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IvanTeo
IvanTeo
·
2021-09-01
Anything that has a chain to electric vehicles is gold now?
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IvanTeo
IvanTeo
·
2021-08-11
It could be a short term strategy for ARK. They will probably buy back at some point in the future
The Ark Funds' Actions to Lighten up China Concepts Stocks
Pre-market overview U.S. stocks fell in the pre-market trading, and the U.S. 10-Year Government Bond
The Ark Funds' Actions to Lighten up China Concepts Stocks
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IvanTeo
IvanTeo
·
2021-08-10
Gives meaning to the quote “invest in yourself”
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IvanTeo
IvanTeo
·
2021-08-07
DOW, NASDAQ keeps breaking new high but hyper growth stocks seems to be lagging
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IvanTeo
IvanTeo
·
2021-08-02
The trends are unpredictable
Square, Robinhood, AMD, GameStop, Alibaba, AMC — Here's What WallStreetBets Is Talking About Heading Into New Week
Heading into a new trading week,Square Inc.,RobinHood Markets Inc. and Advanced Micro Devices Inc. a
Square, Robinhood, AMD, GameStop, Alibaba, AMC — Here's What WallStreetBets Is Talking About Heading Into New Week
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IvanTeo
IvanTeo
·
2021-06-14
It is anyone’s guess at this point
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IvanTeo
IvanTeo
·
2021-02-16
Although the market is over priced now, the overall market’s perception of value is uneven.
Where the Real Stock Market Bubble Is
It is likely that the S&P 500 Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals indexis in a bubble at risk
Where the Real Stock Market Bubble Is
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IvanTeo
IvanTeo
·
2021-02-11
Not sure if Pinterest can monetise
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IvanTeo
IvanTeo
·
2021-02-08
Looks like a huge day for NASDAQ
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IvanTeo
IvanTeo
·
2021-02-05
Hope Nokia stay focused
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that has a chain to electric vehicles is gold now?","listText":"Anything that has a chain to electric vehicles is gold now?","text":"Anything that has a chain to electric vehicles is gold now?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/816087417","repostId":"1168824387","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":418,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":892290712,"gmtCreate":1628661322836,"gmtModify":1631891655855,"author":{"id":"3561757396404610","authorId":"3561757396404610","name":"IvanTeo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/09ad7baf8f067a94c8d3f2222a521ef8","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561757396404610","authorIdStr":"3561757396404610"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"It could be a short term strategy for ARK. They will probably buy back at some point in the future","listText":"It could be a short term strategy for ARK. They will probably buy back at some point in the future","text":"It could be a short term strategy for ARK. They will probably buy back at some point in the future","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/892290712","repostId":"1163924715","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1163924715","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1628654753,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1163924715?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-11 12:05","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Ark Funds' Actions to Lighten up China Concepts Stocks","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1163924715","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Pre-market overview\nU.S. stocks fell in the pre-market trading, and the U.S. 10-Year Government Bond","content":"<p><b>Pre-market overview</b></p>\n<p>U.S. stocks fell in the pre-market trading, and the U.S. 10-Year Government Bond Yields dropped again in Asias hours, pulling down the prices of commodities with crude oil falling up to 5%. China Concepts Stocks rose slightly in the pre-market trading.</p>\n<p>In the secondary market, there are two types of US funds willing to make investments in China. Thereinto, one of them has liquidated or been gradually liquidating their holdings. According to the daily operations of the Ark Funds, it has been reducing its positions in China Concepts Stocks including Tencent, and has never increased its positions, although the afore-mentioned stocks have rebounded to some extent recently. A more pleasing signal appeared lately is that the Ark Funds has stopped lightening up Chinese stocks.</p>\n<p>On July 1st, a total of 10 Chinese stocks listed in the U.S. are covered by the Ark Funds, including 8 China Concept Stocks and 2 Hong Kong stocks traded in U.S. over-the-counter (OTC). Based on the closing price of the day, these 10 stocks totaled $1.8 billion, as shown in the following figure.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5be54c5dfdf52cd1c4ea28364f2dc37a\" tg-width=\"622\" tg-height=\"320\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>About Its Positions</b></p>\n<p>As a fund that is not active enough to invest in Chinese stocks, it is hard to say that the size of $1.8-billion position is small. The largest mutual fund that invests in emerging markets is the Invesco Developing Markets Fund, which has an investment of $15 billion in China, covering China Concepts Stocks, Hong Kong Stocks and A shares. Therefore, Ark's investment in China is not trivial.