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- Abu888Abu888
  ·2021-09-17
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- Abu888Abu888
  ·2021-09-16
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  3 COVID Stocks That Might Double Soon
  Here are three healthcare stocks as nominees for a quick double in 2021.
  3 COVID Stocks That Might Double Soon
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- Abu888Abu888
  ·2021-09-15
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- Abu888Abu888
  ·2021-09-14
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  Brace for 'choppy' market after Wall Street analysts trim S&P 500 earnings estimates for third quarter
  'It's a good idea to lighten up on equity exposure,' says DataTrek co-founder Is the U.S. stock mark
  Brace for 'choppy' market after Wall Street analysts trim S&P 500 earnings estimates for third quarter
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- Abu888Abu888
  ·2021-09-13
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- Abu888Abu888
  ·2021-09-12
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- Abu888Abu888
  ·2021-09-11
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- Abu888Abu888
  ·2021-09-10
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  Bitcoin Crash September 2021: What You Should Know
  Summary Bitcoin will be Bitcoin and bucket shops will be bucket shops. Stocks, options, commodities
  Bitcoin Crash September 2021: What You Should Know
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- Abu888Abu888
  ·2021-09-09
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  Fisker Vs NIO: Which EV Stock Is The Better Buy?
  Summary Improving battery technology, greater charging infrastructure availability, and increasing
  Fisker Vs NIO: Which EV Stock Is The Better Buy?
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- Abu888Abu888
  ·2021-09-09
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Nonetheless, these Fool.com contributors are bullish on these three healthcare stocks, and there are reasons for short-term optimism.</p>\n<p>Read more to find out why we think&nbsp;<b>Novavax</b>(NASDAQ:NVAX),&nbsp;<b>Sorrento Therapeutics</b>(NASDAQ:SRNE), and&nbsp;<b>InMode</b>(NASDAQ:INMD)will close out 2021 with a bang.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cf7858be2535b72fb5033e8b4d227614\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1125\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p>\n<p><b>1. Multiple catalysts will make Novavax shares jump in 2021</b></p>\n<p><b>Taylor Carmichael(Novavax):</b>Novavax stock has already doubled this year, running from $112 back in January to $233 this week. But there's plenty of gas left in the tank, and I expect another double by the end of the year.</p>\n<p>Right now,<b>Moderna</b>&nbsp;enjoys a $169 billion market cap, and&nbsp;<b>BioNTech</b>&nbsp;sports a $79 billion valuation. Meanwhile, Novavax is positively cheap with its $17 billion market cap. The difference, of course, is that the mRNA biotechs have both of their COVID-19 vaccines on the market now, while Novavax is still waiting for its first Emergency Use Authorization. But when the government agencies start allowing Novavax to distribute its COVID-19 vaccine, the stock will really start to soar.</p>\n<p>The majority of the world's population still has not been vaccinated. Novavax will have 2 billion doses of vaccine ready to distribute in 2022. And the biotech has multiple agreements for supplying locations around the world: 100 million doses for the U.S., 150 million doses for Japan, 200 million doses for Europe, and over 1 billion doses for the developing world.</p>\n<p>The U.S. paid $1.3 billion in advance to secure its 100 million doses of the company's experimental vaccine. That works out to $13 a dose. While the dollar amounts of the various purchase agreements are undisclosed, Japan and Europe will likely pay a higher dollar amount, while the developing world agreements will be discounted. It's entirely possible that Novavax's revenue next year will be higher than its&nbsp;market cap&nbsp;today.</p>\n<p>I'm expecting Novavax shares to spike higher as its vaccine starts receiving authorization around the world in the fourth quarter. Novavax's vaccine candidate will be popular both as a booster shot and as an initial vaccine for the majority of the world who are unvaccinated. And Novavax is leading in the race to combine the COVID-19 vaccine with a flu vaccine. The company just kicked off a combo trial in Australia involving 640 people who have been vaccinated against both diseases with a single shot.</p>\n<p><b>2. Sorrento Therapeutics: Don't sleep on this name</b></p>\n<p><b>George Budwell(Sorrento Therapeutics):</b>The clinical-stage biotech Sorrento Therapeutics rose to prominence last year thanks to its impressive lineup of experimental COVID-19 diagnostics and biologic therapies. The biotech's stock, in fact, gained a whopping 144% from January 2020 to March 2021 mostly because of its broad spectrum of COVID-19 vaccine candidates. Sorrento's shares, however, have now lost almost a quarter of their value over the past 180 days. Investors have apparently moved on to greener pastures, given the company's inability to bring even one of its various&nbsp;COVID-19 vaccine candidates&nbsp;to market in the United States.