明日阳光888的个人主页 - 老虎社区

明日阳光888

明日阳光888

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IP属地：河北

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0勋章

明日阳光888

04-18

若特朗普强行换掉鲍威尔，市场短期大概率大涨，但接下来面临更多的不确定性，走势难测。

明日阳光888

04-15

雷声大、雨点小，中概股回归，短期对中概冲击大，但长期对美国是<u>利</u>空

明日阳光888

01-12

欢迎对SOxx后势走势发表看法

明日阳光888

04-15

不打新，观望

明日阳光888

04-15

17392

明日阳光888

04-15

芯片市场主要在中国，建厂不卖中国卖给谁。建厂是利空

明日阳光888

04-15

就算抄底也不要一次性太大仓位，因为不确定老川还会搞出什么花样

明日阳光888

04-12

[666] [比心]

@躺平躺到地狱了:NQ100期指周涨7.65%大超预期。近期走势全无谱上下全看特朗普。加税不是目的，目的是以关税为要挟争取超额利益。贸易战是持久战但超高关税不会长久，大棒落下之日便是股市见底之时。周三除中加墨少数国家外关税暂停90天大盘暴涨12.31%，股市迎来政策底。观点：周一低点16460点与本轮大牛市江恩二分之一支撑位16467点接近，成为近期低点概率高。下周大盘振荡筑底大概率。本轮大牛市（22年10月最低10484.75点-24年12月最高22450点）江恩法则二分之一支撑位：16467点。本轮调整22450点-16460点，最多跌5990点，最大跌幅26.68%---NQ100期指本周复盘和下周预判

明日阳光888

03-28

没点常识，支撑特斯拉这么大pe的根本就不是电动车业务

明日阳光888

03-28

TTD不错，值得一抄，还有特斯拉也可以，现在很多股票价格都在低位了，正是下注的好时机[贱笑]

明日阳光888

04-28 20:18

特朗普刚上台，感觉天王老子，他最大，一顿操作猛如虎，到头来发现自己是个250。杀敌1千自损800，看来还不止。关税贸易战有冰点回暖美股看反弹

明日阳光888

04-26

谷歌不错，可以上

明日阳光888

04-25

碰到一个各方面都合适的很难，不像年轻的时候容易冲动了。

明日阳光888

04-25

两个都去跟股神学投资，跟疯子学投机

明日阳光888

04-24

前面低点很难再破，特朗普口风有变中美之间贸易战有缓和的趋势，本次下跌虽然有涨幅大账期长的原因，更主要的是人为造成的，即特朗普上台以后大搞贸易战，现在特朗普态度软化转变了，那么股市股市很难再破前低

