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Hminnnn

Hminnnn

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2021-06-25

[Smile]

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-23

[Cool] [Cool]

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-23

[Miser] [Miser]

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-21

Apple!!!

Apple: Winter Is Coming<blockquote>苹果：冬天来了</blockquote>

2021-06-18

[Smile]

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-15

[Onlooker] [Onlooker] [Onlooker]

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-15

[Miser] [Miser] [Miser]

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-05-21

[Cool] [Cool] [Cool]

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-05-20

[Miser] [Miser] [Miser] [Miser] [Miser]

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-05-06

[Miser] [Miser] [Miser] [Miser]

PayPal CEO touts ‘next generation digital wallet’ after earnings beat<blockquote>PayPal首席执行官在盈利超出预期后吹捧“下一代数字钱包”</blockquote>

2021-05-06

[Happy] [Happy] [Happy]

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-04-30

Huats [Happy] [Happy] [Happy] [Happy] [Happy] [Happy] [Happy] [Happy] [Happy] [Happy] [Happy]

Apple rose nearly 3% in premarket trading<blockquote>苹果盘前交易涨近3%</blockquote>

2021-04-30

Oooooo faceboooooooo [Happy] [Happy]

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-04-28

Apple! [Serious] [Serious] [Serious]

Apple Could Blow the Top Off Earnings—Again. What That Would Mean for the Stock.<blockquote>苹果的盈利可能会再次飙升。这对股票意味着什么。</blockquote>

2021-04-23

[Smile] [Smile]

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-04-23

[Serious] [Serious]

Why crypto stocks tumbled in premarket trading<blockquote>为什么加密货币股票在盘前交易中暴跌</blockquote>

2021-04-23

[Smile] [Smile] [Smile]

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-04-12

[开心] [开心] [开心]

2021-03-31

Oh man

Japan's factory output falls, hit by quake, chips shortage<blockquote>日本工厂产量下降，受地震影响，芯片短缺</blockquote>

2021-03-31

[可爱] [可爱] [可爱] [可爱]

