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AnnaPoon

AnnaPoon

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2021-09-15

$BioNTech SE(BNTX)$[Cry]

2021-09-15

Ok

Toplines Before US Market Open on Wednesday<blockquote>周三美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>

2021-09-14

$BioNTech SE(BNTX)$🤦🏻‍♀️

2021-09-14

Like thx ☺️

Busy IPO market this week poised to make 2021 the biggest year ever by proceeds<blockquote>本周繁忙的IPO市场有望使2021年成为有史以来收益最大的一年</blockquote>

2021-09-05

When up

2021-09-05

$BioNTech SE(BNTX)$[Cry]

2021-09-05

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Beat the market with this quant system that’s very bullish on stocks at record highs<blockquote>利用这个非常看好历史新高股票的量化系统击败市场</blockquote>

2021-08-12

$BioNTech SE(BNTX)$😭

2021-08-12

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A Three-Prong Crucible? Markets Eye Record Highs Amid Inflation, Fiscal, And Delta Uncertainty<blockquote>三叉坩埚？在通胀、财政和三角洲的不确定性中，市场关注历史新高</blockquote>

2021-08-10

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2021-08-09

$Futu Holdings Limited(FUTU)$🥶

2021-08-09

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2021-08-09

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2021-08-07

$Futu Holdings Limited(FUTU)$When will it go up

2021-08-07

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2021-08-07

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2021-08-06

$Futu Holdings Limited(FUTU)$Up please

2021-08-06

Latest

2021-08-06

Latest

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2021-08-05

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stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1631707868,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1112301233?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-15 20:11","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Toplines Before US Market Open on Wednesday<blockquote>周三美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1112301233","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"U.S. stock index futures edged higher on Wednesday on easing fears of an earlier-than-expected cut t","content":"<p>U.S. stock index futures edged higher on Wednesday on easing fears of an earlier-than-expected cut to monetary stimulus, even though a slowing economic recovery and uncertainty over higher corporate taxes weighed on sentiment.</p><p><blockquote>美国股指期货周三小幅走高，因对货币刺激措施削减早于预期的担忧有所缓解，尽管经济复苏放缓和公司税上调的不确定性打压了市场情绪。</blockquote></p><p> U.S. S&amp;P 500 E-minis were up 4.25 points, or 0.1% at 08:00 am ET. Dow E-minis were up 10 points, while Nasdaq 100 E-minis were up 21.75 points, or 0.14%.</p><p><blockquote>截至美国东部时间上午08:00，美国标普500 e-mini上涨4.25点，即0.1%。道琼斯电子迷你指数上涨10点，纳斯达克100电子迷你指数上涨21.75点，涨幅0.14%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/42cc0404895138a163950b81a2d5277c\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"357\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Apple Inc&nbsp;rose around 0.2% in premarket trading, after tumbling 1% in the last session on a somewhat lukewarm response to the unveiling of its Phone 13 and a new iPad mini.</p><p><blockquote>苹果公司在盘前交易中上涨约0.2%，此前由于对其Phone 13和新款iPad mini的推出反应有些冷淡，上一交易日下跌1%。</blockquote></p><p> Investors will parse data on U.S. industrial production at 9:15 a.m. for clues about the&nbsp;state of the economic recovery. Economists forecast that output rose in August.</p><p><blockquote>投资者将在上午9:15分析美国工业生产数据，以寻找有关经济复苏状况的线索。经济学家预测8月份产出会上升。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves premarket:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票：</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Microsoft(MSFT)</b> – Microsoft announced an 11% dividend hike, raising its quarterly payout to 62 cents per share from 56 cents, as well as announcing a $60 billion stock buyback program. Microsoft added 1.3% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>微软(MSFT)</b>——微软宣布将股息上调11%，将季度派息从每股56美分上调至62美分，并宣布了600亿美元的股票回购计划。微软盘前上涨1.3%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Weber(WEBR)</b> – The grill maker’s stock jumped 2% in the premarket, following its first quarterly report since going public in August. Weber’s sales rose 19% from a year earlier, and the company projected full-year sales largely above current Wall Street forecasts.</p><p><blockquote><b>韦伯（WEBR）</b>-这家烧烤制造商发布自8月份上市以来的第一份季度报告后，其股价在盘前上涨2%。韦伯的销售额同比增长19%，该公司预计全年销售额将大大高于华尔街目前的预测。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wynn Resorts(WYNN),Las Vegas Sands(LVS)</b> – Macau-related casino stocks tumbled in premarket trading as regulators begin a 45-day period of considering tighter regulations on Macau’s gaming industry. Officials say they want “sustained and healthy development” in the world’s biggest gambling hub, but investors are worried over the impact of potential changes. Wynn fell 5.3% in the premarket while Las Vegas Sands slid 4.8%.</p><p><blockquote><b>永利度假村(WYNN)、拉斯维加斯金沙(LVS)</b>-澳门相关赌场股在盘前交易中暴跌，监管机构开始为期45天的考虑加强对澳门博彩业的监管。官员们表示，他们希望这个世界上最大的赌博中心“持续健康发展”，但投资者担心潜在变化的影响。永利盘前下跌5.3%，拉斯维加斯金沙集团下跌4.8%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Nikola(NKLA)&nbsp;–&nbsp;</b>IVECO and Nikola inaugurated joint-venture manufacturing facility for electric heavy-duty trucks in Ulm, Germany.Nikola shares jumped 3.6% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>尼古拉（NKLA）-</b>依维柯和尼古拉在德国乌尔姆开设了电动重型卡车合资制造工厂。尼古拉股价在盘前交易中上涨3.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>GreenSky(GSKY)</b>&nbsp;<b>–</b>&nbsp;Goldman Sachs Group&nbsp;Inc.&nbsp;is buying specialty lender&nbsp;GreenSky&nbsp;Inc.&nbsp;for $2.2 billion, striking a deal it hopes will further its reinvention from Wall Street powerhouse to Main Street player.GreenSky stock Popped 45% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>格林斯基(GSKY)</b> <b>–</b>高盛集团(Goldman Sachs Group Inc.)将以22亿美元收购专业贷款机构GreenSky Inc.，希望这笔交易能够进一步将其从华尔街巨头重塑为大街参与者。GreenSky股价在盘前交易中上涨45%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Canadian National Railway(CNI)</b> – Canadian National will not improve its offer to buy&nbsp;Kansas City Southern(KSU), according to people familiar with the situation who spoke to CNBC’s David Faber. That would clear the way for&nbsp;Canadian Pacific Railway(CP) to buy Kansas City Southern, after Kansas City Southern’s board declared Canadian Pacific’s latest offer as “superior.”</p><p><blockquote><b>加拿大国家铁路（CNI）</b>-据接受CNBC记者David Faber采访的知情人士透露，加拿大国民航空不会提高收购堪萨斯城南方航空(KSU)的报价。这将为加拿大太平洋铁路公司(CP)收购堪萨斯城南方铁路公司扫清道路，此前堪萨斯城南方铁路公司董事会宣布加拿大太平洋铁路公司的最新报价“优越”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Regeneron Pharmaceuticals(REGN)</b> – The drugmaker announced that the U.S. government would buy an additional 1.4 million doses of Regeneron’s Covid-19 antibody cocktail. That will bring the total number of doses purchased by the government to nearly 3 million. Regeneron rose 2.7% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>再生元制药(REGN)</b>——这家制药商宣布，美国政府将额外购买140万剂再生元的Covid-19抗体鸡尾酒。这将使政府购买的疫苗总数达到近300万剂。再生元在盘前交易中上涨2.7%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Yum China(YUMC) </b>– Yum China warned that the spread of the Covid-19 delta variant would result in a 50% to 60% hit to its third-quarter profit. The restaurant operator said it had to close or limit service at more than 500 restaurants in August due to the delta variant outbreak in China. Yum China shares tumbled 4.5% in premarket action.</p><p><blockquote><b>百胜中国(YUMC)</b>-百胜中国警告称，Covid-19德尔塔变异毒株的蔓延将导致其第三季度利润受到50%至60%的打击。该餐厅运营商表示，由于中国爆发德尔塔变异毒株疫情，8月份不得不关闭或限制500多家餐厅的服务。百胜中国股价盘前下跌4.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Citrix Systems(CTXS) </b>– Citrix is working with advisers to consider a possible sale of the company, according to people familiar with the matter who spoke to Bloomberg. The maker of workplace software will gauge potential interest in the company over the next few weeks and could decide to remain independent. Citrix rallied 5% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>Citrix Systems(CTXS)</b>-据接受彭博社采访的知情人士透露，思杰正在与顾问合作，考虑出售该公司的可能性。这家工作场所软件制造商将在未来几周内评估人们对该公司的潜在兴趣，并可能决定保持独立。Citrix盘前上涨5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Crocs(CROX) </b>– Crocs added 1.1% in premarket trading following Tuesday’s 8.5% gain. That came after the shoe maker’s Investor Day where it projected better-than-expected full-year revenue and announced an accelerated share repurchase program.</p><p><blockquote><b>卡骆驰（CROX）</b>-Crocs继周二上涨8.5%后，在盘前交易中上涨1.1%。此前，该鞋业制造商的投资者日预计全年收入好于预期，并宣布了加速股票回购计划。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Skillsoft(SKIL) </b>– The provider of corporate digital learning programs jumped 4.5% in the premarket after reporting better-than-expected revenue and bookings for its latest quarter as well as raising its full-year guidance.</p><p><blockquote><b>Skillsoft(SKIL)</b>-这家企业数字学习项目提供商在公布最新季度的收入和预订量好于预期并上调全年指引后，盘前股价上涨4.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Just Eat Takeaway(GRUB) </b>– The food delivery service’s stock slid 3.2% in premarket trading after&nbsp;Amazon(AMZN) and&nbsp;Deliveroo&nbsp;announced a partnership that will offer free food delivery in the U.K. to Amazon Prime members.</p><p><blockquote><b>就吃外卖(GRUB)</b>-在亚马逊(AMZN)和户户送宣布建立合作伙伴关系，将在英国向亚马逊Prime会员提供免费食品配送服务后，该食品配送服务公司的股价在盘前交易中下跌3.2%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Sage Therapeutics(SAGE)</b> – The drug maker’s shares rallied 3.3% in the premarket after the FDA granted fast-track status to the company’s experimental treatment for Huntington’s disease. Sage expects to start a phase 2 trial for the treatment before the end of 2021.</p><p><blockquote><b>SAGE治疗公司(SAGE)</b>–FDA授予该公司治疗亨廷顿氏症的实验治疗快车道之后，该制药商股价在盘前上涨3.3%。Sage预计将在2021年底前启动该治疗的第2阶段试验。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>SoFi Technologies(SOFI) </b>– The fintech company’s stock added 3% in premarket action after Mizuho began coverage with a “buy” rating and a $28 price target compared with Tuesday’s close of $14.50. Mizuho said SoFi is becoming a “full-fledged, super-app neo-bank” with next-generation capabilities.</p><p><blockquote><b>索菲科技(SOFI)</b>-瑞穗开始给予“买入”评级和28美元目标价（周二收盘价为14.50美元）后，这家金融科技公司的股价在盘前上涨了3%。瑞穗表示，SoFi正在成为一家具有下一代功能的“成熟的超级应用新银行”。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Toplines Before US Market Open on Wednesday<blockquote>周三美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nToplines Before US Market Open on Wednesday<blockquote>周三美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-09-15 20:11</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>U.S. stock index futures edged higher on Wednesday on easing fears of an earlier-than-expected cut to monetary stimulus, even though a slowing economic recovery and uncertainty over higher corporate taxes weighed on sentiment.</p><p><blockquote>美国股指期货周三小幅走高，因对货币刺激措施削减早于预期的担忧有所缓解，尽管经济复苏放缓和公司税上调的不确定性打压了市场情绪。</blockquote></p><p> U.S. S&amp;P 500 E-minis were up 4.25 points, or 0.1% at 08:00 am ET. Dow E-minis were up 10 points, while Nasdaq 100 E-minis were up 21.75 points, or 0.14%.</p><p><blockquote>截至美国东部时间上午08:00，美国标普500 e-mini上涨4.25点，即0.1%。道琼斯电子迷你指数上涨10点，纳斯达克100电子迷你指数上涨21.75点，涨幅0.14%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/42cc0404895138a163950b81a2d5277c\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"357\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Apple Inc&nbsp;rose around 0.2% in premarket trading, after tumbling 1% in the last session on a somewhat lukewarm response to the unveiling of its Phone 13 and a new iPad mini.</p><p><blockquote>苹果公司在盘前交易中上涨约0.2%，此前由于对其Phone 13和新款iPad mini的推出反应有些冷淡，上一交易日下跌1%。</blockquote></p><p> Investors will parse data on U.S. industrial production at 9:15 a.m. for clues about the&nbsp;state of the economic recovery. Economists forecast that output rose in August.</p><p><blockquote>投资者将在上午9:15分析美国工业生产数据，以寻找有关经济复苏状况的线索。经济学家预测8月份产出会上升。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves premarket:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票：</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Microsoft(MSFT)</b> – Microsoft announced an 11% dividend hike, raising its quarterly payout to 62 cents per share from 56 cents, as well as announcing a $60 billion stock buyback program. Microsoft added 1.3% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>微软(MSFT)</b>——微软宣布将股息上调11%，将季度派息从每股56美分上调至62美分，并宣布了600亿美元的股票回购计划。微软盘前上涨1.3%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Weber(WEBR)</b> – The grill maker’s stock jumped 2% in the premarket, following its first quarterly report since going public in August. Weber’s sales rose 19% from a year earlier, and the company projected full-year sales largely above current Wall Street forecasts.</p><p><blockquote><b>韦伯（WEBR）</b>-这家烧烤制造商发布自8月份上市以来的第一份季度报告后，其股价在盘前上涨2%。韦伯的销售额同比增长19%，该公司预计全年销售额将大大高于华尔街目前的预测。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wynn Resorts(WYNN),Las Vegas Sands(LVS)</b> – Macau-related casino stocks tumbled in premarket trading as regulators begin a 45-day period of considering tighter regulations on Macau’s gaming industry. Officials say they want “sustained and healthy development” in the world’s biggest gambling hub, but investors are worried over the impact of potential changes. Wynn fell 5.3% in the premarket while Las Vegas Sands slid 4.8%.</p><p><blockquote><b>永利度假村(WYNN)、拉斯维加斯金沙(LVS)</b>-澳门相关赌场股在盘前交易中暴跌，监管机构开始为期45天的考虑加强对澳门博彩业的监管。官员们表示，他们希望这个世界上最大的赌博中心“持续健康发展”，但投资者担心潜在变化的影响。永利盘前下跌5.3%，拉斯维加斯金沙集团下跌4.8%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Nikola(NKLA)&nbsp;–&nbsp;</b>IVECO and Nikola inaugurated joint-venture manufacturing facility for electric heavy-duty trucks in Ulm, Germany.Nikola shares jumped 3.6% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>尼古拉（NKLA）-</b>依维柯和尼古拉在德国乌尔姆开设了电动重型卡车合资制造工厂。尼古拉股价在盘前交易中上涨3.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>GreenSky(GSKY)</b>&nbsp;<b>–</b>&nbsp;Goldman Sachs Group&nbsp;Inc.&nbsp;is buying specialty lender&nbsp;GreenSky&nbsp;Inc.&nbsp;for $2.2 billion, striking a deal it hopes will further its reinvention from Wall Street powerhouse to Main Street player.GreenSky stock Popped 45% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>格林斯基(GSKY)</b> <b>–</b>高盛集团(Goldman Sachs Group Inc.)将以22亿美元收购专业贷款机构GreenSky Inc.，希望这笔交易能够进一步将其从华尔街巨头重塑为大街参与者。GreenSky股价在盘前交易中上涨45%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Canadian National Railway(CNI)</b> – Canadian National will not improve its offer to buy&nbsp;Kansas City Southern(KSU), according to people familiar with the situation who spoke to CNBC’s David Faber. That would clear the way for&nbsp;Canadian Pacific Railway(CP) to buy Kansas City Southern, after Kansas City Southern’s board declared Canadian Pacific’s latest offer as “superior.”</p><p><blockquote><b>加拿大国家铁路（CNI）</b>-据接受CNBC记者David Faber采访的知情人士透露，加拿大国民航空不会提高收购堪萨斯城南方航空(KSU)的报价。这将为加拿大太平洋铁路公司(CP)收购堪萨斯城南方铁路公司扫清道路，此前堪萨斯城南方铁路公司董事会宣布加拿大太平洋铁路公司的最新报价“优越”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Regeneron Pharmaceuticals(REGN)</b> – The drugmaker announced that the U.S. government would buy an additional 1.4 million doses of Regeneron’s Covid-19 antibody cocktail. That will bring the total number of doses purchased by the government to nearly 3 million. Regeneron rose 2.7% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>再生元制药(REGN)</b>——这家制药商宣布，美国政府将额外购买140万剂再生元的Covid-19抗体鸡尾酒。这将使政府购买的疫苗总数达到近300万剂。再生元在盘前交易中上涨2.7%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Yum China(YUMC) </b>– Yum China warned that the spread of the Covid-19 delta variant would result in a 50% to 60% hit to its third-quarter profit. The restaurant operator said it had to close or limit service at more than 500 restaurants in August due to the delta variant outbreak in China. Yum China shares tumbled 4.5% in premarket action.</p><p><blockquote><b>百胜中国(YUMC)</b>-百胜中国警告称，Covid-19德尔塔变异毒株的蔓延将导致其第三季度利润受到50%至60%的打击。该餐厅运营商表示，由于中国爆发德尔塔变异毒株疫情，8月份不得不关闭或限制500多家餐厅的服务。百胜中国股价盘前下跌4.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Citrix Systems(CTXS) </b>– Citrix is working with advisers to consider a possible sale of the company, according to people familiar with the matter who spoke to Bloomberg. The maker of workplace software will gauge potential interest in the company over the next few weeks and could decide to remain independent. Citrix rallied 5% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>Citrix Systems(CTXS)</b>-据接受彭博社采访的知情人士透露，思杰正在与顾问合作，考虑出售该公司的可能性。这家工作场所软件制造商将在未来几周内评估人们对该公司的潜在兴趣，并可能决定保持独立。Citrix盘前上涨5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Crocs(CROX) </b>– Crocs added 1.1% in premarket trading following Tuesday’s 8.5% gain. That came after the shoe maker’s Investor Day where it projected better-than-expected full-year revenue and announced an accelerated share repurchase program.</p><p><blockquote><b>卡骆驰（CROX）</b>-Crocs继周二上涨8.5%后，在盘前交易中上涨1.1%。此前，该鞋业制造商的投资者日预计全年收入好于预期，并宣布了加速股票回购计划。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Skillsoft(SKIL) </b>– The provider of corporate digital learning programs jumped 4.5% in the premarket after reporting better-than-expected revenue and bookings for its latest quarter as well as raising its full-year guidance.</p><p><blockquote><b>Skillsoft(SKIL)</b>-这家企业数字学习项目提供商在公布最新季度的收入和预订量好于预期并上调全年指引后，盘前股价上涨4.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Just Eat Takeaway(GRUB) </b>– The food delivery service’s stock slid 3.2% in premarket trading after&nbsp;Amazon(AMZN) and&nbsp;Deliveroo&nbsp;announced a partnership that will offer free food delivery in the U.K. to Amazon Prime members.</p><p><blockquote><b>就吃外卖(GRUB)</b>-在亚马逊(AMZN)和户户送宣布建立合作伙伴关系，将在英国向亚马逊Prime会员提供免费食品配送服务后，该食品配送服务公司的股价在盘前交易中下跌3.2%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Sage Therapeutics(SAGE)</b> – The drug maker’s shares rallied 3.3% in the premarket after the FDA granted fast-track status to the company’s experimental treatment for Huntington’s disease. Sage expects to start a phase 2 trial for the treatment before the end of 2021.</p><p><blockquote><b>SAGE治疗公司(SAGE)</b>–FDA授予该公司治疗亨廷顿氏症的实验治疗快车道之后，该制药商股价在盘前上涨3.3%。Sage预计将在2021年底前启动该治疗的第2阶段试验。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>SoFi Technologies(SOFI) </b>– The fintech company’s stock added 3% in premarket action after Mizuho began coverage with a “buy” rating and a $28 price target compared with Tuesday’s close of $14.50. Mizuho said SoFi is becoming a “full-fledged, super-app neo-bank” with next-generation capabilities.</p><p><blockquote><b>索菲科技(SOFI)</b>-瑞穗开始给予“买入”评级和28美元目标价（周二收盘价为14.50美元）后，这家金融科技公司的股价在盘前上涨了3%。瑞穗表示，SoFi正在成为一家具有下一代功能的“成熟的超级应用新银行”。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"REGN":"再生元制药公司","CTXS":"思杰系统","SKIL":"Skillsoft Corp.",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","CROX":"卡骆驰","WYNN":"永利度假村","SAGE":"Sage Therapeutics","LVS":"金沙集团","YUMC":"百胜中国","MSFT":"微软","AAPL":"苹果","WEBR":"Weber Inc.","CNI":"加拿大国家铁路",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","GSKY":"Greensky Inc."},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1112301233","content_text":"U.S. stock index futures edged higher on Wednesday on easing fears of an earlier-than-expected cut to monetary stimulus, even though a slowing economic recovery and uncertainty over higher corporate taxes weighed on sentiment.\nU.S. S&P 500 E-minis were up 4.25 points, or 0.1% at 08:00 am ET. Dow E-minis were up 10 points, while Nasdaq 100 E-minis were up 21.75 points, or 0.14%.\n\nApple Inc rose around 0.2% in premarket trading, after tumbling 1% in the last session on a somewhat lukewarm response to the unveiling of its Phone 13 and a new iPad mini.\nInvestors will parse data on U.S. industrial production at 9:15 a.m. for clues about the state of the economic recovery. Economists forecast that output rose in August.\nStocks making the biggest moves premarket:\nMicrosoft(MSFT) – Microsoft announced an 11% dividend hike, raising its quarterly payout to 62 cents per share from 56 cents, as well as announcing a $60 billion stock buyback program. Microsoft added 1.3% in the premarket.\nWeber(WEBR) – The grill maker’s stock jumped 2% in the premarket, following its first quarterly report since going public in August. Weber’s sales rose 19% from a year earlier, and the company projected full-year sales largely above current Wall Street forecasts.\nWynn Resorts(WYNN),Las Vegas Sands(LVS) – Macau-related casino stocks tumbled in premarket trading as regulators begin a 45-day period of considering tighter regulations on Macau’s gaming industry. Officials say they want “sustained and healthy development” in the world’s biggest gambling hub, but investors are worried over the impact of potential changes. Wynn fell 5.3% in the premarket while Las Vegas Sands slid 4.8%.\nNikola(NKLA) – IVECO and Nikola inaugurated joint-venture manufacturing facility for electric heavy-duty trucks in Ulm, Germany.Nikola shares jumped 3.6% in premarket trading.\nGreenSky(GSKY) – Goldman Sachs Group Inc. is buying specialty lender GreenSky Inc. for $2.2 billion, striking a deal it hopes will further its reinvention from Wall Street powerhouse to Main Street player.GreenSky stock Popped 45% in premarket trading.\nCanadian National Railway(CNI) – Canadian National will not improve its offer to buy Kansas City Southern(KSU), according to people familiar with the situation who spoke to CNBC’s David Faber. That would clear the way for Canadian Pacific Railway(CP) to buy Kansas City Southern, after Kansas City Southern’s board declared Canadian Pacific’s latest offer as “superior.”\nRegeneron Pharmaceuticals(REGN) – The drugmaker announced that the U.S. government would buy an additional 1.4 million doses of Regeneron’s Covid-19 antibody cocktail. That will bring the total number of doses purchased by the government to nearly 3 million. Regeneron rose 2.7% in premarket trading.\nYum China(YUMC) – Yum China warned that the spread of the Covid-19 delta variant would result in a 50% to 60% hit to its third-quarter profit. The restaurant operator said it had to close or limit service at more than 500 restaurants in August due to the delta variant outbreak in China. Yum China shares tumbled 4.5% in premarket action.\nCitrix Systems(CTXS) – Citrix is working with advisers to consider a possible sale of the company, according to people familiar with the matter who spoke to Bloomberg. The maker of workplace software will gauge potential interest in the company over the next few weeks and could decide to remain independent. Citrix rallied 5% in the premarket.\nCrocs(CROX) – Crocs added 1.1% in premarket trading following Tuesday’s 8.5% gain. That came after the shoe maker’s Investor Day where it projected better-than-expected full-year revenue and announced an accelerated share repurchase program.\nSkillsoft(SKIL) – The provider of corporate digital learning programs jumped 4.5% in the premarket after reporting better-than-expected revenue and bookings for its latest quarter as well as raising its full-year guidance.\nJust Eat Takeaway(GRUB) – The food delivery service’s stock slid 3.2% in premarket trading after Amazon(AMZN) and Deliveroo announced a partnership that will offer free food delivery in the U.K. to Amazon Prime members.\nSage Therapeutics(SAGE) – The drug maker’s shares rallied 3.3% in the premarket after the FDA granted fast-track status to the company’s experimental treatment for Huntington’s disease. Sage expects to start a phase 2 trial for the treatment before the end of 2021.\nSoFi Technologies(SOFI) – The fintech company’s stock added 3% in premarket action after Mizuho began coverage with a “buy” rating and a $28 price target compared with Tuesday’s close of $14.50. Mizuho said SoFi is becoming a “full-fledged, super-app neo-bank” with next-generation capabilities.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"CROX":0.9,"YMmain":0.9,"CNI":0.9,"GSKY":0.9,"WYNN":0.9,"SKIL":0.9,"AAPL":0.9,"SAGE":0.9,"WEBR":0.9,"NKLA":0.9,"LVS":0.9,"ESmain":0.9,"CTXS":0.9,"NQmain":0.9,"YUMC":0.9,"REGN":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"MSFT":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"GRUB":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1800,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":886446536,"gmtCreate":1631620695125,"gmtModify":1631883797503,"author":{"id":"3584531056058582","authorId":"3584531056058582","name":"AnnaPoon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6107b3136c97d1f7731c763f71c27e93","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584531056058582","idStr":"3584531056058582"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BNTX\">$BioNTech SE(BNTX)$</a>🤦🏻‍♀️","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BNTX\">$BioNTech SE(BNTX)$</a>🤦🏻‍♀️","text":"$BioNTech SE(BNTX)$🤦🏻‍♀️","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/64c3c2bf6d4547709eeca0bf4d75fef7","width":"1125","height":"1949"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/886446536","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1986,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":886446345,"gmtCreate":1631620618987,"gmtModify":1631891744606,"author":{"id":"3584531056058582","authorId":"3584531056058582","name":"AnnaPoon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6107b3136c97d1f7731c763f71c27e93","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584531056058582","idStr":"3584531056058582"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like thx ☺️&nbsp;","listText":"Like thx ☺️&nbsp;","text":"Like thx ☺️","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/886446345","repostId":"1160275332","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1160275332","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1631604098,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1160275332?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-14 15:21","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Busy IPO market this week poised to make 2021 the biggest year ever by proceeds<blockquote>本周繁忙的IPO市场有望使2021年成为有史以来收益最大的一年</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1160275332","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Swiss running-shoe company backed by Roger Federer and drive-through coffee chain expected to hit th","content":"<p>Swiss running-shoe company backed by Roger Federer and drive-through coffee chain expected to hit the market this week </p><p><blockquote>罗杰·费德勒支持的瑞士跑鞋公司和得来速咖啡连锁店预计将于本周上市</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18111af5f5bda21b3128860fe616c5ca\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"467\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Swiss tennis giant Roger Federer is a backer of one of this week's bigger IPOs.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>瑞士网球巨头罗杰·费德勒是本周最大IPO之一的支持者。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> After a flurry of initial-public-offering launches last week&nbsp;set the market up for a busy fall for deals, 11 are expected to price this week and raise more than $3 billion in proceeds. </p><p><blockquote>上周一系列首次公开募股引发市场交易繁忙，预计本周将有11家公司定价，筹集超过30亿美元的资金。</blockquote></p><p> If all deals materialize, it will make 2021 the biggest year for IPO proceeds ever, and shatter the previous record by about 30%, according to Bill Smith, founder and chief executive of Renaissance Capital, a provider of institutional research and exchange-traded funds oriented around IPOs. The market is expected to see some 375 deals for the year, raising $125 billion, according to Renaissance, beating the $97 billion raised in 2000 during the dot-com boom. </p><p><blockquote>机构研究和交易所交易基金提供商Renaissance Capital创始人兼首席执行官比尔·史密斯(Bill Smith)表示，如果所有交易都实现，2021年将成为有史以来IPO收益最大的一年，并将之前的记录打破约30%。以IPO为导向的基金。据Renaissance称，预计今年市场将出现约375笔交易，筹集1250亿美元，超过2000年互联网繁荣期间筹集的970亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> “After the long summer break, this week is a litmus test for upcoming tech, biotech, and consumer IPOs,” Smith wrote in a market commentary. The list includes a Swiss running-shoe company backed by tennis giant Roger Federer, a drive-through coffee kiosk operator and a mortgage insurer that was spun out of insurer Genworth Financial. </p><p><blockquote>史密斯在市场评论中写道：“在漫长的暑假之后，本周是即将到来的科技、生物技术和消费者IPO的试金石。”该名单包括一家由网球巨头罗杰·费德勒支持的瑞士跑鞋公司、一家得来速咖啡亭运营商以及一家从保险公司Genworth Financial分拆出来的抵押贷款保险公司。</blockquote></p><p> The biggest deal of the week is expected to come from Thoughtworks,a Chicago-based technology consultancy that will go public at a valuation of up to $6.1 billion.</p><p><blockquote>本周最大的交易预计将来自总部位于芝加哥的技术咨询公司Thoughtworks，该公司将以高达61亿美元的估值上市。</blockquote></p><p> The company, which expects to change its name from Turing Holding Corp. to Thoughtworks with completion of the IPO, said a total of 36.84 million shares will be offered, split between the company and selling shareholders.</p><p><blockquote>该公司预计在IPO完成后将更名从Turing Holding Corp.更名为Thoughtworks，并表示将发行总计3684万股股票，由公司和出售股东分配。</blockquote></p><p> The deal is expected to price at between $18 and $20 a share, and the stock will trade on the Nasdaq under the ticker symbol “TWKS.” Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan are the lead underwriters. The company recorded net income of $79.3 million on revenue of $803.4 million in 2020, after income of $28.4 million on revenue of $772.2 million in 2019.</p><p><blockquote>这笔交易预计价格为每股18美元至20美元，股票将在纳斯达克交易，股票代码为“TWKS”。高盛和摩根大通是主承销商。本公司于2020年录得净收入79.3百万美元，收入为8.03.4百万美元，二零一九年录得7.72.2百万美元后，收入净额为2840万美元。</blockquote></p><p> The Swiss athletic-footwear maker On Holding&nbsp;is expected to raise up to $622 million at a valuation of almost $6 billion. On has applied to list 31.1 million shares priced at $18 to $20 each on the New York Stock Exchange, under the ticker symbol “ONON.”</p><p><blockquote>这家持有股份的瑞士运动鞋制造商预计将以近60亿美元的估值筹集至多6.22亿美元。On已申请在纽约证券交易所上市3110万股，每股价格为18至20美元，股票代码为“ONON”。</blockquote></p><p> Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and Morgan Stanley are lead underwriters in a syndicate of nine banks on the On deal. Proceeds are to be used for general corporate purposes. The company has a line that it co-developed with Federer.</p><p><blockquote>高盛、摩根士丹利和摩根士丹利是此次交易的九家银行组成的银团的主承销商。收益将用于一般公司用途。该公司有一条与费德勒共同开发的生产线。</blockquote></p><p> The company had net income of 3.8 million Swiss francs ($4.1 million) in the six months through June 30, after a loss of 33.1 million francs in the year-earlier period,&nbsp;according to its IPO documents.&nbsp;Sales came to 315.5 million francs, up from 170.9 million francs.</p><p><blockquote>根据其IPO文件，在截至6月30日的六个月中，该公司的净利润为380万瑞士法郎（合410万美元），而上年同期为亏损3310万瑞士法郎，而去年同期的销售额为3.155亿瑞士法郎，高于1.709亿瑞士法郎。</blockquote></p><p> Also from Switzerland, sports betting site Sportrader Group AG&nbsp;plans to offer 19 million shares priced at $25 to $28 each, for a valuation of up to $31 billion. The company has applied to list on Nasdaq under the ticker symbol “SRAD.” JPMorgan, Morgan Stanley, Citigroup and UBS are lead underwriters in a syndicate of 13 banks working on the deal.</p><p><blockquote>同样来自瑞士的体育博彩网站Sportrader Group AG计划以每股25至28美元的价格发行1900万股股票，估值高达310亿美元。该公司已申请在纳斯达克上市，股票代码为“SRAD”。摩根大通、摩根士丹利、花旗集团和瑞银是参与该交易的13家银行组成的银团的主承销商。</blockquote></p><p> Proceeds are to be used for working capital and to spur growth. The company had a net profit of $29.9 million in the first six months of the year, on revenue of $321 million,&nbsp;according to its filing documents.</p><p><blockquote>收益将用于营运资金和刺激增长。根据其备案文件，该公司今年前六个月净利润为2990万美元，营收为3.21亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Dutch Bros Inc.,an operator of drive-through shops that serve hot and cold drinks mostly in western U.S. states, is planning to offer 21.1 million shares priced at $18 to $20 each in its IPO, valuing the company at up to $3.3 billion.</p><p><blockquote>Dutch Bros Inc.是一家主要在美国西部各州提供冷热饮料的免下车商店运营商，计划在IPO中发行2110万股股票，每股价格为18至20美元，公司估值高达33亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> BofA Securities, JPMorgan and Jefferies are lead underwriters in a syndicate of 13 banks working on the deal. The company has applied to list on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker symbol “BROS.”</p><p><blockquote>美国银行证券、摩根大通和杰富瑞是参与该交易的13家银行组成的财团的主承销商。该公司已申请在纽约证券交易所上市，股票代码为“BROS”。</blockquote></p><p> Proceeds are to be used to purchase additional Class A shares — the company is planning to have four classes of stock with differing voting rights. The company had a net loss of $13.6 million, or 32 cents a share, in the first six months of the year, narrower than the loss of $16.5 million, or 38 cents a share, posted in the year-earlier period. Revenue fell to $227.9 million from $327.4 million.</p><p><blockquote>所得款项将用于购买额外的A类股票——该公司计划拥有四类具有不同投票权的股票。该公司今年前六个月的净亏损为1,360万美元，即每股亏损32美分，低于去年同期的1,650万美元，即每股亏损38美分。收入从3.274亿美元降至2.279亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Rounding out the list are:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>名单上还有：</b></blockquote></p><p> •&nbsp;Definitive Healthcare Corp.,&nbsp;a Massachusetts-based provider of healthcare commercial intelligence, is planning to offer 15.56 million shares in its PO, which is expected to price between $21 and $24 a share. At that pricing, the company could be valued at up to $3.55 billion.</p><p><blockquote>•总部位于马萨诸塞州的医疗保健商业情报提供商Definitive Healthcare Corp.计划在其PO中发行1556万股股票，预计定价在每股21美元至24美元之间。按照这个定价，该公司的估值可能高达35.5亿美元。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> •&nbsp;Enact Holdings Inc., a mortgage insurer owned by Genworth, is planning to offer 13.3 million shares priced at $19 to $20 each. The company would be valued at $3.3 billion at the top of that range. The company said all shares will be sold by Genworth and it will not receive any proceeds. It has applied to list on Nasdaq under the ticker “ACT.” Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan are lead underwriters in a team of nine banks working on the deal.</p><p><blockquote>Genworth旗下的抵押贷款保险公司Enact Holdings Inc.计划发行1330万股股票，每股价格为19至20美元。该公司的估值为33亿美元，处于该范围的顶部。该公司表示，Genworth将出售所有股份，不会获得任何收益。它已申请在纳斯达克上市，股票代码为“ACT”。高盛和摩根大通是参与该交易的九家银行团队的主承销商。</blockquote></p><p> •&nbsp;ForgeRock<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/stock/FORG?mod=MW_story_quote&amp;mod=article_inline\" target=\"_blank\">,</a>&nbsp;a California-based identity security platform, is looking to raise up to $264 million with an offering of 11 million shares priced between $21 and $24 a share. That pricing would value the company a valuation of up to $1.91 billion.</p><p><blockquote>•锻造岩石<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/stock/FORG?mod=MW_story_quote&amp;mod=article_inline\" target=\"_blank\">,</a>一家总部位于加州的身份安全平台希望通过发行1100万股股票，每股价格在21美元至24美元之间，筹集至多2.64亿美元。该定价将使该公司估值高达19.1亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> The stock is expected to list on the NYSE under the ticker symbol “FORG.” Morgan Stanley and JPMorgan are the lead underwriters. The company recorded a net loss of $41.8 million on revenue of $127.6 million in 2020, after a loss of $36.9 million on revenue of $104.5 million in 2019.</p><p><blockquote>该股预计将在纽约证券交易所上市，股票代码为“FORG”。摩根士丹利和摩根大通是主承销商。该公司在2020年录得净亏损4180万美元，营收为1.276亿美元，而2019年营收为1.045亿美元，亏损3690万美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>•</b>Dice Therapeutics&nbsp;is expected to raise up to $170 million at a valuation of up to $583 million and list on Nasdaq under the ticker symbol “DICE.” The biotech is developing therapies to treat chronic diseases in the field of immunology.</p><p><blockquote><b>•</b>Dice Therapeutics预计将以高达5.83亿美元的估值筹集至多1.7亿美元，并在纳斯达克上市，股票代码为“DICE”。该生物技术公司正在免疫学领域开发治疗慢性疾病的疗法。