+关注
明日阳光888
暂无个人介绍
IP属地:河北
6
关注
3
粉丝
1
主题
0
勋章
主贴
热门
明日阳光888
04-28 20:18
特朗普刚上台,感觉天王老子,他最大,一顿操作猛如虎,到头来发现自己是个250。杀敌1千自损800,看来还不止。关税贸易战有冰点回暖美股看反弹
明日阳光888
04-26
谷歌不错,可以上
明日阳光888
04-25
碰到一个各方面都合适的很难,不像年轻的时候容易冲动了。
明日阳光888
04-25
两个都去跟股神学投资,跟疯子学投机
明日阳光888
04-24
前面低点很难再破,特朗普口风有变中美之间贸易战有缓和的趋势,本次下跌虽然有涨幅大账期长的原因,更主要的是人为造成的,即特朗普上台以后大搞贸易战,现在特朗普态度软化转变了,那么股市股市很难再破前低
明日阳光888
04-24
黄金当前涨幅大上涨时间长,有过一段调整之后还可以再看的。美股震荡筑底中,比特币更强势一些,但是横盘时间不太够高度也很难很高
明日阳光888
04-24
我都不看好。科技含量低,想象空间不够。
明日阳光888
04-22
“我们一定是前世作孽过多,再不就是来世享尽荣华,所以
@小小虎AAA
上帝才会使我们这一生历尽赎罪和磨炼的煎熬”<br>-《人间失格》<br>
明日阳光888
04-22
押跌
明日阳光888
04-22
短期不看好,长期看好
明日阳光888
04-22
短期不看好,车竞争太激烈难以支撑高估值,但人形机器人量产后,估值难以估计。
明日阳光888
04-20
[强]
@躺平躺到地狱了:NQ100期指周跌2.09%符合预期。形势:关税谈判错综复杂、特朗普放风中美显转机、特鲍矛盾白热化、半导体板块遭暴击,经济面临诸多不确定、通胀预期持续。短线:不确定因素多、波动大。5日均下、20日均下,空头趋势,20日均压制明显,下周谨防加速二次探底。站稳20日均才可尝试抄底。中线:5周均下,20周均下,周线神低9,周线SKDJ低位金叉K值25,中线振荡筑底大概率。长线:4月7日低点16460点与江恩法则支撑位16467点接近,再次破掉概率低、成为近期低点概率高。若破掉成为空头陷阱概率高。本轮调整22450点-16460点,最大跌幅26.68%---NQ100期指本周复盘和下周预判
明日阳光888
04-20
[强]
@躺平躺到地狱了:BTC期指周收涨1.62%符合预期。短线:市场恐慌股市下跌时横盘,走势越来越独立,强势明显。5日金叉20日均,20均走平,连续4日收盘在20日均上,短线多头趋势,预计下周横盘振荡或继续反弹大概率。中线:近6周收盘均在84000附近,5周均上,5周均走平,周线神低9+1,周线SKDJ低位金叉,K值33,中线横盘走势。长线:调整绝对幅度大概率到位:江恩法则支撑位:79757.5,调整最低74635,接近月线大1浪顶部74415。若BTC长期向上当前便是底部区域。均线形态上还未到位:5周10周20周均走平粘合才是突破时机。当下策略:急跌加仓捡钱,急涨抛出收红包---BTC期指本周复盘和下周预判
明日阳光888
04-18
<br> 若特朗普强行换掉鲍威尔,市场短期大概率大涨,但接下来面临更多的不确定性,走势难测。
明日阳光888
04-18
若特朗普强行换掉鲍威尔,市场短期大概率大涨,但接下来面临更多的不确定性,走势难测。
明日阳光888
04-18
若特朗普强行换掉鲍威尔,市场短期大概率大涨,但接下来面临更多的不确定性,走势难测。
明日阳光888
04-17
静观其变,待价格走稳了再看,稳字当头
明日阳光888
04-16
预计收盘40
明日阳光888
04-16
小仓被套,现在做空挺好。跌得狠将来涨得快
明日阳光888
04-16
长期投资可以配置部分仓位黄金,美股等走好再入,美股跌下来是机会,长线看大部分会涨回来的。
去老虎APP查看更多动态
{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"userPageInfo":{"id":"3549760817157884","uuid":"3549760817157884","gmtCreate":1684494286396,"gmtModify":1684495053846,"name":"明日阳光888","pinyin":"mryg888mingriyangguang888","introduction":"","introductionEn":"","signature":"","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32a4bc8245903a9d3c02aa8cdc7e19d9","hat":null,"hatId":null,"hatName":null,"vip":1,"status":2,"fanSize":3,"headSize":6,"tweetSize":51,"questionSize":0,"limitLevel":999,"accountStatus":2,"level":{"id":1,"name":"萌萌虎","nameTw":"萌萌虎","represent":"呱呱坠地","factor":"评论帖子3次或发布1条主帖(非转发)","iconColor":"3C9E83","bgColor":"A2F1D9"},"themeCounts":1,"badgeCounts":0,"badges":[],"moderator":false,"superModerator":false,"manageSymbols":null,"badgeLevel":null,"boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"favoriteSize":1,"symbols":null,"coverImage":null,"realNameVerified":null,"userBadges":[{"badgeId":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561-1","templateUuid":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561","name":"出道虎友","description":"加入老虎社区500天","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e4d0ca1da0456dc7894c946d44bf9ab","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f2f65e8ce4cfaae8db2bea9b127f58b","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c5948a31b6edf154422335b265235809","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2024.10.01","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001}],"userBadgeCount":1,"currentWearingBadge":null,"individualDisplayBadges":null,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"location":"河北","starInvestorFollowerNum":0,"starInvestorFlag":false,"starInvestorOrderShareNum":0,"subscribeStarInvestorNum":0,"ror":null,"winRationPercentage":null,"showRor":false,"investmentPhilosophy":null,"starInvestorSubscribeFlag":false},"baikeInfo":{},"tab":"post","tweets":[{"id":429347914399832,"gmtCreate":1745842736105,"gmtModify":1745845890126,"author":{"id":"3549760817157884","authorId":"3549760817157884","name":"明日阳光888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32a4bc8245903a9d3c02aa8cdc7e19d9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3549760817157884","authorIdStr":"3549760817157884"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"特朗普刚上台,感觉天王老子,他最大,一顿操作猛如虎,到头来发现自己是个250。杀敌1千自损800,看来还不止。关税贸易战有冰点回暖美股看反弹","listText":"特朗普刚上台,感觉天王老子,他最大,一顿操作猛如虎,到头来发现自己是个250。杀敌1千自损800,看来还不止。关税贸易战有冰点回暖美股看反弹","text":"特朗普刚上台,感觉天王老子,他最大,一顿操作猛如虎,到头来发现自己是个250。杀敌1千自损800,看来还不止。关税贸易战有冰点回暖美股看反弹","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/429347914399832","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":119,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":428475391750888,"gmtCreate":1745639213273,"gmtModify":1745639216227,"author":{"id":"3549760817157884","authorId":"3549760817157884","name":"明日阳光888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32a4bc8245903a9d3c02aa8cdc7e19d9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3549760817157884","authorIdStr":"3549760817157884"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"谷歌不错,可以上","listText":"谷歌不错,可以上","text":"谷歌不错,可以上","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/428475391750888","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":232,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":428232263410408,"gmtCreate":1745579855768,"gmtModify":1745579857691,"author":{"id":"3549760817157884","authorId":"3549760817157884","name":"明日阳光888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32a4bc8245903a9d3c02aa8cdc7e19d9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3549760817157884","authorIdStr":"3549760817157884"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"碰到一个各方面都合适的很难,不像年轻的时候容易冲动了。","listText":"碰到一个各方面都合适的很难,不像年轻的时候容易冲动了。","text":"碰到一个各方面都合适的很难,不像年轻的时候容易冲动了。