个人中心 - 老虎社区

JaydenNg

IP属地：未知

帖子 · 137帖子 · 137
关注 · 0关注 · 0
粉丝 · 0粉丝 · 0

- JaydenNgJaydenNg
  ·2021-12-12
  Like thx
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
  2,327 1
  4
  分享
  举报
- JaydenNgJaydenNg
  ·2021-11-10
  Likeeeee
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
  2,395 1
  6
  分享
  举报
- JaydenNgJaydenNg
  ·2021-11-10
  $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$Hshhs
  2,964 评论
  点赞
  分享
  举报
- JaydenNgJaydenNg
  ·2021-11-09
  Likeeeee
  Prices are skyrocketing. Goldman Sachs says prices will go even higher<blockquote>物价飞涨。高盛表示价格将会更高</blockquote>
  New York (CNN Business)Sticker shock is causing anxiety for millions of Americans right now, with pr
  Prices are skyrocketing. Goldman Sachs says prices will go even higher<blockquote>物价飞涨。高盛表示价格将会更高</blockquote>
  3,506 1
  8
  分享
  举报
- JaydenNgJaydenNg
  ·2021-11-09
  $APPS 20211112 70.0 PUT(APPS)$Bnn
  2,602 评论
  点赞
  分享
  举报
- JaydenNgJaydenNg
  ·2021-11-09
  $APPS 20211112 70.0 PUT(APPS)$Sbns
  2,133 评论
  1
  分享
  举报
- JaydenNgJaydenNg
  ·2021-11-06
  $Doximity, Inc.(DOCS)$Bb
  2,586 评论
  点赞
  分享
  举报
- JaydenNgJaydenNg
  ·2021-11-06
  $APPS 20211112 70.0 PUT(APPS)$Bb
  2,864 评论
  点赞
  分享
  举报
- JaydenNgJaydenNg
  ·2021-11-04
  $Johnson & Johnson(JNJ)$B
  3,645 评论
  点赞
  分享
  举报
- JaydenNgJaydenNg
  ·2021-11-04
  $APPS 20211112 70.0 PUT(APPS)$B
  1,378 评论
  点赞
  分享
  举报

热议股票

{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"isCurrentUser":false,"userPageInfo":{"id":"3574894755868229","uuid":"3574894755868229","gmtCreate":1611801358861,"gmtModify":1615300769620,"name":"JaydenNg","pinyin":"jaydenng","introduction":"","introductionEn":"","signature":"","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26dc5bdc12b4163b2931f9a4fe2c6713","hat":null,"hatId":null,"hatName":null,"vip":1,"status":2,"fanSize":10,"headSize":220,"tweetSize":137,"questionSize":0,"limitLevel":999,"accountStatus":4,"level":{"id":2,"name":"无畏虎","nameTw":"無畏虎","represent":"初生牛犊","factor":"发布3条非转发主帖,1条获得他人回复或点赞","iconColor":"3C9E83","bgColor":"A2F1D9"},"themeCounts":0,"badgeCounts":0,"badges":[],"moderator":false,"superModerator":false,"manageSymbols":null,"badgeLevel":null,"boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"favoriteSize":0,"symbols":null,"coverImage":null,"realNameVerified":null,"userBadges":[{"badgeId":"228c86a078844d74991fff2b7ab2428d-3","templateUuid":"228c86a078844d74991fff2b7ab2428d","name":"投资合伙人虎","description":"证券账户累计交易金额达到100万美元","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fbeac6bb240db7da8b972e5183d050ba","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/436cdf80292b99f0a992e78750ac4e3a","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/506a259a7b456f037592c3b23c779599","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2025.04.16","exceedPercentage":"93.33%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1101},{"badgeId":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969-3","templateUuid":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969","name":"传说交易员","description":"证券或期货账户累计交易次数达到300次","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/656db16598a0b8f21429e10d6c1cb033","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/03f10910d4dd9234f9b5702a3342193a","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0c767e35268feb729d50d3fa9a386c5a","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2022.09.10","exceedPercentage":"93.97%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100},{"badgeId":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561-1","templateUuid":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561","name":"出道虎友","description":"加入老虎社区500天","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e4d0ca1da0456dc7894c946d44bf9ab","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f2f65e8ce4cfaae8db2bea9b127f58b","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c5948a31b6edf154422335b265235809","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2022.06.13","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001},{"badgeId":"976c19eed35f4cd78f17501c2e99ef37-1","templateUuid":"976c19eed35f4cd78f17501c2e99ef37","name":"博闻投资者","description":"累计交易超过10只正股","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e74cc24115c4fbae6154ec1b1041bf47","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d48265cbfd97c57f9048db29f22227b0","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76c6d6898b073c77e1c537ebe9ac1c57","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1102},{"badgeId":