+关注
yiyu81
暂无个人介绍
IP属地:未知
10
关注
6
粉丝
0
主题
0
勋章
主贴
热门
yiyu81
2021-12-25
$OCDX(OCDX)$
finally keep going
yiyu81
2021-12-15
[smile]
SoFi: Beaten Down Badly, We See Big Time Gains Ahead
yiyu81
2021-10-14
$OCDX(OCDX)$
going up to next support level?
yiyu81
2021-10-13
Good. 👍
Tesla Stock: The Path To $2,500 By 2030
yiyu81
2021-10-13
[微笑]
抱歉,原内容已删除
yiyu81
2021-10-13
[财迷]
抱歉,原内容已删除
yiyu81
2021-10-11
$Apple(AAPL)$
thanks tiger
yiyu81
2021-10-09
$OCDX(OCDX)$
good potential
yiyu81
2021-10-07
[微笑]
抱歉,原内容已删除
yiyu81
2021-10-07
[微笑]
抱歉,原内容已删除
yiyu81
2021-10-07
[财迷]
抱歉,原内容已删除
yiyu81
2021-10-04
[微笑]
US IPO Week Ahead: New issuers work up a sweat in a fitness-led 5 IPO week
yiyu81
2021-09-07
Thanks for information. [开心]
抱歉,原内容已删除
yiyu81
2021-09-06
Good
北京证券交易所来了!谁的“大肉”,谁的“汤”?
yiyu81
2021-09-03
$OCDX(OCDX)$
value stock.[财迷]
去老虎APP查看更多动态
{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"userPageInfo":{"id":"4087626034255720","uuid":"4087626034255720","gmtCreate":1624523426055,"gmtModify":1629423210851,"name":"yiyu81","pinyin":"yiyu81","introduction":"","introductionEn":null,"signature":"","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4778d04c7fcd1247b57df255ae536876","hat":null,"hatId":null,"hatName":null,"vip":1,"status":2,"fanSize":6,"headSize":10,"tweetSize":15,"questionSize":0,"limitLevel":999,"accountStatus":4,"level":{"id":2,"name":"无畏虎","nameTw":"無畏虎","represent":"初生牛犊","factor":"发布3条非转发主帖,1条获得他人回复或点赞","iconColor":"3C9E83","bgColor":"A2F1D9"},"themeCounts":0,"badgeCounts":0,"badges":[],"moderator":false,"superModerator":false,"manageSymbols":null,"badgeLevel":null,"boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"favoriteSize":0,"symbols":null,"coverImage":null,"realNameVerified":null,"userBadges":[{"badgeId":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969-2","templateUuid":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969","name":"宗师交易员","description":"证券或期货账户累计交易次数达到100次","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad22cfbe2d05aa393b18e9226e4b0307","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/36702e6ff3ffe46acafee66cc85273ca","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d52eb88fa385cf5abe2616ed63781765","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2025.01.02","exceedPercentage":"80.94%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100},{"badgeId":"976c19eed35f4cd78f17501c2e99ef37-1","templateUuid":"976c19eed35f4cd78f17501c2e99ef37","name":"博闻投资者","description":"累计交易超过10只正股","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e74cc24115c4fbae6154ec1b1041bf47","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d48265cbfd97c57f9048db29f22227b0","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76c6d6898b073c77e1c537ebe9ac1c57","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2024.03.23","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1102},{"badgeId":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561-1","templateUuid":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561","name":"出道虎友","description":"加入老虎社区500天","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e4d0ca1da0456dc7894c946d44bf9ab","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f2f65e8ce4cfaae8db2bea9b127f58b","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c5948a31b6edf154422335b265235809","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2022.11.14","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001},{"badgeId":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a-1","templateUuid":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a","name":"实盘交易者","description":"完成一笔实盘交易","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e08a1cc2087a1de93402c2c290fa65b","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4504a6397ce1137932d56e5f4ce27166","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b22c79415b4cd6e3d8ebc4a0fa32604","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100}],"userBadgeCount":4,"currentWearingBadge":null,"individualDisplayBadges":null,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"location":"未知","starInvestorFollowerNum":0,"starInvestorFlag":false,"starInvestorOrderShareNum":0,"subscribeStarInvestorNum":0,"ror":null,"winRationPercentage":null,"showRor":false,"investmentPhilosophy":null,"starInvestorSubscribeFlag":false},"baikeInfo":{},"tab":"post","tweets":[{"id":698298938,"gmtCreate":1640399136626,"gmtModify":1640399136738,"author":{"id":"4087626034255720","authorId":"4087626034255720","name":"yiyu81","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4778d04c7fcd1247b57df255ae536876","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087626034255720","authorIdStr":"4087626034255720"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OCDX\">$OCDX(OCDX)$</a>finally keep going","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OCDX\">$OCDX(OCDX)$</a>finally keep going","text":"$OCDX(OCDX)$finally keep going","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/239b5a088f79e3ac7e9e27cf49780d59","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698298938","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1119,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":607882952,"gmtCreate":1639525150368,"gmtModify":1639525150449,"author":{"id":"4087626034255720","authorId":"4087626034255720","name":"yiyu81","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4778d04c7fcd1247b57df255ae536876","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087626034255720","authorIdStr":"4087626034255720"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[smile] ","listText":"[smile] ","text":"[smile]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/607882952","repostId":"1168111596","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1168111596","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639524397,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1168111596?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-15 07:26","market":"us","language":"en","title":"SoFi: Beaten Down Badly, We See Big Time Gains Ahead","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1168111596","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nWe have swing traded this stock successfully multiple times.\nAt these levels and below, it ","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>We have swing traded this stock successfully multiple times.</li>\n <li>At these levels and below, it is a solid investment, but also once again a trading opportunity.</li>\n <li>SOFI truly has a competitive advantage as a result of its horizontally integrated offerings cutting across many areas of fintech and banking.</li>\n <li>The most recent quarter was decent, a banking charter is nigh, and this is going to be a winner you should own.</li>\n <li>This idea was discussed in more depth with members of my private investing community, BAD BEAT Investing. </li>\n</ul>\n<p></p>\n<p></p>\n<p>We recommend buying SoFi Technologies (SOFI) on this most recent selloff. We think the stock is at levels that are strong buys. Period. End of the column. That was easy. But in all seriousness, while having traded this name successfully multiple times, we felt it prudent to put out another piece on the ticker to inform our readers that it is setup once again as both a long-term winner if you enter here, and has the potential for a rapid-return swing trade. While the market has many concerns, with this pullback and considering the most recent earnings, the company is moving right along. We fully believe this will be a solid winner. You should own it.</p>\n<p></p>\n<p>The stock is down hard from recent highs just weeks ago. Admittedly there may be some volatility, but we think the play is definitely to buy some now, and God willing if this drops more, buy it up.</p>\n<p></p>\n<p>Make no mistake, there have been some other great companies we still love that are new and growing and the stocks have struggled. We think it's good to go.</p>\n<p></p>\n<p><b>The play</b></p>\n<p>Buy 1: $14.30</p>\n<p></p>\n<p>Buy 2: $14.00</p>\n<p></p>\n<p>Buy 3: $13.50</p>\n<p></p>\n<p>Shorter term profit target: $16.50-$17.00</p>\n<p></p>\n<p>Traders who need a stop should look to jump ship on negative momentum at under 13.00, but we think it is a mistake frankly. Build a position for the longer term.</p>\n<p></p>\n<p>For call options, consider the January 2023 $15 strike.</p>\n<p></p>\n<p><b>Discussion</b></p>\n<p>The story of SOFI remains a great one. We know many who have used it in the years past, as they had attractive rates, terms, and made finance by the people, at least in the messaging. Here we are at the end of 2021, and SOFI now represents the next generation of banking, and plays into a growing fintech industry.</p>\n<p></p>\n<p>The stock got hit hard when SoftBank recently sold a massive stake. SoFi was also a bit of collateral damage in a recent New York court case, where a New York judge declined to approve Renren's (NYSE:RENN) settlement with shareholders who accused RENN insiders of taking the company's portfolio for themselves in 2018. The portfolio included a large stake in SoFi. Generally speaking, fintech has been weak of late. In fact, a lot of specialty tech has been hammered as we have noted in our chat boards, while the NASDAQ 100 index is largely holding up thanks to mega cap tech.</p>\n<p></p>\n<p>Regardless of the short term, when you look at SoFi, you have to be amazed at the growth they have shown! They started off as a simple provider of loans in the student loan market, and have since expanded their offerings to encompass a large array of services in the consumer finance sector. They have blossomed and now offer products ranging from personal loans, home loans, and even insurance, credit card services, cash management, brokerage services and recently to payments and financial services APIs for enterprises.</p>\n<p></p>\n<p>Of course, their diverse and integrated ecosystem of services in a single app has gotten SOFI tremendous user growth, as increasingly frustrated customers of traditional banks opt to switch to SOFI for the ease of convenience.</p>\n<p></p>\n<p>What we love about this company is that it has such a low cost to acquire customers, but makes what a bank makes margin wise with loans. The combination of low-value financial products and high value loans on the same app increases the opportunity that its customers cross-buy into these loans. What is more, since the customer was acquired with low cost into its low-value offerings, the variable profit per customer that comes in and the buys into high-value loans now increases significantly compared to when obtaining that same loan customer through traditional means. In fact, it can increase 180%:</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e035dbd338ffdd698ad348e03cc7886\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"320\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>This is absolutely winning. The long-term potential here cannot be understated. That said, the most recent quarter was quite decent.</p>\n<p></p>\n<p>Total revenue was $272.0 million in Q3 2021 which was up 35% from the corresponding prior-year period. On an adjusted basis, net revenue was $277.2 million, a record high for Q3, and 28% higher than last year's $216.8. Revenues were also up sequentially from Q2. There was continued strength in all three of SoFi's business segments, leading to these solid results, and the top line beat consensus estimates handily by $21.6 million.</p>\n<p></p>\n<p>Now the major complaint of course for the relatively new public company is that it is not consistently making money on the bottom line. But it will folks. Indeed, SoFi saw $30.0 million net loss for the Q3 2021, compared to a net loss of $42.9 million in last year's quarter.</p>\n<p></p>\n<p>The one thing to remember here is that the acquisition of Galileo was costly, and they lowered their valuation allowance. Just something to keep in mind. Anyway, we are pleased to see another quarter of positive adjusted EBITDA. It came in at of $10.3 million, and was positive for the fifth consecutive quarter, due to the combination of higher revenues across business segments, though this was a touch offset by increased spending to achieve incremental growth.</p>\n<p></p>\n<p>One of the most critical items we noted was SOFI continues to accelerate its year-over-year growth in both members and total products in the quarter. This is key. Total members grew 96% year-over-year to 2.9 million, up from 1.5 million at the same point last year, and total products grew 105% to 3.3 million at quarter-end compared to 2.3 million at the same point last year.</p>\n<p></p>\n<p></p>\n<p>This is so critical to understand. The business metrics are largely improving, regardless of the stock moves. The stock is not the company. The company is not the stock. But the stock will recognize the moves in metrics eventually as the noise settles down and things improve. Growth in the member base and products continues to be driven by significant expansion in the offerings across business segments, particularly in the Financial Services segment, where growth in SoFi Invest and SoFi Money offerings more than doubled the number of Financial Services segment products, to nearly 3.2 million, up from approximately 1.2 million, at the same point last year.</p>\n<p></p>\n<p>As of the end of Q3, Financial Services segment products were nearly three times the number of Lending products.</p>\n<p></p>\n<p>Growth in personal and student loans largely drove the 15% year-over-year increase in Lending segment products.</p>\n<p></p>\n<p>Technology Platform accounts increased by 80% to nearly 89 million. All of this is solid growth. The results versus guidance are a key communication from the company that we love to see. It helps hold them accountable.</p>\n<p></p>\n<p>We won't go incredibly deeper into the numbers but the key here is that the company's performance trounced guidance all around. We do not think management sandbags in order to beat either. The company is simply growing solidly.</p>\n<p></p>\n<p>That said, management expects continued strong growth to finish the year. For Q4, they see expected adjusted net revenue of $272 to $282 million and expected adjusted EBITDA of $2 million to $3 million. That is strong growth on the top line:</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6d39f813c57f0aa872bee7e405db85a3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"321\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>The company also raised its guidance. We love it when companies raise guidance:</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e250a317e08abf380a453e23c6e97b7\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"305\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p></p>\n<p>Sure, there is a lot of noise around what will happen with rates, and the Fed, and with COVID and the economy. But in perspective, higher rates are good for companies that lend money, so long as they are securing funding at a nominal rate and profiting from a spread. The company sees annual performance being strong thanks to year-to-date performance and a strong Q4. We are most excited by seeing the company break a billion in revenues this year, with EBITDA possibly breaking $30 million. Growth from here is all but guaranteed.</p>\n<p></p>\n<p><b>A few catalysts and risks</b></p>\n<p>One thing we want to point out again is how the extension of the government's student loan moratorium has hindered the company. But that is coming to an end. While that was costly in 2021, we expect that 2022 will see a nice boost in repayment. So keep that in mind.</p>\n<p></p>\n<p>Then there is of course the bank charter, which we see as very likely. For more on this, please see the many columns on SoFi on Seeking Alpha discussing this. We will say that as they have applied for a national bank license, if they get it, there are so many other products they could offer in addition to some other innovative things they could try as it relates to banking products.</p>\n<p></p>\n<p>Of course, a risk to the stock and to the company's growth would be if they were straight up denied a banking charter. That would hurt potential growth and we could see the stock being sold off pretty hard.</p>\n<p></p>\n<p>Another risk is if the government comes in and tries to regulate the massive uptick in the number of companies offering customers access to trading, or otherwise tries to limit individuals from trading. A lot of money is made from trading/investing, so any regulation here that limits this could be detrimental. Traders should keep their ears and eyes on the regulatory wire for anything that could hurt SoFi or its competitors in this regard.</p>\n<p></p>\n<p><b>Take home</b></p>\n<p>While the company and stock are not risk-free, the pullback has been massive. The secondary, as well as institutional selling, along with broader fintech weakness, has set up a great trading opportunity here. Take advantage of the selloff here and you will thank yourself down the road for buying this gem.