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JohnLoh00
JohnLoh00
·
2021-10-30
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5 Stocks For Halloween: Will They Be Tricks Or Treats?
Halloween will be celebrated on Sunday and could see significant changes from the 2020 event in the
5 Stocks For Halloween: Will They Be Tricks Or Treats?
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JohnLoh00
JohnLoh00
·
2021-10-15
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Morgan Stanley Leads Big Banks in Selling Bonds Post Earnings
(Bloomberg) -- Morgan Stanley became the first big Wall Street bank to bring a new bond deal after r
Morgan Stanley Leads Big Banks in Selling Bonds Post Earnings
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JohnLoh00
JohnLoh00
·
2021-10-11
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Here's How Wall Street Defines "Stagflation" And Why "Markets Could Be Massively Mispriced"
It is easy to understand why Wall Street is increasingly worried about Stagflation: with the Citi gl
Here's How Wall Street Defines "Stagflation" And Why "Markets Could Be Massively Mispriced"
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JohnLoh00
JohnLoh00
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2021-10-09
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With U.S. Credit Default No Longer a Likely Threat, Eyes Turn Back Toward the Fed
After the United States Senate recently voted to temporarily raise the nation's debt limit, a sigh o
With U.S. Credit Default No Longer a Likely Threat, Eyes Turn Back Toward the Fed
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JohnLoh00
JohnLoh00
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2021-10-08
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非常抱歉,此主贴已删除
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JohnLoh00
JohnLoh00
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2021-10-05
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JohnLoh00
JohnLoh00
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2021-10-04
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JohnLoh00
JohnLoh00
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2021-10-02
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JohnLoh00
JohnLoh00
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2021-09-30
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JohnLoh00
JohnLoh00
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2021-09-29
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What are the four catalysts to an influx of business deals?
Deal volumes and sizes are the highest since Q4 2019. According to a report by Maybank Kim Eng, fou
What are the four catalysts to an influx of business deals?
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14:40","market":"us","language":"en","title":"5 Stocks For Halloween: Will They Be Tricks Or Treats?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1160516340","media":"Benzinga","summary":"Halloween will be celebrated on Sunday and could see significant changes from the 2020 event in the ","content":"<p>Halloween will be celebrated on Sunday and could see significant changes from the 2020 event in the middle of a COVID-19 pandemic that saw many cancel parties and plans to trick or treat.</p>\n<p>Here’s a look at what the data is pointing to for 2021 Halloween spending and five stocks to keep on the radar that could turn in strong quarters that include the holiday.</p>\n<p><b>Halloween Sales Expectations:</b>Consumers feel more comfortable resuming normal Halloween activities according to theNational Retail Federation.</p>\n<p>“This year, two-thirds (65%) of consumers plan to celebrate <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> of America’s favorite holidays, up from 58% in 2020,” NRF said.</p>\n<p>The NRF sees consumers spending an average of $102.74 this year on Halloween, which would be the first time the figure has hit triple digits. Estimates last year were for spending of $92.12 by each consumer.</p>\n<p>Research points to candy and costumes as big winners by the return of Halloween activities along with decorations. Spending on decorations is expected to hit $3.3 billion, an all-time high.</p>\n<p>Is <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KO\">Coca-Cola</a>'s Stock Overvalued OrUndervalued?</p>\n<p>Halloween 2021 will also see a higher number of people without kids celebrating than in 2020. Estimates call for 55% of homes without children to celebrate, compared to 49% in 2020. The figure falls in line with pre-pandemic levels of anticipated adult costume spending.</p>\n<p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TR\">Tootsie Roll</a>:</b>Candy company<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TR\">Tootsie Roll</a> Industries Inc</b></p>\n<p>TR-0.47%is a popular option for anyone handing out candy to trick or treaters. If you’ve ever gone trick or treating, chances are you got a ton of tootsie rolls, given their lower cost for anyone buying for a large number of visitors.</p>\n<p>The companyreportedthird-quarter sales of $183.1 million, up 17% year-over-year. The company saw a dip in fourth-quarter revenue last year compared to the prior year. Look for Tootsie Roll to see a rebound in the fourth quarter.</p>\n<p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HSY\">Hershey</a>:The <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HSY\">Hershey</a> Co</b></p>\n<p>HSY-2.28%has diversified its products to include several snack brands, but candy remains the big revenue driver. The company owns many of the popular brands that will be sought out by trick or treaters. Hershey’sthird-quarterrevenue of $2.4 billion was the highest it has seen in years on a quarterly basis.</p>\n<p>“Consumer demand for our brands has remained robust,” Hershey Company CEO<b>Michele Buck</b>said. The company raised full-year sales guidance and a strong Halloween could help meet or exceed the updated expectations.</p>\n<p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JAKK\">Jakks Pacific</a>:</b>Toy company<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JAKK\">Jakks Pacific</a> Inc</b></p>\n<p>JAKK-4.38%finds itself on the Halloween list thanks to its ownership of Disguise, the world’s leading costume design and manufacturing company. With more adults dressing up and a return of trick or treat activities, the company could be in for a strong quarter.