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MartinKuah

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- MartinKuahMartinKuah
  ·2021-11-16
  Ong
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
  1,138 评论
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- MartinKuahMartinKuah
  ·2021-11-15
  Like
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
  951 1
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- MartinKuahMartinKuah
  ·2021-10-19
  Like
  外媒头条：华尔街狼王警告美股将因大肆印钞而碰壁
  　　激进投资者、“华尔街狼王”卡尔-伊坎周一表示，从长远来看，美股市场可能面临货币供应过剩和通胀上升的重大挑战。　　美联储和国会已经释放了数万亿美元的刺激措施，以将经济从新冠疫情拯救出来。在开放式量化宽松计划中，美联储的资产负债表膨胀了超过3万亿美元，而美国政府已拨款超过5万亿美元来支持美国人度过危机。　　自他卖出以来，VTI上涨了35%以上。
  外媒头条：华尔街狼王警告美股将因大肆印钞而碰壁
  1,146 评论
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- MartinKuahMartinKuah
  ·2021-10-12
  Redeem Point
  Do you feel that exchange benefit point to redeem keep increase?
  1,059 评论
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  Redeem Point
- MartinKuahMartinKuah
  ·2021-09-29
  $Dongguan Rural Commercial Bank(09889)$just IPO then drop. Not a good sign.
  1,412 评论
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- MartinKuahMartinKuah
  ·2021-09-22
  Good
  昨夜今晨：美股坐“过山车”，黄金连续第二日上涨
  导语：①美股接近收平，此前一度全线下跌，道琼斯指数和标普500指数在收盘前回吐涨幅；②热门中概股周二收盘多数上涨，瑞幸盘中一度飙升近19%；③美联储决策日指南，铺垫减码料无悬念，鲍威尔将淡化加息前景。
  昨夜今晨：美股坐“过山车”，黄金连续第二日上涨
  573 评论
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- MartinKuahMartinKuah
  ·2021-09-14
  WOW
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
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- MartinKuahMartinKuah
  ·2021-09-10
  Why
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
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- MartinKuahMartinKuah
  ·2021-09-10
  Airbus
  Buying The 20% Dip In Boeing
  Summary Boeing has suffered some recent setbacks and shares are 20% below the YTD high. The Wall St
  Buying The 20% Dip In Boeing
  447 评论
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- MartinKuahMartinKuah
  ·2021-09-07
  Halo every body
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
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05:30","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"外媒头条：华尔街狼王警告美股将因大肆印钞而碰壁","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2176012023","media":"新浪美股","summary":"　　激进投资者、“华尔街狼王”卡尔-伊坎 周一表示，从长远来看，美股市场可能面临货币供应过剩和通胀上升的重大挑战。　　美联储和国会已经释放了数万亿美元的刺激措施，以将经济从新冠疫情拯救出来。在开放式量化宽松计划中，美联储的资产负债表膨胀了超过3万亿美元，而美国政府已拨款超过5万亿美元来支持美国人度过危机。　　自他卖出以来，VTI上涨了35%以上。","content":"<p><b>全球财经媒体昨夜今晨共同关注的头条新闻主要有：</b></p>\n<blockquote>\n <b>1、“华尔街狼王”<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IKAN\">伊坎</a>：长远来看 美股肯定会因大肆印钞而“碰壁”</b>\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n <b>2、美联储主席鲍威尔去年10月卖出价值高达500万美元的股票</b>\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n <b>3、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">高盛</a>警告称月度期权到期加大标普500指数波动</b>\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n <b>4、高盛与<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">摩根大通</a>经济学家预计英国央行将于11月加息</b>\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n <b>5、与华尔街大相径庭 美联储工作人员的预测显示不必担忧通胀上升</b>\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n <b>6、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>MacBook Pro发布 采用自研M1 Pro芯片 有刘海</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/da0f162b15715058cf3b78f3dc54ab06\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"309\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p><b>“华尔街狼王”伊坎：长远来看 美股肯定会因大肆印钞而“碰壁”</b></p>\n<p>激进投资者、“华尔街狼王”卡尔-伊坎（Carl Icahn） 周一表示，从长远来看，美股市场可能面临货币供应过剩和通胀上升的重大挑战。</p>\n<p>“从长远来看，我们肯定会碰壁，”伊坎表示。 “我真的认为，我们前进的方式、印钞的方式、陷入通货胀的方式都会发生危机。如果你环顾四周，你会发现周围到处都是通胀，我不知道从长远来看该如何应对。”</p>\n<p>美联储和国会已经释放了数万亿美元的刺激措施，以将经济从新冠疫情拯救出来。在开放式量化宽松计划中，美联储的资产负债表膨胀了超过3万亿美元，而美国政府已拨款超过5万亿美元来支持美国人度过危机。</p>\n<p>伊坎相信，从长远来看，市场总有一天会为这些政策付出代价。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c6f91f86096bb2d1dfae2ad618eebc6b\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"357\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p><b>美联储主席鲍威尔去年10月卖出价值高达500万美元的股票</b></p>\n<p>据报道，美联储主席杰罗姆-鲍威尔（Jerome Powell）去年卖出了价值高达500万美元的大盘指数基金。</p>\n<p>报道称，鲍威尔在向美国政府道德办公室披露时指出，2020年10月，其在先锋旗下股票基金Vanguard Total Stock Market Index（VTI）的卖出金额在100万至500万美元之间。他还在去年进行了其他几笔较小的股票和债券交易。</p>\n<p>虽然报道称鲍威尔在市场“低迷”时卖出，但他是在股市从疫情低点V型复苏之后、回落1.5%之前卖出的。标普指数随后继续走高，创下历史新高。</p>\n<p>自他卖出以来，VTI上涨了35%以上。</p>\n<p>在美联储高级官员持有和交易股票引发外界强烈不满之际，有媒体对美联储官员的财务披露进行了深入调查，发现有三位联储官员去年持有美联储当时正在购买的同一类型资产，这其中就包括鲍威尔。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88e36b08e1e6066f98f41069cf800c03\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"309\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p><b>高盛与摩根大通经济学家预计英国央行将于11月加息</b></p>\n<p>能源价格和通胀飙升双重夹击下，全球市场在震荡中开启本周的交易，两因素结合令本月的交易越发动荡。</p>\n<p>高盛集团警告称，月度期权的到期在最近几个月已经引发了多次市场波动，上周五就有月度期权到期。高盛策略师Vishal Vivek和John Marshall表示，上周的到期规模7，030亿美元，不包括1月份在内，为有记录以来第三高。</p>\n<p>由于期权交易商买卖标的股票以保持中性头寸，一旦期权到期，对冲的需求就会减少。其风险敞口的情况有时会对市场产生巨大影响。</p>\n<p>根据高盛的研究，虽然标普500指数今年在到期日的波动率与疫情前的水平一致，但在月度期权到期后首日交易的波动更大，指数平均波动1%，几乎是2012-2019年期间的两倍。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f525a5d438f0be11d1d3f8acbe082a49\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"401\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p><b>高盛与摩根大通经济学家预计英国央行将于11月加息</b></p>\n<p>在英国央行行长贝利的讲话传达了遏制通胀迫在眉睫的更强烈信号后，全球大型银行的经济学家也跟随投资者做出了今年加息的预测。</p>\n<p>高盛、摩根大通和瑞信都在周一发布的报告中将加息预期提前到11月，同时预测明年将进一步收紧政策。</p>\n<p>贝利周日表示，尽管没有用来应对供应冲击造成的价格压力的货币政策工具，但央行将“不得不采取行动”以防止通胀预期变得根深蒂固。他没有试图压制货币市场对今年加息的激进押注。</p>\n<p>摩根大通驻伦敦经济学家Allan Monks写道，他揣测“行长贝利正试图暗示央行将更快在近期内做出应对，而且知道自己有”货币政策委员会核心成员的支持。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/366949981f3b1dfd57ef310a5306a07f\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"367\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p><b>与华尔街大相径庭 美联储工作人员的预测显示不必担忧通胀上升</b></p>\n<p>关于通胀，拥有超过400名博士的美联储经济学家团队向决策者和美国公众传递了这样一条信息：冷静。</p>\n<p>虽然一些美联储官员公开表示对物价上涨感到担心，并且华尔街也提高了通胀预测，但是根据10月13日公布的联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）会议纪要，美联储在华盛顿的工作人员预计，2022年通胀率将回归2%以下。</p>\n<p>这一预测除了低FOMC 2%的长期目标，也不到美联储青睐的通胀指标在8月份4.3%按年增幅的一半。</p>\n<p>“你应该非常重视它，” 前美联储经济学家、Jain Family Institute高级研究员Claudia Sahm表示。“这并不意味着它一定是对的，但这是世界上顶级预测人员”准备的数据。“从长期的角度来看，没有哪个预测机构对短期经济的分析能够比得上美联储。”</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15db549a84ced1848a1ef6d3ba1240fb\" tg-width=\"630\" tg-height=\"354\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p><b>苹果MacBook Pro发布 采用自研M1 Pro芯片 有刘海</b></p>\n<p>今日苹果举办新品发布会，这也是今年下半年的第二场，因疫情原因，本次发布会依然采用线上发布会的形式。本次发布会，苹果发布了搭载苹果自研M1 Pro芯片的MacBook Pro新品。</p>\n<p>苹果专门针对MacBook Pro推出了专业芯片M1 Pro，据介绍，M1 Pro将内存接口的宽度加倍，具有高达32 GB的统一内存。“M1 Pro 是我们为 Mac 打造的下一款突破性芯片。”苹果Johny Srouji&nbsp;表示。</p>\n<p>在芯片工艺上，M1 Pro芯片采用5nm工艺，具有337亿个晶体管，具有10个CPU内核，以及16 个 GPU 核心，速度达到M1芯片的两倍。据介绍，M1 Max 建立在 M1 Pro 之上，再次以双倍内存接口开始，运行速度高达 400 GB/s，具有&nbsp;64GB统一内存。