</p>","source":"lsy1638401102509","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>SoFi: Beaten Down Badly, We See Big Time Gains Ahead</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSoFi: Beaten Down Badly, We See Big Time Gains Ahead\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-12-15 07:26 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4475109-sofi-beaten-down-badly-we-see-big-time-gains-ahead><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nWe have swing traded this stock successfully multiple times.\nAt these levels and below, it is a solid investment, but also once again a trading opportunity.\nSOFI truly has a competitive ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4475109-sofi-beaten-down-badly-we-see-big-time-gains-ahead\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SOFI":"SoFi Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4475109-sofi-beaten-down-badly-we-see-big-time-gains-ahead","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1168111596","content_text":"Summary\n\nWe have swing traded this stock successfully multiple times.\nAt these levels and below, it is a solid investment, but also once again a trading opportunity.\nSOFI truly has a competitive advantage as a result of its horizontally integrated offerings cutting across many areas of fintech and banking.\nThe most recent quarter was decent, a banking charter is nigh, and this is going to be a winner you should own.\nThis idea was discussed in more depth with members of my private investing community, BAD BEAT Investing. \n\n\n\nWe recommend buying SoFi Technologies (SOFI) on this most recent selloff. We think the stock is at levels that are strong buys. Period. End of the column. That was easy. But in all seriousness, while having traded this name successfully multiple times, we felt it prudent to put out another piece on the ticker to inform our readers that it is setup once again as both a long-term winner if you enter here, and has the potential for a rapid-return swing trade. While the market has many concerns, with this pullback and considering the most recent earnings, the company is moving right along. We fully believe this will be a solid winner. You should own it.\n\nThe stock is down hard from recent highs just weeks ago. Admittedly there may be some volatility, but we think the play is definitely to buy some now, and God willing if this drops more, buy it up.\n\nMake no mistake, there have been some other great companies we still love that are new and growing and the stocks have struggled. We think it's good to go.\n\nThe play\nBuy 1: $14.30\n\nBuy 2: $14.00\n\nBuy 3: $13.50\n\nShorter term profit target: $16.50-$17.00\n\nTraders who need a stop should look to jump ship on negative momentum at under 13.00, but we think it is a mistake frankly. Build a position for the longer term.\n\nFor call options, consider the January 2023 $15 strike.\n\nDiscussion\nThe story of SOFI remains a great one. We know many who have used it in the years past, as they had attractive rates, terms, and made finance by the people, at least in the messaging. Here we are at the end of 2021, and SOFI now represents the next generation of banking, and plays into a growing fintech industry.\n\nThe stock got hit hard when SoftBank recently sold a massive stake. SoFi was also a bit of collateral damage in a recent New York court case, where a New York judge declined to approve Renren's (NYSE:RENN) settlement with shareholders who accused RENN insiders of taking the company's portfolio for themselves in 2018. The portfolio included a large stake in SoFi. Generally speaking, fintech has been weak of late. In fact, a lot of specialty tech has been hammered as we have noted in our chat boards, while the NASDAQ 100 index is largely holding up thanks to mega cap tech.\n\nRegardless of the short term, when you look at SoFi, you have to be amazed at the growth they have shown! They started off as a simple provider of loans in the student loan market, and have since expanded their offerings to encompass a large array of services in the consumer finance sector. They have blossomed and now offer products ranging from personal loans, home loans, and even insurance, credit card services, cash management, brokerage services and recently to payments and financial services APIs for enterprises.\n\nOf course, their diverse and integrated ecosystem of services in a single app has gotten SOFI tremendous user growth, as increasingly frustrated customers of traditional banks opt to switch to SOFI for the ease of convenience.\n\nWhat we love about this company is that it has such a low cost to acquire customers, but makes what a bank makes margin wise with loans. The combination of low-value financial products and high value loans on the same app increases the opportunity that its customers cross-buy into these loans. What is more, since the customer was acquired with low cost into its low-value offerings, the variable profit per customer that comes in and the buys into high-value loans now increases significantly compared to when obtaining that same loan customer through traditional means. In fact, it can increase 180%:\n\nThis is absolutely winning. The long-term potential here cannot be understated. That said, the most recent quarter was quite decent.\n\nTotal revenue was $272.0 million in Q3 2021 which was up 35% from the corresponding prior-year period. On an adjusted basis, net revenue was $277.2 million, a record high for Q3, and 28% higher than last year's $216.8. Revenues were also up sequentially from Q2. There was continued strength in all three of SoFi's business segments, leading to these solid results, and the top line beat consensus estimates handily by $21.6 million.\n\nNow the major complaint of course for the relatively new public company is that it is not consistently making money on the bottom line. But it will folks. Indeed, SoFi saw $30.0 million net loss for the Q3 2021, compared to a net loss of $42.9 million in last year's quarter.\n\nThe one thing to remember here is that the acquisition of Galileo was costly, and they lowered their valuation allowance. Just something to keep in mind. Anyway, we are pleased to see another quarter of positive adjusted EBITDA. It came in at of $10.3 million, and was positive for the fifth consecutive quarter, due to the combination of higher revenues across business segments, though this was a touch offset by increased spending to achieve incremental growth.\n\nOne of the most critical items we noted was SOFI continues to accelerate its year-over-year growth in both members and total products in the quarter. This is key. Total members grew 96% year-over-year to 2.9 million, up from 1.5 million at the same point last year, and total products grew 105% to 3.3 million at quarter-end compared to 2.3 million at the same point last year.\n\n\nThis is so critical to understand. The business metrics are largely improving, regardless of the stock moves. The stock is not the company. The company is not the stock. But the stock will recognize the moves in metrics eventually as the noise settles down and things improve. Growth in the member base and products continues to be driven by significant expansion in the offerings across business segments, particularly in the Financial Services segment, where growth in SoFi Invest and SoFi Money offerings more than doubled the number of Financial Services segment products, to nearly 3.2 million, up from approximately 1.2 million, at the same point last year.\n\nAs of the end of Q3, Financial Services segment products were nearly three times the number of Lending products.\n\nGrowth in personal and student loans largely drove the 15% year-over-year increase in Lending segment products.\n\nTechnology Platform accounts increased by 80% to nearly 89 million. All of this is solid growth. The results versus guidance are a key communication from the company that we love to see. It helps hold them accountable.\n\nWe won't go incredibly deeper into the numbers but the key here is that the company's performance trounced guidance all around. We do not think management sandbags in order to beat either. The company is simply growing solidly.\n\nThat said, management expects continued strong growth to finish the year. For Q4, they see expected adjusted net revenue of $272 to $282 million and expected adjusted EBITDA of $2 million to $3 million. That is strong growth on the top line:\n\nThe company also raised its guidance. We love it when companies raise guidance:\n\n\nSure, there is a lot of noise around what will happen with rates, and the Fed, and with COVID and the economy. But in perspective, higher rates are good for companies that lend money, so long as they are securing funding at a nominal rate and profiting from a spread. The company sees annual performance being strong thanks to year-to-date performance and a strong Q4. We are most excited by seeing the company break a billion in revenues this year, with EBITDA possibly breaking $30 million. Growth from here is all but guaranteed.\n\nA few catalysts and risks\nOne thing we want to point out again is how the extension of the government's student loan moratorium has hindered the company. But that is coming to an end. While that was costly in 2021, we expect that 2022 will see a nice boost in repayment. So keep that in mind.\n\nThen there is of course the bank charter, which we see as very likely. For more on this, please see the many columns on SoFi on Seeking Alpha discussing this. We will say that as they have applied for a national bank license, if they get it, there are so many other products they could offer in addition to some other innovative things they could try as it relates to banking products.\n\nOf course, a risk to the stock and to the company's growth would be if they were straight up denied a banking charter. That would hurt potential growth and we could see the stock being sold off pretty hard.\n\nAnother risk is if the government comes in and tries to regulate the massive uptick in the number of companies offering customers access to trading, or otherwise tries to limit individuals from trading. A lot of money is made from trading/investing, so any regulation here that limits this could be detrimental. Traders should keep their ears and eyes on the regulatory wire for anything that could hurt SoFi or its competitors in this regard.\n\nTake home\nWhile the company and stock are not risk-free, the pullback has been massive. The secondary, as well as institutional selling, along with broader fintech weakness, has set up a great trading opportunity here. Take advantage of the selloff here and you will thank yourself down the road for buying this gem.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1659,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":822729954,"gmtCreate":1634172316289,"gmtModify":1634172316289,"author":{"id":"4087626034255720","authorId":"4087626034255720","name":"yiyu81","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4778d04c7fcd1247b57df255ae536876","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087626034255720","authorIdStr":"4087626034255720"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OCDX\">$OCDX(OCDX)$</a>going up to next support level?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OCDX\">$OCDX(OCDX)$</a>going up to next support level?","text":"$OCDX(OCDX)$going up to next support level?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/839f4396150379bc10c4deccfdd043e3","width":"1080","height":"2259"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/822729954","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1622,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":822044812,"gmtCreate":1634081925247,"gmtModify":1634081925357,"author":{"id":"4087626034255720","authorId":"4087626034255720","name":"yiyu81","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4778d04c7fcd1247b57df255ae536876","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087626034255720","authorIdStr":"4087626034255720"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good. 👍 ","listText":"Good. 👍 ","text":"Good. 👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/822044812","repostId":"1188785088","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1188785088","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1634052465,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1188785088?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-12 23:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Stock: The Path To $2,500 By 2030","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1188785088","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Summary\n\nTesla experienced explosive gains last year.\nThis year, the stock has struggled, but the co","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Tesla experienced explosive gains last year.</li>\n <li>This year, the stock has struggled, but the company is on the right track.</li>\n <li>Better-than-anticipated production and deliveries data suggests the stock can push higher into year-end.</li>\n <li>I suspect Tesla has more upside, and the stock could hit $2,500 in future years.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/207deb1c8eb2af0f4c49abcb18226dd4\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Spencer Platt/Getty Images News</span></p>\n<p>I've been a Tesla(NASDAQ:TSLA)bull for a long time now. It's hard to believe, but the first time I purchased Tesla's stock was eight years ago when the share price was around a split-adjusted $30. Now, roughly 2,500% higher, I am still long Tesla and I think there is more upside in this stock. Tesla remains the leader in the ultra-lucrative EV space. The company arguably has the best products, powered by the most advanced technologies.</p>\n<p>Additionally, Tesla has a unique set of competitive advantages that the company utilizes to stay ahead of its competition year after year. Tesla just put up stellar delivery and production numbers, will likely surpass analysts' expectations this quarter, and the company has enormous revenue and EPS growth potential as we advance. While we will not see Tesla shares gain another 2,500% from here any time soon, the stock can probably hit $1,000 by year-end or early next year. Moreover, Tesla shares could climb substantially higher over the next several years as well.</p>\n<p><b>Technical Setup</b></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dabe94c8ac775d6a4113df03ad66ffdb\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"676\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Stockcharts.com</span></p>\n<p>Tesla had a stellar run-up in 2020 and into year-end last year. Then the stock experienced a significant correction of around 40% down to the $550 level. After this giant pullback, Tesla shares came back for a successful retest of the $550 level. Since then, the stock has been in a steady, concise, upward channel. The current move higher should continue until the bullish trend breaks. However, the bullish trend is robust and could power Tesla shares to $1,000 by the end of this year. Moreover, the company has numerous favorable fundamental factors to go along with the constructive technical setup right now.</p>\n<p><b>Competitive Edge</b></p>\n<p>Tesla continues to enjoy a multifaceted competitive advantage relative to its peers. Its approach to marketing, sales, software development, battery production, supercharging, design, development, and production provides Tesla with a significant edge relative to its competitors. Tesla designs and delivers everything from scratch, and the company remains ever focused on staying ahead of the curve innovation-wise in the EV space. However, most traditional automakers are still mainly focused on ICE vehicles and are still pivoting towards EVs. The bottom line is that the EV market is continuously gaining share over the conventional ICE market, and Tesla is the clear leader when it comes to EVs.</p>\n<p><b>Global EV Market Share First Half of 2021</b></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/460efe2072a471a917fc24f40e742d6e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"497\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: statista.com</span></p>\n<p><b>Deliveries Surge</b></p>\n<p>Tesla just announced another record deliveries quarter of 241,300 vehiclesin Q3, a 20% increase over the last quarter and a remarkable 73% YoY surge. Tesla delivered a total of 9,275 Model S/X vehicles along with 232,025 mainstream Model 3/Y cars. Now, if we adjust for lease vehicles, we arrive at about 7,420 Model S/X vehicle sales and roughly 218,104 Model 3/Y vehicles sold in the third quarter.</p>\n<p>Last quarter (Q2 2021), Tesla sold (leases excluded) a total of about 187,163 vehicles for $9.874 billion. This sales image suggests that the average selling price (\"ASP\") across all vehicles was roughly $53K. Tesla sold approximately 1,550 Model S/X vehicles in Q2. Thus, if we approximate an ASP of $100,000 - $110,000 for Model S/X vehicle sales, we are left with about $52,000 for the Model 3/Y segment.