</p>\n<p>The Ark Funds claims to be technology-based, but it seems that the Funds does not fully trust China's technology. By analyzing its holdings on Chinese stocks, the most positions held by the Ark Funds now are stocks of e-commerce which owns vast purchasing power, rather than those of technology companies. Cathie Wood, an American investor as well as the CEO & CIO of Ark Invest, once praised Baidu's driverless technology on TV, while their position in Baidu’s stock is not so large. Then, here comes the new energy vehicles of China. The investment target of the Ark Funds is not the Chinese EV trio including <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">Li Auto</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">NIO Inc.</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">XPeng Inc.</a>, but NIU Technologies. The electric vehicles produced by <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIU\">Niu Technologies</a> are good sellers in New York, while another three makers have not yet expanded into the United States. Once again, it reflects Cathie Wood's skeptical attitude towards China's \"technology\".</p>\n<p><b>Let’s look into the lightening of the Ark Funds</b></p>\n<p>10 stocks are chosen to analyze their share changes. 5 stocks with the largest positions on July 1 (JD, TCEHY, BEKE, PDD, and BIDU) are shown in Figure 1, totaling $1.5 billion, accounting for about 80%. Another 5 stocks are BABA, NIU, HUYA, BYDDY, and BZ, totaling $300 million, accounting for about 20% (Figure 2). Key dates are marked below.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/41b4d86b2c5953dc32e4a31fb13ee410\" tg-width=\"554\" tg-height=\"269\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Figure 1</span></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/09631c97e67c3aa9711d607bca310526\" tg-width=\"554\" tg-height=\"252\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Figure 2</span></p>\n<p>The Ark Funds cleared all its positions in HUYA on July 13 and 14 (marked in the Figure above). The news of the failed merger between Huya and DouYu was announced on July 12, but the Ark Funds did not substantially lighten up its position on the day, and continued the pace in the past few days. </p>\n<p>Another marked date is July 26 (Figure 1). The Chinese education stocks plummeted over 50% on Friday, July 23. On that day, few people realized that a chain reaction had occurred, and Chinese stocks listed in Hong Kong would slump in the following week. The Ark Funds failed to realize it, either. On July 26, the Ark Funds had to lighten up its positions. The top 5 largest positions were all reduced by Ark, with Ke Holdings standing in the breach. This reflects Cathie Wood's suspicion of high-growth companies in China.</p>\n<p>The third marked date is July 28, as shown in Figure 2. In this round of turmoil, the Ark Funds only lightened up its positions in the stocks of BOSS Zhipin (<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BZ\">Kanzhun Limited</a>), which is also a company with a relatively small market value. Meanwhile, Cathie Wood is still very insistent on the investments in NIU Technologies.</p>\n<p>In the past week, the prices of China Concepts Stocks still hovered at a low level, but the Ark Funds no longer lightened up their positions. At present, there are only 7 stocks left. Based on the closing price last Friday, the position is $450 million, which is a 75% decrease compared to that of July 1.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Ark Funds' Actions to Lighten up China Concepts Stocks</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Ark Funds' Actions to Lighten up China Concepts Stocks\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-08-11 12:05</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Pre-market overview</b></p>\n<p>U.S. stocks fell in the pre-market trading, and the U.S. 10-Year Government Bond Yields dropped again in Asias hours, pulling down the prices of commodities with crude oil falling up to 5%. China Concepts Stocks rose slightly in the pre-market trading.</p>\n<p>In the secondary market, there are two types of US funds willing to make investments in China. Thereinto, one of them has liquidated or been gradually liquidating their holdings. According to the daily operations of the Ark Funds, it has been reducing its positions in China Concepts Stocks including Tencent, and has never increased its positions, although the afore-mentioned stocks have rebounded to some extent recently. A more pleasing signal appeared lately is that the Ark Funds has stopped lightening up Chinese stocks.</p>\n<p>On July 1st, a total of 10 Chinese stocks listed in the U.S. are covered by the Ark Funds, including 8 China Concept Stocks and 2 Hong Kong stocks traded in U.S. over-the-counter (OTC). Based on the closing price of the day, these 10 stocks totaled $1.8 billion, as shown in the following figure.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5be54c5dfdf52cd1c4ea28364f2dc37a\" tg-width=\"622\" tg-height=\"320\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>About Its Positions</b></p>\n<p>As a fund that is not active enough to invest in Chinese stocks, it is hard to say that the size of $1.8-billion position is small. The largest mutual fund that invests in emerging markets is the Invesco Developing Markets Fund, which has an investment of $15 billion in China, covering China Concepts Stocks, Hong Kong Stocks and A shares. Therefore, Ark's investment in China is not trivial.