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小小虎AAA

小小虎AAA

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12-14 13:47

[微笑]

@躺平躺到地狱了:黄金期指周五冲高回落涨0.39%周涨2.42%均超期。上周预判“继续维持强势振荡重心不断上移走势大概率”正确。4398见顶调整最低探至3901.3回踩10周均线后，沿10周均振荡上行，本轮调整调幅之小反弹之快大超期。观点：短中长线均为多头趋势，后市继续上涨大概率。短线压力4398，支撑5日均。中线支撑20日均。技术指标：短线看：5日均上，20日均上，多头趋势。中线看：5周均上，20周均上，多头趋势。长线看：5月均上，20月均上，多头趋势。黄金自2022年11月3日最低1618.3点以来一直处于大的上升通道中，没有见顶迹象，长期看涨--黄金期指本周复盘和下周预判

12-14 13:47

[强]

@躺平躺到地狱了:NQ100期指周五跌1.99%周跌2.07%均大大低期。周五大跌的直接原因是甲骨文后博通财报再次加剧了投资者对AI的焦虑。大跌的根本原因在于纳指连涨3年，4月-10月连涨7个月，人工智能炒得久涨得太高了，历史高位分歧加大。后市观点：短线看：周五长阴破20日均线，短线趋势转空，股指有2次探底构筑双底走势，重要支撑位年线。短线下跌又是低吸机会，跌得越狠机会越大。周级调整刚过，近期再次大级别调整小概率。调整结束标志：重新站稳20日均线。周线看：5周均粘，20周均上，中线多头趋势，继续慢牛走势大概率。月线看：5月均粘，20月均上，长线多头趋势---NQ100期指本周复盘和下周预判

12-14 13:47

[爱你]

@躺平躺到地狱了:NQ100期指周五跌1.99%周跌2.07%均大大低期。周五大跌的直接原因是甲骨文后博通财报再次加剧了投资者对AI的焦虑。大跌的根本原因在于纳指连涨3年，4月-10月连涨7个月，人工智能炒得久涨得太高了，历史高位分歧加大。后市观点：短线看：周五长阴破20日均线，短线趋势转空，股指有2次探底构筑双底走势，重要支撑位年线。短线下跌又是低吸机会，跌得越狠机会越大。周级调整刚过，近期再次大级别调整小概率。调整结束标志：重新站稳20日均线。周线看：5周均粘，20周均上，中线多头趋势，继续慢牛走势大概率。月线看：5月均粘，20月均上，长线多头趋势---NQ100期指本周复盘和下周预判

