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- JafernisJafernis
  ·2021-06-18
  cool
  Goldman sees Fed-driven dip in commodities as a 'buying opportunity'
  (Reuters) - Goldman Sachs said on Friday the recent slip in commodities prices driven by the U.S. Fe
  Goldman sees Fed-driven dip in commodities as a 'buying opportunity'
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- JafernisJafernis
  ·2021-06-12
  $PHI Group, Inc.(PHIL)$今天回到0.008 过后会回到0.01
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- JafernisJafernis
  ·2021-02-09
  🙏🏻🙏🏻
  The stock market is echoing 2009-10 — and that means a pullback could be near, analysts warn
  Economy, markets ‘in a very different place than in 1999-2000’: Cannacord’s Dwyer A highflying stock
  The stock market is echoing 2009-10 — and that means a pullback could be near, analysts warn
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20:26","market":"fut","language":"en","title":"Goldman sees Fed-driven dip in commodities as a 'buying opportunity'","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1131081247","media":"Reuters","summary":"(Reuters) - Goldman Sachs said on Friday the recent slip in commodities prices driven by the U.S. Fe","content":"<p>(Reuters) - Goldman Sachs said on Friday the recent slip in commodities prices driven by the U.S. Federal Reserve’s decision to bring forward projections for interest rate hikes into 2023 was a buying opportunity for investors.</p>\n<p>“The bullish commodity thesis is neither about inflation risks nor Fed forward guidance. It is about scarcity and strong physical demand,” the Wall Street bank said in a note.</p>\n<p>Physical scarcity, caused by robust demand growth and inelastic supply, could drive Brent crude oil prices to average $80 in the third quarter, with potential spikes above that level, Goldman analysts wrote.</p>\n<p>Prices of commodities including oil, gold and copper fell as the U.S. dollar surged on the Federal Reserve’s outlook on interest rate hikes.</p>\n<p>But oil prices were still close to multi-year highs, while gold has since seen a slight rebound, and copper was en route to its biggest weekly decline since March 2020.</p>\n<p>The copper market also remains on course for deficit conditions both over the remainder of this year and into 2022, the bank said, adding recent dips should be viewed as a longer-term buying opportunity.</p>\n<p>A recovery in commodities markets excluding energy markets, however, is likely to be slower than from recent sell-offs as transient shocks from weather and Chinese-mandated repositioning have generated negative technical breakthroughs, Goldman warned.</p>\n<p>Earlier this month, China’s state planner renewed a pledge to step up monitoring of commodity prices and strengthen supervision of spot and futures markets, as producer inflation in the country hit over 12 year-highs.</p>\n<p>Goldman also viewed gold as under-valued relative to both real and nominal fundamentals.</p>\n<p>“In fact, gold is now pricing a Goldilocks scenario of strong growth without any inflation, implying limited demand for it as either a defensive asset or inflation hedge.”</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGoldman sees Fed-driven dip in commodities as a 'buying opportunity'\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-18 20:26 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.reuters.com/article/commodities-research-goldman/goldman-sees-fed-driven-dip-in-commodities-as-a-buying-opportunity-idUSL3N2O02QT><strong>Reuters</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>(Reuters) - Goldman Sachs said on Friday the recent slip in commodities prices driven by the U.S. Federal Reserve’s decision to bring forward projections for interest rate hikes into 2023 was a buying...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/article/commodities-research-goldman/goldman-sees-fed-driven-dip-in-commodities-as-a-buying-opportunity-idUSL3N2O02QT\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GS":"高盛"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/article/commodities-research-goldman/goldman-sees-fed-driven-dip-in-commodities-as-a-buying-opportunity-idUSL3N2O02QT","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1131081247","content_text":"(Reuters) - Goldman Sachs said on Friday the recent slip in commodities prices driven by the U.S. Federal Reserve’s decision to bring forward projections for interest rate hikes into 2023 was a buying opportunity for investors.\n“The bullish commodity thesis is neither about inflation risks nor Fed forward guidance. It is about scarcity and strong physical demand,” the Wall Street bank said in a note.\nPhysical scarcity, caused by robust demand growth and inelastic supply, could drive Brent crude oil prices to average $80 in the third quarter, with potential spikes above that level, Goldman analysts wrote.\nPrices of commodities including oil, gold and copper fell as the U.S. dollar surged on the Federal Reserve’s outlook on interest rate hikes.\nBut oil prices were still close to multi-year highs, while gold has since seen a slight rebound, and copper was en route to its biggest weekly decline since March 2020.\nThe copper market also remains on course for deficit conditions both over the remainder of this year and into 2022, the bank said, adding recent dips should be viewed as a longer-term buying opportunity.