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/428232263410408","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":378,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":428233975025672,"gmtCreate":1745579799743,"gmtModify":1745582101017,"author":{"id":"3549760817157884","authorId":"3549760817157884","name":"明日阳光888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32a4bc8245903a9d3c02aa8cdc7e19d9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3549760817157884","authorIdStr":"3549760817157884"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"两个都去跟股神学投资,跟疯子学投机","listText":"两个都去跟股神学投资,跟疯子学投机","text":"两个都去跟股神学投资,跟疯子学投机","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/428233975025672","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":249,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":427869436400328,"gmtCreate":1745480631915,"gmtModify":1745481546214,"author":{"id":"3549760817157884","authorId":"3549760817157884","name":"明日阳光888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32a4bc8245903a9d3c02aa8cdc7e19d9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3549760817157884","authorIdStr":"3549760817157884"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"前面低点很难再破,特朗普口风有变中美之间贸易战有缓和的趋势,本次下跌虽然有涨幅大账期长的原因,更主要的是人为造成的,即特朗普上台以后大搞贸易战,现在特朗普态度软化转变了,那么股市股市很难再破前低","listText":"前面低点很难再破,特朗普口风有变中美之间贸易战有缓和的趋势,本次下跌虽然有涨幅大账期长的原因,更主要的是人为造成的,即特朗普上台以后大搞贸易战,现在特朗普态度软化转变了,那么股市股市很难再破前低","text":"前面低点很难再破,特朗普口风有变中美之间贸易战有缓和的趋势,本次下跌虽然有涨幅大账期长的原因,更主要的是人为造成的,即特朗普上台以后大搞贸易战,现在特朗普态度软化转变了,那么股市股市很难再破前低","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/427869436400328","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":245,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":427866467868928,"gmtCreate":1745480436654,"gmtModify":1745481546711,"author":{"id":"3549760817157884","authorId":"3549760817157884","name":"明日阳光888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32a4bc8245903a9d3c02aa8cdc7e19d9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3549760817157884","authorIdStr":"3549760817157884"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"黄金当前涨幅大上涨时间长,有过一段调整之后还可以再看的。美股震荡筑底中,比特币更强势一些,但是横盘时间不太够高度也很难很高","listText":"黄金当前涨幅大上涨时间长,有过一段调整之后还可以再看的。美股震荡筑底中,比特币更强势一些,但是横盘时间不太够高度也很难很高","text":"黄金当前涨幅大上涨时间长,有过一段调整之后还可以再看的。美股震荡筑底中,比特币更强势一些,但是横盘时间不太够高度也很难很高","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/427866467868928","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":399,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":427867778167184,"gmtCreate":1745480326134,"gmtModify":1745480328436,"author":{"id":"3549760817157884","authorId":"3549760817157884","name":"明日阳光888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32a4bc8245903a9d3c02aa8cdc7e19d9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3549760817157884","authorIdStr":"3549760817157884"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我都不看好。科技含量低,想象空间不够。","listText":"我都不看好。科技含量低,想象空间不够。","text":"我都不看好。科技含量低,想象空间不够。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/427867778167184","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":143,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":427215389900848,"gmtCreate":1745324199447,"gmtModify":1745324201896,"author":{"id":"3549760817157884","authorId":"3549760817157884","name":"明日阳光888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32a4bc8245903a9d3c02aa8cdc7e19d9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3549760817157884","authorIdStr":"3549760817157884"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"“我们一定是前世作孽过多,再不就是来世享尽荣华,所以<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3553132940914627\"> @小小虎AAA </a>上帝才会使我们这一生历尽赎罪和磨炼的煎熬”<br>-《人间失格》<br>","listText":"“我们一定是前世作孽过多,再不就是来世享尽荣华,所以<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3553132940914627\"> @小小虎AAA </a>上帝才会使我们这一生历尽赎罪和磨炼的煎熬”<br>-《人间失格》<br>","text":"“我们一定是前世作孽过多,再不就是来世享尽荣华,所以 @小小虎AAA 上帝才会使我们这一生历尽赎罪和磨炼的煎熬”<br>-《人间失格》<br>","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/427215389900848","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":88,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":427215922057584,"gmtCreate":1745324108418,"gmtModify":1745324110386,"author":{"id":"3549760817157884","authorId":"3549760817157884","name":"明日阳光888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32a4bc8245903a9d3c02aa8cdc7e19d9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3549760817157884","authorIdStr":"3549760817157884"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"押跌","listText":"押跌","text":"押跌","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/427215922057584","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":117,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":427215174254752,"gmtCreate":1745324071612,"gmtModify":1745324073628,"author":{"id":"3549760817157884","authorId":"3549760817157884","name":"明日阳光888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32a4bc8245903a9d3c02aa8cdc7e19d9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