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65ad2341

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2021-08-16

Exactly

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2021-08-08

Ok

Tesla Stock: Headed to $1,200?<blockquote>特斯拉股票：将升至1,200美元？</blockquote>

2021-08-08

Oof

SEC Moves First DeFi Unregistered Securities Lawsuit<blockquote>SEC提起首起DeFi未注册证券诉讼</blockquote>

2021-08-05

Great

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2021-08-05

Nice

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-08-05

Nice

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2021-08-02

Awesome

NIO delivered 7,931 vehicles in July 2021, and rose 1% in premarket trading<blockquote>蔚来2021年7月交付7,931辆汽车，盘前交易上涨1%</blockquote>

2021-08-02

Wow

Square Agrees to Acquire Afterpay for $29 Billion in All-Stock Deal<blockquote>Square同意以290亿美元的全股票交易收购Afterpay</blockquote>

2021-08-02

Nah

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2021-08-02

Nah

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2021-08-02

Marcro outlook, totally not following the company product…. This same review can be used for many othercompanies lol

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2021-07-27

Oh no

Hot Chinese concept stocks resumed downward in premarket trading<blockquote>热门中概股盘前恢复下行</blockquote>

2021-07-27

Oh no

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-27

Nice

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-27

Wow

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2021-07-26

Accelerated

Forget Cloud, YouTube Will Lead Alphabet To Exponential Growth<blockquote>忘记云，YouTube将引领Alphabet实现指数级增长</blockquote>

2021-07-26

Again

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2021-07-26

LOL…

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2021-07-26

Gg

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2021-07-24

LOL

Hedge Funds Dump The Rally After Buying The Dip<blockquote>对冲基金逢低买入后抛售涨势</blockquote>