</p>\n<p>The company’sthird-quarterrevenue was $237 million, which included $64 million in revenue for the costumes segment. Costume sales were up 16.4% year-over-year and the fourth quarter could continue that trend. Jakks Pacific had revenue of $128.3 million in the fourth quarter last year, a decline from the prior year. Last year’s fourth quarter featured a 91% year-over-year increase in costumes segment revenue. The third and fourth quarters are the company’s two biggest quarters for revenue.</p>\n<p><b>Party <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CHCO\">City</a>:</b>Retailer<b>$Party <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CHCO\">City</a> Holdco(PRTY)$ Inc</b></p>\n<p>PRTY+2.97%could be a popular destination for Halloween costumes and decorations. The company ended thesecond quarterwith 749 locations and is also a provider of third-party products to other retailers.</p>\n<p>Second-quarter revenue was up 110% year-over-year for the company.</p>\n<p>“We saw sequential acceleration of the business as the economy opened up and restrictions subsided, driving increased consumer ability to celebrate,” Party City CEO<b>Brad Weston</b>said. The company will report third-quarter earnings on Nov. 9, which could provide a better look at how the Halloween shopping looked.</p>\n<p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMCX\">AMC Networks</a>:</b>Media company<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMCX\">AMC Networks</a></b></p>\n<p>AMCX-2.04%finds itself on the Halloween stock list thanks to its ownership of “The Walking Dead” franchise, horror film programming and as owner of horror focused streaming platform Shudder. AMC isairing“FearFest” from Oct. 1 through Oct. 31 on its namesake AMC and AMC+ channels, which could turn into a subscriber boosting event.</p>\n<p>“The Walking Dead” returned to the network with its final season beginning Oct. 10, which could be another October event to watch. Shudder, which is the largest horror focused streaming platform, is available for $4.75 a month on major streaming platforms. The platformhitone million subscribers in 2020. Pizza Hut, a<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YUM\">Yum</a> Brands Inc</b></p>\n<p>YUM-0.75%company,partneredwith Shudder to offer a promotion for 30 days free.</p>","source":"lsy1606299360108","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>5 Stocks For Halloween: Will They Be Tricks Or Treats?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n5 Stocks For Halloween: Will They Be Tricks Or Treats?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-10-30 14:40 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.benzinga.com/news/small-cap/21/10/23762347/5-stocks-for-halloween-will-they-be-tricks-or-treats><strong>Benzinga</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Halloween will be celebrated on Sunday and could see significant changes from the 2020 event in the middle of a COVID-19 pandemic that saw many cancel parties and plans to trick or treat.\nHere’s a ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/small-cap/21/10/23762347/5-stocks-for-halloween-will-they-be-tricks-or-treats\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"JAKK":"杰克仕太平洋","TR":"Tootsie Roll Industries Inc","HSY":"好时","CHCO":"City Holding Company","AMCX":"AMC网络公司"},"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/news/small-cap/21/10/23762347/5-stocks-for-halloween-will-they-be-tricks-or-treats","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1160516340","content_text":"Halloween will be celebrated on Sunday and could see significant changes from the 2020 event in the middle of a COVID-19 pandemic that saw many cancel parties and plans to trick or treat.\nHere’s a look at what the data is pointing to for 2021 Halloween spending and five stocks to keep on the radar that could turn in strong quarters that include the holiday.\nHalloween Sales Expectations:Consumers feel more comfortable resuming normal Halloween activities according to theNational Retail Federation.\n“This year, two-thirds (65%) of consumers plan to celebrate one of America’s favorite holidays, up from 58% in 2020,” NRF said.\nThe NRF sees consumers spending an average of $102.74 this year on Halloween, which would be the first time the figure has hit triple digits. Estimates last year were for spending of $92.12 by each consumer.\nResearch points to candy and costumes as big winners by the return of Halloween activities along with decorations. Spending on decorations is expected to hit $3.3 billion, an all-time high.\nIs Coca-Cola's Stock Overvalued OrUndervalued?\nHalloween 2021 will also see a higher number of people without kids celebrating than in 2020. Estimates call for 55% of homes without children to celebrate, compared to 49% in 2020. The figure falls in line with pre-pandemic levels of anticipated adult costume spending.\nTootsie Roll:Candy companyTootsie Roll Industries Inc\nTR-0.47%is a popular option for anyone handing out candy to trick or treaters. If you’ve ever gone trick or treating, chances are you got a ton of tootsie rolls, given their lower cost for anyone buying for a large number of visitors.\nThe companyreportedthird-quarter sales of $183.1 million, up 17% year-over-year. The company saw a dip in fourth-quarter revenue last year compared to the prior year. Look for Tootsie Roll to see a rebound in the fourth quarter.\nHershey:The Hershey Co\nHSY-2.28%has diversified its products to include several snack brands, but candy remains the big revenue driver. The company owns many of the popular brands that will be sought out by trick or treaters. Hershey’sthird-quarterrevenue of $2.4 billion was the highest it has seen in years on a quarterly basis.\n“Consumer demand for our brands has remained robust,” Hershey Company CEOMichele Bucksaid. The company raised full-year sales guidance and a strong Halloween could help meet or exceed the updated expectations.\nJakks Pacific:Toy companyJakks Pacific Inc\nJAKK-4.38%finds itself on the Halloween list thanks to its ownership of Disguise, the world’s leading costume design and manufacturing company. With more adults dressing up and a return of trick or treat activities, the company could be in for a strong quarter.