抱歉，原内容已删除

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[Cool]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/123150883","repostId":"2145066030","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1492,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":129542105,"gmtCreate":1624378862507,"gmtModify":1634006966677,"author":{"id":"3568609081739898","authorId":"3568609081739898","name":"Hminnnn","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ade2868ed76324c40090eda06ebd0e32","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3568609081739898","idStr":"3568609081739898"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Miser]&nbsp;[Miser]&nbsp;","listText":"[Miser]&nbsp;[Miser]&nbsp;","text":"[Miser] [Miser]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/129542105","repostId":"1186919064","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1050,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":167812804,"gmtCreate":1624258220008,"gmtModify":1634008769593,"author":{"id":"3568609081739898","authorId":"3568609081739898","name":"Hminnnn","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ade2868ed76324c40090eda06ebd0e32","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3568609081739898","idStr":"3568609081739898"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Apple!!!","listText":"Apple!!!","text":"Apple!!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/167812804","repostId":"1175906479","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1175906479","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624242000,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1175906479?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-21 10:20","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple: Winter Is Coming<blockquote>苹果：冬天来了</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1175906479","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Apple's stock has rallied 449% in the last five years, outperforming the 102% rise in the S&P 500 over the same period.I initiate Apple with a Neutral rating and a fair value of $111.42/share .In the enterprise market, customers across many industries are accelerating their adoption of iPhone 12 and 5G as a key platform for the future of their business. Delta Airlines, for example, is putting iPhone 12 and 5G connectivity into the hands of flight attendants so they can provide the best passenger","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Apple's stock has rallied 449% in the last five years, outperforming the 102% rise in the S&amp;P 500 over the same period.</li>  <li>I initiate Apple with a Neutral rating and a fair value of $111.42/share (vs. the current price of $131.7/share).</li>  <li>From the technical analysis point of view, the stock price is following its ascending triangle pattern and it is heading to the price target of $137/share.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a4dc5052119e6bbc5b693cf7385d8738\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Michael M. Santiago/Getty Images NewsCompany Overview</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>苹果股价在过去五年中上涨了449%，跑赢了标普500同期102%的涨幅。</li><li>我给予苹果中性评级，公允价值为111.42美元/股（当前价格为131.7美元/股）。</li><li>从技术分析角度来看，股价正遵循上升三角形形态，正向137美元/股的目标价迈进。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Michael M.Santiago/Getty Images新闻公司概述</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Apple Inc (AAPL) stock has rallied 449% in the last five years, outperforming the 102% rise in the S&amp;P 500 over the same period. An outstanding return supported by underlying fundamentals. In particular, I would like to start the analysis with the latter.</p><p><blockquote>苹果公司(AAPL)股价在过去五年中上涨了449%，跑赢了标普500同期102%的涨幅。由基本面支持的出色回报。我特别想从后者开始分析。</blockquote></p><p> Over the last two decades, the dominant driver of Apple's success has been the iPhone. In 2016, iPhones accounted for 63% of total sales. This was a problem for Apple, and they knew it. The problem existed due to two main factors: first, the smartphone business was mature (with low growth rates); second, it was (and it is) a highly competitive business. However, Apple had something other competitors didn't have, a big iPhone owner base (which allows to sell more services for instance). Through the years Apple has been able to effectively diversify its revenue stream and it currently presents the structure represented below.</p><p><blockquote>在过去的二十年里，苹果成功的主要驱动力一直是iPhone。2016年，iPhone占总销量的63%。这对苹果来说是个问题，他们知道这一点。这个问题的存在主要有两个因素：第一，智能手机业务已经成熟（增长率较低）；其次，它过去是（现在也是）一个竞争激烈的行业。然而，苹果拥有其他竞争对手所没有的东西，即庞大的iPhone用户群（例如，这允许销售更多服务）。多年来，苹果一直能够有效地实现其收入来源多元化，目前的结构如下所示。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4602be0c6fa92191baf04a7496c4e024\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"363\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者使用最新10-K报告数据进行的估计</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Let's now take a look at each of these segments:</p><p><blockquote>现在让我们来看看这些部分：</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. iPhone</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.iPhone</b></blockquote></p><p> From 2016 to 2020, the iPhone segment grew at a CAGR of 0.20% and it changed from representing 63.4% (2016) of total sales to 51% (\"TTM\"). I present below the growth rate for the iPhone segment over the last 5 years (2016-TTM).</p><p><blockquote>自2016年至2020年，iPhone分部的复合年增长率为0.20%，并由佔总销售额的63.4%（2016年）变为51%（“TTM”）。我在下面展示了iPhone细分市场在过去5年（2016-TTM）的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/916b48499e3e3ed2c0c167af3ba62bdb\" tg-width=\"607\" tg-height=\"363\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Author's estimates using data from the latest10-K report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者使用最新10-K报告的数据进行的估计</span></p></blockquote></p><p> So far this year the iPhone segment is showing a growth rate of 18.5% TTM, fueled by the new family of iPhone12 with 5G capabilities, and with interesting data coming from China. I believe that the transition to 5G will be the main driver of the growth in this segment. In this manner, I would like to report a piece of the transcript from theQ2 earnings call.</p><p><blockquote>今年到目前为止，在具有5G功能的新iPhone12系列以及来自中国的有趣数据的推动下，iPhone细分市场的TTM增长率为18.5%。我相信向5G的过渡将是该细分市场增长的主要驱动力。我想以这种方式报告第二季度收益看涨期权的一段文字记录。</blockquote></p><p>   <i>In the enterprise market, customers across many industries are accelerating their adoption of iPhone 12 and 5G as a key platform for the future of their business. Delta Airlines, for example, is putting iPhone 12 and 5G connectivity into the hands of flight attendants so they can provide the best passenger service possible as air travel rebounds.Openreach in the U.K. has started equipping tens of thousands of field engineers with iPhone 12 to speed up their deployment of broadband services to homes around the country. And UCHealth, a large health care provider in Colorado, was able to reduce per patient vaccination time from 3 minutes to only 30 seconds largely by moving from PC stations to iPhones. This has allowed their staff to rapidly scan and register new patients and vastly increase their daily vaccination capacity.</i>  <b>2. iPad</b></p><p><blockquote><i>在企业市场，许多行业的客户都在加速采用iPhone 12和5G，将其作为未来业务的关键平台。例如，达美航空正在将iPhone 12和5G连接交给空乘人员，以便他们能够在航空旅行反弹时提供尽可能最好的乘客服务。英国的Openreach已开始为数万名现场工程师配备iPhone 12加快向全国家庭部署宽带服务。科罗拉多州的一家大型医疗保健提供商UCHealth能够将每位患者的疫苗接种时间从3分钟减少到30秒，这主要是通过从PC工作站转移到iPhone。这使得他们的工作人员能够快速扫描和登记新患者，并大大提高他们的日常疫苗接种能力。</i><b>2.iPad</b></blockquote></p><p> As it was in the past, the iPad segment is more or less a constant number as a % of total sales, 9.6% in 2016 vs 9.1% TTM. From 2016 to 2020, the iPad segment grew at a CAGR of 3.56% (with an improving overall trend). I present below the growth rate for the iPad segment over the last 5 years (2016-TTM).</p><p><blockquote>与过去一样，iPad细分市场占总销售额的百分比或多或少是一个恒定的数字，2016年为9.6%，而TTM为9.1%。从2016年到2020年，iPad细分市场的CAGR增长率为3.56%（整体趋势有所改善）。我在下面展示了iPad细分市场在过去5年（2016-TTM）的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6faf9ddb8d29d662fcaa46bbda862f48\" tg-width=\"616\" tg-height=\"360\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者使用最新10-K报告数据进行的估计</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The TTM numbers show us an interesting picture with a growth rate of 24.9% TTM for the iPad segment which are driven by 3 factors: the M1 chip, the new 5G capabilities, and the fact that we were all at home. I see a lot of ways in which this new generation of iPads can be implemented. However, I also have to admit that there is a big player swimming in the same sea, the new 2-1 Laptops. The new 2-1 Laptops are a very interesting solution for those looking to have the best of the two worlds. In this last view, the iPad segment may represent a lower % of total sales, around 7.8% (vs current 9.1%).</p><p><blockquote>TTM数据向我们展示了一幅有趣的画面，iPad细分市场的TTM增长率为24.9%，这是由三个因素推动的：M1芯片、新的5G功能以及我们都在家的事实。我看到了很多实现新一代iPads的方法。不过，我也不得不承认，还有一个大玩家在同一个海里游泳，那就是新的2-1笔记本电脑。对于那些希望两全其美的人来说，新的2-1笔记本电脑是一个非常有趣的解决方案。在最后一种观点中，iPad细分市场占总销售额的比例可能较低，约为7.8%（目前为9.1%）。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Mac</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.三月</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> From 2016 to 2020, the Mac segment grew at a CAGR of 5.81%, and also here, as it is for the iPad segment, the Mac segment represents a more or less constant number as % of total sales 10.6% in 2016 vs 10.4% TTM. I present below the growth rate for the Mac segment over the last 5 years (2016-TTM).</p><p><blockquote>从2016年到2020年，Mac细分市场的CAGR增长率为5.81%，与iPad细分市场一样，Mac细分市场在2016年占总销售额的比例为10.6%，而TTM为10.4%。我在下面介绍了过去5年（2016-TTM）Mac细分市场的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2494d89c1d5cd70a4cf0c5fb31fb20a\" tg-width=\"614\" tg-height=\"363\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者使用最新10-K报告数据进行的估计</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The generation of new Macs powered by the M1 chip seems to be appreciated by the customers, in fact, the Mac segment presents a growth rate of 18.4% TTM so far this year. I personally tried this new generation of Macs and I have to admit, Apple knows very well how to delight its customers. Personal PCs are a highly competitive market and, even if I like and I use Apple products, I prefer to work with a Lenovo.</p><p><blockquote>采用M1芯片的新一代Mac似乎受到了客户的赞赏，事实上，今年迄今为止，Mac细分市场的TTM增长率为18.4%。我亲自尝试了这款新一代MAC电脑，我不得不承认，苹果非常知道如何取悦顾客。个人电脑是一个竞争激烈的市场，即使我喜欢并使用苹果产品，我也更喜欢与联想合作。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4. Wearables, Home, and Accessories (WH&amp;A)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4.可穿戴设备、家居和配件（WH&amp;A）</b></blockquote></p><p> The Wearables, Home, and Accessories segment includes sales of AirPods, Apple TV, Apple Watch, Beats products, HomePod, etc. This is where it gets interesting. From 2016 to 2020, the WH&amp;A segment grew at a CAGR of 28.78%, and it changed from representing only 5.2% of total sales in 2016 to represent 10.8% TTM. I present below the growth rate for the WH&amp;A segment over the last 5 years (2016-TTM).</p><p><blockquote>可穿戴设备、家居和配件部门包括AirPods、苹果电视、苹果手表、Beats产品、HomePod等的销售。这就是有趣的地方。从2016年到2020年，WH&amp;A分部的复合年增长率为28.78%，从2016年仅占总销售额的5.2%变为占TTM的10.8%。我在下面列出了过去5年（2016-TTM）WH&amp;A细分市场的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e16432a1ae66aa9dda7a4f969a9cfcdf\" tg-width=\"607\" tg-height=\"357\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者使用最新10-K报告数据进行的估计</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The WH&amp;A segment is showing a growth rate of 14.7% TTM driven by a strong performance from both Apple Watch Series 6 and Apple Watch SE. Apple Watch may have a very bright future in the years ahead, driven by Apple entering into the healthcare market. In fact, it can be used to monitor the health status of the person. Imagine you being close to having a heart attack, your Apple Watch may call an ambulance and save your life, not bad no? Finally, let's don't forget also the launch of Apple TV 4K and of the newest accessory, AirTag (I don't see a market for the latter, but I may be wrong).</p><p><blockquote>在苹果手表系列6和苹果手表SE的强劲表现的推动下，WH&amp;A细分市场的TTM增长率为14.7%。在苹果进入医疗保健市场的推动下，苹果观察在未来几年可能会有一个非常光明的未来。事实上，它可以用来监测人的健康状况。想象一下，你即将心脏病发作，你的苹果手表可能会看涨期权一辆救护车并挽救你的生命，不错不是吗？最后，我们不要忘记苹果电视4K和最新配件AirTag的推出（我没有看到后者的市场，但我可能是错的）。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5. Services</b></p><p><blockquote><b>5.服务</b></blockquote></p><p> Services include sales from the Company’s advertising, AppleCare, digital content, and other services. From 2016 to 2020, the Services segment grew at a CAGR of 21.9% and it changed from representing 11.3% of total sales in 2016 to represent 18.6% TTM. I present below the growth rate for the Services segment over the last 5 years (2016-TTM).</p><p><blockquote>服务包括公司广告、AppleCare、数字内容和其他服务的销售。于二零一六年至二零二零年，服务分部的复合年增长率为21.9%，并由二零一六年佔总销售额的11.3%变为佔TTM的18.6%。我在下面列出了过去5年（2016-TTM）服务部门的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af34eb1ba8fffd690a75318f8cf805f7\" tg-width=\"610\" tg-height=\"363\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者使用最新10-K报告数据进行的估计</span></p></blockquote></p><p> To date, the Services segment is showing a growth rate of 12.3% TTM. The growth is driven by App Store, Cloud Services, Music, Advertising, and Payment Services. The new services, Apple TV+, Apple Arcade, Apple News+, and Apple Card, are also starting to contribute to overall services growth, and continue to add users, content, and features. I believe that in the future, the Services segment will be the company's dominant segment. Below I present an interesting part I extrapolated from theQ4 earnings call.</p><p><blockquote>迄今为止，服务部门的TTM增长率为12.3%。这一增长是由应用商店、云服务、音乐、广告和支付服务推动的。苹果TV+、苹果街机、苹果新闻+和苹果卡等新服务也开始为整体服务增长做出贡献，并继续增加用户、内容和功能。我相信，未来，服务板块将是公司的主导板块。下面我展示了我从第四季度收益看涨期权中推断出来的有趣部分。</blockquote></p><p>   <i>First, our installed base continues to grow and is at an all-time high across each major product category. Second, the number of both transacting and paid accounts on our digital content stores reached a new all-time high during the September quarter, with paid accounts increasing double digits in each of our geographic segments.Third, paid subscriptions grew more than 35 million sequentially, and we now have over 585 million paid subscriptions across the services on our platform, up 135 million from just a year ago. With this momentum, we are very confident to reach and exceed our increased target of 600 million paid subscriptions before the end of calendar 2020.</i>  <b>Company Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><i>首先，我们的安装基础持续增长，并且在每个主要产品类别中都处于历史最高水平。其次，我们数字内容商店上的交易账户和付费账户数量在9月份季度均创下历史新高，每个地理区域的付费账户均以两位数增长。第三，付费订阅量环比增长超过3500万，目前我们平台上的服务付费订阅量超过5.85亿，比一年前增加了1.35亿。凭借这一势头，我们非常有信心在2020年底前达到并超过6亿付费订阅的增加目标。</i><b>公司分析</b></blockquote></p><p> I initiate Apple with a Neutral rating and a fair value of $111.42/share (vs. the current price of $131.7/share). The fair value is an algorithm-adjusted value that accounts for different factors, fundamental and technical (e.g. DCF fair value, Momentum, etc.), and so it takes into consideration the Mr. Market mood. At the same time, the fair value which I obtained through the DCF model is equal to $105.68/share. Now before showing the results, the numbers used as the base are the trailing twelve-month numbers. Moreover, I also restated the financials since I capitalized on R&amp;D expenses with an amortizable life of 3 years. I don't believe that in the case of Apple, R&amp;D is an operating expense and for this reason, I treat it as CapEx. By taking into account the R&amp;D, the following metrics have been restated (all numbers in $mm).</p><p><blockquote>我给予苹果中性评级，公允价值为111.42美元/股（当前价格为131.7美元/股）。公允价值是算法调整后的价值，考虑了不同的因素，基本面和技术面（如DCF公允价值、动量等）。），因此它考虑了市场先生的情绪。同时，我通过DCF模型获得的公允价值等于105.68美元/股。现在，在显示结果之前，用作基数的数字是过去12个月的数字。此外，我还重述了财务数据，因为我将可摊销期限为3年的研发费用资本化。我不认为就苹果而言，研发是一项运营费用，因此，我将其视为资本支出。考虑到研发，以下指标已被重述（所有数字均以百万美元为单位）。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f7a2222a8e8b9088e619b0b971193a1f\" tg-width=\"569\" tg-height=\"262\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者使用最新10-K报告数据进行的估计</span></p></blockquote></p><p> It is very important to capitalize on R&amp;D expense, if we don't, we are just keeping the company's biggest asset off-balance sheet.</p><p><blockquote>利用研发费用非常重要，如果我们不这样做，我们只是将公司最大的资产保留在资产负债表之外。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Discounted Cash Flow Model</b></p><p><blockquote><b>折现现金流量模型</b></blockquote></p><p> Now, let's turn to the discounted cash flow valuation part. Below, you can see the results with the relative assumptions I have made.</p><p><blockquote>现在，让我们转向贴现现金流估值部分。下面，你可以看到我所做的相对假设的结果。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2da633d931f51b493d897d9c87ecee5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"262\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者使用最新10-K报告数据进行的估计</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Now, this time I also present along with my estimates three possible scenarios:</p><p><blockquote>现在，这次我还提出了三种可能的情况以及我的估计：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><i>Base Case Scenario</i>: The above DCF model represents my base case scenario. In the base case scenario, I assume the drivers of growth to be: the iPhone segment (driven by 5G transition), the Services segment (driven by a broader customer base), and the new powered M1 Macs segment. Under this scenario, I assume a Y1 growth rate of 12%, a CAGR Y2-Y5 of 7.1%, and a target operating margin in Y10 of 27%. The DCF fair value under this scenario is $105.68/share.</li>  <li><i>Best Case Scenario</i>: The business is booming! In the best-case scenario, I see again as the main drivers the one which I described for the base case scenario, however, in addition, I see a greater market penetration in China. Over the last 5 years, we can observe a falling pattern for sales in China, however, this year sales jumped 39.7% (with the iPhone segment rising substantially). Under this scenario, I assume a Y1 growth rate of 14%, a CAGR Y2-Y5 of 9.1%, and a target operating margin in Y10 of 30%. The DCF fair value under this scenario is $130.32/share.</li>  <li><i>Worst Case Scenario</i>: Well, this is a scenario that I would like to call like \"mature company scenario\". Under this scenario I see Apple growing a little above the growth rate of the economy and for this reason, I assume a Y1 growth rate of 10%, a CAGR Y2-Y5 of 3.1%, and a target operating margin in Y10 of 25%. The DCF fair value under this scenario is $81.03/share.</li> </ul> Finally, for each scenario, I see Apple entering into the health care market with its Apple Watch. As you can imagine, I assign a different likelihood of market penetration in each of these scenarios.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><i>基本情况</i>：上面的DCF模型代表了我的基本情况。在基本情况下，我假设增长的驱动力是：iPhone细分市场（由5G过渡驱动）、服务细分市场（由更广泛的客户群驱动）和新的M1 MAC细分市场。在这种情况下，我假设Y1增长率为12%，Y2-Y5复合年增长率为7.1%，Y10的目标营业利润率为27%。在这种情况下，DCF公允价值为105.68美元/股。</li><li><i>最佳情况</i>：生意火爆！在最好的情况下，我再次将我在基本情况中描述的主要驱动因素视为主要驱动因素，但是，此外，我还看到中国的市场渗透率更高。在过去的5年里，我们可以观察到中国的销售额呈下降趋势，然而，今年的销售额增长了39.7%（iPhone细分市场大幅增长）。在这种情况下，我假设Y1增长率为14%，Y2-Y5复合年增长率为9.1%，Y10的目标营业利润率为30%。在这种情况下，DCF公允价值为130.32美元/股。</li><li><i>最坏的情况</i>：嗯，这是一个我想看涨期权为“成熟公司场景”的场景。在这种情况下，我认为苹果的增长略高于经济增长率，因此，我假设Y1增长率为10%，Y2-Y5复合年增长率为3.1%，Y10的目标营业利润率为25%。在这种情况下，DCF公允价值为81.03美元/股。</li></ul>最后，对于每种情况，我都看到苹果凭借其苹果手表进入医疗保健市场。正如你可以想象的那样，我在每种情况下分配了不同的市场渗透可能性。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Sensitivity Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>敏感性分析</b></blockquote></p><p> Moreover, I also would like to provide the sensitivity analysis for the base case scenario.</p><p><blockquote>此外，我还想提供基本情况的敏感性分析。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95f00eba768526d07d68fd846ecf998d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"462\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者使用最新10-K报告数据进行的估计</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Technical Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>技术分析</b></blockquote></p><p> From the technical analysis point of view, I don't see any problem yet. The stock price is in a bullish mode, currently within an ascending triangle pattern. As of right now, the stock price is following its pattern and it is heading to the price target of $137/share or point D, where it is likely to bounce and head back to point E. If this scenario happens, point E is usually the point where stock price bounces once again and from that point, the stock goes higher (it is just a technical analysis assumption, take it as is).</p><p><blockquote>从技术分析的角度来看，我还没有看到任何问题。股价处于看涨模式，目前处于上升三角形形态。截至目前，股价正在遵循其模式，正朝着137美元/股或D点的目标价迈进，在那里它可能会反弹并回到E点。如果这种情况发生，E点通常是股价再次反弹的点，从该点开始，股票走高（这只是一个技术分析假设，照原样）。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ecf3e5f45dcb5e30b092c02bbf94d6f9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"317\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:TradingView.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：TradingView.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Final Thoughts</b></p><p><blockquote><b>最后的想法</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple is a mature company that is able to see a problem and solve it years ahead. By looking at the fair value, computed under the base case scenario, we can argue that the stock is currently overvalued but not by that much. For what concern risks, the difference between the best-case and the worst-case scenario can be used as a proxy of risk. Taking this into consideration I don't see big reasoning to panic, however, it is also true that I see an upcoming correction for the market. Many indicators, technical and fundamental, are suggesting to me that the market is too heavy right now (even if the S&amp;P500 may go higher, perhaps in the 4400 area). To conclude, I don't think to close out my whole Apple position, however, I will close out 60% of it once it reaches my price target.</p><p><blockquote>苹果是一家成熟的公司，能够在未来几年发现问题并解决它。通过查看在基本情况下计算的公允价值，我们可以认为该股票目前被高估，但没有高估那么多。对于什么关注风险，最好情况和最坏情况之间的差异可以用作风险的代理。考虑到这一点，我认为没有什么理由恐慌，但是，我确实看到市场即将出现调整。许多技术和基本面指标都向我表明，市场目前过于沉重（即使标准普尔500指数可能会走高，也许会在4400点区域）。总而言之，我不认为要平仓我的整个苹果头寸，但是，一旦达到我的价格目标，我会平仓其中的60%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple: Winter Is Coming<blockquote>苹果：冬天来了</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple: Winter Is Coming<blockquote>苹果：冬天来了</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-21 10:20</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Apple's stock has rallied 449% in the last five years, outperforming the 102% rise in the S&amp;P 500 over the same period.</li>  <li>I initiate Apple with a Neutral rating and a fair value of $111.42/share (vs. the current price of $131.7/share).</li>  <li>From the technical analysis point of view, the stock price is following its ascending triangle pattern and it is heading to the price target of $137/share.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a4dc5052119e6bbc5b693cf7385d8738\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Michael M. Santiago/Getty Images NewsCompany Overview</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>苹果股价在过去五年中上涨了449%，跑赢了标普500同期102%的涨幅。</li><li>我给予苹果中性评级，公允价值为111.42美元/股（当前价格为131.7美元/股）。</li><li>从技术分析角度来看，股价正遵循上升三角形形态，正向137美元/股的目标价迈进。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Michael M.Santiago/Getty Images新闻公司概述</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Apple Inc (AAPL) stock has rallied 449% in the last five years, outperforming the 102% rise in the S&amp;P 500 over the same period. An outstanding return supported by underlying fundamentals. In particular, I would like to start the analysis with the latter.</p><p><blockquote>苹果公司(AAPL)股价在过去五年中上涨了449%，跑赢了标普500同期102%的涨幅。由基本面支持的出色回报。我特别想从后者开始分析。</blockquote></p><p> Over the last two decades, the dominant driver of Apple's success has been the iPhone. In 2016, iPhones accounted for 63% of total sales. This was a problem for Apple, and they knew it. The problem existed due to two main factors: first, the smartphone business was mature (with low growth rates); second, it was (and it is) a highly competitive business. However, Apple had something other competitors didn't have, a big iPhone owner base (which allows to sell more services for instance). Through the years Apple has been able to effectively diversify its revenue stream and it currently presents the structure represented below.</p><p><blockquote>在过去的二十年里，苹果成功的主要驱动力一直是iPhone。2016年，iPhone占总销量的63%。这对苹果来说是个问题，他们知道这一点。这个问题的存在主要有两个因素：第一，智能手机业务已经成熟（增长率较低）；其次，它过去是（现在也是）一个竞争激烈的行业。然而，苹果拥有其他竞争对手所没有的东西，即庞大的iPhone用户群（例如，这允许销售更多服务）。多年来，苹果一直能够有效地实现其收入来源多元化，目前的结构如下所示。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4602be0c6fa92191baf04a7496c4e024\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"363\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者使用最新10-K报告数据进行的估计</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Let's now take a look at each of these segments:</p><p><blockquote>现在让我们来看看这些部分：</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. iPhone</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.iPhone</b></blockquote></p><p> From 2016 to 2020, the iPhone segment grew at a CAGR of 0.20% and it changed from representing 63.4% (2016) of total sales to 51% (\"TTM\"). I present below the growth rate for the iPhone segment over the last 5 years (2016-TTM).</p><p><blockquote>自2016年至2020年，iPhone分部的复合年增长率为0.20%，并由佔总销售额的63.4%（2016年）变为51%（“TTM”）。我在下面展示了iPhone细分市场在过去5年（2016-TTM）的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/916b48499e3e3ed2c0c167af3ba62bdb\" tg-width=\"607\" tg-height=\"363\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Author's estimates using data from the latest10-K report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者使用最新10-K报告的数据进行的估计</span></p></blockquote></p><p> So far this year the iPhone segment is showing a growth rate of 18.5% TTM, fueled by the new family of iPhone12 with 5G capabilities, and with interesting data coming from China. I believe that the transition to 5G will be the main driver of the growth in this segment. In this manner, I would like to report a piece of the transcript from theQ2 earnings call.</p><p><blockquote>今年到目前为止，在具有5G功能的新iPhone12系列以及来自中国的有趣数据的推动下，iPhone细分市场的TTM增长率为18.5%。我相信向5G的过渡将是该细分市场增长的主要驱动力。我想以这种方式报告第二季度收益看涨期权的一段文字记录。</blockquote></p><p>   <i>In the enterprise market, customers across many industries are accelerating their adoption of iPhone 12 and 5G as a key platform for the future of their business. Delta Airlines, for example, is putting iPhone 12 and 5G connectivity into the hands of flight attendants so they can provide the best passenger service possible as air travel rebounds.Openreach in the U.K. has started equipping tens of thousands of field engineers with iPhone 12 to speed up their deployment of broadband services to homes around the country. And UCHealth, a large health care provider in Colorado, was able to reduce per patient vaccination time from 3 minutes to only 30 seconds largely by moving from PC stations to iPhones. This has allowed their staff to rapidly scan and register new patients and vastly increase their daily vaccination capacity.</i>  <b>2. iPad</b></p><p><blockquote><i>在企业市场，许多行业的客户都在加速采用iPhone 12和5G，将其作为未来业务的关键平台。例如，达美航空正在将iPhone 12和5G连接交给空乘人员，以便他们能够在航空旅行反弹时提供尽可能最好的乘客服务。英国的Openreach已开始为数万名现场工程师配备iPhone 12加快向全国家庭部署宽带服务。科罗拉多州的一家大型医疗保健提供商UCHealth能够将每位患者的疫苗接种时间从3分钟减少到30秒，这主要是通过从PC工作站转移到iPhone。这使得他们的工作人员能够快速扫描和登记新患者，并大大提高他们的日常疫苗接种能力。</i><b>2.iPad</b></blockquote></p><p> As it was in the past, the iPad segment is more or less a constant number as a % of total sales, 9.6% in 2016 vs 9.1% TTM. From 2016 to 2020, the iPad segment grew at a CAGR of 3.56% (with an improving overall trend). I present below the growth rate for the iPad segment over the last 5 years (2016-TTM).</p><p><blockquote>与过去一样，iPad细分市场占总销售额的百分比或多或少是一个恒定的数字，2016年为9.6%，而TTM为9.1%。从2016年到2020年，iPad细分市场的CAGR增长率为3.56%（整体趋势有所改善）。我在下面展示了iPad细分市场在过去5年（2016-TTM）的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6faf9ddb8d29d662fcaa46bbda862f48\" tg-width=\"616\" tg-height=\"360\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者使用最新10-K报告数据进行的估计</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The TTM numbers show us an interesting picture with a growth rate of 24.9% TTM for the iPad segment which are driven by 3 factors: the M1 chip, the new 5G capabilities, and the fact that we were all at home. I see a lot of ways in which this new generation of iPads can be implemented. However, I also have to admit that there is a big player swimming in the same sea, the new 2-1 Laptops. The new 2-1 Laptops are a very interesting solution for those looking to have the best of the two worlds. In this last view, the iPad segment may represent a lower % of total sales, around 7.8% (vs current 9.1%).</p><p><blockquote>TTM数据向我们展示了一幅有趣的画面，iPad细分市场的TTM增长率为24.9%，这是由三个因素推动的：M1芯片、新的5G功能以及我们都在家的事实。我看到了很多实现新一代iPads的方法。不过，我也不得不承认，还有一个大玩家在同一个海里游泳，那就是新的2-1笔记本电脑。对于那些希望两全其美的人来说，新的2-1笔记本电脑是一个非常有趣的解决方案。在最后一种观点中，iPad细分市场占总销售额的比例可能较低，约为7.8%（目前为9.1%）。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Mac</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.三月</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> From 2016 to 2020, the Mac segment grew at a CAGR of 5.81%, and also here, as it is for the iPad segment, the Mac segment represents a more or less constant number as % of total sales 10.6% in 2016 vs 10.4% TTM. I present below the growth rate for the Mac segment over the last 5 years (2016-TTM).</p><p><blockquote>从2016年到2020年，Mac细分市场的CAGR增长率为5.81%，与iPad细分市场一样，Mac细分市场在2016年占总销售额的比例为10.6%，而TTM为10.4%。我在下面介绍了过去5年（2016-TTM）Mac细分市场的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2494d89c1d5cd70a4cf0c5fb31fb20a\" tg-width=\"614\" tg-height=\"363\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者使用最新10-K报告数据进行的估计</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The generation of new Macs powered by the M1 chip seems to be appreciated by the customers, in fact, the Mac segment presents a growth rate of 18.4% TTM so far this year. I personally tried this new generation of Macs and I have to admit, Apple knows very well how to delight its customers. Personal PCs are a highly competitive market and, even if I like and I use Apple products, I prefer to work with a Lenovo.</p><p><blockquote>采用M1芯片的新一代Mac似乎受到了客户的赞赏，事实上，今年迄今为止，Mac细分市场的TTM增长率为18.4%。我亲自尝试了这款新一代MAC电脑，我不得不承认，苹果非常知道如何取悦顾客。个人电脑是一个竞争激烈的市场，即使我喜欢并使用苹果产品，我也更喜欢与联想合作。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4. Wearables, Home, and Accessories (WH&amp;A)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4.可穿戴设备、家居和配件（WH&amp;A）</b></blockquote></p><p> The Wearables, Home, and Accessories segment includes sales of AirPods, Apple TV, Apple Watch, Beats products, HomePod, etc. This is where it gets interesting. From 2016 to 2020, the WH&amp;A segment grew at a CAGR of 28.78%, and it changed from representing only 5.2% of total sales in 2016 to represent 10.8% TTM. I present below the growth rate for the WH&amp;A segment over the last 5 years (2016-TTM).</p><p><blockquote>可穿戴设备、家居和配件部门包括AirPods、苹果电视、苹果手表、Beats产品、HomePod等的销售。这就是有趣的地方。从2016年到2020年，WH&amp;A分部的复合年增长率为28.78%，从2016年仅占总销售额的5.2%变为占TTM的10.8%。我在下面列出了过去5年（2016-TTM）WH&amp;A细分市场的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e16432a1ae66aa9dda7a4f969a9cfcdf\" tg-width=\"607\" tg-height=\"357\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者使用最新10-K报告数据进行的估计</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The WH&amp;A segment is showing a growth rate of 14.7% TTM driven by a strong performance from both Apple Watch Series 6 and Apple Watch SE. Apple Watch may have a very bright future in the years ahead, driven by Apple entering into the healthcare market. In fact, it can be used to monitor the health status of the person. Imagine you being close to having a heart attack, your Apple Watch may call an ambulance and save your life, not bad no? Finally, let's don't forget also the launch of Apple TV 4K and of the newest accessory, AirTag (I don't see a market for the latter, but I may be wrong).</p><p><blockquote>在苹果手表系列6和苹果手表SE的强劲表现的推动下，WH&amp;A细分市场的TTM增长率为14.7%。在苹果进入医疗保健市场的推动下，苹果观察在未来几年可能会有一个非常光明的未来。事实上，它可以用来监测人的健康状况。想象一下，你即将心脏病发作，你的苹果手表可能会看涨期权一辆救护车并挽救你的生命，不错不是吗？最后，我们不要忘记苹果电视4K和最新配件AirTag的推出（我没有看到后者的市场，但我可能是错的）。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5. Services</b></p><p><blockquote><b>5.服务</b></blockquote></p><p> Services include sales from the Company’s advertising, AppleCare, digital content, and other services. From 2016 to 2020, the Services segment grew at a CAGR of 21.9% and it changed from representing 11.3% of total sales in 2016 to represent 18.6% TTM. I present below the growth rate for the Services segment over the last 5 years (2016-TTM).</p><p><blockquote>服务包括公司广告、AppleCare、数字内容和其他服务的销售。于二零一六年至二零二零年，服务分部的复合年增长率为21.9%，并由二零一六年佔总销售额的11.3%变为佔TTM的18.6%。我在下面列出了过去5年（2016-TTM）服务部门的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af34eb1ba8fffd690a75318f8cf805f7\" tg-width=\"610\" tg-height=\"363\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者使用最新10-K报告数据进行的估计</span></p></blockquote></p><p> To date, the Services segment is showing a growth rate of 12.3% TTM. The growth is driven by App Store, Cloud Services, Music, Advertising, and Payment Services. The new services, Apple TV+, Apple Arcade, Apple News+, and Apple Card, are also starting to contribute to overall services growth, and continue to add users, content, and features. I believe that in the future, the Services segment will be the company's dominant segment. Below I present an interesting part I extrapolated from theQ4 earnings call.</p><p><blockquote>迄今为止，服务部门的TTM增长率为12.3%。这一增长是由应用商店、云服务、音乐、广告和支付服务推动的。苹果TV+、苹果街机、苹果新闻+和苹果卡等新服务也开始为整体服务增长做出贡献，并继续增加用户、内容和功能。我相信，未来，服务板块将是公司的主导板块。下面我展示了我从第四季度收益看涨期权中推断出来的有趣部分。</blockquote></p><p>   <i>First, our installed base continues to grow and is at an all-time high across each major product category. Second, the number of both transacting and paid accounts on our digital content stores reached a new all-time high during the September quarter, with paid accounts increasing double digits in each of our geographic segments.Third, paid subscriptions grew more than 35 million sequentially, and we now have over 585 million paid subscriptions across the services on our platform, up 135 million from just a year ago. With this momentum, we are very confident to reach and exceed our increased target of 600 million paid subscriptions before the end of calendar 2020.</i>  <b>Company Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><i>首先，我们的安装基础持续增长，并且在每个主要产品类别中都处于历史最高水平。其次，我们数字内容商店上的交易账户和付费账户数量在9月份季度均创下历史新高，每个地理区域的付费账户均以两位数增长。第三，付费订阅量环比增长超过3500万，目前我们平台上的服务付费订阅量超过5.85亿，比一年前增加了1.35亿。凭借这一势头，我们非常有信心在2020年底前达到并超过6亿付费订阅的增加目标。</i><b>公司分析</b></blockquote></p><p> I initiate Apple with a Neutral rating and a fair value of $111.42/share (vs. the current price of $131.7/share). The fair value is an algorithm-adjusted value that accounts for different factors, fundamental and technical (e.g. DCF fair value, Momentum, etc.), and so it takes into consideration the Mr. Market mood. At the same time, the fair value which I obtained through the DCF model is equal to $105.68/share. Now before showing the results, the numbers used as the base are the trailing twelve-month numbers. Moreover, I also restated the financials since I capitalized on R&amp;D expenses with an amortizable life of 3 years. I don't believe that in the case of Apple, R&amp;D is an operating expense and for this reason, I treat it as CapEx. By taking into account the R&amp;D, the following metrics have been restated (all numbers in $mm).</p><p><blockquote>我给予苹果中性评级，公允价值为111.42美元/股（当前价格为131.7美元/股）。公允价值是算法调整后的价值，考虑了不同的因素，基本面和技术面（如DCF公允价值、动量等）。），因此它考虑了市场先生的情绪。同时，我通过DCF模型获得的公允价值等于105.68美元/股。现在，在显示结果之前，用作基数的数字是过去12个月的数字。此外，我还重述了财务数据，因为我将可摊销期限为3年的研发费用资本化。我不认为就苹果而言，研发是一项运营费用，因此，我将其视为资本支出。考虑到研发，以下指标已被重述（所有数字均以百万美元为单位）。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f7a2222a8e8b9088e619b0b971193a1f\" tg-width=\"569\" tg-height=\"262\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者使用最新10-K报告数据进行的估计</span></p></blockquote></p><p> It is very important to capitalize on R&amp;D expense, if we don't, we are just keeping the company's biggest asset off-balance sheet.</p><p><blockquote>利用研发费用非常重要，如果我们不这样做，我们只是将公司最大的资产保留在资产负债表之外。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Discounted Cash Flow Model</b></p><p><blockquote><b>折现现金流量模型</b></blockquote></p><p> Now, let's turn to the discounted cash flow valuation part. Below, you can see the results with the relative assumptions I have made.</p><p><blockquote>现在，让我们转向贴现现金流估值部分。下面，你可以看到我所做的相对假设的结果。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2da633d931f51b493d897d9c87ecee5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"262\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者使用最新10-K报告数据进行的估计</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Now, this time I also present along with my estimates three possible scenarios:</p><p><blockquote>现在，这次我还提出了三种可能的情况以及我的估计：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><i>Base Case Scenario</i>: The above DCF model represents my base case scenario. In the base case scenario, I assume the drivers of growth to be: the iPhone segment (driven by 5G transition), the Services segment (driven by a broader customer base), and the new powered M1 Macs segment. Under this scenario, I assume a Y1 growth rate of 12%, a CAGR Y2-Y5 of 7.1%, and a target operating margin in Y10 of 27%. The DCF fair value under this scenario is $105.68/share.