</p>","source":"sina_us","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>外媒头条：华尔街狼王警告美股将因大肆印钞而碰壁</title>\n<style 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}\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n外媒头条：华尔街狼王警告美股将因大肆印钞而碰壁\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-10-19 05:30 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2021-10-19/doc-iktzqtyu2215468.shtml><strong>新浪美股</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>全球财经媒体昨夜今晨共同关注的头条新闻主要有：\n\n1、“华尔街狼王”伊坎：长远来看 美股肯定会因大肆印钞而“碰壁”\n\n\n2、美联储主席鲍威尔去年10月卖出价值高达500万美元的股票\n\n\n3、高盛警告称月度期权到期加大标普500指数波动\n\n\n4、高盛与摩根大通经济学家预计英国央行将于11月加息\n\n\n5、与华尔街大相径庭 美联储工作人员的预测显示不必担忧通胀上升\n\n\n6、苹果MacBook Pro发布...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2021-10-19/doc-iktzqtyu2215468.shtml\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/da0f162b15715058cf3b78f3dc54ab06","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","PSQ":"纳指反向ETF","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","SDOW":"道指三倍做空ETF-ProShares","DJX":"1/100道琼斯","AAPL":"苹果","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","SPY":"标普500ETF","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","QID":"纳指两倍做空ETF","SH":"标普500反向ETF","DDM":"道指两倍做多ETF","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","GS":"高盛","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","DOG":"道指反向ETF","DXD":"道指两倍做空ETF","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","QLD":"纳指两倍做多ETF","OEX":"标普100",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","UDOW":"道指三倍做多ETF-ProShares"},"source_url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2021-10-19/doc-iktzqtyu2215468.shtml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2176012023","content_text":"全球财经媒体昨夜今晨共同关注的头条新闻主要有：\n\n1、“华尔街狼王”伊坎：长远来看 美股肯定会因大肆印钞而“碰壁”\n\n\n2、美联储主席鲍威尔去年10月卖出价值高达500万美元的股票\n\n\n3、高盛警告称月度期权到期加大标普500指数波动\n\n\n4、高盛与摩根大通经济学家预计英国央行将于11月加息\n\n\n5、与华尔街大相径庭 美联储工作人员的预测显示不必担忧通胀上升\n\n\n6、苹果MacBook Pro发布 采用自研M1 Pro芯片 有刘海\n\n\n“华尔街狼王”伊坎：长远来看 美股肯定会因大肆印钞而“碰壁”\n激进投资者、“华尔街狼王”卡尔-伊坎（Carl Icahn） 周一表示，从长远来看，美股市场可能面临货币供应过剩和通胀上升的重大挑战。\n“从长远来看，我们肯定会碰壁，”伊坎表示。 “我真的认为，我们前进的方式、印钞的方式、陷入通货胀的方式都会发生危机。如果你环顾四周，你会发现周围到处都是通胀，我不知道从长远来看该如何应对。”\n美联储和国会已经释放了数万亿美元的刺激措施，以将经济从新冠疫情拯救出来。在开放式量化宽松计划中，美联储的资产负债表膨胀了超过3万亿美元，而美国政府已拨款超过5万亿美元来支持美国人度过危机。\n伊坎相信，从长远来看，市场总有一天会为这些政策付出代价。\n\n美联储主席鲍威尔去年10月卖出价值高达500万美元的股票\n据报道，美联储主席杰罗姆-鲍威尔（Jerome Powell）去年卖出了价值高达500万美元的大盘指数基金。\n报道称，鲍威尔在向美国政府道德办公室披露时指出，2020年10月，其在先锋旗下股票基金Vanguard Total Stock Market Index（VTI）的卖出金额在100万至500万美元之间。他还在去年进行了其他几笔较小的股票和债券交易。\n虽然报道称鲍威尔在市场“低迷”时卖出，但他是在股市从疫情低点V型复苏之后、回落1.5%之前卖出的。标普指数随后继续走高，创下历史新高。\n自他卖出以来，VTI上涨了35%以上。\n在美联储高级官员持有和交易股票引发外界强烈不满之际，有媒体对美联储官员的财务披露进行了深入调查，发现有三位联储官员去年持有美联储当时正在购买的同一类型资产，这其中就包括鲍威尔。\n\n高盛与摩根大通经济学家预计英国央行将于11月加息\n能源价格和通胀飙升双重夹击下，全球市场在震荡中开启本周的交易，两因素结合令本月的交易越发动荡。\n高盛集团警告称，月度期权的到期在最近几个月已经引发了多次市场波动，上周五就有月度期权到期。高盛策略师Vishal Vivek和John Marshall表示，上周的到期规模7，030亿美元，不包括1月份在内，为有记录以来第三高。\n由于期权交易商买卖标的股票以保持中性头寸，一旦期权到期，对冲的需求就会减少。其风险敞口的情况有时会对市场产生巨大影响。\n根据高盛的研究，虽然标普500指数今年在到期日的波动率与疫情前的水平一致，但在月度期权到期后首日交易的波动更大，指数平均波动1%，几乎是2012-2019年期间的两倍。\n\n高盛与摩根大通经济学家预计英国央行将于11月加息\n在英国央行行长贝利的讲话传达了遏制通胀迫在眉睫的更强烈信号后，全球大型银行的经济学家也跟随投资者做出了今年加息的预测。\n高盛、摩根大通和瑞信都在周一发布的报告中将加息预期提前到11月，同时预测明年将进一步收紧政策。\n贝利周日表示，尽管没有用来应对供应冲击造成的价格压力的货币政策工具，但央行将“不得不采取行动”以防止通胀预期变得根深蒂固。他没有试图压制货币市场对今年加息的激进押注。\n摩根大通驻伦敦经济学家Allan Monks写道，他揣测“行长贝利正试图暗示央行将更快在近期内做出应对，而且知道自己有”货币政策委员会核心成员的支持。\n\n与华尔街大相径庭 美联储工作人员的预测显示不必担忧通胀上升\n关于通胀，拥有超过400名博士的美联储经济学家团队向决策者和美国公众传递了这样一条信息：冷静。\n虽然一些美联储官员公开表示对物价上涨感到担心，并且华尔街也提高了通胀预测，但是根据10月13日公布的联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）会议纪要，美联储在华盛顿的工作人员预计，2022年通胀率将回归2%以下。\n这一预测除了低FOMC 2%的长期目标，也不到美联储青睐的通胀指标在8月份4.3%按年增幅的一半。\n“你应该非常重视它，” 前美联储经济学家、Jain Family Institute高级研究员Claudia Sahm表示。“这并不意味着它一定是对的，但这是世界上顶级预测人员”准备的数据。“从长期的角度来看，没有哪个预测机构对短期经济的分析能够比得上美联储。”\n\n苹果MacBook Pro发布 采用自研M1 Pro芯片 有刘海\n今日苹果举办新品发布会，这也是今年下半年的第二场，因疫情原因，本次发布会依然采用线上发布会的形式。本次发布会，苹果发布了搭载苹果自研M1 Pro芯片的MacBook Pro新品。\n苹果专门针对MacBook Pro推出了专业芯片M1 Pro，据介绍，M1 Pro将内存接口的宽度加倍，具有高达32 GB的统一内存。“M1 Pro 是我们为 Mac 打造的下一款突破性芯片。”苹果Johny Srouji 表示。\n在芯片工艺上，M1 Pro芯片采用5nm工艺，具有337亿个晶体管，具有10个CPU内核，以及16 个 GPU 核心，速度达到M1芯片的两倍。据介绍，M1 Max 建立在 M1 Pro 之上，再次以双倍内存接口开始，运行速度高达 400 GB/s，具有 64GB统一内存。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1146,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":826230104,"gmtCreate":1634023227127,"gmtModify":1634023227127,"author":{"id":"3558654025923461","authorId":"3558654025923461","name":"MartinKuah","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/78f32262f3c5e93d76e3fb5e489f8dd2","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3558654025923461","authorIdStr":"3558654025923461"},"themes":[],"title":"Redeem Point","htmlText":"Do you feel that exchange benefit point to&nbsp;redeem keep increase?","listText":"Do you feel that exchange benefit point to&nbsp;redeem keep increase?","text":"Do you feel that exchange benefit point to redeem keep increase?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/826230104","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1059,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":862206604,"gmtCreate":1632879066246,"gmtModify":1632879066246,"author":{"id":"3558654025923461","authorId":"3558654025923461","name":"MartinKuah","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/78f32262f3c5e93d76e3fb5e489f8dd2","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3558654025923461","authorIdStr":"3558654025923461"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09889\">$Dongguan Rural Commercial Bank(09889)$</a>just IPO then drop. Not a good sign.&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09889\">$Dongguan Rural Commercial Bank(09889)$</a>just IPO then drop. Not a good sign.&nbsp;","text":"$Dongguan Rural Commercial Bank(09889)$just IPO then drop. Not a good sign.","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/035959f1182ced92e4d1405e02840495","width":"1080","height":"3055"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/862206604","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1412,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":869810503,"gmtCreate":1632271691002,"gmtModify":1632801608296,"author":{"id":"3558654025923461","authorId":"3558654025923461","name":"MartinKuah","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/78f32262f3c5e93d76e3fb5e489f8dd2","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3558654025923461","authorIdStr":"3558654025923461"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/869810503","repostId":"1112620361","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1112620361","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1632268632,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1112620361?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-22 07:57","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"昨夜今晨：美股坐“过山车”，黄金连续第二日上涨","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1112620361","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"导语：①美股接近收平，此前一度全线下跌，道琼斯指数和标普500指数在收盘前回吐涨幅；②热门中概股周二收盘多数上涨，瑞幸盘中一度飙升近19%；③美联储决策日指南，铺垫减码料无悬念，鲍威尔将淡化加息前景。","content":"<blockquote>\n 导语：①美股接近收平，此前一度全线下跌，道琼斯指数和标普500指数在收盘前回吐涨幅；②热门中概股周二收盘多数上涨，瑞幸盘中一度飙升近19%；③美联储决策日指南，铺垫减码料无悬念，鲍威尔将淡化加息前景。\n</blockquote>\n<p>海外市场</p>\n<p><b>1、虎头蛇尾！美股坐上“过山车”、标普500跌破50日均线</b></p>\n<p>美股接近收平，此前一度全线下跌，对房地产开发商<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03333\">中国恒大</a>问题的担忧，以及美联储周三政策声明发布前的谨慎情绪，抑制了市场。交投震荡，道琼斯指数和标普500指数在收盘前回吐涨幅，纳斯达克指数小幅收高。