\nThe company’sthird-quarterrevenue was $237 million, which included $64 million in revenue for the costumes segment. Costume sales were up 16.4% year-over-year and the fourth quarter could continue that trend. Jakks Pacific had revenue of $128.3 million in the fourth quarter last year, a decline from the prior year. Last year’s fourth quarter featured a 91% year-over-year increase in costumes segment revenue. The third and fourth quarters are the company’s two biggest quarters for revenue.\nParty City:Retailer$Party City Holdco(PRTY)$ Inc\nPRTY+2.97%could be a popular destination for Halloween costumes and decorations. The company ended thesecond quarterwith 749 locations and is also a provider of third-party products to other retailers.\nSecond-quarter revenue was up 110% year-over-year for the company.\n“We saw sequential acceleration of the business as the economy opened up and restrictions subsided, driving increased consumer ability to celebrate,” Party City CEOBrad Westonsaid. The company will report third-quarter earnings on Nov. 9, which could provide a better look at how the Halloween shopping looked.\nAMC Networks:Media companyAMC Networks\nAMCX-2.04%finds itself on the Halloween stock list thanks to its ownership of “The Walking Dead” franchise, horror film programming and as owner of horror focused streaming platform Shudder. AMC isairing“FearFest” from Oct. 1 through Oct. 31 on its namesake AMC and AMC+ channels, which could turn into a subscriber boosting event.\n“The Walking Dead” returned to the network with its final season beginning Oct. 10, which could be another October event to watch. Shudder, which is the largest horror focused streaming platform, is available for $4.75 a month on major streaming platforms. The platformhitone million subscribers in 2020. Pizza Hut, aYum Brands Inc\nYUM-0.75%company,partneredwith Shudder to offer a promotion for 30 days free.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1299,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":824091842,"gmtCreate":1634260457197,"gmtModify":1634274406774,"author":{"id":"3580436163482352","authorId":"3580436163482352","name":"JohnLoh00","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3580436163482352","idStr":"3580436163482352"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/824091842","repostId":"1150327212","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1150327212","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1634259107,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1150327212?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-15 08:51","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Morgan Stanley Leads Big Banks in Selling Bonds Post Earnings","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1150327212","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"(Bloomberg) -- Morgan Stanley became the first big Wall Street bank to bring a new bond deal after r","content":"<p>(Bloomberg) -- Morgan Stanley became the first big Wall Street bank to bring a new bond deal after reporting third-quarter earnings, setting the stage for other banks to follow.</p>\n<p>The lender borrowed $5 billion in a two-part bond sale on Thursday, according to a person with knowledge of the matter. The longest maturity, an 11-year portion, yields 1 percentage point above Treasuries, after initial discussions of around 1.15 percentage points, said the person, who asked not to be identified because the details are private.</p>\n<p>A barrage of U.S. bank-earnings beats may herald a splurge of bond issuance from the financial sector before borrowing costs rise too much. Benchmark 10-year Treasury yields reached the highest since mid-year this week. The bond deal comes as risk premiums in corporate debt remain low, increasing the appeal to issuers.</p>\n<p>Morgan Stanley’s investment bankers scored their best quarter ever, boosted by dealmaking. The division hauled in $2.85 billion in the third quarter, a 67% jump that topped analysts’ estimates and helped drive firm-wide profitability higher.</p>\n<p>Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. are seeing increased prime brokerage activity after the implosion of Archegos Capital Management and are likely to issue new debt to finance that part of their businesses, according to Bloomberg Intelligence analyst Arnold Kakuda.</p>\n<p>“I see the bond sale as Morgan Stanley helping to finance their prime business,” Kakuda said in a telephone interview Thursday. “They have tight spreads and its businesses are doing pretty well.”</p>\n<p>Bill Hwang’s Archegos collapsed in March as some of its more than $100 billion in positions tumbled, triggering margin calls from banks, which then dumped their holdings. The ensuing rout caused lenders to lose more than $10 billion and forced internal probes and the departures of senior executives. Hwang’s brokers included Credit Suisse Group AG, Nomura Holdings Inc., Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley.</p>\n<p>Bigger banks like JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Bank of America Corp. have been issuing more debt since the expiration of the Federal Reserve’s supplementary leverage ratio relief in late March to boost their cash holdings to support ballooning balance sheets, said Kakuda.</p>\n<p>“I wouldn’t be surprised to see JPMorgan issue senior debt and they can also do sub or preferred notes,” he added. “Citi may do one bond deal until year end while Bank of America may start slowing down going forward. Wells Fargo will probably not issue the rest of the year.”</p>\n<p>Financial sector debt spreads tightened on Thursday, pacing a broad-based credit rally. High-grade senior financial sector cash bond spreads tightened 1.2 basis points as of 4:41 p.m. in New York, data compiled by Bloomberg show.</p>","source":"lsy1612507957220","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Morgan Stanley Leads Big Banks in Selling Bonds Post Earnings</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMorgan Stanley Leads Big Banks in Selling Bonds Post Earnings\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-10-15 08:51 GMT+8 <a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/morgan-stanley-leads-big-banks-162042301.html><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>(Bloomberg) -- Morgan Stanley became the first big Wall Street bank to bring a new bond deal after reporting third-quarter earnings, setting the stage for other banks to follow.