</li>  <li><i>Best Case Scenario</i>: The business is booming! In the best-case scenario, I see again as the main drivers the one which I described for the base case scenario, however, in addition, I see a greater market penetration in China. Over the last 5 years, we can observe a falling pattern for sales in China, however, this year sales jumped 39.7% (with the iPhone segment rising substantially). Under this scenario, I assume a Y1 growth rate of 14%, a CAGR Y2-Y5 of 9.1%, and a target operating margin in Y10 of 30%. The DCF fair value under this scenario is $130.32/share.</li>  <li><i>Worst Case Scenario</i>: Well, this is a scenario that I would like to call like \"mature company scenario\". Under this scenario I see Apple growing a little above the growth rate of the economy and for this reason, I assume a Y1 growth rate of 10%, a CAGR Y2-Y5 of 3.1%, and a target operating margin in Y10 of 25%. The DCF fair value under this scenario is $81.03/share.</li> </ul> Finally, for each scenario, I see Apple entering into the health care market with its Apple Watch. As you can imagine, I assign a different likelihood of market penetration in each of these scenarios.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><i>基本情况</i>：上面的DCF模型代表了我的基本情况。在基本情况下，我假设增长的驱动力是：iPhone细分市场（由5G过渡驱动）、服务细分市场（由更广泛的客户群驱动）和新的M1 MAC细分市场。在这种情况下，我假设Y1增长率为12%，Y2-Y5复合年增长率为7.1%，Y10的目标营业利润率为27%。在这种情况下，DCF公允价值为105.68美元/股。</li><li><i>最佳情况</i>：生意火爆！在最好的情况下，我再次将我在基本情况中描述的主要驱动因素视为主要驱动因素，但是，此外，我还看到中国的市场渗透率更高。在过去的5年里，我们可以观察到中国的销售额呈下降趋势，然而，今年的销售额增长了39.7%（iPhone细分市场大幅增长）。在这种情况下，我假设Y1增长率为14%，Y2-Y5复合年增长率为9.1%，Y10的目标营业利润率为30%。在这种情况下，DCF公允价值为130.32美元/股。</li><li><i>最坏的情况</i>：嗯，这是一个我想看涨期权为“成熟公司场景”的场景。在这种情况下，我认为苹果的增长略高于经济增长率，因此，我假设Y1增长率为10%，Y2-Y5复合年增长率为3.1%，Y10的目标营业利润率为25%。在这种情况下，DCF公允价值为81.03美元/股。</li></ul>最后，对于每种情况，我都看到苹果凭借其苹果手表进入医疗保健市场。正如你可以想象的那样，我在每种情况下分配了不同的市场渗透可能性。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Sensitivity Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>敏感性分析</b></blockquote></p><p> Moreover, I also would like to provide the sensitivity analysis for the base case scenario.</p><p><blockquote>此外，我还想提供基本情况的敏感性分析。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95f00eba768526d07d68fd846ecf998d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"462\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者使用最新10-K报告数据进行的估计</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Technical Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>技术分析</b></blockquote></p><p> From the technical analysis point of view, I don't see any problem yet. The stock price is in a bullish mode, currently within an ascending triangle pattern. As of right now, the stock price is following its pattern and it is heading to the price target of $137/share or point D, where it is likely to bounce and head back to point E. If this scenario happens, point E is usually the point where stock price bounces once again and from that point, the stock goes higher (it is just a technical analysis assumption, take it as is).</p><p><blockquote>从技术分析的角度来看，我还没有看到任何问题。股价处于看涨模式，目前处于上升三角形形态。截至目前，股价正在遵循其模式，正朝着137美元/股或D点的目标价迈进，在那里它可能会反弹并回到E点。如果这种情况发生，E点通常是股价再次反弹的点，从该点开始，股票走高（这只是一个技术分析假设，照原样）。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ecf3e5f45dcb5e30b092c02bbf94d6f9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"317\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:TradingView.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：TradingView.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Final Thoughts</b></p><p><blockquote><b>最后的想法</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple is a mature company that is able to see a problem and solve it years ahead. By looking at the fair value, computed under the base case scenario, we can argue that the stock is currently overvalued but not by that much. For what concern risks, the difference between the best-case and the worst-case scenario can be used as a proxy of risk. Taking this into consideration I don't see big reasoning to panic, however, it is also true that I see an upcoming correction for the market. Many indicators, technical and fundamental, are suggesting to me that the market is too heavy right now (even if the S&amp;P500 may go higher, perhaps in the 4400 area). To conclude, I don't think to close out my whole Apple position, however, I will close out 60% of it once it reaches my price target.</p><p><blockquote>苹果是一家成熟的公司，能够在未来几年发现问题并解决它。通过查看在基本情况下计算的公允价值，我们可以认为该股票目前被高估，但没有高估那么多。对于什么关注风险，最好情况和最坏情况之间的差异可以用作风险的代理。考虑到这一点，我认为没有什么理由恐慌，但是，我确实看到市场即将出现调整。许多技术和基本面指标都向我表明，市场目前过于沉重（即使标准普尔500指数可能会走高，也许会在4400点区域）。总而言之，我不认为要平仓我的整个苹果头寸，但是，一旦达到我的价格目标，我会平仓其中的60%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435760-apple-stock-aapl-winter-is-coming\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435760-apple-stock-aapl-winter-is-coming","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1175906479","content_text":"Summary\n\nApple's stock has rallied 449% in the last five years, outperforming the 102% rise in the S&P 500 over the same period.\nI initiate Apple with a Neutral rating and a fair value of $111.42/share (vs. the current price of $131.7/share).\nFrom the technical analysis point of view, the stock price is following its ascending triangle pattern and it is heading to the price target of $137/share.\n\nMichael M. Santiago/Getty Images NewsCompany Overview\nApple Inc (AAPL) stock has rallied 449% in the last five years, outperforming the 102% rise in the S&P 500 over the same period. An outstanding return supported by underlying fundamentals. In particular, I would like to start the analysis with the latter.\nOver the last two decades, the dominant driver of Apple's success has been the iPhone. In 2016, iPhones accounted for 63% of total sales. This was a problem for Apple, and they knew it. The problem existed due to two main factors: first, the smartphone business was mature (with low growth rates); second, it was (and it is) a highly competitive business. However, Apple had something other competitors didn't have, a big iPhone owner base (which allows to sell more services for instance). Through the years Apple has been able to effectively diversify its revenue stream and it currently presents the structure represented below.\nSource:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report\nLet's now take a look at each of these segments:\n1. iPhone\nFrom 2016 to 2020, the iPhone segment grew at a CAGR of 0.20% and it changed from representing 63.4% (2016) of total sales to 51% (\"TTM\"). I present below the growth rate for the iPhone segment over the last 5 years (2016-TTM).\nSource:Author's estimates using data from the latest10-K report\nSo far this year the iPhone segment is showing a growth rate of 18.5% TTM, fueled by the new family of iPhone12 with 5G capabilities, and with interesting data coming from China. I believe that the transition to 5G will be the main driver of the growth in this segment. In this manner, I would like to report a piece of the transcript from theQ2 earnings call.\n\nIn the enterprise market, customers across many industries are accelerating their adoption of iPhone 12 and 5G as a key platform for the future of their business. Delta Airlines, for example, is putting iPhone 12 and 5G connectivity into the hands of flight attendants so they can provide the best passenger service possible as air travel rebounds.Openreach in the U.K. has started equipping tens of thousands of field engineers with iPhone 12 to speed up their deployment of broadband services to homes around the country. And UCHealth, a large health care provider in Colorado, was able to reduce per patient vaccination time from 3 minutes to only 30 seconds largely by moving from PC stations to iPhones. This has allowed their staff to rapidly scan and register new patients and vastly increase their daily vaccination capacity.\n\n2. iPad\nAs it was in the past, the iPad segment is more or less a constant number as a % of total sales, 9.6% in 2016 vs 9.1% TTM. From 2016 to 2020, the iPad segment grew at a CAGR of 3.56% (with an improving overall trend). I present below the growth rate for the iPad segment over the last 5 years (2016-TTM).\nSource:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report\nThe TTM numbers show us an interesting picture with a growth rate of 24.9% TTM for the iPad segment which are driven by 3 factors: the M1 chip, the new 5G capabilities, and the fact that we were all at home. I see a lot of ways in which this new generation of iPads can be implemented. However, I also have to admit that there is a big player swimming in the same sea, the new 2-1 Laptops. The new 2-1 Laptops are a very interesting solution for those looking to have the best of the two worlds. In this last view, the iPad segment may represent a lower % of total sales, around 7.8% (vs current 9.1%).\n3. Mac\nFrom 2016 to 2020, the Mac segment grew at a CAGR of 5.81%, and also here, as it is for the iPad segment, the Mac segment represents a more or less constant number as % of total sales 10.6% in 2016 vs 10.4% TTM. I present below the growth rate for the Mac segment over the last 5 years (2016-TTM).\nSource:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report\nThe generation of new Macs powered by the M1 chip seems to be appreciated by the customers, in fact, the Mac segment presents a growth rate of 18.4% TTM so far this year. I personally tried this new generation of Macs and I have to admit, Apple knows very well how to delight its customers. Personal PCs are a highly competitive market and, even if I like and I use Apple products, I prefer to work with a Lenovo.\n4. Wearables, Home, and Accessories (WH&A)\nThe Wearables, Home, and Accessories segment includes sales of AirPods, Apple TV, Apple Watch, Beats products, HomePod, etc. This is where it gets interesting. From 2016 to 2020, the WH&A segment grew at a CAGR of 28.78%, and it changed from representing only 5.2% of total sales in 2016 to represent 10.8% TTM. I present below the growth rate for the WH&A segment over the last 5 years (2016-TTM).\nSource:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report\nThe WH&A segment is showing a growth rate of 14.7% TTM driven by a strong performance from both Apple Watch Series 6 and Apple Watch SE. Apple Watch may have a very bright future in the years ahead, driven by Apple entering into the healthcare market. In fact, it can be used to monitor the health status of the person. Imagine you being close to having a heart attack, your Apple Watch may call an ambulance and save your life, not bad no? Finally, let's don't forget also the launch of Apple TV 4K and of the newest accessory, AirTag (I don't see a market for the latter, but I may be wrong).\n5. Services\nServices include sales from the Company’s advertising, AppleCare, digital content, and other services. From 2016 to 2020, the Services segment grew at a CAGR of 21.9% and it changed from representing 11.3% of total sales in 2016 to represent 18.6% TTM. I present below the growth rate for the Services segment over the last 5 years (2016-TTM).\nSource:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report\nTo date, the Services segment is showing a growth rate of 12.3% TTM. The growth is driven by App Store, Cloud Services, Music, Advertising, and Payment Services. The new services, Apple TV+, Apple Arcade, Apple News+, and Apple Card, are also starting to contribute to overall services growth, and continue to add users, content, and features. I believe that in the future, the Services segment will be the company's dominant segment. Below I present an interesting part I extrapolated from theQ4 earnings call.\n\nFirst, our installed base continues to grow and is at an all-time high across each major product category. Second, the number of both transacting and paid accounts on our digital content stores reached a new all-time high during the September quarter, with paid accounts increasing double digits in each of our geographic segments.Third, paid subscriptions grew more than 35 million sequentially, and we now have over 585 million paid subscriptions across the services on our platform, up 135 million from just a year ago. With this momentum, we are very confident to reach and exceed our increased target of 600 million paid subscriptions before the end of calendar 2020.\n\nCompany Analysis\nI initiate Apple with a Neutral rating and a fair value of $111.42/share (vs. the current price of $131.7/share). The fair value is an algorithm-adjusted value that accounts for different factors, fundamental and technical (e.g. DCF fair value, Momentum, etc.), and so it takes into consideration the Mr. Market mood. At the same time, the fair value which I obtained through the DCF model is equal to $105.68/share. Now before showing the results, the numbers used as the base are the trailing twelve-month numbers. Moreover, I also restated the financials since I capitalized on R&D expenses with an amortizable life of 3 years. I don't believe that in the case of Apple, R&D is an operating expense and for this reason, I treat it as CapEx. By taking into account the R&D, the following metrics have been restated (all numbers in $mm).\nSource:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report\nIt is very important to capitalize on R&D expense, if we don't, we are just keeping the company's biggest asset off-balance sheet.\nDiscounted Cash Flow Model\nNow, let's turn to the discounted cash flow valuation part. Below, you can see the results with the relative assumptions I have made.\nSource:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report\nNow, this time I also present along with my estimates three possible scenarios:\n\nBase Case Scenario: The above DCF model represents my base case scenario. In the base case scenario, I assume the drivers of growth to be: the iPhone segment (driven by 5G transition), the Services segment (driven by a broader customer base), and the new powered M1 Macs segment. Under this scenario, I assume a Y1 growth rate of 12%, a CAGR Y2-Y5 of 7.1%, and a target operating margin in Y10 of 27%. The DCF fair value under this scenario is $105.68/share.\nBest Case Scenario: The business is booming! In the best-case scenario, I see again as the main drivers the one which I described for the base case scenario, however, in addition, I see a greater market penetration in China. Over the last 5 years, we can observe a falling pattern for sales in China, however, this year sales jumped 39.7% (with the iPhone segment rising substantially). Under this scenario, I assume a Y1 growth rate of 14%, a CAGR Y2-Y5 of 9.1%, and a target operating margin in Y10 of 30%. The DCF fair value under this scenario is $130.32/share.\nWorst Case Scenario: Well, this is a scenario that I would like to call like \"mature company scenario\". Under this scenario I see Apple growing a little above the growth rate of the economy and for this reason, I assume a Y1 growth rate of 10%, a CAGR Y2-Y5 of 3.1%, and a target operating margin in Y10 of 25%. The DCF fair value under this scenario is $81.03/share.\n\nFinally, for each scenario, I see Apple entering into the health care market with its Apple Watch. As you can imagine, I assign a different likelihood of market penetration in each of these scenarios.\nSensitivity Analysis\nMoreover, I also would like to provide the sensitivity analysis for the base case scenario.\nSource:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report\nTechnical Analysis\nFrom the technical analysis point of view, I don't see any problem yet. The stock price is in a bullish mode, currently within an ascending triangle pattern. As of right now, the stock price is following its pattern and it is heading to the price target of $137/share or point D, where it is likely to bounce and head back to point E. If this scenario happens, point E is usually the point where stock price bounces once again and from that point, the stock goes higher (it is just a technical analysis assumption, take it as is).\nSource:TradingView.com\nFinal Thoughts\nApple is a mature company that is able to see a problem and solve it years ahead. By looking at the fair value, computed under the base case scenario, we can argue that the stock is currently overvalued but not by that much. For what concern risks, the difference between the best-case and the worst-case scenario can be used as a proxy of risk. Taking this into consideration I don't see big reasoning to panic, however, it is also true that I see an upcoming correction for the market. Many indicators, technical and fundamental, are suggesting to me that the market is too heavy right now (even if the S&P500 may go higher, perhaps in the 4400 area). To conclude, I don't think to close out my whole Apple position, however, I will close out 60% of it once it reaches my price 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[Miser]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/197763749","repostId":"2136866946","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1720,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":105977731,"gmtCreate":1620267010723,"gmtModify":1634206512155,"author":{"id":"3568609081739898","authorId":"3568609081739898","name":"Hminnnn","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ade2868ed76324c40090eda06ebd0e32","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3568609081739898","idStr":"3568609081739898"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Miser]&nbsp;[Miser]&nbsp;[Miser]&nbsp;[Miser]&nbsp;","listText":"[Miser]&nbsp;[Miser]&nbsp;[Miser]&nbsp;[Miser]&nbsp;","text":"[Miser] [Miser] [Miser] [Miser]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/105977731","repostId":"1190727792","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1190727792","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1620261268,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1190727792?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-06 08:34","market":"us","language":"en","title":"PayPal CEO touts ‘next generation digital wallet’ after earnings beat<blockquote>PayPal首席执行官在盈利超出预期后吹捧“下一代数字钱包”</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1190727792","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"PayPal shares rose as much as 5.5% in extended trading on Wednesday after reporting first-quarter ea","content":"<p>PayPal&nbsp;shares rose as much as 5.5% in extended trading on Wednesday after reporting&nbsp;first-quarter earnings&nbsp;that were stronger than analysts had expected.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/58ec3528147a01fb437277e9297f867e\" tg-width=\"1302\" tg-height=\"833\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Here’s how the company did:</p><p><blockquote>在公布强于分析师预期的第一季度收益后，PayPal股价周三盘后交易中上涨5.5%。该公司的做法如下：</blockquote></p><p><ul><li><b>Earnings per share:</b>$1.22, adjusted, vs. $1.01 per share expected in a Refinitiv survey of analysts</li><li><b>Revenue:</b>$6.03 billion vs. $5.90 billion expected by Refinitiv</li><li><b>Total payment volume:</b>$285 billion vs. $265 billionexpected in a FactSet survey</li></ul><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/280fd499646b944018a299f06e8a7149\" tg-width=\"838\" tg-height=\"638\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">PayPal&nbsp;shares rose as much as 5.5% in extended trading on Wednesday after reporting&nbsp;first-quarter earnings&nbsp;that were stronger than analysts had expected.First quarter net profit rose to $1.10 billion from $84 million a year earlier, and the company added 14.5 million net new active accounts, bringing its total user base to 392 million.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>每股盈利：</b>调整后每股1.22美元，而Refinitiv分析师调查预计每股1.01美元</li><li><b>收入：</b>60.3亿美元，而Refinitiv预期为59亿美元</li><li><b>总支付量：</b>FactSet调查预计为2,850亿美元，而FactSet调查预计为2,650亿美元</li></ul>在公布强于分析师预期的第一季度收益后，PayPal股价周三盘后交易中上涨5.5%。第一季度净利润从去年同期的8400万美元增至11亿美元，该公司净新增活跃账户1450万个，用户总数达到3.92亿。</blockquote></p><p>Revenue grew 31% year over year in the quarter that ended Mar. 31, according to a statement. In the year-ago quarter, the pandemic fomented a surge in online shopping, helping todrive record payment volumefor the quarter and the full year.</p><p><blockquote>一份声明称，截至3月31日的季度收入同比增长31%。去年同期，疫情引发了网上购物的激增，帮助推动了本季度和全年创纪录的支付量。</blockquote></p><p>On the company’s earnings call, CEO&nbsp;Dan Schulman pointed to cryptocurrency as a key growth engine for the company.</p><p><blockquote>在公司的盈利看涨期权上，首席执行官丹·舒尔曼指出加密货币是公司的关键增长引擎。</blockquote></p><p>“We’ve got a tremendous amount of really great results going on tactically with our crypto efforts,” said Schulman. He went on to say that half of crypto users open their PayPal app daily, suggesting that it increases engagement for users.</p><p><blockquote>舒尔曼说：“我们的加密货币工作在战术上取得了大量非常好的成果。”他接着说，一半的加密用户每天都会打开他们的PayPal应用程序，这表明它增加了用户的参与度。</blockquote></p><p>The mobile payments company made a big push into crypto in the last six months, allowing users in the U.S. to buy, sell, and check out with cryptocurrencies.</p><p><blockquote>这家移动支付公司在过去六个月中大力进军加密货币领域，允许美国用户使用加密货币购买、出售和结账。</blockquote></p><p>With its network of&nbsp;26 million retailers, PayPal’s crypto ambitions have positioned the company as a rival to&nbsp;Coinbase, the country’smost popular crypto exchange.</p><p><blockquote>凭借拥有2600万零售商的网络，PayPal的加密货币雄心使该公司成为该国最受欢迎的加密货币交易所Coinbase的竞争对手。</blockquote></p><p>The company also announced plans to roll out a “next-generation digital wallet” in the third quarter. Schulman described the product as an “all-in-one, personalized app [that] will provide increasingly customized and unique shopping, financial services, and payments experiences.”</p><p><blockquote>该公司还宣布计划在第三季度推出“下一代数字钱包”。舒尔曼将该产品描述为“一体化、个性化的应用程序，将提供日益定制化和独特的购物、金融服务和支付体验。”</blockquote></p><p>With respect to guidance, for the second quarter PayPal sees adjusted earnings of $1.12 per share on $6.25 billion in revenue. Analysts surveyed by Refinitiv had expected $1.10 in adjusted earnings per share on $6.16 billion in revenue.</p><p><blockquote>关于指引，PayPal预计第二季度调整后每股收益为1.12美元，营收为62.5亿美元。Refinitiv调查的分析师此前预计调整后每股收益为1.10美元，营收为61.6亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>For the full year, PayPal expects revenue to grow 20% to $25.75 billion, and the company called for adjusted earnings to grow 21% to $4.70. Analysts polled by Refinitiv had been looking for $4.57 in adjusted earnings per share and $25.71 billion in revenue.</p><p><blockquote>PayPal预计全年营收将增长20%至257.5亿美元，该公司预计调整后盈利将增长21%至4.70美元。Refinitiv调查的分析师此前预计调整后每股收益为4.57美元，营收为257.1亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Excluding the after-hours move, PayPal stock has risen about 5.9% since the start of the year, while theNasdaqis up about 5.5% over the same period.</p><p><blockquote>排除盘后走势，PayPal股价自今年年初以来已上涨约5.9%，而纳斯达克指数同期上涨约5.5%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>PayPal CEO touts ‘next generation digital wallet’ after earnings beat<blockquote>PayPal首席执行官在盈利超出预期后吹捧“下一代数字钱包”</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPayPal CEO touts ‘next generation digital wallet’ after earnings beat<blockquote>PayPal首席执行官在盈利超出预期后吹捧“下一代数字钱包”</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-05-06 08:34</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>PayPal&nbsp;shares rose as much as 5.5% in extended trading on Wednesday after reporting&nbsp;first-quarter earnings&nbsp;that were stronger than analysts had expected.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/58ec3528147a01fb437277e9297f867e\" tg-width=\"1302\" tg-height=\"833\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Here’s how the company did:</p><p><blockquote>在公布强于分析师预期的第一季度收益后，PayPal股价周三盘后交易中上涨5.5%。该公司的做法如下：</blockquote></p><p><ul><li><b>Earnings per share:</b>$1.22, adjusted, vs. $1.01 per share expected in a Refinitiv survey of analysts</li><li><b>Revenue:</b>$6.03 billion vs. $5.90 billion expected by Refinitiv</li><li><b>Total payment volume:</b>$285 billion vs. $265 billionexpected in a FactSet survey</li></ul><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/280fd499646b944018a299f06e8a7149\" tg-width=\"838\" tg-height=\"638\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">PayPal&nbsp;shares rose as much as 5.5% in extended trading on Wednesday after reporting&nbsp;first-quarter earnings&nbsp;that were stronger than analysts had expected.First quarter net profit rose to $1.10 billion from $84 million a year earlier, and the company added 14.5 million net new active accounts, bringing its total user base to 392 million.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>每股盈利：</b>调整后每股1.22美元，而Refinitiv分析师调查预计每股1.01美元</li><li><b>收入：</b>60.3亿美元，而Refinitiv预期为59亿美元</li><li><b>总支付量：</b>FactSet调查预计为2,850亿美元，而FactSet调查预计为2,650亿美元</li></ul>在公布强于分析师预期的第一季度收益后，PayPal股价周三盘后交易中上涨5.5%。第一季度净利润从去年同期的8400万美元增至11亿美元，该公司净新增活跃账户1450万个，用户总数达到3.92亿。</blockquote></p><p>Revenue grew 31% year over year in the quarter that ended Mar. 31, according to a statement. In the year-ago quarter, the pandemic fomented a surge in online shopping, helping todrive record payment volumefor the quarter and the full year.</p><p><blockquote>一份声明称，截至3月31日的季度收入同比增长31%。去年同期，疫情引发了网上购物的激增，帮助推动了本季度和全年创纪录的支付量。</blockquote></p><p>On the company’s earnings call, CEO&nbsp;Dan Schulman pointed to cryptocurrency as a key growth engine for the company.</p><p><blockquote>在公司的盈利看涨期权上，首席执行官丹·舒尔曼指出加密货币是公司的关键增长引擎。</blockquote></p><p>“We’ve got a tremendous amount of really great results going on tactically with our crypto efforts,” said Schulman. He went on to say that half of crypto users open their PayPal app daily, suggesting that it increases engagement for users.</p><p><blockquote>舒尔曼说：“我们的加密货币工作在战术上取得了大量非常好的成果。”他接着说，一半的加密用户每天都会打开他们的PayPal应用程序，这表明它增加了用户的参与度。</blockquote></p><p>The mobile payments company made a big push into crypto in the last six months, allowing users in the U.S. to buy, sell, and check out with cryptocurrencies.</p><p><blockquote>这家移动支付公司在过去六个月中大力进军加密货币领域，允许美国用户使用加密货币购买、出售和结账。</blockquote></p><p>With its network of&nbsp;26 million retailers, PayPal’s crypto ambitions have positioned the company as a rival to&nbsp;Coinbase, the country’smost popular crypto exchange.</p><p><blockquote>凭借拥有2600万零售商的网络，PayPal的加密货币雄心使该公司成为该国最受欢迎的加密货币交易所Coinbase的竞争对手。</blockquote></p><p>The company also announced plans to roll out a “next-generation digital wallet” in the third quarter. Schulman described the product as an “all-in-one, personalized app [that] will provide increasingly customized and unique shopping, financial services, and payments experiences.”</p><p><blockquote>该公司还宣布计划在第三季度推出“下一代数字钱包”。舒尔曼将该产品描述为“一体化、个性化的应用程序，将提供日益定制化和独特的购物、金融服务和支付体验。”</blockquote></p><p>With respect to guidance, for the second quarter PayPal sees adjusted earnings of $1.12 per share on $6.25 billion in revenue. Analysts surveyed by Refinitiv had expected $1.10 in adjusted earnings per share on $6.16 billion in revenue.</p><p><blockquote>关于指引，PayPal预计第二季度调整后每股收益为1.12美元，营收为62.5亿美元。Refinitiv调查的分析师此前预计调整后每股收益为1.10美元，营收为61.6亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>For the full year, PayPal expects revenue to grow 20% to $25.75 billion, and the company called for adjusted earnings to grow 21% to $4.70. Analysts polled by Refinitiv had been looking for $4.57 in adjusted earnings per share and $25.71 billion in revenue.</p><p><blockquote>PayPal预计全年营收将增长20%至257.5亿美元，该公司预计调整后盈利将增长21%至4.70美元。Refinitiv调查的分析师此前预计调整后每股收益为4.57美元，营收为257.1亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Excluding the after-hours move, PayPal stock has risen about 5.9% since the start of the year, while theNasdaqis up about 5.5% over the same period.</p><p><blockquote>排除盘后走势，PayPal股价自今年年初以来已上涨约5.9%，而纳斯达克指数同期上涨约5.5%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PYPL":"PayPal"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1190727792","content_text":"PayPal shares rose as much as 5.5% in extended trading on Wednesday after reporting first-quarter earnings that were stronger than analysts had expected.Here’s how the company did:Earnings per share:$1.22, adjusted, vs. $1.01 per share expected in a Refinitiv survey of analystsRevenue:$6.03 billion vs. $5.90 billion expected by RefinitivTotal payment volume:$285 billion vs. $265 billionexpected in a FactSet surveyPayPal shares rose as much as 5.5% in extended trading on Wednesday after reporting first-quarter earnings that were stronger than analysts had expected.First quarter net profit rose to $1.10 billion from $84 million a year earlier, and the company added 14.5 million net new active accounts, bringing its total user base to 392 million.Revenue grew 31% year over year in the quarter that ended Mar. 31, according to a statement. In the year-ago quarter, the pandemic fomented a surge in online shopping, helping todrive record payment volumefor the quarter and the full year.On the company’s earnings call, CEO Dan Schulman pointed to cryptocurrency as a key growth engine for the company.“We’ve got a tremendous amount of really great results going on tactically with our crypto efforts,” said Schulman. He went on to say that half of crypto users open their PayPal app daily, suggesting that it increases engagement for users.The mobile payments company made a big push into crypto in the last six months, allowing users in the U.S. to buy, sell, and check out with cryptocurrencies.With its network of 26 million retailers, PayPal’s crypto ambitions have positioned the company as a rival to Coinbase, the country’smost popular crypto exchange.The company also announced plans to roll out a “next-generation digital wallet” in the third quarter. Schulman described the product as an “all-in-one, personalized app [that] will provide increasingly customized and unique shopping, financial services, and payments experiences.”With respect to guidance, for the second quarter PayPal sees adjusted earnings of $1.12 per share on $6.25 billion in revenue. Analysts surveyed by Refinitiv had expected $1.10 in adjusted earnings per share on $6.16 billion in revenue.For the full year, PayPal expects revenue to grow 20% to $25.75 billion, and the company called for adjusted earnings to grow 21% to $4.70. Analysts polled by Refinitiv had been looking for $4.57 in adjusted earnings per share and $25.71 billion in revenue.Excluding the after-hours move, PayPal stock has risen about 5.9% since the start of the year, while theNasdaqis up about 5.5% over the same period.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PYPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1289,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":105977878,"gmtCreate":1620266980894,"gmtModify":1634206512517,"author":{"id":"3568609081739898","authorId":"3568609081739898","name":"Hminnnn","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ade2868ed76324c40090eda06ebd0e32","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3568609081739898","idStr":"3568609081739898"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Happy]&nbsp;[Happy]&nbsp;[Happy]&nbsp;","listText":"[Happy]&nbsp;[Happy]&nbsp;[Happy]&nbsp;","text":"[Happy] [Happy] [Happy]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/105977878","repostId":"2133528055","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":454,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":103155185,"gmtCreate":1619759182147,"gmtModify":1634210113979,"author":{"id":"3568609081739898","authorId":"3568609081739898","name":"Hminnnn","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ade2868ed76324c40090eda06ebd0e32","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3568609081739898","idStr":"3568609081739898"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Huats [Happy]&nbsp;[Happy]&nbsp;[Happy]&nbsp;[Happy]&nbsp;[Happy]&nbsp;[Happy]&nbsp;[Happy]&nbsp;[Happy]&nbsp;[Happy]&nbsp;[Happy]&nbsp;[Happy]&nbsp;","listText":"Huats [Happy]&nbsp;[Happy]&nbsp;[Happy]&nbsp;[Happy]&nbsp;[Happy]&nbsp;[Happy]&nbsp;[Happy]&nbsp;[Happy]&nbsp;[Happy]&nbsp;[Happy]&nbsp;[Happy]&nbsp;","text":"Huats [Happy] [Happy] [Happy] [Happy] [Happy] [Happy] [Happy] [Happy] [Happy] [Happy] [Happy]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/103155185","repostId":"1162866378","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1162866378","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1619683319,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1162866378?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-29 16:01","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple rose nearly 3% in premarket trading<blockquote>苹果盘前交易涨近3%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1162866378","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Apple rose nearly 3% in premarket trading, Q2 revenue increased by 54%, and announced a $90 billion ","content":"<p>Apple rose nearly 3% in premarket trading, Q2 revenue increased by 54%, and announced a $90 billion repurchase of stock.</p><p><blockquote>苹果盘前涨近3%，Q2营收增54%，宣布回购900亿美元股票。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/423f74f0188801e5c5f2e9c726de52f6\" tg-width=\"1302\" tg-height=\"833\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Apple Delivers Blowout Q1, Lifts Buybacks by $90B</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果第一季度业绩井喷，回购量增加90B美元</b></blockquote></p><p>Apple reported Wednesday better-than-expected first-quarter results as revenue hit a record high following a surge in services and iPhones growth. Apple said it would increase its existing share buyback program by $90 billion.</p><p><blockquote>苹果周三公布了好于预期的第一季度业绩，在服务和iPhone增长激增后，收入创下历史新高。苹果表示，将把现有的股票回购计划增加900亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Apple announced earnings per share of $1.40 on revenue of $89.58 billion. Analysts polled by Investing.com anticipated EPS of 98 cents on revenue of $76.71 billion.</p><p><blockquote>苹果公布每股收益1.40美元，营收895.8亿美元。Investing.com调查的分析师预计每股收益为98美分，营收为767.1亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>iPhone revenue, which makes up about half of total revenue, rose to $47.94. billion from $28.96 billion a year earlier, beating estimates of $40.8 billion, driven by strong demand from the latest slate of iPhones.</p><p><blockquote>约占总收入一半的iPhone收入升至47.94美元。由于最新一系列iPhone的强劲需求，销售额从去年同期的289.6亿美元增至10亿美元，超出了预期的408亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Revenue from Apple’s service business including Apple News, Apple TV+ and iCloud, grew to $16.90 billion from $13.3 billion, beating estimates of $15.53 billion.</p><p><blockquote>苹果服务业务（包括苹果新闻、苹果TV+和iCloud）的收入从133亿美元增长至169亿美元，超出预期的155.3亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Wearables, home and accessories generated $7.8 billion in revenue, up from $6.3 billion, beating consensus of&nbsp; $7.45 billion.</p><p><blockquote>可穿戴设备、家居和配件创造了78亿美元的收入，高于63亿美元，高于市场预期的74.5亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Apple declared a cash dividend of 22 cents per share, an increase of 7%.</p><p><blockquote>苹果宣布每股派发现金股息22美分，增长7%。</blockquote></p><p>\"These results allowed us to generate operating cash flow of $24 billion and return nearly $23 billion to shareholders during the quarter,\" Apple said in a statement.</p><p><blockquote>苹果在一份声明中表示：“这些业绩使我们在本季度产生了240亿美元的运营现金流，并向股东返还了近230亿美元。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple rose nearly 3% in premarket trading<blockquote>苹果盘前交易涨近3%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple rose nearly 3% in premarket trading<blockquote>苹果盘前交易涨近3%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-04-29 16:01</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Apple rose nearly 3% in premarket trading, Q2 revenue increased by 54%, and announced a $90 billion repurchase of stock.</p><p><blockquote>苹果盘前涨近3%，Q2营收增54%，宣布回购900亿美元股票。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/423f74f0188801e5c5f2e9c726de52f6\" tg-width=\"1302\" tg-height=\"833\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Apple Delivers Blowout Q1, Lifts Buybacks by $90B</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果第一季度业绩井喷，回购量增加90B美元</b></blockquote></p><p>Apple reported Wednesday better-than-expected first-quarter results as revenue hit a record high following a surge in services and iPhones growth. Apple said it would increase its existing share buyback program by $90 billion.</p><p><blockquote>苹果周三公布了好于预期的第一季度业绩，在服务和iPhone增长激增后，收入创下历史新高。苹果表示，将把现有的股票回购计划增加900亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Apple announced earnings per share of $1.40 on revenue of $89.58 billion. Analysts polled by Investing.com anticipated EPS of 98 cents on revenue of $76.71 billion.</p><p><blockquote>苹果公布每股收益1.40美元，营收895.8亿美元。