12-13 05:55

不看好继续涨，不确定因素比较多，更看看震荡。

12-13 05:55

圣诞行情大概率是没有了，因为一是年内涨幅太大了，二是因为目前处于周线级别调整中

12-12

大概率是五杀，因为甲骨文的是实力不用质疑，只不过是长的太高了

12-12

大A炒股有一定玄学，这是市场投机的表现

12-11

一个看题材，一个看业绩，我选后者

12-11

看好SpaceX明年上市，能助力特斯拉，能否大涨很难说

12-10

短期内可能震荡一阵子，长期肯定能上到200以上

12-10

甲骨文和普通我都看好

12-09

看目前这个样子大概率能够占到7千点以上

12-06

最看好谷歌，因为股神巴菲特都买了

12-06

机器人，特别是人形机器人是未来很长时间内的一个风口会反复炒作

12-06

看好五格和英伟达两家顶级公司的教练会相互竞争，相互促进

12-06

看好英伟达英伟达，在AI硬件领域的霸主地位很难撼动

12-03

很难大幅度降息

12-03

不支持做空特斯拉

12-03

学习忙，哥精神找到适合自己的投资道路稳定盈利的投资道录屏一直叫坚持下去

12-03

继续看涨白银

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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短期：20日均上，20均向上，短期多头趋势。 中期：5周均上，20周均上，20周均向上，中期多头趋势。 长期：5月均上，20月均上，长期多头趋势。25年11月涨跌幅：+6.05%。2024年涨跌幅：27.39%（东财数据） 2、macd：日线金叉（第12天）、周线金叉（第15周）、月线2023年3月以来持续金叉。（经验：日线金叉，20均上，20均走平或向上大概率会迎来一波上涨。经验：周线金叉行情往往更持久） 3、SKDJ指标：日K值73左右，周K值70左右。（日线调整中：SKDJ低位金叉特别是低位金叉底背离是判断短线见底的重要信号）（牛市中：周SKDJ高位横盘钝化是常态。周线、月级调整中：低位金叉在判断短线见底上有重要参考价值） 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一、消息面、政策面： （一）美股盘前： （二）昨夜今晨：美股收盘：三大指数集体收跌！芯片股普跌，博通重挫逾11%；大麻股走强，Tilray涨超44%。现货黄金本周累涨约2.5%，现货白银本周涨超6%。美国原油期货本周跌约4.4%，布伦特2月原油期货本周累跌超4.12%。 &nbsp;（三）国际宏观：特朗普倾向于让沃什或哈塞特担任美联储主席，希望一年后利率1%或更低。美联储两位反对降息官员释原因，古尔斯比对2026年降息前景乐观。日本央行加息信号再度释放：未来利率或超0.75%。 （四）公司新闻：担忧雪上加霜！甲骨文被爆部分数据中心推迟至2028年竣工，AI股大跌。 二、技术面： 1、均线 超短：5日均下 ，超短空头趋势。 短线：20日均下，20均走平，短线空头趋势。 中线：5周均粘，20周均上（第 周），20周均向上，中期多头趋势。 长线：5月均粘，20月均上，长期多头趋势。25年11月涨跌幅：-1.92%。2024年涨跌幅：24.90%（东财小型纳指当月连续） 2、macd：日线初金叉（第11日），周线死叉（第4周）、月线金叉（第7月）。（经验：日线金叉，20均上，20均走平或向上大概率会迎来一波上涨。经验：周线金叉行情往往更持久） 3、SKDJ指标：日K值69左右，周线K值57左右。（日线调整中：SKDJ低位金叉特别是低位金叉底背离是判断短线见底的重要信号）（牛市中：周SKDJ高位横盘钝化是常态。周线、月级调整中：低位金叉在判断短线见底上有重要参考价值） 4、神奇9转：日线：无，周线：无，月线：高7。 5、周期：本轮牛市：25年4月7日最低16460点--25年10月30日26399点，涨期近7个月，最大涨幅60.38%。第1次周级调整：25年10月30日26399点至10月21日最低23904.5点，最多跌2494.5点，最大跌幅9.44%","listText":"躺观大盘（NQ100期指） 一、消息面、政策面： （一）美股盘前： （二）昨夜今晨：美股收盘：三大指数集体收跌！芯片股普跌，博通重挫逾11%；大麻股走强，Tilray涨超44%。现货黄金本周累涨约2.5%，现货白银本周涨超6%。美国原油期货本周跌约4.4%，布伦特2月原油期货本周累跌超4.12%。 &nbsp;（三）国际宏观：特朗普倾向于让沃什或哈塞特担任美联储主席，希望一年后利率1%或更低。美联储两位反对降息官员释原因，古尔斯比对2026年降息前景乐观。日本央行加息信号再度释放：未来利率或超0.75%。 （四）公司新闻：担忧雪上加霜！甲骨文被爆部分数据中心推迟至2028年竣工，AI股大跌。 二、技术面： 1、均线 超短：5日均下 ，超短空头趋势。 短线：20日均下，20均走平，短线空头趋势。 中线：5周均粘，20周均上（第 周），20周均向上，中期多头趋势。 长线：5月均粘，20月均上，长期多头趋势。25年11月涨跌幅：-1.92%。2024年涨跌幅：24.90%（东财小型纳指当月连续） 2、macd：日线初金叉（第11日），周线死叉（第4周）、月线金叉（第7月）。（经验：日线金叉，20均上，20均走平或向上大概率会迎来一波上涨。经验：周线金叉行情往往更持久） 3、SKDJ指标：日K值69左右，周线K值57左右。（日线调整中：SKDJ低位金叉特别是低位金叉底背离是判断短线见底的重要信号）（牛市中：周SKDJ高位横盘钝化是常态。周线、月级调整中：低位金叉在判断短线见底上有重要参考价值） 4、神奇9转：日线：无，周线：无，月线：高7。 5、周期：本轮牛市：25年4月7日最低16460点--25年10月30日26399点，涨期近7个月，最大涨幅60.38%。第1次周级调整：25年10月30日26399点至10月21日最低23904.5点，最多跌2494.5点，最大跌幅9.44%","text":"躺观大盘（NQ100期指） 一、消息面、政策面： （一）美股盘前： （二）昨夜今晨：美股收盘：三大指数集体收跌！芯片股普跌，博通重挫逾11%；大麻股走强，Tilray涨超44%。现货黄金本周累涨约2.5%，现货白银本周涨超6%。美国原油期货本周跌约4.4%，布伦特2月原油期货本周累跌超4.12%。 （三）国际宏观：特朗普倾向于让沃什或哈塞特担任美联储主席，希望一年后利率1%或更低。美联储两位反对降息官员释原因，古尔斯比对2026年降息前景乐观。日本央行加息信号再度释放：未来利率或超0.75%。 （四）公司新闻：担忧雪上加霜！甲骨文被爆部分数据中心推迟至2028年竣工，AI股大跌。 二、技术面： 1、均线 超短：5日均下 ，超短空头趋势。 短线：20日均下，20均走平，短线空头趋势。 中线：5周均粘，20周均上（第 周），20周均向上，中期多头趋势。 长线：5月均粘，20月均上，长期多头趋势。25年11月涨跌幅：-1.92%。2024年涨跌幅：24.90%（东财小型纳指当月连续） 2、macd：日线初金叉（第11日），周线死叉（第4周）、月线金叉（第7月）。（经验：日线金叉，20均上，20均走平或向上大概率会迎来一波上涨。