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- DXT_yhyDXT_yhy
  ·2022-01-11
  炒股炒股就是扯淡收割穷人
  美国科技股大逆转，发生了什么？抛售潮结束了吗？
  是抄底良机，还是会出现更大的暴跌？在2022年交易的第一周，美国科技股遭受了抛售的冲击，纳斯达克指数和标普500指数中的科技板块开年首周大幅下滑，但纳斯达克指数在周一早盘暴跌之后，尾盘反弹收高。周一，
  美国科技股大逆转，发生了什么？抛售潮结束了吗？
  1,211 评论
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- DXT_yhyDXT_yhy
  ·2021-12-22
  长电一直跌没涨过啊！光迅
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
  1,646 评论
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- DXT_yhyDXT_yhy
  ·2021-05-17
  炒垃圾股的倒霉了！
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
  1,780 评论
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- DXT_yhyDXT_yhy
  ·2021-05-12
  对我们没啥用，被剔除的股票华宇光迅全部上涨
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
  1,617 评论
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- DXT_yhyDXT_yhy
  ·2021-05-12
  挺垃圾的这个，只有跌不涨，利好，却一直跌越来越多
  1,738 评论
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- DXT_yhyDXT_yhy
  ·2021-05-12
  我们癌症股，跌了跟着涨不跟随，就是不让你们挣钱哈哈
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
  2,491 评论
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- DXT_yhyDXT_yhy
  ·2021-04-20
  最恶心的就A股业绩猛地全大跌，不猛的都起飞没谁了！专坑，买爱国的坑死你
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
  1,902 评论
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- DXT_yhyDXT_yhy
  ·2021-04-20
  我们吹牛逼第一，金融市场永远跟随跌不跟涨
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
  1,845 评论
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- DXT_yhyDXT_yhy
  ·2021-04-14
  没有韭菜接盘，不就砸盘，砸出坑来继续洗拉，玩的不就是套路心态
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
  2,198 评论
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- DXT_yhyDXT_yhy
  ·2021-04-06
  米果狗搞吧继续
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
  1,459 评论
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18:27","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"美国科技股大逆转，发生了什么？抛售潮结束了吗？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1184989837","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"是抄底良机，还是会出现更大的暴跌？在2022年交易的第一周，美国科技股遭受了抛售的冲击，纳斯达克指数和标普500指数中的科技板块开年首周大幅下滑，但纳斯达克指数在周一早盘暴跌之后，尾盘反弹收高。周一，","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote>是抄底良机，还是会出现更大的暴跌？</blockquote><p>在2022年交易的第一周，美国科技股遭受了抛售的冲击，纳斯达克指数和标普500指数中的科技板块开年首周大幅下滑，但纳斯达克指数在周一早盘暴跌之后，尾盘反弹收高。</p><p>周一，受FAAMNG明星科技股尾盘反弹带动，纳指戏剧性地逆转至上涨区域，收涨0.05%，止步四连跌，从去年10月中旬来的近三个月低位反弹。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/08797ab2d5ac6b0bbfdebc3ed7db72bf\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EEME\">iShares</a>科技-软件领域ETF一度跌超3%，从去年11月的峰值跌超20%转熊，创去年6月来最低，最终也反转收涨0.6%，且收盘脱离熊市。