</p>\n<p>The core issue is that multiple biopharmas have been successful at developing and subsequently marketing COVID-19 vaccines, tests, and therapeutic antibodies in key markets like the U.S. and European Union over the last few months. Meanwhile, Sorrento is still on the hunt for its first major regulatory win. What's important for potential investors to understand, though, is that the pandemic is far from over. COVID-19 is highly likely to morph into a seasonal respiratory ailment. As such, investors shouldn't necessarily write off latecomers such as Sorrento. Eventually, the company could realize a healthy revenue stream from a COVID-19 diagnostic and/or therapeutic.</p>\n<p>It is entirely possible that Sorrento could garner multiple regulatory approvals for its COVID-19 vaccine candidates in the U.S. within the next calendar year, which would be a major boon for its stock. That said, this mid-cap biotech stock will surely remain on the volatile side until the company lands a Food and Drug Administration approval within the COVID-19 space. Invest accordingly.</p>\n<p><b>3. InMode stock will spike as the world reopens</b></p>\n<p><b>Patrick Bafuma</b>&nbsp;<b>(InMode):</b>As the world opens back up and people feel more comfortable gathering, the aesthetics market is sure to heat up. That's why my pick for a COVID-19 vaccine stock to double is InMode, the self-proclaimed leading global provider of innovative, minimally invasive aesthetic and wellness solutions, with strong brand recognition.</p>\n<p>Using a razor-and-blades model, the company markets a medical device system and associated consumables that provide an energy source for body contouring. Utilized by multiple medical specialists, including plastic surgeons, dermatologists, gynecologists, ENTs, and ophthalmologists, InMode claims its procedures are longer lasting than laser treatment and less invasive than typical body sculpting procedures like liposuction.</p>\n<p>And this $5.2 billion aesthetics company is firing on all cylinders.In the most recent quarter, InMode reported record revenue of $87.3 million, representing an increase of 184% compared to the second quarter of 2020. Total second-quarter sales outside of the U.S. were $30.9 million, more than triple what it reported during the same period last year. This torrid international growth represented 35% of its total revenue compared to 22% of its total revenue in Q2 2020. Currently operating in 68 countries, the company enjoys a massive runway for continued growth.</p>\n<p>As the world slowly returns to normal, consumers are seeking out treatments that they had delayed due to COVID-19. \"Our demand is strong,\" chief medical officer Spero Theodorou noted on the last conference call. \"It's solid all the way into September. Waiting lists ... (are) about a month out.\"</p>\n<p>Theodorou went on to say, \"Over one-third of the new patients coming in have never had (any aesthetics procedure) done before.\" This indicates that InMode has expanded the body contouring market, which had already reached $6.2 billion worldwide in 2020 despite the COVID-19 pandemic. This market is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate of 7.2% into 2026, so there is plenty of room to run for InMode.</p>\n<p>With many of us either in the house or masked up since March 2020, I expect continued growth for this aesthetics device maker as COVID-19 wanes. Despite InMode already being up over 180% since the start of 2021, the company has a huge runway, and its razor-and-blades business model continues to be an effective positioning strategy. InMode is already profitable with adjusted diluted earnings per share in Q2 coming in at $1.02 compared to $0.24 per diluted share for the same quarter of 2020. InMode looks like it's shaping up to double its share price again.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 COVID Stocks That Might Double Soon</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 COVID Stocks That Might Double Soon\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-09-16 16:32 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/09/15/3-covid-stocks-that-might-double-soon/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Anything can happen in the short term, so it's folly to say that a stock is a sure thing for a quick double. Nonetheless, these Fool.com contributors are bullish on these three healthcare stocks, and ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/09/15/3-covid-stocks-that-might-double-soon/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SRNE":"索伦托医疗","INMD":"InMode Ltd.","NVAX":"诺瓦瓦克斯医药"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/09/15/3-covid-stocks-that-might-double-soon/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1195990706","content_text":"Anything can happen in the short term, so it's folly to say that a stock is a sure thing for a quick double. Nonetheless, these Fool.com contributors are bullish on these three healthcare stocks, and there are reasons for short-term optimism.