经验：周线金叉行情往往更持久） 3、SKDJ指标：日K值69左右，周线K值57左右。（日线调整中：SKDJ低位金叉特别是低位金叉底背离是判断短线见底的重要信号）（牛市中：周SKDJ高位横盘钝化是常态。周线、月级调整中：低位金叉在判断短线见底上有重要参考价值） 4、神奇9转：日线：无，周线：无，月线：高7。 5、周期：本轮牛市：25年4月7日最低16460点--25年10月30日26399点，涨期近7个月，最大涨幅60.38%。第1次周级调整：25年10月30日26399点至10月21日最低23904.5点，最多跌2494.5点，最大跌幅9.44%","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/510458108436488","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":510682313397096,"gmtCreate":1765691230819,"gmtModify":1765691232741,"author":{"id":"3553132940914627","authorId":"3553132940914627","name":"小小虎AAA","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7abfc59ca1cba0a8373455c9e9b3c58e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3553132940914627","authorIdStr":"3553132940914627"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[爱你]","listText":"[爱你]","text":"[爱你]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/510682313397096","repostId":"510458108436488","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":510458108436488,"gmtCreate":1765636407886,"gmtModify":1765731001521,"author":{"id":"3463057643110414","authorId":"3463057643110414","name":"躺平躺到地狱了","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5631398706333ec0e71a2194d3b45cc","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3463057643110414","authorIdStr":"3463057643110414"},"themes":[],"title":"NQ100期指周五跌1.99%周跌2.07%均大大低期。周五大跌的直接原因是甲骨文后博通财报再次加剧了投资者对AI的焦虑。大跌的根本原因在于纳指连涨3年，4月-10月连涨7个月，人工智能炒得久涨得太高了，历史高位分歧加大。后市观点：短线看：周五长阴破20日均线，短线趋势转空，股指有2次探底构筑双底走势，重要支撑位年线。短线下跌又是低吸机会，跌得越狠机会越大。周级调整刚过，近期再次大级别调整小概率。调整结束标志：重新站稳20日均线。周线看：5周均粘，20周均上，中线多头趋势，继续慢牛走势大概率。月线看：5月均粘，20月均上，长线多头趋势---NQ100期指本周复盘和下周预判","htmlText":"躺观大盘（NQ100期指） 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&nbsp;（三）国际宏观：特朗普倾向于让沃什或哈塞特担任美联储主席，希望一年后利率1%或更低。美联储两位反对降息官员释原因，古尔斯比对2026年降息前景乐观。日本央行加息信号再度释放：未来利率或超0.75%。 （四）公司新闻：担忧雪上加霜！甲骨文被爆部分数据中心推迟至2028年竣工，AI股大跌。 二、技术面： 1、均线 超短：5日均下 ，超短空头趋势。 短线：20日均下，20均走平，短线空头趋势。 中线：5周均粘，20周均上（第 周），20周均向上，中期多头趋势。 长线：5月均粘，20月均上，长期多头趋势。25年11月涨跌幅：-1.92%。2024年涨跌幅：24.90%（东财小型纳指当月连续） 2、macd：日线初金叉（第11日），周线死叉（第4周）、月线金叉（第7月）。（经验：日线金叉，20均上，20均走平或向上大概率会迎来一波上涨。经验：周线金叉行情往往更持久） 3、SKDJ指标：日K值69左右，周线K值57左右。（日线调整中：SKDJ低位金叉特别是低位金叉底背离是判断短线见底的重要信号）（牛市中：周SKDJ高位横盘钝化是常态。周线、月级调整中：低位金叉在判断短线见底上有重要参考价值） 4、神奇9转：日线：无，周线：无，月线：高7。 5、周期：本轮牛市：25年4月7日最低16460点--25年10月30日26399点，涨期近7个月，最大涨幅60.38%。第1次周级调整：25年10月30日26399点至10月21日最低23904.5点，最多跌2494.5点，最大跌幅9.44%","text":"躺观大盘（NQ100期指） 一、消息面、政策面： （一）美股盘前： （二）昨夜今晨：美股收盘：三大指数集体收跌！芯片股普跌，博通重挫逾11%；大麻股走强，Tilray涨超44%。现货黄金本周累涨约2.5%，现货白银本周涨超6%。美国原油期货本周跌约4.4%，布伦特2月原油期货本周累跌超4.12%。 （三）国际宏观：特朗普倾向于让沃什或哈塞特担任美联储主席，希望一年后利率1%或更低。美联储两位反对降息官员释原因，古尔斯比对2026年降息前景乐观。日本央行加息信号再度释放：未来利率或超0.75%。 （四）公司新闻：担忧雪上加霜！甲骨文被爆部分数据中心推迟至2028年竣工，AI股大跌。 二、技术面： 1、均线 超短：5日均下 ，超短空头趋势。 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预计走出整顿线路"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":435946861310224,"gmtCreate":1747468485650,"gmtModify":1747469869481,"author":{"id":"3553132940914627","authorId":"3553132940914627","name":"小小虎AAA","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7abfc59ca1cba0a8373455c9e9b3c58e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3553132940914627","idStr":"3553132940914627"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"周五盘后穆迪突然下调美国信用评级，美股盘后交易急跌，请你谈一谈下周纳指走势。","listText":"周五盘后穆迪突然下调美国信用评级，美股盘后交易急跌，请你谈一谈下周纳指走势。","text":"周五盘后穆迪突然下调美国信用评级，美股盘后交易急跌，请你谈一谈下周纳指走势。