things into clearer perspective by comparing China’s growth rate and size of its market to that of the U.S. e-commerce market, we could see the huge differences in their sizes and growth rates as the ","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Alibaba is probably the most undervalued growth stock right now.</li>  <li>The company’s multiple growth drivers within a rapidly expanding market made its valuations look even more baffling.</li>  <li>The short term technical picture may be turning bullish with a potential double bottom price action signal.</li>  <li>We discuss the company’s multiple growth drivers and let investors judge for themselves.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/05e63c77d4f3f3dc3d618e43044638bb\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\"><span>Yongyuan Dai/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>阿里巴巴-SW可能是目前最被低估的成长型股票。</li><li>该公司在快速扩张的市场中的多种增长动力使其估值看起来更加令人困惑。</li><li>短期技术面可能会转向看涨，并出现潜在的双底价格走势信号。</li><li>我们讨论公司的多种增长动力，让投资者自行判断。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>戴永源/iStock未通过Getty Images发布</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Technical Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>技术论文</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7febf6ed056b0e3bc038321cdaad9b1c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"782\"><span>Source: TradingView</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：TradingView</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Alibaba’s&nbsp;stock price has endured a terrible 8 months ever since its Ant Financial IPO was pulled in early Nov 20, with the stock languishing in the doldrums 34% off its high. When considering the health of its long term uptrend, it’s clear that BABA has a relatively strong uptrend bias and has generally been well supported along its key 50W MA. The only other time in the last 4 years that it lost its key 50W MA support level was during the 2018 bear market where BABA dropped about 40%, but was still well supported above the important 200W MA, which we usually consider as the “last line of defense”. Right now BABA is somewhat facing a similar situation again: down 34%, lost the 50W MA, but looks to be well supported above the 200W MA. In addition to that, one interesting observation in price action analysis may lead price action traders/investors to be especially bullish: a potential double bottom formation. BABA's price is seemingly going through a double bottom like it did during the 2018 bear market before it rallied strongly thereafter. As a result, BABA’s current level may offer a possible technical buy entry point now.</p><p><blockquote>自11月20日早些时候蚂蚁金服IPO被取消以来，阿里巴巴-SW的股价已经经历了可怕的8个月，股价低迷，较高点下跌了34%。当考虑其长期上升趋势的健康状况时，很明显BABA具有相对较强的上升趋势偏差，并且通常在其关键的50W MA上得到良好支撑。过去4年中唯一一次失去关键的50W MA支撑位是在2018年熊市期间，BABA下跌了约40%，但仍在重要的200W MA上方得到良好支撑，我们通常认为这是“最后一道防线”。现在阿里巴巴再次面临类似的情况：下跌34%，失去了50W MA，但看起来在200W MA上方得到了很好的支撑。除此之外，价格行为分析中的一个有趣观察可能会导致价格行为交易者/投资者特别看涨：潜在的双底形成。阿里巴巴的价格似乎正在经历双底，就像2018年熊市期间一样，随后强劲反弹。因此，阿里巴巴目前的水平现在可能提供一个可能的技术买入切入点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BABA's Fundamental Thesis: Rapidly Expanding Growth Drivers</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴的基本论点：快速扩大增长动力</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eba49f5881708929949c30628eedc5d4\" tg-width=\"934\" tg-height=\"578\"><span>Annual GMV. Data source: Company filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>年度GMV。数据来源：公司备案</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a4d6c4ed3e2402f5af52b2dea8bab411\" tg-width=\"836\" tg-height=\"517\"><span>Annual e-commerce revenue. Data source: Company filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>年电子商务收入。数据来源：公司备案</span></p></blockquote></p><p> BABA’s GMV grew from 1.68T yuan to 7.49T yuan in just a matter of 7 years, which represented a CAGR of 23.8%, a truly amazing growth rate. We also saw its GMV growth being converted into revenue growth as its China commerce revenue grew from 7.67B yuan to 473.68B yuan, at a CAGR of 51% over the last 10 years. While its international footprint remains considerably smaller, it still grew at a CAGR of 30.42% over the last 10 years, which was by no means slow.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴的GMV在短短7年内从1.68 T元增长到7.49 T元，复合年增长率为23.8%，增速确实惊人。我们还看到其GMV增长转化为收入增长，其中国商业收入从76.7亿元增长至4736.8亿元，过去10年复合年增长率为51%。虽然其国际足迹仍然相当小，但在过去10年中，其复合年增长率仍为30.42%，这一点也不慢。</blockquote></p><p> Even though China’s e-commerce market is expected to grow considerably slower at a CAGR of 12.4% over the next three years, from 13.8T yuan, equivalent to $2.16T in 2021 to 19.6T yuan,equivalent to $3.06T by 2024, the massive size of the market still offers tremendous upside potential for BABA and its closest competitors to grow into.</p><p><blockquote>尽管预计未来三年中国电子商务市场的增长速度将大幅放缓，复合年增长率为12.4%，从2021年的13.8 T元（相当于2.16 T美元）增长到2024年的19.6 T元（相当于3.06 T美元），但庞大的市场规模仍然为阿里巴巴及其最接近的竞争对手提供了巨大的增长潜力。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ffe2dee43f267e1d1399c68e3ca60f36\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>E-commerce revenue in the U.S. Data source: Statista</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>美国电子商务收入数据来源：Statista</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When we take things into clearer perspective by comparing China’s growth rate and size of its market to that of the U.S. e-commerce market, we could see the huge differences in their sizes and growth rates as the U.S. e-commerce market is only expected to grow at a CAGR of 4.67% from 2021 to 2025, which is significantly slower than China’s 12.4%. In addition, the U.S. market is also expected to reach about $563B in total revenue, which is 18% of what the China market is expected to be worth by then.</p><p><blockquote>当我们通过比较中国与美国电子商务市场的增长率和规模来更清晰地看待事物时，我们可以看到它们的规模和增长率的巨大差异，因为美国电子商务市场预计仅增长2021年至2025年的复合年增长率为4.67%，明显低于中国的12.4%。此外，美国市场的总收入预计也将达到约5630亿美元，是届时中国市场预计价值的18%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d5a8d0d8a6a2dcdf667a6f33c6c9771\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"702\"><span>Peers EBIT Margin and Projected EBIT Margin. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>同行息税前利润率和预计息税前利润率。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Even though Alibaba has been facing increased competitive pressures from its fast growing key competitors: JD.com(NASDAQ:JD)and Pinduoduo(NASDAQ:PDD), BABA has already been operating a much more profitable business (both EBIT and FCF), and is expected to continue delivering strong profitability moving forward, which should give the company tremendous flexibility to compete head on with JD and PDD in its quest to extend its leadership. Investors may observe that BABA’s EBIT margin was affected by the one-off administrative penalty of $2,782M that was reflected in its SG&amp;A, and therefore skewed its EBIT margin to the downside.</p><p><blockquote>尽管阿里巴巴-SW一直面临着来自快速增长的主要竞争对手京东（纳斯达克：JD）和拼多多（纳斯达克：PDD）的越来越大的竞争压力，但阿里巴巴已经在经营利润更高的业务（息税前利润和自由现金流），并且预计未来将继续实现强劲的盈利能力，这将使该公司具有巨大的灵活性，可以与京东和拼多多正面竞争，以扩大其领导地位。投资者可能会注意到，阿里巴巴的息税前利润率受到其SG&amp;A中反映的27.82亿美元一次性行政罚款的影响，因此其息税前利润率出现下行。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> One important move was the company’s decision to further its investment in the Community Marketplace, which is PDD’s main e-commerce strategy that saw PDD gain a total of&nbsp;823M AAC&nbsp;in its latest quarter as compared to BABA’s 891M AAC. PDD’s AAC growth is truly phenomenal considering it had only&nbsp;100M AAC in Q2’C17&nbsp;as compared to BABA’s 466M AAC in the same period.</p><p><blockquote>一项重要举措是该公司决定进一步投资社区市场，这是拼多多的主要电子商务战略，拼多多在最近一个季度总共获得了8.23亿AAC，而阿里巴巴的AAC为8.91亿。与阿里巴巴同期的4.66亿AAC相比，拼多多的AAC在2017年第二季度仅有1亿AAC，其AAC增长确实是惊人的。</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, the momentum of growth has surely swung over to the Community Marketplace segment and BABA would need to pull out its big guns (which it has) to compete for dominance with PDD and JD.</p><p><blockquote>因此，增长势头肯定已经转向社区市场领域，阿里巴巴需要拿出重磅炸弹（它已经拥有）来与拼多多和京东争夺主导地位。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b83b69b08b1f4b11a26393c8e6eead5\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Market size of community group buying in China. Data source: iiMedia Research</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国社区团购的市场规模。数据来源：艾媒咨询</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Even though the expected total market size of 102B yuan by 2022 represented only about 21.5% of BABA’s FY 21 China commerce revenue, the expected rapid CAGR of 44.22% over 3 years from 2019 to 2022 cannot be missed by BABA. Although the market is still relatively small, BABA cannot allow the current leader in this market: PDD to so easily dominate and gobble up the early high growth rates at the ignorance of everyone else. Certainly BABA must compete and fight for its place in this segment and strive for early leadership to prevent PDD from extending its lead.</p><p><blockquote>尽管预计到2022年1020亿元的总市场规模仅占阿里巴巴21财年中国商业收入的21.5%左右，但阿里巴巴不能错过2019年至2022年3年内44.22%的预期快速复合年增长率。虽然市场还比较小，但BABA不能让这个市场目前的龙头：PDD在旁人无知的情况下，如此轻易地称霸并吞噬早期的高增长率。当然，阿里巴巴必须竞争并争取自己在这一领域的地位，并争取早期领导地位，以防止拼多多扩大领先优势。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b97b2b4a8a182dc9846d8fb7e4039877\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"770\"><span>PDD profitability metrics &amp; revenue growth forecast. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>PDD盈利指标和收入增长预测。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> We could observe from the above chart that PDD is expected to continue growing its revenue rapidly over the next few years, even though they are expected to normalize subsequently. More importantly, PDD is also expected to increasingly improve its EBIT and FCF profitability moving forward. This shows that the Community Marketplace segment is an highly important growth driver that BABA must use its strength to exploit in order to deny PDD’s claim to undisputed leadership so early on in the game.