\nRead more to find out why we think Novavax(NASDAQ:NVAX), Sorrento Therapeutics(NASDAQ:SRNE), and InMode(NASDAQ:INMD)will close out 2021 with a bang.\nIMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.\n1. Multiple catalysts will make Novavax shares jump in 2021\nTaylor Carmichael(Novavax):Novavax stock has already doubled this year, running from $112 back in January to $233 this week. But there's plenty of gas left in the tank, and I expect another double by the end of the year.\nRight now,Moderna enjoys a $169 billion market cap, and BioNTech sports a $79 billion valuation. Meanwhile, Novavax is positively cheap with its $17 billion market cap. The difference, of course, is that the mRNA biotechs have both of their COVID-19 vaccines on the market now, while Novavax is still waiting for its first Emergency Use Authorization. But when the government agencies start allowing Novavax to distribute its COVID-19 vaccine, the stock will really start to soar.\nThe majority of the world's population still has not been vaccinated. Novavax will have 2 billion doses of vaccine ready to distribute in 2022. And the biotech has multiple agreements for supplying locations around the world: 100 million doses for the U.S., 150 million doses for Japan, 200 million doses for Europe, and over 1 billion doses for the developing world.\nThe U.S. paid $1.3 billion in advance to secure its 100 million doses of the company's experimental vaccine. That works out to $13 a dose. While the dollar amounts of the various purchase agreements are undisclosed, Japan and Europe will likely pay a higher dollar amount, while the developing world agreements will be discounted. It's entirely possible that Novavax's revenue next year will be higher than its market cap today.\nI'm expecting Novavax shares to spike higher as its vaccine starts receiving authorization around the world in the fourth quarter. Novavax's vaccine candidate will be popular both as a booster shot and as an initial vaccine for the majority of the world who are unvaccinated. And Novavax is leading in the race to combine the COVID-19 vaccine with a flu vaccine. The company just kicked off a combo trial in Australia involving 640 people who have been vaccinated against both diseases with a single shot.\n2. Sorrento Therapeutics: Don't sleep on this name\nGeorge Budwell(Sorrento Therapeutics):The clinical-stage biotech Sorrento Therapeutics rose to prominence last year thanks to its impressive lineup of experimental COVID-19 diagnostics and biologic therapies. The biotech's stock, in fact, gained a whopping 144% from January 2020 to March 2021 mostly because of its broad spectrum of COVID-19 vaccine candidates. Sorrento's shares, however, have now lost almost a quarter of their value over the past 180 days. Investors have apparently moved on to greener pastures, given the company's inability to bring even one of its various COVID-19 vaccine candidates to market in the United States.\nThe core issue is that multiple biopharmas have been successful at developing and subsequently marketing COVID-19 vaccines, tests, and therapeutic antibodies in key markets like the U.S. and European Union over the last few months. Meanwhile, Sorrento is still on the hunt for its first major regulatory win. What's important for potential investors to understand, though, is that the pandemic is far from over. COVID-19 is highly likely to morph into a seasonal respiratory ailment. As such, investors shouldn't necessarily write off latecomers such as Sorrento. Eventually, the company could realize a healthy revenue stream from a COVID-19 diagnostic and/or therapeutic.\nIt is entirely possible that Sorrento could garner multiple regulatory approvals for its COVID-19 vaccine candidates in the U.S. within the next calendar year, which would be a major boon for its stock. That said, this mid-cap biotech stock will surely remain on the volatile side until the company lands a Food and Drug Administration approval within the COVID-19 space. Invest accordingly.\n3. InMode stock will spike as the world reopens\nPatrick Bafuma (InMode):As the world opens back up and people feel more comfortable gathering, the aesthetics market is sure to heat up. That's why my pick for a COVID-19 vaccine stock to double is InMode, the self-proclaimed leading global provider of innovative, minimally invasive aesthetic and wellness solutions, with strong brand recognition.\nUsing a razor-and-blades model, the company markets a medical device system and associated consumables that provide an energy source for body contouring. Utilized by multiple medical specialists, including plastic surgeons, dermatologists, gynecologists, ENTs, and ophthalmologists, InMode claims its procedures are longer lasting than laser treatment and less invasive than typical body sculpting procedures like liposuction.