</p>\n<p>The Ark Funds claims to be technology-based, but it seems that the Funds does not fully trust China's technology. By analyzing its holdings on Chinese stocks, the most positions held by the Ark Funds now are stocks of e-commerce which owns vast purchasing power, rather than those of technology companies. Cathie Wood, an American investor as well as the CEO & CIO of Ark Invest, once praised Baidu's driverless technology on TV, while their position in Baidu’s stock is not so large. Then, here comes the new energy vehicles of China. The investment target of the Ark Funds is not the Chinese EV trio including <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">Li Auto</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">NIO Inc.</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">XPeng Inc.</a>, but NIU Technologies. The electric vehicles produced by <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIU\">Niu Technologies</a> are good sellers in New York, while another three makers have not yet expanded into the United States. Once again, it reflects Cathie Wood's skeptical attitude towards China's \"technology\".</p>\n<p><b>Let’s look into the lightening of the Ark Funds</b></p>\n<p>10 stocks are chosen to analyze their share changes. 5 stocks with the largest positions on July 1 (JD, TCEHY, BEKE, PDD, and BIDU) are shown in Figure 1, totaling $1.5 billion, accounting for about 80%. Another 5 stocks are BABA, NIU, HUYA, BYDDY, and BZ, totaling $300 million, accounting for about 20% (Figure 2). Key dates are marked below.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/41b4d86b2c5953dc32e4a31fb13ee410\" tg-width=\"554\" tg-height=\"269\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Figure 1</span></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/09631c97e67c3aa9711d607bca310526\" tg-width=\"554\" tg-height=\"252\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Figure 2</span></p>\n<p>The Ark Funds cleared all its positions in HUYA on July 13 and 14 (marked in the Figure above). The news of the failed merger between Huya and DouYu was announced on July 12, but the Ark Funds did not substantially lighten up its position on the day, and continued the pace in the past few days. </p>\n<p>Another marked date is July 26 (Figure 1). The Chinese education stocks plummeted over 50% on Friday, July 23. On that day, few people realized that a chain reaction had occurred, and Chinese stocks listed in Hong Kong would slump in the following week. The Ark Funds failed to realize it, either. On July 26, the Ark Funds had to lighten up its positions. The top 5 largest positions were all reduced by Ark, with Ke Holdings standing in the breach. This reflects Cathie Wood's suspicion of high-growth companies in China.</p>\n<p>The third marked date is July 28, as shown in Figure 2. In this round of turmoil, the Ark Funds only lightened up its positions in the stocks of BOSS Zhipin (<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BZ\">Kanzhun Limited</a>), which is also a company with a relatively small market value. Meanwhile, Cathie Wood is still very insistent on the investments in NIU Technologies.</p>\n<p>In the past week, the prices of China Concepts Stocks still hovered at a low level, but the Ark Funds no longer lightened up their positions. At present, there are only 7 stocks left. Based on the closing price last Friday, the position is $450 million, which is a 75% decrease compared to that of July 1.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIU":"小牛电动","XPEV":"小鹏汽车","NIO":"蔚来","BZ":"BOSS直聘","LI":"理想汽车"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1163924715","content_text":"Pre-market overview\nU.S. stocks fell in the pre-market trading, and the U.S. 10-Year Government Bond Yields dropped again in Asias hours, pulling down the prices of commodities with crude oil falling up to 5%. China Concepts Stocks rose slightly in the pre-market trading.\nIn the secondary market, there are two types of US funds willing to make investments in China. Thereinto, one of them has liquidated or been gradually liquidating their holdings. According to the daily operations of the Ark Funds, it has been reducing its positions in China Concepts Stocks including Tencent, and has never increased its positions, although the afore-mentioned stocks have rebounded to some extent recently. A more pleasing signal appeared lately is that the Ark Funds has stopped lightening up Chinese stocks.\nOn July 1st, a total of 10 Chinese stocks listed in the U.S. are covered by the Ark Funds, including 8 China Concept Stocks and 2 Hong Kong stocks traded in U.S. over-the-counter (OTC). Based on the closing price of the day, these 10 stocks totaled $1.8 billion, as shown in the following figure.\n\nAbout Its Positions\nAs a fund that is not active enough to invest in Chinese stocks, it is hard to say that the size of $1.8-billion position is small. The largest mutual fund that invests in emerging markets is the Invesco Developing Markets Fund, which has an investment of $15 billion in China, covering China Concepts Stocks, Hong Kong Stocks and A shares. Therefore, Ark's investment in China is not trivial.