</p>\n<p>Therefore, to get an approximate number for Tesla vehicle sales in Q3, we can use an ASP of $105,000 for the 7,420 Model S/X vehicles sold in the quarter, and we can use the $52,000 ASP for the 218,104 Model 3/Y cars delivered in Q3. This estimate gives us an approximate $800 million in Model S/X sales and $11.34 billion in Model 3/Y sales.</p>\n<p><b>Q3 Earnings Outlook</b></p>\n<p><b>Analysts Estimates:</b></p>\n<p>Last quarter, Tesla delivered $1.45 in EPS, beating consensus analysts' forecasts by about $0.47 or 48%. The company announced revenues of $11.96 billion, beating estimates by $559.33 million simultaneously. Now for Q3, consensus estimates are for EPS of $1.47 and revenues of $13.49 billion. However, I think Tesla will beat these figures as well.</p>\n<p><b>My Estimates:</b></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/49202e7907ab71b56fdc7a9bd908431d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"975\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author's Material</span></p>\n<p>Instead of the $13.49 billion revenues figure, I am looking for $14.74 billion in revenues, about a 9% increase over consensus expectations. Moreover, I think we can see about $1.85 in non-GAAP EPS out of Tesla in Q3, roughly 26% better than the current consensus figures imply. If Tesla makes good on its notably better-than-expected Q3 results, the stock will have a strong catalyst for a rally into year-end.</p>\n<p><b>Bright Future Ahead for Tesla</b></p>\n<p>Estimates are moving up for Tesla. There have been 26 upward revisions relative to just one downward (FY2021) revision over the last 90 days. Still, estimates could continue to move higher.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bda469abb83b22a2a4505ae8d0373158\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"276\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: seekingalpha.com</span></p>\n<p>First, I want to draw your attention to the number of beats in recent quarters. Sure, Tesla's earnings remain somewhat volatile, but it's difficult to deny the better-than-anticipated earnings growth of late. Consensus estimates were for $3.61 in EPS for the last four quarters. Yet, the company's actual EPS numbers came in at $3.94, an average beat of around 9% over consensus estimates. We already see estimates that are substantial increases on a YoY basis, but I think that results can continue to come in stronger than anticipated (by about 10-20%) as we advance.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8eb9918909984b4de589a4266c10f2a5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"282\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: seekingalpha.com</span></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b3215da27370b6e97c23883ece163f6b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"279\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: seekingalpha.com</span></p>\n<p>We see expectations for significant EPS and revenue gains in future years for Tesla. While the stock may seem relatively expensive right now, shares should become increasingly less costly as EPS surge in coming years.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4392b7b8eeb3a6fc412f6cd79fe9e44e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"330\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: seekingalpha.com</span></p>\n<p>Here is what Tesla's EPS, P/E ratio, and share price could look like in future years.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b9e110af6b9747752c5a540bdb00c5a4\" tg-width=\"905\" tg-height=\"382\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author's Material</span></p>\n<p><b>The Bottom Line</b></p>\n<p>Tesla's steady and robust EPS growth trend should continue, and I expect the company's share price could reach $2,500 or higher by the end of the decade. Now, some market participants could argue that these stock price projections are optimistic. However, I think that these projections may be relatively modest. First, the company could deliver higher EPS than I anticipate in future years, and second, Tesla's P/E ratio could remain elevated for longer.</p>\n<p>Due to Tesla's unique growth dynamic, the only company that can compare to Tesla is Amazon(NASDAQ:AMZN), in my view. Amazon's current valuation is what a more mature Tesla valuation could become. Incidentally, Amazon currently trades at about 58 times EPS, exactly where I have my 2029 Tesla P/E ratio pegged. Also, the projected stock price appreciation is only 220% from current levels, which is relatively modest if we consider the number of years.</p>\n<p><b>Risks to Tesla's $2,500 Price Target</b></p>\n<p>Of course, when you are talking about Tesla, there are risks to consider. While I estimate that the company can earn close to $50 per share by 2030, the company is very far from such figures right now. Therefore, there is the risk that Tesla will not illustrate the kind of earnings growth I envision. A slowdown in demand, increased competition, supply issues, decreased growth, and other variables are all risks we should consider before betting on Tesla to increase EPS nearly tenfold by 2030. Serious concerns could cause Tesla's valuation to lose altitude, and the company's share price could even head in reverse if any serious issues should arise. Therefore, I believe one should consider the risks carefully before committing any capital to a Tesla investment.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Stock: The Path To $2,500 By 2030</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Stock: The Path To $2,500 By 2030\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-10-12 23:27 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4459378-tesla-path-to-2500-by-2030><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nTesla experienced explosive gains last year.\nThis year, the stock has struggled, but the company is on the right track.\nBetter-than-anticipated production and deliveries data suggests the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4459378-tesla-path-to-2500-by-2030\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4459378-tesla-path-to-2500-by-2030","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1188785088","content_text":"Summary\n\nTesla experienced explosive gains last year.\nThis year, the stock has struggled, but the company is on the right track.\nBetter-than-anticipated production and deliveries data suggests the stock can push higher into year-end.\nI suspect Tesla has more upside, and the stock could hit $2,500 in future years.\n\nSpencer Platt/Getty Images News\nI've been a Tesla(NASDAQ:TSLA)bull for a long time now. It's hard to believe, but the first time I purchased Tesla's stock was eight years ago when the share price was around a split-adjusted $30. Now, roughly 2,500% higher, I am still long Tesla and I think there is more upside in this stock. Tesla remains the leader in the ultra-lucrative EV space. The company arguably has the best products, powered by the most advanced technologies.\nAdditionally, Tesla has a unique set of competitive advantages that the company utilizes to stay ahead of its competition year after year. Tesla just put up stellar delivery and production numbers, will likely surpass analysts' expectations this quarter, and the company has enormous revenue and EPS growth potential as we advance. While we will not see Tesla shares gain another 2,500% from here any time soon, the stock can probably hit $1,000 by year-end or early next year. Moreover, Tesla shares could climb substantially higher over the next several years as well.\nTechnical Setup\nSource: Stockcharts.com\nTesla had a stellar run-up in 2020 and into year-end last year. Then the stock experienced a significant correction of around 40% down to the $550 level. After this giant pullback, Tesla shares came back for a successful retest of the $550 level. Since then, the stock has been in a steady, concise, upward channel. The current move higher should continue until the bullish trend breaks. However, the bullish trend is robust and could power Tesla shares to $1,000 by the end of this year. Moreover, the company has numerous favorable fundamental factors to go along with the constructive technical setup right now.\nCompetitive Edge\nTesla continues to enjoy a multifaceted competitive advantage relative to its peers. Its approach to marketing, sales, software development, battery production, supercharging, design, development, and production provides Tesla with a significant edge relative to its competitors. Tesla designs and delivers everything from scratch, and the company remains ever focused on staying ahead of the curve innovation-wise in the EV space. However, most traditional automakers are still mainly focused on ICE vehicles and are still pivoting towards EVs. The bottom line is that the EV market is continuously gaining share over the conventional ICE market, and Tesla is the clear leader when it comes to EVs.\nGlobal EV Market Share First Half of 2021\nSource: statista.com\nDeliveries Surge\nTesla just announced another record deliveries quarter of 241,300 vehiclesin Q3, a 20% increase over the last quarter and a remarkable 73% YoY surge. Tesla delivered a total of 9,275 Model S/X vehicles along with 232,025 mainstream Model 3/Y cars. Now, if we adjust for lease vehicles, we arrive at about 7,420 Model S/X vehicle sales and roughly 218,104 Model 3/Y vehicles sold in the third quarter.\nLast quarter (Q2 2021), Tesla sold (leases excluded) a total of about 187,163 vehicles for $9.874 billion. This sales image suggests that the average selling price (\"ASP\") across all vehicles was roughly $53K. Tesla sold approximately 1,550 Model S/X vehicles in Q2. Thus, if we approximate an ASP of $100,000 - $110,000 for Model S/X vehicle sales, we are left with about $52,000 for the Model 3/Y segment.\nTherefore, to get an approximate number for Tesla vehicle sales in Q3, we can use an ASP of $105,000 for the 7,420 Model S/X vehicles sold in the quarter, and we can use the $52,000 ASP for the 218,104 Model 3/Y cars delivered in Q3. This estimate gives us an approximate $800 million in Model S/X sales and $11.34 billion in Model 3/Y sales.\nQ3 Earnings Outlook\nAnalysts Estimates:\nLast quarter, Tesla delivered $1.45 in EPS, beating consensus analysts' forecasts by about $0.47 or 48%. The company announced revenues of $11.96 billion, beating estimates by $559.33 million simultaneously. Now for Q3, consensus estimates are for EPS of $1.47 and revenues of $13.49 billion. However, I think Tesla will beat these figures as well.\nMy Estimates:\nSource: Author's Material\nInstead of the $13.49 billion revenues figure, I am looking for $14.74 billion in revenues, about a 9% increase over consensus expectations. Moreover, I think we can see about $1.85 in non-GAAP EPS out of Tesla in Q3, roughly 26% better than the current consensus figures imply. If Tesla makes good on its notably better-than-expected Q3 results, the stock will have a strong catalyst for a rally into year-end.\nBright Future Ahead for Tesla\nEstimates are moving up for Tesla. There have been 26 upward revisions relative to just one downward (FY2021) revision over the last 90 days. Still, estimates could continue to move higher.\nSource: seekingalpha.com\nFirst, I want to draw your attention to the number of beats in recent quarters. Sure, Tesla's earnings remain somewhat volatile, but it's difficult to deny the better-than-anticipated earnings growth of late. Consensus estimates were for $3.61 in EPS for the last four quarters. Yet, the company's actual EPS numbers came in at $3.94, an average beat of around 9% over consensus estimates. We already see estimates that are substantial increases on a YoY basis, but I think that results can continue to come in stronger than anticipated (by about 10-20%) as we advance.\nSource: seekingalpha.com\nSource: seekingalpha.com\nWe see expectations for significant EPS and revenue gains in future years for Tesla. While the stock may seem relatively expensive right now, shares should become increasingly less costly as EPS surge in coming years.\nSource: seekingalpha.com\nHere is what Tesla's EPS, P/E ratio, and share price could look like in future years.\nSource: Author's Material\nThe Bottom Line\nTesla's steady and robust EPS growth trend should continue, and I expect the company's share price could reach $2,500 or higher by the end of the decade. Now, some market participants could argue that these stock price projections are optimistic. However, I think that these projections may be relatively modest. First, the company could deliver higher EPS than I anticipate in future years, and second, Tesla's P/E ratio could remain elevated for longer.\nDue to Tesla's unique growth dynamic, the only company that can compare to Tesla is Amazon(NASDAQ:AMZN), in my view. Amazon's current valuation is what a more mature Tesla valuation could become. Incidentally, Amazon currently trades at about 58 times EPS, exactly where I have my 2029 Tesla P/E ratio pegged. Also, the projected stock price appreciation is only 220% from current levels, which is relatively modest if we consider the number of years.\nRisks to Tesla's $2,500 Price Target\nOf course, when you are talking about Tesla, there are risks to consider. While I estimate that the company can earn close to $50 per share by 2030, the company is very far from such figures right now. Therefore, there is the risk that Tesla will not illustrate the kind of earnings growth I envision. A slowdown in demand, increased competition, supply issues, decreased growth, and other variables are all risks we should consider before betting on Tesla to increase EPS nearly tenfold by 2030. Serious concerns could cause Tesla's valuation to lose altitude, and the company's share price could even head in reverse if any serious issues should arise. Therefore, I believe one should consider the risks carefully before committing any capital to a Tesla investment.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1234,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":822042856,"gmtCreate":1634081816507,"gmtModify":1634081816648,"author":{"id":"4087626034255720","authorId":"4087626034255720","name":"yiyu81","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4778d04c7fcd1247b57df255ae536876","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087626034255720","authorIdStr":"4087626034255720"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[微笑] ","listText":"[微笑] ","text":"[微笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/822042856","repostId":"2175132100","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1113,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":822042053,"gmtCreate":1634081787915,"gmtModify":1634081788019,"author":{"id":"4087626034255720","authorId":"4087626034255720","name":"yiyu81","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4778d04c7fcd1247b57df255ae536876","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087626034255720","authorIdStr":"4087626034255720"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[财迷] ","listText":"[财迷] ","text":"[财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/822042053","repostId":"2174313550","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1061,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":828617597,"gmtCreate":1633910002917,"gmtModify":1633910002917,"author":{"id":"4087626034255720","authorId":"4087626034255720","name":"yiyu81","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4778d04c7fcd1247b57df255ae536876","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087626034255720","authorIdStr":"4087626034255720"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a>thanks tiger","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a>thanks tiger","text":"$Apple(AAPL)$thanks tiger","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51857f0ad9592e523904dc12e3469a29","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/828617597","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1668,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":821286870,"gmtCreate":1633747616451,"gmtModify":1633747616558,"author":{"id":"4087626034255720","authorId":"4087626034255720","name":"yiyu81","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4778d04c7fcd1247b57df255ae536876","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087626034255720","authorIdStr":"4087626034255720"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OCDX\">$OCDX(OCDX)$</a>good potential ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OCDX\">$OCDX(OCDX)$</a>good potential ","text":"$OCDX(OCDX)$good potential","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8d3d4c17533a52325cc66bf982ae4a73","width":"1080","height":"2259"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/821286870","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1110,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":823951859,"gmtCreate":1633574046718,"gmtModify":1633574046852,"author":{"id":"4087626034255720","authorId":"4087626034255720","name":"yiyu81","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4778d04c7fcd1247b57df255ae536876","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087626034255720","authorIdStr":"4087626034255720"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[微笑] ","listText":"[微笑] ","text":"[微笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/823951859","repostId":"1173147867","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1035,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":823951198,"gmtCreate":1633574026362,"gmtModify":1633574026486,"author":{"id":"4087626034255720","authorId":"4087626034255720","name":"yiyu81","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4778d04c7fcd1247b57df255ae536876","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087626034255720","authorIdStr":"4087626034255720"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[微笑] ","listText":"[微笑] ","text":"[微笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/823951198","repostId":"2173091029","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1207,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":823953488,"gmtCreate":1633573990461,"gmtModify":1633573990555,"author":{"id":"4087626034255720","authorId":"4087626034255720","name":"yiyu81","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4778d04c7fcd1247b57df255ae536876","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087626034255720","authorIdStr":"4087626034255720"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[财迷] ","listText":"[财迷] ","text":"[财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/823953488","repostId":"2173948202","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":560,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":867487657,"gmtCreate":1633308503140,"gmtModify":1633308528150,"author":{"id":"4087626034255720","authorId":"4087626034255720","name":"yiyu81","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4778d04c7fcd1247b57df255ae536876","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087626034255720","authorIdStr":"4087626034255720"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[微笑] ","listText":"[微笑] ","text":"[微笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/867487657","repostId":"1186540865","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1186540865","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1633289898,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1186540865?