</p><p><blockquote>我们可以从上图中观察到，拼多多的收入预计将在未来几年继续快速增长，尽管预计随后将正常化。更重要的是，拼多多预计未来的息税前利润和自由现金流盈利能力也将日益提高。这表明社区市场细分市场是一个非常重要的增长动力，阿里巴巴必须利用其优势来利用它，以否认拼多多在游戏早期声称的无可争议的领导地位。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3aadc32155b4108426a1a982e3b5b1c2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\"><span>China public cloud spending. Source:China Internet Watch; Canalys</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国公有云支出。来源：中国互联网观察；Canalys</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c1538b9f7bdc8d6d35a72d9acf8ecbc\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Size of China public cloud market. Data source: CAICT; Sina.com.cn</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国公有云市场规模。数据来源：中国信通技术；新浪网</span></p></blockquote></p><p> BABA has a 40% share in China’s public cloud market, way ahead of its key competitors. However, it’s important to note that despite this leadership, BABA is still in heavy investment mode to continue growing its market share as China’s public cloud market is expected to grow from 26.48B yuan in 2017 to 230.74B yuan by 2023, which would represent a CAGR of 43.4%, an incredibly stellar growth rate. This is especially clear when we compare China’s growth rate to the worldwide growth rate (see below) as public cloud spending worldwide is expected to grow from $145B in 2017 to $397B by 2022, that would represent a CAGR of 22.3%.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴在中国公有云市场拥有40%的份额，远远领先于其主要竞争对手。然而，值得注意的是，尽管处于领先地位，阿里巴巴仍处于大力投资模式，以继续扩大其市场份额，因为中国公共云市场预计将从2017年的264.8亿元增长到2023年的2307.4亿元，这将代表CAGR 43.4%，这是一个令人难以置信的出色增长率。当我们将中国的增长率与全球增长率（见下文）进行比较时，这一点尤其明显，因为全球公共云支出预计将从2017年的1450亿美元增长到2022年的3970亿美元，这将代表22.3%的CAGR。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06198c569504bc303c34563041dfb294\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Worldwide public cloud spending. Data source: Gartner</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>全球公共云支出。数据来源：Gartner</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8482037f60575f964053ab732496bee3\" tg-width=\"1176\" tg-height=\"700\"><span>Worldwide public cloud market share. Source:CnTechPost; Gartner</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>全球公共云市场份额。来源：CnTechPost；Gartner</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Therefore, I don’t find it surprising that Ali Cloud has continued to extend its lead over Alphabet’s(NASDAQ:GOOGL)(NASDAQ:GOOG)GCP with a market share of 9.5% in 2020. While AMZN remains the clear leader in the market, its market share has been coming down considerably as public cloud spending continues to expand, indicating that there is a huge potential for growth for multiple players to exist. With BABA’s leadership in the rapidly expanding Chinese market, I’m increasingly bullish on the future profit and FCF contribution from this segment to BABA’s performance over time. Although BABA’s cloud segment has not been EBIT profitable yet (FY 21 EBIT margin: -15%, FY 20 EBIT margin: -17.5%), it’s also useful to note that GCP has also not been profitable for Alphabet as well (FY 20 EBIT margin: -42.9%, FY 19 EBIT margin: -52%). Therefore, we need to give BABA some time to scale up its cloud services in APAC and in China where it is expected to have stronger leadership to allow it to grow faster and investors should expect this to be a highly profitable segment over time.</p><p><blockquote>因此，阿里云在2020年以9.5%的市场份额继续扩大对Alphabet（纳斯达克：GOOGL）（纳斯达克：GOOG）GCP的领先优势，我并不觉得奇怪。虽然亚马逊仍然是市场上明显的领导者，但随着公共云支出的持续扩大，其市场份额一直在大幅下降，这表明多个参与者存在巨大的增长潜力。凭借阿里巴巴在快速扩张的中国市场的领导地位，我越来越看好该细分市场未来的利润和自由现金流对阿里巴巴业绩的贡献。尽管阿里巴巴的云部门尚未实现息税前利润（21财年息税前利润率：-15%，20财年息税前利润率：-17.5%），但值得注意的是，Alphabet的GCP也尚未实现盈利（20财年息税前利润率：-42.9%，19财年息税前利润率：-52%）。因此，我们需要给阿里巴巴一些时间来扩大其在亚太地区和中国的云服务规模，预计阿里巴巴将拥有更强大的领导力，使其能够更快地增长，投资者应该预计随着时间的推移，这将是一个高利润的细分市场。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BABA's Valuations Look Highly Compelling</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴的估值看起来非常引人注目</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62a087c4b3ef7efc2c5dde813e3b959d\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"600\"><span>NTM TEV / EBIT 3Y range.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>NTM TEV/EBIT 3Y范围。</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2605c0e5ad364a7a43929fef204595c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"687\"><span>EV / Fwd EBIT and EV / Fwd Rev trend. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>EV/Fwd息税前利润和EV/Fwd Rev趋势。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When we consider BABA's TEV / EBIT historical range, where the 3Y mean read 33.54x, BABA’s EV / Fwd EBIT trend certainly imply a hugely undervalued stock as BABA is still expected to grow its revenue and operating profits rapidly. However, as we wanted to obtain greater clarity over how its counterparts are also valued, we thought it would be useful if we value BABA’s EBIT over a set of benchmark companies that is presented below.</p><p><blockquote>当我们考虑阿里巴巴的TEV/EBIT历史范围（3年平均值为33.54倍）时，阿里巴巴的EV/Fwd EBIT趋势无疑意味着该股票被严重低估，因为预计阿里巴巴的收入和营业利润仍将快速增长。然而，由于我们希望更清楚地了解其同行的估值情况，我们认为如果我们对阿里巴巴的息税前利润进行估值，而不是下面介绍的一组基准公司，这将是有用的。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d27873e676dfb23c98d4a69aa5861e02\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"1117\"><span>Peers EV / EBIT Valuations. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>同行EV/EBIT估值。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> By using a blend of historical and forward EBIT, we could see that BABA’s EV / EBIT really looks undervalued when compared to the median value of the set of observed values from the benchmark companies. We derived a fair value range for BABA of $294.98 at the midpoint of the range, that represented a potential upside of 40.5% based on the current stock price of $210.</p><p><blockquote>通过混合使用历史和远期息税前利润，我们可以看到，与基准公司一组观察值的中值相比，阿里巴巴的EV/EBIT看起来确实被低估了。我们得出阿里巴巴的公允价值范围为294.98美元，位于该范围的中点，基于当前210美元的股价，这意味着40.5%的潜在上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks to Assumptions</b></p><p><blockquote><b>假设风险</b></blockquote></p><p> Now, it’s obviously baffling to watch how Mr. Market has decided to discount BABA to such an extent as if the company has lost all its key sources of growth, when in fact there is still so much potential upside coming from its commerce segment, the new marketplace initiatives and its growing Ali Cloud segment, among others. The main realistic reason that we identified for the stock's underperformance would simply be regulatory risk. We think investors should acknowledge that this risk is very real and at times huge Chinese companies have found themselves to be subjected to extra scrutiny (which is nothing new in fact) by the Chinese government. What’s critical here is that the Chinese government seemingly has significant clout over the behavior and actions of their tech behemoths that at times may be largely unpredictable. The market certainly hates unpredictability and therefore they may have significantly discounted BABA as a result of that. If investors are not able to handle uncertainty with regard to potentially unpredictable regulatory actions and their aftermath, then BABA may not be appropriate for you. However, if you believe that this is just a blip in BABA’s long journey, then you would surely find BABA's valuations extremely attractive right now, coupled with a long term mindset.</p><p><blockquote>现在，看着先生如何表现显然令人困惑。市场决定对阿里巴巴进行折扣，就好像该公司已经失去了所有关键的增长来源，而事实上，其商业部门、新的市场举措和不断增长的阿里云部门仍有很大的潜在上涨空间，其中。我们认为该股表现不佳的主要现实原因只是监管风险。我们认为投资者应该承认这种风险是非常真实的，有时大型中国公司会发现自己受到中国政府的额外审查（事实上这并不是什么新鲜事）。这里关键的是，中国政府似乎对其科技巨头的行为和行动拥有重大影响力，而这些影响力有时可能在很大程度上是不可预测的。市场当然讨厌不可预测性，因此他们可能会因此大幅折扣阿里巴巴。如果投资者无法应对潜在不可预测的监管行动及其后果的不确定性，那么阿里巴巴可能不适合您。然而，如果你认为这只是阿里巴巴漫长旅程中的一个短暂时刻，那么你肯定会发现阿里巴巴现在的估值极具吸引力，再加上长期思维。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wrapping It All Up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>把这一切包起来</b></blockquote></p><p> Alibaba has continued to deliver solid results that demonstrated the strong capability of the company to execute well. As the company continues to operate within a market with so many growth drivers that are expected to drive the company’s future growth, investors should find the current valuations highly attractive.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW继续取得稳健的业绩，展示了公司强大的执行能力。由于该公司继续在一个拥有如此多增长动力的市场中运营，预计将推动公司未来的增长，投资者应该会发现当前的估值非常有吸引力。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba Stock: The Bottoming Process Looks To Be Forming Already<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股票：触底过程似乎已经形成</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba Stock: The Bottoming Process Looks To Be Forming Already<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股票：触底过程似乎已经形成</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-18 09:07</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Alibaba is probably the most undervalued growth stock right now.</li>  <li>The company’s multiple growth drivers within a rapidly expanding market made its valuations look even more baffling.</li>  <li>The short term technical picture may be turning bullish with a potential double bottom price action signal.</li>  <li>We discuss the company’s multiple growth drivers and let investors judge for themselves.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/05e63c77d4f3f3dc3d618e43044638bb\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\"><span>Yongyuan Dai/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>阿里巴巴-SW可能是目前最被低估的成长型股票。