\nA recovery in commodities markets excluding energy markets, however, is likely to be slower than from recent sell-offs as transient shocks from weather and Chinese-mandated repositioning have generated negative technical breakthroughs, Goldman warned.\nEarlier this month, China’s state planner renewed a pledge to step up monitoring of commodity prices and strengthen supervision of spot and futures markets, as producer inflation in the country hit over 12 year-highs.\nGoldman also viewed gold as under-valued relative to both real and nominal fundamentals.\n“In fact, gold is now pricing a Goldilocks scenario of strong growth without any inflation, implying limited demand for it as either a defensive asset or inflation hedge.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":160,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":188684892,"gmtCreate":1623432783516,"gmtModify":1631888393930,"author":{"id":"3560487988141853","authorId":"3560487988141853","name":"Jafernis","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b79aed3a958aa753218274bff4daa38d","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3560487988141853","authorIdStr":"3560487988141853"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PHIL\">$PHI Group, Inc.(PHIL)$</a>今天回到0.008 过后会回到0.01","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PHIL\">$PHI Group, Inc.(PHIL)$</a>今天回到0.008 过后会回到0.01","text":"$PHI Group, Inc.(PHIL)$今天回到0.008 过后会回到0.01","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/188684892","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":842,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":383347940,"gmtCreate":1612844158780,"gmtModify":1703765749114,"author":{"id":"3560487988141853","authorId":"3560487988141853","name":"Jafernis","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b79aed3a958aa753218274bff4daa38d","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3560487988141853","authorIdStr":"3560487988141853"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"🙏🏻🙏🏻","listText":"🙏🏻🙏🏻","text":"🙏🏻🙏🏻","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/383347940","repostId":"2110032585","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2110032585","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1612842889,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2110032585?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-02-09 11:54","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The stock market is echoing 2009-10 — and that means a pullback could be near, analysts warn","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2110032585","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Economy, markets ‘in a very different place than in 1999-2000’: Cannacord’s Dwyer\nA highflying stock","content":"<p>Economy, markets ‘in a very different place than in 1999-2000’: Cannacord’s Dwyer</p>\n<p>A highflying stock market is reminding nervous investors of the 2000 dot-com bubble burst, but they might be better off studying more recent history, analysts said.</p>\n<p>It is important to remember “that current Fed policy, absolute interest rates, the yield curve, credit trends and money availability are in a very different place than in 1999-2000,” wrote Tony Dwyer, chief market strategist at Canaccord Genuity, in a Monday note.</p>\n<p>In addition, high valuations — measures of a stocks price relative to other metrics such as earnings — are being gauged against last year’s pandemic-inspired trough in profit rather than building on record earnings, as was the case in 2000, he said.</p>\n<p>Dwyer said 2021 could instead play out more like the postcrisis scenario seen in 2010, which would point the way to a “solid year” for the market, but with a bumpy ride thanks to “multiple first-half corrections” along with a compression in price-to-earnings ratios that is likely to come from a historic surge in earnings per share rather than something more onerous.</p>\n<p>Dwyer highlighted how the S&amp;P 500&nbsp;move off its March 23 pandemic low has echoed the index’s rebound off its March 2009 low (see chart below).</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/08505c0057deab4fab1d472343059fa9\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"441\"><span>CANACCORD GENUITY</span></p>\n<p>Through the Feb. 2 close — 218 days after the March 23 low — the S&amp;P 500 was up 71%. In the 218 days after the March 9, 2009, low, the index rose 70%, according to Dow Jones Market Data.</p>\n<p>At this point in the post-2009 playbook, the S&amp;P 500 began a pullback. This time around, the S&amp;P 500 has continued to march higher, logging back-to-back record finishes on Thursday and Friday and was up 0.4% in early afternoon trade on Monday.</p>\n<p>After a late January wobble tied to the trading frenzy around GameStop Corp.,stocks have enjoyed&nbsp;a broad February rally. The Dow Jones Industrial Averagewas up around 150 points, or 0.5%, on Monday, on track to top its record close from Jan. 20.</p>\n<p>DataTrek Research co-founder Nicholas Colas, who has regularly highlighted the “2009 playbook” since the March lows, noted last week that the 2010 pullback was pretty much a “textbook” affair, with the S&amp;P 500 falling 8.2% over 13 trading days. The index recovered over the following 30 trading days, ending March 2010 at new highs, he said.