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09:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Stock: Headed to $1,200?<blockquote>特斯拉股票：将升至1,200美元？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1159872041","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Tesla deliveries more than doubled year over year in Q2.Rising demand for electric vehicles could benefit Tesla.Investors should exercise caution when it comes to analysts' price targets.It's been a wild year for Teslastock. When the year started, shares initially surged more than 20%. But the stock has now given up all of those gains, with a year-to-date return of negative 1%. This means the stock has significantly underperformed the S&P 500's 18% gain this year.In February,Piper Sandler analys","content":"<p><b>Key Points</b></p><p><blockquote><b>要点</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Tesla deliveries more than doubled year over year in Q2.</li>  <li>Rising demand for electric vehicles could benefit Tesla.</li>  <li>Investors should exercise caution when it comes to analysts' price targets.</li> </ul> It's been a wild year for&nbsp;<b>Tesla</b>(NASDAQ:TSLA)stock. When the year started, shares initially surged more than 20%. But the stock has now given up all of those gains, with a year-to-date return of negative 1%. This means the stock has significantly underperformed the&nbsp;<b>S&amp;P 500</b>'s 18% gain this year.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>特斯拉第二季度的交付量同比增长了一倍多。</li><li>电动汽车需求的增长可能有利于特斯拉。</li><li>投资者在考虑分析师的目标价时应保持谨慎。</li></ul>这是疯狂的一年<b>特斯拉</b>（纳斯达克：TSLA）股票。今年年初，股价最初飙升超过20%。但该股现在已经回吐了所有涨幅，今年迄今的回报率为负1%。这意味着该股的表现明显落后于<b>标普500</b>今年增长了18%。</blockquote></p><p> But one analyst thinks the stock could take off.</p><p><blockquote>但一位分析师认为该股可能会起飞。</blockquote></p><p> <b>\"We still really like this stock.\"</b></p><p><blockquote><b>“我们仍然非常喜欢这只股票。”</b></blockquote></p><p> In February,<b>Piper Sandler</b>&nbsp;analyst Alexander Pottermade a bold call, boosting his 12-month price target for thegrowth stockfrom $515 to $1,200. He said Tesla deliveries could increase from 500,000 vehicles in 2020 to nearly 900,000 this year. Of course, this projection was made before global supply shortages worsened. Nevertheless, Tesla is growing extremely rapidly. The company's second-quarter deliveries more than doubled compared to the year-ago quarter, rising to 201,304.</p><p><blockquote>2月份，<b>派珀·桑德勒</b>分析师Alexander Potter做出了大胆的看涨期权，将这只成长型股票的12个月目标价从515美元上调至1,200美元。他表示，特斯拉的交付量可能会从2020年的50万辆增加到今年的近90万辆。当然，这一预测是在全球供应短缺恶化之前做出的。尽管如此，特斯拉的增长速度极快。该公司第二季度的交付量比去年同期增长了一倍多，达到201,304辆。</blockquote></p><p> Following Tesla's second-quarter earnings release late last month, the analyst reiterated this target, noting that the company looks poised to benefit from market share gains, the monetization of the company's Autopilot software, and \"underappreciated opportunities\" in Tesla's energy business, which includes revenue from battery energy storage and solar energy generation products.</p><p><blockquote>继特斯拉上月底发布第二季度财报后，该分析师重申了这一目标，并指出该公司似乎有望受益于市场份额的增长、该公司自动驾驶软件的货币化以及特斯拉能源业务中“未被充分重视的机会”，其中包括电池储能和太阳能发电产品的收入。</blockquote></p><p> Further, Potter pointed to Tesla's strong second-quarter operating margin of 11%, which he expects will see incremental improvement from Tesla's recently launched Autopilot subscription.</p><p><blockquote>此外，波特指出，特斯拉第二季度营业利润率强劲，为11%，他预计特斯拉最近推出的Autopilot订阅将带来增量改善。</blockquote></p><p> On Aug. 3, Potter once again reiterated an overweight rating on the stock and a $1,200 price target, saying \"We still really like this stock.\" He pointed to growing demand for battery electric vehicles overall.</p><p><blockquote>8月3日，波特再次重申了跑赢大盘对该股的评级和1200美元的目标价，称“我们仍然非常喜欢这只股票”。他指出，总体而言，对纯电动汽车的需求不断增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>So what gives?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那么是什么给了？</b></blockquote></p><p> If shares could truly rise to $1,200, why do so many investors seem to think the stock is worth so much less (based on the stock's price of just under $700 at the time of this writing). After all, if $1,200 was generally viewed by investors as a likely outcome for Tesla stock within the next 12 months, shares would be trading significantly higher today.</p><p><blockquote>如果股价真的能涨到1200美元，为什么这么多投资者似乎认为该股的价值如此之低（基于撰写本文时该股的价格略低于700美元）。毕竟，如果投资者普遍认为特斯拉股票在未来12个月内可能达到1,200美元，那么今天的股价将大幅走高。</blockquote></p><p> The issue boils down to the stock's forward-looking valuation. With a price-to-earnings ratio of about 370 at the time of this writing, Tesla shares are largely priced for strong growth for years to come. Since the company's valuation is based largely on profits far into the future, slight variances in views for Tesla's future growth trajectory yield dramatically different assumptions about the stock's intrinsic value today.</p><p><blockquote>问题归结为股票的前瞻性估值。截至撰写本文时，特斯拉股价的市盈率约为370，很大程度上预计未来几年将强劲增长。由于该公司的估值很大程度上基于未来的利润，因此对特斯拉未来增长轨迹的看法略有差异，就会对该股目前的内在价值产生截然不同的假设。</blockquote></p><p> Investors, therefore, shouldn't be quick to buy Tesla stock just because one analyst has a high price target for shares. Still, Potter does notably have some good points about Tesla's strong business momentum. Even Tesla itself reiterated guidance for vehicle deliveries to grow more than 50% this year -- and that guidance was provided during a time that many companies around the world (including Tesla) are negatively impacted by supply chain shortages. Further, Tesla management noted in its second-quarter update that demand for its vehicles was at an all-time high going into Q3.</p><p><blockquote>因此，投资者不应仅仅因为一位分析师的股价目标较高就急于购买特斯拉股票。尽管如此，波特确实对特斯拉强劲的商业势头有一些优点。就连特斯拉本身也重申了今年汽车交付量增长50%以上的指导意见，而这一指导意见是在全球许多公司（包括特斯拉）都受到供应链短缺的负面影响之际提供的。此外，特斯拉管理层在第二季度更新中指出，进入第三季度，对其车辆的需求创历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> While a $1,200 price target for Tesla stock would be difficult to justify, shares may be trading low enough for investors to start a small position in the stock.</p><p><blockquote>虽然特斯拉股票1,200美元的目标价很难证明合理，但该股的交易价格可能足够低，投资者可以在该股建立少量头寸。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Stock: Headed to $1,200?<blockquote>特斯拉股票：将升至1,200美元？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Stock: Headed to $1,200?<blockquote>特斯拉股票：将升至1,200美元？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-08 09:13</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Key Points</b></p><p><blockquote><b>要点</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Tesla deliveries more than doubled year over year in Q2.</li>  <li>Rising demand for electric vehicles could benefit Tesla.</li>  <li>Investors should exercise caution when it comes to analysts' price targets.</li> </ul> It's been a wild year for&nbsp;<b>Tesla</b>(NASDAQ:TSLA)stock. When the year started, shares initially surged more than 20%. But the stock has now given up all of those gains, with a year-to-date return of negative 1%. This means the stock has significantly underperformed the&nbsp;<b>S&amp;P 500</b>'s 18% gain this year.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>特斯拉第二季度的交付量同比增长了一倍多。</li><li>电动汽车需求的增长可能有利于特斯拉。</li><li>投资者在考虑分析师的目标价时应保持谨慎。</li></ul>这是疯狂的一年<b>特斯拉</b>（纳斯达克：TSLA）股票。今年年初，股价最初飙升超过20%。但该股现在已经回吐了所有涨幅，今年迄今的回报率为负1%。这意味着该股的表现明显落后于<b>标普500</b>今年增长了18%。</blockquote></p><p> But one analyst thinks the stock could take off.</p><p><blockquote>但一位分析师认为该股可能会起飞。</blockquote></p><p> <b>\"We still really like this stock.\"</b></p><p><blockquote><b>“我们仍然非常喜欢这只股票。”</b></blockquote></p><p> In February,<b>Piper Sandler</b>&nbsp;analyst Alexander Pottermade a bold call, boosting his 12-month price target for thegrowth stockfrom $515 to $1,200. He said Tesla deliveries could increase from 500,000 vehicles in 2020 to nearly 900,000 this year. Of course, this projection was made before global supply shortages worsened. Nevertheless, Tesla is growing extremely rapidly. The company's second-quarter deliveries more than doubled compared to the year-ago quarter, rising to 201,304.</p><p><blockquote>2月份，<b>派珀·桑德勒</b>分析师Alexander Potter做出了大胆的看涨期权，将这只成长型股票的12个月目标价从515美元上调至1,200美元。他表示，特斯拉的交付量可能会从2020年的50万辆增加到今年的近90万辆。当然，这一预测是在全球供应短缺恶化之前做出的。尽管如此，特斯拉的增长速度极快。该公司第二季度的交付量比去年同期增长了一倍多，达到201,304辆。</blockquote></p><p> Following Tesla's second-quarter earnings release late last month, the analyst reiterated this target, noting that the company looks poised to benefit from market share gains, the monetization of the company's Autopilot software, and \"underappreciated opportunities\" in Tesla's energy business, which includes revenue from battery energy storage and solar energy generation products.</p><p><blockquote>继特斯拉上月底发布第二季度财报后，该分析师重申了这一目标，并指出该公司似乎有望受益于市场份额的增长、该公司自动驾驶软件的货币化以及特斯拉能源业务中“未被充分重视的机会”，其中包括电池储能和太阳能发电产品的收入。</blockquote></p><p> Further, Potter pointed to Tesla's strong second-quarter operating margin of 11%, which he expects will see incremental improvement from Tesla's recently launched Autopilot subscription.</p><p><blockquote>此外，波特指出，特斯拉第二季度营业利润率强劲，为11%，他预计特斯拉最近推出的Autopilot订阅将带来增量改善。</blockquote></p><p> On Aug. 3, Potter once again reiterated an overweight rating on the stock and a $1,200 price target, saying \"We still really like this stock.\" He pointed to growing demand for battery electric vehicles overall.</p><p><blockquote>8月3日，波特再次重申了跑赢大盘对该股的评级和1200美元的目标价，称“我们仍然非常喜欢这只股票”。他指出，总体而言，对纯电动汽车的需求不断增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>So what gives?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那么是什么给了？</b></blockquote></p><p> If shares could truly rise to $1,200, why do so many investors seem to think the stock is worth so much less (based on the stock's price of just under $700 at the time of this writing). After all, if $1,200 was generally viewed by investors as a likely outcome for Tesla stock within the next 12 months, shares would be trading significantly higher today.</p><p><blockquote>如果股价真的能涨到1200美元，为什么这么多投资者似乎认为该股的价值如此之低（基于撰写本文时该股的价格略低于700美元）。毕竟，如果投资者普遍认为特斯拉股票在未来12个月内可能达到1,200美元，那么今天的股价将大幅走高。</blockquote></p><p> The issue boils down to the stock's forward-looking valuation. With a price-to-earnings ratio of about 370 at the time of this writing, Tesla shares are largely priced for strong growth for years to come. Since the company's valuation is based largely on profits far into the future, slight variances in views for Tesla's future growth trajectory yield dramatically different assumptions about the stock's intrinsic value today.</p><p><blockquote>问题归结为股票的前瞻性估值。截至撰写本文时，特斯拉股价的市盈率约为370，很大程度上预计未来几年将强劲增长。由于该公司的估值很大程度上基于未来的利润，因此对特斯拉未来增长轨迹的看法略有差异，就会对该股目前的内在价值产生截然不同的假设。</blockquote></p><p> Investors, therefore, shouldn't be quick to buy Tesla stock just because one analyst has a high price target for shares. Still, Potter does notably have some good points about Tesla's strong business momentum. Even Tesla itself reiterated guidance for vehicle deliveries to grow more than 50% this year -- and that guidance was provided during a time that many companies around the world (including Tesla) are negatively impacted by supply chain shortages. Further, Tesla management noted in its second-quarter update that demand for its vehicles was at an all-time high going into Q3.</p><p><blockquote>因此，投资者不应仅仅因为一位分析师的股价目标较高就急于购买特斯拉股票。尽管如此，波特确实对特斯拉强劲的商业势头有一些优点。就连特斯拉本身也重申了今年汽车交付量增长50%以上的指导意见，而这一指导意见是在全球许多公司（包括特斯拉）都受到供应链短缺的负面影响之际提供的。此外，特斯拉管理层在第二季度更新中指出，进入第三季度，对其车辆的需求创历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> While a $1,200 price target for Tesla stock would be difficult to justify, shares may be trading low enough for investors to start a small position in the stock.</p><p><blockquote>虽然特斯拉股票1,200美元的目标价很难证明合理，但该股的交易价格可能足够低，投资者可以在该股建立少量头寸。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/08/07/tesla-stock-headed-to-1200/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/08/07/tesla-stock-headed-to-1200/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1159872041","content_text":"Key Points\n\nTesla deliveries more than doubled year over year in Q2.\nRising demand for electric vehicles could benefit Tesla.\nInvestors should exercise caution when it comes to analysts' price targets.\n\nIt's been a wild year for Tesla(NASDAQ:TSLA)stock. When the year started, shares initially surged more than 20%. But the stock has now given up all of those gains, with a year-to-date return of negative 1%. This means the stock has significantly underperformed the S&P 500's 18% gain this year.\nBut one analyst thinks the stock could take off.\n\"We still really like this stock.\"\nIn February,Piper Sandler analyst Alexander Pottermade a bold call, boosting his 12-month price target for thegrowth stockfrom $515 to $1,200. He said Tesla deliveries could increase from 500,000 vehicles in 2020 to nearly 900,000 this year. Of course, this projection was made before global supply shortages worsened. Nevertheless, Tesla is growing extremely rapidly. The company's second-quarter deliveries more than doubled compared to the year-ago quarter, rising to 201,304.\nFollowing Tesla's second-quarter earnings release late last month, the analyst reiterated this target, noting that the company looks poised to benefit from market share gains, the monetization of the company's Autopilot software, and \"underappreciated opportunities\" in Tesla's energy business, which includes revenue from battery energy storage and solar energy generation products.\nFurther, Potter pointed to Tesla's strong second-quarter operating margin of 11%, which he expects will see incremental improvement from Tesla's recently launched Autopilot subscription.\nOn Aug. 3, Potter once again reiterated an overweight rating on the stock and a $1,200 price target, saying \"We still really like this stock.\" He pointed to growing demand for battery electric vehicles overall.\nSo what gives?\nIf shares could truly rise to $1,200, why do so many investors seem to think the stock is worth so much less (based on the stock's price of just under $700 at the time of this writing). After all, if $1,200 was generally viewed by investors as a likely outcome for Tesla stock within the next 12 months, shares would be trading significantly higher today.\nThe issue boils down to the stock's forward-looking valuation. With a price-to-earnings ratio of about 370 at the time of this writing, Tesla shares are largely priced for strong growth for years to come. Since the company's valuation is based largely on profits far into the future, slight variances in views for Tesla's future growth trajectory yield dramatically different assumptions about the stock's intrinsic value today.\nInvestors, therefore, shouldn't be quick to buy Tesla stock just because one analyst has a high price target for shares. Still, Potter does notably have some good points about Tesla's strong business momentum. Even Tesla itself reiterated guidance for vehicle deliveries to grow more than 50% this year -- and that guidance was provided during a time that many companies around the world (including Tesla) are negatively impacted by supply chain shortages. Further, Tesla management noted in its second-quarter update that demand for its vehicles was at an all-time high going into Q3.\nWhile a $1,200 price target for Tesla stock would be difficult to justify, shares may be trading low enough for investors to start a small position in the stock.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3497,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":891496234,"gmtCreate":1628407639228,"gmtModify":1631887582722,"author":{"id":"3586310790127154","authorId":"3586310790127154","name":"65ad2341","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586310790127154","authorIdStr":"3586310790127154"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Oof","listText":"Oof","text":"Oof","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/891496234","repostId":"1180529438","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1180529438","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1628386129,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1180529438?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-08 09:28","market":"us","language":"en","title":"SEC Moves First DeFi Unregistered Securities Lawsuit<blockquote>SEC提起首起DeFi未注册证券诉讼</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1180529438","media":"Benzinga","summary":"The United States Securities and Exchange Commission  sued the organization responsible for the development of a decentralized finance  protocol over activities involved with the project for the first time.What Happened: According to a Friday SEC announcement, the agency has sued Cayman Islands-based Blockchain Credit Partners and two of its top executives over allegedly selling unregistered securities through its DeFi Money Market platform from February 2020 to February 2021. The firm purported","content":"<p><div> The United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) sued the organization responsible for the development of a decentralized finance (DeFi) protocol over activities involved with the project ...</p><p><blockquote><div>美国证券交易委员会（SEC）就该项目涉及的活动起诉了负责开发分散金融（DeFi）协议的组织...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cryptocurrency/21/08/22378359/sec-moves-first-defi-unregistered-securities-lawsuit\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cryptocurrency/21/08/22378359/sec-moves-first-defi-unregistered-securities-lawsuit\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606299360108","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>SEC Moves First DeFi Unregistered Securities Lawsuit<blockquote>SEC提起首起DeFi未注册证券诉讼</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSEC Moves First DeFi Unregistered Securities Lawsuit<blockquote>SEC提起首起DeFi未注册证券诉讼</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Benzinga</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-08 09:28</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> The United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) sued the organization responsible for the development of a decentralized finance (DeFi) protocol over activities involved with the project ...</p><p><blockquote><div>美国证券交易委员会（SEC）就该项目涉及的活动起诉了负责开发分散金融（DeFi）协议的组织...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cryptocurrency/21/08/22378359/sec-moves-first-defi-unregistered-securities-lawsuit\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cryptocurrency/21/08/22378359/sec-moves-first-defi-unregistered-securities-lawsuit\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cryptocurrency/21/08/22378359/sec-moves-first-defi-unregistered-securities-lawsuit\">Benzinga</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cryptocurrency/21/08/22378359/sec-moves-first-defi-unregistered-securities-lawsuit","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1180529438","content_text":"The United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) sued the organization responsible for the development of a decentralized finance (DeFi) protocol over activities involved with the project for the first time.\nWhat Happened: According to a Friday SEC announcement, the agency has sued Cayman Islands-based Blockchain Credit Partners and two of its top executives over allegedly selling unregistered securities through its DeFi Money Market platform from February 2020 to February 2021. The firm purportedly sold over $30 million worth of two types of tokens that the SEC deemed to be securities that should have been registered as such.\nThe SEC notes that Blockchain Credit Partners founders Gregory Keough and Derek Acree will have to pay fines of $125,000 while the company itself also agreed to pay $12.8 million in disgorgement. The settlement does not indicate an admition or denial the accusations.\nNew Game, Old Rules?\nSEC Enforcement Director Gurbir Grewal explained that \"full and honest disclosure remains the cornerstone of our securities laws — no matter what technologies are used to offer and sell those securities.\" This comment makes it very clear that slapping the DeFi label on a project and hoping to avoid regulation this way works no better than calling it a \"utility token\" prevented falling under the SEC's scrutiny during 2017's initial coin offering craze.\nThe SEC is trying to send the clear rule that the new kind of financial organizations that operate on blockchains have to still play by the old rules that govern traditional finance. At the same time, market onlookers are not sure if the regulator is actually right.\nIn a way, it is a tour de force where the regulator wins every time it has a way to take enforcement action, but these new organizations potentially have a very real way to make enforcement impossible — or at the very least impractical. The only protection against enforcement by the SEC and other regulators is decentralization and the only reason why the SEC was able to act in this case is that a centralized organization such as Blockchain Credit Partners exists.\nWhat's Next:If no company exists and all that there is to a DeFi protocol is a set of smart contracts deployed on a blockchain by a group of anonymous developers scattered around the world there is very little that the SEC can do short of attacking the blockchain itself. This is where the decentralization of the underlying blockchain comes into play: will the regulators for instance be able to force Ethereum's (CRYPTO: ETH) core development team to write an update stopping such a project?\nIf the regulators would actually be able to force the blockchain's developers to write such an update, would node operators and miners or stakers adopt this software or would they refuse to? Such situations will be the real test of the decentralization and reliability of any blockchain that many are waiting to happen. Regulators are seeing power slipping away between their fingers like sand, and they are going to try to grab it.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"COIN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2628,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":899612761,"gmtCreate":1628177621253,"gmtModify":1631887582733,"author":{"id":"3586310790127154","authorId":"3586310790127154","name":"65ad2341","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586310790127154","authorIdStr":"3586310790127154"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great","listText":"Great","text":"Great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/899612761","repostId":"1173170520","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2791,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":899612862,"gmtCreate":1628177593356,"gmtModify":1631887582745,"author":{"id":"3586310790127154","authorId":"3586310790127154","name":"65ad2341","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586310790127154","authorIdStr":"3586310790127154"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/899612862","repostId":"1175346944","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2785,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":899616544,"gmtCreate":1628177555888,"gmtModify":1631887582759,"author":{"id":"3586310790127154","authorId":"3586310790127154","name":"65ad2341","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586310790127154","authorIdStr":"3586310790127154"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/899616544","repostId":"1158295123","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1979,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":805705846,"gmtCreate":1627904388185,"gmtModify":1631887582771,"author":{"id":"3586310790127154","authorId":"3586310790127154","name":"65ad2341","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586310790127154","authorIdStr":"3586310790127154"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Awesome","listText":"Awesome","text":"Awesome","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/805705846","repostId":"1193646270","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1193646270","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1627891794,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1193646270?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-02 16:09","market":"us","language":"en","title":"NIO delivered 7,931 vehicles in July 2021, and rose 1% in premarket trading<blockquote>蔚来2021年7月交付7,931辆汽车，盘前交易上涨1%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1193646270","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":" $NIO Inc.$ delivered 7,931 vehicles in July 2021, representing a strong 124.5% year-over-year growth. The deliveries consisted of 1,702 ES8s, the Company’s six-seater or seven-seater flagship premium smart electric SUV, 3,669 ES6s, the Company’s five-seater high-performance premium smart electric SUV, and 2,560 EC6s, the Company’s five-seater premium smart electric coupe SUV. As of July 31, 2021, cumulative deliveries of the ES8, ES6 and EC6 reached 125,528 vehicles.","content":"<p>(August&nbsp;2)&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">NIO Inc.</a> delivered 7,931 vehicles in July 2021, representing a strong 124.5% year-over-year growth. The deliveries consisted of 1,702 ES8s, the Company’s six-seater or seven-seater flagship premium smart electric SUV, 3,669 ES6s, the Company’s five-seater high-performance premium smart electric SUV, and 2,560 EC6s, the Company’s five-seater premium smart electric coupe SUV. As of July 31, 2021, cumulative deliveries of the ES8, ES6 and EC6 reached 125,528 vehicles.</p><p><blockquote>（8月2日）<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a>2021年7月交付7,931辆汽车，同比强劲增长124.5%。交付量包括1,702辆ES8（该公司的六座或七座旗舰高级智能电动SUV）、3,669辆ES6（该公司的五座高性能高级智能电动SUV）以及2,560辆EC6（该公司的五座高级智能电动轿跑SUV）。截至2021年7月31日，ES8、ES6和EC6的累计交付量达到125,528辆。</blockquote></p><p> NIO rose about 1% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来在盘前交易中上涨约1%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/29ee37756815b9785621385b00cfc549\" tg-width=\"629\" tg-height=\"520\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>NIO delivered 7,931 vehicles in July 2021, and rose 1% in premarket trading<blockquote>蔚来2021年7月交付7,931辆汽车，盘前交易上涨1%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNIO delivered 7,931 vehicles in July 2021, and rose 1% in premarket trading<blockquote>蔚来2021年7月交付7,931辆汽车，盘前交易上涨1%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-08-02 16:09</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(August&nbsp;2)&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">NIO Inc.</a> delivered 7,931 vehicles in July 2021, representing a strong 124.5% year-over-year growth. The deliveries consisted of 1,702 ES8s, the Company’s six-seater or seven-seater flagship premium smart electric SUV, 3,669 ES6s, the Company’s five-seater high-performance premium smart electric SUV, and 2,560 EC6s, the Company’s five-seater premium smart electric coupe SUV. As of July 31, 2021, cumulative deliveries of the ES8, ES6 and EC6 reached 125,528 vehicles.</p><p><blockquote>（8月2日）<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a>2021年7月交付7,931辆汽车，同比强劲增长124.5%。交付量包括1,702辆ES8（该公司的六座或七座旗舰高级智能电动SUV）、3,669辆ES6（该公司的五座高性能高级智能电动SUV）以及2,560辆EC6（该公司的五座高级智能电动轿跑SUV）。截至2021年7月31日，ES8、ES6和EC6的累计交付量达到125,528辆。</blockquote></p><p> NIO rose about 1% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来在盘前交易中上涨约1%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/29ee37756815b9785621385b00cfc549\" tg-width=\"629\" tg-height=\"520\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIO":"蔚来"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1193646270","content_text":"(August 2) NIO Inc. delivered 7,931 vehicles in July 2021, representing a strong 124.5% year-over-year growth. The deliveries consisted of 1,702 ES8s, the Company’s six-seater or seven-seater flagship premium smart electric SUV, 3,669 ES6s, the Company’s five-seater high-performance premium smart electric SUV, and 2,560 EC6s, the Company’s five-seater premium smart electric coupe SUV. As of July 31, 2021, cumulative deliveries of the ES8, ES6 and EC6 reached 125,528 vehicles.\nNIO rose about 1% in premarket trading.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NIO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2449,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":805702735,"gmtCreate":1627904355027,"gmtModify":1631887582785,"author":{"id":"3586310790127154","authorId":"3586310790127154","name":"65ad2341","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586310790127154","authorIdStr":"3586310790127154"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/805702735","repostId":"1106026316","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1106026316","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627860338,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1106026316?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-02 07:25","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Square Agrees to Acquire Afterpay for $29 Billion in All-Stock Deal<blockquote>Square同意以290亿美元的全股票交易收购Afterpay</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1106026316","media":"The Wall Street Journal","summary":"(Updated on August 2, 2021 ET 04:19 AM)\n\n\nSquare fell over 5% in premarket trading.\n\nAustralian inst","content":"<p><i>(Updated on August 2, 2021 ET&nbsp;04:19 AM)</i></p><p><blockquote><i>（更新于美国东部时间2021年8月2日凌晨04:19）</i></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d8c9726bd034485ce2cd75b32ca6f291\" tg-width=\"629\" tg-height=\"520\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>   <b>Square fell over 5% in premarket trading.</b>  Australian installment-payment company positions its service as a cheaper, more responsible alternative to a credit card</p><p><blockquote><b>Square在盘前交易中下跌超过5%。</b>澳大利亚分期付款公司将其服务定位为更便宜、更负责任的信用卡替代品</blockquote></p><p> YDNEY—SquareInc.&nbsp;has agreed to an all-stock deal valued at around $29 billion to acquire Australia’s&nbsp;AfterpayLtd., an installment-payment company that positions its service as a cheaper and more responsible alternative to a credit card.</p><p><blockquote>Ydney-SquareInc.已同意一项价值约290亿美元的全股票交易，收购澳大利亚AfterpayLtd.，这是一家分期付款公司，将其服务定位为更便宜、更负责任的信用卡替代品。</blockquote></p><p> Square said it plans to integrate Afterpay into its Seller and Cash App business units, which would allow more retailers to offer so-called buy now, pay later services at checkout.</p><p><blockquote>Square表示，计划将Afterpay整合到其卖家和现金应用程序业务部门中，这将允许更多零售商在结账时提供所谓的“先买后付”服务。</blockquote></p><p> Afterpay’s technology allows users to&nbsp;pay for goods in four interest-free installments, while receiving the goods immediately. Customers pay a fee only if they miss an automated payment, a transgression that also locks their account until the balance is repaid. Afterpay says this limits bad debts, particularly in a downturn when job security is shaky and household finances are stretched.</p><p><blockquote>Afterpay的技术允许用户分四期免息分期付款购买商品，同时立即收到商品。客户只有在错过自动付款时才需要支付费用，这种违规行为也会锁定他们的账户，直到余额被偿还。Afterpay表示，这限制了坏账，特别是在经济低迷时期，工作保障不稳定，家庭财务捉襟见肘。</blockquote></p><p> Most of Afterpay’s revenue comes from retail merchants, which pay a percentage of the value of each order placed by customers, plus a fixed fee. The company is expanding across the U.S. through deals with retailers including Anthropologie and Free People.</p><p><blockquote>Afterpay的大部分收入来自零售商，零售商支付客户每笔订单价值的一定比例，外加固定费用。该公司正在通过与Anthropologie和Free People等零售商的交易在美国扩张。</blockquote></p><p> “Square and Afterpay have a shared purpose,” said Jack Dorsey, Square’s chief executive. “We built our business to make the financial system more fair, accessible, and inclusive, and Afterpay has built a trusted brand aligned with those principles.”</p><p><blockquote>Square首席执行官杰克·多西(Jack Dorsey)表示：“Square和Afterpay有着共同的目标。”“我们建立业务是为了让金融体系更加公平、方便和包容，Afterpay已经建立了一个符合这些原则的值得信赖的品牌。”</blockquote></p><p> Afterpay, Australia’s largest tech company by market capitalization, said the deal implies a value of around 126.21 Australian dollars (about US$92.66) for each of its shares, representing a 31% premium to its closing price on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>澳大利亚市值最大的科技公司Afterpay表示，这笔交易意味着其每股价值约为126.21澳元（约合92.66美元），较上周五收盘价溢价31%。</blockquote></p><p> Afterpay said its shareholders will receive 0.375 share of Square Class A common stock for each Afterpay share that they own. It expects Afterpay shareholders will own around 18.5% of the combined company when the deal completes.</p><p><blockquote>Afterpay表示，其股东持有的每股Afterpay股票将获得0.375股Square A类普通股。预计交易完成后，Afterpay股东将拥有合并后公司约18.5%的股份。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Square Agrees to Acquire Afterpay for $29 Billion in All-Stock Deal<blockquote>Square同意以290亿美元的全股票交易收购Afterpay</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSquare Agrees to Acquire Afterpay for $29 Billion in All-Stock Deal<blockquote>Square同意以290亿美元的全股票交易收购Afterpay</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">The Wall Street Journal</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-02 07:25</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><i>(Updated on August 2, 2021 ET&nbsp;04:19 AM)</i></p><p><blockquote><i>（更新于美国东部时间2021年8月2日凌晨04:19）</i></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d8c9726bd034485ce2cd75b32ca6f291\" tg-width=\"629\" tg-height=\"520\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>   <b>Square fell over 5% in premarket trading.</b>  Australian installment-payment company positions its service as a cheaper, more responsible alternative to a credit card</p><p><blockquote><b>Square在盘前交易中下跌超过5%。</b>澳大利亚分期付款公司将其服务定位为更便宜、更负责任的信用卡替代品</blockquote></p><p> YDNEY—SquareInc.&nbsp;has agreed to an all-stock deal valued at around $29 billion to acquire Australia’s&nbsp;AfterpayLtd., an installment-payment company that positions its service as a cheaper and more responsible alternative to a credit card.</p><p><blockquote>Ydney-SquareInc.已同意一项价值约290亿美元的全股票交易，收购澳大利亚AfterpayLtd.，这是一家分期付款公司，将其服务定位为更便宜、更负责任的信用卡替代品。</blockquote></p><p> Square said it plans to integrate Afterpay into its Seller and Cash App business units, which would allow more retailers to offer so-called buy now, pay later services at checkout.</p><p><blockquote>Square表示，计划将Afterpay整合到其卖家和现金应用程序业务部门中，这将允许更多零售商在结账时提供所谓的“先买后付”服务。</blockquote></p><p> Afterpay’s technology allows users to&nbsp;pay for goods in four interest-free installments, while receiving the goods immediately. Customers pay a fee only if they miss an automated payment, a transgression that also locks their account until the balance is repaid. Afterpay says this limits bad debts, particularly in a downturn when job security is shaky and household finances are stretched.</p><p><blockquote>Afterpay的技术允许用户分四期免息分期付款购买商品，同时立即收到商品。客户只有在错过自动付款时才需要支付费用，这种违规行为也会锁定他们的账户，直到余额被偿还。Afterpay表示，这限制了坏账，特别是在经济低迷时期，工作保障不稳定，家庭财务捉襟见肘。</blockquote></p><p> Most of Afterpay’s revenue comes from retail merchants, which pay a percentage of the value of each order placed by customers, plus a fixed fee. The company is expanding across the U.S. through deals with retailers including Anthropologie and Free People.</p><p><blockquote>Afterpay的大部分收入来自零售商，零售商支付客户每笔订单价值的一定比例，外加固定费用。该公司正在通过与Anthropologie和Free People等零售商的交易在美国扩张。</blockquote></p><p> “Square and Afterpay have a shared purpose,” said Jack Dorsey, Square’s chief executive. “We built our business to make the financial system more fair, accessible, and inclusive, and Afterpay has built a trusted brand aligned with those principles.”</p><p><blockquote>Square首席执行官杰克·多西(Jack Dorsey)表示：“Square和Afterpay有着共同的目标。”“我们建立业务是为了让金融体系更加公平、方便和包容，Afterpay已经建立了一个符合这些原则的值得信赖的品牌。”</blockquote></p><p> Afterpay, Australia’s largest tech company by market capitalization, said the deal implies a value of around 126.21 Australian dollars (about US$92.66) for each of its shares, representing a 31% premium to its closing price on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>澳大利亚市值最大的科技公司Afterpay表示，这笔交易意味着其每股价值约为126.21澳元（约合92.66美元），较上周五收盘价溢价31%。</blockquote></p><p> Afterpay said its shareholders will receive 0.375 share of Square Class A common stock for each Afterpay share that they own. It expects Afterpay shareholders will own around 18.5% of the combined company when the deal completes.</p><p><blockquote>Afterpay表示，其股东持有的每股Afterpay股票将获得0.375股Square A类普通股。预计交易完成后，Afterpay股东将拥有合并后公司约18.5%的股份。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.wsj.com/articles/square-agrees-to-acquire-afterpay-for-29-billion-in-all-stock-deal-11627855390?mod=hp_lead_pos3\">The Wall Street Journal</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.wsj.com/articles/square-agrees-to-acquire-afterpay-for-29-billion-in-all-stock-deal-11627855390?mod=hp_lead_pos3","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1106026316","content_text":"(Updated on August 2, 2021 ET 04:19 AM)\n\n\nSquare fell over 5% in premarket trading.\n\nAustralian installment-payment company positions its service as a cheaper, more responsible alternative to a credit card\nYDNEY—SquareInc. has agreed to an all-stock deal valued at around $29 billion to acquire Australia’s AfterpayLtd., an installment-payment company that positions its service as a cheaper and more responsible alternative to a credit card.\nSquare said it plans to integrate Afterpay into its Seller and Cash App business units, which would allow more retailers to offer so-called buy now, pay later services at checkout.\nAfterpay’s technology allows users to pay for goods in four interest-free installments, while receiving the goods immediately. Customers pay a fee only if they miss an automated payment, a transgression that also locks their account until the balance is repaid. Afterpay says this limits bad debts, particularly in a downturn when job security is shaky and household finances are stretched.\nMost of Afterpay’s revenue comes from retail merchants, which pay a percentage of the value of each order placed by customers, plus a fixed fee. The company is expanding across the U.S. through deals with retailers including Anthropologie and Free People.\n“Square and Afterpay have a shared purpose,” said Jack Dorsey, Square’s chief executive. “We built our business to make the financial system more fair, accessible, and inclusive, and Afterpay has built a trusted brand aligned with those principles.”\nAfterpay, Australia’s largest tech company by market capitalization, said the deal implies a value of around 126.21 Australian dollars (about US$92.66) for each of its shares, representing a 31% premium to its closing price on Friday.