</li><li>该公司在快速扩张的市场中的多种增长动力使其估值看起来更加令人困惑。</li><li>短期技术面可能会转向看涨，并出现潜在的双底价格走势信号。</li><li>我们讨论公司的多种增长动力，让投资者自行判断。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>戴永源/iStock未通过Getty Images发布</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Technical Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>技术论文</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7febf6ed056b0e3bc038321cdaad9b1c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"782\"><span>Source: TradingView</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：TradingView</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Alibaba’s&nbsp;stock price has endured a terrible 8 months ever since its Ant Financial IPO was pulled in early Nov 20, with the stock languishing in the doldrums 34% off its high. When considering the health of its long term uptrend, it’s clear that BABA has a relatively strong uptrend bias and has generally been well supported along its key 50W MA. The only other time in the last 4 years that it lost its key 50W MA support level was during the 2018 bear market where BABA dropped about 40%, but was still well supported above the important 200W MA, which we usually consider as the “last line of defense”. Right now BABA is somewhat facing a similar situation again: down 34%, lost the 50W MA, but looks to be well supported above the 200W MA. In addition to that, one interesting observation in price action analysis may lead price action traders/investors to be especially bullish: a potential double bottom formation. BABA's price is seemingly going through a double bottom like it did during the 2018 bear market before it rallied strongly thereafter. As a result, BABA’s current level may offer a possible technical buy entry point now.</p><p><blockquote>自11月20日早些时候蚂蚁金服IPO被取消以来，阿里巴巴-SW的股价已经经历了可怕的8个月，股价低迷，较高点下跌了34%。当考虑其长期上升趋势的健康状况时，很明显BABA具有相对较强的上升趋势偏差，并且通常在其关键的50W MA上得到良好支撑。过去4年中唯一一次失去关键的50W MA支撑位是在2018年熊市期间，BABA下跌了约40%，但仍在重要的200W MA上方得到良好支撑，我们通常认为这是“最后一道防线”。现在阿里巴巴再次面临类似的情况：下跌34%，失去了50W MA，但看起来在200W MA上方得到了很好的支撑。除此之外，价格行为分析中的一个有趣观察可能会导致价格行为交易者/投资者特别看涨：潜在的双底形成。阿里巴巴的价格似乎正在经历双底，就像2018年熊市期间一样，随后强劲反弹。因此，阿里巴巴目前的水平现在可能提供一个可能的技术买入切入点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BABA's Fundamental Thesis: Rapidly Expanding Growth Drivers</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴的基本论点：快速扩大增长动力</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eba49f5881708929949c30628eedc5d4\" tg-width=\"934\" tg-height=\"578\"><span>Annual GMV. Data source: Company filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>年度GMV。数据来源：公司备案</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a4d6c4ed3e2402f5af52b2dea8bab411\" tg-width=\"836\" tg-height=\"517\"><span>Annual e-commerce revenue. Data source: Company filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>年电子商务收入。数据来源：公司备案</span></p></blockquote></p><p> BABA’s GMV grew from 1.68T yuan to 7.49T yuan in just a matter of 7 years, which represented a CAGR of 23.8%, a truly amazing growth rate. We also saw its GMV growth being converted into revenue growth as its China commerce revenue grew from 7.67B yuan to 473.68B yuan, at a CAGR of 51% over the last 10 years. While its international footprint remains considerably smaller, it still grew at a CAGR of 30.42% over the last 10 years, which was by no means slow.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴的GMV在短短7年内从1.68 T元增长到7.49 T元，复合年增长率为23.8%，增速确实惊人。我们还看到其GMV增长转化为收入增长，其中国商业收入从76.7亿元增长至4736.8亿元，过去10年复合年增长率为51%。虽然其国际足迹仍然相当小，但在过去10年中，其复合年增长率仍为30.42%，这一点也不慢。</blockquote></p><p> Even though China’s e-commerce market is expected to grow considerably slower at a CAGR of 12.4% over the next three years, from 13.8T yuan, equivalent to $2.16T in 2021 to 19.6T yuan,equivalent to $3.06T by 2024, the massive size of the market still offers tremendous upside potential for BABA and its closest competitors to grow into.</p><p><blockquote>尽管预计未来三年中国电子商务市场的增长速度将大幅放缓，复合年增长率为12.4%，从2021年的13.8 T元（相当于2.16 T美元）增长到2024年的19.6 T元（相当于3.06 T美元），但庞大的市场规模仍然为阿里巴巴及其最接近的竞争对手提供了巨大的增长潜力。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ffe2dee43f267e1d1399c68e3ca60f36\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>E-commerce revenue in the U.S. Data source: Statista</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>美国电子商务收入数据来源：Statista</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When we take things into clearer perspective by comparing China’s growth rate and size of its market to that of the U.S. e-commerce market, we could see the huge differences in their sizes and growth rates as the U.S. e-commerce market is only expected to grow at a CAGR of 4.67% from 2021 to 2025, which is significantly slower than China’s 12.4%. In addition, the U.S. market is also expected to reach about $563B in total revenue, which is 18% of what the China market is expected to be worth by then.</p><p><blockquote>当我们通过比较中国与美国电子商务市场的增长率和规模来更清晰地看待事物时，我们可以看到它们的规模和增长率的巨大差异，因为美国电子商务市场预计仅增长2021年至2025年的复合年增长率为4.67%，明显低于中国的12.4%。此外，美国市场的总收入预计也将达到约5630亿美元，是届时中国市场预计价值的18%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d5a8d0d8a6a2dcdf667a6f33c6c9771\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"702\"><span>Peers EBIT Margin and Projected EBIT Margin. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>同行息税前利润率和预计息税前利润率。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Even though Alibaba has been facing increased competitive pressures from its fast growing key competitors: JD.com(NASDAQ:JD)and Pinduoduo(NASDAQ:PDD), BABA has already been operating a much more profitable business (both EBIT and FCF), and is expected to continue delivering strong profitability moving forward, which should give the company tremendous flexibility to compete head on with JD and PDD in its quest to extend its leadership. Investors may observe that BABA’s EBIT margin was affected by the one-off administrative penalty of $2,782M that was reflected in its SG&amp;A, and therefore skewed its EBIT margin to the downside.</p><p><blockquote>尽管阿里巴巴-SW一直面临着来自快速增长的主要竞争对手京东（纳斯达克：JD）和拼多多（纳斯达克：PDD）的越来越大的竞争压力，但阿里巴巴已经在经营利润更高的业务（息税前利润和自由现金流），并且预计未来将继续实现强劲的盈利能力，这将使该公司具有巨大的灵活性，可以与京东和拼多多正面竞争，以扩大其领导地位。投资者可能会注意到，阿里巴巴的息税前利润率受到其SG&amp;A中反映的27.82亿美元一次性行政罚款的影响，因此其息税前利润率出现下行。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> One important move was the company’s decision to further its investment in the Community Marketplace, which is PDD’s main e-commerce strategy that saw PDD gain a total of&nbsp;823M AAC&nbsp;in its latest quarter as compared to BABA’s 891M AAC. PDD’s AAC growth is truly phenomenal considering it had only&nbsp;100M AAC in Q2’C17&nbsp;as compared to BABA’s 466M AAC in the same period.</p><p><blockquote>一项重要举措是该公司决定进一步投资社区市场，这是拼多多的主要电子商务战略，拼多多在最近一个季度总共获得了8.23亿AAC，而阿里巴巴的AAC为8.91亿。与阿里巴巴同期的4.66亿AAC相比，拼多多的AAC在2017年第二季度仅有1亿AAC，其AAC增长确实是惊人的。</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, the momentum of growth has surely swung over to the Community Marketplace segment and BABA would need to pull out its big guns (which it has) to compete for dominance with PDD and JD.</p><p><blockquote>因此，增长势头肯定已经转向社区市场领域，阿里巴巴需要拿出重磅炸弹（它已经拥有）来与拼多多和京东争夺主导地位。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b83b69b08b1f4b11a26393c8e6eead5\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Market size of community group buying in China. Data source: iiMedia Research</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国社区团购的市场规模。数据来源：艾媒咨询</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Even though the expected total market size of 102B yuan by 2022 represented only about 21.5% of BABA’s FY 21 China commerce revenue, the expected rapid CAGR of 44.22% over 3 years from 2019 to 2022 cannot be missed by BABA. Although the market is still relatively small, BABA cannot allow the current leader in this market: PDD to so easily dominate and gobble up the early high growth rates at the ignorance of everyone else. Certainly BABA must compete and fight for its place in this segment and strive for early leadership to prevent PDD from extending its lead.</p><p><blockquote>尽管预计到2022年1020亿元的总市场规模仅占阿里巴巴21财年中国商业收入的21.5%左右，但阿里巴巴不能错过2019年至2022年3年内44.22%的预期快速复合年增长率。虽然市场还比较小，但BABA不能让这个市场目前的龙头：PDD在旁人无知的情况下，如此轻易地称霸并吞噬早期的高增长率。当然，阿里巴巴必须竞争并争取自己在这一领域的地位，并争取早期领导地位，以防止拼多多扩大领先优势。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b97b2b4a8a182dc9846d8fb7e4039877\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"770\"><span>PDD profitability metrics &amp; revenue growth forecast. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>PDD盈利指标和收入增长预测。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> We could observe from the above chart that PDD is expected to continue growing its revenue rapidly over the next few years, even though they are expected to normalize subsequently. More importantly, PDD is also expected to increasingly improve its EBIT and FCF profitability moving forward. This shows that the Community Marketplace segment is an highly important growth driver that BABA must use its strength to exploit in order to deny PDD’s claim to undisputed leadership so early on in the game.</p><p><blockquote>我们可以从上图中观察到，拼多多的收入预计将在未来几年继续快速增长，尽管预计随后将正常化。更重要的是，拼多多预计未来的息税前利润和自由现金流盈利能力也将日益提高。这表明社区市场细分市场是一个非常重要的增长动力，阿里巴巴必须利用其优势来利用它，以否认拼多多在游戏早期声称的无可争议的领导地位。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3aadc32155b4108426a1a982e3b5b1c2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\"><span>China public cloud spending. Source:China Internet Watch; Canalys</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国公有云支出。来源：中国互联网观察；Canalys</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c1538b9f7bdc8d6d35a72d9acf8ecbc\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Size of China public cloud market. Data source: CAICT; Sina.com.cn</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国公有云市场规模。