</p><p>这是调整快结束的信号吗？</p><p><b>科技股反弹原因</b></p><p>帮助科技股反弹的一个原因是：<b>10年期美债收益率连续第二天从1.8%的水平回落。</b></p><p>近期，对短期利率上升和美联储缩表的预期导致10年期美债价格下跌，收益率飙升。由于高通胀似乎将持续下去，美联储计划今年多次加息。它还在考虑减少资产负债表的规模，这意味着对债券的需求减少。</p><p>许多科技公司的估值基于对多年后可观利润的预期，而长债收益率的上升会降低未来利润的价值，这导致相对昂贵的科技巨头、半导体股票和软件板块普跌。</p><p>但周一，10年期美债收益率盘中触及1.8%，随后回落收于1.77%，减轻了科技股的估值压力。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/536bc34b9e8bf83ce2bca9b0c5e02b5f\" tg-width=\"913\" tg-height=\"537\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>与此同时，美股财报季拉开序幕，市场普遍预计2021年第四季度标准普尔500指数每股收益将同比增长20%。值得注意的是，2021年第三季度的实际业绩比财报季开始时分析师的预测高出70个基点。</p><p>分析师表示，<b>如果第四季度的收益显示，公司的利润高于分析师的预期，这可能会推高股价，即使估值下降。财报季可能会分散人们对市场上弥漫的利率焦虑的注意力。</b></p><p><b>抄底良机？</b></p><p>科技股的抛售被部分机构认为是抄底良机，如以Marko Kolanovic为首的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">摩根大通</a>策略师团队认为，调整就快结束了，理由是：</p><blockquote><b>虽然“利率冲击”会使高估值股票承压，但这个程度已经过度了，货币政策收紧大概率是循序渐进的</b>，风险资产应该可以承受这个调整节奏。</blockquote><blockquote>同时由于“传染更快但症状更温和”的奥密克戎毒株可能会终结新冠疫情，<b>美国经济或将从二季度后持续向好</b>，所以“牛市”并不会被破坏，风险资产将从中获益。</blockquote><p><b>有分析师还从技术面，罗列了抛售可能会停滞的三点理由：</b></p><p>1、对科技股暴跌敏感的纳斯达克指数今年实际上只是回到了去年12月初和下旬的支撑水平，自去年10月份以来一直处于一个相当明确的区间。指数也处于去年3月重新开始的上行趋势的底部，朝着14日相对强弱指数（RSI）的超卖区域前进。</p><p>2、100日移动均线在这段几近完美的牛市中一直是一个出色的指引指标。自2020年3月/4月以来，纳指日收盘价只有14次低于这一移动均线。低于100日移动均线的最大跌幅是在2021年3月8日，跌幅为2.34%，平均跌幅为微弱的0.91%，而上周五收盘时指数跌幅比该水平低0.58%。</p><p>3、抛售足够广泛：截至上周五收盘，纳斯达克100指数中有38只个股较52周高点下跌了20%或更多，65只股票的跌幅超过10%，或许足以吸引逢低买入的买家。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9dcb1c19ab1d5b09fb3d87ce3a595df7\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"262\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>科技股唯一的问题：估值过高</b></p><p>当然，也有一些机构和分析师认为，<b>纳指正在进行一次估值重置。</b></p><p>投资公司Bleakley Global Advisors的首席投资官Peter Boockvar表示，抛售尚未结束，美联储正在收紧政策，认为抛售将在新年的六个交易日内结束的想法是错误的。</p><p>债券策略师预计，10年期美债收益率将继续向2%逼近。他们表示，这是基于对美联储加息的预期，且奥密克戎病毒似乎不会对经济造成严重损害。</p><p>CNBC援引<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RY\">加拿大皇家银行</a>美国股票策略师主管Lori Calvasina表示：</p><blockquote>科技公司的基本面没有问题，它们的盈利预期比其他行业都要强劲。<b>我不认为这是科技投资的终结。这些公司唯一的问题是它们的估值过高。</b></blockquote><p>不过策略师预计，<b>抛售仍将主要集中在科技股和高成长股，不会蔓延至其他主要股指或板块。</b></p><p>全球超大型独立投资研究公司CFRA Research的首席投资策略师Sam Stovall认为，纳斯达克指数可能会进一步下跌，但他预计标准普尔500指数不会进入修正。原因之一是，退休基金在每年的这个时候将进行调仓，许多投资者有现金储备，在价格下跌时进行投资。</p><p>Stovall表示：</p><blockquote>“<b>昂贵的股票可能会受到更大的打击。</b>当然，相对而言，我认为价值股表现将优于成长股，不仅是现在，今年也是如此，因为未来利率的不确定性，至少会持续到第三季。”