</p>\n<p>道琼斯指数收盘跌0.15%，标普500指数跌0.08%，纳斯达克综合指数上涨0.22%。</p>\n<p><b>2、热门中概股周二收盘多数上涨 瑞幸盘中一度飙升近19%</b></p>\n<p>热门中概股周二收盘多数上涨，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOTU\">高途</a>教育涨近6%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EDU\">新东方</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LUCKIN\">瑞幸咖啡</a>粉单涨超3%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TAL\">好未来</a>涨约3%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">腾讯</a>ADR涨超2%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BILI\">哔哩哔哩</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BIDU\">百度</a>涨超1%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTES\">网易</a>有道、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">拼多多</a>涨约1%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">理想汽车</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">小鹏汽车</a>分别涨近0.6%和逾0.4%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">阿里巴巴</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">京东</a>跌超0.8%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a>汽车跌近0.7%。</p>\n<p>其他中概股上为涨超19%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TEDU\">达内科技</a>涨近13%，$百世集团(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BOTB.UK\">BEST</a>)$涨超11%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JZXN\">九紫新能</a>涨超8%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QFIN\">360数科</a>涨超7%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BEKE\">贝壳</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UXIN\">优信</a>涨超6%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOTU\">高途</a>涨超5%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YMM\">满帮</a>、途牛涨超4%。</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LUCKIN\">瑞幸咖啡</a>股价在美国粉单市场收涨超3%，盘中一度飙升近19%。此前该公司发布公告，称与美国集体诉讼的原告代表签署了1.875亿美元的和解意向书，并已向开曼法院正式提交了对可转债债权人的债务重组方案。</p>\n<p><b>3、欧股收盘恒大危机忧虑缓解 欧股从近2个月低谷反弹</b></p>\n<p>欧洲股市在经历了两个月来的最大跌幅后周二终于实现上涨，原因是对<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03333\">中国恒大</a>危机蔓延的担忧有所缓解。泛欧斯托克600指数收盘上涨4.10点，涨幅0.90%，报458.22点。</p>\n<p><b>4、油价小幅收高 欧佩克+努力增产确保石油供应</b></p>\n<p>投资者对供应日益紧张的担忧甚至超过了对中国经济状况的担忧，也抵消了欧佩克+努力增加石油生产以满足不断增长的需求，周二(9月21日)油价在震荡交易后小幅收高。</p>\n<p>截至发稿，美国WTI原油10月期货收涨35美分，涨幅0..50%，报70.49美元/桶；布伦特11月期货收涨77美分，涨幅1.04%，报74.69美元/桶。</p>\n<p><b>5、贵金属集体大爆发！黄金一度拉升逾20美元</b></p>\n<p>金价上涨，因对中国恒大破产的担忧引发避险买盘，美联储开启为期两天的会议，可能为央行削减对美国经济刺激措施的时间表提供线索。</p>\n<p>美市尾盘，现货黄金收报1774.21美元/盎司，上涨10.31美元或0.58%，盘中最高触及1781.66美元/盎司，较日低1757.82美元/盎司回升近24美元。</p>\n<p>国际宏观</p>\n<p><b>1、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2169634081\" target=\"_blank\"><b>美联储决策日指南：铺垫减码料无悬念 鲍威尔将淡化加息前景</b></a></p>\n<p>美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔本周面临的挑战是，如何说服投资者相信减码购债并非2018年以来首次加息的前兆。</p>\n<p>美联储将于美东时间周三下午2点发布货币政策声明，预计会维持基准利率在接近于零的水平不变并讨论缩减每月1200美元的购债规模。</p>\n<p><b>2、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2169063415\" target=\"_blank\"><b>美国众议院民主党人计划下周对基建法案进行投票</b></a></p>\n<p>美国众议院民主党领袖们计划在下周一对参议院通过的基础设施法案进行投票，此举可能加剧民主党内的分歧，并令总统乔·拜登的经济议程面临挫折。</p>\n<p>基建法案的投票几乎肯定会在更广泛的税收和支出法案投票之前进行，在过去几周里，后者的规模和范围一直是民主党内争论的焦点。</p>\n<p><b>3、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2169399076\" target=\"_blank\"><b>美国民主党公布权宜支出法案 并纳入暂停债务上限条款</b></a></p>\n<p>美国众议院民主党人安排周二对一项法案进行投票，该法案将暂停 美国债务上限直至中期选举后的2022年12月，并临时性为政府提供资金以避免本月底关门。债务上限问题正变得急迫，因 美国财政部已警告说，在10月份的某个时候可能会用尽会计措施来避免违约。但共和党人已经誓言，只要民主党人继续推进他们的一揽子加税和支出法案，就会在参议院阻止暂停债务上限。</p>\n<p><b>4、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2169634704\" target=\"_blank\"><b>美国财政部首度将加密货币交易所纳入制裁 涉嫌为勒索软件黑客洗钱</b></a></p>\n<p>当地时间周二，美国财政部发布公告称将对一家名为Suex的捷克加密货币交易所展开制裁，原因是其帮助使用勒索软件攻击的不法分子洗钱。</p>\n<p>市场观点</p>\n<p><b>1、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2169634410\" target=\"_blank\"><b>美联储可能11月才会宣布缩减购债 加息得到明年底</b></a></p>\n<p>媒体对市场人士的调查显示，美联储将会宣布缩减购债规模，但不是在本周。媒体对32名市场参与者的调查显示，他们预计美联储将在11月宣布缩减1200亿美元的月度资产购买，并在12月正式开始缩减。美联储预计将每月削减150亿美元的购买量。调查显示，首次加息预计要到明年年底才会到来。</p>\n<p><b>2、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2169637520\" target=\"_blank\"><b>“末日博士”鲁比尼预言全球掉入债务陷阱 利率正常化无望</b></a><b></b></p>\n<p>因准确预测到2008年次贷危机而闻名的“末日博士”鲁比尼又有新论。他预言，疫情后世界似乎又将重蹈覆辙。</p>\n<p>“我担心我们会掉入债务陷阱，”这位Roubini Macro Associates的董事长兼首席执行官在接受采访时表示。“鉴于债务比率，当<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CNBC\">中央银行</a>想要逐步撤回非常规货币政策时，股债市场，信贷市场和经济都存在崩盘风险，他们将陷入债务陷阱，政策利率无法正常化”。</p>\n<p><b>3、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2169202639\" target=\"_blank\"><b>高盛首席全球股票策略师：乘股市回调10%之机重返市场</b></a></p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">高盛</a>首席全球股票策略师Peter Oppenheimer表示，投资者应该乘市场回调10%之机买入股票。</p>\n<p>“我认为，从基本面来讲，这可能是重回股市的好时机，”Oppenheimer周二在接受采访时表示。他表示，“从基本面来看，我们仍然处于本轮经济周期相对早期的阶段，”尽管对经济的应急支持力度下降，但利率仍处于低位，盈利增长处于“合理”水平。</p>\n<p><b>4、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2169321286\" target=\"_blank\"><b>多国股市遭遇“黑色星期一” 中秋“劫”后能否稳住</b></a></p>\n<p>在中秋节A股休市期间，周边股市继续交易。周一，市场避险情绪高涨，全球市场可谓是遇“劫”，集体下挫。“劫”后能否稳住 呢？对A股市场的影响又会有多大？已然成为各方关注的焦点。在周一全球股市遭受重创、全线回落后，周二的市场令投资者稍稍松了口气，全球股市纷纷飘红，企稳反弹。</p>\n<p>公司新闻</p>\n<p><b>1、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2169634166\" target=\"_blank\"><b>瑞幸咖啡与美国证券集体诉讼原告达成和解意向 披露2020财年报告</b></a></p>\n<p>当地时间周二，在财务造假被纳斯达克交易所摘牌一年后，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LK\">瑞幸咖啡</a>连发三则公告披露了一系列公司重组的“里程碑式”进展。</p>\n<p>瑞幸咖啡披露，公司已经与美国集体诉讼的原告代表签订了一份具有约束力的和解意向书，约定向2019年5月17日至2020年7月15日间购买公司股票的全球投资者合计赔偿1.875亿美元。</p>\n<p><b>2、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2169631707\" target=\"_blank\"><b>谷歌斥资21亿美元在曼哈顿买房 刷新美国疫情后“楼王”纪录</b></a></p>\n<p>当地时间周二，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">谷歌</a>发布公告称公司决定斥资21亿美元收购位于纽约曼哈顿的圣约翰码头，进一步展现了科技公司扩张实体办公区域的热情。</p>\n<p>据数据公司Real Capital Analytics统计，这笔交易也是疫情开始后美国独栋建筑交易的最高价，同样在美国历史上最贵房地产交易中亦有一席之地。目前谷歌正是这栋130万平方英尺建筑的租客，此次交易涉及租约中的买断条款，公司预计将在2022年一月份完成交割。</p>\n<p><b>3、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2169682726\" target=\"_blank\"><b>恒大汽车宣布3.2亿股期权计划 授予3180名技术骨干</b></a></p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00708\">恒大汽车</a>于昨日发布公告，该公司向其科研技术员工授予32372万股期权，相当于公司当前已发行股本的3.31%，行权价为3.9港元。</p>\n<p><b>4、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2169174637\" target=\"_blank\"><b>流媒体增长预警！迪士尼盘中跳水创15个月最大跌幅</b></a></p>\n<p>在CEO警告流媒体用户增长放缓后，美国娱乐传媒巨头<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIS\">迪士尼</a>股价盘中跳水。</p>\n<p>美东时间21日周二的高盛沟通会议上，迪士尼CEO Bob Chapek称，在截至9月末的今年第三季度、即公司2021财年第四财季，流媒体平台迪士尼+在全球将有“低个位数的百万”付费订阅用户。</p>\n<p><b>5、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2169336466\" target=\"_blank\"><b>中远海运港口计划收购德国汉堡集装箱码头35%权益</b></a></p>\n<p>中国主要集装箱码头营运商<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01199\">中远海运港口</a>周二称，计划收购德国汉堡集装箱码头35%权益，作价为6,500万欧元。交易卖方为HHLA，目标公司于德国汉堡港经营Tollerort集装箱码头。交易完成后，HHLA仍持有目标公司65%权益。</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" 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}\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n昨夜今晨：美股坐“过山车”，黄金连续第二日上涨\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-09-22 07:57</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<blockquote>\n 导语：①美股接近收平，此前一度全线下跌，道琼斯指数和标普500指数在收盘前回吐涨幅；②热门中概股周二收盘多数上涨，瑞幸盘中一度飙升近19%；③美联储决策日指南，铺垫减码料无悬念，鲍威尔将淡化加息前景。\n</blockquote>\n<p>海外市场</p>\n<p><b>1、虎头蛇尾！