Investing.com调查的分析师预计每股收益为98美分，营收为767.1亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>iPhone revenue, which makes up about half of total revenue, rose to $47.94. billion from $28.96 billion a year earlier, beating estimates of $40.8 billion, driven by strong demand from the latest slate of iPhones.</p><p><blockquote>约占总收入一半的iPhone收入升至47.94美元。由于最新一系列iPhone的强劲需求，销售额从去年同期的289.6亿美元增至10亿美元，超出了预期的408亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Revenue from Apple’s service business including Apple News, Apple TV+ and iCloud, grew to $16.90 billion from $13.3 billion, beating estimates of $15.53 billion.</p><p><blockquote>苹果服务业务（包括苹果新闻、苹果TV+和iCloud）的收入从133亿美元增长至169亿美元，超出预期的155.3亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Wearables, home and accessories generated $7.8 billion in revenue, up from $6.3 billion, beating consensus of&nbsp; $7.45 billion.</p><p><blockquote>可穿戴设备、家居和配件创造了78亿美元的收入，高于63亿美元，高于市场预期的74.5亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Apple declared a cash dividend of 22 cents per share, an increase of 7%.</p><p><blockquote>苹果宣布每股派发现金股息22美分，增长7%。</blockquote></p><p>\"These results allowed us to generate operating cash flow of $24 billion and return nearly $23 billion to shareholders during the quarter,\" Apple said in a statement.</p><p><blockquote>苹果在一份声明中表示：“这些业绩使我们在本季度产生了240亿美元的运营现金流，并向股东返还了近230亿美元。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1162866378","content_text":"Apple rose nearly 3% in premarket trading, Q2 revenue increased by 54%, and announced a $90 billion repurchase of stock.Apple Delivers Blowout Q1, Lifts Buybacks by $90BApple reported Wednesday better-than-expected first-quarter results as revenue hit a record high following a surge in services and iPhones growth. Apple said it would increase its existing share buyback program by $90 billion.Apple announced earnings per share of $1.40 on revenue of $89.58 billion. Analysts polled by Investing.com anticipated EPS of 98 cents on revenue of $76.71 billion.iPhone revenue, which makes up about half of total revenue, rose to $47.94. billion from $28.96 billion a year earlier, beating estimates of $40.8 billion, driven by strong demand from the latest slate of iPhones.Revenue from Apple’s service business including Apple News, Apple TV+ and iCloud, grew to $16.90 billion from $13.3 billion, beating estimates of $15.53 billion.Wearables, home and accessories generated $7.8 billion in revenue, up from $6.3 billion, beating consensus of  $7.45 billion.Apple declared a cash dividend of 22 cents per share, an increase of 7%.\"These results allowed us to generate operating cash flow of $24 billion and return nearly $23 billion to shareholders during the quarter,\" Apple said in a statement.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":522,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":103155079,"gmtCreate":1619759151691,"gmtModify":1634210114218,"author":{"id":"3568609081739898","authorId":"3568609081739898","name":"Hminnnn","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ade2868ed76324c40090eda06ebd0e32","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3568609081739898","idStr":"3568609081739898"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Oooooo faceboooooooo [Happy]&nbsp;[Happy]&nbsp;&nbsp;","listText":"Oooooo faceboooooooo [Happy]&nbsp;[Happy]&nbsp;&nbsp;","text":"Oooooo faceboooooooo [Happy] [Happy]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/103155079","repostId":"1184532867","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":671,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":100157918,"gmtCreate":1619593292634,"gmtModify":1634211484383,"author":{"id":"3568609081739898","authorId":"3568609081739898","name":"Hminnnn","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ade2868ed76324c40090eda06ebd0e32","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3568609081739898","idStr":"3568609081739898"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Apple! [Serious]&nbsp;[Serious]&nbsp;[Serious]&nbsp;","listText":"Apple! [Serious]&nbsp;[Serious]&nbsp;[Serious]&nbsp;","text":"Apple! [Serious] [Serious] [Serious]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/100157918","repostId":"1179396069","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1179396069","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1619573853,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1179396069?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-28 09:37","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Could Blow the Top Off Earnings—Again. What That Would Mean for the Stock.<blockquote>苹果的盈利可能会再次飙升。这对股票意味着什么。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1179396069","media":"Barrons","summary":"Apple has its work cut out for it trying to surpass 2020’s blowout results. The thing is, the tech g","content":"<p>Apple has its work cut out for it trying to surpass 2020’s blowout results. The thing is, the tech giant just might be able to pull it off.</p><p><blockquote>苹果要想超越2020年的井喷业绩，还有很多工作要做。问题是，这家科技巨头也许能够成功。</blockquote></p><p> The buzz around Apple last year was off the charts, even for what is the buzziest of technology companies. Anticipation of the fall launch of the company’s first 5G phones, surging demand for both Macs and iPads as the pandemic rolled on, and strength in both wearables and services fed off each other. The pieces all came together in the December quarter, when Apple (ticker: AAPL) posted&nbsp;its biggest quarter ever. Sales soared 21% to $111.4 billion, more than $8 billion over the Street consensus. Every product category—iPhone, iPad, Macs, wearables, and services—notched double-digit growth. Apple stock finished the year up 81%, adding nearly $1 trillion to its market cap.</p><p><blockquote>去年围绕苹果的热度超出了图表，即使是对于最热门的科技公司来说也是如此。对该公司首款5G手机将于秋季推出的预期，随着疫情的发展，对Mac和iPad的需求激增，以及可穿戴设备和服务的实力相互促进。所有这些因素都在12月季度集中在一起，当时苹果（股票代码：AAPL）公布了有史以来最大的季度业绩。销售额飙升21%，达到1114亿美元，比华尔街普遍预期高出80亿美元。每个产品类别——iPhone、iPad、Mac、可穿戴设备和服务——都实现了两位数的增长。苹果股价全年上涨81%，市值增加近1万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> That’s a tough act to follow, particularly with the March quarter, which always slows from the holiday-boosted December quarter. But Apple could pull off the quintuple double again when its results come out after the bell Wednesday. The Street certainly thinks so, even if the market, which has pushed Apple shares up less than 2% in 2021, has been more cautious. Consensus estimates call for double-digit increases from last year across the board: iPhones sales up 43%, to $41.4 billion; iPad sales up 29%, to $5.6 billion; Mac sales of $6.8 billion, up 27%; wearables sales (mostly Apple Watch and AirPods) of $7.4 billion, up 18%; and a 16% bump in services, to $15.5 billion.</p><p><blockquote>这是一个很难遵循的行为，尤其是在3月份季度，该季度总是比假期提振的12月份季度放缓。但当周三盘后公布结果时，苹果可能会再次实现五倍的增长。华尔街当然是这么认为的，尽管2021年推动苹果股价上涨不到2%的市场更加谨慎。市场普遍预计看涨期权将比去年全面实现两位数增长：iPhone销售额增长43%，达到414亿美元；iPad销售额增长29%，达到56亿美元；Mac销售额68亿美元，增长27%；可穿戴设备销售额（主要是苹果手表和AirPods）为74亿美元，增长18%；服务业增长16%，达到155亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Overall, the Street consensus expects sales of $77 billion, up 32% from a year ago, with profits of 98 cents a share. That would be the fastest top-line growth rate for any Apple quarter since March 2012, when revenues were about half what they are now. And most bullish Apple analysts seem to think their own estimates are too low—a print at $77 billion would likely trigger a selloff in the stock.</p><p><blockquote>总体而言，华尔街普遍预计销售额为770亿美元，比去年同期增长32%，每股利润为98美分。这将是苹果自2012年3月以来最快的营收增长率，当时的收入约为现在的一半。大多数看涨的苹果分析师似乎认为他们自己的估计太低了——770亿美元的股价可能会引发该股的抛售。</blockquote></p><p> Apple is also&nbsp;expected to provide an update on its capital-allocation strategy. A year ago,the company announced a 6% dividend increase, and boosted its stock repurchase plan by $50 billion. Apple has said repeatedly that it is pushing to get to a cash neutral position, but its remarkably big cash flow has slowed progress toward that goal.</p><p><blockquote>预计苹果还将提供其资本配置策略的最新信息。一年前，该公司宣布将股息增加6%，并将股票回购计划增加500亿美元。苹果一再表示，它正在努力实现现金中性头寸，但其庞大的现金流减缓了实现这一目标的进展。</blockquote></p><p> As always, the quarter is about more than just earnings.</p><p><blockquote>与往常一样，本季度不仅仅是盈利。</blockquote></p><p> For one, the Street will be looking for signs that the sales surge for Macs and iPads is sustainable—and that the company is keeping up with demand despite widespread chip and display shortages. Some investors worry that the spike in PC demand could ebb as more people return to schools and offices. They’ll be looking for company guidance on that point.</p><p><blockquote>其一，华尔街将寻找Mac和iPad销量激增可持续的迹象，以及尽管芯片和显示屏普遍短缺，但该公司仍能满足需求的迹象。一些投资者担心，随着越来越多的人返回学校和办公室，个人电脑需求的激增可能会消退。他们将在这一点上寻求公司的指导。</blockquote></p><p> Another is the sustainability of the resurgence in iPhone growth. There were high hopes among bulls that the iPhone 12 would drive a “supercycle” with an accelerated replacement cycle. Several analysts have noted that a clear consumer preference for the high end of the iPhone 12 line is driving up average selling prices, which should support a strong revenue quarter for the segment.</p><p><blockquote>另一个是iPhone增长复苏的可持续性。多头曾寄予厚望，认为iPhone 12将推动换机周期加速的“超级周期”。几位分析师指出，消费者对iPhone 12系列高端产品的明显偏好正在推高平均售价，这应该会支持该细分市场强劲的收入季度。</blockquote></p><p> “Given the later-than-seasonal launch of new iPhones in the fall of 2020, we believe iPhone demand will experience more favorable year-over-year comparisons this March quarter compared to past years,” writes Monness Crespi Hardt’s Brian White, who sees 47% iPhone revenue growth during the quarter.</p><p><blockquote>Monness Crespi Hardt的布莱恩·怀特(Brian White)写道：“鉴于2020年秋季新款iPhone的发布时间晚于季节性，我们相信，与过去几年相比，今年3月季度的iPhone需求将经历更有利的同比比较。”预计本季度iPhone收入将增长47%。</blockquote></p><p> And if Apple pulls it all together? Apple could crush Street estimates, writes Morgan Stanley analyst Katy Huberty, who has an Overweight rating and a $158 price target on the stock, up 17% from Monday’s close of $134.72. She sees the top line above $80 billion, with all segments growing at least 19% year over year. She is especially bullish on Mac and iPad sales, with estimates far above consensus—53% for Macs and 52% for iPads. She also expects Apple to increase its dividend by 10% and expand its stock repurchase program by $60 billion.</p><p><blockquote>如果苹果把这一切都拼凑起来呢？摩根士丹利分析师凯蒂·休伯蒂(Katy Huberty)写道，苹果可能会超出华尔街的预期，她对该股给予跑赢大盘评级，目标价为158美元，较周一收盘价134.72美元上涨17%。她预计营收将超过800亿美元，所有细分市场同比至少增长19%。她尤其看好Mac和iPad的销量，预期远高于市场普遍预期——Mac销量为53%，iPad销量为52%。她还预计苹果将股息提高10%，并将股票回购计划扩大600亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> That would certainly qualify as a job well done.</p><p><blockquote>这当然是一项出色的工作。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Could Blow the Top Off Earnings—Again. What That Would Mean for the Stock.<blockquote>苹果的盈利可能会再次飙升。这对股票意味着什么。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Could Blow the Top Off Earnings—Again. What That Would Mean for the Stock.<blockquote>苹果的盈利可能会再次飙升。这对股票意味着什么。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-04-28 09:37</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Apple has its work cut out for it trying to surpass 2020’s blowout results. The thing is, the tech giant just might be able to pull it off.</p><p><blockquote>苹果要想超越2020年的井喷业绩，还有很多工作要做。问题是，这家科技巨头也许能够成功。</blockquote></p><p> The buzz around Apple last year was off the charts, even for what is the buzziest of technology companies. Anticipation of the fall launch of the company’s first 5G phones, surging demand for both Macs and iPads as the pandemic rolled on, and strength in both wearables and services fed off each other. The pieces all came together in the December quarter, when Apple (ticker: AAPL) posted&nbsp;its biggest quarter ever. Sales soared 21% to $111.4 billion, more than $8 billion over the Street consensus. Every product category—iPhone, iPad, Macs, wearables, and services—notched double-digit growth. Apple stock finished the year up 81%, adding nearly $1 trillion to its market cap.</p><p><blockquote>去年围绕苹果的热度超出了图表，即使是对于最热门的科技公司来说也是如此。对该公司首款5G手机将于秋季推出的预期，随着疫情的发展，对Mac和iPad的需求激增，以及可穿戴设备和服务的实力相互促进。所有这些因素都在12月季度集中在一起，当时苹果（股票代码：AAPL）公布了有史以来最大的季度业绩。销售额飙升21%，达到1114亿美元，比华尔街普遍预期高出80亿美元。每个产品类别——iPhone、iPad、Mac、可穿戴设备和服务——都实现了两位数的增长。苹果股价全年上涨81%，市值增加近1万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> That’s a tough act to follow, particularly with the March quarter, which always slows from the holiday-boosted December quarter. But Apple could pull off the quintuple double again when its results come out after the bell Wednesday. The Street certainly thinks so, even if the market, which has pushed Apple shares up less than 2% in 2021, has been more cautious. Consensus estimates call for double-digit increases from last year across the board: iPhones sales up 43%, to $41.4 billion; iPad sales up 29%, to $5.6 billion; Mac sales of $6.8 billion, up 27%; wearables sales (mostly Apple Watch and AirPods) of $7.4 billion, up 18%; and a 16% bump in services, to $15.5 billion.</p><p><blockquote>这是一个很难遵循的行为，尤其是在3月份季度，该季度总是比假期提振的12月份季度放缓。但当周三盘后公布结果时，苹果可能会再次实现五倍的增长。华尔街当然是这么认为的，尽管2021年推动苹果股价上涨不到2%的市场更加谨慎。市场普遍预计看涨期权将比去年全面实现两位数增长：iPhone销售额增长43%，达到414亿美元；iPad销售额增长29%，达到56亿美元；Mac销售额68亿美元，增长27%；可穿戴设备销售额（主要是苹果手表和AirPods）为74亿美元，增长18%；服务业增长16%，达到155亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Overall, the Street consensus expects sales of $77 billion, up 32% from a year ago, with profits of 98 cents a share. That would be the fastest top-line growth rate for any Apple quarter since March 2012, when revenues were about half what they are now. And most bullish Apple analysts seem to think their own estimates are too low—a print at $77 billion would likely trigger a selloff in the stock.</p><p><blockquote>总体而言，华尔街普遍预计销售额为770亿美元，比去年同期增长32%，每股利润为98美分。这将是苹果自2012年3月以来最快的营收增长率，当时的收入约为现在的一半。大多数看涨的苹果分析师似乎认为他们自己的估计太低了——770亿美元的股价可能会引发该股的抛售。</blockquote></p><p> Apple is also&nbsp;expected to provide an update on its capital-allocation strategy. A year ago,the company announced a 6% dividend increase, and boosted its stock repurchase plan by $50 billion. Apple has said repeatedly that it is pushing to get to a cash neutral position, but its remarkably big cash flow has slowed progress toward that goal.</p><p><blockquote>预计苹果还将提供其资本配置策略的最新信息。一年前，该公司宣布将股息增加6%，并将股票回购计划增加500亿美元。苹果一再表示，它正在努力实现现金中性头寸，但其庞大的现金流减缓了实现这一目标的进展。</blockquote></p><p> As always, the quarter is about more than just earnings.</p><p><blockquote>与往常一样，本季度不仅仅是盈利。</blockquote></p><p> For one, the Street will be looking for signs that the sales surge for Macs and iPads is sustainable—and that the company is keeping up with demand despite widespread chip and display shortages. Some investors worry that the spike in PC demand could ebb as more people return to schools and offices. They’ll be looking for company guidance on that point.</p><p><blockquote>其一，华尔街将寻找Mac和iPad销量激增可持续的迹象，以及尽管芯片和显示屏普遍短缺，但该公司仍能满足需求的迹象。一些投资者担心，随着越来越多的人返回学校和办公室，个人电脑需求的激增可能会消退。他们将在这一点上寻求公司的指导。</blockquote></p><p> Another is the sustainability of the resurgence in iPhone growth. There were high hopes among bulls that the iPhone 12 would drive a “supercycle” with an accelerated replacement cycle. Several analysts have noted that a clear consumer preference for the high end of the iPhone 12 line is driving up average selling prices, which should support a strong revenue quarter for the segment.</p><p><blockquote>另一个是iPhone增长复苏的可持续性。多头曾寄予厚望，认为iPhone 12将推动换机周期加速的“超级周期”。几位分析师指出，消费者对iPhone 12系列高端产品的明显偏好正在推高平均售价，这应该会支持该细分市场强劲的收入季度。</blockquote></p><p> “Given the later-than-seasonal launch of new iPhones in the fall of 2020, we believe iPhone demand will experience more favorable year-over-year comparisons this March quarter compared to past years,” writes Monness Crespi Hardt’s Brian White, who sees 47% iPhone revenue growth during the quarter.</p><p><blockquote>Monness Crespi Hardt的布莱恩·怀特(Brian White)写道：“鉴于2020年秋季新款iPhone的发布时间晚于季节性，我们相信，与过去几年相比，今年3月季度的iPhone需求将经历更有利的同比比较。”预计本季度iPhone收入将增长47%。</blockquote></p><p> And if Apple pulls it all together? Apple could crush Street estimates, writes Morgan Stanley analyst Katy Huberty, who has an Overweight rating and a $158 price target on the stock, up 17% from Monday’s close of $134.72. She sees the top line above $80 billion, with all segments growing at least 19% year over year. She is especially bullish on Mac and iPad sales, with estimates far above consensus—53% for Macs and 52% for iPads. She also expects Apple to increase its dividend by 10% and expand its stock repurchase program by $60 billion.</p><p><blockquote>如果苹果把这一切都拼凑起来呢？摩根士丹利分析师凯蒂·休伯蒂(Katy Huberty)写道，苹果可能会超出华尔街的预期，她对该股给予跑赢大盘评级，目标价为158美元，较周一收盘价134.72美元上涨17%。她预计营收将超过800亿美元，所有细分市场同比至少增长19%。她尤其看好Mac和iPad的销量，预期远高于市场普遍预期——Mac销量为53%，iPad销量为52%。她还预计苹果将股息提高10%，并将股票回购计划扩大600亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> That would certainly qualify as a job well done.</p><p><blockquote>这当然是一项出色的工作。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/apple-could-blow-the-top-off-earningsagain-what-that-would-mean-for-the-stock-51619495288?mod=hp_DAY_Theme_1_2\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/apple-could-blow-the-top-off-earningsagain-what-that-would-mean-for-the-stock-51619495288?mod=hp_DAY_Theme_1_2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1179396069","content_text":"Apple has its work cut out for it trying to surpass 2020’s blowout results. The thing is, the tech giant just might be able to pull it off.\nThe buzz around Apple last year was off the charts, even for what is the buzziest of technology companies. Anticipation of the fall launch of the company’s first 5G phones, surging demand for both Macs and iPads as the pandemic rolled on, and strength in both wearables and services fed off each other. The pieces all came together in the December quarter, when Apple (ticker: AAPL) posted its biggest quarter ever. Sales soared 21% to $111.4 billion, more than $8 billion over the Street consensus. Every product category—iPhone, iPad, Macs, wearables, and services—notched double-digit growth. Apple stock finished the year up 81%, adding nearly $1 trillion to its market cap.\nThat’s a tough act to follow, particularly with the March quarter, which always slows from the holiday-boosted December quarter. But Apple could pull off the quintuple double again when its results come out after the bell Wednesday. The Street certainly thinks so, even if the market, which has pushed Apple shares up less than 2% in 2021, has been more cautious. Consensus estimates call for double-digit increases from last year across the board: iPhones sales up 43%, to $41.4 billion; iPad sales up 29%, to $5.6 billion; Mac sales of $6.8 billion, up 27%; wearables sales (mostly Apple Watch and AirPods) of $7.4 billion, up 18%; and a 16% bump in services, to $15.5 billion.\nOverall, the Street consensus expects sales of $77 billion, up 32% from a year ago, with profits of 98 cents a share. That would be the fastest top-line growth rate for any Apple quarter since March 2012, when revenues were about half what they are now. And most bullish Apple analysts seem to think their own estimates are too low—a print at $77 billion would likely trigger a selloff in the stock.\nApple is also expected to provide an update on its capital-allocation strategy. A year ago,the company announced a 6% dividend increase, and boosted its stock repurchase plan by $50 billion. Apple has said repeatedly that it is pushing to get to a cash neutral position, but its remarkably big cash flow has slowed progress toward that goal.\nAs always, the quarter is about more than just earnings.\nFor one, the Street will be looking for signs that the sales surge for Macs and iPads is sustainable—and that the company is keeping up with demand despite widespread chip and display shortages. Some investors worry that the spike in PC demand could ebb as more people return to schools and offices. They’ll be looking for company guidance on that point.\nAnother is the sustainability of the resurgence in iPhone growth. There were high hopes among bulls that the iPhone 12 would drive a “supercycle” with an accelerated replacement cycle. Several analysts have noted that a clear consumer preference for the high end of the iPhone 12 line is driving up average selling prices, which should support a strong revenue quarter for the segment.\n“Given the later-than-seasonal launch of new iPhones in the fall of 2020, we believe iPhone demand will experience more favorable year-over-year comparisons this March quarter compared to past years,” writes Monness Crespi Hardt’s Brian White, who sees 47% iPhone revenue growth during the quarter.\nAnd if Apple pulls it all together? Apple could crush Street estimates, writes Morgan Stanley analyst Katy Huberty, who has an Overweight rating and a $158 price target on the stock, up 17% from Monday’s close of $134.72. She sees the top line above $80 billion, with all segments growing at least 19% year over year. She is especially bullish on Mac and iPad sales, with estimates far above consensus—53% for Macs and 52% for iPads. She also expects Apple to increase its dividend by 10% and expand its stock repurchase program by $60 billion.\nThat would certainly qualify as a job well done.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":491,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":372988891,"gmtCreate":1619168291014,"gmtModify":1634288040326,"author":{"id":"3568609081739898","authorId":"3568609081739898","name":"Hminnnn","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ade2868ed76324c40090eda06ebd0e32","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3568609081739898","idStr":"3568609081739898"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Smile]&nbsp;[Smile]&nbsp;","listText":"[Smile]&nbsp;[Smile]&nbsp;","text":"[Smile] [Smile]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/372988891","repostId":"1144940040","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":439,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":372981154,"gmtCreate":1619168224678,"gmtModify":1634288040903,"author":{"id":"3568609081739898","authorId":"3568609081739898","name":"Hminnnn","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ade2868ed76324c40090eda06ebd0e32","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3568609081739898","idStr":"3568609081739898"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Serious]&nbsp;[Serious]&nbsp;","listText":"[Serious]&nbsp;[Serious]&nbsp;","text":"[Serious] [Serious]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/372981154","repostId":"1109677270","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1109677270","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1619165270,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1109677270?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-23 16:07","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why crypto stocks tumbled in premarket trading<blockquote>为什么加密货币股票在盘前交易中暴跌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1109677270","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Crypto stocks tumbled in premarket trading after Bitcoin falling more than 8% as cryptos stumble ove","content":"<p>Crypto stocks tumbled in premarket trading&nbsp;after&nbsp;Bitcoin falling more&nbsp;than&nbsp;8% as cryptos stumble over Biden tax plans.Canaan&nbsp;Inc.&nbsp;and&nbsp;Riot Blockchain&nbsp;fell&nbsp;more&nbsp;than&nbsp;9%,Marathon&nbsp;Digital,The9&nbsp;and&nbsp;SOS&nbsp;Limited&nbsp;fell&nbsp;nearly&nbsp;8%,Bit Digital&nbsp;fell&nbsp;nearly&nbsp;7%,Coinbase&nbsp;fell&nbsp;nearly&nbsp;4%.</p><p><blockquote>加密货币股票在盘前交易中暴跌，此前比特币下跌超过8%，原因是加密货币因拜登税收计划而跌跌撞撞。嘉楠耘智和Riot Blockchain跌超9%，Marathon Digital、The 9和SOS Limited跌近8%，Bit Digital跌近7%，比特币基地跌近4%。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8df1b71a6465ba625a78a685cbdd8d4f\" tg-width=\"415\" tg-height=\"543\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies suffered hefty losses on Friday amid fears that U.S. President Joe Biden's plan to raise capital gains taxes will curb investment in digital assets.</p><p><blockquote>由于担心美国总统拜登提高资本利得税的计划将抑制对数字资产的投资，比特币和其他加密货币周五遭受重挫。</blockquote></p><p>Bitcoin slumped 8% to below $48000 / piece in a third straight session of losses while Ether and XPR suffered double digit tumbles.</p><p><blockquote>比特币下跌8%，至48000美元/件以下，连续第三个交易日下跌，而以太币和XPR则遭遇两位数跌幅。</blockquote></p><p>\"The crypto currency came under fresh pressure on the Biden tax headlines,\" Deutsche Bank's Jim Reid wrote in a note to clients.</p><p><blockquote>德意志银行的吉姆·里德在给客户的一份报告中写道：“拜登税收头条新闻给加密货币带来了新的压力。”</blockquote></p><p>Bitcoin, the world's biggest cryptocurrency, is on track for a 15% loss on the week. However, the latest tumbles come in the wake of a sharp rally with Bitcoin still up 65% since the start of the year.</p><p><blockquote>全球最大的加密货币比特币本周有望下跌15%。然而，最近的暴跌是在大幅上涨之后发生的，比特币自今年年初以来仍上涨了65%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why crypto stocks tumbled in premarket trading<blockquote>为什么加密货币股票在盘前交易中暴跌</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy crypto stocks tumbled in premarket trading<blockquote>为什么加密货币股票在盘前交易中暴跌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-04-23 16:07</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Crypto stocks tumbled in premarket trading&nbsp;after&nbsp;Bitcoin falling more&nbsp;than&nbsp;8% as cryptos stumble over Biden tax plans.Canaan&nbsp;Inc.&nbsp;and&nbsp;Riot Blockchain&nbsp;fell&nbsp;more&nbsp;than&nbsp;9%,Marathon&nbsp;Digital,The9&nbsp;and&nbsp;SOS&nbsp;Limited&nbsp;fell&nbsp;nearly&nbsp;8%,Bit Digital&nbsp;fell&nbsp;nearly&nbsp;7%,Coinbase&nbsp;fell&nbsp;nearly&nbsp;4%.</p><p><blockquote>加密货币股票在盘前交易中暴跌，此前比特币下跌超过8%，原因是加密货币因拜登税收计划而跌跌撞撞。嘉楠耘智和Riot Blockchain跌超9%，Marathon Digital、The 9和SOS Limited跌近8%，Bit Digital跌近7%，比特币基地跌近4%。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8df1b71a6465ba625a78a685cbdd8d4f\" tg-width=\"415\" tg-height=\"543\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies suffered hefty losses on Friday amid fears that U.S. President Joe Biden's plan to raise capital gains taxes will curb investment in digital assets.</p><p><blockquote>由于担心美国总统拜登提高资本利得税的计划将抑制对数字资产的投资，比特币和其他加密货币周五遭受重挫。</blockquote></p><p>Bitcoin slumped 8% to below $48000 / piece in a third straight session of losses while Ether and XPR suffered double digit tumbles.</p><p><blockquote>比特币下跌8%，至48000美元/件以下，连续第三个交易日下跌，而以太币和XPR则遭遇两位数跌幅。</blockquote></p><p>\"The crypto currency came under fresh pressure on the Biden tax headlines,\" Deutsche Bank's Jim Reid wrote in a note to clients.</p><p><blockquote>德意志银行的吉姆·里德在给客户的一份报告中写道：“拜登税收头条新闻给加密货币带来了新的压力。”</blockquote></p><p>Bitcoin, the world's biggest cryptocurrency, is on track for a 15% loss on the week. However, the latest tumbles come in the wake of a sharp rally with Bitcoin still up 65% since the start of the year.</p><p><blockquote>全球最大的加密货币比特币本周有望下跌15%。然而，最近的暴跌是在大幅上涨之后发生的，比特币自今年年初以来仍上涨了65%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BTBT":"Bit Digital, Inc.","COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc.","SOS":"SOS Limited","CAN":"嘉楠科技","NCTY":"第九城市","RIOT":"Riot Platforms","MARA":"MARA Holdings"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1109677270","content_text":"Crypto stocks tumbled in premarket trading after Bitcoin falling more than 8% as cryptos stumble over Biden tax plans.Canaan Inc. and Riot Blockchain fell more than 9%,Marathon Digital,The9 and SOS Limited fell nearly 8%,Bit Digital fell nearly 7%,Coinbase fell nearly 4%.Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies suffered hefty losses on Friday amid fears that U.S. President Joe Biden's plan to raise capital gains taxes will curb investment in digital assets.Bitcoin slumped 8% to below $48000 / piece in a third straight session of losses while Ether and XPR suffered double digit tumbles.\"The crypto currency came under fresh pressure on the Biden tax headlines,\" Deutsche Bank's Jim Reid wrote in a note to clients.Bitcoin, the world's biggest cryptocurrency, is on track for a 15% loss on the week. However, the latest tumbles come in the wake of a sharp rally with Bitcoin still up 65% since the start of the year.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"CAN":0.9,"NCTY":0.9,"BTBT":0.9,"MARA":0.9,"RIOT":0.9,"SOS":0.9,"COIN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":580,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":372983552,"gmtCreate":1619168196276,"gmtModify":1634288041263,"author":{"id":"3568609081739898","authorId":"3568609081739898","name":"Hminnnn","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ade2868ed76324c40090eda06ebd0e32","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3568609081739898","idStr":"3568609081739898"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Smile]&nbsp;[Smile]&nbsp;[Smile]&nbsp;","listText":"[Smile]&nbsp;[Smile]&nbsp;[Smile]&nbsp;","text":"[Smile] [Smile] [Smile]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/372983552","repostId":"1144940040","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":510,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":342440682,"gmtCreate":1618238821646,"gmtModify":1634294223579,"author":{"id":"3568609081739898","authorId":"3568609081739898","name":"Hminnnn","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ade2868ed76324c40090eda06ebd0e32","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3568609081739898","idStr":"3568609081739898"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[开心]&nbsp;[开心]&nbsp;[开心]&nbsp;","listText":"[开心]&nbsp;[开心]&nbsp;[开心]&nbsp;","text":"[开心] [开心] [开心]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c483f12409c96bdf16be1a4c22dd3b08","width":"1125","height":"3116"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/342440682","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":770,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":354853275,"gmtCreate":1617160615597,"gmtModify":1634522335239,"author":{"id":"3568609081739898","authorId":"3568609081739898","name":"Hminnnn","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ade2868ed76324c40090eda06ebd0e32","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3568609081739898","idStr":"3568609081739898"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Oh man&nbsp;","listText":"Oh man&nbsp;","text":"Oh man","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/354853275","repostId":"1107675725","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1107675725","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1617157626,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1107675725?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-31 10:27","market":"other","language":"en","title":"Japan's factory output falls, hit by quake, chips shortage<blockquote>日本工厂产量下降，受地震影响，芯片短缺</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1107675725","media":"Reuters","summary":"TOKYO (Reuters) - Japan’s industrial output fell in February due to declines in the production of ca","content":"<p>TOKYO (Reuters) - Japan’s industrial output fell in February due to declines in the production of cars and electrical machinery, in a worrying sign for an economy struggling to recover from the deep impact of the coronavirus pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>东京（路透社）-由于汽车和电机产量下降，日本2月份工业产出下降，这是一个令人担忧的迹象，表明日本经济正在努力从冠状病毒疫情的深刻影响中复苏。</blockquote></p><p>The world’s third-largest economy is expected to contract in the current quarter due to a second coronavirus-related state of emergency that was imposed from early January for Tokyo and some neighbouring prefectures.</p><p><blockquote>由于东京和一些邻近县从1月初开始实施第二次与冠状病毒相关的紧急状态，世界第三大经济体预计将在本季度收缩。</blockquote></p><p>Official data released on Wednesday showed factory output shrank 2.1% from the previous month in February, dragged down by falls in production of cars, electrical machinery and information and communication equipment.</p><p><blockquote>周三公布的官方数据显示，受汽车、电气机械和信息通信设备产量下降拖累，2月份工厂产出环比萎缩2.1%。</blockquote></p><p>“The 2.1% m/m fall in industrial production in February came off the back of a strong January and shouldn’t prevent manufacturing output rising across the first quarter,” said Tom Learmouth, Japan economist at Capital Economics.</p><p><blockquote>凯投宏观(Capital Economics)日本经济学家汤姆·利尔茅斯(Tom Learmouth)表示：“2月份工业生产环比下降2.1%，是在1月份强劲的背景下出现的，不应阻止第一季度制造业产出的增长。”</blockquote></p><p>“The data suggest that the earthquake across parts of northern Japan on (the) 13th February may have dented output a little.”</p><p><blockquote>“数据表明，2月13日日本北部部分地区发生的地震可能对产量造成了一些影响。”</blockquote></p><p>The fall in output was much weaker than the previous month’s sharp 4.3% gain and worse than a 1.2% contraction forecast in a Reuters poll of economists.</p><p><blockquote>产出的下降远弱于上个月4.3%的大幅增长，也比路透社对经济学家调查中预测的1.2%的收缩还要糟糕。</blockquote></p><p>Manufacturers surveyed by the Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry (METI) expected output to drop another 1.9% in March, followed by a 9.3% rebound in April.</p><p><blockquote>经济产业省（METI）调查的制造商预计3月份产出将再下降1.9%，随后4月份将反弹9.3%。</blockquote></p><p>The government kept its assessment of industrial production unchanged, saying it was picking up.</p><p><blockquote>政府维持对工业生产的评估不变，称工业生产正在回升。</blockquote></p><p>Factory output had rebounded in January largely thanks to a sharp increase in the production of electronic parts and general-purpose machinery.</p><p><blockquote>1月份工厂产出反弹，主要得益于电子零件和通用机械产量的大幅增长。</blockquote></p><p>But in February declining production of cars, electrical machinery, chemicals and information and communication electronics equipment outweighed growing demand for tech-making equipment that has been a major output driver.</p><p><blockquote>但2月份，汽车、电机、化学品以及信息和通信电子设备产量的下降超过了对技术制造设备不断增长的需求，而技术制造设备一直是主要的产出驱动因素。</blockquote></p><p>Some analysts worry that Japan’s economic recovery will be dragged down by weak spending at home and a slower-than-anticipated demand recovery abroad as economies slowly reopen, even in countries that have rolled out COVID-19 vaccines.</p><p><blockquote>一些分析师担心，随着经济缓慢重新开放，日本经济复苏将受到国内支出疲软和海外需求复苏慢于预期的拖累，即使在已经推出新冠疫苗的国家也是如此。</blockquote></p><p>The government on Tuesday released data showing retail sales fell 1.5% in February compared with the same month a year earlier, signalling weak sentiment among consumers who remain worried about the health crisis.</p><p><blockquote>政府周二公布的数据显示，2月份零售额较去年同期下降1.5%，表明仍担心健康危机的消费者情绪疲软。</blockquote></p><p>Reporting by Daniel Leussink; Editing by Sam Holmes</p><p><blockquote>丹尼尔·洛伊辛克报道；山姆·霍姆斯编辑</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Japan's factory output falls, hit by quake, chips shortage<blockquote>日本工厂产量下降，受地震影响，芯片短缺</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nJapan's factory output falls, hit by quake, chips shortage<blockquote>日本工厂产量下降，受地震影响，芯片短缺</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-03-31 10:27</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>TOKYO (Reuters) - Japan’s industrial output fell in February due to declines in the production of cars and electrical machinery, in a worrying sign for an economy struggling to recover from the deep impact of the coronavirus pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>东京（路透社）-由于汽车和电机产量下降，日本2月份工业产出下降，这是一个令人担忧的迹象，表明日本经济正在努力从冠状病毒疫情的深刻影响中复苏。</blockquote></p><p>The world’s third-largest economy is expected to contract in the current quarter due to a second coronavirus-related state of emergency that was imposed from early January for Tokyo and some neighbouring prefectures.</p><p><blockquote>由于东京和一些邻近县从1月初开始实施第二次与冠状病毒相关的紧急状态，世界第三大经济体预计将在本季度收缩。</blockquote></p><p>Official data released on Wednesday showed factory output shrank 2.1% from the previous month in February, dragged down by falls in production of cars, electrical machinery and information and communication equipment.</p><p><blockquote>周三公布的官方数据显示，受汽车、电气机械和信息通信设备产量下降拖累，2月份工厂产出环比萎缩2.1%。</blockquote></p><p>“The 2.1% m/m fall in industrial production in February came off the back of a strong January and shouldn’t prevent manufacturing output rising across the first quarter,” said Tom Learmouth, Japan economist at Capital Economics.</p><p><blockquote>凯投宏观(Capital Economics)日本经济学家汤姆·利尔茅斯(Tom Learmouth)表示：“2月份工业生产环比下降2.1%，是在1月份强劲的背景下出现的，不应阻止第一季度制造业产出的增长。”</blockquote></p><p>“The data suggest that the earthquake across parts of northern Japan on (the) 13th February may have dented output a little.”</p><p><blockquote>“数据表明，2月13日日本北部部分地区发生的地震可能对产量造成了一些影响。”</blockquote></p><p>The fall in output was much weaker than the previous month’s sharp 4.3% gain and worse than a 1.2% contraction forecast in a Reuters poll of economists.</p><p><blockquote>产出的下降远弱于上个月4.3%的大幅增长，也比路透社对经济学家调查中预测的1.2%的收缩还要糟糕。</blockquote></p><p>Manufacturers surveyed by the Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry (METI) expected output to drop another 1.9% in March, followed by a 9.3% rebound in April.</p><p><blockquote>经济产业省（METI）调查的制造商预计3月份产出将再下降1.9%，随后4月份将反弹9.3%。</blockquote></p><p>The government kept its assessment of industrial production unchanged, saying it was picking up.</p><p><blockquote>政府维持对工业生产的评估不变，称工业生产正在回升。</blockquote></p><p>Factory output had rebounded in January largely thanks to a sharp increase in the production of electronic parts and general-purpose machinery.