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a-1","templateUuid":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a","name":"实盘交易者","description":"完成一笔实盘交易","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e08a1cc2087a1de93402c2c290fa65b","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4504a6397ce1137932d56e5f4ce27166","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b22c79415b4cd6e3d8ebc4a0fa32604","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100}],"userBadgeCount":5,"currentWearingBadge":null,"individualDisplayBadges":null,"crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"location":"未知","starInvestorFollowerNum":0,"starInvestorFlag":false,"starInvestorOrderShareNum":0,"subscribeStarInvestorNum":0,"ror":null,"winRationPercentage":null,"showRor":false,"investmentPhilosophy":null,"starInvestorSubscribeFlag":false},"page":1,"watchlist":null,"tweetList":[{"id":604077995,"gmtCreate":1639292930654,"gmtModify":1639292930942,"author":{"id":"3574894755868229","authorId":"3574894755868229","name":"JaydenNg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26dc5bdc12b4163b2931f9a4fe2c6713","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574894755868229","authorIdStr":"3574894755868229"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like thx","listText":"Like thx","text":"Like thx","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/604077995","repostId":"2190992671","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2327,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":847693992,"gmtCreate":1636510840425,"gmtModify":1636510843136,"author":{"id":"3574894755868229","authorId":"3574894755868229","name":"JaydenNg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26dc5bdc12b4163b2931f9a4fe2c6713","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574894755868229","authorIdStr":"3574894755868229"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Likeeeee","listText":"Likeeeee","text":"Likeeeee","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/847693992","repostId":"1188205095","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2395,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":847699475,"gmtCreate":1636510828549,"gmtModify":1636510828809,"author":{"id":"3574894755868229","authorId":"3574894755868229","name":"JaydenNg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26dc5bdc12b4163b2931f9a4fe2c6713","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574894755868229","authorIdStr":"3574894755868229"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>Hshhs","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>Hshhs","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$Hshhs","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62302db879c3a3031e404a525fe93dce","width":"1125","height":"3714"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/847699475","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2964,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":844531349,"gmtCreate":1636438002091,"gmtModify":1636438002368,"author":{"id":"3574894755868229","authorId":"3574894755868229","name":"JaydenNg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26dc5bdc12b4163b2931f9a4fe2c6713","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574894755868229","authorIdStr":"3574894755868229"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Likeeeee&nbsp;","listText":"Likeeeee&nbsp;","text":"Likeeeee","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/844531349","repostId":"1151111395","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1151111395","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1636436840,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1151111395?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-09 13:47","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Prices are skyrocketing. Goldman Sachs says prices will go even higher<blockquote>物价飞涨。高盛表示价格将会更高</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1151111395","media":"CNN","summary":"New York (CNN Business)Sticker shock is causing anxiety for millions of Americans right now, with pr","content":"<p>New York (CNN Business)Sticker shock is causing anxiety for millions of Americans right now, with prices soaring for gasoline, groceries and used cars.</p><p><blockquote>纽约（CNN商业）随着汽油、食品杂货和二手车的价格飙升，价格冲击正在引起数百万美国人的焦虑。</blockquote></p><p> Unfortunately, it's going to take longer than expected to work out the supply-demand imbalances at the heart of inflation, Goldman Sachs warned clients Sunday night.