\nThe lender borrowed $5...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/morgan-stanley-leads-big-banks-162042301.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/morgan-stanley-leads-big-banks-162042301.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1150327212","content_text":"(Bloomberg) -- Morgan Stanley became the first big Wall Street bank to bring a new bond deal after reporting third-quarter earnings, setting the stage for other banks to follow.\nThe lender borrowed $5 billion in a two-part bond sale on Thursday, according to a person with knowledge of the matter. The longest maturity, an 11-year portion, yields 1 percentage point above Treasuries, after initial discussions of around 1.15 percentage points, said the person, who asked not to be identified because the details are private.\nA barrage of U.S. bank-earnings beats may herald a splurge of bond issuance from the financial sector before borrowing costs rise too much. Benchmark 10-year Treasury yields reached the highest since mid-year this week. The bond deal comes as risk premiums in corporate debt remain low, increasing the appeal to issuers.\nMorgan Stanley’s investment bankers scored their best quarter ever, boosted by dealmaking. The division hauled in $2.85 billion in the third quarter, a 67% jump that topped analysts’ estimates and helped drive firm-wide profitability higher.\nMorgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. are seeing increased prime brokerage activity after the implosion of Archegos Capital Management and are likely to issue new debt to finance that part of their businesses, according to Bloomberg Intelligence analyst Arnold Kakuda.\n“I see the bond sale as Morgan Stanley helping to finance their prime business,” Kakuda said in a telephone interview Thursday. “They have tight spreads and its businesses are doing pretty well.”\nBill Hwang’s Archegos collapsed in March as some of its more than $100 billion in positions tumbled, triggering margin calls from banks, which then dumped their holdings. The ensuing rout caused lenders to lose more than $10 billion and forced internal probes and the departures of senior executives. Hwang’s brokers included Credit Suisse Group AG, Nomura Holdings Inc., Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley.\nBigger banks like JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Bank of America Corp. have been issuing more debt since the expiration of the Federal Reserve’s supplementary leverage ratio relief in late March to boost their cash holdings to support ballooning balance sheets, said Kakuda.\n“I wouldn’t be surprised to see JPMorgan issue senior debt and they can also do sub or preferred notes,” he added. “Citi may do one bond deal until year end while Bank of America may start slowing down going forward. Wells Fargo will probably not issue the rest of the year.”\nFinancial sector debt spreads tightened on Thursday, pacing a broad-based credit rally. High-grade senior financial sector cash bond spreads tightened 1.2 basis points as of 4:41 p.m. in New York, data compiled by Bloomberg show.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1306,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":828250560,"gmtCreate":1633918243969,"gmtModify":1633918244063,"author":{"id":"3580436163482352","authorId":"3580436163482352","name":"JohnLoh00","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3580436163482352","idStr":"3580436163482352"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/828250560","repostId":"1199183279","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1199183279","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1633914792,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1199183279?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-11 09:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Here's How Wall Street Defines \"Stagflation\" And Why \"Markets Could Be Massively Mispriced\"","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1199183279","media":"zerohedge","summary":"It is easy to understand why Wall Street is increasingly worried about Stagflation: with the Citi gl","content":"<p>It is easy to understand why Wall Street is increasingly worried about Stagflation: with the Citi global inflation surprise index surging to the highest level ever (granted, it only captures the period since 1999 so it's unclear how it compares to the 1970s or early 1980s inflation shock periods)..</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/168c3070fdc609f96adddbe87fc8da99\" tg-width=\"1738\" tg-height=\"866\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>... Citi's economic surprise index has turned negative and slumped to levels which historically have indicated an economic slowdown if not outright recession.</p>\n<p>As a result, it's also easy to understand why some of Wall Street's strategists have taken it upon themselves to ease investor concerns that another 1970s stagflationary shock may be coming, most notably Morgan Stanley earlier today, which admits that \"it’s not hard to see why one term seems to come up again and again in conversations with investors: stagflation\" but counters that in its view the surge in energy prices is temporary, and that the most comparable period to the current stagflationary scare is more comparable to 2005 when \"CPI hit 3.5%Y while the US manufacturing PMI had fallen to 52. 'Stagflation' graced the cover of The Economist. These fears eventually passed as growth rebounded and inflation moderated, but we think that 2005 may provide a useful reference point for a scare that comes far short of the 1970s. Equity multiples de-rated throughout 2004-05, consistent with the current forecasts for my colleague Mike Wilson and our US equity strategy team.\"</p>\n<p>Yet as Morgan Stanley also admits, while the \"market is focused on stagflation, it just hasn’t quite decided what that term really means.\"</p>\n<p>So to help shed some light on what most Wall Street professionals think when they hear the term \"Stagflation\", today we publish a second post on the topic of stagflation, in which we point readers to the latest monthly survey conducted by Deutsche Bank's Jim Reid who asked just this question and agrees with Morgan Stanley that \"one of the problems that the survey throws up is how we define “Stagflation”. It also shows the perceived elevated risks of it.