\nThe Ark Funds claims to be technology-based, but it seems that the Funds does not fully trust China's technology. By analyzing its holdings on Chinese stocks, the most positions held by the Ark Funds now are stocks of e-commerce which owns vast purchasing power, rather than those of technology companies. Cathie Wood, an American investor as well as the CEO & CIO of Ark Invest, once praised Baidu's driverless technology on TV, while their position in Baidu’s stock is not so large. Then, here comes the new energy vehicles of China. The investment target of the Ark Funds is not the Chinese EV trio including Li Auto, NIO Inc. and XPeng Inc., but NIU Technologies. The electric vehicles produced by Niu Technologies are good sellers in New York, while another three makers have not yet expanded into the United States. Once again, it reflects Cathie Wood's skeptical attitude towards China's \"technology\".\nLet’s look into the lightening of the Ark Funds\n10 stocks are chosen to analyze their share changes. 5 stocks with the largest positions on July 1 (JD, TCEHY, BEKE, PDD, and BIDU) are shown in Figure 1, totaling $1.5 billion, accounting for about 80%. Another 5 stocks are BABA, NIU, HUYA, BYDDY, and BZ, totaling $300 million, accounting for about 20% (Figure 2). Key dates are marked below.\nFigure 1\nFigure 2\nThe Ark Funds cleared all its positions in HUYA on July 13 and 14 (marked in the Figure above). The news of the failed merger between Huya and DouYu was announced on July 12, but the Ark Funds did not substantially lighten up its position on the day, and continued the pace in the past few days. \nAnother marked date is July 26 (Figure 1). The Chinese education stocks plummeted over 50% on Friday, July 23. On that day, few people realized that a chain reaction had occurred, and Chinese stocks listed in Hong Kong would slump in the following week. The Ark Funds failed to realize it, either. On July 26, the Ark Funds had to lighten up its positions. The top 5 largest positions were all reduced by Ark, with Ke Holdings standing in the breach. This reflects Cathie Wood's suspicion of high-growth companies in China.\nThe third marked date is July 28, as shown in Figure 2. In this round of turmoil, the Ark Funds only lightened up its positions in the stocks of BOSS Zhipin (Kanzhun Limited), which is also a company with a relatively small market value. Meanwhile, Cathie Wood is still very insistent on the investments in NIU Technologies.\nIn the past week, the prices of China Concepts Stocks still hovered at a low level, but the Ark Funds no longer lightened up their positions. At present, there are only 7 stocks left. Based on the closing price last Friday, the position is $450 million, which is a 75% decrease compared to that of July 1.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":361,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":896385946,"gmtCreate":1628556812185,"gmtModify":1631891655858,"author":{"id":"3561757396404610","authorId":"3561757396404610","name":"IvanTeo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/09ad7baf8f067a94c8d3f2222a521ef8","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561757396404610","authorIdStr":"3561757396404610"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Gives meaning to the quote “invest in yourself”","listText":"Gives meaning to the quote “invest in yourself”","text":"Gives meaning to the quote “invest in yourself”","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/896385946","repostId":"1190360123","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":452,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":893461770,"gmtCreate":1628296021090,"gmtModify":1631884483619,"author":{"id":"3561757396404610","authorId":"3561757396404610","name":"IvanTeo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/09ad7baf8f067a94c8d3f2222a521ef8","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561757396404610","authorIdStr":"3561757396404610"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"DOW, NASDAQ keeps breaking new high but hyper growth stocks seems to be lagging","listText":"DOW, NASDAQ keeps breaking new high but hyper growth stocks seems to be lagging","text":"DOW, NASDAQ keeps breaking new high but hyper growth stocks seems to be lagging","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/893461770","repostId":"1180025090","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":891,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":805208129,"gmtCreate":1627880503961,"gmtModify":1631891655859,"author":{"id":"3561757396404610","authorId":"3561757396404610","name":"IvanTeo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/09ad7baf8f067a94c8d3f2222a521ef8","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561757396404610","authorIdStr":"3561757396404610"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"The trends are unpredictable ","listText":"The trends are unpredictable ","text":"The trends are unpredictable","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/805208129","repostId":"1138315390","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1138315390","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1627876975,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1138315390?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-02 12:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Square, Robinhood, AMD, GameStop, Alibaba, AMC — Here's What WallStreetBets Is Talking About Heading Into New Week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1138315390","media":"Benzinga","summary":"Heading into a new trading week,Square Inc.,RobinHood Markets Inc. and Advanced Micro Devices Inc. a","content":"<p>Heading into a new trading week,<b>Square Inc.