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":8,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/435946861310224","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2977,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"subType":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3498680662745699","authorId":"3498680662745699","name":"Mediator","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ccbee84d06c97c8ea354bff2e5c20b6d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"authorIdStr":"3498680662745699","idStr":"3498680662745699"},"content":"美债信用下降，价格走低，债券收益率走高，实质加息，配合现在纳指已从低位反弹接近前高，下周开始纳指会有1-2周左右技术回调，测试低点","text":"美债信用下降，价格走低，债券收益率走高，实质加息，配合现在纳指已从低位反弹接近前高，下周开始纳指会有1-2周左右技术回调，测试低点","html":"美债信用下降，价格走低，债券收益率走高，实质加息，配合现在纳指已从低位反弹接近前高，下周开始纳指会有1-2周左右技术回调，测试低点"},{"author":{"id":"3498680662745699","authorId":"3498680662745699","name":"Mediator","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ccbee84d06c97c8ea354bff2e5c20b6d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"authorIdStr":"3498680662745699","idStr":"3498680662745699"},"content":"长期的基本面来看，美债的信用下调，会导致永久性的实质加息，美股估值整体会受到一定压制，再加上关税贸易战还有巨大不确定性，后续操作应该偏向谨慎","text":"长期的基本面来看，美债的信用下调，会导致永久性的实质加息，美股估值整体会受到一定压制，再加上关税贸易战还有巨大不确定性，后续操作应该偏向谨慎","html":"长期的基本面来看，美债的信用下调，会导致永久性的实质加息，美股估值整体会受到一定压制，再加上关税贸易战还有巨大不确定性，后续操作应该偏向谨慎"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":446077624742320,"gmtCreate":1749911141217,"gmtModify":1749939953323,"author":{"id":"3553132940914627","authorId":"3553132940914627","name":"小小虎AAA","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7abfc59ca1cba0a8373455c9e9b3c58e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3553132940914627","idStr":"3553132940914627"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"比特币下周如何走，请谈谈你的看法","listText":"比特币下周如何走，请谈谈你的看法","text":"比特币下周如何走，请谈谈你的看法","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/446077624742320","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1848,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"subType":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3463057643110414","authorId":"3463057643110414","name":"躺平躺到地狱了","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5631398706333ec0e71a2194d3b45cc","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"authorIdStr":"3463057643110414","idStr":"3463057643110414"},"content":"BTC期指周五跌1.29%低期，周涨0.62%符期。解析：周一长阳站稳20日均形势大好，以伊黑天鹅影响连跌3日再回20均下。周线看：112345来调整是对74635-112345的调整，最低100815最多跌10.26%距二分之一93490不远，调整幅度基本到位；20日均经易得而复失说明调整时间和形态未到位，后市围绕5周均在112345和10周均间横盘振荡大概率，待5周10周均粘再择方向。不过短线失守20日均多头注意防守警惕深调。","text":"BTC期指周五跌1.29%低期，周涨0.62%符期。解析：周一长阳站稳20日均形势大好，以伊黑天鹅影响连跌3日再回20均下。周线看：112345来调整是对74635-112345的调整，最低100815最多跌10.26%距二分之一93490不远，调整幅度基本到位；20日均经易得而复失说明调整时间和形态未到位，后市围绕5周均在112345和10周均间横盘振荡大概率，待5周10周均粘再择方向。不过短线失守20日均多头注意防守警惕深调。","html":"BTC期指周五跌1.29%低期，周涨0.62%符期。解析：周一长阳站稳20日均形势大好，以伊黑天鹅影响连跌3日再回20均下。