</blockquote></p><p> <b>•</b>Surgical robotics developer Procept BioRobotics,is aiming to raise up to $132 million at a valuation of about $1 billion with plans to list on Nasdaq under the ticker symbol “PRCT.” BofA Securities and Goldman Sachs are lead underwriters.</p><p><blockquote><b>•</b>手术机器人开发商Procept BioRobotics计划以约10亿美元的估值筹集至多1.32亿美元，并计划在纳斯达克上市，股票代码为“PRCT”。美银证券和高盛是主承销商。</blockquote></p><p> “We develop, manufacture and sell the AquaBeam Robotic System, an advanced, image-guided, surgical robotic system for use in minimally invasive urologic surgery with an initial focus on treating benign prostatic hyperplasia, or BPH,” the company says in its IPO documents.</p><p><blockquote>该公司在其IPO文件中表示：“我们开发、制造和销售AquaBeam机器人系统，这是一种先进的图像引导手术机器人系统，用于微创泌尿外科手术，最初重点是治疗良性前列腺增生（BPH）。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>•</b>Tyra Biosciences is aiming to raise $107.2 million in IPO proceeds at a valuation of $589 million. The biotech’s leading product candidate is a treatment for bladder cancer. It has applied to list on Nasdaq under the symbol “TYRA.”</p><p><blockquote><b>•</b>Tyra Biosciences的目标是通过IPO筹集1.072亿美元，估值为5.89亿美元。该生物技术公司的领先候选产品是膀胱癌的治疗方法。它已申请在纳斯达克上市，股票代码为“TYRA”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>•</b>EzFill Holdings, an app-based mobile fueling company in South Florida, is planning to raise $25 million at a valuation of $100 million. The company has applied to list on Nasdaq under the ticker symbol “EZFL.” ThinkEquity is sole underwriter.</p><p><blockquote><b>•</b>EzFill Holdings是一家位于南佛罗里达州的基于应用程序的移动加油公司，计划以1亿美元的估值筹集2500万美元。该公司已申请在纳斯达克上市，股票代码为“EZFL”。ThinkEquity是独家承销商。</blockquote></p><p> The Renaissance IPO ETF&nbsp;has gained 6% to date in 2021, while the S&amp;P 500&nbsp;has advanced 19%.</p><p><blockquote>2021年迄今为止，Renaissance IPO ETF已上涨6%，而标普500则上涨19%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Busy IPO market this week poised to make 2021 the biggest year ever by proceeds<blockquote>本周繁忙的IPO市场有望使2021年成为有史以来收益最大的一年</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBusy IPO market this week poised to make 2021 the biggest year ever by proceeds<blockquote>本周繁忙的IPO市场有望使2021年成为有史以来收益最大的一年</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-14 15:21</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Swiss running-shoe company backed by Roger Federer and drive-through coffee chain expected to hit the market this week </p><p><blockquote>罗杰·费德勒支持的瑞士跑鞋公司和得来速咖啡连锁店预计将于本周上市</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18111af5f5bda21b3128860fe616c5ca\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"467\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Swiss tennis giant Roger Federer is a backer of one of this week's bigger IPOs.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>瑞士网球巨头罗杰·费德勒是本周最大IPO之一的支持者。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> After a flurry of initial-public-offering launches last week&nbsp;set the market up for a busy fall for deals, 11 are expected to price this week and raise more than $3 billion in proceeds. </p><p><blockquote>上周一系列首次公开募股引发市场交易繁忙，预计本周将有11家公司定价，筹集超过30亿美元的资金。</blockquote></p><p> If all deals materialize, it will make 2021 the biggest year for IPO proceeds ever, and shatter the previous record by about 30%, according to Bill Smith, founder and chief executive of Renaissance Capital, a provider of institutional research and exchange-traded funds oriented around IPOs. The market is expected to see some 375 deals for the year, raising $125 billion, according to Renaissance, beating the $97 billion raised in 2000 during the dot-com boom. </p><p><blockquote>机构研究和交易所交易基金提供商Renaissance Capital创始人兼首席执行官比尔·史密斯(Bill Smith)表示，如果所有交易都实现，2021年将成为有史以来IPO收益最大的一年，并将之前的记录打破约30%。以IPO为导向的基金。据Renaissance称，预计今年市场将出现约375笔交易，筹集1250亿美元，超过2000年互联网繁荣期间筹集的970亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> “After the long summer break, this week is a litmus test for upcoming tech, biotech, and consumer IPOs,” Smith wrote in a market commentary. The list includes a Swiss running-shoe company backed by tennis giant Roger Federer, a drive-through coffee kiosk operator and a mortgage insurer that was spun out of insurer Genworth Financial. </p><p><blockquote>史密斯在市场评论中写道：“在漫长的暑假之后，本周是即将到来的科技、生物技术和消费者IPO的试金石。”该名单包括一家由网球巨头罗杰·费德勒支持的瑞士跑鞋公司、一家得来速咖啡亭运营商以及一家从保险公司Genworth Financial分拆出来的抵押贷款保险公司。</blockquote></p><p> The biggest deal of the week is expected to come from Thoughtworks,a Chicago-based technology consultancy that will go public at a valuation of up to $6.1 billion.</p><p><blockquote>本周最大的交易预计将来自总部位于芝加哥的技术咨询公司Thoughtworks，该公司将以高达61亿美元的估值上市。</blockquote></p><p> The company, which expects to change its name from Turing Holding Corp. to Thoughtworks with completion of the IPO, said a total of 36.84 million shares will be offered, split between the company and selling shareholders.</p><p><blockquote>该公司预计在IPO完成后将更名从Turing Holding Corp.更名为Thoughtworks，并表示将发行总计3684万股股票，由公司和出售股东分配。</blockquote></p><p> The deal is expected to price at between $18 and $20 a share, and the stock will trade on the Nasdaq under the ticker symbol “TWKS.” Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan are the lead underwriters. The company recorded net income of $79.3 million on revenue of $803.4 million in 2020, after income of $28.4 million on revenue of $772.2 million in 2019.</p><p><blockquote>这笔交易预计价格为每股18美元至20美元，股票将在纳斯达克交易，股票代码为“TWKS”。高盛和摩根大通是主承销商。本公司于2020年录得净收入79.3百万美元，收入为8.03.4百万美元，二零一九年录得7.72.2百万美元后，收入净额为2840万美元。</blockquote></p><p> The Swiss athletic-footwear maker On Holding&nbsp;is expected to raise up to $622 million at a valuation of almost $6 billion. On has applied to list 31.1 million shares priced at $18 to $20 each on the New York Stock Exchange, under the ticker symbol “ONON.”</p><p><blockquote>这家持有股份的瑞士运动鞋制造商预计将以近60亿美元的估值筹集至多6.22亿美元。On已申请在纽约证券交易所上市3110万股，每股价格为18至20美元，股票代码为“ONON”。</blockquote></p><p> Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and Morgan Stanley are lead underwriters in a syndicate of nine banks on the On deal. Proceeds are to be used for general corporate purposes. The company has a line that it co-developed with Federer.</p><p><blockquote>高盛、摩根士丹利和摩根士丹利是此次交易的九家银行组成的银团的主承销商。收益将用于一般公司用途。该公司有一条与费德勒共同开发的生产线。</blockquote></p><p> The company had net income of 3.8 million Swiss francs ($4.1 million) in the six months through June 30, after a loss of 33.1 million francs in the year-earlier period,&nbsp;according to its IPO documents.&nbsp;Sales came to 315.5 million francs, up from 170.9 million francs.</p><p><blockquote>根据其IPO文件，在截至6月30日的六个月中，该公司的净利润为380万瑞士法郎（合410万美元），而上年同期为亏损3310万瑞士法郎，而去年同期的销售额为3.155亿瑞士法郎，高于1.709亿瑞士法郎。</blockquote></p><p> Also from Switzerland, sports betting site Sportrader Group AG&nbsp;plans to offer 19 million shares priced at $25 to $28 each, for a valuation of up to $31 billion. The company has applied to list on Nasdaq under the ticker symbol “SRAD.” JPMorgan, Morgan Stanley, Citigroup and UBS are lead underwriters in a syndicate of 13 banks working on the deal.</p><p><blockquote>同样来自瑞士的体育博彩网站Sportrader Group AG计划以每股25至28美元的价格发行1900万股股票，估值高达310亿美元。该公司已申请在纳斯达克上市，股票代码为“SRAD”。摩根大通、摩根士丹利、花旗集团和瑞银是参与该交易的13家银行组成的银团的主承销商。</blockquote></p><p> Proceeds are to be used for working capital and to spur growth. The company had a net profit of $29.9 million in the first six months of the year, on revenue of $321 million,&nbsp;according to its filing documents.</p><p><blockquote>收益将用于营运资金和刺激增长。根据其备案文件，该公司今年前六个月净利润为2990万美元，营收为3.21亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Dutch Bros Inc.,an operator of drive-through shops that serve hot and cold drinks mostly in western U.S. states, is planning to offer 21.1 million shares priced at $18 to $20 each in its IPO, valuing the company at up to $3.3 billion.</p><p><blockquote>Dutch Bros Inc.是一家主要在美国西部各州提供冷热饮料的免下车商店运营商，计划在IPO中发行2110万股股票，每股价格为18至20美元，公司估值高达33亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> BofA Securities, JPMorgan and Jefferies are lead underwriters in a syndicate of 13 banks working on the deal. The company has applied to list on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker symbol “BROS.”</p><p><blockquote>美国银行证券、摩根大通和杰富瑞是参与该交易的13家银行组成的财团的主承销商。该公司已申请在纽约证券交易所上市，股票代码为“BROS”。</blockquote></p><p> Proceeds are to be used to purchase additional Class A shares — the company is planning to have four classes of stock with differing voting rights. The company had a net loss of $13.6 million, or 32 cents a share, in the first six months of the year, narrower than the loss of $16.5 million, or 38 cents a share, posted in the year-earlier period. Revenue fell to $227.9 million from $327.4 million.</p><p><blockquote>所得款项将用于购买额外的A类股票——该公司计划拥有四类具有不同投票权的股票。该公司今年前六个月的净亏损为1,360万美元，即每股亏损32美分，低于去年同期的1,650万美元，即每股亏损38美分。收入从3.274亿美元降至2.279亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Rounding out the list are:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>名单上还有：</b></blockquote></p><p> •&nbsp;Definitive Healthcare Corp.,&nbsp;a Massachusetts-based provider of healthcare commercial intelligence, is planning to offer 15.56 million shares in its PO, which is expected to price between $21 and $24 a share. At that pricing, the company could be valued at up to $3.55 billion.</p><p><blockquote>•总部位于马萨诸塞州的医疗保健商业情报提供商Definitive Healthcare Corp.计划在其PO中发行1556万股股票，预计定价在每股21美元至24美元之间。按照这个定价，该公司的估值可能高达35.5亿美元。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> •&nbsp;Enact Holdings Inc., a mortgage insurer owned by Genworth, is planning to offer 13.3 million shares priced at $19 to $20 each. The company would be valued at $3.3 billion at the top of that range. The company said all shares will be sold by Genworth and it will not receive any proceeds. It has applied to list on Nasdaq under the ticker “ACT.” Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan are lead underwriters in a team of nine banks working on the deal.</p><p><blockquote>Genworth旗下的抵押贷款保险公司Enact Holdings Inc.计划发行1330万股股票，每股价格为19至20美元。该公司的估值为33亿美元，处于该范围的顶部。该公司表示，Genworth将出售所有股份，不会获得任何收益。它已申请在纳斯达克上市，股票代码为“ACT”。高盛和摩根大通是参与该交易的九家银行团队的主承销商。</blockquote></p><p> •&nbsp;ForgeRock<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/stock/FORG?mod=MW_story_quote&amp;mod=article_inline\" target=\"_blank\">,</a>&nbsp;a California-based identity security platform, is looking to raise up to $264 million with an offering of 11 million shares priced between $21 and $24 a share. That pricing would value the company a valuation of up to $1.91 billion.</p><p><blockquote>•锻造岩石<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/stock/FORG?mod=MW_story_quote&amp;mod=article_inline\" target=\"_blank\">,</a>一家总部位于加州的身份安全平台希望通过发行1100万股股票，每股价格在21美元至24美元之间，筹集至多2.64亿美元。该定价将使该公司估值高达19.1亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> The stock is expected to list on the NYSE under the ticker symbol “FORG.” Morgan Stanley and JPMorgan are the lead underwriters. The company recorded a net loss of $41.8 million on revenue of $127.6 million in 2020, after a loss of $36.9 million on revenue of $104.5 million in 2019.</p><p><blockquote>该股预计将在纽约证券交易所上市，股票代码为“FORG”。摩根士丹利和摩根大通是主承销商。该公司在2020年录得净亏损4180万美元，营收为1.276亿美元，而2019年营收为1.045亿美元，亏损3690万美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>•</b>Dice Therapeutics&nbsp;is expected to raise up to $170 million at a valuation of up to $583 million and list on Nasdaq under the ticker symbol “DICE.” The biotech is developing therapies to treat chronic diseases in the field of immunology.</p><p><blockquote><b>•</b>Dice Therapeutics预计将以高达5.83亿美元的估值筹集至多1.7亿美元，并在纳斯达克上市，股票代码为“DICE”。该生物技术公司正在免疫学领域开发治疗慢性疾病的疗法。</blockquote></p><p> <b>•</b>Surgical robotics developer Procept BioRobotics,is aiming to raise up to $132 million at a valuation of about $1 billion with plans to list on Nasdaq under the ticker symbol “PRCT.” BofA Securities and Goldman Sachs are lead underwriters.</p><p><blockquote><b>•</b>手术机器人开发商Procept BioRobotics计划以约10亿美元的估值筹集至多1.32亿美元，并计划在纳斯达克上市，股票代码为“PRCT”。美银证券和高盛是主承销商。</blockquote></p><p> “We develop, manufacture and sell the AquaBeam Robotic System, an advanced, image-guided, surgical robotic system for use in minimally invasive urologic surgery with an initial focus on treating benign prostatic hyperplasia, or BPH,” the company says in its IPO documents.</p><p><blockquote>该公司在其IPO文件中表示：“我们开发、制造和销售AquaBeam机器人系统，这是一种先进的图像引导手术机器人系统，用于微创泌尿外科手术，最初重点是治疗良性前列腺增生（BPH）。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>•</b>Tyra Biosciences is aiming to raise $107.2 million in IPO proceeds at a valuation of $589 million. The biotech’s leading product candidate is a treatment for bladder cancer. It has applied to list on Nasdaq under the symbol “TYRA.”</p><p><blockquote><b>•</b>Tyra Biosciences的目标是通过IPO筹集1.072亿美元，估值为5.89亿美元。该生物技术公司的领先候选产品是膀胱癌的治疗方法。它已申请在纳斯达克上市，股票代码为“TYRA”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>•</b>EzFill Holdings, an app-based mobile fueling company in South Florida, is planning to raise $25 million at a valuation of $100 million. The company has applied to list on Nasdaq under the ticker symbol “EZFL.” ThinkEquity is sole underwriter.</p><p><blockquote><b>•</b>EzFill Holdings是一家位于南佛罗里达州的基于应用程序的移动加油公司，计划以1亿美元的估值筹集2500万美元。该公司已申请在纳斯达克上市，股票代码为“EZFL”。ThinkEquity是独家承销商。</blockquote></p><p> The Renaissance IPO ETF&nbsp;has gained 6% to date in 2021, while the S&amp;P 500&nbsp;has advanced 19%.</p><p><blockquote>2021年迄今为止，Renaissance IPO ETF已上涨6%，而标普500则上涨19%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/busy-ipo-market-this-week-may-make-2021-the-biggest-year-for-proceeds-and-break-previous-record-by-30-11631554372?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯","ONON":"On Holding AG","BROS":"Dutch Bros Inc.",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SRAD":"Sportradar Group AG","TYRA":"Tyra Biosciences, Inc.","DRNA":"Dicerna Pharmaceuticals, Inc.","PRCT":"PROCEPT BioRobotics","FORG":"ForgeRock, Inc.","TWKS":"Thoughtworks Holding Inc.",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","DH":"Definitive Healthcare Corp."},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/busy-ipo-market-this-week-may-make-2021-the-biggest-year-for-proceeds-and-break-previous-record-by-30-11631554372?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1160275332","content_text":"Swiss running-shoe company backed by Roger Federer and drive-through coffee chain expected to hit the market this week \nSwiss tennis giant Roger Federer is a backer of one of this week's bigger IPOs.\n\n\nAfter a flurry of initial-public-offering launches last week set the market up for a busy fall for deals, 11 are expected to price this week and raise more than $3 billion in proceeds. \n\nIf all deals materialize, it will make 2021 the biggest year for IPO proceeds ever, and shatter the previous record by about 30%, according to Bill Smith, founder and chief executive of Renaissance Capital, a provider of institutional research and exchange-traded funds oriented around IPOs. The market is expected to see some 375 deals for the year, raising $125 billion, according to Renaissance, beating the $97 billion raised in 2000 during the dot-com boom. \n\n“After the long summer break, this week is a litmus test for upcoming tech, biotech, and consumer IPOs,” Smith wrote in a market commentary. The list includes a Swiss running-shoe company backed by tennis giant Roger Federer, a drive-through coffee kiosk operator and a mortgage insurer that was spun out of insurer Genworth Financial. \n\nThe biggest deal of the week is expected to come from Thoughtworks,a Chicago-based technology consultancy that will go public at a valuation of up to $6.1 billion.\nThe company, which expects to change its name from Turing Holding Corp. to Thoughtworks with completion of the IPO, said a total of 36.84 million shares will be offered, split between the company and selling shareholders.\n\nThe deal is expected to price at between $18 and $20 a share, and the stock will trade on the Nasdaq under the ticker symbol “TWKS.” Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan are the lead underwriters. The company recorded net income of $79.3 million on revenue of $803.4 million in 2020, after income of $28.4 million on revenue of $772.2 million in 2019.\nThe Swiss athletic-footwear maker On Holding is expected to raise up to $622 million at a valuation of almost $6 billion. On has applied to list 31.1 million shares priced at $18 to $20 each on the New York Stock Exchange, under the ticker symbol “ONON.”\n\nGoldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and Morgan Stanley are lead underwriters in a syndicate of nine banks on the On deal. Proceeds are to be used for general corporate purposes. The company has a line that it co-developed with Federer.\n\nThe company had net income of 3.8 million Swiss francs ($4.1 million) in the six months through June 30, after a loss of 33.1 million francs in the year-earlier period, according to its IPO documents. Sales came to 315.5 million francs, up from 170.9 million francs.\n\nAlso from Switzerland, sports betting site Sportrader Group AG plans to offer 19 million shares priced at $25 to $28 each, for a valuation of up to $31 billion. The company has applied to list on Nasdaq under the ticker symbol “SRAD.” JPMorgan, Morgan Stanley, Citigroup and UBS are lead underwriters in a syndicate of 13 banks working on the deal.\n\nProceeds are to be used for working capital and to spur growth. The company had a net profit of $29.9 million in the first six months of the year, on revenue of $321 million, according to its filing documents.\n\nDutch Bros Inc.,an operator of drive-through shops that serve hot and cold drinks mostly in western U.S. states, is planning to offer 21.1 million shares priced at $18 to $20 each in its IPO, valuing the company at up to $3.3 billion.\n\nBofA Securities, JPMorgan and Jefferies are lead underwriters in a syndicate of 13 banks working on the deal. The company has applied to list on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker symbol “BROS.”\nProceeds are to be used to purchase additional Class A shares — the company is planning to have four classes of stock with differing voting rights. The company had a net loss of $13.6 million, or 32 cents a share, in the first six months of the year, narrower than the loss of $16.5 million, or 38 cents a share, posted in the year-earlier period. Revenue fell to $227.9 million from $327.4 million.\n\nRounding out the list are:\n• Definitive Healthcare Corp., a Massachusetts-based provider of healthcare commercial intelligence, is planning to offer 15.56 million shares in its PO, which is expected to price between $21 and $24 a share. At that pricing, the company could be valued at up to $3.55 billion.\n• Enact Holdings Inc., a mortgage insurer owned by Genworth, is planning to offer 13.3 million shares priced at $19 to $20 each. The company would be valued at $3.3 billion at the top of that range. The company said all shares will be sold by Genworth and it will not receive any proceeds. It has applied to list on Nasdaq under the ticker “ACT.” Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan are lead underwriters in a team of nine banks working on the deal.\n• ForgeRock, a California-based identity security platform, is looking to raise up to $264 million with an offering of 11 million shares priced between $21 and $24 a share. That pricing would value the company a valuation of up to $1.91 billion.\nThe stock is expected to list on the NYSE under the ticker symbol “FORG.” Morgan Stanley and JPMorgan are the lead underwriters. The company recorded a net loss of $41.8 million on revenue of $127.6 million in 2020, after a loss of $36.9 million on revenue of $104.5 million in 2019.\n•Dice Therapeutics is expected to raise up to $170 million at a valuation of up to $583 million and list on Nasdaq under the ticker symbol “DICE.” The biotech is developing therapies to treat chronic diseases in the field of immunology.\n•Surgical robotics developer Procept BioRobotics,is aiming to raise up to $132 million at a valuation of about $1 billion with plans to list on Nasdaq under the ticker symbol “PRCT.” BofA Securities and Goldman Sachs are lead underwriters.\n“We develop, manufacture and sell the AquaBeam Robotic System, an advanced, image-guided, surgical robotic system for use in minimally invasive urologic surgery with an initial focus on treating benign prostatic hyperplasia, or BPH,” the company says in its IPO documents.\n•Tyra Biosciences is aiming to raise $107.2 million in IPO proceeds at a valuation of $589 million. The biotech’s leading product candidate is a treatment for bladder cancer. It has applied to list on Nasdaq under the symbol “TYRA.”\n•EzFill Holdings, an app-based mobile fueling company in South Florida, is planning to raise $25 million at a valuation of $100 million. The company has applied to list on Nasdaq under the ticker symbol “EZFL.” ThinkEquity is sole underwriter.\nThe Renaissance IPO ETF has gained 6% to date in 2021, while the S&P 500 has advanced 19%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"DRNA":0.9,"ONON":0.9,"SRAD":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"DH":0.9,"BROS":0.9,"PRCT":0.9,"TYRA":0.9,"TWKS":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"FORG":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"ACT.UK":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1145,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":814642225,"gmtCreate":1630816651967,"gmtModify":1631891744609,"author":{"id":"3584531056058582","authorId":"3584531056058582","name":"AnnaPoon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6107b3136c97d1f7731c763f71c27e93","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584531056058582","idStr":"3584531056058582"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"When up","listText":"When up","text":"When up","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/164cf6c313b33a9c6075b389b7071050","width":"1125","height":"2812"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/814642225","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1199,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":814642937,"gmtCreate":1630816632129,"gmtModify":1631883797648,"author":{"id":"3584531056058582","authorId":"3584531056058582","name":"AnnaPoon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6107b3136c97d1f7731c763f71c27e93","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584531056058582","idStr":"3584531056058582"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BNTX\">$BioNTech SE(BNTX)$</a>[Cry]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BNTX\">$BioNTech SE(BNTX)$</a>[Cry]&nbsp;","text":"$BioNTech SE(BNTX)$[Cry]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a9f4064be61a8acb25508a29130a325","width":"1125","height":"1949"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/814642937","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1727,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":814646285,"gmtCreate":1630816602647,"gmtModify":1631891744611,"author":{"id":"3584531056058582","authorId":"3584531056058582","name":"AnnaPoon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6107b3136c97d1f7731c763f71c27e93","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584531056058582","idStr":"3584531056058582"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like thanks&nbsp;","listText":"Like thanks&nbsp;","text":"Like thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/814646285","repostId":"1157895022","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1157895022","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1630810619,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1157895022?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-05 10:56","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Beat the market with this quant system that’s very bullish on stocks at record highs<blockquote>利用这个非常看好历史新高股票的量化系统击败市场</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1157895022","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Vance Howard’s HCM Tactical Growth Fund moves you in and out of the stock market when prudent to do ","content":"<p>  <b>Vance Howard’s HCM Tactical Growth Fund moves you in and out of the stock market when prudent to do so. So far his team of computer scientists’ strategy has paid off.</b>  Imagine you had a money-making machine to harvest gains in the stock market while you sat back to enjoy life.</p><p><blockquote><b>万斯·霍华德(Vance Howard)的HCM战术增长基金在谨慎的情况下让您进出股市。到目前为止，他的计算机科学家团队的策略已经得到了回报。</b>想象一下，当你坐下来享受生活时，你有一台赚钱机器在股市中收获收益。</blockquote></p><p> That’s everyone’s dream, right? Investor Vance Howard thinks he’s found it.</p><p><blockquote>那是每个人的梦想，对吧？投资者万斯·霍华德认为他已经找到了。</blockquote></p><p> Howard and his small army of computer programmers atHoward Capital Managementin Roswell, Ga., have a quantitative system that posts great returns.</p><p><blockquote>霍华德和他的一小队计算机程序员在佐治亚州罗斯威尔的资本管理公司工作。，有一个量化系统，张贴巨大的回报。</blockquote></p><p> His HCM Tactical Growth Fund&nbsp;HCMGX,+0.35%beats its Russell 1000&nbsp;benchmark index and large-blend fund category by 8.5-10.4 percentage points annualized over the past five years, according to Morningstar. That is no small feat, and not only because it has to overcome a 2.22% fee. Beating the market is simply not easy. His HCM Dividend Sector PlusHCMQX,-0.05%) and HCM Income PlusHCMLX,+0.30%funds post similar outperformance.</p><p><blockquote>根据晨星公司的数据，他的HCM战术增长基金HCMGX,+0.35%在过去五年中的年化增长率比罗素1000基准指数和大型混合基金类别高出8.5-10.4个百分点。这不是一个小壮举，不仅因为它必须克服2.22%的费用。战胜市场并不容易。他的HCM Dividend Sector PlusHCMQX,-0.05%)和HCM Income PlusHCMLX,+0.30%基金也表现类似。</blockquote></p><p> There are drawbacks, which I detail below. (Among them: Potentially long stretches of underperformance and regular tax bills.) But first, what can we learn from this winner?</p><p><blockquote>有缺点，我在下面详述。（其中包括：潜在的长期表现不佳和定期的税单。）但首先，我们能从这位赢家身上学到什么？</blockquote></p><p> So-called quants never share all the details of their proprietary systems, but Howard shares a lot, as you’ll see. And this Texas rancher has a lot of good advice based on “horse sense” — not surprising, given his infectious passion for the markets, and his three decades of experience as a pro.</p><p><blockquote>所谓的量化分析师从不分享他们专有系统的所有细节，但正如你将看到的，霍华德分享了很多。这位德克萨斯州牧场主有很多基于“马的感觉”的好建议——考虑到他对市场富有感染力的热情，以及他三十年的职业经验，这并不奇怪。</blockquote></p><p> Here are five lessons, 12 exchange traded funds (ETFs) and four stocks to consider, from a recent interview with him.</p><p><blockquote>以下是最近对他的采访中的五个教训、12只交易所交易基金(ETF)和四只值得考虑的股票。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #1: Don’t be emotional</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第一课：不要情绪化</b></blockquote></p><p> It’s no surprise so many people do poorly in the market. Evolution has programmed us to fail. For survival, we’ve learned to run from things that frightens us. And crave more of things that are pleasurable — like sweets or fats to store calories ahead of what might be a long stretch without food. But in the market, acting on the emotions of fear and greed invariably make us do the wrong thing at the wrong time. Sell at the bottom, buy at the top.</p><p><blockquote>难怪这么多人在市场上表现不佳。进化让我们注定要失败。为了生存，我们学会了逃避让我们害怕的事情。渴望更多令人愉快的东西——比如甜食或脂肪，以便在长时间没有食物之前储存卡路里。但在市场中，对恐惧和贪婪的情绪采取行动总是会让我们在错误的时间做错误的事情。底部卖出，顶部买入。</blockquote></p><p> Likewise, we’re programmed to believe being with the crowd brings safety. If you’re a zebra on the Savanna, you are more likely to get picked off by a predator if you go it alone. The problem here is being part of a crowd — and crowd psychology — dumb us down to a purely emotional level. This is why people in crowds do terrible things they would never do on their own. It doesn’t matter how smart you are. When you join a crowd, you lose a lot of IQ points. Base emotions take over.</p><p><blockquote>同样，我们被设定为相信和人群在一起会带来安全。如果你是稀树草原上的斑马，如果你单干，你更有可能被捕食者吃掉。这里的问题是，成为人群的一部分——以及人群心理——让我们变得愚蠢到纯粹的情感层面。这就是为什么人群中的人会做他们自己永远不会做的可怕的事情。你有多聪明并不重要。当你加入一个人群时，你会失去很多智商点。基本情绪占了上风。</blockquote></p><p> To do well in the market, you have to counteract these tendencies. “One of the biggest mistakes individual investors and money managers make is getting emotional,” says Howard. “Let your emotions go.”</p><p><blockquote>要想在市场上做得好，你必须抵制这些倾向。“个人投资者和基金经理犯的最大错误之一就是变得情绪化，”霍华德说。“放下你的情绪。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #2: Have a system and stick to it</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第二课：有一个系统并坚持下去</b></blockquote></p><p> To exorcise emotion, have a system. “And don’t second guess it,” says Howard. “This keeps you from letting the pandemic or Afghanistan scare you out of the market.” He calls his system the HCM-BuyLine. It is basically a momentum and trend-following system — which often works well in the markets.</p><p><blockquote>驱除情绪，要有一个系统。“不要怀疑它，”霍华德说。“这可以防止你被大流行或阿富汗吓出市场。”他评级了他的系统HCM-购买线。它基本上是一个动量和趋势跟踪系统——通常在市场上运行良好。</blockquote></p><p> The HCM-BuyLine basically works like this. First, rather than use the S&amp;P 500SPX,-0.03%or the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,-0.21%,Howard blends several stock indices to create his own index. Then he uses a moving average that tells him whether the market is in an uptrend or downtrend.</p><p><blockquote>HCM-BuyLine基本上是这样工作的。首先，霍华德没有使用标准普尔500SPX（-0.03%）或道琼斯工业平均指数DJIA（-0.21%），而是混合了几个股票指数来创建自己的指数。然后他使用移动平均线来告诉他市场是处于上升趋势还是下降趋势。</blockquote></p><p> When the moving average drops 3.5%, he sells 35%. If it drops 6.5%, he sells another 35%. He rarely goes to 100% cash.</p><p><blockquote>当移动平均线下跌3.5%时，他卖出35%。如果下跌6.5%，他就再卖出35%。他很少100%现金。</blockquote></p><p> “If the BuyLine is positive, we will stay long no matter what,” he says. “We take all the emotion out of the equation by letting the math decide.”</p><p><blockquote>“如果买入线为正，无论如何我们都会长期持有，”他说。“我们通过让数学来决定，将所有情感从等式中剔除。”</blockquote></p><p> Right now, it’s bullish. (More on this below.)</p><p><blockquote>目前，情况看涨。（更多信息见下文。）</blockquote></p><p> Your system also has to tell you when to get back in.</p><p><blockquote>你的系统还必须告诉你什么时候回去。</blockquote></p><p> “That’s where most people screw up,” he says. “They get out of the market, and they don’t know when to get back in.” The HCM-BuyLine gives a buy signal when his custom index trades above its moving average for six consecutive sessions, and then goes on to trade above the high hit during those six days.</p><p><blockquote>“这就是大多数人搞砸的地方，”他说。“他们退出市场，不知道什么时候才能重新进入。”当他的定制指数连续六个交易日高于其移动平均线时，HCM-买入线会发出买入信号，然后继续高于这六天触及的高点。</blockquote></p><p> You don’t need a system that calls exact market tops or bottoms. Instead, the BuyLine keeps Howard out of down markets 85% of the time, and in for 85% of the good times.</p><p><blockquote>你不需要一个评级精确市场顶部或底部的系统。相反，买入线让霍华德在85%的时间里远离低迷的市场，在85%的好时光里远离。</blockquote></p><p> “If we can do that consistently, we have superior returns and a less stressful life,” he says. “Being all in during a bad tape is no fun.”</p><p><blockquote>“如果我们能够始终如一地做到这一点，我们就会获得更高的回报和更少的生活压力，”他说。“在一盘糟糕的磁带中全力以赴一点也不好玩。”</blockquote></p><p> His system is slow to get him out of the market, but quick to get him back in. Not even a 10% correction will necessarily move him out. He’s often buying those pullbacks. Getting back in fast makes sense, because recoveries off bottoms tend to happen fast.</p><p><blockquote>他的系统让他退出市场很慢，但让他回来很快。即使是10%的修正也不一定能让他出局。他经常买入那些回调。快速反弹是有意义的，因为从底部恢复往往会很快。</blockquote></p><p> “The HCM-BuyLine takes all the emotion out of the process,” says Howard.</p><p><blockquote>“HCM-BuyLine消除了整个过程中的所有情绪，”霍华德说。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #3: Don’t fight the tape</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第三课：不要和磁带作对</b></blockquote></p><p> This concept is one of the core pieces of wisdom from Marty Zweig’s classic book, “Winning on Wall Street.”</p><p><blockquote>这一概念是马蒂·茨威格经典著作《在华尔街获胜》中的核心智慧之一。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “You have to stay on the right side of market,” agrees Howard. “If you try to trade long in a bad market, it is painful.”</p><p><blockquote>“你必须站在市场的正确一边，”霍华德表示同意。“如果你试图在糟糕的市场中做多，那是很痛苦的。”</blockquote></p><p> In other words, don’t try to be a hero.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，不要试图成为英雄。</blockquote></p><p> “Sometimes, not losing money is where you want to be,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>“有时候，不赔钱才是你想要的，”他说。</blockquote></p><p> Likewise, don’t turn cautious just because the market hits new highs — like now. You should love new highs, because it is a sign of market strength that may likely endure.</p><p><blockquote>同样，不要仅仅因为市场创下新高就变得谨慎——就像现在这样。你应该喜欢新高，因为这是市场力量的标志，可能会持续下去。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #4: Keep it simple</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第四课：保持简单</b></blockquote></p><p> As you’ll see below, Howard doesn’t use esoteric instruments such as derivatives, swaps or index options. He doesn’t even trade foreign stocks or currencies. This is refreshing for individual investors, because we have a harder time accessing those tools.</p><p><blockquote>正如您将在下面看到的，霍华德不使用衍生品、掉期或指数期权等深奥工具。他甚至不交易外国股票或货币。这对个人投资者来说令人耳目一新，因为我们更难获得这些工具。</blockquote></p><p> “You don’t have to trade crazy stuff,” he says. “You can trade plain-vanilla ETFs and beat everybody out there.”</p><p><blockquote>“你不必交易疯狂的东西，”他说。“你可以交易普通的ETF并击败所有人。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #5: How to trade the current market</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第5课：如何交易当前市场</b></blockquote></p><p> First, be long.</p><p><blockquote>首先，做长。</blockquote></p><p> “The HCM-BuyLine is very positive. We are 100% in,” says Howard. “The market is broadening out. It is getting pretty exciting. We do not see it turn around any time soon. We are buying pullbacks.”</p><p><blockquote>“HCM-购买线非常积极。我们100%参与，”霍华德说。“市场正在扩大。它变得相当令人兴奋。我们认为它不会很快好转。我们正在买入回调。”</blockquote></p><p> One bullish signal is all the cash on the sidelines. “If there is any relief in Covid, we may see a big rally. We may end up with a great fall [season].”</p><p><blockquote>一个看涨信号是所有现金都在观望。“如果新冠疫情有所缓解，我们可能会看到大幅反弹。我们可能会以一个伟大的秋季[季节]结束。”</blockquote></p><p> Howard uses momentum indicators to select stocks and ETFs, too. For sectors he favors the following.</p><p><blockquote>霍华德也使用动量指标来选择股票和ETF。对于行业，他倾向于以下几点。</blockquote></p><p> He likes health care, tradable through the iShares US HealthcareIYH,-0.04%and ProShares Ultra Health CareRXL,+0.12%ETFs. He’s turning more bullish on biotech, which he plays via the iShares Biotechnology ETFIBB,-0.11%.</p><p><blockquote>他喜欢医疗保健，可通过iShares US HealthcareIYH(-0.04%)和ProShares Ultra Health CareRXL(+0.12%)ETF进行交易。他变得更加看好生物技术，他通过iShares Biotechnology ETFIBB进行投资，-0.11%。</blockquote></p><p> He likes consumer discretionary tradable through the iShares US Consumer ServicesIYC,-0.30%,and airlines via US Global JetsJETS,-1.17%.He also likes tech exposure via the Invesco QQQ TrustQQQ,+0.31%,iShares US TechnologyIYW,+0.50%and&nbsp;iShares SemiconductorSOXX,+0.75%.</p><p><blockquote>他喜欢通过iShares US Consumer ServicesIYC(-0.30%)进行交易的非必需消费品，以及通过US Global JetsJETS(-1.17%)进行交易的航空公司。他还喜欢通过Invesco QQQ TrustQQQ(+0.31%)、iShares US TechnologyIYW(+0.50%)进行科技投资和iShares半导体SOXX，+0.75%。</blockquote></p><p> He likes small-caps via the Vanguard Small-Cap Growth Index FundVBK,+0.07%.And convertible bonds via SPDR Bloomberg Barclays Convertible SecuritiesCWB,+0.64%and iShares Convertible BondICVT,+0.37%.</p><p><blockquote>他喜欢Vanguard Small-Cap Growth Index FundVBK，+0.07%的小盘股。以及SPDR Bloomberg Barclays可转换证券CWB，+0.64%和iShares可转换债券ICVT，+0.37%的可转换债券。