</b>,<b>RobinHood Markets Inc.</b> and <b>Advanced Micro Devices Inc.</b> are among the stocks seeing the highest interest on Reddit’s r/WallStreetBets forum.</p>\n<p><b>What Happened</b>: Exchange-traded fund <b>S&P SPDR 500 ETF Trust</b> was the most discussed stock on the forum with 181 mentions, fintech firm Square with 56 mentions during the last 24 hours, data from Quiver Quantitative showed.</p>\n<p>Online brokerage Robinhood Markets and chipmaker Advanced Micro Devices are in the third and fourth positions, having attracted 47 and 46 mentions on the forum respectively.</p>\n<p>The other stocks that are trending on the forum include Chinese e-commerce giant <b>Alibaba Group Holding Ltd.</b>, video game retailer <b>GameStop Corp</b>., medical insurance technology company <b>Clover Health Investments Corp.</b>, movie theatre chain <b>AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc.</b>, e-commerce giant <b>Amazon.com Inc.</b> and electric vehicle maker <b>Tesla Inc.</b>.</p>\n<p><b>Why It Matters</b>: Robinhood Markets continues to see high interest from retail investors after its highly anticipated stock-market debut last week. A post on the WSB forum warning that people who shorted Robinhood have a “big storm coming,” had 87% upvotes at press time.</p>\n<p><b>Jack Dorsey</b>-led Square said on Sunday it has agreed to acquire the Australia-based ‘buy now, pay later’ platform Afterpay Ltd. for about $29 billion in stock. The company also reported a turnaround to profit in the second quarter with earnings per share of $0.40, while revenue surged 143% year-over-year to $4.68 billion. While the earnings per share beat analysts’ estimates, revenue missed their expectations.</p>\n<p>Shares of Advanced Micro Devices saw unusual options activity on Friday. The company reported better-than-expected second-quarter results last week.</p>\n<p>Alibaba is set to report earnings on Tuesday.</p>\n<p><b>Price Action</b>: SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust shares closed almost 0.5% lower in Friday’s regular trading session at $438.51, while Robinhood Market shares closed almost 1% higher at $35.15.</p>\n<p>Square shares closed 3.1% lower in Friday’s trading at $247.26.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Square, Robinhood, AMD, GameStop, Alibaba, AMC — Here's What WallStreetBets Is Talking About Heading Into New Week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSquare, Robinhood, AMD, GameStop, Alibaba, AMC — Here's What WallStreetBets Is Talking About Heading Into New Week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-08-02 12:02</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Heading into a new trading week,<b>Square Inc.</b>,<b>RobinHood Markets Inc.</b> and <b>Advanced Micro Devices Inc.</b> are among the stocks seeing the highest interest on Reddit’s r/WallStreetBets forum.</p>\n<p><b>What Happened</b>: Exchange-traded fund <b>S&P SPDR 500 ETF Trust</b> was the most discussed stock on the forum with 181 mentions, fintech firm Square with 56 mentions during the last 24 hours, data from Quiver Quantitative showed.</p>\n<p>Online brokerage Robinhood Markets and chipmaker Advanced Micro Devices are in the third and fourth positions, having attracted 47 and 46 mentions on the forum respectively.</p>\n<p>The other stocks that are trending on the forum include Chinese e-commerce giant <b>Alibaba Group Holding Ltd.</b>, video game retailer <b>GameStop Corp</b>., medical insurance technology company <b>Clover Health Investments Corp.</b>, movie theatre chain <b>AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc.</b>, e-commerce giant <b>Amazon.com Inc.</b> and electric vehicle maker <b>Tesla Inc.</b>.</p>\n<p><b>Why It Matters</b>: Robinhood Markets continues to see high interest from retail investors after its highly anticipated stock-market debut last week. A post on the WSB forum warning that people who shorted Robinhood have a “big storm coming,” had 87% upvotes at press time.</p>\n<p><b>Jack Dorsey</b>-led Square said on Sunday it has agreed to acquire the Australia-based ‘buy now, pay later’ platform Afterpay Ltd. for about $29 billion in stock. The company also reported a turnaround to profit in the second quarter with earnings per share of $0.40, while revenue surged 143% year-over-year to $4.68 billion. While the earnings per share beat analysts’ estimates, revenue missed their expectations.</p>\n<p>Shares of Advanced Micro Devices saw unusual options activity on Friday. The company reported better-than-expected second-quarter results last week.</p>\n<p>Alibaba is set to report earnings on Tuesday.</p>\n<p><b>Price Action</b>: SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust shares closed almost 0.5% lower in Friday’s regular trading session at $438.51, while Robinhood Market shares closed almost 1% higher at $35.15.</p>\n<p>Square shares closed 3.1% lower in Friday’s trading at $247.26.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"HOOD":"Robinhood","GME":"游戏驿站","BABA":"阿里巴巴","AMD":"美国超微公司","AMC":"AMC院线"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1138315390","content_text":"Heading into a new trading week,Square Inc.,RobinHood Markets Inc. and Advanced Micro Devices Inc. are among the stocks seeing the highest interest on Reddit’s r/WallStreetBets forum.