数据来源：中国信通技术；新浪网</span></p></blockquote></p><p> BABA has a 40% share in China’s public cloud market, way ahead of its key competitors. However, it’s important to note that despite this leadership, BABA is still in heavy investment mode to continue growing its market share as China’s public cloud market is expected to grow from 26.48B yuan in 2017 to 230.74B yuan by 2023, which would represent a CAGR of 43.4%, an incredibly stellar growth rate. This is especially clear when we compare China’s growth rate to the worldwide growth rate (see below) as public cloud spending worldwide is expected to grow from $145B in 2017 to $397B by 2022, that would represent a CAGR of 22.3%.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴在中国公有云市场拥有40%的份额，远远领先于其主要竞争对手。然而，值得注意的是，尽管处于领先地位，阿里巴巴仍处于大力投资模式，以继续扩大其市场份额，因为中国公共云市场预计将从2017年的264.8亿元增长到2023年的2307.4亿元，这将代表CAGR 43.4%，这是一个令人难以置信的出色增长率。当我们将中国的增长率与全球增长率（见下文）进行比较时，这一点尤其明显，因为全球公共云支出预计将从2017年的1450亿美元增长到2022年的3970亿美元，这将代表22.3%的CAGR。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06198c569504bc303c34563041dfb294\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Worldwide public cloud spending. Data source: Gartner</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>全球公共云支出。数据来源：Gartner</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8482037f60575f964053ab732496bee3\" tg-width=\"1176\" tg-height=\"700\"><span>Worldwide public cloud market share. Source:CnTechPost; Gartner</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>全球公共云市场份额。来源：CnTechPost；Gartner</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Therefore, I don’t find it surprising that Ali Cloud has continued to extend its lead over Alphabet’s(NASDAQ:GOOGL)(NASDAQ:GOOG)GCP with a market share of 9.5% in 2020. While AMZN remains the clear leader in the market, its market share has been coming down considerably as public cloud spending continues to expand, indicating that there is a huge potential for growth for multiple players to exist. With BABA’s leadership in the rapidly expanding Chinese market, I’m increasingly bullish on the future profit and FCF contribution from this segment to BABA’s performance over time. Although BABA’s cloud segment has not been EBIT profitable yet (FY 21 EBIT margin: -15%, FY 20 EBIT margin: -17.5%), it’s also useful to note that GCP has also not been profitable for Alphabet as well (FY 20 EBIT margin: -42.9%, FY 19 EBIT margin: -52%). Therefore, we need to give BABA some time to scale up its cloud services in APAC and in China where it is expected to have stronger leadership to allow it to grow faster and investors should expect this to be a highly profitable segment over time.</p><p><blockquote>因此，阿里云在2020年以9.5%的市场份额继续扩大对Alphabet（纳斯达克：GOOGL）（纳斯达克：GOOG）GCP的领先优势，我并不觉得奇怪。虽然亚马逊仍然是市场上明显的领导者，但随着公共云支出的持续扩大，其市场份额一直在大幅下降，这表明多个参与者存在巨大的增长潜力。凭借阿里巴巴在快速扩张的中国市场的领导地位，我越来越看好该细分市场未来的利润和自由现金流对阿里巴巴业绩的贡献。尽管阿里巴巴的云部门尚未实现息税前利润（21财年息税前利润率：-15%，20财年息税前利润率：-17.5%），但值得注意的是，Alphabet的GCP也尚未实现盈利（20财年息税前利润率：-42.9%，19财年息税前利润率：-52%）。因此，我们需要给阿里巴巴一些时间来扩大其在亚太地区和中国的云服务规模，预计阿里巴巴将拥有更强大的领导力，使其能够更快地增长，投资者应该预计随着时间的推移，这将是一个高利润的细分市场。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BABA's Valuations Look Highly Compelling</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴的估值看起来非常引人注目</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62a087c4b3ef7efc2c5dde813e3b959d\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"600\"><span>NTM TEV / EBIT 3Y range.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>NTM TEV/EBIT 3Y范围。</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2605c0e5ad364a7a43929fef204595c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"687\"><span>EV / Fwd EBIT and EV / Fwd Rev trend. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>EV/Fwd息税前利润和EV/Fwd Rev趋势。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When we consider BABA's TEV / EBIT historical range, where the 3Y mean read 33.54x, BABA’s EV / Fwd EBIT trend certainly imply a hugely undervalued stock as BABA is still expected to grow its revenue and operating profits rapidly. However, as we wanted to obtain greater clarity over how its counterparts are also valued, we thought it would be useful if we value BABA’s EBIT over a set of benchmark companies that is presented below.</p><p><blockquote>当我们考虑阿里巴巴的TEV/EBIT历史范围（3年平均值为33.54倍）时，阿里巴巴的EV/Fwd EBIT趋势无疑意味着该股票被严重低估，因为预计阿里巴巴的收入和营业利润仍将快速增长。然而，由于我们希望更清楚地了解其同行的估值情况，我们认为如果我们对阿里巴巴的息税前利润进行估值，而不是下面介绍的一组基准公司，这将是有用的。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d27873e676dfb23c98d4a69aa5861e02\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"1117\"><span>Peers EV / EBIT Valuations. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>同行EV/EBIT估值。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> By using a blend of historical and forward EBIT, we could see that BABA’s EV / EBIT really looks undervalued when compared to the median value of the set of observed values from the benchmark companies. We derived a fair value range for BABA of $294.98 at the midpoint of the range, that represented a potential upside of 40.5% based on the current stock price of $210.</p><p><blockquote>通过混合使用历史和远期息税前利润，我们可以看到，与基准公司一组观察值的中值相比，阿里巴巴的EV/EBIT看起来确实被低估了。我们得出阿里巴巴的公允价值范围为294.98美元，位于该范围的中点，基于当前210美元的股价，这意味着40.5%的潜在上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks to Assumptions</b></p><p><blockquote><b>假设风险</b></blockquote></p><p> Now, it’s obviously baffling to watch how Mr. Market has decided to discount BABA to such an extent as if the company has lost all its key sources of growth, when in fact there is still so much potential upside coming from its commerce segment, the new marketplace initiatives and its growing Ali Cloud segment, among others. The main realistic reason that we identified for the stock's underperformance would simply be regulatory risk. We think investors should acknowledge that this risk is very real and at times huge Chinese companies have found themselves to be subjected to extra scrutiny (which is nothing new in fact) by the Chinese government. What’s critical here is that the Chinese government seemingly has significant clout over the behavior and actions of their tech behemoths that at times may be largely unpredictable. The market certainly hates unpredictability and therefore they may have significantly discounted BABA as a result of that. If investors are not able to handle uncertainty with regard to potentially unpredictable regulatory actions and their aftermath, then BABA may not be appropriate for you. However, if you believe that this is just a blip in BABA’s long journey, then you would surely find BABA's valuations extremely attractive right now, coupled with a long term mindset.</p><p><blockquote>现在，看着先生如何表现显然令人困惑。市场决定对阿里巴巴进行折扣，就好像该公司已经失去了所有关键的增长来源，而事实上，其商业部门、新的市场举措和不断增长的阿里云部门仍有很大的潜在上涨空间，其中。我们认为该股表现不佳的主要现实原因只是监管风险。我们认为投资者应该承认这种风险是非常真实的，有时大型中国公司会发现自己受到中国政府的额外审查（事实上这并不是什么新鲜事）。这里关键的是，中国政府似乎对其科技巨头的行为和行动拥有重大影响力，而这些影响力有时可能在很大程度上是不可预测的。市场当然讨厌不可预测性，因此他们可能会因此大幅折扣阿里巴巴。如果投资者无法应对潜在不可预测的监管行动及其后果的不确定性，那么阿里巴巴可能不适合您。然而，如果你认为这只是阿里巴巴漫长旅程中的一个短暂时刻，那么你肯定会发现阿里巴巴现在的估值极具吸引力，再加上长期思维。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wrapping It All Up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>把这一切包起来</b></blockquote></p><p> Alibaba has continued to deliver solid results that demonstrated the strong capability of the company to execute well. As the company continues to operate within a market with so many growth drivers that are expected to drive the company’s future growth, investors should find the current valuations highly attractive.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW继续取得稳健的业绩，展示了公司强大的执行能力。由于该公司继续在一个拥有如此多增长动力的市场中运营，预计将推动公司未来的增长，投资者应该会发现当前的估值非常有吸引力。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435297-alibaba-stock-bottoming-process-forming-buy-now\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴","09988":"阿里巴巴-W"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435297-alibaba-stock-bottoming-process-forming-buy-now","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1175693382","content_text":"Summary\n\nAlibaba is probably the most undervalued growth stock right now.\nThe company’s multiple growth drivers within a rapidly expanding market made its valuations look even more baffling.\nThe short term technical picture may be turning bullish with a potential double bottom price action signal.\nWe discuss the company’s multiple growth drivers and let investors judge for themselves.\n\nYongyuan Dai/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images\nThe Technical Thesis\nSource: TradingView\nAlibaba’s stock price has endured a terrible 8 months ever since its Ant Financial IPO was pulled in early Nov 20, with the stock languishing in the doldrums 34% off its high. When considering the health of its long term uptrend, it’s clear that BABA has a relatively strong uptrend bias and has generally been well supported along its key 50W MA. The only other time in the last 4 years that it lost its key 50W MA support level was during the 2018 bear market where BABA dropped about 40%, but was still well supported above the important 200W MA, which we usually consider as the “last line of defense”. Right now BABA is somewhat facing a similar situation again: down 34%, lost the 50W MA, but looks to be well supported above the 200W MA. In addition to that, one interesting observation in price action analysis may lead price action traders/investors to be especially bullish: a potential double bottom formation. BABA's price is seemingly going through a double bottom like it did during the 2018 bear market before it rallied strongly thereafter. As a result, BABA’s current level may offer a possible technical buy entry point now.