3549760817157884","authorIdStr":"3549760817157884"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"短期不看好,长期看好","listText":"短期不看好,长期看好","text":"短期不看好,长期看好","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/427215174254752","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":205,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":427214872465912,"gmtCreate":1745324030745,"gmtModify":1745324032383,"author":{"id":"3549760817157884","authorId":"3549760817157884","name":"明日阳光888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32a4bc8245903a9d3c02aa8cdc7e19d9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3549760817157884","authorIdStr":"3549760817157884"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"短期不看好,车竞争太激烈难以支撑高估值,但人形机器人量产后,估值难以估计。","listText":"短期不看好,车竞争太激烈难以支撑高估值,但人形机器人量产后,估值难以估计。","text":"短期不看好,车竞争太激烈难以支撑高估值,但人形机器人量产后,估值难以估计。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/427214872465912","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":73,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":426340056118096,"gmtCreate":1745110190024,"gmtModify":1745110191692,"author":{"id":"3549760817157884","authorId":"3549760817157884","name":"明日阳光888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32a4bc8245903a9d3c02aa8cdc7e19d9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3549760817157884","authorIdStr":"3549760817157884"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[强]","listText":"[强]","text":"[强]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/426340056118096","repostId":"426317424759184","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":426317424759184,"gmtCreate":1745105026467,"gmtModify":1745109220216,"author":{"id":"3463057643110414","authorId":"3463057643110414","name":"躺平躺到地狱了","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5631398706333ec0e71a2194d3b45cc","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3463057643110414","authorIdStr":"3463057643110414"},"themes":[],"title":"NQ100期指周跌2.09%符合预期。形势:关税谈判错综复杂、特朗普放风中美显转机、特鲍矛盾白热化、半导体板块遭暴击,经济面临诸多不确定、通胀预期持续。短线:不确定因素多、波动大。5日均下、20日均下,空头趋势,20日均压制明显,下周谨防加速二次探底。站稳20日均才可尝试抄底。中线:5周均下,20周均下,周线神低9,周线SKDJ低位金叉K值25,中线振荡筑底大概率。长线:4月7日低点16460点与江恩法则支撑位16467点接近,再次破掉概率低、成为近期低点概率高。若破掉成为空头陷阱概率高。本轮调整22450点-16460点,最大跌幅26.68%---NQ100期指本周复盘和下周预判","htmlText":"前言:(2025年4月6日星期日首次提出)美股暴跌下的长线投资机会:美股长期高高在上,短期暴跌或中期熊市泥沙俱下,为捡便宜货提供历史性的买入机会。本轮下跌和暴跌的直接原因是特上台后用关税大棒等政策组合拳挑起的贸易战,用行政的手段短期改变了当前的市场环境。美政府共和民主两党轮流坐庄,政策很难有长期性和长期持续性,特别是当下的逆全球化的贸易战,肯定也不会长久地持续下去。要问美股何时见底,个人认为:当下美行政政策(关税、贸易战等)转向之时,大概率便是美股见底之时,现在下跌得有多狠,将来涨起来就有多猛。这一天肯定会到来,不过时机需要耐心地等。策略上:收盘站稳20日均线可以做为短线见底信号,分批抄底试错。 躺观大盘(NQ100期指) 一、消息面、政策面: (一)美股夜盘: (二)昨夜今晨:美股收盘:市场观望情绪升温!道指收跌1.3%;礼来大涨14%,联合健康暴跌逾22%。美国WTI原油收高3.5%,创两周新高。现货黄金跌0.46%,COMEX黄金期货跌0.16% (三)国际宏观:特朗普几个月的密谋曝光:罢免鲍威尔剧本流出,接班人浮出水面。关税威胁拖累经济前景,欧洲央行如期降息25个基点。美国上周初请失业金人数小幅下降,就业市场保持稳定。 二、技术面: 1、均线 超短:5日均下,超短空头趋势。 短期:20日均下,20均向下,短期空头趋势。 中期:5周均下,20周均下,20周均向下,中期空头趋势。 长期:5月均下,20月均粘合(盘中破20月均下第1月),长期振荡趋势。25年3月涨跌幅:-7.15%。2024年涨跌幅:24.90%(东财小型纳指当月连续) 2、macd:日线金叉第4日、周线死叉、月线2025年3月25日已显死叉(月线死叉第1月)。(经验:日线金叉,20均上,20均走平或向上大概率会迎来一波上涨。经验:周线金叉行情往往更持久) 3、神奇9转:日线:无,周线:低9,","listText":"前言:(2025年4月6日星期日首次提出)美股暴跌下的长线投资机会:美股长期高高在上,短期暴跌或中期熊市泥沙俱下,为捡便宜货提供历史性的买入机会。本轮下跌和暴跌的直接原因是特上台后用关税大棒等政策组合拳挑起的贸易战,用行政的手段短期改变了当前的市场环境。美政府共和民主两党轮流坐庄,政策很难有长期性和长期持续性,特别是当下的逆全球化的贸易战,肯定也不会长久地持续下去。要问美股何时见底,个人认为:当下美行政政策(关税、贸易战等)转向之时,大概率便是美股见底之时,现在下跌得有多狠,将来涨起来就有多猛。这一天肯定会到来,不过时机需要耐心地等。策略上:收盘站稳20日均线可以做为短线见底信号,分批抄底试错。 躺观大盘(NQ100期指) 一、消息面、政策面: (一)美股夜盘: (二)昨夜今晨:美股收盘:市场观望情绪升温!道指收跌1.3%;礼来大涨14%,联合健康暴跌逾22%。美国WTI原油收高3.5%,创两周新高。现货黄金跌0.46%,COMEX黄金期货跌0.16% (三)国际宏观:特朗普几个月的密谋曝光:罢免鲍威尔剧本流出,接班人浮出水面。关税威胁拖累经济前景,欧洲央行如期降息25个基点。美国上周初请失业金人数小幅下降,就业市场保持稳定。 二、技术面: 1、均线 超短:5日均下,超短空头趋势。 短期:20日均下,20均向下,短期空头趋势。 中期:5周均下,20周均下,20周均向下,中期空头趋势。 长期:5月均下,20月均粘合(盘中破20月均下第1月),长期振荡趋势。25年3月涨跌幅:-7.15%。2024年涨跌幅:24.90%(东财小型纳指当月连续) 2、macd:日线金叉第4日、周线死叉、月线2025年3月25日已显死叉(月线死叉第1月)。(经验:日线金叉,20均上,20均走平或向上大概率会迎来一波上涨。经验:周线金叉行情往往更持久) 3、神奇9转:日线:无,周线:低9,","text":"前言:(2025年4月6日星期日首次提出)美股暴跌下的长线投资机会:美股长期高高在上,短期暴跌或中期熊市泥沙俱下,为捡便宜货提供历史性的买入机会。本轮下跌和暴跌的直接原因是特上台后用关税大棒等政策组合拳挑起的贸易战,用行政的手段短期改变了当前的市场环境。美政府共和民主两党轮流坐庄,政策很难有长期性和长期持续性,特别是当下的逆全球化的贸易战,肯定也不会长久地持续下去。要问美股何时见底,个人认为:当下美行政政策(关税、贸易战等)转向之时,大概率便是美股见底之时,现在下跌得有多狠,将来涨起来就有多猛。这一天肯定会到来,不过时机需要耐心地等。策略上:收盘站稳20日均线可以做为短线见底信号,分批抄底试错。 躺观大盘(NQ100期指) 一、消息面、政策面: (一)美股夜盘: (二)昨夜今晨:美股收盘:市场观望情绪升温!道指收跌1.3%;礼来大涨14%,联合健康暴跌逾22%。美国WTI原油收高3.5%,创两周新高。现货黄金跌0.46%,COMEX黄金期货跌0.16% (三)国际宏观:特朗普几个月的密谋曝光:罢免鲍威尔剧本流出,接班人浮出水面。关税威胁拖累经济前景,欧洲央行如期降息25个基点。美国上周初请失业金人数小幅下降,就业市场保持稳定。 二、技术面: 1、均线 超短:5日均下,超短空头趋势。 短期:20日均下,20均向下,短期空头趋势。 中期:5周均下,20周均下,20周均向下,中期空头趋势。 长期:5月均下,20月均粘合(盘中破20月均下第1月),长期振荡趋势。25年3月涨跌幅:-7.15%。2024年涨跌幅:24.90%(东财小型纳指当月连续) 2、macd:日线金叉第4日、周线死叉、月线2025年3月25日已显死叉(月线死叉第1月)。(经验:日线金叉,20均上,20均走平或向上大概率会迎来一波上涨。