</blockquote></p><p> As for individual names, he singles out MicrosoftMSFT,-0.00%and AppleAAPL,+0.42%in tech, as well as Amazon.comAMZN,+0.43%and TeslaTSLA,+0.16%.</p><p><blockquote>至于个人名称，他特别提到了科技股中的微软MSFT(-0.00%)和苹果AAPL(+0.42%)，以及亚马逊MAMZN(+0.43%)和特斯拉TSLA(+0.16%)。</blockquote></p><p> Also consider Howard’s two ETFs: The HCM Defender 100 IndexQQH,+0.62%and HCM Defender 500 IndexLGH,+1.32%.</p><p><blockquote>另请考虑Howard的两只ETF：HCM Defender 100 IndexQQH，+0.62%和HCM Defender 500 IndexLGH，+1.32%。</blockquote></p><p> He prefers to add to holdings on 1%-3% dips.</p><p><blockquote>他更喜欢在下跌1%-3%时增持。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A few drawbacks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>一些缺点</b></blockquote></p><p> His HCM Tactical Growth fund has a history of posting two-year stretches of underperformance of 1.5% to 8.8%, since it was launched in 2015. The fund then came roaring back to net the very positive five-year outperformance cited above. Investing in his system can require patience.</p><p><blockquote>他的HCM战术增长基金自2015年推出以来，曾连续两年表现不佳，涨幅为1.5%至8.8%。随后，该基金卷土重来，实现了上述非常积极的五年优异表现。投资他的系统需要耐心。</blockquote></p><p> Every manager, including Warren Buffett, can have a stretch of underperformance, says Howard.</p><p><blockquote>霍华德说，每个经理人，包括沃伦·巴菲特，都可能有一段时间表现不佳。</blockquote></p><p> “We are in the odds game,” he says. “Even in the odds game, you can have a bad hand or two thrown at you.”</p><p><blockquote>“我们正处于赔率游戏中，”他说。“即使在赔率游戏中，你也可能会遇到一两手糟糕的牌。”</blockquote></p><p> Another challenge is the high turnover, which is 140% a year for Tactical Growth. This means Uncle Sam takes a big cut in the good years. So if you buy Howard’s funds, you may want to do so in a tax-protected account.</p><p><blockquote>另一个挑战是高流动率，战术增长每年140%。这意味着山姆大叔在好年景中会得到很大的提成。因此，如果您购买霍华德的基金，您可能希望在避税账户中购买。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Beat the market with this quant system that’s very bullish on stocks at record highs<blockquote>利用这个非常看好历史新高股票的量化系统击败市场</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBeat the market with this quant system that’s very bullish on stocks at record highs<blockquote>利用这个非常看好历史新高股票的量化系统击败市场</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-05 10:56</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  <b>Vance Howard’s HCM Tactical Growth Fund moves you in and out of the stock market when prudent to do so. So far his team of computer scientists’ strategy has paid off.</b>  Imagine you had a money-making machine to harvest gains in the stock market while you sat back to enjoy life.</p><p><blockquote><b>万斯·霍华德(Vance Howard)的HCM战术增长基金在谨慎的情况下让您进出股市。到目前为止，他的计算机科学家团队的策略已经得到了回报。</b>想象一下，当你坐下来享受生活时，你有一台赚钱机器在股市中收获收益。</blockquote></p><p> That’s everyone’s dream, right? Investor Vance Howard thinks he’s found it.</p><p><blockquote>那是每个人的梦想，对吧？投资者万斯·霍华德认为他已经找到了。</blockquote></p><p> Howard and his small army of computer programmers atHoward Capital Managementin Roswell, Ga., have a quantitative system that posts great returns.</p><p><blockquote>霍华德和他的一小队计算机程序员在佐治亚州罗斯威尔的资本管理公司工作。，有一个量化系统，张贴巨大的回报。</blockquote></p><p> His HCM Tactical Growth Fund&nbsp;HCMGX,+0.35%beats its Russell 1000&nbsp;benchmark index and large-blend fund category by 8.5-10.4 percentage points annualized over the past five years, according to Morningstar. That is no small feat, and not only because it has to overcome a 2.22% fee. Beating the market is simply not easy. His HCM Dividend Sector PlusHCMQX,-0.05%) and HCM Income PlusHCMLX,+0.30%funds post similar outperformance.</p><p><blockquote>根据晨星公司的数据，他的HCM战术增长基金HCMGX,+0.35%在过去五年中的年化增长率比罗素1000基准指数和大型混合基金类别高出8.5-10.4个百分点。这不是一个小壮举，不仅因为它必须克服2.22%的费用。战胜市场并不容易。他的HCM Dividend Sector PlusHCMQX,-0.05%)和HCM Income PlusHCMLX,+0.30%基金也表现类似。</blockquote></p><p> There are drawbacks, which I detail below. (Among them: Potentially long stretches of underperformance and regular tax bills.) But first, what can we learn from this winner?</p><p><blockquote>有缺点，我在下面详述。（其中包括：潜在的长期表现不佳和定期的税单。）但首先，我们能从这位赢家身上学到什么？</blockquote></p><p> So-called quants never share all the details of their proprietary systems, but Howard shares a lot, as you’ll see. And this Texas rancher has a lot of good advice based on “horse sense” — not surprising, given his infectious passion for the markets, and his three decades of experience as a pro.</p><p><blockquote>所谓的量化分析师从不分享他们专有系统的所有细节，但正如你将看到的，霍华德分享了很多。这位德克萨斯州牧场主有很多基于“马的感觉”的好建议——考虑到他对市场富有感染力的热情，以及他三十年的职业经验，这并不奇怪。</blockquote></p><p> Here are five lessons, 12 exchange traded funds (ETFs) and four stocks to consider, from a recent interview with him.</p><p><blockquote>以下是最近对他的采访中的五个教训、12只交易所交易基金(ETF)和四只值得考虑的股票。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #1: Don’t be emotional</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第一课：不要情绪化</b></blockquote></p><p> It’s no surprise so many people do poorly in the market. Evolution has programmed us to fail. For survival, we’ve learned to run from things that frightens us. And crave more of things that are pleasurable — like sweets or fats to store calories ahead of what might be a long stretch without food. But in the market, acting on the emotions of fear and greed invariably make us do the wrong thing at the wrong time. Sell at the bottom, buy at the top.</p><p><blockquote>难怪这么多人在市场上表现不佳。进化让我们注定要失败。为了生存，我们学会了逃避让我们害怕的事情。渴望更多令人愉快的东西——比如甜食或脂肪，以便在长时间没有食物之前储存卡路里。但在市场中，对恐惧和贪婪的情绪采取行动总是会让我们在错误的时间做错误的事情。底部卖出，顶部买入。</blockquote></p><p> Likewise, we’re programmed to believe being with the crowd brings safety. If you’re a zebra on the Savanna, you are more likely to get picked off by a predator if you go it alone. The problem here is being part of a crowd — and crowd psychology — dumb us down to a purely emotional level. This is why people in crowds do terrible things they would never do on their own. It doesn’t matter how smart you are. When you join a crowd, you lose a lot of IQ points. Base emotions take over.</p><p><blockquote>同样，我们被设定为相信和人群在一起会带来安全。如果你是稀树草原上的斑马，如果你单干，你更有可能被捕食者吃掉。这里的问题是，成为人群的一部分——以及人群心理——让我们变得愚蠢到纯粹的情感层面。这就是为什么人群中的人会做他们自己永远不会做的可怕的事情。你有多聪明并不重要。当你加入一个人群时，你会失去很多智商点。基本情绪占了上风。</blockquote></p><p> To do well in the market, you have to counteract these tendencies. “One of the biggest mistakes individual investors and money managers make is getting emotional,” says Howard. “Let your emotions go.”</p><p><blockquote>要想在市场上做得好，你必须抵制这些倾向。“个人投资者和基金经理犯的最大错误之一就是变得情绪化，”霍华德说。“放下你的情绪。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #2: Have a system and stick to it</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第二课：有一个系统并坚持下去</b></blockquote></p><p> To exorcise emotion, have a system. “And don’t second guess it,” says Howard. “This keeps you from letting the pandemic or Afghanistan scare you out of the market.” He calls his system the HCM-BuyLine. It is basically a momentum and trend-following system — which often works well in the markets.</p><p><blockquote>驱除情绪，要有一个系统。“不要怀疑它，”霍华德说。“这可以防止你被大流行或阿富汗吓出市场。”他评级了他的系统HCM-购买线。它基本上是一个动量和趋势跟踪系统——通常在市场上运行良好。</blockquote></p><p> The HCM-BuyLine basically works like this. First, rather than use the S&amp;P 500SPX,-0.03%or the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,-0.21%,Howard blends several stock indices to create his own index. Then he uses a moving average that tells him whether the market is in an uptrend or downtrend.</p><p><blockquote>HCM-BuyLine基本上是这样工作的。首先，霍华德没有使用标准普尔500SPX（-0.03%）或道琼斯工业平均指数DJIA（-0.21%），而是混合了几个股票指数来创建自己的指数。然后他使用移动平均线来告诉他市场是处于上升趋势还是下降趋势。</blockquote></p><p> When the moving average drops 3.5%, he sells 35%. If it drops 6.5%, he sells another 35%. He rarely goes to 100% cash.</p><p><blockquote>当移动平均线下跌3.5%时，他卖出35%。如果下跌6.5%，他就再卖出35%。他很少100%现金。</blockquote></p><p> “If the BuyLine is positive, we will stay long no matter what,” he says. “We take all the emotion out of the equation by letting the math decide.”</p><p><blockquote>“如果买入线为正，无论如何我们都会长期持有，”他说。“我们通过让数学来决定，将所有情感从等式中剔除。”</blockquote></p><p> Right now, it’s bullish. (More on this below.)</p><p><blockquote>目前，情况看涨。（更多信息见下文。）</blockquote></p><p> Your system also has to tell you when to get back in.</p><p><blockquote>你的系统还必须告诉你什么时候回去。</blockquote></p><p> “That’s where most people screw up,” he says. “They get out of the market, and they don’t know when to get back in.” The HCM-BuyLine gives a buy signal when his custom index trades above its moving average for six consecutive sessions, and then goes on to trade above the high hit during those six days.</p><p><blockquote>“这就是大多数人搞砸的地方，”他说。“他们退出市场，不知道什么时候才能重新进入。”当他的定制指数连续六个交易日高于其移动平均线时，HCM-买入线会发出买入信号，然后继续高于这六天触及的高点。</blockquote></p><p> You don’t need a system that calls exact market tops or bottoms. Instead, the BuyLine keeps Howard out of down markets 85% of the time, and in for 85% of the good times.</p><p><blockquote>你不需要一个评级精确市场顶部或底部的系统。相反，买入线让霍华德在85%的时间里远离低迷的市场，在85%的好时光里远离。</blockquote></p><p> “If we can do that consistently, we have superior returns and a less stressful life,” he says. “Being all in during a bad tape is no fun.”</p><p><blockquote>“如果我们能够始终如一地做到这一点，我们就会获得更高的回报和更少的生活压力，”他说。“在一盘糟糕的磁带中全力以赴一点也不好玩。”</blockquote></p><p> His system is slow to get him out of the market, but quick to get him back in. Not even a 10% correction will necessarily move him out. He’s often buying those pullbacks. Getting back in fast makes sense, because recoveries off bottoms tend to happen fast.</p><p><blockquote>他的系统让他退出市场很慢，但让他回来很快。即使是10%的修正也不一定能让他出局。他经常买入那些回调。快速反弹是有意义的，因为从底部恢复往往会很快。</blockquote></p><p> “The HCM-BuyLine takes all the emotion out of the process,” says Howard.</p><p><blockquote>“HCM-BuyLine消除了整个过程中的所有情绪，”霍华德说。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #3: Don’t fight the tape</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第三课：不要和磁带作对</b></blockquote></p><p> This concept is one of the core pieces of wisdom from Marty Zweig’s classic book, “Winning on Wall Street.”</p><p><blockquote>这一概念是马蒂·茨威格经典著作《在华尔街获胜》中的核心智慧之一。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “You have to stay on the right side of market,” agrees Howard. “If you try to trade long in a bad market, it is painful.”</p><p><blockquote>“你必须站在市场的正确一边，”霍华德表示同意。“如果你试图在糟糕的市场中做多，那是很痛苦的。”</blockquote></p><p> In other words, don’t try to be a hero.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，不要试图成为英雄。</blockquote></p><p> “Sometimes, not losing money is where you want to be,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>“有时候，不赔钱才是你想要的，”他说。</blockquote></p><p> Likewise, don’t turn cautious just because the market hits new highs — like now. You should love new highs, because it is a sign of market strength that may likely endure.</p><p><blockquote>同样，不要仅仅因为市场创下新高就变得谨慎——就像现在这样。你应该喜欢新高，因为这是市场力量的标志，可能会持续下去。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #4: Keep it simple</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第四课：保持简单</b></blockquote></p><p> As you’ll see below, Howard doesn’t use esoteric instruments such as derivatives, swaps or index options. He doesn’t even trade foreign stocks or currencies. This is refreshing for individual investors, because we have a harder time accessing those tools.</p><p><blockquote>正如您将在下面看到的，霍华德不使用衍生品、掉期或指数期权等深奥工具。他甚至不交易外国股票或货币。这对个人投资者来说令人耳目一新，因为我们更难获得这些工具。</blockquote></p><p> “You don’t have to trade crazy stuff,” he says. “You can trade plain-vanilla ETFs and beat everybody out there.”</p><p><blockquote>“你不必交易疯狂的东西，”他说。“你可以交易普通的ETF并击败所有人。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #5: How to trade the current market</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第5课：如何交易当前市场</b></blockquote></p><p> First, be long.</p><p><blockquote>首先，做长。</blockquote></p><p> “The HCM-BuyLine is very positive. We are 100% in,” says Howard. “The market is broadening out. It is getting pretty exciting. We do not see it turn around any time soon. We are buying pullbacks.”</p><p><blockquote>“HCM-购买线非常积极。我们100%参与，”霍华德说。“市场正在扩大。它变得相当令人兴奋。我们认为它不会很快好转。我们正在买入回调。”</blockquote></p><p> One bullish signal is all the cash on the sidelines. “If there is any relief in Covid, we may see a big rally. We may end up with a great fall [season].”</p><p><blockquote>一个看涨信号是所有现金都在观望。“如果新冠疫情有所缓解，我们可能会看到大幅反弹。我们可能会以一个伟大的秋季[季节]结束。”</blockquote></p><p> Howard uses momentum indicators to select stocks and ETFs, too. For sectors he favors the following.</p><p><blockquote>霍华德也使用动量指标来选择股票和ETF。对于行业，他倾向于以下几点。</blockquote></p><p> He likes health care, tradable through the iShares US HealthcareIYH,-0.04%and ProShares Ultra Health CareRXL,+0.12%ETFs. He’s turning more bullish on biotech, which he plays via the iShares Biotechnology ETFIBB,-0.11%.</p><p><blockquote>他喜欢医疗保健，可通过iShares US HealthcareIYH(-0.04%)和ProShares Ultra Health CareRXL(+0.12%)ETF进行交易。他变得更加看好生物技术，他通过iShares Biotechnology ETFIBB进行投资，-0.11%。</blockquote></p><p> He likes consumer discretionary tradable through the iShares US Consumer ServicesIYC,-0.30%,and airlines via US Global JetsJETS,-1.17%.He also likes tech exposure via the Invesco QQQ TrustQQQ,+0.31%,iShares US TechnologyIYW,+0.50%and&nbsp;iShares SemiconductorSOXX,+0.75%.</p><p><blockquote>他喜欢通过iShares US Consumer ServicesIYC(-0.30%)进行交易的非必需消费品，以及通过US Global JetsJETS(-1.17%)进行交易的航空公司。他还喜欢通过Invesco QQQ TrustQQQ(+0.31%)、iShares US TechnologyIYW(+0.50%)进行科技投资和iShares半导体SOXX，+0.75%。</blockquote></p><p> He likes small-caps via the Vanguard Small-Cap Growth Index FundVBK,+0.07%.And convertible bonds via SPDR Bloomberg Barclays Convertible SecuritiesCWB,+0.64%and iShares Convertible BondICVT,+0.37%.</p><p><blockquote>他喜欢Vanguard Small-Cap Growth Index FundVBK，+0.07%的小盘股。以及SPDR Bloomberg Barclays可转换证券CWB，+0.64%和iShares可转换债券ICVT，+0.37%的可转换债券。</blockquote></p><p> As for individual names, he singles out MicrosoftMSFT,-0.00%and AppleAAPL,+0.42%in tech, as well as Amazon.comAMZN,+0.43%and TeslaTSLA,+0.16%.</p><p><blockquote>至于个人名称，他特别提到了科技股中的微软MSFT(-0.00%)和苹果AAPL(+0.42%)，以及亚马逊MAMZN(+0.43%)和特斯拉TSLA(+0.16%)。</blockquote></p><p> Also consider Howard’s two ETFs: The HCM Defender 100 IndexQQH,+0.62%and HCM Defender 500 IndexLGH,+1.32%.</p><p><blockquote>另请考虑Howard的两只ETF：HCM Defender 100 IndexQQH，+0.62%和HCM Defender 500 IndexLGH，+1.32%。</blockquote></p><p> He prefers to add to holdings on 1%-3% dips.</p><p><blockquote>他更喜欢在下跌1%-3%时增持。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A few drawbacks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>一些缺点</b></blockquote></p><p> His HCM Tactical Growth fund has a history of posting two-year stretches of underperformance of 1.5% to 8.8%, since it was launched in 2015. The fund then came roaring back to net the very positive five-year outperformance cited above. Investing in his system can require patience.</p><p><blockquote>他的HCM战术增长基金自2015年推出以来，曾连续两年表现不佳，涨幅为1.5%至8.8%。随后，该基金卷土重来，实现了上述非常积极的五年优异表现。投资他的系统需要耐心。</blockquote></p><p> Every manager, including Warren Buffett, can have a stretch of underperformance, says Howard.</p><p><blockquote>霍华德说，每个经理人，包括沃伦·巴菲特，都可能有一段时间表现不佳。</blockquote></p><p> “We are in the odds game,” he says. “Even in the odds game, you can have a bad hand or two thrown at you.”</p><p><blockquote>“我们正处于赔率游戏中，”他说。“即使在赔率游戏中，你也可能会遇到一两手糟糕的牌。”</blockquote></p><p> Another challenge is the high turnover, which is 140% a year for Tactical Growth. This means Uncle Sam takes a big cut in the good years. So if you buy Howard’s funds, you may want to do so in a tax-protected account.</p><p><blockquote>另一个挑战是高流动率，战术增长每年140%。这意味着山姆大叔在好年景中会得到很大的提成。因此，如果您购买霍华德的基金，您可能希望在避税账户中购买。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/beat-the-market-with-this-quant-system-thats-very-bullish-on-stocks-at-record-highs-11630761531?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/beat-the-market-with-this-quant-system-thats-very-bullish-on-stocks-at-record-highs-11630761531?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1157895022","content_text":"Vance Howard’s HCM Tactical Growth Fund moves you in and out of the stock market when prudent to do so. So far his team of computer scientists’ strategy has paid off.\n\nImagine you had a money-making machine to harvest gains in the stock market while you sat back to enjoy life.\nThat’s everyone’s dream, right? Investor Vance Howard thinks he’s found it.\nHoward and his small army of computer programmers atHoward Capital Managementin Roswell, Ga., have a quantitative system that posts great returns.\nHis HCM Tactical Growth Fund HCMGX,+0.35%beats its Russell 1000 benchmark index and large-blend fund category by 8.5-10.4 percentage points annualized over the past five years, according to Morningstar. That is no small feat, and not only because it has to overcome a 2.22% fee. Beating the market is simply not easy. His HCM Dividend Sector PlusHCMQX,-0.05%) and HCM Income PlusHCMLX,+0.30%funds post similar outperformance.\nThere are drawbacks, which I detail below. (Among them: Potentially long stretches of underperformance and regular tax bills.) But first, what can we learn from this winner?\nSo-called quants never share all the details of their proprietary systems, but Howard shares a lot, as you’ll see. And this Texas rancher has a lot of good advice based on “horse sense” — not surprising, given his infectious passion for the markets, and his three decades of experience as a pro.\nHere are five lessons, 12 exchange traded funds (ETFs) and four stocks to consider, from a recent interview with him.\nLesson #1: Don’t be emotional\nIt’s no surprise so many people do poorly in the market. Evolution has programmed us to fail. For survival, we’ve learned to run from things that frightens us. And crave more of things that are pleasurable — like sweets or fats to store calories ahead of what might be a long stretch without food. But in the market, acting on the emotions of fear and greed invariably make us do the wrong thing at the wrong time. Sell at the bottom, buy at the top.\nLikewise, we’re programmed to believe being with the crowd brings safety. If you’re a zebra on the Savanna, you are more likely to get picked off by a predator if you go it alone. The problem here is being part of a crowd — and crowd psychology — dumb us down to a purely emotional level. This is why people in crowds do terrible things they would never do on their own. It doesn’t matter how smart you are. When you join a crowd, you lose a lot of IQ points. Base emotions take over.\nTo do well in the market, you have to counteract these tendencies. “One of the biggest mistakes individual investors and money managers make is getting emotional,” says Howard. “Let your emotions go.”\nLesson #2: Have a system and stick to it\nTo exorcise emotion, have a system. “And don’t second guess it,” says Howard. “This keeps you from letting the pandemic or Afghanistan scare you out of the market.” He calls his system the HCM-BuyLine. It is basically a momentum and trend-following system — which often works well in the markets.\nThe HCM-BuyLine basically works like this. First, rather than use the S&P 500SPX,-0.03%or the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,-0.21%,Howard blends several stock indices to create his own index. Then he uses a moving average that tells him whether the market is in an uptrend or downtrend.\nWhen the moving average drops 3.5%, he sells 35%. If it drops 6.5%, he sells another 35%. He rarely goes to 100% cash.\n“If the BuyLine is positive, we will stay long no matter what,” he says. “We take all the emotion out of the equation by letting the math decide.”\nRight now, it’s bullish. (More on this below.)\nYour system also has to tell you when to get back in.\n“That’s where most people screw up,” he says. “They get out of the market, and they don’t know when to get back in.” The HCM-BuyLine gives a buy signal when his custom index trades above its moving average for six consecutive sessions, and then goes on to trade above the high hit during those six days.\nYou don’t need a system that calls exact market tops or bottoms. Instead, the BuyLine keeps Howard out of down markets 85% of the time, and in for 85% of the good times.\n“If we can do that consistently, we have superior returns and a less stressful life,” he says. “Being all in during a bad tape is no fun.”\nHis system is slow to get him out of the market, but quick to get him back in. Not even a 10% correction will necessarily move him out. He’s often buying those pullbacks. Getting back in fast makes sense, because recoveries off bottoms tend to happen fast.\n“The HCM-BuyLine takes all the emotion out of the process,” says Howard.\nLesson #3: Don’t fight the tape\nThis concept is one of the core pieces of wisdom from Marty Zweig’s classic book, “Winning on Wall Street.”\n“You have to stay on the right side of market,” agrees Howard. “If you try to trade long in a bad market, it is painful.”\nIn other words, don’t try to be a hero.\n“Sometimes, not losing money is where you want to be,” he says.\nLikewise, don’t turn cautious just because the market hits new highs — like now. You should love new highs, because it is a sign of market strength that may likely endure.\nLesson #4: Keep it simple\nAs you’ll see below, Howard doesn’t use esoteric instruments such as derivatives, swaps or index options. He doesn’t even trade foreign stocks or currencies. This is refreshing for individual investors, because we have a harder time accessing those tools.\n“You don’t have to trade crazy stuff,” he says. “You can trade plain-vanilla ETFs and beat everybody out there.”\nLesson #5: How to trade the current market\nFirst, be long.\n“The HCM-BuyLine is very positive. We are 100% in,” says Howard. “The market is broadening out. It is getting pretty exciting. We do not see it turn around any time soon. We are buying pullbacks.”\nOne bullish signal is all the cash on the sidelines. “If there is any relief in Covid, we may see a big rally. We may end up with a great fall [season].”\nHoward uses momentum indicators to select stocks and ETFs, too. For sectors he favors the following.\nHe likes health care, tradable through the iShares US HealthcareIYH,-0.04%and ProShares Ultra Health CareRXL,+0.12%ETFs. He’s turning more bullish on biotech, which he plays via the iShares Biotechnology ETFIBB,-0.11%.\nHe likes consumer discretionary tradable through the iShares US Consumer ServicesIYC,-0.30%,and airlines via US Global JetsJETS,-1.17%.He also likes tech exposure via the Invesco QQQ TrustQQQ,+0.31%,iShares US TechnologyIYW,+0.50%and iShares SemiconductorSOXX,+0.75%.\nHe likes small-caps via the Vanguard Small-Cap Growth Index FundVBK,+0.07%.And convertible bonds via SPDR Bloomberg Barclays Convertible SecuritiesCWB,+0.64%and iShares Convertible BondICVT,+0.37%.\nAs for individual names, he singles out MicrosoftMSFT,-0.00%and AppleAAPL,+0.42%in tech, as well as Amazon.comAMZN,+0.43%and TeslaTSLA,+0.16%.\nAlso consider Howard’s two ETFs: The HCM Defender 100 IndexQQH,+0.62%and HCM Defender 500 IndexLGH,+1.32%.\nHe prefers to add to holdings on 1%-3% dips.\nA few drawbacks\nHis HCM Tactical Growth fund has a history of posting two-year stretches of underperformance of 1.5% to 8.8%, since it was launched in 2015. The fund then came roaring back to net the very positive five-year outperformance cited above. Investing in his system can require patience.\nEvery manager, including Warren Buffett, can have a stretch of underperformance, says Howard.\n“We are in the odds game,” he says. “Even in the odds game, you can have a bad hand or two thrown at you.”\nAnother challenge is the high turnover, which is 140% a year for Tactical Growth. This means Uncle Sam takes a big cut in the good years. So if you buy Howard’s funds, you may want to do so in a tax-protected account.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1027,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":894065310,"gmtCreate":1628778412730,"gmtModify":1631883798103,"author":{"id":"3584531056058582","authorId":"3584531056058582","name":"AnnaPoon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6107b3136c97d1f7731c763f71c27e93","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584531056058582","idStr":"3584531056058582"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BNTX\">$BioNTech SE(BNTX)$</a>😭","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BNTX\">$BioNTech SE(BNTX)$</a>😭","text":"$BioNTech SE(BNTX)$😭","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ace358584c0e20cd27ddab0cbdc8c531","width":"1125","height":"1949"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/894065310","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1515,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":894062189,"gmtCreate":1628778390241,"gmtModify":1631891744614,"author":{"id":"3584531056058582","authorId":"3584531056058582","name":"AnnaPoon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6107b3136c97d1f7731c763f71c27e93","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584531056058582","idStr":"3584531056058582"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like thanks&nbsp;","listText":"Like thanks&nbsp;","text":"Like thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/894062189","repostId":"2158250170","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2158250170","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1628777697,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2158250170?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-12 22:14","market":"us","language":"en","title":"A Three-Prong Crucible? Markets Eye Record Highs Amid Inflation, Fiscal, And Delta Uncertainty<blockquote>三叉坩埚？在通胀、财政和三角洲的不确定性中，市场关注历史新高</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2158250170","media":"Benzinga","summary":"Yesterday the market got behind the Fed’s idea that inflation is transitory after a calm consumer price index (CPI) reading. ","content":"<p>Yesterday the market got behind the Fed’s idea that inflation is transitory after a calm consumer price index (CPI) reading.</p><p><blockquote>昨天，在消费者价格指数（CPI）数据平静后，市场支持美联储的观点，即通胀是暂时的。</blockquote></p><p> Will that change today after a sizzling producer price index (PPI) reading? Remember that any gains in PPI can often get reflected in CPI down the road as companies react to higher wholesale prices by passing them along to the consumer. And then there’s the other side of the coin—where companies absorb these prices, which can impact margins. Either way, inflation tends to pack a wallop.</p><p><blockquote>在生产者价格指数（PPI）数据炙手可热之后，今天这种情况会改变吗？请记住，PPI的任何上涨通常都会反映在未来的CPI中，因为企业会通过将批发价格上涨转嫁给消费者来应对批发价格上涨。还有硬币的另一面——公司吸收这些价格，这可能会影响利润率。无论哪种方式，通货膨胀往往会产生影响。</blockquote></p><p> Major indices didn’t immediately react much to a July PPI reading of 1%, which was way above the Wall Street analyst consensus of 0.5%. That followed yesterday’s CPI coming in about as expected and well below the June level. The July PPI was equal to June’s, so that kind of takes a bit of the transitory argument away. Also, core PPI, which strips out volatile energy and food prices, was the same as the headline figure, so there’s no hiding behind that.</p><p><blockquote>主要股指没有立即对7月份PPI读数1%做出太大反应，该读数远高于华尔街分析师普遍预期的0.5%。此前，昨天的CPI与预期大致相同，远低于6月份的水平。7月份的生产者价格指数与6月份持平，因此这在某种程度上消除了一些暂时性的论点。此外，剔除波动较大的能源和食品价格的核心生产者价格指数与总体数据相同，因此这背后没有任何隐藏。</blockquote></p><p> The PPI report is just the start of today’s action. Later on,&nbsp;<b>Disney&nbsp;</b>(NYSE:DIS)&nbsp;steps onto center stage&nbsp;with its earnings report. Focus is likely to be on streaming and whether the Delta variant might slow attendance gains at theme parks and movie theaters. It’s likely DIS executives will be asked how the big jump in Florida cases is affecting the Magic Kingdom in Orlando.</p><p><blockquote>PPI报告只是今天行动的开始。后来，<b>迪斯尼</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：DIS）凭借其收益报告走上舞台。焦点可能是流媒体以及德尔塔变异毒株是否会减缓主题公园和电影院的上座率增长。DIS高管很可能会被问及佛罗里达州案件的大幅增加如何影响奥兰多的魔法王国。</blockquote></p><p> Weekly jobless claims of 375,000 were more in line with estimates and pretty much down the middle compared with recent numbers. There doesn’t seem to be much improvement going on here, but it’s not getting worse, either. The number probably won’t have much influence today.</p><p><blockquote>每周申请失业救济人数为375,000人，更符合预期，与最近的数字相比几乎处于中间位置。这里似乎没有太大的改善，但也没有变得更糟。这个数字在今天可能不会有太大影响。</blockquote></p><p> Instead, investors are likely to spend their time trying to make sense of these contrasting inflation indicators, which might explain why major indices initially went nowhere in pre-market trading on the PPI reading. Does this strong PPI give the Fed more reason to begin its tapering earlier than expected, or will the Fed wait for another month of data to try and get more clarity? If history means anything, we can probably bet on option two.</p><p><blockquote>相反，投资者可能会花时间试图理解这些截然不同的通胀指标，这或许可以解释为什么主要指数最初在PPI读数的盘前交易中毫无进展。强劲的PPI是否让美联储有更多理由比预期更早开始缩减规模，或者美联储是否会等待另一个月的数据来尝试获得更多清晰度？如果历史有任何意义，我们或许可以赌第二种选择。</blockquote></p><p> <h2>Inflationary Showdown Shows Slight Slowdown</h2> Wednesday’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) report told investors mostly what they already knew: overall inflation is running hot. But that’s not what the market was keen to focus on. Instead, investors appeared to be looking at the core CPI, which jumped 4.3% year over year as expected but only 0.3% on a monthly basis—a tad less than the 0.4% analysts estimated.</p><p><blockquote><h2>通胀摊牌略有放缓</h2>周三的消费者价格指数（CPI）报告告诉了投资者大部分他们已经知道的事情：整体通胀正在升温。但这并不是市场热衷于关注的。相反，投资者似乎关注的是核心CPI，该CPI同比上涨4.3%，符合预期，但环比仅上涨0.3%，略低于分析师预期的0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> On top of this, the Fed’s “transitory” narrative suddenly seemed a bit more believable as a slowdown in used car prices likely allayed fears of a monetary sudden-brake shock. Used car prices rose only 0.2% in July, a small bump compared to the prior month’s steep 10% surge.</p><p><blockquote>最重要的是，美联储的“暂时性”叙述突然变得更加可信，因为二手车价格放缓可能会缓解人们对货币急刹车冲击的担忧。7月份二手车价格仅上涨0.2%，与上个月10%的大幅上涨相比小幅上涨。</blockquote></p><p> But again, this morning’s PPI seems to be at least a partial counterargument to the transitory view. A single month’s data isn’t a trend, but this is certainly <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> to keep an eye on.</p><p><blockquote>但同样，今天上午的PPI似乎至少是对暂时性观点的部分反驳。单月的数据不是趋势，但这肯定是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>来留意。</blockquote></p><p> Following the CPI report, the&nbsp;<b>Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;</b>($DJI) jumped as much as 200 points, with&nbsp;<b>Caterpillar&nbsp;</b>(NYSE:CAT) and&nbsp;<b>Home Depot</b>&nbsp;(NYSE:HD) leading the index, while 10-year Treasury yields stood mostly flat, and “FAANG” stocks slid into negative territory, with the exception of&nbsp;<b>Apple&nbsp;</b>(NASDAQ:AAPL). Could it be that fears of a “too-laid-back” Fed policy are starting to morph into a “just right” Goldilocks scenario?</p><p><blockquote>继CPI报告之后，<b>道琼斯工业平均指数</b>($DJI)上涨200点，<b>卡特彼勒</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：CAT）和<b>家得宝</b>(NYSE：HD)领涨该指数，而10年期国债收益率基本持平，“FAANG”股票跌至负值区域，但<b>苹果</b>（纳斯达克：AAPL）。对美联储政策“过于宽松”的担忧是否开始演变成“恰到好处”的金发姑娘情景？</blockquote></p><p> Big cyclical sectors like Energy and Financials were already on the upswing this week even before yesterday’s bullish CPI data. Strength in these sectors helped give the blue-chip&nbsp;<b>Dow Jones Industrial Average</b>&nbsp;($DJI) a lift so far over the other major indices.</p><p><blockquote>甚至在昨天看涨的CPI数据公布之前，能源和金融等大型周期性板块本周就已经在上涨。这些行业的走强帮助蓝筹股<b>道琼斯工业平均指数</b>($DJI)迄今为止的涨幅高于其他主要指数。</blockquote></p><p> <h2>Small-Caps Still Scuffling</h2> So where does that leave small-caps, which are often known for their solid performance during economic recoveries? The small-cap&nbsp;<b>Russell 2000 Index</b>&nbsp;(RUT) is still scuffling a bit, pretty much flat so far this month and well below its 2021 highs. It did rise a bit on Wednesday, but again got outpaced by the $DJI. It’s basically still stuck in a volatile 5-month “rut” despite the strong and steady doses of easy-money policy.</p><p><blockquote><h2>小盘股仍在混战</h2>那么，通常以在经济复苏期间表现稳健而闻名的小盘股将何去何从呢？小盘股<b>罗素2000指数</b>(RUT)仍在挣扎，本月迄今为止基本持平，远低于2021年的高点。周三确实上涨了一点，但再次被美元DJI超越。尽管采取了强有力且稳定的宽松货币政策，但它基本上仍然陷入了动荡的5个月“窠臼”。</blockquote></p><p> It might be worth watching to see if RUT can break out of the slow pattern it entered after emerging from its early summer selloff. Which way RUT goes from here might help provide clues about the market as a whole, because RUT can be an early leader up or down.</p><p><blockquote>看看RUT是否能打破初夏抛售后进入的缓慢模式可能值得关注。RUT从这里走向何方可能有助于提供有关整个市场的线索，因为RUT可能是早期上涨或下跌的领导者。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Another consideration is where the&nbsp;FAANG stocks&nbsp;go if Treasury yields resume their climb. Remember that earlier this year, rising yields appeared to take a big bite out of the “mega-cap” Tech stocks, with AAPL and<b>&nbsp;Tesla</b>&nbsp;(NASDAQ:TSLA) among that hit hardest. It’s fine to say that Financials and Energy can pick up the slack, but that ignores the fact that the FAANGs—like it or not—comprise about 20% of the value of the SPX. That means any significant setbacks for these huge companies could drag the overall index.</p><p><blockquote>另一个考虑因素是，如果美国国债收益率恢复攀升，FAANG股票将何去何从。请记住，今年早些时候，收益率上升似乎对“大型”科技股造成了很大影响，苹果公司和<b>特斯拉</b>（纳斯达克：TSLA）是受打击最严重国家之一。可以说金融和能源可以弥补这一缺口，但这忽略了一个事实，即FAANG——不管你喜欢与否——约占SPX价值的20%。这意味着这些大公司的任何重大挫折都可能拖累整体指数。</blockquote></p><p> Since May, mega-cap Techs have been helping pull up the SPX while some of the other sectors struggle. Analysts are talking about how the rally has less “depth,” meaning it’s more dependent on a few big gorillas to keep it going. While yields aren’t in the kind of territory we saw last spring, it’s worth watching that relationship between yields and FAANGs for clues about where the market goes next.</p><p><blockquote>自5月份以来，大型科技股一直在帮助拉升SPX指数，而其他一些行业却陷入困境。分析师们正在谈论涨势的“深度”如何降低，这意味着它更依赖于几只大猩猩来维持涨势。虽然收益率没有达到我们去年春天看到的水平，但值得关注收益率和FAANG之间的关系，以寻找市场下一步走向的线索。</blockquote></p><p> If inflation growth is actually slowing—and one CPI report isn’t a trend—that could drive optimism that the Fed won’t clamp down right away, perhaps keeping yields from overheating and mega-caps from melting down. Now the PPI report may have people rethinking that. The tug of war continues.</p><p><blockquote>如果通胀增长实际上正在放缓——而一份CPI报告并不是趋势——这可能会激发人们的乐观情绪，即美联储不会立即收紧政策，或许会防止收益率过热和大型股崩溃。现在PPI报告可能会让人们重新思考这一点。拉锯战仍在继续。</blockquote></p><p> <h2>The Sweet And The Sour Impact Of Washington</h2> Stocks got a nice assist from Congress earlier this week when the Senate passed the infrastructure bill. On the opposite side of the equation, markets seem to be ignoring a debate in Congress over the debt ceiling. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen encouraged the parties to find a solution, and for now, the thinking on Wall Street seems to be that there will be one. However, that doesn’t mean a smooth process.</p><p><blockquote><h2>华盛顿的酸甜苦辣影响</h2>本周早些时候，当参议院通过基础设施法案时，股市得到了国会的良好帮助。另一方面，市场似乎忽视了国会关于债务上限的辩论。财政部长珍妮特·耶伦鼓励各方找到解决方案，目前华尔街的想法似乎是会有一个解决方案。然而，这并不意味着一个顺利的过程。</blockquote></p><p> There was eventually a solution in 2011, too, and the U.S. didn’t default on its debt payments. But it did see its credit rating lowered, and stocks took a pounding that summer. We’ll see if Congress can avoid getting to that point this time around. As a reminder, the debt ceiling has been raised numerous times since the 1980s, with both parties voting to do so. The last time was in 2019, under President Trump.</p><p><blockquote>2011年最终也有了解决方案，美国没有拖欠债务。但它的信用评级确实被下调，股市在那年夏天遭受重创。我们将看看国会这次是否能避免走到这一步。提醒一下，自20世纪80年代以来，债务上限已多次提高，两党都投票支持。上一次是在2019年，特朗普总统执政期间。