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-04 03:38","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US IPO Week Ahead: New issuers work up a sweat in a fitness-led 5 IPO week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1186540865","media":"Renaissance Capital","summary":"In the first full week of October, five IPOs are slated to raise $1.8 billion, led by two fitness co","content":"<p>In the first full week of October, five IPOs are slated to raise $1.8 billion, led by two fitness companies.</p>\n<p>Fitness chain<b>Life Time Group Holdings</b>(LTH) plans to raise $901 million at a $4.1 billion market cap. Taken private in 2015, Life Time operates more than 150 \"centers\" across 29 US states and one province in Canada, serving nearly 1.4 million individual members as of 7/31/21. While the company was hit hard by the pandemic, operations have since improved dramatically, with revenue quadrupling in the 2Q21.</p>\n<p>Fitness equipment brand<b>iFIT Health & Fitness</b>(IFIT) plans to raise $600 million at a $6.4 billion market cap. iFIT is the #1 provider of large fitness equipment in the US, selling under brands including iFIT, NordicTrack, ProForm, and Freemotion. Fast growing and unprofitable, the company serves a community of over 6.1 million members and 1.5 million subscribers in over 120 countries.</p>\n<p>Proteomics platform<b>IsoPlexis</b>(ISO) plans to raise $125 million at a $648 million market cap. IsoPlexis believes its platform is the first to employ both proteomics and single cell biology to characterize and link cellular function to patient outcomes. Fast growing and highly unprofitable, the company's platform has been adopted by the top 15 global biopharmas and nearly half of the comprehensive cancer centers in the US since its commercial launch in June 2018.</p>\n<p>Biotech<b>Theseus Pharmaceuticals</b>(THRX) plans to raise $125 million at a $593 million market cap. Theseus’ lead candidate is a pan-variant inhibitor of all major classes of activating/resistance mutations of the KIT kinase for of gastrointestinal stromal tumors (GIST). The company recently submitted an IND for advanced GIST and plans to initiate a Phase 1/2 trial between late 4Q21 and mid 1Q22.</p>\n<p>Drug developer<b>Cingulate</b>(CING) plans to raise $50 million at a $225 million market cap. Its two candidates, CTx-1301 and CTx-1302, are being developed for the treatment of ADHD. The company announced positive results from a Phase 1/2 study of CTx-1301 in October 2020, and plans to initiate Phase 3 trials in the 4Q21 with results expected in late 2022.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/610fa042e4de459e4597ed8086743234\" tg-width=\"1894\" tg-height=\"912\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>","source":"lsy1603787993745","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US IPO Week Ahead: New issuers work up a sweat in a fitness-led 5 IPO week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS IPO Week Ahead: New issuers work up a sweat in a fitness-led 5 IPO week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-10-04 03:38 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/86747/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-New-issuers-work-up-a-sweat-in-a-fitness-led-5-IPO-week><strong>Renaissance Capital</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>In the first full week of October, five IPOs are slated to raise $1.8 billion, led by two fitness companies.\nFitness chainLife Time Group Holdings(LTH) plans to raise $901 million at a $4.1 billion ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/86747/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-New-issuers-work-up-a-sweat-in-a-fitness-led-5-IPO-week\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LTH":"Life Time Group Holdings, Inc.","ISO":"IsoPlexis Corp.","CING":"CINGULATE INC.","THRX":"Theseus Pharmaceuticals, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/86747/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-New-issuers-work-up-a-sweat-in-a-fitness-led-5-IPO-week","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1186540865","content_text":"In the first full week of October, five IPOs are slated to raise $1.8 billion, led by two fitness companies.\nFitness chainLife Time Group Holdings(LTH) plans to raise $901 million at a $4.1 billion market cap. Taken private in 2015, Life Time operates more than 150 \"centers\" across 29 US states and one province in Canada, serving nearly 1.4 million individual members as of 7/31/21. While the company was hit hard by the pandemic, operations have since improved dramatically, with revenue quadrupling in the 2Q21.\nFitness equipment brandiFIT Health & Fitness(IFIT) plans to raise $600 million at a $6.4 billion market cap. iFIT is the #1 provider of large fitness equipment in the US, selling under brands including iFIT, NordicTrack, ProForm, and Freemotion. Fast growing and unprofitable, the company serves a community of over 6.1 million members and 1.5 million subscribers in over 120 countries.\nProteomics platformIsoPlexis(ISO) plans to raise $125 million at a $648 million market cap. IsoPlexis believes its platform is the first to employ both proteomics and single cell biology to characterize and link cellular function to patient outcomes. Fast growing and highly unprofitable, the company's platform has been adopted by the top 15 global biopharmas and nearly half of the comprehensive cancer centers in the US since its commercial launch in June 2018.\nBiotechTheseus Pharmaceuticals(THRX) plans to raise $125 million at a $593 million market cap. Theseus’ lead candidate is a pan-variant inhibitor of all major classes of activating/resistance mutations of the KIT kinase for of gastrointestinal stromal tumors (GIST). The company recently submitted an IND for advanced GIST and plans to initiate a Phase 1/2 trial between late 4Q21 and mid 1Q22.\nDrug developerCingulate(CING) plans to raise $50 million at a $225 million market cap. Its two candidates, CTx-1301 and CTx-1302, are being developed for the treatment of ADHD. The company announced positive results from a Phase 1/2 study of CTx-1301 in October 2020, and plans to initiate Phase 3 trials in the 4Q21 with results expected in late 2022.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":450,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":817758590,"gmtCreate":1630991462510,"gmtModify":1632904722686,"author":{"id":"4087626034255720","authorId":"4087626034255720","name":"yiyu81","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4778d04c7fcd1247b57df255ae536876","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087626034255720","authorIdStr":"4087626034255720"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Thanks for information. [开心] ","listText":"Thanks for information. [开心] ","text":"Thanks for information. [开心]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/817758590","repostId":"2165880909","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":413,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":817915690,"gmtCreate":1630897129810,"gmtModify":1632905257054,"author":{"id":"4087626034255720","authorId":"4087626034255720","name":"yiyu81","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4778d04c7fcd1247b57df255ae536876","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087626034255720","authorIdStr":"4087626034255720"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/817915690","repostId":"1103617448","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1103617448","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1630893800,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1103617448?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-06 10:03","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"北京证券交易所来了!谁的“大肉”,谁的“汤”?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1103617448","media":"海清FICC频道","summary":"9月2日晚,中央宣布将深化新三板改革,设立北京证券交易所,打造服务创新型中小企业主阵地。\n一、设立北京证券交易所是大国博弈、“科技兴邦”的战略抉择\n当前,一场以数字经济、芯片、人工智能、新能源技术、太","content":"<p>9月2日晚,中央宣布将深化新三板改革,设立北京证券交易所,打造服务创新型中小企业主阵地。</p>\n<p><b>一、设立北京证券交易所是大国博弈、“科技兴邦”的战略抉择</b></p>\n<p>当前,一场以数字经济、芯片、人工智能、新能源技术、太空探索技术、生物医药技术为引领的科技革命正在到来。</p>\n<p><b>在中国经济高质量发展、产业转型升级和全球产业竞争中,科技创新的竞争是核心。</b>中国能否在这一场科技竞争中取得先发优势,不仅仅决定了中国能否解决关键技术“卡脖子”的短期问题,还决定了未来谁是全球产业经济的“领头羊”、21世纪是谁的世纪的长期问题。</p>\n<p><b>从历史上大国崛起的过程来看,科技是根本驱动力:</b></p>\n<p>英国借助蒸汽机的领先优势率先开始了第一次工业革命,成为世界霸主;</p>\n<p>美德在内燃机、电气化领域弯道超车超过英国,引领了第二次工业革命,取代了英国的地位;</p>\n<p>二战后美国在原子能、生物医药、航空航天、计算机等领域引领了第三次工业革命,进一步巩固了其全球科技领头羊地位和世界霸主地位。</p>\n<p><b>在上世纪八九十年代的美日贸易战中,除了“广场协议”这一表面因素和直接诱因外,美国最终能够胜过日本的关键也在于两国在经济发展驱动力选择上的根本差异:</b></p>\n<p>日本因循传统的主办银行制度,支持传统的大型制造业企业和房地产行业发展,其金融体制不适应科技创新的需要。在广场协议后,日元升值、出口受挫,日本更是直接通过货币大放水刺激起股市泡沫和房市泡沫,催生出“虚假的繁荣”。</p>\n<p>美国通过纳斯达克市场为科技创新企业提供便利的融资环境,硅谷发展起来,培育了一大批后来的互联网企业。</p>\n<p>到了九十年代,日本房市和股市泡沫破裂,经济陷入“失去的二十年”;美国厚积薄发,互联网革命兴起,出现“新经济繁荣”。日本在美日竞争中彻底出局。</p>\n<p><b>大国博弈,科技定乾坤!科技是第一生产力,是大国崛起和全球竞争的关键。</b></p>\n<p><b>金融是实体的血液,科技竞争,金融先行。哪个国家的资本市场更能服务创新,更能为高科技企业融资和发展提供便利,哪个国家的科技创新就更有可能快速进步,同时还能吸引其他国家和地区的高科技企业来本地上市。</b></p>\n<p><b>近年来美国纳斯达克也在不断进行制度创新,为中小科创企业上市提供更便捷的政策机制设计。</b>比如,近年来美国股市出现许多特殊目的收购公司(SPAC),成为许多企业借壳上市的“终南捷径”。其操作模式是:第一步,成立一个SPAC公司,向监管机构申请发股募资,但此时发起人持有的股票只能在限定市场上单独交易;第二步,在18~24个月内,管理团队找到一家可以收购的目标公司,全体股东投票,多数同意后完成收购,合并成新公司,股票就可以正式上市交易。发起人持有的股票等锁定期一过,就可以退出套现。SPAC模式能够让企业在短时间内实现上市,成本也比IPO、买壳上市/借壳上市更低。</p>\n<p><b>如今中国决策层已经彻底下定决心转型,告别以城镇化红利为基础的“房地产+土地财政”旧模式,塑造“硬科技+绿色低碳+支持民企小微”为三大支柱的新增长模式。</b></p>\n<p><b>为承接上述发展战略转型,目前国内需要一个聚焦服务创新型中小企业、承担培育一批专精特新中小企业使命的交易所,北京证券交易所的出现适应了时代的需要,也响应了全球科技竞争的需求。</b></p>\n<p><b>二、北京证券交易所并非“凭空出世”,而是北京长期以来科技创新支持政策内生进化的结果</b></p>\n<p>北京是中国创新企业和金融资源高度集中的城市,纵观北京科技创新领域的政策演进路径可以发现,<b>在每一个重要的历史关口,北京都推出了重大的政策和制度创新:</b></p>\n<p>在上世纪八九十年代,随着美国互联网科技产业兴起,北京建立了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000931\">中关村</a>,成为我国科教智力和人才资源最为密集的区域,被称为“中国硅谷”。</p>\n<p>2006年,中关村科技园区非上市股份公司进入代办转让系统进行股份报价转让,称为“新三板”。</p>\n<p>2020年7月27日,新三板精选层设立暨首批企业晋层仪式在全国股转公司挂牌大厅举行,首批32家公司已全部完成公开发行程序,精选层正式设立并开市交易。</p>\n<p><b>如今,在精选层进行了一年多的试点的基础上,以精选层为基础组建北京证券交易所,可谓“水到渠成”。</b></p>\n<p><b>从北京产业转型升级的方向来看,数字经济、科技创新是重要的支撑,北京证券交易所的设立,对于<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00925\">北京建设</a>具有全球影响力的金融中心、科技创新中心具有重大意义。</b></p>\n<p><b>三、北京证券交易所最值得期待的是制度建设能否再做突破创新</b></p>\n<p><b>中国已有沪深两大交易所,设立北京证券交易所的最大看点并不是又多了一家交易所,其最值得期待的是未来还会有哪些制度创新!</b></p>\n<p>此前很长一段时间,中国股市没有实行注册制、无法让同股不同权的企业上市、无法让未盈利的高科技企业上市。科创板的推出解决了注册制的问题,同时为未盈利的高科技企业上市创造了条件。北京证券交易所进一步放宽了创新型中小企业上升的市值、财务条件,企业上市融资更加便捷。</p>\n<p><b>从目前监管披露的信息来看,北京证券交易所的初期规划是新三板的延伸:</b>以现有的新三板精选层为基础组建北京证券交易所,总体平移精选层各项基础制度,坚持北京证券交易所上市公司由创新层公司产生,维持新三板基础层、创新层与北京证券交易所“层层递进”的市场结构,同步试点证券发行注册制。</p>\n<p>此前新三板精选层也设计了向科创板、创业板转板上市的制度,但成功转板上市的企业有限。以现有的新三板精选层为基础组建北京证券交易所,不仅有利于增强新三板挂牌企业股权的流动性和上市渠道,还是为了“打造服务创新型中小企业主阵地”,“培育一批专精特新中小企业”。</p>\n<p><b>从新三板精选层和科创板挂牌/上市的条件和门槛来看,精选层的对企业市值条件、财务条件的要求更加宽松,更有利于中小科创企业的上市。</b></p>\n<p><b>未来北京证券交易所是否能有更多的制度创新?能否进一步推动中国股票市场的改革进程?值得我们期待。</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/24adac74431844c001244acdf21f3ca0\" tg-width=\"892\" tg-height=\"853\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p><b>四、北京证券交易所的设立将带来PE基金行业的颠覆性变革</b></p>\n<p>北京证券交易所的设立,有利于创新型中小企业上市,活跃股票交易市场,有利于券商承销业务和经纪业务收入增长,因此,周五开盘后券商股集体大涨。</p>\n<p>但我们认为,<b>北京证券交易所的设立对券商股的利好非常有限,充其量也就是喝点“汤”。北京证券交易所设立的最大受益者或者说“吃肉的”是PE/VC基金,一级PE基金黄金时代可期待来临。</b></p>\n<p>过去 PE/VC投资的退出渠道比较匮乏,基本上需要等到被投企业IPO上市后才能顺畅地退出。但以前企业在A股上市门槛高、周期长,而一般的PE基金的存续期限往往只有3—7年。</p>\n<p>为了保证在基金存续期结束时能够顺利退出、给投资人兑现收益,中国的PE基金往往只能陪跑“后半场”,在企业成长到一定规模、能够在较短的时间内上市时才介入;部分企业在中国面临上市难的问题,最后会选择VIE架构去美国或香港上市,让PE基金得以退出。</p>\n<p><b>随着科创板推出、创业板注册制改革、北京证券交易所设立,创新型中小企业上市更加便捷,条件放宽,可以在企业发展的较早阶段上市,能够缓解过去PE基金产品期限和被投公司上市期限不匹配的难题,改变中国PE基金扎堆投pre-IPO或临近上市轮现象。创新型中小企业上市不再需要完整走完天使轮—A轮—B轮—C轮—D轮—……—IPO的漫长过程,从而促使更多的PE基金在投资端前移,也可以促进VC投资的发展。</b></p>\n<p><b>北京证券交易所的设立,还改变了一级市场PE基金生存的底层逻辑,未来将颠覆目前的行业生态。</b>目前的PE、VC市场,呈现出两极分化的状态:一大批初创企业争相求着头部PE基金投资,而一大批中小PE基金则求着明星项目要份额;头部PE基金募资能力强,中小PE基金若无特殊资源则很难找到LP。未来创新型中小企业上市更加容易,有利于专业化、特色型中小PE基金的生存发展,有望改变头部大型PE基金垄断主导权的行业生态。</p>","source":"lsy1568619116533","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>北京证券交易所来了!谁的“大肉”,谁的“汤”?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n北京证券交易所来了!谁的“大肉”,谁的“汤”?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-09-06 10:03 北京时间 <a href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/lqSPqmgOxaUC0SuD0zmyPQ><strong>海清FICC频道</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>9月2日晚,中央宣布将深化新三板改革,设立北京证券交易所,打造服务创新型中小企业主阵地。\n一、设立北京证券交易所是大国博弈、“科技兴邦”的战略抉择\n当前,一场以数字经济、芯片、人工智能、新能源技术、太空探索技术、生物医药技术为引领的科技革命正在到来。\n在中国经济高质量发展、产业转型升级和全球产业竞争中,科技创新的竞争是核心。中国能否在这一场科技竞争中取得先发优势,不仅仅决定了中国能否解决关键技术“...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/lqSPqmgOxaUC0SuD0zmyPQ\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5481d622d7bc535b67b2738f86cc0db","relate_stocks":{"399001":"深证成指","399006":"创业板指","000001.SH":"上证指数"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/lqSPqmgOxaUC0SuD0zmyPQ","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1103617448","content_text":"9月2日晚,中央宣布将深化新三板改革,设立北京证券交易所,打造服务创新型中小企业主阵地。\n一、设立北京证券交易所是大国博弈、“科技兴邦”的战略抉择\n当前,一场以数字经济、芯片、人工智能、新能源技术、太空探索技术、生物医药技术为引领的科技革命正在到来。\n在中国经济高质量发展、产业转型升级和全球产业竞争中,科技创新的竞争是核心。中国能否在这一场科技竞争中取得先发优势,不仅仅决定了中国能否解决关键技术“卡脖子”的短期问题,还决定了未来谁是全球产业经济的“领头羊”、21世纪是谁的世纪的长期问题。\n从历史上大国崛起的过程来看,科技是根本驱动力:\n英国借助蒸汽机的领先优势率先开始了第一次工业革命,成为世界霸主;\n美德在内燃机、电气化领域弯道超车超过英国,引领了第二次工业革命,取代了英国的地位;\n二战后美国在原子能、生物医药、航空航天、计算机等领域引领了第三次工业革命,进一步巩固了其全球科技领头羊地位和世界霸主地位。\n在上世纪八九十年代的美日贸易战中,除了“广场协议”这一表面因素和直接诱因外,美国最终能够胜过日本的关键也在于两国在经济发展驱动力选择上的根本差异:\n日本因循传统的主办银行制度,支持传统的大型制造业企业和房地产行业发展,其金融体制不适应科技创新的需要。在广场协议后,日元升值、出口受挫,日本更是直接通过货币大放水刺激起股市泡沫和房市泡沫,催生出“虚假的繁荣”。\n美国通过纳斯达克市场为科技创新企业提供便利的融资环境,硅谷发展起来,培育了一大批后来的互联网企业。\n到了九十年代,日本房市和股市泡沫破裂,经济陷入“失去的二十年”;美国厚积薄发,互联网革命兴起,出现“新经济繁荣”。日本在美日竞争中彻底出局。\n大国博弈,科技定乾坤!科技是第一生产力,是大国崛起和全球竞争的关键。\n金融是实体的血液,科技竞争,金融先行。哪个国家的资本市场更能服务创新,更能为高科技企业融资和发展提供便利,哪个国家的科技创新就更有可能快速进步,同时还能吸引其他国家和地区的高科技企业来本地上市。\n近年来美国纳斯达克也在不断进行制度创新,为中小科创企业上市提供更便捷的政策机制设计。比如,近年来美国股市出现许多特殊目的收购公司(SPAC),成为许多企业借壳上市的“终南捷径”。其操作模式是:第一步,成立一个SPAC公司,向监管机构申请发股募资,但此时发起人持有的股票只能在限定市场上单独交易;第二步,在18~24个月内,管理团队找到一家可以收购的目标公司,全体股东投票,多数同意后完成收购,合并成新公司,股票就可以正式上市交易。发起人持有的股票等锁定期一过,就可以退出套现。SPAC模式能够让企业在短时间内实现上市,成本也比IPO、买壳上市/借壳上市更低。\n如今中国决策层已经彻底下定决心转型,告别以城镇化红利为基础的“房地产+土地财政”旧模式,塑造“硬科技+绿色低碳+支持民企小微”为三大支柱的新增长模式。\n为承接上述发展战略转型,目前国内需要一个聚焦服务创新型中小企业、承担培育一批专精特新中小企业使命的交易所,北京证券交易所的出现适应了时代的需要,也响应了全球科技竞争的需求。\n二、北京证券交易所并非“凭空出世”,而是北京长期以来科技创新支持政策内生进化的结果\n北京是中国创新企业和金融资源高度集中的城市,纵观北京科技创新领域的政策演进路径可以发现,在每一个重要的历史关口,北京都推出了重大的政策和制度创新:\n在上世纪八九十年代,随着美国互联网科技产业兴起,北京建立了中关村,成为我国科教智力和人才资源最为密集的区域,被称为“中国硅谷”。\n2006年,中关村科技园区非上市股份公司进入代办转让系统进行股份报价转让,称为“新三板”。\n2020年7月27日,新三板精选层设立暨首批企业晋层仪式在全国股转公司挂牌大厅举行,首批32家公司已全部完成公开发行程序,精选层正式设立并开市交易。\n如今,在精选层进行了一年多的试点的基础上,以精选层为基础组建北京证券交易所,可谓“水到渠成”。\n从北京产业转型升级的方向来看,数字经济、科技创新是重要的支撑,北京证券交易所的设立,对于北京建设具有全球影响力的金融中心、科技创新中心具有重大意义。\n三、北京证券交易所最值得期待的是制度建设能否再做突破创新\n中国已有沪深两大交易所,设立北京证券交易所的最大看点并不是又多了一家交易所,其最值得期待的是未来还会有哪些制度创新!\n此前很长一段时间,中国股市没有实行注册制、无法让同股不同权的企业上市、无法让未盈利的高科技企业上市。