\nAfterpay said its shareholders will receive 0.375 share of Square Class A common stock for each Afterpay share that they own. It expects Afterpay shareholders will own around 18.5% of the combined company when the deal completes.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SQ":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2477,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":805702602,"gmtCreate":1627904334306,"gmtModify":1631887582797,"author":{"id":"3586310790127154","authorId":"3586310790127154","name":"65ad2341","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586310790127154","authorIdStr":"3586310790127154"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nah","listText":"Nah","text":"Nah","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/805702602","repostId":"2156161791","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2629,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":805291241,"gmtCreate":1627881254283,"gmtModify":1631887582810,"author":{"id":"3586310790127154","authorId":"3586310790127154","name":"65ad2341","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586310790127154","authorIdStr":"3586310790127154"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nah","listText":"Nah","text":"Nah","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/805291241","repostId":"2156169749","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2799,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":805888844,"gmtCreate":1627869895488,"gmtModify":1633755765116,"author":{"id":"3586310790127154","authorId":"3586310790127154","name":"65ad2341","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586310790127154","authorIdStr":"3586310790127154"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Marcro outlook, totally not following the company product…. This same&nbsp;review can be used for many othercompanies lol","listText":"Marcro outlook, totally not following the company product…. This same&nbsp;review can be used for many othercompanies lol","text":"Marcro outlook, totally not following the company product…. This same review can be used for many othercompanies lol","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/805888844","repostId":"1147877145","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":397,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":809258501,"gmtCreate":1627374230703,"gmtModify":1633765612325,"author":{"id":"3586310790127154","authorId":"3586310790127154","name":"65ad2341","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586310790127154","authorIdStr":"3586310790127154"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Oh no","listText":"Oh no","text":"Oh no","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/809258501","repostId":"1142907091","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1142907091","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1627373467,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1142907091?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-27 16:11","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Hot Chinese concept stocks resumed downward in premarket trading<blockquote>热门中概股盘前恢复下行</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1142907091","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Hot Chinese concept stocks resumed downward in premarket trading.Bilibili and NetEase fell 7%,DiDi G","content":"<p>Hot Chinese concept stocks resumed downward&nbsp;in premarket trading.Bilibili&nbsp;and&nbsp;NetEase&nbsp;fell&nbsp;7%,DiDi Global,JD.com&nbsp;and&nbsp;Pinduoduo&nbsp;fell&nbsp;6%,Baidu&nbsp;fell&nbsp;5%,Xpeng Motors&nbsp;fell&nbsp;4%,Alibaba,Nio&nbsp;and Li Auto&nbsp;fell&nbsp;3%.</p><p><blockquote>热点中概股盘前恢复下行，哔哩哔哩、网易跌7%，滴滴全球、京东、拼多多跌6%，百度跌5%，小鹏汽车跌4%，阿里巴巴-SW、蔚来、理想汽车跌3%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6d3f423af5595483b1ce34aa42d60cc7\" tg-width=\"355\" tg-height=\"602\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Hot Chinese concept stocks resumed downward in premarket trading<blockquote>热门中概股盘前恢复下行</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHot Chinese concept stocks resumed downward in premarket trading<blockquote>热门中概股盘前恢复下行</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-07-27 16:11</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Hot Chinese concept stocks resumed downward&nbsp;in premarket trading.Bilibili&nbsp;and&nbsp;NetEase&nbsp;fell&nbsp;7%,DiDi Global,JD.com&nbsp;and&nbsp;Pinduoduo&nbsp;fell&nbsp;6%,Baidu&nbsp;fell&nbsp;5%,Xpeng Motors&nbsp;fell&nbsp;4%,Alibaba,Nio&nbsp;and Li Auto&nbsp;fell&nbsp;3%.</p><p><blockquote>热点中概股盘前恢复下行，哔哩哔哩、网易跌7%，滴滴全球、京东、拼多多跌6%，百度跌5%，小鹏汽车跌4%，阿里巴巴-SW、蔚来、理想汽车跌3%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6d3f423af5595483b1ce34aa42d60cc7\" tg-width=\"355\" tg-height=\"602\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴","NIO":"蔚来","XPEV":"小鹏汽车","JD":"京东","DIDI":"滴滴(已退市)","LI":"理想汽车","BIDU":"百度","PDD":"拼多多"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1142907091","content_text":"Hot Chinese concept stocks resumed downward in premarket trading.Bilibili and NetEase fell 7%,DiDi Global,JD.com and Pinduoduo fell 6%,Baidu fell 5%,Xpeng Motors fell 4%,Alibaba,Nio and Li Auto fell 3%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BABA":0.9,"DIDI":0.9,"JD":0.9,"NIO":0.9,"PDD":0.9,"XPEV":0.9,"BIDU":0.9,"LI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":543,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":809194160,"gmtCreate":1627351317150,"gmtModify":1633765832706,"author":{"id":"3586310790127154","authorId":"3586310790127154","name":"65ad2341","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586310790127154","authorIdStr":"3586310790127154"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Oh no","listText":"Oh no","text":"Oh no","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/809194160","repostId":"1181076494","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":595,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":809192649,"gmtCreate":1627351265181,"gmtModify":1633765834215,"author":{"id":"3586310790127154","authorId":"3586310790127154","name":"65ad2341","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586310790127154","authorIdStr":"3586310790127154"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/809192649","repostId":"2154967835","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":489,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":809196733,"gmtCreate":1627351242822,"gmtModify":1633765834685,"author":{"id":"3586310790127154","authorId":"3586310790127154","name":"65ad2341","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586310790127154","authorIdStr":"3586310790127154"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/809196733","repostId":"2154969181","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":573,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":800897675,"gmtCreate":1627289596197,"gmtModify":1633766481612,"author":{"id":"3586310790127154","authorId":"3586310790127154","name":"65ad2341","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586310790127154","authorIdStr":"3586310790127154"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Accelerated","listText":"Accelerated","text":"Accelerated","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/800897675","repostId":"1116690230","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1116690230","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627285542,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1116690230?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-26 15:45","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Forget Cloud, YouTube Will Lead Alphabet To Exponential Growth<blockquote>忘记云，YouTube将引领Alphabet实现指数级增长</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1116690230","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nGoogle continues to deliver outstanding growth, and YouTube is the best-performing segment.","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Google continues to deliver outstanding growth, and YouTube is the best-performing segment.</li>  <li>The YouTube platform is poised to keep growing and further increase user monetization.</li>  <li>Our forecast suggests Google could bring in over $1 trillion in revenues by 2030 with a $14,000 share price.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3bc76d8cff230ecce9779683bdf577ed\" tg-width=\"490\" tg-height=\"350\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Lauren Nicole/DigitalVision via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>谷歌继续实现出色的增长，YouTube是表现最好的细分市场。</li><li>YouTube平台将继续增长，并进一步增加用户货币化。</li><li>我们的预测表明，到2030年，谷歌的收入可能会超过1万亿美元，股价为14,000美元。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>劳伦·妮可/DigitalVision来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Thesis Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>论文摘要</b></blockquote></p><p> Alphabet Inc. (GOOG)(GOOGL) has been one of the best-performing companies and stocks of the last decade. The company makes most of its revenue from search ads, but it has faster growing and more promising segments, such as “YouTube'' and “Cloud”. While most investors focus on the potential of Cloud, I believe that revenue from YouTube ads and YouTube subscriptions is the key factor that will allow the company to outperform, maintain a premium valuation, and ultimately reach a price of $14,000 with revenues of +$1 trillion.</p><p><blockquote>Alphabet公司（GOOG）（GOOGL）是过去十年中表现最好的公司和股票之一。该公司的大部分收入来自搜索广告，但它有增长更快、更有前途的细分市场，例如“YouTube”和“云”。虽然大多数投资者都关注云的潜力，但我相信YouTube广告和YouTube订阅的收入是使该公司跑赢大盘、维持溢价估值并最终达到14,000美元价格、收入超过1万亿美元的关键因素。</blockquote></p><p> <b>YouTube in Numbers</b></p><p><blockquote><b>YouTube的数字</b></blockquote></p><p> YouTube was originally conceived by three ex PayPal (PYPL) employees in 2005 and quickly acquired by Google in 2006 for $1.65 billion. WhenYouTube began, it received around 30,000 views per day. Today, it is the second most popular website in the world, with over 30 million visitors per day and 300 hours of content uploaded every minute.</p><p><blockquote>YouTube最初是由三名前PayPal(PYPL)员工于2005年构思的，并于2006年迅速被谷歌以16.5亿美元收购。当YouTube开始时，它每天收到大约30,000次浏览。今天，它是世界上第二大最受欢迎的网站，每天有超过3000万访问者，每分钟上传300小时的内容。</blockquote></p><p> YouTube’s growth since its inception has been staggering, and, in terms of revenue, it is actually Google’s fastest-growing segment as of the last quarter:</p><p><blockquote>YouTube自成立以来的增长令人震惊，就收入而言，它实际上是谷歌上季度增长最快的部门：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ac38e8a4000826c38acb02a73c62652b\" tg-width=\"1178\" tg-height=\"950\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source:10-Q</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：10-Q</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Google Search &amp; Other is where the bulk of revenue comes from, and this segment grew at a rate of 30% YoY.YouTube Ads, which accounts for a little over 10% of overall revenues, grew to the tune of 48.7%. This growth rate is even higher than Google Cloud, which increased by 45.73%. Furthermore, we must also take into account that theYouTube platform is also responsible for part of the revenues contained in Google Other. This segment includes revenues fromYouTube’s subscription services such asYouTube TV andYouTube Premium.</p><p><blockquote>Google搜索和其他是大部分收入的来源，该细分市场同比增长30%。YouTube广告占总收入的10%多一点，增长了48.7%。这一增速甚至高于谷歌云，后者增长了45.73%。此外，我们还必须考虑到，YouTube平台也负责Google Other中包含的部分收入。该部门包括YouTube TV和YouTube Premium等YouTube订阅服务的收入。</blockquote></p><p> Looking solely at the numbers, it is clear thatYouTube is a key segment driving growth in the company. But what can we expect ofYouTube going forward? And what makes it better than the competition?</p><p><blockquote>仅从数字来看，很明显YouTube是推动公司增长的关键细分市场。但是我们对YouTube的未来有什么期待呢？是什么让它比竞争对手更好？</blockquote></p><p> <b>What makes</b><b>YouTube a great business?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>是什么造就了</b><b>YouTube是一个伟大的企业？</b></blockquote></p><p> In a previous&nbsp;article on Visa(V), I discussed how the company showcases the 7 different business moats that Hamilton Helmer puts forward in his book&nbsp;7 Powers. Looking atYouTube, we can also identify these compelling moats, which protect it from the competition and set it apart from other businesses.</p><p><blockquote>在之前关于Visa(V)的文章中，我讨论了该公司如何展示汉密尔顿·赫尔默(Hamilton Helmer)在其著作《7种权力》中提出的7种不同的商业护城河。看看YouTube，我们还可以发现这些引人注目的护城河，这些护城河保护它免受竞争并将其与其他企业区分开来。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Scale and Network Effect</b></p><p><blockquote><b>规模与网络效应</b></blockquote></p><p> Due to the nature of the platform,YouTube enjoys both scale and network effects.YouTube can add more users without hardly increasing its costs. There may be some costs associated with hosting and even regulating content, but it is negligible. Any competitor wanting to enter this space would have to spend a considerable amount, just to get anywhere near having the infrastructure and contentYouTube has.</p><p><blockquote>由于平台的性质，YouTube同时享有规模效应和网络效应。YouTube可以在几乎不增加成本的情况下增加更多用户。托管甚至监管内容可能会有一些成本，但可以忽略不计。任何想要进入这个领域的竞争对手都必须花费大量资金，才能接近YouTube所拥有的基础设施和内容。</blockquote></p><p> On top of that, with every new user/creator, the value of the network increases. The more people upload onYouTube, the more content there is available, which leads to more views and in turn, leads to more incentives to upload content toYouTube.</p><p><blockquote>最重要的是，随着每一个新用户/创建者，网络的价值都会增加。上传到YouTube的人越多，可用的内容就越多，这会导致更多的浏览量，反过来，也会导致更多的动机将内容上传到YouTube。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Switching costs and Branding</b></p><p><blockquote><b>转换成本和品牌</b></blockquote></p><p> As far users go, there are indeed no real switching costs, but these come into play for creators. Those who have built a following onYouTube have strong incentives to continue growing their audience on the platform. Ultimately,YouTube offers both a compelling reward system for creators and access to the largest audience the internet has to offer.</p><p><blockquote>就用户而言，确实没有真正的转换成本，但这些成本对创作者来说会发挥作用。那些在YouTube上建立了追随者的人有强烈的动机继续在该平台上增加他们的观众。最终，YouTube为创作者提供了一个引人注目的奖励系统，并接触到了互联网所能提供的最大受众。</blockquote></p><p> As far as branding goes, we could certainly say thatYouTube excels in this arena. This can be seen by the fact thatYouTube has even become a commonly used verb and “YouTuber” is even used as a job title.YouTube is the go-to place around the world if you want to find any form of video content.</p><p><blockquote>就品牌而言，我们可以肯定地说YouTube在这一领域表现出色。这可以从YouTube甚至成为一个常用的动词，“YouTuber”甚至被用作一个职位头衔这一事实中看出。如果你想找到任何形式的视频内容，YouTube是世界各地的首选。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Counter positioning and Process Power</b></p><p><blockquote><b>计数器定位和过程功率</b></blockquote></p><p> Counter-positioning refers to the idea that a company has a disruptive business model that others can’t copy. In this case, we have to think, is there a business model which could compete withYouTube and that the company can’t copy/absorb?</p><p><blockquote>反向定位是指认为一家公司拥有别人无法复制的颠覆性商业模式。在这种情况下，我们不得不思考，有没有一种商业模式可以与YouTube竞争，而该公司无法复制/吸收？</blockquote></p><p></p><p> We actually have a perfect example of this happening in how companies likeSpotify(SPOT) are trying to compete with Google by offering content through subscriptions. However, in the last few years, we have seenYouTube launch its own subscription options, competing head-on with Spotify. Furthermore, Google also can absorb any competitor that it deems it can’t compete with head-on.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，我们有一个很好的例子，像Spotify(SPOT)这样的公司试图通过订阅提供内容来与谷歌竞争。然而，在过去几年中，我们看到YouTube推出了自己的订阅选项，与Spotify正面竞争。此外，谷歌还可以吸收任何它认为无法正面竞争的竞争对手。</blockquote></p><p> Process power can be defined as “embedded company organisation and activity sets which enable lower costs and/or superior product.” In the case ofYouTube, the “process power” is their algorithm and access to data, which allows them to serve both optimal content and advertising. Google’s access to data is unrivalled, and this is what allows it to be much more efficient.</p><p><blockquote>流程能力可以定义为“嵌入式公司组织和活动集，可实现更低的成本和/或更好的产品。”就YouTube而言，“处理能力”是他们的算法和对数据的访问，这使他们能够提供最佳内容和广告。谷歌对数据的访问是无与伦比的，这也是它效率更高的原因。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Cornered resource</b></p><p><blockquote><b>被垄断的资源</b></blockquote></p><p> Lastly, we have the cornered resource. This means having exclusive access to a valuable resource. Patents are an example of this. In the case ofYouTube, there are a few elements that we could call cornered resources. The data that Google has access to, could be an example of this. Another exclusive resource thatYouTube has is its “YouTubers”. These individuals are providing content to Google for free daily. This content can indeed find its way to other platforms, butYouTube offers these creators attractive payment terms and a huge audience.</p><p><blockquote>最后，我们有被垄断的资源。这意味着拥有对有价值资源的独占访问权。专利就是一个例子。就YouTube而言，有一些元素我们可以看涨期权垄断资源。谷歌可以访问的数据可能就是一个例子。YouTube拥有的另一个独家资源是它的“YouTubers”。这些人每天免费向谷歌提供内容。这些内容确实可以到达其他平台，但YouTube为这些创作者提供了有吸引力的支付条件和庞大的受众。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The future of</b>&nbsp;<b>YouTube Revenues</b></p><p><blockquote><b>的未来</b> <b>YouTube收入</b></blockquote></p><p> The only question that remains to be answered, is how will Google best monetizeYouTube? For the time being,YouTube’s main source of revenue is advertising. In recent quarters, the company has found particular success with direct-response ads, which create a sense of urgency and have a clear call-to-action.</p><p><blockquote>唯一有待回答的问题是，谷歌将如何最好地将YouTube货币化？就目前而言，YouTube的主要收入来源是广告。最近几个季度，该公司在直接响应广告方面取得了特别成功，这种广告营造了一种紧迫感，并具有明确的行动看涨期权。</blockquote></p><p> In terms of advertising, what setsYouTube apart though, is its incredibly powerful AI, and it can offer something that traditional TV just can’t do. This was best described by Loup Ventures Managing Partner Gene Munster:</p><p><blockquote>在广告方面，YouTube的与众不同之处在于其令人难以置信的强大人工智能，它可以提供传统电视无法提供的东西。Loup Ventures管理合伙人Gene Munster对此进行了最好的描述：</blockquote></p><p>   YouTube is now best positioned to deliver on something we’ve talked about for a decade, which is two people watching the same live event but getting different ads.  Source:CNBC</p><p><blockquote>YouTube现在最有能力提供我们已经谈论了十年的东西，即两个人观看同一个直播活动，但收到不同的广告。资料来源：CNBC</blockquote></p><p> YouTube is known for its user-generated content, but it’s just a matter of time before it moves into areas such as live sports and TV shows.</p><p><blockquote>YouTube以其用户生成的内容而闻名，但它进入体育直播和电视节目等领域只是时间问题。</blockquote></p><p> The most important step will be to increase the revenues coming from sellingYouTube as a service.YouTube Premium has been growing rapidly since 2015, and it could be an even larger source of revenue for Google than advertising. Ultimately, Google could unlock massive value by bundling together its services.YouTube Premium Cloud, for example, could all be part of one package. It’s all about building an ecosystem around the brand.</p><p><blockquote>最重要的一步将是增加销售YouTube即服务的收入。YouTube Premium自2015年以来一直在快速增长，对于谷歌来说，它可能是比广告更大的收入来源。最终，谷歌可以通过将其服务捆绑在一起来释放巨大的价值。例如，YouTube Premium Cloud可以全部成为一个包的一部分。这一切都是为了围绕品牌建立一个生态系统。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Forecast and Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>预测与估值</b></blockquote></p><p> If we look at Alphabet’s revenue, it has a remarkably consistent growth pattern for a 10-year period.</p><p><blockquote>如果我们看看Alphabet的收入，就会发现它在10年的时间里有着非常一致的增长模式。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/879a040103c53eb5da2bc1e79c288a65\" tg-width=\"551\" tg-height=\"298\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The polynomial function you can see above is the most fitting mathematical expression to describe it. The R2 value is the measure of fit, which you can see is quite close to 100%. This function forecasts a slowly diminishing growth rate, from 18% in 2021 to 10% in 2030 in this case, which would take revenues to $600 billion in nine and a half years. The thing is, with growth rates dropping below 10% as the business becomes more consolidated, valuation multiples would likely come closer to the average for the sector. Let's compare the Price to Sales ratio, for example, which is currently at 8.70 (GAAP TTM) for Alphabet. If this were to change to the sector median ratio of 2.03, the share price would be only $1800.</p><p><blockquote>你在上面看到的多项式函数是描述它最合适的数学表达式。R2值是拟合度的度量，您可以看到它非常接近100%。该函数预测增长率将缓慢下降，在本例中从2021年的18%降至2030年的10%，这将使收入在九年半内达到6000亿美元。问题是，随着业务更加整合，增长率降至10%以下，估值倍数可能会更接近该行业的平均水平。例如，让我们比较一下Alphabet目前的市销率为8.70（GAAP TTM）。如果这一比率变为行业中位数2.03，股价将仅为1800美元。</blockquote></p><p> You could and should argue that Alphabet’s superior sales multiple accounts for not only growth but also profitability, since the Price to Earnings ratio is also superior to the sector median (29.79 vs. 22.85), but not nearly by as much. To simplify, let’s say that the PE ratio is 30% higher than the sector median because of superior growth and that the PS ratio is 4.29 times as high as the sector median mainly because of profitability. If we take out the 30% growth factor it should only be 3.29 times higher than the sector median, which is a PS ratio of 6.67. At that ratio a revenue of $600bn without having the shares trading at $5,900. Starting at the current price of his means a yearly return of about 9%.</p><p><blockquote>你可以而且应该认为，Alphabet卓越的销售倍数不仅是增长的原因，也是盈利能力的原因，因为市盈率也优于行业中位数（29.79比22.85），但相差不远。简单来说，假设市盈率比行业中位数高30%是因为增长出色，而市盈率比行业中位数高4.29倍主要是因为盈利能力。如果我们剔除30%的增长因素，它应该只比行业中位数高3.29倍，即市盈率为6.67。按照这个比率，如果股价不是5900美元，收入将达到6000亿美元。以他目前的价格开始意味着年回报率约为9%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2d96d9d77fc4e470238961090adc80ef\" tg-width=\"551\" tg-height=\"298\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> As you can see, the exponential trendline is also a remarkably good fit. This would forecast a constant growth of 19% per year, reaching $1.1 trillion in revenues.</p><p><blockquote>正如您所看到的，指数趋势线也非常适合。预计每年将持续增长19%，收入将达到1.1万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> If this is maintained, not only will revenue be higher, but also with a growth rate that isn’t diminishing, current above-average valuation multiples would still be justified. With this 1.1 trillion in revenues and a PS ratio of 8.7, as it is currently, the share price could reach over $14,000 by 2030, which is of course a 19% yearly return from the current price.</p><p><blockquote>如果这种情况持续下去，不仅收入会更高，而且增长率不会下降，目前高于平均水平的估值倍数仍然是合理的。以目前1.1万亿美元的收入和8.7的市盈率，到2030年股价可能会超过14,000美元，这当然是当前价格19%的年回报率。</blockquote></p><p> I would risk stating the obvious if I just said that differences in growth sustained in the long run can have a large effect on the value of a company, but it is useful to put it into numbers for some perspective.</p><p><blockquote>如果我只是说长期持续增长的差异会对公司的价值产生很大影响，我会冒险陈述显而易见的事实，但从某种角度来看，将其转化为数字是有用的。</blockquote></p><p> Speaking of Alphabet’s growth, let’s see what is happening with one of its promising segments, YouTube. This platform has given Alphabet increased revenues since its acquisition. Revenues have been mostly in the form of advertising, but this could shift in the coming years. YouTube had approximately 2.3bn users in 2020, having almost doubled in five years. If this trend continues, it could count as many as 6.9bn users by 2030.</p><p><blockquote>说到Alphabet的增长，让我们看看其最有前途的细分市场之一YouTube正在发生什么。自收购以来，该平台为Alphabet带来了更多收入。收入主要以广告形式出现，但这种情况在未来几年可能会发生变化。2020年，YouTube拥有约23亿用户，五年内几乎翻了一番。如果这一趋势持续下去，到2030年，它的用户数量可能高达69亿。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b131552843a9861df18d8828d753f5a2\" tg-width=\"405\" tg-height=\"238\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source:YouTube Revenue and Usage Statistics (2021) - Business of Apps</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：YouTube收入和使用统计（2021年）-应用程序业务</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Ad revenue per user is also growing consistently, especially as the platform increases the presence of advertising to push the premium subscription. We have made a forecast based on the data from the last 4 years, which is how long this segment has been disclosed separately in Alphabet’s statements of operations.</p><p><blockquote>每用户的广告收入也在持续增长，特别是随着平台增加广告的存在以推动高级订阅。我们根据过去4年的数据进行了预测，这是该部门在Alphabet运营报表中单独披露的时间。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bb814b6721a846c98a84a865b39ed716\" tg-width=\"409\" tg-height=\"232\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author’s work based on Source: YouTube Revenue and Usage Statistics (2021) - Business of Apps and company records.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者的工作基于来源：YouTube收入和使用统计（2021）——应用和公司记录的业务。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> YouTube has been attempting a higher monetization of its nearly 2.3bn users by pushing premium subscriptions. The prices are not fixed around the globe, but in the US, where most of the revenue is made, it is $11.99 a month or $119.88 per year. This is significantly higher than the ad revenue per user, and although the percentage of premium users is small, it is also true that it has increased ten-fold since 2015. If the trend continues it could hit almost 12% of total users by 2030.</p><p><blockquote>YouTube一直试图通过推广付费订阅来提高其近23亿用户的盈利能力。全球范围内的价格并不固定，但在大部分收入来源的美国，价格为每月11.99美元或每年119.88美元。这明显高于每用户的广告收入，尽管高级用户的比例很小，但自2015年以来增长了十倍也是事实。如果这一趋势继续下去，到2030年，它可能会达到总用户的近12%。</blockquote></p><p> Source: Author’s work based on YouTube Revenue and Usage Statistics (2021) - Business of Apps</p><p><blockquote>资料来源：作者基于YouTube收入和使用统计数据的工作（2021年）-应用程序业务</blockquote></p><p> If we add together the forecast for total users, percentage of premium users and projected ad revenue per (non-premium) user, we come to a forecast of what YouTube’s revenue path could look like in the coming years. You can see it summarized in this table.</p><p><blockquote>如果我们将对总用户、付费用户百分比和每个（非付费）用户的预计广告收入的预测加在一起，我们就可以预测YouTube未来几年的收入路径。你可以在这个表中看到它的总结。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc620a5b88c2bcb30f76020d0f07924c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"535\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> This forecast suggests that YouTube could bring in revenues close to $300bn by 2030, representing a CAGR of 28% from 2020. This combined with promising prospects for the cloud business and a seemingly continuous growth of its search engine revenue, would suggest that the overall Alphabet revenue will be closer to the $1.1tn mark than the $600bn, out of the two scenarios discussed earlier. If this is the case and it becomes apparent with further news on performance, and the market perceives as we do a likely long-term return near 19%, there will be plenty of room for a higher stock price shortly.</p><p><blockquote>这一预测表明，到2030年，YouTube的收入可能接近3000亿美元，比2020年的复合年增长率为28%。再加上云业务的光明前景及其搜索引擎收入似乎持续增长，这表明Alphabet的整体收入将接近1.1万亿美元大关，而不是之前讨论的两种情况中的6000亿美元。如果是这种情况，并且随着业绩的进一步消息而变得明显，并且市场认为我们的长期回报率可能接近19%，那么股价很快就会有很大的上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Takeaway</b></p><p><blockquote><b>外卖</b></blockquote></p><p> I believe that Google’s revenues are more likely to follow the exponential growth path laid out above. This is supported byYouTube’s increasing growth and profitability prospects. In my humble opinion, Google is set to be one of the best-performing companies of the next decade, and committing part of your portfolio to this company is a decision you won’t regret.</p><p><blockquote>我相信谷歌的收入更有可能遵循上面列出的指数增长路径。这得到了YouTube不断增长的增长和盈利前景的支持。依我拙见，谷歌将成为未来十年表现最好的公司之一，将你的部分投资组合投入到这家公司是一个你不会后悔的决定。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Forget Cloud, YouTube Will Lead Alphabet To Exponential Growth<blockquote>忘记云，YouTube将引领Alphabet实现指数级增长</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nForget Cloud, YouTube Will Lead Alphabet To Exponential Growth<blockquote>忘记云，YouTube将引领Alphabet实现指数级增长</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-26 15:45</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Google continues to deliver outstanding growth, and YouTube is the best-performing segment.</li>  <li>The YouTube platform is poised to keep growing and further increase user monetization.</li>  <li>Our forecast suggests Google could bring in over $1 trillion in revenues by 2030 with a $14,000 share price.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3bc76d8cff230ecce9779683bdf577ed\" tg-width=\"490\" tg-height=\"350\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Lauren Nicole/DigitalVision via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>谷歌继续实现出色的增长，YouTube是表现最好的细分市场。</li><li>YouTube平台将继续增长，并进一步增加用户货币化。</li><li>我们的预测表明，到2030年，谷歌的收入可能会超过1万亿美元，股价为14,000美元。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>劳伦·妮可/DigitalVision来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Thesis Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>论文摘要</b></blockquote></p><p> Alphabet Inc. (GOOG)(GOOGL) has been one of the best-performing companies and stocks of the last decade. The company makes most of its revenue from search ads, but it has faster growing and more promising segments, such as “YouTube'' and “Cloud”. While most investors focus on the potential of Cloud, I believe that revenue from YouTube ads and YouTube subscriptions is the key factor that will allow the company to outperform, maintain a premium valuation, and ultimately reach a price of $14,000 with revenues of +$1 trillion.</p><p><blockquote>Alphabet公司（GOOG）（GOOGL）是过去十年中表现最好的公司和股票之一。该公司的大部分收入来自搜索广告，但它有增长更快、更有前途的细分市场，例如“YouTube”和“云”。虽然大多数投资者都关注云的潜力，但我相信YouTube广告和YouTube订阅的收入是使该公司跑赢大盘、维持溢价估值并最终达到14,000美元价格、收入超过1万亿美元的关键因素。</blockquote></p><p> <b>YouTube in Numbers</b></p><p><blockquote><b>YouTube的数字</b></blockquote></p><p> YouTube was originally conceived by three ex PayPal (PYPL) employees in 2005 and quickly acquired by Google in 2006 for $1.65 billion. WhenYouTube began, it received around 30,000 views per day. Today, it is the second most popular website in the world, with over 30 million visitors per day and 300 hours of content uploaded every minute.</p><p><blockquote>YouTube最初是由三名前PayPal(PYPL)员工于2005年构思的，并于2006年迅速被谷歌以16.5亿美元收购。当YouTube开始时，它每天收到大约30,000次浏览。今天，它是世界上第二大最受欢迎的网站，每天有超过3000万访问者，每分钟上传300小时的内容。</blockquote></p><p> YouTube’s growth since its inception has been staggering, and, in terms of revenue, it is actually Google’s fastest-growing segment as of the last quarter:</p><p><blockquote>YouTube自成立以来的增长令人震惊，就收入而言，它实际上是谷歌上季度增长最快的部门：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ac38e8a4000826c38acb02a73c62652b\" tg-width=\"1178\" tg-height=\"950\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source:10-Q</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：10-Q</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Google Search &amp; Other is where the bulk of revenue comes from, and this segment grew at a rate of 30% YoY.YouTube Ads, which accounts for a little over 10% of overall revenues, grew to the tune of 48.7%. This growth rate is even higher than Google Cloud, which increased by 45.73%. Furthermore, we must also take into account that theYouTube platform is also responsible for part of the revenues contained in Google Other. This segment includes revenues fromYouTube’s subscription services such asYouTube TV andYouTube Premium.</p><p><blockquote>Google搜索和其他是大部分收入的来源，该细分市场同比增长30%。YouTube广告占总收入的10%多一点，增长了48.7%。这一增速甚至高于谷歌云，后者增长了45.73%。此外，我们还必须考虑到，YouTube平台也负责Google Other中包含的部分收入。该部门包括YouTube TV和YouTube Premium等YouTube订阅服务的收入。</blockquote></p><p> Looking solely at the numbers, it is clear thatYouTube is a key segment driving growth in the company. But what can we expect ofYouTube going forward? And what makes it better than the competition?</p><p><blockquote>仅从数字来看，很明显YouTube是推动公司增长的关键细分市场。但是我们对YouTube的未来有什么期待呢？是什么让它比竞争对手更好？</blockquote></p><p> <b>What makes</b><b>YouTube a great business?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>是什么造就了</b><b>YouTube是一个伟大的企业？</b></blockquote></p><p> In a previous&nbsp;article on Visa(V), I discussed how the company showcases the 7 different business moats that Hamilton Helmer puts forward in his book&nbsp;7 Powers. Looking atYouTube, we can also identify these compelling moats, which protect it from the competition and set it apart from other businesses.</p><p><blockquote>在之前关于Visa(V)的文章中，我讨论了该公司如何展示汉密尔顿·赫尔默(Hamilton Helmer)在其著作《7种权力》中提出的7种不同的商业护城河。看看YouTube，我们还可以发现这些引人注目的护城河，这些护城河保护它免受竞争并将其与其他企业区分开来。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Scale and Network Effect</b></p><p><blockquote><b>规模与网络效应</b></blockquote></p><p> Due to the nature of the platform,YouTube enjoys both scale and network effects.YouTube can add more users without hardly increasing its costs. There may be some costs associated with hosting and even regulating content, but it is negligible. Any competitor wanting to enter this space would have to spend a considerable amount, just to get anywhere near having the infrastructure and contentYouTube has.</p><p><blockquote>由于平台的性质，YouTube同时享有规模效应和网络效应。YouTube可以在几乎不增加成本的情况下增加更多用户。托管甚至监管内容可能会有一些成本，但可以忽略不计。任何想要进入这个领域的竞争对手都必须花费大量资金，才能接近YouTube所拥有的基础设施和内容。</blockquote></p><p> On top of that, with every new user/creator, the value of the network increases. The more people upload onYouTube, the more content there is available, which leads to more views and in turn, leads to more incentives to upload content toYouTube.</p><p><blockquote>最重要的是，随着每一个新用户/创建者，网络的价值都会增加。上传到YouTube的人越多，可用的内容就越多，这会导致更多的浏览量，反过来，也会导致更多的动机将内容上传到YouTube。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Switching costs and Branding</b></p><p><blockquote><b>转换成本和品牌</b></blockquote></p><p> As far users go, there are indeed no real switching costs, but these come into play for creators. Those who have built a following onYouTube have strong incentives to continue growing their audience on the platform. Ultimately,YouTube offers both a compelling reward system for creators and access to the largest audience the internet has to offer.</p><p><blockquote>就用户而言，确实没有真正的转换成本，但这些成本对创作者来说会发挥作用。那些在YouTube上建立了追随者的人有强烈的动机继续在该平台上增加他们的观众。最终，YouTube为创作者提供了一个引人注目的奖励系统，并接触到了互联网所能提供的最大受众。</blockquote></p><p> As far as branding goes, we could certainly say thatYouTube excels in this arena. This can be seen by the fact thatYouTube has even become a commonly used verb and “YouTuber” is even used as a job title.YouTube is the go-to place around the world if you want to find any form of video content.</p><p><blockquote>就品牌而言，我们可以肯定地说YouTube在这一领域表现出色。这可以从YouTube甚至成为一个常用的动词，“YouTuber”甚至被用作一个职位头衔这一事实中看出。如果你想找到任何形式的视频内容，YouTube是世界各地的首选。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Counter positioning and Process Power</b></p><p><blockquote><b>计数器定位和过程功率</b></blockquote></p><p> Counter-positioning refers to the idea that a company has a disruptive business model that others can’t copy. In this case, we have to think, is there a business model which could compete withYouTube and that the company can’t copy/absorb?</p><p><blockquote>反向定位是指认为一家公司拥有别人无法复制的颠覆性商业模式。在这种情况下，我们不得不思考，有没有一种商业模式可以与YouTube竞争，而该公司无法复制/吸收？</blockquote></p><p></p><p> We actually have a perfect example of this happening in how companies likeSpotify(SPOT) are trying to compete with Google by offering content through subscriptions. However, in the last few years, we have seenYouTube launch its own subscription options, competing head-on with Spotify. Furthermore, Google also can absorb any competitor that it deems it can’t compete with head-on.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，我们有一个很好的例子，像Spotify(SPOT)这样的公司试图通过订阅提供内容来与谷歌竞争。然而，在过去几年中，我们看到YouTube推出了自己的订阅选项，与Spotify正面竞争。此外，谷歌还可以吸收任何它认为无法正面竞争的竞争对手。</blockquote></p><p> Process power can be defined as “embedded company organisation and activity sets which enable lower costs and/or superior product.” In the case ofYouTube, the “process power” is their algorithm and access to data, which allows them to serve both optimal content and advertising. Google’s access to data is unrivalled, and this is what allows it to be much more efficient.</p><p><blockquote>流程能力可以定义为“嵌入式公司组织和活动集，可实现更低的成本和/或更好的产品。”就YouTube而言，“处理能力”是他们的算法和对数据的访问，这使他们能够提供最佳内容和广告。谷歌对数据的访问是无与伦比的，这也是它效率更高的原因。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Cornered resource</b></p><p><blockquote><b>被垄断的资源</b></blockquote></p><p> Lastly, we have the cornered resource. This means having exclusive access to a valuable resource. Patents are an example of this. In the case ofYouTube, there are a few elements that we could call cornered resources. The data that Google has access to, could be an example of this. Another exclusive resource thatYouTube has is its “YouTubers”. These individuals are providing content to Google for free daily. This content can indeed find its way to other platforms, butYouTube offers these creators attractive payment terms and a huge audience.</p><p><blockquote>最后，我们有被垄断的资源。这意味着拥有对有价值资源的独占访问权。专利就是一个例子。就YouTube而言，有一些元素我们可以看涨期权垄断资源。谷歌可以访问的数据可能就是一个例子。YouTube拥有的另一个独家资源是它的“YouTubers”。这些人每天免费向谷歌提供内容。这些内容确实可以到达其他平台，但YouTube为这些创作者提供了有吸引力的支付条件和庞大的受众。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The future of</b>&nbsp;<b>YouTube Revenues</b></p><p><blockquote><b>的未来</b> <b>YouTube收入</b></blockquote></p><p> The only question that remains to be answered, is how will Google best monetizeYouTube? For the time being,YouTube’s main source of revenue is advertising. In recent quarters, the company has found particular success with direct-response ads, which create a sense of urgency and have a clear call-to-action.</p><p><blockquote>唯一有待回答的问题是，谷歌将如何最好地将YouTube货币化？就目前而言，YouTube的主要收入来源是广告。最近几个季度，该公司在直接响应广告方面取得了特别成功，这种广告营造了一种紧迫感，并具有明确的行动看涨期权。</blockquote></p><p> In terms of advertising, what setsYouTube apart though, is its incredibly powerful AI, and it can offer something that traditional TV just can’t do. This was best described by Loup Ventures Managing Partner Gene Munster:</p><p><blockquote>在广告方面，YouTube的与众不同之处在于其令人难以置信的强大人工智能，它可以提供传统电视无法提供的东西。Loup Ventures管理合伙人Gene Munster对此进行了最好的描述：</blockquote></p><p>   YouTube is now best positioned to deliver on something we’ve talked about for a decade, which is two people watching the same live event but getting different ads.  Source:CNBC</p><p><blockquote>YouTube现在最有能力提供我们已经谈论了十年的东西，即两个人观看同一个直播活动，但收到不同的广告。资料来源：CNBC</blockquote></p><p> YouTube is known for its user-generated content, but it’s just a matter of time before it moves into areas such as live sports and TV shows.