</p><p><blockquote>高盛周日晚上警告客户，不幸的是，解决通胀核心的供需失衡需要比预期更长的时间。</blockquote></p><p> \"The inflation overshoot will likely get worse before it gets better,\" the bank's economists wrote in a research report.</p><p><blockquote>该行经济学家在一份研究报告中写道：“通胀超调在好转之前可能会变得更糟。”</blockquote></p><p> Like much of Wall Street and the Federal Reserve, Goldman Sachs had been anticipating high prices would swiftly come back to earth. Now, there is a realization that inflation will be sticking around longer as supply struggles to keep up with surging demand.</p><p><blockquote>与华尔街和美联储的大部分人一样，高盛一直预计高价格将迅速回归现实。现在，人们意识到，随着供应难以跟上需求的激增，通胀将持续更长时间。</blockquote></p><p> Due to \"prolonged\" supply-demand imbalances, soaring wages and rising rent amid the housing boom, inflation metrics will remain \"quite high for much of next year,\" Goldman Sachs conceded.</p><p><blockquote>高盛承认，由于“长期”的供需失衡、房地产繁荣期间工资飙升和租金上涨，通胀指标将“在明年的大部分时间里保持相当高”。</blockquote></p><p> That's bad news for Americans struggling with the high cost of living, as well as businesses squeezed by shortages and rising prices. Low-income families and those living on a fixed budget are hurt the most by rising prices on necessities like gas, food and clothing.</p><p><blockquote>对于在高生活成本中挣扎的美国人以及受到短缺和物价上涨挤压的企业来说，这是个坏消息。低收入家庭和那些靠固定预算生活的人受到汽油、食品和衣服等必需品价格上涨的伤害最大。</blockquote></p><p> The inflation forecast is also a setback for the White House because high prices and supply chain problems are souring Americans' views on the US economy — which had been expected to be a strongpoint for President Joe Biden this year.</p><p><blockquote>通胀预测对白宫来说也是一个挫折，因为高物价和供应链问题正在恶化美国人对美国经济的看法——此前预计美国经济将成为总统乔·拜登今年的强项。</blockquote></p><p> Instead, nearly two-thirds of Americans described the economy as poor in a poll released last week. Nearly half expect the economy to get worse in the next year.</p><p><blockquote>相反，在上周公布的一项民意调查中，近三分之二的美国人将经济描述为糟糕。近一半的人预计明年经济会变得更糟。</blockquote></p><p> <b>30-year high for inflation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>通胀创30年新高</b></blockquote></p><p> Annual inflation climbed at the fastest pace in more than 30 years during September, according to the Commerce Department. That's based on the 4.4% increase in the personal consumption expenditures price index. Excluding food and energy, core PCE, the Fed's preferred inflation metric, rose 3.6% in August and September, the fastest pace since May 1991.</p><p><blockquote>据美国商务部称，9月份年度通胀率以30多年来最快的速度攀升。这是基于个人消费支出价格指数4.4%的涨幅。不包括食品和能源，美联储首选的通胀指标核心PCE在8月和9月上涨了3.6%，为1991年5月以来的最快增速。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed has now changed its tune on inflation, acknowledging that high prices won't go away anytime soon.</p><p><blockquote>美联储现在已经改变了对通胀的态度，承认高物价不会很快消失。</blockquote></p><p> \"We see shortages and bottlenecks persisting into next year, well into next year,\" Fed Chairman Jerome Powell told reporters during a press conference last week. \"We see higher inflation persisting.\"</p><p><blockquote>美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔在上周的新闻发布会上对记者表示：“我们认为短缺和瓶颈将持续到明年，甚至明年。”“我们看到通胀持续走高。”</blockquote></p><p> Everyday Americans seem to agree.</p><p><blockquote>普通美国人似乎都同意。</blockquote></p><p> Consumers are now expecting prices to rise by 5.7% over the next year, according to a survey released Monday by the NY Federal Reserve. That marks the highest level since the survey began in June 2013 and the 12th consecutive monthly increase.</p><p><blockquote>纽约美联储周一发布的一项调查显示，消费者目前预计明年物价将上涨5.7%。这是自2013年6月调查开始以来的最高水平，也是连续第12个月增长。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed watches these surveys closely because expectations of high inflation can change consumer and business behavior, creating a self-fulfilling prophesy.</p><p><blockquote>美联储密切关注这些调查，因为对高通胀的预期可能会改变消费者和企业的行为，从而创造一个自我实现的预言。</blockquote></p><p> The good news is that Goldman Sachs says its core view remains that supply-demand imbalances will \"largely work themselves out, leaving inflation near the Fed's goal.\" That jives with what Powell has said in recent weeks.</p><p><blockquote>好消息是，高盛表示，其核心观点仍然是供需失衡将“在很大程度上自行解决，使通胀接近美联储的目标”。这与鲍威尔最近几周所说的一致。</blockquote></p><p> \"We do not think that aggregate demand is on an unsustainable trajectory or that inflation expectations have become unanchored, and the overshoot should therefore ultimately prove transitory,\" Goldman Sachs economists wrote in the report.</p><p><blockquote>高盛经济学家在报告中写道：“我们不认为总需求处于不可持续的轨道上，也不认为通胀预期已经失控，因此超调最终应该是暂时的。”</blockquote></p><p> In other words, the Fed likely won't need to slam the brakes on the economy to fight inflation through sharp interest rate hikes.