</blockquote></p><p> If the debt ceiling fight starts to ramp up,&nbsp;volatility&nbsp;could eventually return. It’s not really a big factor right now, but don’t be surprised if we see some intraday volatility continue in the coming weeks.</p><p><blockquote>如果债务上限之争开始加剧，波动性最终可能会卷土重来。目前这并不是一个很大的因素，但如果我们看到未来几周内继续出现一些日内波动，请不要感到惊讶。</blockquote></p><p> You saw the beginnings of that the last couple of weeks, where we’d be up significantly in the morning and sell back off. Or be down significantly in the morning and rally back. We’re probably going to see that pattern continue because besides awaiting the next steps on the infrastructure bill, the market still awaits clarity from the Fed. And even though this bill is exciting, that clarity from the Fed is arguably the big cloud that everything else operates underneath right now as far as the market is concerned.</p><p><blockquote>你看到了过去几周的开始，我们会在早上大幅上涨并抛售。或者早上大幅下跌然后反弹。我们可能会看到这种模式继续下去，因为除了等待基础设施法案的下一步措施外，市场仍在等待美联储的澄清。尽管这项法案令人兴奋，但就市场而言，美联储的明确性可以说是目前其他一切都在其下运行的大乌云。</blockquote></p><p> For instance, yesterday Kansas City Fed President Esther George said it was time for the central bank to begin pulling back its bond-buying program. There’s been similar language from other Fed officials recently. No single person at the Fed sets policy, but at least a few seem to be chomping at the bit, so to speak, to start tapering.</p><p><blockquote>例如，昨天堪萨斯城联储主席埃丝特·乔治表示，央行是时候开始撤回债券购买计划了。最近，其他美联储官员也发表了类似的言论。美联储没有一个人制定政策，但至少有一些人似乎迫不及待地想开始缩减规模。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://tickertapecdn.tdameritrade.com/assets/images/pages/md/2021-08-12-chart.png\" tg-width=\"780\" tg-height=\"412\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>CHART OF THE DAY: WHAT’S YOUR 50? Though it’s been a while since the S&amp;P 500 Index (SPX—candlestick) suffered a setback, it’s worth noting that mid-month has been tough for it the last few months. That doesn’t mean there’s a selloff ahead, only that you might want to prepare for one if the pattern persists. Assuming things run into trouble, the level to watch is the 50-day moving average (blue line), which currently rests about 3% below the index. That’s pretty much how far things fell in mid-July when the last selloff occurred before the SPX bounced off of that 50-day MA. Data Source: S&amp;P Dow Jones Indices. Chart source: The thinkorswim® platform. For illustrative purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>每日图表：你的50岁是多少？尽管标普500指数（SPX-Candlestick）遭受挫折已经有一段时间了，但值得注意的是，过去几个月中旬对其来说一直很艰难。这并不意味着未来会出现抛售，只是如果这种模式持续下去，您可能需要为抛售做好准备。假设事情遇到麻烦，值得关注的水平是50日移动平均线（蓝线），目前该平均线比指数低约3%。这几乎就是7月中旬SPX从50日均线反弹之前的最后一次抛售发生时的跌幅。数据来源：标准普尔道琼斯指数。图表来源：thinkorswim®平台。仅用于说明目的。过去的表现并不能保证未来的结果。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>A Tale Of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWOA.U\">Two</a> Earnings And Reopening:&nbsp;</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWOA\">Two</a> earnings reports out this week help illustrate how people are still eager to get out of their homes despite Delta variant fears. First,<b>&nbsp;Ebay</b>&nbsp;(NASDAQ:EBAY) gave some muted Q3 guidance because people don’t want to stay home checking online auctions. Then dating site<b>&nbsp;Bumble</b>&nbsp;(NASDAQ:BMBL) did better than expected, also because people want to get out. This can show us two things. First, there’s still a lot of pent-up demand to get back to normal. Number two, EBAY might give us insight into what to expect from other retailers, especially those who rely a lot on digital, when retail earnings season gets underway in earnest next week.</p><p><blockquote><b>的故事<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWOA.U\">两个</a>收益和重新开业：</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWOA\">两个</a>本周发布的收益报告有助于说明，尽管存在德尔塔变异毒株担忧，人们仍然渴望走出家门。首先，<b>Ebay</b>（纳斯达克：EBAY）给出了一些温和的第三季度指导，因为人们不想呆在家里查看在线拍卖。然后交友网站<b>邦布尔</b>（纳斯达克：BMBL）表现好于预期，也是因为人们想退出。这可以告诉我们两件事。首先，仍有很多被压抑的需求需要恢复正常。第二，当下周零售财报季正式开始时，EBAY可能会让我们深入了解对其他零售商的期望，尤其是那些严重依赖数字的零售商。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>Patience Could Be A&nbsp;Virtue With Infrastructure Stocks:&nbsp;</b>Companies like&nbsp;<b>U.S. Steel&nbsp;</b>(NYSE:X),&nbsp;<b>General Electric</b>&nbsp;(NYSE:GE), and&nbsp;<b>Cleveland-Cliffs</b>&nbsp;(NYSE:CLF) all had a nice bump this week on the Senate’s infrastructure bill passage. But remember, this isn’t something that’s going to hit the economy for a while. If you’re looking longer term as an investor and you want to own these stocks for a few years, that’s probably where the bigger opportunity is. In the shorter term, you could see an initial bump, and then maybe a little bit of a flattening out.</p><p><blockquote><b>耐心可能是基础设施股票的一种美德：</b>公司喜欢<b>美国钢铁公司</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：X），<b>通用电气</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：GE），以及<b>克利夫兰悬崖</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：CLF）本周，参议院基础设施法案的通过都取得了不错的进展。但请记住，这不会在一段时间内影响经济。如果您作为投资者着眼于长期，并且想持有这些股票几年，那么这可能是更大的机会。在短期内，你可能会看到最初的隆起，然后可能会有一点点变平。</blockquote></p><p> It could take six or nine months before you actually start to see some shovel-ready projects or even some of the architectural and engineering firms starting to lay all of this out. It is a huge undertaking. Long term, it could have a big impact on some of those companies. But again, it takes a while to get going.<b>&nbsp;</b></p><p><blockquote>可能需要六到九个月的时间，你才会真正开始看到一些现成的项目，甚至一些建筑和工程公司开始布局所有这些。这是一项巨大的事业。从长远来看，这可能会对其中一些公司产生重大影响。但同样，这需要一段时间才能开始。<b> </b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Not Enough Gloom For Gold To Shine?</b>&nbsp;The traditional clash between market fundamentalists and chart technicians came to a head over gold at the skirmish zone of $1,670 an ounce range. Why $1,670? For “technical” traders, that price marks the critical 61.8%&nbsp;Fibonacci retracement&nbsp;level. If this makes no sense to you at all, as it is slightly complex for the uninitiated, just assume that it’s nearing the<i>&nbsp;uncle point</i>&nbsp;where either bulls pile in and prevail (which it appears they did), or they flee, dumping their long positions as bears overrun them.</p><p><blockquote><b>黑暗不足以让金子发光？</b>市场原教旨主义者和图表技术人员之间的传统冲突在每盎司1670美元的冲突区域达到了顶峰。为什么是1670美元？对于“技术”交易者来说，该价格标志着关键的61.8%斐波那契回撤位。如果这对您来说完全没有意义，因为它对于门外汉来说有点复杂，请假设它接近<i>叔叔点</i>要么多头蜂拥而至并获胜（看起来他们做到了），要么他们逃离，在空头占领他们时抛售他们的多头头寸。</blockquote></p><p> The $1,670 range was tested twice before, in March, with bulls gaining the upper hand each time. But even that wasn’t enough to stem the tide of “risk-on” sentiment, leading to the fundamental vs technical commotion before yesterday’s Consumer Price Index and today’s Producer Price Index reports—both inflationary gauges; and gold, a traditional inflationary hedge. With not enough gloom to glide gold’s flight, will this week’s inflationary readings cause gold to shine or sizzle?</p><p><blockquote>此前曾在3月份两次测试1,670美元区间，每次都是多头占据上风。但即便如此，也不足以阻止“冒险”情绪的浪潮，导致在昨天的消费者价格指数和今天的生产者价格指数报告（两者都是通胀指标）之前基本面与技术面的骚动；以及黄金，一种传统的通胀对冲工具。由于没有足够的阴霾来拖累黄金的飞行，本周的通胀数据会导致黄金发光还是咝咝作响？</blockquote></p><p> TD Ameritrade® commentary for educational purposes only. Member SIPC.</p><p><blockquote>德美利证券®评论仅用于教育目的。成员SIPC。</blockquote></p><p> Image by Alessandro D'Andrea from Pixabay</p><p><blockquote>图片由Alessandro D'Andrea来自Pixabay</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>A Three-Prong Crucible? Markets Eye Record Highs Amid Inflation, Fiscal, And Delta Uncertainty<blockquote>三叉坩埚？在通胀、财政和三角洲的不确定性中，市场关注历史新高</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nA Three-Prong Crucible? Markets Eye Record Highs Amid Inflation, Fiscal, And Delta Uncertainty<blockquote>三叉坩埚？在通胀、财政和三角洲的不确定性中，市场关注历史新高</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-08-12 22:14</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Yesterday the market got behind the Fed’s idea that inflation is transitory after a calm consumer price index (CPI) reading.</p><p><blockquote>昨天，在消费者价格指数（CPI）数据平静后，市场支持美联储的观点，即通胀是暂时的。</blockquote></p><p> Will that change today after a sizzling producer price index (PPI) reading? Remember that any gains in PPI can often get reflected in CPI down the road as companies react to higher wholesale prices by passing them along to the consumer. And then there’s the other side of the coin—where companies absorb these prices, which can impact margins. Either way, inflation tends to pack a wallop.</p><p><blockquote>在生产者价格指数（PPI）数据炙手可热之后，今天这种情况会改变吗？请记住，PPI的任何上涨通常都会反映在未来的CPI中，因为企业会通过将批发价格上涨转嫁给消费者来应对批发价格上涨。还有硬币的另一面——公司吸收这些价格，这可能会影响利润率。无论哪种方式，通货膨胀往往会产生影响。</blockquote></p><p> Major indices didn’t immediately react much to a July PPI reading of 1%, which was way above the Wall Street analyst consensus of 0.5%. That followed yesterday’s CPI coming in about as expected and well below the June level. The July PPI was equal to June’s, so that kind of takes a bit of the transitory argument away. Also, core PPI, which strips out volatile energy and food prices, was the same as the headline figure, so there’s no hiding behind that.</p><p><blockquote>主要股指没有立即对7月份PPI读数1%做出太大反应，该读数远高于华尔街分析师普遍预期的0.5%。此前，昨天的CPI与预期大致相同，远低于6月份的水平。7月份的生产者价格指数与6月份持平，因此这在某种程度上消除了一些暂时性的论点。此外，剔除波动较大的能源和食品价格的核心生产者价格指数与总体数据相同，因此这背后没有任何隐藏。</blockquote></p><p> The PPI report is just the start of today’s action. Later on,&nbsp;<b>Disney&nbsp;</b>(NYSE:DIS)&nbsp;steps onto center stage&nbsp;with its earnings report. Focus is likely to be on streaming and whether the Delta variant might slow attendance gains at theme parks and movie theaters. It’s likely DIS executives will be asked how the big jump in Florida cases is affecting the Magic Kingdom in Orlando.</p><p><blockquote>PPI报告只是今天行动的开始。后来，<b>迪斯尼</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：DIS）凭借其收益报告走上舞台。焦点可能是流媒体以及德尔塔变异毒株是否会减缓主题公园和电影院的上座率增长。DIS高管很可能会被问及佛罗里达州案件的大幅增加如何影响奥兰多的魔法王国。</blockquote></p><p> Weekly jobless claims of 375,000 were more in line with estimates and pretty much down the middle compared with recent numbers. There doesn’t seem to be much improvement going on here, but it’s not getting worse, either. The number probably won’t have much influence today.</p><p><blockquote>每周申请失业救济人数为375,000人，更符合预期，与最近的数字相比几乎处于中间位置。这里似乎没有太大的改善，但也没有变得更糟。这个数字在今天可能不会有太大影响。</blockquote></p><p> Instead, investors are likely to spend their time trying to make sense of these contrasting inflation indicators, which might explain why major indices initially went nowhere in pre-market trading on the PPI reading. Does this strong PPI give the Fed more reason to begin its tapering earlier than expected, or will the Fed wait for another month of data to try and get more clarity? If history means anything, we can probably bet on option two.</p><p><blockquote>相反，投资者可能会花时间试图理解这些截然不同的通胀指标，这或许可以解释为什么主要指数最初在PPI读数的盘前交易中毫无进展。强劲的PPI是否让美联储有更多理由比预期更早开始缩减规模，或者美联储是否会等待另一个月的数据来尝试获得更多清晰度？如果历史有任何意义，我们或许可以赌第二种选择。</blockquote></p><p> <h2>Inflationary Showdown Shows Slight Slowdown</h2> Wednesday’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) report told investors mostly what they already knew: overall inflation is running hot. But that’s not what the market was keen to focus on. Instead, investors appeared to be looking at the core CPI, which jumped 4.3% year over year as expected but only 0.3% on a monthly basis—a tad less than the 0.4% analysts estimated.</p><p><blockquote><h2>通胀摊牌略有放缓</h2>周三的消费者价格指数（CPI）报告告诉了投资者大部分他们已经知道的事情：整体通胀正在升温。但这并不是市场热衷于关注的。相反，投资者似乎关注的是核心CPI，该CPI同比上涨4.3%，符合预期，但环比仅上涨0.3%，略低于分析师预期的0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> On top of this, the Fed’s “transitory” narrative suddenly seemed a bit more believable as a slowdown in used car prices likely allayed fears of a monetary sudden-brake shock. Used car prices rose only 0.2% in July, a small bump compared to the prior month’s steep 10% surge.</p><p><blockquote>最重要的是，美联储的“暂时性”叙述突然变得更加可信，因为二手车价格放缓可能会缓解人们对货币急刹车冲击的担忧。7月份二手车价格仅上涨0.2%，与上个月10%的大幅上涨相比小幅上涨。</blockquote></p><p> But again, this morning’s PPI seems to be at least a partial counterargument to the transitory view. A single month’s data isn’t a trend, but this is certainly <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> to keep an eye on.</p><p><blockquote>但同样，今天上午的PPI似乎至少是对暂时性观点的部分反驳。单月的数据不是趋势，但这肯定是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>来留意。</blockquote></p><p> Following the CPI report, the&nbsp;<b>Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;</b>($DJI) jumped as much as 200 points, with&nbsp;<b>Caterpillar&nbsp;</b>(NYSE:CAT) and&nbsp;<b>Home Depot</b>&nbsp;(NYSE:HD) leading the index, while 10-year Treasury yields stood mostly flat, and “FAANG” stocks slid into negative territory, with the exception of&nbsp;<b>Apple&nbsp;</b>(NASDAQ:AAPL). Could it be that fears of a “too-laid-back” Fed policy are starting to morph into a “just right” Goldilocks scenario?</p><p><blockquote>继CPI报告之后，<b>道琼斯工业平均指数</b>($DJI)上涨200点，<b>卡特彼勒</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：CAT）和<b>家得宝</b>(NYSE：HD)领涨该指数，而10年期国债收益率基本持平，“FAANG”股票跌至负值区域，但<b>苹果</b>（纳斯达克：AAPL）。对美联储政策“过于宽松”的担忧是否开始演变成“恰到好处”的金发姑娘情景？</blockquote></p><p> Big cyclical sectors like Energy and Financials were already on the upswing this week even before yesterday’s bullish CPI data. Strength in these sectors helped give the blue-chip&nbsp;<b>Dow Jones Industrial Average</b>&nbsp;($DJI) a lift so far over the other major indices.</p><p><blockquote>甚至在昨天看涨的CPI数据公布之前，能源和金融等大型周期性板块本周就已经在上涨。这些行业的走强帮助蓝筹股<b>道琼斯工业平均指数</b>($DJI)迄今为止的涨幅高于其他主要指数。</blockquote></p><p> <h2>Small-Caps Still Scuffling</h2> So where does that leave small-caps, which are often known for their solid performance during economic recoveries? The small-cap&nbsp;<b>Russell 2000 Index</b>&nbsp;(RUT) is still scuffling a bit, pretty much flat so far this month and well below its 2021 highs. It did rise a bit on Wednesday, but again got outpaced by the $DJI. It’s basically still stuck in a volatile 5-month “rut” despite the strong and steady doses of easy-money policy.</p><p><blockquote><h2>小盘股仍在混战</h2>那么，通常以在经济复苏期间表现稳健而闻名的小盘股将何去何从呢？小盘股<b>罗素2000指数</b>(RUT)仍在挣扎，本月迄今为止基本持平，远低于2021年的高点。周三确实上涨了一点，但再次被美元DJI超越。尽管采取了强有力且稳定的宽松货币政策，但它基本上仍然陷入了动荡的5个月“窠臼”。</blockquote></p><p> It might be worth watching to see if RUT can break out of the slow pattern it entered after emerging from its early summer selloff. Which way RUT goes from here might help provide clues about the market as a whole, because RUT can be an early leader up or down.</p><p><blockquote>看看RUT是否能打破初夏抛售后进入的缓慢模式可能值得关注。RUT从这里走向何方可能有助于提供有关整个市场的线索，因为RUT可能是早期上涨或下跌的领导者。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Another consideration is where the&nbsp;FAANG stocks&nbsp;go if Treasury yields resume their climb. Remember that earlier this year, rising yields appeared to take a big bite out of the “mega-cap” Tech stocks, with AAPL and<b>&nbsp;Tesla</b>&nbsp;(NASDAQ:TSLA) among that hit hardest. It’s fine to say that Financials and Energy can pick up the slack, but that ignores the fact that the FAANGs—like it or not—comprise about 20% of the value of the SPX. That means any significant setbacks for these huge companies could drag the overall index.</p><p><blockquote>另一个考虑因素是，如果美国国债收益率恢复攀升，FAANG股票将何去何从。请记住，今年早些时候，收益率上升似乎对“大型”科技股造成了很大影响，苹果公司和<b>特斯拉</b>（纳斯达克：TSLA）是受打击最严重国家之一。可以说金融和能源可以弥补这一缺口，但这忽略了一个事实，即FAANG——不管你喜欢与否——约占SPX价值的20%。这意味着这些大公司的任何重大挫折都可能拖累整体指数。</blockquote></p><p> Since May, mega-cap Techs have been helping pull up the SPX while some of the other sectors struggle. Analysts are talking about how the rally has less “depth,” meaning it’s more dependent on a few big gorillas to keep it going. While yields aren’t in the kind of territory we saw last spring, it’s worth watching that relationship between yields and FAANGs for clues about where the market goes next.</p><p><blockquote>自5月份以来，大型科技股一直在帮助拉升SPX指数，而其他一些行业却陷入困境。分析师们正在谈论涨势的“深度”如何降低，这意味着它更依赖于几只大猩猩来维持涨势。虽然收益率没有达到我们去年春天看到的水平，但值得关注收益率和FAANG之间的关系，以寻找市场下一步走向的线索。</blockquote></p><p> If inflation growth is actually slowing—and one CPI report isn’t a trend—that could drive optimism that the Fed won’t clamp down right away, perhaps keeping yields from overheating and mega-caps from melting down. Now the PPI report may have people rethinking that. The tug of war continues.</p><p><blockquote>如果通胀增长实际上正在放缓——而一份CPI报告并不是趋势——这可能会激发人们的乐观情绪，即美联储不会立即收紧政策，或许会防止收益率过热和大型股崩溃。现在PPI报告可能会让人们重新思考这一点。拉锯战仍在继续。</blockquote></p><p> <h2>The Sweet And The Sour Impact Of Washington</h2> Stocks got a nice assist from Congress earlier this week when the Senate passed the infrastructure bill. On the opposite side of the equation, markets seem to be ignoring a debate in Congress over the debt ceiling. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen encouraged the parties to find a solution, and for now, the thinking on Wall Street seems to be that there will be one. However, that doesn’t mean a smooth process.</p><p><blockquote><h2>华盛顿的酸甜苦辣影响</h2>本周早些时候，当参议院通过基础设施法案时，股市得到了国会的良好帮助。另一方面，市场似乎忽视了国会关于债务上限的辩论。财政部长珍妮特·耶伦鼓励各方找到解决方案，目前华尔街的想法似乎是会有一个解决方案。然而，这并不意味着一个顺利的过程。</blockquote></p><p> There was eventually a solution in 2011, too, and the U.S. didn’t default on its debt payments. But it did see its credit rating lowered, and stocks took a pounding that summer. We’ll see if Congress can avoid getting to that point this time around. As a reminder, the debt ceiling has been raised numerous times since the 1980s, with both parties voting to do so. The last time was in 2019, under President Trump.</p><p><blockquote>2011年最终也有了解决方案，美国没有拖欠债务。但它的信用评级确实被下调，股市在那年夏天遭受重创。我们将看看国会这次是否能避免走到这一步。提醒一下，自20世纪80年代以来，债务上限已多次提高，两党都投票支持。上一次是在2019年，特朗普总统执政期间。</blockquote></p><p> If the debt ceiling fight starts to ramp up,&nbsp;volatility&nbsp;could eventually return. It’s not really a big factor right now, but don’t be surprised if we see some intraday volatility continue in the coming weeks.</p><p><blockquote>如果债务上限之争开始加剧，波动性最终可能会卷土重来。目前这并不是一个很大的因素，但如果我们看到未来几周内继续出现一些日内波动，请不要感到惊讶。</blockquote></p><p> You saw the beginnings of that the last couple of weeks, where we’d be up significantly in the morning and sell back off. Or be down significantly in the morning and rally back. We’re probably going to see that pattern continue because besides awaiting the next steps on the infrastructure bill, the market still awaits clarity from the Fed. And even though this bill is exciting, that clarity from the Fed is arguably the big cloud that everything else operates underneath right now as far as the market is concerned.</p><p><blockquote>你看到了过去几周的开始，我们会在早上大幅上涨并抛售。或者早上大幅下跌然后反弹。我们可能会看到这种模式继续下去，因为除了等待基础设施法案的下一步措施外，市场仍在等待美联储的澄清。尽管这项法案令人兴奋，但就市场而言，美联储的明确性可以说是目前其他一切都在其下运行的大乌云。</blockquote></p><p> For instance, yesterday Kansas City Fed President Esther George said it was time for the central bank to begin pulling back its bond-buying program. There’s been similar language from other Fed officials recently. No single person at the Fed sets policy, but at least a few seem to be chomping at the bit, so to speak, to start tapering.</p><p><blockquote>例如，昨天堪萨斯城联储主席埃丝特·乔治表示，央行是时候开始撤回债券购买计划了。最近，其他美联储官员也发表了类似的言论。美联储没有一个人制定政策，但至少有一些人似乎迫不及待地想开始缩减规模。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://tickertapecdn.tdameritrade.com/assets/images/pages/md/2021-08-12-chart.png\" tg-width=\"780\" tg-height=\"412\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>CHART OF THE DAY: WHAT’S YOUR 50? Though it’s been a while since the S&amp;P 500 Index (SPX—candlestick) suffered a setback, it’s worth noting that mid-month has been tough for it the last few months. That doesn’t mean there’s a selloff ahead, only that you might want to prepare for one if the pattern persists. Assuming things run into trouble, the level to watch is the 50-day moving average (blue line), which currently rests about 3% below the index. That’s pretty much how far things fell in mid-July when the last selloff occurred before the SPX bounced off of that 50-day MA. Data Source: S&amp;P Dow Jones Indices. Chart source: The thinkorswim® platform. For illustrative purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>每日图表：你的50岁是多少？尽管标普500指数（SPX-Candlestick）遭受挫折已经有一段时间了，但值得注意的是，过去几个月中旬对其来说一直很艰难。这并不意味着未来会出现抛售，只是如果这种模式持续下去，您可能需要为抛售做好准备。假设事情遇到麻烦，值得关注的水平是50日移动平均线（蓝线），目前该平均线比指数低约3%。这几乎就是7月中旬SPX从50日均线反弹之前的最后一次抛售发生时的跌幅。数据来源：标准普尔道琼斯指数。图表来源：thinkorswim®平台。仅用于说明目的。过去的表现并不能保证未来的结果。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>A Tale Of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWOA.U\">Two</a> Earnings And Reopening:&nbsp;</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWOA\">Two</a> earnings reports out this week help illustrate how people are still eager to get out of their homes despite Delta variant fears. First,<b>&nbsp;Ebay</b>&nbsp;(NASDAQ:EBAY) gave some muted Q3 guidance because people don’t want to stay home checking online auctions. Then dating site<b>&nbsp;Bumble</b>&nbsp;(NASDAQ:BMBL) did better than expected, also because people want to get out. This can show us two things. First, there’s still a lot of pent-up demand to get back to normal. Number two, EBAY might give us insight into what to expect from other retailers, especially those who rely a lot on digital, when retail earnings season gets underway in earnest next week.</p><p><blockquote><b>的故事<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWOA.U\">两个</a>收益和重新开业：</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWOA\">两个</a>本周发布的收益报告有助于说明，尽管存在德尔塔变异毒株担忧，人们仍然渴望走出家门。首先，<b>Ebay</b>（纳斯达克：EBAY）给出了一些温和的第三季度指导，因为人们不想呆在家里查看在线拍卖。然后交友网站<b>邦布尔</b>（纳斯达克：BMBL）表现好于预期，也是因为人们想退出。这可以告诉我们两件事。首先，仍有很多被压抑的需求需要恢复正常。第二，当下周零售财报季正式开始时，EBAY可能会让我们深入了解对其他零售商的期望，尤其是那些严重依赖数字的零售商。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>Patience Could Be A&nbsp;Virtue With Infrastructure Stocks:&nbsp;</b>Companies like&nbsp;<b>U.S. Steel&nbsp;</b>(NYSE:X),&nbsp;<b>General Electric</b>&nbsp;(NYSE:GE), and&nbsp;<b>Cleveland-Cliffs</b>&nbsp;(NYSE:CLF) all had a nice bump this week on the Senate’s infrastructure bill passage. But remember, this isn’t something that’s going to hit the economy for a while. If you’re looking longer term as an investor and you want to own these stocks for a few years, that’s probably where the bigger opportunity is. In the shorter term, you could see an initial bump, and then maybe a little bit of a flattening out.</p><p><blockquote><b>耐心可能是基础设施股票的一种美德：</b>公司喜欢<b>美国钢铁公司</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：X），<b>通用电气</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：GE），以及<b>克利夫兰悬崖</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：CLF）本周，参议院基础设施法案的通过都取得了不错的进展。但请记住，这不会在一段时间内影响经济。如果您作为投资者着眼于长期，并且想持有这些股票几年，那么这可能是更大的机会。在短期内，你可能会看到最初的隆起，然后可能会有一点点变平。</blockquote></p><p> It could take six or nine months before you actually start to see some shovel-ready projects or even some of the architectural and engineering firms starting to lay all of this out. It is a huge undertaking. Long term, it could have a big impact on some of those companies. But again, it takes a while to get going.<b>&nbsp;</b></p><p><blockquote>可能需要六到九个月的时间，你才会真正开始看到一些现成的项目，甚至一些建筑和工程公司开始布局所有这些。这是一项巨大的事业。从长远来看，这可能会对其中一些公司产生重大影响。但同样，这需要一段时间才能开始。<b> </b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Not Enough Gloom For Gold To Shine?</b>&nbsp;The traditional clash between market fundamentalists and chart technicians came to a head over gold at the skirmish zone of $1,670 an ounce range. Why $1,670? For “technical” traders, that price marks the critical 61.8%&nbsp;Fibonacci retracement&nbsp;level. If this makes no sense to you at all, as it is slightly complex for the uninitiated, just assume that it’s nearing the<i>&nbsp;uncle point</i>&nbsp;where either bulls pile in and prevail (which it appears they did), or they flee, dumping their long positions as bears overrun them.</p><p><blockquote><b>黑暗不足以让金子发光？</b>市场原教旨主义者和图表技术人员之间的传统冲突在每盎司1670美元的冲突区域达到了顶峰。为什么是1670美元？对于“技术”交易者来说，该价格标志着关键的61.8%斐波那契回撤位。如果这对您来说完全没有意义，因为它对于门外汉来说有点复杂，请假设它接近<i>叔叔点</i>要么多头蜂拥而至并获胜（看起来他们做到了），要么他们逃离，在空头占领他们时抛售他们的多头头寸。</blockquote></p><p> The $1,670 range was tested twice before, in March, with bulls gaining the upper hand each time. But even that wasn’t enough to stem the tide of “risk-on” sentiment, leading to the fundamental vs technical commotion before yesterday’s Consumer Price Index and today’s Producer Price Index reports—both inflationary gauges; and gold, a traditional inflationary hedge. With not enough gloom to glide gold’s flight, will this week’s inflationary readings cause gold to shine or sizzle?</p><p><blockquote>此前曾在3月份两次测试1,670美元区间，每次都是多头占据上风。但即便如此，也不足以阻止“冒险”情绪的浪潮，导致在昨天的消费者价格指数和今天的生产者价格指数报告（两者都是通胀指标）之前基本面与技术面的骚动；以及黄金，一种传统的通胀对冲工具。由于没有足够的阴霾来拖累黄金的飞行，本周的通胀数据会导致黄金发光还是咝咝作响？</blockquote></p><p> TD Ameritrade® commentary for educational purposes only. Member SIPC.</p><p><blockquote>德美利证券®评论仅用于教育目的。成员SIPC。</blockquote></p><p> Image by Alessandro D'Andrea from Pixabay</p><p><blockquote>图片由Alessandro D'Andrea来自Pixabay</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"X":"美国钢铁","GE":"GE航空航天","CAT":"卡特彼勒","CLF":"克利夫兰克里夫","HD":"家得宝","TSLA":"特斯拉","BMBL":"Bumble Inc.","DIS":"迪士尼","QNETCN":"纳斯达克中美互联网老虎指数","EBAY":"eBay","AAPL":"苹果"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2158250170","content_text":"Yesterday the market got behind the Fed’s idea that inflation is transitory after a calm consumer price index (CPI) reading.\nWill that change today after a sizzling producer price index (PPI) reading? Remember that any gains in PPI can often get reflected in CPI down the road as companies react to higher wholesale prices by passing them along to the consumer. And then there’s the other side of the coin—where companies absorb these prices, which can impact margins. Either way, inflation tends to pack a wallop.\nMajor indices didn’t immediately react much to a July PPI reading of 1%, which was way above the Wall Street analyst consensus of 0.5%. That followed yesterday’s CPI coming in about as expected and well below the June level. The July PPI was equal to June’s, so that kind of takes a bit of the transitory argument away. Also, core PPI, which strips out volatile energy and food prices, was the same as the headline figure, so there’s no hiding behind that.\nThe PPI report is just the start of today’s action. Later on, Disney (NYSE:DIS) steps onto center stage with its earnings report. Focus is likely to be on streaming and whether the Delta variant might slow attendance gains at theme parks and movie theaters. It’s likely DIS executives will be asked how the big jump in Florida cases is affecting the Magic Kingdom in Orlando.\nWeekly jobless claims of 375,000 were more in line with estimates and pretty much down the middle compared with recent numbers. There doesn’t seem to be much improvement going on here, but it’s not getting worse, either. The number probably won’t have much influence today.\nInstead, investors are likely to spend their time trying to make sense of these contrasting inflation indicators, which might explain why major indices initially went nowhere in pre-market trading on the PPI reading. Does this strong PPI give the Fed more reason to begin its tapering earlier than expected, or will the Fed wait for another month of data to try and get more clarity? If history means anything, we can probably bet on option two.\nInflationary Showdown Shows Slight Slowdown\nWednesday’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) report told investors mostly what they already knew: overall inflation is running hot. But that’s not what the market was keen to focus on. Instead, investors appeared to be looking at the core CPI, which jumped 4.3% year over year as expected but only 0.3% on a monthly basis—a tad less than the 0.4% analysts estimated.\nOn top of this, the Fed’s “transitory” narrative suddenly seemed a bit more believable as a slowdown in used car prices likely allayed fears of a monetary sudden-brake shock. Used car prices rose only 0.2% in July, a small bump compared to the prior month’s steep 10% surge.\nBut again, this morning’s PPI seems to be at least a partial counterargument to the transitory view. A single month’s data isn’t a trend, but this is certainly one to keep an eye on.\nFollowing the CPI report, the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($DJI) jumped as much as 200 points, with Caterpillar (NYSE:CAT) and Home Depot (NYSE:HD) leading the index, while 10-year Treasury yields stood mostly flat, and “FAANG” stocks slid into negative territory, with the exception of Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL). Could it be that fears of a “too-laid-back” Fed policy are starting to morph into a “just right” Goldilocks scenario?\nBig cyclical sectors like Energy and Financials were already on the upswing this week even before yesterday’s bullish CPI data. Strength in these sectors helped give the blue-chip Dow Jones Industrial Average ($DJI) a lift so far over the other major indices.\nSmall-Caps Still Scuffling\nSo where does that leave small-caps, which are often known for their solid performance during economic recoveries? The small-cap Russell 2000 Index (RUT) is still scuffling a bit, pretty much flat so far this month and well below its 2021 highs. It did rise a bit on Wednesday, but again got outpaced by the $DJI. It’s basically still stuck in a volatile 5-month “rut” despite the strong and steady doses of easy-money policy.\nIt might be worth watching to see if RUT can break out of the slow pattern it entered after emerging from its early summer selloff. Which way RUT goes from here might help provide clues about the market as a whole, because RUT can be an early leader up or down.\nAnother consideration is where the FAANG stocks go if Treasury yields resume their climb. Remember that earlier this year, rising yields appeared to take a big bite out of the “mega-cap” Tech stocks, with AAPL and Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) among that hit hardest. It’s fine to say that Financials and Energy can pick up the slack, but that ignores the fact that the FAANGs—like it or not—comprise about 20% of the value of the SPX. That means any significant setbacks for these huge companies could drag the overall index.\nSince May, mega-cap Techs have been helping pull up the SPX while some of the other sectors struggle. Analysts are talking about how the rally has less “depth,” meaning it’s more dependent on a few big gorillas to keep it going. While yields aren’t in the kind of territory we saw last spring, it’s worth watching that relationship between yields and FAANGs for clues about where the market goes next.\nIf inflation growth is actually slowing—and one CPI report isn’t a trend—that could drive optimism that the Fed won’t clamp down right away, perhaps keeping yields from overheating and mega-caps from melting down. Now the PPI report may have people rethinking that. The tug of war continues.\nThe Sweet And The Sour Impact Of Washington\nStocks got a nice assist from Congress earlier this week when the Senate passed the infrastructure bill. On the opposite side of the equation, markets seem to be ignoring a debate in Congress over the debt ceiling. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen encouraged the parties to find a solution, and for now, the thinking on Wall Street seems to be that there will be one. However, that doesn’t mean a smooth process.\nThere was eventually a solution in 2011, too, and the U.S. didn’t default on its debt payments. But it did see its credit rating lowered, and stocks took a pounding that summer. We’ll see if Congress can avoid getting to that point this time around. As a reminder, the debt ceiling has been raised numerous times since the 1980s, with both parties voting to do so. The last time was in 2019, under President Trump.\nIf the debt ceiling fight starts to ramp up, volatility could eventually return. It’s not really a big factor right now, but don’t be surprised if we see some intraday volatility continue in the coming weeks.\nYou saw the beginnings of that the last couple of weeks, where we’d be up significantly in the morning and sell back off. Or be down significantly in the morning and rally back. We’re probably going to see that pattern continue because besides awaiting the next steps on the infrastructure bill, the market still awaits clarity from the Fed. And even though this bill is exciting, that clarity from the Fed is arguably the big cloud that everything else operates underneath right now as far as the market is concerned.\nFor instance, yesterday Kansas City Fed President Esther George said it was time for the central bank to begin pulling back its bond-buying program. There’s been similar language from other Fed officials recently. No single person at the Fed sets policy, but at least a few seem to be chomping at the bit, so to speak, to start tapering.\nCHART OF THE DAY: WHAT’S YOUR 50? Though it’s been a while since the S&P 500 Index (SPX—candlestick) suffered a setback, it’s worth noting that mid-month has been tough for it the last few months. That doesn’t mean there’s a selloff ahead, only that you might want to prepare for one if the pattern persists. Assuming things run into trouble, the level to watch is the 50-day moving average (blue line), which currently rests about 3% below the index. That’s pretty much how far things fell in mid-July when the last selloff occurred before the SPX bounced off of that 50-day MA. Data Source: S&P Dow Jones Indices. Chart source: The thinkorswim® platform. For illustrative purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.\nA Tale Of Two Earnings And Reopening: Two earnings reports out this week help illustrate how people are still eager to get out of their homes despite Delta variant fears. First, Ebay (NASDAQ:EBAY) gave some muted Q3 guidance because people don’t want to stay home checking online auctions. Then dating site Bumble (NASDAQ:BMBL) did better than expected, also because people want to get out. This can show us two things. First, there’s still a lot of pent-up demand to get back to normal. Number two, EBAY might give us insight into what to expect from other retailers, especially those who rely a lot on digital, when retail earnings season gets underway in earnest next week.\nPatience Could Be A Virtue With Infrastructure Stocks: Companies like U.S. Steel (NYSE:X), General Electric (NYSE:GE), and Cleveland-Cliffs (NYSE:CLF) all had a nice bump this week on the Senate’s infrastructure bill passage. But remember, this isn’t something that’s going to hit the economy for a while. If you’re looking longer term as an investor and you want to own these stocks for a few years, that’s probably where the bigger opportunity is. In the shorter term, you could see an initial bump, and then maybe a little bit of a flattening out.\nIt could take six or nine months before you actually start to see some shovel-ready projects or even some of the architectural and engineering firms starting to lay all of this out. It is a huge undertaking. Long term, it could have a big impact on some of those companies. But again, it takes a while to get going. \nNot Enough Gloom For Gold To Shine? The traditional clash between market fundamentalists and chart technicians came to a head over gold at the skirmish zone of $1,670 an ounce range. Why $1,670? For “technical” traders, that price marks the critical 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. If this makes no sense to you at all, as it is slightly complex for the uninitiated, just assume that it’s nearing the uncle point where either bulls pile in and prevail (which it appears they did), or they flee, dumping their long positions as bears overrun them.