</p><p><blockquote>YouTube以其用户生成的内容而闻名，但它进入体育直播和电视节目等领域只是时间问题。</blockquote></p><p> The most important step will be to increase the revenues coming from sellingYouTube as a service.YouTube Premium has been growing rapidly since 2015, and it could be an even larger source of revenue for Google than advertising. Ultimately, Google could unlock massive value by bundling together its services.YouTube Premium Cloud, for example, could all be part of one package. It’s all about building an ecosystem around the brand.</p><p><blockquote>最重要的一步将是增加销售YouTube即服务的收入。YouTube Premium自2015年以来一直在快速增长，对于谷歌来说，它可能是比广告更大的收入来源。最终，谷歌可以通过将其服务捆绑在一起来释放巨大的价值。例如，YouTube Premium Cloud可以全部成为一个包的一部分。这一切都是为了围绕品牌建立一个生态系统。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Forecast and Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>预测与估值</b></blockquote></p><p> If we look at Alphabet’s revenue, it has a remarkably consistent growth pattern for a 10-year period.</p><p><blockquote>如果我们看看Alphabet的收入，就会发现它在10年的时间里有着非常一致的增长模式。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/879a040103c53eb5da2bc1e79c288a65\" tg-width=\"551\" tg-height=\"298\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The polynomial function you can see above is the most fitting mathematical expression to describe it. The R2 value is the measure of fit, which you can see is quite close to 100%. This function forecasts a slowly diminishing growth rate, from 18% in 2021 to 10% in 2030 in this case, which would take revenues to $600 billion in nine and a half years. The thing is, with growth rates dropping below 10% as the business becomes more consolidated, valuation multiples would likely come closer to the average for the sector. Let's compare the Price to Sales ratio, for example, which is currently at 8.70 (GAAP TTM) for Alphabet. If this were to change to the sector median ratio of 2.03, the share price would be only $1800.</p><p><blockquote>你在上面看到的多项式函数是描述它最合适的数学表达式。R2值是拟合度的度量，您可以看到它非常接近100%。该函数预测增长率将缓慢下降，在本例中从2021年的18%降至2030年的10%，这将使收入在九年半内达到6000亿美元。问题是，随着业务更加整合，增长率降至10%以下，估值倍数可能会更接近该行业的平均水平。例如，让我们比较一下Alphabet目前的市销率为8.70（GAAP TTM）。如果这一比率变为行业中位数2.03，股价将仅为1800美元。</blockquote></p><p> You could and should argue that Alphabet’s superior sales multiple accounts for not only growth but also profitability, since the Price to Earnings ratio is also superior to the sector median (29.79 vs. 22.85), but not nearly by as much. To simplify, let’s say that the PE ratio is 30% higher than the sector median because of superior growth and that the PS ratio is 4.29 times as high as the sector median mainly because of profitability. If we take out the 30% growth factor it should only be 3.29 times higher than the sector median, which is a PS ratio of 6.67. At that ratio a revenue of $600bn without having the shares trading at $5,900. Starting at the current price of his means a yearly return of about 9%.</p><p><blockquote>你可以而且应该认为，Alphabet卓越的销售倍数不仅是增长的原因，也是盈利能力的原因，因为市盈率也优于行业中位数（29.79比22.85），但相差不远。简单来说，假设市盈率比行业中位数高30%是因为增长出色，而市盈率比行业中位数高4.29倍主要是因为盈利能力。如果我们剔除30%的增长因素，它应该只比行业中位数高3.29倍，即市盈率为6.67。按照这个比率，如果股价不是5900美元，收入将达到6000亿美元。以他目前的价格开始意味着年回报率约为9%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2d96d9d77fc4e470238961090adc80ef\" tg-width=\"551\" tg-height=\"298\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> As you can see, the exponential trendline is also a remarkably good fit. This would forecast a constant growth of 19% per year, reaching $1.1 trillion in revenues.</p><p><blockquote>正如您所看到的，指数趋势线也非常适合。预计每年将持续增长19%，收入将达到1.1万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> If this is maintained, not only will revenue be higher, but also with a growth rate that isn’t diminishing, current above-average valuation multiples would still be justified. With this 1.1 trillion in revenues and a PS ratio of 8.7, as it is currently, the share price could reach over $14,000 by 2030, which is of course a 19% yearly return from the current price.</p><p><blockquote>如果这种情况持续下去，不仅收入会更高，而且增长率不会下降，目前高于平均水平的估值倍数仍然是合理的。以目前1.1万亿美元的收入和8.7的市盈率，到2030年股价可能会超过14,000美元，这当然是当前价格19%的年回报率。</blockquote></p><p> I would risk stating the obvious if I just said that differences in growth sustained in the long run can have a large effect on the value of a company, but it is useful to put it into numbers for some perspective.</p><p><blockquote>如果我只是说长期持续增长的差异会对公司的价值产生很大影响，我会冒险陈述显而易见的事实，但从某种角度来看，将其转化为数字是有用的。</blockquote></p><p> Speaking of Alphabet’s growth, let’s see what is happening with one of its promising segments, YouTube. This platform has given Alphabet increased revenues since its acquisition. Revenues have been mostly in the form of advertising, but this could shift in the coming years. YouTube had approximately 2.3bn users in 2020, having almost doubled in five years. If this trend continues, it could count as many as 6.9bn users by 2030.</p><p><blockquote>说到Alphabet的增长，让我们看看其最有前途的细分市场之一YouTube正在发生什么。自收购以来，该平台为Alphabet带来了更多收入。收入主要以广告形式出现，但这种情况在未来几年可能会发生变化。2020年，YouTube拥有约23亿用户，五年内几乎翻了一番。如果这一趋势持续下去，到2030年，它的用户数量可能高达69亿。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b131552843a9861df18d8828d753f5a2\" tg-width=\"405\" tg-height=\"238\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source:YouTube Revenue and Usage Statistics (2021) - Business of Apps</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：YouTube收入和使用统计（2021年）-应用程序业务</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Ad revenue per user is also growing consistently, especially as the platform increases the presence of advertising to push the premium subscription. We have made a forecast based on the data from the last 4 years, which is how long this segment has been disclosed separately in Alphabet’s statements of operations.</p><p><blockquote>每用户的广告收入也在持续增长，特别是随着平台增加广告的存在以推动高级订阅。我们根据过去4年的数据进行了预测，这是该部门在Alphabet运营报表中单独披露的时间。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bb814b6721a846c98a84a865b39ed716\" tg-width=\"409\" tg-height=\"232\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author’s work based on Source: YouTube Revenue and Usage Statistics (2021) - Business of Apps and company records.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者的工作基于来源：YouTube收入和使用统计（2021）——应用和公司记录的业务。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> YouTube has been attempting a higher monetization of its nearly 2.3bn users by pushing premium subscriptions. The prices are not fixed around the globe, but in the US, where most of the revenue is made, it is $11.99 a month or $119.88 per year. This is significantly higher than the ad revenue per user, and although the percentage of premium users is small, it is also true that it has increased ten-fold since 2015. If the trend continues it could hit almost 12% of total users by 2030.</p><p><blockquote>YouTube一直试图通过推广付费订阅来提高其近23亿用户的盈利能力。全球范围内的价格并不固定，但在大部分收入来源的美国，价格为每月11.99美元或每年119.88美元。这明显高于每用户的广告收入，尽管高级用户的比例很小，但自2015年以来增长了十倍也是事实。如果这一趋势继续下去，到2030年，它可能会达到总用户的近12%。</blockquote></p><p> Source: Author’s work based on YouTube Revenue and Usage Statistics (2021) - Business of Apps</p><p><blockquote>资料来源：作者基于YouTube收入和使用统计数据的工作（2021年）-应用程序业务</blockquote></p><p> If we add together the forecast for total users, percentage of premium users and projected ad revenue per (non-premium) user, we come to a forecast of what YouTube’s revenue path could look like in the coming years. You can see it summarized in this table.</p><p><blockquote>如果我们将对总用户、付费用户百分比和每个（非付费）用户的预计广告收入的预测加在一起，我们就可以预测YouTube未来几年的收入路径。你可以在这个表中看到它的总结。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc620a5b88c2bcb30f76020d0f07924c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"535\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> This forecast suggests that YouTube could bring in revenues close to $300bn by 2030, representing a CAGR of 28% from 2020. This combined with promising prospects for the cloud business and a seemingly continuous growth of its search engine revenue, would suggest that the overall Alphabet revenue will be closer to the $1.1tn mark than the $600bn, out of the two scenarios discussed earlier. If this is the case and it becomes apparent with further news on performance, and the market perceives as we do a likely long-term return near 19%, there will be plenty of room for a higher stock price shortly.</p><p><blockquote>这一预测表明，到2030年，YouTube的收入可能接近3000亿美元，比2020年的复合年增长率为28%。再加上云业务的光明前景及其搜索引擎收入似乎持续增长，这表明Alphabet的整体收入将接近1.1万亿美元大关，而不是之前讨论的两种情况中的6000亿美元。如果是这种情况，并且随着业绩的进一步消息而变得明显，并且市场认为我们的长期回报率可能接近19%，那么股价很快就会有很大的上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Takeaway</b></p><p><blockquote><b>外卖</b></blockquote></p><p> I believe that Google’s revenues are more likely to follow the exponential growth path laid out above. This is supported byYouTube’s increasing growth and profitability prospects. In my humble opinion, Google is set to be one of the best-performing companies of the next decade, and committing part of your portfolio to this company is a decision you won’t regret.</p><p><blockquote>我相信谷歌的收入更有可能遵循上面列出的指数增长路径。这得到了YouTube不断增长的增长和盈利前景的支持。依我拙见，谷歌将成为未来十年表现最好的公司之一，将你的部分投资组合投入到这家公司是一个你不会后悔的决定。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4441312-forget-cloud-youtube-will-lead-alphabet-to-exponential-growth\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GOOG":"谷歌","GOOGL":"谷歌A"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4441312-forget-cloud-youtube-will-lead-alphabet-to-exponential-growth","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1116690230","content_text":"Summary\n\nGoogle continues to deliver outstanding growth, and YouTube is the best-performing segment.\nThe YouTube platform is poised to keep growing and further increase user monetization.\nOur forecast suggests Google could bring in over $1 trillion in revenues by 2030 with a $14,000 share price.\n\nLauren Nicole/DigitalVision via Getty Images\nThesis Summary\nAlphabet Inc. (GOOG)(GOOGL) has been one of the best-performing companies and stocks of the last decade. The company makes most of its revenue from search ads, but it has faster growing and more promising segments, such as “YouTube'' and “Cloud”. While most investors focus on the potential of Cloud, I believe that revenue from YouTube ads and YouTube subscriptions is the key factor that will allow the company to outperform, maintain a premium valuation, and ultimately reach a price of $14,000 with revenues of +$1 trillion.\nYouTube in Numbers\nYouTube was originally conceived by three ex PayPal (PYPL) employees in 2005 and quickly acquired by Google in 2006 for $1.65 billion. WhenYouTube began, it received around 30,000 views per day. Today, it is the second most popular website in the world, with over 30 million visitors per day and 300 hours of content uploaded every minute.\nYouTube’s growth since its inception has been staggering, and, in terms of revenue, it is actually Google’s fastest-growing segment as of the last quarter:\nSource:10-Q\nGoogle Search & Other is where the bulk of revenue comes from, and this segment grew at a rate of 30% YoY.YouTube Ads, which accounts for a little over 10% of overall revenues, grew to the tune of 48.7%. This growth rate is even higher than Google Cloud, which increased by 45.73%. Furthermore, we must also take into account that theYouTube platform is also responsible for part of the revenues contained in Google Other. This segment includes revenues fromYouTube’s subscription services such asYouTube TV andYouTube Premium.\nLooking solely at the numbers, it is clear thatYouTube is a key segment driving growth in the company. But what can we expect ofYouTube going forward? And what makes it better than the competition?\nWhat makesYouTube a great business?\nIn a previous article on Visa(V), I discussed how the company showcases the 7 different business moats that Hamilton Helmer puts forward in his book 7 Powers. Looking atYouTube, we can also identify these compelling moats, which protect it from the competition and set it apart from other businesses.\nScale and Network Effect\nDue to the nature of the platform,YouTube enjoys both scale and network effects.YouTube can add more users without hardly increasing its costs. There may be some costs associated with hosting and even regulating content, but it is negligible. Any competitor wanting to enter this space would have to spend a considerable amount, just to get anywhere near having the infrastructure and contentYouTube has.\nOn top of that, with every new user/creator, the value of the network increases. The more people upload onYouTube, the more content there is available, which leads to more views and in turn, leads to more incentives to upload content toYouTube.\nSwitching costs and Branding\nAs far users go, there are indeed no real switching costs, but these come into play for creators. Those who have built a following onYouTube have strong incentives to continue growing their audience on the platform. Ultimately,YouTube offers both a compelling reward system for creators and access to the largest audience the internet has to offer.\nAs far as branding goes, we could certainly say thatYouTube excels in this arena. This can be seen by the fact thatYouTube has even become a commonly used verb and “YouTuber” is even used as a job title.YouTube is the go-to place around the world if you want to find any form of video content.\nCounter positioning and Process Power\nCounter-positioning refers to the idea that a company has a disruptive business model that others can’t copy. In this case, we have to think, is there a business model which could compete withYouTube and that the company can’t copy/absorb?\nWe actually have a perfect example of this happening in how companies likeSpotify(SPOT) are trying to compete with Google by offering content through subscriptions. However, in the last few years, we have seenYouTube launch its own subscription options, competing head-on with Spotify. Furthermore, Google also can absorb any competitor that it deems it can’t compete with head-on.\nProcess power can be defined as “embedded company organisation and activity sets which enable lower costs and/or superior product.” In the case ofYouTube, the “process power” is their algorithm and access to data, which allows them to serve both optimal content and advertising. Google’s access to data is unrivalled, and this is what allows it to be much more efficient.\nCornered resource\nLastly, we have the cornered resource. This means having exclusive access to a valuable resource. Patents are an example of this. In the case ofYouTube, there are a few elements that we could call cornered resources. The data that Google has access to, could be an example of this. Another exclusive resource thatYouTube has is its “YouTubers”. These individuals are providing content to Google for free daily. This content can indeed find its way to other platforms, butYouTube offers these creators attractive payment terms and a huge audience.\nThe future of YouTube Revenues\nThe only question that remains to be answered, is how will Google best monetizeYouTube? For the time being,YouTube’s main source of revenue is advertising. In recent quarters, the company has found particular success with direct-response ads, which create a sense of urgency and have a clear call-to-action.\nIn terms of advertising, what setsYouTube apart though, is its incredibly powerful AI, and it can offer something that traditional TV just can’t do. This was best described by Loup Ventures Managing Partner Gene Munster:\n\n YouTube is now best positioned to deliver on something we’ve talked about for a decade, which is two people watching the same live event but getting different ads.\n\nSource:CNBC\nYouTube is known for its user-generated content, but it’s just a matter of time before it moves into areas such as live sports and TV shows.\nThe most important step will be to increase the revenues coming from sellingYouTube as a service.YouTube Premium has been growing rapidly since 2015, and it could be an even larger source of revenue for Google than advertising. Ultimately, Google could unlock massive value by bundling together its services.YouTube Premium Cloud, for example, could all be part of one package. It’s all about building an ecosystem around the brand.\nForecast and Valuation\nIf we look at Alphabet’s revenue, it has a remarkably consistent growth pattern for a 10-year period.\n\nThe polynomial function you can see above is the most fitting mathematical expression to describe it. The R2 value is the measure of fit, which you can see is quite close to 100%. This function forecasts a slowly diminishing growth rate, from 18% in 2021 to 10% in 2030 in this case, which would take revenues to $600 billion in nine and a half years. The thing is, with growth rates dropping below 10% as the business becomes more consolidated, valuation multiples would likely come closer to the average for the sector. Let's compare the Price to Sales ratio, for example, which is currently at 8.70 (GAAP TTM) for Alphabet. If this were to change to the sector median ratio of 2.03, the share price would be only $1800.\nYou could and should argue that Alphabet’s superior sales multiple accounts for not only growth but also profitability, since the Price to Earnings ratio is also superior to the sector median (29.79 vs. 22.85), but not nearly by as much. To simplify, let’s say that the PE ratio is 30% higher than the sector median because of superior growth and that the PS ratio is 4.29 times as high as the sector median mainly because of profitability. If we take out the 30% growth factor it should only be 3.29 times higher than the sector median, which is a PS ratio of 6.67. At that ratio a revenue of $600bn without having the shares trading at $5,900. Starting at the current price of his means a yearly return of about 9%.\n\nAs you can see, the exponential trendline is also a remarkably good fit. This would forecast a constant growth of 19% per year, reaching $1.1 trillion in revenues.\nIf this is maintained, not only will revenue be higher, but also with a growth rate that isn’t diminishing, current above-average valuation multiples would still be justified. With this 1.1 trillion in revenues and a PS ratio of 8.7, as it is currently, the share price could reach over $14,000 by 2030, which is of course a 19% yearly return from the current price.\nI would risk stating the obvious if I just said that differences in growth sustained in the long run can have a large effect on the value of a company, but it is useful to put it into numbers for some perspective.\nSpeaking of Alphabet’s growth, let’s see what is happening with one of its promising segments, YouTube. This platform has given Alphabet increased revenues since its acquisition. Revenues have been mostly in the form of advertising, but this could shift in the coming years. YouTube had approximately 2.3bn users in 2020, having almost doubled in five years. If this trend continues, it could count as many as 6.9bn users by 2030.\nSource:YouTube Revenue and Usage Statistics (2021) - Business of Apps\nAd revenue per user is also growing consistently, especially as the platform increases the presence of advertising to push the premium subscription. We have made a forecast based on the data from the last 4 years, which is how long this segment has been disclosed separately in Alphabet’s statements of operations.\nSource: Author’s work based on Source: YouTube Revenue and Usage Statistics (2021) - Business of Apps and company records.\nYouTube has been attempting a higher monetization of its nearly 2.3bn users by pushing premium subscriptions. The prices are not fixed around the globe, but in the US, where most of the revenue is made, it is $11.99 a month or $119.88 per year. This is significantly higher than the ad revenue per user, and although the percentage of premium users is small, it is also true that it has increased ten-fold since 2015. If the trend continues it could hit almost 12% of total users by 2030.\nSource: Author’s work based on YouTube Revenue and Usage Statistics (2021) - Business of Apps\nIf we add together the forecast for total users, percentage of premium users and projected ad revenue per (non-premium) user, we come to a forecast of what YouTube’s revenue path could look like in the coming years. You can see it summarized in this table.\n\nThis forecast suggests that YouTube could bring in revenues close to $300bn by 2030, representing a CAGR of 28% from 2020. This combined with promising prospects for the cloud business and a seemingly continuous growth of its search engine revenue, would suggest that the overall Alphabet revenue will be closer to the $1.1tn mark than the $600bn, out of the two scenarios discussed earlier. If this is the case and it becomes apparent with further news on performance, and the market perceives as we do a likely long-term return near 19%, there will be plenty of room for a higher stock price shortly.\nTakeaway\nI believe that Google’s revenues are more likely to follow the exponential growth path laid out above. This is supported byYouTube’s increasing growth and profitability prospects. In my humble opinion, Google is set to be one of the best-performing companies of the next decade, and committing part of your portfolio to this company is a decision you won’t regret.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GOOGL":0.9,"GOOG":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":630,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":800894592,"gmtCreate":1627289563716,"gmtModify":1633766481958,"author":{"id":"3586310790127154","authorId":"3586310790127154","name":"65ad2341","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586310790127154","authorIdStr":"3586310790127154"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Again","listText":"Again","text":"Again","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/800894592","repostId":"1176724863","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":713,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":800895275,"gmtCreate":1627289515397,"gmtModify":1633766482427,"author":{"id":"3586310790127154","authorId":"3586310790127154","name":"65ad2341","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586310790127154","authorIdStr":"3586310790127154"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"LOL…","listText":"LOL…","text":"LOL…","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/800895275","repostId":"2154931205","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":536,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":800076532,"gmtCreate":1627268681426,"gmtModify":1633766675226,"author":{"id":"3586310790127154","authorId":"3586310790127154","name":"65ad2341","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586310790127154","authorIdStr":"3586310790127154"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Gg","listText":"Gg","text":"Gg","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/800076532","repostId":"1177294462","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":421,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":174255928,"gmtCreate":1627104652664,"gmtModify":1633767908195,"author":{"id":"3586310790127154","authorId":"3586310790127154","name":"65ad2341","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586310790127154","authorIdStr":"3586310790127154"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"LOL","listText":"LOL","text":"LOL","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/174255928","repostId":"1124707956","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1124707956","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627053121,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1124707956?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-23 23:12","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Hedge Funds Dump The Rally After Buying The Dip<blockquote>对冲基金逢低买入后抛售涨势</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1124707956","media":"zerohedge","summary":"One can't say that Goldman's clients have too much faith in Goldman's trade recos.As Goldman's flow trader John Flood was urging clients on Monday \"not to buy this dip\", they did just that and on Monday Goldman's Prime Brokerage service observed a surge in hedge fund dip buying as the S&P tumbled as low as 4,220. Those same hedge funds, however, clearly unsure what happens next, then proceeded to dump the rally andon Tuesday the GS Prime book saw the largest 1-day net selling since June 17 and t","content":"<p>One can't say that Goldman's clients have too much faith in Goldman's trade recos.</p><p><blockquote>不能说高盛的客户对高盛的交易记录太有信心。</blockquote></p><p> As Goldman's flow trader John Flood was urging clients on Monday \"not to buy this dip\", they did just that and on Monday Goldman's Prime Brokerage service observed a surge in hedge fund dip buying as the S&amp;P tumbled as low as 4,220. Those same hedge funds, however, clearly unsure what happens next, then proceeded to dump the rally and<b>on Tuesday the GS Prime book saw the largest 1-day net selling since June 17</b>(-2.2 SDs vs. the average daily net flow of the past year) and the biggest net selling in single names since Nov 2019, driven by long-and-short sales (1.6 to 1), as all regions were net sold led in $ terms by North America and DM Asia, and driven by long-and-short sales (2.5 to 1). This defensive positioning has continued through much of the post-Monday rally.</p><p><blockquote>当高盛的流量交易员约翰·弗洛德(John Flood)周一敦促客户“不要逢低买入”时，他们就这样做了。周一，随着标准普尔指数跌至4,220点，高盛的大宗经纪服务观察到对冲基金逢低买入激增。然而，这些对冲基金显然不确定接下来会发生什么，然后继续抛售涨势并<b>周二，GS Prime book出现自6月17日以来最大的单日净卖出</b>（与过去一年的平均每日净流量相比-2.2 SDs）以及自2019年11月以来最大的单一名称净卖出，由多空销售推动（1.6比1），因为所有地区均净卖出北美和亚洲DM以美元计算，并由多空销售推动（2.5比1）。这种防御性定位在周一后的大部分时间里一直持续。</blockquote></p><p> Some more observations from Goldman Prime on the post-bottom action:</p><p><blockquote>Goldman Prime对触底后行动的更多观察：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Single names saw the largest 1-day $ net selling since Nov ’19 (-4.0 SDs), which far outweighed net buying in Macro Products (Index and ETF combined).</li>  <li>8 of 11 sectors were net sold led in $ terms by Health Care, Industrials, Consumer Disc, and Utilities, while Info Tech, Energy, and Financials were net bought.</li>  <li>Despite the reversal in overall net trading activity, the underlying themes that stood out on Monday generally continued on Tuesday.</li>  <li><b>Buying Stay at Home (GSXUSTAY</b>) vs. Selling Go Outside (GSXUPAND) for a second straight day.</li> </ul> <ol>  <li>Constituents of the GSXUSTAY collectively were net bought again and saw the largest 1-day $ net buying since 6/28, driven by long buys.</li>  <li>Members of GSXUPAND collectively were net sold for a second straight day, amid risk-off flows with long buys outpacing short covers. That said, the pace of net selling in the group significantly moderated vs. what we saw on Monday.</li> </ol> <ul>  <li><b>Buying Expensive Software (GSCBSF8X) again</b>– basket constituents collectively were net bought for a second straight day and saw the largest 1-day $ net buying YTD, driven entirely by long buys.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>个股出现了自19年11月以来最大的单日美元净卖出（-4.0 SDs），远远超过了宏观产品（指数和ETF合计）的净买入。</li><li>11个行业中有8个行业被净卖出，以医疗保健、工业、消费光盘和公用事业为首，而信息技术、能源和金融则被净买入。</li><li>尽管整体净交易活动出现逆转，但周一突出的潜在主题在周二普遍延续。</li><li><b>购买呆在家里（GSXUSTAY</b>)与连续第二天销售出去(GSXUPAND)。</li></ul><ol><li>在多头买盘的推动下，GSXUSTAY的成分股再次集体净买入，并出现了自6月28日以来最大的单日美元净买入。</li><li>GSXUPAND成员连续第二天集体净卖出，原因是避险资金流动，多头买入超过空头回补。也就是说，与我们周一看到的情况相比，该集团的净抛售速度显着放缓。</li></ol><ul><li><b>再次购买昂贵的软件（GSCBSF8X）</b>-篮子成分股连续第二天被净买入，并出现年初至今最大的单日美元净买入，这完全是由多头买入推动的。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li><b>Risk-off in FAAMG (GSTMTMEG</b>) – the TMT mega caps collectively were modestly net sold, driven entirely by long sales, though net flows diverged by individual names. The group collectively has been net sold in 9 of the past 10 sessions (except 7/19).</p><p><blockquote><li><b>FAAMG中的风险规避</b>)-TMT大型股总体上出现小幅净卖出，完全由多头销售推动，尽管净流量因个别名称而有所不同。该集团在过去10个交易日中有9个交易日（7/19除外）出现净卖出。</li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ul> And visually:</p><p><blockquote>视觉上：</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c10eb63e147e5e14ef3cb10e25db2523\" tg-width=\"1089\" tg-height=\"1006\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> What does this mean for hedge fund performance? Despite the whipsaw, Goldman notes that fundamental LS managers experienced positive alpha for a third straight day and MTD</p><p><blockquote>这对对冲基金业绩意味着什么？高盛指出，尽管出现了拉锯，基本面LS经理连续第三天经历了正的阿尔法和MTD</blockquote></p><p> <b>Yesterday (July 20th)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>昨日（7月20日）</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Fundamental LS +0.8% (alpha +0.2%) vs MSCI TR +1.0%.</li>  <li>Systematic LS -0.2%</li> </ul> <b>July MTD</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>基本面LS+0.8%(alpha+0.2%)vs MSCI TR+1.0%。</li><li>系统LS–0.2%</li></ul><b>7月MTD</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Fundamental LS -0.7% (alpha +0.9%) vs MSCI TR -0.3%</li>  <li>Systematic LS +1.5%</li> </ul> <b>2021 YTD</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>基本面LS-0.7%(alpha+0.9%)vs MSCI TR-0.3%</li><li>系统LS+1.5%</li></ul><b>2021年初至今</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Fundamental LS +2.6% (alpha -5.7%) vs MSCI TR +12.7%</li>  <li>Systematic LS +12.2%</li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3d794cb43ddc7266af19225539b4d607\" tg-width=\"1088\" tg-height=\"442\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Finally, in terms of positioning, Goldman observes that overall leverage has fallen MTD; while Fundamental LS grosses are now in just the 19th percentile one-year though Nets remain relatively high.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>基本面LS+2.6%(alpha-5.7%)vs MSCI TR+12.7%</li><li>系统LS+12.2%</li></ul>最后，在定位方面，高盛观察到整体杠杆已下降MTD；虽然基本LS总收入现在仅为一年的第19百分位，但净收入仍然相对较高。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1d8fb3c9c67200b83051956e49b33e1c\" tg-width=\"1088\" tg-height=\"665\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Hedge Funds Dump The Rally After Buying The Dip<blockquote>对冲基金逢低买入后抛售涨势</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHedge Funds Dump The Rally After Buying The Dip<blockquote>对冲基金逢低买入后抛售涨势</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-23 23:12</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>One can't say that Goldman's clients have too much faith in Goldman's trade recos.</p><p><blockquote>不能说高盛的客户对高盛的交易记录太有信心。</blockquote></p><p> As Goldman's flow trader John Flood was urging clients on Monday \"not to buy this dip\", they did just that and on Monday Goldman's Prime Brokerage service observed a surge in hedge fund dip buying as the S&amp;P tumbled as low as 4,220. Those same hedge funds, however, clearly unsure what happens next, then proceeded to dump the rally and<b>on Tuesday the GS Prime book saw the largest 1-day net selling since June 17</b>(-2.2 SDs vs. the average daily net flow of the past year) and the biggest net selling in single names since Nov 2019, driven by long-and-short sales (1.6 to 1), as all regions were net sold led in $ terms by North America and DM Asia, and driven by long-and-short sales (2.5 to 1). This defensive positioning has continued through much of the post-Monday rally.</p><p><blockquote>当高盛的流量交易员约翰·弗洛德(John Flood)周一敦促客户“不要逢低买入”时，他们就这样做了。周一，随着标准普尔指数跌至4,220点，高盛的大宗经纪服务观察到对冲基金逢低买入激增。然而，这些对冲基金显然不确定接下来会发生什么，然后继续抛售涨势并<b>周二，GS Prime book出现自6月17日以来最大的单日净卖出</b>（与过去一年的平均每日净流量相比-2.2 SDs）以及自2019年11月以来最大的单一名称净卖出，由多空销售推动（1.6比1），因为所有地区均净卖出北美和亚洲DM以美元计算，并由多空销售推动（2.5比1）。这种防御性定位在周一后的大部分时间里一直持续。</blockquote></p><p> Some more observations from Goldman Prime on the post-bottom action:</p><p><blockquote>Goldman Prime对触底后行动的更多观察：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Single names saw the largest 1-day $ net selling since Nov ’19 (-4.0 SDs), which far outweighed net buying in Macro Products (Index and ETF combined).</li>  <li>8 of 11 sectors were net sold led in $ terms by Health Care, Industrials, Consumer Disc, and Utilities, while Info Tech, Energy, and Financials were net bought.</li>  <li>Despite the reversal in overall net trading activity, the underlying themes that stood out on Monday generally continued on Tuesday.</li>  <li><b>Buying Stay at Home (GSXUSTAY</b>) vs. Selling Go Outside (GSXUPAND) for a second straight day.</li> </ul> <ol>  <li>Constituents of the GSXUSTAY collectively were net bought again and saw the largest 1-day $ net buying since 6/28, driven by long buys.</li>  <li>Members of GSXUPAND collectively were net sold for a second straight day, amid risk-off flows with long buys outpacing short covers. That said, the pace of net selling in the group significantly moderated vs. what we saw on Monday.</li> </ol> <ul>  <li><b>Buying Expensive Software (GSCBSF8X) again</b>– basket constituents collectively were net bought for a second straight day and saw the largest 1-day $ net buying YTD, driven entirely by long buys.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>个股出现了自19年11月以来最大的单日美元净卖出（-4.0 SDs），远远超过了宏观产品（指数和ETF合计）的净买入。</li><li>11个行业中有8个行业被净卖出，以医疗保健、工业、消费光盘和公用事业为首，而信息技术、能源和金融则被净买入。</li><li>尽管整体净交易活动出现逆转，但周一突出的潜在主题在周二普遍延续。</li><li><b>购买呆在家里（GSXUSTAY</b>)与连续第二天销售出去(GSXUPAND)。</li></ul><ol><li>在多头买盘的推动下，GSXUSTAY的成分股再次集体净买入，并出现了自6月28日以来最大的单日美元净买入。</li><li>GSXUPAND成员连续第二天集体净卖出，原因是避险资金流动，多头买入超过空头回补。也就是说，与我们周一看到的情况相比，该集团的净抛售速度显着放缓。</li></ol><ul><li><b>再次购买昂贵的软件（GSCBSF8X）</b>-篮子成分股连续第二天被净买入，并出现年初至今最大的单日美元净买入，这完全是由多头买入推动的。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li><b>Risk-off in FAAMG (GSTMTMEG</b>) – the TMT mega caps collectively were modestly net sold, driven entirely by long sales, though net flows diverged by individual names. The group collectively has been net sold in 9 of the past 10 sessions (except 7/19).</p><p><blockquote><li><b>FAAMG中的风险规避</b>)-TMT大型股总体上出现小幅净卖出，完全由多头销售推动，尽管净流量因个别名称而有所不同。该集团在过去10个交易日中有9个交易日（7/19除外）出现净卖出。</li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ul> And visually:</p><p><blockquote>视觉上：</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c10eb63e147e5e14ef3cb10e25db2523\" tg-width=\"1089\" tg-height=\"1006\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> What does this mean for hedge fund performance? Despite the whipsaw, Goldman notes that fundamental LS managers experienced positive alpha for a third straight day and MTD</p><p><blockquote>这对对冲基金业绩意味着什么？高盛指出，尽管出现了拉锯，基本面LS经理连续第三天经历了正的阿尔法和MTD</blockquote></p><p> <b>Yesterday (July 20th)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>昨日（7月20日）</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Fundamental LS +0.8% (alpha +0.2%) vs MSCI TR +1.0%.</li>  <li>Systematic LS -0.2%</li> </ul> <b>July MTD</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>基本面LS+0.8%(alpha+0.2%)vs MSCI TR+1.0%。</li><li>系统LS–0.2%</li></ul><b>7月MTD</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Fundamental LS -0.7% (alpha +0.9%) vs MSCI TR -0.3%</li>  <li>Systematic LS +1.5%</li> </ul> <b>2021 YTD</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>基本面LS-0.7%(alpha+0.9%)vs MSCI TR-0.3%</li><li>系统LS+1.5%</li></ul><b>2021年初至今</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Fundamental LS +2.6% (alpha -5.7%) vs MSCI TR +12.7%</li>  <li>Systematic LS +12.2%</li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3d794cb43ddc7266af19225539b4d607\" tg-width=\"1088\" tg-height=\"442\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Finally, in terms of positioning, Goldman observes that overall leverage has fallen MTD; while Fundamental LS grosses are now in just the 19th percentile one-year though Nets remain relatively high.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>基本面LS+2.6%(alpha-5.7%)vs MSCI TR+12.7%</li><li>系统LS+12.2%</li></ul>最后，在定位方面，高盛观察到整体杠杆已下降MTD；虽然基本LS总收入现在仅为一年的第19百分位，但净收入仍然相对较高。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1d8fb3c9c67200b83051956e49b33e1c\" tg-width=\"1088\" tg-height=\"665\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/hedge-funds-dump-rally-after-buying-dip?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/hedge-funds-dump-rally-after-buying-dip?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1124707956","content_text":"One can't say that Goldman's clients have too much faith in Goldman's trade recos.\nAs Goldman's flow trader John Flood was urging clients on Monday \"not to buy this dip\", they did just that and on Monday Goldman's Prime Brokerage service observed a surge in hedge fund dip buying as the S&P tumbled as low as 4,220. Those same hedge funds, however, clearly unsure what happens next, then proceeded to dump the rally andon Tuesday the GS Prime book saw the largest 1-day net selling since June 17(-2.2 SDs vs. the average daily net flow of the past year) and the biggest net selling in single names since Nov 2019, driven by long-and-short sales (1.6 to 1), as all regions were net sold led in $ terms by North America and DM Asia, and driven by long-and-short sales (2.5 to 1). This defensive positioning has continued through much of the post-Monday rally.\nSome more observations from Goldman Prime on the post-bottom action:\n\nSingle names saw the largest 1-day $ net selling since Nov ’19 (-4.0 SDs), which far outweighed net buying in Macro Products (Index and ETF combined).\n8 of 11 sectors were net sold led in $ terms by Health Care, Industrials, Consumer Disc, and Utilities, while Info Tech, Energy, and Financials were net bought.\nDespite the reversal in overall net trading activity, the underlying themes that stood out on Monday generally continued on Tuesday.\nBuying Stay at Home (GSXUSTAY) vs. Selling Go Outside (GSXUPAND) for a second straight day.\n\n\nConstituents of the GSXUSTAY collectively were net bought again and saw the largest 1-day $ net buying since 6/28, driven by long buys.\nMembers of GSXUPAND collectively were net sold for a second straight day, amid risk-off flows with long buys outpacing short covers. That said, the pace of net selling in the group significantly moderated vs. what we saw on Monday.\n\n\nBuying Expensive Software (GSCBSF8X) again– basket constituents collectively were net bought for a second straight day and saw the largest 1-day $ net buying YTD, driven entirely by long buys.