经验:周线金叉行情往往更持久) 3、神奇9转:日线:无,周线:低9,","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/426317424759184","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":72,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":426339702460752,"gmtCreate":1745110174543,"gmtModify":1745110175474,"author":{"id":"3549760817157884","authorId":"3549760817157884","name":"明日阳光888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32a4bc8245903a9d3c02aa8cdc7e19d9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3549760817157884","authorIdStr":"3549760817157884"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[强]","listText":"[强]","text":"[强]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/426339702460752","repostId":"426325274882936","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":426325274882936,"gmtCreate":1745106860552,"gmtModify":1745109231398,"author":{"id":"3463057643110414","authorId":"3463057643110414","name":"躺平躺到地狱了","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5631398706333ec0e71a2194d3b45cc","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3463057643110414","authorIdStr":"3463057643110414"},"themes":[],"title":"BTC期指周收涨1.62%符合预期。短线:市场恐慌股市下跌时横盘,走势越来越独立,强势明显。5日金叉20日均,20均走平,连续4日收盘在20日均上,短线多头趋势,预计下周横盘振荡或继续反弹大概率。中线:近6周收盘均在84000附近,5周均上,5周均走平,周线神低9+1,周线SKDJ低位金叉,K值33,中线横盘走势。长线:调整绝对幅度大概率到位:江恩法则支撑位:79757.5,调整最低74635,接近月线大1浪顶部74415。若BTC长期向上当前便是底部区域。均线形态上还未到位:5周10周20周均走平粘合才是突破时机。当下策略:急跌加仓捡钱,急涨抛出收红包---BTC期指本周复盘和下周预判","htmlText":"---风险提示:比特币是虚拟货币,是当前特定历史条件下的产物,没有实物做价值备书和担保,一旦历史条件有变或行业逻辑有变,风险巨大。操作BTC一定要控仓位设止损。 ---友情提示:1、预测BTC非常不靠谱,稳定性准确性远不如NQ100期指;2、BTC24小时不间断交易,要时刻关注走势。3、市场龙头:MSTR(MSTX、MSTU),上涨趋势中MSTR比现货ETF更强。4、长期走势:当下行业逻辑不变前提下长期看好。5、月线大三浪最低49365,最高110150,最多涨:60785,最大涨幅:223.13%,二分之一处价格为:79757.5 躺观大饼(CME比特币期指): 一、消息面: 二、技术面: 1、均线 超短:5日均上,超短多头趋势; 短期:20日均上,20均走平,短线多头趋势。 中期:5周均上,20周均下,20周均向下,中线空头趋势。长期:5月均下,20月均上,20月均向上,长期多头趋势。25年3月涨跌幅:-2.57%。) 2、macd:110150调整以来日线第2次金叉第5天、周线死叉第10周,绿柱持续缩短,月线金叉(24年10月25日周线首度金叉,走出了月线大三浪。期待下一次周线金叉) 3、周期: A:本轮大牛市(月线大三浪):本轮牛市起点可以为2024年8月5日最低49365,最高至2025年1月21日110150,最多涨60785,最大涨幅:123.13%。 B:月线大3浪后的调整(也可认为月线大3浪中的调整):12月17日108960--今。25年1月21日创出历史新高110150为假突破。25年4月7日调整以来最低74635,调整绝对幅度大概率到位:江恩法则支撑位:79757.5,本轮调整最低74635,接近月线大1浪顶部74415。 4、神奇9转(IBIT基金数据。日线低9作用大):日线:无,周线:低9+1,月线:无(神奇9转指标在比特币上没有历史","listText":"---风险提示:比特币是虚拟货币,是当前特定历史条件下的产物,没有实物做价值备书和担保,一旦历史条件有变或行业逻辑有变,风险巨大。操作BTC一定要控仓位设止损。 ---友情提示:1、预测BTC非常不靠谱,稳定性准确性远不如NQ100期指;2、BTC24小时不间断交易,要时刻关注走势。3、市场龙头:MSTR(MSTX、MSTU),上涨趋势中MSTR比现货ETF更强。4、长期走势:当下行业逻辑不变前提下长期看好。5、月线大三浪最低49365,最高110150,最多涨:60785,最大涨幅:223.13%,二分之一处价格为:79757.5 躺观大饼(CME比特币期指): 一、消息面: 二、技术面: 1、均线 超短:5日均上,超短多头趋势; 短期:20日均上,20均走平,短线多头趋势。 中期:5周均上,20周均下,20周均向下,中线空头趋势。长期:5月均下,20月均上,20月均向上,长期多头趋势。25年3月涨跌幅:-2.57%。) 2、macd:110150调整以来日线第2次金叉第5天、周线死叉第10周,绿柱持续缩短,月线金叉(24年10月25日周线首度金叉,走出了月线大三浪。期待下一次周线金叉) 3、周期: A:本轮大牛市(月线大三浪):本轮牛市起点可以为2024年8月5日最低49365,最高至2025年1月21日110150,最多涨60785,最大涨幅:123.13%。 B:月线大3浪后的调整(也可认为月线大3浪中的调整):12月17日108960--今。25年1月21日创出历史新高110150为假突破。25年4月7日调整以来最低74635,调整绝对幅度大概率到位:江恩法则支撑位:79757.5,本轮调整最低74635,接近月线大1浪顶部74415。 4、神奇9转(IBIT基金数据。日线低9作用大):日线:无,周线:低9+1,月线:无(神奇9转指标在比特币上没有历史","text":"---风险提示:比特币是虚拟货币,是当前特定历史条件下的产物,没有实物做价值备书和担保,一旦历史条件有变或行业逻辑有变,风险巨大。操作BTC一定要控仓位设止损。 ---友情提示:1、预测BTC非常不靠谱,稳定性准确性远不如NQ100期指;2、BTC24小时不间断交易,要时刻关注走势。3、市场龙头:MSTR(MSTX、MSTU),上涨趋势中MSTR比现货ETF更强。4、长期走势:当下行业逻辑不变前提下长期看好。5、月线大三浪最低49365,最高110150,最多涨:60785,最大涨幅:223.13%,二分之一处价格为:79757.5 躺观大饼(CME比特币期指): 一、消息面: 二、技术面: 1、均线 超短:5日均上,超短多头趋势; 短期:20日均上,20均走平,短线多头趋势。 中期:5周均上,20周均下,20周均向下,中线空头趋势。长期:5月均下,20月均上,20月均向上,长期多头趋势。25年3月涨跌幅:-2.57%。) 2、macd:110150调整以来日线第2次金叉第5天、周线死叉第10周,绿柱持续缩短,月线金叉(24年10月25日周线首度金叉,走出了月线大三浪。期待下一次周线金叉) 3、周期: A:本轮大牛市(月线大三浪):本轮牛市起点可以为2024年8月5日最低49365,最高至2025年1月21日110150,最多涨60785,最大涨幅:123.13%。 B:月线大3浪后的调整(也可认为月线大3浪中的调整):12月17日108960--今。25年1月21日创出历史新高110150为假突破。25年4月7日调整以来最低74635,调整绝对幅度大概率到位:江恩法则支撑位:79757.5,本轮调整最低74635,接近月线大1浪顶部74415。 4、神奇9转(IBIT基金数据。日线低9作用大):日线:无,周线:低9+1,月线:无(神奇9转指标在比特币上没有历史","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/426325274882936","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":77,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":425845013590704,"gmtCreate":1744989969927,"gmtModify":1744991757258,"author":{"id":"3549760817157884","authorId":"3549760817157884","name":"明日阳光888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32a4bc8245903a9d3c02aa8cdc7e19d9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3549760817157884","authorIdStr":"3549760817157884"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<br> 若特朗普强行换掉鲍威尔,市场短期大概率大涨,但接下来面临更多的不确定性,走势难测。","listText":"<br> 若特朗普强行换掉鲍威尔,市场短期大概率大涨,但接下来面临更多的不确定性,走势难测。","text":"<br> 若特朗普强行换掉鲍威尔,市场短期大概率大涨,但接下来面临更多的不确定性,走势难测。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/425845013590704","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":644,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":425847144702664,"gmtCreate":1744989785356,"gmtModify":1744991749174,"author":{"id":"3549760817157884","authorId":"3549760817157884","name":"明日阳光888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32a4bc8245903a9d3c02aa8cdc7e19d9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3549760817157884","authorIdStr":"3549760817157884"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"若特朗普强行换掉鲍威尔,市场短期大概率大涨,但接下来面临更多的不确定性,走势难测。","listText":"若特朗普强行换掉鲍威尔,市场短期大概率大涨,但接下来面临更多的不确定性,走势难测。","text":"若特朗普强行换掉鲍威尔,市场短期大概率大涨,但接下来面临更多的不确定性,走势难测。