\nThe $1,670 range was tested twice before, in March, with bulls gaining the upper hand each time. But even that wasn’t enough to stem the tide of “risk-on” sentiment, leading to the fundamental vs technical commotion before yesterday’s Consumer Price Index and today’s Producer Price Index reports—both inflationary gauges; and gold, a traditional inflationary hedge. With not enough gloom to glide gold’s flight, will this week’s inflationary readings cause gold to shine or sizzle?\nTD Ameritrade® commentary for educational purposes only. Member SIPC.\nImage by Alessandro D'Andrea from 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FUTU\">$Futu Holdings Limited(FUTU)$</a>🥶","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FUTU\">$Futu Holdings Limited(FUTU)$</a>🥶","text":"$Futu Holdings 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thanks","listText":"Like thanks","text":"Like thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/898249112","repostId":"2157492988","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":478,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":891903143,"gmtCreate":1628312596882,"gmtModify":1631883754152,"author":{"id":"3584531056058582","authorId":"3584531056058582","name":"AnnaPoon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6107b3136c97d1f7731c763f71c27e93","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584531056058582","idStr":"3584531056058582"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FUTU\">$Futu Holdings Limited(FUTU)$</a>When will it go up","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FUTU\">$Futu Holdings Limited(FUTU)$</a>When will it go up","text":"$Futu Holdings Limited(FUTU)$When will it go 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pls thanks","listText":"Like pls thanks","text":"Like pls thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/890738384","repostId":"2157483930","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":471,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":175801197,"gmtCreate":1627018121819,"gmtModify":1633768718537,"author":{"id":"3584531056058582","authorId":"3584531056058582","name":"AnnaPoon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6107b3136c97d1f7731c763f71c27e93","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584531056058582","idStr":"3584531056058582"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Latest like","listText":"Latest like","text":"Latest like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/175801197","repostId":"1164478982","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":237,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":814646285,"gmtCreate":1630816602647,"gmtModify":1631891744611,"author":{"id":"3584531056058582","authorId":"3584531056058582","name":"AnnaPoon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6107b3136c97d1f7731c763f71c27e93","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584531056058582","idStr":"3584531056058582"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like thanks&nbsp;","listText":"Like thanks&nbsp;","text":"Like thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/814646285","repostId":"1157895022","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1157895022","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1630810619,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1157895022?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-05 10:56","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Beat the market with this quant system that’s very bullish on stocks at record highs<blockquote>利用这个非常看好历史新高股票的量化系统击败市场</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1157895022","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Vance Howard’s HCM Tactical Growth Fund moves you in and out of the stock market when prudent to do ","content":"<p>  <b>Vance Howard’s HCM Tactical Growth Fund moves you in and out of the stock market when prudent to do so. So far his team of computer scientists’ strategy has paid off.</b>  Imagine you had a money-making machine to harvest gains in the stock market while you sat back to enjoy life.</p><p><blockquote><b>万斯·霍华德(Vance Howard)的HCM战术增长基金在谨慎的情况下让您进出股市。到目前为止，他的计算机科学家团队的策略已经得到了回报。</b>想象一下，当你坐下来享受生活时，你有一台赚钱机器在股市中收获收益。</blockquote></p><p> That’s everyone’s dream, right? Investor Vance Howard thinks he’s found it.</p><p><blockquote>那是每个人的梦想，对吧？投资者万斯·霍华德认为他已经找到了。</blockquote></p><p> Howard and his small army of computer programmers atHoward Capital Managementin Roswell, Ga., have a quantitative system that posts great returns.</p><p><blockquote>霍华德和他的一小队计算机程序员在佐治亚州罗斯威尔的资本管理公司工作。，有一个量化系统，张贴巨大的回报。</blockquote></p><p> His HCM Tactical Growth Fund&nbsp;HCMGX,+0.35%beats its Russell 1000&nbsp;benchmark index and large-blend fund category by 8.5-10.4 percentage points annualized over the past five years, according to Morningstar. That is no small feat, and not only because it has to overcome a 2.22% fee. Beating the market is simply not easy. His HCM Dividend Sector PlusHCMQX,-0.05%) and HCM Income PlusHCMLX,+0.30%funds post similar outperformance.</p><p><blockquote>根据晨星公司的数据，他的HCM战术增长基金HCMGX,+0.35%在过去五年中的年化增长率比罗素1000基准指数和大型混合基金类别高出8.5-10.4个百分点。这不是一个小壮举，不仅因为它必须克服2.22%的费用。战胜市场并不容易。他的HCM Dividend Sector PlusHCMQX,-0.05%)和HCM Income PlusHCMLX,+0.30%基金也表现类似。</blockquote></p><p> There are drawbacks, which I detail below. (Among them: Potentially long stretches of underperformance and regular tax bills.) But first, what can we learn from this winner?</p><p><blockquote>有缺点，我在下面详述。（其中包括：潜在的长期表现不佳和定期的税单。）但首先，我们能从这位赢家身上学到什么？</blockquote></p><p> So-called quants never share all the details of their proprietary systems, but Howard shares a lot, as you’ll see. And this Texas rancher has a lot of good advice based on “horse sense” — not surprising, given his infectious passion for the markets, and his three decades of experience as a pro.</p><p><blockquote>所谓的量化分析师从不分享他们专有系统的所有细节，但正如你将看到的，霍华德分享了很多。这位德克萨斯州牧场主有很多基于“马的感觉”的好建议——考虑到他对市场富有感染力的热情，以及他三十年的职业经验，这并不奇怪。</blockquote></p><p> Here are five lessons, 12 exchange traded funds (ETFs) and four stocks to consider, from a recent interview with him.</p><p><blockquote>以下是最近对他的采访中的五个教训、12只交易所交易基金(ETF)和四只值得考虑的股票。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #1: Don’t be emotional</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第一课：不要情绪化</b></blockquote></p><p> It’s no surprise so many people do poorly in the market. Evolution has programmed us to fail. For survival, we’ve learned to run from things that frightens us. And crave more of things that are pleasurable — like sweets or fats to store calories ahead of what might be a long stretch without food. But in the market, acting on the emotions of fear and greed invariably make us do the wrong thing at the wrong time. Sell at the bottom, buy at the top.</p><p><blockquote>难怪这么多人在市场上表现不佳。进化让我们注定要失败。为了生存，我们学会了逃避让我们害怕的事情。渴望更多令人愉快的东西——比如甜食或脂肪，以便在长时间没有食物之前储存卡路里。但在市场中，对恐惧和贪婪的情绪采取行动总是会让我们在错误的时间做错误的事情。底部卖出，顶部买入。</blockquote></p><p> Likewise, we’re programmed to believe being with the crowd brings safety. If you’re a zebra on the Savanna, you are more likely to get picked off by a predator if you go it alone. The problem here is being part of a crowd — and crowd psychology — dumb us down to a purely emotional level. This is why people in crowds do terrible things they would never do on their own. It doesn’t matter how smart you are. When you join a crowd, you lose a lot of IQ points. Base emotions take over.</p><p><blockquote>同样，我们被设定为相信和人群在一起会带来安全。如果你是稀树草原上的斑马，如果你单干，你更有可能被捕食者吃掉。这里的问题是，成为人群的一部分——以及人群心理——让我们变得愚蠢到纯粹的情感层面。这就是为什么人群中的人会做他们自己永远不会做的可怕的事情。你有多聪明并不重要。当你加入一个人群时，你会失去很多智商点。基本情绪占了上风。</blockquote></p><p> To do well in the market, you have to counteract these tendencies. “One of the biggest mistakes individual investors and money managers make is getting emotional,” says Howard. “Let your emotions go.”</p><p><blockquote>要想在市场上做得好，你必须抵制这些倾向。“个人投资者和基金经理犯的最大错误之一就是变得情绪化，”霍华德说。“放下你的情绪。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #2: Have a system and stick to it</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第二课：有一个系统并坚持下去</b></blockquote></p><p> To exorcise emotion, have a system. “And don’t second guess it,” says Howard. “This keeps you from letting the pandemic or Afghanistan scare you out of the market.” He calls his system the HCM-BuyLine. It is basically a momentum and trend-following system — which often works well in the markets.</p><p><blockquote>驱除情绪，要有一个系统。“不要怀疑它，”霍华德说。“这可以防止你被大流行或阿富汗吓出市场。”他评级了他的系统HCM-购买线。它基本上是一个动量和趋势跟踪系统——通常在市场上运行良好。</blockquote></p><p> The HCM-BuyLine basically works like this. First, rather than use the S&amp;P 500SPX,-0.03%or the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,-0.21%,Howard blends several stock indices to create his own index. Then he uses a moving average that tells him whether the market is in an uptrend or downtrend.</p><p><blockquote>HCM-BuyLine基本上是这样工作的。首先，霍华德没有使用标准普尔500SPX（-0.03%）或道琼斯工业平均指数DJIA（-0.21%），而是混合了几个股票指数来创建自己的指数。然后他使用移动平均线来告诉他市场是处于上升趋势还是下降趋势。</blockquote></p><p> When the moving average drops 3.5%, he sells 35%. If it drops 6.5%, he sells another 35%. He rarely goes to 100% cash.</p><p><blockquote>当移动平均线下跌3.5%时，他卖出35%。如果下跌6.5%，他就再卖出35%。他很少100%现金。</blockquote></p><p> “If the BuyLine is positive, we will stay long no matter what,” he says. “We take all the emotion out of the equation by letting the math decide.”</p><p><blockquote>“如果买入线为正，无论如何我们都会长期持有，”他说。“我们通过让数学来决定，将所有情感从等式中剔除。”</blockquote></p><p> Right now, it’s bullish. (More on this below.)</p><p><blockquote>目前，情况看涨。（更多信息见下文。）</blockquote></p><p> Your system also has to tell you when to get back in.</p><p><blockquote>你的系统还必须告诉你什么时候回去。</blockquote></p><p> “That’s where most people screw up,” he says. “They get out of the market, and they don’t know when to get back in.” The HCM-BuyLine gives a buy signal when his custom index trades above its moving average for six consecutive sessions, and then goes on to trade above the high hit during those six days.</p><p><blockquote>“这就是大多数人搞砸的地方，”他说。“他们退出市场，不知道什么时候才能重新进入。”当他的定制指数连续六个交易日高于其移动平均线时，HCM-买入线会发出买入信号，然后继续高于这六天触及的高点。</blockquote></p><p> You don’t need a system that calls exact market tops or bottoms. Instead, the BuyLine keeps Howard out of down markets 85% of the time, and in for 85% of the good times.</p><p><blockquote>你不需要一个评级精确市场顶部或底部的系统。相反，买入线让霍华德在85%的时间里远离低迷的市场，在85%的好时光里远离。</blockquote></p><p> “If we can do that consistently, we have superior returns and a less stressful life,” he says. “Being all in during a bad tape is no fun.”</p><p><blockquote>“如果我们能够始终如一地做到这一点，我们就会获得更高的回报和更少的生活压力，”他说。“在一盘糟糕的磁带中全力以赴一点也不好玩。”</blockquote></p><p> His system is slow to get him out of the market, but quick to get him back in. Not even a 10% correction will necessarily move him out. He’s often buying those pullbacks. Getting back in fast makes sense, because recoveries off bottoms tend to happen fast.</p><p><blockquote>他的系统让他退出市场很慢，但让他回来很快。即使是10%的修正也不一定能让他出局。他经常买入那些回调。快速反弹是有意义的，因为从底部恢复往往会很快。</blockquote></p><p> “The HCM-BuyLine takes all the emotion out of the process,” says Howard.</p><p><blockquote>“HCM-BuyLine消除了整个过程中的所有情绪，”霍华德说。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #3: Don’t fight the tape</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第三课：不要和磁带作对</b></blockquote></p><p> This concept is one of the core pieces of wisdom from Marty Zweig’s classic book, “Winning on Wall Street.”</p><p><blockquote>这一概念是马蒂·茨威格经典著作《在华尔街获胜》中的核心智慧之一。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “You have to stay on the right side of market,” agrees Howard. “If you try to trade long in a bad market, it is painful.”</p><p><blockquote>“你必须站在市场的正确一边，”霍华德表示同意。“如果你试图在糟糕的市场中做多，那是很痛苦的。”</blockquote></p><p> In other words, don’t try to be a hero.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，不要试图成为英雄。</blockquote></p><p> “Sometimes, not losing money is where you want to be,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>“有时候，不赔钱才是你想要的，”他说。</blockquote></p><p> Likewise, don’t turn cautious just because the market hits new highs — like now. You should love new highs, because it is a sign of market strength that may likely endure.</p><p><blockquote>同样，不要仅仅因为市场创下新高就变得谨慎——就像现在这样。你应该喜欢新高，因为这是市场力量的标志，可能会持续下去。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #4: Keep it simple</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第四课：保持简单</b></blockquote></p><p> As you’ll see below, Howard doesn’t use esoteric instruments such as derivatives, swaps or index options. He doesn’t even trade foreign stocks or currencies. This is refreshing for individual investors, because we have a harder time accessing those tools.</p><p><blockquote>正如您将在下面看到的，霍华德不使用衍生品、掉期或指数期权等深奥工具。他甚至不交易外国股票或货币。这对个人投资者来说令人耳目一新，因为我们更难获得这些工具。</blockquote></p><p> “You don’t have to trade crazy stuff,” he says. “You can trade plain-vanilla ETFs and beat everybody out there.”</p><p><blockquote>“你不必交易疯狂的东西，”他说。“你可以交易普通的ETF并击败所有人。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #5: How to trade the current market</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第5课：如何交易当前市场</b></blockquote></p><p> First, be long.</p><p><blockquote>首先，做长。</blockquote></p><p> “The HCM-BuyLine is very positive. We are 100% in,” says Howard. “The market is broadening out. It is getting pretty exciting. We do not see it turn around any time soon. We are buying pullbacks.”</p><p><blockquote>“HCM-购买线非常积极。我们100%参与，”霍华德说。“市场正在扩大。它变得相当令人兴奋。我们认为它不会很快好转。我们正在买入回调。”</blockquote></p><p> One bullish signal is all the cash on the sidelines. “If there is any relief in Covid, we may see a big rally. We may end up with a great fall [season].”</p><p><blockquote>一个看涨信号是所有现金都在观望。“如果新冠疫情有所缓解，我们可能会看到大幅反弹。我们可能会以一个伟大的秋季[季节]结束。”</blockquote></p><p> Howard uses momentum indicators to select stocks and ETFs, too. For sectors he favors the following.</p><p><blockquote>霍华德也使用动量指标来选择股票和ETF。对于行业，他倾向于以下几点。</blockquote></p><p> He likes health care, tradable through the iShares US HealthcareIYH,-0.04%and ProShares Ultra Health CareRXL,+0.12%ETFs. He’s turning more bullish on biotech, which he plays via the iShares Biotechnology ETFIBB,-0.11%.</p><p><blockquote>他喜欢医疗保健，可通过iShares US HealthcareIYH(-0.04%)和ProShares Ultra Health CareRXL(+0.12%)ETF进行交易。他变得更加看好生物技术，他通过iShares Biotechnology ETFIBB进行投资，-0.11%。</blockquote></p><p> He likes consumer discretionary tradable through the iShares US Consumer ServicesIYC,-0.30%,and airlines via US Global JetsJETS,-1.17%.He also likes tech exposure via the Invesco QQQ TrustQQQ,+0.31%,iShares US TechnologyIYW,+0.50%and&nbsp;iShares SemiconductorSOXX,+0.75%.</p><p><blockquote>他喜欢通过iShares US Consumer ServicesIYC(-0.30%)进行交易的非必需消费品，以及通过US Global JetsJETS(-1.17%)进行交易的航空公司。他还喜欢通过Invesco QQQ TrustQQQ(+0.31%)、iShares US TechnologyIYW(+0.50%)进行科技投资和iShares半导体SOXX，+0.75%。</blockquote></p><p> He likes small-caps via the Vanguard Small-Cap Growth Index FundVBK,+0.07%.And convertible bonds via SPDR Bloomberg Barclays Convertible SecuritiesCWB,+0.64%and iShares Convertible BondICVT,+0.37%.</p><p><blockquote>他喜欢Vanguard Small-Cap Growth Index FundVBK，+0.07%的小盘股。以及SPDR Bloomberg Barclays可转换证券CWB，+0.64%和iShares可转换债券ICVT，+0.37%的可转换债券。</blockquote></p><p> As for individual names, he singles out MicrosoftMSFT,-0.00%and AppleAAPL,+0.42%in tech, as well as Amazon.comAMZN,+0.43%and TeslaTSLA,+0.16%.</p><p><blockquote>至于个人名称，他特别提到了科技股中的微软MSFT(-0.00%)和苹果AAPL(+0.42%)，以及亚马逊MAMZN(+0.43%)和特斯拉TSLA(+0.16%)。</blockquote></p><p> Also consider Howard’s two ETFs: The HCM Defender 100 IndexQQH,+0.62%and HCM Defender 500 IndexLGH,+1.32%.</p><p><blockquote>另请考虑Howard的两只ETF：HCM Defender 100 IndexQQH，+0.62%和HCM Defender 500 IndexLGH，+1.32%。</blockquote></p><p> He prefers to add to holdings on 1%-3% dips.</p><p><blockquote>他更喜欢在下跌1%-3%时增持。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A few drawbacks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>一些缺点</b></blockquote></p><p> His HCM Tactical Growth fund has a history of posting two-year stretches of underperformance of 1.5% to 8.8%, since it was launched in 2015. The fund then came roaring back to net the very positive five-year outperformance cited above. Investing in his system can require patience.</p><p><blockquote>他的HCM战术增长基金自2015年推出以来，曾连续两年表现不佳，涨幅为1.5%至8.8%。随后，该基金卷土重来，实现了上述非常积极的五年优异表现。投资他的系统需要耐心。</blockquote></p><p> Every manager, including Warren Buffett, can have a stretch of underperformance, says Howard.</p><p><blockquote>霍华德说，每个经理人，包括沃伦·巴菲特，都可能有一段时间表现不佳。</blockquote></p><p> “We are in the odds game,” he says. “Even in the odds game, you can have a bad hand or two thrown at you.”</p><p><blockquote>“我们正处于赔率游戏中，”他说。“即使在赔率游戏中，你也可能会遇到一两手糟糕的牌。”</blockquote></p><p> Another challenge is the high turnover, which is 140% a year for Tactical Growth. This means Uncle Sam takes a big cut in the good years. So if you buy Howard’s funds, you may want to do so in a tax-protected account.</p><p><blockquote>另一个挑战是高流动率，战术增长每年140%。这意味着山姆大叔在好年景中会得到很大的提成。因此，如果您购买霍华德的基金，您可能希望在避税账户中购买。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Beat the market with this quant system that’s very bullish on stocks at record highs<blockquote>利用这个非常看好历史新高股票的量化系统击败市场</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBeat the market with this quant system that’s very bullish on stocks at record highs<blockquote>利用这个非常看好历史新高股票的量化系统击败市场</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-05 10:56</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  <b>Vance Howard’s HCM Tactical Growth Fund moves you in and out of the stock market when prudent to do so. So far his team of computer scientists’ strategy has paid off.</b>  Imagine you had a money-making machine to harvest gains in the stock market while you sat back to enjoy life.</p><p><blockquote><b>万斯·霍华德(Vance Howard)的HCM战术增长基金在谨慎的情况下让您进出股市。到目前为止，他的计算机科学家团队的策略已经得到了回报。</b>想象一下，当你坐下来享受生活时，你有一台赚钱机器在股市中收获收益。</blockquote></p><p> That’s everyone’s dream, right? Investor Vance Howard thinks he’s found it.</p><p><blockquote>那是每个人的梦想，对吧？投资者万斯·霍华德认为他已经找到了。</blockquote></p><p> Howard and his small army of computer programmers atHoward Capital Managementin Roswell, Ga., have a quantitative system that posts great returns.</p><p><blockquote>霍华德和他的一小队计算机程序员在佐治亚州罗斯威尔的资本管理公司工作。，有一个量化系统，张贴巨大的回报。</blockquote></p><p> His HCM Tactical Growth Fund&nbsp;HCMGX,+0.35%beats its Russell 1000&nbsp;benchmark index and large-blend fund category by 8.5-10.4 percentage points annualized over the past five years, according to Morningstar. That is no small feat, and not only because it has to overcome a 2.22% fee. Beating the market is simply not easy. His HCM Dividend Sector PlusHCMQX,-0.05%) and HCM Income PlusHCMLX,+0.30%funds post similar outperformance.</p><p><blockquote>根据晨星公司的数据，他的HCM战术增长基金HCMGX,+0.35%在过去五年中的年化增长率比罗素1000基准指数和大型混合基金类别高出8.5-10.4个百分点。这不是一个小壮举，不仅因为它必须克服2.22%的费用。战胜市场并不容易。他的HCM Dividend Sector PlusHCMQX,-0.05%)和HCM Income PlusHCMLX,+0.30%基金也表现类似。</blockquote></p><p> There are drawbacks, which I detail below. (Among them: Potentially long stretches of underperformance and regular tax bills.) But first, what can we learn from this winner?</p><p><blockquote>有缺点，我在下面详述。（其中包括：潜在的长期表现不佳和定期的税单。）但首先，我们能从这位赢家身上学到什么？</blockquote></p><p> So-called quants never share all the details of their proprietary systems, but Howard shares a lot, as you’ll see. And this Texas rancher has a lot of good advice based on “horse sense” — not surprising, given his infectious passion for the markets, and his three decades of experience as a pro.</p><p><blockquote>所谓的量化分析师从不分享他们专有系统的所有细节，但正如你将看到的，霍华德分享了很多。这位德克萨斯州牧场主有很多基于“马的感觉”的好建议——考虑到他对市场富有感染力的热情，以及他三十年的职业经验，这并不奇怪。</blockquote></p><p> Here are five lessons, 12 exchange traded funds (ETFs) and four stocks to consider, from a recent interview with him.</p><p><blockquote>以下是最近对他的采访中的五个教训、12只交易所交易基金(ETF)和四只值得考虑的股票。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #1: Don’t be emotional</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第一课：不要情绪化</b></blockquote></p><p> It’s no surprise so many people do poorly in the market. Evolution has programmed us to fail. For survival, we’ve learned to run from things that frightens us. And crave more of things that are pleasurable — like sweets or fats to store calories ahead of what might be a long stretch without food. But in the market, acting on the emotions of fear and greed invariably make us do the wrong thing at the wrong time. Sell at the bottom, buy at the top.</p><p><blockquote>难怪这么多人在市场上表现不佳。进化让我们注定要失败。为了生存，我们学会了逃避让我们害怕的事情。渴望更多令人愉快的东西——比如甜食或脂肪，以便在长时间没有食物之前储存卡路里。但在市场中，对恐惧和贪婪的情绪采取行动总是会让我们在错误的时间做错误的事情。底部卖出，顶部买入。</blockquote></p><p> Likewise, we’re programmed to believe being with the crowd brings safety. If you’re a zebra on the Savanna, you are more likely to get picked off by a predator if you go it alone. The problem here is being part of a crowd — and crowd psychology — dumb us down to a purely emotional level. This is why people in crowds do terrible things they would never do on their own. It doesn’t matter how smart you are. When you join a crowd, you lose a lot of IQ points. Base emotions take over.</p><p><blockquote>同样，我们被设定为相信和人群在一起会带来安全。如果你是稀树草原上的斑马，如果你单干，你更有可能被捕食者吃掉。这里的问题是，成为人群的一部分——以及人群心理——让我们变得愚蠢到纯粹的情感层面。这就是为什么人群中的人会做他们自己永远不会做的可怕的事情。你有多聪明并不重要。当你加入一个人群时，你会失去很多智商点。基本情绪占了上风。</blockquote></p><p> To do well in the market, you have to counteract these tendencies. “One of the biggest mistakes individual investors and money managers make is getting emotional,” says Howard. “Let your emotions go.”</p><p><blockquote>要想在市场上做得好，你必须抵制这些倾向。“个人投资者和基金经理犯的最大错误之一就是变得情绪化，”霍华德说。“放下你的情绪。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #2: Have a system and stick to it</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第二课：有一个系统并坚持下去</b></blockquote></p><p> To exorcise emotion, have a system. “And don’t second guess it,” says Howard. “This keeps you from letting the pandemic or Afghanistan scare you out of the market.” He calls his system the HCM-BuyLine. It is basically a momentum and trend-following system — which often works well in the markets.</p><p><blockquote>驱除情绪，要有一个系统。“不要怀疑它，”霍华德说。“这可以防止你被大流行或阿富汗吓出市场。”他评级了他的系统HCM-购买线。它基本上是一个动量和趋势跟踪系统——通常在市场上运行良好。</blockquote></p><p> The HCM-BuyLine basically works like this. First, rather than use the S&amp;P 500SPX,-0.03%or the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,-0.21%,Howard blends several stock indices to create his own index. Then he uses a moving average that tells him whether the market is in an uptrend or downtrend.</p><p><blockquote>HCM-BuyLine基本上是这样工作的。首先，霍华德没有使用标准普尔500SPX（-0.03%）或道琼斯工业平均指数DJIA（-0.21%），而是混合了几个股票指数来创建自己的指数。然后他使用移动平均线来告诉他市场是处于上升趋势还是下降趋势。</blockquote></p><p> When the moving average drops 3.5%, he sells 35%. If it drops 6.5%, he sells another 35%. He rarely goes to 100% cash.</p><p><blockquote>当移动平均线下跌3.5%时，他卖出35%。如果下跌6.5%，他就再卖出35%。他很少100%现金。</blockquote></p><p> “If the BuyLine is positive, we will stay long no matter what,” he says. “We take all the emotion out of the equation by letting the math decide.”</p><p><blockquote>“如果买入线为正，无论如何我们都会长期持有，”他说。“我们通过让数学来决定，将所有情感从等式中剔除。”</blockquote></p><p> Right now, it’s bullish. (More on this below.)</p><p><blockquote>目前，情况看涨。（更多信息见下文。）</blockquote></p><p> Your system also has to tell you when to get back in.</p><p><blockquote>你的系统还必须告诉你什么时候回去。</blockquote></p><p> “That’s where most people screw up,” he says. “They get out of the market, and they don’t know when to get back in.” The HCM-BuyLine gives a buy signal when his custom index trades above its moving average for six consecutive sessions, and then goes on to trade above the high hit during those six days.</p><p><blockquote>“这就是大多数人搞砸的地方，”他说。“他们退出市场，不知道什么时候才能重新进入。”当他的定制指数连续六个交易日高于其移动平均线时，HCM-买入线会发出买入信号，然后继续高于这六天触及的高点。</blockquote></p><p> You don’t need a system that calls exact market tops or bottoms. Instead, the BuyLine keeps Howard out of down markets 85% of the time, and in for 85% of the good times.</p><p><blockquote>你不需要一个评级精确市场顶部或底部的系统。相反，买入线让霍华德在85%的时间里远离低迷的市场，在85%的好时光里远离。</blockquote></p><p> “If we can do that consistently, we have superior returns and a less stressful life,” he says. “Being all in during a bad tape is no fun.”</p><p><blockquote>“如果我们能够始终如一地做到这一点，我们就会获得更高的回报和更少的生活压力，”他说。“在一盘糟糕的磁带中全力以赴一点也不好玩。”</blockquote></p><p> His system is slow to get him out of the market, but quick to get him back in. Not even a 10% correction will necessarily move him out. He’s often buying those pullbacks. Getting back in fast makes sense, because recoveries off bottoms tend to happen fast.</p><p><blockquote>他的系统让他退出市场很慢，但让他回来很快。即使是10%的修正也不一定能让他出局。他经常买入那些回调。快速反弹是有意义的，因为从底部恢复往往会很快。</blockquote></p><p> “The HCM-BuyLine takes all the emotion out of the process,” says Howard.</p><p><blockquote>“HCM-BuyLine消除了整个过程中的所有情绪，”霍华德说。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #3: Don’t fight the tape</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第三课：不要和磁带作对</b></blockquote></p><p> This concept is one of the core pieces of wisdom from Marty Zweig’s classic book, “Winning on Wall Street.”</p><p><blockquote>这一概念是马蒂·茨威格经典著作《在华尔街获胜》中的核心智慧之一。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “You have to stay on the right side of market,” agrees Howard. “If you try to trade long in a bad market, it is painful.”</p><p><blockquote>“你必须站在市场的正确一边，”霍华德表示同意。“如果你试图在糟糕的市场中做多，那是很痛苦的。”</blockquote></p><p> In other words, don’t try to be a hero.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，不要试图成为英雄。</blockquote></p><p> “Sometimes, not losing money is where you want to be,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>“有时候，不赔钱才是你想要的，”他说。</blockquote></p><p> Likewise, don’t turn cautious just because the market hits new highs — like now. You should love new highs, because it is a sign of market strength that may likely endure.</p><p><blockquote>同样，不要仅仅因为市场创下新高就变得谨慎——就像现在这样。你应该喜欢新高，因为这是市场力量的标志，可能会持续下去。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #4: Keep it simple</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第四课：保持简单</b></blockquote></p><p> As you’ll see below, Howard doesn’t use esoteric instruments such as derivatives, swaps or index options. He doesn’t even trade foreign stocks or currencies. This is refreshing for individual investors, because we have a harder time accessing those tools.</p><p><blockquote>正如您将在下面看到的，霍华德不使用衍生品、掉期或指数期权等深奥工具。他甚至不交易外国股票或货币。这对个人投资者来说令人耳目一新，因为我们更难获得这些工具。</blockquote></p><p> “You don’t have to trade crazy stuff,” he says. “You can trade plain-vanilla ETFs and beat everybody out there.”</p><p><blockquote>“你不必交易疯狂的东西，”他说。“你可以交易普通的ETF并击败所有人。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #5: How to trade the current market</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第5课：如何交易当前市场</b></blockquote></p><p> First, be long.</p><p><blockquote>首先，做长。</blockquote></p><p> “The HCM-BuyLine is very positive. We are 100% in,” says Howard. “The market is broadening out. It is getting pretty exciting. We do not see it turn around any time soon. We are buying pullbacks.”</p><p><blockquote>“HCM-购买线非常积极。我们100%参与，”霍华德说。“市场正在扩大。它变得相当令人兴奋。我们认为它不会很快好转。我们正在买入回调。”</blockquote></p><p> One bullish signal is all the cash on the sidelines. “If there is any relief in Covid, we may see a big rally. We may end up with a great fall [season].”</p><p><blockquote>一个看涨信号是所有现金都在观望。“如果新冠疫情有所缓解，我们可能会看到大幅反弹。我们可能会以一个伟大的秋季[季节]结束。”</blockquote></p><p> Howard uses momentum indicators to select stocks and ETFs, too. For sectors he favors the following.</p><p><blockquote>霍华德也使用动量指标来选择股票和ETF。对于行业，他倾向于以下几点。</blockquote></p><p> He likes health care, tradable through the iShares US HealthcareIYH,-0.04%and ProShares Ultra Health CareRXL,+0.12%ETFs. He’s turning more bullish on biotech, which he plays via the iShares Biotechnology ETFIBB,-0.11%.</p><p><blockquote>他喜欢医疗保健，可通过iShares US HealthcareIYH(-0.04%)和ProShares Ultra Health CareRXL(+0.12%)ETF进行交易。他变得更加看好生物技术，他通过iShares Biotechnology ETFIBB进行投资，-0.11%。</blockquote></p><p> He likes consumer discretionary tradable through the iShares US Consumer ServicesIYC,-0.30%,and airlines via US Global JetsJETS,-1.17%.He also likes tech exposure via the Invesco QQQ TrustQQQ,+0.31%,iShares US TechnologyIYW,+0.50%and&nbsp;iShares SemiconductorSOXX,+0.75%.</p><p><blockquote>他喜欢通过iShares US Consumer ServicesIYC(-0.30%)进行交易的非必需消费品，以及通过US Global JetsJETS(-1.17%)进行交易的航空公司。他还喜欢通过Invesco QQQ TrustQQQ(+0.31%)、iShares US TechnologyIYW(+0.50%)进行科技投资和iShares半导体SOXX，+0.75%。</blockquote></p><p> He likes small-caps via the Vanguard Small-Cap Growth Index FundVBK,+0.07%.And convertible bonds via SPDR Bloomberg Barclays Convertible SecuritiesCWB,+0.64%and iShares Convertible BondICVT,+0.37%.</p><p><blockquote>他喜欢Vanguard Small-Cap Growth Index FundVBK，+0.07%的小盘股。以及SPDR Bloomberg Barclays可转换证券CWB，+0.64%和iShares可转换债券ICVT，+0.37%的可转换债券。</blockquote></p><p> As for individual names, he singles out MicrosoftMSFT,-0.00%and AppleAAPL,+0.42%in tech, as well as Amazon.comAMZN,+0.43%and TeslaTSLA,+0.16%.</p><p><blockquote>至于个人名称，他特别提到了科技股中的微软MSFT(-0.00%)和苹果AAPL(+0.42%)，以及亚马逊MAMZN(+0.43%)和特斯拉TSLA(+0.16%)。</blockquote></p><p> Also consider Howard’s two ETFs: The HCM Defender 100 IndexQQH,+0.62%and HCM Defender 500 IndexLGH,+1.32%.</p><p><blockquote>另请考虑Howard的两只ETF：HCM Defender 100 IndexQQH，+0.62%和HCM Defender 500 IndexLGH，+1.32%。</blockquote></p><p> He prefers to add to holdings on 1%-3% dips.</p><p><blockquote>他更喜欢在下跌1%-3%时增持。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A few drawbacks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>一些缺点</b></blockquote></p><p> His HCM Tactical Growth fund has a history of posting two-year stretches of underperformance of 1.5% to 8.8%, since it was launched in 2015. The fund then came roaring back to net the very positive five-year outperformance cited above. Investing in his system can require patience.</p><p><blockquote>他的HCM战术增长基金自2015年推出以来，曾连续两年表现不佳，涨幅为1.5%至8.8%。随后，该基金卷土重来，实现了上述非常积极的五年优异表现。投资他的系统需要耐心。</blockquote></p><p> Every manager, including Warren Buffett, can have a stretch of underperformance, says Howard.</p><p><blockquote>霍华德说，每个经理人，包括沃伦·巴菲特，都可能有一段时间表现不佳。</blockquote></p><p> “We are in the odds game,” he says. “Even in the odds game, you can have a bad hand or two thrown at you.”</p><p><blockquote>“我们正处于赔率游戏中，”他说。“即使在赔率游戏中，你也可能会遇到一两手糟糕的牌。”</blockquote></p><p> Another challenge is the high turnover, which is 140% a year for Tactical Growth. This means Uncle Sam takes a big cut in the good years. So if you buy Howard’s funds, you may want to do so in a tax-protected account.</p><p><blockquote>另一个挑战是高流动率，战术增长每年140%。这意味着山姆大叔在好年景中会得到很大的提成。因此，如果您购买霍华德的基金，您可能希望在避税账户中购买。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/beat-the-market-with-this-quant-system-thats-very-bullish-on-stocks-at-record-highs-11630761531?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/beat-the-market-with-this-quant-system-thats-very-bullish-on-stocks-at-record-highs-11630761531?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1157895022","content_text":"Vance Howard’s HCM Tactical Growth Fund moves you in and out of the stock market when prudent to do so. So far his team of computer scientists’ strategy has paid off.\n\nImagine you had a money-making machine to harvest gains in the stock market while you sat back to enjoy life.\nThat’s everyone’s dream, right? Investor Vance Howard thinks he’s found it.\nHoward and his small army of computer programmers atHoward Capital Managementin Roswell, Ga., have a quantitative system that posts great returns.\nHis HCM Tactical Growth Fund HCMGX,+0.35%beats its Russell 1000 benchmark index and large-blend fund category by 8.5-10.4 percentage points annualized over the past five years, according to Morningstar. That is no small feat, and not only because it has to overcome a 2.22% fee. Beating the market is simply not easy. His HCM Dividend Sector PlusHCMQX,-0.05%) and HCM Income PlusHCMLX,+0.30%funds post similar outperformance.\nThere are drawbacks, which I detail below. (Among them: Potentially long stretches of underperformance and regular tax bills.) But first, what can we learn from this winner?\nSo-called quants never share all the details of their proprietary systems, but Howard shares a lot, as you’ll see. And this Texas rancher has a lot of good advice based on “horse sense” — not surprising, given his infectious passion for the markets, and his three decades of experience as a pro.\nHere are five lessons, 12 exchange traded funds (ETFs) and four stocks to consider, from a recent interview with him.\nLesson #1: Don’t be emotional\nIt’s no surprise so many people do poorly in the market. Evolution has programmed us to fail. For survival, we’ve learned to run from things that frightens us. And crave more of things that are pleasurable — like sweets or fats to store calories ahead of what might be a long stretch without food. But in the market, acting on the emotions of fear and greed invariably make us do the wrong thing at the wrong time. Sell at the bottom, buy at the top.\nLikewise, we’re programmed to believe being with the crowd brings safety. If you’re a zebra on the Savanna, you are more likely to get picked off by a predator if you go it alone. The problem here is being part of a crowd — and crowd psychology — dumb us down to a purely emotional level. This is why people in crowds do terrible things they would never do on their own. It doesn’t matter how smart you are. When you join a crowd, you lose a lot of IQ points. Base emotions take over.\nTo do well in the market, you have to counteract these tendencies. “One of the biggest mistakes individual investors and money managers make is getting emotional,” says Howard. “Let your emotions go.”\nLesson #2: Have a system and stick to it\nTo exorcise emotion, have a system. “And don’t second guess it,” says Howard. “This keeps you from letting the pandemic or Afghanistan scare you out of the market.” He calls his system the HCM-BuyLine. It is basically a momentum and trend-following system — which often works well in the markets.\nThe HCM-BuyLine basically works like this. First, rather than use the S&P 500SPX,-0.03%or the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,-0.21%,Howard blends several stock indices to create his own index. Then he uses a moving average that tells him whether the market is in an uptrend or downtrend.\nWhen the moving average drops 3.5%, he sells 35%. If it drops 6.5%, he sells another 35%. He rarely goes to 100% cash.\n“If the BuyLine is positive, we will stay long no matter what,” he says. “We take all the emotion out of the equation by letting the math decide.”\nRight now, it’s bullish. (More on this below.)\nYour system also has to tell you when to get back in.\n“That’s where most people screw up,” he says. “They get out of the market, and they don’t know when to get back in.” The HCM-BuyLine gives a buy signal when his custom index trades above its moving average for six consecutive sessions, and then goes on to trade above the high hit during those six days.\nYou don’t need a system that calls exact market tops or bottoms. Instead, the BuyLine keeps Howard out of down markets 85% of the time, and in for 85% of the good times.\n“If we can do that consistently, we have superior returns and a less stressful life,” he says. “Being all in during a bad tape is no fun.”\nHis system is slow to get him out of the market, but quick to get him back in. Not even a 10% correction will necessarily move him out. He’s often buying those pullbacks. Getting back in fast makes sense, because recoveries off bottoms tend to happen fast.