周线看：112345来调整是对74635-112345的调整，最低100815最多跌10.26%距二分之一93490不远，调整幅度基本到位；20日均经易得而复失说明调整时间和形态未到位，后市围绕5周均在112345和10周均间横盘振荡大概率，待5周10周均粘再择方向。不过短线失守20日均多头注意防守警惕深调。"},{"author":{"id":"3553113391523849","authorId":"3553113391523849","name":"苍穹之剑888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1116df09126afc8292cd7625a79d25cf","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3553113391523849","idStr":"3553113391523849"},"content":"比特币前波涨幅大，近期上攻意愿不强，下周看震荡","text":"比特币前波涨幅大，近期上攻意愿不强，下周看震荡","html":"比特币前波涨幅大，近期上攻意愿不强，下周看震荡"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":425855729205728,"gmtCreate":1744992126212,"gmtModify":1744992647529,"author":{"id":"3553132940914627","authorId":"3553132940914627","name":"小小虎AAA","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7abfc59ca1cba0a8373455c9e9b3c58e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3553132940914627","idStr":"3553132940914627"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"盛世古董，乱事黄金。黄金持续大涨，请发表对黄金后市走势看法。","listText":"盛世古董，乱事黄金。黄金持续大涨，请发表对黄金后市走势看法。","text":"盛世古董，乱事黄金。黄金持续大涨，请发表对黄金后市走势看法。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/425855729205728","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3067,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"subType":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3463057643110414","authorId":"3463057643110414","name":"躺平躺到地狱了","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5631398706333ec0e71a2194d3b45cc","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"authorIdStr":"3463057643110414","idStr":"3463057643110414"},"content":"黄金期指周三大涨3.41%大超预期，当前3335.8跌0.32%。短线：远离5日均有横盘要求，盘前小幅调整，周四横盘振荡大概率。牛不言顶高度难测，但涨期较长涨幅较大需警惕见顶。当下策略：5日均不破一路持有，破5日均要考虑回调风险。中线：5周均上，20周均上，中线多头趋势。长线：5月均上，20月均上，长线多头趋势。长期看涨，长期盈利概率99.99%。持续上涨原因：贸易战、波动率中高位、长期通胀预期飙升、美元指数走低、地缘政治不稳定、避险情绪高涨。技术面：短中长线均为多头趋势。本轮大牛市已2年6个月（22年11月最低1618.3元-盘前新高3371.9元）-","text":"黄金期指周三大涨3.41%大超预期，当前3335.8跌0.32%。短线：远离5日均有横盘要求，盘前小幅调整，周四横盘振荡大概率。牛不言顶高度难测，但涨期较长涨幅较大需警惕见顶。当下策略：5日均不破一路持有，破5日均要考虑回调风险。中线：5周均上，20周均上，中线多头趋势。长线：5月均上，20月均上，长线多头趋势。长期看涨，长期盈利概率99.99%。持续上涨原因：贸易战、波动率中高位、长期通胀预期飙升、美元指数走低、地缘政治不稳定、避险情绪高涨。技术面：短中长线均为多头趋势。本轮大牛市已2年6个月（22年11月最低1618.3元-盘前新高3371.9元）-","html":"黄金期指周三大涨3.41%大超预期，当前3335.8跌0.32%。短线：远离5日均有横盘要求，盘前小幅调整，周四横盘振荡大概率。牛不言顶高度难测，但涨期较长涨幅较大需警惕见顶。当下策略：5日均不破一路持有，破5日均要考虑回调风险。中线：5周均上，20周均上，中线多头趋势。长线：5月均上，20月均上，长线多头趋势。长期看涨，长期盈利概率99.99%。持续上涨原因：贸易战、波动率中高位、长期通胀预期飙升、美元指数走低、地缘政治不稳定、避险情绪高涨。技术面：短中长线均为多头趋势。本轮大牛市已2年6个月（22年11月最低1618.3元-盘前新高3371.9元）-"},{"author":{"id":"4143339876812550","authorId":"4143339876812550","name":"梦想快实现","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6252c86d7fff801bedad9705606644a7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"4143339876812550","idStr":"4143339876812550"},"content":"看涨，但要注意风险，美股见底之前，应该是黄金大幅调整之时","text":"看涨，但要注意风险，美股见底之前，应该是黄金大幅调整之时","html":"看涨，但要注意风险，美股见底之前，应该是黄金大幅调整之时"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":463349348077640,"gmtCreate":1754128527881,"gmtModify":1754129438905,"author":{"id":"3553132940914627","authorId":"3553132940914627","name":"小小虎AAA","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7abfc59ca1cba0a8373455c9e9b3c58e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3553132940914627","idStr":"3553132940914627"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"特朗普对等关税8月7号实施，七月非农数据不及预期，5月6月非农数据大幅下修，这两件事令市场极度承压极度恐慌，连续两日大幅下跌，请谈一谈下周纳指怎么走。","listText":"特朗普对等关税8月7号实施，七月非农数据不及预期，5月6月非农数据大幅下修，这两件事令市场极度承压极度恐慌，连续两日大幅下跌，请谈一谈下周纳指怎么走。","text":"特朗普对等关税8月7号实施，七月非农数据不及预期，5月6月非农数据大幅下修，这两件事令市场极度承压极度恐慌，连续两日大幅下跌，请谈一谈下周纳指怎么走。