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/425847144702664","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":612,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3505994139431061","authorId":"3505994139431061","name":"LinYuliang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4eb5f9abc5bd08f8be2e2d5f4d1a7998","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3505994139431061","authorIdStr":"3505994139431061"},"content":"换只会暴跌,因为失去了专业性,世界混乱","text":"换只会暴跌,因为失去了专业性,世界混乱","html":"换只会暴跌,因为失去了专业性,世界混乱"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":425844870279624,"gmtCreate":1744989729085,"gmtModify":1744991746387,"author":{"id":"3549760817157884","authorId":"3549760817157884","name":"明日阳光888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32a4bc8245903a9d3c02aa8cdc7e19d9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3549760817157884","authorIdStr":"3549760817157884"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"若特朗普强行换掉鲍威尔,市场短期大概率大涨,但接下来面临更多的不确定性,走势难测。","listText":"若特朗普强行换掉鲍威尔,市场短期大概率大涨,但接下来面临更多的不确定性,走势难测。","text":"若特朗普强行换掉鲍威尔,市场短期大概率大涨,但接下来面临更多的不确定性,走势难测。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/425844870279624","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":449,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":425509646197496,"gmtCreate":1744893702358,"gmtModify":1744893704402,"author":{"id":"3549760817157884","authorId":"3549760817157884","name":"明日阳光888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32a4bc8245903a9d3c02aa8cdc7e19d9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3549760817157884","authorIdStr":"3549760817157884"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"静观其变,待价格走稳了再看,稳字当头","listText":"静观其变,待价格走稳了再看,稳字当头","text":"静观其变,待价格走稳了再看,稳字当头","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/425509646197496","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":111,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":425152821493776,"gmtCreate":1744806842405,"gmtModify":1744806844388,"author":{"id":"3549760817157884","authorId":"3549760817157884","name":"明日阳光888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32a4bc8245903a9d3c02aa8cdc7e19d9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3549760817157884","authorIdStr":"3549760817157884"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"预计收盘40","listText":"预计收盘40","text":"预计收盘40","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/425152821493776","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":115,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":425152299721568,"gmtCreate":1744806705197,"gmtModify":1744806707099,"author":{"id":"3549760817157884","authorId":"3549760817157884","name":"明日阳光888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32a4bc8245903a9d3c02aa8cdc7e19d9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3549760817157884","authorIdStr":"3549760817157884"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"小仓被套,现在做空挺好。跌得狠将来涨得快","listText":"小仓被套,现在做空挺好。跌得狠将来涨得快","text":"小仓被套,现在做空挺好。跌得狠将来涨得快","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/425152299721568","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":252,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":425151510991320,"gmtCreate":1744806681391,"gmtModify":1744806683625,"author":{"id":"3549760817157884","authorId":"3549760817157884","name":"明日阳光888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32a4bc8245903a9d3c02aa8cdc7e19d9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3549760817157884","authorIdStr":"3549760817157884"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"长期投资可以配置部分仓位黄金,美股等走好再入,美股跌下来是机会,长线看大部分会涨回来的。","listText":"长期投资可以配置部分仓位黄金,美股等走好再入,美股跌下来是机会,长线看大部分会涨回来的。","text":"长期投资可以配置部分仓位黄金,美股等走好再入,美股跌下来是机会,长线看大部分会涨回来的。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/425151510991320","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":245,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":425847144702664,"gmtCreate":1744989785356,"gmtModify":1744991749174,"author":{"id":"3549760817157884","authorId":"3549760817157884","name":"明日阳光888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32a4bc8245903a9d3c02aa8cdc7e19d9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3549760817157884","authorIdStr":"3549760817157884"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"若特朗普强行换掉鲍威尔,市场短期大概率大涨,但接下来面临更多的不确定性,走势难测。","listText":"若特朗普强行换掉鲍威尔,市场短期大概率大涨,但接下来面临更多的不确定性,走势难测。","text":"若特朗普强行换掉鲍威尔,市场短期大概率大涨,但接下来面临更多的不确定性,走势难测。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/425847144702664","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":612,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3505994139431061","authorId":"3505994139431061","name":"LinYuliang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4eb5f9abc5bd08f8be2e2d5f4d1a7998","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3505994139431061","authorIdStr":"3505994139431061"},"content":"换只会暴跌,因为失去了专业性,世界混乱","text":"换只会暴跌,因为失去了专业性,世界混乱","html":"换只会暴跌,因为失去了专业性,世界混乱"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":424713094500776,"gmtCreate":1744721945218,"gmtModify":1744721947760,"author":{"id":"3549760817157884","authorId":"3549760817157884","name":"明日阳光888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32a4bc8245903a9d3c02aa8cdc7e19d9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3549760817157884","authorIdStr":"3549760817157884"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"雷声大、雨点小,中概股回归,短期对中概冲击大,但长期对美国是<u>利</u>空","listText":"雷声大、雨点小,中概股回归,短期对中概冲击大,但长期对美国是<u>利</u>空","text":"雷声大、雨点小,中概股回归,短期对中概冲击大,但长期对美国是<u>利</u>空","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/424713094500776","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