\"</p>\n<p>Here's what the survey found:</p>\n<ul>\n <li><b>43% define Stagflation as “growth around zero or negative and inflation well above target”</b></li>\n <li><b>30% define Stagflation as “growth below trend and inflation comfortably above target”</b></li>\n <li><b>25% define Stagflation as “a strong slowdown in growth and strong pickup in inflation”</b></li>\n</ul>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5c1106e13503d4a8be89bb96fc1957fe\" tg-width=\"1312\" tg-height=\"640\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>As Reid notes, although the top most negative definition is the most popular, there is a relatively even split of definitions out there.<b>\"This is important because there’s a huge potential difference in the impact of these scenarios on global markets over the next 12-18 months.</b>So when the term is used we have to be careful to understand the definition behind it.\"</p>\n<p>Reid also admits that he was very surprised how strong the consensus is now that stagflation of some kind is more likely than not over the next 12 months: for the most aggressively negative definition, the very high or high risk is still “only” 22% and 33% for the US and Europe.<b>It is a stunningly high 54% in the UK though.</b></p>\n<p>Surprisingly around 40% think the US is at risk of growth being below trend over the next year which given that consensus forecasts for GDP growth in 2022 is c.4%, feels quite aggressive.</p>\n<p>What this means in practical terms, is that if these numbers are proved correct, \"<b>markets could be massively mis-priced</b>\", according to the DB strategist. The silver lining to Reid, and here he is somewhat in agreement with Morgan Stanley, is that his \"gut feel\" is that while the risks are elevated, especially on the inflation side, \"the phrase “stagflation” is being used too aggressively at the moment.\"</p>\n<p>The next few months will prove if he is right.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Here's How Wall Street Defines \"Stagflation\" And Why \"Markets Could Be Massively Mispriced\"</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHere's How Wall Street Defines \"Stagflation\" And Why \"Markets Could Be Massively Mispriced\"\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-10-11 09:13 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/heres-how-wall-street-defines-stagflation-and-why-markets-could-be-massively-mispriced?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29><strong>zerohedge</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>It is easy to understand why Wall Street is increasingly worried about Stagflation: with the Citi global inflation surprise index surging to the highest level ever (granted, it only captures the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/heres-how-wall-street-defines-stagflation-and-why-markets-could-be-massively-mispriced?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/heres-how-wall-street-defines-stagflation-and-why-markets-could-be-massively-mispriced?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1199183279","content_text":"It is easy to understand why Wall Street is increasingly worried about Stagflation: with the Citi global inflation surprise index surging to the highest level ever (granted, it only captures the period since 1999 so it's unclear how it compares to the 1970s or early 1980s inflation shock periods)..\n\n... Citi's economic surprise index has turned negative and slumped to levels which historically have indicated an economic slowdown if not outright recession.\nAs a result, it's also easy to understand why some of Wall Street's strategists have taken it upon themselves to ease investor concerns that another 1970s stagflationary shock may be coming, most notably Morgan Stanley earlier today, which admits that \"it’s not hard to see why one term seems to come up again and again in conversations with investors: stagflation\" but counters that in its view the surge in energy prices is temporary, and that the most comparable period to the current stagflationary scare is more comparable to 2005 when \"CPI hit 3.5%Y while the US manufacturing PMI had fallen to 52. 'Stagflation' graced the cover of The Economist. These fears eventually passed as growth rebounded and inflation moderated, but we think that 2005 may provide a useful reference point for a scare that comes far short of the 1970s. Equity multiples de-rated throughout 2004-05, consistent with the current forecasts for my colleague Mike Wilson and our US equity strategy team.\"\nYet as Morgan Stanley also admits, while the \"market is focused on stagflation, it just hasn’t quite decided what that term really means.\"\nSo to help shed some light on what most Wall Street professionals think when they hear the term \"Stagflation\", today we publish a second post on the topic of stagflation, in which we point readers to the latest monthly survey conducted by Deutsche Bank's Jim Reid who asked just this question and agrees with Morgan Stanley that \"one of the problems that the survey throws up is how we define “Stagflation”. It also shows the perceived elevated risks of it.\"\nHere's what the survey found:\n\n43% define Stagflation as “growth around zero or negative and inflation well above target”\n30% define Stagflation as “growth below trend and inflation comfortably above target”\n25% define Stagflation as “a strong slowdown in growth and strong pickup in inflation”\n\n\nAs Reid notes, although the top most negative definition is the most popular, there is a relatively even split of definitions out there.\"This is important because there’s a huge potential difference in the impact of these scenarios on global markets over the next 12-18 months.So when the term is used we have to be careful to understand the definition behind it.\"\nReid also admits that he was very surprised how strong the consensus is now that stagflation of some kind is more likely than not over the next 12 months: for the most aggressively negative definition, the very high or high risk is still “only” 22% and 33% for the US and Europe.It is a stunningly high 54% in the UK though.