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- RoaringDoggoRoaringDoggo
  ·2021-09-25
  Rip
  China Declares Cryptocurrency-Related Activities Illegal<blockquote>中国宣布加密货币相关活动为非法</blockquote>
  BEIJING, September 23 (TMTPOST) — The People's Bank of China, the country’s central bank, has releas
  China Declares Cryptocurrency-Related Activities Illegal<blockquote>中国宣布加密货币相关活动为非法</blockquote>
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- RoaringDoggoRoaringDoggo
  ·2021-06-16
  Noice
  Why Goldman Sachs Changed Its Mind On Apple Stock<blockquote>高盛为何改变对苹果股票的看法</blockquote>
  After being on the spotlight for latching on to his pessimism over Apple stock, even following stron
  Why Goldman Sachs Changed Its Mind On Apple Stock<blockquote>高盛为何改变对苹果股票的看法</blockquote>
  911 评论
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- RoaringDoggoRoaringDoggo
  ·2021-04-28
  To the moon! 🚀
  Apple Could Blow the Top Off Earnings—Again. What That Would Mean for the Stock.<blockquote>苹果的盈利可能会再次飙升。这对股票意味着什么。</blockquote>
  Apple has its work cut out for it trying to surpass 2020’s blowout results. The thing is, the tech g
  Apple Could Blow the Top Off Earnings—Again. What That Would Mean for the Stock.<blockquote>苹果的盈利可能会再次飙升。这对股票意味着什么。</blockquote>
  1,238 评论
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- RoaringDoggoRoaringDoggo
  ·2021-04-21
  AAPL pls print
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
  1,018 1
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07:37","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"China Declares Cryptocurrency-Related Activities Illegal<blockquote>中国宣布加密货币相关活动为非法</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2170611891","media":"TMTPost","summary":"BEIJING, September 23 (TMTPOST) — The People's Bank of China, the country’s central bank, has releas","content":"<p>BEIJING, September 23 (TMTPOST) — The People's Bank of China, the country’s central bank, has released the Notice on Further Regulating and Preventing Risks Posed by Cryptocurrency Transactions, which stresses that cryptocurrency-related activities are illegal financial activities.</p><p><blockquote>北京9月23日电（钛媒体）——中国央行中国人民银行发布《关于进一步规范和防范加密货币交易风险的通知》，强调加密货币相关活动属于非法金融活动。</blockquote></p><p> According to the notice, cryptocurrency does not enjoy the legal status that fiat money has. Cryptocurrencies are decentralized digital money based on blockchain technology. They are not issued by the authority and therefore do not enjoy the legal recognition that fiat money has. Cryptocurrencies should not be used as money in the market and enter circulation. Financial activities that involve cryptocurrencies are all illegal activities, the central bank stated in the notice. Financial services that facilitate the exchange between cryptocurrency and fiat money, exchange of information on cryptocurrency trading, pricing of cryptocurrency, trading of cryptocurrency derivatives, and financing through cryptocurrency are forbidden and considered illegal. Criminal liabilities can be imposed if relevant violations constitute a criminal offense.</p><p><blockquote>根据通知，加密货币不享有法定货币所具有的法律地位。加密货币是基于区块链技术的去中心化数字货币。它们不是由当局发行的，因此不享有法定货币所享有的法律承认。加密货币不应作为货币在市场上使用，进入流通。央行在通知中表示，涉及加密货币的金融活动都是非法活动。促进加密货币和法定货币之间交换、加密货币交易信息交换、加密货币定价、加密货币衍生品交易以及通过加密货币融资的金融服务是被禁止的，并被视为非法。相关违法行为构成刑事犯罪的，可以追究刑事责任。</blockquote></p><p> The notice also states that it is also considered an illegal financial activity for overseas cryptocurrency exchange organizations to provide exchange services through the Internet for residents within China. Employees of such overseas exchange organizations who knowingly engage in cryptocurrency services and provide services on the marketing of cryptocurrency, payment, and technical support are punishable by law.</p><p><blockquote>通知还称，境外加密货币兑换机构通过互联网为中国境内居民提供兑换服务，也属于非法金融活动。此类境外交易所机构的员工明知从事加密货币服务，提供加密货币营销、支付、技术支持等服务的，将受到法律处罚。</blockquote></p><p> The notice calls for more efforts in establishing a working mechanism in response to cryptocurrency trading as well. The notice states that it is important to establish coordination between government departments, and between the central government and local governments to monitor cryptocurrency activities.</p><p><blockquote>通知评级在建立应对加密货币交易的工作机制方面也做出了更多努力。该通知指出，在政府部门之间以及中央政府和地方政府之间建立协调以监控加密货币活动非常重要。</blockquote></p><p> In addition, a risk forecast on cryptocurrency trading should be built, according to the notice. The central bank and the Cyberspace Administration of China should optimize their monitoring technology that targets cryptocurrency activities. Financial institutions and non-bank payment organizations should also enhance their efforts in monitoring cryptocurrency activities.</p><p><blockquote>此外，根据通知，应建立加密货币交易风险预测。央行和国家互联网信息办公室应优化其针对加密货币活动的监控技术。金融机构和非银行支付组织也应加大对加密货币活动的监控力度。</blockquote></p><p> Lastly, the notice calls for the development of a multi-level mechanism to prevent cryptocurrency trading and enforce relevant laws and regulations. The multi-level mechanism should involve financial management departments, telecom departments, law enforcement, and market regulators, etc.</p><p><blockquote>最后，通知评级制定多层次机制，防止加密货币交易并执行相关法律法规。多层次的机制应涉及金融管理部门、电信部门、执法部门、市场监管机构等。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>China Declares Cryptocurrency-Related Activities Illegal<blockquote>中国宣布加密货币相关活动为非法</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nChina Declares Cryptocurrency-Related Activities Illegal<blockquote>中国宣布加密货币相关活动为非法</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1065587721\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/72948639b39fd795a430fcaa2772851c);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">TMTPost </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-09-25 07:37</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>BEIJING, September 23 (TMTPOST) — The People's Bank of China, the country’s central bank, has released the Notice on Further Regulating and Preventing Risks Posed by Cryptocurrency Transactions, which stresses that cryptocurrency-related activities are illegal financial activities.