":300,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":391873321963608,"gmtCreate":1736678270078,"gmtModify":1736681200081,"author":{"id":"3549760817157884","authorId":"3549760817157884","name":"明日阳光888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32a4bc8245903a9d3c02aa8cdc7e19d9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3549760817157884","authorIdStr":"3549760817157884"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"欢迎对SOxx后势走势发表看法","listText":"欢迎对SOxx后势走势发表看法","text":"欢迎对SOxx后势走势发表看法","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/391873321963608","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1209,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"subType":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3463057643110414","authorId":"3463057643110414","name":"躺平躺到地狱了","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5631398706333ec0e71a2194d3b45cc","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3463057643110414","authorIdStr":"3463057643110414"},"content":"sOxx短钱看反弹,中线看震荡","text":"sOxx短钱看反弹,中线看震荡","html":"sOxx短钱看反弹,中线看震荡"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":424551717908584,"gmtCreate":1744659202886,"gmtModify":1744659204235,"author":{"id":"3549760817157884","authorId":"3549760817157884","name":"明日阳光888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32a4bc8245903a9d3c02aa8cdc7e19d9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3549760817157884","authorIdStr":"3549760817157884"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"不打新,观望","listText":"不打新,观望","text":"不打新,观望","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/424551717908584","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":26,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":424549333152584,"gmtCreate":1744659159259,"gmtModify":1744659160868,"author":{"id":"3549760817157884","authorId":"3549760817157884","name":"明日阳光888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32a4bc8245903a9d3c02aa8cdc7e19d9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3549760817157884","authorIdStr":"3549760817157884"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"17392","listText":"17392","text":"17392","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/424549333152584","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":45,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":424551595110952,"gmtCreate":1744659110940,"gmtModify":1744659113027,"author":{"id":"3549760817157884","authorId":"3549760817157884","name":"明日阳光888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32a4bc8245903a9d3c02aa8cdc7e19d9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3549760817157884","authorIdStr":"3549760817157884"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"芯片市场主要在中国,建厂不卖中国卖给谁。建厂是利空","listText":"芯片市场主要在中国,建厂不卖中国卖给谁。建厂是利空","text":"芯片市场主要在中国,建厂不卖中国卖给谁。建厂是利空","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/424551595110952","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":199,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":424549767082600,"gmtCreate":1744659003339,"gmtModify":1744659005428,"author":{"id":"3549760817157884","authorId":"3549760817157884","name":"明日阳光888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32a4bc8245903a9d3c02aa8cdc7e19d9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3549760817157884","authorIdStr":"3549760817157884"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"就算抄底也不要一次性太大仓位,因为不确定老川还会搞出什么花样","listText":"就算抄底也不要一次性太大仓位,因为不确定老川还会搞出什么花样","text":"就算抄底也不要一次性太大仓位,因为不确定老川还会搞出什么花样","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/424549767082600","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":108,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":423634427724128,"gmtCreate":1744445019819,"gmtModify":1744445021350,"author":{"id":"3549760817157884","authorId":"3549760817157884","name":"明日阳光888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32a4bc8245903a9d3c02aa8cdc7e19d9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3549760817157884","authorIdStr":"3549760817157884"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[666] [比心]","listText":"[666] [比心]","text":"[666] [比心]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/423634427724128","repostId":"423504165151608","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":423504165151608,"gmtCreate":1744413579538,"gmtModify":1744962261097,"author":{"id":"3463057643110414","authorId":"3463057643110414","name":"躺平躺到地狱了","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5631398706333ec0e71a2194d3b45cc","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3463057643110414","authorIdStr":"3463057643110414"},"themes":[],"title":"NQ100期指周涨7.65%大超预期。近期走势全无谱上下全看特朗普。加税不是目的,目的是以关税为要挟争取超额利益。贸易战是持久战但超高关税不会长久,大棒落下之日便是股市见底之时。周三除中加墨少数国家外关税暂停90天大盘暴涨12.31%,股市迎来政策底。观点:周一低点16460点与本轮大牛市江恩二分之一支撑位16467点接近,成为近期低点概率高。下周大盘振荡筑底大概率。本轮大牛市(22年10月最低10484.75点-24年12月最高22450点)江恩法则二分之一支撑位:16467点。本轮调整22450点-16460点,最多跌5990点,最大跌幅26.68%---NQ100期指本周复盘和下周预判","htmlText":"前言:(2025年4月6日星期日首次提出)美股暴跌下的长线投资机会:美股长期高高在上,短期暴跌或中期熊市泥沙俱下,为捡便宜货提供历史性的买入机会。本轮下跌和暴跌的直接原因是特上台后用关税大棒等政策组合拳挑起的贸易战,用行政的手段短期改变了当前的市场环境。美政府共和民主两党轮流坐庄,政策很难有长期性和长期持续性,特别是当下的逆全球化的贸易战,肯定也不会长久地持续下去。