\nAnd this $5.2 billion aesthetics company is firing on all cylinders.In the most recent quarter, InMode reported record revenue of $87.3 million, representing an increase of 184% compared to the second quarter of 2020. Total second-quarter sales outside of the U.S. were $30.9 million, more than triple what it reported during the same period last year. This torrid international growth represented 35% of its total revenue compared to 22% of its total revenue in Q2 2020. Currently operating in 68 countries, the company enjoys a massive runway for continued growth.\nAs the world slowly returns to normal, consumers are seeking out treatments that they had delayed due to COVID-19. \"Our demand is strong,\" chief medical officer Spero Theodorou noted on the last conference call. \"It's solid all the way into September. Waiting lists ... (are) about a month out.\"\nTheodorou went on to say, \"Over one-third of the new patients coming in have never had (any aesthetics procedure) done before.\" This indicates that InMode has expanded the body contouring market, which had already reached $6.2 billion worldwide in 2020 despite the COVID-19 pandemic. This market is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate of 7.2% into 2026, so there is plenty of room to run for InMode.\nWith many of us either in the house or masked up since March 2020, I expect continued growth for this aesthetics device maker as COVID-19 wanes. Despite InMode already being up over 180% since the start of 2021, the company has a huge runway, and its razor-and-blades business model continues to be an effective positioning strategy. InMode is already profitable with adjusted diluted earnings per share in Q2 coming in at $1.02 compared to $0.24 per diluted share for the same quarter of 2020. InMode looks like it's shaping up to double its share price again.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":227,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":882716478,"gmtCreate":1631720357794,"gmtModify":1631883968977,"author":{"id":"3581658741892979","authorId":"3581658741892979","name":"Abu888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/39dfd9ec19b4b4e5c99cbc270b33e932","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581658741892979","authorIdStr":"3581658741892979"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like my comments thanks","listText":"Like my comments thanks","text":"Like my comments thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/882716478","repostId":"1125984951","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":374,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":886594029,"gmtCreate":1631603056261,"gmtModify":1631883968990,"author":{"id":"3581658741892979","authorId":"3581658741892979","name":"Abu888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/39dfd9ec19b4b4e5c99cbc270b33e932","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581658741892979","authorIdStr":"3581658741892979"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like my comments thanks&nbsp;","listText":"Like my comments thanks&nbsp;","text":"Like my comments thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/886594029","repostId":"2167433580","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2167433580","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1631602991,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/2167433580?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-14 15:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Brace for 'choppy' market after Wall Street analysts trim S&P 500 earnings estimates for third quarter","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2167433580","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"'It's a good idea to lighten up on equity exposure,' says DataTrek co-founder\nIs the U.S. stock mark","content":"<p>'It's a good idea to lighten up on equity exposure,' says DataTrek co-founder</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/117649c67a585b760bd34e6cfde46ef3\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Is the U.S. stock market heading for a correction in 2021?</span></p>\n<p>Another crack may be emerging in the U.S. stock market.</p>\n<p>\"We don't want to make too much of this (yet), but Wall Street analysts actually cut their Q3 2021 earnings estimates for the S&amp;P 500 last week,\" DataTrek co-founder Nicholas Colas wrote in a note Monday. \"This, along with slowing economic growth, will make for further volatility.\"</p>\n<p>Last week's slightly revised earnings expectations for the third quarter were due to adjustments made by analysts in the industrials and materials sectors, according to the note. Considering current valuations of the S&amp;P 500, DataTrek said U.S. stocks need the \"tailwind of rising earnings expectations\" as well as companies beating estimates.</p>\n<p>\"It's a good idea to lighten up on equity exposure,\" Colas said in the note. \"The near term is shaping up to be choppy.\"</p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 rose about 0.2% on&nbsp;Monday, trading near its all-time peak of 4536.95 on Sep. 2, after sliding 1.7% last week amid concerns the delta variant of the coronavirus may be slowing the economic recovery.