\nWhat Happened: Exchange-traded fund S&P SPDR 500 ETF Trust was the most discussed stock on the forum with 181 mentions, fintech firm Square with 56 mentions during the last 24 hours, data from Quiver Quantitative showed.\nOnline brokerage Robinhood Markets and chipmaker Advanced Micro Devices are in the third and fourth positions, having attracted 47 and 46 mentions on the forum respectively.\nThe other stocks that are trending on the forum include Chinese e-commerce giant Alibaba Group Holding Ltd., video game retailer GameStop Corp., medical insurance technology company Clover Health Investments Corp., movie theatre chain AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc., e-commerce giant Amazon.com Inc. and electric vehicle maker Tesla Inc..\nWhy It Matters: Robinhood Markets continues to see high interest from retail investors after its highly anticipated stock-market debut last week. A post on the WSB forum warning that people who shorted Robinhood have a “big storm coming,” had 87% upvotes at press time.\nJack Dorsey-led Square said on Sunday it has agreed to acquire the Australia-based ‘buy now, pay later’ platform Afterpay Ltd. for about $29 billion in stock. The company also reported a turnaround to profit in the second quarter with earnings per share of $0.40, while revenue surged 143% year-over-year to $4.68 billion. While the earnings per share beat analysts’ estimates, revenue missed their expectations.\nShares of Advanced Micro Devices saw unusual options activity on Friday. The company reported better-than-expected second-quarter results last week.\nAlibaba is set to report earnings on Tuesday.\nPrice Action: SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust shares closed almost 0.5% lower in Friday’s regular trading session at $438.51, while Robinhood Market shares closed almost 1% higher at $35.15.\nSquare shares closed 3.1% lower in Friday’s trading at $247.26.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":463,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":185871354,"gmtCreate":1623643872678,"gmtModify":1631891655866,"author":{"id":"3561757396404610","authorId":"3561757396404610","name":"IvanTeo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/09ad7baf8f067a94c8d3f2222a521ef8","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561757396404610","authorIdStr":"3561757396404610"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"It is anyone’s guess at this point","listText":"It is anyone’s guess at this point","text":"It is anyone’s guess at this point","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/185871354","repostId":"2142422555","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":521,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":382614795,"gmtCreate":1613441004417,"gmtModify":1631891655866,"author":{"id":"3561757396404610","authorId":"3561757396404610","name":"IvanTeo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/09ad7baf8f067a94c8d3f2222a521ef8","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561757396404610","authorIdStr":"3561757396404610"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Although the market is over priced now, the overall market’s perception of value is uneven. ","listText":"Although the market is over priced now, the overall market’s perception of value is uneven. ","text":"Although the market is over priced now, the overall market’s perception of value is uneven.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/382614795","repostId":"1185344045","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1185344045","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1613440524,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1185344045?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-02-16 09:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Where the Real Stock Market Bubble Is","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1185344045","media":"Barrons","summary":"It is likely that the S&P 500 Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals indexis in a bubble at risk","content":"<p>It is likely that the S&P 500 Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals indexis in a bubble at risk of bursting.</p><p>That’s the conclusion I draw from a study by three Harvard University researchers: Robin Greenwood, a finance and banking professor who chairs the institution’s Behavioral Finance and Financial Stability project; Andrei Shleifer, an economics professor; and Yang You, a Ph.D. candidate. In their study,“Bubbles for Fama,”published in the January 2019 issue of the Journal of Financial Economics, they analyzed U.S. stock market history back to 1926 in search of ways to forecast a bubble that was about to burst.</p><p>Applying the formula the researchers derive, I calculate there is an 80% chance that the Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals index will be 40% lower than today at some point in the next two years. Among some of the better-known firms in this industry are Apple(ticker: AAPL),Seagate Technology(STX), and Western Digital(WDC).</p><p>Though no other industries satisfy the researchers’ definition of a bubble, two others come close. They are also in the technology arena: Semiconductors and Semiconductor Equipment, and Software.</p><p>Why focus on an industry that may be in a bubble, rather than the market as a whole? Prof. Greenwood told<i>Barron’s</i>that he and his fellow researchers learned from their study of the history of bubbles that they “rarely are marketwide” events. Far more common, he said, is for a bubble to manifest in certain pockets of the market even as other sectors remain undervalued.