\nBABA's Fundamental Thesis: Rapidly Expanding Growth Drivers\nAnnual GMV. Data source: Company filings\nAnnual e-commerce revenue. Data source: Company filings\nBABA’s GMV grew from 1.68T yuan to 7.49T yuan in just a matter of 7 years, which represented a CAGR of 23.8%, a truly amazing growth rate. We also saw its GMV growth being converted into revenue growth as its China commerce revenue grew from 7.67B yuan to 473.68B yuan, at a CAGR of 51% over the last 10 years. While its international footprint remains considerably smaller, it still grew at a CAGR of 30.42% over the last 10 years, which was by no means slow.\nEven though China’s e-commerce market is expected to grow considerably slower at a CAGR of 12.4% over the next three years, from 13.8T yuan, equivalent to $2.16T in 2021 to 19.6T yuan,equivalent to $3.06T by 2024, the massive size of the market still offers tremendous upside potential for BABA and its closest competitors to grow into.\nE-commerce revenue in the U.S. Data source: Statista\nWhen we take things into clearer perspective by comparing China’s growth rate and size of its market to that of the U.S. e-commerce market, we could see the huge differences in their sizes and growth rates as the U.S. e-commerce market is only expected to grow at a CAGR of 4.67% from 2021 to 2025, which is significantly slower than China’s 12.4%. In addition, the U.S. market is also expected to reach about $563B in total revenue, which is 18% of what the China market is expected to be worth by then.\nPeers EBIT Margin and Projected EBIT Margin. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nEven though Alibaba has been facing increased competitive pressures from its fast growing key competitors: JD.com(NASDAQ:JD)and Pinduoduo(NASDAQ:PDD), BABA has already been operating a much more profitable business (both EBIT and FCF), and is expected to continue delivering strong profitability moving forward, which should give the company tremendous flexibility to compete head on with JD and PDD in its quest to extend its leadership. Investors may observe that BABA’s EBIT margin was affected by the one-off administrative penalty of $2,782M that was reflected in its SG&A, and therefore skewed its EBIT margin to the downside.\nOne important move was the company’s decision to further its investment in the Community Marketplace, which is PDD’s main e-commerce strategy that saw PDD gain a total of 823M AAC in its latest quarter as compared to BABA’s 891M AAC. PDD’s AAC growth is truly phenomenal considering it had only 100M AAC in Q2’C17 as compared to BABA’s 466M AAC in the same period.\nTherefore, the momentum of growth has surely swung over to the Community Marketplace segment and BABA would need to pull out its big guns (which it has) to compete for dominance with PDD and JD.\nMarket size of community group buying in China. Data source: iiMedia Research\nEven though the expected total market size of 102B yuan by 2022 represented only about 21.5% of BABA’s FY 21 China commerce revenue, the expected rapid CAGR of 44.22% over 3 years from 2019 to 2022 cannot be missed by BABA. Although the market is still relatively small, BABA cannot allow the current leader in this market: PDD to so easily dominate and gobble up the early high growth rates at the ignorance of everyone else. Certainly BABA must compete and fight for its place in this segment and strive for early leadership to prevent PDD from extending its lead.\nPDD profitability metrics & revenue growth forecast. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nWe could observe from the above chart that PDD is expected to continue growing its revenue rapidly over the next few years, even though they are expected to normalize subsequently. More importantly, PDD is also expected to increasingly improve its EBIT and FCF profitability moving forward. This shows that the Community Marketplace segment is an highly important growth driver that BABA must use its strength to exploit in order to deny PDD’s claim to undisputed leadership so early on in the game.\nChina public cloud spending. Source:China Internet Watch; Canalys\nSize of China public cloud market. Data source: CAICT; Sina.com.cn\nBABA has a 40% share in China’s public cloud market, way ahead of its key competitors. However, it’s important to note that despite this leadership, BABA is still in heavy investment mode to continue growing its market share as China’s public cloud market is expected to grow from 26.48B yuan in 2017 to 230.74B yuan by 2023, which would represent a CAGR of 43.4%, an incredibly stellar growth rate. This is especially clear when we compare China’s growth rate to the worldwide growth rate (see below) as public cloud spending worldwide is expected to grow from $145B in 2017 to $397B by 2022, that would represent a CAGR of 22.3%.\nWorldwide public cloud spending. Data source: Gartner\nWorldwide public cloud market share. Source:CnTechPost; Gartner\nTherefore, I don’t find it surprising that Ali Cloud has continued to extend its lead over Alphabet’s(NASDAQ:GOOGL)(NASDAQ:GOOG)GCP with a market share of 9.5% in 2020. While AMZN remains the clear leader in the market, its market share has been coming down considerably as public cloud spending continues to expand, indicating that there is a huge potential for growth for multiple players to exist. With BABA’s leadership in the rapidly expanding Chinese market, I’m increasingly bullish on the future profit and FCF contribution from this segment to BABA’s performance over time. Although BABA’s cloud segment has not been EBIT profitable yet (FY 21 EBIT margin: -15%, FY 20 EBIT margin: -17.5%), it’s also useful to note that GCP has also not been profitable for Alphabet as well (FY 20 EBIT margin: -42.9%, FY 19 EBIT margin: -52%). Therefore, we need to give BABA some time to scale up its cloud services in APAC and in China where it is expected to have stronger leadership to allow it to grow faster and investors should expect this to be a highly profitable segment over time.\nBABA's Valuations Look Highly Compelling\nNTM TEV / EBIT 3Y range.\nEV / Fwd EBIT and EV / Fwd Rev trend. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nWhen we consider BABA's TEV / EBIT historical range, where the 3Y mean read 33.54x, BABA’s EV / Fwd EBIT trend certainly imply a hugely undervalued stock as BABA is still expected to grow its revenue and operating profits rapidly. However, as we wanted to obtain greater clarity over how its counterparts are also valued, we thought it would be useful if we value BABA’s EBIT over a set of benchmark companies that is presented below.\nPeers EV / EBIT Valuations. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nBy using a blend of historical and forward EBIT, we could see that BABA’s EV / EBIT really looks undervalued when compared to the median value of the set of observed values from the benchmark companies. We derived a fair value range for BABA of $294.98 at the midpoint of the range, that represented a potential upside of 40.5% based on the current stock price of $210.\nRisks to Assumptions\nNow, it’s obviously baffling to watch how Mr. Market has decided to discount BABA to such an extent as if the company has lost all its key sources of growth, when in fact there is still so much potential upside coming from its commerce segment, the new marketplace initiatives and its growing Ali Cloud segment, among others. The main realistic reason that we identified for the stock's underperformance would simply be regulatory risk. We think investors should acknowledge that this risk is very real and at times huge Chinese companies have found themselves to be subjected to extra scrutiny (which is nothing new in fact) by the Chinese government. What’s critical here is that the Chinese government seemingly has significant clout over the behavior and actions of their tech behemoths that at times may be largely unpredictable. The market certainly hates unpredictability and therefore they may have significantly discounted BABA as a result of that. If investors are not able to handle uncertainty with regard to potentially unpredictable regulatory actions and their aftermath, then BABA may not be appropriate for you. However, if you believe that this is just a blip in BABA’s long journey, then you would surely find BABA's valuations extremely attractive right now, coupled with a long term mindset.\nWrapping It All Up\nAlibaba has continued to deliver solid results that demonstrated the strong capability of the company to execute well. As the company continues to operate within a market with so many growth drivers that are expected to drive the company’s future growth, investors should find the current valuations highly attractive.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BABA":0.9,"09988":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1405,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":177253343,"gmtCreate":1627227131082,"gmtModify":1633767037873,"author":{"id":"3584675408304225","authorId":"3584675408304225","name":"Eunicejy","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c144e20102ed34f20125d43447272526","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584675408304225","idStr":"3584675408304225"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/177253343","repostId":"2153981075","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1637,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":177253014,"gmtCreate":1627227104638,"gmtModify":1633767038096,"author":{"id":"3584675408304225","authorId":"3584675408304225","name":"Eunicejy","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c144e20102ed34f20125d43447272526","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584675408304225","idStr":"3584675408304225"},"themes":[],"htmlText":".","listText":".","text":".","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/177253014","repostId":"2153388319","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2153388319","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1627088419,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2153388319?