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，美联储可能不需要给经济踩刹车，通过大幅加息来对抗通胀。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks tilted towards more, not less, inflation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险倾向于通胀上升而不是下降</b></blockquote></p><p> Still, Goldman Sachs expects core PCE inflation to rise from the current 30-year high of 3.6% to 4.4% by the end of 2021. The Fed's preferred inflation metric is expected to eventually cool off to 2.3% at the end of 2022 and 2.1% at the end of 2023.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，高盛预计，到2021年底，核心PCE通胀率将从目前的30年高点3.6%升至4.4%。美联储首选的通胀指标预计最终将在2022年底降至2.3%，在2023年底降至2.1%。</blockquote></p><p> Likewise, core consumer prices are expected to remain in the mid-5% range for \"much of the winter,\" before easing to 4% next summer and 3.2% at the end of 2022, Goldman Sachs said.</p><p><blockquote>同样，高盛表示，核心消费者价格预计将在“冬季大部分时间”保持在5%左右的范围内，然后在明年夏天降至4%，到2022年底降至3.2%。</blockquote></p><p> That's well above the Fed's 2% goal and may keep anxiety about the economy high.</p><p><blockquote>这远高于美联储2%的目标，可能会让人们对经济的焦虑情绪居高不下。</blockquote></p><p> As Powell said during his press conference, there remains vast uncertainty over the inflation outlook. No one can say for certain when prices will get back to normal.</p><p><blockquote>正如鲍威尔在新闻发布会上所说，通胀前景仍存在巨大不确定性。没有人能确定价格何时会恢复正常。</blockquote></p><p> \"The risks to our forecast are probably tilted to the upside,\" Goldman Sachs acknowledged.</p><p><blockquote>高盛承认：“我们预测的风险可能倾向于上行。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Prices are skyrocketing. Goldman Sachs says prices will go even higher<blockquote>物价飞涨。高盛表示价格将会更高</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPrices are skyrocketing. Goldman Sachs says prices will go even higher<blockquote>物价飞涨。高盛表示价格将会更高</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">CNN</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-09 13:47</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>New York (CNN Business)Sticker shock is causing anxiety for millions of Americans right now, with prices soaring for gasoline, groceries and used cars.</p><p><blockquote>纽约（CNN商业）随着汽油、食品杂货和二手车的价格飙升，价格冲击正在引起数百万美国人的焦虑。</blockquote></p><p> Unfortunately, it's going to take longer than expected to work out the supply-demand imbalances at the heart of inflation, Goldman Sachs warned clients Sunday night.</p><p><blockquote>高盛周日晚上警告客户，不幸的是，解决通胀核心的供需失衡需要比预期更长的时间。</blockquote></p><p> \"The inflation overshoot will likely get worse before it gets better,\" the bank's economists wrote in a research report.</p><p><blockquote>该行经济学家在一份研究报告中写道：“通胀超调在好转之前可能会变得更糟。”</blockquote></p><p> Like much of Wall Street and the Federal Reserve, Goldman Sachs had been anticipating high prices would swiftly come back to earth. Now, there is a realization that inflation will be sticking around longer as supply struggles to keep up with surging demand.</p><p><blockquote>与华尔街和美联储的大部分人一样，高盛一直预计高价格将迅速回归现实。现在，人们意识到，随着供应难以跟上需求的激增，通胀将持续更长时间。</blockquote></p><p> Due to \"prolonged\" supply-demand imbalances, soaring wages and rising rent amid the housing boom, inflation metrics will remain \"quite high for much of next year,\" Goldman Sachs conceded.</p><p><blockquote>高盛承认，由于“长期”的供需失衡、房地产繁荣期间工资飙升和租金上涨，通胀指标将“在明年的大部分时间里保持相当高”。</blockquote></p><p> That's bad news for Americans struggling with the high cost of living, as well as businesses squeezed by shortages and rising prices. Low-income families and those living on a fixed budget are hurt the most by rising prices on necessities like gas, food and clothing.</p><p><blockquote>对于在高生活成本中挣扎的美国人以及受到短缺和物价上涨挤压的企业来说，这是个坏消息。低收入家庭和那些靠固定预算生活的人受到汽油、食品和衣服等必需品价格上涨的伤害最大。</blockquote></p><p> The inflation forecast is also a setback for the White House because high prices and supply chain problems are souring Americans' views on the US economy — which had been expected to be a strongpoint for President Joe Biden this year.</p><p><blockquote>通胀预测对白宫来说也是一个挫折，因为高物价和供应链问题正在恶化美国人对美国经济的看法——此前预计美国经济将成为总统乔·拜登今年的强项。</blockquote></p><p> Instead, nearly two-thirds of Americans described the economy as poor in a poll released last week. Nearly half expect the economy to get worse in the next year.</p><p><blockquote>相反，在上周公布的一项民意调查中，近三分之二的美国人将经济描述为糟糕。近一半的人预计明年经济会变得更糟。</blockquote></p><p> <b>30-year high for inflation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>通胀创30年新高</b></blockquote></p><p> Annual inflation climbed at the fastest pace in more than 30 years during September, according to the Commerce Department. That's based on the 4.4% increase in the personal consumption expenditures price index. Excluding food and energy, core PCE, the Fed's preferred inflation metric, rose 3.6% in August and September, the fastest pace since May 1991.