</p><p><blockquote>北京9月23日电（钛媒体）——中国央行中国人民银行发布《关于进一步规范和防范加密货币交易风险的通知》，强调加密货币相关活动属于非法金融活动。</blockquote></p><p> According to the notice, cryptocurrency does not enjoy the legal status that fiat money has. Cryptocurrencies are decentralized digital money based on blockchain technology. They are not issued by the authority and therefore do not enjoy the legal recognition that fiat money has. Cryptocurrencies should not be used as money in the market and enter circulation. Financial activities that involve cryptocurrencies are all illegal activities, the central bank stated in the notice. Financial services that facilitate the exchange between cryptocurrency and fiat money, exchange of information on cryptocurrency trading, pricing of cryptocurrency, trading of cryptocurrency derivatives, and financing through cryptocurrency are forbidden and considered illegal. Criminal liabilities can be imposed if relevant violations constitute a criminal offense.</p><p><blockquote>根据通知，加密货币不享有法定货币所具有的法律地位。加密货币是基于区块链技术的去中心化数字货币。它们不是由当局发行的，因此不享有法定货币所享有的法律承认。加密货币不应作为货币在市场上使用，进入流通。央行在通知中表示，涉及加密货币的金融活动都是非法活动。促进加密货币和法定货币之间交换、加密货币交易信息交换、加密货币定价、加密货币衍生品交易以及通过加密货币融资的金融服务是被禁止的，并被视为非法。相关违法行为构成刑事犯罪的，可以追究刑事责任。</blockquote></p><p> The notice also states that it is also considered an illegal financial activity for overseas cryptocurrency exchange organizations to provide exchange services through the Internet for residents within China. Employees of such overseas exchange organizations who knowingly engage in cryptocurrency services and provide services on the marketing of cryptocurrency, payment, and technical support are punishable by law.</p><p><blockquote>通知还称，境外加密货币兑换机构通过互联网为中国境内居民提供兑换服务，也属于非法金融活动。此类境外交易所机构的员工明知从事加密货币服务，提供加密货币营销、支付、技术支持等服务的，将受到法律处罚。</blockquote></p><p> The notice calls for more efforts in establishing a working mechanism in response to cryptocurrency trading as well. The notice states that it is important to establish coordination between government departments, and between the central government and local governments to monitor cryptocurrency activities.</p><p><blockquote>通知评级在建立应对加密货币交易的工作机制方面也做出了更多努力。该通知指出，在政府部门之间以及中央政府和地方政府之间建立协调以监控加密货币活动非常重要。</blockquote></p><p> In addition, a risk forecast on cryptocurrency trading should be built, according to the notice. The central bank and the Cyberspace Administration of China should optimize their monitoring technology that targets cryptocurrency activities. Financial institutions and non-bank payment organizations should also enhance their efforts in monitoring cryptocurrency activities.</p><p><blockquote>此外，根据通知，应建立加密货币交易风险预测。央行和国家互联网信息办公室应优化其针对加密货币活动的监控技术。金融机构和非银行支付组织也应加大对加密货币活动的监控力度。</blockquote></p><p> Lastly, the notice calls for the development of a multi-level mechanism to prevent cryptocurrency trading and enforce relevant laws and regulations. The multi-level mechanism should involve financial management departments, telecom departments, law enforcement, and market regulators, etc.</p><p><blockquote>最后，通知评级制定多层次机制，防止加密货币交易并执行相关法律法规。多层次的机制应涉及金融管理部门、电信部门、执法部门、市场监管机构等。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"CAAS":"中汽系统"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2170611891","content_text":"BEIJING, September 23 (TMTPOST) — The People's Bank of China, the country’s central bank, has released the Notice on Further Regulating and Preventing Risks Posed by Cryptocurrency Transactions, which stresses that cryptocurrency-related activities are illegal financial activities.\nAccording to the notice, cryptocurrency does not enjoy the legal status that fiat money has. Cryptocurrencies are decentralized digital money based on blockchain technology. They are not issued by the authority and therefore do not enjoy the legal recognition that fiat money has. Cryptocurrencies should not be used as money in the market and enter circulation. Financial activities that involve cryptocurrencies are all illegal activities, the central bank stated in the notice. Financial services that facilitate the exchange between cryptocurrency and fiat money, exchange of information on cryptocurrency trading, pricing of cryptocurrency, trading of cryptocurrency derivatives, and financing through cryptocurrency are forbidden and considered illegal. Criminal liabilities can be imposed if relevant violations constitute a criminal offense.\nThe notice also states that it is also considered an illegal financial activity for overseas cryptocurrency exchange organizations to provide exchange services through the Internet for residents within China. Employees of such overseas exchange organizations who knowingly engage in cryptocurrency services and provide services on the marketing of cryptocurrency, payment, and technical support are punishable by law.\nThe notice calls for more efforts in establishing a working mechanism in response to cryptocurrency trading as well. The notice states that it is important to establish coordination between government departments, and between the central government and local governments to monitor cryptocurrency activities.\nIn addition, a risk forecast on cryptocurrency trading should be built, according to the notice. The central bank and the Cyberspace Administration of China should optimize their monitoring technology that targets cryptocurrency activities. Financial institutions and non-bank payment organizations should also enhance their efforts in monitoring cryptocurrency activities.\nLastly, the notice calls for the development of a multi-level mechanism to prevent cryptocurrency trading and enforce relevant laws and regulations. The multi-level mechanism should involve financial management departments, telecom departments, law enforcement, and market regulators, etc.