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-24 09:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Here are Wall Street's favorite big tech stocks as the Nasdaq closes in on another milestone<blockquote>随着纳斯达克接近另一个里程碑，以下是华尔街最受欢迎的大型科技股</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2153388319","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"As the Nasdaq Composite Index nears 15,000, analysts see upside for Activision Blizzard, Netflix and","content":"<p>As the Nasdaq Composite Index nears 15,000, analysts see upside for Activision Blizzard, Netflix and Baidu, among others</p><p><blockquote>随着纳斯达克综合指数接近15,000点，分析师认为动视暴雪、Netflix和百度等公司还有上涨空间</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4c007522d36ee30fcaeab059a92a280e\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"485\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Some 88% of analysts rate Activision Blizzard \"buy,\" and their consensus price target is 27% above the stock's closing price July 23. (Getty Images)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>约88%的分析师将动视暴雪评级为“买入”，他们的一致目标价比该股7月23日的收盘价高出27%。（盖蒂图片社）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> All three of the major U.S. stock indexes hit records Friday, and the Nasdaq Composite Index might reach its next milestone -- 15,000 -- next week.</p><p><blockquote>美国三大股指周五均创下历史新高，纳斯达克综合指数下周可能会达到下一个里程碑——15,000点。</blockquote></p><p> Below is a list of stocks whose gains have powered the Nasdaq Composite Index's gains this year, along with another list of analysts' favorite stocks among the Nasdaq-100 Index .</p><p><blockquote>以下是今年以来推动纳斯达克综合指数上涨的股票列表，以及纳斯达克100指数中分析师最喜欢的股票列表。</blockquote></p><p> Here's a summary of Friday's action:</p><p><blockquote>以下是周五行动的摘要：</blockquote></p><p> (Note: All price changes in this article exclude dividends.)</p><p><blockquote>（注：本文中的所有价格变化均不包括股息。）</blockquote></p><p> <b>Nasdaq-100 winners for 2021</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2021年纳斯达克100指数获奖者</b></blockquote></p><p> The Nasdaq-100 Index is made up of the 100 largest non-financial companies by market capitalization in the full Nasdaq Composite Index. It is reconstituted each year in December. Both indexes are weighted by market cap, and the Nasdaq-100's market cap of $17.21 trillion is about 73% of the full index. So most of the full Nasdaq's performance is represented by the Nasdaq-100, which is tracked by the Invesco QQQ Trust <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QQQ\">$(QQQ)$</a>.</p><p><blockquote>纳斯达克100指数由整个纳斯达克综合指数中市值最大的100家非金融公司组成。它在每年12月重组。两个指数均按市值加权，纳斯达克100指数17.21万亿美元的市值约占整个指数的73%。因此，整个纳斯达克的大部分表现都由景顺QQQ信托追踪的纳斯达克100指数代表<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QQQ\">$(QQQ)$</a>.</blockquote></p><p> Here are the 10 stocks among the Nasdaq-100 that have risen the most during 2021 through July 23:</p><p><blockquote>以下是2021年至7月23日期间纳斯达克100指数中涨幅最大的10只股票：</blockquote></p><p> <table>  <tbody>   <tr>    <td>Company</td>    <td>Price change -- 2021</td>    <td>Price change -- July 23</td>    <td>52-week high</td>    <td>Date of 52-week high</td>    <td>Decline from 52-week high</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Moderna Inc. MRNA</td>    <td>233.9%</td>    <td>7.8%</td>    <td>$349.45</td>    <td>07/23/2021</td>    <td>-0.2%</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Applied Materials Inc. AMAT</td>    <td>60.4%</td>    <td>0.9%</td>    <td>$146.00</td>    <td>04/05/2021</td>    <td>-5.2%</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Alphabet Inc. Class C GOOG</td>    <td>57.3%</td>    <td>3.4%</td>    <td>$2,776.17</td>    <td>07/23/2021</td>    <td>-0.7%</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>ASML Holding NV ADR ASML</td>    <td>53.4%</td>    <td>2.5%</td>    <td>$756.78</td>    <td>07/23/2021</td>    <td>-1.1%</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Alphabet Inc. Class A GOOGL</td>    <td>51.8%</td>    <td>3.6%</td>    <td>$2,667.98</td>    <td>07/23/2021</td>    <td>-0.3%</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Nvidia Corp.</td>    <td>49.8%</td>    <td>-0.2%</td>    <td>$208.75</td>    <td>07/07/2021</td>    <td>-6.3%</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>EBay Inc. EBAY</td>    <td>46.3%</td>    <td>2.1%</td>    <td>$73.77</td>    <td>07/23/2021</td>    <td>-0.3%</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Intuit Inc. INTU</td>    <td>39.1%</td>    <td>1.4%</td>    <td>$532.33</td>    <td>07/23/2021</td>    <td>-0.7%</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Idexx Laboratories Inc. IDXX</td>    <td>38.8%</td>    <td>1.6%</td>    <td>$696.35</td>    <td>07/23/2021</td>    <td>-0.4%</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>DocuSign Inc. DOCU</td>    <td>38.8%</td>    <td>0.2%</td>    <td>$310.51</td>    <td>07/22/2021</td>    <td>-0.6%</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>CDW Corp. CDW</td>    <td>37.3%</td>    <td>2.0%</td>    <td>$184.58</td>    <td>04/16/2021</td>    <td>-2.0%</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Source: FactSet</td>    <td></td>    <td></td>    <td></td>    <td></td>    <td></td>   </tr>  </tbody> </table> Actually, there are 11 stocks on the list because the index includes Alphabet Inc.'s Class C <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOGL\">$(GOOGL)$</a> and Class A (GOOGL) shares.</p><p><blockquote><table><tbody><tr><td>公司</td><td>价格变动--2021</td><td>价格变化——7月23日</td><td>52周高点</td><td>52周高点日期</td><td>较52周高点下跌</td></tr><tr><td>莫德纳公司MRNA</td><td>233.9%</td><td>7.8%</td><td>$349.45</td><td>07/23/2021</td><td>-0.2%</td></tr><tr><td>应用材料公司AMAT</td><td>60.4%</td><td>0.9%</td><td>$146.00</td><td>04/05/2021</td><td>-5.2%</td></tr><tr><td>Alphabet公司C类GOOG</td><td>57.3%</td><td>3.4%</td><td>$2,776.17</td><td>07/23/2021</td><td>-0.7%</td></tr><tr><td>ASML控股NV ADR ASML</td><td>53.4%</td><td>2.5%</td><td>$756.78</td><td>07/23/2021</td><td>-1.1%</td></tr><tr><td>Alphabet A级GOOGL</td><td>51.8%</td><td>3.6%</td><td>$2,667.98</td><td>07/23/2021</td><td>-0.3%</td></tr><tr><td>英伟达公司。</td><td>49.8%</td><td>-0.2%</td><td>$208.75</td><td>07/07/2021</td><td>-6.3%</td></tr><tr><td>EBay公司EBay</td><td>46.3%</td><td>2.1%</td><td>$73.77</td><td>07/23/2021</td><td>-0.3%</td></tr><tr><td>Intuit公司INTU</td><td>39.1%</td><td>1.4%</td><td>$532.33</td><td>07/23/2021</td><td>-0.7%</td></tr><tr><td>Idexx实验室公司IDXX</td><td>38.8%</td><td>1.6%</td><td>$696.35</td><td>07/23/2021</td><td>-0.4%</td></tr><tr><td>DocuSign Inc.DOCU</td><td>38.8%</td><td>0.2%</td><td>$310.51</td><td>07/22/2021</td><td>-0.6%</td></tr><tr><td>CDW公司CDW</td><td>37.3%</td><td>2.0%</td><td>$184.58</td><td>04/16/2021</td><td>-2.0%</td></tr><tr><td>来源：FactSet</td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td></tr></tbody></table>事实上，名单上有11只股票，因为该指数包括Alphabet公司的C类股票<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOGL\">$（GOOGL）$</a>和A类（GOOGL）股份。</blockquote></p><p> Seven of those stocks hit 52-week highs July 23.</p><p><blockquote>其中7只股票于7月23日触及52周高点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wall Street's favorite stocks in the Nasdaq-100</b></p><p><blockquote><b>纳斯达克100指数中华尔街最喜欢的股票</b></blockquote></p><p> Here are the 10 stocks in the Nasdaq-100 with \"buy\" or equivalent ratings among at least 75% of analysts polled by FactSet, with the most 12-month upside potential implied by consensus price targets:</p><p><blockquote>以下是纳斯达克100指数中至少75%的分析师给予“买入”或同等评级的10只股票，共识价格目标暗示了最大的12个月上涨潜力：</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <table>  <tbody>   <tr>    <td>Company</td>    <td>Share \"buy\" ratings</td>    <td>Closing price -- July 23</td>    <td>Consensus price target</td>    <td>Implied 12-month upside potential</td>    <td>Price change -- July 23</td>    <td>Price change -- 2021</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Baidu Inc. ADR Class A BIDU</td>    <td>86%</td>    <td>$172.66</td>    <td>$311.92</td>    <td>81%</td>    <td>-3.3%</td>    <td>-20.2%</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Micron Technology Inc. MU</td>    <td>88%</td>    <td>$75.94</td>    <td>$121.25</td>    <td>60%</td>    <td>0.5%</td>    <td>1.0%</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>JD.com Inc. ADR Class A JD</td>    <td>91%</td>    <td>$72.29</td>    <td>$98.15</td>    <td>36%</td>    <td>-4.8%</td>    <td>-17.8%</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>NetEase Inc. ADR</td>    <td>86%</td>    <td>$103.53</td>    <td>$134.54</td>    <td>30%</td>    <td>-8.0%</td>    <td>8.1%</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Vertex Pharmaceuticals Inc. VRTX</td>    <td>78%</td>    <td>$200.50</td>    <td>$259.71</td>    <td>30%</td>    <td>2.3%</td>    <td>-15.2%</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Microchip Technology Inc. MCHP</td>    <td>76%</td>    <td>$139.22</td>    <td>$177.14</td>    <td>27%</td>    <td>0.6%</td>    <td>0.8%</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Activision Blizzard Inc. ATVI</td>    <td>88%</td>    <td>$91.50</td>    <td>$116.09</td>    <td>27%</td>    <td>1.1%</td>    <td>-1.5%</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Fiserv Inc. FISV</td>    <td>85%</td>    <td>$111.79</td>    <td>$141.27</td>    <td>26%</td>    <td>1.6%</td>    <td>-1.8%</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MELI\">MercadoLibre</a> Inc. MELI</td>    <td>78%</td>    <td>$1,613.81</td>    <td>$2,021.37</td>    <td>25%</td>    <td>1.4%</td>    <td>-3.7%</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Netflix Inc. NFLX</td>    <td>78%</td>    <td>$515.41</td>    <td>$619.67</td>    <td>20%</td>    <td>0.7%</td>    <td>-4.7%</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Source: FactSet</td>    <td></td>    <td></td>    <td></td>    <td></td>    <td></td>    <td></td>   </tr>  </tbody> </table> Chinese stocks listed in the U.S. took a beating Friday, and you can see from the three on this list (Baidu Inc. (K3SD.SG), JD.com Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">$(JD)$</a> and NetEase Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTES\">$(NTES)$</a>) that this hasn't been a good year for the group. Therese Poletti explained why.