</p><p>This was certainly the case at the top ofthe dot-com bubble, the mother of all bubbles. Greenwood reminds us that, even as dot-com stocks soared to outrageous valuations in the late 1990s and early 2000, other sectors of the market—notably value stocks—were either fairly valued or even undervalued. Some of those other sectors actually gained ground during the bear market that accompanied the bursting of the dot-com bubble stocks.</p><p>The researchers define a bubble to be any industry whose two-year return is at least 100 percentage points greater than the overall market’s. This is a high standard indeed—among all industries for which they had performance data between 1926 and 2016, just 40 satisfied the definition at any point over this 90-year period.</p><p>Not all bubbles burst, of course, and those that do don’t always burst right away. The researchers imposed a strict precondition here as well: Once an industry satisfied their definition of a bubble, they considered it to have burst if, within the subsequent two years, it lost at least 40% of its value. Of the 40 industries that satisfied the researchers’ definition of a bubble, 21—or 53%—burst.</p><p>What this means, assuming the future is like the past: There’s a slightly better than one out of two chance that any industry that outperforms the market by 100 percentage points in any two-year period will lose 40% or more over the subsequent two years.</p><p>The researchers also studied how the probabilities of a crash changed when they tightened or loosened their definition of a bubble. When they set the criterion to be just 50 percentage points ahead of the market, instead of 100, the odds of a crash fell to just 20%. When they tightened the criterion to 150 percentage points, the probabilities of a crash rose to 80%.</p><p>This latter probability is what applies to the Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals index. Over the past two years, according to FactSet, it has outperformed the S&P 500 by 151 percentage points.</p><p>One is tempted to apply the professors’ formula to individual securities, as I myself have done in the past. In November 2017, for example, I used the formula to argue thatthe odds of Bitcoin crashingwere greater than 80%. It lost 67% over the next 12 months. I used the professors’ formulaonce again in February 2020to argue that the odds of Tesla(TSLA) crashing were 80%. The stock lost 59% over the next six weeks.</p><p>Since then, of course,TeslaandBitcoin have skyrocketed, as have any of a number of other highflying assets. Should I once again forecast that there is a high probability of their crashing, I asked Greenwood? He demurred, stressing that further research is needed into the various factors that affect the odds of an individual stock crashing.</p><p>Yet he added he believes that not only is the broad stock market overvalued, there are individual pockets of the market that are “incredibly frothy and bubbly.”</p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Where the Real Stock Market Bubble Is</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhere the Real Stock Market Bubble Is\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-02-16 09:55 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/this-is-where-the-real-stock-market-bubble-is-51613388601?mod=hp_LEAD_1><strong>Barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>It is likely that the S&P 500 Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals indexis in a bubble at risk of bursting.That’s the conclusion I draw from a study by three Harvard University researchers: ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/this-is-where-the-real-stock-market-bubble-is-51613388601?mod=hp_LEAD_1\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯","STX":"希捷科技",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","WDC":"西部数据",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","TSLA":"特斯拉","AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/this-is-where-the-real-stock-market-bubble-is-51613388601?mod=hp_LEAD_1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1185344045","content_text":"It is likely that the S&P 500 Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals indexis in a bubble at risk of bursting.That’s the conclusion I draw from a study by three Harvard University researchers: Robin Greenwood, a finance and banking professor who chairs the institution’s Behavioral Finance and Financial Stability project; Andrei Shleifer, an economics professor; and Yang You, a Ph.D. candidate. In their study,“Bubbles for Fama,”published in the January 2019 issue of the Journal of Financial Economics, they analyzed U.S. stock market history back to 1926 in search of ways to forecast a bubble that was about to burst.Applying the formula the researchers derive, I calculate there is an 80% chance that the Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals index will be 40% lower than today at some point in the next two years. Among some of the better-known firms in this industry are Apple(ticker: AAPL),Seagate Technology(STX), and Western Digital(WDC).Though no other industries satisfy the researchers’ definition of a bubble, two others come close. They are also in the technology arena: Semiconductors and Semiconductor Equipment, and Software.Why