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"CAAS":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":587,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":169059817,"gmtCreate":1623809934939,"gmtModify":1634027770968,"author":{"id":"3569202984055620","authorId":"3569202984055620","name":"RoaringDoggo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/928555cc01c0081376fe67f38b3a9706","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569202984055620","idStr":"3569202984055620"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Noice","listText":"Noice","text":"Noice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/169059817","repostId":"1109582645","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1109582645","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623808952,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1109582645?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-16 10:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Goldman Sachs Changed Its Mind On Apple Stock<blockquote>高盛为何改变对苹果股票的看法</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1109582645","media":"TheStreet","summary":"After being on the spotlight for latching on to his pessimism over Apple stock, even following stron","content":"<p>After being on the spotlight for latching on to his pessimism over Apple stock, even&nbsp;following strong quarterly results, famed bear Rod Hall at Goldman Sachs threw in the towel and&nbsp;changed his position on AAPLfrom sell to neutral. Last week, he gave an interview to CNBC and further elaborated on his decision.</p><p><blockquote>即使在季度业绩强劲之后，高盛著名的空头罗德·霍尔(Rod Hall)仍因对苹果股票持悲观态度而成为人们关注的焦点，但他还是认输了，将他对AAPL的仓位从卖出改为中性。上周，他接受了CNBC的采访，进一步阐述了自己的决定。</blockquote></p><p> The Apple Maven takes a closer look at this bear’s journey from highly skeptical to timidly optimistic about Apple shares.</p><p><blockquote>这位苹果专家仔细研究了这只空头对苹果股票从高度怀疑到谨慎乐观的历程。</blockquote></p><p> <b>iPhone at the center of the bear case</b></p><p><blockquote><b>熊壳中央的iPhone</b></blockquote></p><p> At the core of Goldman Sachs’ sell rating on Apple stock was the Cupertino company's challenges at meeting iPhone sales growth metrics going forward. Rod Hall explained it:</p><p><blockquote>高盛对苹果股票的卖出评级的核心是这家库比蒂诺公司在满足未来iPhone销售增长指标方面面临的挑战。罗德·霍尔解释道：</blockquote></p><p>   “Apple continues to show strong execution, but we see fundamentals more likely to disappoint in 2021 as the long-anticipated 5G iPhone fails to meet optimistic consensus expectations and services revenue growth slows.”  To be fair, Apple’s most recent financial results had been far from exhilarating ahead of Goldman’s stock rating upgrade. The Cupertino company's main revenue generator, the iPhone, had produced timid results in 2020, making some wonder if smartphone sales would disappoint&nbsp;at the start of the 5G cycle.</p><p><blockquote>“苹果继续表现出强劲的执行力，但我们认为2021年的基本面更有可能令人失望，因为人们期待已久的5G iPhone未能达到乐观的共识预期，服务收入增长放缓。”公平地说，在高盛股票评级上调之前，苹果最近的财务业绩远非令人振奋。这家库比蒂诺公司的主要收入来源iPhone在2020年的业绩不佳，这让一些人怀疑智能手机销量是否会在5G周期开始时令人失望。</blockquote></p><p> The plateauing in smartphone sales preceded the pandemic year. Based on data from third party-research companies Gartner and Strategy Analytics, 187 million iPhones were sold in 2019, fewer than the 217 million of 2018. And from 2019 to 2020, there was an unprecedented decrease in iPhone revenues: from $142 billion to $138 billion last year.</p><p><blockquote>智能手机销量在疫情年之前就趋于平稳。根据第三方研究公司Gartner和Strategy Analytics的数据，2019年iPhone销量为1.87亿部，低于2018年的2.17亿部。从2019年到2020年，iPhone的收入出现了前所未有的下降：从1420亿美元下降到去年的1380亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, and based on recent trends, Rod Hall’s bearishness towards the iPhone seemed reasonably justifiable. What had been missing to tip Apple stock over, in the analyst’s view, was a negative catalyst. He believed that the COVID-19 pandemic could be it.</p><p><blockquote>因此，根据最近的趋势，罗德·霍尔对iPhone的看跌似乎是有道理的。分析师认为，推动苹果股价上涨的因素是负面催化剂。他相信新冠肺炎·疫情可能就是它。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89631d8083d43e0daee7828d45e7a67a\" tg-width=\"627\" tg-height=\"453\"><span>Figure 1: iPhone quarterly revenue ($bn).</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图1：iPhone季度收入（十亿美元）。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>When Goldman Sachs fell off the horse</b></p><p><blockquote><b>当高盛落马</b></blockquote></p><p> Goldman’s rating change on AAPL came in April, after&nbsp;the Cupertino company crushed expectations&nbsp;and released a blowout earnings report. Fiscal second quarter 2021 marked a turning point in iPhone 12 sales, after Apple faced delays&nbsp;in the launch of the new device.</p><p><blockquote>今年4月，在这家库比蒂诺公司超出预期并发布井喷式收益报告后，高盛对苹果公司的评级发生了变化。2021财年第二季度标志着iPhone 12销售的转折点，此前苹果面临新设备发布的延迟。</blockquote></p><p> Apple reported iPhone revenues of $47.9 billion versus Wall Street’s consensus $41.5 billion. Year-over-year, the top-line increase was a staggering $19 billion, representing growth of 65%.</p><p><blockquote>苹果公布的iPhone营收为479亿美元，而华尔街普遍预期为415亿美元。与去年同期相比，营收增长了惊人的190亿美元，增长了65%。</blockquote></p><p> These numbers probably caught Goldman’s Rod Hall flat-footed.</p><p><blockquote>这些数字可能让高盛的罗德·霍尔措手不及。</blockquote></p><p> <b>How Goldman Sachs sees Apple going forward</b></p><p><blockquote><b>高盛如何看待苹果的未来</b></blockquote></p><p> According to Goldman, the neutral position on AAPL is justified by one key metric: revenues per user. The analyst believes that growth in this metric should be in line with U.S. GDP. He points out that Apple's revenues per user have remained static in recent years, only rising during the pandemic due to stay-at-home trends.</p><p><blockquote>高盛表示，一个关键指标证明了对AAPL的中立立场是合理的：每用户收入。该分析师认为，该指标的增长应与美国GDP保持一致。他指出，苹果的每用户收入近年来保持不变，只是在疫情期间由于居家趋势而有所上升。</blockquote></p><p> On the bullish side of the argument, Rod Hall sees the importance of privacy, and thinks that Apple could benefit from increased demand for being an advocate of user data protection. On the bearish side, the analyst remains skeptical that the services segment will grow as much as expected, and that only about 20% to 25% of active users will pay for Apple services.