科创板的推出解决了注册制的问题,同时为未盈利的高科技企业上市创造了条件。北京证券交易所进一步放宽了创新型中小企业上升的市值、财务条件,企业上市融资更加便捷。\n从目前监管披露的信息来看,北京证券交易所的初期规划是新三板的延伸:以现有的新三板精选层为基础组建北京证券交易所,总体平移精选层各项基础制度,坚持北京证券交易所上市公司由创新层公司产生,维持新三板基础层、创新层与北京证券交易所“层层递进”的市场结构,同步试点证券发行注册制。\n此前新三板精选层也设计了向科创板、创业板转板上市的制度,但成功转板上市的企业有限。以现有的新三板精选层为基础组建北京证券交易所,不仅有利于增强新三板挂牌企业股权的流动性和上市渠道,还是为了“打造服务创新型中小企业主阵地”,“培育一批专精特新中小企业”。\n从新三板精选层和科创板挂牌/上市的条件和门槛来看,精选层的对企业市值条件、财务条件的要求更加宽松,更有利于中小科创企业的上市。\n未来北京证券交易所是否能有更多的制度创新?能否进一步推动中国股票市场的改革进程?值得我们期待。\n\n四、北京证券交易所的设立将带来PE基金行业的颠覆性变革\n北京证券交易所的设立,有利于创新型中小企业上市,活跃股票交易市场,有利于券商承销业务和经纪业务收入增长,因此,周五开盘后券商股集体大涨。\n但我们认为,北京证券交易所的设立对券商股的利好非常有限,充其量也就是喝点“汤”。北京证券交易所设立的最大受益者或者说“吃肉的”是PE/VC基金,一级PE基金黄金时代可期待来临。\n过去 PE/VC投资的退出渠道比较匮乏,基本上需要等到被投企业IPO上市后才能顺畅地退出。但以前企业在A股上市门槛高、周期长,而一般的PE基金的存续期限往往只有3—7年。\n为了保证在基金存续期结束时能够顺利退出、给投资人兑现收益,中国的PE基金往往只能陪跑“后半场”,在企业成长到一定规模、能够在较短的时间内上市时才介入;部分企业在中国面临上市难的问题,最后会选择VIE架构去美国或香港上市,让PE基金得以退出。\n随着科创板推出、创业板注册制改革、北京证券交易所设立,创新型中小企业上市更加便捷,条件放宽,可以在企业发展的较早阶段上市,能够缓解过去PE基金产品期限和被投公司上市期限不匹配的难题,改变中国PE基金扎堆投pre-IPO或临近上市轮现象。创新型中小企业上市不再需要完整走完天使轮—A轮—B轮—C轮—D轮—……—IPO的漫长过程,从而促使更多的PE基金在投资端前移,也可以促进VC投资的发展。\n北京证券交易所的设立,还改变了一级市场PE基金生存的底层逻辑,未来将颠覆目前的行业生态。目前的PE、VC市场,呈现出两极分化的状态:一大批初创企业争相求着头部PE基金投资,而一大批中小PE基金则求着明星项目要份额;头部PE基金募资能力强,中小PE基金若无特殊资源则很难找到LP。未来创新型中小企业上市更加容易,有利于专业化、特色型中小PE基金的生存发展,有望改变头部大型PE基金垄断主导权的行业生态。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":123,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":812762910,"gmtCreate":1630625934330,"gmtModify":1632470107449,"author":{"id":"4087626034255720","authorId":"4087626034255720","name":"yiyu81","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4778d04c7fcd1247b57df255ae536876","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087626034255720","authorIdStr":"4087626034255720"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OCDX\">$OCDX(OCDX)$</a>value stock.[财迷] ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OCDX\">$OCDX(OCDX)$</a>value stock.[财迷] ","text":"$OCDX(OCDX)$value stock.[财迷]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ecc6c8cfb3883e5b34823002eed45dde","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/812762910","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":531,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":822044812,"gmtCreate":1634081925247,"gmtModify":1634081925357,"author":{"id":"4087626034255720","authorId":"4087626034255720","name":"yiyu81","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4778d04c7fcd1247b57df255ae536876","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087626034255720","authorIdStr":"4087626034255720"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good. 👍 ","listText":"Good. 👍 ","text":"Good. 👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/822044812","repostId":"1188785088","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1188785088","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1634052465,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1188785088?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-12 23:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Stock: The Path To $2,500 By 2030","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1188785088","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Summary\n\nTesla experienced explosive gains last year.\nThis year, the stock has struggled, but the co","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Tesla experienced explosive gains last year.</li>\n <li>This year, the stock has struggled, but the company is on the right track.</li>\n <li>Better-than-anticipated production and deliveries data suggests the stock can push higher into year-end.</li>\n <li>I suspect Tesla has more upside, and the stock could hit $2,500 in future years.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/207deb1c8eb2af0f4c49abcb18226dd4\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Spencer Platt/Getty Images News</span></p>\n<p>I've been a Tesla(NASDAQ:TSLA)bull for a long time now. It's hard to believe, but the first time I purchased Tesla's stock was eight years ago when the share price was around a split-adjusted $30. Now, roughly 2,500% higher, I am still long Tesla and I think there is more upside in this stock. Tesla remains the leader in the ultra-lucrative EV space. The company arguably has the best products, powered by the most advanced technologies.</p>\n<p>Additionally, Tesla has a unique set of competitive advantages that the company utilizes to stay ahead of its competition year after year. Tesla just put up stellar delivery and production numbers, will likely surpass analysts' expectations this quarter, and the company has enormous revenue and EPS growth potential as we advance. While we will not see Tesla shares gain another 2,500% from here any time soon, the stock can probably hit $1,000 by year-end or early next year. Moreover, Tesla shares could climb substantially higher over the next several years as well.</p>\n<p><b>Technical Setup</b></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dabe94c8ac775d6a4113df03ad66ffdb\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"676\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Stockcharts.com</span></p>\n<p>Tesla had a stellar run-up in 2020 and into year-end last year. Then the stock experienced a significant correction of around 40% down to the $550 level. After this giant pullback, Tesla shares came back for a successful retest of the $550 level. Since then, the stock has been in a steady, concise, upward channel. The current move higher should continue until the bullish trend breaks. However, the bullish trend is robust and could power Tesla shares to $1,000 by the end of this year. Moreover, the company has numerous favorable fundamental factors to go along with the constructive technical setup right now.</p>\n<p><b>Competitive Edge</b></p>\n<p>Tesla continues to enjoy a multifaceted competitive advantage relative to its peers. Its approach to marketing, sales, software development, battery production, supercharging, design, development, and production provides Tesla with a significant edge relative to its competitors. Tesla designs and delivers everything from scratch, and the company remains ever focused on staying ahead of the curve innovation-wise in the EV space. However, most traditional automakers are still mainly focused on ICE vehicles and are still pivoting towards EVs. The bottom line is that the EV market is continuously gaining share over the conventional ICE market, and Tesla is the clear leader when it comes to EVs.</p>\n<p><b>Global EV Market Share First Half of 2021</b></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/460efe2072a471a917fc24f40e742d6e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"497\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: statista.com</span></p>\n<p><b>Deliveries Surge</b></p>\n<p>Tesla just announced another record deliveries quarter of 241,300 vehiclesin Q3, a 20% increase over the last quarter and a remarkable 73% YoY surge. Tesla delivered a total of 9,275 Model S/X vehicles along with 232,025 mainstream Model 3/Y cars. Now, if we adjust for lease vehicles, we arrive at about 7,420 Model S/X vehicle sales and roughly 218,104 Model 3/Y vehicles sold in the third quarter.</p>\n<p>Last quarter (Q2 2021), Tesla sold (leases excluded) a total of about 187,163 vehicles for $9.874 billion. This sales image suggests that the average selling price (\"ASP\") across all vehicles was roughly $53K. Tesla sold approximately 1,550 Model S/X vehicles in Q2. Thus, if we approximate an ASP of $100,000 - $110,000 for Model S/X vehicle sales, we are left with about $52,000 for the Model 3/Y segment.</p>\n<p>Therefore, to get an approximate number for Tesla vehicle sales in Q3, we can use an ASP of $105,000 for the 7,420 Model S/X vehicles sold in the quarter, and we can use the $52,000 ASP for the 218,104 Model 3/Y cars delivered in Q3. This estimate gives us an approximate $800 million in Model S/X sales and $11.34 billion in Model 3/Y sales.</p>\n<p><b>Q3 Earnings Outlook</b></p>\n<p><b>Analysts Estimates:</b></p>\n<p>Last quarter, Tesla delivered $1.45 in EPS, beating consensus analysts' forecasts by about $0.47 or 48%. The company announced revenues of $11.96 billion, beating estimates by $559.33 million simultaneously. Now for Q3, consensus estimates are for EPS of $1.47 and revenues of $13.49 billion. However, I think Tesla will beat these figures as well.</p>\n<p><b>My Estimates:</b></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/49202e7907ab71b56fdc7a9bd908431d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"975\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author's Material</span></p>\n<p>Instead of the $13.49 billion revenues figure, I am looking for $14.74 billion in revenues, about a 9% increase over consensus expectations. Moreover, I think we can see about $1.85 in non-GAAP EPS out of Tesla in Q3, roughly 26% better than the current consensus figures imply. If Tesla makes good on its notably better-than-expected Q3 results, the stock will have a strong catalyst for a rally into year-end.</p>\n<p><b>Bright Future Ahead for Tesla</b></p>\n<p>Estimates are moving up for Tesla. There have been 26 upward revisions relative to just one downward (FY2021) revision over the last 90 days. Still, estimates could continue to move higher.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bda469abb83b22a2a4505ae8d0373158\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"276\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: seekingalpha.com</span></p>\n<p>First, I want to draw your attention to the number of beats in recent quarters. Sure, Tesla's earnings remain somewhat volatile, but it's difficult to deny the better-than-anticipated earnings growth of late. Consensus estimates were for $3.61 in EPS for the last four quarters. Yet, the company's actual EPS numbers came in at $3.94, an average beat of around 9% over consensus estimates. We already see estimates that are substantial increases on a YoY basis, but I think that results can continue to come in stronger than anticipated (by about 10-20%) as we advance.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8eb9918909984b4de589a4266c10f2a5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"282\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: seekingalpha.com</span></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b3215da27370b6e97c23883ece163f6b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"279\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: seekingalpha.com</span></p>\n<p>We see expectations for significant EPS and revenue gains in future years for Tesla. While the stock may seem relatively expensive right now, shares should become increasingly less costly as EPS surge in coming years.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4392b7b8eeb3a6fc412f6cd79fe9e44e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"330\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: seekingalpha.com</span></p>\n<p>Here is what Tesla's EPS, P/E ratio, and share price could look like in future years.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b9e110af6b9747752c5a540bdb00c5a4\" tg-width=\"905\" tg-height=\"382\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author's Material</span></p>\n<p><b>The Bottom Line</b></p>\n<p>Tesla's steady and robust EPS growth trend should continue, and I expect the company's share price could reach $2,500 or higher by the end of the decade. Now, some market participants could argue that these stock price projections are optimistic. However, I think that these projections may be relatively modest. First, the company could deliver higher EPS than I anticipate in future years, and second, Tesla's P/E ratio could remain elevated for longer.</p>\n<p>Due to Tesla's unique growth dynamic, the only company that can compare to Tesla is Amazon(NASDAQ:AMZN), in my view. Amazon's current valuation is what a more mature Tesla valuation could become. Incidentally, Amazon currently trades at about 58 times EPS, exactly where I have my 2029 Tesla P/E ratio pegged. Also, the projected stock price appreciation is only 220% from current levels, which is relatively modest if we consider the number of years.</p>\n<p><b>Risks to Tesla's $2,500 Price Target</b></p>\n<p>Of course, when you are talking about Tesla, there are risks to consider. While I estimate that the company can earn close to $50 per share by 2030, the company is very far from such figures right now. Therefore, there is the risk that Tesla will not illustrate the kind of earnings growth I envision. A slowdown in demand, increased competition, supply issues, decreased growth, and other variables are all risks we should consider before betting on Tesla to increase EPS nearly tenfold by 2030. Serious concerns could cause Tesla's valuation to lose altitude, and the company's share price could even head in reverse if any serious issues should arise. Therefore, I believe one should consider the risks carefully before committing any capital to a Tesla investment.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Stock: The Path To $2,500 By 2030</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Stock: The Path To $2,500 By 2030\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-10-12 23:27 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4459378-tesla-path-to-2500-by-2030><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nTesla experienced explosive gains last year.\nThis year, the stock has struggled, but the company is on the right track.\nBetter-than-anticipated production and deliveries data suggests the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4459378-tesla-path-to-2500-by-2030\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4459378-tesla-path-to-2500-by-2030","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1188785088","content_text":"Summary\n\nTesla experienced explosive gains last year.\nThis year, the stock has struggled, but the company is on the right track.\nBetter-than-anticipated production and deliveries data suggests the stock can push higher into year-end.\nI suspect Tesla has more upside, and the stock could hit $2,500 in future years.\n\nSpencer Platt/Getty Images News\nI've been a Tesla(NASDAQ:TSLA)bull for a long time now. It's hard to believe, but the first time I purchased Tesla's stock was eight years ago when the share price was around a split-adjusted $30. Now, roughly 2,500% higher, I am still long Tesla and I think there is more upside in this stock. Tesla remains the leader in the ultra-lucrative EV space. The company arguably has the best products, powered by the most advanced technologies.\nAdditionally, Tesla has a unique set of competitive advantages that the company utilizes to stay ahead of its competition year after year. Tesla just put up stellar delivery and production numbers, will likely surpass analysts' expectations this quarter, and the company has enormous revenue and EPS growth potential as we advance. While we will not see Tesla shares gain another 2,500% from here any time soon, the stock can probably hit $1,000 by year-end or early next year. Moreover, Tesla shares could climb substantially higher over the next several years as well.\nTechnical Setup\nSource: Stockcharts.com\nTesla had a stellar run-up in 2020 and into year-end last year. Then the stock experienced a significant correction of around 40% down to the $550 level. After this giant pullback, Tesla shares came back for a successful retest of the $550 level. Since then, the stock has been in a steady, concise, upward channel. The current move higher should continue until the bullish trend breaks. However, the bullish trend is robust and could power Tesla shares to $1,000 by the end of this year. Moreover, the company has numerous favorable fundamental factors to go along with the constructive technical setup right now.\nCompetitive Edge\nTesla continues to enjoy a multifaceted competitive advantage relative to its peers. Its approach to marketing, sales, software development, battery production, supercharging, design, development, and production provides Tesla with a significant edge relative to its competitors. Tesla designs and delivers everything from scratch, and the company remains ever focused on staying ahead of the curve innovation-wise in the EV space. However, most traditional automakers are still mainly focused on ICE vehicles and are still pivoting towards EVs. The bottom line is that the EV market is continuously gaining share over the conventional ICE market, and Tesla is the clear leader when it comes to EVs.\nGlobal EV Market Share First Half of 2021\nSource: statista.com\nDeliveries Surge\nTesla just announced another record deliveries quarter of 241,300 vehiclesin Q3, a 20% increase over the last quarter and a remarkable 73% YoY surge. Tesla delivered a total of 9,275 Model S/X vehicles along with 232,025 mainstream Model 3/Y cars. Now, if we adjust for lease vehicles, we arrive at about 7,420 Model S/X vehicle sales and roughly 218,104 Model 3/Y vehicles sold in the third quarter.