</p><p><blockquote>1月份工厂产出反弹，主要得益于电子零件和通用机械产量的大幅增长。</blockquote></p><p>But in February declining production of cars, electrical machinery, chemicals and information and communication electronics equipment outweighed growing demand for tech-making equipment that has been a major output driver.</p><p><blockquote>但2月份，汽车、电机、化学品以及信息和通信电子设备产量的下降超过了对技术制造设备不断增长的需求，而技术制造设备一直是主要的产出驱动因素。</blockquote></p><p>Some analysts worry that Japan’s economic recovery will be dragged down by weak spending at home and a slower-than-anticipated demand recovery abroad as economies slowly reopen, even in countries that have rolled out COVID-19 vaccines.</p><p><blockquote>一些分析师担心，随着经济缓慢重新开放，日本经济复苏将受到国内支出疲软和海外需求复苏慢于预期的拖累，即使在已经推出新冠疫苗的国家也是如此。</blockquote></p><p>The government on Tuesday released data showing retail sales fell 1.5% in February compared with the same month a year earlier, signalling weak sentiment among consumers who remain worried about the health crisis.</p><p><blockquote>政府周二公布的数据显示，2月份零售额较去年同期下降1.5%，表明仍担心健康危机的消费者情绪疲软。</blockquote></p><p>Reporting by Daniel Leussink; Editing by Sam Holmes</p><p><blockquote>丹尼尔·洛伊辛克报道；山姆·霍姆斯编辑</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/article/us-japan-economy-output/japan-factory-output-falls-in-feb-in-worrying-sign-for-recovery-idUSKBN2BN014?il=0\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/03e38a3a3c63bd5a9d8d8ca2d384d1c5","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/article/us-japan-economy-output/japan-factory-output-falls-in-feb-in-worrying-sign-for-recovery-idUSKBN2BN014?il=0","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1107675725","content_text":"TOKYO (Reuters) - Japan’s industrial output fell in February due to declines in the production of cars and electrical machinery, in a worrying sign for an economy struggling to recover from the deep impact of the coronavirus pandemic.The world’s third-largest economy is expected to contract in the current quarter due to a second coronavirus-related state of emergency that was imposed from early January for Tokyo and some neighbouring prefectures.Official data released on Wednesday showed factory output shrank 2.1% from the previous month in February, dragged down by falls in production of cars, electrical machinery and information and communication equipment.“The 2.1% m/m fall in industrial production in February came off the back of a strong January and shouldn’t prevent manufacturing output rising across the first quarter,” said Tom Learmouth, Japan economist at Capital Economics.“The data suggest that the earthquake across parts of northern Japan on (the) 13th February may have dented output a little.”The fall in output was much weaker than the previous month’s sharp 4.3% gain and worse than a 1.2% contraction forecast in a Reuters poll of economists.Manufacturers surveyed by the Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry (METI) expected output to drop another 1.9% in March, followed by a 9.3% rebound in April.The government kept its assessment of industrial production unchanged, saying it was picking up.Factory output had rebounded in January largely thanks to a sharp increase in the production of electronic parts and general-purpose machinery.But in February declining production of cars, electrical machinery, chemicals and information and communication electronics equipment outweighed growing demand for tech-making equipment that has been a major output driver.Some analysts worry that Japan’s economic recovery will be dragged down by weak spending at home and a slower-than-anticipated demand recovery abroad as economies slowly reopen, even in countries that have rolled out COVID-19 vaccines.The government on Tuesday released data showing retail sales fell 1.5% in February compared with the same month a year earlier, signalling weak sentiment among consumers who remain worried about the health crisis.Reporting by Daniel Leussink; Editing by Sam Holmes","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":446,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":354859721,"gmtCreate":1617160536363,"gmtModify":1634522335837,"author":{"id":"3568609081739898","authorId":"3568609081739898","name":"Hminnnn","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ade2868ed76324c40090eda06ebd0e32","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3568609081739898","idStr":"3568609081739898"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[可爱]&nbsp;[可爱]&nbsp;[可爱]&nbsp;[可爱]&nbsp;","listText":"[可爱]&nbsp;[可爱]&nbsp;[可爱]&nbsp;[可爱]&nbsp;","text":"[可爱] [可爱] [可爱] [可爱]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/354859721","repostId":"1163996400","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":810,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":167812804,"gmtCreate":1624258220008,"gmtModify":1634008769593,"author":{"id":"3568609081739898","authorId":"3568609081739898","name":"Hminnnn","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ade2868ed76324c40090eda06ebd0e32","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3568609081739898","idStr":"3568609081739898"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Apple!!!","listText":"Apple!!!","text":"Apple!!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/167812804","repostId":"1175906479","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1175906479","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624242000,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1175906479?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-21 10:20","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple: Winter Is Coming<blockquote>苹果：冬天来了</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1175906479","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Apple's stock has rallied 449% in the last five years, outperforming the 102% rise in the S&P 500 over the same period.I initiate Apple with a Neutral rating and a fair value of $111.42/share .In the enterprise market, customers across many industries are accelerating their adoption of iPhone 12 and 5G as a key platform for the future of their business. Delta Airlines, for example, is putting iPhone 12 and 5G connectivity into the hands of flight attendants so they can provide the best passenger","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Apple's stock has rallied 449% in the last five years, outperforming the 102% rise in the S&amp;P 500 over the same period.</li>  <li>I initiate Apple with a Neutral rating and a fair value of $111.42/share (vs. the current price of $131.7/share).</li>  <li>From the technical analysis point of view, the stock price is following its ascending triangle pattern and it is heading to the price target of $137/share.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a4dc5052119e6bbc5b693cf7385d8738\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Michael M. Santiago/Getty Images NewsCompany Overview</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>苹果股价在过去五年中上涨了449%，跑赢了标普500同期102%的涨幅。</li><li>我给予苹果中性评级，公允价值为111.42美元/股（当前价格为131.7美元/股）。</li><li>从技术分析角度来看，股价正遵循上升三角形形态，正向137美元/股的目标价迈进。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Michael M.Santiago/Getty Images新闻公司概述</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Apple Inc (AAPL) stock has rallied 449% in the last five years, outperforming the 102% rise in the S&amp;P 500 over the same period. An outstanding return supported by underlying fundamentals. In particular, I would like to start the analysis with the latter.</p><p><blockquote>苹果公司(AAPL)股价在过去五年中上涨了449%，跑赢了标普500同期102%的涨幅。由基本面支持的出色回报。我特别想从后者开始分析。</blockquote></p><p> Over the last two decades, the dominant driver of Apple's success has been the iPhone. In 2016, iPhones accounted for 63% of total sales. This was a problem for Apple, and they knew it. The problem existed due to two main factors: first, the smartphone business was mature (with low growth rates); second, it was (and it is) a highly competitive business. However, Apple had something other competitors didn't have, a big iPhone owner base (which allows to sell more services for instance). Through the years Apple has been able to effectively diversify its revenue stream and it currently presents the structure represented below.</p><p><blockquote>在过去的二十年里，苹果成功的主要驱动力一直是iPhone。2016年，iPhone占总销量的63%。这对苹果来说是个问题，他们知道这一点。这个问题的存在主要有两个因素：第一，智能手机业务已经成熟（增长率较低）；其次，它过去是（现在也是）一个竞争激烈的行业。然而，苹果拥有其他竞争对手所没有的东西，即庞大的iPhone用户群（例如，这允许销售更多服务）。多年来，苹果一直能够有效地实现其收入来源多元化，目前的结构如下所示。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4602be0c6fa92191baf04a7496c4e024\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"363\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者使用最新10-K报告数据进行的估计</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Let's now take a look at each of these segments:</p><p><blockquote>现在让我们来看看这些部分：</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. iPhone</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.iPhone</b></blockquote></p><p> From 2016 to 2020, the iPhone segment grew at a CAGR of 0.20% and it changed from representing 63.4% (2016) of total sales to 51% (\"TTM\"). I present below the growth rate for the iPhone segment over the last 5 years (2016-TTM).</p><p><blockquote>自2016年至2020年，iPhone分部的复合年增长率为0.20%，并由佔总销售额的63.4%（2016年）变为51%（“TTM”）。我在下面展示了iPhone细分市场在过去5年（2016-TTM）的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/916b48499e3e3ed2c0c167af3ba62bdb\" tg-width=\"607\" tg-height=\"363\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Author's estimates using data from the latest10-K report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者使用最新10-K报告的数据进行的估计</span></p></blockquote></p><p> So far this year the iPhone segment is showing a growth rate of 18.5% TTM, fueled by the new family of iPhone12 with 5G capabilities, and with interesting data coming from China. I believe that the transition to 5G will be the main driver of the growth in this segment. In this manner, I would like to report a piece of the transcript from theQ2 earnings call.</p><p><blockquote>今年到目前为止，在具有5G功能的新iPhone12系列以及来自中国的有趣数据的推动下，iPhone细分市场的TTM增长率为18.5%。我相信向5G的过渡将是该细分市场增长的主要驱动力。我想以这种方式报告第二季度收益看涨期权的一段文字记录。</blockquote></p><p>   <i>In the enterprise market, customers across many industries are accelerating their adoption of iPhone 12 and 5G as a key platform for the future of their business. Delta Airlines, for example, is putting iPhone 12 and 5G connectivity into the hands of flight attendants so they can provide the best passenger service possible as air travel rebounds.Openreach in the U.K. has started equipping tens of thousands of field engineers with iPhone 12 to speed up their deployment of broadband services to homes around the country. And UCHealth, a large health care provider in Colorado, was able to reduce per patient vaccination time from 3 minutes to only 30 seconds largely by moving from PC stations to iPhones. This has allowed their staff to rapidly scan and register new patients and vastly increase their daily vaccination capacity.</i>  <b>2. iPad</b></p><p><blockquote><i>在企业市场，许多行业的客户都在加速采用iPhone 12和5G，将其作为未来业务的关键平台。例如，达美航空正在将iPhone 12和5G连接交给空乘人员，以便他们能够在航空旅行反弹时提供尽可能最好的乘客服务。英国的Openreach已开始为数万名现场工程师配备iPhone 12加快向全国家庭部署宽带服务。科罗拉多州的一家大型医疗保健提供商UCHealth能够将每位患者的疫苗接种时间从3分钟减少到30秒，这主要是通过从PC工作站转移到iPhone。这使得他们的工作人员能够快速扫描和登记新患者，并大大提高他们的日常疫苗接种能力。</i><b>2.iPad</b></blockquote></p><p> As it was in the past, the iPad segment is more or less a constant number as a % of total sales, 9.6% in 2016 vs 9.1% TTM. From 2016 to 2020, the iPad segment grew at a CAGR of 3.56% (with an improving overall trend). I present below the growth rate for the iPad segment over the last 5 years (2016-TTM).</p><p><blockquote>与过去一样，iPad细分市场占总销售额的百分比或多或少是一个恒定的数字，2016年为9.6%，而TTM为9.1%。从2016年到2020年，iPad细分市场的CAGR增长率为3.56%（整体趋势有所改善）。我在下面展示了iPad细分市场在过去5年（2016-TTM）的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6faf9ddb8d29d662fcaa46bbda862f48\" tg-width=\"616\" tg-height=\"360\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者使用最新10-K报告数据进行的估计</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The TTM numbers show us an interesting picture with a growth rate of 24.9% TTM for the iPad segment which are driven by 3 factors: the M1 chip, the new 5G capabilities, and the fact that we were all at home. I see a lot of ways in which this new generation of iPads can be implemented. However, I also have to admit that there is a big player swimming in the same sea, the new 2-1 Laptops. The new 2-1 Laptops are a very interesting solution for those looking to have the best of the two worlds. In this last view, the iPad segment may represent a lower % of total sales, around 7.8% (vs current 9.1%).</p><p><blockquote>TTM数据向我们展示了一幅有趣的画面，iPad细分市场的TTM增长率为24.9%，这是由三个因素推动的：M1芯片、新的5G功能以及我们都在家的事实。我看到了很多实现新一代iPads的方法。不过，我也不得不承认，还有一个大玩家在同一个海里游泳，那就是新的2-1笔记本电脑。对于那些希望两全其美的人来说，新的2-1笔记本电脑是一个非常有趣的解决方案。在最后一种观点中，iPad细分市场占总销售额的比例可能较低，约为7.8%（目前为9.1%）。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Mac</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.三月</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> From 2016 to 2020, the Mac segment grew at a CAGR of 5.81%, and also here, as it is for the iPad segment, the Mac segment represents a more or less constant number as % of total sales 10.6% in 2016 vs 10.4% TTM. I present below the growth rate for the Mac segment over the last 5 years (2016-TTM).</p><p><blockquote>从2016年到2020年，Mac细分市场的CAGR增长率为5.81%，与iPad细分市场一样，Mac细分市场在2016年占总销售额的比例为10.6%，而TTM为10.4%。我在下面介绍了过去5年（2016-TTM）Mac细分市场的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2494d89c1d5cd70a4cf0c5fb31fb20a\" tg-width=\"614\" tg-height=\"363\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者使用最新10-K报告数据进行的估计</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The generation of new Macs powered by the M1 chip seems to be appreciated by the customers, in fact, the Mac segment presents a growth rate of 18.4% TTM so far this year. I personally tried this new generation of Macs and I have to admit, Apple knows very well how to delight its customers. Personal PCs are a highly competitive market and, even if I like and I use Apple products, I prefer to work with a Lenovo.</p><p><blockquote>采用M1芯片的新一代Mac似乎受到了客户的赞赏，事实上，今年迄今为止，Mac细分市场的TTM增长率为18.4%。我亲自尝试了这款新一代MAC电脑，我不得不承认，苹果非常知道如何取悦顾客。个人电脑是一个竞争激烈的市场，即使我喜欢并使用苹果产品，我也更喜欢与联想合作。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4. Wearables, Home, and Accessories (WH&amp;A)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4.可穿戴设备、家居和配件（WH&amp;A）</b></blockquote></p><p> The Wearables, Home, and Accessories segment includes sales of AirPods, Apple TV, Apple Watch, Beats products, HomePod, etc. This is where it gets interesting. From 2016 to 2020, the WH&amp;A segment grew at a CAGR of 28.78%, and it changed from representing only 5.2% of total sales in 2016 to represent 10.8% TTM. I present below the growth rate for the WH&amp;A segment over the last 5 years (2016-TTM).</p><p><blockquote>可穿戴设备、家居和配件部门包括AirPods、苹果电视、苹果手表、Beats产品、HomePod等的销售。这就是有趣的地方。从2016年到2020年，WH&amp;A分部的复合年增长率为28.78%，从2016年仅占总销售额的5.2%变为占TTM的10.8%。我在下面列出了过去5年（2016-TTM）WH&amp;A细分市场的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e16432a1ae66aa9dda7a4f969a9cfcdf\" tg-width=\"607\" tg-height=\"357\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者使用最新10-K报告数据进行的估计</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The WH&amp;A segment is showing a growth rate of 14.7% TTM driven by a strong performance from both Apple Watch Series 6 and Apple Watch SE. Apple Watch may have a very bright future in the years ahead, driven by Apple entering into the healthcare market. In fact, it can be used to monitor the health status of the person. Imagine you being close to having a heart attack, your Apple Watch may call an ambulance and save your life, not bad no? Finally, let's don't forget also the launch of Apple TV 4K and of the newest accessory, AirTag (I don't see a market for the latter, but I may be wrong).</p><p><blockquote>在苹果手表系列6和苹果手表SE的强劲表现的推动下，WH&amp;A细分市场的TTM增长率为14.7%。在苹果进入医疗保健市场的推动下，苹果观察在未来几年可能会有一个非常光明的未来。事实上，它可以用来监测人的健康状况。想象一下，你即将心脏病发作，你的苹果手表可能会看涨期权一辆救护车并挽救你的生命，不错不是吗？最后，我们不要忘记苹果电视4K和最新配件AirTag的推出（我没有看到后者的市场，但我可能是错的）。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5. Services</b></p><p><blockquote><b>5.服务</b></blockquote></p><p> Services include sales from the Company’s advertising, AppleCare, digital content, and other services. From 2016 to 2020, the Services segment grew at a CAGR of 21.9% and it changed from representing 11.3% of total sales in 2016 to represent 18.6% TTM. I present below the growth rate for the Services segment over the last 5 years (2016-TTM).</p><p><blockquote>服务包括公司广告、AppleCare、数字内容和其他服务的销售。于二零一六年至二零二零年，服务分部的复合年增长率为21.9%，并由二零一六年佔总销售额的11.3%变为佔TTM的18.6%。我在下面列出了过去5年（2016-TTM）服务部门的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af34eb1ba8fffd690a75318f8cf805f7\" tg-width=\"610\" tg-height=\"363\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者使用最新10-K报告数据进行的估计</span></p></blockquote></p><p> To date, the Services segment is showing a growth rate of 12.3% TTM. The growth is driven by App Store, Cloud Services, Music, Advertising, and Payment Services. The new services, Apple TV+, Apple Arcade, Apple News+, and Apple Card, are also starting to contribute to overall services growth, and continue to add users, content, and features. I believe that in the future, the Services segment will be the company's dominant segment. Below I present an interesting part I extrapolated from theQ4 earnings call.</p><p><blockquote>迄今为止，服务部门的TTM增长率为12.3%。这一增长是由应用商店、云服务、音乐、广告和支付服务推动的。苹果TV+、苹果街机、苹果新闻+和苹果卡等新服务也开始为整体服务增长做出贡献，并继续增加用户、内容和功能。我相信，未来，服务板块将是公司的主导板块。下面我展示了我从第四季度收益看涨期权中推断出来的有趣部分。</blockquote></p><p>   <i>First, our installed base continues to grow and is at an all-time high across each major product category. Second, the number of both transacting and paid accounts on our digital content stores reached a new all-time high during the September quarter, with paid accounts increasing double digits in each of our geographic segments.Third, paid subscriptions grew more than 35 million sequentially, and we now have over 585 million paid subscriptions across the services on our platform, up 135 million from just a year ago. With this momentum, we are very confident to reach and exceed our increased target of 600 million paid subscriptions before the end of calendar 2020.</i>  <b>Company Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><i>首先，我们的安装基础持续增长，并且在每个主要产品类别中都处于历史最高水平。其次，我们数字内容商店上的交易账户和付费账户数量在9月份季度均创下历史新高，每个地理区域的付费账户均以两位数增长。第三，付费订阅量环比增长超过3500万，目前我们平台上的服务付费订阅量超过5.85亿，比一年前增加了1.35亿。凭借这一势头，我们非常有信心在2020年底前达到并超过6亿付费订阅的增加目标。</i><b>公司分析</b></blockquote></p><p> I initiate Apple with a Neutral rating and a fair value of $111.42/share (vs. the current price of $131.7/share). The fair value is an algorithm-adjusted value that accounts for different factors, fundamental and technical (e.g. DCF fair value, Momentum, etc.), and so it takes into consideration the Mr. Market mood. At the same time, the fair value which I obtained through the DCF model is equal to $105.68/share. Now before showing the results, the numbers used as the base are the trailing twelve-month numbers. Moreover, I also restated the financials since I capitalized on R&amp;D expenses with an amortizable life of 3 years. I don't believe that in the case of Apple, R&amp;D is an operating expense and for this reason, I treat it as CapEx. By taking into account the R&amp;D, the following metrics have been restated (all numbers in $mm).</p><p><blockquote>我给予苹果中性评级，公允价值为111.42美元/股（当前价格为131.7美元/股）。公允价值是算法调整后的价值，考虑了不同的因素，基本面和技术面（如DCF公允价值、动量等）。），因此它考虑了市场先生的情绪。同时，我通过DCF模型获得的公允价值等于105.68美元/股。现在，在显示结果之前，用作基数的数字是过去12个月的数字。此外，我还重述了财务数据，因为我将可摊销期限为3年的研发费用资本化。我不认为就苹果而言，研发是一项运营费用，因此，我将其视为资本支出。考虑到研发，以下指标已被重述（所有数字均以百万美元为单位）。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f7a2222a8e8b9088e619b0b971193a1f\" tg-width=\"569\" tg-height=\"262\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者使用最新10-K报告数据进行的估计</span></p></blockquote></p><p> It is very important to capitalize on R&amp;D expense, if we don't, we are just keeping the company's biggest asset off-balance sheet.</p><p><blockquote>利用研发费用非常重要，如果我们不这样做，我们只是将公司最大的资产保留在资产负债表之外。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Discounted Cash Flow Model</b></p><p><blockquote><b>折现现金流量模型</b></blockquote></p><p> Now, let's turn to the discounted cash flow valuation part. Below, you can see the results with the relative assumptions I have made.</p><p><blockquote>现在，让我们转向贴现现金流估值部分。下面，你可以看到我所做的相对假设的结果。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2da633d931f51b493d897d9c87ecee5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"262\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者使用最新10-K报告数据进行的估计</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Now, this time I also present along with my estimates three possible scenarios:</p><p><blockquote>现在，这次我还提出了三种可能的情况以及我的估计：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><i>Base Case Scenario</i>: The above DCF model represents my base case scenario. In the base case scenario, I assume the drivers of growth to be: the iPhone segment (driven by 5G transition), the Services segment (driven by a broader customer base), and the new powered M1 Macs segment. Under this scenario, I assume a Y1 growth rate of 12%, a CAGR Y2-Y5 of 7.1%, and a target operating margin in Y10 of 27%. The DCF fair value under this scenario is $105.68/share.</li>  <li><i>Best Case Scenario</i>: The business is booming! In the best-case scenario, I see again as the main drivers the one which I described for the base case scenario, however, in addition, I see a greater market penetration in China. Over the last 5 years, we can observe a falling pattern for sales in China, however, this year sales jumped 39.7% (with the iPhone segment rising substantially). Under this scenario, I assume a Y1 growth rate of 14%, a CAGR Y2-Y5 of 9.1%, and a target operating margin in Y10 of 30%. The DCF fair value under this scenario is $130.32/share.</li>  <li><i>Worst Case Scenario</i>: Well, this is a scenario that I would like to call like \"mature company scenario\". Under this scenario I see Apple growing a little above the growth rate of the economy and for this reason, I assume a Y1 growth rate of 10%, a CAGR Y2-Y5 of 3.1%, and a target operating margin in Y10 of 25%. The DCF fair value under this scenario is $81.03/share.</li> </ul> Finally, for each scenario, I see Apple entering into the health care market with its Apple Watch. As you can imagine, I assign a different likelihood of market penetration in each of these scenarios.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><i>基本情况</i>：上面的DCF模型代表了我的基本情况。在基本情况下，我假设增长的驱动力是：iPhone细分市场（由5G过渡驱动）、服务细分市场（由更广泛的客户群驱动）和新的M1 MAC细分市场。在这种情况下，我假设Y1增长率为12%，Y2-Y5复合年增长率为7.1%，Y10的目标营业利润率为27%。在这种情况下，DCF公允价值为105.68美元/股。</li><li><i>最佳情况</i>：生意火爆！在最好的情况下，我再次将我在基本情况中描述的主要驱动因素视为主要驱动因素，但是，此外，我还看到中国的市场渗透率更高。在过去的5年里，我们可以观察到中国的销售额呈下降趋势，然而，今年的销售额增长了39.7%（iPhone细分市场大幅增长）。在这种情况下，我假设Y1增长率为14%，Y2-Y5复合年增长率为9.1%，Y10的目标营业利润率为30%。在这种情况下，DCF公允价值为130.32美元/股。</li><li><i>最坏的情况</i>：嗯，这是一个我想看涨期权为“成熟公司场景”的场景。在这种情况下，我认为苹果的增长略高于经济增长率，因此，我假设Y1增长率为10%，Y2-Y5复合年增长率为3.1%，Y10的目标营业利润率为25%。在这种情况下，DCF公允价值为81.03美元/股。</li></ul>最后，对于每种情况，我都看到苹果凭借其苹果手表进入医疗保健市场。正如你可以想象的那样，我在每种情况下分配了不同的市场渗透可能性。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Sensitivity Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>敏感性分析</b></blockquote></p><p> Moreover, I also would like to provide the sensitivity analysis for the base case scenario.</p><p><blockquote>此外，我还想提供基本情况的敏感性分析。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95f00eba768526d07d68fd846ecf998d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"462\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者使用最新10-K报告数据进行的估计</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Technical Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>技术分析</b></blockquote></p><p> From the technical analysis point of view, I don't see any problem yet. The stock price is in a bullish mode, currently within an ascending triangle pattern. As of right now, the stock price is following its pattern and it is heading to the price target of $137/share or point D, where it is likely to bounce and head back to point E. If this scenario happens, point E is usually the point where stock price bounces once again and from that point, the stock goes higher (it is just a technical analysis assumption, take it as is).</p><p><blockquote>从技术分析的角度来看，我还没有看到任何问题。股价处于看涨模式，目前处于上升三角形形态。截至目前，股价正在遵循其模式，正朝着137美元/股或D点的目标价迈进，在那里它可能会反弹并回到E点。如果这种情况发生，E点通常是股价再次反弹的点，从该点开始，股票走高（这只是一个技术分析假设，照原样）。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ecf3e5f45dcb5e30b092c02bbf94d6f9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"317\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:TradingView.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：TradingView.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Final Thoughts</b></p><p><blockquote><b>最后的想法</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple is a mature company that is able to see a problem and solve it years ahead. By looking at the fair value, computed under the base case scenario, we can argue that the stock is currently overvalued but not by that much. For what concern risks, the difference between the best-case and the worst-case scenario can be used as a proxy of risk. Taking this into consideration I don't see big reasoning to panic, however, it is also true that I see an upcoming correction for the market. Many indicators, technical and fundamental, are suggesting to me that the market is too heavy right now (even if the S&amp;P500 may go higher, perhaps in the 4400 area). To conclude, I don't think to close out my whole Apple position, however, I will close out 60% of it once it reaches my price target.</p><p><blockquote>苹果是一家成熟的公司，能够在未来几年发现问题并解决它。通过查看在基本情况下计算的公允价值，我们可以认为该股票目前被高估，但没有高估那么多。对于什么关注风险，最好情况和最坏情况之间的差异可以用作风险的代理。考虑到这一点，我认为没有什么理由恐慌，但是，我确实看到市场即将出现调整。许多技术和基本面指标都向我表明，市场目前过于沉重（即使标准普尔500指数可能会走高，也许会在4400点区域）。总而言之，我不认为要平仓我的整个苹果头寸，但是，一旦达到我的价格目标，我会平仓其中的60%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple: Winter Is Coming<blockquote>苹果：冬天来了</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple: Winter Is Coming<blockquote>苹果：冬天来了</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-21 10:20</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Apple's stock has rallied 449% in the last five years, outperforming the 102% rise in the S&amp;P 500 over the same period.</li>  <li>I initiate Apple with a Neutral rating and a fair value of $111.42/share (vs. the current price of $131.7/share).</li>  <li>From the technical analysis point of view, the stock price is following its ascending triangle pattern and it is heading to the price target of $137/share.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a4dc5052119e6bbc5b693cf7385d8738\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Michael M. Santiago/Getty Images NewsCompany Overview</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>苹果股价在过去五年中上涨了449%，跑赢了标普500同期102%的涨幅。</li><li>我给予苹果中性评级，公允价值为111.42美元/股（当前价格为131.7美元/股）。</li><li>从技术分析角度来看，股价正遵循上升三角形形态，正向137美元/股的目标价迈进。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Michael M.Santiago/Getty Images新闻公司概述</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Apple Inc (AAPL) stock has rallied 449% in the last five years, outperforming the 102% rise in the S&amp;P 500 over the same period. An outstanding return supported by underlying fundamentals. In particular, I would like to start the analysis with the latter.</p><p><blockquote>苹果公司(AAPL)股价在过去五年中上涨了449%，跑赢了标普500同期102%的涨幅。由基本面支持的出色回报。我特别想从后者开始分析。</blockquote></p><p> Over the last two decades, the dominant driver of Apple's success has been the iPhone. In 2016, iPhones accounted for 63% of total sales. This was a problem for Apple, and they knew it. The problem existed due to two main factors: first, the smartphone business was mature (with low growth rates); second, it was (and it is) a highly competitive business. However, Apple had something other competitors didn't have, a big iPhone owner base (which allows to sell more services for instance). Through the years Apple has been able to effectively diversify its revenue stream and it currently presents the structure represented below.</p><p><blockquote>在过去的二十年里，苹果成功的主要驱动力一直是iPhone。2016年，iPhone占总销量的63%。这对苹果来说是个问题，他们知道这一点。这个问题的存在主要有两个因素：第一，智能手机业务已经成熟（增长率较低）；其次，它过去是（现在也是）一个竞争激烈的行业。然而，苹果拥有其他竞争对手所没有的东西，即庞大的iPhone用户群（例如，这允许销售更多服务）。多年来，苹果一直能够有效地实现其收入来源多元化，目前的结构如下所示。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4602be0c6fa92191baf04a7496c4e024\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"363\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者使用最新10-K报告数据进行的估计</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Let's now take a look at each of these segments:</p><p><blockquote>现在让我们来看看这些部分：</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. iPhone</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.iPhone</b></blockquote></p><p> From 2016 to 2020, the iPhone segment grew at a CAGR of 0.20% and it changed from representing 63.4% (2016) of total sales to 51% (\"TTM\"). I present below the growth rate for the iPhone segment over the last 5 years (2016-TTM).</p><p><blockquote>自2016年至2020年，iPhone分部的复合年增长率为0.20%，并由佔总销售额的63.4%（2016年）变为51%（“TTM”）。我在下面展示了iPhone细分市场在过去5年（2016-TTM）的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/916b48499e3e3ed2c0c167af3ba62bdb\" tg-width=\"607\" tg-height=\"363\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Author's estimates using data from the latest10-K report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者使用最新10-K报告的数据进行的估计</span></p></blockquote></p><p> So far this year the iPhone segment is showing a growth rate of 18.5% TTM, fueled by the new family of iPhone12 with 5G capabilities, and with interesting data coming from China. I believe that the transition to 5G will be the main driver of the growth in this segment. In this manner, I would like to report a piece of the transcript from theQ2 earnings call.</p><p><blockquote>今年到目前为止，在具有5G功能的新iPhone12系列以及来自中国的有趣数据的推动下，iPhone细分市场的TTM增长率为18.5%。我相信向5G的过渡将是该细分市场增长的主要驱动力。我想以这种方式报告第二季度收益看涨期权的一段文字记录。</blockquote></p><p>   <i>In the enterprise market, customers across many industries are accelerating their adoption of iPhone 12 and 5G as a key platform for the future of their business. Delta Airlines, for example, is putting iPhone 12 and 5G connectivity into the hands of flight attendants so they can provide the best passenger service possible as air travel rebounds.Openreach in the U.K. has started equipping tens of thousands of field engineers with iPhone 12 to speed up their deployment of broadband services to homes around the country. And UCHealth, a large health care provider in Colorado, was able to reduce per patient vaccination time from 3 minutes to only 30 seconds largely by moving from PC stations to iPhones. This has allowed their staff to rapidly scan and register new patients and vastly increase their daily vaccination capacity.</i>  <b>2. iPad</b></p><p><blockquote><i>在企业市场，许多行业的客户都在加速采用iPhone 12和5G，将其作为未来业务的关键平台。例如，达美航空正在将iPhone 12和5G连接交给空乘人员，以便他们能够在航空旅行反弹时提供尽可能最好的乘客服务。英国的Openreach已开始为数万名现场工程师配备iPhone 12加快向全国家庭部署宽带服务。科罗拉多州的一家大型医疗保健提供商UCHealth能够将每位患者的疫苗接种时间从3分钟减少到30秒，这主要是通过从PC工作站转移到iPhone。这使得他们的工作人员能够快速扫描和登记新患者，并大大提高他们的日常疫苗接种能力。</i><b>2.iPad</b></blockquote></p><p> As it was in the past, the iPad segment is more or less a constant number as a % of total sales, 9.6% in 2016 vs 9.1% TTM. From 2016 to 2020, the iPad segment grew at a CAGR of 3.56% (with an improving overall trend). I present below the growth rate for the iPad segment over the last 5 years (2016-TTM).</p><p><blockquote>与过去一样，iPad细分市场占总销售额的百分比或多或少是一个恒定的数字，2016年为9.6%，而TTM为9.1%。从2016年到2020年，iPad细分市场的CAGR增长率为3.56%（整体趋势有所改善）。我在下面展示了iPad细分市场在过去5年（2016-TTM）的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6faf9ddb8d29d662fcaa46bbda862f48\" tg-width=\"616\" tg-height=\"360\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者使用最新10-K报告数据进行的估计</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The TTM numbers show us an interesting picture with a growth rate of 24.9% TTM for the iPad segment which are driven by 3 factors: the M1 chip, the new 5G capabilities, and the fact that we were all at home. I see a lot of ways in which this new generation of iPads can be implemented. However, I also have to admit that there is a big player swimming in the same sea, the new 2-1 Laptops. The new 2-1 Laptops are a very interesting solution for those looking to have the best of the two worlds. In this last view, the iPad segment may represent a lower % of total sales, around 7.8% (vs current 9.1%).</p><p><blockquote>TTM数据向我们展示了一幅有趣的画面，iPad细分市场的TTM增长率为24.9%，这是由三个因素推动的：M1芯片、新的5G功能以及我们都在家的事实。我看到了很多实现新一代iPads的方法。不过，我也不得不承认，还有一个大玩家在同一个海里游泳，那就是新的2-1笔记本电脑。对于那些希望两全其美的人来说，新的2-1笔记本电脑是一个非常有趣的解决方案。在最后一种观点中，iPad细分市场占总销售额的比例可能较低，约为7.8%（目前为9.1%）。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Mac</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.三月</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> From 2016 to 2020, the Mac segment grew at a CAGR of 5.81%, and also here, as it is for the iPad segment, the Mac segment represents a more or less constant number as % of total sales 10.6% in 2016 vs 10.4% TTM. I present below the growth rate for the Mac segment over the last 5 years (2016-TTM).</p><p><blockquote>从2016年到2020年，Mac细分市场的CAGR增长率为5.81%，与iPad细分市场一样，Mac细分市场在2016年占总销售额的比例为10.6%，而TTM为10.4%。我在下面介绍了过去5年（2016-TTM）Mac细分市场的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2494d89c1d5cd70a4cf0c5fb31fb20a\" tg-width=\"614\" tg-height=\"363\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者使用最新10-K报告数据进行的估计</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The generation of new Macs powered by the M1 chip seems to be appreciated by the customers, in fact, the Mac segment presents a growth rate of 18.4% TTM so far this year. I personally tried this new generation of Macs and I have to admit, Apple knows very well how to delight its customers. Personal PCs are a highly competitive market and, even if I like and I use Apple products, I prefer to work with a Lenovo.</p><p><blockquote>采用M1芯片的新一代Mac似乎受到了客户的赞赏，事实上，今年迄今为止，Mac细分市场的TTM增长率为18.4%。我亲自尝试了这款新一代MAC电脑，我不得不承认，苹果非常知道如何取悦顾客。个人电脑是一个竞争激烈的市场，即使我喜欢并使用苹果产品，我也更喜欢与联想合作。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4. Wearables, Home, and Accessories (WH&amp;A)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4.可穿戴设备、家居和配件（WH&amp;A）</b></blockquote></p><p> The Wearables, Home, and Accessories segment includes sales of AirPods, Apple TV, Apple Watch, Beats products, HomePod, etc. This is where it gets interesting. From 2016 to 2020, the WH&amp;A segment grew at a CAGR of 28.78%, and it changed from representing only 5.2% of total sales in 2016 to represent 10.8% TTM. I present below the growth rate for the WH&amp;A segment over the last 5 years (2016-TTM).</p><p><blockquote>可穿戴设备、家居和配件部门包括AirPods、苹果电视、苹果手表、Beats产品、HomePod等的销售。这就是有趣的地方。从2016年到2020年，WH&amp;A分部的复合年增长率为28.78%，从2016年仅占总销售额的5.2%变为占TTM的10.8%。我在下面列出了过去5年（2016-TTM）WH&amp;A细分市场的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e16432a1ae66aa9dda7a4f969a9cfcdf\" tg-width=\"607\" tg-height=\"357\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者使用最新10-K报告数据进行的估计</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The WH&amp;A segment is showing a growth rate of 14.7% TTM driven by a strong performance from both Apple Watch Series 6 and Apple Watch SE. Apple Watch may have a very bright future in the years ahead, driven by Apple entering into the healthcare market. In fact, it can be used to monitor the health status of the person. Imagine you being close to having a heart attack, your Apple Watch may call an ambulance and save your life, not bad no? Finally, let's don't forget also the launch of Apple TV 4K and of the newest accessory, AirTag (I don't see a market for the latter, but I may be wrong).</p><p><blockquote>在苹果手表系列6和苹果手表SE的强劲表现的推动下，WH&amp;A细分市场的TTM增长率为14.7%。在苹果进入医疗保健市场的推动下，苹果观察在未来几年可能会有一个非常光明的未来。事实上，它可以用来监测人的健康状况。想象一下，你即将心脏病发作，你的苹果手表可能会看涨期权一辆救护车并挽救你的生命，不错不是吗？最后，我们不要忘记苹果电视4K和最新配件AirTag的推出（我没有看到后者的市场，但我可能是错的）。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5. Services</b></p><p><blockquote><b>5.服务</b></blockquote></p><p> Services include sales from the Company’s advertising, AppleCare, digital content, and other services. From 2016 to 2020, the Services segment grew at a CAGR of 21.9% and it changed from representing 11.3% of total sales in 2016 to represent 18.6% TTM. I present below the growth rate for the Services segment over the last 5 years (2016-TTM).</p><p><blockquote>服务包括公司广告、AppleCare、数字内容和其他服务的销售。于二零一六年至二零二零年，服务分部的复合年增长率为21.9%，并由二零一六年佔总销售额的11.3%变为佔TTM的18.6%。我在下面列出了过去5年（2016-TTM）服务部门的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af34eb1ba8fffd690a75318f8cf805f7\" tg-width=\"610\" tg-height=\"363\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者使用最新10-K报告数据进行的估计</span></p></blockquote></p><p> To date, the Services segment is showing a growth rate of 12.3% TTM. The growth is driven by App Store, Cloud Services, Music, Advertising, and Payment Services. The new services, Apple TV+, Apple Arcade, Apple News+, and Apple Card, are also starting to contribute to overall services growth, and continue to add users, content, and features. I believe that in the future, the Services segment will be the company's dominant segment. Below I present an interesting part I extrapolated from theQ4 earnings call.