</p><p><blockquote>从乐观的角度来看，罗德·霍尔看到了隐私的重要性，并认为苹果可以从成为用户数据保护倡导者的需求增加中受益。悲观的一面是，分析师仍然怀疑服务领域是否会像预期的那样增长，并且只有约20%至25%的活跃用户会为苹果服务付费。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Apple Maven's take</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果专家的看法</b></blockquote></p><p> Rod Hall has not been the first and will not be the last on Wall Street to be proven wrong on a stock rating. Goldman Sachs' position was contrarian, and bold for the same reason. Yet, the Apple Maven believes that Rod Hall’s cautious stance could still be a bit too conservative.</p><p><blockquote>罗德·霍尔不是华尔街第一个也不会是最后一个被证明股票评级错误的人。高盛的立场是逆向的，出于同样的原因也很大胆。然而，这位苹果专家认为，罗德·霍尔的谨慎立场可能仍然有点过于保守。</blockquote></p><p> While stay-at-home trends may have distorted fiscal 2020 and early 2021 results, the 5G cycle, the M1 architecture, the expansion of the services portfolio and resilient consumer spending in general may still help to boost Apple's revenue-per-user metric – Goldman’s key concern.</p><p><blockquote>虽然居家趋势可能扭曲了2020财年和2021年初的业绩，但5G周期、M1架构、服务组合的扩张和总体上有弹性的消费者支出可能仍有助于提高苹果的每用户收入指标——高盛的主要关注点。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Goldman Sachs Changed Its Mind On Apple Stock<blockquote>高盛为何改变对苹果股票的看法</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Goldman Sachs Changed Its Mind On Apple Stock<blockquote>高盛为何改变对苹果股票的看法</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">TheStreet</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-16 10:02</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>After being on the spotlight for latching on to his pessimism over Apple stock, even&nbsp;following strong quarterly results, famed bear Rod Hall at Goldman Sachs threw in the towel and&nbsp;changed his position on AAPLfrom sell to neutral. Last week, he gave an interview to CNBC and further elaborated on his decision.</p><p><blockquote>即使在季度业绩强劲之后，高盛著名的空头罗德·霍尔(Rod Hall)仍因对苹果股票持悲观态度而成为人们关注的焦点，但他还是认输了，将他对AAPL的仓位从卖出改为中性。上周，他接受了CNBC的采访，进一步阐述了自己的决定。</blockquote></p><p> The Apple Maven takes a closer look at this bear’s journey from highly skeptical to timidly optimistic about Apple shares.</p><p><blockquote>这位苹果专家仔细研究了这只空头对苹果股票从高度怀疑到谨慎乐观的历程。</blockquote></p><p> <b>iPhone at the center of the bear case</b></p><p><blockquote><b>熊壳中央的iPhone</b></blockquote></p><p> At the core of Goldman Sachs’ sell rating on Apple stock was the Cupertino company's challenges at meeting iPhone sales growth metrics going forward. Rod Hall explained it:</p><p><blockquote>高盛对苹果股票的卖出评级的核心是这家库比蒂诺公司在满足未来iPhone销售增长指标方面面临的挑战。罗德·霍尔解释道：</blockquote></p><p>   “Apple continues to show strong execution, but we see fundamentals more likely to disappoint in 2021 as the long-anticipated 5G iPhone fails to meet optimistic consensus expectations and services revenue growth slows.”  To be fair, Apple’s most recent financial results had been far from exhilarating ahead of Goldman’s stock rating upgrade. The Cupertino company's main revenue generator, the iPhone, had produced timid results in 2020, making some wonder if smartphone sales would disappoint&nbsp;at the start of the 5G cycle.</p><p><blockquote>“苹果继续表现出强劲的执行力，但我们认为2021年的基本面更有可能令人失望，因为人们期待已久的5G iPhone未能达到乐观的共识预期，服务收入增长放缓。”公平地说，在高盛股票评级上调之前，苹果最近的财务业绩远非令人振奋。这家库比蒂诺公司的主要收入来源iPhone在2020年的业绩不佳，这让一些人怀疑智能手机销量是否会在5G周期开始时令人失望。</blockquote></p><p> The plateauing in smartphone sales preceded the pandemic year. Based on data from third party-research companies Gartner and Strategy Analytics, 187 million iPhones were sold in 2019, fewer than the 217 million of 2018. And from 2019 to 2020, there was an unprecedented decrease in iPhone revenues: from $142 billion to $138 billion last year.</p><p><blockquote>智能手机销量在疫情年之前就趋于平稳。根据第三方研究公司Gartner和Strategy Analytics的数据，2019年iPhone销量为1.87亿部，低于2018年的2.17亿部。从2019年到2020年，iPhone的收入出现了前所未有的下降：从1420亿美元下降到去年的1380亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, and based on recent trends, Rod Hall’s bearishness towards the iPhone seemed reasonably justifiable. What had been missing to tip Apple stock over, in the analyst’s view, was a negative catalyst. He believed that the COVID-19 pandemic could be it.</p><p><blockquote>因此，根据最近的趋势，罗德·霍尔对iPhone的看跌似乎是有道理的。分析师认为，推动苹果股价上涨的因素是负面催化剂。他相信新冠肺炎·疫情可能就是它。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89631d8083d43e0daee7828d45e7a67a\" tg-width=\"627\" tg-height=\"453\"><span>Figure 1: iPhone quarterly revenue ($bn).</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图1：iPhone季度收入（十亿美元）。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>When Goldman Sachs fell off the horse</b></p><p><blockquote><b>当高盛落马</b></blockquote></p><p> Goldman’s rating change on AAPL came in April, after&nbsp;the Cupertino company crushed expectations&nbsp;and released a blowout earnings report. Fiscal second quarter 2021 marked a turning point in iPhone 12 sales, after Apple faced delays&nbsp;in the launch of the new device.</p><p><blockquote>今年4月，在这家库比蒂诺公司超出预期并发布井喷式收益报告后，高盛对苹果公司的评级发生了变化。2021财年第二季度标志着iPhone 12销售的转折点，此前苹果面临新设备发布的延迟。</blockquote></p><p> Apple reported iPhone revenues of $47.9 billion versus Wall Street’s consensus $41.5 billion. Year-over-year, the top-line increase was a staggering $19 billion, representing growth of 65%.</p><p><blockquote>苹果公布的iPhone营收为479亿美元，而华尔街普遍预期为415亿美元。与去年同期相比，营收增长了惊人的190亿美元，增长了65%。</blockquote></p><p> These numbers probably caught Goldman’s Rod Hall flat-footed.</p><p><blockquote>这些数字可能让高盛的罗德·霍尔措手不及。</blockquote></p><p> <b>How Goldman Sachs sees Apple going forward</b></p><p><blockquote><b>高盛如何看待苹果的未来</b></blockquote></p><p> According to Goldman, the neutral position on AAPL is justified by one key metric: revenues per user. The analyst believes that growth in this metric should be in line with U.S. GDP. He points out that Apple's revenues per user have remained static in recent years, only rising during the pandemic due to stay-at-home trends.</p><p><blockquote>高盛表示，一个关键指标证明了对AAPL的中立立场是合理的：每用户收入。该分析师认为，该指标的增长应与美国GDP保持一致。他指出，苹果的每用户收入近年来保持不变，只是在疫情期间由于居家趋势而有所上升。