美股坐上“过山车”、标普500跌破50日均线</b></p>\n<p>美股接近收平，此前一度全线下跌，对房地产开发商<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03333\">中国恒大</a>问题的担忧，以及美联储周三政策声明发布前的谨慎情绪，抑制了市场。交投震荡，道琼斯指数和标普500指数在收盘前回吐涨幅，纳斯达克指数小幅收高。</p>\n<p>道琼斯指数收盘跌0.15%，标普500指数跌0.08%，纳斯达克综合指数上涨0.22%。</p>\n<p><b>2、热门中概股周二收盘多数上涨 瑞幸盘中一度飙升近19%</b></p>\n<p>热门中概股周二收盘多数上涨，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOTU\">高途</a>教育涨近6%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EDU\">新东方</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LUCKIN\">瑞幸咖啡</a>粉单涨超3%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TAL\">好未来</a>涨约3%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">腾讯</a>ADR涨超2%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BILI\">哔哩哔哩</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BIDU\">百度</a>涨超1%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTES\">网易</a>有道、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">拼多多</a>涨约1%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">理想汽车</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">小鹏汽车</a>分别涨近0.6%和逾0.4%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">阿里巴巴</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">京东</a>跌超0.8%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a>汽车跌近0.7%。</p>\n<p>其他中概股上为涨超19%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TEDU\">达内科技</a>涨近13%，$百世集团(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BOTB.UK\">BEST</a>)$涨超11%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JZXN\">九紫新能</a>涨超8%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QFIN\">360数科</a>涨超7%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BEKE\">贝壳</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UXIN\">优信</a>涨超6%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOTU\">高途</a>涨超5%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YMM\">满帮</a>、途牛涨超4%。</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LUCKIN\">瑞幸咖啡</a>股价在美国粉单市场收涨超3%，盘中一度飙升近19%。此前该公司发布公告，称与美国集体诉讼的原告代表签署了1.875亿美元的和解意向书，并已向开曼法院正式提交了对可转债债权人的债务重组方案。</p>\n<p><b>3、欧股收盘恒大危机忧虑缓解 欧股从近2个月低谷反弹</b></p>\n<p>欧洲股市在经历了两个月来的最大跌幅后周二终于实现上涨，原因是对<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03333\">中国恒大</a>危机蔓延的担忧有所缓解。泛欧斯托克600指数收盘上涨4.10点，涨幅0.90%，报458.22点。</p>\n<p><b>4、油价小幅收高 欧佩克+努力增产确保石油供应</b></p>\n<p>投资者对供应日益紧张的担忧甚至超过了对中国经济状况的担忧，也抵消了欧佩克+努力增加石油生产以满足不断增长的需求，周二(9月21日)油价在震荡交易后小幅收高。</p>\n<p>截至发稿，美国WTI原油10月期货收涨35美分，涨幅0..50%，报70.49美元/桶；布伦特11月期货收涨77美分，涨幅1.04%，报74.69美元/桶。</p>\n<p><b>5、贵金属集体大爆发！黄金一度拉升逾20美元</b></p>\n<p>金价上涨，因对中国恒大破产的担忧引发避险买盘，美联储开启为期两天的会议，可能为央行削减对美国经济刺激措施的时间表提供线索。</p>\n<p>美市尾盘，现货黄金收报1774.21美元/盎司，上涨10.31美元或0.58%，盘中最高触及1781.66美元/盎司，较日低1757.82美元/盎司回升近24美元。</p>\n<p>国际宏观</p>\n<p><b>1、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2169634081\" target=\"_blank\"><b>美联储决策日指南：铺垫减码料无悬念 鲍威尔将淡化加息前景</b></a></p>\n<p>美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔本周面临的挑战是，如何说服投资者相信减码购债并非2018年以来首次加息的前兆。</p>\n<p>美联储将于美东时间周三下午2点发布货币政策声明，预计会维持基准利率在接近于零的水平不变并讨论缩减每月1200美元的购债规模。</p>\n<p><b>2、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2169063415\" target=\"_blank\"><b>美国众议院民主党人计划下周对基建法案进行投票</b></a></p>\n<p>美国众议院民主党领袖们计划在下周一对参议院通过的基础设施法案进行投票，此举可能加剧民主党内的分歧，并令总统乔·拜登的经济议程面临挫折。</p>\n<p>基建法案的投票几乎肯定会在更广泛的税收和支出法案投票之前进行，在过去几周里，后者的规模和范围一直是民主党内争论的焦点。</p>\n<p><b>3、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2169399076\" target=\"_blank\"><b>美国民主党公布权宜支出法案 并纳入暂停债务上限条款</b></a></p>\n<p>美国众议院民主党人安排周二对一项法案进行投票，该法案将暂停 美国债务上限直至中期选举后的2022年12月，并临时性为政府提供资金以避免本月底关门。债务上限问题正变得急迫，因 美国财政部已警告说，在10月份的某个时候可能会用尽会计措施来避免违约。但共和党人已经誓言，只要民主党人继续推进他们的一揽子加税和支出法案，就会在参议院阻止暂停债务上限。</p>\n<p><b>4、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2169634704\" target=\"_blank\"><b>美国财政部首度将加密货币交易所纳入制裁 涉嫌为勒索软件黑客洗钱</b></a></p>\n<p>当地时间周二，美国财政部发布公告称将对一家名为Suex的捷克加密货币交易所展开制裁，原因是其帮助使用勒索软件攻击的不法分子洗钱。</p>\n<p>市场观点</p>\n<p><b>1、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2169634410\" target=\"_blank\"><b>美联储可能11月才会宣布缩减购债 加息得到明年底</b></a></p>\n<p>媒体对市场人士的调查显示，美联储将会宣布缩减购债规模，但不是在本周。媒体对32名市场参与者的调查显示，他们预计美联储将在11月宣布缩减1200亿美元的月度资产购买，并在12月正式开始缩减。美联储预计将每月削减150亿美元的购买量。调查显示，首次加息预计要到明年年底才会到来。</p>\n<p><b>2、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2169637520\" target=\"_blank\"><b>“末日博士”鲁比尼预言全球掉入债务陷阱 利率正常化无望</b></a><b></b></p>\n<p>因准确预测到2008年次贷危机而闻名的“末日博士”鲁比尼又有新论。他预言，疫情后世界似乎又将重蹈覆辙。</p>\n<p>“我担心我们会掉入债务陷阱，”这位Roubini Macro Associates的董事长兼首席执行官在接受采访时表示。“鉴于债务比率，当<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CNBC\">中央银行</a>想要逐步撤回非常规货币政策时，股债市场，信贷市场和经济都存在崩盘风险，他们将陷入债务陷阱，政策利率无法正常化”。</p>\n<p><b>3、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2169202639\" target=\"_blank\"><b>高盛首席全球股票策略师：乘股市回调10%之机重返市场</b></a></p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">高盛</a>首席全球股票策略师Peter Oppenheimer表示，投资者应该乘市场回调10%之机买入股票。</p>\n<p>“我认为，从基本面来讲，这可能是重回股市的好时机，”Oppenheimer周二在接受采访时表示。他表示，“从基本面来看，我们仍然处于本轮经济周期相对早期的阶段，”尽管对经济的应急支持力度下降，但利率仍处于低位，盈利增长处于“合理”水平。</p>\n<p><b>4、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2169321286\" target=\"_blank\"><b>多国股市遭遇“黑色星期一” 中秋“劫”后能否稳住</b></a></p>\n<p>在中秋节A股休市期间，周边股市继续交易。周一，市场避险情绪高涨，全球市场可谓是遇“劫”，集体下挫。“劫”后能否稳住 呢？对A股市场的影响又会有多大？已然成为各方关注的焦点。在周一全球股市遭受重创、全线回落后，周二的市场令投资者稍稍松了口气，全球股市纷纷飘红，企稳反弹。</p>\n<p>公司新闻</p>\n<p><b>1、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2169634166\" target=\"_blank\"><b>瑞幸咖啡与美国证券集体诉讼原告达成和解意向 披露2020财年报告</b></a></p>\n<p>当地时间周二，在财务造假被纳斯达克交易所摘牌一年后，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LK\">瑞幸咖啡</a>连发三则公告披露了一系列公司重组的“里程碑式”进展。</p>\n<p>瑞幸咖啡披露，公司已经与美国集体诉讼的原告代表签订了一份具有约束力的和解意向书，约定向2019年5月17日至2020年7月15日间购买公司股票的全球投资者合计赔偿1.875亿美元。</p>\n<p><b>2、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2169631707\" target=\"_blank\"><b>谷歌斥资21亿美元在曼哈顿买房 刷新美国疫情后“楼王”纪录</b></a></p>\n<p>当地时间周二，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">谷歌</a>发布公告称公司决定斥资21亿美元收购位于纽约曼哈顿的圣约翰码头，进一步展现了科技公司扩张实体办公区域的热情。</p>\n<p>据数据公司Real Capital Analytics统计，这笔交易也是疫情开始后美国独栋建筑交易的最高价，同样在美国历史上最贵房地产交易中亦有一席之地。目前谷歌正是这栋130万平方英尺建筑的租客，此次交易涉及租约中的买断条款，公司预计将在2022年一月份完成交割。</p>\n<p><b>3、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2169682726\" target=\"_blank\"><b>恒大汽车宣布3.2亿股期权计划 授予3180名技术骨干</b></a></p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00708\">恒大汽车</a>于昨日发布公告，该公司向其科研技术员工授予32372万股期权，相当于公司当前已发行股本的3.31%，行权价为3.9港元。</p>\n<p><b>4、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2169174637\" target=\"_blank\"><b>流媒体增长预警！迪士尼盘中跳水创15个月最大跌幅</b></a></p>\n<p>在CEO警告流媒体用户增长放缓后，美国娱乐传媒巨头<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIS\">迪士尼</a>股价盘中跳水。</p>\n<p>美东时间21日周二的高盛沟通会议上，迪士尼CEO Bob Chapek称，在截至9月末的今年第三季度、即公司2021财年第四财季，流媒体平台迪士尼+在全球将有“低个位数的百万”付费订阅用户。</p>\n<p><b>5、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2169336466\" target=\"_blank\"><b>中远海运港口计划收购德国汉堡集装箱码头35%权益</b></a></p>\n<p>中国主要集装箱码头营运商<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01199\">中远海运港口</a>周二称，计划收购德国汉堡集装箱码头35%权益，作价为6,500万欧元。交易卖方为HHLA，目标公司于德国汉堡港经营Tollerort集装箱码头。交易完成后，HHLA仍持有目标公司65%权益。</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b23574aac95526c9e5c62ebc8dd25130","relate_stocks":{"159934":"黄金ETF","518880":"黄金ETF","IAU":"黄金信托ETF(iShares)","GLD":"SPDR黄金ETF","GDX":"黄金矿业ETF-VanEck","NUGT":"二倍做多黄金矿业指数ETF-Direxion","DUST":"二倍做空黄金矿业指数ETF-Direxion"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1112620361","content_text":"导语：①美股接近收平，此前一度全线下跌，道琼斯指数和标普500指数在收盘前回吐涨幅；②热门中概股周二收盘多数上涨，瑞幸盘中一度飙升近19%；③美联储决策日指南，铺垫减码料无悬念，鲍威尔将淡化加息前景。