</p>\n<p>The materials sector of the S&amp;P 500 was down 0.1% in Monday afternoon trading, while the industrials sector was up 0.1%, according to FactSet data, at last check.</p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 is valued at 20.3x earnings estimates for 2022, according to the DataTrek note.</p>\n<p>At the end of last week, Wall Street analysts estimated in aggregate that third-quarter earnings per share for the S&amp;P 500 will be $49.23, or $0.07 per share lower than forecast the prior week, Colas wrote, citing FactSet data. \"As much as analysts have been persistently too conservative with their estimates since Q2 2020, seeing them cut numbers (however slightly) is still worrisome.\"</p>\n<p>RBC Capital Markets has lifted its S&amp;P 500 price target this year to 4,500, from 4,325, saying in a report Monday that its earnings-per-share forecast for the index has been revised higher to $200. The bank also raised its 2022 EPS forecast to $222 while introducing a price target of 4,900 for next year.</p>\n<p>But \"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> key risk that we are monitoring for the stock market -- and our call -- is the possibility that S&amp;P 500 EPS growth will turn negative in early 2022,\" RBC analysts led by Lori Calvasina, head of U.S. equity strategy, said in the report. \"While we are not worried about an economic recession,\" the strategists said they're watching for \"the possibility that EPS growth for the S&amp;P 500 may be weaker than the stock market can tolerate in early 2022.\"</p>\n<p>Wall Street banks have delivered recent warnings of a looming correction for the U.S. stock market amid concern over stretched valuations. RBC also sees risk of a pullback by year-end, but views it as \"a buying opportunity,\" according to its report.</p>\n<p>DataTrek expressed \"confidence\" that the S&amp;P 500 could this year push above its recent record high, despite expected volatility. While third-quarter earnings expectations have \"stagnated,\" U.S. large-cap stocks should still have enough \"earnings power\" to beat consensus estimates, according to the firm's note.</p>\n<p>\"That won't necessarily help current market sentiment,\" Colas said. \"We expect September to be volatile.\"</p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Brace for 'choppy' market after Wall Street analysts trim S&P 500 earnings estimates for third quarter</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBrace for 'choppy' market after Wall Street analysts trim S&P 500 earnings estimates for third quarter\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-09-14 15:03 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/brace-for-choppy-market-after-wall-street-analysts-trim-s-p-500-earnings-estimates-for-third-quarter-11631562992?mod=home-page><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>'It's a good idea to lighten up on equity exposure,' says DataTrek co-founder\nIs the U.S. stock market heading for a correction in 2021?\nAnother crack may be emerging in the U.S. stock market.\n\"We don...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/brace-for-choppy-market-after-wall-street-analysts-trim-s-p-500-earnings-estimates-for-third-quarter-11631562992?mod=home-page\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/brace-for-choppy-market-after-wall-street-analysts-trim-s-p-500-earnings-estimates-for-third-quarter-11631562992?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2167433580","content_text":"'It's a good idea to lighten up on equity exposure,' says DataTrek co-founder\nIs the U.S. stock market heading for a correction in 2021?\nAnother crack may be emerging in the U.S. stock market.\n\"We don't want to make too much of this (yet), but Wall Street analysts actually cut their Q3 2021 earnings estimates for the S&P 500 last week,\" DataTrek co-founder Nicholas Colas wrote in a note Monday. \"This, along with slowing economic growth, will make for further volatility.\"\nLast week's slightly revised earnings expectations for the third quarter were due to adjustments made by analysts in the industrials and materials sectors, according to the note. Considering current valuations of the S&P 500, DataTrek said U.S. stocks need the \"tailwind of rising earnings expectations\" as well as companies beating estimates.\n\"It's a good idea to lighten up on equity exposure,\" Colas said in the note. \"The near term is shaping up to be choppy.\"\nThe S&P 500 rose about 0.2% on Monday, trading near its all-time peak of 4536.95 on Sep. 2, after sliding 1.7% last week amid concerns the delta variant of the coronavirus may be slowing the economic recovery.\nThe materials sector of the S&P 500 was down 0.1% in Monday afternoon trading, while the industrials sector was up 0.1%, according to FactSet data, at last check.\nThe S&P 500 is valued at 20.3x earnings estimates for 2022, according to the DataTrek note.\nAt the end of last week, Wall Street analysts estimated in aggregate that third-quarter earnings per share for the S&P 500 will be $49.23, or $0.07 per share lower than forecast the prior week, Colas wrote, citing FactSet data. \"As much as analysts have been persistently too conservative with their estimates since Q2 2020, seeing them cut numbers (however slightly) is still worrisome.