</blockquote></p><p> On the bullish side of the argument, Rod Hall sees the importance of privacy, and thinks that Apple could benefit from increased demand for being an advocate of user data protection. On the bearish side, the analyst remains skeptical that the services segment will grow as much as expected, and that only about 20% to 25% of active users will pay for Apple services.</p><p><blockquote>从乐观的角度来看，罗德·霍尔看到了隐私的重要性，并认为苹果可以从成为用户数据保护倡导者的需求增加中受益。悲观的一面是，分析师仍然怀疑服务领域是否会像预期的那样增长，并且只有约20%至25%的活跃用户会为苹果服务付费。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Apple Maven's take</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果专家的看法</b></blockquote></p><p> Rod Hall has not been the first and will not be the last on Wall Street to be proven wrong on a stock rating. Goldman Sachs' position was contrarian, and bold for the same reason. Yet, the Apple Maven believes that Rod Hall’s cautious stance could still be a bit too conservative.</p><p><blockquote>罗德·霍尔不是华尔街第一个也不会是最后一个被证明股票评级错误的人。高盛的立场是逆向的，出于同样的原因也很大胆。然而，这位苹果专家认为，罗德·霍尔的谨慎立场可能仍然有点过于保守。</blockquote></p><p> While stay-at-home trends may have distorted fiscal 2020 and early 2021 results, the 5G cycle, the M1 architecture, the expansion of the services portfolio and resilient consumer spending in general may still help to boost Apple's revenue-per-user metric – Goldman’s key concern.</p><p><blockquote>虽然居家趋势可能扭曲了2020财年和2021年初的业绩，但5G周期、M1架构、服务组合的扩张和总体上有弹性的消费者支出可能仍有助于提高苹果的每用户收入指标——高盛的主要关注点。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/news/why-goldman-sachs-changed-its-mind-on-apple-stock\">TheStreet</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/news/why-goldman-sachs-changed-its-mind-on-apple-stock","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1109582645","content_text":"After being on the spotlight for latching on to his pessimism over Apple stock, even following strong quarterly results, famed bear Rod Hall at Goldman Sachs threw in the towel and changed his position on AAPLfrom sell to neutral. Last week, he gave an interview to CNBC and further elaborated on his decision.\nThe Apple Maven takes a closer look at this bear’s journey from highly skeptical to timidly optimistic about Apple shares.\niPhone at the center of the bear case\nAt the core of Goldman Sachs’ sell rating on Apple stock was the Cupertino company's challenges at meeting iPhone sales growth metrics going forward. Rod Hall explained it:\n\n “Apple continues to show strong execution, but we see fundamentals more likely to disappoint in 2021 as the long-anticipated 5G iPhone fails to meet optimistic consensus expectations and services revenue growth slows.”\n\nTo be fair, Apple’s most recent financial results had been far from exhilarating ahead of Goldman’s stock rating upgrade. The Cupertino company's main revenue generator, the iPhone, had produced timid results in 2020, making some wonder if smartphone sales would disappoint at the start of the 5G cycle.\nThe plateauing in smartphone sales preceded the pandemic year. Based on data from third party-research companies Gartner and Strategy Analytics, 187 million iPhones were sold in 2019, fewer than the 217 million of 2018. And from 2019 to 2020, there was an unprecedented decrease in iPhone revenues: from $142 billion to $138 billion last year.\nTherefore, and based on recent trends, Rod Hall’s bearishness towards the iPhone seemed reasonably justifiable. What had been missing to tip Apple stock over, in the analyst’s view, was a negative catalyst. He believed that the COVID-19 pandemic could be it.\nFigure 1: iPhone quarterly revenue ($bn).\nWhen Goldman Sachs fell off the horse\nGoldman’s rating change on AAPL came in April, after the Cupertino company crushed expectations and released a blowout earnings report. Fiscal second quarter 2021 marked a turning point in iPhone 12 sales, after Apple faced delays in the launch of the new device.\nApple reported iPhone revenues of $47.9 billion versus Wall Street’s consensus $41.5 billion. Year-over-year, the top-line increase was a staggering $19 billion, representing growth of 65%.\nThese numbers probably caught Goldman’s Rod Hall flat-footed.\nHow Goldman Sachs sees Apple going forward\nAccording to Goldman, the neutral position on AAPL is justified by one key metric: revenues per user. The analyst believes that growth in this metric should be in line with U.S. GDP. He points out that Apple's revenues per user have remained static in recent years, only rising during the pandemic due to stay-at-home trends.\nOn the bullish side of the argument, Rod Hall sees the importance of privacy, and thinks that Apple could benefit from increased demand for being an advocate of user data protection. On the bearish side, the analyst remains skeptical that the services segment will grow as much as expected, and that only about 20% to 25% of active users will pay for Apple services.\nThe Apple Maven's take\nRod Hall has not been the first and will not be the last on Wall Street to be proven wrong on a stock rating. Goldman Sachs' position was contrarian, and bold for the same reason. Yet, the Apple Maven believes that Rod Hall’s cautious stance could still be a bit too conservative.\nWhile stay-at-home trends may have distorted fiscal 2020 and early 2021 results, the 5G cycle, the M1 architecture, the expansion of the services portfolio and resilient consumer spending in general may still help to boost Apple's revenue-per-user metric – Goldman’s key concern.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":911,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":100165175,"gmtCreate":1619590679697,"gmtModify":1634211498003,"author":{"id":"3569202984055620","authorId":"3569202984055620","name":"RoaringDoggo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/928555cc01c0081376fe67f38b3a9706","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569202984055620","idStr":"3569202984055620"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"To the moon! 