\n\n海外市场\n1、虎头蛇尾！美股坐上“过山车”、标普500跌破50日均线\n美股接近收平，此前一度全线下跌，对房地产开发商中国恒大问题的担忧，以及美联储周三政策声明发布前的谨慎情绪，抑制了市场。交投震荡，道琼斯指数和标普500指数在收盘前回吐涨幅，纳斯达克指数小幅收高。\n道琼斯指数收盘跌0.15%，标普500指数跌0.08%，纳斯达克综合指数上涨0.22%。\n2、热门中概股周二收盘多数上涨 瑞幸盘中一度飙升近19%\n热门中概股周二收盘多数上涨，高途教育涨近6%，新东方和瑞幸咖啡粉单涨超3%，好未来涨约3%，腾讯ADR涨超2%，哔哩哔哩、百度涨超1%，网易有道、拼多多涨约1%，理想汽车和小鹏汽车分别涨近0.6%和逾0.4%，阿里巴巴和京东跌超0.8%，蔚来汽车跌近0.7%。\n其他中概股上为涨超19%，达内科技涨近13%，$百世集团(BEST)$涨超11%，九紫新能涨超8%，360数科涨超7%，贝壳、优信涨超6%，高途涨超5%，满帮、途牛涨超4%。\n瑞幸咖啡股价在美国粉单市场收涨超3%，盘中一度飙升近19%。此前该公司发布公告，称与美国集体诉讼的原告代表签署了1.875亿美元的和解意向书，并已向开曼法院正式提交了对可转债债权人的债务重组方案。\n3、欧股收盘恒大危机忧虑缓解 欧股从近2个月低谷反弹\n欧洲股市在经历了两个月来的最大跌幅后周二终于实现上涨，原因是对中国恒大危机蔓延的担忧有所缓解。泛欧斯托克600指数收盘上涨4.10点，涨幅0.90%，报458.22点。\n4、油价小幅收高 欧佩克+努力增产确保石油供应\n投资者对供应日益紧张的担忧甚至超过了对中国经济状况的担忧，也抵消了欧佩克+努力增加石油生产以满足不断增长的需求，周二(9月21日)油价在震荡交易后小幅收高。\n截至发稿，美国WTI原油10月期货收涨35美分，涨幅0..50%，报70.49美元/桶；布伦特11月期货收涨77美分，涨幅1.04%，报74.69美元/桶。\n5、贵金属集体大爆发！黄金一度拉升逾20美元\n金价上涨，因对中国恒大破产的担忧引发避险买盘，美联储开启为期两天的会议，可能为央行削减对美国经济刺激措施的时间表提供线索。\n美市尾盘，现货黄金收报1774.21美元/盎司，上涨10.31美元或0.58%，盘中最高触及1781.66美元/盎司，较日低1757.82美元/盎司回升近24美元。\n国际宏观\n1、美联储决策日指南：铺垫减码料无悬念 鲍威尔将淡化加息前景\n美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔本周面临的挑战是，如何说服投资者相信减码购债并非2018年以来首次加息的前兆。\n美联储将于美东时间周三下午2点发布货币政策声明，预计会维持基准利率在接近于零的水平不变并讨论缩减每月1200美元的购债规模。\n2、美国众议院民主党人计划下周对基建法案进行投票\n美国众议院民主党领袖们计划在下周一对参议院通过的基础设施法案进行投票，此举可能加剧民主党内的分歧，并令总统乔·拜登的经济议程面临挫折。\n基建法案的投票几乎肯定会在更广泛的税收和支出法案投票之前进行，在过去几周里，后者的规模和范围一直是民主党内争论的焦点。\n3、美国民主党公布权宜支出法案 并纳入暂停债务上限条款\n美国众议院民主党人安排周二对一项法案进行投票，该法案将暂停 美国债务上限直至中期选举后的2022年12月，并临时性为政府提供资金以避免本月底关门。债务上限问题正变得急迫，因 美国财政部已警告说，在10月份的某个时候可能会用尽会计措施来避免违约。但共和党人已经誓言，只要民主党人继续推进他们的一揽子加税和支出法案，就会在参议院阻止暂停债务上限。\n4、美国财政部首度将加密货币交易所纳入制裁 涉嫌为勒索软件黑客洗钱\n当地时间周二，美国财政部发布公告称将对一家名为Suex的捷克加密货币交易所展开制裁，原因是其帮助使用勒索软件攻击的不法分子洗钱。\n市场观点\n1、美联储可能11月才会宣布缩减购债 加息得到明年底\n媒体对市场人士的调查显示，美联储将会宣布缩减购债规模，但不是在本周。媒体对32名市场参与者的调查显示，他们预计美联储将在11月宣布缩减1200亿美元的月度资产购买，并在12月正式开始缩减。美联储预计将每月削减150亿美元的购买量。调查显示，首次加息预计要到明年年底才会到来。\n2、“末日博士”鲁比尼预言全球掉入债务陷阱 利率正常化无望\n因准确预测到2008年次贷危机而闻名的“末日博士”鲁比尼又有新论。他预言，疫情后世界似乎又将重蹈覆辙。\n“我担心我们会掉入债务陷阱，”这位Roubini Macro Associates的董事长兼首席执行官在接受采访时表示。“鉴于债务比率，当中央银行想要逐步撤回非常规货币政策时，股债市场，信贷市场和经济都存在崩盘风险，他们将陷入债务陷阱，政策利率无法正常化”。\n3、高盛首席全球股票策略师：乘股市回调10%之机重返市场\n高盛首席全球股票策略师Peter Oppenheimer表示，投资者应该乘市场回调10%之机买入股票。\n“我认为，从基本面来讲，这可能是重回股市的好时机，”Oppenheimer周二在接受采访时表示。他表示，“从基本面来看，我们仍然处于本轮经济周期相对早期的阶段，”尽管对经济的应急支持力度下降，但利率仍处于低位，盈利增长处于“合理”水平。\n4、多国股市遭遇“黑色星期一” 中秋“劫”后能否稳住\n在中秋节A股休市期间，周边股市继续交易。周一，市场避险情绪高涨，全球市场可谓是遇“劫”，集体下挫。“劫”后能否稳住 呢？对A股市场的影响又会有多大？已然成为各方关注的焦点。在周一全球股市遭受重创、全线回落后，周二的市场令投资者稍稍松了口气，全球股市纷纷飘红，企稳反弹。\n公司新闻\n1、瑞幸咖啡与美国证券集体诉讼原告达成和解意向 披露2020财年报告\n当地时间周二，在财务造假被纳斯达克交易所摘牌一年后，瑞幸咖啡连发三则公告披露了一系列公司重组的“里程碑式”进展。\n瑞幸咖啡披露，公司已经与美国集体诉讼的原告代表签订了一份具有约束力的和解意向书，约定向2019年5月17日至2020年7月15日间购买公司股票的全球投资者合计赔偿1.875亿美元。\n2、谷歌斥资21亿美元在曼哈顿买房 刷新美国疫情后“楼王”纪录\n当地时间周二，谷歌发布公告称公司决定斥资21亿美元收购位于纽约曼哈顿的圣约翰码头，进一步展现了科技公司扩张实体办公区域的热情。\n据数据公司Real Capital Analytics统计，这笔交易也是疫情开始后美国独栋建筑交易的最高价，同样在美国历史上最贵房地产交易中亦有一席之地。目前谷歌正是这栋130万平方英尺建筑的租客，此次交易涉及租约中的买断条款，公司预计将在2022年一月份完成交割。\n3、恒大汽车宣布3.2亿股期权计划 授予3180名技术骨干\n恒大汽车于昨日发布公告，该公司向其科研技术员工授予32372万股期权，相当于公司当前已发行股本的3.31%，行权价为3.9港元。\n4、流媒体增长预警！迪士尼盘中跳水创15个月最大跌幅\n在CEO警告流媒体用户增长放缓后，美国娱乐传媒巨头迪士尼股价盘中跳水。\n美东时间21日周二的高盛沟通会议上，迪士尼CEO Bob Chapek称，在截至9月末的今年第三季度、即公司2021财年第四财季，流媒体平台迪士尼+在全球将有“低个位数的百万”付费订阅用户。\n5、中远海运港口计划收购德国汉堡集装箱码头35%权益\n中国主要集装箱码头营运商中远海运港口周二称，计划收购德国汉堡集装箱码头35%权益，作价为6,500万欧元。交易卖方为HHLA，目标公司于德国汉堡港经营Tollerort集装箱码头。交易完成后，HHLA仍持有目标公司65%权益。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":573,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":886278533,"gmtCreate":1631600893022,"gmtModify":1632807335593,"author":{"id":"3558654025923461","authorId":"3558654025923461","name":"MartinKuah","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/78f32262f3c5e93d76e3fb5e489f8dd2","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3558654025923461","authorIdStr":"3558654025923461"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"WOW","listText":"WOW","text":"WOW","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/886278533","repostId":"1174185831","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":347,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":883276630,"gmtCreate":1631249459520,"gmtModify":1632883641065,"author":{"id":"3558654025923461","authorId":"3558654025923461","name":"MartinKuah","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/78f32262f3c5e93d76e3fb5e489f8dd2","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3558654025923461","authorIdStr":"3558654025923461"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Why","listText":"Why","text":"Why","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/883276630","repostId":"1193018838","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":702,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":883276053,"gmtCreate":1631249424972,"gmtModify":1632883641507,"author":{"id":"3558654025923461","authorId":"3558654025923461","name":"MartinKuah","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/78f32262f3c5e93d76e3fb5e489f8dd2","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3558654025923461","authorIdStr":"3558654025923461"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Airbus","listText":"Airbus","text":"Airbus","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/883276053","repostId":"1112768265","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1112768265","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1631246069,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1112768265?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-10 11:54","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Buying The 20% Dip In Boeing","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1112768265","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Summary\n\nBoeing has suffered some recent setbacks and shares are 20% below the YTD high.\nThe Wall St","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Boeing has suffered some recent setbacks and shares are 20% below the YTD high.</li>\n <li>The Wall Street consensus outlook is bullish, with a 28% expected 12-month gain.</li>\n <li>The market-implied outlook (derived from options prices) has improved substantially from early 2021.</li>\n <li>Despite the recent news, I am shifting to a bullish rating on Boeing.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fc2d7054e9e4d9e28d9adde400ba0e81\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>gk-6mt/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p>Boeing (BA) has recently been hit with a spate of bad news. First, the company announced that deliveries of the&nbsp;787 Dreamliner had been (further) delayed. Next, Ryanair&nbsp;ended discussions&nbsp;for the purchase of new planes. This comes on the heels of U.K. airline Jet2&nbsp;selecting&nbsp;Airbus(OTCPK:EADSF)&nbsp;rather than Boeing for an order of 32 jets. BA shares are currently trading at $215.20, 20% below the YTD high closing price of $269.19, set on March 12th.