\nRisk-off in FAAMG (GSTMTMEG) – the TMT mega caps collectively were modestly net sold, driven entirely by long sales, though net flows diverged by individual names. The group collectively has been net sold in 9 of the past 10 sessions (except 7/19).\n\nAnd visually:\n\nWhat does this mean for hedge fund performance? Despite the whipsaw, Goldman notes that fundamental LS managers experienced positive alpha for a third straight day and MTD\nYesterday (July 20th)\n\nFundamental LS +0.8% (alpha +0.2%) vs MSCI TR +1.0%.\nSystematic LS -0.2%\n\nJuly MTD\n\nFundamental LS -0.7% (alpha +0.9%) vs MSCI TR -0.3%\nSystematic LS +1.5%\n\n2021 YTD\n\nFundamental LS +2.6% (alpha -5.7%) vs MSCI TR +12.7%\nSystematic LS +12.2%\n\nFinally, in terms of positioning, Goldman observes that overall leverage has fallen MTD; while Fundamental LS grosses are now in just the 19th percentile one-year though Nets remain relatively high.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":480,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":167079646,"gmtCreate":1624240913485,"gmtModify":1634009053072,"author":{"id":"3586310790127154","authorId":"3586310790127154","name":"65ad2341","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586310790127154","idStr":"3586310790127154"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Interesting","listText":"Interesting","text":"Interesting","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/167079646","repostId":"1154249454","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":473,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":165951114,"gmtCreate":1624089275338,"gmtModify":1634010791031,"author":{"id":"3586310790127154","authorId":"3586310790127154","name":"65ad2341","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586310790127154","idStr":"3586310790127154"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Interesting, like and comment pls","listText":"Interesting, like and comment pls","text":"Interesting, like and comment pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/165951114","repostId":"1119296361","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1119296361","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624028454,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1119296361?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-18 23:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Bank Stocks Were Fed Day Winners. Why They’re Getting Crushed.<blockquote>银行股是美联储日的赢家。为什么他们会被压垮。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1119296361","media":"Barrons","summary":"Bank stocks rosewhen the Fed released its June monetary policy statement, one thatpointed to earlier","content":"<p>Bank stocks rosewhen the Fed released its June monetary policy statement, one thatpointed to earlier than expected rate hikes. On Thursday, they were among the market’s biggest losers.</p><p><blockquote>当美联储发布6月份货币政策声明时，银行股上涨，该声明指出加息时间早于预期。周四，他们是市场最大的输家之一。</blockquote></p><p> There’s a good reason for that. Banks generally make money by borrowing money short and lending it out long—andmaking a profit off the spread. When longer-term rates rise faster than shorter-term ones, bank margins generally get better, while the profits deteriorate when the opposite happens.</p><p><blockquote>这是有充分理由的。银行通常通过短期借钱和长期借钱来赚钱，并从利差中获利。当长期利率上升速度快于短期利率时，银行利润率通常会提高，而当情况相反时，利润会恶化。</blockquote></p><p> After Wednesday’s meeting, the 10-year yield got a big bounce—it rose 0.071% to 1.569%—while thetwo-year yield rose0.038 percentage point to 0.203%, putting the spread between the two at 1.366 percentage points. That widening made the financial sector generally, and bank stocks specifically, one of the few sectors to react positively to the Fed’s announcement on Wednesday. TheSPDR S&amp;P Bank ETF(KBE) rose 0.9%, whileJPMorgan Chase(JPM) rose 0.7%, even as theS&amp;P 500fell 0.5%, theDow Jones Industrial Averagedropped 0.8%, and theNasdaq Compositedeclined 0.2%</p><p><blockquote>周三会议结束后，10年期国债收益率大幅反弹，上涨0.071%至1.569%，而两年期国债收益率上涨0.038个百分点至0.203%，两者利差达到1.366个百分点。这种扩大使得金融业，尤其是银行股成为少数几个对美联储周三的声明做出积极反应的行业之一。SPDR S&amp;P Bank ETF(KBE)上涨0.9%，摩根大通(JPM)上涨0.7%，尽管标准普尔500指数下跌0.5%，道琼斯工业平均指数下跌0.8%，纳斯达克综合指数下跌0.2%</blockquote></p><p> The market, however, has had a change of heart. The 10-year yield has fallen to 1.498%, while the two-year has risen to 0.238%, putting the gap at 1.26 percentage points. That so-called flattening of the yield curve is bad news for a rate-sensitive sector like banks. The SPDR S&amp;P Bank ETF fell 4.5% on Thurdsay and 1% in premarket trading on Friday. JPMorgan dropped 2.9% on Thursday and is down about 1% on Friday. S&amp;P 500 futures on Friday were down 0.6%, while Dow futures were down 0.8%. Futures for the Nasdaq Composite fell 0.4%.</p><p><blockquote>然而，市场已经改变了主意。10年期国债收益率跌至1.498%，两年期国债收益率升至0.238%，差距为1.26个百分点。对于银行等利率敏感行业来说，所谓的收益率曲线变平是个坏消息。SPDR S&amp;P Bank ETF周四下跌4.5%，周五盘前交易下跌1%。摩根大通周四下跌2.9%，周五下跌约1%。周五标普500期货下跌0.6%，道指期货下跌0.8%。纳斯达克综合指数期货下跌0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> Why the about-face from the market? For yields to keep rising, the economy needs to show that it is recovering quickly. Otherwise, investors are going to bet on a repeat of the slow growth the U.S. experienced after the financial crisis of 2008. With jobless claims missing by a wide margin Thursday—and experiencing the first rise following six weeks of drops—the market decided to focus on the latter, not the former, says Evercore ISI strategist Dennis DeBusschere. “The risk to the economic outlook is the sharp turn to hawkish side, relative to what everyone previously thought, at the same time the labor market isn’t as strong as the Fed assumed,” he writes.</p><p><blockquote>市场为何大转变？为了让收益率继续上升，经济需要表明它正在迅速复苏。否则，投资者将押注美国在2008年金融危机后经历的缓慢增长。Evercore ISI策略师丹尼斯·德布斯切尔(Dennis DeBusschere)表示，由于周四初请失业金人数大幅下降，并在六周下降后首次上升，市场决定关注后者，而不是前者。他写道：“相对于所有人之前的想法，经济前景面临的风险是急剧转向鹰派，同时劳动力市场并不像美联储假设的那么强劲。”</blockquote></p><p> Until that changes, it will be hard for bank stocks to bounce back.</p><p><blockquote>在这种情况改变之前，银行股将很难反弹。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Bank Stocks Were Fed Day Winners. Why They’re Getting Crushed.<blockquote>银行股是美联储日的赢家。为什么他们会被压垮。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBank Stocks Were Fed Day Winners. Why They’re Getting Crushed.<blockquote>银行股是美联储日的赢家。为什么他们会被压垮。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-18 23:00</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Bank stocks rosewhen the Fed released its June monetary policy statement, one thatpointed to earlier than expected rate hikes. On Thursday, they were among the market’s biggest losers.</p><p><blockquote>当美联储发布6月份货币政策声明时，银行股上涨，该声明指出加息时间早于预期。周四，他们是市场最大的输家之一。</blockquote></p><p> There’s a good reason for that. Banks generally make money by borrowing money short and lending it out long—andmaking a profit off the spread. When longer-term rates rise faster than shorter-term ones, bank margins generally get better, while the profits deteriorate when the opposite happens.</p><p><blockquote>这是有充分理由的。银行通常通过短期借钱和长期借钱来赚钱，并从利差中获利。当长期利率上升速度快于短期利率时，银行利润率通常会提高，而当情况相反时，利润会恶化。</blockquote></p><p> After Wednesday’s meeting, the 10-year yield got a big bounce—it rose 0.071% to 1.569%—while thetwo-year yield rose0.038 percentage point to 0.203%, putting the spread between the two at 1.366 percentage points. That widening made the financial sector generally, and bank stocks specifically, one of the few sectors to react positively to the Fed’s announcement on Wednesday. TheSPDR S&amp;P Bank ETF(KBE) rose 0.9%, whileJPMorgan Chase(JPM) rose 0.7%, even as theS&amp;P 500fell 0.5%, theDow Jones Industrial Averagedropped 0.8%, and theNasdaq Compositedeclined 0.2%</p><p><blockquote>周三会议结束后，10年期国债收益率大幅反弹，上涨0.071%至1.569%，而两年期国债收益率上涨0.038个百分点至0.203%，两者利差达到1.366个百分点。这种扩大使得金融业，尤其是银行股成为少数几个对美联储周三的声明做出积极反应的行业之一。SPDR S&amp;P Bank ETF(KBE)上涨0.9%，摩根大通(JPM)上涨0.7%，尽管标准普尔500指数下跌0.5%，道琼斯工业平均指数下跌0.8%，纳斯达克综合指数下跌0.2%</blockquote></p><p> The market, however, has had a change of heart. The 10-year yield has fallen to 1.498%, while the two-year has risen to 0.238%, putting the gap at 1.26 percentage points. That so-called flattening of the yield curve is bad news for a rate-sensitive sector like banks. The SPDR S&amp;P Bank ETF fell 4.5% on Thurdsay and 1% in premarket trading on Friday. JPMorgan dropped 2.9% on Thursday and is down about 1% on Friday. S&amp;P 500 futures on Friday were down 0.6%, while Dow futures were down 0.8%. Futures for the Nasdaq Composite fell 0.4%.</p><p><blockquote>然而，市场已经改变了主意。10年期国债收益率跌至1.498%，两年期国债收益率升至0.238%，差距为1.26个百分点。对于银行等利率敏感行业来说，所谓的收益率曲线变平是个坏消息。SPDR S&amp;P Bank ETF周四下跌4.5%，周五盘前交易下跌1%。摩根大通周四下跌2.9%，周五下跌约1%。周五标普500期货下跌0.6%，道指期货下跌0.8%。纳斯达克综合指数期货下跌0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> Why the about-face from the market? For yields to keep rising, the economy needs to show that it is recovering quickly. Otherwise, investors are going to bet on a repeat of the slow growth the U.S. experienced after the financial crisis of 2008. With jobless claims missing by a wide margin Thursday—and experiencing the first rise following six weeks of drops—the market decided to focus on the latter, not the former, says Evercore ISI strategist Dennis DeBusschere. “The risk to the economic outlook is the sharp turn to hawkish side, relative to what everyone previously thought, at the same time the labor market isn’t as strong as the Fed assumed,” he writes.</p><p><blockquote>市场为何大转变？为了让收益率继续上升，经济需要表明它正在迅速复苏。否则，投资者将押注美国在2008年金融危机后经历的缓慢增长。Evercore ISI策略师丹尼斯·德布斯切尔(Dennis DeBusschere)表示，由于周四初请失业金人数大幅下降，并在六周下降后首次上升，市场决定关注后者，而不是前者。他写道：“相对于所有人之前的想法，经济前景面临的风险是急剧转向鹰派，同时劳动力市场并不像美联储假设的那么强劲。”</blockquote></p><p> Until that changes, it will be hard for bank stocks to bounce back.</p><p><blockquote>在这种情况改变之前，银行股将很难反弹。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/bank-stocks-were-fed-day-winners-why-theyre-getting-crushed-today-51623957525?mod=RTA\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"WFC":"富国银行","GS":"高盛","MS":"摩根士丹利","BAC":"美国银行","JPM":"摩根大通","C":"花旗"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/bank-stocks-were-fed-day-winners-why-theyre-getting-crushed-today-51623957525?mod=RTA","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1119296361","content_text":"Bank stocks rosewhen the Fed released its June monetary policy statement, one thatpointed to earlier than expected rate hikes. On Thursday, they were among the market’s biggest losers.\nThere’s a good reason for that. Banks generally make money by borrowing money short and lending it out long—andmaking a profit off the spread. When longer-term rates rise faster than shorter-term ones, bank margins generally get better, while the profits deteriorate when the opposite happens.\nAfter Wednesday’s meeting, the 10-year yield got a big bounce—it rose 0.071% to 1.569%—while thetwo-year yield rose0.038 percentage point to 0.203%, putting the spread between the two at 1.366 percentage points. That widening made the financial sector generally, and bank stocks specifically, one of the few sectors to react positively to the Fed’s announcement on Wednesday. TheSPDR S&P Bank ETF(KBE) rose 0.9%, whileJPMorgan Chase(JPM) rose 0.7%, even as theS&P 500fell 0.5%, theDow Jones Industrial Averagedropped 0.8%, and theNasdaq Compositedeclined 0.2%\nThe market, however, has had a change of heart. The 10-year yield has fallen to 1.498%, while the two-year has risen to 0.238%, putting the gap at 1.26 percentage points. That so-called flattening of the yield curve is bad news for a rate-sensitive sector like banks. The SPDR S&P Bank ETF fell 4.5% on Thurdsay and 1% in premarket trading on Friday. JPMorgan dropped 2.9% on Thursday and is down about 1% on Friday. S&P 500 futures on Friday were down 0.6%, while Dow futures were down 0.8%. Futures for the Nasdaq Composite fell 0.4%.\nWhy the about-face from the market? For yields to keep rising, the economy needs to show that it is recovering quickly. Otherwise, investors are going to bet on a repeat of the slow growth the U.S. experienced after the financial crisis of 2008. With jobless claims missing by a wide margin Thursday—and experiencing the first rise following six weeks of drops—the market decided to focus on the latter, not the former, says Evercore ISI strategist Dennis DeBusschere. “The risk to the economic outlook is the sharp turn to hawkish side, relative to what everyone previously thought, at the same time the labor market isn’t as strong as the Fed assumed,” he writes.\nUntil that changes, it will be hard for bank stocks to bounce back.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"JPM":0.9,"MS":0.9,"C":0.9,"WFC":0.9,"BAC":0.9,"GS":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":430,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":127658390,"gmtCreate":1624847460110,"gmtModify":1633948024085,"author":{"id":"3586310790127154","authorId":"3586310790127154","name":"65ad2341","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586310790127154","idStr":"3586310790127154"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Awesome, like and comment pls","listText":"Awesome, like and comment pls","text":"Awesome, like and comment pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/127658390","repostId":"2146500068","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":383,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":124020170,"gmtCreate":1624709150690,"gmtModify":1633949388058,"author":{"id":"3586310790127154","authorId":"3586310790127154","name":"65ad2341","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586310790127154","idStr":"3586310790127154"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Interesting, like and comment pls","listText":"Interesting, like and comment pls","text":"Interesting, like and comment pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/124020170","repostId":"2146026425","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":351,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":800895275,"gmtCreate":1627289515397,"gmtModify":1633766482427,"author":{"id":"3586310790127154","authorId":"3586310790127154","name":"65ad2341","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586310790127154","idStr":"3586310790127154"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"LOL…","listText":"LOL…","text":"LOL…","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/800895275","repostId":"2154931205","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":536,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":156285730,"gmtCreate":1625225632220,"gmtModify":1633942374946,"author":{"id":"3586310790127154","authorId":"3586310790127154","name":"65ad2341","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586310790127154","idStr":"3586310790127154"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/156285730","repostId":"2148587475","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":235,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":158976639,"gmtCreate":1625126894021,"gmtModify":1633944511048,"author":{"id":"3586310790127154","authorId":"3586310790127154","name":"65ad2341","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586310790127154","idStr":"3586310790127154"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"NIO lets get it","listText":"NIO lets get it","text":"NIO lets get it","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/158976639","repostId":"1114101721","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1114101721","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1625126532,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1114101721?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-01 16:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"NIO delivered 8,083 vehicles in June 2021, increasing by 116.1% YOY<blockquote>蔚来2021年6月交付8083辆，同比增长116.1%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1114101721","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"NIO delivered 21,896 vehicles in the three months ended June 2021, increasing by 111.9% year-over-year. Cumulative deliveries of the ES8, ES6 and EC6 as of June 30, 2021 reached 117,597. NIO Inc., a pioneer and a leading manufacturer of premium smart electric vehicles in China, today announced its June and second quarter 2021 delivery results.NIO delivered 8,083 vehicles in June 2021, a new monthly record representing a robust 116.1% year-over-year growth. The deliveries consisted of 1,498 ES8s,","content":"<p><ul>  <li><b><i>NIO delivered 8,083 vehicles in June 2021, increasing by 116.1% year-over-year</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>NIO delivered 21,896 vehicles in the three months ended June 2021, increasing by 111.9% year-over-year</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>Cumulative deliveries of the ES8, ES6 and EC6 as of June 30, 2021 reached 117,597</i></b></li> </ul> NIO Inc., a pioneer and a leading manufacturer of premium smart electric vehicles in China, today announced its June and second quarter 2021 delivery results.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b><i>蔚来2021年6月交付8083辆，同比增长116.1%</i></b></li><li><b><i>蔚来在截至2021年6月的三个月内交付了21,896辆汽车，同比增长111.9%</i></b></li><li><b><i>ES8、ES6和EC6截至2021年6月30日的累计交付量达到117,597辆</i></b></li></ul>国内高端智能电动汽车的先行者和领先制造商蔚来今日公布了2021年6月及第二季度交付业绩。</blockquote></p><p> NIO delivered 8,083 vehicles in June 2021, a new monthly record representing a robust 116.1% year-over-year growth. The deliveries consisted of 1,498 ES8s, the Company’s six-seater or seven-seater flagship premium smart electric SUV, 3,755 ES6s, the Company’s five-seater high-performance premium smart electric SUV, and 2,830 EC6s, the Company’s five-seater premium smart electric coupe SUV. NIO delivered 21,896 vehicles in the three months ended June 2021, a new quarterly record representing a strong increase of 111.9% year-over-year. As of June 30, 2021, cumulative deliveries of the ES8, ES6 and EC6 reached 117,597 vehicles.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来在2021年6月交付了8,083辆汽车，创下月度新纪录，同比强劲增长116.1%。交付量包括1,498辆ES8（该公司的六座或七座旗舰高级智能电动SUV）、3,755辆ES6（该公司的五座高性能高级智能电动SUV）和2,830辆EC6（该公司的五座高级智能电动轿跑SUV）。截至2021年6月的三个月内，蔚来交付了21,896辆汽车，创下新的季度纪录，同比强劲增长111.9%。截至2021年6月30日，ES8、ES6和EC6累计交付量达到117,597辆。</blockquote></p><p> NIO&nbsp;stock&nbsp;rose&nbsp;0.7%&nbsp;in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来股价在盘前交易中上涨0。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/649d5139ca369d18c052a809e36398a5\" tg-width=\"1302\" tg-height=\"663\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>NIO delivered 8,083 vehicles in June 2021, increasing by 116.1% YOY<blockquote>蔚来2021年6月交付8083辆，同比增长116.1%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNIO delivered 8,083 vehicles in June 2021, increasing by 116.1% YOY<blockquote>蔚来2021年6月交付8083辆，同比增长116.1%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-07-01 16:02</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><ul>  <li><b><i>NIO delivered 8,083 vehicles in June 2021, increasing by 116.1% year-over-year</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>NIO delivered 21,896 vehicles in the three months ended June 2021, increasing by 111.9% year-over-year</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>Cumulative deliveries of the ES8, ES6 and EC6 as of June 30, 2021 reached 117,597</i></b></li> </ul> NIO Inc., a pioneer and a leading manufacturer of premium smart electric vehicles in China, today announced its June and second quarter 2021 delivery results.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b><i>蔚来2021年6月交付8083辆，同比增长116.1%</i></b></li><li><b><i>蔚来在截至2021年6月的三个月内交付了21,896辆汽车，同比增长111.9%</i></b></li><li><b><i>ES8、ES6和EC6截至2021年6月30日的累计交付量达到117,597辆</i></b></li></ul>国内高端智能电动汽车的先行者和领先制造商蔚来今日公布了2021年6月及第二季度交付业绩。</blockquote></p><p> NIO delivered 8,083 vehicles in June 2021, a new monthly record representing a robust 116.1% year-over-year growth. The deliveries consisted of 1,498 ES8s, the Company’s six-seater or seven-seater flagship premium smart electric SUV, 3,755 ES6s, the Company’s five-seater high-performance premium smart electric SUV, and 2,830 EC6s, the Company’s five-seater premium smart electric coupe SUV. NIO delivered 21,896 vehicles in the three months ended June 2021, a new quarterly record representing a strong increase of 111.9% year-over-year. As of June 30, 2021, cumulative deliveries of the ES8, ES6 and EC6 reached 117,597 vehicles.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来在2021年6月交付了8,083辆汽车，创下月度新纪录，同比强劲增长116.1%。交付量包括1,498辆ES8（该公司的六座或七座旗舰高级智能电动SUV）、3,755辆ES6（该公司的五座高性能高级智能电动SUV）和2,830辆EC6（该公司的五座高级智能电动轿跑SUV）。截至2021年6月的三个月内，蔚来交付了21,896辆汽车，创下新的季度纪录，同比强劲增长111.9%。截至2021年6月30日，ES8、ES6和EC6累计交付量达到117,597辆。</blockquote></p><p> NIO&nbsp;stock&nbsp;rose&nbsp;0.7%&nbsp;in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来股价在盘前交易中上涨0。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/649d5139ca369d18c052a809e36398a5\" tg-width=\"1302\" tg-height=\"663\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIO":"蔚来"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1114101721","content_text":"NIO delivered 8,083 vehicles in June 2021, increasing by 116.1% year-over-year\nNIO delivered 21,896 vehicles in the three months ended June 2021, increasing by 111.9% year-over-year\nCumulative deliveries of the ES8, ES6 and EC6 as of June 30, 2021 reached 117,597\n\nNIO Inc., a pioneer and a leading manufacturer of premium smart electric vehicles in China, today announced its June and second quarter 2021 delivery results.\nNIO delivered 8,083 vehicles in June 2021, a new monthly record representing a robust 116.1% year-over-year growth. The deliveries consisted of 1,498 ES8s, the Company’s six-seater or seven-seater flagship premium smart electric SUV, 3,755 ES6s, the Company’s five-seater high-performance premium smart electric SUV, and 2,830 EC6s, the Company’s five-seater premium smart electric coupe SUV. NIO delivered 21,896 vehicles in the three months ended June 2021, a new quarterly record representing a strong increase of 111.9% year-over-year. As of June 30, 2021, cumulative deliveries of the ES8, ES6 and EC6 reached 117,597 vehicles.\nNIO stock rose 0.7% in premarket trading.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NIO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":368,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":127659828,"gmtCreate":1624847360664,"gmtModify":1633948026568,"author":{"id":"3586310790127154","authorId":"3586310790127154","name":"65ad2341","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586310790127154","idStr":"3586310790127154"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Always good to have more cash","listText":"Always good to have more cash","text":"Always good to have more cash","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/127659828","repostId":"2146500207","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":376,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":122645089,"gmtCreate":1624619579041,"gmtModify":1633950473604,"author":{"id":"3586310790127154","authorId":"3586310790127154","name":"65ad2341","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586310790127154","idStr":"3586310790127154"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Interesting, like and comment pls","listText":"Interesting, like and comment pls","text":"Interesting, like and comment pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/122645089","repostId":"1137689091","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":570,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":123816207,"gmtCreate":1624415422509,"gmtModify":1634006431455,"author":{"id":"3586310790127154","authorId":"3586310790127154","name":"65ad2341","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586310790127154","idStr":"3586310790127154"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Doughnuts!","listText":"Doughnuts!","text":"Doughnuts!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/123816207","repostId":"1126010678","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1126010678","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624412603,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1126010678?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-23 09:43","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Krispy Kreme Seeks $640 Million in IPO as Sales Move Online<blockquote>随着销售转向线上，Krispy Kreme寻求6.4亿美元IPO</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1126010678","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"(Bloomberg) -- Krispy Kreme Inc., the doughnut chain owned by JAB Holdings BV, is seeking to raise a","content":"<p>(Bloomberg) -- Krispy Kreme Inc., the doughnut chain owned by JAB Holdings BV, is seeking to raise as much as $640 million in an initial public offering.</p><p><blockquote>（彭博）——JAB Holdings BV旗下的甜甜圈连锁店Krispy Kreme Inc.正寻求通过首次公开募股筹集高达6.4亿美元的资金。</blockquote></p><p> The company said in a filing Tuesday that it plans to sell almost 27 million shares for $21 to $24 apiece. At the top end of the range, Krispy Kreme would have a market value of $3.86 billion based on the outstanding shares listed in the filing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.</p><p><blockquote>该公司在周二提交的文件中表示，计划以每股21至24美元的价格出售近2700万股股票。根据向美国证券交易委员会提交的文件中列出的已发行股票，Krispy Kreme的市值将达到38.6亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Amid photos of doughnuts dripping with sugary glaze and dotted with sprinkles, the company declares in the filing that its purpose is “to touch and enhance lives through the joy of Krispy Kreme.”</p><p><blockquote>在甜甜圈滴着糖釉并点缀着糖屑的照片中，该公司在文件中宣称，其目的是“通过Krispy Kreme的快乐来感动和改善生活”。</blockquote></p><p> Since its acquisition by Luxembourg-based conglomerate JAB in 2016, Krispy Kreme has expanded its online presence. Its e-commerce business now accounts for close to a fifth of sales in the U.S., fueled by its Insomnia Cookies delivery concept.</p><p><blockquote>自2016年被卢森堡企业集团JAB收购以来，Krispy Kreme扩大了其在线业务。在失眠饼干配送概念的推动下，其电子商务业务目前占美国销售额的近五分之一。</blockquote></p><p> Net revenue for the Charlotte, North Carolina-based chain rose 23% to $322 million in the quarter ended April 4, according to the filing. Its net loss for the quarter shrunk from $11 million in 2020 to $378,000 this year.</p><p><blockquote>文件显示，截至4月4日的季度，这家总部位于北卡罗来纳州夏洛特的连锁店的净收入增长了23%，达到3.22亿美元。该季度净亏损从2020年的1100万美元缩小至今年的37.8万美元。</blockquote></p><p> Krispy Kreme plans to use proceeds from the IPO to pay down debt and buy back shares from certain executives, as well as for general corporate purposes, according to the filing. JAB will continue to own almost 78% of the company’s shares after the IPO.</p><p><blockquote>文件显示，Krispy Kreme计划将IPO所得用于偿还债务、从某些高管手中回购股票以及用于一般公司用途。IPO后，JAB将继续持有该公司近78%的股份。</blockquote></p><p> The offering is being led by JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co., Morgan Stanley, Bank of America Corp. and Citigroup Inc. The company plans to list on the Nasdaq Global Select Market under the symbol DNUT.</p><p><blockquote>此次发行由摩根大通、摩根士丹利、美国银行和花旗集团牵头。该公司计划在纳斯达克全球精选市场上市，代码为DNUT。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1612507957220","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Krispy Kreme Seeks $640 Million in IPO as Sales Move Online<blockquote>随着销售转向线上，Krispy Kreme寻求6.4亿美元IPO</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nKrispy Kreme Seeks $640 Million in IPO as Sales Move Online<blockquote>随着销售转向线上，Krispy Kreme寻求6.4亿美元IPO</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Bloomberg</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-23 09:43</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Bloomberg) -- Krispy Kreme Inc., the doughnut chain owned by JAB Holdings BV, is seeking to raise as much as $640 million in an initial public offering.</p><p><blockquote>（彭博）——JAB Holdings BV旗下的甜甜圈连锁店Krispy Kreme Inc.正寻求通过首次公开募股筹集高达6.4亿美元的资金。</blockquote></p><p> The company said in a filing Tuesday that it plans to sell almost 27 million shares for $21 to $24 apiece. At the top end of the range, Krispy Kreme would have a market value of $3.86 billion based on the outstanding shares listed in the filing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.</p><p><blockquote>该公司在周二提交的文件中表示，计划以每股21至24美元的价格出售近2700万股股票。根据向美国证券交易委员会提交的文件中列出的已发行股票，Krispy Kreme的市值将达到38.6亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Amid photos of doughnuts dripping with sugary glaze and dotted with sprinkles, the company declares in the filing that its purpose is “to touch and enhance lives through the joy of Krispy Kreme.”</p><p><blockquote>在甜甜圈滴着糖釉并点缀着糖屑的照片中，该公司在文件中宣称，其目的是“通过Krispy Kreme的快乐来感动和改善生活”。</blockquote></p><p> Since its acquisition by Luxembourg-based conglomerate JAB in 2016, Krispy Kreme has expanded its online presence. Its e-commerce business now accounts for close to a fifth of sales in the U.S., fueled by its Insomnia Cookies delivery concept.</p><p><blockquote>自2016年被卢森堡企业集团JAB收购以来，Krispy Kreme扩大了其在线业务。在失眠饼干配送概念的推动下，其电子商务业务目前占美国销售额的近五分之一。</blockquote></p><p> Net revenue for the Charlotte, North Carolina-based chain rose 23% to $322 million in the quarter ended April 4, according to the filing. Its net loss for the quarter shrunk from $11 million in 2020 to $378,000 this year.</p><p><blockquote>文件显示，截至4月4日的季度，这家总部位于北卡罗来纳州夏洛特的连锁店的净收入增长了23%，达到3.22亿美元。该季度净亏损从2020年的1100万美元缩小至今年的37.8万美元。</blockquote></p><p> Krispy Kreme plans to use proceeds from the IPO to pay down debt and buy back shares from certain executives, as well as for general corporate purposes, according to the filing. JAB will continue to own almost 78% of the company’s shares after the IPO.</p><p><blockquote>文件显示，Krispy Kreme计划将IPO所得用于偿还债务、从某些高管手中回购股票以及用于一般公司用途。IPO后，JAB将继续持有该公司近78%的股份。</blockquote></p><p> The offering is being led by JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co., Morgan Stanley, Bank of America Corp. and Citigroup Inc. The company plans to list on the Nasdaq Global Select Market under the symbol DNUT.</p><p><blockquote>此次发行由摩根大通、摩根士丹利、美国银行和花旗集团牵头。该公司计划在纳斯达克全球精选市场上市，代码为DNUT。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/krispy-kreme-sets-price-range-154753866.html\">Bloomberg</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"DNUT":"Krispy Kreme, Inc."},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/krispy-kreme-sets-price-range-154753866.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1126010678","content_text":"(Bloomberg) -- Krispy Kreme Inc., the doughnut chain owned by JAB Holdings BV, is seeking to raise as much as $640 million in an initial public offering.\nThe company said in a filing Tuesday that it plans to sell almost 27 million shares for $21 to $24 apiece. At the top end of the range, Krispy Kreme would have a market value of $3.86 billion based on the outstanding shares listed in the filing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.\nAmid photos of doughnuts dripping with sugary glaze and dotted with sprinkles, the company declares in the filing that its purpose is “to touch and enhance lives through the joy of Krispy Kreme.”\nSince its acquisition by Luxembourg-based conglomerate JAB in 2016, Krispy Kreme has expanded its online presence. Its e-commerce business now accounts for close to a fifth of sales in the U.S., fueled by its Insomnia Cookies delivery concept.\nNet revenue for the Charlotte, North Carolina-based chain rose 23% to $322 million in the quarter ended April 4, according to the filing. Its net loss for the quarter shrunk from $11 million in 2020 to $378,000 this year.\nKrispy Kreme plans to use proceeds from the IPO to pay down debt and buy back shares from certain executives, as well as for general corporate purposes, according to the filing. JAB will continue to own almost 78% of the company’s shares after the IPO.\nThe offering is being led by JPMorgan Chase & Co., Morgan Stanley, Bank of America Corp. and Citigroup Inc. The company plans to list on the Nasdaq Global Select Market under the symbol DNUT.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"DNUT":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":465,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":809258501,"gmtCreate":1627374230703,"gmtModify":1633765612325,"author":{"id":"3586310790127154","authorId":"3586310790127154","name":"65ad2341","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586310790127154","idStr":"3586310790127154"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Oh no","listText":"Oh no","text":"Oh no","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/809258501","repostId":"1142907091","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1142907091","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1627373467,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1142907091?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-27 16:11","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Hot Chinese concept stocks resumed downward in premarket trading<blockquote>热门中概股盘前恢复下行</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1142907091","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Hot Chinese concept stocks resumed downward in premarket trading.Bilibili and NetEase fell 7%,DiDi G","content":"<p>Hot Chinese concept stocks resumed downward&nbsp;in premarket trading.Bilibili&nbsp;and&nbsp;NetEase&nbsp;fell&nbsp;7%,DiDi Global,JD.com&nbsp;and&nbsp;Pinduoduo&nbsp;fell&nbsp;6%,Baidu&nbsp;fell&nbsp;5%,Xpeng Motors&nbsp;fell&nbsp;4%,Alibaba,Nio&nbsp;and Li Auto&nbsp;fell&nbsp;3%.</p><p><blockquote>热点中概股盘前恢复下行，哔哩哔哩、网易跌7%，滴滴全球、京东、拼多多跌6%，百度跌5%，小鹏汽车跌4%，阿里巴巴-SW、蔚来、理想汽车跌3%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6d3f423af5595483b1ce34aa42d60cc7\" tg-width=\"355\" tg-height=\"602\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Hot Chinese concept stocks resumed downward in premarket trading<blockquote>热门中概股盘前恢复下行</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHot Chinese concept stocks resumed downward in premarket trading<blockquote>热门中概股盘前恢复下行</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-07-27 16:11</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Hot Chinese concept stocks resumed downward&nbsp;in premarket trading.Bilibili&nbsp;and&nbsp;NetEase&nbsp;fell&nbsp;7%,DiDi Global,JD.com&nbsp;and&nbsp;Pinduoduo&nbsp;fell&nbsp;6%,Baidu&nbsp;fell&nbsp;5%,Xpeng Motors&nbsp;fell&nbsp;4%,Alibaba,Nio&nbsp;and Li Auto&nbsp;fell&nbsp;3%.</p><p><blockquote>热点中概股盘前恢复下行，哔哩哔哩、网易跌7%，滴滴全球、京东、拼多多跌6%，百度跌5%，小鹏汽车跌4%，阿里巴巴-SW、蔚来、理想汽车跌3%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6d3f423af5595483b1ce34aa42d60cc7\" tg-width=\"355\" tg-height=\"602\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴","NIO":"蔚来","XPEV":"小鹏汽车","JD":"京东","DIDI":"滴滴(已退市)","LI":"理想汽车","BIDU":"百度","PDD":"拼多多"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1142907091","content_text":"Hot Chinese concept stocks resumed downward in premarket trading.Bilibili and NetEase fell 7%,DiDi Global,JD.com and Pinduoduo fell 6%,Baidu fell 5%,Xpeng Motors fell 4%,Alibaba,Nio and Li Auto fell 3%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BABA":0.9,"DIDI":0.9,"JD":0.9,"NIO":0.9,"PDD":0.9,"XPEV":0.9,"BIDU":0.9,"LI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":543,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":174252945,"gmtCreate":1627104546787,"gmtModify":1633767909037,"author":{"id":"3586310790127154","authorId":"3586310790127154","name":"65ad2341","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586310790127154","idStr":"3586310790127154"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/174252945","repostId":"1191636755","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1191636755","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627084309,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1191636755?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-24 07:51","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Earnings Are Coming. Here’s the One Number That Matters.<blockquote>特斯拉财报即将发布。这是一个重要的数字。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1191636755","media":"Barrons","summary":"Tesla’s second-quarter earnings are just around the corner, and investors should gear up for a likel","content":"<p>Tesla’s second-quarter earnings are just around the corner, and investors should gear up for a likely very complicated report.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉第二季度财报即将公布，投资者应该为一份可能非常复杂的报告做好准备。</blockquote></p><p> There are a lot of moving parts, even more than usual for the world’s most valuable car company and its iconoclast CEO Elon Musk. Figuring out if the stock will go up or down, however, shouldn’t be all that difficult.</p><p><blockquote>对于这家世界上最有价值的汽车公司及其打破传统的首席执行官埃隆·马斯克来说，有很多活动部件，甚至比平时还要多。然而，弄清楚股票是上涨还是下跌应该并不那么困难。</blockquote></p><p> The EV pioneer will report after the close of trading on Monday,July 26. Wall Street is looking for&nbsp;Tesla to report about 94 cents in per-share earnings from $11.5 billion in sales, according to FactSet. Beating analyst estimates is important, almost required, for any stock to remain stable in post-earnings trading. That’s true for Tesla as well.</p><p><blockquote>这家电动汽车先驱将于7月26日星期一收盘后发布报告。FactSet的数据显示，华尔街预计特斯拉的销售额为115亿美元，每股收益约为94美分。对于任何股票在财报后交易中保持稳定来说，超出分析师预期非常重要，几乎是必需的。特斯拉也是如此。</blockquote></p><p> There are plenty of factors that will contribute to bottom-line earnings—the global&nbsp;semiconductor&nbsp;shortage,vehicle pricing, vehicle gross profit margins, and the level of profitability in Tesla’s battery storage business. In the end, however, investors will want to see a record in operating profits—no matter how it happens. That’s what could break shares out of their recent range.</p><p><blockquote>有很多因素将影响底线收益——全球半导体短缺、汽车定价、汽车毛利率以及特斯拉电池存储业务的盈利水平。然而，最终，投资者将希望看到营业利润创纪录——无论它如何发生。这可能会使股价突破近期区间。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eb9cfd5cbe6d36d06167f82af45447d1\" tg-width=\"869\" tg-height=\"580\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Tesla reported more than $800 million in operating profits in the 2020 third quarter, and the stock more than doubled to around $860 in the three-month span that followed. But since operating profit growth largely paused in the subsequent quarters, shares have traded down from roughly $860 to around $640 recently. Profit stagnation has meant stock stagnation, too.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉公布2020年第三季度营业利润超过8亿美元，该股在随后的三个月内上涨了一倍多，达到860美元左右。但由于随后几个季度营业利润增长基本暂停，股价最近已从约860美元跌至约640美元。利润停滞也意味着股票停滞。