\nLast quarter (Q2 2021), Tesla sold (leases excluded) a total of about 187,163 vehicles for $9.874 billion. This sales image suggests that the average selling price (\"ASP\") across all vehicles was roughly $53K. Tesla sold approximately 1,550 Model S/X vehicles in Q2. Thus, if we approximate an ASP of $100,000 - $110,000 for Model S/X vehicle sales, we are left with about $52,000 for the Model 3/Y segment.\nTherefore, to get an approximate number for Tesla vehicle sales in Q3, we can use an ASP of $105,000 for the 7,420 Model S/X vehicles sold in the quarter, and we can use the $52,000 ASP for the 218,104 Model 3/Y cars delivered in Q3. This estimate gives us an approximate $800 million in Model S/X sales and $11.34 billion in Model 3/Y sales.\nQ3 Earnings Outlook\nAnalysts Estimates:\nLast quarter, Tesla delivered $1.45 in EPS, beating consensus analysts' forecasts by about $0.47 or 48%. The company announced revenues of $11.96 billion, beating estimates by $559.33 million simultaneously. Now for Q3, consensus estimates are for EPS of $1.47 and revenues of $13.49 billion. However, I think Tesla will beat these figures as well.\nMy Estimates:\nSource: Author's Material\nInstead of the $13.49 billion revenues figure, I am looking for $14.74 billion in revenues, about a 9% increase over consensus expectations. Moreover, I think we can see about $1.85 in non-GAAP EPS out of Tesla in Q3, roughly 26% better than the current consensus figures imply. If Tesla makes good on its notably better-than-expected Q3 results, the stock will have a strong catalyst for a rally into year-end.\nBright Future Ahead for Tesla\nEstimates are moving up for Tesla. There have been 26 upward revisions relative to just one downward (FY2021) revision over the last 90 days. Still, estimates could continue to move higher.\nSource: seekingalpha.com\nFirst, I want to draw your attention to the number of beats in recent quarters. Sure, Tesla's earnings remain somewhat volatile, but it's difficult to deny the better-than-anticipated earnings growth of late. Consensus estimates were for $3.61 in EPS for the last four quarters. Yet, the company's actual EPS numbers came in at $3.94, an average beat of around 9% over consensus estimates. We already see estimates that are substantial increases on a YoY basis, but I think that results can continue to come in stronger than anticipated (by about 10-20%) as we advance.\nSource: seekingalpha.com\nSource: seekingalpha.com\nWe see expectations for significant EPS and revenue gains in future years for Tesla. While the stock may seem relatively expensive right now, shares should become increasingly less costly as EPS surge in coming years.\nSource: seekingalpha.com\nHere is what Tesla's EPS, P/E ratio, and share price could look like in future years.\nSource: Author's Material\nThe Bottom Line\nTesla's steady and robust EPS growth trend should continue, and I expect the company's share price could reach $2,500 or higher by the end of the decade. Now, some market participants could argue that these stock price projections are optimistic. However, I think that these projections may be relatively modest. First, the company could deliver higher EPS than I anticipate in future years, and second, Tesla's P/E ratio could remain elevated for longer.\nDue to Tesla's unique growth dynamic, the only company that can compare to Tesla is Amazon(NASDAQ:AMZN), in my view. Amazon's current valuation is what a more mature Tesla valuation could become. Incidentally, Amazon currently trades at about 58 times EPS, exactly where I have my 2029 Tesla P/E ratio pegged. Also, the projected stock price appreciation is only 220% from current levels, which is relatively modest if we consider the number of years.\nRisks to Tesla's $2,500 Price Target\nOf course, when you are talking about Tesla, there are risks to consider. While I estimate that the company can earn close to $50 per share by 2030, the company is very far from such figures right now. Therefore, there is the risk that Tesla will not illustrate the kind of earnings growth I envision. A slowdown in demand, increased competition, supply issues, decreased growth, and other variables are all risks we should consider before betting on Tesla to increase EPS nearly tenfold by 2030. Serious concerns could cause Tesla's valuation to lose altitude, and the company's share price could even head in reverse if any serious issues should arise. Therefore, I believe one should consider the risks carefully before committing any capital to a Tesla investment.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1234,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":822042856,"gmtCreate":1634081816507,"gmtModify":1634081816648,"author":{"id":"4087626034255720","authorId":"4087626034255720","name":"yiyu81","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4778d04c7fcd1247b57df255ae536876","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087626034255720","authorIdStr":"4087626034255720"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[微笑] ","listText":"[微笑] ","text":"[微笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/822042856","repostId":"2175132100","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1113,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":823953488,"gmtCreate":1633573990461,"gmtModify":1633573990555,"author":{"id":"4087626034255720","authorId":"4087626034255720","name":"yiyu81","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4778d04c7fcd1247b57df255ae536876","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087626034255720","authorIdStr":"4087626034255720"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[财迷] ","listText":"[财迷] ","text":"[财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/823953488","repostId":"2173948202","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":560,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":823951198,"gmtCreate":1633574026362,"gmtModify":1633574026486,"author":{"id":"4087626034255720","authorId":"4087626034255720","name":"yiyu81","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4778d04c7fcd1247b57df255ae536876","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087626034255720","authorIdStr":"4087626034255720"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[微笑] ","listText":"[微笑] ","text":"[微笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/823951198","repostId":"2173091029","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1207,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":867487657,"gmtCreate":1633308503140,"gmtModify":1633308528150,"author":{"id":"4087626034255720","authorId":"4087626034255720","name":"yiyu81","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4778d04c7fcd1247b57df255ae536876","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087626034255720","authorIdStr":"4087626034255720"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[微笑] ","listText":"[微笑] ","text":"[微笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/867487657","repostId":"1186540865","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1186540865","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1633289898,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1186540865?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-04 03:38","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US IPO Week Ahead: New issuers work up a sweat in a fitness-led 5 IPO week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1186540865","media":"Renaissance Capital","summary":"In the first full week of October, five IPOs are slated to raise $1.8 billion, led by two fitness co","content":"<p>In the first full week of October, five IPOs are slated to raise $1.8 billion, led by two fitness companies.</p>\n<p>Fitness chain<b>Life Time Group Holdings</b>(LTH) plans to raise $901 million at a $4.1 billion market cap. Taken private in 2015, Life Time operates more than 150 \"centers\" across 29 US states and one province in Canada, serving nearly 1.4 million individual members as of 7/31/21. While the company was hit hard by the pandemic, operations have since improved dramatically, with revenue quadrupling in the 2Q21.</p>\n<p>Fitness equipment brand<b>iFIT Health & Fitness</b>(IFIT) plans to raise $600 million at a $6.4 billion market cap. iFIT is the #1 provider of large fitness equipment in the US, selling under brands including iFIT, NordicTrack, ProForm, and Freemotion. Fast growing and unprofitable, the company serves a community of over 6.1 million members and 1.5 million subscribers in over 120 countries.</p>\n<p>Proteomics platform<b>IsoPlexis</b>(ISO) plans to raise $125 million at a $648 million market cap. IsoPlexis believes its platform is the first to employ both proteomics and single cell biology to characterize and link cellular function to patient outcomes. Fast growing and highly unprofitable, the company's platform has been adopted by the top 15 global biopharmas and nearly half of the comprehensive cancer centers in the US since its commercial launch in June 2018.</p>\n<p>Biotech<b>Theseus Pharmaceuticals</b>(THRX) plans to raise $125 million at a $593 million market cap. Theseus’ lead candidate is a pan-variant inhibitor of all major classes of activating/resistance mutations of the KIT kinase for of gastrointestinal stromal tumors (GIST). The company recently submitted an IND for advanced GIST and plans to initiate a Phase 1/2 trial between late 4Q21 and mid 1Q22.</p>\n<p>Drug developer<b>Cingulate</b>(CING) plans to raise $50 million at a $225 million market cap. Its two candidates, CTx-1301 and CTx-1302, are being developed for the treatment of ADHD. The company announced positive results from a Phase 1/2 study of CTx-1301 in October 2020, and plans to initiate Phase 3 trials in the 4Q21 with results expected in late 2022.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/610fa042e4de459e4597ed8086743234\" tg-width=\"1894\" tg-height=\"912\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>","source":"lsy1603787993745","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US IPO Week Ahead: New issuers work up a sweat in a fitness-led 5 IPO week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS IPO Week Ahead: New issuers work up a sweat in a fitness-led 5 IPO week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-10-04 03:38 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/86747/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-New-issuers-work-up-a-sweat-in-a-fitness-led-5-IPO-week><strong>Renaissance Capital</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>In the first full week of October, five IPOs are slated to raise $1.8 billion, led by two fitness companies.\nFitness chainLife Time Group Holdings(LTH) plans to raise $901 million at a $4.1 billion ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/86747/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-New-issuers-work-up-a-sweat-in-a-fitness-led-5-IPO-week\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LTH":"Life Time Group Holdings, Inc.","ISO":"IsoPlexis Corp.","CING":"CINGULATE INC.","THRX":"Theseus Pharmaceuticals, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/86747/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-New-issuers-work-up-a-sweat-in-a-fitness-led-5-IPO-week","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1186540865","content_text":"In the first full week of October, five IPOs are slated to raise $1.8 billion, led by two fitness companies.\nFitness chainLife Time Group Holdings(LTH) plans to raise $901 million at a $4.1 billion market cap. Taken private in 2015, Life Time operates more than 150 \"centers\" across 29 US states and one province in Canada, serving nearly 1.4 million individual members as of 7/31/21. While the company was hit hard by the pandemic, operations have since improved dramatically, with revenue quadrupling in the 2Q21.\nFitness equipment brandiFIT Health & Fitness(IFIT) plans to raise $600 million at a $6.4 billion market cap. iFIT is the #1 provider of large fitness equipment in the US, selling under brands including iFIT, NordicTrack, ProForm, and Freemotion. Fast growing and unprofitable, the company serves a community of over 6.1 million members and 1.5 million subscribers in over 120 countries.\nProteomics platformIsoPlexis(ISO) plans to raise $125 million at a $648 million market cap. IsoPlexis believes its platform is the first to employ both proteomics and single cell biology to characterize and link cellular function to patient outcomes. Fast growing and highly unprofitable, the company's platform has been adopted by the top 15 global biopharmas and nearly half of the comprehensive cancer centers in the US since its commercial launch in June 2018.\nBiotechTheseus Pharmaceuticals(THRX) plans to raise $125 million at a $593 million market cap. Theseus’ lead candidate is a pan-variant inhibitor of all major classes of activating/resistance mutations of the KIT kinase for of gastrointestinal stromal tumors (GIST). The company recently submitted an IND for advanced GIST and plans to initiate a Phase 1/2 trial between late 4Q21 and mid 1Q22.\nDrug developerCingulate(CING) plans to raise $50 million at a $225 million market cap. Its two candidates, CTx-1301 and CTx-1302, are being developed for the treatment of ADHD. The company announced positive results from a Phase 1/2 study of CTx-1301 in October 2020, and plans to initiate Phase 3 trials in the 4Q21 with results expected in late 2022.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":450,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":817758590,"gmtCreate":1630991462510,"gmtModify":1632904722686,"author":{"id":"4087626034255720","authorId":"4087626034255720","name":"yiyu81","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4778d04c7fcd1247b57df255ae536876","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087626034255720","authorIdStr":"4087626034255720"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Thanks for information. [开心] ","listText":"Thanks for information. [开心] ","text":"Thanks for information. [开心]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/817758590","repostId":"2165880909","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":413,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":822729954,"gmtCreate":1634172316289,"gmtModify":1634172316289,"author":{"id":"4087626034255720","authorId":"4087626034255720","name":"yiyu81","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4778d04c7fcd1247b57df255ae536876","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087626034255720","authorIdStr":"4087626034255720"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OCDX\">$OCDX(OCDX)$</a>going up to next support level?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OCDX\">$OCDX(OCDX)$</a>going up to next support level?","text":"$OCDX(OCDX)$going up to next support level?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/839f4396150379bc10c4deccfdd043e3","width":"1080","height":"2259"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/822729954","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1622,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":823951859,"gmtCreate":1633574046718,"gmtModify":1633574046852,"author":{"id":"4087626034255720","authorId":"4087626034255720","name":"yiyu81","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4778d04c7fcd1247b57df255ae536876","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087626034255720","authorIdStr":"4087626034255720"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[微笑] ","listText":"[微笑] ","text":"[微笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/823951859","repostId":"1173147867","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1035,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":812762910,"gmtCreate":1630625934330,"gmtModify":1632470107449,"author":{"id":"4087626034255720","authorId":"4087626034255720","name":"yiyu81","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4778d04c7fcd1247b57df255ae536876","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087626034255720","authorIdStr":"4087626034255720"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OCDX\">$OCDX(OCDX)$</a>value stock.[财迷] ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OCDX\">$OCDX(OCDX)$</a>value stock.[财迷] ","text":"$OCDX(OCDX)$value stock.[财迷]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ecc6c8cfb3883e5b34823002eed45dde","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/812762910","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":531,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":607882952,"gmtCreate":1639525150368,"gmtModify":1639525150449,"author":{"id":"4087626034255720","authorId":"4087626034255720","name":"yiyu81","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4778d04c7fcd1247b57df255ae536876","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087626034255720","authorIdStr":"4087626034255720"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[smile] ","listText":"[smile] ","text":"[smile]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/607882952","repostId":"1168111596","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1168111596","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639524397,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1168111596?