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b74570d3815f4894fc58f3fa861ad031\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"410\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>5-year price history for Boeing (Source: Seeking Alpha)</span></p>\n<p>Investors who bought into BA during the early market response to COVID, when shares went below $100, have done very well. The shares are still far below the pre-COVID levels and the challenge is how to figure out a reasonable strategy with the stock.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e006da60ae0e387ad72a82be4682b84a\" tg-width=\"599\" tg-height=\"730\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Performance of BA since my last analysis in January 2021 (Source: Seeking Alpha)</span></p>\n<p>I&nbsp;last analyzed BA&nbsp;on January 17th and I gave the shares a bearish rating. From the publication of that piece until today, BA has returned 2.9% and the S&amp;P 500 has gained 19.6%. Since January, economic conditions have improved substantially, but we are facing a Northern Hemisphere winter with COVID Delta spreading rapidly. In addition, BA’s recent setbacks must be considered. In this piece, I am updating my analysis using the same approach.</p>\n<p>Back in my January analysis, there were several red flags for BA that I cited in my write-up. First, the Wall Street consensus price target projected an 11% gain over 12 months, which seemed like a small expected gain given the high level of risk. Second, there was enormous dispersion in the analyst outlooks, which has been&nbsp;shown to reduce (or even reverse)&nbsp;the predictive value of the consensus. As a rule of thumb, when I see a factor of 2 difference between the highest and lowest analyst price targets, I get concerned. Back then, the lowest price target was less than half the highest. The third major red flag for me was that the consensus view of options traders (derived from options prices) had substantially elevated probabilities of negative returns.</p>\n<p>I rely on two forms of consensus outlooks, as discussed above. The Wall Street analyst consensus is widely followed. The market-implied outlook, the options market’s consensus view, provides another viewpoint. The price of an option is the market’s consensus estimate of the probability that the price of the underlying stock will rise (call option) or fall (put option) relative to the option strike price. By analyzing options at a range of strikes, and a common expiration date, it is possible to infer the probabilistic price return outlook that reconciles the options prices. For readers who are not familiar with this approach, I have written an&nbsp;overview, including links to the relevant financial literature.</p>\n<p><b>Wall Street Consensus Outlook for BA</b></p>\n<p>eTrade’s calculation of the Wall Street consensus combines the views of 15 ranked analysts who have set ratings and price targets within the past 90 days. The consensus rating is bullish and the consensus 12-month price target is 29% above the current price. Even the lowest of the 12-month price targets is 4.75% above the current price. Of the 15 analysts, 8 assign a buy and 7 assign a hold rating. The current analyst outlook is quite a contrast to the one I cited in my&nbsp;previous analysis.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d154bd7aaebb18c97a28b2b0f674905a\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"875\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Wall Street analyst consensus and 12-month price target for BA (Source: eTrade)</span></p>\n<p>Seeking Alpha’s version of the Wall Street consensus is calculated using ratings and price targets from 22 analysts who have set views in the past 90 days. The consensus rating is bullish and the consensus price target is 27% above the current price.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d89f598f3a1a16150c04bc2b130bd5a4\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"645\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Wall Street analyst consensus and 12-month price target for BA (Source: Seeking Alpha)</span></p>\n<p>The improvement in the consensus outlook for BA since January is especially notable given the stream of bad news stories.</p>\n<p><b>Market-Implied Outlook for BA</b></p>\n<p>I have analysed put and call options at a range of strikes to generate market-implied outlooks into the start of 2022 (using options expiring on January 21, 2022), six months out (options expiring on March 18, 2022), and nine months out (expiring on June 17, 2022). The option trading volume and open interest for BA are high, especially for the options expiring in January. This adds confidence to the meaningfulness of the market-implied outlook. The calculated expected values of the options, using the market-implied outlook, match the market prices of the options very closely (the average difference between the market prices of options and the modeled values is 0.2% for the January and March options, and 0.3% for the June options).</p>\n<p>The standard presentation of the market-implied outlook is a probability distribution of price returns, with probability on the vertical axis and return on the horizontal axis.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/23145b7ab3bf6ce3d24d3fff1fb9854e\" tg-width=\"618\" tg-height=\"356\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Market-implied price return probabilities for BA for the 4.4-month period from today until January 21, 2022 (Source: Author’s calculations using options quotes from eTrade)</span></p>\n<p>The market-implied outlook for the next 4.4 months is generally symmetric, with comparable probabilities of positive and negative returns of the same magnitude. The peak probability corresponds to a price return of +1.75%, but this is not large enough to be meaningful. The annualized volatility derived from this distribution is 38%.</p>\n<p>To make it easier to directly compare the probabilities of positive and negative returns, I look at the version of the market-implied probability chart in which I rotate the negative return side of the distribution about the vertical axis (see chart below).</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f72f2063e003fa4af1a9cae06bfb8486\" tg-width=\"573\" tg-height=\"356\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Market-implied price return probabilities for BA for the 4.4-month period from today until January 21, 2022. The negative return side of the distribution has been rotated about the vertical axis (Source: Author’s calculations using options quotes from eTrade)</span></p>\n<p>The probabilities of positive and negative returns of the same magnitude match very closely in the 4.4-month outlook (the solid blue line and the dashed red line are very close to one another). Theoretically, the market-implied outlook should be somewhat negatively biased because risk-averse investors tend to pay more than fair value for downside protection. With this consideration, the 4.4-month market-implied outlook is slightly bullish.