\nSurprisingly around 40% think the US is at risk of growth being below trend over the next year which given that consensus forecasts for GDP growth in 2022 is c.4%, feels quite aggressive.\nWhat this means in practical terms, is that if these numbers are proved correct, \"markets could be massively mis-priced\", according to the DB strategist. The silver lining to Reid, and here he is somewhat in agreement with Morgan Stanley, is that his \"gut feel\" is that while the risks are elevated, especially on the inflation side, \"the phrase “stagflation” is being used too aggressively at the moment.\"\nThe next few months will prove if he is right.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":797,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":821750357,"gmtCreate":1633794872595,"gmtModify":1633794872595,"author":{"id":"3580436163482352","authorId":"3580436163482352","name":"JohnLoh00","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3580436163482352","idStr":"3580436163482352"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/821750357","repostId":"1163103525","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1163103525","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1633760681,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1163103525?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-09 14:24","market":"us","language":"en","title":"With U.S. Credit Default No Longer a Likely Threat, Eyes Turn Back Toward the Fed","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1163103525","media":"Benzinga","summary":"After the United States Senate recently voted to temporarily raise the nation's debt limit, a sigh o","content":"<p>After the United States Senate recently voted to temporarily raise the nation's debt limit, a sigh of relief was likely emitted by many. However, it's now right back to the Federal Reserve as one of the primary players to watch in the current state of the U.S. and global economic system. While behemoths like <b>Apple</b>, <b>CocaCola</b>, and <b>Western Union</b> may be focused on a recent increase in international corporate taxes, for many it seems waiting for the next statement from Fed chair Jerome Powell is the common thread.</p>\n<p>In response to the economic impact of the coronavirus pandemic, global governments have embarked on a massive spending spree that has pushed total debt to GDP ratios from 88% to a staggering 105% (according to the Institute of International Finance). The U.S. Treasury has been front and center in this initiative as domestic national debt rose from an already alarming $23 trillion to a current level of $29 trillion.</p>\n<p>The purpose of this increased borrowing and spending was to take the edge off the resultant recession and provide a cushion for those most affected by the slowdowns. Artificially propping up demand with government spending in times of crisis is basic Keynesian theory, and its efficacy is agreed upon by many economists, provided it’s used with discipline and for short periods of time. Those same economists would probably have a spirited debate as to the definition of “short term” and whether 18 months and counting falls under that.</p>\n<p>But does this spending come without a cost? Some traditional inflation indicators, like the Producer Price Index and raw commodity prices, have been flashing a warning for months that inflation is taking root. The Federal Reserve has repeatedly stated that the inflation is transitory, but as time passes, many believe that this may not be true.</p>\n<p>There are a couple of things that make the current situation unique. The same economic crises and pandemic fears that caused the government’s spending spree has also caused global supply chain disruptions that have made a multitude of products and raw materials much more scarce. It’s no surprise that government-fueled demand, coupled with a significant decrease in supplies, has caused inflation. The supply versus demand equation and its effect on inflation is one of the few things that is considered “settled science” in the economic world.</p>\n<p>Secondly, the Federal Reserve has played a significant role in the government’s spending spree. On March 23, 2020, the Fed announced a huge increase in its asset purchase program known as quantitative easing. This was done to facilitate the Treasury’s debt issuance and keep interest rates from moving significantly higher under the anticipated increase in the amount of bonds to be sold by the U.S. Treasury. All these emergency economic measures were taken under the belief that they were both necessary and, more importantly, temporary. A common belief now is that the clock is ticking and that normalization of policy must come soon or else it could lead to uncontrollable inflation.</p>\n<p>CME Group Senior Economist Erik Norland seems optimistic that increased vaccination rates will play a significant role in distancing us from the pandemic and the consequent emergency spending levels and aggressive Fed policy. This, combined with additional tax revenue, had Norland conclude that “it looks like government deficits will begin to shrink going forward.” Norland also believes that the Fed may begin to taper asset purchases soon, and that could allow long-end rates to rise. “In 2013, when the Fed tapered, it caused a huge bear market in bonds, and 10-Year yields went from 1.4% to north of 3%,” said Norland.</p>\n<p>There’s little question that rising rates, increased taxes, and less government spending could help to slow inflation. But will it be enough? Dan Deming, managing director at KKM Financial, believes that inflation could remain an issue as “supply chains continue to be a challenge” and that “the current flattening of the yield curve could be a signal that growth prospects are under pressure” due, in part, to those supply shortages.</p>\n<p>The inflation debate seems to have three moving parts that will be watched closely by traders going forward: the size of a new government spending package being debated in Washington, D.C.; the Fed’s timeline for tapering; and proposals for tax increases going forward.