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-15 07:26","market":"us","language":"en","title":"SoFi: Beaten Down Badly, We See Big Time Gains Ahead","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1168111596","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nWe have swing traded this stock successfully multiple times.\nAt these levels and below, it ","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>We have swing traded this stock successfully multiple times.</li>\n <li>At these levels and below, it is a solid investment, but also once again a trading opportunity.</li>\n <li>SOFI truly has a competitive advantage as a result of its horizontally integrated offerings cutting across many areas of fintech and banking.</li>\n <li>The most recent quarter was decent, a banking charter is nigh, and this is going to be a winner you should own.</li>\n <li>This idea was discussed in more depth with members of my private investing community, BAD BEAT Investing. </li>\n</ul>\n<p></p>\n<p></p>\n<p>We recommend buying SoFi Technologies (SOFI) on this most recent selloff. We think the stock is at levels that are strong buys. Period. End of the column. That was easy. But in all seriousness, while having traded this name successfully multiple times, we felt it prudent to put out another piece on the ticker to inform our readers that it is setup once again as both a long-term winner if you enter here, and has the potential for a rapid-return swing trade. While the market has many concerns, with this pullback and considering the most recent earnings, the company is moving right along. We fully believe this will be a solid winner. You should own it.</p>\n<p></p>\n<p>The stock is down hard from recent highs just weeks ago. Admittedly there may be some volatility, but we think the play is definitely to buy some now, and God willing if this drops more, buy it up.</p>\n<p></p>\n<p>Make no mistake, there have been some other great companies we still love that are new and growing and the stocks have struggled. We think it's good to go.</p>\n<p></p>\n<p><b>The play</b></p>\n<p>Buy 1: $14.30</p>\n<p></p>\n<p>Buy 2: $14.00</p>\n<p></p>\n<p>Buy 3: $13.50</p>\n<p></p>\n<p>Shorter term profit target: $16.50-$17.00</p>\n<p></p>\n<p>Traders who need a stop should look to jump ship on negative momentum at under 13.00, but we think it is a mistake frankly. Build a position for the longer term.</p>\n<p></p>\n<p>For call options, consider the January 2023 $15 strike.</p>\n<p></p>\n<p><b>Discussion</b></p>\n<p>The story of SOFI remains a great one. We know many who have used it in the years past, as they had attractive rates, terms, and made finance by the people, at least in the messaging. Here we are at the end of 2021, and SOFI now represents the next generation of banking, and plays into a growing fintech industry.</p>\n<p></p>\n<p>The stock got hit hard when SoftBank recently sold a massive stake. SoFi was also a bit of collateral damage in a recent New York court case, where a New York judge declined to approve Renren's (NYSE:RENN) settlement with shareholders who accused RENN insiders of taking the company's portfolio for themselves in 2018. The portfolio included a large stake in SoFi. Generally speaking, fintech has been weak of late. In fact, a lot of specialty tech has been hammered as we have noted in our chat boards, while the NASDAQ 100 index is largely holding up thanks to mega cap tech.</p>\n<p></p>\n<p>Regardless of the short term, when you look at SoFi, you have to be amazed at the growth they have shown! They started off as a simple provider of loans in the student loan market, and have since expanded their offerings to encompass a large array of services in the consumer finance sector. They have blossomed and now offer products ranging from personal loans, home loans, and even insurance, credit card services, cash management, brokerage services and recently to payments and financial services APIs for enterprises.</p>\n<p></p>\n<p>Of course, their diverse and integrated ecosystem of services in a single app has gotten SOFI tremendous user growth, as increasingly frustrated customers of traditional banks opt to switch to SOFI for the ease of convenience.</p>\n<p></p>\n<p>What we love about this company is that it has such a low cost to acquire customers, but makes what a bank makes margin wise with loans. The combination of low-value financial products and high value loans on the same app increases the opportunity that its customers cross-buy into these loans. What is more, since the customer was acquired with low cost into its low-value offerings, the variable profit per customer that comes in and the buys into high-value loans now increases significantly compared to when obtaining that same loan customer through traditional means. In fact, it can increase 180%:</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e035dbd338ffdd698ad348e03cc7886\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"320\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>This is absolutely winning. The long-term potential here cannot be understated. That said, the most recent quarter was quite decent.</p>\n<p></p>\n<p>Total revenue was $272.0 million in Q3 2021 which was up 35% from the corresponding prior-year period. On an adjusted basis, net revenue was $277.2 million, a record high for Q3, and 28% higher than last year's $216.8. Revenues were also up sequentially from Q2. There was continued strength in all three of SoFi's business segments, leading to these solid results, and the top line beat consensus estimates handily by $21.6 million.</p>\n<p></p>\n<p>Now the major complaint of course for the relatively new public company is that it is not consistently making money on the bottom line. But it will folks. Indeed, SoFi saw $30.0 million net loss for the Q3 2021, compared to a net loss of $42.9 million in last year's quarter.</p>\n<p></p>\n<p>The one thing to remember here is that the acquisition of Galileo was costly, and they lowered their valuation allowance. Just something to keep in mind. Anyway, we are pleased to see another quarter of positive adjusted EBITDA. It came in at of $10.3 million, and was positive for the fifth consecutive quarter, due to the combination of higher revenues across business segments, though this was a touch offset by increased spending to achieve incremental growth.</p>\n<p></p>\n<p>One of the most critical items we noted was SOFI continues to accelerate its year-over-year growth in both members and total products in the quarter. This is key. Total members grew 96% year-over-year to 2.9 million, up from 1.5 million at the same point last year, and total products grew 105% to 3.3 million at quarter-end compared to 2.3 million at the same point last year.</p>\n<p></p>\n<p></p>\n<p>This is so critical to understand. The business metrics are largely improving, regardless of the stock moves. The stock is not the company. The company is not the stock. But the stock will recognize the moves in metrics eventually as the noise settles down and things improve. Growth in the member base and products continues to be driven by significant expansion in the offerings across business segments, particularly in the Financial Services segment, where growth in SoFi Invest and SoFi Money offerings more than doubled the number of Financial Services segment products, to nearly 3.2 million, up from approximately 1.2 million, at the same point last year.</p>\n<p></p>\n<p>As of the end of Q3, Financial Services segment products were nearly three times the number of Lending products.</p>\n<p></p>\n<p>Growth in personal and student loans largely drove the 15% year-over-year increase in Lending segment products.</p>\n<p></p>\n<p>Technology Platform accounts increased by 80% to nearly 89 million. All of this is solid growth. The results versus guidance are a key communication from the company that we love to see. It helps hold them accountable.</p>\n<p></p>\n<p>We won't go incredibly deeper into the numbers but the key here is that the company's performance trounced guidance all around. We do not think management sandbags in order to beat either. The company is simply growing solidly.</p>\n<p></p>\n<p>That said, management expects continued strong growth to finish the year. For Q4, they see expected adjusted net revenue of $272 to $282 million and expected adjusted EBITDA of $2 million to $3 million. That is strong growth on the top line:</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6d39f813c57f0aa872bee7e405db85a3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"321\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>The company also raised its guidance. We love it when companies raise guidance:</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e250a317e08abf380a453e23c6e97b7\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"305\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p></p>\n<p>Sure, there is a lot of noise around what will happen with rates, and the Fed, and with COVID and the economy. But in perspective, higher rates are good for companies that lend money, so long as they are securing funding at a nominal rate and profiting from a spread. The company sees annual performance being strong thanks to year-to-date performance and a strong Q4. We are most excited by seeing the company break a billion in revenues this year, with EBITDA possibly breaking $30 million. Growth from here is all but guaranteed.</p>\n<p></p>\n<p><b>A few catalysts and risks</b></p>\n<p>One thing we want to point out again is how the extension of the government's student loan moratorium has hindered the company. But that is coming to an end. While that was costly in 2021, we expect that 2022 will see a nice boost in repayment. So keep that in mind.</p>\n<p></p>\n<p>Then there is of course the bank charter, which we see as very likely. For more on this, please see the many columns on SoFi on Seeking Alpha discussing this. We will say that as they have applied for a national bank license, if they get it, there are so many other products they could offer in addition to some other innovative things they could try as it relates to banking products.</p>\n<p></p>\n<p>Of course, a risk to the stock and to the company's growth would be if they were straight up denied a banking charter. That would hurt potential growth and we could see the stock being sold off pretty hard.</p>\n<p></p>\n<p>Another risk is if the government comes in and tries to regulate the massive uptick in the number of companies offering customers access to trading, or otherwise tries to limit individuals from trading. A lot of money is made from trading/investing, so any regulation here that limits this could be detrimental. Traders should keep their ears and eyes on the regulatory wire for anything that could hurt SoFi or its competitors in this regard.</p>\n<p></p>\n<p><b>Take home</b></p>\n<p>While the company and stock are not risk-free, the pullback has been massive. The secondary, as well as institutional selling, along with broader fintech weakness, has set up a great trading opportunity here. Take advantage of the selloff here and you will thank yourself down the road for buying this gem.</p>","source":"lsy1638401102509","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>SoFi: Beaten Down Badly, We See Big Time Gains Ahead</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSoFi: Beaten Down Badly, We See Big Time Gains Ahead\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-12-15 07:26 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4475109-sofi-beaten-down-badly-we-see-big-time-gains-ahead><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nWe have swing traded this stock successfully multiple times.\nAt these levels and below, it is a solid investment, but also once again a trading opportunity.\nSOFI truly has a competitive ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4475109-sofi-beaten-down-badly-we-see-big-time-gains-ahead\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SOFI":"SoFi Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4475109-sofi-beaten-down-badly-we-see-big-time-gains-ahead","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1168111596","content_text":"Summary\n\nWe have swing traded this stock successfully multiple times.\nAt these levels and below, it is a solid investment, but also once again a trading opportunity.\nSOFI truly has a competitive advantage as a result of its horizontally integrated offerings cutting across many areas of fintech and banking.\nThe most recent quarter was decent, a banking charter is nigh, and this is going to be a winner you should own.\nThis idea was discussed in more depth with members of my private investing community, BAD BEAT Investing. \n\n\n\nWe recommend buying SoFi Technologies (SOFI) on this most recent selloff. We think the stock is at levels that are strong buys. Period. End of the column. That was easy. But in all seriousness, while having traded this name successfully multiple times, we felt it prudent to put out another piece on the ticker to inform our readers that it is setup once again as both a long-term winner if you enter here, and has the potential for a rapid-return swing trade. While the market has many concerns, with this pullback and considering the most recent earnings, the company is moving right along. We fully believe this will be a solid winner. You should own it.\n\nThe stock is down hard from recent highs just weeks ago. Admittedly there may be some volatility, but we think the play is definitely to buy some now, and God willing if this drops more, buy it up.\n\nMake no mistake, there have been some other great companies we still love that are new and growing and the stocks have struggled. We think it's good to go.\n\nThe play\nBuy 1: $14.30\n\nBuy 2: $14.00\n\nBuy 3: $13.50\n\nShorter term profit target: $16.50-$17.00\n\nTraders who need a stop should look to jump ship on negative momentum at under 13.00, but we think it is a mistake frankly. Build a position for the longer term.\n\nFor call options, consider the January 2023 $15 strike.\n\nDiscussion\nThe story of SOFI remains a great one. We know many who have used it in the years past, as they had attractive rates, terms, and made finance by the people, at least in the messaging. Here we are at the end of 2021, and SOFI now represents the next generation of banking, and plays into a growing fintech industry.\n\nThe stock got hit hard when SoftBank recently sold a massive stake. SoFi was also a bit of collateral damage in a recent New York court case, where a New York judge declined to approve Renren's (NYSE:RENN) settlement with shareholders who accused RENN insiders of taking the company's portfolio for themselves in 2018. The portfolio included a large stake in SoFi. Generally speaking, fintech has been weak of late. In fact, a lot of specialty tech has been hammered as we have noted in our chat boards, while the NASDAQ 100 index is largely holding up thanks to mega cap tech.\n\nRegardless of the short term, when you look at SoFi, you have to be amazed at the growth they have shown! They started off as a simple provider of loans in the student loan market, and have since expanded their offerings to encompass a large array of services in the consumer finance sector. They have blossomed and now offer products ranging from personal loans, home loans, and even insurance, credit card services, cash management, brokerage services and recently to payments and financial services APIs for enterprises.\n\nOf course, their diverse and integrated ecosystem of services in a single app has gotten SOFI tremendous user growth, as increasingly frustrated customers of traditional banks opt to switch to SOFI for the ease of convenience.\n\nWhat we love about this company is that it has such a low cost to acquire customers, but makes what a bank makes margin wise with loans. The combination of low-value financial products and high value loans on the same app increases the opportunity that its customers cross-buy into these loans. What is more, since the customer was acquired with low cost into its low-value offerings, the variable profit per customer that comes in and the buys into high-value loans now increases significantly compared to when obtaining that same loan customer through traditional means. In fact, it can increase 180%:\n\nThis is absolutely winning. The long-term potential here cannot be understated. That said, the most recent quarter was quite decent.\n\nTotal revenue was $272.0 million in Q3 2021 which was up 35% from the corresponding prior-year period. On an adjusted basis, net revenue was $277.2 million, a record high for Q3, and 28% higher than last year's $216.8. Revenues were also up sequentially from Q2. There was continued strength in all three of SoFi's business segments, leading to these solid results, and the top line beat consensus estimates handily by $21.6 million.