</p><p><blockquote>迄今为止，服务部门的TTM增长率为12.3%。这一增长是由应用商店、云服务、音乐、广告和支付服务推动的。苹果TV+、苹果街机、苹果新闻+和苹果卡等新服务也开始为整体服务增长做出贡献，并继续增加用户、内容和功能。我相信，未来，服务板块将是公司的主导板块。下面我展示了我从第四季度收益看涨期权中推断出来的有趣部分。</blockquote></p><p>   <i>First, our installed base continues to grow and is at an all-time high across each major product category. Second, the number of both transacting and paid accounts on our digital content stores reached a new all-time high during the September quarter, with paid accounts increasing double digits in each of our geographic segments.Third, paid subscriptions grew more than 35 million sequentially, and we now have over 585 million paid subscriptions across the services on our platform, up 135 million from just a year ago. With this momentum, we are very confident to reach and exceed our increased target of 600 million paid subscriptions before the end of calendar 2020.</i>  <b>Company Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><i>首先，我们的安装基础持续增长，并且在每个主要产品类别中都处于历史最高水平。其次，我们数字内容商店上的交易账户和付费账户数量在9月份季度均创下历史新高，每个地理区域的付费账户均以两位数增长。第三，付费订阅量环比增长超过3500万，目前我们平台上的服务付费订阅量超过5.85亿，比一年前增加了1.35亿。凭借这一势头，我们非常有信心在2020年底前达到并超过6亿付费订阅的增加目标。</i><b>公司分析</b></blockquote></p><p> I initiate Apple with a Neutral rating and a fair value of $111.42/share (vs. the current price of $131.7/share). The fair value is an algorithm-adjusted value that accounts for different factors, fundamental and technical (e.g. DCF fair value, Momentum, etc.), and so it takes into consideration the Mr. Market mood. At the same time, the fair value which I obtained through the DCF model is equal to $105.68/share. Now before showing the results, the numbers used as the base are the trailing twelve-month numbers. Moreover, I also restated the financials since I capitalized on R&amp;D expenses with an amortizable life of 3 years. I don't believe that in the case of Apple, R&amp;D is an operating expense and for this reason, I treat it as CapEx. By taking into account the R&amp;D, the following metrics have been restated (all numbers in $mm).</p><p><blockquote>我给予苹果中性评级，公允价值为111.42美元/股（当前价格为131.7美元/股）。公允价值是算法调整后的价值，考虑了不同的因素，基本面和技术面（如DCF公允价值、动量等）。），因此它考虑了市场先生的情绪。同时，我通过DCF模型获得的公允价值等于105.68美元/股。现在，在显示结果之前，用作基数的数字是过去12个月的数字。此外，我还重述了财务数据，因为我将可摊销期限为3年的研发费用资本化。我不认为就苹果而言，研发是一项运营费用，因此，我将其视为资本支出。考虑到研发，以下指标已被重述（所有数字均以百万美元为单位）。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f7a2222a8e8b9088e619b0b971193a1f\" tg-width=\"569\" tg-height=\"262\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者使用最新10-K报告数据进行的估计</span></p></blockquote></p><p> It is very important to capitalize on R&amp;D expense, if we don't, we are just keeping the company's biggest asset off-balance sheet.</p><p><blockquote>利用研发费用非常重要，如果我们不这样做，我们只是将公司最大的资产保留在资产负债表之外。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Discounted Cash Flow Model</b></p><p><blockquote><b>折现现金流量模型</b></blockquote></p><p> Now, let's turn to the discounted cash flow valuation part. Below, you can see the results with the relative assumptions I have made.</p><p><blockquote>现在，让我们转向贴现现金流估值部分。下面，你可以看到我所做的相对假设的结果。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2da633d931f51b493d897d9c87ecee5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"262\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者使用最新10-K报告数据进行的估计</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Now, this time I also present along with my estimates three possible scenarios:</p><p><blockquote>现在，这次我还提出了三种可能的情况以及我的估计：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><i>Base Case Scenario</i>: The above DCF model represents my base case scenario. In the base case scenario, I assume the drivers of growth to be: the iPhone segment (driven by 5G transition), the Services segment (driven by a broader customer base), and the new powered M1 Macs segment. Under this scenario, I assume a Y1 growth rate of 12%, a CAGR Y2-Y5 of 7.1%, and a target operating margin in Y10 of 27%. The DCF fair value under this scenario is $105.68/share.</li>  <li><i>Best Case Scenario</i>: The business is booming! In the best-case scenario, I see again as the main drivers the one which I described for the base case scenario, however, in addition, I see a greater market penetration in China. Over the last 5 years, we can observe a falling pattern for sales in China, however, this year sales jumped 39.7% (with the iPhone segment rising substantially). Under this scenario, I assume a Y1 growth rate of 14%, a CAGR Y2-Y5 of 9.1%, and a target operating margin in Y10 of 30%. The DCF fair value under this scenario is $130.32/share.</li>  <li><i>Worst Case Scenario</i>: Well, this is a scenario that I would like to call like \"mature company scenario\". Under this scenario I see Apple growing a little above the growth rate of the economy and for this reason, I assume a Y1 growth rate of 10%, a CAGR Y2-Y5 of 3.1%, and a target operating margin in Y10 of 25%. The DCF fair value under this scenario is $81.03/share.</li> </ul> Finally, for each scenario, I see Apple entering into the health care market with its Apple Watch. As you can imagine, I assign a different likelihood of market penetration in each of these scenarios.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><i>基本情况</i>：上面的DCF模型代表了我的基本情况。在基本情况下，我假设增长的驱动力是：iPhone细分市场（由5G过渡驱动）、服务细分市场（由更广泛的客户群驱动）和新的M1 MAC细分市场。在这种情况下，我假设Y1增长率为12%，Y2-Y5复合年增长率为7.1%，Y10的目标营业利润率为27%。在这种情况下，DCF公允价值为105.68美元/股。</li><li><i>最佳情况</i>：生意火爆！在最好的情况下，我再次将我在基本情况中描述的主要驱动因素视为主要驱动因素，但是，此外，我还看到中国的市场渗透率更高。在过去的5年里，我们可以观察到中国的销售额呈下降趋势，然而，今年的销售额增长了39.7%（iPhone细分市场大幅增长）。在这种情况下，我假设Y1增长率为14%，Y2-Y5复合年增长率为9.1%，Y10的目标营业利润率为30%。在这种情况下，DCF公允价值为130.32美元/股。</li><li><i>最坏的情况</i>：嗯，这是一个我想看涨期权为“成熟公司场景”的场景。在这种情况下，我认为苹果的增长略高于经济增长率，因此，我假设Y1增长率为10%，Y2-Y5复合年增长率为3.1%，Y10的目标营业利润率为25%。在这种情况下，DCF公允价值为81.03美元/股。</li></ul>最后，对于每种情况，我都看到苹果凭借其苹果手表进入医疗保健市场。正如你可以想象的那样，我在每种情况下分配了不同的市场渗透可能性。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Sensitivity Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>敏感性分析</b></blockquote></p><p> Moreover, I also would like to provide the sensitivity analysis for the base case scenario.</p><p><blockquote>此外，我还想提供基本情况的敏感性分析。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95f00eba768526d07d68fd846ecf998d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"462\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者使用最新10-K报告数据进行的估计</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Technical Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>技术分析</b></blockquote></p><p> From the technical analysis point of view, I don't see any problem yet. The stock price is in a bullish mode, currently within an ascending triangle pattern. As of right now, the stock price is following its pattern and it is heading to the price target of $137/share or point D, where it is likely to bounce and head back to point E. If this scenario happens, point E is usually the point where stock price bounces once again and from that point, the stock goes higher (it is just a technical analysis assumption, take it as is).</p><p><blockquote>从技术分析的角度来看，我还没有看到任何问题。股价处于看涨模式，目前处于上升三角形形态。截至目前，股价正在遵循其模式，正朝着137美元/股或D点的目标价迈进，在那里它可能会反弹并回到E点。如果这种情况发生，E点通常是股价再次反弹的点，从该点开始，股票走高（这只是一个技术分析假设，照原样）。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ecf3e5f45dcb5e30b092c02bbf94d6f9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"317\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:TradingView.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：TradingView.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Final Thoughts</b></p><p><blockquote><b>最后的想法</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple is a mature company that is able to see a problem and solve it years ahead. By looking at the fair value, computed under the base case scenario, we can argue that the stock is currently overvalued but not by that much. For what concern risks, the difference between the best-case and the worst-case scenario can be used as a proxy of risk. Taking this into consideration I don't see big reasoning to panic, however, it is also true that I see an upcoming correction for the market. Many indicators, technical and fundamental, are suggesting to me that the market is too heavy right now (even if the S&amp;P500 may go higher, perhaps in the 4400 area). To conclude, I don't think to close out my whole Apple position, however, I will close out 60% of it once it reaches my price target.</p><p><blockquote>苹果是一家成熟的公司，能够在未来几年发现问题并解决它。通过查看在基本情况下计算的公允价值，我们可以认为该股票目前被高估，但没有高估那么多。对于什么关注风险，最好情况和最坏情况之间的差异可以用作风险的代理。考虑到这一点，我认为没有什么理由恐慌，但是，我确实看到市场即将出现调整。许多技术和基本面指标都向我表明，市场目前过于沉重（即使标准普尔500指数可能会走高，也许会在4400点区域）。总而言之，我不认为要平仓我的整个苹果头寸，但是，一旦达到我的价格目标，我会平仓其中的60%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435760-apple-stock-aapl-winter-is-coming\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435760-apple-stock-aapl-winter-is-coming","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1175906479","content_text":"Summary\n\nApple's stock has rallied 449% in the last five years, outperforming the 102% rise in the S&P 500 over the same period.\nI initiate Apple with a Neutral rating and a fair value of $111.42/share (vs. the current price of $131.7/share).\nFrom the technical analysis point of view, the stock price is following its ascending triangle pattern and it is heading to the price target of $137/share.\n\nMichael M. Santiago/Getty Images NewsCompany Overview\nApple Inc (AAPL) stock has rallied 449% in the last five years, outperforming the 102% rise in the S&P 500 over the same period. An outstanding return supported by underlying fundamentals. In particular, I would like to start the analysis with the latter.\nOver the last two decades, the dominant driver of Apple's success has been the iPhone. In 2016, iPhones accounted for 63% of total sales. This was a problem for Apple, and they knew it. The problem existed due to two main factors: first, the smartphone business was mature (with low growth rates); second, it was (and it is) a highly competitive business. However, Apple had something other competitors didn't have, a big iPhone owner base (which allows to sell more services for instance). Through the years Apple has been able to effectively diversify its revenue stream and it currently presents the structure represented below.\nSource:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report\nLet's now take a look at each of these segments:\n1. iPhone\nFrom 2016 to 2020, the iPhone segment grew at a CAGR of 0.20% and it changed from representing 63.4% (2016) of total sales to 51% (\"TTM\"). I present below the growth rate for the iPhone segment over the last 5 years (2016-TTM).\nSource:Author's estimates using data from the latest10-K report\nSo far this year the iPhone segment is showing a growth rate of 18.5% TTM, fueled by the new family of iPhone12 with 5G capabilities, and with interesting data coming from China. I believe that the transition to 5G will be the main driver of the growth in this segment. In this manner, I would like to report a piece of the transcript from theQ2 earnings call.\n\nIn the enterprise market, customers across many industries are accelerating their adoption of iPhone 12 and 5G as a key platform for the future of their business. Delta Airlines, for example, is putting iPhone 12 and 5G connectivity into the hands of flight attendants so they can provide the best passenger service possible as air travel rebounds.Openreach in the U.K. has started equipping tens of thousands of field engineers with iPhone 12 to speed up their deployment of broadband services to homes around the country. And UCHealth, a large health care provider in Colorado, was able to reduce per patient vaccination time from 3 minutes to only 30 seconds largely by moving from PC stations to iPhones. This has allowed their staff to rapidly scan and register new patients and vastly increase their daily vaccination capacity.\n\n2. iPad\nAs it was in the past, the iPad segment is more or less a constant number as a % of total sales, 9.6% in 2016 vs 9.1% TTM. From 2016 to 2020, the iPad segment grew at a CAGR of 3.56% (with an improving overall trend). I present below the growth rate for the iPad segment over the last 5 years (2016-TTM).\nSource:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report\nThe TTM numbers show us an interesting picture with a growth rate of 24.9% TTM for the iPad segment which are driven by 3 factors: the M1 chip, the new 5G capabilities, and the fact that we were all at home. I see a lot of ways in which this new generation of iPads can be implemented. However, I also have to admit that there is a big player swimming in the same sea, the new 2-1 Laptops. The new 2-1 Laptops are a very interesting solution for those looking to have the best of the two worlds. In this last view, the iPad segment may represent a lower % of total sales, around 7.8% (vs current 9.1%).\n3. Mac\nFrom 2016 to 2020, the Mac segment grew at a CAGR of 5.81%, and also here, as it is for the iPad segment, the Mac segment represents a more or less constant number as % of total sales 10.6% in 2016 vs 10.4% TTM. I present below the growth rate for the Mac segment over the last 5 years (2016-TTM).\nSource:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report\nThe generation of new Macs powered by the M1 chip seems to be appreciated by the customers, in fact, the Mac segment presents a growth rate of 18.4% TTM so far this year. I personally tried this new generation of Macs and I have to admit, Apple knows very well how to delight its customers. Personal PCs are a highly competitive market and, even if I like and I use Apple products, I prefer to work with a Lenovo.\n4. Wearables, Home, and Accessories (WH&A)\nThe Wearables, Home, and Accessories segment includes sales of AirPods, Apple TV, Apple Watch, Beats products, HomePod, etc. This is where it gets interesting. From 2016 to 2020, the WH&A segment grew at a CAGR of 28.78%, and it changed from representing only 5.2% of total sales in 2016 to represent 10.8% TTM. I present below the growth rate for the WH&A segment over the last 5 years (2016-TTM).\nSource:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report\nThe WH&A segment is showing a growth rate of 14.7% TTM driven by a strong performance from both Apple Watch Series 6 and Apple Watch SE. Apple Watch may have a very bright future in the years ahead, driven by Apple entering into the healthcare market. In fact, it can be used to monitor the health status of the person. Imagine you being close to having a heart attack, your Apple Watch may call an ambulance and save your life, not bad no? Finally, let's don't forget also the launch of Apple TV 4K and of the newest accessory, AirTag (I don't see a market for the latter, but I may be wrong).\n5. Services\nServices include sales from the Company’s advertising, AppleCare, digital content, and other services. From 2016 to 2020, the Services segment grew at a CAGR of 21.9% and it changed from representing 11.3% of total sales in 2016 to represent 18.6% TTM. I present below the growth rate for the Services segment over the last 5 years (2016-TTM).\nSource:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report\nTo date, the Services segment is showing a growth rate of 12.3% TTM. The growth is driven by App Store, Cloud Services, Music, Advertising, and Payment Services. The new services, Apple TV+, Apple Arcade, Apple News+, and Apple Card, are also starting to contribute to overall services growth, and continue to add users, content, and features. I believe that in the future, the Services segment will be the company's dominant segment. Below I present an interesting part I extrapolated from theQ4 earnings call.\n\nFirst, our installed base continues to grow and is at an all-time high across each major product category. Second, the number of both transacting and paid accounts on our digital content stores reached a new all-time high during the September quarter, with paid accounts increasing double digits in each of our geographic segments.Third, paid subscriptions grew more than 35 million sequentially, and we now have over 585 million paid subscriptions across the services on our platform, up 135 million from just a year ago. With this momentum, we are very confident to reach and exceed our increased target of 600 million paid subscriptions before the end of calendar 2020.\n\nCompany Analysis\nI initiate Apple with a Neutral rating and a fair value of $111.42/share (vs. the current price of $131.7/share). The fair value is an algorithm-adjusted value that accounts for different factors, fundamental and technical (e.g. DCF fair value, Momentum, etc.), and so it takes into consideration the Mr. Market mood. At the same time, the fair value which I obtained through the DCF model is equal to $105.68/share. Now before showing the results, the numbers used as the base are the trailing twelve-month numbers. Moreover, I also restated the financials since I capitalized on R&D expenses with an amortizable life of 3 years. I don't believe that in the case of Apple, R&D is an operating expense and for this reason, I treat it as CapEx. By taking into account the R&D, the following metrics have been restated (all numbers in $mm).\nSource:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report\nIt is very important to capitalize on R&D expense, if we don't, we are just keeping the company's biggest asset off-balance sheet.\nDiscounted Cash Flow Model\nNow, let's turn to the discounted cash flow valuation part. Below, you can see the results with the relative assumptions I have made.\nSource:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report\nNow, this time I also present along with my estimates three possible scenarios:\n\nBase Case Scenario: The above DCF model represents my base case scenario. In the base case scenario, I assume the drivers of growth to be: the iPhone segment (driven by 5G transition), the Services segment (driven by a broader customer base), and the new powered M1 Macs segment. Under this scenario, I assume a Y1 growth rate of 12%, a CAGR Y2-Y5 of 7.1%, and a target operating margin in Y10 of 27%. The DCF fair value under this scenario is $105.68/share.\nBest Case Scenario: The business is booming! In the best-case scenario, I see again as the main drivers the one which I described for the base case scenario, however, in addition, I see a greater market penetration in China. Over the last 5 years, we can observe a falling pattern for sales in China, however, this year sales jumped 39.7% (with the iPhone segment rising substantially). Under this scenario, I assume a Y1 growth rate of 14%, a CAGR Y2-Y5 of 9.1%, and a target operating margin in Y10 of 30%. The DCF fair value under this scenario is $130.32/share.\nWorst Case Scenario: Well, this is a scenario that I would like to call like \"mature company scenario\". Under this scenario I see Apple growing a little above the growth rate of the economy and for this reason, I assume a Y1 growth rate of 10%, a CAGR Y2-Y5 of 3.1%, and a target operating margin in Y10 of 25%. The DCF fair value under this scenario is $81.03/share.\n\nFinally, for each scenario, I see Apple entering into the health care market with its Apple Watch. As you can imagine, I assign a different likelihood of market penetration in each of these scenarios.\nSensitivity Analysis\nMoreover, I also would like to provide the sensitivity analysis for the base case scenario.\nSource:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report\nTechnical Analysis\nFrom the technical analysis point of view, I don't see any problem yet. The stock price is in a bullish mode, currently within an ascending triangle pattern. As of right now, the stock price is following its pattern and it is heading to the price target of $137/share or point D, where it is likely to bounce and head back to point E. If this scenario happens, point E is usually the point where stock price bounces once again and from that point, the stock goes higher (it is just a technical analysis assumption, take it as is).\nSource:TradingView.com\nFinal Thoughts\nApple is a mature company that is able to see a problem and solve it years ahead. By looking at the fair value, computed under the base case scenario, we can argue that the stock is currently overvalued but not by that much. For what concern risks, the difference between the best-case and the worst-case scenario can be used as a proxy of risk. Taking this into consideration I don't see big reasoning to panic, however, it is also true that I see an upcoming correction for the market. Many indicators, technical and fundamental, are suggesting to me that the market is too heavy right now (even if the S&P500 may go higher, perhaps in the 4400 area). To conclude, I don't think to close out my whole Apple position, however, I will close out 60% of it once it reaches my price 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[Happy]&nbsp;[Happy]&nbsp;[Happy]&nbsp;[Happy]&nbsp;[Happy]&nbsp;[Happy]&nbsp;[Happy]&nbsp;[Happy]&nbsp;[Happy]&nbsp;[Happy]&nbsp;[Happy]&nbsp;","text":"Huats [Happy] [Happy] [Happy] [Happy] [Happy] [Happy] [Happy] [Happy] [Happy] [Happy] [Happy]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/103155185","repostId":"1162866378","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1162866378","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1619683319,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1162866378?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-29 16:01","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple rose nearly 3% in premarket trading<blockquote>苹果盘前交易涨近3%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1162866378","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Apple rose nearly 3% in premarket trading, Q2 revenue increased by 54%, and announced a $90 billion ","content":"<p>Apple rose nearly 3% in premarket trading, Q2 revenue increased by 54%, and announced a $90 billion repurchase of stock.</p><p><blockquote>苹果盘前涨近3%，Q2营收增54%，宣布回购900亿美元股票。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/423f74f0188801e5c5f2e9c726de52f6\" tg-width=\"1302\" tg-height=\"833\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Apple Delivers Blowout Q1, Lifts Buybacks by $90B</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果第一季度业绩井喷，回购量增加90B美元</b></blockquote></p><p>Apple reported Wednesday better-than-expected first-quarter results as revenue hit a record high following a surge in services and iPhones growth. Apple said it would increase its existing share buyback program by $90 billion.</p><p><blockquote>苹果周三公布了好于预期的第一季度业绩，在服务和iPhone增长激增后，收入创下历史新高。苹果表示，将把现有的股票回购计划增加900亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Apple announced earnings per share of $1.40 on revenue of $89.58 billion. Analysts polled by Investing.com anticipated EPS of 98 cents on revenue of $76.71 billion.</p><p><blockquote>苹果公布每股收益1.40美元，营收895.8亿美元。Investing.com调查的分析师预计每股收益为98美分，营收为767.1亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>iPhone revenue, which makes up about half of total revenue, rose to $47.94. billion from $28.96 billion a year earlier, beating estimates of $40.8 billion, driven by strong demand from the latest slate of iPhones.</p><p><blockquote>约占总收入一半的iPhone收入升至47.94美元。由于最新一系列iPhone的强劲需求，销售额从去年同期的289.6亿美元增至10亿美元，超出了预期的408亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Revenue from Apple’s service business including Apple News, Apple TV+ and iCloud, grew to $16.90 billion from $13.3 billion, beating estimates of $15.53 billion.</p><p><blockquote>苹果服务业务（包括苹果新闻、苹果TV+和iCloud）的收入从133亿美元增长至169亿美元，超出预期的155.3亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Wearables, home and accessories generated $7.8 billion in revenue, up from $6.3 billion, beating consensus of&nbsp; $7.45 billion.</p><p><blockquote>可穿戴设备、家居和配件创造了78亿美元的收入，高于63亿美元，高于市场预期的74.5亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Apple declared a cash dividend of 22 cents per share, an increase of 7%.</p><p><blockquote>苹果宣布每股派发现金股息22美分，增长7%。</blockquote></p><p>\"These results allowed us to generate operating cash flow of $24 billion and return nearly $23 billion to shareholders during the quarter,\" Apple said in a statement.</p><p><blockquote>苹果在一份声明中表示：“这些业绩使我们在本季度产生了240亿美元的运营现金流，并向股东返还了近230亿美元。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple rose nearly 3% in premarket trading<blockquote>苹果盘前交易涨近3%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple rose nearly 3% in premarket trading<blockquote>苹果盘前交易涨近3%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-04-29 16:01</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Apple rose nearly 3% in premarket trading, Q2 revenue increased by 54%, and announced a $90 billion repurchase of stock.</p><p><blockquote>苹果盘前涨近3%，Q2营收增54%，宣布回购900亿美元股票。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/423f74f0188801e5c5f2e9c726de52f6\" tg-width=\"1302\" tg-height=\"833\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Apple Delivers Blowout Q1, Lifts Buybacks by $90B</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果第一季度业绩井喷，回购量增加90B美元</b></blockquote></p><p>Apple reported Wednesday better-than-expected first-quarter results as revenue hit a record high following a surge in services and iPhones growth. Apple said it would increase its existing share buyback program by $90 billion.</p><p><blockquote>苹果周三公布了好于预期的第一季度业绩，在服务和iPhone增长激增后，收入创下历史新高。苹果表示，将把现有的股票回购计划增加900亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Apple announced earnings per share of $1.40 on revenue of $89.58 billion. Analysts polled by Investing.com anticipated EPS of 98 cents on revenue of $76.71 billion.</p><p><blockquote>苹果公布每股收益1.40美元，营收895.8亿美元。Investing.com调查的分析师预计每股收益为98美分，营收为767.1亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>iPhone revenue, which makes up about half of total revenue, rose to $47.94. billion from $28.96 billion a year earlier, beating estimates of $40.8 billion, driven by strong demand from the latest slate of iPhones.</p><p><blockquote>约占总收入一半的iPhone收入升至47.94美元。由于最新一系列iPhone的强劲需求，销售额从去年同期的289.6亿美元增至10亿美元，超出了预期的408亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Revenue from Apple’s service business including Apple News, Apple TV+ and iCloud, grew to $16.90 billion from $13.3 billion, beating estimates of $15.53 billion.</p><p><blockquote>苹果服务业务（包括苹果新闻、苹果TV+和iCloud）的收入从133亿美元增长至169亿美元，超出预期的155.3亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Wearables, home and accessories generated $7.8 billion in revenue, up from $6.3 billion, beating consensus of&nbsp; $7.45 billion.</p><p><blockquote>可穿戴设备、家居和配件创造了78亿美元的收入，高于63亿美元，高于市场预期的74.5亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Apple declared a cash dividend of 22 cents per share, an increase of 7%.</p><p><blockquote>苹果宣布每股派发现金股息22美分，增长7%。</blockquote></p><p>\"These results allowed us to generate operating cash flow of $24 billion and return nearly $23 billion to shareholders during the quarter,\" Apple said in a statement.</p><p><blockquote>苹果在一份声明中表示：“这些业绩使我们在本季度产生了240亿美元的运营现金流，并向股东返还了近230亿美元。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1162866378","content_text":"Apple rose nearly 3% in premarket trading, Q2 revenue increased by 54%, and announced a $90 billion repurchase of stock.Apple Delivers Blowout Q1, Lifts Buybacks by $90BApple reported Wednesday better-than-expected first-quarter results as revenue hit a record high following a surge in services and iPhones growth. Apple said it would increase its existing share buyback program by $90 billion.Apple announced earnings per share of $1.40 on revenue of $89.58 billion. Analysts polled by Investing.com anticipated EPS of 98 cents on revenue of $76.71 billion.iPhone revenue, which makes up about half of total revenue, rose to $47.94. billion from $28.96 billion a year earlier, beating estimates of $40.8 billion, driven by strong demand from the latest slate of iPhones.Revenue from Apple’s service business including Apple News, Apple TV+ and iCloud, grew to $16.90 billion from $13.3 billion, beating estimates of $15.53 billion.Wearables, home and accessories generated $7.8 billion in revenue, up from $6.3 billion, beating consensus of  $7.45 billion.Apple declared a cash dividend of 22 cents per share, an increase of 7%.\"These results allowed us to generate operating cash flow of $24 billion and return nearly $23 billion to shareholders during the quarter,\" Apple said in a statement.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":522,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":103155079,"gmtCreate":1619759151691,"gmtModify":1634210114218,"author":{"id":"3568609081739898","authorId":"3568609081739898","name":"Hminnnn","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ade2868ed76324c40090eda06ebd0e32","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3568609081739898","idStr":"3568609081739898"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Oooooo faceboooooooo [Happy]&nbsp;[Happy]&nbsp;&nbsp;","listText":"Oooooo faceboooooooo [Happy]&nbsp;[Happy]&nbsp;&nbsp;","text":"Oooooo faceboooooooo [Happy] [Happy]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/103155079","repostId":"1184532867","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":671,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":100157918,"gmtCreate":1619593292634,"gmtModify":1634211484383,"author":{"id":"3568609081739898","authorId":"3568609081739898","name":"Hminnnn","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ade2868ed76324c40090eda06ebd0e32","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3568609081739898","idStr":"3568609081739898"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Apple! [Serious]&nbsp;[Serious]&nbsp;[Serious]&nbsp;","listText":"Apple! [Serious]&nbsp;[Serious]&nbsp;[Serious]&nbsp;","text":"Apple! [Serious] [Serious] [Serious]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/100157918","repostId":"1179396069","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1179396069","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1619573853,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1179396069?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-28 09:37","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Could Blow the Top Off Earnings—Again. What That Would Mean for the Stock.<blockquote>苹果的盈利可能会再次飙升。这对股票意味着什么。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1179396069","media":"Barrons","summary":"Apple has its work cut out for it trying to surpass 2020’s blowout results. The thing is, the tech g","content":"<p>Apple has its work cut out for it trying to surpass 2020’s blowout results. The thing is, the tech giant just might be able to pull it off.</p><p><blockquote>苹果要想超越2020年的井喷业绩，还有很多工作要做。问题是，这家科技巨头也许能够成功。</blockquote></p><p> The buzz around Apple last year was off the charts, even for what is the buzziest of technology companies. Anticipation of the fall launch of the company’s first 5G phones, surging demand for both Macs and iPads as the pandemic rolled on, and strength in both wearables and services fed off each other. The pieces all came together in the December quarter, when Apple (ticker: AAPL) posted&nbsp;its biggest quarter ever. Sales soared 21% to $111.4 billion, more than $8 billion over the Street consensus. Every product category—iPhone, iPad, Macs, wearables, and services—notched double-digit growth. Apple stock finished the year up 81%, adding nearly $1 trillion to its market cap.</p><p><blockquote>去年围绕苹果的热度超出了图表，即使是对于最热门的科技公司来说也是如此。对该公司首款5G手机将于秋季推出的预期，随着疫情的发展，对Mac和iPad的需求激增，以及可穿戴设备和服务的实力相互促进。所有这些因素都在12月季度集中在一起，当时苹果（股票代码：AAPL）公布了有史以来最大的季度业绩。销售额飙升21%，达到1114亿美元，比华尔街普遍预期高出80亿美元。每个产品类别——iPhone、iPad、Mac、可穿戴设备和服务——都实现了两位数的增长。苹果股价全年上涨81%，市值增加近1万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> That’s a tough act to follow, particularly with the March quarter, which always slows from the holiday-boosted December quarter. But Apple could pull off the quintuple double again when its results come out after the bell Wednesday. The Street certainly thinks so, even if the market, which has pushed Apple shares up less than 2% in 2021, has been more cautious. Consensus estimates call for double-digit increases from last year across the board: iPhones sales up 43%, to $41.4 billion; iPad sales up 29%, to $5.6 billion; Mac sales of $6.8 billion, up 27%; wearables sales (mostly Apple Watch and AirPods) of $7.4 billion, up 18%; and a 16% bump in services, to $15.5 billion.</p><p><blockquote>这是一个很难遵循的行为，尤其是在3月份季度，该季度总是比假期提振的12月份季度放缓。但当周三盘后公布结果时，苹果可能会再次实现五倍的增长。华尔街当然是这么认为的，尽管2021年推动苹果股价上涨不到2%的市场更加谨慎。市场普遍预计看涨期权将比去年全面实现两位数增长：iPhone销售额增长43%，达到414亿美元；iPad销售额增长29%，达到56亿美元；Mac销售额68亿美元，增长27%；可穿戴设备销售额（主要是苹果手表和AirPods）为74亿美元，增长18%；服务业增长16%，达到155亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Overall, the Street consensus expects sales of $77 billion, up 32% from a year ago, with profits of 98 cents a share. That would be the fastest top-line growth rate for any Apple quarter since March 2012, when revenues were about half what they are now. And most bullish Apple analysts seem to think their own estimates are too low—a print at $77 billion would likely trigger a selloff in the stock.</p><p><blockquote>总体而言，华尔街普遍预计销售额为770亿美元，比去年同期增长32%，每股利润为98美分。这将是苹果自2012年3月以来最快的营收增长率，当时的收入约为现在的一半。大多数看涨的苹果分析师似乎认为他们自己的估计太低了——770亿美元的股价可能会引发该股的抛售。</blockquote></p><p> Apple is also&nbsp;expected to provide an update on its capital-allocation strategy. A year ago,the company announced a 6% dividend increase, and boosted its stock repurchase plan by $50 billion. Apple has said repeatedly that it is pushing to get to a cash neutral position, but its remarkably big cash flow has slowed progress toward that goal.</p><p><blockquote>预计苹果还将提供其资本配置策略的最新信息。一年前，该公司宣布将股息增加6%，并将股票回购计划增加500亿美元。苹果一再表示，它正在努力实现现金中性头寸，但其庞大的现金流减缓了实现这一目标的进展。</blockquote></p><p> As always, the quarter is about more than just earnings.</p><p><blockquote>与往常一样，本季度不仅仅是盈利。</blockquote></p><p> For one, the Street will be looking for signs that the sales surge for Macs and iPads is sustainable—and that the company is keeping up with demand despite widespread chip and display shortages. Some investors worry that the spike in PC demand could ebb as more people return to schools and offices. They’ll be looking for company guidance on that point.</p><p><blockquote>其一，华尔街将寻找Mac和iPad销量激增可持续的迹象，以及尽管芯片和显示屏普遍短缺，但该公司仍能满足需求的迹象。一些投资者担心，随着越来越多的人返回学校和办公室，个人电脑需求的激增可能会消退。他们将在这一点上寻求公司的指导。</blockquote></p><p> Another is the sustainability of the resurgence in iPhone growth. There were high hopes among bulls that the iPhone 12 would drive a “supercycle” with an accelerated replacement cycle. Several analysts have noted that a clear consumer preference for the high end of the iPhone 12 line is driving up average selling prices, which should support a strong revenue quarter for the segment.</p><p><blockquote>另一个是iPhone增长复苏的可持续性。多头曾寄予厚望，认为iPhone 12将推动换机周期加速的“超级周期”。几位分析师指出，消费者对iPhone 12系列高端产品的明显偏好正在推高平均售价，这应该会支持该细分市场强劲的收入季度。</blockquote></p><p> “Given the later-than-seasonal launch of new iPhones in the fall of 2020, we believe iPhone demand will experience more favorable year-over-year comparisons this March quarter compared to past years,” writes Monness Crespi Hardt’s Brian White, who sees 47% iPhone revenue growth during the quarter.</p><p><blockquote>Monness Crespi Hardt的布莱恩·怀特(Brian White)写道：“鉴于2020年秋季新款iPhone的发布时间晚于季节性，我们相信，与过去几年相比，今年3月季度的iPhone需求将经历更有利的同比比较。”预计本季度iPhone收入将增长47%。</blockquote></p><p> And if Apple pulls it all together? Apple could crush Street estimates, writes Morgan Stanley analyst Katy Huberty, who has an Overweight rating and a $158 price target on the stock, up 17% from Monday’s close of $134.72. She sees the top line above $80 billion, with all segments growing at least 19% year over year. She is especially bullish on Mac and iPad sales, with estimates far above consensus—53% for Macs and 52% for iPads. She also expects Apple to increase its dividend by 10% and expand its stock repurchase program by $60 billion.</p><p><blockquote>如果苹果把这一切都拼凑起来呢？摩根士丹利分析师凯蒂·休伯蒂(Katy Huberty)写道，苹果可能会超出华尔街的预期，她对该股给予跑赢大盘评级，目标价为158美元，较周一收盘价134.72美元上涨17%。她预计营收将超过800亿美元，所有细分市场同比至少增长19%。她尤其看好Mac和iPad的销量，预期远高于市场普遍预期——Mac销量为53%，iPad销量为52%。她还预计苹果将股息提高10%，并将股票回购计划扩大600亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> That would certainly qualify as a job well done.</p><p><blockquote>这当然是一项出色的工作。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Could Blow the Top Off Earnings—Again. What That Would Mean for the Stock.<blockquote>苹果的盈利可能会再次飙升。这对股票意味着什么。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Could Blow the Top Off Earnings—Again. What That Would Mean for the Stock.<blockquote>苹果的盈利可能会再次飙升。这对股票意味着什么。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-04-28 09:37</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Apple has its work cut out for it trying to surpass 2020’s blowout results. The thing is, the tech giant just might be able to pull it off.