🚀","listText":"To the moon! 🚀","text":"To the moon! 🚀","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/100165175","repostId":"1179396069","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1179396069","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1619573853,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1179396069?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-28 09:37","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Could Blow the Top Off Earnings—Again. What That Would Mean for the Stock.<blockquote>苹果的盈利可能会再次飙升。这对股票意味着什么。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1179396069","media":"Barrons","summary":"Apple has its work cut out for it trying to surpass 2020’s blowout results. The thing is, the tech g","content":"<p>Apple has its work cut out for it trying to surpass 2020’s blowout results. The thing is, the tech giant just might be able to pull it off.</p><p><blockquote>苹果要想超越2020年的井喷业绩，还有很多工作要做。问题是，这家科技巨头也许能够成功。</blockquote></p><p> The buzz around Apple last year was off the charts, even for what is the buzziest of technology companies. Anticipation of the fall launch of the company’s first 5G phones, surging demand for both Macs and iPads as the pandemic rolled on, and strength in both wearables and services fed off each other. The pieces all came together in the December quarter, when Apple (ticker: AAPL) posted&nbsp;its biggest quarter ever. Sales soared 21% to $111.4 billion, more than $8 billion over the Street consensus. Every product category—iPhone, iPad, Macs, wearables, and services—notched double-digit growth. Apple stock finished the year up 81%, adding nearly $1 trillion to its market cap.</p><p><blockquote>去年围绕苹果的热度超出了图表，即使是对于最热门的科技公司来说也是如此。对该公司首款5G手机将于秋季推出的预期，随着疫情的发展，对Mac和iPad的需求激增，以及可穿戴设备和服务的实力相互促进。所有这些因素都在12月季度集中在一起，当时苹果（股票代码：AAPL）公布了有史以来最大的季度业绩。销售额飙升21%，达到1114亿美元，比华尔街普遍预期高出80亿美元。每个产品类别——iPhone、iPad、Mac、可穿戴设备和服务——都实现了两位数的增长。苹果股价全年上涨81%，市值增加近1万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> That’s a tough act to follow, particularly with the March quarter, which always slows from the holiday-boosted December quarter. But Apple could pull off the quintuple double again when its results come out after the bell Wednesday. The Street certainly thinks so, even if the market, which has pushed Apple shares up less than 2% in 2021, has been more cautious. Consensus estimates call for double-digit increases from last year across the board: iPhones sales up 43%, to $41.4 billion; iPad sales up 29%, to $5.6 billion; Mac sales of $6.8 billion, up 27%; wearables sales (mostly Apple Watch and AirPods) of $7.4 billion, up 18%; and a 16% bump in services, to $15.5 billion.</p><p><blockquote>这是一个很难遵循的行为，尤其是在3月份季度，该季度总是比假期提振的12月份季度放缓。但当周三盘后公布结果时，苹果可能会再次实现五倍的增长。华尔街当然是这么认为的，尽管2021年推动苹果股价上涨不到2%的市场更加谨慎。市场普遍预计看涨期权将比去年全面实现两位数增长：iPhone销售额增长43%，达到414亿美元；iPad销售额增长29%，达到56亿美元；Mac销售额68亿美元，增长27%；可穿戴设备销售额（主要是苹果手表和AirPods）为74亿美元，增长18%；服务业增长16%，达到155亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Overall, the Street consensus expects sales of $77 billion, up 32% from a year ago, with profits of 98 cents a share. That would be the fastest top-line growth rate for any Apple quarter since March 2012, when revenues were about half what they are now. And most bullish Apple analysts seem to think their own estimates are too low—a print at $77 billion would likely trigger a selloff in the stock.</p><p><blockquote>总体而言，华尔街普遍预计销售额为770亿美元，比去年同期增长32%，每股利润为98美分。这将是苹果自2012年3月以来最快的营收增长率，当时的收入约为现在的一半。大多数看涨的苹果分析师似乎认为他们自己的估计太低了——770亿美元的股价可能会引发该股的抛售。</blockquote></p><p> Apple is also&nbsp;expected to provide an update on its capital-allocation strategy. A year ago,the company announced a 6% dividend increase, and boosted its stock repurchase plan by $50 billion. Apple has said repeatedly that it is pushing to get to a cash neutral position, but its remarkably big cash flow has slowed progress toward that goal.</p><p><blockquote>预计苹果还将提供其资本配置策略的最新信息。一年前，该公司宣布将股息增加6%，并将股票回购计划增加500亿美元。苹果一再表示，它正在努力实现现金中性头寸，但其庞大的现金流减缓了实现这一目标的进展。</blockquote></p><p> As always, the quarter is about more than just earnings.</p><p><blockquote>与往常一样，本季度不仅仅是盈利。</blockquote></p><p> For one, the Street will be looking for signs that the sales surge for Macs and iPads is sustainable—and that the company is keeping up with demand despite widespread chip and display shortages. Some investors worry that the spike in PC demand could ebb as more people return to schools and offices. They’ll be looking for company guidance on that point.</p><p><blockquote>其一，华尔街将寻找Mac和iPad销量激增可持续的迹象，以及尽管芯片和显示屏普遍短缺，但该公司仍能满足需求的迹象。一些投资者担心，随着越来越多的人返回学校和办公室，个人电脑需求的激增可能会消退。他们将在这一点上寻求公司的指导。</blockquote></p><p> Another is the sustainability of the resurgence in iPhone growth. There were high hopes among bulls that the iPhone 12 would drive a “supercycle” with an accelerated replacement cycle. Several analysts have noted that a clear consumer preference for the high end of the iPhone 12 line is driving up average selling prices, which should support a strong revenue quarter for the segment.</p><p><blockquote>另一个是iPhone增长复苏的可持续性。多头曾寄予厚望，认为iPhone 12将推动换机周期加速的“超级周期”。几位分析师指出，消费者对iPhone 12系列高端产品的明显偏好正在推高平均售价，这应该会支持该细分市场强劲的收入季度。</blockquote></p><p> “Given the later-than-seasonal launch of new iPhones in the fall of 2020, we believe iPhone demand will experience more favorable year-over-year comparisons this March quarter compared to past years,” writes Monness Crespi Hardt’s Brian White, who sees 47% iPhone revenue growth during the quarter.</p><p><blockquote>Monness Crespi Hardt的布莱恩·怀特(Brian White)写道：“鉴于2020年秋季新款iPhone的发布时间晚于季节性，我们相信，与过去几年相比，今年3月季度的iPhone需求将经历更有利的同比比较。”预计本季度iPhone收入将增长47%。</blockquote></p><p> And if Apple pulls it all together? Apple could crush Street estimates, writes Morgan Stanley analyst Katy Huberty, who has an Overweight rating and a $158 price target on the stock, up 17% from Monday’s close of $134.72. She sees the top line above $80 billion, with all segments growing at least 19% year over year. She is especially bullish on Mac and iPad sales, with estimates far above consensus—53% for Macs and 52% for iPads. She also expects Apple to increase its dividend by 10% and expand its stock repurchase program by $60 billion.