\n\nNow the major complaint of course for the relatively new public company is that it is not consistently making money on the bottom line. But it will folks. Indeed, SoFi saw $30.0 million net loss for the Q3 2021, compared to a net loss of $42.9 million in last year's quarter.\n\nThe one thing to remember here is that the acquisition of Galileo was costly, and they lowered their valuation allowance. Just something to keep in mind. Anyway, we are pleased to see another quarter of positive adjusted EBITDA. It came in at of $10.3 million, and was positive for the fifth consecutive quarter, due to the combination of higher revenues across business segments, though this was a touch offset by increased spending to achieve incremental growth.\n\nOne of the most critical items we noted was SOFI continues to accelerate its year-over-year growth in both members and total products in the quarter. This is key. Total members grew 96% year-over-year to 2.9 million, up from 1.5 million at the same point last year, and total products grew 105% to 3.3 million at quarter-end compared to 2.3 million at the same point last year.\n\n\nThis is so critical to understand. The business metrics are largely improving, regardless of the stock moves. The stock is not the company. The company is not the stock. But the stock will recognize the moves in metrics eventually as the noise settles down and things improve. Growth in the member base and products continues to be driven by significant expansion in the offerings across business segments, particularly in the Financial Services segment, where growth in SoFi Invest and SoFi Money offerings more than doubled the number of Financial Services segment products, to nearly 3.2 million, up from approximately 1.2 million, at the same point last year.\n\nAs of the end of Q3, Financial Services segment products were nearly three times the number of Lending products.\n\nGrowth in personal and student loans largely drove the 15% year-over-year increase in Lending segment products.\n\nTechnology Platform accounts increased by 80% to nearly 89 million. All of this is solid growth. The results versus guidance are a key communication from the company that we love to see. It helps hold them accountable.\n\nWe won't go incredibly deeper into the numbers but the key here is that the company's performance trounced guidance all around. We do not think management sandbags in order to beat either. The company is simply growing solidly.\n\nThat said, management expects continued strong growth to finish the year. For Q4, they see expected adjusted net revenue of $272 to $282 million and expected adjusted EBITDA of $2 million to $3 million. That is strong growth on the top line:\n\nThe company also raised its guidance. We love it when companies raise guidance:\n\n\nSure, there is a lot of noise around what will happen with rates, and the Fed, and with COVID and the economy. But in perspective, higher rates are good for companies that lend money, so long as they are securing funding at a nominal rate and profiting from a spread. The company sees annual performance being strong thanks to year-to-date performance and a strong Q4. We are most excited by seeing the company break a billion in revenues this year, with EBITDA possibly breaking $30 million. Growth from here is all but guaranteed.\n\nA few catalysts and risks\nOne thing we want to point out again is how the extension of the government's student loan moratorium has hindered the company. But that is coming to an end. While that was costly in 2021, we expect that 2022 will see a nice boost in repayment. So keep that in mind.\n\nThen there is of course the bank charter, which we see as very likely. For more on this, please see the many columns on SoFi on Seeking Alpha discussing this. We will say that as they have applied for a national bank license, if they get it, there are so many other products they could offer in addition to some other innovative things they could try as it relates to banking products.\n\nOf course, a risk to the stock and to the company's growth would be if they were straight up denied a banking charter. That would hurt potential growth and we could see the stock being sold off pretty hard.\n\nAnother risk is if the government comes in and tries to regulate the massive uptick in the number of companies offering customers access to trading, or otherwise tries to limit individuals from trading. A lot of money is made from trading/investing, so any regulation here that limits this could be detrimental. Traders should keep their ears and eyes on the regulatory wire for anything that could hurt SoFi or its competitors in this regard.\n\nTake home\nWhile the company and stock are not risk-free, the pullback has been massive. The secondary, as well as institutional selling, along with broader fintech weakness, has set up a great trading opportunity here. Take advantage of the selloff here and you will thank yourself down the road for buying this gem.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1659,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":828617597,"gmtCreate":1633910002917,"gmtModify":1633910002917,"author":{"id":"4087626034255720","authorId":"4087626034255720","name":"yiyu81","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4778d04c7fcd1247b57df255ae536876","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087626034255720","authorIdStr":"4087626034255720"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a>thanks tiger","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a>thanks tiger","text":"$Apple(AAPL)$thanks tiger","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51857f0ad9592e523904dc12e3469a29","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/828617597","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1668,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":822042053,"gmtCreate":1634081787915,"gmtModify":1634081788019,"author":{"id":"4087626034255720","authorId":"4087626034255720","name":"yiyu81","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4778d04c7fcd1247b57df255ae536876","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087626034255720","authorIdStr":"4087626034255720"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[财迷] ","listText":"[财迷] ","text":"[财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/822042053","repostId":"2174313550","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1061,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":817915690,"gmtCreate":1630897129810,"gmtModify":1632905257054,"author":{"id":"4087626034255720","authorId":"4087626034255720","name":"yiyu81","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4778d04c7fcd1247b57df255ae536876","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087626034255720","authorIdStr":"4087626034255720"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/817915690","repostId":"1103617448","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1103617448","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1630893800,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1103617448?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-06 10:03","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"北京证券交易所来了!谁的“大肉”,谁的“汤”?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1103617448","media":"海清FICC频道","summary":"9月2日晚,中央宣布将深化新三板改革,设立北京证券交易所,打造服务创新型中小企业主阵地。\n一、设立北京证券交易所是大国博弈、“科技兴邦”的战略抉择\n当前,一场以数字经济、芯片、人工智能、新能源技术、太","content":"<p>9月2日晚,中央宣布将深化新三板改革,设立北京证券交易所,打造服务创新型中小企业主阵地。</p>\n<p><b>一、设立北京证券交易所是大国博弈、“科技兴邦”的战略抉择</b></p>\n<p>当前,一场以数字经济、芯片、人工智能、新能源技术、太空探索技术、生物医药技术为引领的科技革命正在到来。</p>\n<p><b>在中国经济高质量发展、产业转型升级和全球产业竞争中,科技创新的竞争是核心。</b>中国能否在这一场科技竞争中取得先发优势,不仅仅决定了中国能否解决关键技术“卡脖子”的短期问题,还决定了未来谁是全球产业经济的“领头羊”、21世纪是谁的世纪的长期问题。</p>\n<p><b>从历史上大国崛起的过程来看,科技是根本驱动力:</b></p>\n<p>英国借助蒸汽机的领先优势率先开始了第一次工业革命,成为世界霸主;</p>\n<p>美德在内燃机、电气化领域弯道超车超过英国,引领了第二次工业革命,取代了英国的地位;</p>\n<p>二战后美国在原子能、生物医药、航空航天、计算机等领域引领了第三次工业革命,进一步巩固了其全球科技领头羊地位和世界霸主地位。</p>\n<p><b>在上世纪八九十年代的美日贸易战中,除了“广场协议”这一表面因素和直接诱因外,美国最终能够胜过日本的关键也在于两国在经济发展驱动力选择上的根本差异:</b></p>\n<p>日本因循传统的主办银行制度,支持传统的大型制造业企业和房地产行业发展,其金融体制不适应科技创新的需要。在广场协议后,日元升值、出口受挫,日本更是直接通过货币大放水刺激起股市泡沫和房市泡沫,催生出“虚假的繁荣”。</p>\n<p>美国通过纳斯达克市场为科技创新企业提供便利的融资环境,硅谷发展起来,培育了一大批后来的互联网企业。</p>\n<p>到了九十年代,日本房市和股市泡沫破裂,经济陷入“失去的二十年”;美国厚积薄发,互联网革命兴起,出现“新经济繁荣”。日本在美日竞争中彻底出局。</p>\n<p><b>大国博弈,科技定乾坤!科技是第一生产力,是大国崛起和全球竞争的关键。</b></p>\n<p><b>金融是实体的血液,科技竞争,金融先行。哪个国家的资本市场更能服务创新,更能为高科技企业融资和发展提供便利,哪个国家的科技创新就更有可能快速进步,同时还能吸引其他国家和地区的高科技企业来本地上市。</b></p>\n<p><b>近年来美国纳斯达克也在不断进行制度创新,为中小科创企业上市提供更便捷的政策机制设计。</b>比如,近年来美国股市出现许多特殊目的收购公司(SPAC),成为许多企业借壳上市的“终南捷径”。其操作模式是:第一步,成立一个SPAC公司,向监管机构申请发股募资,但此时发起人持有的股票只能在限定市场上单独交易;第二步,在18~24个月内,管理团队找到一家可以收购的目标公司,全体股东投票,多数同意后完成收购,合并成新公司,股票就可以正式上市交易。发起人持有的股票等锁定期一过,就可以退出套现。SPAC模式能够让企业在短时间内实现上市,成本也比IPO、买壳上市/借壳上市更低。</p>\n<p><b>如今中国决策层已经彻底下定决心转型,告别以城镇化红利为基础的“房地产+土地财政”旧模式,塑造“硬科技+绿色低碳+支持民企小微”为三大支柱的新增长模式。</b></p>\n<p><b>为承接上述发展战略转型,目前国内需要一个聚焦服务创新型中小企业、承担培育一批专精特新中小企业使命的交易所,北京证券交易所的出现适应了时代的需要,也响应了全球科技竞争的需求。</b></p>\n<p><b>二、北京证券交易所并非“凭空出世”,而是北京长期以来科技创新支持政策内生进化的结果</b></p>\n<p>北京是中国创新企业和金融资源高度集中的城市,纵观北京科技创新领域的政策演进路径可以发现,<b>在每一个重要的历史关口,北京都推出了重大的政策和制度创新:</b></p>\n<p>在上世纪八九十年代,随着美国互联网科技产业兴起,北京建立了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000931\">中关村</a>,成为我国科教智力和人才资源最为密集的区域,被称为“中国硅谷”。</p>\n<p>2006年,中关村科技园区非上市股份公司进入代办转让系统进行股份报价转让,称为“新三板”。</p>\n<p>2020年7月27日,新三板精选层设立暨首批企业晋层仪式在全国股转公司挂牌大厅举行,首批32家公司已全部完成公开发行程序,精选层正式设立并开市交易。</p>\n<p><b>如今,在精选层进行了一年多的试点的基础上,以精选层为基础组建北京证券交易所,可谓“水到渠成”。</b></p>\n<p><b>从北京产业转型升级的方向来看,数字经济、科技创新是重要的支撑,北京证券交易所的设立,对于<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00925\">北京建设</a>具有全球影响力的金融中心、科技创新中心具有重大意义。</b></p>\n<p><b>三、北京证券交易所最值得期待的是制度建设能否再做突破创新</b></p>\n<p><b>中国已有沪深两大交易所,设立北京证券交易所的最大看点并不是又多了一家交易所,其最值得期待的是未来还会有哪些制度创新!</b></p>\n<p>此前很长一段时间,中国股市没有实行注册制、无法让同股不同权的企业上市、无法让未盈利的高科技企业上市。科创板的推出解决了注册制的问题,同时为未盈利的高科技企业上市创造了条件。北京证券交易所进一步放宽了创新型中小企业上升的市值、财务条件,企业上市融资更加便捷。</p>\n<p><b>从目前监管披露的信息来看,北京证券交易所的初期规划是新三板的延伸:</b>以现有的新三板精选层为基础组建北京证券交易所,总体平移精选层各项基础制度,坚持北京证券交易所上市公司由创新层公司产生,维持新三板基础层、创新层与北京证券交易所“层层递进”的市场结构,同步试点证券发行注册制。</p>\n<p>此前新三板精选层也设计了向科创板、创业板转板上市的制度,但成功转板上市的企业有限。以现有的新三板精选层为基础组建北京证券交易所,不仅有利于增强新三板挂牌企业股权的流动性和上市渠道,还是为了“打造服务创新型中小企业主阵地”,“培育一批专精特新中小企业”。</p>\n<p><b>从新三板精选层和科创板挂牌/上市的条件和门槛来看,精选层的对企业市值条件、财务条件的要求更加宽松,更有利于中小科创企业的上市。</b></p>\n<p><b>未来北京证券交易所是否能有更多的制度创新?能否进一步推动中国股票市场的改革进程?值得我们期待。</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/24adac74431844c001244acdf21f3ca0\" tg-width=\"892\" tg-height=\"853\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p><b>四、北京证券交易所的设立将带来PE基金行业的颠覆性变革</b></p>\n<p>北京证券交易所的设立,有利于创新型中小企业上市,活跃股票交易市场,有利于券商承销业务和经纪业务收入增长,因此,周五开盘后券商股集体大涨。</p>\n<p>但我们认为,<b>北京证券交易所的设立对券商股的利好非常有限,充其量也就是喝点“汤”。北京证券交易所设立的最大受益者或者说“吃肉的”是PE/VC基金,一级PE基金黄金时代可期待来临。</b></p>\n<p>过去 PE/VC投资的退出渠道比较匮乏,基本上需要等到被投企业IPO上市后才能顺畅地退出。但以前企业在A股上市门槛高、周期长,而一般的PE基金的存续期限往往只有3—7年。</p>\n<p>为了保证在基金存续期结束时能够顺利退出、给投资人兑现收益,中国的PE基金往往只能陪跑“后半场”,在企业成长到一定规模、能够在较短的时间内上市时才介入;部分企业在中国面临上市难的问题,最后会选择VIE架构去美国或香港上市,让PE基金得以退出。</p>\n<p><b>随着科创板推出、创业板注册制改革、北京证券交易所设立,创新型中小企业上市更加便捷,条件放宽,可以在企业发展的较早阶段上市,能够缓解过去PE基金产品期限和被投公司上市期限不匹配的难题,改变中国PE基金扎堆投pre-IPO或临近上市轮现象。创新型中小企业上市不再需要完整走完天使轮—A轮—B轮—C轮—D轮—……—IPO的漫长过程,从而促使更多的PE基金在投资端前移,也可以促进VC投资的发展。</b></p>\n<p><b>北京证券交易所的设立,还改变了一级市场PE基金生存的底层逻辑,未来将颠覆目前的行业生态。</b>目前的PE、VC市场,呈现出两极分化的状态:一大批初创企业争相求着头部PE基金投资,而一大批中小PE基金则求着明星项目要份额;头部PE基金募资能力强,中小PE基金若无特殊资源则很难找到LP。未来创新型中小企业上市更加容易,有利于专业化、特色型中小PE基金的生存发展,有望改变头部大型PE基金垄断主导权的行业生态。</p>","source":"lsy1568619116533","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>北京证券交易所来了!谁的“大肉”,谁的“汤”?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n北京证券交易所来了!谁的“大肉”,谁的“汤”?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-09-06 10:03 北京时间 <a href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/lqSPqmgOxaUC0SuD0zmyPQ><strong>海清FICC频道</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>9月2日晚,中央宣布将深化新三板改革,设立北京证券交易所,打造服务创新型中小企业主阵地。\n一、设立北京证券交易所是大国博弈、“科技兴邦”的战略抉择\n当前,一场以数字经济、芯片、人工智能、新能源技术、太空探索技术、生物医药技术为引领的科技革命正在到来。\n在中国经济高质量发展、产业转型升级和全球产业竞争中,科技创新的竞争是核心。中国能否在这一场科技竞争中取得先发优势,不仅仅决定了中国能否解决关键技术“...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/lqSPqmgOxaUC0SuD0zmyPQ\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5481d622d7bc535b67b2738f86cc0db","relate_stocks":{"399001":"深证成指","399006":"创业板指","000001.SH":"上证指数"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/lqSPqmgOxaUC0SuD0zmyPQ","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1103617448","content_text":"9月2日晚,中央宣布将深化新三板改革,设立北京证券交易所,打造服务创新型中小企业主阵地。\n一、设立北京证券交易所是大国博弈、“科技兴邦”的战略抉择\n当前,一场以数字经济、芯片、人工智能、新能源技术、太空探索技术、生物医药技术为引领的科技革命正在到来。\n在中国经济高质量发展、产业转型升级和全球产业竞争中,科技创新的竞争是核心。中国能否在这一场科技竞争中取得先发优势,不仅仅决定了中国能否解决关键技术“卡脖子”的短期问题,还决定了未来谁是全球产业经济的“领头羊”、21世纪是谁的世纪的长期问题。\n从历史上大国崛起的过程来看,科技是根本驱动力:\n英国借助蒸汽机的领先优势率先开始了第一次工业革命,成为世界霸主;\n美德在内燃机、电气化领域弯道超车超过英国,引领了第二次工业革命,取代了英国的地位;\n二战后美国在原子能、生物医药、航空航天、计算机等领域引领了第三次工业革命,进一步巩固了其全球科技领头羊地位和世界霸主地位。\n在上世纪八九十年代的美日贸易战中,除了“广场协议”这一表面因素和直接诱因外,美国最终能够胜过日本的关键也在于两国在经济发展驱动力选择上的根本差异:\n日本因循传统的主办银行制度,支持传统的大型制造业企业和房地产行业发展,其金融体制不适应科技创新的需要。在广场协议后,日元升值、出口受挫,日本更是直接通过货币大放水刺激起股市泡沫和房市泡沫,催生出“虚假的繁荣”。\n美国通过纳斯达克市场为科技创新企业提供便利的融资环境,硅谷发展起来,培育了一大批后来的互联网企业。\n到了九十年代,日本房市和股市泡沫破裂,经济陷入“失去的二十年”;美国厚积薄发,互联网革命兴起,出现“新经济繁荣”。日本在美日竞争中彻底出局。\n大国博弈,科技定乾坤!科技是第一生产力,是大国崛起和全球竞争的关键。\n金融是实体的血液,科技竞争,金融先行。哪个国家的资本市场更能服务创新,更能为高科技企业融资和发展提供便利,哪个国家的科技创新就更有可能快速进步,同时还能吸引其他国家和地区的高科技企业来本地上市。\n近年来美国纳斯达克也在不断进行制度创新,为中小科创企业上市提供更便捷的政策机制设计。比如,近年来美国股市出现许多特殊目的收购公司(SPAC),成为许多企业借壳上市的“终南捷径”。其操作模式是:第一步,成立一个SPAC公司,向监管机构申请发股募资,但此时发起人持有的股票只能在限定市场上单独交易;第二步,在18~24个月内,管理团队找到一家可以收购的目标公司,全体股东投票,多数同意后完成收购,合并成新公司,股票就可以正式上市交易。发起人持有的股票等锁定期一过,就可以退出套现。SPAC模式能够让企业在短时间内实现上市,成本也比IPO、买壳上市/借壳上市更低。\n如今中国决策层已经彻底下定决心转型,告别以城镇化红利为基础的“房地产+土地财政”旧模式,塑造“硬科技+绿色低碳+支持民企小微”为三大支柱的新增长模式。\n为承接上述发展战略转型,目前国内需要一个聚焦服务创新型中小企业、承担培育一批专精特新中小企业使命的交易所,北京证券交易所的出现适应了时代的需要,也响应了全球科技竞争的需求。\n二、北京证券交易所并非“凭空出世”,而是北京长期以来科技创新支持政策内生进化的结果\n北京是中国创新企业和金融资源高度集中的城市,纵观北京科技创新领域的政策演进路径可以发现,在每一个重要的历史关口,北京都推出了重大的政策和制度创新:\n在上世纪八九十年代,随着美国互联网科技产业兴起,北京建立了中关村,成为我国科教智力和人才资源最为密集的区域,被称为“中国硅谷”。\n2006年,中关村科技园区非上市股份公司进入代办转让系统进行股份报价转让,称为“新三板”。\n2020年7月27日,新三板精选层设立暨首批企业晋层仪式在全国股转公司挂牌大厅举行,首批32家公司已全部完成公开发行程序,精选层正式设立并开市交易。\n如今,在精选层进行了一年多的试点的基础上,以精选层为基础组建北京证券交易所,可谓“水到渠成”。\n从北京产业转型升级的方向来看,数字经济、科技创新是重要的支撑,北京证券交易所的设立,对于北京建设具有全球影响力的金融中心、科技创新中心具有重大意义。\n三、北京证券交易所最值得期待的是制度建设能否再做突破创新\n中国已有沪深两大交易所,设立北京证券交易所的最大看点并不是又多了一家交易所,其最值得期待的是未来还会有哪些制度创新!\n此前很长一段时间,中国股市没有实行注册制、无法让同股不同权的企业上市、无法让未盈利的高科技企业上市。科创板的推出解决了注册制的问题,同时为未盈利的高科技企业上市创造了条件。北京证券交易所进一步放宽了创新型中小企业上升的市值、财务条件,企业上市融资更加便捷。\n从目前监管披露的信息来看,北京证券交易所的初期规划是新三板的延伸:以现有的新三板精选层为基础组建北京证券交易所,总体平移精选层各项基础制度,坚持北京证券交易所上市公司由创新层公司产生,维持新三板基础层、创新层与北京证券交易所“层层递进”的市场结构,同步试点证券发行注册制。\n此前新三板精选层也设计了向科创板、创业板转板上市的制度,但成功转板上市的企业有限。以现有的新三板精选层为基础组建北京证券交易所,不仅有利于增强新三板挂牌企业股权的流动性和上市渠道,还是为了“打造服务创新型中小企业主阵地”,“培育一批专精特新中小企业”。\n从新三板精选层和科创板挂牌/上市的条件和门槛来看,精选层的对企业市值条件、财务条件的要求更加宽松,更有利于中小科创企业的上市。\n未来北京证券交易所是否能有更多的制度创新?能否进一步推动中国股票市场的改革进程?值得我们期待。\n\n四、北京证券交易所的设立将带来PE基金行业的颠覆性变革\n北京证券交易所的设立,有利于创新型中小企业上市,活跃股票交易市场,有利于券商承销业务和经纪业务收入增长,因此,周五开盘后券商股集体大涨。\n但我们认为,北京证券交易所的设立对券商股的利好非常有限,充其量也就是喝点“汤”。北京证券交易所设立的最大受益者或者说“吃肉的”是PE/VC基金,一级PE基金黄金时代可期待来临。\n过去 PE/VC投资的退出渠道比较匮乏,基本上需要等到被投企业IPO上市后才能顺畅地退出。但以前企业在A股上市门槛高、周期长,而一般的PE基金的存续期限往往只有3—7年。\n为了保证在基金存续期结束时能够顺利退出、给投资人兑现收益,中国的PE基金往往只能陪跑“后半场”,在企业成长到一定规模、能够在较短的时间内上市时才介入;部分企业在中国面临上市难的问题,最后会选择VIE架构去美国或香港上市,让PE基金得以退出。\n随着科创板推出、创业板注册制改革、北京证券交易所设立,创新型中小企业上市更加便捷,条件放宽,可以在企业发展的较早阶段上市,能够缓解过去PE基金产品期限和被投公司上市期限不匹配的难题,改变中国PE基金扎堆投pre-IPO或临近上市轮现象。创新型中小企业上市不再需要完整走完天使轮—A轮—B轮—C轮—D轮—……—IPO的漫长过程,从而促使更多的PE基金在投资端前移,也可以促进VC投资的发展。\n北京证券交易所的设立,还改变了一级市场PE基金生存的底层逻辑,未来将颠覆目前的行业生态。目前的PE、VC市场,呈现出两极分化的状态:一大批初创企业争相求着头部PE基金投资,而一大批中小PE基金则求着明星项目要份额;头部PE基金募资能力强,中小PE基金若无特殊资源则很难找到LP。未来创新型中小企业上市更加容易,有利于专业化、特色型中小PE基金的生存发展,有望改变头部大型PE基金垄断主导权的行业生态。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":123,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":698298938,"gmtCreate":1640399136626,"gmtModify":1640399136738,"author":{"id":"4087626034255720","authorId":"4087626034255720","name":"yiyu81","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4778d04c7fcd1247b57df255ae536876","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087626034255720","authorIdStr":"4087626034255720"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OCDX\">$OCDX(OCDX)$</a>finally keep going","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OCDX\">$OCDX(OCDX)$</a>finally keep going","text":"$OCDX(OCDX)$finally keep going","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/239b5a088f79e3ac7e9e27cf49780d59","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698298938","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1119,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":821286870,"gmtCreate":1633747616451,"gmtModify":1633747616558,"author":{"id":"4087626034255720","authorId":"4087626034255720","name":"yiyu81","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4778d04c7fcd1247b57df255ae536876","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087626034255720","authorIdStr":"4087626034255720"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OCDX\">$OCDX(OCDX)$</a>good potential ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OCDX\">$OCDX(OCDX)$</a>good potential ","text":"$OCDX(OCDX)$good potential","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8d3d4c17533a52325cc66bf982ae4a73","width":"1080","height":"2259"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/821286870","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1110,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}