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/463349348077640","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2657,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"subType":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3463057643110414","authorId":"3463057643110414","name":"躺平躺到地狱了","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5631398706333ec0e71a2194d3b45cc","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"authorIdStr":"3463057643110414","idStr":"3463057643110414"},"content":"NQ100期指周五大跌2.12%，周跌2.42%均大低预期。解析：周四周五两根断头铡刀铡断了牛头，若不能快速收复20日均，将于25年4月7日以来首次迎来周级调整。暴跌直接原因有二：一是对等关税将于8月7日实施市场极度承压；二是7月非农不及预期，5月6月非农数据大幅下修彻底打破了“劳动力市场依旧强劲”的叙事，以前数据水份太大，经济衰退担忧骤起。深层原因有一：本波牛市涨期长涨幅大没有大级别调整严重超买，16460点-23845点涨幅44.92%涨期近4个月。当前策略：期指周五长阴跌破20日均线，短线转空，多头注意防守，静等止跌企稳信号：重新收回20日均线--NQ100期指本周复盘和下周预判","text":"NQ100期指周五大跌2.12%，周跌2.42%均大低预期。解析：周四周五两根断头铡刀铡断了牛头，若不能快速收复20日均，将于25年4月7日以来首次迎来周级调整。暴跌直接原因有二：一是对等关税将于8月7日实施市场极度承压；二是7月非农不及预期，5月6月非农数据大幅下修彻底打破了“劳动力市场依旧强劲”的叙事，以前数据水份太大，经济衰退担忧骤起。深层原因有一：本波牛市涨期长涨幅大没有大级别调整严重超买，16460点-23845点涨幅44.92%涨期近4个月。当前策略：期指周五长阴跌破20日均线，短线转空，多头注意防守，静等止跌企稳信号：重新收回20日均线--NQ100期指本周复盘和下周预判","html":"NQ100期指周五大跌2.12%，周跌2.42%均大低预期。解析：周四周五两根断头铡刀铡断了牛头，若不能快速收复20日均，将于25年4月7日以来首次迎来周级调整。暴跌直接原因有二：一是对等关税将于8月7日实施市场极度承压；二是7月非农不及预期，5月6月非农数据大幅下修彻底打破了“劳动力市场依旧强劲”的叙事，以前数据水份太大，经济衰退担忧骤起。深层原因有一：本波牛市涨期长涨幅大没有大级别调整严重超买，16460点-23845点涨幅44.92%涨期近4个月。当前策略：期指周五长阴跌破20日均线，短线转空，多头注意防守，静等止跌企稳信号：重新收回20日均线--NQ100期指本周复盘和下周预判"},{"author":{"id":"4091081187141150","authorId":"4091081187141150","name":"chirs996","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"4091081187141150","idStr":"4091081187141150"},"content":"5月6月绝对数据造假。为了降低关税影响。 7月看关税影响不大，直接不装了。","text":"5月6月绝对数据造假。为了降低关税影响。 7月看关税影响不大，直接不装了。","html":"5月6月绝对数据造假。为了降低关税影响。 7月看关税影响不大，直接不装了。"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":450881729814952,"gmtCreate":1751104076501,"gmtModify":1751109975046,"author":{"id":"3553132940914627","authorId":"3553132940914627","name":"小小虎AAA","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7abfc59ca1cba0a8373455c9e9b3c58e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3553132940914627","idStr":"3553132940914627"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"本周纳指受以色列伊朗停火利好刺激单边上扬，日线五连阳非常强势，请谈一谈下周纳指怎么走。（周日晚上发放虎币奖励）","listText":"本周纳指受以色列伊朗停火利好刺激单边上扬，日线五连阳非常强势，请谈一谈下周纳指怎么走。（周日晚上发放虎币奖励）","text":"本周纳指受以色列伊朗停火利好刺激单边上扬，日线五连阳非常强势，请谈一谈下周纳指怎么走。（周日晚上发放虎币奖励）","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/450881729814952","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2581,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"subType":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3463057643110414","authorId":"3463057643110414","name":"躺平躺到地狱了","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5631398706333ec0e71a2194d3b45cc","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"authorIdStr":"3463057643110414","idStr":"3463057643110414"},"content":"NQ100期指周五涨0.31%，日线5连阳，周涨3.96%均超期。