</p><p><blockquote>如果苹果把这一切都拼凑起来呢？摩根士丹利分析师凯蒂·休伯蒂(Katy Huberty)写道，苹果可能会超出华尔街的预期，她对该股给予跑赢大盘评级，目标价为158美元，较周一收盘价134.72美元上涨17%。她预计营收将超过800亿美元，所有细分市场同比至少增长19%。她尤其看好Mac和iPad的销量，预期远高于市场普遍预期——Mac销量为53%，iPad销量为52%。她还预计苹果将股息提高10%，并将股票回购计划扩大600亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> That would certainly qualify as a job well done.</p><p><blockquote>这当然是一项出色的工作。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Could Blow the Top Off Earnings—Again. What That Would Mean for the Stock.<blockquote>苹果的盈利可能会再次飙升。这对股票意味着什么。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Could Blow the Top Off Earnings—Again. What That Would Mean for the Stock.<blockquote>苹果的盈利可能会再次飙升。这对股票意味着什么。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-04-28 09:37</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Apple has its work cut out for it trying to surpass 2020’s blowout results. The thing is, the tech giant just might be able to pull it off.</p><p><blockquote>苹果要想超越2020年的井喷业绩，还有很多工作要做。问题是，这家科技巨头也许能够成功。</blockquote></p><p> The buzz around Apple last year was off the charts, even for what is the buzziest of technology companies. Anticipation of the fall launch of the company’s first 5G phones, surging demand for both Macs and iPads as the pandemic rolled on, and strength in both wearables and services fed off each other. The pieces all came together in the December quarter, when Apple (ticker: AAPL) posted&nbsp;its biggest quarter ever. Sales soared 21% to $111.4 billion, more than $8 billion over the Street consensus. Every product category—iPhone, iPad, Macs, wearables, and services—notched double-digit growth. Apple stock finished the year up 81%, adding nearly $1 trillion to its market cap.</p><p><blockquote>去年围绕苹果的热度超出了图表，即使是对于最热门的科技公司来说也是如此。对该公司首款5G手机将于秋季推出的预期，随着疫情的发展，对Mac和iPad的需求激增，以及可穿戴设备和服务的实力相互促进。所有这些因素都在12月季度集中在一起，当时苹果（股票代码：AAPL）公布了有史以来最大的季度业绩。销售额飙升21%，达到1114亿美元，比华尔街普遍预期高出80亿美元。每个产品类别——iPhone、iPad、Mac、可穿戴设备和服务——都实现了两位数的增长。苹果股价全年上涨81%，市值增加近1万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> That’s a tough act to follow, particularly with the March quarter, which always slows from the holiday-boosted December quarter. But Apple could pull off the quintuple double again when its results come out after the bell Wednesday. The Street certainly thinks so, even if the market, which has pushed Apple shares up less than 2% in 2021, has been more cautious. Consensus estimates call for double-digit increases from last year across the board: iPhones sales up 43%, to $41.4 billion; iPad sales up 29%, to $5.6 billion; Mac sales of $6.8 billion, up 27%; wearables sales (mostly Apple Watch and AirPods) of $7.4 billion, up 18%; and a 16% bump in services, to $15.5 billion.</p><p><blockquote>这是一个很难遵循的行为，尤其是在3月份季度，该季度总是比假期提振的12月份季度放缓。但当周三盘后公布结果时，苹果可能会再次实现五倍的增长。华尔街当然是这么认为的，尽管2021年推动苹果股价上涨不到2%的市场更加谨慎。市场普遍预计看涨期权将比去年全面实现两位数增长：iPhone销售额增长43%，达到414亿美元；iPad销售额增长29%，达到56亿美元；Mac销售额68亿美元，增长27%；可穿戴设备销售额（主要是苹果手表和AirPods）为74亿美元，增长18%；服务业增长16%，达到155亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Overall, the Street consensus expects sales of $77 billion, up 32% from a year ago, with profits of 98 cents a share. That would be the fastest top-line growth rate for any Apple quarter since March 2012, when revenues were about half what they are now. And most bullish Apple analysts seem to think their own estimates are too low—a print at $77 billion would likely trigger a selloff in the stock.</p><p><blockquote>总体而言，华尔街普遍预计销售额为770亿美元，比去年同期增长32%，每股利润为98美分。这将是苹果自2012年3月以来最快的营收增长率，当时的收入约为现在的一半。大多数看涨的苹果分析师似乎认为他们自己的估计太低了——770亿美元的股价可能会引发该股的抛售。</blockquote></p><p> Apple is also&nbsp;expected to provide an update on its capital-allocation strategy. A year ago,the company announced a 6% dividend increase, and boosted its stock repurchase plan by $50 billion. Apple has said repeatedly that it is pushing to get to a cash neutral position, but its remarkably big cash flow has slowed progress toward that goal.</p><p><blockquote>预计苹果还将提供其资本配置策略的最新信息。一年前，该公司宣布将股息增加6%，并将股票回购计划增加500亿美元。苹果一再表示，它正在努力实现现金中性头寸，但其庞大的现金流减缓了实现这一目标的进展。</blockquote></p><p> As always, the quarter is about more than just earnings.</p><p><blockquote>与往常一样，本季度不仅仅是盈利。</blockquote></p><p> For one, the Street will be looking for signs that the sales surge for Macs and iPads is sustainable—and that the company is keeping up with demand despite widespread chip and display shortages. Some investors worry that the spike in PC demand could ebb as more people return to schools and offices. They’ll be looking for company guidance on that point.</p><p><blockquote>其一，华尔街将寻找Mac和iPad销量激增可持续的迹象，以及尽管芯片和显示屏普遍短缺，但该公司仍能满足需求的迹象。一些投资者担心，随着越来越多的人返回学校和办公室，个人电脑需求的激增可能会消退。他们将在这一点上寻求公司的指导。</blockquote></p><p> Another is the sustainability of the resurgence in iPhone growth. There were high hopes among bulls that the iPhone 12 would drive a “supercycle” with an accelerated replacement cycle. Several analysts have noted that a clear consumer preference for the high end of the iPhone 12 line is driving up average selling prices, which should support a strong revenue quarter for the segment.</p><p><blockquote>另一个是iPhone增长复苏的可持续性。多头曾寄予厚望，认为iPhone 12将推动换机周期加速的“超级周期”。几位分析师指出，消费者对iPhone 12系列高端产品的明显偏好正在推高平均售价，这应该会支持该细分市场强劲的收入季度。</blockquote></p><p> “Given the later-than-seasonal launch of new iPhones in the fall of 2020, we believe iPhone demand will experience more favorable year-over-year comparisons this March quarter compared to past years,” writes Monness Crespi Hardt’s Brian White, who sees 47% iPhone revenue growth during the quarter.</p><p><blockquote>Monness Crespi Hardt的布莱恩·怀特(Brian White)写道：“鉴于2020年秋季新款iPhone的发布时间晚于季节性，我们相信，与过去几年相比，今年3月季度的iPhone需求将经历更有利的同比比较。”预计本季度iPhone收入将增长47%。