</p>\n<p>Looking out 6.2 months (calculating the market-implied outlook using options expiring on March 18, 2022), there is a shift towards slightly elevated probabilities of negative returns relative to positive returns. Given the (theoretical) tendency towards a negative bias, this market-implied outlook is neutral. The annualized volatility derived from this distribution is 38%.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab21906a1af9153b4b0020e595e3e866\" tg-width=\"573\" tg-height=\"356\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Market-implied price return probabilities for BA for the 6.2-month period from today until March 18, 2022. The negative return side of the distribution has been rotated about the vertical axis (Source: author’s calculations using options quotes from eTrade)</span></p>\n<p>Looking out to June of 2022 (9.2 months into the future), the market-implied outlook has shifted to become somewhat bearish, with meaningfully higher probabilities of negative returns relative to positive returns. The annualized volatility derived from this distribution is 38%.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a7827202f1afc0ee691beb9c81c1c3b4\" tg-width=\"573\" tg-height=\"356\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Market-implied price return probabilities for BA for the 9.2-month period from today until June 17, 2022. The negative return side of the distribution has been rotated about the vertical axis (Source: author’s calculations using options quotes from eTrade)</span></p>\n<p>The market-implied outlook is modestly bullish over the next 4.4 months, shifting to a neutral outlook over the 6.2-month period, and evolving to become somewhat bearish for the 9.2-month period.</p>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<p>Even with the recent litany of bad news, the consensus outlook from Wall Street analysts is bullish, and the consensus 12-month price target for BA is about 28% above the current price. The consensus outlook is markedly more positive than in early 2021. Granted, the consensus rating and price target includes analysis within the past 90 days, so the consensus price targets may not reflect the most current information.</p>\n<p>The market-implied outlook for BA are slightly bullish into the start of 2022, shifting to neutral by mid-March, and then becoming somewhat bearish by the middle of 2022. The somewhat bullish near-term market-implied outlook reduces my concerns that the Wall Street consensus may not fully reflect recent bad news. The expected volatility derived from the market-implied outlooks is 38% (annualized).</p>\n<p>If we take the Wall Street consensus price target at face value, the 28% 12-month expected gain looks like a good bet for a stock with 38% volatility. As a rule of thumb, I look for expected annual return of at least ½ the value of the expected volatility, and BA easily exceeds this criterion. With the substantially bullish Wall Street consensus and the bullish-to-neutral outlook to mid-March, I am changing my overall rating for BA to bullish, although I want to revisit this analysis in early 2022 due to the bearish tilt in the 9-month market-implied outlook.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Buying The 20% Dip In Boeing</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBuying The 20% Dip In Boeing\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-09-10 11:54 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4454405-buying-the-20-percent-dip-in-boeing><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nBoeing has suffered some recent setbacks and shares are 20% below the YTD high.\nThe Wall Street consensus outlook is bullish, with a 28% expected 12-month gain.\nThe market-implied outlook (...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4454405-buying-the-20-percent-dip-in-boeing\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BA":"波音"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4454405-buying-the-20-percent-dip-in-boeing","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1112768265","content_text":"Summary\n\nBoeing has suffered some recent setbacks and shares are 20% below the YTD high.\nThe Wall Street consensus outlook is bullish, with a 28% expected 12-month gain.\nThe market-implied outlook (derived from options prices) has improved substantially from early 2021.\nDespite the recent news, I am shifting to a bullish rating on Boeing.\n\ngk-6mt/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nBoeing (BA) has recently been hit with a spate of bad news. First, the company announced that deliveries of the 787 Dreamliner had been (further) delayed. Next, Ryanair ended discussions for the purchase of new planes. This comes on the heels of U.K. airline Jet2 selecting Airbus(OTCPK:EADSF) rather than Boeing for an order of 32 jets. BA shares are currently trading at $215.20, 20% below the YTD high closing price of $269.19, set on March 12th.\n5-year price history for Boeing (Source: Seeking Alpha)\nInvestors who bought into BA during the early market response to COVID, when shares went below $100, have done very well. The shares are still far below the pre-COVID levels and the challenge is how to figure out a reasonable strategy with the stock.\nPerformance of BA since my last analysis in January 2021 (Source: Seeking Alpha)\nI last analyzed BA on January 17th and I gave the shares a bearish rating. From the publication of that piece until today, BA has returned 2.9% and the S&P 500 has gained 19.6%. Since January, economic conditions have improved substantially, but we are facing a Northern Hemisphere winter with COVID Delta spreading rapidly. In addition, BA’s recent setbacks must be considered. In this piece, I am updating my analysis using the same approach.\nBack in my January analysis, there were several red flags for BA that I cited in my write-up. First, the Wall Street consensus price target projected an 11% gain over 12 months, which seemed like a small expected gain given the high level of risk. Second, there was enormous dispersion in the analyst outlooks, which has been shown to reduce (or even reverse) the predictive value of the consensus. As a rule of thumb, when I see a factor of 2 difference between the highest and lowest analyst price targets, I get concerned. Back then, the lowest price target was less than half the highest. The third major red flag for me was that the consensus view of options traders (derived from options prices) had substantially elevated probabilities of negative returns.\nI rely on two forms of consensus outlooks, as discussed above. The Wall Street analyst consensus is widely followed. The market-implied outlook, the options market’s consensus view, provides another viewpoint. The price of an option is the market’s consensus estimate of the probability that the price of the underlying stock will rise (call option) or fall (put option) relative to the option strike price. By analyzing options at a range of strikes, and a common expiration date, it is possible to infer the probabilistic price return outlook that reconciles the options prices. For readers who are not familiar with this approach, I have written an overview, including links to the relevant financial literature.