解析：以伊停火是本周大涨主因，经济数据疲软强化降息预期是辅因。当前市场环境较好：地缘政治趋冷、关税战大体平稳、美加关税争端不会造成较大波动、市场情绪稳定、经济数据疲软强化降息预期、英伟达续刷历史新高。股指短中长技术指标均多头趋势。因此，股指依然是慢牛走势：短线沿5日均中线沿5周均振荡上行大概率。超短：5均上，多头趋势，支撑位5日均线。短线：20均上，多头趋势。中线：5周均上，20周均上（第7周），周线MACD金叉（第7周），多头趋势--NQ100期指本周复盘和下周预判","text":"NQ100期指周五涨0.31%，日线5连阳，周涨3.96%均超期。解析：以伊停火是本周大涨主因，经济数据疲软强化降息预期是辅因。当前市场环境较好：地缘政治趋冷、关税战大体平稳、美加关税争端不会造成较大波动、市场情绪稳定、经济数据疲软强化降息预期、英伟达续刷历史新高。股指短中长技术指标均多头趋势。因此，股指依然是慢牛走势：短线沿5日均中线沿5周均振荡上行大概率。超短：5均上，多头趋势，支撑位5日均线。短线：20均上，多头趋势。中线：5周均上，20周均上（第7周），周线MACD金叉（第7周），多头趋势--NQ100期指本周复盘和下周预判","html":"NQ100期指周五涨0.31%，日线5连阳，周涨3.96%均超期。解析：以伊停火是本周大涨主因，经济数据疲软强化降息预期是辅因。当前市场环境较好：地缘政治趋冷、关税战大体平稳、美加关税争端不会造成较大波动、市场情绪稳定、经济数据疲软强化降息预期、英伟达续刷历史新高。股指短中长技术指标均多头趋势。因此，股指依然是慢牛走势：短线沿5日均中线沿5周均振荡上行大概率。超短：5均上，多头趋势，支撑位5日均线。短线：20均上，多头趋势。中线：5周均上，20周均上（第7周），周线MACD金叉（第7周），多头趋势--NQ100期指本周复盘和下周预判"},{"author":{"id":"3553113391523849","authorId":"3553113391523849","name":"苍穹之剑888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1116df09126afc8292cd7625a79d25cf","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3553113391523849","idStr":"3553113391523849"},"content":"纳指日线五连阳，处于慢牛走势中，后市继续看涨，回调即低吸机会。","text":"纳指日线五连阳，处于慢牛走势中，后市继续看涨，回调即低吸机会。","html":"纳指日线五连阳，处于慢牛走势中，后市继续看涨，回调即低吸机会。"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":470666902839592,"gmtCreate":1755940523449,"gmtModify":1755945898461,"author":{"id":"3553132940914627","authorId":"3553132940914627","name":"小小虎AAA","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7abfc59ca1cba0a8373455c9e9b3c58e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3553132940914627","idStr":"3553132940914627"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"周五受鲍讲话转鸽刺激美股大涨，本周NQ期指探底回升，下周纳指怎么走，请谈一谈你的看法。","listText":"周五受鲍讲话转鸽刺激美股大涨，本周NQ期指探底回升，下周纳指怎么走，请谈一谈你的看法。","text":"周五受鲍讲话转鸽刺激美股大涨，本周NQ期指探底回升，下周纳指怎么走，请谈一谈你的看法。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/470666902839592","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2982,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"subType":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3459462368857793","authorId":"3459462368857793","name":"一路走来cd","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be085af43e85927a88d1e952e6e9afec","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"authorIdStr":"3459462368857793","idStr":"3459462368857793"},"content":"这个位置应该还需要一段时间调整，等等指标走顺。如果继续冲高，后面应该还是会回落。","text":"这个位置应该还需要一段时间调整，等等指标走顺。如果继续冲高，后面应该还是会回落。","html":"这个位置应该还需要一段时间调整，等等指标走顺。如果继续冲高，后面应该还是会回落。"},{"author":{"id":"3463057643110414","authorId":"3463057643110414","name":"躺平躺到地狱了","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5631398706333ec0e71a2194d3b45cc","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"authorIdStr":"3463057643110414","idStr":"3463057643110414"},"content":"NQ100期指周五涨1.56%大超预期，周跌0.97%符期。解析：在特超高关税威胁下，前四日半导体和科技股持续调整；周五鲍威尔鸽派转向引爆市场，周收长下影线小阴线。日线上看：8月1日低点和8月20日低点有构筑日线双底趋势。周线上看：本周最低回踩到10周均线。政策面上：周五鲍讲话另市场对降息信心大增。综上：个人认为期指调整大概率到位，降息预期升温有助于市场走高，后市继续横盘振荡或慢牛走势大概率。