</p>","source":"lsy1606299360108","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>With U.S. Credit Default No Longer a Likely Threat, Eyes Turn Back Toward the Fed</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWith U.S. Credit Default No Longer a Likely Threat, Eyes Turn Back Toward the Fed\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-10-09 14:24 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.benzinga.com/government/21/10/23307031/with-u-s-credit-default-no-longer-a-likely-threat-eyes-turn-back-toward-the-fed><strong>Benzinga</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>After the United States Senate recently voted to temporarily raise the nation's debt limit, a sigh of relief was likely emitted by many. However, it's now right back to the Federal Reserve as one of ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/government/21/10/23307031/with-u-s-credit-default-no-longer-a-likely-threat-eyes-turn-back-toward-the-fed\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/government/21/10/23307031/with-u-s-credit-default-no-longer-a-likely-threat-eyes-turn-back-toward-the-fed","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1163103525","content_text":"After the United States Senate recently voted to temporarily raise the nation's debt limit, a sigh of relief was likely emitted by many. However, it's now right back to the Federal Reserve as one of the primary players to watch in the current state of the U.S. and global economic system. While behemoths like Apple, CocaCola, and Western Union may be focused on a recent increase in international corporate taxes, for many it seems waiting for the next statement from Fed chair Jerome Powell is the common thread.\nIn response to the economic impact of the coronavirus pandemic, global governments have embarked on a massive spending spree that has pushed total debt to GDP ratios from 88% to a staggering 105% (according to the Institute of International Finance). The U.S. Treasury has been front and center in this initiative as domestic national debt rose from an already alarming $23 trillion to a current level of $29 trillion.\nThe purpose of this increased borrowing and spending was to take the edge off the resultant recession and provide a cushion for those most affected by the slowdowns. Artificially propping up demand with government spending in times of crisis is basic Keynesian theory, and its efficacy is agreed upon by many economists, provided it’s used with discipline and for short periods of time. Those same economists would probably have a spirited debate as to the definition of “short term” and whether 18 months and counting falls under that.\nBut does this spending come without a cost? Some traditional inflation indicators, like the Producer Price Index and raw commodity prices, have been flashing a warning for months that inflation is taking root. The Federal Reserve has repeatedly stated that the inflation is transitory, but as time passes, many believe that this may not be true.\nThere are a couple of things that make the current situation unique. The same economic crises and pandemic fears that caused the government’s spending spree has also caused global supply chain disruptions that have made a multitude of products and raw materials much more scarce. It’s no surprise that government-fueled demand, coupled with a significant decrease in supplies, has caused inflation. The supply versus demand equation and its effect on inflation is one of the few things that is considered “settled science” in the economic world.\nSecondly, the Federal Reserve has played a significant role in the government’s spending spree. On March 23, 2020, the Fed announced a huge increase in its asset purchase program known as quantitative easing. This was done to facilitate the Treasury’s debt issuance and keep interest rates from moving significantly higher under the anticipated increase in the amount of bonds to be sold by the U.S. Treasury. All these emergency economic measures were taken under the belief that they were both necessary and, more importantly, temporary. A common belief now is that the clock is ticking and that normalization of policy must come soon or else it could lead to uncontrollable inflation.\nCME Group Senior Economist Erik Norland seems optimistic that increased vaccination rates will play a significant role in distancing us from the pandemic and the consequent emergency spending levels and aggressive Fed policy. This, combined with additional tax revenue, had Norland conclude that “it looks like government deficits will begin to shrink going forward.” Norland also believes that the Fed may begin to taper asset purchases soon, and that could allow long-end rates to rise. “In 2013, when the Fed tapered, it caused a huge bear market in bonds, and 10-Year yields went from 1.4% to north of 3%,” said Norland.\nThere’s little question that rising rates, increased taxes, and less government spending could help to slow inflation. But will it be enough? Dan Deming, managing director at KKM Financial, believes that inflation could remain an issue as “supply chains continue to be a challenge” and that “the current flattening of the yield curve could be a signal that growth prospects are under pressure” due, in part, to those supply shortages.\nThe inflation debate seems to have three moving parts that will be watched closely by traders going forward: the size of a new government spending package being debated in Washington, D.C.; the Fed’s timeline for tapering; and proposals for tax increases going forward.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1080,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":823726999,"gmtCreate":1633664233140,"gmtModify":1633664233209,"author":{"id":"3580436163482352","authorId":"3580436163482352","name":"JohnLoh00","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3580436163482352","idStr":"3580436163482352"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/823726999","repostId":"1150824617","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1023,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":820579133,"gmtCreate":1633408441246,"gmtModify":1633408441318,"author":{"id":"3580436163482352","authorId":"3580436163482352","name":"JohnLoh00","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3580436163482352","idStr":"3580436163482352"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/820579133","repostId":"1121300578","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1087,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":820059025,"gmtCreate":1633329368514,"gmtModify