\nWall Street Consensus Outlook for BA\neTrade’s calculation of the Wall Street consensus combines the views of 15 ranked analysts who have set ratings and price targets within the past 90 days. The consensus rating is bullish and the consensus 12-month price target is 29% above the current price. Even the lowest of the 12-month price targets is 4.75% above the current price. Of the 15 analysts, 8 assign a buy and 7 assign a hold rating. The current analyst outlook is quite a contrast to the one I cited in my previous analysis.\nWall Street analyst consensus and 12-month price target for BA (Source: eTrade)\nSeeking Alpha’s version of the Wall Street consensus is calculated using ratings and price targets from 22 analysts who have set views in the past 90 days. The consensus rating is bullish and the consensus price target is 27% above the current price.\nWall Street analyst consensus and 12-month price target for BA (Source: Seeking Alpha)\nThe improvement in the consensus outlook for BA since January is especially notable given the stream of bad news stories.\nMarket-Implied Outlook for BA\nI have analysed put and call options at a range of strikes to generate market-implied outlooks into the start of 2022 (using options expiring on January 21, 2022), six months out (options expiring on March 18, 2022), and nine months out (expiring on June 17, 2022). The option trading volume and open interest for BA are high, especially for the options expiring in January. This adds confidence to the meaningfulness of the market-implied outlook. The calculated expected values of the options, using the market-implied outlook, match the market prices of the options very closely (the average difference between the market prices of options and the modeled values is 0.2% for the January and March options, and 0.3% for the June options).\nThe standard presentation of the market-implied outlook is a probability distribution of price returns, with probability on the vertical axis and return on the horizontal axis.\nMarket-implied price return probabilities for BA for the 4.4-month period from today until January 21, 2022 (Source: Author’s calculations using options quotes from eTrade)\nThe market-implied outlook for the next 4.4 months is generally symmetric, with comparable probabilities of positive and negative returns of the same magnitude. The peak probability corresponds to a price return of +1.75%, but this is not large enough to be meaningful. The annualized volatility derived from this distribution is 38%.\nTo make it easier to directly compare the probabilities of positive and negative returns, I look at the version of the market-implied probability chart in which I rotate the negative return side of the distribution about the vertical axis (see chart below).\nMarket-implied price return probabilities for BA for the 4.4-month period from today until January 21, 2022. The negative return side of the distribution has been rotated about the vertical axis (Source: Author’s calculations using options quotes from eTrade)\nThe probabilities of positive and negative returns of the same magnitude match very closely in the 4.4-month outlook (the solid blue line and the dashed red line are very close to one another). Theoretically, the market-implied outlook should be somewhat negatively biased because risk-averse investors tend to pay more than fair value for downside protection. With this consideration, the 4.4-month market-implied outlook is slightly bullish.\nLooking out 6.2 months (calculating the market-implied outlook using options expiring on March 18, 2022), there is a shift towards slightly elevated probabilities of negative returns relative to positive returns. Given the (theoretical) tendency towards a negative bias, this market-implied outlook is neutral. The annualized volatility derived from this distribution is 38%.\nMarket-implied price return probabilities for BA for the 6.2-month period from today until March 18, 2022. The negative return side of the distribution has been rotated about the vertical axis (Source: author’s calculations using options quotes from eTrade)\nLooking out to June of 2022 (9.2 months into the future), the market-implied outlook has shifted to become somewhat bearish, with meaningfully higher probabilities of negative returns relative to positive returns. The annualized volatility derived from this distribution is 38%.\nMarket-implied price return probabilities for BA for the 9.2-month period from today until June 17, 2022. The negative return side of the distribution has been rotated about the vertical axis (Source: author’s calculations using options quotes from eTrade)\nThe market-implied outlook is modestly bullish over the next 4.4 months, shifting to a neutral outlook over the 6.2-month period, and evolving to become somewhat bearish for the 9.2-month period.\nSummary\nEven with the recent litany of bad news, the consensus outlook from Wall Street analysts is bullish, and the consensus 12-month price target for BA is about 28% above the current price. The consensus outlook is markedly more positive than in early 2021. Granted, the consensus rating and price target includes analysis within the past 90 days, so the consensus price targets may not reflect the most current information.\nThe market-implied outlook for BA are slightly bullish into the start of 2022, shifting to neutral by mid-March, and then becoming somewhat bearish by the middle of 2022. The somewhat bullish near-term market-implied outlook reduces my concerns that the Wall Street consensus may not fully reflect recent bad news. The expected volatility derived from the market-implied outlooks is 38% (annualized).\nIf we take the Wall Street consensus price target at face value, the 28% 12-month expected gain looks like a good bet for a stock with 38% volatility. As a rule of thumb, I look for expected annual return of at least ½ the value of the expected volatility, and BA easily exceeds this criterion. With the substantially bullish Wall Street consensus and the bullish-to-neutral outlook to mid-March, I am changing my overall rating for BA to bullish, although I want to revisit this analysis in early 2022 due to the bearish tilt in the 9-month market-implied outlook.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":447,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":880987842,"gmtCreate":1631009948286,"gmtModify":1632904627359,"author":{"id":"3558654025923461","authorId":"3558654025923461","name":"MartinKuah","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/78f32262f3c5e93d76e3fb5e489f8dd2","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3558654025923461","authorIdStr":"3558654025923461"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Halo every body","listText":"Halo every body","text":"Halo every body","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/880987842","repostId":"2165330144","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":553,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":false}