\"\nRBC Capital Markets has lifted its S&P 500 price target this year to 4,500, from 4,325, saying in a report Monday that its earnings-per-share forecast for the index has been revised higher to $200. The bank also raised its 2022 EPS forecast to $222 while introducing a price target of 4,900 for next year.\nBut \"one key risk that we are monitoring for the stock market -- and our call -- is the possibility that S&P 500 EPS growth will turn negative in early 2022,\" RBC analysts led by Lori Calvasina, head of U.S. equity strategy, said in the report. \"While we are not worried about an economic recession,\" the strategists said they're watching for \"the possibility that EPS growth for the S&P 500 may be weaker than the stock market can tolerate in early 2022.\"\nWall Street banks have delivered recent warnings of a looming correction for the U.S. stock market amid concern over stretched valuations. RBC also sees risk of a pullback by year-end, but views it as \"a buying opportunity,\" according to its report.\nDataTrek expressed \"confidence\" that the S&P 500 could this year push above its recent record high, despite expected volatility. While third-quarter earnings expectations have \"stagnated,\" U.S. large-cap stocks should still have enough \"earnings power\" to beat consensus estimates, according to the firm's note.\n\"That won't necessarily help current market sentiment,\" Colas said. \"We expect September to be volatile.\"","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":359,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":888716930,"gmtCreate":1631528961920,"gmtModify":1631883969008,"author":{"id":"3581658741892979","authorId":"3581658741892979","name":"Abu888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/39dfd9ec19b4b4e5c99cbc270b33e932","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581658741892979","authorIdStr":"3581658741892979"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like my comments thanks","listText":"Like my comments thanks","text":"Like my comments thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/888716930","repostId":"2167630550","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":488,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":888038665,"gmtCreate":1631412353757,"gmtModify":1631883969016,"author":{"id":"3581658741892979","authorId":"3581658741892979","name":"Abu888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/39dfd9ec19b4b4e5c99cbc270b33e932","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581658741892979","authorIdStr":"3581658741892979"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like my comments thanks&nbsp;","listText":"Like my comments thanks&nbsp;","text":"Like my comments thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/888038665","repostId":"2166377772","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":353,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":881255618,"gmtCreate":1631349673434,"gmtModify":1631883969027,"author":{"id":"3581658741892979","authorId":"3581658741892979","name":"Abu888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/39dfd9ec19b4b4e5c99cbc270b33e932","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581658741892979","authorIdStr":"3581658741892979"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like my comments thanks","listText":"Like my comments thanks","text":"Like my comments thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/881255618","repostId":"2166375184","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":348,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":883452511,"gmtCreate":1631266223633,"gmtModify":1631883969040,"author":{"id":"3581658741892979","authorId":"3581658741892979","name":"Abu888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/39dfd9ec19b4b4e5c99cbc270b33e932","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581658741892979","authorIdStr":"3581658741892979"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like my comments thanks","listText":"Like my comments thanks","text":"Like my comments thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":11,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/883452511","repostId":"1148605188","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1148605188","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1631265518,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1148605188?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-10 17:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Bitcoin Crash September 2021: What You Should Know","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1148605188","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nBitcoin will be Bitcoin and bucket shops will be bucket shops.\nStocks, options, commodities","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Bitcoin will be Bitcoin and bucket shops will be bucket shops.</li>\n <li>Stocks, options, commodities and forex are no different from crypto in that they are filled with crashes, skulduggery and scandal.