\n“The HCM-BuyLine takes all the emotion out of the process,” says Howard.\nLesson #3: Don’t fight the tape\nThis concept is one of the core pieces of wisdom from Marty Zweig’s classic book, “Winning on Wall Street.”\n“You have to stay on the right side of market,” agrees Howard. “If you try to trade long in a bad market, it is painful.”\nIn other words, don’t try to be a hero.\n“Sometimes, not losing money is where you want to be,” he says.\nLikewise, don’t turn cautious just because the market hits new highs — like now. You should love new highs, because it is a sign of market strength that may likely endure.\nLesson #4: Keep it simple\nAs you’ll see below, Howard doesn’t use esoteric instruments such as derivatives, swaps or index options. He doesn’t even trade foreign stocks or currencies. This is refreshing for individual investors, because we have a harder time accessing those tools.\n“You don’t have to trade crazy stuff,” he says. “You can trade plain-vanilla ETFs and beat everybody out there.”\nLesson #5: How to trade the current market\nFirst, be long.\n“The HCM-BuyLine is very positive. We are 100% in,” says Howard. “The market is broadening out. It is getting pretty exciting. We do not see it turn around any time soon. We are buying pullbacks.”\nOne bullish signal is all the cash on the sidelines. “If there is any relief in Covid, we may see a big rally. We may end up with a great fall [season].”\nHoward uses momentum indicators to select stocks and ETFs, too. For sectors he favors the following.\nHe likes health care, tradable through the iShares US HealthcareIYH,-0.04%and ProShares Ultra Health CareRXL,+0.12%ETFs. He’s turning more bullish on biotech, which he plays via the iShares Biotechnology ETFIBB,-0.11%.\nHe likes consumer discretionary tradable through the iShares US Consumer ServicesIYC,-0.30%,and airlines via US Global JetsJETS,-1.17%.He also likes tech exposure via the Invesco QQQ TrustQQQ,+0.31%,iShares US TechnologyIYW,+0.50%and iShares SemiconductorSOXX,+0.75%.\nHe likes small-caps via the Vanguard Small-Cap Growth Index FundVBK,+0.07%.And convertible bonds via SPDR Bloomberg Barclays Convertible SecuritiesCWB,+0.64%and iShares Convertible BondICVT,+0.37%.\nAs for individual names, he singles out MicrosoftMSFT,-0.00%and AppleAAPL,+0.42%in tech, as well as Amazon.comAMZN,+0.43%and TeslaTSLA,+0.16%.\nAlso consider Howard’s two ETFs: The HCM Defender 100 IndexQQH,+0.62%and HCM Defender 500 IndexLGH,+1.32%.\nHe prefers to add to holdings on 1%-3% dips.\nA few drawbacks\nHis HCM Tactical Growth fund has a history of posting two-year stretches of underperformance of 1.5% to 8.8%, since it was launched in 2015. The fund then came roaring back to net the very positive five-year outperformance cited above. Investing in his system can require patience.\nEvery manager, including Warren Buffett, can have a stretch of underperformance, says Howard.\n“We are in the odds game,” he says. “Even in the odds game, you can have a bad hand or two thrown at you.”\nAnother challenge is the high turnover, which is 140% a year for Tactical Growth. This means Uncle Sam takes a big cut in the good years. So if you buy Howard’s funds, you may want to do so in a tax-protected account.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1027,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":886446345,"gmtCreate":1631620618987,"gmtModify":1631891744606,"author":{"id":"3584531056058582","authorId":"3584531056058582","name":"AnnaPoon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6107b3136c97d1f7731c763f71c27e93","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584531056058582","idStr":"3584531056058582"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like thx ☺️&nbsp;","listText":"Like thx ☺️&nbsp;","text":"Like thx ☺️","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/886446345","repostId":"1160275332","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1160275332","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1631604098,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1160275332?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-14 15:21","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Busy IPO market this week poised to make 2021 the biggest year ever by proceeds<blockquote>本周繁忙的IPO市场有望使2021年成为有史以来收益最大的一年</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1160275332","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Swiss running-shoe company backed by Roger Federer and drive-through coffee chain expected to hit th","content":"<p>Swiss running-shoe company backed by Roger Federer and drive-through coffee chain expected to hit the market this week </p><p><blockquote>罗杰·费德勒支持的瑞士跑鞋公司和得来速咖啡连锁店预计将于本周上市</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18111af5f5bda21b3128860fe616c5ca\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"467\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Swiss tennis giant Roger Federer is a backer of one of this week's bigger IPOs.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>瑞士网球巨头罗杰·费德勒是本周最大IPO之一的支持者。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> After a flurry of initial-public-offering launches last week&nbsp;set the market up for a busy fall for deals, 11 are expected to price this week and raise more than $3 billion in proceeds. </p><p><blockquote>上周一系列首次公开募股引发市场交易繁忙，预计本周将有11家公司定价，筹集超过30亿美元的资金。</blockquote></p><p> If all deals materialize, it will make 2021 the biggest year for IPO proceeds ever, and shatter the previous record by about 30%, according to Bill Smith, founder and chief executive of Renaissance Capital, a provider of institutional research and exchange-traded funds oriented around IPOs. The market is expected to see some 375 deals for the year, raising $125 billion, according to Renaissance, beating the $97 billion raised in 2000 during the dot-com boom. </p><p><blockquote>机构研究和交易所交易基金提供商Renaissance Capital创始人兼首席执行官比尔·史密斯(Bill Smith)表示，如果所有交易都实现，2021年将成为有史以来IPO收益最大的一年，并将之前的记录打破约30%。以IPO为导向的基金。据Renaissance称，预计今年市场将出现约375笔交易，筹集1250亿美元，超过2000年互联网繁荣期间筹集的970亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> “After the long summer break, this week is a litmus test for upcoming tech, biotech, and consumer IPOs,” Smith wrote in a market commentary. The list includes a Swiss running-shoe company backed by tennis giant Roger Federer, a drive-through coffee kiosk operator and a mortgage insurer that was spun out of insurer Genworth Financial. </p><p><blockquote>史密斯在市场评论中写道：“在漫长的暑假之后，本周是即将到来的科技、生物技术和消费者IPO的试金石。”该名单包括一家由网球巨头罗杰·费德勒支持的瑞士跑鞋公司、一家得来速咖啡亭运营商以及一家从保险公司Genworth Financial分拆出来的抵押贷款保险公司。</blockquote></p><p> The biggest deal of the week is expected to come from Thoughtworks,a Chicago-based technology consultancy that will go public at a valuation of up to $6.1 billion.</p><p><blockquote>本周最大的交易预计将来自总部位于芝加哥的技术咨询公司Thoughtworks，该公司将以高达61亿美元的估值上市。</blockquote></p><p> The company, which expects to change its name from Turing Holding Corp. to Thoughtworks with completion of the IPO, said a total of 36.84 million shares will be offered, split between the company and selling shareholders.</p><p><blockquote>该公司预计在IPO完成后将更名从Turing Holding Corp.更名为Thoughtworks，并表示将发行总计3684万股股票，由公司和出售股东分配。</blockquote></p><p> The deal is expected to price at between $18 and $20 a share, and the stock will trade on the Nasdaq under the ticker symbol “TWKS.” Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan are the lead underwriters. The company recorded net income of $79.3 million on revenue of $803.4 million in 2020, after income of $28.4 million on revenue of $772.2 million in 2019.</p><p><blockquote>这笔交易预计价格为每股18美元至20美元，股票将在纳斯达克交易，股票代码为“TWKS”。高盛和摩根大通是主承销商。本公司于2020年录得净收入79.3百万美元，收入为8.03.4百万美元，二零一九年录得7.72.2百万美元后，收入净额为2840万美元。</blockquote></p><p> The Swiss athletic-footwear maker On Holding&nbsp;is expected to raise up to $622 million at a valuation of almost $6 billion. On has applied to list 31.1 million shares priced at $18 to $20 each on the New York Stock Exchange, under the ticker symbol “ONON.”</p><p><blockquote>这家持有股份的瑞士运动鞋制造商预计将以近60亿美元的估值筹集至多6.22亿美元。On已申请在纽约证券交易所上市3110万股，每股价格为18至20美元，股票代码为“ONON”。</blockquote></p><p> Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and Morgan Stanley are lead underwriters in a syndicate of nine banks on the On deal. Proceeds are to be used for general corporate purposes. The company has a line that it co-developed with Federer.</p><p><blockquote>高盛、摩根士丹利和摩根士丹利是此次交易的九家银行组成的银团的主承销商。收益将用于一般公司用途。该公司有一条与费德勒共同开发的生产线。</blockquote></p><p> The company had net income of 3.8 million Swiss francs ($4.1 million) in the six months through June 30, after a loss of 33.1 million francs in the year-earlier period,&nbsp;according to its IPO documents.&nbsp;Sales came to 315.5 million francs, up from 170.9 million francs.</p><p><blockquote>根据其IPO文件，在截至6月30日的六个月中，该公司的净利润为380万瑞士法郎（合410万美元），而上年同期为亏损3310万瑞士法郎，而去年同期的销售额为3.155亿瑞士法郎，高于1.709亿瑞士法郎。</blockquote></p><p> Also from Switzerland, sports betting site Sportrader Group AG&nbsp;plans to offer 19 million shares priced at $25 to $28 each, for a valuation of up to $31 billion. The company has applied to list on Nasdaq under the ticker symbol “SRAD.” JPMorgan, Morgan Stanley, Citigroup and UBS are lead underwriters in a syndicate of 13 banks working on the deal.</p><p><blockquote>同样来自瑞士的体育博彩网站Sportrader Group AG计划以每股25至28美元的价格发行1900万股股票，估值高达310亿美元。该公司已申请在纳斯达克上市，股票代码为“SRAD”。摩根大通、摩根士丹利、花旗集团和瑞银是参与该交易的13家银行组成的银团的主承销商。</blockquote></p><p> Proceeds are to be used for working capital and to spur growth. The company had a net profit of $29.9 million in the first six months of the year, on revenue of $321 million,&nbsp;according to its filing documents.</p><p><blockquote>收益将用于营运资金和刺激增长。根据其备案文件，该公司今年前六个月净利润为2990万美元，营收为3.21亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Dutch Bros Inc.,an operator of drive-through shops that serve hot and cold drinks mostly in western U.S. states, is planning to offer 21.1 million shares priced at $18 to $20 each in its IPO, valuing the company at up to $3.3 billion.</p><p><blockquote>Dutch Bros Inc.是一家主要在美国西部各州提供冷热饮料的免下车商店运营商，计划在IPO中发行2110万股股票，每股价格为18至20美元，公司估值高达33亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> BofA Securities, JPMorgan and Jefferies are lead underwriters in a syndicate of 13 banks working on the deal. The company has applied to list on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker symbol “BROS.”</p><p><blockquote>美国银行证券、摩根大通和杰富瑞是参与该交易的13家银行组成的财团的主承销商。该公司已申请在纽约证券交易所上市，股票代码为“BROS”。</blockquote></p><p> Proceeds are to be used to purchase additional Class A shares — the company is planning to have four classes of stock with differing voting rights. The company had a net loss of $13.6 million, or 32 cents a share, in the first six months of the year, narrower than the loss of $16.5 million, or 38 cents a share, posted in the year-earlier period. Revenue fell to $227.9 million from $327.4 million.</p><p><blockquote>所得款项将用于购买额外的A类股票——该公司计划拥有四类具有不同投票权的股票。该公司今年前六个月的净亏损为1,360万美元，即每股亏损32美分，低于去年同期的1,650万美元，即每股亏损38美分。收入从3.274亿美元降至2.279亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Rounding out the list are:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>名单上还有：</b></blockquote></p><p> •&nbsp;Definitive Healthcare Corp.,&nbsp;a Massachusetts-based provider of healthcare commercial intelligence, is planning to offer 15.56 million shares in its PO, which is expected to price between $21 and $24 a share. At that pricing, the company could be valued at up to $3.55 billion.</p><p><blockquote>•总部位于马萨诸塞州的医疗保健商业情报提供商Definitive Healthcare Corp.计划在其PO中发行1556万股股票，预计定价在每股21美元至24美元之间。按照这个定价，该公司的估值可能高达35.5亿美元。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> •&nbsp;Enact Holdings Inc., a mortgage insurer owned by Genworth, is planning to offer 13.3 million shares priced at $19 to $20 each. The company would be valued at $3.3 billion at the top of that range. The company said all shares will be sold by Genworth and it will not receive any proceeds. It has applied to list on Nasdaq under the ticker “ACT.” Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan are lead underwriters in a team of nine banks working on the deal.</p><p><blockquote>Genworth旗下的抵押贷款保险公司Enact Holdings Inc.计划发行1330万股股票，每股价格为19至20美元。该公司的估值为33亿美元，处于该范围的顶部。该公司表示，Genworth将出售所有股份，不会获得任何收益。它已申请在纳斯达克上市，股票代码为“ACT”。高盛和摩根大通是参与该交易的九家银行团队的主承销商。</blockquote></p><p> •&nbsp;ForgeRock<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/stock/FORG?mod=MW_story_quote&amp;mod=article_inline\" target=\"_blank\">,</a>&nbsp;a California-based identity security platform, is looking to raise up to $264 million with an offering of 11 million shares priced between $21 and $24 a share. That pricing would value the company a valuation of up to $1.91 billion.</p><p><blockquote>•锻造岩石<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/stock/FORG?mod=MW_story_quote&amp;mod=article_inline\" target=\"_blank\">,</a>一家总部位于加州的身份安全平台希望通过发行1100万股股票，每股价格在21美元至24美元之间，筹集至多2.64亿美元。该定价将使该公司估值高达19.1亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> The stock is expected to list on the NYSE under the ticker symbol “FORG.” Morgan Stanley and JPMorgan are the lead underwriters. The company recorded a net loss of $41.8 million on revenue of $127.6 million in 2020, after a loss of $36.9 million on revenue of $104.5 million in 2019.</p><p><blockquote>该股预计将在纽约证券交易所上市，股票代码为“FORG”。摩根士丹利和摩根大通是主承销商。该公司在2020年录得净亏损4180万美元，营收为1.276亿美元，而2019年营收为1.045亿美元，亏损3690万美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>•</b>Dice Therapeutics&nbsp;is expected to raise up to $170 million at a valuation of up to $583 million and list on Nasdaq under the ticker symbol “DICE.” The biotech is developing therapies to treat chronic diseases in the field of immunology.</p><p><blockquote><b>•</b>Dice Therapeutics预计将以高达5.83亿美元的估值筹集至多1.7亿美元，并在纳斯达克上市，股票代码为“DICE”。该生物技术公司正在免疫学领域开发治疗慢性疾病的疗法。</blockquote></p><p> <b>•</b>Surgical robotics developer Procept BioRobotics,is aiming to raise up to $132 million at a valuation of about $1 billion with plans to list on Nasdaq under the ticker symbol “PRCT.” BofA Securities and Goldman Sachs are lead underwriters.</p><p><blockquote><b>•</b>手术机器人开发商Procept BioRobotics计划以约10亿美元的估值筹集至多1.32亿美元，并计划在纳斯达克上市，股票代码为“PRCT”。美银证券和高盛是主承销商。</blockquote></p><p> “We develop, manufacture and sell the AquaBeam Robotic System, an advanced, image-guided, surgical robotic system for use in minimally invasive urologic surgery with an initial focus on treating benign prostatic hyperplasia, or BPH,” the company says in its IPO documents.</p><p><blockquote>该公司在其IPO文件中表示：“我们开发、制造和销售AquaBeam机器人系统，这是一种先进的图像引导手术机器人系统，用于微创泌尿外科手术，最初重点是治疗良性前列腺增生（BPH）。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>•</b>Tyra Biosciences is aiming to raise $107.2 million in IPO proceeds at a valuation of $589 million. The biotech’s leading product candidate is a treatment for bladder cancer. It has applied to list on Nasdaq under the symbol “TYRA.”</p><p><blockquote><b>•</b>Tyra Biosciences的目标是通过IPO筹集1.072亿美元，估值为5.89亿美元。该生物技术公司的领先候选产品是膀胱癌的治疗方法。它已申请在纳斯达克上市，股票代码为“TYRA”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>•</b>EzFill Holdings, an app-based mobile fueling company in South Florida, is planning to raise $25 million at a valuation of $100 million. The company has applied to list on Nasdaq under the ticker symbol “EZFL.” ThinkEquity is sole underwriter.</p><p><blockquote><b>•</b>EzFill Holdings是一家位于南佛罗里达州的基于应用程序的移动加油公司，计划以1亿美元的估值筹集2500万美元。该公司已申请在纳斯达克上市，股票代码为“EZFL”。ThinkEquity是独家承销商。</blockquote></p><p> The Renaissance IPO ETF&nbsp;has gained 6% to date in 2021, while the S&amp;P 500&nbsp;has advanced 19%.</p><p><blockquote>2021年迄今为止，Renaissance IPO ETF已上涨6%，而标普500则上涨19%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Busy IPO market this week poised to make 2021 the biggest year ever by proceeds<blockquote>本周繁忙的IPO市场有望使2021年成为有史以来收益最大的一年</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBusy IPO market this week poised to make 2021 the biggest year ever by proceeds<blockquote>本周繁忙的IPO市场有望使2021年成为有史以来收益最大的一年</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-14 15:21</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Swiss running-shoe company backed by Roger Federer and drive-through coffee chain expected to hit the market this week </p><p><blockquote>罗杰·费德勒支持的瑞士跑鞋公司和得来速咖啡连锁店预计将于本周上市</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18111af5f5bda21b3128860fe616c5ca\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"467\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Swiss tennis giant Roger Federer is a backer of one of this week's bigger IPOs.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>瑞士网球巨头罗杰·费德勒是本周最大IPO之一的支持者。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> After a flurry of initial-public-offering launches last week&nbsp;set the market up for a busy fall for deals, 11 are expected to price this week and raise more than $3 billion in proceeds. </p><p><blockquote>上周一系列首次公开募股引发市场交易繁忙，预计本周将有11家公司定价，筹集超过30亿美元的资金。</blockquote></p><p> If all deals materialize, it will make 2021 the biggest year for IPO proceeds ever, and shatter the previous record by about 30%, according to Bill Smith, founder and chief executive of Renaissance Capital, a provider of institutional research and exchange-traded funds oriented around IPOs. The market is expected to see some 375 deals for the year, raising $125 billion, according to Renaissance, beating the $97 billion raised in 2000 during the dot-com boom. </p><p><blockquote>机构研究和交易所交易基金提供商Renaissance Capital创始人兼首席执行官比尔·史密斯(Bill Smith)表示，如果所有交易都实现，2021年将成为有史以来IPO收益最大的一年，并将之前的记录打破约30%。以IPO为导向的基金。据Renaissance称，预计今年市场将出现约375笔交易，筹集1250亿美元，超过2000年互联网繁荣期间筹集的970亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> “After the long summer break, this week is a litmus test for upcoming tech, biotech, and consumer IPOs,” Smith wrote in a market commentary. The list includes a Swiss running-shoe company backed by tennis giant Roger Federer, a drive-through coffee kiosk operator and a mortgage insurer that was spun out of insurer Genworth Financial. </p><p><blockquote>史密斯在市场评论中写道：“在漫长的暑假之后，本周是即将到来的科技、生物技术和消费者IPO的试金石。”该名单包括一家由网球巨头罗杰·费德勒支持的瑞士跑鞋公司、一家得来速咖啡亭运营商以及一家从保险公司Genworth Financial分拆出来的抵押贷款保险公司。</blockquote></p><p> The biggest deal of the week is expected to come from Thoughtworks,a Chicago-based technology consultancy that will go public at a valuation of up to $6.1 billion.</p><p><blockquote>本周最大的交易预计将来自总部位于芝加哥的技术咨询公司Thoughtworks，该公司将以高达61亿美元的估值上市。</blockquote></p><p> The company, which expects to change its name from Turing Holding Corp. to Thoughtworks with completion of the IPO, said a total of 36.84 million shares will be offered, split between the company and selling shareholders.</p><p><blockquote>该公司预计在IPO完成后将更名从Turing Holding Corp.更名为Thoughtworks，并表示将发行总计3684万股股票，由公司和出售股东分配。</blockquote></p><p> The deal is expected to price at between $18 and $20 a share, and the stock will trade on the Nasdaq under the ticker symbol “TWKS.” Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan are the lead underwriters. The company recorded net income of $79.3 million on revenue of $803.4 million in 2020, after income of $28.4 million on revenue of $772.2 million in 2019.</p><p><blockquote>这笔交易预计价格为每股18美元至20美元，股票将在纳斯达克交易，股票代码为“TWKS”。高盛和摩根大通是主承销商。本公司于2020年录得净收入79.3百万美元，收入为8.03.4百万美元，二零一九年录得7.72.2百万美元后，收入净额为2840万美元。</blockquote></p><p> The Swiss athletic-footwear maker On Holding&nbsp;is expected to raise up to $622 million at a valuation of almost $6 billion. On has applied to list 31.1 million shares priced at $18 to $20 each on the New York Stock Exchange, under the ticker symbol “ONON.”</p><p><blockquote>这家持有股份的瑞士运动鞋制造商预计将以近60亿美元的估值筹集至多6.22亿美元。On已申请在纽约证券交易所上市3110万股，每股价格为18至20美元，股票代码为“ONON”。</blockquote></p><p> Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and Morgan Stanley are lead underwriters in a syndicate of nine banks on the On deal. Proceeds are to be used for general corporate purposes. The company has a line that it co-developed with Federer.</p><p><blockquote>高盛、摩根士丹利和摩根士丹利是此次交易的九家银行组成的银团的主承销商。收益将用于一般公司用途。该公司有一条与费德勒共同开发的生产线。</blockquote></p><p> The company had net income of 3.8 million Swiss francs ($4.1 million) in the six months through June 30, after a loss of 33.1 million francs in the year-earlier period,&nbsp;according to its IPO documents.&nbsp;Sales came to 315.5 million francs, up from 170.9 million francs.</p><p><blockquote>根据其IPO文件，在截至6月30日的六个月中，该公司的净利润为380万瑞士法郎（合410万美元），而上年同期为亏损3310万瑞士法郎，而去年同期的销售额为3.155亿瑞士法郎，高于1.709亿瑞士法郎。</blockquote></p><p> Also from Switzerland, sports betting site Sportrader Group AG&nbsp;plans to offer 19 million shares priced at $25 to $28 each, for a valuation of up to $31 billion. The company has applied to list on Nasdaq under the ticker symbol “SRAD.” JPMorgan, Morgan Stanley, Citigroup and UBS are lead underwriters in a syndicate of 13 banks working on the deal.</p><p><blockquote>同样来自瑞士的体育博彩网站Sportrader Group AG计划以每股25至28美元的价格发行1900万股股票，估值高达310亿美元。该公司已申请在纳斯达克上市，股票代码为“SRAD”。摩根大通、摩根士丹利、花旗集团和瑞银是参与该交易的13家银行组成的银团的主承销商。</blockquote></p><p> Proceeds are to be used for working capital and to spur growth. The company had a net profit of $29.9 million in the first six months of the year, on revenue of $321 million,&nbsp;according to its filing documents.</p><p><blockquote>收益将用于营运资金和刺激增长。根据其备案文件，该公司今年前六个月净利润为2990万美元，营收为3.21亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Dutch Bros Inc.,an operator of drive-through shops that serve hot and cold drinks mostly in western U.S. states, is planning to offer 21.1 million shares priced at $18 to $20 each in its IPO, valuing the company at up to $3.3 billion.</p><p><blockquote>Dutch Bros Inc.是一家主要在美国西部各州提供冷热饮料的免下车商店运营商，计划在IPO中发行2110万股股票，每股价格为18至20美元，公司估值高达33亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> BofA Securities, JPMorgan and Jefferies are lead underwriters in a syndicate of 13 banks working on the deal. The company has applied to list on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker symbol “BROS.”</p><p><blockquote>美国银行证券、摩根大通和杰富瑞是参与该交易的13家银行组成的财团的主承销商。该公司已申请在纽约证券交易所上市，股票代码为“BROS”。</blockquote></p><p> Proceeds are to be used to purchase additional Class A shares — the company is planning to have four classes of stock with differing voting rights. The company had a net loss of $13.6 million, or 32 cents a share, in the first six months of the year, narrower than the loss of $16.5 million, or 38 cents a share, posted in the year-earlier period. Revenue fell to $227.9 million from $327.4 million.</p><p><blockquote>所得款项将用于购买额外的A类股票——该公司计划拥有四类具有不同投票权的股票。该公司今年前六个月的净亏损为1,360万美元，即每股亏损32美分，低于去年同期的1,650万美元，即每股亏损38美分。收入从3.274亿美元降至2.279亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Rounding out the list are:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>名单上还有：</b></blockquote></p><p> •&nbsp;Definitive Healthcare Corp.,&nbsp;a Massachusetts-based provider of healthcare commercial intelligence, is planning to offer 15.56 million shares in its PO, which is expected to price between $21 and $24 a share. At that pricing, the company could be valued at up to $3.55 billion.</p><p><blockquote>•总部位于马萨诸塞州的医疗保健商业情报提供商Definitive Healthcare Corp.计划在其PO中发行1556万股股票，预计定价在每股21美元至24美元之间。按照这个定价，该公司的估值可能高达35.5亿美元。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> •&nbsp;Enact Holdings Inc., a mortgage insurer owned by Genworth, is planning to offer 13.3 million shares priced at $19 to $20 each. The company would be valued at $3.3 billion at the top of that range. The company said all shares will be sold by Genworth and it will not receive any proceeds. It has applied to list on Nasdaq under the ticker “ACT.” Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan are lead underwriters in a team of nine banks working on the deal.</p><p><blockquote>Genworth旗下的抵押贷款保险公司Enact Holdings Inc.计划发行1330万股股票，每股价格为19至20美元。该公司的估值为33亿美元，处于该范围的顶部。该公司表示，Genworth将出售所有股份，不会获得任何收益。它已申请在纳斯达克上市，股票代码为“ACT”。高盛和摩根大通是参与该交易的九家银行团队的主承销商。</blockquote></p><p> •&nbsp;ForgeRock<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/stock/FORG?mod=MW_story_quote&amp;mod=article_inline\" target=\"_blank\">,</a>&nbsp;a California-based identity security platform, is looking to raise up to $264 million with an offering of 11 million shares priced between $21 and $24 a share. That pricing would value the company a valuation of up to $1.91 billion.</p><p><blockquote>•锻造岩石<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/stock/FORG?mod=MW_story_quote&amp;mod=article_inline\" target=\"_blank\">,</a>一家总部位于加州的身份安全平台希望通过发行1100万股股票，每股价格在21美元至24美元之间，筹集至多2.64亿美元。该定价将使该公司估值高达19.1亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> The stock is expected to list on the NYSE under the ticker symbol “FORG.” Morgan Stanley and JPMorgan are the lead underwriters. The company recorded a net loss of $41.8 million on revenue of $127.6 million in 2020, after a loss of $36.9 million on revenue of $104.5 million in 2019.</p><p><blockquote>该股预计将在纽约证券交易所上市，股票代码为“FORG”。摩根士丹利和摩根大通是主承销商。该公司在2020年录得净亏损4180万美元，营收为1.276亿美元，而2019年营收为1.045亿美元，亏损3690万美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>•</b>Dice Therapeutics&nbsp;is expected to raise up to $170 million at a valuation of up to $583 million and list on Nasdaq under the ticker symbol “DICE.” The biotech is developing therapies to treat chronic diseases in the field of immunology.</p><p><blockquote><b>•</b>Dice Therapeutics预计将以高达5.83亿美元的估值筹集至多1.7亿美元，并在纳斯达克上市，股票代码为“DICE”。该生物技术公司正在免疫学领域开发治疗慢性疾病的疗法。</blockquote></p><p> <b>•</b>Surgical robotics developer Procept BioRobotics,is aiming to raise up to $132 million at a valuation of about $1 billion with plans to list on Nasdaq under the ticker symbol “PRCT.” BofA Securities and Goldman Sachs are lead underwriters.</p><p><blockquote><b>•</b>手术机器人开发商Procept BioRobotics计划以约10亿美元的估值筹集至多1.32亿美元，并计划在纳斯达克上市，股票代码为“PRCT”。美银证券和高盛是主承销商。</blockquote></p><p> “We develop, manufacture and sell the AquaBeam Robotic System, an advanced, image-guided, surgical robotic system for use in minimally invasive urologic surgery with an initial focus on treating benign prostatic hyperplasia, or BPH,” the company says in its IPO documents.</p><p><blockquote>该公司在其IPO文件中表示：“我们开发、制造和销售AquaBeam机器人系统，这是一种先进的图像引导手术机器人系统，用于微创泌尿外科手术，最初重点是治疗良性前列腺增生（BPH）。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>•</b>Tyra Biosciences is aiming to raise $107.2 million in IPO proceeds at a valuation of $589 million. The biotech’s leading product candidate is a treatment for bladder cancer. It has applied to list on Nasdaq under the symbol “TYRA.”</p><p><blockquote><b>•</b>Tyra Biosciences的目标是通过IPO筹集1.072亿美元，估值为5.89亿美元。该生物技术公司的领先候选产品是膀胱癌的治疗方法。它已申请在纳斯达克上市，股票代码为“TYRA”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>•</b>EzFill Holdings, an app-based mobile fueling company in South Florida, is planning to raise $25 million at a valuation of $100 million. The company has applied to list on Nasdaq under the ticker symbol “EZFL.” ThinkEquity is sole underwriter.</p><p><blockquote><b>•</b>EzFill Holdings是一家位于南佛罗里达州的基于应用程序的移动加油公司，计划以1亿美元的估值筹集2500万美元。该公司已申请在纳斯达克上市，股票代码为“EZFL”。ThinkEquity是独家承销商。</blockquote></p><p> The Renaissance IPO ETF&nbsp;has gained 6% to date in 2021, while the S&amp;P 500&nbsp;has advanced 19%.</p><p><blockquote>2021年迄今为止，Renaissance IPO ETF已上涨6%，而标普500则上涨19%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/busy-ipo-market-this-week-may-make-2021-the-biggest-year-for-proceeds-and-break-previous-record-by-30-11631554372?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯","ONON":"On Holding AG","BROS":"Dutch Bros Inc.",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SRAD":"Sportradar Group AG","TYRA":"Tyra Biosciences, Inc.","DRNA":"Dicerna Pharmaceuticals, Inc.","PRCT":"PROCEPT BioRobotics","FORG":"ForgeRock, Inc.","TWKS":"Thoughtworks Holding Inc.",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","DH":"Definitive Healthcare Corp."},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/busy-ipo-market-this-week-may-make-2021-the-biggest-year-for-proceeds-and-break-previous-record-by-30-11631554372?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1160275332","content_text":"Swiss running-shoe company backed by Roger Federer and drive-through coffee chain expected to hit the market this week \nSwiss tennis giant Roger Federer is a backer of one of this week's bigger IPOs.\n\n\nAfter a flurry of initial-public-offering launches last week set the market up for a busy fall for deals, 11 are expected to price this week and raise more than $3 billion in proceeds. \n\nIf all deals materialize, it will make 2021 the biggest year for IPO proceeds ever, and shatter the previous record by about 30%, according to Bill Smith, founder and chief executive of Renaissance Capital, a provider of institutional research and exchange-traded funds oriented around IPOs. The market is expected to see some 375 deals for the year, raising $125 billion, according to Renaissance, beating the $97 billion raised in 2000 during the dot-com boom. \n\n“After the long summer break, this week is a litmus test for upcoming tech, biotech, and consumer IPOs,” Smith wrote in a market commentary. The list includes a Swiss running-shoe company backed by tennis giant Roger Federer, a drive-through coffee kiosk operator and a mortgage insurer that was spun out of insurer Genworth Financial. \n\nThe biggest deal of the week is expected to come from Thoughtworks,a Chicago-based technology consultancy that will go public at a valuation of up to $6.1 billion.\nThe company, which expects to change its name from Turing Holding Corp. to Thoughtworks with completion of the IPO, said a total of 36.84 million shares will be offered, split between the company and selling shareholders.\n\nThe deal is expected to price at between $18 and $20 a share, and the stock will trade on the Nasdaq under the ticker symbol “TWKS.” Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan are the lead underwriters. The company recorded net income of $79.3 million on revenue of $803.4 million in 2020, after income of $28.4 million on revenue of $772.2 million in 2019.\nThe Swiss athletic-footwear maker On Holding is expected to raise up to $622 million at a valuation of almost $6 billion. On has applied to list 31.1 million shares priced at $18 to $20 each on the New York Stock Exchange, under the ticker symbol “ONON.”\n\nGoldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and Morgan Stanley are lead underwriters in a syndicate of nine banks on the On deal. Proceeds are to be used for general corporate purposes. The company has a line that it co-developed with Federer.\n\nThe company had net income of 3.8 million Swiss francs ($4.1 million) in the six months through June 30, after a loss of 33.1 million francs in the year-earlier period, according to its IPO documents. Sales came to 315.5 million francs, up from 170.9 million francs.\n\nAlso from Switzerland, sports betting site Sportrader Group AG plans to offer 19 million shares priced at $25 to $28 each, for a valuation of up to $31 billion. The company has applied to list on Nasdaq under the ticker symbol “SRAD.” JPMorgan, Morgan Stanley, Citigroup and UBS are lead underwriters in a syndicate of 13 banks working on the deal.\n\nProceeds are to be used for working capital and to spur growth. The company had a net profit of $29.9 million in the first six months of the year, on revenue of $321 million, according to its filing documents.\n\nDutch Bros Inc.,an operator of drive-through shops that serve hot and cold drinks mostly in western U.S. states, is planning to offer 21.1 million shares priced at $18 to $20 each in its IPO, valuing the company at up to $3.3 billion.\n\nBofA Securities, JPMorgan and Jefferies are lead underwriters in a syndicate of 13 banks working on the deal. The company has applied to list on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker symbol “BROS.”\nProceeds are to be used to purchase additional Class A shares — the company is planning to have four classes of stock with differing voting rights. The company had a net loss of $13.6 million, or 32 cents a share, in the first six months of the year, narrower than the loss of $16.5 million, or 38 cents a share, posted in the year-earlier period. Revenue fell to $227.9 million from $327.4 million.\n\nRounding out the list are:\n• Definitive Healthcare Corp., a Massachusetts-based provider of healthcare commercial intelligence, is planning to offer 15.56 million shares in its PO, which is expected to price between $21 and $24 a share. At that pricing, the company could be valued at up to $3.55 billion.\n• Enact Holdings Inc., a mortgage insurer owned by Genworth, is planning to offer 13.3 million shares priced at $19 to $20 each. The company would be valued at $3.3 billion at the top of that range. The company said all shares will be sold by Genworth and it will not receive any proceeds. It has applied to list on Nasdaq under the ticker “ACT.” Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan are lead underwriters in a team of nine banks working on the deal.\n• ForgeRock, a California-based identity security platform, is looking to raise up to $264 million with an offering of 11 million shares priced between $21 and $24 a share. That pricing would value the company a valuation of up to $1.91 billion.\nThe stock is expected to list on the NYSE under the ticker symbol “FORG.” Morgan Stanley and JPMorgan are the lead underwriters. The company recorded a net loss of $41.8 million on revenue of $127.6 million in 2020, after a loss of $36.9 million on revenue of $104.5 million in 2019.\n•Dice Therapeutics is expected to raise up to $170 million at a valuation of up to $583 million and list on Nasdaq under the ticker symbol “DICE.” The biotech is developing therapies to treat chronic diseases in the field of immunology.\n•Surgical robotics developer Procept BioRobotics,is aiming to raise up to $132 million at a valuation of about $1 billion with plans to list on Nasdaq under the ticker symbol “PRCT.” BofA Securities and Goldman Sachs are lead underwriters.\n“We develop, manufacture and sell the AquaBeam Robotic System, an advanced, image-guided, surgical robotic system for use in minimally invasive urologic surgery with an initial focus on treating benign prostatic hyperplasia, or BPH,” the company says in its IPO documents.\n•Tyra Biosciences is aiming to raise $107.2 million in IPO proceeds at a valuation of $589 million. The biotech’s leading product candidate is a treatment for bladder cancer. It has applied to list on Nasdaq under the symbol “TYRA.”\n•EzFill Holdings, an app-based mobile fueling company in South Florida, is planning to raise $25 million at a valuation of $100 million. The company has applied to list on Nasdaq under the ticker symbol “EZFL.” ThinkEquity is sole underwriter.\nThe Renaissance IPO ETF has gained 6% to date in 2021, while the S&P 500 has advanced 19%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"DRNA":0.9,"ONON":0.9,"SRAD":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"DH":0.9,"BROS":0.9,"PRCT":0.9,"TYRA":0.9,"TWKS":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"FORG":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"ACT.UK":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1145,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":882550055,"gmtCreate":1631710170277,"gmtModify":1631891744601,"author":{"id":"3584531056058582","authorId":"3584531056058582","name":"AnnaPoon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6107b3136c97d1f7731c763f71c27e93","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584531056058582","idStr":"3584531056058582"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/882550055","repostId":"1112301233","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1112301233","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1631707868,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1112301233?