focus on an industry that may be in a bubble, rather than the market as a whole? Prof. Greenwood toldBarron’sthat he and his fellow researchers learned from their study of the history of bubbles that they “rarely are marketwide” events. Far more common, he said, is for a bubble to manifest in certain pockets of the market even as other sectors remain undervalued.This was certainly the case at the top ofthe dot-com bubble, the mother of all bubbles. Greenwood reminds us that, even as dot-com stocks soared to outrageous valuations in the late 1990s and early 2000, other sectors of the market—notably value stocks—were either fairly valued or even undervalued. Some of those other sectors actually gained ground during the bear market that accompanied the bursting of the dot-com bubble stocks.The researchers define a bubble to be any industry whose two-year return is at least 100 percentage points greater than the overall market’s. This is a high standard indeed—among all industries for which they had performance data between 1926 and 2016, just 40 satisfied the definition at any point over this 90-year period.Not all bubbles burst, of course, and those that do don’t always burst right away. The researchers imposed a strict precondition here as well: Once an industry satisfied their definition of a bubble, they considered it to have burst if, within the subsequent two years, it lost at least 40% of its value. Of the 40 industries that satisfied the researchers’ definition of a bubble, 21—or 53%—burst.What this means, assuming the future is like the past: There’s a slightly better than one out of two chance that any industry that outperforms the market by 100 percentage points in any two-year period will lose 40% or more over the subsequent two years.The researchers also studied how the probabilities of a crash changed when they tightened or loosened their definition of a bubble. When they set the criterion to be just 50 percentage points ahead of the market, instead of 100, the odds of a crash fell to just 20%. When they tightened the criterion to 150 percentage points, the probabilities of a crash rose to 80%.This latter probability is what applies to the Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals index. Over the past two years, according to FactSet, it has outperformed the S&P 500 by 151 percentage points.One is tempted to apply the professors’ formula to individual securities, as I myself have done in the past. In November 2017, for example, I used the formula to argue thatthe odds of Bitcoin crashingwere greater than 80%. It lost 67% over the next 12 months. I used the professors’ formulaonce again in February 2020to argue that the odds of Tesla(TSLA) crashing were 80%. The stock lost 59% over the next six weeks.Since then, of course,TeslaandBitcoin have skyrocketed, as have any of a number of other highflying assets. Should I once again forecast that there is a high probability of their crashing, I asked Greenwood? He demurred, stressing that further research is needed into the various factors that affect the odds of an individual stock crashing.Yet he added he believes that not only is the broad stock market overvalued, there are individual pockets of the market that are “incredibly frothy and bubbly.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":425,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":388352448,"gmtCreate":1613028758484,"gmtModify":1703768520143,"author":{"id":"3561757396404610","authorId":"3561757396404610","name":"IvanTeo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/09ad7baf8f067a94c8d3f2222a521ef8","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561757396404610","authorIdStr":"3561757396404610"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Not sure if Pinterest can monetise ","listText":"Not sure if Pinterest can monetise ","text":"Not sure if Pinterest can monetise","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/388352448","repostId":"2110204192","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":514,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":389256273,"gmtCreate":1612780849592,"gmtModify":1703764906869,"author":{"id":"3561757396404610","authorId":"3561757396404610","name":"IvanTeo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/09ad7baf8f067a94c8d3f2222a521ef8","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561757396404610","authorIdStr":"3561757396404610"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Looks like a huge day for NASDAQ","listText":"Looks like a huge day for NASDAQ","text":"Looks like a huge day for NASDAQ","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/389256273","repostId":"1163750848","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":586,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":317476576,"gmtCreate":1612481539895,"gmtModify":1703762448882,"author":{"id":"3561757396404610","authorId":"3561757396404610","name":"IvanTeo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/09ad7baf8f067a94c8d3f2222a521ef8","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561757396404610","authorIdStr":"3561757396404610"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hope Nokia stay focused ","listText":"Hope Nokia stay focused ","text":"Hope Nokia stay focused","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/317476576","repostId":"1162866028","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":532,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":false}