</p><p><blockquote>据美国商务部称，9月份年度通胀率以30多年来最快的速度攀升。这是基于个人消费支出价格指数4.4%的涨幅。不包括食品和能源，美联储首选的通胀指标核心PCE在8月和9月上涨了3.6%，为1991年5月以来的最快增速。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed has now changed its tune on inflation, acknowledging that high prices won't go away anytime soon.</p><p><blockquote>美联储现在已经改变了对通胀的态度，承认高物价不会很快消失。</blockquote></p><p> \"We see shortages and bottlenecks persisting into next year, well into next year,\" Fed Chairman Jerome Powell told reporters during a press conference last week. \"We see higher inflation persisting.\"</p><p><blockquote>美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔在上周的新闻发布会上对记者表示：“我们认为短缺和瓶颈将持续到明年，甚至明年。”“我们看到通胀持续走高。”</blockquote></p><p> Everyday Americans seem to agree.</p><p><blockquote>普通美国人似乎都同意。</blockquote></p><p> Consumers are now expecting prices to rise by 5.7% over the next year, according to a survey released Monday by the NY Federal Reserve. That marks the highest level since the survey began in June 2013 and the 12th consecutive monthly increase.</p><p><blockquote>纽约美联储周一发布的一项调查显示，消费者目前预计明年物价将上涨5.7%。这是自2013年6月调查开始以来的最高水平，也是连续第12个月增长。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed watches these surveys closely because expectations of high inflation can change consumer and business behavior, creating a self-fulfilling prophesy.</p><p><blockquote>美联储密切关注这些调查，因为对高通胀的预期可能会改变消费者和企业的行为，从而创造一个自我实现的预言。</blockquote></p><p> The good news is that Goldman Sachs says its core view remains that supply-demand imbalances will \"largely work themselves out, leaving inflation near the Fed's goal.\" That jives with what Powell has said in recent weeks.</p><p><blockquote>好消息是，高盛表示，其核心观点仍然是供需失衡将“在很大程度上自行解决，使通胀接近美联储的目标”。这与鲍威尔最近几周所说的一致。</blockquote></p><p> \"We do not think that aggregate demand is on an unsustainable trajectory or that inflation expectations have become unanchored, and the overshoot should therefore ultimately prove transitory,\" Goldman Sachs economists wrote in the report.</p><p><blockquote>高盛经济学家在报告中写道：“我们不认为总需求处于不可持续的轨道上，也不认为通胀预期已经失控，因此超调最终应该是暂时的。”</blockquote></p><p> In other words, the Fed likely won't need to slam the brakes on the economy to fight inflation through sharp interest rate hikes.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，美联储可能不需要给经济踩刹车，通过大幅加息来对抗通胀。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks tilted towards more, not less, inflation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险倾向于通胀上升而不是下降</b></blockquote></p><p> Still, Goldman Sachs expects core PCE inflation to rise from the current 30-year high of 3.6% to 4.4% by the end of 2021. The Fed's preferred inflation metric is expected to eventually cool off to 2.3% at the end of 2022 and 2.1% at the end of 2023.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，高盛预计，到2021年底，核心PCE通胀率将从目前的30年高点3.6%升至4.4%。美联储首选的通胀指标预计最终将在2022年底降至2.3%，在2023年底降至2.1%。</blockquote></p><p> Likewise, core consumer prices are expected to remain in the mid-5% range for \"much of the winter,\" before easing to 4% next summer and 3.2% at the end of 2022, Goldman Sachs said.</p><p><blockquote>同样，高盛表示，核心消费者价格预计将在“冬季大部分时间”保持在5%左右的范围内，然后在明年夏天降至4%，到2022年底降至3.2%。</blockquote></p><p> That's well above the Fed's 2% goal and may keep anxiety about the economy high.</p><p><blockquote>这远高于美联储2%的目标，可能会让人们对经济的焦虑情绪居高不下。</blockquote></p><p> As Powell said during his press conference, there remains vast uncertainty over the inflation outlook. No one can say for certain when prices will get back to normal.</p><p><blockquote>正如鲍威尔在新闻发布会上所说，通胀前景仍存在巨大不确定性。没有人能确定价格何时会恢复正常。</blockquote></p><p> \"The risks to our forecast are probably tilted to the upside,\" Goldman Sachs acknowledged.</p><p><blockquote>高盛承认：“我们预测的风险可能倾向于上行。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://edition.cnn.com/2021/11/08/economy/inflation-economy-goldman-sachs/index.html\">CNN</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://edition.cnn.com/2021/11/08/economy/inflation-economy-goldman-sachs/index.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1151111395","content_text":"New York (CNN Business)Sticker shock is causing anxiety for millions of Americans right now, with prices soaring for gasoline, groceries and used cars.\nUnfortunately, it's going to take longer than expected to work out the supply-demand imbalances at the heart of inflation, Goldman Sachs warned clients Sunday night.