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-15 20:11","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Toplines Before US Market Open on Wednesday<blockquote>周三美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1112301233","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"U.S. stock index futures edged higher on Wednesday on easing fears of an earlier-than-expected cut t","content":"<p>U.S. stock index futures edged higher on Wednesday on easing fears of an earlier-than-expected cut to monetary stimulus, even though a slowing economic recovery and uncertainty over higher corporate taxes weighed on sentiment.</p><p><blockquote>美国股指期货周三小幅走高，因对货币刺激措施削减早于预期的担忧有所缓解，尽管经济复苏放缓和公司税上调的不确定性打压了市场情绪。</blockquote></p><p> U.S. S&amp;P 500 E-minis were up 4.25 points, or 0.1% at 08:00 am ET. Dow E-minis were up 10 points, while Nasdaq 100 E-minis were up 21.75 points, or 0.14%.</p><p><blockquote>截至美国东部时间上午08:00，美国标普500 e-mini上涨4.25点，即0.1%。道琼斯电子迷你指数上涨10点，纳斯达克100电子迷你指数上涨21.75点，涨幅0.14%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/42cc0404895138a163950b81a2d5277c\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"357\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Apple Inc&nbsp;rose around 0.2% in premarket trading, after tumbling 1% in the last session on a somewhat lukewarm response to the unveiling of its Phone 13 and a new iPad mini.</p><p><blockquote>苹果公司在盘前交易中上涨约0.2%，此前由于对其Phone 13和新款iPad mini的推出反应有些冷淡，上一交易日下跌1%。</blockquote></p><p> Investors will parse data on U.S. industrial production at 9:15 a.m. for clues about the&nbsp;state of the economic recovery. Economists forecast that output rose in August.</p><p><blockquote>投资者将在上午9:15分析美国工业生产数据，以寻找有关经济复苏状况的线索。经济学家预测8月份产出会上升。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves premarket:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票：</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Microsoft(MSFT)</b> – Microsoft announced an 11% dividend hike, raising its quarterly payout to 62 cents per share from 56 cents, as well as announcing a $60 billion stock buyback program. Microsoft added 1.3% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>微软(MSFT)</b>——微软宣布将股息上调11%，将季度派息从每股56美分上调至62美分，并宣布了600亿美元的股票回购计划。微软盘前上涨1.3%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Weber(WEBR)</b> – The grill maker’s stock jumped 2% in the premarket, following its first quarterly report since going public in August. Weber’s sales rose 19% from a year earlier, and the company projected full-year sales largely above current Wall Street forecasts.</p><p><blockquote><b>韦伯（WEBR）</b>-这家烧烤制造商发布自8月份上市以来的第一份季度报告后，其股价在盘前上涨2%。韦伯的销售额同比增长19%，该公司预计全年销售额将大大高于华尔街目前的预测。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wynn Resorts(WYNN),Las Vegas Sands(LVS)</b> – Macau-related casino stocks tumbled in premarket trading as regulators begin a 45-day period of considering tighter regulations on Macau’s gaming industry. Officials say they want “sustained and healthy development” in the world’s biggest gambling hub, but investors are worried over the impact of potential changes. Wynn fell 5.3% in the premarket while Las Vegas Sands slid 4.8%.</p><p><blockquote><b>永利度假村(WYNN)、拉斯维加斯金沙(LVS)</b>-澳门相关赌场股在盘前交易中暴跌，监管机构开始为期45天的考虑加强对澳门博彩业的监管。官员们表示，他们希望这个世界上最大的赌博中心“持续健康发展”，但投资者担心潜在变化的影响。永利盘前下跌5.3%，拉斯维加斯金沙集团下跌4.8%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Nikola(NKLA)&nbsp;–&nbsp;</b>IVECO and Nikola inaugurated joint-venture manufacturing facility for electric heavy-duty trucks in Ulm, Germany.Nikola shares jumped 3.6% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>尼古拉（NKLA）-</b>依维柯和尼古拉在德国乌尔姆开设了电动重型卡车合资制造工厂。尼古拉股价在盘前交易中上涨3.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>GreenSky(GSKY)</b>&nbsp;<b>–</b>&nbsp;Goldman Sachs Group&nbsp;Inc.&nbsp;is buying specialty lender&nbsp;GreenSky&nbsp;Inc.&nbsp;for $2.2 billion, striking a deal it hopes will further its reinvention from Wall Street powerhouse to Main Street player.GreenSky stock Popped 45% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>格林斯基(GSKY)</b> <b>–</b>高盛集团(Goldman Sachs Group Inc.)将以22亿美元收购专业贷款机构GreenSky Inc.，希望这笔交易能够进一步将其从华尔街巨头重塑为大街参与者。GreenSky股价在盘前交易中上涨45%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Canadian National Railway(CNI)</b> – Canadian National will not improve its offer to buy&nbsp;Kansas City Southern(KSU), according to people familiar with the situation who spoke to CNBC’s David Faber. That would clear the way for&nbsp;Canadian Pacific Railway(CP) to buy Kansas City Southern, after Kansas City Southern’s board declared Canadian Pacific’s latest offer as “superior.”</p><p><blockquote><b>加拿大国家铁路（CNI）</b>-据接受CNBC记者David Faber采访的知情人士透露，加拿大国民航空不会提高收购堪萨斯城南方航空(KSU)的报价。这将为加拿大太平洋铁路公司(CP)收购堪萨斯城南方铁路公司扫清道路，此前堪萨斯城南方铁路公司董事会宣布加拿大太平洋铁路公司的最新报价“优越”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Regeneron Pharmaceuticals(REGN)</b> – The drugmaker announced that the U.S. government would buy an additional 1.4 million doses of Regeneron’s Covid-19 antibody cocktail. That will bring the total number of doses purchased by the government to nearly 3 million. Regeneron rose 2.7% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>再生元制药(REGN)</b>——这家制药商宣布，美国政府将额外购买140万剂再生元的Covid-19抗体鸡尾酒。这将使政府购买的疫苗总数达到近300万剂。再生元在盘前交易中上涨2.7%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Yum China(YUMC) </b>– Yum China warned that the spread of the Covid-19 delta variant would result in a 50% to 60% hit to its third-quarter profit. The restaurant operator said it had to close or limit service at more than 500 restaurants in August due to the delta variant outbreak in China. Yum China shares tumbled 4.5% in premarket action.</p><p><blockquote><b>百胜中国(YUMC)</b>-百胜中国警告称，Covid-19德尔塔变异毒株的蔓延将导致其第三季度利润受到50%至60%的打击。该餐厅运营商表示，由于中国爆发德尔塔变异毒株疫情，8月份不得不关闭或限制500多家餐厅的服务。百胜中国股价盘前下跌4.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Citrix Systems(CTXS) </b>– Citrix is working with advisers to consider a possible sale of the company, according to people familiar with the matter who spoke to Bloomberg. The maker of workplace software will gauge potential interest in the company over the next few weeks and could decide to remain independent. Citrix rallied 5% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>Citrix Systems(CTXS)</b>-据接受彭博社采访的知情人士透露，思杰正在与顾问合作，考虑出售该公司的可能性。这家工作场所软件制造商将在未来几周内评估人们对该公司的潜在兴趣，并可能决定保持独立。Citrix盘前上涨5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Crocs(CROX) </b>– Crocs added 1.1% in premarket trading following Tuesday’s 8.5% gain. That came after the shoe maker’s Investor Day where it projected better-than-expected full-year revenue and announced an accelerated share repurchase program.</p><p><blockquote><b>卡骆驰（CROX）</b>-Crocs继周二上涨8.5%后，在盘前交易中上涨1.1%。此前，该鞋业制造商的投资者日预计全年收入好于预期，并宣布了加速股票回购计划。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Skillsoft(SKIL) </b>– The provider of corporate digital learning programs jumped 4.5% in the premarket after reporting better-than-expected revenue and bookings for its latest quarter as well as raising its full-year guidance.</p><p><blockquote><b>Skillsoft(SKIL)</b>-这家企业数字学习项目提供商在公布最新季度的收入和预订量好于预期并上调全年指引后，盘前股价上涨4.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Just Eat Takeaway(GRUB) </b>– The food delivery service’s stock slid 3.2% in premarket trading after&nbsp;Amazon(AMZN) and&nbsp;Deliveroo&nbsp;announced a partnership that will offer free food delivery in the U.K. to Amazon Prime members.</p><p><blockquote><b>就吃外卖(GRUB)</b>-在亚马逊(AMZN)和户户送宣布建立合作伙伴关系，将在英国向亚马逊Prime会员提供免费食品配送服务后，该食品配送服务公司的股价在盘前交易中下跌3.2%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Sage Therapeutics(SAGE)</b> – The drug maker’s shares rallied 3.3% in the premarket after the FDA granted fast-track status to the company’s experimental treatment for Huntington’s disease. Sage expects to start a phase 2 trial for the treatment before the end of 2021.</p><p><blockquote><b>SAGE治疗公司(SAGE)</b>–FDA授予该公司治疗亨廷顿氏症的实验治疗快车道之后，该制药商股价在盘前上涨3.3%。Sage预计将在2021年底前启动该治疗的第2阶段试验。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>SoFi Technologies(SOFI) </b>– The fintech company’s stock added 3% in premarket action after Mizuho began coverage with a “buy” rating and a $28 price target compared with Tuesday’s close of $14.50. Mizuho said SoFi is becoming a “full-fledged, super-app neo-bank” with next-generation capabilities.</p><p><blockquote><b>索菲科技(SOFI)</b>-瑞穗开始给予“买入”评级和28美元目标价（周二收盘价为14.50美元）后，这家金融科技公司的股价在盘前上涨了3%。瑞穗表示，SoFi正在成为一家具有下一代功能的“成熟的超级应用新银行”。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Toplines Before US Market Open on Wednesday<blockquote>周三美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nToplines Before US Market Open on Wednesday<blockquote>周三美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-09-15 20:11</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>U.S. stock index futures edged higher on Wednesday on easing fears of an earlier-than-expected cut to monetary stimulus, even though a slowing economic recovery and uncertainty over higher corporate taxes weighed on sentiment.</p><p><blockquote>美国股指期货周三小幅走高，因对货币刺激措施削减早于预期的担忧有所缓解，尽管经济复苏放缓和公司税上调的不确定性打压了市场情绪。</blockquote></p><p> U.S. S&amp;P 500 E-minis were up 4.25 points, or 0.1% at 08:00 am ET. Dow E-minis were up 10 points, while Nasdaq 100 E-minis were up 21.75 points, or 0.14%.</p><p><blockquote>截至美国东部时间上午08:00，美国标普500 e-mini上涨4.25点，即0.1%。道琼斯电子迷你指数上涨10点，纳斯达克100电子迷你指数上涨21.75点，涨幅0.14%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/42cc0404895138a163950b81a2d5277c\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"357\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Apple Inc&nbsp;rose around 0.2% in premarket trading, after tumbling 1% in the last session on a somewhat lukewarm response to the unveiling of its Phone 13 and a new iPad mini.</p><p><blockquote>苹果公司在盘前交易中上涨约0.2%，此前由于对其Phone 13和新款iPad mini的推出反应有些冷淡，上一交易日下跌1%。</blockquote></p><p> Investors will parse data on U.S. industrial production at 9:15 a.m. for clues about the&nbsp;state of the economic recovery. Economists forecast that output rose in August.</p><p><blockquote>投资者将在上午9:15分析美国工业生产数据，以寻找有关经济复苏状况的线索。经济学家预测8月份产出会上升。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves premarket:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票：</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Microsoft(MSFT)</b> – Microsoft announced an 11% dividend hike, raising its quarterly payout to 62 cents per share from 56 cents, as well as announcing a $60 billion stock buyback program. Microsoft added 1.3% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>微软(MSFT)</b>——微软宣布将股息上调11%，将季度派息从每股56美分上调至62美分，并宣布了600亿美元的股票回购计划。微软盘前上涨1.3%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Weber(WEBR)</b> – The grill maker’s stock jumped 2% in the premarket, following its first quarterly report since going public in August. Weber’s sales rose 19% from a year earlier, and the company projected full-year sales largely above current Wall Street forecasts.</p><p><blockquote><b>韦伯（WEBR）</b>-这家烧烤制造商发布自8月份上市以来的第一份季度报告后，其股价在盘前上涨2%。韦伯的销售额同比增长19%，该公司预计全年销售额将大大高于华尔街目前的预测。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wynn Resorts(WYNN),Las Vegas Sands(LVS)</b> – Macau-related casino stocks tumbled in premarket trading as regulators begin a 45-day period of considering tighter regulations on Macau’s gaming industry. Officials say they want “sustained and healthy development” in the world’s biggest gambling hub, but investors are worried over the impact of potential changes. Wynn fell 5.3% in the premarket while Las Vegas Sands slid 4.8%.</p><p><blockquote><b>永利度假村(WYNN)、拉斯维加斯金沙(LVS)</b>-澳门相关赌场股在盘前交易中暴跌，监管机构开始为期45天的考虑加强对澳门博彩业的监管。官员们表示，他们希望这个世界上最大的赌博中心“持续健康发展”，但投资者担心潜在变化的影响。永利盘前下跌5.3%，拉斯维加斯金沙集团下跌4.8%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Nikola(NKLA)&nbsp;–&nbsp;</b>IVECO and Nikola inaugurated joint-venture manufacturing facility for electric heavy-duty trucks in Ulm, Germany.Nikola shares jumped 3.6% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>尼古拉（NKLA）-</b>依维柯和尼古拉在德国乌尔姆开设了电动重型卡车合资制造工厂。尼古拉股价在盘前交易中上涨3.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>GreenSky(GSKY)</b>&nbsp;<b>–</b>&nbsp;Goldman Sachs Group&nbsp;Inc.&nbsp;is buying specialty lender&nbsp;GreenSky&nbsp;Inc.&nbsp;for $2.2 billion, striking a deal it hopes will further its reinvention from Wall Street powerhouse to Main Street player.GreenSky stock Popped 45% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>格林斯基(GSKY)</b> <b>–</b>高盛集团(Goldman Sachs Group Inc.)将以22亿美元收购专业贷款机构GreenSky Inc.，希望这笔交易能够进一步将其从华尔街巨头重塑为大街参与者。GreenSky股价在盘前交易中上涨45%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Canadian National Railway(CNI)</b> – Canadian National will not improve its offer to buy&nbsp;Kansas City Southern(KSU), according to people familiar with the situation who spoke to CNBC’s David Faber. That would clear the way for&nbsp;Canadian Pacific Railway(CP) to buy Kansas City Southern, after Kansas City Southern’s board declared Canadian Pacific’s latest offer as “superior.”</p><p><blockquote><b>加拿大国家铁路（CNI）</b>-据接受CNBC记者David Faber采访的知情人士透露，加拿大国民航空不会提高收购堪萨斯城南方航空(KSU)的报价。这将为加拿大太平洋铁路公司(CP)收购堪萨斯城南方铁路公司扫清道路，此前堪萨斯城南方铁路公司董事会宣布加拿大太平洋铁路公司的最新报价“优越”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Regeneron Pharmaceuticals(REGN)</b> – The drugmaker announced that the U.S. government would buy an additional 1.4 million doses of Regeneron’s Covid-19 antibody cocktail. That will bring the total number of doses purchased by the government to nearly 3 million. Regeneron rose 2.7% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>再生元制药(REGN)</b>——这家制药商宣布，美国政府将额外购买140万剂再生元的Covid-19抗体鸡尾酒。这将使政府购买的疫苗总数达到近300万剂。再生元在盘前交易中上涨2.7%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Yum China(YUMC) </b>– Yum China warned that the spread of the Covid-19 delta variant would result in a 50% to 60% hit to its third-quarter profit. The restaurant operator said it had to close or limit service at more than 500 restaurants in August due to the delta variant outbreak in China. Yum China shares tumbled 4.5% in premarket action.</p><p><blockquote><b>百胜中国(YUMC)</b>-百胜中国警告称，Covid-19德尔塔变异毒株的蔓延将导致其第三季度利润受到50%至60%的打击。该餐厅运营商表示，由于中国爆发德尔塔变异毒株疫情，8月份不得不关闭或限制500多家餐厅的服务。百胜中国股价盘前下跌4.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Citrix Systems(CTXS) </b>– Citrix is working with advisers to consider a possible sale of the company, according to people familiar with the matter who spoke to Bloomberg. The maker of workplace software will gauge potential interest in the company over the next few weeks and could decide to remain independent. Citrix rallied 5% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>Citrix Systems(CTXS)</b>-据接受彭博社采访的知情人士透露，思杰正在与顾问合作，考虑出售该公司的可能性。这家工作场所软件制造商将在未来几周内评估人们对该公司的潜在兴趣，并可能决定保持独立。Citrix盘前上涨5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Crocs(CROX) </b>– Crocs added 1.1% in premarket trading following Tuesday’s 8.5% gain. That came after the shoe maker’s Investor Day where it projected better-than-expected full-year revenue and announced an accelerated share repurchase program.</p><p><blockquote><b>卡骆驰（CROX）</b>-Crocs继周二上涨8.5%后，在盘前交易中上涨1.1%。此前，该鞋业制造商的投资者日预计全年收入好于预期，并宣布了加速股票回购计划。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Skillsoft(SKIL) </b>– The provider of corporate digital learning programs jumped 4.5% in the premarket after reporting better-than-expected revenue and bookings for its latest quarter as well as raising its full-year guidance.</p><p><blockquote><b>Skillsoft(SKIL)</b>-这家企业数字学习项目提供商在公布最新季度的收入和预订量好于预期并上调全年指引后，盘前股价上涨4.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Just Eat Takeaway(GRUB) </b>– The food delivery service’s stock slid 3.2% in premarket trading after&nbsp;Amazon(AMZN) and&nbsp;Deliveroo&nbsp;announced a partnership that will offer free food delivery in the U.K. to Amazon Prime members.</p><p><blockquote><b>就吃外卖(GRUB)</b>-在亚马逊(AMZN)和户户送宣布建立合作伙伴关系，将在英国向亚马逊Prime会员提供免费食品配送服务后，该食品配送服务公司的股价在盘前交易中下跌3.2%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Sage Therapeutics(SAGE)</b> – The drug maker’s shares rallied 3.3% in the premarket after the FDA granted fast-track status to the company’s experimental treatment for Huntington’s disease. Sage expects to start a phase 2 trial for the treatment before the end of 2021.</p><p><blockquote><b>SAGE治疗公司(SAGE)</b>–FDA授予该公司治疗亨廷顿氏症的实验治疗快车道之后，该制药商股价在盘前上涨3.3%。Sage预计将在2021年底前启动该治疗的第2阶段试验。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>SoFi Technologies(SOFI) </b>– The fintech company’s stock added 3% in premarket action after Mizuho began coverage with a “buy” rating and a $28 price target compared with Tuesday’s close of $14.50. Mizuho said SoFi is becoming a “full-fledged, super-app neo-bank” with next-generation capabilities.</p><p><blockquote><b>索菲科技(SOFI)</b>-瑞穗开始给予“买入”评级和28美元目标价（周二收盘价为14.50美元）后，这家金融科技公司的股价在盘前上涨了3%。瑞穗表示，SoFi正在成为一家具有下一代功能的“成熟的超级应用新银行”。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"REGN":"再生元制药公司","CTXS":"思杰系统","SKIL":"Skillsoft Corp.",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","CROX":"卡骆驰","WYNN":"永利度假村","SAGE":"Sage Therapeutics","LVS":"金沙集团","YUMC":"百胜中国","MSFT":"微软","AAPL":"苹果","WEBR":"Weber Inc.","CNI":"加拿大国家铁路",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","GSKY":"Greensky Inc."},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1112301233","content_text":"U.S. stock index futures edged higher on Wednesday on easing fears of an earlier-than-expected cut to monetary stimulus, even though a slowing economic recovery and uncertainty over higher corporate taxes weighed on sentiment.\nU.S. S&P 500 E-minis were up 4.25 points, or 0.1% at 08:00 am ET. Dow E-minis were up 10 points, while Nasdaq 100 E-minis were up 21.75 points, or 0.14%.\n\nApple Inc rose around 0.2% in premarket trading, after tumbling 1% in the last session on a somewhat lukewarm response to the unveiling of its Phone 13 and a new iPad mini.\nInvestors will parse data on U.S. industrial production at 9:15 a.m. for clues about the state of the economic recovery. Economists forecast that output rose in August.\nStocks making the biggest moves premarket:\nMicrosoft(MSFT) – Microsoft announced an 11% dividend hike, raising its quarterly payout to 62 cents per share from 56 cents, as well as announcing a $60 billion stock buyback program. Microsoft added 1.3% in the premarket.\nWeber(WEBR) – The grill maker’s stock jumped 2% in the premarket, following its first quarterly report since going public in August. Weber’s sales rose 19% from a year earlier, and the company projected full-year sales largely above current Wall Street forecasts.\nWynn Resorts(WYNN),Las Vegas Sands(LVS) – Macau-related casino stocks tumbled in premarket trading as regulators begin a 45-day period of considering tighter regulations on Macau’s gaming industry. Officials say they want “sustained and healthy development” in the world’s biggest gambling hub, but investors are worried over the impact of potential changes. Wynn fell 5.3% in the premarket while Las Vegas Sands slid 4.8%.\nNikola(NKLA) – IVECO and Nikola inaugurated joint-venture manufacturing facility for electric heavy-duty trucks in Ulm, Germany.Nikola shares jumped 3.6% in premarket trading.\nGreenSky(GSKY) – Goldman Sachs Group Inc. is buying specialty lender GreenSky Inc. for $2.2 billion, striking a deal it hopes will further its reinvention from Wall Street powerhouse to Main Street player.GreenSky stock Popped 45% in premarket trading.\nCanadian National Railway(CNI) – Canadian National will not improve its offer to buy Kansas City Southern(KSU), according to people familiar with the situation who spoke to CNBC’s David Faber. That would clear the way for Canadian Pacific Railway(CP) to buy Kansas City Southern, after Kansas City Southern’s board declared Canadian Pacific’s latest offer as “superior.”\nRegeneron Pharmaceuticals(REGN) – The drugmaker announced that the U.S. government would buy an additional 1.4 million doses of Regeneron’s Covid-19 antibody cocktail. That will bring the total number of doses purchased by the government to nearly 3 million. Regeneron rose 2.7% in premarket trading.\nYum China(YUMC) – Yum China warned that the spread of the Covid-19 delta variant would result in a 50% to 60% hit to its third-quarter profit. The restaurant operator said it had to close or limit service at more than 500 restaurants in August due to the delta variant outbreak in China. Yum China shares tumbled 4.5% in premarket action.\nCitrix Systems(CTXS) – Citrix is working with advisers to consider a possible sale of the company, according to people familiar with the matter who spoke to Bloomberg. The maker of workplace software will gauge potential interest in the company over the next few weeks and could decide to remain independent. Citrix rallied 5% in the premarket.\nCrocs(CROX) – Crocs added 1.1% in premarket trading following Tuesday’s 8.5% gain. That came after the shoe maker’s Investor Day where it projected better-than-expected full-year revenue and announced an accelerated share repurchase program.\nSkillsoft(SKIL) – The provider of corporate digital learning programs jumped 4.5% in the premarket after reporting better-than-expected revenue and bookings for its latest quarter as well as raising its full-year guidance.\nJust Eat Takeaway(GRUB) – The food delivery service’s stock slid 3.2% in premarket trading after Amazon(AMZN) and Deliveroo announced a partnership that will offer free food delivery in the U.K. to Amazon Prime members.\nSage Therapeutics(SAGE) – The drug maker’s shares rallied 3.3% in the premarket after the FDA granted fast-track status to the company’s experimental treatment for Huntington’s disease. Sage expects to start a phase 2 trial for the treatment before the end of 2021.\nSoFi Technologies(SOFI) – The fintech company’s stock added 3% in premarket action after Mizuho began coverage with a “buy” rating and a $28 price target compared with Tuesday’s close of $14.50. 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pls thanks","listText":"Like pls thanks","text":"Like pls thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/890738384","repostId":"2157483930","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":471,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":807346689,"gmtCreate":1628002503841,"gmtModify":1631893630889,"author":{"id":"3584531056058582","authorId":"3584531056058582","name":"AnnaPoon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6107b3136c97d1f7731c763f71c27e93","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584531056058582","idStr":"3584531056058582"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/807346689","repostId":"2156473129","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":223,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":894065310,"gmtCreate":1628778412730,"gmtModify":1631883798103,"author":{"id":"3584531056058582","authorId":"3584531056058582","name":"AnnaPoon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6107b3136c97d1f7731c763f71c27e93","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584531056058582","idStr":"3584531056058582"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BNTX\">$BioNTech SE(BNTX)$</a>😭","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BNTX\">$BioNTech SE(BNTX)$</a>😭","text":"$BioNTech SE(BNTX)$😭","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ace358584c0e20cd27ddab0cbdc8c531","width":"1125","height":"1949"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/894065310","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1515,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":894062189,"gmtCreate":1628778390241,"gmtModify":1631891744614,"author":{"id":"3584531056058582","authorId":"3584531056058582","name":"AnnaPoon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6107b3136c97d1f7731c763f71c27e93","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584531056058582","idStr":"3584531056058582"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like thanks&nbsp;","listText":"Like thanks&nbsp;","text":"Like thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/894062189","repostId":"2158250170","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2158250170","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1628777697,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2158250170?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-12 22:14","market":"us","language":"en","title":"A Three-Prong Crucible? Markets Eye Record Highs Amid Inflation, Fiscal, And Delta Uncertainty<blockquote>三叉坩埚？在通胀、财政和三角洲的不确定性中，市场关注历史新高</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2158250170","media":"Benzinga","summary":"Yesterday the market got behind the Fed’s idea that inflation is transitory after a calm consumer price index (CPI) reading. ","content":"<p>Yesterday the market got behind the Fed’s idea that inflation is transitory after a calm consumer price index (CPI) reading.</p><p><blockquote>昨天，在消费者价格指数（CPI）数据平静后，市场支持美联储的观点，即通胀是暂时的。</blockquote></p><p> Will that change today after a sizzling producer price index (PPI) reading? Remember that any gains in PPI can often get reflected in CPI down the road as companies react to higher wholesale prices by passing them along to the consumer. And then there’s the other side of the coin—where companies absorb these prices, which can impact margins. Either way, inflation tends to pack a wallop.</p><p><blockquote>在生产者价格指数（PPI）数据炙手可热之后，今天这种情况会改变吗？请记住，PPI的任何上涨通常都会反映在未来的CPI中，因为企业会通过将批发价格上涨转嫁给消费者来应对批发价格上涨。还有硬币的另一面——公司吸收这些价格，这可能会影响利润率。无论哪种方式，通货膨胀往往会产生影响。</blockquote></p><p> Major indices didn’t immediately react much to a July PPI reading of 1%, which was way above the Wall Street analyst consensus of 0.5%. That followed yesterday’s CPI coming in about as expected and well below the June level. The July PPI was equal to June’s, so that kind of takes a bit of the transitory argument away. Also, core PPI, which strips out volatile energy and food prices, was the same as the headline figure, so there’s no hiding behind that.</p><p><blockquote>主要股指没有立即对7月份PPI读数1%做出太大反应，该读数远高于华尔街分析师普遍预期的0.5%。此前，昨天的CPI与预期大致相同，远低于6月份的水平。7月份的生产者价格指数与6月份持平，因此这在某种程度上消除了一些暂时性的论点。此外，剔除波动较大的能源和食品价格的核心生产者价格指数与总体数据相同，因此这背后没有任何隐藏。</blockquote></p><p> The PPI report is just the start of today’s action. Later on,&nbsp;<b>Disney&nbsp;</b>(NYSE:DIS)&nbsp;steps onto center stage&nbsp;with its earnings report. Focus is likely to be on streaming and whether the Delta variant might slow attendance gains at theme parks and movie theaters. It’s likely DIS executives will be asked how the big jump in Florida cases is affecting the Magic Kingdom in Orlando.</p><p><blockquote>PPI报告只是今天行动的开始。后来，<b>迪斯尼</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：DIS）凭借其收益报告走上舞台。焦点可能是流媒体以及德尔塔变异毒株是否会减缓主题公园和电影院的上座率增长。DIS高管很可能会被问及佛罗里达州案件的大幅增加如何影响奥兰多的魔法王国。</blockquote></p><p> Weekly jobless claims of 375,000 were more in line with estimates and pretty much down the middle compared with recent numbers. There doesn’t seem to be much improvement going on here, but it’s not getting worse, either. The number probably won’t have much influence today.</p><p><blockquote>每周申请失业救济人数为375,000人，更符合预期，与最近的数字相比几乎处于中间位置。这里似乎没有太大的改善，但也没有变得更糟。这个数字在今天可能不会有太大影响。</blockquote></p><p> Instead, investors are likely to spend their time trying to make sense of these contrasting inflation indicators, which might explain why major indices initially went nowhere in pre-market trading on the PPI reading. Does this strong PPI give the Fed more reason to begin its tapering earlier than expected, or will the Fed wait for another month of data to try and get more clarity? If history means anything, we can probably bet on option two.</p><p><blockquote>相反，投资者可能会花时间试图理解这些截然不同的通胀指标，这或许可以解释为什么主要指数最初在PPI读数的盘前交易中毫无进展。强劲的PPI是否让美联储有更多理由比预期更早开始缩减规模，或者美联储是否会等待另一个月的数据来尝试获得更多清晰度？如果历史有任何意义，我们或许可以赌第二种选择。</blockquote></p><p> <h2>Inflationary Showdown Shows Slight Slowdown</h2> Wednesday’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) report told investors mostly what they already knew: overall inflation is running hot. But that’s not what the market was keen to focus on. Instead, investors appeared to be looking at the core CPI, which jumped 4.3% year over year as expected but only 0.3% on a monthly basis—a tad less than the 0.4% analysts estimated.</p><p><blockquote><h2>通胀摊牌略有放缓</h2>周三的消费者价格指数（CPI）报告告诉了投资者大部分他们已经知道的事情：整体通胀正在升温。但这并不是市场热衷于关注的。相反，投资者似乎关注的是核心CPI，该CPI同比上涨4.3%，符合预期，但环比仅上涨0.3%，略低于分析师预期的0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> On top of this, the Fed’s “transitory” narrative suddenly seemed a bit more believable as a slowdown in used car prices likely allayed fears of a monetary sudden-brake shock. Used car prices rose only 0.2% in July, a small bump compared to the prior month’s steep 10% surge.</p><p><blockquote>最重要的是，美联储的“暂时性”叙述突然变得更加可信，因为二手车价格放缓可能会缓解人们对货币急刹车冲击的担忧。7月份二手车价格仅上涨0.2%，与上个月10%的大幅上涨相比小幅上涨。</blockquote></p><p> But again, this morning’s PPI seems to be at least a partial counterargument to the transitory view. A single month’s data isn’t a trend, but this is certainly <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> to keep an eye on.</p><p><blockquote>但同样，今天上午的PPI似乎至少是对暂时性观点的部分反驳。单月的数据不是趋势，但这肯定是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>来留意。</blockquote></p><p> Following the CPI report, the&nbsp;<b>Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;</b>($DJI) jumped as much as 200 points, with&nbsp;<b>Caterpillar&nbsp;</b>(NYSE:CAT) and&nbsp;<b>Home Depot</b>&nbsp;(NYSE:HD) leading the index, while 10-year Treasury yields stood mostly flat, and “FAANG” stocks slid into negative territory, with the exception of&nbsp;<b>Apple&nbsp;</b>(NASDAQ:AAPL). Could it be that fears of a “too-laid-back” Fed policy are starting to morph into a “just right” Goldilocks scenario?</p><p><blockquote>继CPI报告之后，<b>道琼斯工业平均指数</b>($DJI)上涨200点，<b>卡特彼勒</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：CAT）和<b>家得宝</b>(NYSE：HD)领涨该指数，而10年期国债收益率基本持平，“FAANG”股票跌至负值区域，但<b>苹果</b>（纳斯达克：AAPL）。对美联储政策“过于宽松”的担忧是否开始演变成“恰到好处”的金发姑娘情景？</blockquote></p><p> Big cyclical sectors like Energy and Financials were already on the upswing this week even before yesterday’s bullish CPI data. Strength in these sectors helped give the blue-chip&nbsp;<b>Dow Jones Industrial Average</b>&nbsp;($DJI) a lift so far over the other major indices.</p><p><blockquote>甚至在昨天看涨的CPI数据公布之前，能源和金融等大型周期性板块本周就已经在上涨。这些行业的走强帮助蓝筹股<b>道琼斯工业平均指数</b>($DJI)迄今为止的涨幅高于其他主要指数。</blockquote></p><p> <h2>Small-Caps Still Scuffling</h2> So where does that leave small-caps, which are often known for their solid performance during economic recoveries? The small-cap&nbsp;<b>Russell 2000 Index</b>&nbsp;(RUT) is still scuffling a bit, pretty much flat so far this month and well below its 2021 highs. It did rise a bit on Wednesday, but again got outpaced by the $DJI. It’s basically still stuck in a volatile 5-month “rut” despite the strong and steady doses of easy-money policy.</p><p><blockquote><h2>小盘股仍在混战</h2>那么，通常以在经济复苏期间表现稳健而闻名的小盘股将何去何从呢？小盘股<b>罗素2000指数</b>(RUT)仍在挣扎，本月迄今为止基本持平，远低于2021年的高点。周三确实上涨了一点，但再次被美元DJI超越。尽管采取了强有力且稳定的宽松货币政策，但它基本上仍然陷入了动荡的5个月“窠臼”。</blockquote></p><p> It might be worth watching to see if RUT can break out of the slow pattern it entered after emerging from its early summer selloff. Which way RUT goes from here might help provide clues about the market as a whole, because RUT can be an early leader up or down.</p><p><blockquote>看看RUT是否能打破初夏抛售后进入的缓慢模式可能值得关注。RUT从这里走向何方可能有助于提供有关整个市场的线索，因为RUT可能是早期上涨或下跌的领导者。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Another consideration is where the&nbsp;FAANG stocks&nbsp;go if Treasury yields resume their climb. Remember that earlier this year, rising yields appeared to take a big bite out of the “mega-cap” Tech stocks, with AAPL and<b>&nbsp;Tesla</b>&nbsp;(NASDAQ:TSLA) among that hit hardest. It’s fine to say that Financials and Energy can pick up the slack, but that ignores the fact that the FAANGs—like it or not—comprise about 20% of the value of the SPX. That means any significant setbacks for these huge companies could drag the overall index.</p><p><blockquote>另一个考虑因素是，如果美国国债收益率恢复攀升，FAANG股票将何去何从。请记住，今年早些时候，收益率上升似乎对“大型”科技股造成了很大影响，苹果公司和<b>特斯拉</b>（纳斯达克：TSLA）是受打击最严重国家之一。可以说金融和能源可以弥补这一缺口，但这忽略了一个事实，即FAANG——不管你喜欢与否——约占SPX价值的20%。这意味着这些大公司的任何重大挫折都可能拖累整体指数。</blockquote></p><p> Since May, mega-cap Techs have been helping pull up the SPX while some of the other sectors struggle. Analysts are talking about how the rally has less “depth,” meaning it’s more dependent on a few big gorillas to keep it going. While yields aren’t in the kind of territory we saw last spring, it’s worth watching that relationship between yields and FAANGs for clues about where the market goes next.</p><p><blockquote>自5月份以来，大型科技股一直在帮助拉升SPX指数，而其他一些行业却陷入困境。分析师们正在谈论涨势的“深度”如何降低，这意味着它更依赖于几只大猩猩来维持涨势。虽然收益率没有达到我们去年春天看到的水平，但值得关注收益率和FAANG之间的关系，以寻找市场下一步走向的线索。</blockquote></p><p> If inflation growth is actually slowing—and one CPI report isn’t a trend—that could drive optimism that the Fed won’t clamp down right away, perhaps keeping yields from overheating and mega-caps from melting down. Now the PPI report may have people rethinking that. The tug of war continues.</p><p><blockquote>如果通胀增长实际上正在放缓——而一份CPI报告并不是趋势——这可能会激发人们的乐观情绪，即美联储不会立即收紧政策，或许会防止收益率过热和大型股崩溃。现在PPI报告可能会让人们重新思考这一点。拉锯战仍在继续。</blockquote></p><p> <h2>The Sweet And The Sour Impact Of Washington</h2> Stocks got a nice assist from Congress earlier this week when the Senate passed the infrastructure bill. On the opposite side of the equation, markets seem to be ignoring a debate in Congress over the debt ceiling. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen encouraged the parties to find a solution, and for now, the thinking on Wall Street seems to be that there will be one. However, that doesn’t mean a smooth process.</p><p><blockquote><h2>华盛顿的酸甜苦辣影响</h2>本周早些时候，当参议院通过基础设施法案时，股市得到了国会的良好帮助。另一方面，市场似乎忽视了国会关于债务上限的辩论。财政部长珍妮特·耶伦鼓励各方找到解决方案，目前华尔街的想法似乎是会有一个解决方案。然而，这并不意味着一个顺利的过程。</blockquote></p><p> There was eventually a solution in 2011, too, and the U.S. didn’t default on its debt payments. But it did see its credit rating lowered, and stocks took a pounding that summer. We’ll see if Congress can avoid getting to that point this time around. As a reminder, the debt ceiling has been raised numerous times since the 1980s, with both parties voting to do so. The last time was in 2019, under President Trump.</p><p><blockquote>2011年最终也有了解决方案，美国没有拖欠债务。但它的信用评级确实被下调，股市在那年夏天遭受重创。我们将看看国会这次是否能避免走到这一步。提醒一下，自20世纪80年代以来，债务上限已多次提高，两党都投票支持。上一次是在2019年，特朗普总统执政期间。</blockquote></p><p> If the debt ceiling fight starts to ramp up,&nbsp;volatility&nbsp;could eventually return. It’s not really a big factor right now, but don’t be surprised if we see some intraday volatility continue in the coming weeks.</p><p><blockquote>如果债务上限之争开始加剧，波动性最终可能会卷土重来。目前这并不是一个很大的因素，但如果我们看到未来几周内继续出现一些日内波动，请不要感到惊讶。</blockquote></p><p> You saw the beginnings of that the last couple of weeks, where we’d be up significantly in the morning and sell back off. Or be down significantly in the morning and rally back. We’re probably going to see that pattern continue because besides awaiting the next steps on the infrastructure bill, the market still awaits clarity from the Fed. And even though this bill is exciting, that clarity from the Fed is arguably the big cloud that everything else operates underneath right now as far as the market is concerned.