</blockquote></p><p> The good news for Tesla bulls is Wall Street is projecting a fresh record: Operating profit is expected to be $835 million for the second quarter, driven by strong deliveries. The 2021 second quarter marked the first time Tesla delivered&nbsp;more than 200,000&nbsp;vehicles in a single quarter.</p><p><blockquote>对于特斯拉多头来说，好消息是华尔街预计将创下新纪录：在强劲交付的推动下，第二季度营业利润预计为8.35亿美元。2021年第二季度是特斯拉单季度交付量首次超过20万辆。</blockquote></p><p> After earnings are digested, there should be endless arguments among bulls and bears about the quality of earnings. For instance, one way Tesla generates sales is by selling regulatory credits—which it earns by producing more than its fair share of electric vehicles. The company generated $518 million in first-quarter credit sales, which helped Tesla&nbsp;beat earnings&nbsp;estimates. There is always debate about what is the “normal” amount of credit sales and when will those sales dry up. Eventually, both the bulls and bears expect other auto makers to sell their own EVs, cutting off that source of revenue for Tesla.</p><p><blockquote>在盈利被消化后，多头和空头之间应该会对盈利质量争论不休。例如，特斯拉创造销售的一种方式是出售监管信用——它通过生产超过其公平份额的电动汽车来赚取监管信用。该公司第一季度信贷销售额为5.18亿美元，这帮助特斯拉超出了盈利预期。关于什么是“正常”的信贷销售金额以及这些销售何时会枯竭，一直存在争议。最终，多头和空头都预计其他汽车制造商将销售自己的电动汽车，从而切断特斯拉的收入来源。</blockquote></p><p> There is also the issue&nbsp;of Bitcoin. Tesla recognized a small gain on its Bitcoin holdings in the first quarter, but the cryptocurrency’s prices have fallen by roughly half since their April peak. That means there is a chance of a small loss. How investors react is anyone’s guess, but don’t expect Tesla to sell out of its Bitcoin position. Musk continues to indicate his company will transact in the cryptocurrency when Bitcoin mining uses more sustainable power.</p><p><blockquote>还有比特币的问题。特斯拉第一季度比特币持有量小幅增长，但该加密货币的价格自4月份的峰值以来已下跌约一半。这意味着有可能会有一点损失。投资者的反应谁也说不准，但不要指望特斯拉会抛售其比特币头寸。马斯克继续表示，当比特币矿业使用更可持续的电力时，他的公司将以加密货币进行交易。</blockquote></p><p> Investors will also want to know when Tesla’s new Germany plant and Austin, Texas facility will start delivering cars. The Austin plant will build Tesla’s&nbsp;Cybertruck. There will also likely be questions about advances in Tesla’s driver-assistance functions—the company recently started selling its driver-assistance software&nbsp;as a subscription—and how much money the company could make from its charging network. Musk tweeted this week Tesla would open its&nbsp;charging network&nbsp;to other EVs down the road.</p><p><blockquote>投资者还想知道特斯拉的新德国工厂和德克萨斯奥斯丁工厂何时开始交付汽车。奥斯丁工厂将生产特斯拉的Cybertruck。人们还可能会对特斯拉驾驶辅助功能的进步产生疑问——该公司最近开始以订阅形式销售其驾驶辅助软件——以及该公司可以从其充电网络中赚多少钱。马斯克本周在推特上表示，特斯拉将向其他电动汽车开放其充电网络。</blockquote></p><p> All those topics and more should come up on the earningsconference callscheduled for 5:30 p.m. ET on Monday. Year to date, Tesla stock is down roughly 9%, trailing behind comparable 17% and 15% respective gains of theS&amp;P 500andDow Jones Industrial Average.Still, Tesla shares have had a strong run, up about 112% over the past 12 months.</p><p><blockquote>所有这些话题以及更多话题都应该出现在定于下午5:30举行的财报电话会议上。美国东部时间周一。今年迄今为止，特斯拉股价已下跌约9%，落后于标准普尔500指数和道琼斯工业平均指数分别17%和15%的涨幅。尽管如此，特斯拉股价仍表现强劲，在过去12个月内上涨了约112%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Earnings Are Coming. Here’s the One Number That Matters.<blockquote>特斯拉财报即将发布。这是一个重要的数字。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Earnings Are Coming. Here’s the One Number That Matters.<blockquote>特斯拉财报即将发布。这是一个重要的数字。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-24 07:51</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Tesla’s second-quarter earnings are just around the corner, and investors should gear up for a likely very complicated report.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉第二季度财报即将公布，投资者应该为一份可能非常复杂的报告做好准备。</blockquote></p><p> There are a lot of moving parts, even more than usual for the world’s most valuable car company and its iconoclast CEO Elon Musk. Figuring out if the stock will go up or down, however, shouldn’t be all that difficult.</p><p><blockquote>对于这家世界上最有价值的汽车公司及其打破传统的首席执行官埃隆·马斯克来说，有很多活动部件，甚至比平时还要多。然而，弄清楚股票是上涨还是下跌应该并不那么困难。</blockquote></p><p> The EV pioneer will report after the close of trading on Monday,July 26. Wall Street is looking for&nbsp;Tesla to report about 94 cents in per-share earnings from $11.5 billion in sales, according to FactSet. Beating analyst estimates is important, almost required, for any stock to remain stable in post-earnings trading. That’s true for Tesla as well.</p><p><blockquote>这家电动汽车先驱将于7月26日星期一收盘后发布报告。FactSet的数据显示，华尔街预计特斯拉的销售额为115亿美元，每股收益约为94美分。对于任何股票在财报后交易中保持稳定来说，超出分析师预期非常重要，几乎是必需的。特斯拉也是如此。</blockquote></p><p> There are plenty of factors that will contribute to bottom-line earnings—the global&nbsp;semiconductor&nbsp;shortage,vehicle pricing, vehicle gross profit margins, and the level of profitability in Tesla’s battery storage business. In the end, however, investors will want to see a record in operating profits—no matter how it happens. That’s what could break shares out of their recent range.</p><p><blockquote>有很多因素将影响底线收益——全球半导体短缺、汽车定价、汽车毛利率以及特斯拉电池存储业务的盈利水平。然而，最终，投资者将希望看到营业利润创纪录——无论它如何发生。这可能会使股价突破近期区间。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eb9cfd5cbe6d36d06167f82af45447d1\" tg-width=\"869\" tg-height=\"580\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Tesla reported more than $800 million in operating profits in the 2020 third quarter, and the stock more than doubled to around $860 in the three-month span that followed. But since operating profit growth largely paused in the subsequent quarters, shares have traded down from roughly $860 to around $640 recently. Profit stagnation has meant stock stagnation, too.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉公布2020年第三季度营业利润超过8亿美元，该股在随后的三个月内上涨了一倍多，达到860美元左右。但由于随后几个季度营业利润增长基本暂停，股价最近已从约860美元跌至约640美元。利润停滞也意味着股票停滞。</blockquote></p><p> The good news for Tesla bulls is Wall Street is projecting a fresh record: Operating profit is expected to be $835 million for the second quarter, driven by strong deliveries. The 2021 second quarter marked the first time Tesla delivered&nbsp;more than 200,000&nbsp;vehicles in a single quarter.</p><p><blockquote>对于特斯拉多头来说，好消息是华尔街预计将创下新纪录：在强劲交付的推动下，第二季度营业利润预计为8.35亿美元。2021年第二季度是特斯拉单季度交付量首次超过20万辆。</blockquote></p><p> After earnings are digested, there should be endless arguments among bulls and bears about the quality of earnings. For instance, one way Tesla generates sales is by selling regulatory credits—which it earns by producing more than its fair share of electric vehicles. The company generated $518 million in first-quarter credit sales, which helped Tesla&nbsp;beat earnings&nbsp;estimates. There is always debate about what is the “normal” amount of credit sales and when will those sales dry up. Eventually, both the bulls and bears expect other auto makers to sell their own EVs, cutting off that source of revenue for Tesla.</p><p><blockquote>在盈利被消化后，多头和空头之间应该会对盈利质量争论不休。例如，特斯拉创造销售的一种方式是出售监管信用——它通过生产超过其公平份额的电动汽车来赚取监管信用。该公司第一季度信贷销售额为5.18亿美元，这帮助特斯拉超出了盈利预期。关于什么是“正常”的信贷销售金额以及这些销售何时会枯竭，一直存在争议。最终，多头和空头都预计其他汽车制造商将销售自己的电动汽车，从而切断特斯拉的收入来源。</blockquote></p><p> There is also the issue&nbsp;of Bitcoin. Tesla recognized a small gain on its Bitcoin holdings in the first quarter, but the cryptocurrency’s prices have fallen by roughly half since their April peak. That means there is a chance of a small loss. How investors react is anyone’s guess, but don’t expect Tesla to sell out of its Bitcoin position. Musk continues to indicate his company will transact in the cryptocurrency when Bitcoin mining uses more sustainable power.</p><p><blockquote>还有比特币的问题。特斯拉第一季度比特币持有量小幅增长，但该加密货币的价格自4月份的峰值以来已下跌约一半。这意味着有可能会有一点损失。投资者的反应谁也说不准，但不要指望特斯拉会抛售其比特币头寸。马斯克继续表示，当比特币矿业使用更可持续的电力时，他的公司将以加密货币进行交易。</blockquote></p><p> Investors will also want to know when Tesla’s new Germany plant and Austin, Texas facility will start delivering cars. The Austin plant will build Tesla’s&nbsp;Cybertruck. There will also likely be questions about advances in Tesla’s driver-assistance functions—the company recently started selling its driver-assistance software&nbsp;as a subscription—and how much money the company could make from its charging network. Musk tweeted this week Tesla would open its&nbsp;charging network&nbsp;to other EVs down the road.</p><p><blockquote>投资者还想知道特斯拉的新德国工厂和德克萨斯奥斯丁工厂何时开始交付汽车。奥斯丁工厂将生产特斯拉的Cybertruck。人们还可能会对特斯拉驾驶辅助功能的进步产生疑问——该公司最近开始以订阅形式销售其驾驶辅助软件——以及该公司可以从其充电网络中赚多少钱。马斯克本周在推特上表示，特斯拉将向其他电动汽车开放其充电网络。</blockquote></p><p> All those topics and more should come up on the earningsconference callscheduled for 5:30 p.m. ET on Monday. Year to date, Tesla stock is down roughly 9%, trailing behind comparable 17% and 15% respective gains of theS&amp;P 500andDow Jones Industrial Average.Still, Tesla shares have had a strong run, up about 112% over the past 12 months.</p><p><blockquote>所有这些话题以及更多话题都应该出现在定于下午5:30举行的财报电话会议上。美国东部时间周一。今年迄今为止，特斯拉股价已下跌约9%，落后于标准普尔500指数和道琼斯工业平均指数分别17%和15%的涨幅。尽管如此，特斯拉股价仍表现强劲，在过去12个月内上涨了约112%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-earnings-preview-51627061822?mod=hp_DAY_Theme_2_1\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-earnings-preview-51627061822?mod=hp_DAY_Theme_2_1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1191636755","content_text":"Tesla’s second-quarter earnings are just around the corner, and investors should gear up for a likely very complicated report.\nThere are a lot of moving parts, even more than usual for the world’s most valuable car company and its iconoclast CEO Elon Musk. Figuring out if the stock will go up or down, however, shouldn’t be all that difficult.\nThe EV pioneer will report after the close of trading on Monday,July 26. Wall Street is looking for Tesla to report about 94 cents in per-share earnings from $11.5 billion in sales, according to FactSet. Beating analyst estimates is important, almost required, for any stock to remain stable in post-earnings trading. That’s true for Tesla as well.\nThere are plenty of factors that will contribute to bottom-line earnings—the global semiconductor shortage,vehicle pricing, vehicle gross profit margins, and the level of profitability in Tesla’s battery storage business. In the end, however, investors will want to see a record in operating profits—no matter how it happens. That’s what could break shares out of their recent range.\n\nTesla reported more than $800 million in operating profits in the 2020 third quarter, and the stock more than doubled to around $860 in the three-month span that followed. But since operating profit growth largely paused in the subsequent quarters, shares have traded down from roughly $860 to around $640 recently. Profit stagnation has meant stock stagnation, too.\nThe good news for Tesla bulls is Wall Street is projecting a fresh record: Operating profit is expected to be $835 million for the second quarter, driven by strong deliveries. The 2021 second quarter marked the first time Tesla delivered more than 200,000 vehicles in a single quarter.\nAfter earnings are digested, there should be endless arguments among bulls and bears about the quality of earnings. For instance, one way Tesla generates sales is by selling regulatory credits—which it earns by producing more than its fair share of electric vehicles. The company generated $518 million in first-quarter credit sales, which helped Tesla beat earnings estimates. There is always debate about what is the “normal” amount of credit sales and when will those sales dry up. Eventually, both the bulls and bears expect other auto makers to sell their own EVs, cutting off that source of revenue for Tesla.\nThere is also the issue of Bitcoin. Tesla recognized a small gain on its Bitcoin holdings in the first quarter, but the cryptocurrency’s prices have fallen by roughly half since their April peak. That means there is a chance of a small loss. How investors react is anyone’s guess, but don’t expect Tesla to sell out of its Bitcoin position. Musk continues to indicate his company will transact in the cryptocurrency when Bitcoin mining uses more sustainable power.\nInvestors will also want to know when Tesla’s new Germany plant and Austin, Texas facility will start delivering cars. The Austin plant will build Tesla’s Cybertruck. There will also likely be questions about advances in Tesla’s driver-assistance functions—the company recently started selling its driver-assistance software as a subscription—and how much money the company could make from its charging network. Musk tweeted this week Tesla would open its charging network to other EVs down the road.\nAll those topics and more should come up on the earningsconference callscheduled for 5:30 p.m. ET on Monday. Year to date, Tesla stock is down roughly 9%, trailing behind comparable 17% and 15% respective gains of theS&P 500andDow Jones Industrial Average.Still, Tesla shares have had a strong run, up about 112% over the past 12 months.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":379,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":124224962,"gmtCreate":1624768138956,"gmtModify":1633948831586,"author":{"id":"3586310790127154","authorId":"3586310790127154","name":"65ad2341","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586310790127154","idStr":"3586310790127154"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Agreed","listText":"Agreed","text":"Agreed","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/124224962","repostId":"1184001921","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1184001921","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624763737,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1184001921?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-27 11:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Amazon: Good Stock, Not Good Price<blockquote>亚马逊：好库存，不好价格</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1184001921","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nAmazon is one of the most innovative companies in the world today, leading the E-commerce i","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Amazon is one of the most innovative companies in the world today, leading the E-commerce industry and cloud computing services.</li>  <li>Unfortunately, it's a little overpriced. This is consistent with some of the other mega-cap stocks I've analyzed.</li>  <li>This article looks at what Amazon stock is most likely worth for us investors.</li>  <li>I hope you enjoy.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/451bc93115fb453c0fcb76434c40f7f4\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\"><span>Sundry Photography/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>亚马逊是当今世界最具创新力的公司之一，在电子商务行业和云计算服务领域处于领先地位。</li><li>不幸的是，它的价格有点过高。这与我分析过的其他一些大型股是一致的。</li><li>本文探讨了亚马逊股票对美国投资者来说最有可能的价值。</li><li>我希望你喜欢。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>杂项摄影/iStock社论来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Today, Amazon (AMZN) seems to be a little overpriced based on my intrinsic value model.</p><p><blockquote>今天，根据我的内在价值模型，亚马逊（AMZN）的定价似乎有点过高。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a82d937a2de3f0709088e1ab4548267b\" tg-width=\"371\" tg-height=\"260\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> You might have seen some of my other articles where I've bashed other popular stocks like Apple (AAPL) or Microsoft (MSFT). Well, I guess today it's Amazon's turn. I just try to share what I think companies are worth, and I've found that a lot of companies seem to be overpriced.</p><p><blockquote>您可能已经看过我的其他一些文章，其中我抨击了苹果(AAPL)或微软(MSFT)等其他热门股票。嗯，我想今天轮到亚马逊了。我只是试图分享我认为公司的价值，我发现很多公司似乎定价过高。</blockquote></p><p> In this article, I'll break down how I came up with Amazon's valuation. I know that there's tons of different opinions out there about Amazon, so I'll try to share the reasoning behind my valuation to help you make better investments in the future.</p><p><blockquote>在本文中，我将详细介绍我是如何得出亚马逊估值的。我知道关于亚马逊有很多不同的观点，所以我会尝试分享我的估值背后的理由，以帮助您在未来进行更好的投资。</blockquote></p><p> Something important you should know - I'm not an expert on Amazon, and I have a really difficult time valuing growth stocks. I really doubt that I have the ability to estimate a company's future growth. I made future growth estimates by looking at past growth and making conservative estimates of the future.</p><p><blockquote>你应该知道一些重要的事情——我不是亚马逊专家，我很难评估成长型股票。我真的很怀疑我有能力估计一家公司未来的增长。我通过查看过去的增长并对未来做出保守的估计来做出未来的增长估计。</blockquote></p><p> This method borders on \"data extrapolation\", which is making assumptions based on past data. Data extrapolation isn't great because the future is different from the past - so making future projections based on past data isn't ideal.</p><p><blockquote>这种方法近乎“数据外推”，即根据过去的数据做出假设。数据外推并不好，因为未来与过去不同——所以根据过去的数据进行未来预测并不理想。</blockquote></p><p> But after valuing hundreds of companies, I've found that this kind of style does a good job of getting the valuation approximately right. I always try to set my valuations low, because it's better to buy low and make a killing than buy high and lose money.</p><p><blockquote>但在对数百家公司进行估值后，我发现这种风格可以很好地获得大致正确的估值。我总是尽量把我的估值定低，因为低买大赚总比高买亏好。</blockquote></p><p>   Warren Buffett said, “The three most important words in investing are  <b>margin of safety</b>.” That means to buy stuff on sale... That's the whole secret to great investing.    Rule 1 Investing  This model is built on getting the valuation \"approximately right,\" and looking to buy with a large margin of safety. I hope you enjoy, and as always, I'll try to keep it clean and common sense.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特说：“投资中最重要的三个词是<b>安全边际</b>意思是买打折的东西....这就是伟大投资的全部秘密。规则1投资该模型的基础是获得“大致正确”的估值，并寻求以较大的安全边际进行购买。我希望你喜欢，一如既往，我会尽量保持它的干净和常识。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Business Model</b></p><p><blockquote><b>商业模式</b></blockquote></p><p> Where does Amazon get its money? Amazon is split into 3 segments: North America, International, and AWS.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊的钱从哪里来？亚马逊分为3个部分：北美、国际和AWS。</blockquote></p><p> As a market leader in 2 high growth industries (E-commerce and cloud computing), Amazon will probably continue to see high growth in the future. In this section, I looked at the past revenue growth and operating margins for each of Amazon's segments, and I used this to make conservative future projections.</p><p><blockquote>作为两个高增长行业（电子商务和云计算）的市场领导者，亚马逊未来可能会继续实现高增长。在本节中，我研究了亚马逊每个部门过去的收入增长和营业利润率，并以此做出保守的未来预测。</blockquote></p><p> And later, I added up the numbers from each segment to make projections for the whole company. Here's a look at AMZN's North America segment. This segment's revenue comes from retail sales and subscription service revenues.</p><p><blockquote>后来，我把每个部门的数字加起来，对整个公司进行预测。以下是亚马逊北美业务的概况。该部门的收入来自零售销售和订阅服务收入。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ce022c0ecacc3829cf83378211bbfd9d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"192\"><span>Source: Author with data from 2018 10-K,2019 10-K, and 2020 10-K</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者使用2018年10-K、2019年10-K和2020年10-K的数据</span></p></blockquote></p><p> I projected declining revenue growth and strong operating margins for this segment. I projected slower revenue growth, because I figure there has to be a cap on how much money Amazon can make in North America.</p><p><blockquote>我预计该部门的收入增长将下降，营业利润率将强劲。我预计收入增长会放缓，因为我认为亚马逊在北美的收入必须有一个上限。</blockquote></p><p> Hopefully, Amazon will exceed this revenue growth. But, I do think it would be a pretty incredible feat for Amazon to grow from $200B in revenue to $400B in 5 years.</p><p><blockquote>希望亚马逊能够超过这一收入增长。但是，我确实认为亚马逊在5年内将收入从2000亿美元增长到4000亿美元将是一个非常令人难以置信的壮举。</blockquote></p><p> Here's a look at Amazon's International segment:</p><p><blockquote>以下是亚马逊国际部门的概况：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3d7a5bde370f55e863f58c888abc496\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"219\"><span>Source: Author with data from 2018 10-K,2019 10-K, and 2020 10-K</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者使用2018年10-K、2019年10-K和2020年10-K的数据</span></p></blockquote></p><p> For Amazon's international segment, I projected 20% annual revenue growth, and improving operating margins. I figured that operating margins would gradually improve until the margins reached a similar point to what Amazon sees in its US segment.</p><p><blockquote>对于亚马逊的国际部门，我预计年收入将增长20%，营业利润率也将提高。我认为营业利润率将逐渐提高，直到利润率达到与亚马逊在美国市场类似的水平。</blockquote></p><p> And for Amazon's last and most exciting segment, here's AWS:</p><p><blockquote>对于亚马逊最后也是最令人兴奋的部分，AWS是：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/769700013871f2cd09e8ce47cfb10966\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"203\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> AWS is undoubtedly going to bring high growth for Amazon, and high profits. I projected that the AWS segment will probably continue to grow at a high rate. I projected a 25-30% annual revenue growth rate because cloud computing has a lot of room to grow, and according to Research and Markets, the cloud computing industry should grow at about&nbsp;17.5% CAGR&nbsp;until 2025.</p><p><blockquote>AWS无疑将为亚马逊带来高增长和高利润。我预计AWS细分市场可能会继续高速增长。我预测25-30%的年收入增长率，因为云计算有很大的增长空间，根据研究和市场，云计算行业应该以17.5%的CAGR增长，直到2025年。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Additionally, I projected 28% operating margins, because the AWS business benefits from operating leverage. As more people use the software, the company is able to make higher margins as it spreads costs over more people. It's possible that Amazon could exceed 28% operating margins, so there might be upside to Amazon's fair value.</p><p><blockquote>此外，我预计营业利润率为28%，因为AWS业务受益于运营杠杆。随着越来越多的人使用该软件，该公司能够通过将成本分摊给更多的人来获得更高的利润。亚马逊的营业利润率可能会超过28%，因此亚马逊的公允价值可能会有上升空间。</blockquote></p><p> These projections were added together to help us figure out what the entire company should be worth.</p><p><blockquote>这些预测加在一起有助于我们计算出整个公司的价值。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Capital Allocation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>资本配置</b></blockquote></p><p> How does Amazon spend its money? You might find it interesting to analyze Amazon's capital allocation, so you can see what Amazon does with its money, and where it might be investing for the future.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊是怎么花钱的？你可能会发现分析亚马逊的资本配置很有趣，这样你就可以看到亚马逊用它的钱做了什么，以及它未来可能投资到哪里。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45f5afa0f641ee1aae39aa69cc150165\" tg-width=\"619\" tg-height=\"499\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The biggest portion of Amazon's operating cash flows goes towards capital expenditures. From what I can tell, Amazon has not had any share activity over the past 5 years. The company has issued shares - but from the looks of the cash flow statement, it looks like they haven't raised any money from selling shares, and they haven't spent any money buying back shares.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊运营现金流的最大部分用于资本支出。据我所知，亚马逊在过去5年里没有任何分享活动。该公司已经发行了股票——但从现金流量表来看，他们似乎没有通过出售股票筹集到任何资金，也没有花任何钱回购股票。</blockquote></p><p>   In February 2016, the Board of Directors authorized a program to repurchase up to $5.0 billion of our common stock, with no fixed expiration.  <i>There were no repurchases of common stock in 2018, 2019, or 2020.</i>    Source:2020 10-K&nbsp;page 60,  <i>emphasis added</i>  But for our purposes, this quote shows that Amazon hasn't bought back any stock over the past 3 years. They also haven't spent any money on dividends, which is good because they're a high growth company.</p><p><blockquote>2016年2月，董事会批准了一项回购最多50亿美元普通股的计划，没有固定到期日。<i>2018年、2019年或2020年没有回购普通股。</i>资料来源：2020 10-K第60页，<i>增加了强调</i>但就我们而言，这段报价表明亚马逊在过去3年中没有回购任何股票。他们也没有在股息上花任何钱，这很好，因为他们是一家高增长公司。</blockquote></p><p> Amazon has consistently spent money on acquisitions and paying down debt. What's really interesting is that Amazon has built up a lot of spare cash over the past 5 years. Their cash position has risen about $58B since 2016, going from about $26B at the end of 2016 to about $84B at the end of 2020.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊一直在收购和偿还债务上花钱。真正有趣的是，亚马逊在过去5年里积累了大量闲钱。自2016年以来，他们的现金头寸增加了约580亿美元，从2016年底的约260亿美元增加到2020年底的约840亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Amazon has a lot more cash than they used to, so we could see future spending go towards a dividend, share buybacks, new acquisitions, or maybe more business investments that will lead to growth.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊拥有比以前多得多的现金，因此我们可以看到未来的支出将用于股息、股票回购、新收购，或者更多将带来增长的商业投资。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值</b></blockquote></p><p> First, I used a discount rate of 7.7% for Amazon because that's what I found the company's weighted average cost of capital, or WACC, to be. I assumed an 8% cost of equity, and Amazon has averaged somewhere around a 20-30% tax rate over the past 10 years.</p><p><blockquote>首先，我对亚马逊使用了7.7%的贴现率，因为这是我发现该公司的加权平均资本成本(WACC)。我假设股权成本为8%，而亚马逊在过去10年中的平均税率约为20-30%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c036264f19bb10fdad477a629b40f803\" tg-width=\"361\" tg-height=\"288\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> I used a DCF model to find Amazon's value today. In the model down below, you can see in the top 2 red boxes that I projected that the company would have lower revenue growth and strong operating margins.</p><p><blockquote>我今天用DCF模型找到了亚马逊的价值。在下面的模型中，您可以在顶部2个红框中看到，我预计该公司的收入增长将较低，营业利润率将强劲。</blockquote></p><p> This model projects that Amazon will have over $850B in revenue by 2025. That's absolutely nuts if you think about it, but based on estimated revenue growth, it seems feasible.</p><p><blockquote>该模型预计，到2025年，亚马逊的收入将超过8500亿美元。仔细想想，这绝对是疯狂的，但根据估计的收入增长，这似乎是可行的。</blockquote></p><p> Right now, Walmart(NYSE:WMT)leads the world in revenue with about $550B. Amazon sits in third place for annual revenue, with about $390B. In 5 years, Amazon could easily have the largest revenue of any company in the world.</p><p><blockquote>目前，沃尔玛（纽约证券交易所股票代码：WMT）以约550B美元的收入领先全球。亚马逊的年收入排名第三，约为3900亿美元。5年后，亚马逊很可能成为世界上收入最高的公司。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95c459abcbda43e35b40379a1083ecae\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"510\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Down at the bottom of this model, you can see there's a red box that projects unlevered FCF margins. This basically measures how much of the company's revenue will become business profits, without including interest or debt payments. In the turquoise box, I applied the discount rate to see what the future cash flows are worth today.</p><p><blockquote>在该模型的底部，您可以看到有一个红色框，显示无杠杆自由现金流利润率。这基本上衡量了公司收入中有多少将成为业务利润，不包括利息或债务支付。在绿松石盒子中，我应用了贴现率来查看未来现金流今天的价值。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a3fa0846616fdc847a3fe1fdf7a09bed\" tg-width=\"267\" tg-height=\"404\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Today, it looks like Amazon is slightly overvalued. The model projects that the stock might be about 15% overvalued, and we could expect to make about 5% annual returns over the next 5 years if we invested today.</p><p><blockquote>如今，亚马逊的估值似乎略有高估。该模型预测该股票可能被高估约15%，如果我们今天投资，我们预计未来5年的年回报率约为5%。</blockquote></p><p> These estimations are based on the future cash flows that the business should generate. I don't hate Amazon or anything, I just don't think that Amazon stock would make a great investment at current prices.</p><p><blockquote>该等估计乃基于业务应产生的未来现金流量。我并不讨厌亚马逊或任何东西，我只是不认为亚马逊股票在当前价格下会是一项伟大的投资。</blockquote></p><p> Down at the bottom, I threw in 2 \"Buy Prices\" where Amazon stock might be more appealing. The idea behind this is that the cheaper AMZN stock gets, the higher returns we can expect.</p><p><blockquote>在底部，我提出了两个亚马逊股票可能更有吸引力的“买入价格”。这背后的想法是，AMZN股票越便宜，我们可以预期的回报就越高。</blockquote></p><p> The model projects that you'd make around 15% annual returns at $2,200 per share, and you might make around 22% annual returns at $1,700 per share.</p><p><blockquote>该模型预计，每股2,200美元的年回报率约为15%，每股1,700美元的年回报率约为22%。</blockquote></p><p> \"But doesn't it seem unreasonable to set the buy price in the $2,000s when the stock's trading near $3,500?\" It does a little bit. It seems pretty unlikely that Amazon's share price will nose dive right down past $2,000.</p><p><blockquote>“但当股票交易价格接近3,500美元时，将买入价格定为2,000美元似乎不合理吗？”有一点。亚马逊的股价似乎不太可能暴跌至2,000美元以上。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> But the idea is, if we're patient, we might get an opportunity to buy these shares underpriced. Last February, Amazon traded lower than $1,900 (I wish I bought some back then). We'll probably have opportunities in the future to buy Amazon at a discount.</p><p><blockquote>但我们的想法是，如果我们有耐心，我们可能有机会以低价购买这些股票。去年2月，亚马逊的交易价格低于1,900美元（我希望当时买了一些）。我们将来可能有机会以折扣价购买亚马逊。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Recap</b></p><p><blockquote><b>回顾</b></blockquote></p><p> Today, it seems like Amazon is slightly overvalued, because it seems to offer about 5% annual returns over the next 5 years. That doesn't mean you should sell Amazon if you're a long time holder, because Amazon should continue to do well as a leader in E-commerce and cloud computing.</p><p><blockquote>如今，亚马逊的估值似乎略有高估，因为它似乎在未来5年内提供约5%的年回报率。这并不意味着如果您是长期持有者，您应该出售亚马逊，因为亚马逊应该继续作为电子商务和云计算领域的领导者表现出色。</blockquote></p><p> But if you're looking for your next stock to invest in, Amazon seems to be too expensive right now. And if you've been eyeing Amazon for a while and you're looking to get in, now's not the best time to get into Amazon.</p><p><blockquote>但如果你正在寻找下一只投资股票，亚马逊现在似乎太贵了。如果您关注亚马逊已经有一段时间了，并且正在寻求进入，那么现在不是进入亚马逊的最佳时机。</blockquote></p><p> Even if we don't invest in the stock, we can still watch Amazon as they become the company with the most revenue in the world. And there's a lot we can learn from studying Amazon and Jeff Bezos. He's a smart dude.</p><p><blockquote>即使我们不投资该股票，我们仍然可以看到亚马逊成为世界上收入最多的公司。我们可以从研究亚马逊和杰夫·贝索斯中学到很多东西。他是个聪明人。</blockquote></p><p> Thank you very much for reading, and I hope that you have a great rest of your day.</p><p><blockquote>非常感谢您的阅读，我希望您今天休息得愉快。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Amazon: Good Stock, Not Good Price<blockquote>亚马逊：好库存，不好价格</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAmazon: Good Stock, Not Good Price<blockquote>亚马逊：好库存，不好价格</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-27 11:15</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Amazon is one of the most innovative companies in the world today, leading the E-commerce industry and cloud computing services.</li>  <li>Unfortunately, it's a little overpriced. This is consistent with some of the other mega-cap stocks I've analyzed.</li>  <li>This article looks at what Amazon stock is most likely worth for us investors.</li>  <li>I hope you enjoy.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/451bc93115fb453c0fcb76434c40f7f4\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\"><span>Sundry Photography/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>亚马逊是当今世界最具创新力的公司之一，在电子商务行业和云计算服务领域处于领先地位。</li><li>不幸的是，它的价格有点过高。这与我分析过的其他一些大型股是一致的。</li><li>本文探讨了亚马逊股票对美国投资者来说最有可能的价值。</li><li>我希望你喜欢。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>杂项摄影/iStock社论来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Today, Amazon (AMZN) seems to be a little overpriced based on my intrinsic value model.</p><p><blockquote>今天，根据我的内在价值模型，亚马逊（AMZN）的定价似乎有点过高。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a82d937a2de3f0709088e1ab4548267b\" tg-width=\"371\" tg-height=\"260\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> You might have seen some of my other articles where I've bashed other popular stocks like Apple (AAPL) or Microsoft (MSFT). Well, I guess today it's Amazon's turn. I just try to share what I think companies are worth, and I've found that a lot of companies seem to be overpriced.</p><p><blockquote>您可能已经看过我的其他一些文章，其中我抨击了苹果(AAPL)或微软(MSFT)等其他热门股票。嗯，我想今天轮到亚马逊了。我只是试图分享我认为公司的价值，我发现很多公司似乎定价过高。</blockquote></p><p> In this article, I'll break down how I came up with Amazon's valuation. I know that there's tons of different opinions out there about Amazon, so I'll try to share the reasoning behind my valuation to help you make better investments in the future.</p><p><blockquote>在本文中，我将详细介绍我是如何得出亚马逊估值的。我知道关于亚马逊有很多不同的观点，所以我会尝试分享我的估值背后的理由，以帮助您在未来进行更好的投资。</blockquote></p><p> Something important you should know - I'm not an expert on Amazon, and I have a really difficult time valuing growth stocks. I really doubt that I have the ability to estimate a company's future growth. I made future growth estimates by looking at past growth and making conservative estimates of the future.</p><p><blockquote>你应该知道一些重要的事情——我不是亚马逊专家，我很难评估成长型股票。我真的很怀疑我有能力估计一家公司未来的增长。我通过查看过去的增长并对未来做出保守的估计来做出未来的增长估计。</blockquote></p><p> This method borders on \"data extrapolation\", which is making assumptions based on past data. Data extrapolation isn't great because the future is different from the past - so making future projections based on past data isn't ideal.</p><p><blockquote>这种方法近乎“数据外推”，即根据过去的数据做出假设。数据外推并不好，因为未来与过去不同——所以根据过去的数据进行未来预测并不理想。</blockquote></p><p> But after valuing hundreds of companies, I've found that this kind of style does a good job of getting the valuation approximately right. I always try to set my valuations low, because it's better to buy low and make a killing than buy high and lose money.</p><p><blockquote>但在对数百家公司进行估值后，我发现这种风格可以很好地获得大致正确的估值。我总是尽量把我的估值定低，因为低买大赚总比高买亏好。</blockquote></p><p>   Warren Buffett said, “The three most important words in investing are  <b>margin of safety</b>.” That means to buy stuff on sale... That's the whole secret to great investing.    Rule 1 Investing  This model is built on getting the valuation \"approximately right,\" and looking to buy with a large margin of safety. I hope you enjoy, and as always, I'll try to keep it clean and common sense.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特说：“投资中最重要的三个词是<b>安全边际</b>意思是买打折的东西....这就是伟大投资的全部秘密。规则1投资该模型的基础是获得“大致正确”的估值，并寻求以较大的安全边际进行购买。我希望你喜欢，一如既往，我会尽量保持它的干净和常识。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Business Model</b></p><p><blockquote><b>商业模式</b></blockquote></p><p> Where does Amazon get its money? Amazon is split into 3 segments: North America, International, and AWS.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊的钱从哪里来？亚马逊分为3个部分：北美、国际和AWS。</blockquote></p><p> As a market leader in 2 high growth industries (E-commerce and cloud computing), Amazon will probably continue to see high growth in the future. In this section, I looked at the past revenue growth and operating margins for each of Amazon's segments, and I used this to make conservative future projections.</p><p><blockquote>作为两个高增长行业（电子商务和云计算）的市场领导者，亚马逊未来可能会继续实现高增长。在本节中，我研究了亚马逊每个部门过去的收入增长和营业利润率，并以此做出保守的未来预测。</blockquote></p><p> And later, I added up the numbers from each segment to make projections for the whole company. Here's a look at AMZN's North America segment. This segment's revenue comes from retail sales and subscription service revenues.</p><p><blockquote>后来，我把每个部门的数字加起来，对整个公司进行预测。以下是亚马逊北美业务的概况。该部门的收入来自零售销售和订阅服务收入。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ce022c0ecacc3829cf83378211bbfd9d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"192\"><span>Source: Author with data from 2018 10-K,2019 10-K, and 2020 10-K</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者使用2018年10-K、2019年10-K和2020年10-K的数据</span></p></blockquote></p><p> I projected declining revenue growth and strong operating margins for this segment. I projected slower revenue growth, because I figure there has to be a cap on how much money Amazon can make in North America.</p><p><blockquote>我预计该部门的收入增长将下降，营业利润率将强劲。我预计收入增长会放缓，因为我认为亚马逊在北美的收入必须有一个上限。</blockquote></p><p> Hopefully, Amazon will exceed this revenue growth. But, I do think it would be a pretty incredible feat for Amazon to grow from $200B in revenue to $400B in 5 years.</p><p><blockquote>希望亚马逊能够超过这一收入增长。但是，我确实认为亚马逊在5年内将收入从2000亿美元增长到4000亿美元将是一个非常令人难以置信的壮举。</blockquote></p><p> Here's a look at Amazon's International segment:</p><p><blockquote>以下是亚马逊国际部门的概况：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3d7a5bde370f55e863f58c888abc496\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"219\"><span>Source: Author with data from 2018 10-K,2019 10-K, and 2020 10-K</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者使用2018年10-K、2019年10-K和2020年10-K的数据</span></p></blockquote></p><p> For Amazon's international segment, I projected 20% annual revenue growth, and improving operating margins. I figured that operating margins would gradually improve until the margins reached a similar point to what Amazon sees in its US segment.</p><p><blockquote>对于亚马逊的国际部门，我预计年收入将增长20%，营业利润率也将提高。我认为营业利润率将逐渐提高，直到利润率达到与亚马逊在美国市场类似的水平。</blockquote></p><p> And for Amazon's last and most exciting segment, here's AWS:</p><p><blockquote>对于亚马逊最后也是最令人兴奋的部分，AWS是：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/769700013871f2cd09e8ce47cfb10966\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"203\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> AWS is undoubtedly going to bring high growth for Amazon, and high profits. I projected that the AWS segment will probably continue to grow at a high rate. I projected a 25-30% annual revenue growth rate because cloud computing has a lot of room to grow, and according to Research and Markets, the cloud computing industry should grow at about&nbsp;17.5% CAGR&nbsp;until 2025.</p><p><blockquote>AWS无疑将为亚马逊带来高增长和高利润。我预计AWS细分市场可能会继续高速增长。我预测25-30%的年收入增长率，因为云计算有很大的增长空间，根据研究和市场，云计算行业应该以17.5%的CAGR增长，直到2025年。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Additionally, I projected 28% operating margins, because the AWS business benefits from operating leverage. As more people use the software, the company is able to make higher margins as it spreads costs over more people. It's possible that Amazon could exceed 28% operating margins, so there might be upside to Amazon's fair value.</p><p><blockquote>此外，我预计营业利润率为28%，因为AWS业务受益于运营杠杆。随着越来越多的人使用该软件，该公司能够通过将成本分摊给更多的人来获得更高的利润。亚马逊的营业利润率可能会超过28%，因此亚马逊的公允价值可能会有上升空间。</blockquote></p><p> These projections were added together to help us figure out what the entire company should be worth.</p><p><blockquote>这些预测加在一起有助于我们计算出整个公司的价值。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Capital Allocation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>资本配置</b></blockquote></p><p> How does Amazon spend its money? You might find it interesting to analyze Amazon's capital allocation, so you can see what Amazon does with its money, and where it might be investing for the future.