\n\"The inflation overshoot will likely get worse before it gets better,\" the bank's economists wrote in a research report.\nLike much of Wall Street and the Federal Reserve, Goldman Sachs had been anticipating high prices would swiftly come back to earth. Now, there is a realization that inflation will be sticking around longer as supply struggles to keep up with surging demand.\nDue to \"prolonged\" supply-demand imbalances, soaring wages and rising rent amid the housing boom, inflation metrics will remain \"quite high for much of next year,\" Goldman Sachs conceded.\nThat's bad news for Americans struggling with the high cost of living, as well as businesses squeezed by shortages and rising prices. Low-income families and those living on a fixed budget are hurt the most by rising prices on necessities like gas, food and clothing.\nThe inflation forecast is also a setback for the White House because high prices and supply chain problems are souring Americans' views on the US economy — which had been expected to be a strongpoint for President Joe Biden this year.\nInstead, nearly two-thirds of Americans described the economy as poor in a poll released last week. Nearly half expect the economy to get worse in the next year.\n30-year high for inflation\nAnnual inflation climbed at the fastest pace in more than 30 years during September, according to the Commerce Department. That's based on the 4.4% increase in the personal consumption expenditures price index. Excluding food and energy, core PCE, the Fed's preferred inflation metric, rose 3.6% in August and September, the fastest pace since May 1991.\nThe Fed has now changed its tune on inflation, acknowledging that high prices won't go away anytime soon.\n\"We see shortages and bottlenecks persisting into next year, well into next year,\" Fed Chairman Jerome Powell told reporters during a press conference last week. \"We see higher inflation persisting.\"\nEveryday Americans seem to agree.\nConsumers are now expecting prices to rise by 5.7% over the next year, according to a survey released Monday by the NY Federal Reserve. That marks the highest level since the survey began in June 2013 and the 12th consecutive monthly increase.\nThe Fed watches these surveys closely because expectations of high inflation can change consumer and business behavior, creating a self-fulfilling prophesy.\nThe good news is that Goldman Sachs says its core view remains that supply-demand imbalances will \"largely work themselves out, leaving inflation near the Fed's goal.\" That jives with what Powell has said in recent weeks.\n\"We do not think that aggregate demand is on an unsustainable trajectory or that inflation expectations have become unanchored, and the overshoot should therefore ultimately prove transitory,\" Goldman Sachs economists wrote in the report.\nIn other words, the Fed likely won't need to slam the brakes on the economy to fight inflation through sharp interest rate hikes.\nRisks tilted towards more, not less, inflation\nStill, Goldman Sachs expects core PCE inflation to rise from the current 30-year high of 3.6% to 4.4% by the end of 2021. The Fed's preferred inflation metric is expected to eventually cool off to 2.3% at the end of 2022 and 2.1% at the end of 2023.\nLikewise, core consumer prices are expected to remain in the mid-5% range for \"much of the winter,\" before easing to 4% next summer and 3.2% at the end of 2022, Goldman Sachs said.\nThat's well above the Fed's 2% goal and may keep anxiety about the economy high.\nAs Powell said during his press conference, there remains vast uncertainty over the inflation outlook. No one can say for certain when prices will get back to normal.\n\"The risks to our forecast are probably tilted to the upside,\" Goldman Sachs acknowledged.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3506,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":844539117,"gmtCreate":1636437821720,"gmtModify":1636437821985,"author":{"id":"3574894755868229","authorId":"3574894755868229","name":"JaydenNg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26dc5bdc12b4163b2931f9a4fe2c6713","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574894755868229","authorIdStr":"3574894755868229"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/APPS\">$APPS 20211112 70.0 PUT(APPS)$</a>Bnn","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/APPS\">$APPS 20211112 70.0 PUT(APPS)$</a>Bnn","text":"$APPS 20211112 70.0 