</li>\n <li>If you're in crypto you need two strategies for dealing with crashes.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Yesterday (7thSeptember 2021) Bitcoin crashed, and as I write it is spiking down again. As a bear this is no surprise to me, but it is a major shock to many bulls who are expecting Bitcoin to go straight to $100,000 without a halt.</p>\n<p>Bitcoin is plagued/blessed with volatility and, make no mistake, if it did not have huge volatility, it would not be the giant brand it has become and crypto would not be the financial earthquake that is changing financial services forever.</p>\n<p>Markets are casinos; gamblers love to gamble and casinos love gamblers and ensure that they accommodate the players in as profitable a way as they can. Stocks, options, commodities, forex, they are no different from crypto in that they are filled with crashes, skulduggery and scandal, and the gaming tables are the same... ‘come play with leverage, come play with stop losses, this could be your lucky day.’</p>\n<p>Edwin Lefevre wrote the classic trading book in 1923 called ‘Reminiscences of a Stock Operator’ about famous trader/speculator/gambler Jesse Livermore. The ‘bucket shop’ scams of the time and the general trading environment around 1890-1930 remain basically unchanged today (…but, but, but think of all the regulation we have now…). Livermore was an incredibly talented trader that committed suicide when he lost it all, as traders are fated - by their counterparties and math - to do.</p>\n<p>Leverage and stop losses are just one example of how market actors like ‘bucket shops’ drive your account balances into their account balances. All the same finance scams of hidden charges, Ponzi schemes, ‘pump and dumps’ and so on are still everywhere to be seen in crypto, stocks etc. Where there are resources there are predators.</p>\n<p>So, a wild crash in crypto is to be expected and is perhaps even guaranteed. Take this phrase and write it like this:</p>\n<p>So, a wild crash in ______ is to be expected and is perhaps even guaranteed.</p>\n<p>Fill the blank as you see fit: stocks, bonds, property, the dollar, gold, junk bonds…. It will fit in just fine.</p>\n<p>Crashing is what markets do.</p>\n<p>Therefore, if you want to play in crypto, or for that matter in any financial market, you need two strategies for dealing with crashes.</p>\n<p><b>Strategy 1) What not to do</b></p>\n<ol>\n <li>Do not carry much leverage if any. If an instrument is volatile do not carry leverage at all.</li>\n <li>Do not hold stop losses on another party’s platforms.</li>\n <li>Do not hold positions for no good reason.</li>\n <li>Be prepared to hold your positions after a crash if you get caught and stuck in one</li>\n <li>If you are<b>certain</b>a crash is underway, do not hold and hope,<i>sell</i>.</li>\n</ol>\n<p><b>Strategy 2) What to do</b></p>\n<ol>\n <li>Never stop searching out the next crash. It is inevitable. One BTC at $60,000 is two BTC at $30,000.</li>\n <li>Buy the crash but only well after it’s happened and the dust is settling. This is the ultimate test of an investor.</li>\n <li>If you must trade during a crash, make sure you can depend on your providers not shuttering you in or out when it matters most (as true in stocks as in crypto). If you cannot depend on your service provider do not play. There is no customer service during a crash.</li>\n</ol>\n<p>A crash is a 25% drop in a dull asset but 50%-75% in anything spicy like crypto and 90% outside the blue chip instruments of a market.</p>\n<p><b>What next?</b></p>\n<p>Here is the chart:</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8e84d0c18312986bee801a102afc9dd6\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"420\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">I’m still a bear<i>but</i>I think the recent rally is heavily driven by the social clampdown in China with Bitcoin and other cryptos a way of expatriating capital away from a developing authoritarian nightmare; a nightmare where even kids who want to play computer games can’t escape the boot of ideology. The impact of this new development may prove to be extremely potent and not in a good way for many, but for crypto it could be very strong.</p>\n<p>However, without that tailwind or other geopolitical conniptions I would expect Bitcoin to go under $20,000 but markets don’t listen to me. Like with every call, you must measure your speculation against what transpired. I produced a similar chart a few months ago showing the bull and the bear trend like the above. I hovered to the bear trend as the move I expected, and up went Bitcoin exactly on the bull trend as if by magic. Speculation is just that, and you have to believe what you see not what you think.</p>\n<p>The above trends will therefore develop, and I remain a bear.</p>\n<p><b>What to do?</b></p>\n<p>The golden rule is if you think you know, you don’t, so stop. If you know you know then proceed.</p>\n<p>Specifically:</p>\n<ol>\n <li>If you are a Hodl’er continue to dollar cost average in. If it really does melt down then perhaps drop some extra fiat in.