要问美股何时见底,个人认为:当下美行政政策(关税、贸易战等)转向之时,大概率便是美股见底之时,现在下跌得有多狠,将来涨起来就有多猛。这一天肯定会到来,不过时机需要耐心地等。 躺观大盘(NQ100期指) 一、消息面: (一) (二)国际宏观: 二、技术面: 1、均线 超短:5日均上,超短多头趋势。 短期:20日均下,20均向下,短期空头趋势。 中期:5周均下,20周均下,20周均向下,中期空头趋势。 长期:5月均下,20月均粘合(盘中破20月均下第1月),长期振荡趋势。25年3月涨跌幅:-7.15%。2024年涨跌幅:24.90%(东财小型纳指当月连续) 2、macd:日线死叉第8日、周线死叉、月线2025年3月25日已显死叉(月线死叉第1月)。(经验:日线金叉,20均上,20均走平或向上大概率会迎来一波上涨。经验:周线金叉行情往往更持久) 3、神奇9转(日线低9作用大):日线:无,周线:低8,月线:无。 4、SKDJ指标:日K值51左右,周线K值20左右。(日线调整中:SKDJ低位金叉特别是低位金叉底背离是判断短线见底的重要信号)(牛市中:周SKDJ高位横盘钝化是常态。周线、月级调整中:低位金叉在判断短线见底上有重要参考价值) 5、周期:起始于2022年10月份10484.75点的牛市至24年12月16日22450点历时27个月。本轮大牛市江恩法则二分之一支撑位:16467点。22450点以来的调整已","listText":"前言:(2025年4月6日星期日首次提出)美股暴跌下的长线投资机会:美股长期高高在上,短期暴跌或中期熊市泥沙俱下,为捡便宜货提供历史性的买入机会。本轮下跌和暴跌的直接原因是特上台后用关税大棒等政策组合拳挑起的贸易战,用行政的手段短期改变了当前的市场环境。美政府共和民主两党轮流坐庄,政策很难有长期性和长期持续性,特别是当下的逆全球化的贸易战,肯定也不会长久地持续下去。要问美股何时见底,个人认为:当下美行政政策(关税、贸易战等)转向之时,大概率便是美股见底之时,现在下跌得有多狠,将来涨起来就有多猛。这一天肯定会到来,不过时机需要耐心地等。 躺观大盘(NQ100期指) 一、消息面: (一) (二)国际宏观: 二、技术面: 1、均线 超短:5日均上,超短多头趋势。 短期:20日均下,20均向下,短期空头趋势。 中期:5周均下,20周均下,20周均向下,中期空头趋势。 长期:5月均下,20月均粘合(盘中破20月均下第1月),长期振荡趋势。25年3月涨跌幅:-7.15%。2024年涨跌幅:24.90%(东财小型纳指当月连续) 2、macd:日线死叉第8日、周线死叉、月线2025年3月25日已显死叉(月线死叉第1月)。(经验:日线金叉,20均上,20均走平或向上大概率会迎来一波上涨。经验:周线金叉行情往往更持久) 3、神奇9转(日线低9作用大):日线:无,周线:低8,月线:无。 4、SKDJ指标:日K值51左右,周线K值20左右。(日线调整中:SKDJ低位金叉特别是低位金叉底背离是判断短线见底的重要信号)(牛市中:周SKDJ高位横盘钝化是常态。周线、月级调整中:低位金叉在判断短线见底上有重要参考价值) 5、周期:起始于2022年10月份10484.75点的牛市至24年12月16日22450点历时27个月。本轮大牛市江恩法则二分之一支撑位:16467点。22450点以来的调整已","text":"前言:(2025年4月6日星期日首次提出)美股暴跌下的长线投资机会:美股长期高高在上,短期暴跌或中期熊市泥沙俱下,为捡便宜货提供历史性的买入机会。本轮下跌和暴跌的直接原因是特上台后用关税大棒等政策组合拳挑起的贸易战,用行政的手段短期改变了当前的市场环境。美政府共和民主两党轮流坐庄,政策很难有长期性和长期持续性,特别是当下的逆全球化的贸易战,肯定也不会长久地持续下去。要问美股何时见底,个人认为:当下美行政政策(关税、贸易战等)转向之时,大概率便是美股见底之时,现在下跌得有多狠,将来涨起来就有多猛。这一天肯定会到来,不过时机需要耐心地等。 躺观大盘(NQ100期指) 一、消息面: (一) (二)国际宏观: 二、技术面: 1、均线 超短:5日均上,超短多头趋势。 短期:20日均下,20均向下,短期空头趋势。 中期:5周均下,20周均下,20周均向下,中期空头趋势。 长期:5月均下,20月均粘合(盘中破20月均下第1月),长期振荡趋势。25年3月涨跌幅:-7.15%。2024年涨跌幅:24.90%(东财小型纳指当月连续) 2、macd:日线死叉第8日、周线死叉、月线2025年3月25日已显死叉(月线死叉第1月)。(经验:日线金叉,20均上,20均走平或向上大概率会迎来一波上涨。经验:周线金叉行情往往更持久) 3、神奇9转(日线低9作用大):日线:无,周线:低8,月线:无。 4、SKDJ指标:日K值51左右,周线K值20左右。(日线调整中:SKDJ低位金叉特别是低位金叉底背离是判断短线见底的重要信号)(牛市中:周SKDJ高位横盘钝化是常态。周线、月级调整中:低位金叉在判断短线见底上有重要参考价值) 5、周期:起始于2022年10月份10484.75点的牛市至24年12月16日22450点历时27个月。本轮大牛市江恩法则二分之一支撑位:16467点。22450点以来的调整已","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/423504165151608","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":217,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":418307386085400,"gmtCreate":1743167364598,"gmtModify":1743167366659,"author":{"id":"3549760817157884","authorId":"3549760817157884","name":"明日阳光888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32a4bc8245903a9d3c02aa8cdc7e19d9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3549760817157884","authorIdStr":"3549760817157884"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"没点常识,支撑特斯拉这么大pe的根本就不是电动车业务","listText":"没点常识,支撑特斯拉这么大pe的根本就不是电动车业务","text":"没点常识,支撑特斯拉这么大pe的根本就不是电动车业务","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/418307386085400","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":401,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":418307596874144,"gmtCreate":1743167302403,"gmtModify":1743167305042,"author":{"id":"3549760817157884","authorId":"3549760817157884","name":"明日阳光888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32a4bc8245903a9d3c02aa8cdc7e19d9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3549760817157884","authorIdStr":"3549760817157884"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"TTD不错,值得一抄,还有特斯拉也可以,现在很多股票价格都在低位了,正是下注的好时机[贱笑]","listText":"TTD不错,值得一抄,还有特斯拉也可以,现在很多股票价格都在低位了,正是下注的好时机[贱笑]","text":"TTD不错,值得一抄,还有特斯拉也可以,现在很多股票价格都在低位了,正是下注的好时机[贱笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/418307596874144","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":713,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":429347914399832,"gmtCreate":1745842736105,"gmtModify":1745845890126,"author":{"id":"3549760817157884","authorId":"3549760817157884","name":"明日阳光888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32a4bc8245903a9d3c02aa8cdc7e19d9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3549760817157884","authorIdStr":"3549760817157884"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"特朗普刚上台,感觉天王老子,他最大,一顿操作猛如虎,到头来发现自己是个250。杀敌1千自损800,看来还不止。关税贸易战有冰点回暖美股看反弹","listText":"特朗普刚上台,感觉天王老子,他最大,一顿操作猛如虎,到头来发现自己是个250。杀敌1千自损800,看来还不止。关税贸易战有冰点回暖美股看反弹","text":"特朗普刚上台,感觉天王老子,他最大,一顿操作猛如虎,到头来发现自己是个250。杀敌1千自损800,看来还不止。关税贸易战有冰点回暖美股看反弹","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/429347914399832","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":119,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":428475391750888,"gmtCreate":1745639213273,"gmtModify":1745639216227,"author":{"id":"3549760817157884","authorId":"3549760817157884","name":"明日阳光888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32a4bc8245903a9d3c02aa8cdc7e19d9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3549760817157884","authorIdStr":"3549760817157884"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"谷歌不错,可以上","listText":"谷歌不错,可以上","text":"谷歌不错,可以上","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/428475391750888","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":232,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":428232263410408,"gmtCreate":1745579855768,"gmtModify":1745579857691,"author":{"id":"3549760817157884","authorId":"3549760817157884","name":"明日阳光888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32a4bc8245903a9d3c02aa8cdc7e19d9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3549760817157884","authorIdStr":"3549760817157884"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"碰到一个各方面都合适的很难,不像年轻的时候容易冲动了。","listText":"碰到一个各方面都合适的很难,不像年轻的时候容易冲动了。","text":"碰到一个各方面都合适的很难,不像年轻的时候容易冲动了。