":1633329368613,"author":{"id":"3580436163482352","authorId":"3580436163482352","name":"JohnLoh00","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3580436163482352","idStr":"3580436163482352"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/820059025","repostId":"1180397845","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":747,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":864468714,"gmtCreate":1633139611877,"gmtModify":1633139611948,"author":{"id":"3580436163482352","authorId":"3580436163482352","name":"JohnLoh00","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3580436163482352","idStr":"3580436163482352"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/864468714","repostId":"2172618951","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":910,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":865816046,"gmtCreate":1632966833406,"gmtModify":1632966833521,"author":{"id":"3580436163482352","authorId":"3580436163482352","name":"JohnLoh00","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3580436163482352","idStr":"3580436163482352"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/865816046","repostId":"1104172212","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1002,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":862668854,"gmtCreate":1632876185869,"gmtModify":1632876185869,"author":{"id":"3580436163482352","authorId":"3580436163482352","name":"JohnLoh00","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3580436163482352","idStr":"3580436163482352"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/862668854","repostId":"1120355916","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1120355916","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1632875501,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1120355916?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-29 08:31","market":"sg","language":"en","title":"What are the four catalysts to an influx of business deals?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1120355916","media":"Singapore Business","summary":"Deal volumes and sizes are the highest since Q4 2019.\n\nAccording to a report by Maybank Kim Eng, fou","content":"<blockquote>\n <b>Deal volumes and sizes are the highest since Q4 2019.</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p>According to a report by Maybank Kim Eng, four key drivers were seen as catalysts for business deals in Singapore.</p>\n<p>These four catalysts lie in the pandemic-aided acceleration of structural shifts, distressed business models, integration of green business strategies, and government initiatives.</p>\n<p>\"Underlying trends of digitalization and hybrid-work have accelerated due to COVID restrictions, and this is forcing businesses to adopt fresh strategies of service and product delivery,\" MayBank Kim Eng said.</p>\n<p>Also included in this restructuring is the movement to reach climate goals and de-risk their environmental, social, and governance exposures.</p>\n<p>Singapore’s government has also introduced initiatives, which include a special purpose acquisition company framework, funding for late-stage and initial public offering capital raisins to further support the ecosystem going forward.</p>\n<p>This is on the back of deal volumes and sizes reaching a peak since the fourth quarter of 2019. Currently, privatizations of Singapore Stock Exchange listings are 71% higher than the whole year 2020.</p>\n<p>Deal volumes are notable in real estate in technology, so far this year. Meanwhile, US$20b of mergers and acquisitions transactions are still pending—an amount double of the deals that have already been completed. \"This indicates an acceleration of deal-related activity in [the second half], MayBank said.</p>","source":"lsy1618986048053","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>What are the four catalysts to an influx of business deals?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhat are the four catalysts to an influx of business deals?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-09-29 08:31 GMT+8 <a href=https://sbr.com.sg/economy/in-focus/what-are-four-catalysts-influx-business-deals><strong>Singapore Business</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Deal volumes and sizes are the highest since Q4 2019.\n\nAccording to a report by Maybank Kim Eng, four key drivers were seen as catalysts for business deals in Singapore.\nThese four catalysts lie in ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://sbr.com.sg/economy/in-focus/what-are-four-catalysts-influx-business-deals\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://sbr.com.sg/economy/in-focus/what-are-four-catalysts-influx-business-deals","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1120355916","content_text":"Deal volumes and sizes are the highest since Q4 2019.\n\nAccording to a report by Maybank Kim Eng, four key drivers were seen as catalysts for business deals in Singapore.\nThese four catalysts lie in the pandemic-aided acceleration of structural shifts, distressed business models, integration of green business strategies, and government initiatives.\n\"Underlying trends of digitalization and hybrid-work have accelerated due to COVID restrictions, and this is forcing businesses to adopt fresh strategies of service and product delivery,\" MayBank Kim Eng said.\nAlso included in this restructuring is the movement to reach climate goals and de-risk their environmental, social, and governance exposures.\nSingapore’s government has also introduced initiatives, which include a special purpose acquisition company framework, funding for late-stage and initial public offering capital raisins to further support the ecosystem going forward.\nThis is on the back of deal volumes and sizes reaching a peak since the fourth quarter of 2019. Currently, privatizations of Singapore Stock Exchange listings are 71% higher than the whole year 2020.\nDeal volumes are notable in real estate in technology, so far this year. Meanwhile, US$20b of mergers and acquisitions transactions are still pending—an amount double of the deals that have already been completed. \"This indicates an acceleration of deal-related activity in [the second half], MayBank said.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1362,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":false}