</p><p><blockquote>苹果要想超越2020年的井喷业绩，还有很多工作要做。问题是，这家科技巨头也许能够成功。</blockquote></p><p> The buzz around Apple last year was off the charts, even for what is the buzziest of technology companies. Anticipation of the fall launch of the company’s first 5G phones, surging demand for both Macs and iPads as the pandemic rolled on, and strength in both wearables and services fed off each other. The pieces all came together in the December quarter, when Apple (ticker: AAPL) posted&nbsp;its biggest quarter ever. Sales soared 21% to $111.4 billion, more than $8 billion over the Street consensus. Every product category—iPhone, iPad, Macs, wearables, and services—notched double-digit growth. Apple stock finished the year up 81%, adding nearly $1 trillion to its market cap.</p><p><blockquote>去年围绕苹果的热度超出了图表，即使是对于最热门的科技公司来说也是如此。对该公司首款5G手机将于秋季推出的预期，随着疫情的发展，对Mac和iPad的需求激增，以及可穿戴设备和服务的实力相互促进。所有这些因素都在12月季度集中在一起，当时苹果（股票代码：AAPL）公布了有史以来最大的季度业绩。销售额飙升21%，达到1114亿美元，比华尔街普遍预期高出80亿美元。每个产品类别——iPhone、iPad、Mac、可穿戴设备和服务——都实现了两位数的增长。苹果股价全年上涨81%，市值增加近1万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> That’s a tough act to follow, particularly with the March quarter, which always slows from the holiday-boosted December quarter. But Apple could pull off the quintuple double again when its results come out after the bell Wednesday. The Street certainly thinks so, even if the market, which has pushed Apple shares up less than 2% in 2021, has been more cautious. Consensus estimates call for double-digit increases from last year across the board: iPhones sales up 43%, to $41.4 billion; iPad sales up 29%, to $5.6 billion; Mac sales of $6.8 billion, up 27%; wearables sales (mostly Apple Watch and AirPods) of $7.4 billion, up 18%; and a 16% bump in services, to $15.5 billion.</p><p><blockquote>这是一个很难遵循的行为，尤其是在3月份季度，该季度总是比假期提振的12月份季度放缓。但当周三盘后公布结果时，苹果可能会再次实现五倍的增长。华尔街当然是这么认为的，尽管2021年推动苹果股价上涨不到2%的市场更加谨慎。市场普遍预计看涨期权将比去年全面实现两位数增长：iPhone销售额增长43%，达到414亿美元；iPad销售额增长29%，达到56亿美元；Mac销售额68亿美元，增长27%；可穿戴设备销售额（主要是苹果手表和AirPods）为74亿美元，增长18%；服务业增长16%，达到155亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Overall, the Street consensus expects sales of $77 billion, up 32% from a year ago, with profits of 98 cents a share. That would be the fastest top-line growth rate for any Apple quarter since March 2012, when revenues were about half what they are now. And most bullish Apple analysts seem to think their own estimates are too low—a print at $77 billion would likely trigger a selloff in the stock.</p><p><blockquote>总体而言，华尔街普遍预计销售额为770亿美元，比去年同期增长32%，每股利润为98美分。这将是苹果自2012年3月以来最快的营收增长率，当时的收入约为现在的一半。大多数看涨的苹果分析师似乎认为他们自己的估计太低了——770亿美元的股价可能会引发该股的抛售。</blockquote></p><p> Apple is also&nbsp;expected to provide an update on its capital-allocation strategy. A year ago,the company announced a 6% dividend increase, and boosted its stock repurchase plan by $50 billion. Apple has said repeatedly that it is pushing to get to a cash neutral position, but its remarkably big cash flow has slowed progress toward that goal.</p><p><blockquote>预计苹果还将提供其资本配置策略的最新信息。一年前，该公司宣布将股息增加6%，并将股票回购计划增加500亿美元。苹果一再表示，它正在努力实现现金中性头寸，但其庞大的现金流减缓了实现这一目标的进展。</blockquote></p><p> As always, the quarter is about more than just earnings.</p><p><blockquote>与往常一样，本季度不仅仅是盈利。</blockquote></p><p> For one, the Street will be looking for signs that the sales surge for Macs and iPads is sustainable—and that the company is keeping up with demand despite widespread chip and display shortages. Some investors worry that the spike in PC demand could ebb as more people return to schools and offices. They’ll be looking for company guidance on that point.</p><p><blockquote>其一，华尔街将寻找Mac和iPad销量激增可持续的迹象，以及尽管芯片和显示屏普遍短缺，但该公司仍能满足需求的迹象。一些投资者担心，随着越来越多的人返回学校和办公室，个人电脑需求的激增可能会消退。他们将在这一点上寻求公司的指导。</blockquote></p><p> Another is the sustainability of the resurgence in iPhone growth. There were high hopes among bulls that the iPhone 12 would drive a “supercycle” with an accelerated replacement cycle. Several analysts have noted that a clear consumer preference for the high end of the iPhone 12 line is driving up average selling prices, which should support a strong revenue quarter for the segment.</p><p><blockquote>另一个是iPhone增长复苏的可持续性。多头曾寄予厚望，认为iPhone 12将推动换机周期加速的“超级周期”。几位分析师指出，消费者对iPhone 12系列高端产品的明显偏好正在推高平均售价，这应该会支持该细分市场强劲的收入季度。</blockquote></p><p> “Given the later-than-seasonal launch of new iPhones in the fall of 2020, we believe iPhone demand will experience more favorable year-over-year comparisons this March quarter compared to past years,” writes Monness Crespi Hardt’s Brian White, who sees 47% iPhone revenue growth during the quarter.</p><p><blockquote>Monness Crespi Hardt的布莱恩·怀特(Brian White)写道：“鉴于2020年秋季新款iPhone的发布时间晚于季节性，我们相信，与过去几年相比，今年3月季度的iPhone需求将经历更有利的同比比较。”预计本季度iPhone收入将增长47%。</blockquote></p><p> And if Apple pulls it all together? Apple could crush Street estimates, writes Morgan Stanley analyst Katy Huberty, who has an Overweight rating and a $158 price target on the stock, up 17% from Monday’s close of $134.72. She sees the top line above $80 billion, with all segments growing at least 19% year over year. She is especially bullish on Mac and iPad sales, with estimates far above consensus—53% for Macs and 52% for iPads. She also expects Apple to increase its dividend by 10% and expand its stock repurchase program by $60 billion.</p><p><blockquote>如果苹果把这一切都拼凑起来呢？摩根士丹利分析师凯蒂·休伯蒂(Katy Huberty)写道，苹果可能会超出华尔街的预期，她对该股给予跑赢大盘评级，目标价为158美元，较周一收盘价134.72美元上涨17%。她预计营收将超过800亿美元，所有细分市场同比至少增长19%。她尤其看好Mac和iPad的销量，预期远高于市场普遍预期——Mac销量为53%，iPad销量为52%。她还预计苹果将股息提高10%，并将股票回购计划扩大600亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> That would certainly qualify as a job well done.</p><p><blockquote>这当然是一项出色的工作。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/apple-could-blow-the-top-off-earningsagain-what-that-would-mean-for-the-stock-51619495288?mod=hp_DAY_Theme_1_2\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/apple-could-blow-the-top-off-earningsagain-what-that-would-mean-for-the-stock-51619495288?mod=hp_DAY_Theme_1_2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1179396069","content_text":"Apple has its work cut out for it trying to surpass 2020’s blowout results. The thing is, the tech giant just might be able to pull it off.\nThe buzz around Apple last year was off the charts, even for what is the buzziest of technology companies. Anticipation of the fall launch of the company’s first 5G phones, surging demand for both Macs and iPads as the pandemic rolled on, and strength in both wearables and services fed off each other. The pieces all came together in the December quarter, when Apple (ticker: AAPL) posted its biggest quarter ever. Sales soared 21% to $111.4 billion, more than $8 billion over the Street consensus. Every product category—iPhone, iPad, Macs, wearables, and services—notched double-digit growth. Apple stock finished the year up 81%, adding nearly $1 trillion to its market cap.\nThat’s a tough act to follow, particularly with the March quarter, which always slows from the holiday-boosted December quarter. But Apple could pull off the quintuple double again when its results come out after the bell Wednesday. The Street certainly thinks so, even if the market, which has pushed Apple shares up less than 2% in 2021, has been more cautious. Consensus estimates call for double-digit increases from last year across the board: iPhones sales up 43%, to $41.4 billion; iPad sales up 29%, to $5.6 billion; Mac sales of $6.8 billion, up 27%; wearables sales (mostly Apple Watch and AirPods) of $7.4 billion, up 18%; and a 16% bump in services, to $15.5 billion.\nOverall, the Street consensus expects sales of $77 billion, up 32% from a year ago, with profits of 98 cents a share. That would be the fastest top-line growth rate for any Apple quarter since March 2012, when revenues were about half what they are now. And most bullish Apple analysts seem to think their own estimates are too low—a print at $77 billion would likely trigger a selloff in the stock.\nApple is also expected to provide an update on its capital-allocation strategy. A year ago,the company announced a 6% dividend increase, and boosted its stock repurchase plan by $50 billion. Apple has said repeatedly that it is pushing to get to a cash neutral position, but its remarkably big cash flow has slowed progress toward that goal.\nAs always, the quarter is about more than just earnings.\nFor one, the Street will be looking for signs that the sales surge for Macs and iPads is sustainable—and that the company is keeping up with demand despite widespread chip and display shortages. Some investors worry that the spike in PC demand could ebb as more people return to schools and offices. They’ll be looking for company guidance on that point.\nAnother is the sustainability of the resurgence in iPhone growth. There were high hopes among bulls that the iPhone 12 would drive a “supercycle” with an accelerated replacement cycle. Several analysts have noted that a clear consumer preference for the high end of the iPhone 12 line is driving up average selling prices, which should support a strong revenue quarter for the segment.\n“Given the later-than-seasonal launch of new iPhones in the fall of 2020, we believe iPhone demand will experience more favorable year-over-year comparisons this March quarter compared to past years,” writes Monness Crespi Hardt’s Brian White, who sees 47% iPhone revenue growth during the quarter.\nAnd if Apple pulls it all together? Apple could crush Street estimates, writes Morgan Stanley analyst Katy Huberty, who has an Overweight rating and a $158 price target on the stock, up 17% from Monday’s close of $134.72. She sees the top line above $80 billion, with all segments growing at least 19% year over year. She is especially bullish on Mac and iPad sales, with estimates far above consensus—53% for Macs and 52% for iPads. She also expects Apple to increase its dividend by 10% and expand its stock repurchase program by $60 billion.\nThat would certainly qualify as a job well done.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":491,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":372988891,"gmtCreate":1619168291014,"gmtModify":1634288040326,"author":{"id":"3568609081739898","authorId":"3568609081739898","name":"Hminnnn","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ade2868ed76324c40090eda06ebd0e32","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3568609081739898","idStr":"3568609081739898"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Smile]&nbsp;[Smile]&nbsp;","listText":"[Smile]&nbsp;[Smile]&nbsp;","text":"[Smile] [Smile]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/372988891","repostId":"1144940040","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":439,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":354859721,"gmtCreate":1617160536363,"gmtModify":1634522335837,"author":{"id":"3568609081739898","authorId":"3568609081739898","name":"Hminnnn","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ade2868ed76324c40090eda06ebd0e32","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3568609081739898","idStr":"3568609081739898"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[可爱]&nbsp;[可爱]&nbsp;[可爱]&nbsp;[可爱]&nbsp;","listText":"[可爱]&nbsp;[可爱]&nbsp;[可爱]&nbsp;[可爱]&nbsp;","text":"[可爱] [可爱] [可爱] [可爱]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/354859721","repostId":"1163996400","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":810,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":355793993,"gmtCreate":1617102306812,"gmtModify":1634522657826,"author":{"id":"3568609081739898","authorId":"3568609081739898","name":"Hminnnn","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ade2868ed76324c40090eda06ebd0e32","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3568609081739898","idStr":"3568609081739898"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"UWU ARK CATHIE WOODS UWUWUWU","listText":"UWU ARK CATHIE WOODS UWUWUWU","text":"UWU ARK CATHIE WOODS UWUWUWU","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/355793993","repostId":"1154792664","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1154792664","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1617101926,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1154792664?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-30 18:58","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Cathie Wood Bought 3 High-Growth Tech Stocks That Could Be the Next 10-Baggers<blockquote>Cathie Wood购买了3只高增长科技股，它们可能成为下一个10大热门</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1154792664","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Multibaggers, or stocks that have soared many times past their original investment price, are someth","content":"<p>Multibaggers, or stocks that have soared many times past their original investment price, are something of a holy grail among investors. The rarest of them is the vaunted 10-bagger -- a stock that has increased tenfold from its original cost basis. Stocks with this type ofexplosive growth potentialare elusive.</p><p><blockquote>多重股，即飙升至原始投资价格以上数倍的股票，是投资者的圣杯。其中最罕见的是引以为豪的10袋股票——该股票的成本基础比原始成本基础增加了十倍。具有这种爆炸性增长潜力的股票很难找到。</blockquote></p><p>If there's one investor with a knack for finding disruptive stocks that could grow many times their original investment, it's Cathie Wood. The founder and CEO of ARK Investment Management proved her mettle when her five flagshipexchange-traded funds(ETFs) each grew by more than 100% last year, beating the broader markets by a country mile.</p><p><blockquote>如果有一位投资者有能力找到颠覆性股票，这些股票的涨幅可能是原始投资的许多倍，那就是凯西·伍德(Cathie Wood)。ARK Investment Management的创始人兼首席执行官证明了她的勇气，她的五只旗舰交易所交易基金(ETF)去年均增长了100%以上，远远跑赢了大盘。</blockquote></p><p>In recent weeks, Wall Street has temporarilysoured on high-growth equities, pushing the tech-heavy<b>Nasdaq</b>into correction territory. That hasn't stopped Wood from picking up technology stocks that could deliver game-changing results and eventually find themselves in the exclusive 10-bagger club.</p><p><blockquote>最近几周，华尔街暂时看好高增长股票，推高了科技股<b>纳斯达克</b>进入矫正领域。这并没有阻止伍德买入可能带来改变游戏规则结果的科技股，并最终发现自己进入了独家10袋俱乐部。</blockquote></p><p><b>Schrodinger: Providing a speedier path to new drug discovery</b></p><p><blockquote><b>薛定谔：为新药发现提供更快的途径</b></blockquote></p><p>Unless you work in the biopharmaceutical industry, you've probably never heard of<b>Schrodinger</b>(NASDAQ:SDGR). The company provides a platform that helps biopharmaceutical companies discover new treatments more quickly than traditional methods. The company'ssoftware-as-a-serviceplatform, which incorporates physics, data analytics, predictive analysis, and artificial intelligence, performs state-of-the-art simulations that lead to quicker and cheaper drug development and the discovery of novel treatment options.</p><p><blockquote>除非您在生物制药行业工作，否则您可能从未听说过<b>薛定谔</b>（纳斯达克：SDGR）。该公司提供了一个平台，帮助生物制药公司比传统方法更快地发现新的治疗方法。该公司的软件即服务平台融合了物理学、数据分析、预测分析和人工智能，可执行最先进的模拟，从而更快、更便宜地开发药物并发现新的治疗方案。</blockquote></p><p>Backed by Bill Gates, Schrodinger went public early last year, and the small company has had an impressive start. In 2020, revenue grew 26% year over year, driven by software revenue that increased 39%. Gross profit grew 29%, which helps illustrate the scalability of the company's model, though it's currently still unprofitable.</p><p><blockquote>在比尔·盖茨的支持下，薛定谔去年初上市，这家小公司的开局令人印象深刻。2020年，在软件收入增长39%的推动下，收入同比增长26%。毛利润增长了29%，这有助于说明该公司模式的可扩展性，尽管目前仍未盈利。</blockquote></p><p>Its customer metrics are equally impressive. Last year, the number of customers with $1,000 in annual contract value (ACV) grew 16%, while those with ACV of $100,000 grew at 17%. More importantly, however, is that large customers with ACV of more than $1 million grew by 60%, and customer retention clocked in a 99%. If these trends continue, the company has a bright future.</p><p><blockquote>它的客户指标同样令人印象深刻。去年，年度合同价值(ACV)为1,000美元的客户数量增长了16%，而ACV为100,000美元的客户数量增长了17%。然而，更重要的是，ACV超过100万美元的大客户增长了60%，客户保留率达到99%。如果这些趋势持续下去，该公司将拥有光明的未来。</blockquote></p><p>Wood has been consistently adding to the<b>ARK Genomic Revolution</b>(NYSEMKT:ARKG)ETF's position in Schrodinger. With last week's purchases, the company has become a Top 20 position, representing nearly 2% of the $7.67 billion&nbsp;in assets under management.</p><p><blockquote>木材一直在不断增加<b>方舟基因组革命</b>(NYSEMKT：ARKG)ETF在Schrodinger的头寸。通过上周的收购，该公司已跻身前20名，占管理资产76.7亿美元的近2%。</blockquote></p><p>Schrodinger is sitting in the catbird seat, at the heart of the digital transformation of drug discovery, and with a market cap of just $5 billion, it's easy to envision a path where Schrödinger could grow tenfold.</p><p><blockquote>薛定谔坐在猫鸟的座位上，处于药物发现数字化转型的核心，市值仅为50亿美元，很容易想象薛定谔可以增长十倍的道路。</blockquote></p><p><b>Opendoor Technologies: Embracing the changing face of real estate</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Opendoor Technologies：拥抱房地产的变化</b></blockquote></p><p>The real estate industry is also in the midst of a paradigm shift, as it embraces a digital transformation. For example,<b>Opendoor Technologies</b>(NASDAQ:OPEN)developed an app-based platform that makes buying and selling a home a cinch. Homeowners can sell their property directly to Opendoor, which will then renovate and sell the home at a profit, or they can choose to sell to other buyers, all for a flat fee of 5% of the home's value. By eliminating the need for the traditional real estate agent, the company is carving out a growing and profitable niche for itself. Opendoor drew the attention of special-purpose acquisition company pioneer Chamath Palihapitiya's Social Capital Hedosophia Holdings, which brought Opendoor public late last year.</p><p><blockquote>房地产行业也正处于范式转变之中，因为它正在拥抱数字化转型。例如，<b>开门技术</b>（纳斯达克：OPEN）开发了一个基于应用程序的平台，让买卖房屋变得轻而易举。房主可以将他们的房产直接出售给Opendoor，然后Opendoor将翻新并出售房屋以获取利润，或者他们可以选择出售给其他买家，所有这些都收取房屋价值5%的固定费用。通过消除对传统房地产经纪人的需求，该公司正在为自己开辟一个不断增长且有利可图的利基市场。Opendoor引起了特殊目的收购公司先锋Chamath Palihapitiya的社会资本Hedosophia Holdings的注意，该公司于去年年底将Opendoor上市。</blockquote></p><p>Like many real estate companies, Opendoor was initially hit by the pandemic, but it's staging a comeback. While revenue slipped 46% year over year, the company's gross profit margin grew to 8.5% of sales, up from 6.4%. The pandemic-driven housing boom should help Opendoor further scale its business. The company was still unprofitable in 2020, but it cut its net loss by 15%.</p><p><blockquote>与许多房地产公司一样，Opendoor最初受到了疫情的打击，但它正在卷土重来。尽管收入同比下滑46%，但该公司的毛利率占销售额的比例从6.4%增至8.5%。疫情推动的房地产繁荣应该有助于Opendoor进一步扩大其业务规模。该公司2020年仍未盈利，但净亏损减少了15%。</blockquote></p><p><b>ARK Next Generation Internet</b>(NYSEMKT:ARKW)ETF and<b>ARK Fintech Innovation</b>(NYSEMKT:ARKF)both scooped up shares of Opendoor last week. The company is a significant holding for both funds, representing 2.32% and 2.83%, respectively, of the funds' holdings. The digital revolution is still in the early stages in the real estate industry, and with a market cap of just $13 billion, Opendoor could eventually be a 10-bagger from here.</p><p><blockquote><b>方舟下一代互联网</b>(NYSEMKT：ARKW)ETF和<b>方舟金融科技创新</b>(NYSEMKT：ARKF)上周均买入了Opendoor的股票。该公司是两只基金的重要持股，分别占基金持股的2.32%和2.83%。房地产行业的数字革命仍处于早期阶段，Opendoor的市值仅为130亿美元，最终可能会成为10倍。</blockquote></p><p><b>Skillz: A mobile gaming powerhouse</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Skillz：移动游戏巨头</b></blockquote></p><p><b>Skillz</b>(NYSE:SKLZ)is a relative newcomer to the gaming industry, but it has carved out a growing niche for itself in the area of mobile gaming and esports. The company's platform can turn virtually any mobile game into a competition, where players can accumulate points or compete for cash and prizes. Mobile games have found a large and growing audience over the past year, helping fuel Skillz's popularity.</p><p><blockquote><b>斯基尔茨</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：SKLZ）相对来说是游戏行业的新人，但它已经在移动游戏和电子竞技领域为自己开辟了一个不断增长的利基市场。该公司的平台几乎可以将任何手机游戏变成一场比赛，玩家可以积累积分或争夺现金和奖品。在过去的一年里，手机游戏已经找到了大量且不断增长的观众，这有助于推动Skillz的受欢迎程度。</blockquote></p><p></p><p>For the year ended Dec. 31, revenue grew 92% year over year, while gross profit increased by 91%. The company's net loss worsened by 408%, as Skillz races to add new users. The company has determined that the lifetime value of new members far outstrips the cost of adding them now. This will no doubt increase the leverage of its platform, helping multiply future profits. The strategy is working as new players are flocking to the platform. The number of monthly active users grew 121%, although the average revenue per paying monthly active user slipped by about 12%.</p><p><blockquote>截至12月31日的年度，收入同比增长92%，毛利润增长91%。由于Skillz竞相增加新用户，该公司的净亏损恶化了408%。该公司已经确定，新成员的终身价值远远超过现在增加他们的成本。这无疑将增加其平台的杠杆作用，有助于增加未来的利润。随着新玩家涌向该平台，该策略正在发挥作用。尽管每个付费月活跃用户的平均收入下降了约12%，但月活跃用户数量增长了121%。</blockquote></p><p>Mobile gaming is the fastest-growing segment of the gaming industry. It's already a $68 billion business, and the market is expected to climb to $150 billion by 2025. Wood is no doubt keenly aware of the growing market opportunity, as Skillz is a Top 20 holding of the ARK Next Generation Internet ETF, at 1.75% of the $5.27 billion in funds under management. With Skillz's market cap of just $7 billion, it isn't hard to foresee a path for the stock to increase by 10 times its current value.</p><p><blockquote>移动游戏是游戏行业中增长最快的部分。这已经是一项价值680亿美元的业务，预计到2025年市场将攀升至1500亿美元。伍德无疑敏锐地意识到了不断增长的市场机会，因为Skillz是ARK下一代互联网ETF的前20大持股，占管理的52.7亿美元基金的1.75%。由于Skillz的市值仅为70亿美元，不难预见该股将上涨10倍于当前价值的路径。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a6757c78c75e17af9f7503156bd95297\" tg-width=\"729\" tg-height=\"492\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>The fine print</b></p><p><blockquote><b>小字</b></blockquote></p><p>For any of these stocks to become 10-baggers, a lot will have to go right, and plenty could still go wrong to trip them up. Simply put, these nascent businesses have a lot to prove if they want to make the grade over the long term. That said, and given the potential for outsize gains, it isn't surprising that Cathie Wood is increasing ARK's exposure to thesenascent companies. As the preceding chart illustrates, they've also become caught up in the broader sell-off that has plagued tech stocks since early February, making them relative bargains by comparison.</p><p><blockquote>对于这些股票中的任何一只来说，要成为10袋股，很多都必须是正确的，而很多股票仍然可能出现错误，从而使它们陷入困境。简而言之，如果这些新兴企业想要长期取得成功，它们需要证明很多东西。也就是说，考虑到巨大收益的潜力，Cathie Wood增加ARK对这些新兴公司的投资也就不足为奇了。如上图所示，它们还陷入了自二月初以来困扰科技股的更广泛抛售，相比之下，它们相对便宜。</blockquote></p><p>It's also important to note that none of these companies is yet profitable, and while they're cheaper than they were, they still carry a frothy sticker price -- at least in terms of traditional valuation metrics. Schrodinger, Skillz, and Opendoor are selling for 36, 19, and 3 times sales, respectively -- when a good price-to-sales ratio for a stock is generally between 1 and 2.</p><p><blockquote>同样值得注意的是，这些公司都尚未盈利，虽然它们比以前便宜，但它们的标价仍然存在泡沫——至少就传统估值指标而言是这样。Schrodinger、Skillz和Opendoor的售价分别是销售额的36倍、19倍和3倍，而股票的良好市销率通常在1到2之间。</blockquote></p><p>However, investors have thus far been willing to pay up for the disruptive technology and the potential to achieve the 10-bagger status that each of these companies offers.</p><p><blockquote>然而，迄今为止，投资者愿意为这些公司提供的颠覆性技术和实现10家公司地位的潜力买单。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Cathie Wood Bought 3 High-Growth Tech Stocks That Could Be the Next 10-Baggers<blockquote>Cathie Wood购买了3只高增长科技股，它们可能成为下一个10大热门</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCathie Wood Bought 3 High-Growth Tech Stocks That Could Be the Next 10-Baggers<blockquote>Cathie Wood购买了3只高增长科技股，它们可能成为下一个10大热门</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-03-30 18:58</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Multibaggers, or stocks that have soared many times past their original investment price, are something of a holy grail among investors. The rarest of them is the vaunted 10-bagger -- a stock that has increased tenfold from its original cost basis. Stocks with this type ofexplosive growth potentialare elusive.</p><p><blockquote>多重股，即飙升至原始投资价格以上数倍的股票，是投资者的圣杯。其中最罕见的是引以为豪的10袋股票——该股票的成本基础比原始成本基础增加了十倍。具有这种爆炸性增长潜力的股票很难找到。</blockquote></p><p>If there's one investor with a knack for finding disruptive stocks that could grow many times their original investment, it's Cathie Wood. The founder and CEO of ARK Investment Management proved her mettle when her five flagshipexchange-traded funds(ETFs) each grew by more than 100% last year, beating the broader markets by a country mile.</p><p><blockquote>如果有一位投资者有能力找到颠覆性股票，这些股票的涨幅可能是原始投资的许多倍，那就是凯西·伍德(Cathie Wood)。ARK Investment Management的创始人兼首席执行官证明了她的勇气，她的五只旗舰交易所交易基金(ETF)去年均增长了100%以上，远远跑赢了大盘。</blockquote></p><p>In recent weeks, Wall Street has temporarilysoured on high-growth equities, pushing the tech-heavy<b>Nasdaq</b>into correction territory. That hasn't stopped Wood from picking up technology stocks that could deliver game-changing results and eventually find themselves in the exclusive 10-bagger club.</p><p><blockquote>最近几周，华尔街暂时看好高增长股票，推高了科技股<b>纳斯达克</b>进入矫正领域。这并没有阻止伍德买入可能带来改变游戏规则结果的科技股，并最终发现自己进入了独家10袋俱乐部。</blockquote></p><p><b>Schrodinger: Providing a speedier path to new drug discovery</b></p><p><blockquote><b>薛定谔：为新药发现提供更快的途径</b></blockquote></p><p>Unless you work in the biopharmaceutical industry, you've probably never heard of<b>Schrodinger</b>(NASDAQ:SDGR). The company provides a platform that helps biopharmaceutical companies discover new treatments more quickly than traditional methods. The company'ssoftware-as-a-serviceplatform, which incorporates physics, data analytics, predictive analysis, and artificial intelligence, performs state-of-the-art simulations that lead to quicker and cheaper drug development and the discovery of novel treatment options.</p><p><blockquote>除非您在生物制药行业工作，否则您可能从未听说过<b>薛定谔</b>（纳斯达克：SDGR）。该公司提供了一个平台，帮助生物制药公司比传统方法更快地发现新的治疗方法。该公司的软件即服务平台融合了物理学、数据分析、预测分析和人工智能，可执行最先进的模拟，从而更快、更便宜地开发药物并发现新的治疗方案。</blockquote></p><p>Backed by Bill Gates, Schrodinger went public early last year, and the small company has had an impressive start. In 2020, revenue grew 26% year over year, driven by software revenue that increased 39%. Gross profit grew 29%, which helps illustrate the scalability of the company's model, though it's currently still unprofitable.</p><p><blockquote>在比尔·盖茨的支持下，薛定谔去年初上市，这家小公司的开局令人印象深刻。2020年，在软件收入增长39%的推动下，收入同比增长26%。毛利润增长了29%，这有助于说明该公司模式的可扩展性，尽管目前仍未盈利。</blockquote></p><p>Its customer metrics are equally impressive. Last year, the number of customers with $1,000 in annual contract value (ACV) grew 16%, while those with ACV of $100,000 grew at 17%. More importantly, however, is that large customers with ACV of more than $1 million grew by 60%, and customer retention clocked in a 99%. If these trends continue, the company has a bright future.</p><p><blockquote>它的客户指标同样令人印象深刻。去年，年度合同价值(ACV)为1,000美元的客户数量增长了16%，而ACV为100,000美元的客户数量增长了17%。然而，更重要的是，ACV超过100万美元的大客户增长了60%，客户保留率达到99%。如果这些趋势持续下去，该公司将拥有光明的未来。</blockquote></p><p>Wood has been consistently adding to the<b>ARK Genomic Revolution</b>(NYSEMKT:ARKG)ETF's position in Schrodinger. With last week's purchases, the company has become a Top 20 position, representing nearly 2% of the $7.67 billion&nbsp;in assets under management.</p><p><blockquote>木材一直在不断增加<b>方舟基因组革命</b>(NYSEMKT：ARKG)ETF在Schrodinger的头寸。通过上周的收购，该公司已跻身前20名，占管理资产76.7亿美元的近2%。</blockquote></p><p>Schrodinger is sitting in the catbird seat, at the heart of the digital transformation of drug discovery, and with a market cap of just $5 billion, it's easy to envision a path where Schrödinger could grow tenfold.</p><p><blockquote>薛定谔坐在猫鸟的座位上，处于药物发现数字化转型的核心，市值仅为50亿美元，很容易想象薛定谔可以增长十倍的道路。</blockquote></p><p><b>Opendoor Technologies: Embracing the changing face of real estate</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Opendoor Technologies：拥抱房地产的变化</b></blockquote></p><p>The real estate industry is also in the midst of a paradigm shift, as it embraces a digital transformation. For example,<b>Opendoor Technologies</b>(NASDAQ:OPEN)developed an app-based platform that makes buying and selling a home a cinch. Homeowners can sell their property directly to Opendoor, which will then renovate and sell the home at a profit, or they can choose to sell to other buyers, all for a flat fee of 5% of the home's value. By eliminating the need for the traditional real estate agent, the company is carving out a growing and profitable niche for itself. Opendoor drew the attention of special-purpose acquisition company pioneer Chamath Palihapitiya's Social Capital Hedosophia Holdings, which brought Opendoor public late last year.</p><p><blockquote>房地产行业也正处于范式转变之中，因为它正在拥抱数字化转型。例如，<b>开门技术</b>（纳斯达克：OPEN）开发了一个基于应用程序的平台，让买卖房屋变得轻而易举。房主可以将他们的房产直接出售给Opendoor，然后Opendoor将翻新并出售房屋以获取利润，或者他们可以选择出售给其他买家，所有这些都收取房屋价值5%的固定费用。通过消除对传统房地产经纪人的需求，该公司正在为自己开辟一个不断增长且有利可图的利基市场。Opendoor引起了特殊目的收购公司先锋Chamath Palihapitiya的社会资本Hedosophia Holdings的注意，该公司于去年年底将Opendoor上市。</blockquote></p><p>Like many real estate companies, Opendoor was initially hit by the pandemic, but it's staging a comeback. While revenue slipped 46% year over year, the company's gross profit margin grew to 8.5% of sales, up from 6.4%. The pandemic-driven housing boom should help Opendoor further scale its business. The company was still unprofitable in 2020, but it cut its net loss by 15%.</p><p><blockquote>与许多房地产公司一样，Opendoor最初受到了疫情的打击，但它正在卷土重来。尽管收入同比下滑46%，但该公司的毛利率占销售额的比例从6.4%增至8.5%。疫情推动的房地产繁荣应该有助于Opendoor进一步扩大其业务规模。该公司2020年仍未盈利，但净亏损减少了15%。</blockquote></p><p><b>ARK Next Generation Internet</b>(NYSEMKT:ARKW)ETF and<b>ARK Fintech Innovation</b>(NYSEMKT:ARKF)both scooped up shares of Opendoor last week. The company is a significant holding for both funds, representing 2.32% and 2.83%, respectively, of the funds' holdings. The digital revolution is still in the early stages in the real estate industry, and with a market cap of just $13 billion, Opendoor could eventually be a 10-bagger from here.</p><p><blockquote><b>方舟下一代互联网</b>(NYSEMKT：ARKW)ETF和<b>方舟金融科技创新</b>(NYSEMKT：ARKF)上周均买入了Opendoor的股票。该公司是两只基金的重要持股，分别占基金持股的2.32%和2.83%。房地产行业的数字革命仍处于早期阶段，Opendoor的市值仅为130亿美元，最终可能会成为10倍。</blockquote></p><p><b>Skillz: A mobile gaming powerhouse</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Skillz：移动游戏巨头</b></blockquote></p><p><b>Skillz</b>(NYSE:SKLZ)is a relative newcomer to the gaming industry, but it has carved out a growing niche for itself in the area of mobile gaming and esports. The company's platform can turn virtually any mobile game into a competition, where players can accumulate points or compete for cash and prizes. Mobile games have found a large and growing audience over the past year, helping fuel Skillz's popularity.</p><p><blockquote><b>斯基尔茨</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：SKLZ）相对来说是游戏行业的新人，但它已经在移动游戏和电子竞技领域为自己开辟了一个不断增长的利基市场。该公司的平台几乎可以将任何手机游戏变成一场比赛，玩家可以积累积分或争夺现金和奖品。在过去的一年里，手机游戏已经找到了大量且不断增长的观众，这有助于推动Skillz的受欢迎程度。</blockquote></p><p></p><p>For the year ended Dec. 31, revenue grew 92% year over year, while gross profit increased by 91%. The company's net loss worsened by 408%, as Skillz races to add new users. The company has determined that the lifetime value of new members far outstrips the cost of adding them now. This will no doubt increase the leverage of its platform, helping multiply future profits. The strategy is working as new players are flocking to the platform. The number of monthly active users grew 121%, although the average revenue per paying monthly active user slipped by about 12%.</p><p><blockquote>截至12月31日的年度，收入同比增长92%，毛利润增长91%。由于Skillz竞相增加新用户，该公司的净亏损恶化了408%。该公司已经确定，新成员的终身价值远远超过现在增加他们的成本。这无疑将增加其平台的杠杆作用，有助于增加未来的利润。随着新玩家涌向该平台，该策略正在发挥作用。尽管每个付费月活跃用户的平均收入下降了约12%，但月活跃用户数量增长了121%。</blockquote></p><p>Mobile gaming is the fastest-growing segment of the gaming industry. It's already a $68 billion business, and the market is expected to climb to $150 billion by 2025. Wood is no doubt keenly aware of the growing market opportunity, as Skillz is a Top 20 holding of the ARK Next Generation Internet ETF, at 1.75% of the $5.27 billion in funds under management. With Skillz's market cap of just $7 billion, it isn't hard to foresee a path for the stock to increase by 10 times its current value.</p><p><blockquote>移动游戏是游戏行业中增长最快的部分。这已经是一项价值680亿美元的业务，预计到2025年市场将攀升至1500亿美元。伍德无疑敏锐地意识到了不断增长的市场机会，因为Skillz是ARK下一代互联网ETF的前20大持股，占管理的52.7亿美元基金的1.75%。由于Skillz的市值仅为70亿美元，不难预见该股将上涨10倍于当前价值的路径。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a6757c78c75e17af9f7503156bd95297\" tg-width=\"729\" tg-height=\"492\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>The fine print</b></p><p><blockquote><b>小字</b></blockquote></p><p>For any of these stocks to become 10-baggers, a lot will have to go right, and plenty could still go wrong to trip them up. Simply put, these nascent businesses have a lot to prove if they want to make the grade over the long term. That said, and given the potential for outsize gains, it isn't surprising that Cathie Wood is increasing ARK's exposure to thesenascent companies. As the preceding chart illustrates, they've also become caught up in the broader sell-off that has plagued tech stocks since early February, making them relative bargains by comparison.</p><p><blockquote>对于这些股票中的任何一只来说，要成为10袋股，很多都必须是正确的，而很多股票仍然可能出现错误，从而使它们陷入困境。简而言之，如果这些新兴企业想要长期取得成功，它们需要证明很多东西。也就是说，考虑到巨大收益的潜力，Cathie Wood增加ARK对这些新兴公司的投资也就不足为奇了。如上图所示，它们还陷入了自二月初以来困扰科技股的更广泛抛售，相比之下，它们相对便宜。</blockquote></p><p>It's also important to note that none of these companies is yet profitable, and while they're cheaper than they were, they still carry a frothy sticker price -- at least in terms of traditional valuation metrics. Schrodinger, Skillz, and Opendoor are selling for 36, 19, and 3 times sales, respectively -- when a good price-to-sales ratio for a stock is generally between 1 and 2.</p><p><blockquote>同样值得注意的是，这些公司都尚未盈利，虽然它们比以前便宜，但它们的标价仍然存在泡沫——至少就传统估值指标而言是这样。Schrodinger、Skillz和Opendoor的售价分别是销售额的36倍、19倍和3倍，而股票的良好市销率通常在1到2之间。</blockquote></p><p>However, investors have thus far been willing to pay up for the disruptive technology and the potential to achieve the 10-bagger status that each of these companies offers.</p><p><blockquote>然而，迄今为止，投资者愿意为这些公司提供的颠覆性技术和实现10家公司地位的潜力买单。