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊是怎么花钱的？你可能会发现分析亚马逊的资本配置很有趣，这样你就可以看到亚马逊用它的钱做了什么，以及它未来可能投资到哪里。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45f5afa0f641ee1aae39aa69cc150165\" tg-width=\"619\" tg-height=\"499\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The biggest portion of Amazon's operating cash flows goes towards capital expenditures. From what I can tell, Amazon has not had any share activity over the past 5 years. The company has issued shares - but from the looks of the cash flow statement, it looks like they haven't raised any money from selling shares, and they haven't spent any money buying back shares.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊运营现金流的最大部分用于资本支出。据我所知，亚马逊在过去5年里没有任何分享活动。该公司已经发行了股票——但从现金流量表来看，他们似乎没有通过出售股票筹集到任何资金，也没有花任何钱回购股票。</blockquote></p><p>   In February 2016, the Board of Directors authorized a program to repurchase up to $5.0 billion of our common stock, with no fixed expiration.  <i>There were no repurchases of common stock in 2018, 2019, or 2020.</i>    Source:2020 10-K&nbsp;page 60,  <i>emphasis added</i>  But for our purposes, this quote shows that Amazon hasn't bought back any stock over the past 3 years. They also haven't spent any money on dividends, which is good because they're a high growth company.</p><p><blockquote>2016年2月，董事会批准了一项回购最多50亿美元普通股的计划，没有固定到期日。<i>2018年、2019年或2020年没有回购普通股。</i>资料来源：2020 10-K第60页，<i>增加了强调</i>但就我们而言，这段报价表明亚马逊在过去3年中没有回购任何股票。他们也没有在股息上花任何钱，这很好，因为他们是一家高增长公司。</blockquote></p><p> Amazon has consistently spent money on acquisitions and paying down debt. What's really interesting is that Amazon has built up a lot of spare cash over the past 5 years. Their cash position has risen about $58B since 2016, going from about $26B at the end of 2016 to about $84B at the end of 2020.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊一直在收购和偿还债务上花钱。真正有趣的是，亚马逊在过去5年里积累了大量闲钱。自2016年以来，他们的现金头寸增加了约580亿美元，从2016年底的约260亿美元增加到2020年底的约840亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Amazon has a lot more cash than they used to, so we could see future spending go towards a dividend, share buybacks, new acquisitions, or maybe more business investments that will lead to growth.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊拥有比以前多得多的现金，因此我们可以看到未来的支出将用于股息、股票回购、新收购，或者更多将带来增长的商业投资。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值</b></blockquote></p><p> First, I used a discount rate of 7.7% for Amazon because that's what I found the company's weighted average cost of capital, or WACC, to be. I assumed an 8% cost of equity, and Amazon has averaged somewhere around a 20-30% tax rate over the past 10 years.</p><p><blockquote>首先，我对亚马逊使用了7.7%的贴现率，因为这是我发现该公司的加权平均资本成本(WACC)。我假设股权成本为8%，而亚马逊在过去10年中的平均税率约为20-30%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c036264f19bb10fdad477a629b40f803\" tg-width=\"361\" tg-height=\"288\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> I used a DCF model to find Amazon's value today. In the model down below, you can see in the top 2 red boxes that I projected that the company would have lower revenue growth and strong operating margins.</p><p><blockquote>我今天用DCF模型找到了亚马逊的价值。在下面的模型中，您可以在顶部2个红框中看到，我预计该公司的收入增长将较低，营业利润率将强劲。</blockquote></p><p> This model projects that Amazon will have over $850B in revenue by 2025. That's absolutely nuts if you think about it, but based on estimated revenue growth, it seems feasible.</p><p><blockquote>该模型预计，到2025年，亚马逊的收入将超过8500亿美元。仔细想想，这绝对是疯狂的，但根据估计的收入增长，这似乎是可行的。</blockquote></p><p> Right now, Walmart(NYSE:WMT)leads the world in revenue with about $550B. Amazon sits in third place for annual revenue, with about $390B. In 5 years, Amazon could easily have the largest revenue of any company in the world.</p><p><blockquote>目前，沃尔玛（纽约证券交易所股票代码：WMT）以约550B美元的收入领先全球。亚马逊的年收入排名第三，约为3900亿美元。5年后，亚马逊很可能成为世界上收入最高的公司。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95c459abcbda43e35b40379a1083ecae\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"510\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Down at the bottom of this model, you can see there's a red box that projects unlevered FCF margins. This basically measures how much of the company's revenue will become business profits, without including interest or debt payments. In the turquoise box, I applied the discount rate to see what the future cash flows are worth today.</p><p><blockquote>在该模型的底部，您可以看到有一个红色框，显示无杠杆自由现金流利润率。这基本上衡量了公司收入中有多少将成为业务利润，不包括利息或债务支付。在绿松石盒子中，我应用了贴现率来查看未来现金流今天的价值。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a3fa0846616fdc847a3fe1fdf7a09bed\" tg-width=\"267\" tg-height=\"404\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Today, it looks like Amazon is slightly overvalued. The model projects that the stock might be about 15% overvalued, and we could expect to make about 5% annual returns over the next 5 years if we invested today.</p><p><blockquote>如今，亚马逊的估值似乎略有高估。该模型预测该股票可能被高估约15%，如果我们今天投资，我们预计未来5年的年回报率约为5%。</blockquote></p><p> These estimations are based on the future cash flows that the business should generate. I don't hate Amazon or anything, I just don't think that Amazon stock would make a great investment at current prices.</p><p><blockquote>该等估计乃基于业务应产生的未来现金流量。我并不讨厌亚马逊或任何东西，我只是不认为亚马逊股票在当前价格下会是一项伟大的投资。</blockquote></p><p> Down at the bottom, I threw in 2 \"Buy Prices\" where Amazon stock might be more appealing. The idea behind this is that the cheaper AMZN stock gets, the higher returns we can expect.</p><p><blockquote>在底部，我提出了两个亚马逊股票可能更有吸引力的“买入价格”。这背后的想法是，AMZN股票越便宜，我们可以预期的回报就越高。</blockquote></p><p> The model projects that you'd make around 15% annual returns at $2,200 per share, and you might make around 22% annual returns at $1,700 per share.</p><p><blockquote>该模型预计，每股2,200美元的年回报率约为15%，每股1,700美元的年回报率约为22%。</blockquote></p><p> \"But doesn't it seem unreasonable to set the buy price in the $2,000s when the stock's trading near $3,500?\" It does a little bit. It seems pretty unlikely that Amazon's share price will nose dive right down past $2,000.</p><p><blockquote>“但当股票交易价格接近3,500美元时，将买入价格定为2,000美元似乎不合理吗？”有一点。亚马逊的股价似乎不太可能暴跌至2,000美元以上。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> But the idea is, if we're patient, we might get an opportunity to buy these shares underpriced. Last February, Amazon traded lower than $1,900 (I wish I bought some back then). We'll probably have opportunities in the future to buy Amazon at a discount.</p><p><blockquote>但我们的想法是，如果我们有耐心，我们可能有机会以低价购买这些股票。去年2月，亚马逊的交易价格低于1,900美元（我希望当时买了一些）。我们将来可能有机会以折扣价购买亚马逊。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Recap</b></p><p><blockquote><b>回顾</b></blockquote></p><p> Today, it seems like Amazon is slightly overvalued, because it seems to offer about 5% annual returns over the next 5 years. That doesn't mean you should sell Amazon if you're a long time holder, because Amazon should continue to do well as a leader in E-commerce and cloud computing.</p><p><blockquote>如今，亚马逊的估值似乎略有高估，因为它似乎在未来5年内提供约5%的年回报率。这并不意味着如果您是长期持有者，您应该出售亚马逊，因为亚马逊应该继续作为电子商务和云计算领域的领导者表现出色。</blockquote></p><p> But if you're looking for your next stock to invest in, Amazon seems to be too expensive right now. And if you've been eyeing Amazon for a while and you're looking to get in, now's not the best time to get into Amazon.</p><p><blockquote>但如果你正在寻找下一只投资股票，亚马逊现在似乎太贵了。如果您关注亚马逊已经有一段时间了，并且正在寻求进入，那么现在不是进入亚马逊的最佳时机。</blockquote></p><p> Even if we don't invest in the stock, we can still watch Amazon as they become the company with the most revenue in the world. And there's a lot we can learn from studying Amazon and Jeff Bezos. He's a smart dude.</p><p><blockquote>即使我们不投资该股票，我们仍然可以看到亚马逊成为世界上收入最多的公司。我们可以从研究亚马逊和杰夫·贝索斯中学到很多东西。他是个聪明人。</blockquote></p><p> Thank you very much for reading, and I hope that you have a great rest of your day.</p><p><blockquote>非常感谢您的阅读，我希望您今天休息得愉快。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4436641-amazon-good-stock-not-good-price\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"亚马逊"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4436641-amazon-good-stock-not-good-price","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1184001921","content_text":"Summary\n\nAmazon is one of the most innovative companies in the world today, leading the E-commerce industry and cloud computing services.\nUnfortunately, it's a little overpriced. This is consistent with some of the other mega-cap stocks I've analyzed.\nThis article looks at what Amazon stock is most likely worth for us investors.\nI hope you enjoy.\n\nSundry Photography/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nToday, Amazon (AMZN) seems to be a little overpriced based on my intrinsic value model.\nSource: Author\nYou might have seen some of my other articles where I've bashed other popular stocks like Apple (AAPL) or Microsoft (MSFT). Well, I guess today it's Amazon's turn. I just try to share what I think companies are worth, and I've found that a lot of companies seem to be overpriced.\nIn this article, I'll break down how I came up with Amazon's valuation. I know that there's tons of different opinions out there about Amazon, so I'll try to share the reasoning behind my valuation to help you make better investments in the future.\nSomething important you should know - I'm not an expert on Amazon, and I have a really difficult time valuing growth stocks. I really doubt that I have the ability to estimate a company's future growth. I made future growth estimates by looking at past growth and making conservative estimates of the future.\nThis method borders on \"data extrapolation\", which is making assumptions based on past data. Data extrapolation isn't great because the future is different from the past - so making future projections based on past data isn't ideal.\nBut after valuing hundreds of companies, I've found that this kind of style does a good job of getting the valuation approximately right. I always try to set my valuations low, because it's better to buy low and make a killing than buy high and lose money.\n\n Warren Buffett said, “The three most important words in investing are\n margin of safety.” That means to buy stuff on sale... That's the whole secret to great investing.\n\n\n Rule 1 Investing\n\nThis model is built on getting the valuation \"approximately right,\" and looking to buy with a large margin of safety. I hope you enjoy, and as always, I'll try to keep it clean and common sense.\nBusiness Model\nWhere does Amazon get its money? Amazon is split into 3 segments: North America, International, and AWS.\nAs a market leader in 2 high growth industries (E-commerce and cloud computing), Amazon will probably continue to see high growth in the future. In this section, I looked at the past revenue growth and operating margins for each of Amazon's segments, and I used this to make conservative future projections.\nAnd later, I added up the numbers from each segment to make projections for the whole company. Here's a look at AMZN's North America segment. This segment's revenue comes from retail sales and subscription service revenues.\nSource: Author with data from 2018 10-K,2019 10-K, and 2020 10-K\nI projected declining revenue growth and strong operating margins for this segment. I projected slower revenue growth, because I figure there has to be a cap on how much money Amazon can make in North America.\nHopefully, Amazon will exceed this revenue growth. But, I do think it would be a pretty incredible feat for Amazon to grow from $200B in revenue to $400B in 5 years.\nHere's a look at Amazon's International segment:\nSource: Author with data from 2018 10-K,2019 10-K, and 2020 10-K\nFor Amazon's international segment, I projected 20% annual revenue growth, and improving operating margins. I figured that operating margins would gradually improve until the margins reached a similar point to what Amazon sees in its US segment.\nAnd for Amazon's last and most exciting segment, here's AWS:\nSource: Author\nAWS is undoubtedly going to bring high growth for Amazon, and high profits. I projected that the AWS segment will probably continue to grow at a high rate. I projected a 25-30% annual revenue growth rate because cloud computing has a lot of room to grow, and according to Research and Markets, the cloud computing industry should grow at about 17.5% CAGR until 2025.\nAdditionally, I projected 28% operating margins, because the AWS business benefits from operating leverage. As more people use the software, the company is able to make higher margins as it spreads costs over more people. It's possible that Amazon could exceed 28% operating margins, so there might be upside to Amazon's fair value.\nThese projections were added together to help us figure out what the entire company should be worth.\nCapital Allocation\nHow does Amazon spend its money? You might find it interesting to analyze Amazon's capital allocation, so you can see what Amazon does with its money, and where it might be investing for the future.\nSource: Author\nThe biggest portion of Amazon's operating cash flows goes towards capital expenditures. From what I can tell, Amazon has not had any share activity over the past 5 years. The company has issued shares - but from the looks of the cash flow statement, it looks like they haven't raised any money from selling shares, and they haven't spent any money buying back shares.\n\n In February 2016, the Board of Directors authorized a program to repurchase up to $5.0 billion of our common stock, with no fixed expiration.\n There were no repurchases of common stock in 2018, 2019, or 2020.\n\n\n Source:2020 10-K page 60,\n emphasis added\n\nBut for our purposes, this quote shows that Amazon hasn't bought back any stock over the past 3 years. They also haven't spent any money on dividends, which is good because they're a high growth company.\nAmazon has consistently spent money on acquisitions and paying down debt. What's really interesting is that Amazon has built up a lot of spare cash over the past 5 years. Their cash position has risen about $58B since 2016, going from about $26B at the end of 2016 to about $84B at the end of 2020.\nAmazon has a lot more cash than they used to, so we could see future spending go towards a dividend, share buybacks, new acquisitions, or maybe more business investments that will lead to growth.\nValuation\nFirst, I used a discount rate of 7.7% for Amazon because that's what I found the company's weighted average cost of capital, or WACC, to be. I assumed an 8% cost of equity, and Amazon has averaged somewhere around a 20-30% tax rate over the past 10 years.\nSource: Author\nI used a DCF model to find Amazon's value today. In the model down below, you can see in the top 2 red boxes that I projected that the company would have lower revenue growth and strong operating margins.\nThis model projects that Amazon will have over $850B in revenue by 2025. That's absolutely nuts if you think about it, but based on estimated revenue growth, it seems feasible.\nRight now, Walmart(NYSE:WMT)leads the world in revenue with about $550B. Amazon sits in third place for annual revenue, with about $390B. In 5 years, Amazon could easily have the largest revenue of any company in the world.\nSource: Author\nDown at the bottom of this model, you can see there's a red box that projects unlevered FCF margins. This basically measures how much of the company's revenue will become business profits, without including interest or debt payments. In the turquoise box, I applied the discount rate to see what the future cash flows are worth today.\nSource: Author\nToday, it looks like Amazon is slightly overvalued. The model projects that the stock might be about 15% overvalued, and we could expect to make about 5% annual returns over the next 5 years if we invested today.\nThese estimations are based on the future cash flows that the business should generate. I don't hate Amazon or anything, I just don't think that Amazon stock would make a great investment at current prices.\nDown at the bottom, I threw in 2 \"Buy Prices\" where Amazon stock might be more appealing. The idea behind this is that the cheaper AMZN stock gets, the higher returns we can expect.\nThe model projects that you'd make around 15% annual returns at $2,200 per share, and you might make around 22% annual returns at $1,700 per share.\n\"But doesn't it seem unreasonable to set the buy price in the $2,000s when the stock's trading near $3,500?\" It does a little bit. It seems pretty unlikely that Amazon's share price will nose dive right down past $2,000.\nBut the idea is, if we're patient, we might get an opportunity to buy these shares underpriced. Last February, Amazon traded lower than $1,900 (I wish I bought some back then). We'll probably have opportunities in the future to buy Amazon at a discount.\nRecap\nToday, it seems like Amazon is slightly overvalued, because it seems to offer about 5% annual returns over the next 5 years. That doesn't mean you should sell Amazon if you're a long time holder, because Amazon should continue to do well as a leader in E-commerce and cloud computing.\nBut if you're looking for your next stock to invest in, Amazon seems to be too expensive right now. And if you've been eyeing Amazon for a while and you're looking to get in, now's not the best time to get into Amazon.\nEven if we don't invest in the stock, we can still watch Amazon as they become the company with the most revenue in the world. And there's a lot we can learn from studying Amazon and Jeff Bezos. He's a smart dude.\nThank you very much for reading, and I hope that you have a great rest of your day.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMZN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":444,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":128145332,"gmtCreate":1624508184226,"gmtModify":1634005082496,"author":{"id":"3586310790127154","authorId":"3586310790127154","name":"65ad2341","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586310790127154","idStr":"3586310790127154"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍🏻👍🏻","listText":"👍🏻👍🏻","text":"👍🏻👍🏻","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/128145332","repostId":"1176854050","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":197,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":166883751,"gmtCreate":1624001924273,"gmtModify":1634024301936,"author":{"id":"3586310790127154","authorId":"3586310790127154","name":"65ad2341","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586310790127154","idStr":"3586310790127154"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow, like and comment","listText":"Wow, like and comment","text":"Wow, like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/166883751","repostId":"1175693382","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1175693382","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623978463,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1175693382?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-18 09:07","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Alibaba Stock: The Bottoming Process Looks To Be Forming Already<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股票：触底过程似乎已经形成</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1175693382","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Alibaba is probably the most undervalued growth stock right now.The company’s multiple growth drivers within a rapidly expanding market made its valuations look even more baffling.The short term technical picture may be turning bullish with a potential double bottom price action signal.When we take things into clearer perspective by comparing China’s growth rate and size of its market to that of the U.S. e-commerce market, we could see the huge differences in their sizes and growth rates as the ","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Alibaba is probably the most undervalued growth stock right now.</li>  <li>The company’s multiple growth drivers within a rapidly expanding market made its valuations look even more baffling.</li>  <li>The short term technical picture may be turning bullish with a potential double bottom price action signal.</li>  <li>We discuss the company’s multiple growth drivers and let investors judge for themselves.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/05e63c77d4f3f3dc3d618e43044638bb\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\"><span>Yongyuan Dai/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>阿里巴巴-SW可能是目前最被低估的成长型股票。</li><li>该公司在快速扩张的市场中的多种增长动力使其估值看起来更加令人困惑。</li><li>短期技术面可能会转向看涨，并出现潜在的双底价格走势信号。</li><li>我们讨论公司的多种增长动力，让投资者自行判断。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>戴永源/iStock未通过Getty Images发布</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Technical Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>技术论文</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7febf6ed056b0e3bc038321cdaad9b1c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"782\"><span>Source: TradingView</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：TradingView</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Alibaba’s&nbsp;stock price has endured a terrible 8 months ever since its Ant Financial IPO was pulled in early Nov 20, with the stock languishing in the doldrums 34% off its high. When considering the health of its long term uptrend, it’s clear that BABA has a relatively strong uptrend bias and has generally been well supported along its key 50W MA. The only other time in the last 4 years that it lost its key 50W MA support level was during the 2018 bear market where BABA dropped about 40%, but was still well supported above the important 200W MA, which we usually consider as the “last line of defense”. Right now BABA is somewhat facing a similar situation again: down 34%, lost the 50W MA, but looks to be well supported above the 200W MA. In addition to that, one interesting observation in price action analysis may lead price action traders/investors to be especially bullish: a potential double bottom formation. BABA's price is seemingly going through a double bottom like it did during the 2018 bear market before it rallied strongly thereafter. As a result, BABA’s current level may offer a possible technical buy entry point now.</p><p><blockquote>自11月20日早些时候蚂蚁金服IPO被取消以来，阿里巴巴-SW的股价已经经历了可怕的8个月，股价低迷，较高点下跌了34%。当考虑其长期上升趋势的健康状况时，很明显BABA具有相对较强的上升趋势偏差，并且通常在其关键的50W MA上得到良好支撑。过去4年中唯一一次失去关键的50W MA支撑位是在2018年熊市期间，BABA下跌了约40%，但仍在重要的200W MA上方得到良好支撑，我们通常认为这是“最后一道防线”。现在阿里巴巴再次面临类似的情况：下跌34%，失去了50W MA，但看起来在200W MA上方得到了很好的支撑。除此之外，价格行为分析中的一个有趣观察可能会导致价格行为交易者/投资者特别看涨：潜在的双底形成。阿里巴巴的价格似乎正在经历双底，就像2018年熊市期间一样，随后强劲反弹。因此，阿里巴巴目前的水平现在可能提供一个可能的技术买入切入点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BABA's Fundamental Thesis: Rapidly Expanding Growth Drivers</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴的基本论点：快速扩大增长动力</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eba49f5881708929949c30628eedc5d4\" tg-width=\"934\" tg-height=\"578\"><span>Annual GMV. Data source: Company filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>年度GMV。数据来源：公司备案</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a4d6c4ed3e2402f5af52b2dea8bab411\" tg-width=\"836\" tg-height=\"517\"><span>Annual e-commerce revenue. Data source: Company filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>年电子商务收入。数据来源：公司备案</span></p></blockquote></p><p> BABA’s GMV grew from 1.68T yuan to 7.49T yuan in just a matter of 7 years, which represented a CAGR of 23.8%, a truly amazing growth rate. We also saw its GMV growth being converted into revenue growth as its China commerce revenue grew from 7.67B yuan to 473.68B yuan, at a CAGR of 51% over the last 10 years. While its international footprint remains considerably smaller, it still grew at a CAGR of 30.42% over the last 10 years, which was by no means slow.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴的GMV在短短7年内从1.68 T元增长到7.49 T元，复合年增长率为23.8%，增速确实惊人。我们还看到其GMV增长转化为收入增长，其中国商业收入从76.7亿元增长至4736.8亿元，过去10年复合年增长率为51%。虽然其国际足迹仍然相当小，但在过去10年中，其复合年增长率仍为30.42%，这一点也不慢。</blockquote></p><p> Even though China’s e-commerce market is expected to grow considerably slower at a CAGR of 12.4% over the next three years, from 13.8T yuan, equivalent to $2.16T in 2021 to 19.6T yuan,equivalent to $3.06T by 2024, the massive size of the market still offers tremendous upside potential for BABA and its closest competitors to grow into.</p><p><blockquote>尽管预计未来三年中国电子商务市场的增长速度将大幅放缓，复合年增长率为12.4%，从2021年的13.8 T元（相当于2.16 T美元）增长到2024年的19.6 T元（相当于3.06 T美元），但庞大的市场规模仍然为阿里巴巴及其最接近的竞争对手提供了巨大的增长潜力。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ffe2dee43f267e1d1399c68e3ca60f36\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>E-commerce revenue in the U.S. Data source: Statista</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>美国电子商务收入数据来源：Statista</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When we take things into clearer perspective by comparing China’s growth rate and size of its market to that of the U.S. e-commerce market, we could see the huge differences in their sizes and growth rates as the U.S. e-commerce market is only expected to grow at a CAGR of 4.67% from 2021 to 2025, which is significantly slower than China’s 12.4%. In addition, the U.S. market is also expected to reach about $563B in total revenue, which is 18% of what the China market is expected to be worth by then.</p><p><blockquote>当我们通过比较中国与美国电子商务市场的增长率和规模来更清晰地看待事物时，我们可以看到它们的规模和增长率的巨大差异，因为美国电子商务市场预计仅增长2021年至2025年的复合年增长率为4.67%，明显低于中国的12.4%。此外，美国市场的总收入预计也将达到约5630亿美元，是届时中国市场预计价值的18%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d5a8d0d8a6a2dcdf667a6f33c6c9771\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"702\"><span>Peers EBIT Margin and Projected EBIT Margin. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>同行息税前利润率和预计息税前利润率。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Even though Alibaba has been facing increased competitive pressures from its fast growing key competitors: JD.com(NASDAQ:JD)and Pinduoduo(NASDAQ:PDD), BABA has already been operating a much more profitable business (both EBIT and FCF), and is expected to continue delivering strong profitability moving forward, which should give the company tremendous flexibility to compete head on with JD and PDD in its quest to extend its leadership. Investors may observe that BABA’s EBIT margin was affected by the one-off administrative penalty of $2,782M that was reflected in its SG&amp;A, and therefore skewed its EBIT margin to the downside.</p><p><blockquote>尽管阿里巴巴-SW一直面临着来自快速增长的主要竞争对手京东（纳斯达克：JD）和拼多多（纳斯达克：PDD）的越来越大的竞争压力，但阿里巴巴已经在经营利润更高的业务（息税前利润和自由现金流），并且预计未来将继续实现强劲的盈利能力，这将使该公司具有巨大的灵活性，可以与京东和拼多多正面竞争，以扩大其领导地位。投资者可能会注意到，阿里巴巴的息税前利润率受到其SG&amp;A中反映的27.82亿美元一次性行政罚款的影响，因此其息税前利润率出现下行。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> One important move was the company’s decision to further its investment in the Community Marketplace, which is PDD’s main e-commerce strategy that saw PDD gain a total of&nbsp;823M AAC&nbsp;in its latest quarter as compared to BABA’s 891M AAC. PDD’s AAC growth is truly phenomenal considering it had only&nbsp;100M AAC in Q2’C17&nbsp;as compared to BABA’s 466M AAC in the same period.</p><p><blockquote>一项重要举措是该公司决定进一步投资社区市场，这是拼多多的主要电子商务战略，拼多多在最近一个季度总共获得了8.23亿AAC，而阿里巴巴的AAC为8.91亿。与阿里巴巴同期的4.66亿AAC相比，拼多多的AAC在2017年第二季度仅有1亿AAC，其AAC增长确实是惊人的。</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, the momentum of growth has surely swung over to the Community Marketplace segment and BABA would need to pull out its big guns (which it has) to compete for dominance with PDD and JD.</p><p><blockquote>因此，增长势头肯定已经转向社区市场领域，阿里巴巴需要拿出重磅炸弹（它已经拥有）来与拼多多和京东争夺主导地位。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b83b69b08b1f4b11a26393c8e6eead5\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Market size of community group buying in China. Data source: iiMedia Research</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国社区团购的市场规模。数据来源：艾媒咨询</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Even though the expected total market size of 102B yuan by 2022 represented only about 21.5% of BABA’s FY 21 China commerce revenue, the expected rapid CAGR of 44.22% over 3 years from 2019 to 2022 cannot be missed by BABA. Although the market is still relatively small, BABA cannot allow the current leader in this market: PDD to so easily dominate and gobble up the early high growth rates at the ignorance of everyone else. Certainly BABA must compete and fight for its place in this segment and strive for early leadership to prevent PDD from extending its lead.</p><p><blockquote>尽管预计到2022年1020亿元的总市场规模仅占阿里巴巴21财年中国商业收入的21.5%左右，但阿里巴巴不能错过2019年至2022年3年内44.22%的预期快速复合年增长率。虽然市场还比较小，但BABA不能让这个市场目前的龙头：PDD在旁人无知的情况下，如此轻易地称霸并吞噬早期的高增长率。当然，阿里巴巴必须竞争并争取自己在这一领域的地位，并争取早期领导地位，以防止拼多多扩大领先优势。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b97b2b4a8a182dc9846d8fb7e4039877\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"770\"><span>PDD profitability metrics &amp; revenue growth forecast. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>PDD盈利指标和收入增长预测。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> We could observe from the above chart that PDD is expected to continue growing its revenue rapidly over the next few years, even though they are expected to normalize subsequently. More importantly, PDD is also expected to increasingly improve its EBIT and FCF profitability moving forward. This shows that the Community Marketplace segment is an highly important growth driver that BABA must use its strength to exploit in order to deny PDD’s claim to undisputed leadership so early on in the game.</p><p><blockquote>我们可以从上图中观察到，拼多多的收入预计将在未来几年继续快速增长，尽管预计随后将正常化。更重要的是，拼多多预计未来的息税前利润和自由现金流盈利能力也将日益提高。这表明社区市场细分市场是一个非常重要的增长动力，阿里巴巴必须利用其优势来利用它，以否认拼多多在游戏早期声称的无可争议的领导地位。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3aadc32155b4108426a1a982e3b5b1c2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\"><span>China public cloud spending. Source:China Internet Watch; Canalys</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国公有云支出。来源：中国互联网观察；Canalys</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c1538b9f7bdc8d6d35a72d9acf8ecbc\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Size of China public cloud market. Data source: CAICT; Sina.com.cn</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国公有云市场规模。数据来源：中国信通技术；新浪网</span></p></blockquote></p><p> BABA has a 40% share in China’s public cloud market, way ahead of its key competitors. However, it’s important to note that despite this leadership, BABA is still in heavy investment mode to continue growing its market share as China’s public cloud market is expected to grow from 26.48B yuan in 2017 to 230.74B yuan by 2023, which would represent a CAGR of 43.4%, an incredibly stellar growth rate. This is especially clear when we compare China’s growth rate to the worldwide growth rate (see below) as public cloud spending worldwide is expected to grow from $145B in 2017 to $397B by 2022, that would represent a CAGR of 22.3%.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴在中国公有云市场拥有40%的份额，远远领先于其主要竞争对手。然而，值得注意的是，尽管处于领先地位，阿里巴巴仍处于大力投资模式，以继续扩大其市场份额，因为中国公共云市场预计将从2017年的264.8亿元增长到2023年的2307.4亿元，这将代表CAGR 43.4%，这是一个令人难以置信的出色增长率。当我们将中国的增长率与全球增长率（见下文）进行比较时，这一点尤其明显，因为全球公共云支出预计将从2017年的1450亿美元增长到2022年的3970亿美元，这将代表22.3%的CAGR。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06198c569504bc303c34563041dfb294\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Worldwide public cloud spending. Data source: Gartner</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>全球公共云支出。数据来源：Gartner</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8482037f60575f964053ab732496bee3\" tg-width=\"1176\" tg-height=\"700\"><span>Worldwide public cloud market share. Source:CnTechPost; Gartner</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>全球公共云市场份额。来源：CnTechPost；Gartner</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Therefore, I don’t find it surprising that Ali Cloud has continued to extend its lead over Alphabet’s(NASDAQ:GOOGL)(NASDAQ:GOOG)GCP with a market share of 9.5% in 2020. While AMZN remains the clear leader in the market, its market share has been coming down considerably as public cloud spending continues to expand, indicating that there is a huge potential for growth for multiple players to exist. With BABA’s leadership in the rapidly expanding Chinese market, I’m increasingly bullish on the future profit and FCF contribution from this segment to BABA’s performance over time. Although BABA’s cloud segment has not been EBIT profitable yet (FY 21 EBIT margin: -15%, FY 20 EBIT margin: -17.5%), it’s also useful to note that GCP has also not been profitable for Alphabet as well (FY 20 EBIT margin: -42.9%, FY 19 EBIT margin: -52%). Therefore, we need to give BABA some time to scale up its cloud services in APAC and in China where it is expected to have stronger leadership to allow it to grow faster and investors should expect this to be a highly profitable segment over time.</p><p><blockquote>因此，阿里云在2020年以9.5%的市场份额继续扩大对Alphabet（纳斯达克：GOOGL）（纳斯达克：GOOG）GCP的领先优势，我并不觉得奇怪。虽然亚马逊仍然是市场上明显的领导者，但随着公共云支出的持续扩大，其市场份额一直在大幅下降，这表明多个参与者存在巨大的增长潜力。凭借阿里巴巴在快速扩张的中国市场的领导地位，我越来越看好该细分市场未来的利润和自由现金流对阿里巴巴业绩的贡献。尽管阿里巴巴的云部门尚未实现息税前利润（21财年息税前利润率：-15%，20财年息税前利润率：-17.5%），但值得注意的是，Alphabet的GCP也尚未实现盈利（20财年息税前利润率：-42.9%，19财年息税前利润率：-52%）。因此，我们需要给阿里巴巴一些时间来扩大其在亚太地区和中国的云服务规模，预计阿里巴巴将拥有更强大的领导力，使其能够更快地增长，投资者应该预计随着时间的推移，这将是一个高利润的细分市场。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BABA's Valuations Look Highly Compelling</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴的估值看起来非常引人注目</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62a087c4b3ef7efc2c5dde813e3b959d\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"600\"><span>NTM TEV / EBIT 3Y range.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>NTM TEV/EBIT 3Y范围。</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2605c0e5ad364a7a43929fef204595c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"687\"><span>EV / Fwd EBIT and EV / Fwd Rev trend. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>EV/Fwd息税前利润和EV/Fwd Rev趋势。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When we consider BABA's TEV / EBIT historical range, where the 3Y mean read 33.54x, BABA’s EV / Fwd EBIT trend certainly imply a hugely undervalued stock as BABA is still expected to grow its revenue and operating profits rapidly. However, as we wanted to obtain greater clarity over how its counterparts are also valued, we thought it would be useful if we value BABA’s EBIT over a set of benchmark companies that is presented below.</p><p><blockquote>当我们考虑阿里巴巴的TEV/EBIT历史范围（3年平均值为33.54倍）时，阿里巴巴的EV/Fwd EBIT趋势无疑意味着该股票被严重低估，因为预计阿里巴巴的收入和营业利润仍将快速增长。然而，由于我们希望更清楚地了解其同行的估值情况，我们认为如果我们对阿里巴巴的息税前利润进行估值，而不是下面介绍的一组基准公司，这将是有用的。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d27873e676dfb23c98d4a69aa5861e02\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"1117\"><span>Peers EV / EBIT Valuations. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>同行EV/EBIT估值。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> By using a blend of historical and forward EBIT, we could see that BABA’s EV / EBIT really looks undervalued when compared to the median value of the set of observed values from the benchmark companies. We derived a fair value range for BABA of $294.98 at the midpoint of the range, that represented a potential upside of 40.5% based on the current stock price of $210.</p><p><blockquote>通过混合使用历史和远期息税前利润，我们可以看到，与基准公司一组观察值的中值相比，阿里巴巴的EV/EBIT看起来确实被低估了。我们得出阿里巴巴的公允价值范围为294.98美元，位于该范围的中点，基于当前210美元的股价，这意味着40.5%的潜在上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks to Assumptions</b></p><p><blockquote><b>假设风险</b></blockquote></p><p> Now, it’s obviously baffling to watch how Mr. Market has decided to discount BABA to such an extent as if the company has lost all its key sources of growth, when in fact there is still so much potential upside coming from its commerce segment, the new marketplace initiatives and its growing Ali Cloud segment, among others. The main realistic reason that we identified for the stock's underperformance would simply be regulatory risk. We think investors should acknowledge that this risk is very real and at times huge Chinese companies have found themselves to be subjected to extra scrutiny (which is nothing new in fact) by the Chinese government. What’s critical here is that the Chinese government seemingly has significant clout over the behavior and actions of their tech behemoths that at times may be largely unpredictable. The market certainly hates unpredictability and therefore they may have significantly discounted BABA as a result of that. If investors are not able to handle uncertainty with regard to potentially unpredictable regulatory actions and their aftermath, then BABA may not be appropriate for you. However, if you believe that this is just a blip in BABA’s long journey, then you would surely find BABA's valuations extremely attractive right now, coupled with a long term mindset.</p><p><blockquote>现在，看着先生如何表现显然令人困惑。市场决定对阿里巴巴进行折扣，就好像该公司已经失去了所有关键的增长来源，而事实上，其商业部门、新的市场举措和不断增长的阿里云部门仍有很大的潜在上涨空间，其中。我们认为该股表现不佳的主要现实原因只是监管风险。我们认为投资者应该承认这种风险是非常真实的，有时大型中国公司会发现自己受到中国政府的额外审查（事实上这并不是什么新鲜事）。这里关键的是，中国政府似乎对其科技巨头的行为和行动拥有重大影响力，而这些影响力有时可能在很大程度上是不可预测的。市场当然讨厌不可预测性，因此他们可能会因此大幅折扣阿里巴巴。如果投资者无法应对潜在不可预测的监管行动及其后果的不确定性，那么阿里巴巴可能不适合您。然而，如果你认为这只是阿里巴巴漫长旅程中的一个短暂时刻，那么你肯定会发现阿里巴巴现在的估值极具吸引力，再加上长期思维。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wrapping It All Up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>把这一切包起来</b></blockquote></p><p> Alibaba has continued to deliver solid results that demonstrated the strong capability of the company to execute well. As the company continues to operate within a market with so many growth drivers that are expected to drive the company’s future growth, investors should find the current valuations highly attractive.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW继续取得稳健的业绩，展示了公司强大的执行能力。由于该公司继续在一个拥有如此多增长动力的市场中运营，预计将推动公司未来的增长，投资者应该会发现当前的估值非常有吸引力。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba Stock: The Bottoming Process Looks To Be Forming Already<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股票：触底过程似乎已经形成</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba Stock: The Bottoming Process Looks To Be Forming Already<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股票：触底过程似乎已经形成</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-18 09:07</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Alibaba is probably the most undervalued growth stock right now.