PUT(APPS)$Bnn","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c92473997493c61d81c05500bdd0d5a0","width":"1125","height":"2842"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/844539117","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2602,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":844539324,"gmtCreate":1636437813426,"gmtModify":1636438465552,"author":{"id":"3574894755868229","authorId":"3574894755868229","name":"JaydenNg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26dc5bdc12b4163b2931f9a4fe2c6713","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574894755868229","authorIdStr":"3574894755868229"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/APPS\">$APPS 20211112 70.0 PUT(APPS)$</a>Sbns","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/APPS\">$APPS 20211112 70.0 PUT(APPS)$</a>Sbns","text":"$APPS 20211112 70.0 PUT(APPS)$Sbns","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/211ee6df6be78aaf450ae2c12b25def1","width":"1170","height":"2292"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/844539324","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2133,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":842248254,"gmtCreate":1636188669327,"gmtModify":1636188669536,"author":{"id":"3574894755868229","authorId":"3574894755868229","name":"JaydenNg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26dc5bdc12b4163b2931f9a4fe2c6713","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574894755868229","authorIdStr":"3574894755868229"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DOCS\">$Doximity, Inc.(DOCS)$</a>Bb","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DOCS\">$Doximity, Inc.(DOCS)$</a>Bb","text":"$Doximity, Inc.(DOCS)$Bb","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/341400e1e7387334b94b57c2176687e4","width":"1125","height":"3800"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/842248254","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2586,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":842248833,"gmtCreate":1636188648054,"gmtModify":1636188648283,"author":{"id":"3574894755868229","authorId":"3574894755868229","name":"JaydenNg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26dc5bdc12b4163b2931f9a4fe2c6713","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574894755868229","authorIdStr":"3574894755868229"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/APPS\">$APPS 20211112 70.0 PUT(APPS)$</a>Bb","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/APPS\">$APPS 20211112 70.0 PUT(APPS)$</a>Bb","text":"$APPS 20211112 70.0 PUT(APPS)$Bb","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/05e91ab74c0fdcf71785553a8b0f9f69","width":"1170","height":"2292"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/842248833","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2864,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":848506702,"gmtCreate":1636008864919,"gmtModify":1636008865188,"author":{"id":"3574894755868229","authorId":"3574894755868229","name":"JaydenNg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26dc5bdc12b4163b2931f9a4fe2c6713","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574894755868229","authorIdStr":"3574894755868229"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JNJ\">$Johnson &amp; Johnson(JNJ)$</a>B","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JNJ\">$Johnson &amp; Johnson(JNJ)$</a>B","text":"$Johnson & Johnson(JNJ)$B","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0334540f38df04687dd2d28f8209d104","width":"1125","height":"3887"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/848506702","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3645,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":848250971,"gmtCreate":1636004531636,"gmtModify":1636004531855,"author":{"id":"3574894755868229","authorId":"3574894755868229","name":"JaydenNg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26dc5bdc12b4163b2931f9a4fe2c6713","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574894755868229","authorIdStr":"3574894755868229"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/APPS\">$APPS 20211112 70.0 PUT(APPS)$</a>B","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/APPS\">$APPS 20211112 70.0 PUT(APPS)$</a>B","text":"$APPS 20211112 70.0 PUT(APPS)$B","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a1a9c064b5c0cbae350593cfe45b304a","width":"1170","height":"2292"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/848250971","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1378,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":false}