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/03/30/cathie-wood-bought-3-high-growth-tech-stocks-that/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e9b7efcf2941c835778d2759c1d7a1b3","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/03/30/cathie-wood-bought-3-high-growth-tech-stocks-that/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1154792664","content_text":"Multibaggers, or stocks that have soared many times past their original investment price, are something of a holy grail among investors. The rarest of them is the vaunted 10-bagger -- a stock that has increased tenfold from its original cost basis. Stocks with this type ofexplosive growth potentialare elusive.If there's one investor with a knack for finding disruptive stocks that could grow many times their original investment, it's Cathie Wood. The founder and CEO of ARK Investment Management proved her mettle when her five flagshipexchange-traded funds(ETFs) each grew by more than 100% last year, beating the broader markets by a country mile.In recent weeks, Wall Street has temporarilysoured on high-growth equities, pushing the tech-heavyNasdaqinto correction territory. That hasn't stopped Wood from picking up technology stocks that could deliver game-changing results and eventually find themselves in the exclusive 10-bagger club.Schrodinger: Providing a speedier path to new drug discoveryUnless you work in the biopharmaceutical industry, you've probably never heard ofSchrodinger(NASDAQ:SDGR). The company provides a platform that helps biopharmaceutical companies discover new treatments more quickly than traditional methods. The company'ssoftware-as-a-serviceplatform, which incorporates physics, data analytics, predictive analysis, and artificial intelligence, performs state-of-the-art simulations that lead to quicker and cheaper drug development and the discovery of novel treatment options.Backed by Bill Gates, Schrodinger went public early last year, and the small company has had an impressive start. In 2020, revenue grew 26% year over year, driven by software revenue that increased 39%. Gross profit grew 29%, which helps illustrate the scalability of the company's model, though it's currently still unprofitable.Its customer metrics are equally impressive. Last year, the number of customers with $1,000 in annual contract value (ACV) grew 16%, while those with ACV of $100,000 grew at 17%. More importantly, however, is that large customers with ACV of more than $1 million grew by 60%, and customer retention clocked in a 99%. If these trends continue, the company has a bright future.Wood has been consistently adding to theARK Genomic Revolution(NYSEMKT:ARKG)ETF's position in Schrodinger. With last week's purchases, the company has become a Top 20 position, representing nearly 2% of the $7.67 billion in assets under management.Schrodinger is sitting in the catbird seat, at the heart of the digital transformation of drug discovery, and with a market cap of just $5 billion, it's easy to envision a path where Schrödinger could grow tenfold.Opendoor Technologies: Embracing the changing face of real estateThe real estate industry is also in the midst of a paradigm shift, as it embraces a digital transformation. For example,Opendoor Technologies(NASDAQ:OPEN)developed an app-based platform that makes buying and selling a home a cinch. Homeowners can sell their property directly to Opendoor, which will then renovate and sell the home at a profit, or they can choose to sell to other buyers, all for a flat fee of 5% of the home's value. By eliminating the need for the traditional real estate agent, the company is carving out a growing and profitable niche for itself. Opendoor drew the attention of special-purpose acquisition company pioneer Chamath Palihapitiya's Social Capital Hedosophia Holdings, which brought Opendoor public late last year.Like many real estate companies, Opendoor was initially hit by the pandemic, but it's staging a comeback. While revenue slipped 46% year over year, the company's gross profit margin grew to 8.5% of sales, up from 6.4%. The pandemic-driven housing boom should help Opendoor further scale its business. The company was still unprofitable in 2020, but it cut its net loss by 15%.ARK Next Generation Internet(NYSEMKT:ARKW)ETF andARK Fintech Innovation(NYSEMKT:ARKF)both scooped up shares of Opendoor last week. The company is a significant holding for both funds, representing 2.32% and 2.83%, respectively, of the funds' holdings. The digital revolution is still in the early stages in the real estate industry, and with a market cap of just $13 billion, Opendoor could eventually be a 10-bagger from here.Skillz: A mobile gaming powerhouseSkillz(NYSE:SKLZ)is a relative newcomer to the gaming industry, but it has carved out a growing niche for itself in the area of mobile gaming and esports. The company's platform can turn virtually any mobile game into a competition, where players can accumulate points or compete for cash and prizes. Mobile games have found a large and growing audience over the past year, helping fuel Skillz's popularity.For the year ended Dec. 31, revenue grew 92% year over year, while gross profit increased by 91%. The company's net loss worsened by 408%, as Skillz races to add new users. The company has determined that the lifetime value of new members far outstrips the cost of adding them now. This will no doubt increase the leverage of its platform, helping multiply future profits. The strategy is working as new players are flocking to the platform. The number of monthly active users grew 121%, although the average revenue per paying monthly active user slipped by about 12%.Mobile gaming is the fastest-growing segment of the gaming industry. It's already a $68 billion business, and the market is expected to climb to $150 billion by 2025. Wood is no doubt keenly aware of the growing market opportunity, as Skillz is a Top 20 holding of the ARK Next Generation Internet ETF, at 1.75% of the $5.27 billion in funds under management. With Skillz's market cap of just $7 billion, it isn't hard to foresee a path for the stock to increase by 10 times its current value.The fine printFor any of these stocks to become 10-baggers, a lot will have to go right, and plenty could still go wrong to trip them up. Simply put, these nascent businesses have a lot to prove if they want to make the grade over the long term. That said, and given the potential for outsize gains, it isn't surprising that Cathie Wood is increasing ARK's exposure to thesenascent companies. As the preceding chart illustrates, they've also become caught up in the broader sell-off that has plagued tech stocks since early February, making them relative bargains by comparison.It's also important to note that none of these companies is yet profitable, and while they're cheaper than they were, they still carry a frothy sticker price -- at least in terms of traditional valuation metrics. Schrodinger, Skillz, and Opendoor are selling for 36, 19, and 3 times sales, respectively -- when a good price-to-sales ratio for a stock is generally between 1 and 2.However, investors have thus far been willing to pay up for the disruptive technology and the potential to achieve the 10-bagger status that each of these companies offers.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":929,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":389631045,"gmtCreate":1612761847087,"gmtModify":1703764692338,"author":{"id":"3568609081739898","authorId":"3568609081739898","name":"Hminnnn","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ade2868ed76324c40090eda06ebd0e32","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3568609081739898","idStr":"3568609081739898"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARKG\">$ARK Genomic Revolution Multi-Sector ETF(ARKG)$</a>Oh yay pancakes&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARKG\">$ARK Genomic Revolution Multi-Sector ETF(ARKG)$</a>Oh yay pancakes&nbsp;","text":"$ARK Genomic Revolution Multi-Sector ETF(ARKG)$Oh yay 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[Miser]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/105977731","repostId":"1190727792","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1190727792","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1620261268,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1190727792?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-06 08:34","market":"us","language":"en","title":"PayPal CEO touts ‘next generation digital wallet’ after earnings beat<blockquote>PayPal首席执行官在盈利超出预期后吹捧“下一代数字钱包”</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1190727792","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"PayPal shares rose as much as 5.5% in extended trading on Wednesday after reporting first-quarter ea","content":"<p>PayPal&nbsp;shares rose as much as 5.5% in extended trading on Wednesday after reporting&nbsp;first-quarter earnings&nbsp;that were stronger than analysts had expected.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/58ec3528147a01fb437277e9297f867e\" tg-width=\"1302\" tg-height=\"833\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Here’s how the company did:</p><p><blockquote>在公布强于分析师预期的第一季度收益后，PayPal股价周三盘后交易中上涨5.5%。该公司的做法如下：</blockquote></p><p><ul><li><b>Earnings per share:</b>$1.22, adjusted, vs. $1.01 per share expected in a Refinitiv survey of analysts</li><li><b>Revenue:</b>$6.03 billion vs. $5.90 billion expected by Refinitiv</li><li><b>Total payment volume:</b>$285 billion vs. $265 billionexpected in a FactSet survey</li></ul><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/280fd499646b944018a299f06e8a7149\" tg-width=\"838\" tg-height=\"638\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">PayPal&nbsp;shares rose as much as 5.5% in extended trading on Wednesday after reporting&nbsp;first-quarter earnings&nbsp;that were stronger than analysts had expected.First quarter net profit rose to $1.10 billion from $84 million a year earlier, and the company added 14.5 million net new active accounts, bringing its total user base to 392 million.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>每股盈利：</b>调整后每股1.22美元，而Refinitiv分析师调查预计每股1.01美元</li><li><b>收入：</b>60.3亿美元，而Refinitiv预期为59亿美元</li><li><b>总支付量：</b>FactSet调查预计为2,850亿美元，而FactSet调查预计为2,650亿美元</li></ul>在公布强于分析师预期的第一季度收益后，PayPal股价周三盘后交易中上涨5.5%。第一季度净利润从去年同期的8400万美元增至11亿美元，该公司净新增活跃账户1450万个，用户总数达到3.92亿。</blockquote></p><p>Revenue grew 31% year over year in the quarter that ended Mar. 31, according to a statement. In the year-ago quarter, the pandemic fomented a surge in online shopping, helping todrive record payment volumefor the quarter and the full year.</p><p><blockquote>一份声明称，截至3月31日的季度收入同比增长31%。去年同期，疫情引发了网上购物的激增，帮助推动了本季度和全年创纪录的支付量。</blockquote></p><p>On the company’s earnings call, CEO&nbsp;Dan Schulman pointed to cryptocurrency as a key growth engine for the company.</p><p><blockquote>在公司的盈利看涨期权上，首席执行官丹·舒尔曼指出加密货币是公司的关键增长引擎。</blockquote></p><p>“We’ve got a tremendous amount of really great results going on tactically with our crypto efforts,” said Schulman. He went on to say that half of crypto users open their PayPal app daily, suggesting that it increases engagement for users.</p><p><blockquote>舒尔曼说：“我们的加密货币工作在战术上取得了大量非常好的成果。”他接着说，一半的加密用户每天都会打开他们的PayPal应用程序，这表明它增加了用户的参与度。</blockquote></p><p>The mobile payments company made a big push into crypto in the last six months, allowing users in the U.S. to buy, sell, and check out with cryptocurrencies.</p><p><blockquote>这家移动支付公司在过去六个月中大力进军加密货币领域，允许美国用户使用加密货币购买、出售和结账。</blockquote></p><p>With its network of&nbsp;26 million retailers, PayPal’s crypto ambitions have positioned the company as a rival to&nbsp;Coinbase, the country’smost popular crypto exchange.</p><p><blockquote>凭借拥有2600万零售商的网络，PayPal的加密货币雄心使该公司成为该国最受欢迎的加密货币交易所Coinbase的竞争对手。</blockquote></p><p>The company also announced plans to roll out a “next-generation digital wallet” in the third quarter. Schulman described the product as an “all-in-one, personalized app [that] will provide increasingly customized and unique shopping, financial services, and payments experiences.”</p><p><blockquote>该公司还宣布计划在第三季度推出“下一代数字钱包”。舒尔曼将该产品描述为“一体化、个性化的应用程序，将提供日益定制化和独特的购物、金融服务和支付体验。”</blockquote></p><p>With respect to guidance, for the second quarter PayPal sees adjusted earnings of $1.12 per share on $6.25 billion in revenue. Analysts surveyed by Refinitiv had expected $1.10 in adjusted earnings per share on $6.16 billion in revenue.</p><p><blockquote>关于指引，PayPal预计第二季度调整后每股收益为1.12美元，营收为62.5亿美元。Refinitiv调查的分析师此前预计调整后每股收益为1.10美元，营收为61.6亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>For the full year, PayPal expects revenue to grow 20% to $25.75 billion, and the company called for adjusted earnings to grow 21% to $4.70. Analysts polled by Refinitiv had been looking for $4.57 in adjusted earnings per share and $25.71 billion in revenue.</p><p><blockquote>PayPal预计全年营收将增长20%至257.5亿美元，该公司预计调整后盈利将增长21%至4.70美元。Refinitiv调查的分析师此前预计调整后每股收益为4.57美元，营收为257.1亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Excluding the after-hours move, PayPal stock has risen about 5.9% since the start of the year, while theNasdaqis up about 5.5% over the same period.</p><p><blockquote>排除盘后走势，PayPal股价自今年年初以来已上涨约5.9%，而纳斯达克指数同期上涨约5.5%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>PayPal CEO touts ‘next generation digital wallet’ after earnings beat<blockquote>PayPal首席执行官在盈利超出预期后吹捧“下一代数字钱包”</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPayPal CEO touts ‘next generation digital wallet’ after earnings beat<blockquote>PayPal首席执行官在盈利超出预期后吹捧“下一代数字钱包”</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-05-06 08:34</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>PayPal&nbsp;shares rose as much as 5.5% in extended trading on Wednesday after reporting&nbsp;first-quarter earnings&nbsp;that were stronger than analysts had expected.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/58ec3528147a01fb437277e9297f867e\" tg-width=\"1302\" tg-height=\"833\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Here’s how the company did:</p><p><blockquote>在公布强于分析师预期的第一季度收益后，PayPal股价周三盘后交易中上涨5.5%。该公司的做法如下：</blockquote></p><p><ul><li><b>Earnings per share:</b>$1.22, adjusted, vs. $1.01 per share expected in a Refinitiv survey of analysts</li><li><b>Revenue:</b>$6.03 billion vs. $5.90 billion expected by Refinitiv</li><li><b>Total payment volume:</b>$285 billion vs. $265 billionexpected in a FactSet survey</li></ul><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/280fd499646b944018a299f06e8a7149\" tg-width=\"838\" tg-height=\"638\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">PayPal&nbsp;shares rose as much as 5.5% in extended trading on Wednesday after reporting&nbsp;first-quarter earnings&nbsp;that were stronger than analysts had expected.First quarter net profit rose to $1.10 billion from $84 million a year earlier, and the company added 14.5 million net new active accounts, bringing its total user base to 392 million.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>每股盈利：</b>调整后每股1.22美元，而Refinitiv分析师调查预计每股1.01美元</li><li><b>收入：</b>60.3亿美元，而Refinitiv预期为59亿美元</li><li><b>总支付量：</b>FactSet调查预计为2,850亿美元，而FactSet调查预计为2,650亿美元</li></ul>在公布强于分析师预期的第一季度收益后，PayPal股价周三盘后交易中上涨5.5%。第一季度净利润从去年同期的8400万美元增至11亿美元，该公司净新增活跃账户1450万个，用户总数达到3.92亿。</blockquote></p><p>Revenue grew 31% year over year in the quarter that ended Mar. 31, according to a statement. In the year-ago quarter, the pandemic fomented a surge in online shopping, helping todrive record payment volumefor the quarter and the full year.</p><p><blockquote>一份声明称，截至3月31日的季度收入同比增长31%。去年同期，疫情引发了网上购物的激增，帮助推动了本季度和全年创纪录的支付量。</blockquote></p><p>On the company’s earnings call, CEO&nbsp;Dan Schulman pointed to cryptocurrency as a key growth engine for the company.</p><p><blockquote>在公司的盈利看涨期权上，首席执行官丹·舒尔曼指出加密货币是公司的关键增长引擎。</blockquote></p><p>“We’ve got a tremendous amount of really great results going on tactically with our crypto efforts,” said Schulman. He went on to say that half of crypto users open their PayPal app daily, suggesting that it increases engagement for users.</p><p><blockquote>舒尔曼说：“我们的加密货币工作在战术上取得了大量非常好的成果。”他接着说，一半的加密用户每天都会打开他们的PayPal应用程序，这表明它增加了用户的参与度。</blockquote></p><p>The mobile payments company made a big push into crypto in the last six months, allowing users in the U.S. to buy, sell, and check out with cryptocurrencies.</p><p><blockquote>这家移动支付公司在过去六个月中大力进军加密货币领域，允许美国用户使用加密货币购买、出售和结账。</blockquote></p><p>With its network of&nbsp;26 million retailers, PayPal’s crypto ambitions have positioned the company as a rival to&nbsp;Coinbase, the country’smost popular crypto exchange.</p><p><blockquote>凭借拥有2600万零售商的网络，PayPal的加密货币雄心使该公司成为该国最受欢迎的加密货币交易所Coinbase的竞争对手。</blockquote></p><p>The company also announced plans to roll out a “next-generation digital wallet” in the third quarter. Schulman described the product as an “all-in-one, personalized app [that] will provide increasingly customized and unique shopping, financial services, and payments experiences.”</p><p><blockquote>该公司还宣布计划在第三季度推出“下一代数字钱包”。舒尔曼将该产品描述为“一体化、个性化的应用程序，将提供日益定制化和独特的购物、金融服务和支付体验。”</blockquote></p><p>With respect to guidance, for the second quarter PayPal sees adjusted earnings of $1.12 per share on $6.25 billion in revenue. Analysts surveyed by Refinitiv had expected $1.10 in adjusted earnings per share on $6.16 billion in revenue.</p><p><blockquote>关于指引，PayPal预计第二季度调整后每股收益为1.12美元，营收为62.5亿美元。Refinitiv调查的分析师此前预计调整后每股收益为1.10美元，营收为61.6亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>For the full year, PayPal expects revenue to grow 20% to $25.75 billion, and the company called for adjusted earnings to grow 21% to $4.70. Analysts polled by Refinitiv had been looking for $4.57 in adjusted earnings per share and $25.71 billion in revenue.</p><p><blockquote>PayPal预计全年营收将增长20%至257.5亿美元，该公司预计调整后盈利将增长21%至4.70美元。Refinitiv调查的分析师此前预计调整后每股收益为4.57美元，营收为257.1亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Excluding the after-hours move, PayPal stock has risen about 5.9% since the start of the year, while theNasdaqis up about 5.5% over the same period.</p><p><blockquote>排除盘后走势，PayPal股价自今年年初以来已上涨约5.9%，而纳斯达克指数同期上涨约5.5%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PYPL":"PayPal"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1190727792","content_text":"PayPal shares rose as much as 5.5% in extended trading on Wednesday after reporting first-quarter earnings that were stronger than analysts had expected.Here’s how the company did:Earnings per share:$1.22, adjusted, vs. $1.01 per share expected in a Refinitiv survey of analystsRevenue:$6.03 billion vs. $5.90 billion expected by RefinitivTotal payment volume:$285 billion vs. $265 billionexpected in a FactSet surveyPayPal shares rose as much as 5.5% in extended trading on Wednesday after reporting first-quarter earnings that were stronger than analysts had expected.First quarter net profit rose to $1.10 billion from $84 million a year earlier, and the company added 14.5 million net new active accounts, bringing its total user base to 392 million.Revenue grew 31% year over year in the quarter that ended Mar. 31, according to a statement. In the year-ago quarter, the pandemic fomented a surge in online shopping, helping todrive record payment volumefor the quarter and the full year.On the company’s earnings call, CEO Dan Schulman pointed to cryptocurrency as a key growth engine for the company.“We’ve got a tremendous amount of really great results going on tactically with our crypto efforts,” said Schulman. He went on to say that half of crypto users open their PayPal app daily, suggesting that it increases engagement for users.The mobile payments company made a big push into crypto in the last six months, allowing users in the U.S. to buy, sell, and check out with cryptocurrencies.With its network of 26 million retailers, PayPal’s crypto ambitions have positioned the company as a rival to Coinbase, the country’smost popular crypto exchange.The company also announced plans to roll out a “next-generation digital wallet” in the third quarter. Schulman described the product as an “all-in-one, personalized app [that] will provide increasingly customized and unique shopping, financial services, and payments experiences.”With respect to guidance, for the second quarter PayPal sees adjusted earnings of $1.12 per share on $6.25 billion in revenue. Analysts surveyed by Refinitiv had expected $1.10 in adjusted earnings per share on $6.16 billion in revenue.For the full year, PayPal expects revenue to grow 20% to $25.75 billion, and the company called for adjusted earnings to grow 21% to $4.70. Analysts polled by Refinitiv had been looking for $4.57 in adjusted earnings per share and $25.71 billion in revenue.Excluding the after-hours move, PayPal stock has risen about 5.9% since the start of the year, while theNasdaqis up about 5.5% over the same period.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PYPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1289,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":105977878,"gmtCreate":1620266980894,"gmtModify":1634206512517,"author":{"id":"3568609081739898","authorId":"3568609081739898","name":"Hminnnn","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ade2868ed76324c40090eda06ebd0e32","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3568609081739898","idStr":"3568609081739898"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Happy]&nbsp;[Happy]&nbsp;[Happy]&nbsp;","listText":"[Happy]&nbsp;[Happy]&nbsp;[Happy]&nbsp;","text":"[Happy] [Happy] [Happy]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/105977878","repostId":"2133528055","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":454,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":372981154,"gmtCreate":1619168224678,"gmtModify":1634288040903,"author":{"id":"3568609081739898","authorId":"3568609081739898","name":"Hminnnn","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ade2868ed76324c40090eda06ebd0e32","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3568609081739898","idStr":"3568609081739898"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Serious]&nbsp;[Serious]&nbsp;","listText":"[Serious]&nbsp;[Serious]&nbsp;","text":"[Serious] [Serious]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/372981154","repostId":"1109677270","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1109677270","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1619165270,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1109677270?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-23 16:07","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why crypto stocks tumbled in premarket trading<blockquote>为什么加密货币股票在盘前交易中暴跌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1109677270","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Crypto stocks tumbled in premarket trading after Bitcoin falling more than 8% as cryptos stumble ove","content":"<p>Crypto stocks tumbled in premarket trading&nbsp;after&nbsp;Bitcoin falling more&nbsp;than&nbsp;8% as cryptos stumble over Biden tax plans.Canaan&nbsp;Inc.&nbsp;and&nbsp;Riot Blockchain&nbsp;fell&nbsp;more&nbsp;than&nbsp;9%,Marathon&nbsp;Digital,The9&nbsp;and&nbsp;SOS&nbsp;Limited&nbsp;fell&nbsp;nearly&nbsp;8%,Bit Digital&nbsp;fell&nbsp;nearly&nbsp;7%,Coinbase&nbsp;fell&nbsp;nearly&nbsp;4%.</p><p><blockquote>加密货币股票在盘前交易中暴跌，此前比特币下跌超过8%，原因是加密货币因拜登税收计划而跌跌撞撞。嘉楠耘智和Riot Blockchain跌超9%，Marathon Digital、The 9和SOS Limited跌近8%，Bit Digital跌近7%，比特币基地跌近4%。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8df1b71a6465ba625a78a685cbdd8d4f\" tg-width=\"415\" tg-height=\"543\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies suffered hefty losses on Friday amid fears that U.S. President Joe Biden's plan to raise capital gains taxes will curb investment in digital assets.</p><p><blockquote>由于担心美国总统拜登提高资本利得税的计划将抑制对数字资产的投资，比特币和其他加密货币周五遭受重挫。</blockquote></p><p>Bitcoin slumped 8% to below $48000 / piece in a third straight session of losses while Ether and XPR suffered double digit tumbles.</p><p><blockquote>比特币下跌8%，至48000美元/件以下，连续第三个交易日下跌，而以太币和XPR则遭遇两位数跌幅。</blockquote></p><p>\"The crypto currency came under fresh pressure on the Biden tax headlines,\" Deutsche Bank's Jim Reid wrote in a note to clients.</p><p><blockquote>德意志银行的吉姆·里德在给客户的一份报告中写道：“拜登税收头条新闻给加密货币带来了新的压力。”</blockquote></p><p>Bitcoin, the world's biggest cryptocurrency, is on track for a 15% loss on the week. However, the latest tumbles come in the wake of a sharp rally with Bitcoin still up 65% since the start of the year.</p><p><blockquote>全球最大的加密货币比特币本周有望下跌15%。然而，最近的暴跌是在大幅上涨之后发生的，比特币自今年年初以来仍上涨了65%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why crypto stocks tumbled in premarket trading<blockquote>为什么加密货币股票在盘前交易中暴跌</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy crypto stocks tumbled in premarket trading<blockquote>为什么加密货币股票在盘前交易中暴跌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-04-23 16:07</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Crypto stocks tumbled in premarket trading&nbsp;after&nbsp;Bitcoin falling more&nbsp;than&nbsp;8% as cryptos stumble over Biden tax plans.Canaan&nbsp;Inc.&nbsp;and&nbsp;Riot Blockchain&nbsp;fell&nbsp;more&nbsp;than&nbsp;9%,Marathon&nbsp;Digital,The9&nbsp;and&nbsp;SOS&nbsp;Limited&nbsp;fell&nbsp;nearly&nbsp;8%,Bit Digital&nbsp;fell&nbsp;nearly&nbsp;7%,Coinbase&nbsp;fell&nbsp;nearly&nbsp;4%.</p><p><blockquote>加密货币股票在盘前交易中暴跌，此前比特币下跌超过8%，原因是加密货币因拜登税收计划而跌跌撞撞。嘉楠耘智和Riot Blockchain跌超9%，Marathon Digital、The 9和SOS Limited跌近8%，Bit Digital跌近7%，比特币基地跌近4%。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8df1b71a6465ba625a78a685cbdd8d4f\" tg-width=\"415\" tg-height=\"543\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies suffered hefty losses on Friday amid fears that U.S. President Joe Biden's plan to raise capital gains taxes will curb investment in digital assets.</p><p><blockquote>由于担心美国总统拜登提高资本利得税的计划将抑制对数字资产的投资，比特币和其他加密货币周五遭受重挫。</blockquote></p><p>Bitcoin slumped 8% to below $48000 / piece in a third straight session of losses while Ether and XPR suffered double digit tumbles.</p><p><blockquote>比特币下跌8%，至48000美元/件以下，连续第三个交易日下跌，而以太币和XPR则遭遇两位数跌幅。</blockquote></p><p>\"The crypto currency came under fresh pressure on the Biden tax headlines,\" Deutsche Bank's Jim Reid wrote in a note to clients.</p><p><blockquote>德意志银行的吉姆·里德在给客户的一份报告中写道：“拜登税收头条新闻给加密货币带来了新的压力。”</blockquote></p><p>Bitcoin, the world's biggest cryptocurrency, is on track for a 15% loss on the week. However, the latest tumbles come in the wake of a sharp rally with Bitcoin still up 65% since the start of the year.</p><p><blockquote>全球最大的加密货币比特币本周有望下跌15%。然而，最近的暴跌是在大幅上涨之后发生的，比特币自今年年初以来仍上涨了65%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BTBT":"Bit Digital, Inc.","COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc.","SOS":"SOS Limited","CAN":"嘉楠科技","NCTY":"第九城市","RIOT":"Riot Platforms","MARA":"MARA Holdings"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1109677270","content_text":"Crypto stocks tumbled in premarket trading after Bitcoin falling more than 8% as cryptos stumble over Biden tax plans.Canaan Inc. and Riot Blockchain fell more than 9%,Marathon Digital,The9 and SOS Limited fell nearly 8%,Bit Digital fell nearly 7%,Coinbase fell nearly 4%.Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies suffered hefty losses on Friday amid fears that U.S. President Joe Biden's plan to raise capital gains taxes will curb investment in digital assets.Bitcoin slumped 8% to below $48000 / piece in a third straight session of losses while Ether and XPR suffered double digit tumbles.\"The crypto currency came under fresh pressure on the Biden tax headlines,\" Deutsche Bank's Jim Reid wrote in a note to clients.Bitcoin, the world's biggest cryptocurrency, is on track for a 15% loss on the week. However, the latest tumbles come in the wake of a sharp rally with Bitcoin still up 65% since the start of the year.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"CAN":0.9,"NCTY":0.9,"BTBT":0.9,"MARA":0.9,"RIOT":0.9,"SOS":0.9,"COIN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":580,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":354853275,"gmtCreate":1617160615597,"gmtModify":1634522335239,"author":{"id":"3568609081739898","authorId":"3568609081739898","name":"Hminnnn","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ade2868ed76324c40090eda06ebd0e32","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3568609081739898","idStr":"3568609081739898"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Oh man&nbsp;","listText":"Oh man&nbsp;","text":"Oh man","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/354853275","repostId":"1107675725","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1107675725","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1617157626,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1107675725?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-31 10:27","market":"other","language":"en","title":"Japan's factory output falls, hit by quake, chips shortage<blockquote>日本工厂产量下降，受地震影响，芯片短缺</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1107675725","media":"Reuters","summary":"TOKYO (Reuters) - Japan’s industrial output fell in February due to declines in the production of ca","content":"<p>TOKYO (Reuters) - Japan’s industrial output fell in February due to declines in the production of cars and electrical machinery, in a worrying sign for an economy struggling to recover from the deep impact of the coronavirus pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>东京（路透社）-由于汽车和电机产量下降，日本2月份工业产出下降，这是一个令人担忧的迹象，表明日本经济正在努力从冠状病毒疫情的深刻影响中复苏。</blockquote></p><p>The world’s third-largest economy is expected to contract in the current quarter due to a second coronavirus-related state of emergency that was imposed from early January for Tokyo and some neighbouring prefectures.</p><p><blockquote>由于东京和一些邻近县从1月初开始实施第二次与冠状病毒相关的紧急状态，世界第三大经济体预计将在本季度收缩。</blockquote></p><p>Official data released on Wednesday showed factory output shrank 2.1% from the previous month in February, dragged down by falls in production of cars, electrical machinery and information and communication equipment.</p><p><blockquote>周三公布的官方数据显示，受汽车、电气机械和信息通信设备产量下降拖累，2月份工厂产出环比萎缩2.1%。</blockquote></p><p>“The 2.1% m/m fall in industrial production in February came off the back of a strong January and shouldn’t prevent manufacturing output rising across the first quarter,” said Tom Learmouth, Japan economist at Capital Economics.</p><p><blockquote>凯投宏观(Capital Economics)日本经济学家汤姆·利尔茅斯(Tom Learmouth)表示：“2月份工业生产环比下降2.1%，是在1月份强劲的背景下出现的，不应阻止第一季度制造业产出的增长。”</blockquote></p><p>“The data suggest that the earthquake across parts of northern Japan on (the) 13th February may have dented output a little.”</p><p><blockquote>“数据表明，2月13日日本北部部分地区发生的地震可能对产量造成了一些影响。”</blockquote></p><p>The fall in output was much weaker than the previous month’s sharp 4.3% gain and worse than a 1.2% contraction forecast in a Reuters poll of economists.</p><p><blockquote>产出的下降远弱于上个月4.3%的大幅增长，也比路透社对经济学家调查中预测的1.2%的收缩还要糟糕。</blockquote></p><p>Manufacturers surveyed by the Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry (METI) expected output to drop another 1.9% in March, followed by a 9.3% rebound in April.</p><p><blockquote>经济产业省（METI）调查的制造商预计3月份产出将再下降1.9%，随后4月份将反弹9.3%。</blockquote></p><p>The government kept its assessment of industrial production unchanged, saying it was picking up.</p><p><blockquote>政府维持对工业生产的评估不变，称工业生产正在回升。</blockquote></p><p>Factory output had rebounded in January largely thanks to a sharp increase in the production of electronic parts and general-purpose machinery.</p><p><blockquote>1月份工厂产出反弹，主要得益于电子零件和通用机械产量的大幅增长。</blockquote></p><p>But in February declining production of cars, electrical machinery, chemicals and information and communication electronics equipment outweighed growing demand for tech-making equipment that has been a major output driver.</p><p><blockquote>但2月份，汽车、电机、化学品以及信息和通信电子设备产量的下降超过了对技术制造设备不断增长的需求，而技术制造设备一直是主要的产出驱动因素。</blockquote></p><p>Some analysts worry that Japan’s economic recovery will be dragged down by weak spending at home and a slower-than-anticipated demand recovery abroad as economies slowly reopen, even in countries that have rolled out COVID-19 vaccines.</p><p><blockquote>一些分析师担心，随着经济缓慢重新开放，日本经济复苏将受到国内支出疲软和海外需求复苏慢于预期的拖累，即使在已经推出新冠疫苗的国家也是如此。</blockquote></p><p>The government on Tuesday released data showing retail sales fell 1.5% in February compared with the same month a year earlier, signalling weak sentiment among consumers who remain worried about the health crisis.</p><p><blockquote>政府周二公布的数据显示，2月份零售额较去年同期下降1.5%，表明仍担心健康危机的消费者情绪疲软。</blockquote></p><p>Reporting by Daniel Leussink; Editing by Sam Holmes</p><p><blockquote>丹尼尔·洛伊辛克报道；山姆·霍姆斯编辑</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Japan's factory output falls, hit by quake, chips shortage<blockquote>日本工厂产量下降，受地震影响，芯片短缺</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nJapan's factory output falls, hit by quake, chips shortage<blockquote>日本工厂产量下降，受地震影响，芯片短缺</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-03-31 10:27</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>TOKYO (Reuters) - Japan’s industrial output fell in February due to declines in the production of cars and electrical machinery, in a worrying sign for an economy struggling to recover from the deep impact of the coronavirus pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>东京（路透社）-由于汽车和电机产量下降，日本2月份工业产出下降，这是一个令人担忧的迹象，表明日本经济正在努力从冠状病毒疫情的深刻影响中复苏。</blockquote></p><p>The world’s third-largest economy is expected to contract in the current quarter due to a second coronavirus-related state of emergency that was imposed from early January for Tokyo and some neighbouring prefectures.</p><p><blockquote>由于东京和一些邻近县从1月初开始实施第二次与冠状病毒相关的紧急状态，世界第三大经济体预计将在本季度收缩。</blockquote></p><p>Official data released on Wednesday showed factory output shrank 2.1% from the previous month in February, dragged down by falls in production of cars, electrical machinery and information and communication equipment.</p><p><blockquote>周三公布的官方数据显示，受汽车、电气机械和信息通信设备产量下降拖累，2月份工厂产出环比萎缩2.1%。</blockquote></p><p>“The 2.1% m/m fall in industrial production in February came off the back of a strong January and shouldn’t prevent manufacturing output rising across the first quarter,” said Tom Learmouth, Japan economist at Capital Economics.</p><p><blockquote>凯投宏观(Capital Economics)日本经济学家汤姆·利尔茅斯(Tom Learmouth)表示：“2月份工业生产环比下降2.1%，是在1月份强劲的背景下出现的，不应阻止第一季度制造业产出的增长。”</blockquote></p><p>“The data suggest that the earthquake across parts of northern Japan on (the) 13th February may have dented output a little.”</p><p><blockquote>“数据表明，2月13日日本北部部分地区发生的地震可能对产量造成了一些影响。”</blockquote></p><p>The fall in output was much weaker than the previous month’s sharp 4.3% gain and worse than a 1.2% contraction forecast in a Reuters poll of economists.</p><p><blockquote>产出的下降远弱于上个月4.3%的大幅增长，也比路透社对经济学家调查中预测的1.2%的收缩还要糟糕。</blockquote></p><p>Manufacturers surveyed by the Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry (METI) expected output to drop another 1.9% in March, followed by a 9.3% rebound in April.</p><p><blockquote>经济产业省（METI）调查的制造商预计3月份产出将再下降1.9%，随后4月份将反弹9.3%。</blockquote></p><p>The government kept its assessment of industrial production unchanged, saying it was picking up.</p><p><blockquote>政府维持对工业生产的评估不变，称工业生产正在回升。</blockquote></p><p>Factory output had rebounded in January largely thanks to a sharp increase in the production of electronic parts and general-purpose machinery.</p><p><blockquote>1月份工厂产出反弹，主要得益于电子零件和通用机械产量的大幅增长。</blockquote></p><p>But in February declining production of cars, electrical machinery, chemicals and information and communication electronics equipment outweighed growing demand for tech-making equipment that has been a major output driver.</p><p><blockquote>但2月份，汽车、电机、化学品以及信息和通信电子设备产量的下降超过了对技术制造设备不断增长的需求，而技术制造设备一直是主要的产出驱动因素。</blockquote></p><p>Some analysts worry that Japan’s economic recovery will be dragged down by weak spending at home and a slower-than-anticipated demand recovery abroad as economies slowly reopen, even in countries that have rolled out COVID-19 vaccines.</p><p><blockquote>一些分析师担心，随着经济缓慢重新开放，日本经济复苏将受到国内支出疲软和海外需求复苏慢于预期的拖累，即使在已经推出新冠疫苗的国家也是如此。</blockquote></p><p>The government on Tuesday released data showing retail sales fell 1.5% in February compared with the same month a year earlier, signalling weak sentiment among consumers who remain worried about the health crisis.</p><p><blockquote>政府周二公布的数据显示，2月份零售额较去年同期下降1.5%，表明仍担心健康危机的消费者情绪疲软。</blockquote></p><p>Reporting by Daniel Leussink; Editing by Sam Holmes</p><p><blockquote>丹尼尔·洛伊辛克报道；山姆·霍姆斯编辑</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/article/us-japan-economy-output/japan-factory-output-falls-in-feb-in-worrying-sign-for-recovery-idUSKBN2BN014?il=0\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/03e38a3a3c63bd5a9d8d8ca2d384d1c5","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/article/us-japan-economy-output/japan-factory-output-falls-in-feb-in-worrying-sign-for-recovery-idUSKBN2BN014?il=0","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1107675725","content_text":"TOKYO (Reuters) - Japan’s industrial output fell in February due to declines in the production of cars and electrical machinery, in a worrying sign for an economy struggling to recover from the deep impact of the coronavirus pandemic.The world’s third-largest economy is expected to contract in the current quarter due to a second coronavirus-related state of emergency that was imposed from early January for Tokyo and some neighbouring prefectures.Official data released on Wednesday showed factory output shrank 2.1% from the previous month in February, dragged down by falls in production of cars, electrical machinery and information and communication equipment.“The 2.1% m/m fall in industrial production in February came off the back of a strong January and shouldn’t prevent manufacturing output rising across the first quarter,” said Tom Learmouth, Japan economist at Capital Economics.“The data suggest that the earthquake across parts of northern Japan on (the) 13th February may have dented output a little.”The fall in output was much weaker than the previous month’s sharp 4.3% gain and worse than a 1.2% contraction forecast in a Reuters poll of economists.Manufacturers surveyed by the Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry (METI) expected output to drop another 1.9% in March, followed by a 9.3% rebound in April.The government kept its assessment of industrial production unchanged, saying it was picking up.Factory output had rebounded in January largely thanks to a sharp increase in the production of electronic parts and general-purpose machinery.But in February declining production of cars, electrical machinery, chemicals and information and communication electronics equipment outweighed growing demand for tech-making equipment that has been a major output driver.Some analysts worry that Japan’s economic recovery will be dragged down by weak spending at home and a slower-than-anticipated demand recovery abroad as economies slowly reopen, even in countries that have rolled out COVID-19 vaccines.The government on Tuesday released data showing retail sales fell 1.5% in February compared with the same month a year earlier, signalling weak sentiment among consumers who remain worried about the health crisis.Reporting by Daniel Leussink; Editing by Sam Holmes","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":446,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":184465858,"gmtCreate":1623722057074,"gmtModify":1634029576820,"author":{"id":"3568609081739898","authorId":"3568609081739898","name":"Hminnnn","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ade2868ed76324c40090eda06ebd0e32","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3568609081739898","idStr":"3568609081739898"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Onlooker]&nbsp;[Onlooker]&nbsp;[Onlooker]&nbsp;","listText":"[Onlooker]&nbsp;[Onlooker]&nbsp;[Onlooker]&nbsp;","text":"[Onlooker] [Onlooker] [Onlooker]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/184465858","repostId":"1165811803","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1512,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}