明日阳光888

04-24

黄金当前涨幅大上涨时间长，有过一段调整之后还可以再看的。美股震荡筑底中，比特币更强势一些，但是横盘时间不太够高度也很难很高

明日阳光888

04-24

我都不看好。科技含量低，想象空间不够。

明日阳光888

04-22

“我们一定是前世作孽过多，再不就是来世享尽荣华，所以 @小小虎AAA 上帝才会使我们这一生历尽赎罪和磨炼的煎熬”<br>-《人间失格》<br>

明日阳光888

04-22

押跌

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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躺观大盘（NQ100期指） 一、消息面、政策面： （一）美股夜盘： （二）昨夜今晨：美股收盘：市场观望情绪升温！道指收跌1.3%；礼来大涨14%，联合健康暴跌逾22%。美国WTI原油收高3.5%，创两周新高。现货黄金跌0.46%，COMEX黄金期货跌0.16% （三）国际宏观：特朗普几个月的密谋曝光：罢免鲍威尔剧本流出，接班人浮出水面。关税威胁拖累经济前景，欧洲央行如期降息25个基点。美国上周初请失业金人数小幅下降，就业市场保持稳定。 二、技术面： 1、均线 超短：5日均下，超短空头趋势。 短期：20日均下，20均向下，短期空头趋势。 中期：5周均下，20周均下，20周均向下，中期空头趋势。 长期：5月均下，20月均粘合（盘中破20月均下第1月），长期振荡趋势。25年3月涨跌幅：-7.15%。2024年涨跌幅：24.90%（东财小型纳指当月连续） 2、macd：日线金叉第4日、周线死叉、月线2025年3月25日已显死叉（月线死叉第1月）。（经验：日线金叉，20均上，20均走平或向上大概率会迎来一波上涨。经验：周线金叉行情往往更持久） 3、神奇9转：日线：无，周线：低9，","listText":"前言：（2025年4月6日星期日首次提出）美股暴跌下的长线投资机会：美股长期高高在上，短期暴跌或中期熊市泥沙俱下，为捡便宜货提供历史性的买入机会。本轮下跌和暴跌的直接原因是特上台后用关税大棒等政策组合拳挑起的贸易战，用行政的手段短期改变了当前的市场环境。美政府共和民主两党轮流坐庄，政策很难有长期性和长期持续性，特别是当下的逆全球化的贸易战，肯定也不会长久地持续下去。要问美股何时见底，个人认为：当下美行政政策（关税、贸易战等）转向之时，大概率便是美股见底之时，现在下跌得有多狠，将来涨起来就有多猛。这一天肯定会到来，不过时机需要耐心地等。策略上：收盘站稳20日均线可以做为短线见底信号，分批抄底试错。&nbsp; 躺观大盘（NQ100期指） 一、消息面、政策面： （一）美股夜盘： （二）昨夜今晨：美股收盘：市场观望情绪升温！道指收跌1.3%；礼来大涨14%，联合健康暴跌逾22%。美国WTI原油收高3.5%，创两周新高。现货黄金跌0.46%，COMEX黄金期货跌0.16% （三）国际宏观：特朗普几个月的密谋曝光：罢免鲍威尔剧本流出，接班人浮出水面。关税威胁拖累经济前景，欧洲央行如期降息25个基点。美国上周初请失业金人数小幅下降，就业市场保持稳定。 二、技术面： 1、均线 超短：5日均下，超短空头趋势。 短期：20日均下，20均向下，短期空头趋势。 中期：5周均下，20周均下，20周均向下，中期空头趋势。 长期：5月均下，20月均粘合（盘中破20月均下第1月），长期振荡趋势。25年3月涨跌幅：-7.15%。2024年涨跌幅：24.90%（东财小型纳指当月连续） 2、macd：日线金叉第4日、周线死叉、月线2025年3月25日已显死叉（月线死叉第1月）。（经验：日线金叉，20均上，20均走平或向上大概率会迎来一波上涨。经验：周线金叉行情往往更持久） 3、神奇9转：日线：无，周线：低9，","text":"前言：（2025年4月6日星期日首次提出）美股暴跌下的长线投资机会：美股长期高高在上，短期暴跌或中期熊市泥沙俱下，为捡便宜货提供历史性的买入机会。本轮下跌和暴跌的直接原因是特上台后用关税大棒等政策组合拳挑起的贸易战，用行政的手段短期改变了当前的市场环境。美政府共和民主两党轮流坐庄，政策很难有长期性和长期持续性，特别是当下的逆全球化的贸易战，肯定也不会长久地持续下去。要问美股何时见底，个人认为：当下美行政政策（关税、贸易战等）转向之时，大概率便是美股见底之时，现在下跌得有多狠，将来涨起来就有多猛。这一天肯定会到来，不过时机需要耐心地等。策略上：收盘站稳20日均线可以做为短线见底信号，分批抄底试错。 躺观大盘（NQ100期指） 一、消息面、政策面： （一）美股夜盘： （二）昨夜今晨：美股收盘：市场观望情绪升温！道指收跌1.3%；礼来大涨14%，联合健康暴跌逾22%。美国WTI原油收高3.5%，创两周新高。现货黄金跌0.46%，COMEX黄金期货跌0.16% （三）国际宏观：特朗普几个月的密谋曝光：罢免鲍威尔剧本流出，接班人浮出水面。关税威胁拖累经济前景，欧洲央行如期降息25个基点。美国上周初请失业金人数小幅下降，就业市场保持稳定。 二、技术面： 1、均线 超短：5日均下，超短空头趋势。 短期：20日均下，20均向下，短期空头趋势。 中期：5周均下，20周均下，20周均向下，中期空头趋势。 长期：5月均下，20月均粘合（盘中破20月均下第1月），长期振荡趋势。25年3月涨跌幅：-7.15%。2024年涨跌幅：24.90%（东财小型纳指当月连续） 2、macd：日线金叉第4日、周线死叉、月线2025年3月25日已显死叉（月线死叉第1月）。（经验：日线金叉，20均上，20均走平或向上大概率会迎来一波上涨。经验：周线金叉行情往往更持久） 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---友情提示：1、预测BTC非常不靠谱，稳定性准确性远不如NQ100期指；2、BTC24小时不间断交易，要时刻关注走势。3、市场龙头：MSTR（MSTX、MSTU），上涨趋势中MSTR比现货ETF更强。4、长期走势：当下行业逻辑不变前提下长期看好。5、月线大三浪最低49365，最高110150，最多涨：60785，最大涨幅：223.13%，二分之一处价格为：79757.5&nbsp; 躺观大饼（CME比特币期指）： 一、消息面： 二、技术面： 1、均线 超短：5日均上，超短多头趋势； 短期：20日均上，20均走平，短线多头趋势。 中期：5周均上，20周均下，20周均向下，中线空头趋势。长期：5月均下，20月均上，20月均向上，长期多头趋势。25年3月涨跌幅：-2.57%。） 2、macd：110150调整以来日线第2次金叉第5天、周线死叉第10周，绿柱持续缩短，月线金叉（24年10月25日周线首度金叉，走出了月线大三浪。期待下一次周线金叉） 3、周期： A：本轮大牛市（月线大三浪）：本轮牛市起点可以为2024年8月5日最低49365，最高至2025年1月21日110150，最多涨60785，最大涨幅：123.13%。 B:月线大3浪后的调整（也可认为月线大3浪中的调整）：12月17日108960--今。25年1月21日创出历史新高110150为假突破。25年4月7日调整以来最低74635，调整绝对幅度大概率到位：江恩法则支撑位：79757.5，本轮调整最低74635，接近月线大1浪顶部74415。 4、神奇9转（IBIT基金数据。日线低9作用大）：日线：无，周线：低9+1，月线：无（神奇9转指标在比特币上没有历史","listText":"---风险提示：比特币是虚拟货币，是当前特定历史条件下的产物，没有实物做价值备书和担保，一旦历史条件有变或行业逻辑有变，风险巨大。操作BTC一定要控仓位设止损。 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