</p><p><blockquote><table><tbody><tr><td>公司</td><td>分享“买入”评级</td><td>收盘价——7月23日</td><td>共识价格目标</td><td>隐含的12个月上涨潜力</td><td>价格变化——7月23日</td><td>价格变动--2021</td></tr><tr><td>百度ADR A类BIDU</td><td>86%</td><td>$172.66</td><td>$311.92</td><td>81%</td><td>-3.3%</td><td>-20.2%</td></tr><tr><td>美光科技公司MU</td><td>88%</td><td>$75.94</td><td>$121.25</td><td>60%</td><td>0.5%</td><td>1.0%</td></tr><tr><td>京东ADR A类JD</td><td>91%</td><td>$72.29</td><td>$98.15</td><td>36%</td><td>-4.8%</td><td>-17.8%</td></tr><tr><td>网易公司ADR</td><td>86%</td><td>$103.53</td><td>$134.54</td><td>30%</td><td>-8.0%</td><td>8.1%</td></tr><tr><td>Vertex制药公司VRTX</td><td>78%</td><td>$200.50</td><td>$259.71</td><td>30%</td><td>2.3%</td><td>-15.2%</td></tr><tr><td>微芯科技公司MCHP</td><td>76%</td><td>$139.22</td><td>$177.14</td><td>27%</td><td>0.6%</td><td>0.8%</td></tr><tr><td>动视暴雪公司ATVI</td><td>88%</td><td>$91.50</td><td>$116.09</td><td>27%</td><td>1.1%</td><td>-1.5%</td></tr><tr><td>Fiserv公司FISV</td><td>85%</td><td>$111.79</td><td>$141.27</td><td>26%</td><td>1.6%</td><td>-1.8%</td></tr><tr><td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MELI\">自由市场</a>公司MELI</td><td>78%</td><td>$1,613.81</td><td>$2,021.37</td><td>25%</td><td>1.4%</td><td>-3.7%</td></tr><tr><td>Netflix公司NFLX</td><td>78%</td><td>$515.41</td><td>$619.67</td><td>20%</td><td>0.7%</td><td>-4.7%</td></tr><tr><td>来源：FactSet</td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td></tr></tbody></table>在美国上市的中国股票周五遭受重创，你可以从这份名单上的三只股票（百度公司（K3SD.SG）、京东公司）中看到。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">$（京东）$</a>和网易公司。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTES\">$（NTES）$</a>）今年对该集团来说并不是一个好年景。特里萨·波莱蒂解释了原因。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Here are Wall Street's favorite big tech stocks as the Nasdaq closes in on another milestone<blockquote>随着纳斯达克接近另一个里程碑，以下是华尔街最受欢迎的大型科技股</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHere are Wall Street's favorite big tech stocks as the Nasdaq closes in on another milestone<blockquote>随着纳斯达克接近另一个里程碑，以下是华尔街最受欢迎的大型科技股</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-24 09:00</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>As the Nasdaq Composite Index nears 15,000, analysts see upside for Activision Blizzard, Netflix and Baidu, among others</p><p><blockquote>随着纳斯达克综合指数接近15,000点，分析师认为动视暴雪、Netflix和百度等公司还有上涨空间</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4c007522d36ee30fcaeab059a92a280e\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"485\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Some 88% of analysts rate Activision Blizzard \"buy,\" and their consensus price target is 27% above the stock's closing price July 23. (Getty Images)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>约88%的分析师将动视暴雪评级为“买入”，他们的一致目标价比该股7月23日的收盘价高出27%。（盖蒂图片社）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> All three of the major U.S. stock indexes hit records Friday, and the Nasdaq Composite Index might reach its next milestone -- 15,000 -- next week.</p><p><blockquote>美国三大股指周五均创下历史新高，纳斯达克综合指数下周可能会达到下一个里程碑——15,000点。</blockquote></p><p> Below is a list of stocks whose gains have powered the Nasdaq Composite Index's gains this year, along with another list of analysts' favorite stocks among the Nasdaq-100 Index .</p><p><blockquote>以下是今年以来推动纳斯达克综合指数上涨的股票列表，以及纳斯达克100指数中分析师最喜欢的股票列表。</blockquote></p><p> Here's a summary of Friday's action:</p><p><blockquote>以下是周五行动的摘要：</blockquote></p><p> (Note: All price changes in this article exclude dividends.)</p><p><blockquote>（注：本文中的所有价格变化均不包括股息。）</blockquote></p><p> <b>Nasdaq-100 winners for 2021</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2021年纳斯达克100指数获奖者</b></blockquote></p><p> The Nasdaq-100 Index is made up of the 100 largest non-financial companies by market capitalization in the full Nasdaq Composite Index. It is reconstituted each year in December. Both indexes are weighted by market cap, and the Nasdaq-100's market cap of $17.21 trillion is about 73% of the full index. So most of the full Nasdaq's performance is represented by the Nasdaq-100, which is tracked by the Invesco QQQ Trust <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QQQ\">$(QQQ)$</a>.</p><p><blockquote>纳斯达克100指数由整个纳斯达克综合指数中市值最大的100家非金融公司组成。它在每年12月重组。两个指数均按市值加权，纳斯达克100指数17.21万亿美元的市值约占整个指数的73%。因此，整个纳斯达克的大部分表现都由景顺QQQ信托追踪的纳斯达克100指数代表<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QQQ\">$(QQQ)$</a>.</blockquote></p><p> Here are the 10 stocks among the Nasdaq-100 that have risen the most during 2021 through July 23:</p><p><blockquote>以下是2021年至7月23日期间纳斯达克100指数中涨幅最大的10只股票：</blockquote></p><p> <table>  <tbody>   <tr>    <td>Company</td>    <td>Price change -- 2021</td>    <td>Price change -- July 23</td>    <td>52-week high</td>    <td>Date of 52-week high</td>    <td>Decline from 52-week high</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Moderna Inc. MRNA</td>    <td>233.9%</td>    <td>7.8%</td>    <td>$349.45</td>    <td>07/23/2021</td>    <td>-0.2%</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Applied Materials Inc. AMAT</td>    <td>60.4%</td>    <td>0.9%</td>    <td>$146.00</td>    <td>04/05/2021</td>    <td>-5.2%</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Alphabet Inc. Class C GOOG</td>    <td>57.3%</td>    <td>3.4%</td>    <td>$2,776.17</td>    <td>07/23/2021</td>    <td>-0.7%</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>ASML Holding NV ADR ASML</td>    <td>53.4%</td>    <td>2.5%</td>    <td>$756.78</td>    <td>07/23/2021</td>    <td>-1.1%</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Alphabet Inc. Class A GOOGL</td>    <td>51.8%</td>    <td>3.6%</td>    <td>$2,667.98</td>    <td>07/23/2021</td>    <td>-0.3%</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Nvidia Corp.</td>    <td>49.8%</td>    <td>-0.2%</td>    <td>$208.75</td>    <td>07/07/2021</td>    <td>-6.3%</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>EBay Inc. EBAY</td>    <td>46.3%</td>    <td>2.1%</td>    <td>$73.77</td>    <td>07/23/2021</td>    <td>-0.3%</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Intuit Inc. INTU</td>    <td>39.1%</td>    <td>1.4%</td>    <td>$532.33</td>    <td>07/23/2021</td>    <td>-0.7%</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Idexx Laboratories Inc. IDXX</td>    <td>38.8%</td>    <td>1.6%</td>    <td>$696.35</td>    <td>07/23/2021</td>    <td>-0.4%</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>DocuSign Inc. DOCU</td>    <td>38.8%</td>    <td>0.2%</td>    <td>$310.51</td>    <td>07/22/2021</td>    <td>-0.6%</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>CDW Corp. CDW</td>    <td>37.3%</td>    <td>2.0%</td>    <td>$184.58</td>    <td>04/16/2021</td>    <td>-2.0%</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Source: FactSet</td>    <td></td>    <td></td>    <td></td>    <td></td>    <td></td>   </tr>  </tbody> </table> Actually, there are 11 stocks on the list because the index includes Alphabet Inc.'s Class C <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOGL\">$(GOOGL)$</a> and Class A (GOOGL) shares.</p><p><blockquote><table><tbody><tr><td>公司</td><td>价格变动--2021</td><td>价格变化——7月23日</td><td>52周高点</td><td>52周高点日期</td><td>较52周高点下跌</td></tr><tr><td>莫德纳公司MRNA</td><td>233.9%</td><td>7.8%</td><td>$349.45</td><td>07/23/2021</td><td>-0.2%</td></tr><tr><td>应用材料公司AMAT</td><td>60.4%</td><td>0.9%</td><td>$146.00</td><td>04/05/2021</td><td>-5.2%</td></tr><tr><td>Alphabet公司C类GOOG</td><td>57.3%</td><td>3.4%</td><td>$2,776.17</td><td>07/23/2021</td><td>-0.7%</td></tr><tr><td>ASML控股NV ADR ASML</td><td>53.4%</td><td>2.5%</td><td>$756.78</td><td>07/23/2021</td><td>-1.1%</td></tr><tr><td>Alphabet A级GOOGL</td><td>51.8%</td><td>3.6%</td><td>$2,667.98</td><td>07/23/2021</td><td>-0.3%</td></tr><tr><td>英伟达公司。</td><td>49.8%</td><td>-0.2%</td><td>$208.75</td><td>07/07/2021</td><td>-6.3%</td></tr><tr><td>EBay公司EBay</td><td>46.3%</td><td>2.1%</td><td>$73.77</td><td>07/23/2021</td><td>-0.3%</td></tr><tr><td>Intuit公司INTU</td><td>39.1%</td><td>1.4%</td><td>$532.33</td><td>07/23/2021</td><td>-0.7%</td></tr><tr><td>Idexx实验室公司IDXX</td><td>38.8%</td><td>1.6%</td><td>$696.35</td><td>07/23/2021</td><td>-0.4%</td></tr><tr><td>DocuSign Inc.DOCU</td><td>38.8%</td><td>0.2%</td><td>$310.51</td><td>07/22/2021</td><td>-0.6%</td></tr><tr><td>CDW公司CDW</td><td>37.3%</td><td>2.0%</td><td>$184.58</td><td>04/16/2021</td><td>-2.0%</td></tr><tr><td>来源：FactSet</td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td></tr></tbody></table>事实上，名单上有11只股票，因为该指数包括Alphabet公司的C类股票<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOGL\">$（GOOGL）$</a>和A类（GOOGL）股份。</blockquote></p><p> Seven of those stocks hit 52-week highs July 23.