</li>  <li>The company’s multiple growth drivers within a rapidly expanding market made its valuations look even more baffling.</li>  <li>The short term technical picture may be turning bullish with a potential double bottom price action signal.</li>  <li>We discuss the company’s multiple growth drivers and let investors judge for themselves.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/05e63c77d4f3f3dc3d618e43044638bb\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\"><span>Yongyuan Dai/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>阿里巴巴-SW可能是目前最被低估的成长型股票。</li><li>该公司在快速扩张的市场中的多种增长动力使其估值看起来更加令人困惑。</li><li>短期技术面可能会转向看涨，并出现潜在的双底价格走势信号。</li><li>我们讨论公司的多种增长动力，让投资者自行判断。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>戴永源/iStock未通过Getty Images发布</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Technical Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>技术论文</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7febf6ed056b0e3bc038321cdaad9b1c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"782\"><span>Source: TradingView</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：TradingView</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Alibaba’s&nbsp;stock price has endured a terrible 8 months ever since its Ant Financial IPO was pulled in early Nov 20, with the stock languishing in the doldrums 34% off its high. When considering the health of its long term uptrend, it’s clear that BABA has a relatively strong uptrend bias and has generally been well supported along its key 50W MA. The only other time in the last 4 years that it lost its key 50W MA support level was during the 2018 bear market where BABA dropped about 40%, but was still well supported above the important 200W MA, which we usually consider as the “last line of defense”. Right now BABA is somewhat facing a similar situation again: down 34%, lost the 50W MA, but looks to be well supported above the 200W MA. In addition to that, one interesting observation in price action analysis may lead price action traders/investors to be especially bullish: a potential double bottom formation. BABA's price is seemingly going through a double bottom like it did during the 2018 bear market before it rallied strongly thereafter. As a result, BABA’s current level may offer a possible technical buy entry point now.</p><p><blockquote>自11月20日早些时候蚂蚁金服IPO被取消以来，阿里巴巴-SW的股价已经经历了可怕的8个月，股价低迷，较高点下跌了34%。当考虑其长期上升趋势的健康状况时，很明显BABA具有相对较强的上升趋势偏差，并且通常在其关键的50W MA上得到良好支撑。过去4年中唯一一次失去关键的50W MA支撑位是在2018年熊市期间，BABA下跌了约40%，但仍在重要的200W MA上方得到良好支撑，我们通常认为这是“最后一道防线”。现在阿里巴巴再次面临类似的情况：下跌34%，失去了50W MA，但看起来在200W MA上方得到了很好的支撑。除此之外，价格行为分析中的一个有趣观察可能会导致价格行为交易者/投资者特别看涨：潜在的双底形成。阿里巴巴的价格似乎正在经历双底，就像2018年熊市期间一样，随后强劲反弹。因此，阿里巴巴目前的水平现在可能提供一个可能的技术买入切入点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BABA's Fundamental Thesis: Rapidly Expanding Growth Drivers</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴的基本论点：快速扩大增长动力</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eba49f5881708929949c30628eedc5d4\" tg-width=\"934\" tg-height=\"578\"><span>Annual GMV. Data source: Company filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>年度GMV。数据来源：公司备案</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a4d6c4ed3e2402f5af52b2dea8bab411\" tg-width=\"836\" tg-height=\"517\"><span>Annual e-commerce revenue. Data source: Company filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>年电子商务收入。数据来源：公司备案</span></p></blockquote></p><p> BABA’s GMV grew from 1.68T yuan to 7.49T yuan in just a matter of 7 years, which represented a CAGR of 23.8%, a truly amazing growth rate. We also saw its GMV growth being converted into revenue growth as its China commerce revenue grew from 7.67B yuan to 473.68B yuan, at a CAGR of 51% over the last 10 years. While its international footprint remains considerably smaller, it still grew at a CAGR of 30.42% over the last 10 years, which was by no means slow.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴的GMV在短短7年内从1.68 T元增长到7.49 T元，复合年增长率为23.8%，增速确实惊人。我们还看到其GMV增长转化为收入增长，其中国商业收入从76.7亿元增长至4736.8亿元，过去10年复合年增长率为51%。虽然其国际足迹仍然相当小，但在过去10年中，其复合年增长率仍为30.42%，这一点也不慢。</blockquote></p><p> Even though China’s e-commerce market is expected to grow considerably slower at a CAGR of 12.4% over the next three years, from 13.8T yuan, equivalent to $2.16T in 2021 to 19.6T yuan,equivalent to $3.06T by 2024, the massive size of the market still offers tremendous upside potential for BABA and its closest competitors to grow into.</p><p><blockquote>尽管预计未来三年中国电子商务市场的增长速度将大幅放缓，复合年增长率为12.4%，从2021年的13.8 T元（相当于2.16 T美元）增长到2024年的19.6 T元（相当于3.06 T美元），但庞大的市场规模仍然为阿里巴巴及其最接近的竞争对手提供了巨大的增长潜力。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ffe2dee43f267e1d1399c68e3ca60f36\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>E-commerce revenue in the U.S. Data source: Statista</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>美国电子商务收入数据来源：Statista</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When we take things into clearer perspective by comparing China’s growth rate and size of its market to that of the U.S. e-commerce market, we could see the huge differences in their sizes and growth rates as the U.S. e-commerce market is only expected to grow at a CAGR of 4.67% from 2021 to 2025, which is significantly slower than China’s 12.4%. In addition, the U.S. market is also expected to reach about $563B in total revenue, which is 18% of what the China market is expected to be worth by then.</p><p><blockquote>当我们通过比较中国与美国电子商务市场的增长率和规模来更清晰地看待事物时，我们可以看到它们的规模和增长率的巨大差异，因为美国电子商务市场预计仅增长2021年至2025年的复合年增长率为4.67%，明显低于中国的12.4%。此外，美国市场的总收入预计也将达到约5630亿美元，是届时中国市场预计价值的18%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d5a8d0d8a6a2dcdf667a6f33c6c9771\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"702\"><span>Peers EBIT Margin and Projected EBIT Margin. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>同行息税前利润率和预计息税前利润率。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Even though Alibaba has been facing increased competitive pressures from its fast growing key competitors: JD.com(NASDAQ:JD)and Pinduoduo(NASDAQ:PDD), BABA has already been operating a much more profitable business (both EBIT and FCF), and is expected to continue delivering strong profitability moving forward, which should give the company tremendous flexibility to compete head on with JD and PDD in its quest to extend its leadership. Investors may observe that BABA’s EBIT margin was affected by the one-off administrative penalty of $2,782M that was reflected in its SG&amp;A, and therefore skewed its EBIT margin to the downside.</p><p><blockquote>尽管阿里巴巴-SW一直面临着来自快速增长的主要竞争对手京东（纳斯达克：JD）和拼多多（纳斯达克：PDD）的越来越大的竞争压力，但阿里巴巴已经在经营利润更高的业务（息税前利润和自由现金流），并且预计未来将继续实现强劲的盈利能力，这将使该公司具有巨大的灵活性，可以与京东和拼多多正面竞争，以扩大其领导地位。投资者可能会注意到，阿里巴巴的息税前利润率受到其SG&amp;A中反映的27.82亿美元一次性行政罚款的影响，因此其息税前利润率出现下行。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> One important move was the company’s decision to further its investment in the Community Marketplace, which is PDD’s main e-commerce strategy that saw PDD gain a total of&nbsp;823M AAC&nbsp;in its latest quarter as compared to BABA’s 891M AAC. PDD’s AAC growth is truly phenomenal considering it had only&nbsp;100M AAC in Q2’C17&nbsp;as compared to BABA’s 466M AAC in the same period.</p><p><blockquote>一项重要举措是该公司决定进一步投资社区市场，这是拼多多的主要电子商务战略，拼多多在最近一个季度总共获得了8.23亿AAC，而阿里巴巴的AAC为8.91亿。与阿里巴巴同期的4.66亿AAC相比，拼多多的AAC在2017年第二季度仅有1亿AAC，其AAC增长确实是惊人的。</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, the momentum of growth has surely swung over to the Community Marketplace segment and BABA would need to pull out its big guns (which it has) to compete for dominance with PDD and JD.</p><p><blockquote>因此，增长势头肯定已经转向社区市场领域，阿里巴巴需要拿出重磅炸弹（它已经拥有）来与拼多多和京东争夺主导地位。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b83b69b08b1f4b11a26393c8e6eead5\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Market size of community group buying in China. Data source: iiMedia Research</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国社区团购的市场规模。数据来源：艾媒咨询</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Even though the expected total market size of 102B yuan by 2022 represented only about 21.5% of BABA’s FY 21 China commerce revenue, the expected rapid CAGR of 44.22% over 3 years from 2019 to 2022 cannot be missed by BABA. Although the market is still relatively small, BABA cannot allow the current leader in this market: PDD to so easily dominate and gobble up the early high growth rates at the ignorance of everyone else. Certainly BABA must compete and fight for its place in this segment and strive for early leadership to prevent PDD from extending its lead.</p><p><blockquote>尽管预计到2022年1020亿元的总市场规模仅占阿里巴巴21财年中国商业收入的21.5%左右，但阿里巴巴不能错过2019年至2022年3年内44.22%的预期快速复合年增长率。虽然市场还比较小，但BABA不能让这个市场目前的龙头：PDD在旁人无知的情况下，如此轻易地称霸并吞噬早期的高增长率。当然，阿里巴巴必须竞争并争取自己在这一领域的地位，并争取早期领导地位，以防止拼多多扩大领先优势。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b97b2b4a8a182dc9846d8fb7e4039877\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"770\"><span>PDD profitability metrics &amp; revenue growth forecast. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>PDD盈利指标和收入增长预测。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> We could observe from the above chart that PDD is expected to continue growing its revenue rapidly over the next few years, even though they are expected to normalize subsequently. More importantly, PDD is also expected to increasingly improve its EBIT and FCF profitability moving forward. This shows that the Community Marketplace segment is an highly important growth driver that BABA must use its strength to exploit in order to deny PDD’s claim to undisputed leadership so early on in the game.</p><p><blockquote>我们可以从上图中观察到，拼多多的收入预计将在未来几年继续快速增长，尽管预计随后将正常化。更重要的是，拼多多预计未来的息税前利润和自由现金流盈利能力也将日益提高。这表明社区市场细分市场是一个非常重要的增长动力，阿里巴巴必须利用其优势来利用它，以否认拼多多在游戏早期声称的无可争议的领导地位。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3aadc32155b4108426a1a982e3b5b1c2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\"><span>China public cloud spending. Source:China Internet Watch; Canalys</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国公有云支出。来源：中国互联网观察；Canalys</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c1538b9f7bdc8d6d35a72d9acf8ecbc\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Size of China public cloud market. Data source: CAICT; Sina.com.cn</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国公有云市场规模。数据来源：中国信通技术；新浪网</span></p></blockquote></p><p> BABA has a 40% share in China’s public cloud market, way ahead of its key competitors. However, it’s important to note that despite this leadership, BABA is still in heavy investment mode to continue growing its market share as China’s public cloud market is expected to grow from 26.48B yuan in 2017 to 230.74B yuan by 2023, which would represent a CAGR of 43.4%, an incredibly stellar growth rate. This is especially clear when we compare China’s growth rate to the worldwide growth rate (see below) as public cloud spending worldwide is expected to grow from $145B in 2017 to $397B by 2022, that would represent a CAGR of 22.3%.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴在中国公有云市场拥有40%的份额，远远领先于其主要竞争对手。然而，值得注意的是，尽管处于领先地位，阿里巴巴仍处于大力投资模式，以继续扩大其市场份额，因为中国公共云市场预计将从2017年的264.8亿元增长到2023年的2307.4亿元，这将代表CAGR 43.4%，这是一个令人难以置信的出色增长率。当我们将中国的增长率与全球增长率（见下文）进行比较时，这一点尤其明显，因为全球公共云支出预计将从2017年的1450亿美元增长到2022年的3970亿美元，这将代表22.3%的CAGR。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06198c569504bc303c34563041dfb294\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Worldwide public cloud spending. Data source: Gartner</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>全球公共云支出。数据来源：Gartner</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8482037f60575f964053ab732496bee3\" tg-width=\"1176\" tg-height=\"700\"><span>Worldwide public cloud market share. Source:CnTechPost; Gartner</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>全球公共云市场份额。来源：CnTechPost；Gartner</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Therefore, I don’t find it surprising that Ali Cloud has continued to extend its lead over Alphabet’s(NASDAQ:GOOGL)(NASDAQ:GOOG)GCP with a market share of 9.5% in 2020. While AMZN remains the clear leader in the market, its market share has been coming down considerably as public cloud spending continues to expand, indicating that there is a huge potential for growth for multiple players to exist. With BABA’s leadership in the rapidly expanding Chinese market, I’m increasingly bullish on the future profit and FCF contribution from this segment to BABA’s performance over time. Although BABA’s cloud segment has not been EBIT profitable yet (FY 21 EBIT margin: -15%, FY 20 EBIT margin: -17.5%), it’s also useful to note that GCP has also not been profitable for Alphabet as well (FY 20 EBIT margin: -42.9%, FY 19 EBIT margin: -52%). Therefore, we need to give BABA some time to scale up its cloud services in APAC and in China where it is expected to have stronger leadership to allow it to grow faster and investors should expect this to be a highly profitable segment over time.</p><p><blockquote>因此，阿里云在2020年以9.5%的市场份额继续扩大对Alphabet（纳斯达克：GOOGL）（纳斯达克：GOOG）GCP的领先优势，我并不觉得奇怪。虽然亚马逊仍然是市场上明显的领导者，但随着公共云支出的持续扩大，其市场份额一直在大幅下降，这表明多个参与者存在巨大的增长潜力。凭借阿里巴巴在快速扩张的中国市场的领导地位，我越来越看好该细分市场未来的利润和自由现金流对阿里巴巴业绩的贡献。尽管阿里巴巴的云部门尚未实现息税前利润（21财年息税前利润率：-15%，20财年息税前利润率：-17.5%），但值得注意的是，Alphabet的GCP也尚未实现盈利（20财年息税前利润率：-42.9%，19财年息税前利润率：-52%）。因此，我们需要给阿里巴巴一些时间来扩大其在亚太地区和中国的云服务规模，预计阿里巴巴将拥有更强大的领导力，使其能够更快地增长，投资者应该预计随着时间的推移，这将是一个高利润的细分市场。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BABA's Valuations Look Highly Compelling</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴的估值看起来非常引人注目</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62a087c4b3ef7efc2c5dde813e3b959d\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"600\"><span>NTM TEV / EBIT 3Y range.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>NTM TEV/EBIT 3Y范围。</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2605c0e5ad364a7a43929fef204595c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"687\"><span>EV / Fwd EBIT and EV / Fwd Rev trend. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>EV/Fwd息税前利润和EV/Fwd Rev趋势。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When we consider BABA's TEV / EBIT historical range, where the 3Y mean read 33.54x, BABA’s EV / Fwd EBIT trend certainly imply a hugely undervalued stock as BABA is still expected to grow its revenue and operating profits rapidly. However, as we wanted to obtain greater clarity over how its counterparts are also valued, we thought it would be useful if we value BABA’s EBIT over a set of benchmark companies that is presented below.</p><p><blockquote>当我们考虑阿里巴巴的TEV/EBIT历史范围（3年平均值为33.54倍）时，阿里巴巴的EV/Fwd EBIT趋势无疑意味着该股票被严重低估，因为预计阿里巴巴的收入和营业利润仍将快速增长。然而，由于我们希望更清楚地了解其同行的估值情况，我们认为如果我们对阿里巴巴的息税前利润进行估值，而不是下面介绍的一组基准公司，这将是有用的。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d27873e676dfb23c98d4a69aa5861e02\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"1117\"><span>Peers EV / EBIT Valuations. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>同行EV/EBIT估值。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> By using a blend of historical and forward EBIT, we could see that BABA’s EV / EBIT really looks undervalued when compared to the median value of the set of observed values from the benchmark companies. We derived a fair value range for BABA of $294.98 at the midpoint of the range, that represented a potential upside of 40.5% based on the current stock price of $210.</p><p><blockquote>通过混合使用历史和远期息税前利润，我们可以看到，与基准公司一组观察值的中值相比，阿里巴巴的EV/EBIT看起来确实被低估了。我们得出阿里巴巴的公允价值范围为294.98美元，位于该范围的中点，基于当前210美元的股价，这意味着40.5%的潜在上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks to Assumptions</b></p><p><blockquote><b>假设风险</b></blockquote></p><p> Now, it’s obviously baffling to watch how Mr. Market has decided to discount BABA to such an extent as if the company has lost all its key sources of growth, when in fact there is still so much potential upside coming from its commerce segment, the new marketplace initiatives and its growing Ali Cloud segment, among others. The main realistic reason that we identified for the stock's underperformance would simply be regulatory risk. We think investors should acknowledge that this risk is very real and at times huge Chinese companies have found themselves to be subjected to extra scrutiny (which is nothing new in fact) by the Chinese government. What’s critical here is that the Chinese government seemingly has significant clout over the behavior and actions of their tech behemoths that at times may be largely unpredictable. The market certainly hates unpredictability and therefore they may have significantly discounted BABA as a result of that. If investors are not able to handle uncertainty with regard to potentially unpredictable regulatory actions and their aftermath, then BABA may not be appropriate for you. However, if you believe that this is just a blip in BABA’s long journey, then you would surely find BABA's valuations extremely attractive right now, coupled with a long term mindset.</p><p><blockquote>现在，看着先生如何表现显然令人困惑。市场决定对阿里巴巴进行折扣，就好像该公司已经失去了所有关键的增长来源，而事实上，其商业部门、新的市场举措和不断增长的阿里云部门仍有很大的潜在上涨空间，其中。我们认为该股表现不佳的主要现实原因只是监管风险。我们认为投资者应该承认这种风险是非常真实的，有时大型中国公司会发现自己受到中国政府的额外审查（事实上这并不是什么新鲜事）。这里关键的是，中国政府似乎对其科技巨头的行为和行动拥有重大影响力，而这些影响力有时可能在很大程度上是不可预测的。市场当然讨厌不可预测性，因此他们可能会因此大幅折扣阿里巴巴。如果投资者无法应对潜在不可预测的监管行动及其后果的不确定性，那么阿里巴巴可能不适合您。然而，如果你认为这只是阿里巴巴漫长旅程中的一个短暂时刻，那么你肯定会发现阿里巴巴现在的估值极具吸引力，再加上长期思维。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wrapping It All Up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>把这一切包起来</b></blockquote></p><p> Alibaba has continued to deliver solid results that demonstrated the strong capability of the company to execute well. As the company continues to operate within a market with so many growth drivers that are expected to drive the company’s future growth, investors should find the current valuations highly attractive.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW继续取得稳健的业绩，展示了公司强大的执行能力。由于该公司继续在一个拥有如此多增长动力的市场中运营，预计将推动公司未来的增长，投资者应该会发现当前的估值非常有吸引力。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435297-alibaba-stock-bottoming-process-forming-buy-now\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴","09988":"阿里巴巴-W"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435297-alibaba-stock-bottoming-process-forming-buy-now","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1175693382","content_text":"Summary\n\nAlibaba is probably the most undervalued growth stock right now.\nThe company’s multiple growth drivers within a rapidly expanding market made its valuations look even more baffling.\nThe short term technical picture may be turning bullish with a potential double bottom price action signal.\nWe discuss the company’s multiple growth drivers and let investors judge for themselves.\n\nYongyuan Dai/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images\nThe Technical Thesis\nSource: TradingView\nAlibaba’s stock price has endured a terrible 8 months ever since its Ant Financial IPO was pulled in early Nov 20, with the stock languishing in the doldrums 34% off its high. When considering the health of its long term uptrend, it’s clear that BABA has a relatively strong uptrend bias and has generally been well supported along its key 50W MA. The only other time in the last 4 years that it lost its key 50W MA support level was during the 2018 bear market where BABA dropped about 40%, but was still well supported above the important 200W MA, which we usually consider as the “last line of defense”. Right now BABA is somewhat facing a similar situation again: down 34%, lost the 50W MA, but looks to be well supported above the 200W MA. In addition to that, one interesting observation in price action analysis may lead price action traders/investors to be especially bullish: a potential double bottom formation. BABA's price is seemingly going through a double bottom like it did during the 2018 bear market before it rallied strongly thereafter. As a result, BABA’s current level may offer a possible technical buy entry point now.\nBABA's Fundamental Thesis: Rapidly Expanding Growth Drivers\nAnnual GMV. Data source: Company filings\nAnnual e-commerce revenue. Data source: Company filings\nBABA’s GMV grew from 1.68T yuan to 7.49T yuan in just a matter of 7 years, which represented a CAGR of 23.8%, a truly amazing growth rate. We also saw its GMV growth being converted into revenue growth as its China commerce revenue grew from 7.67B yuan to 473.68B yuan, at a CAGR of 51% over the last 10 years. While its international footprint remains considerably smaller, it still grew at a CAGR of 30.42% over the last 10 years, which was by no means slow.\nEven though China’s e-commerce market is expected to grow considerably slower at a CAGR of 12.4% over the next three years, from 13.8T yuan, equivalent to $2.16T in 2021 to 19.6T yuan,equivalent to $3.06T by 2024, the massive size of the market still offers tremendous upside potential for BABA and its closest competitors to grow into.\nE-commerce revenue in the U.S. Data source: Statista\nWhen we take things into clearer perspective by comparing China’s growth rate and size of its market to that of the U.S. e-commerce market, we could see the huge differences in their sizes and growth rates as the U.S. e-commerce market is only expected to grow at a CAGR of 4.67% from 2021 to 2025, which is significantly slower than China’s 12.4%. In addition, the U.S. market is also expected to reach about $563B in total revenue, which is 18% of what the China market is expected to be worth by then.\nPeers EBIT Margin and Projected EBIT Margin. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nEven though Alibaba has been facing increased competitive pressures from its fast growing key competitors: JD.com(NASDAQ:JD)and Pinduoduo(NASDAQ:PDD), BABA has already been operating a much more profitable business (both EBIT and FCF), and is expected to continue delivering strong profitability moving forward, which should give the company tremendous flexibility to compete head on with JD and PDD in its quest to extend its leadership. Investors may observe that BABA’s EBIT margin was affected by the one-off administrative penalty of $2,782M that was reflected in its SG&A, and therefore skewed its EBIT margin to the downside.\nOne important move was the company’s decision to further its investment in the Community Marketplace, which is PDD’s main e-commerce strategy that saw PDD gain a total of 823M AAC in its latest quarter as compared to BABA’s 891M AAC. PDD’s AAC growth is truly phenomenal considering it had only 100M AAC in Q2’C17 as compared to BABA’s 466M AAC in the same period.\nTherefore, the momentum of growth has surely swung over to the Community Marketplace segment and BABA would need to pull out its big guns (which it has) to compete for dominance with PDD and JD.\nMarket size of community group buying in China. Data source: iiMedia Research\nEven though the expected total market size of 102B yuan by 2022 represented only about 21.5% of BABA’s FY 21 China commerce revenue, the expected rapid CAGR of 44.22% over 3 years from 2019 to 2022 cannot be missed by BABA. Although the market is still relatively small, BABA cannot allow the current leader in this market: PDD to so easily dominate and gobble up the early high growth rates at the ignorance of everyone else. Certainly BABA must compete and fight for its place in this segment and strive for early leadership to prevent PDD from extending its lead.\nPDD profitability metrics & revenue growth forecast. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nWe could observe from the above chart that PDD is expected to continue growing its revenue rapidly over the next few years, even though they are expected to normalize subsequently. More importantly, PDD is also expected to increasingly improve its EBIT and FCF profitability moving forward. This shows that the Community Marketplace segment is an highly important growth driver that BABA must use its strength to exploit in order to deny PDD’s claim to undisputed leadership so early on in the game.\nChina public cloud spending. Source:China Internet Watch; Canalys\nSize of China public cloud market. Data source: CAICT; Sina.com.cn\nBABA has a 40% share in China’s public cloud market, way ahead of its key competitors. However, it’s important to note that despite this leadership, BABA is still in heavy investment mode to continue growing its market share as China’s public cloud market is expected to grow from 26.48B yuan in 2017 to 230.74B yuan by 2023, which would represent a CAGR of 43.4%, an incredibly stellar growth rate. This is especially clear when we compare China’s growth rate to the worldwide growth rate (see below) as public cloud spending worldwide is expected to grow from $145B in 2017 to $397B by 2022, that would represent a CAGR of 22.3%.\nWorldwide public cloud spending. Data source: Gartner\nWorldwide public cloud market share. Source:CnTechPost; Gartner\nTherefore, I don’t find it surprising that Ali Cloud has continued to extend its lead over Alphabet’s(NASDAQ:GOOGL)(NASDAQ:GOOG)GCP with a market share of 9.5% in 2020. While AMZN remains the clear leader in the market, its market share has been coming down considerably as public cloud spending continues to expand, indicating that there is a huge potential for growth for multiple players to exist. With BABA’s leadership in the rapidly expanding Chinese market, I’m increasingly bullish on the future profit and FCF contribution from this segment to BABA’s performance over time. Although BABA’s cloud segment has not been EBIT profitable yet (FY 21 EBIT margin: -15%, FY 20 EBIT margin: -17.5%), it’s also useful to note that GCP has also not been profitable for Alphabet as well (FY 20 EBIT margin: -42.9%, FY 19 EBIT margin: -52%). Therefore, we need to give BABA some time to scale up its cloud services in APAC and in China where it is expected to have stronger leadership to allow it to grow faster and investors should expect this to be a highly profitable segment over time.\nBABA's Valuations Look Highly Compelling\nNTM TEV / EBIT 3Y range.\nEV / Fwd EBIT and EV / Fwd Rev trend. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nWhen we consider BABA's TEV / EBIT historical range, where the 3Y mean read 33.54x, BABA’s EV / Fwd EBIT trend certainly imply a hugely undervalued stock as BABA is still expected to grow its revenue and operating profits rapidly. However, as we wanted to obtain greater clarity over how its counterparts are also valued, we thought it would be useful if we value BABA’s EBIT over a set of benchmark companies that is presented below.\nPeers EV / EBIT Valuations. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nBy using a blend of historical and forward EBIT, we could see that BABA’s EV / EBIT really looks undervalued when compared to the median value of the set of observed values from the benchmark companies. We derived a fair value range for BABA of $294.98 at the midpoint of the range, that represented a potential upside of 40.5% based on the current stock price of $210.\nRisks to Assumptions\nNow, it’s obviously baffling to watch how Mr. Market has decided to discount BABA to such an extent as if the company has lost all its key sources of growth, when in fact there is still so much potential upside coming from its commerce segment, the new marketplace initiatives and its growing Ali Cloud segment, among others. The main realistic reason that we identified for the stock's underperformance would simply be regulatory risk. We think investors should acknowledge that this risk is very real and at times huge Chinese companies have found themselves to be subjected to extra scrutiny (which is nothing new in fact) by the Chinese government. What’s critical here is that the Chinese government seemingly has significant clout over the behavior and actions of their tech behemoths that at times may be largely unpredictable. The market certainly hates unpredictability and therefore they may have significantly discounted BABA as a result of that. If investors are not able to handle uncertainty with regard to potentially unpredictable regulatory actions and their aftermath, then BABA may not be appropriate for you. However, if you believe that this is just a blip in BABA’s long journey, then you would surely find BABA's valuations extremely attractive right now, coupled with a long term mindset.\nWrapping It All Up\nAlibaba has continued to deliver solid results that demonstrated the strong capability of the company to execute well. As the company continues to operate within a market with so many growth drivers that are expected to drive the company’s future growth, investors should find the current valuations highly attractive.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BABA":0.9,"09988":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":447,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":169959139,"gmtCreate":1623813644621,"gmtModify":1634027691208,"author":{"id":"3586310790127154","authorId":"3586310790127154","name":"65ad2341","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586310790127154","idStr":"3586310790127154"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Interesting, like and comment pls","listText":"Interesting, like and comment pls","text":"Interesting, like and comment pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/169959139","repostId":"2143680537","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":326,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":175400271,"gmtCreate":1627044724193,"gmtModify":1633768516463,"author":{"id":"3586310790127154","authorId":"3586310790127154","name":"65ad2341","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586310790127154","idStr":"3586310790127154"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"LOL","listText":"LOL","text":"LOL","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/175400271","repostId":"1164478982","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":273,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":175577525,"gmtCreate":1627044691267,"gmtModify":1633768517179,"author":{"id":"3586310790127154","authorId":"3586310790127154","name":"65ad2341","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586310790127154","idStr":"3586310790127154"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"More for me","listText":"More for me","text":"More for me","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/175577525","repostId":"2153092983","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":389,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":175620865,"gmtCreate":1627029399158,"gmtModify":1633768637778,"author":{"id":"3586310790127154","authorId":"3586310790127154","name":"65ad2341","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586310790127154","idStr":"3586310790127154"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Gg","listText":"Gg","text":"Gg","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/175620865","repostId":"1112567098","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":382,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":151025003,"gmtCreate":1625059183202,"gmtModify":1633945363986,"author":{"id":"3586310790127154","authorId":"3586310790127154","name":"65ad2341","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586310790127154","idStr":"3586310790127154"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Interesting","listText":"Interesting","text":"Interesting","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/151025003","repostId":"1142236873","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1142236873","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1625058842,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1142236873?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-30 21:14","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is Now The Time To Buy Stock In Plug Power, Micron Or Roblox?<blockquote>现在是购买普拉格能源、美光科技或Roblox股票的时候吗？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1142236873","media":"Benzinga","summary":"One of the most common questions traders have about stocks is “Why Is It Moving?”\nThat’s why Benzing","content":"<p>One of the most common questions traders have about stocks is “Why Is It Moving?”</p><p><blockquote>交易者对股票最常见的问题之一是“它为什么会变动？”</blockquote></p><p> That’s why Benzinga created the Why Is It Moving, or WIIM, feature in&nbsp;Benzinga Pro. WIIMs are a one-sentence description as to why that stock is moving.</p><p><blockquote>这就是Benzinga在Benzinga Pro中创建“为什么它在移动”(WIIM)功能的原因。WIIM是对该股票变动原因的一句话描述。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts and brokerage firms often use ratings when they issue stock recommendations to stock traders.</p><p><blockquote>分析师和经纪公司在向股票交易者发布股票推荐时经常使用评级。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts arrive at stock ratings by researching public financial statements, communicating with executives and customers&nbsp;and following industry trends.</p><p><blockquote>分析师通过研究公开财务报表、与高管和客户沟通以及跟踪行业趋势来得出股票评级。</blockquote></p><p> RBC Capital initiated&nbsp;coverage on&nbsp;<b>Plug Power Inc</b>(NASDAQ:PLUG)&nbsp;with an Outperform rating and announced&nbsp;a price target of&nbsp;$42.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大皇家银行资本开始报道<b>普拉格能源公司</b>（纳斯达克：PLUG）给予跑赢大盘评级，并宣布目标价为42美元。</blockquote></p><p> Plug Power is trading higher by 2% at $34.75 Wednesday morning.</p><p><blockquote>周三上午，普拉格能源股价上涨2%，至34.75美元。</blockquote></p><p> BMO Capital analyst Ambrish Srivastava upgraded&nbsp;<b>Micron Technology, Inc.</b>(NASDAQ:MU)&nbsp;from Market Perform to Outperform and raised&nbsp;the price target from&nbsp;$90&nbsp;to&nbsp;$110.</p><p><blockquote>BMO Capital分析师Ambrish Srivastava升级<b>美光科技公司。</b>（纳斯达克：MU）从与大盘持平上调至跑赢大盘，并将目标价从90美元上调至110美元。</blockquote></p><p> Micron is trading higher by 1.5% at $84.15.</p><p><blockquote>美光科技股价上涨1.5%，至84.15美元。</blockquote></p><p> Citic Securities initiated&nbsp;coverage on&nbsp;<b>Roblox Corp</b>(NYSE:RBLX)&nbsp;with an Overweight rating and announced&nbsp;a price target of&nbsp;$96.</p><p><blockquote>中信证券于<b>Roblox公司</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：RBLX）给予跑赢大盘评级，并宣布目标价为96美元。</blockquote></p><p> Roblox is trading lower by 0.7% at $92.</p><p><blockquote>Roblox股价下跌0.7%，至92美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is Now The Time To Buy Stock In Plug Power, Micron Or Roblox?<blockquote>现在是购买普拉格能源、美光科技或Roblox股票的时候吗？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs Now The Time To Buy Stock In Plug Power, Micron Or Roblox?<blockquote>现在是购买普拉格能源、美光科技或Roblox股票的时候吗？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-06-30 21:14</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>One of the most common questions traders have about stocks is “Why Is It Moving?”</p><p><blockquote>交易者对股票最常见的问题之一是“它为什么会变动？”</blockquote></p><p> That’s why Benzinga created the Why Is It Moving, or WIIM, feature in&nbsp;Benzinga Pro. WIIMs are a one-sentence description as to why that stock is moving.</p><p><blockquote>这就是Benzinga在Benzinga Pro中创建“为什么它在移动”(WIIM)功能的原因。WIIM是对该股票变动原因的一句话描述。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts and brokerage firms often use ratings when they issue stock recommendations to stock traders.</p><p><blockquote>分析师和经纪公司在向股票交易者发布股票推荐时经常使用评级。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts arrive at stock ratings by researching public financial statements, communicating with executives and customers&nbsp;and following industry trends.</p><p><blockquote>分析师通过研究公开财务报表、与高管和客户沟通以及跟踪行业趋势来得出股票评级。</blockquote></p><p> RBC Capital initiated&nbsp;coverage on&nbsp;<b>Plug Power Inc</b>(NASDAQ:PLUG)&nbsp;with an Outperform rating and announced&nbsp;a price target of&nbsp;$42.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大皇家银行资本开始报道<b>普拉格能源公司</b>（纳斯达克：PLUG）给予跑赢大盘评级，并宣布目标价为42美元。</blockquote></p><p> Plug Power is trading higher by 2% at $34.75 Wednesday morning.</p><p><blockquote>周三上午，普拉格能源股价上涨2%，至34.75美元。</blockquote></p><p> BMO Capital analyst Ambrish Srivastava upgraded&nbsp;<b>Micron Technology, Inc.</b>(NASDAQ:MU)&nbsp;from Market Perform to Outperform and raised&nbsp;the price target from&nbsp;$90&nbsp;to&nbsp;$110.</p><p><blockquote>BMO Capital分析师Ambrish Srivastava升级<b>美光科技公司。</b>（纳斯达克：MU）从与大盘持平上调至跑赢大盘，并将目标价从90美元上调至110美元。</blockquote></p><p> Micron is trading higher by 1.5% at $84.15.</p><p><blockquote>美光科技股价上涨1.5%，至84.15美元。</blockquote></p><p> Citic Securities initiated&nbsp;coverage on&nbsp;<b>Roblox Corp</b>(NYSE:RBLX)&nbsp;with an Overweight rating and announced&nbsp;a price target of&nbsp;$96.</p><p><blockquote>中信证券于<b>Roblox公司</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：RBLX）给予跑赢大盘评级，并宣布目标价为96美元。</blockquote></p><p> Roblox is trading lower by 0.7% at $92.</p><p><blockquote>Roblox股价下跌0.7%，至92美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MU":"美光科技","PLUG":"普拉格能源","RBLX":"Roblox Corporation"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1142236873","content_text":"One of the most common questions traders have about stocks is “Why Is It Moving?”\nThat’s why Benzinga created the Why Is It Moving, or WIIM, feature in Benzinga Pro. WIIMs are a one-sentence description as to why that stock is moving.\nAnalysts and brokerage firms often use ratings when they issue stock recommendations to stock traders.\nAnalysts arrive at stock ratings by researching public financial statements, communicating with executives and customers and following industry trends.\nRBC Capital initiated coverage on Plug Power Inc(NASDAQ:PLUG) with an Outperform rating and announced a price target of $42.\nPlug Power is trading higher by 2% at $34.75 Wednesday morning.\nBMO Capital analyst Ambrish Srivastava upgraded Micron Technology, Inc.(NASDAQ:MU) from Market Perform to Outperform and raised the price target from $90 to $110.\nMicron is trading higher by 1.5% at $84.15.\nCitic Securities initiated coverage on Roblox Corp(NYSE:RBLX) with an Overweight rating and announced a price target of $96.\nRoblox is trading lower by 0.7% at $92.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PLUG":0.9,"MU":0.9,"RBLX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":541,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}