</blockquote></p><p> And if Apple pulls it all together? Apple could crush Street estimates, writes Morgan Stanley analyst Katy Huberty, who has an Overweight rating and a $158 price target on the stock, up 17% from Monday’s close of $134.72. She sees the top line above $80 billion, with all segments growing at least 19% year over year. She is especially bullish on Mac and iPad sales, with estimates far above consensus—53% for Macs and 52% for iPads. She also expects Apple to increase its dividend by 10% and expand its stock repurchase program by $60 billion.</p><p><blockquote>如果苹果把这一切都拼凑起来呢？摩根士丹利分析师凯蒂·休伯蒂(Katy Huberty)写道，苹果可能会超出华尔街的预期，她对该股给予跑赢大盘评级，目标价为158美元，较周一收盘价134.72美元上涨17%。她预计营收将超过800亿美元，所有细分市场同比至少增长19%。她尤其看好Mac和iPad的销量，预期远高于市场普遍预期——Mac销量为53%，iPad销量为52%。她还预计苹果将股息提高10%，并将股票回购计划扩大600亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> That would certainly qualify as a job well done.</p><p><blockquote>这当然是一项出色的工作。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/apple-could-blow-the-top-off-earningsagain-what-that-would-mean-for-the-stock-51619495288?mod=hp_DAY_Theme_1_2\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/apple-could-blow-the-top-off-earningsagain-what-that-would-mean-for-the-stock-51619495288?mod=hp_DAY_Theme_1_2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1179396069","content_text":"Apple has its work cut out for it trying to surpass 2020’s blowout results. The thing is, the tech giant just might be able to pull it off.\nThe buzz around Apple last year was off the charts, even for what is the buzziest of technology companies. Anticipation of the fall launch of the company’s first 5G phones, surging demand for both Macs and iPads as the pandemic rolled on, and strength in both wearables and services fed off each other. The pieces all came together in the December quarter, when Apple (ticker: AAPL) posted its biggest quarter ever. Sales soared 21% to $111.4 billion, more than $8 billion over the Street consensus. Every product category—iPhone, iPad, Macs, wearables, and services—notched double-digit growth. Apple stock finished the year up 81%, adding nearly $1 trillion to its market cap.\nThat’s a tough act to follow, particularly with the March quarter, which always slows from the holiday-boosted December quarter. But Apple could pull off the quintuple double again when its results come out after the bell Wednesday. The Street certainly thinks so, even if the market, which has pushed Apple shares up less than 2% in 2021, has been more cautious. Consensus estimates call for double-digit increases from last year across the board: iPhones sales up 43%, to $41.4 billion; iPad sales up 29%, to $5.6 billion; Mac sales of $6.8 billion, up 27%; wearables sales (mostly Apple Watch and AirPods) of $7.4 billion, up 18%; and a 16% bump in services, to $15.5 billion.\nOverall, the Street consensus expects sales of $77 billion, up 32% from a year ago, with profits of 98 cents a share. That would be the fastest top-line growth rate for any Apple quarter since March 2012, when revenues were about half what they are now. And most bullish Apple analysts seem to think their own estimates are too low—a print at $77 billion would likely trigger a selloff in the stock.\nApple is also expected to provide an update on its capital-allocation strategy. A year ago,the company announced a 6% dividend increase, and boosted its stock repurchase plan by $50 billion. Apple has said repeatedly that it is pushing to get to a cash neutral position, but its remarkably big cash flow has slowed progress toward that goal.\nAs always, the quarter is about more than just earnings.\nFor one, the Street will be looking for signs that the sales surge for Macs and iPads is sustainable—and that the company is keeping up with demand despite widespread chip and display shortages. Some investors worry that the spike in PC demand could ebb as more people return to schools and offices. They’ll be looking for company guidance on that point.\nAnother is the sustainability of the resurgence in iPhone growth. There were high hopes among bulls that the iPhone 12 would drive a “supercycle” with an accelerated replacement cycle. Several analysts have noted that a clear consumer preference for the high end of the iPhone 12 line is driving up average selling prices, which should support a strong revenue quarter for the segment.\n“Given the later-than-seasonal launch of new iPhones in the fall of 2020, we believe iPhone demand will experience more favorable year-over-year comparisons this March quarter compared to past years,” writes Monness Crespi Hardt’s Brian White, who sees 47% iPhone revenue growth during the quarter.\nAnd if Apple pulls it all together? Apple could crush Street estimates, writes Morgan Stanley analyst Katy Huberty, who has an Overweight rating and a $158 price target on the stock, up 17% from Monday’s close of $134.72. She sees the top line above $80 billion, with all segments growing at least 19% year over year. She is especially bullish on Mac and iPad sales, with estimates far above consensus—53% for Macs and 52% for iPads. She also expects Apple to increase its dividend by 10% and expand its stock repurchase program by $60 billion.\nThat would certainly qualify as a job well done.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1238,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":371753635,"gmtCreate":1618974197727,"gmtModify":1634289485155,"author":{"id":"3569202984055620","authorId":"3569202984055620","name":"RoaringDoggo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/928555cc01c0081376fe67f38b3a9706","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569202984055620","idStr":"3569202984055620"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"AAPL pls print","listText":"AAPL pls print","text":"AAPL pls print","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/371753635","repostId":"1193736432","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1018,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":false}