</p>\n<p>Colas said the observation wasn’t “so much a trading call as an illustration of what happens as we get deeper into a cyclical recovery.”</p>\n<p>He noted that the 2020 chart has diverged from the 2009 path several times and might continue to do so in 2021, but argued that with so many observers looking for a pullback, the playbook might offer guidance “on what to expect&nbsp;and where to start buying.”</p>\n<p>Meanwhile, Dwyer highlighted another echo of 2010. He noted that since the start of earnings season, according to Refinitiv data, fourth-quarter 2020 year-over-year earnings have improved by 11.9 percentage points (from -10.3% to +1.6%), the fifth-largest improvement on record dating back to the third quarter of 2002 and matched only by the 2009-10 recovery.</p>","source":"market_watch","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The stock market is echoing 2009-10 — and that means a pullback could be near, analysts warn</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe stock market is echoing 2009-10 — and that means a pullback could be near, analysts warn\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-02-09 11:54 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-stock-market-is-echoing-2009-10-and-that-means-a-pullback-could-be-near-analysts-warn-11612808035?mod=home-page><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Economy, markets ‘in a very different place than in 1999-2000’: Cannacord’s Dwyer\nA highflying stock market is reminding nervous investors of the 2000 dot-com bubble burst, but they might be better ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-stock-market-is-echoing-2009-10-and-that-means-a-pullback-could-be-near-analysts-warn-11612808035?mod=home-page\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","OEX":"标普100","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","SH":"标普500反向ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-stock-market-is-echoing-2009-10-and-that-means-a-pullback-could-be-near-analysts-warn-11612808035?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/599a65733b8245fcf7868668ef9ad712","article_id":"2110032585","content_text":"Economy, markets ‘in a very different place than in 1999-2000’: Cannacord’s Dwyer\nA highflying stock market is reminding nervous investors of the 2000 dot-com bubble burst, but they might be better off studying more recent history, analysts said.\nIt is important to remember “that current Fed policy, absolute interest rates, the yield curve, credit trends and money availability are in a very different place than in 1999-2000,” wrote Tony Dwyer, chief market strategist at Canaccord Genuity, in a Monday note.\nIn addition, high valuations — measures of a stocks price relative to other metrics such as earnings — are being gauged against last year’s pandemic-inspired trough in profit rather than building on record earnings, as was the case in 2000, he said.\nDwyer said 2021 could instead play out more like the postcrisis scenario seen in 2010, which would point the way to a “solid year” for the market, but with a bumpy ride thanks to “multiple first-half corrections” along with a compression in price-to-earnings ratios that is likely to come from a historic surge in earnings per share rather than something more onerous.\nDwyer highlighted how the S&P 500 move off its March 23 pandemic low has echoed the index’s rebound off its March 2009 low (see chart below).\nCANACCORD GENUITY\nThrough the Feb. 2 close — 218 days after the March 23 low — the S&P 500 was up 71%. In the 218 days after the March 9, 2009, low, the index rose 70%, according to Dow Jones Market Data.\nAt this point in the post-2009 playbook, the S&P 500 began a pullback. This time around, the S&P 500 has continued to march higher, logging back-to-back record finishes on Thursday and Friday and was up 0.4% in early afternoon trade on Monday.\nAfter a late January wobble tied to the trading frenzy around GameStop Corp.,stocks have enjoyed a broad February rally. The Dow Jones Industrial Averagewas up around 150 points, or 0.5%, on Monday, on track to top its record close from Jan. 20.\nDataTrek Research co-founder Nicholas Colas, who has regularly highlighted the “2009 playbook” since the March lows, noted last week that the 2010 pullback was pretty much a “textbook” affair, with the S&P 500 falling 8.2% over 13 trading days. The index recovered over the following 30 trading days, ending March 2010 at new highs, he said.\nColas said the observation wasn’t “so much a trading call as an illustration of what happens as we get deeper into a cyclical recovery.”\nHe noted that the 2020 chart has diverged from the 2009 path several times and might continue to do so in 2021, but argued that with so many observers looking for a pullback, the playbook might offer guidance “on what to expect and where to start buying.”\nMeanwhile, Dwyer highlighted another echo of 2010. He noted that since the start of earnings season, according to Refinitiv data, fourth-quarter 2020 year-over-year earnings have improved by 11.9 percentage points (from -10.3% to +1.6%), the fifth-largest improvement on record dating back to the third quarter of 2002 and matched only by the 2009-10 recovery.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":308,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":false}