技术面：超短：5日均上，多头趋势；短线：20日均上，多头趋势；中线：5周均粘 ，20周均上（第15周），周线MACD金叉（第15周），多头趋势，中线慢牛走势大概率--NQ100期指本周复盘和下周预判","text":"NQ100期指周五涨1.56%大超预期，周跌0.97%符期。解析：在特超高关税威胁下，前四日半导体和科技股持续调整；周五鲍威尔鸽派转向引爆市场，周收长下影线小阴线。日线上看：8月1日低点和8月20日低点有构筑日线双底趋势。周线上看：本周最低回踩到10周均线。政策面上：周五鲍讲话另市场对降息信心大增。综上：个人认为期指调整大概率到位，降息预期升温有助于市场走高，后市继续横盘振荡或慢牛走势大概率。技术面：超短：5日均上，多头趋势；短线：20日均上，多头趋势；中线：5周均粘 ，20周均上（第15周），周线MACD金叉（第15周），多头趋势，中线慢牛走势大概率--NQ100期指本周复盘和下周预判","html":"NQ100期指周五涨1.56%大超预期，周跌0.97%符期。解析：在特超高关税威胁下，前四日半导体和科技股持续调整；周五鲍威尔鸽派转向引爆市场，周收长下影线小阴线。日线上看：8月1日低点和8月20日低点有构筑日线双底趋势。周线上看：本周最低回踩到10周均线。政策面上：周五鲍讲话另市场对降息信心大增。综上：个人认为期指调整大概率到位，降息预期升温有助于市场走高，后市继续横盘振荡或慢牛走势大概率。技术面：超短：5日均上，多头趋势；短线：20日均上，多头趋势；中线：5周均粘 ，20周均上（第15周），周线MACD金叉（第15周），多头趋势，中线慢牛走势大概率--NQ100期指本周复盘和下周预判"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":468263082115224,"gmtCreate":1755350789717,"gmtModify":1755353663528,"author":{"id":"3553132940914627","authorId":"3553132940914627","name":"小小虎AAA","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7abfc59ca1cba0a8373455c9e9b3c58e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3553132940914627","idStr":"3553132940914627"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"本周NQ期指先扬后抑，后三个交易三连阴，下周纳指怎么走，请谈一谈你的看法。","listText":"本周NQ期指先扬后抑，后三个交易三连阴，下周纳指怎么走，请谈一谈你的看法。","text":"本周NQ期指先扬后抑，后三个交易三连阴，下周纳指怎么走，请谈一谈你的看法。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/468263082115224","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2337,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"subType":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3463057643110414","authorId":"3463057643110414","name":"躺平躺到地狱了","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5631398706333ec0e71a2194d3b45cc","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"authorIdStr":"3463057643110414","idStr":"3463057643110414"},"content":"NQ100期指周五跌0.56%略低期，周0.13%符期。解析：特朗半导体关税威胁芯片板块大跌、消费者信心指数下滑叠加周未效应造成周五继续调整，破5日均线。本周收涨0.13%基本符合预期。近期消息面基本平静，经济数据忧参半，VIX低中位运行，市场情绪基本稳定，MACD日周月线金叉共振，短线调整后继续慢牛走势大概率，支撑位10日均。技术面：超短：5日均下，空头趋势；短线：日线MACD金叉（第5天），20日均上，多头趋势；中线：5周均上 ，20周均上（第14周），周线MACD金叉（第14周），多头趋势，中线慢牛走势大概率--NQ100期指本周复盘和下周预判","text":"NQ100期指周五跌0.56%略低期，周0.13%符期。解析：特朗半导体关税威胁芯片板块大跌、消费者信心指数下滑叠加周未效应造成周五继续调整，破5日均线。本周收涨0.13%基本符合预期。近期消息面基本平静，经济数据忧参半，VIX低中位运行，市场情绪基本稳定，MACD日周月线金叉共振，短线调整后继续慢牛走势大概率，支撑位10日均。技术面：超短：5日均下，空头趋势；短线：日线MACD金叉（第5天），20日均上，多头趋势；中线：5周均上 ，20周均上（第14周），周线MACD金叉（第14周），多头趋势，中线慢牛走势大概率--NQ100期指本周复盘和下周预判","html":"NQ100期指周五跌0.56%略低期，周0.13%符期。解析：特朗半导体关税威胁芯片板块大跌、消费者信心指数下滑叠加周未效应造成周五继续调整，破5日均线。本周收涨0.13%基本符合预期。近期消息面基本平静，经济数据忧参半，VIX低中位运行，市场情绪基本稳定，MACD日周月线金叉共振，短线调整后继续慢牛走势大概率，支撑位10日均。技术面：超短：5日均下，空头趋势；短线：日线MACD金叉（第5天），20日均上，多头趋势；中线：5周均上 ，20周均上（第14周），周线MACD金叉（第14周），多头趋势，中线慢牛走势大概率--NQ100期指本周复盘和下周预判"},{"author":{"id":"3459462368857793","authorId":"3459462368857793","name":"一路走来cd","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be085af43e85927a88d1e952e6e9afec","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"authorIdStr":"3459462368857793","idStr":"3459462368857793"},"content":"需要调整下，整理队伍再出发。 近期要么冲高回落震荡，也有可能小步温和调整。修正指标","text":"需要调整下，整理队伍再出发。 近期要么冲高回落震荡，也有可能小步温和调整。修正指标","html":"需要调整下，整理队伍再出发。 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