</p><p><blockquote>你看到了过去几周的开始，我们会在早上大幅上涨并抛售。或者早上大幅下跌然后反弹。我们可能会看到这种模式继续下去，因为除了等待基础设施法案的下一步措施外，市场仍在等待美联储的澄清。尽管这项法案令人兴奋，但就市场而言，美联储的明确性可以说是目前其他一切都在其下运行的大乌云。</blockquote></p><p> For instance, yesterday Kansas City Fed President Esther George said it was time for the central bank to begin pulling back its bond-buying program. There’s been similar language from other Fed officials recently. No single person at the Fed sets policy, but at least a few seem to be chomping at the bit, so to speak, to start tapering.</p><p><blockquote>例如，昨天堪萨斯城联储主席埃丝特·乔治表示，央行是时候开始撤回债券购买计划了。最近，其他美联储官员也发表了类似的言论。美联储没有一个人制定政策，但至少有一些人似乎迫不及待地想开始缩减规模。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://tickertapecdn.tdameritrade.com/assets/images/pages/md/2021-08-12-chart.png\" tg-width=\"780\" tg-height=\"412\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>CHART OF THE DAY: WHAT’S YOUR 50? Though it’s been a while since the S&amp;P 500 Index (SPX—candlestick) suffered a setback, it’s worth noting that mid-month has been tough for it the last few months. That doesn’t mean there’s a selloff ahead, only that you might want to prepare for one if the pattern persists. Assuming things run into trouble, the level to watch is the 50-day moving average (blue line), which currently rests about 3% below the index. That’s pretty much how far things fell in mid-July when the last selloff occurred before the SPX bounced off of that 50-day MA. Data Source: S&amp;P Dow Jones Indices. Chart source: The thinkorswim® platform. For illustrative purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>每日图表：你的50岁是多少？尽管标普500指数（SPX-Candlestick）遭受挫折已经有一段时间了，但值得注意的是，过去几个月中旬对其来说一直很艰难。这并不意味着未来会出现抛售，只是如果这种模式持续下去，您可能需要为抛售做好准备。假设事情遇到麻烦，值得关注的水平是50日移动平均线（蓝线），目前该平均线比指数低约3%。这几乎就是7月中旬SPX从50日均线反弹之前的最后一次抛售发生时的跌幅。数据来源：标准普尔道琼斯指数。图表来源：thinkorswim®平台。仅用于说明目的。过去的表现并不能保证未来的结果。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>A Tale Of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWOA.U\">Two</a> Earnings And Reopening:&nbsp;</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWOA\">Two</a> earnings reports out this week help illustrate how people are still eager to get out of their homes despite Delta variant fears. First,<b>&nbsp;Ebay</b>&nbsp;(NASDAQ:EBAY) gave some muted Q3 guidance because people don’t want to stay home checking online auctions. Then dating site<b>&nbsp;Bumble</b>&nbsp;(NASDAQ:BMBL) did better than expected, also because people want to get out. This can show us two things. First, there’s still a lot of pent-up demand to get back to normal. Number two, EBAY might give us insight into what to expect from other retailers, especially those who rely a lot on digital, when retail earnings season gets underway in earnest next week.</p><p><blockquote><b>的故事<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWOA.U\">两个</a>收益和重新开业：</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWOA\">两个</a>本周发布的收益报告有助于说明，尽管存在德尔塔变异毒株担忧，人们仍然渴望走出家门。首先，<b>Ebay</b>（纳斯达克：EBAY）给出了一些温和的第三季度指导，因为人们不想呆在家里查看在线拍卖。然后交友网站<b>邦布尔</b>（纳斯达克：BMBL）表现好于预期，也是因为人们想退出。这可以告诉我们两件事。首先，仍有很多被压抑的需求需要恢复正常。第二，当下周零售财报季正式开始时，EBAY可能会让我们深入了解对其他零售商的期望，尤其是那些严重依赖数字的零售商。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>Patience Could Be A&nbsp;Virtue With Infrastructure Stocks:&nbsp;</b>Companies like&nbsp;<b>U.S. Steel&nbsp;</b>(NYSE:X),&nbsp;<b>General Electric</b>&nbsp;(NYSE:GE), and&nbsp;<b>Cleveland-Cliffs</b>&nbsp;(NYSE:CLF) all had a nice bump this week on the Senate’s infrastructure bill passage. But remember, this isn’t something that’s going to hit the economy for a while. If you’re looking longer term as an investor and you want to own these stocks for a few years, that’s probably where the bigger opportunity is. In the shorter term, you could see an initial bump, and then maybe a little bit of a flattening out.</p><p><blockquote><b>耐心可能是基础设施股票的一种美德：</b>公司喜欢<b>美国钢铁公司</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：X），<b>通用电气</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：GE），以及<b>克利夫兰悬崖</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：CLF）本周，参议院基础设施法案的通过都取得了不错的进展。但请记住，这不会在一段时间内影响经济。如果您作为投资者着眼于长期，并且想持有这些股票几年，那么这可能是更大的机会。在短期内，你可能会看到最初的隆起，然后可能会有一点点变平。</blockquote></p><p> It could take six or nine months before you actually start to see some shovel-ready projects or even some of the architectural and engineering firms starting to lay all of this out. It is a huge undertaking. Long term, it could have a big impact on some of those companies. But again, it takes a while to get going.<b>&nbsp;</b></p><p><blockquote>可能需要六到九个月的时间，你才会真正开始看到一些现成的项目，甚至一些建筑和工程公司开始布局所有这些。这是一项巨大的事业。从长远来看，这可能会对其中一些公司产生重大影响。但同样，这需要一段时间才能开始。<b> </b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Not Enough Gloom For Gold To Shine?</b>&nbsp;The traditional clash between market fundamentalists and chart technicians came to a head over gold at the skirmish zone of $1,670 an ounce range. Why $1,670? For “technical” traders, that price marks the critical 61.8%&nbsp;Fibonacci retracement&nbsp;level. If this makes no sense to you at all, as it is slightly complex for the uninitiated, just assume that it’s nearing the<i>&nbsp;uncle point</i>&nbsp;where either bulls pile in and prevail (which it appears they did), or they flee, dumping their long positions as bears overrun them.</p><p><blockquote><b>黑暗不足以让金子发光？</b>市场原教旨主义者和图表技术人员之间的传统冲突在每盎司1670美元的冲突区域达到了顶峰。为什么是1670美元？对于“技术”交易者来说，该价格标志着关键的61.8%斐波那契回撤位。如果这对您来说完全没有意义，因为它对于门外汉来说有点复杂，请假设它接近<i>叔叔点</i>要么多头蜂拥而至并获胜（看起来他们做到了），要么他们逃离，在空头占领他们时抛售他们的多头头寸。</blockquote></p><p> The $1,670 range was tested twice before, in March, with bulls gaining the upper hand each time. But even that wasn’t enough to stem the tide of “risk-on” sentiment, leading to the fundamental vs technical commotion before yesterday’s Consumer Price Index and today’s Producer Price Index reports—both inflationary gauges; and gold, a traditional inflationary hedge. With not enough gloom to glide gold’s flight, will this week’s inflationary readings cause gold to shine or sizzle?</p><p><blockquote>此前曾在3月份两次测试1,670美元区间，每次都是多头占据上风。但即便如此，也不足以阻止“冒险”情绪的浪潮，导致在昨天的消费者价格指数和今天的生产者价格指数报告（两者都是通胀指标）之前基本面与技术面的骚动；以及黄金，一种传统的通胀对冲工具。由于没有足够的阴霾来拖累黄金的飞行，本周的通胀数据会导致黄金发光还是咝咝作响？</blockquote></p><p> TD Ameritrade® commentary for educational purposes only. Member SIPC.</p><p><blockquote>德美利证券®评论仅用于教育目的。成员SIPC。</blockquote></p><p> Image by Alessandro D'Andrea from Pixabay</p><p><blockquote>图片由Alessandro D'Andrea来自Pixabay</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>A Three-Prong Crucible? Markets Eye Record Highs Amid Inflation, Fiscal, And Delta Uncertainty<blockquote>三叉坩埚？在通胀、财政和三角洲的不确定性中，市场关注历史新高</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nA Three-Prong Crucible? Markets Eye Record Highs Amid Inflation, Fiscal, And Delta Uncertainty<blockquote>三叉坩埚？在通胀、财政和三角洲的不确定性中，市场关注历史新高</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-08-12 22:14</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Yesterday the market got behind the Fed’s idea that inflation is transitory after a calm consumer price index (CPI) reading.</p><p><blockquote>昨天，在消费者价格指数（CPI）数据平静后，市场支持美联储的观点，即通胀是暂时的。</blockquote></p><p> Will that change today after a sizzling producer price index (PPI) reading? Remember that any gains in PPI can often get reflected in CPI down the road as companies react to higher wholesale prices by passing them along to the consumer. And then there’s the other side of the coin—where companies absorb these prices, which can impact margins. Either way, inflation tends to pack a wallop.</p><p><blockquote>在生产者价格指数（PPI）数据炙手可热之后，今天这种情况会改变吗？请记住，PPI的任何上涨通常都会反映在未来的CPI中，因为企业会通过将批发价格上涨转嫁给消费者来应对批发价格上涨。还有硬币的另一面——公司吸收这些价格，这可能会影响利润率。无论哪种方式，通货膨胀往往会产生影响。</blockquote></p><p> Major indices didn’t immediately react much to a July PPI reading of 1%, which was way above the Wall Street analyst consensus of 0.5%. That followed yesterday’s CPI coming in about as expected and well below the June level. The July PPI was equal to June’s, so that kind of takes a bit of the transitory argument away. Also, core PPI, which strips out volatile energy and food prices, was the same as the headline figure, so there’s no hiding behind that.</p><p><blockquote>主要股指没有立即对7月份PPI读数1%做出太大反应，该读数远高于华尔街分析师普遍预期的0.5%。此前，昨天的CPI与预期大致相同，远低于6月份的水平。7月份的生产者价格指数与6月份持平，因此这在某种程度上消除了一些暂时性的论点。此外，剔除波动较大的能源和食品价格的核心生产者价格指数与总体数据相同，因此这背后没有任何隐藏。</blockquote></p><p> The PPI report is just the start of today’s action. Later on,&nbsp;<b>Disney&nbsp;</b>(NYSE:DIS)&nbsp;steps onto center stage&nbsp;with its earnings report. Focus is likely to be on streaming and whether the Delta variant might slow attendance gains at theme parks and movie theaters. It’s likely DIS executives will be asked how the big jump in Florida cases is affecting the Magic Kingdom in Orlando.</p><p><blockquote>PPI报告只是今天行动的开始。后来，<b>迪斯尼</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：DIS）凭借其收益报告走上舞台。焦点可能是流媒体以及德尔塔变异毒株是否会减缓主题公园和电影院的上座率增长。DIS高管很可能会被问及佛罗里达州案件的大幅增加如何影响奥兰多的魔法王国。</blockquote></p><p> Weekly jobless claims of 375,000 were more in line with estimates and pretty much down the middle compared with recent numbers. There doesn’t seem to be much improvement going on here, but it’s not getting worse, either. The number probably won’t have much influence today.</p><p><blockquote>每周申请失业救济人数为375,000人，更符合预期，与最近的数字相比几乎处于中间位置。这里似乎没有太大的改善，但也没有变得更糟。这个数字在今天可能不会有太大影响。</blockquote></p><p> Instead, investors are likely to spend their time trying to make sense of these contrasting inflation indicators, which might explain why major indices initially went nowhere in pre-market trading on the PPI reading. Does this strong PPI give the Fed more reason to begin its tapering earlier than expected, or will the Fed wait for another month of data to try and get more clarity? If history means anything, we can probably bet on option two.</p><p><blockquote>相反，投资者可能会花时间试图理解这些截然不同的通胀指标，这或许可以解释为什么主要指数最初在PPI读数的盘前交易中毫无进展。强劲的PPI是否让美联储有更多理由比预期更早开始缩减规模，或者美联储是否会等待另一个月的数据来尝试获得更多清晰度？如果历史有任何意义，我们或许可以赌第二种选择。</blockquote></p><p> <h2>Inflationary Showdown Shows Slight Slowdown</h2> Wednesday’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) report told investors mostly what they already knew: overall inflation is running hot. But that’s not what the market was keen to focus on. Instead, investors appeared to be looking at the core CPI, which jumped 4.3% year over year as expected but only 0.3% on a monthly basis—a tad less than the 0.4% analysts estimated.</p><p><blockquote><h2>通胀摊牌略有放缓</h2>周三的消费者价格指数（CPI）报告告诉了投资者大部分他们已经知道的事情：整体通胀正在升温。但这并不是市场热衷于关注的。相反，投资者似乎关注的是核心CPI，该CPI同比上涨4.3%，符合预期，但环比仅上涨0.3%，略低于分析师预期的0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> On top of this, the Fed’s “transitory” narrative suddenly seemed a bit more believable as a slowdown in used car prices likely allayed fears of a monetary sudden-brake shock. Used car prices rose only 0.2% in July, a small bump compared to the prior month’s steep 10% surge.</p><p><blockquote>最重要的是，美联储的“暂时性”叙述突然变得更加可信，因为二手车价格放缓可能会缓解人们对货币急刹车冲击的担忧。7月份二手车价格仅上涨0.2%，与上个月10%的大幅上涨相比小幅上涨。</blockquote></p><p> But again, this morning’s PPI seems to be at least a partial counterargument to the transitory view. A single month’s data isn’t a trend, but this is certainly <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> to keep an eye on.</p><p><blockquote>但同样，今天上午的PPI似乎至少是对暂时性观点的部分反驳。单月的数据不是趋势，但这肯定是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>来留意。</blockquote></p><p> Following the CPI report, the&nbsp;<b>Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;</b>($DJI) jumped as much as 200 points, with&nbsp;<b>Caterpillar&nbsp;</b>(NYSE:CAT) and&nbsp;<b>Home Depot</b>&nbsp;(NYSE:HD) leading the index, while 10-year Treasury yields stood mostly flat, and “FAANG” stocks slid into negative territory, with the exception of&nbsp;<b>Apple&nbsp;</b>(NASDAQ:AAPL). Could it be that fears of a “too-laid-back” Fed policy are starting to morph into a “just right” Goldilocks scenario?</p><p><blockquote>继CPI报告之后，<b>道琼斯工业平均指数</b>($DJI)上涨200点，<b>卡特彼勒</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：CAT）和<b>家得宝</b>(NYSE：HD)领涨该指数，而10年期国债收益率基本持平，“FAANG”股票跌至负值区域，但<b>苹果</b>（纳斯达克：AAPL）。对美联储政策“过于宽松”的担忧是否开始演变成“恰到好处”的金发姑娘情景？</blockquote></p><p> Big cyclical sectors like Energy and Financials were already on the upswing this week even before yesterday’s bullish CPI data. Strength in these sectors helped give the blue-chip&nbsp;<b>Dow Jones Industrial Average</b>&nbsp;($DJI) a lift so far over the other major indices.</p><p><blockquote>甚至在昨天看涨的CPI数据公布之前，能源和金融等大型周期性板块本周就已经在上涨。这些行业的走强帮助蓝筹股<b>道琼斯工业平均指数</b>($DJI)迄今为止的涨幅高于其他主要指数。</blockquote></p><p> <h2>Small-Caps Still Scuffling</h2> So where does that leave small-caps, which are often known for their solid performance during economic recoveries? The small-cap&nbsp;<b>Russell 2000 Index</b>&nbsp;(RUT) is still scuffling a bit, pretty much flat so far this month and well below its 2021 highs. It did rise a bit on Wednesday, but again got outpaced by the $DJI. It’s basically still stuck in a volatile 5-month “rut” despite the strong and steady doses of easy-money policy.</p><p><blockquote><h2>小盘股仍在混战</h2>那么，通常以在经济复苏期间表现稳健而闻名的小盘股将何去何从呢？小盘股<b>罗素2000指数</b>(RUT)仍在挣扎，本月迄今为止基本持平，远低于2021年的高点。周三确实上涨了一点，但再次被美元DJI超越。尽管采取了强有力且稳定的宽松货币政策，但它基本上仍然陷入了动荡的5个月“窠臼”。</blockquote></p><p> It might be worth watching to see if RUT can break out of the slow pattern it entered after emerging from its early summer selloff. Which way RUT goes from here might help provide clues about the market as a whole, because RUT can be an early leader up or down.</p><p><blockquote>看看RUT是否能打破初夏抛售后进入的缓慢模式可能值得关注。RUT从这里走向何方可能有助于提供有关整个市场的线索，因为RUT可能是早期上涨或下跌的领导者。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Another consideration is where the&nbsp;FAANG stocks&nbsp;go if Treasury yields resume their climb. Remember that earlier this year, rising yields appeared to take a big bite out of the “mega-cap” Tech stocks, with AAPL and<b>&nbsp;Tesla</b>&nbsp;(NASDAQ:TSLA) among that hit hardest. It’s fine to say that Financials and Energy can pick up the slack, but that ignores the fact that the FAANGs—like it or not—comprise about 20% of the value of the SPX. That means any significant setbacks for these huge companies could drag the overall index.</p><p><blockquote>另一个考虑因素是，如果美国国债收益率恢复攀升，FAANG股票将何去何从。请记住，今年早些时候，收益率上升似乎对“大型”科技股造成了很大影响，苹果公司和<b>特斯拉</b>（纳斯达克：TSLA）是受打击最严重国家之一。可以说金融和能源可以弥补这一缺口，但这忽略了一个事实，即FAANG——不管你喜欢与否——约占SPX价值的20%。这意味着这些大公司的任何重大挫折都可能拖累整体指数。</blockquote></p><p> Since May, mega-cap Techs have been helping pull up the SPX while some of the other sectors struggle. Analysts are talking about how the rally has less “depth,” meaning it’s more dependent on a few big gorillas to keep it going. While yields aren’t in the kind of territory we saw last spring, it’s worth watching that relationship between yields and FAANGs for clues about where the market goes next.</p><p><blockquote>自5月份以来，大型科技股一直在帮助拉升SPX指数，而其他一些行业却陷入困境。分析师们正在谈论涨势的“深度”如何降低，这意味着它更依赖于几只大猩猩来维持涨势。虽然收益率没有达到我们去年春天看到的水平，但值得关注收益率和FAANG之间的关系，以寻找市场下一步走向的线索。</blockquote></p><p> If inflation growth is actually slowing—and one CPI report isn’t a trend—that could drive optimism that the Fed won’t clamp down right away, perhaps keeping yields from overheating and mega-caps from melting down. Now the PPI report may have people rethinking that. The tug of war continues.</p><p><blockquote>如果通胀增长实际上正在放缓——而一份CPI报告并不是趋势——这可能会激发人们的乐观情绪，即美联储不会立即收紧政策，或许会防止收益率过热和大型股崩溃。现在PPI报告可能会让人们重新思考这一点。拉锯战仍在继续。</blockquote></p><p> <h2>The Sweet And The Sour Impact Of Washington</h2> Stocks got a nice assist from Congress earlier this week when the Senate passed the infrastructure bill. On the opposite side of the equation, markets seem to be ignoring a debate in Congress over the debt ceiling. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen encouraged the parties to find a solution, and for now, the thinking on Wall Street seems to be that there will be one. However, that doesn’t mean a smooth process.</p><p><blockquote><h2>华盛顿的酸甜苦辣影响</h2>本周早些时候，当参议院通过基础设施法案时，股市得到了国会的良好帮助。另一方面，市场似乎忽视了国会关于债务上限的辩论。财政部长珍妮特·耶伦鼓励各方找到解决方案，目前华尔街的想法似乎是会有一个解决方案。然而，这并不意味着一个顺利的过程。</blockquote></p><p> There was eventually a solution in 2011, too, and the U.S. didn’t default on its debt payments. But it did see its credit rating lowered, and stocks took a pounding that summer. We’ll see if Congress can avoid getting to that point this time around. As a reminder, the debt ceiling has been raised numerous times since the 1980s, with both parties voting to do so. The last time was in 2019, under President Trump.</p><p><blockquote>2011年最终也有了解决方案，美国没有拖欠债务。但它的信用评级确实被下调，股市在那年夏天遭受重创。我们将看看国会这次是否能避免走到这一步。提醒一下，自20世纪80年代以来，债务上限已多次提高，两党都投票支持。上一次是在2019年，特朗普总统执政期间。</blockquote></p><p> If the debt ceiling fight starts to ramp up,&nbsp;volatility&nbsp;could eventually return. It’s not really a big factor right now, but don’t be surprised if we see some intraday volatility continue in the coming weeks.</p><p><blockquote>如果债务上限之争开始加剧，波动性最终可能会卷土重来。目前这并不是一个很大的因素，但如果我们看到未来几周内继续出现一些日内波动，请不要感到惊讶。</blockquote></p><p> You saw the beginnings of that the last couple of weeks, where we’d be up significantly in the morning and sell back off. Or be down significantly in the morning and rally back. We’re probably going to see that pattern continue because besides awaiting the next steps on the infrastructure bill, the market still awaits clarity from the Fed. And even though this bill is exciting, that clarity from the Fed is arguably the big cloud that everything else operates underneath right now as far as the market is concerned.</p><p><blockquote>你看到了过去几周的开始，我们会在早上大幅上涨并抛售。或者早上大幅下跌然后反弹。我们可能会看到这种模式继续下去，因为除了等待基础设施法案的下一步措施外，市场仍在等待美联储的澄清。尽管这项法案令人兴奋，但就市场而言，美联储的明确性可以说是目前其他一切都在其下运行的大乌云。</blockquote></p><p> For instance, yesterday Kansas City Fed President Esther George said it was time for the central bank to begin pulling back its bond-buying program. There’s been similar language from other Fed officials recently. No single person at the Fed sets policy, but at least a few seem to be chomping at the bit, so to speak, to start tapering.</p><p><blockquote>例如，昨天堪萨斯城联储主席埃丝特·乔治表示，央行是时候开始撤回债券购买计划了。最近，其他美联储官员也发表了类似的言论。美联储没有一个人制定政策，但至少有一些人似乎迫不及待地想开始缩减规模。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://tickertapecdn.tdameritrade.com/assets/images/pages/md/2021-08-12-chart.png\" tg-width=\"780\" tg-height=\"412\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>CHART OF THE DAY: WHAT’S YOUR 50? Though it’s been a while since the S&amp;P 500 Index (SPX—candlestick) suffered a setback, it’s worth noting that mid-month has been tough for it the last few months. That doesn’t mean there’s a selloff ahead, only that you might want to prepare for one if the pattern persists. Assuming things run into trouble, the level to watch is the 50-day moving average (blue line), which currently rests about 3% below the index. That’s pretty much how far things fell in mid-July when the last selloff occurred before the SPX bounced off of that 50-day MA. Data Source: S&amp;P Dow Jones Indices. Chart source: The thinkorswim® platform. For illustrative purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>每日图表：你的50岁是多少？尽管标普500指数（SPX-Candlestick）遭受挫折已经有一段时间了，但值得注意的是，过去几个月中旬对其来说一直很艰难。这并不意味着未来会出现抛售，只是如果这种模式持续下去，您可能需要为抛售做好准备。假设事情遇到麻烦，值得关注的水平是50日移动平均线（蓝线），目前该平均线比指数低约3%。这几乎就是7月中旬SPX从50日均线反弹之前的最后一次抛售发生时的跌幅。数据来源：标准普尔道琼斯指数。图表来源：thinkorswim®平台。仅用于说明目的。过去的表现并不能保证未来的结果。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>A Tale Of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWOA.U\">Two</a> Earnings And Reopening:&nbsp;</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWOA\">Two</a> earnings reports out this week help illustrate how people are still eager to get out of their homes despite Delta variant fears. First,<b>&nbsp;Ebay</b>&nbsp;(NASDAQ:EBAY) gave some muted Q3 guidance because people don’t want to stay home checking online auctions. Then dating site<b>&nbsp;Bumble</b>&nbsp;(NASDAQ:BMBL) did better than expected, also because people want to get out. This can show us two things. First, there’s still a lot of pent-up demand to get back to normal. Number two, EBAY might give us insight into what to expect from other retailers, especially those who rely a lot on digital, when retail earnings season gets underway in earnest next week.</p><p><blockquote><b>的故事<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWOA.U\">两个</a>收益和重新开业：</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWOA\">两个</a>本周发布的收益报告有助于说明，尽管存在德尔塔变异毒株担忧，人们仍然渴望走出家门。首先，<b>Ebay</b>（纳斯达克：EBAY）给出了一些温和的第三季度指导，因为人们不想呆在家里查看在线拍卖。然后交友网站<b>邦布尔</b>（纳斯达克：BMBL）表现好于预期，也是因为人们想退出。这可以告诉我们两件事。首先，仍有很多被压抑的需求需要恢复正常。第二，当下周零售财报季正式开始时，EBAY可能会让我们深入了解对其他零售商的期望，尤其是那些严重依赖数字的零售商。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>Patience Could Be A&nbsp;Virtue With Infrastructure Stocks:&nbsp;</b>Companies like&nbsp;<b>U.S. Steel&nbsp;</b>(NYSE:X),&nbsp;<b>General Electric</b>&nbsp;(NYSE:GE), and&nbsp;<b>Cleveland-Cliffs</b>&nbsp;(NYSE:CLF) all had a nice bump this week on the Senate’s infrastructure bill passage. But remember, this isn’t something that’s going to hit the economy for a while. If you’re looking longer term as an investor and you want to own these stocks for a few years, that’s probably where the bigger opportunity is. In the shorter term, you could see an initial bump, and then maybe a little bit of a flattening out.</p><p><blockquote><b>耐心可能是基础设施股票的一种美德：</b>公司喜欢<b>美国钢铁公司</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：X），<b>通用电气</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：GE），以及<b>克利夫兰悬崖</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：CLF）本周，参议院基础设施法案的通过都取得了不错的进展。但请记住，这不会在一段时间内影响经济。如果您作为投资者着眼于长期，并且想持有这些股票几年，那么这可能是更大的机会。在短期内，你可能会看到最初的隆起，然后可能会有一点点变平。</blockquote></p><p> It could take six or nine months before you actually start to see some shovel-ready projects or even some of the architectural and engineering firms starting to lay all of this out. It is a huge undertaking. Long term, it could have a big impact on some of those companies. But again, it takes a while to get going.<b>&nbsp;</b></p><p><blockquote>可能需要六到九个月的时间，你才会真正开始看到一些现成的项目，甚至一些建筑和工程公司开始布局所有这些。这是一项巨大的事业。从长远来看，这可能会对其中一些公司产生重大影响。但同样，这需要一段时间才能开始。<b> </b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Not Enough Gloom For Gold To Shine?</b>&nbsp;The traditional clash between market fundamentalists and chart technicians came to a head over gold at the skirmish zone of $1,670 an ounce range. Why $1,670? For “technical” traders, that price marks the critical 61.8%&nbsp;Fibonacci retracement&nbsp;level. If this makes no sense to you at all, as it is slightly complex for the uninitiated, just assume that it’s nearing the<i>&nbsp;uncle point</i>&nbsp;where either bulls pile in and prevail (which it appears they did), or they flee, dumping their long positions as bears overrun them.</p><p><blockquote><b>黑暗不足以让金子发光？</b>市场原教旨主义者和图表技术人员之间的传统冲突在每盎司1670美元的冲突区域达到了顶峰。为什么是1670美元？对于“技术”交易者来说，该价格标志着关键的61.8%斐波那契回撤位。如果这对您来说完全没有意义，因为它对于门外汉来说有点复杂，请假设它接近<i>叔叔点</i>要么多头蜂拥而至并获胜（看起来他们做到了），要么他们逃离，在空头占领他们时抛售他们的多头头寸。</blockquote></p><p> The $1,670 range was tested twice before, in March, with bulls gaining the upper hand each time. But even that wasn’t enough to stem the tide of “risk-on” sentiment, leading to the fundamental vs technical commotion before yesterday’s Consumer Price Index and today’s Producer Price Index reports—both inflationary gauges; and gold, a traditional inflationary hedge. With not enough gloom to glide gold’s flight, will this week’s inflationary readings cause gold to shine or sizzle?</p><p><blockquote>此前曾在3月份两次测试1,670美元区间，每次都是多头占据上风。但即便如此，也不足以阻止“冒险”情绪的浪潮，导致在昨天的消费者价格指数和今天的生产者价格指数报告（两者都是通胀指标）之前基本面与技术面的骚动；以及黄金，一种传统的通胀对冲工具。由于没有足够的阴霾来拖累黄金的飞行，本周的通胀数据会导致黄金发光还是咝咝作响？</blockquote></p><p> TD Ameritrade® commentary for educational purposes only. Member SIPC.</p><p><blockquote>德美利证券®评论仅用于教育目的。成员SIPC。</blockquote></p><p> Image by Alessandro D'Andrea from Pixabay</p><p><blockquote>图片由Alessandro D'Andrea来自Pixabay</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"X":"美国钢铁","GE":"GE航空航天","CAT":"卡特彼勒","CLF":"克利夫兰克里夫","HD":"家得宝","TSLA":"特斯拉","BMBL":"Bumble Inc.","DIS":"迪士尼","QNETCN":"纳斯达克中美互联网老虎指数","EBAY":"eBay","AAPL":"苹果"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2158250170","content_text":"Yesterday the market got behind the Fed’s idea that inflation is transitory after a calm consumer price index (CPI) reading.\nWill that change today after a sizzling producer price index (PPI) reading? Remember that any gains in PPI can often get reflected in CPI down the road as companies react to higher wholesale prices by passing them along to the consumer. And then there’s the other side of the coin—where companies absorb these prices, which can impact margins. Either way, inflation tends to pack a wallop.\nMajor indices didn’t immediately react much to a July PPI reading of 1%, which was way above the Wall Street analyst consensus of 0.5%. That followed yesterday’s CPI coming in about as expected and well below the June level. The July PPI was equal to June’s, so that kind of takes a bit of the transitory argument away. Also, core PPI, which strips out volatile energy and food prices, was the same as the headline figure, so there’s no hiding behind that.\nThe PPI report is just the start of today’s action. Later on, Disney (NYSE:DIS) steps onto center stage with its earnings report. Focus is likely to be on streaming and whether the Delta variant might slow attendance gains at theme parks and movie theaters. It’s likely DIS executives will be asked how the big jump in Florida cases is affecting the Magic Kingdom in Orlando.\nWeekly jobless claims of 375,000 were more in line with estimates and pretty much down the middle compared with recent numbers. There doesn’t seem to be much improvement going on here, but it’s not getting worse, either. The number probably won’t have much influence today.\nInstead, investors are likely to spend their time trying to make sense of these contrasting inflation indicators, which might explain why major indices initially went nowhere in pre-market trading on the PPI reading. Does this strong PPI give the Fed more reason to begin its tapering earlier than expected, or will the Fed wait for another month of data to try and get more clarity? If history means anything, we can probably bet on option two.\nInflationary Showdown Shows Slight Slowdown\nWednesday’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) report told investors mostly what they already knew: overall inflation is running hot. But that’s not what the market was keen to focus on. Instead, investors appeared to be looking at the core CPI, which jumped 4.3% year over year as expected but only 0.3% on a monthly basis—a tad less than the 0.4% analysts estimated.\nOn top of this, the Fed’s “transitory” narrative suddenly seemed a bit more believable as a slowdown in used car prices likely allayed fears of a monetary sudden-brake shock. Used car prices rose only 0.2% in July, a small bump compared to the prior month’s steep 10% surge.\nBut again, this morning’s PPI seems to be at least a partial counterargument to the transitory view. A single month’s data isn’t a trend, but this is certainly one to keep an eye on.\nFollowing the CPI report, the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($DJI) jumped as much as 200 points, with Caterpillar (NYSE:CAT) and Home Depot (NYSE:HD) leading the index, while 10-year Treasury yields stood mostly flat, and “FAANG” stocks slid into negative territory, with the exception of Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL). Could it be that fears of a “too-laid-back” Fed policy are starting to morph into a “just right” Goldilocks scenario?\nBig cyclical sectors like Energy and Financials were already on the upswing this week even before yesterday’s bullish CPI data. Strength in these sectors helped give the blue-chip Dow Jones Industrial Average ($DJI) a lift so far over the other major indices.\nSmall-Caps Still Scuffling\nSo where does that leave small-caps, which are often known for their solid performance during economic recoveries? The small-cap Russell 2000 Index (RUT) is still scuffling a bit, pretty much flat so far this month and well below its 2021 highs. It did rise a bit on Wednesday, but again got outpaced by the $DJI. It’s basically still stuck in a volatile 5-month “rut” despite the strong and steady doses of easy-money policy.\nIt might be worth watching to see if RUT can break out of the slow pattern it entered after emerging from its early summer selloff. Which way RUT goes from here might help provide clues about the market as a whole, because RUT can be an early leader up or down.\nAnother consideration is where the FAANG stocks go if Treasury yields resume their climb. Remember that earlier this year, rising yields appeared to take a big bite out of the “mega-cap” Tech stocks, with AAPL and Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) among that hit hardest. It’s fine to say that Financials and Energy can pick up the slack, but that ignores the fact that the FAANGs—like it or not—comprise about 20% of the value of the SPX. That means any significant setbacks for these huge companies could drag the overall index.\nSince May, mega-cap Techs have been helping pull up the SPX while some of the other sectors struggle. Analysts are talking about how the rally has less “depth,” meaning it’s more dependent on a few big gorillas to keep it going. While yields aren’t in the kind of territory we saw last spring, it’s worth watching that relationship between yields and FAANGs for clues about where the market goes next.\nIf inflation growth is actually slowing—and one CPI report isn’t a trend—that could drive optimism that the Fed won’t clamp down right away, perhaps keeping yields from overheating and mega-caps from melting down. Now the PPI report may have people rethinking that. The tug of war continues.\nThe Sweet And The Sour Impact Of Washington\nStocks got a nice assist from Congress earlier this week when the Senate passed the infrastructure bill. On the opposite side of the equation, markets seem to be ignoring a debate in Congress over the debt ceiling. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen encouraged the parties to find a solution, and for now, the thinking on Wall Street seems to be that there will be one. However, that doesn’t mean a smooth process.\nThere was eventually a solution in 2011, too, and the U.S. didn’t default on its debt payments. But it did see its credit rating lowered, and stocks took a pounding that summer. We’ll see if Congress can avoid getting to that point this time around. As a reminder, the debt ceiling has been raised numerous times since the 1980s, with both parties voting to do so. The last time was in 2019, under President Trump.\nIf the debt ceiling fight starts to ramp up, volatility could eventually return. It’s not really a big factor right now, but don’t be surprised if we see some intraday volatility continue in the coming weeks.\nYou saw the beginnings of that the last couple of weeks, where we’d be up significantly in the morning and sell back off. Or be down significantly in the morning and rally back. We’re probably going to see that pattern continue because besides awaiting the next steps on the infrastructure bill, the market still awaits clarity from the Fed. And even though this bill is exciting, that clarity from the Fed is arguably the big cloud that everything else operates underneath right now as far as the market is concerned.\nFor instance, yesterday Kansas City Fed President Esther George said it was time for the central bank to begin pulling back its bond-buying program. There’s been similar language from other Fed officials recently. No single person at the Fed sets policy, but at least a few seem to be chomping at the bit, so to speak, to start tapering.\nCHART OF THE DAY: WHAT’S YOUR 50? Though it’s been a while since the S&P 500 Index (SPX—candlestick) suffered a setback, it’s worth noting that mid-month has been tough for it the last few months. That doesn’t mean there’s a selloff ahead, only that you might want to prepare for one if the pattern persists. Assuming things run into trouble, the level to watch is the 50-day moving average (blue line), which currently rests about 3% below the index. That’s pretty much how far things fell in mid-July when the last selloff occurred before the SPX bounced off of that 50-day MA. Data Source: S&P Dow Jones Indices. Chart source: The thinkorswim® platform. For illustrative purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.\nA Tale Of Two Earnings And Reopening: Two earnings reports out this week help illustrate how people are still eager to get out of their homes despite Delta variant fears. First, Ebay (NASDAQ:EBAY) gave some muted Q3 guidance because people don’t want to stay home checking online auctions. Then dating site Bumble (NASDAQ:BMBL) did better than expected, also because people want to get out. This can show us two things. First, there’s still a lot of pent-up demand to get back to normal. Number two, EBAY might give us insight into what to expect from other retailers, especially those who rely a lot on digital, when retail earnings season gets underway in earnest next week.\nPatience Could Be A Virtue With Infrastructure Stocks: Companies like U.S. Steel (NYSE:X), General Electric (NYSE:GE), and Cleveland-Cliffs (NYSE:CLF) all had a nice bump this week on the Senate’s infrastructure bill passage. But remember, this isn’t something that’s going to hit the economy for a while. If you’re looking longer term as an investor and you want to own these stocks for a few years, that’s probably where the bigger opportunity is. In the shorter term, you could see an initial bump, and then maybe a little bit of a flattening out.\nIt could take six or nine months before you actually start to see some shovel-ready projects or even some of the architectural and engineering firms starting to lay all of this out. It is a huge undertaking. Long term, it could have a big impact on some of those companies. But again, it takes a while to get going. \nNot Enough Gloom For Gold To Shine? The traditional clash between market fundamentalists and chart technicians came to a head over gold at the skirmish zone of $1,670 an ounce range. Why $1,670? For “technical” traders, that price marks the critical 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. If this makes no sense to you at all, as it is slightly complex for the uninitiated, just assume that it’s nearing the uncle point where either bulls pile in and prevail (which it appears they did), or they flee, dumping their long positions as bears overrun them.\nThe $1,670 range was tested twice before, in March, with bulls gaining the upper hand each time. But even that wasn’t enough to stem the tide of “risk-on” sentiment, leading to the fundamental vs technical commotion before yesterday’s Consumer Price Index and today’s Producer Price Index reports—both inflationary gauges; and gold, a traditional inflationary hedge. With not enough gloom to glide gold’s flight, will this week’s inflationary readings cause gold to shine or sizzle?\nTD Ameritrade® commentary for educational purposes only. 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