</blockquote><p>他还认为，<b>市场对美联储的担忧有点过头了</b>，他认为美联储会对“3月之前结束taper，3月开始加息，之后开始缩表”的步伐做出调整，然后密切关注经济对这种调整的反应。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta 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float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美国科技股大逆转，发生了什么？抛售潮结束了吗？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n2022-01-11 18:27 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<strong>华尔街见闻</strong>\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>是抄底良机，还是会出现更大的暴跌？在2022年交易的第一周，美国科技股遭受了抛售的冲击，纳斯达克指数和标普500指数中的科技板块开年首周大幅下滑，但纳斯达克指数在周一早盘暴跌之后，尾盘反弹收高。周一，受FAAMNG明星科技股尾盘反弹带动，纳指戏剧性地逆转至上涨区域，收涨0.05%，止步四连跌，从去年10月中旬来的近三个月低位反弹。iShares科技-软件领域ETF一度跌超3%，从去年11月的峰值...</p>\n\n<a href=\"\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8d7665b640c6daf26b451cc5367e24e1","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1184989837","content_text":"是抄底良机，还是会出现更大的暴跌？在2022年交易的第一周，美国科技股遭受了抛售的冲击，纳斯达克指数和标普500指数中的科技板块开年首周大幅下滑，但纳斯达克指数在周一早盘暴跌之后，尾盘反弹收高。周一，受FAAMNG明星科技股尾盘反弹带动，纳指戏剧性地逆转至上涨区域，收涨0.05%，止步四连跌，从去年10月中旬来的近三个月低位反弹。iShares科技-软件领域ETF一度跌超3%，从去年11月的峰值跌超20%转熊，创去年6月来最低，最终也反转收涨0.6%，且收盘脱离熊市。这是调整快结束的信号吗？科技股反弹原因帮助科技股反弹的一个原因是：10年期美债收益率连续第二天从1.8%的水平回落。近期，对短期利率上升和美联储缩表的预期导致10年期美债价格下跌，收益率飙升。由于高通胀似乎将持续下去，美联储计划今年多次加息。它还在考虑减少资产负债表的规模，这意味着对债券的需求减少。许多科技公司的估值基于对多年后可观利润的预期，而长债收益率的上升会降低未来利润的价值，这导致相对昂贵的科技巨头、半导体股票和软件板块普跌。但周一，10年期美债收益率盘中触及1.8%，随后回落收于1.77%，减轻了科技股的估值压力。与此同时，美股财报季拉开序幕，市场普遍预计2021年第四季度标准普尔500指数每股收益将同比增长20%。值得注意的是，2021年第三季度的实际业绩比财报季开始时分析师的预测高出70个基点。分析师表示，如果第四季度的收益显示，公司的利润高于分析师的预期，这可能会推高股价，即使估值下降。财报季可能会分散人们对市场上弥漫的利率焦虑的注意力。抄底良机？科技股的抛售被部分机构认为是抄底良机，如以Marko Kolanovic为首的摩根大通策略师团队认为，调整就快结束了，理由是：虽然“利率冲击”会使高估值股票承压，但这个程度已经过度了，货币政策收紧大概率是循序渐进的，风险资产应该可以承受这个调整节奏。同时由于“传染更快但症状更温和”的奥密克戎毒株可能会终结新冠疫情，美国经济或将从二季度后持续向好，所以“牛市”并不会被破坏，风险资产将从中获益。有分析师还从技术面，罗列了抛售可能会停滞的三点理由：1、对科技股暴跌敏感的纳斯达克指数今年实际上只是回到了去年12月初和下旬的支撑水平，自去年10月份以来一直处于一个相当明确的区间。指数也处于去年3月重新开始的上行趋势的底部，朝着14日相对强弱指数（RSI）的超卖区域前进。2、100日移动均线在这段几近完美的牛市中一直是一个出色的指引指标。自2020年3月/4月以来，纳指日收盘价只有14次低于这一移动均线。低于100日移动均线的最大跌幅是在2021年3月8日，跌幅为2.34%，平均跌幅为微弱的0.91%，而上周五收盘时指数跌幅比该水平低0.58%。3、抛售足够广泛：截至上周五收盘，纳斯达克100指数中有38只个股较52周高点下跌了20%或更多，65只股票的跌幅超过10%，或许足以吸引逢低买入的买家。科技股唯一的问题：估值过高当然，也有一些机构和分析师认为，纳指正在进行一次估值重置。投资公司Bleakley Global Advisors的首席投资官Peter Boockvar表示，抛售尚未结束，美联储正在收紧政策，认为抛售将在新年的六个交易日内结束的想法是错误的。债券策略师预计，10年期美债收益率将继续向2%逼近。他们表示，这是基于对美联储加息的预期，且奥密克戎病毒似乎不会对经济造成严重损害。CNBC援引加拿大皇家银行美国股票策略师主管Lori Calvasina表示：科技公司的基本面没有问题，它们的盈利预期比其他行业都要强劲。我不认为这是科技投资的终结。这些公司唯一的问题是它们的估值过高。不过策略师预计，抛售仍将主要集中在科技股和高成长股，不会蔓延至其他主要股指或板块。全球超大型独立投资研究公司CFRA Research的首席投资策略师Sam 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