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/428232263410408","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":378,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":428233975025672,"gmtCreate":1745579799743,"gmtModify":1745582101017,"author":{"id":"3549760817157884","authorId":"3549760817157884","name":"明日阳光888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32a4bc8245903a9d3c02aa8cdc7e19d9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3549760817157884","authorIdStr":"3549760817157884"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"两个都去跟股神学投资,跟疯子学投机","listText":"两个都去跟股神学投资,跟疯子学投机","text":"两个都去跟股神学投资,跟疯子学投机","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/428233975025672","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":249,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":427869436400328,"gmtCreate":1745480631915,"gmtModify":1745481546214,"author":{"id":"3549760817157884","authorId":"3549760817157884","name":"明日阳光888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32a4bc8245903a9d3c02aa8cdc7e19d9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3549760817157884","authorIdStr":"3549760817157884"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"前面低点很难再破,特朗普口风有变中美之间贸易战有缓和的趋势,本次下跌虽然有涨幅大账期长的原因,更主要的是人为造成的,即特朗普上台以后大搞贸易战,现在特朗普态度软化转变了,那么股市股市很难再破前低","listText":"前面低点很难再破,特朗普口风有变中美之间贸易战有缓和的趋势,本次下跌虽然有涨幅大账期长的原因,更主要的是人为造成的,即特朗普上台以后大搞贸易战,现在特朗普态度软化转变了,那么股市股市很难再破前低","text":"前面低点很难再破,特朗普口风有变中美之间贸易战有缓和的趋势,本次下跌虽然有涨幅大账期长的原因,更主要的是人为造成的,即特朗普上台以后大搞贸易战,现在特朗普态度软化转变了,那么股市股市很难再破前低","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/427869436400328","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":245,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":427866467868928,"gmtCreate":1745480436654,"gmtModify":1745481546711,"author":{"id":"3549760817157884","authorId":"3549760817157884","name":"明日阳光888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32a4bc8245903a9d3c02aa8cdc7e19d9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3549760817157884","authorIdStr":"3549760817157884"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"黄金当前涨幅大上涨时间长,有过一段调整之后还可以再看的。美股震荡筑底中,比特币更强势一些,但是横盘时间不太够高度也很难很高","listText":"黄金当前涨幅大上涨时间长,有过一段调整之后还可以再看的。美股震荡筑底中,比特币更强势一些,但是横盘时间不太够高度也很难很高","text":"黄金当前涨幅大上涨时间长,有过一段调整之后还可以再看的。美股震荡筑底中,比特币更强势一些,但是横盘时间不太够高度也很难很高","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/427866467868928","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":399,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":427867778167184,"gmtCreate":1745480326134,"gmtModify":1745480328436,"author":{"id":"3549760817157884","authorId":"3549760817157884","name":"明日阳光888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32a4bc8245903a9d3c02aa8cdc7e19d9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3549760817157884","authorIdStr":"3549760817157884"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我都不看好。科技含量低,想象空间不够。","listText":"我都不看好。科技含量低,想象空间不够。","text":"我都不看好。科技含量低,想象空间不够。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/427867778167184","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":143,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":427215389900848,"gmtCreate":1745324199447,"gmtModify":1745324201896,"author":{"id":"3549760817157884","authorId":"3549760817157884","name":"明日阳光888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32a4bc8245903a9d3c02aa8cdc7e19d9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3549760817157884","authorIdStr":"3549760817157884"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"“我们一定是前世作孽过多,再不就是来世享尽荣华,所以<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3553132940914627\"> @小小虎AAA </a>上帝才会使我们这一生历尽赎罪和磨炼的煎熬”<br>-《人间失格》<br>","listText":"“我们一定是前世作孽过多,再不就是来世享尽荣华,所以<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3553132940914627\"> @小小虎AAA </a>上帝才会使我们这一生历尽赎罪和磨炼的煎熬”<br>-《人间失格》<br>","text":"“我们一定是前世作孽过多,再不就是来世享尽荣华,所以 @小小虎AAA 上帝才会使我们这一生历尽赎罪和磨炼的煎熬”<br>-《人间失格》<br>","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/427215389900848","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":88,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":427215922057584,"gmtCreate":1745324108418,"gmtModify":1745324110386,"author":{"id":"3549760817157884","authorId":"3549760817157884","name":"明日阳光888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32a4bc8245903a9d3c02aa8cdc7e19d9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3549760817157884","authorIdStr":"3549760817157884"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"押跌","listText":"押跌","text":"押跌","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/427215922057584","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":117,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}