</p><p><blockquote>其中7只股票于7月23日触及52周高点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wall Street's favorite stocks in the Nasdaq-100</b></p><p><blockquote><b>纳斯达克100指数中华尔街最喜欢的股票</b></blockquote></p><p> Here are the 10 stocks in the Nasdaq-100 with \"buy\" or equivalent ratings among at least 75% of analysts polled by FactSet, with the most 12-month upside potential implied by consensus price targets:</p><p><blockquote>以下是纳斯达克100指数中至少75%的分析师给予“买入”或同等评级的10只股票，共识价格目标暗示了最大的12个月上涨潜力：</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <table>  <tbody>   <tr>    <td>Company</td>    <td>Share \"buy\" ratings</td>    <td>Closing price -- July 23</td>    <td>Consensus price target</td>    <td>Implied 12-month upside potential</td>    <td>Price change -- July 23</td>    <td>Price change -- 2021</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Baidu Inc. ADR Class A BIDU</td>    <td>86%</td>    <td>$172.66</td>    <td>$311.92</td>    <td>81%</td>    <td>-3.3%</td>    <td>-20.2%</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Micron Technology Inc. MU</td>    <td>88%</td>    <td>$75.94</td>    <td>$121.25</td>    <td>60%</td>    <td>0.5%</td>    <td>1.0%</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>JD.com Inc. ADR Class A JD</td>    <td>91%</td>    <td>$72.29</td>    <td>$98.15</td>    <td>36%</td>    <td>-4.8%</td>    <td>-17.8%</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>NetEase Inc. ADR</td>    <td>86%</td>    <td>$103.53</td>    <td>$134.54</td>    <td>30%</td>    <td>-8.0%</td>    <td>8.1%</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Vertex Pharmaceuticals Inc. VRTX</td>    <td>78%</td>    <td>$200.50</td>    <td>$259.71</td>    <td>30%</td>    <td>2.3%</td>    <td>-15.2%</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Microchip Technology Inc. MCHP</td>    <td>76%</td>    <td>$139.22</td>    <td>$177.14</td>    <td>27%</td>    <td>0.6%</td>    <td>0.8%</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Activision Blizzard Inc. ATVI</td>    <td>88%</td>    <td>$91.50</td>    <td>$116.09</td>    <td>27%</td>    <td>1.1%</td>    <td>-1.5%</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Fiserv Inc. FISV</td>    <td>85%</td>    <td>$111.79</td>    <td>$141.27</td>    <td>26%</td>    <td>1.6%</td>    <td>-1.8%</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MELI\">MercadoLibre</a> Inc. MELI</td>    <td>78%</td>    <td>$1,613.81</td>    <td>$2,021.37</td>    <td>25%</td>    <td>1.4%</td>    <td>-3.7%</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Netflix Inc. NFLX</td>    <td>78%</td>    <td>$515.41</td>    <td>$619.67</td>    <td>20%</td>    <td>0.7%</td>    <td>-4.7%</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Source: FactSet</td>    <td></td>    <td></td>    <td></td>    <td></td>    <td></td>    <td></td>   </tr>  </tbody> </table> Chinese stocks listed in the U.S. took a beating Friday, and you can see from the three on this list (Baidu Inc. (K3SD.SG), JD.com Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">$(JD)$</a> and NetEase Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTES\">$(NTES)$</a>) that this hasn't been a good year for the group. Therese Poletti explained why.</p><p><blockquote><table><tbody><tr><td>公司</td><td>分享“买入”评级</td><td>收盘价——7月23日</td><td>共识价格目标</td><td>隐含的12个月上涨潜力</td><td>价格变化——7月23日</td><td>价格变动--2021</td></tr><tr><td>百度ADR A类BIDU</td><td>86%</td><td>$172.66</td><td>$311.92</td><td>81%</td><td>-3.3%</td><td>-20.2%</td></tr><tr><td>美光科技公司MU</td><td>88%</td><td>$75.94</td><td>$121.25</td><td>60%</td><td>0.5%</td><td>1.0%</td></tr><tr><td>京东ADR A类JD</td><td>91%</td><td>$72.29</td><td>$98.15</td><td>36%</td><td>-4.8%</td><td>-17.8%</td></tr><tr><td>网易公司ADR</td><td>86%</td><td>$103.53</td><td>$134.54</td><td>30%</td><td>-8.0%</td><td>8.1%</td></tr><tr><td>Vertex制药公司VRTX</td><td>78%</td><td>$200.50</td><td>$259.71</td><td>30%</td><td>2.3%</td><td>-15.2%</td></tr><tr><td>微芯科技公司MCHP</td><td>76%</td><td>$139.22</td><td>$177.14</td><td>27%</td><td>0.6%</td><td>0.8%</td></tr><tr><td>动视暴雪公司ATVI</td><td>88%</td><td>$91.50</td><td>$116.09</td><td>27%</td><td>1.1%</td><td>-1.5%</td></tr><tr><td>Fiserv公司FISV</td><td>85%</td><td>$111.79</td><td>$141.27</td><td>26%</td><td>1.6%</td><td>-1.8%</td></tr><tr><td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MELI\">自由市场</a>公司MELI</td><td>78%</td><td>$1,613.81</td><td>$2,021.37</td><td>25%</td><td>1.4%</td><td>-3.7%</td></tr><tr><td>Netflix公司NFLX</td><td>78%</td><td>$515.41</td><td>$619.67</td><td>20%</td><td>0.7%</td><td>-4.7%</td></tr><tr><td>来源：FactSet</td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td></tr></tbody></table>在美国上市的中国股票周五遭受重创，你可以从这份名单上的三只股票（百度公司（K3SD.SG）、京东公司）中看到。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">$（京东）$</a>和网易公司。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTES\">$（NTES）$</a>）今年对该集团来说并不是一个好年景。特里萨·波莱蒂解释了原因。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/here-are-wall-streets-favorite-big-tech-stocks-as-the-nasdaq-closes-in-on-another-milestone-11627074982?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","NDAQ":"纳斯达克OMX交易所","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","QID":"两倍做空纳斯达克指数ETF-ProShares","MU":"美光科技","JD":"京东","BIDU":"百度","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","NFLX":"奈飞","PSQ":"做空纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","QLD":"2倍做多纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/here-are-wall-streets-favorite-big-tech-stocks-as-the-nasdaq-closes-in-on-another-milestone-11627074982?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2153388319","content_text":"As the Nasdaq Composite Index nears 15,000, analysts see upside for Activision Blizzard, Netflix and Baidu, among others\nSome 88% of analysts rate Activision Blizzard \"buy,\" and their consensus price target is 27% above the stock's closing price July 23. (Getty Images)\nAll three of the major U.S. stock indexes hit records Friday, and the Nasdaq Composite Index might reach its next milestone -- 15,000 -- next week.\nBelow is a list of stocks whose gains have powered the Nasdaq Composite Index's gains this year, along with another list of analysts' favorite stocks among the Nasdaq-100 Index .\nHere's a summary of Friday's action:\n(Note: All price changes in this article exclude dividends.)\nNasdaq-100 winners for 2021\nThe Nasdaq-100 Index is made up of the 100 largest non-financial companies by market capitalization in the full Nasdaq Composite Index. It is reconstituted each year in December. Both indexes are weighted by market cap, and the Nasdaq-100's market cap of $17.21 trillion is about 73% of the full index. So most of the full Nasdaq's performance is represented by the Nasdaq-100, which is tracked by the Invesco QQQ Trust $(QQQ)$.\nHere are the 10 stocks among the Nasdaq-100 that have risen the most during 2021 through July 23:\n\n\n\nCompany\nPrice change -- 2021\nPrice change -- July 23\n52-week high\nDate of 52-week high\nDecline from 52-week high\n\n\nModerna Inc. MRNA\n233.9%\n7.8%\n$349.45\n07/23/2021\n-0.2%\n\n\nApplied Materials Inc. AMAT\n60.4%\n0.9%\n$146.00\n04/05/2021\n-5.2%\n\n\nAlphabet Inc. Class C GOOG\n57.3%\n3.4%\n$2,776.17\n07/23/2021\n-0.7%\n\n\nASML Holding NV ADR ASML\n53.4%\n2.5%\n$756.78\n07/23/2021\n-1.1%\n\n\nAlphabet Inc. Class A GOOGL\n51.8%\n3.6%\n$2,667.98\n07/23/2021\n-0.3%\n\n\nNvidia Corp.\n49.8%\n-0.2%\n$208.75\n07/07/2021\n-6.3%\n\n\nEBay Inc. EBAY\n46.3%\n2.1%\n$73.77\n07/23/2021\n-0.3%\n\n\nIntuit Inc. INTU\n39.1%\n1.4%\n$532.33\n07/23/2021\n-0.7%\n\n\nIdexx Laboratories Inc. IDXX\n38.8%\n1.6%\n$696.35\n07/23/2021\n-0.4%\n\n\nDocuSign Inc. DOCU\n38.8%\n0.2%\n$310.51\n07/22/2021\n-0.6%\n\n\nCDW Corp. CDW\n37.3%\n2.0%\n$184.58\n04/16/2021\n-2.0%\n\n\nSource: FactSet\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nActually, there are 11 stocks on the list because the index includes Alphabet Inc.'s Class C $(GOOGL)$ and Class A (GOOGL) shares.\nSeven of those stocks hit 52-week highs July 23.\nWall Street's favorite stocks in the Nasdaq-100\nHere are the 10 stocks in the Nasdaq-100 with \"buy\" or equivalent ratings among at least 75% of analysts polled by FactSet, with the most 12-month upside potential implied by consensus price targets:\n\n\n\nCompany\nShare \"buy\" ratings\nClosing price -- July 23\nConsensus price target\nImplied 12-month upside potential\nPrice change -- July 23\nPrice change -- 2021\n\n\nBaidu Inc. ADR Class A BIDU\n86%\n$172.66\n$311.92\n81%\n-3.3%\n-20.2%\n\n\nMicron Technology Inc. MU\n88%\n$75.94\n$121.25\n60%\n0.5%\n1.0%\n\n\nJD.com Inc. ADR Class A JD\n91%\n$72.29\n$98.15\n36%\n-4.8%\n-17.8%\n\n\nNetEase Inc. ADR\n86%\n$103.53\n$134.54\n30%\n-8.0%\n8.1%\n\n\nVertex Pharmaceuticals Inc. VRTX\n78%\n$200.50\n$259.71\n30%\n2.3%\n-15.2%\n\n\nMicrochip Technology Inc. MCHP\n76%\n$139.22\n$177.14\n27%\n0.6%\n0.8%\n\n\nActivision Blizzard Inc. ATVI\n88%\n$91.50\n$116.09\n27%\n1.1%\n-1.5%\n\n\nFiserv Inc. FISV\n85%\n$111.79\n$141.27\n26%\n1.6%\n-1.8%\n\n\nMercadoLibre Inc. MELI\n78%\n$1,613.81\n$2,021.37\n25%\n1.4%\n-3.7%\n\n\nNetflix Inc. NFLX\n78%\n$515.41\n$619.67\n20%\n0.7%\n-4.7%\n\n\nSource: FactSet\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nChinese stocks listed in the U.S. took a beating Friday, and you can see from the three on this list (Baidu Inc. (K3SD.SG), JD.com Inc. $(JD)$ and NetEase Inc. $(NTES)$) that this hasn't been a good year for the group. Therese Poletti explained why.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,"MNQmain":0.9,"PSQ":0.9,"QID":0.9,"BIDU":0.9,"QQQ":0.9,"NFLX":0.9,"NQmain":0.9,"MU":0.9,"QLD":0.9,"NDAQ":0.9,"SQQQ":0.9,"TQQQ":0.9,"JD":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1061,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}