</li>\n <li>If you don’t know what to do and need to ask then sell and save your fiat for when you are certain of your positions</li>\n <li>If you want to buy the dip be sure you want to hold because you might need to Hodl for a long time. If you are looking to flip you should wait because this move could go way lower.</li>\n <li>If you want to trade, look to go against extreme moves but only when they make your eyes bug out. Make sure the platform you use won’t choke and can execute under extreme volume.</li>\n <li>If you are looking for a re-entry - like me - this isn’t it (yet).</li>\n <li>If you are a tyro trader, study every tick of this. Crashes are where the real traders and investors make their killings because this is where the novices lose their shirts.</li>\n</ol>\n<p><b>What am I doing?</b></p>\n<p>‘Hodling’ what little ‘unstable coins’ I have. I am watching out for what will look great value when this move capitulates while focusing on midcap tokens for now. If this is the big crash of this cycle, after it’s all over and a week or two later, I’ll be picking a portfolio from the rubble.</p>\n<p>Bitcoin dropped another $1000 while I wrote this article and jumped $1000 while I edited it. The big take away is Bitcoin will be Bitcoin and crypto will always crash and moon and that is one of the reasons it will always be a huge brand fascinating millions.</p>\n<p>Long term, Bitcoin will go a lot higher but it will not be a smooth or short road.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Bitcoin Crash September 2021: What You Should Know</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBitcoin Crash September 2021: What You Should Know\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-09-10 17:18 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4454069-bitcoin-crash-september-2021-what-you-should-know><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nBitcoin will be Bitcoin and bucket shops will be bucket shops.\nStocks, options, commodities and forex are no different from crypto in that they are filled with crashes, skulduggery and ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4454069-bitcoin-crash-september-2021-what-you-should-know\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc.","01499":"欧科云链","GBTC":"Grayscale Bitcoin Trust","01611":"新火科技控股"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4454069-bitcoin-crash-september-2021-what-you-should-know","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1148605188","content_text":"Summary\n\nBitcoin will be Bitcoin and bucket shops will be bucket shops.\nStocks, options, commodities and forex are no different from crypto in that they are filled with crashes, skulduggery and scandal.\nIf you're in crypto you need two strategies for dealing with crashes.\n\nYesterday (7thSeptember 2021) Bitcoin crashed, and as I write it is spiking down again. As a bear this is no surprise to me, but it is a major shock to many bulls who are expecting Bitcoin to go straight to $100,000 without a halt.\nBitcoin is plagued/blessed with volatility and, make no mistake, if it did not have huge volatility, it would not be the giant brand it has become and crypto would not be the financial earthquake that is changing financial services forever.\nMarkets are casinos; gamblers love to gamble and casinos love gamblers and ensure that they accommodate the players in as profitable a way as they can. Stocks, options, commodities, forex, they are no different from crypto in that they are filled with crashes, skulduggery and scandal, and the gaming tables are the same... ‘come play with leverage, come play with stop losses, this could be your lucky day.’\nEdwin Lefevre wrote the classic trading book in 1923 called ‘Reminiscences of a Stock Operator’ about famous trader/speculator/gambler Jesse Livermore. The ‘bucket shop’ scams of the time and the general trading environment around 1890-1930 remain basically unchanged today (…but, but, but think of all the regulation we have now…). Livermore was an incredibly talented trader that committed suicide when he lost it all, as traders are fated - by their counterparties and math - to do.\nLeverage and stop losses are just one example of how market actors like ‘bucket shops’ drive your account balances into their account balances. All the same finance scams of hidden charges, Ponzi schemes, ‘pump and dumps’ and so on are still everywhere to be seen in crypto, stocks etc. Where there are resources there are predators.\nSo, a wild crash in crypto is to be expected and is perhaps even guaranteed. Take this phrase and write it like this:\nSo, a wild crash in ______ is to be expected and is perhaps even guaranteed.\nFill the blank as you see fit: stocks, bonds, property, the dollar, gold, junk bonds…. It will fit in just fine.\nCrashing is what markets do.\nTherefore, if you want to play in crypto, or for that matter in any financial market, you need two strategies for dealing with crashes.\nStrategy 1) What not to do\n\nDo not carry much leverage if any. If an instrument is volatile do not carry leverage at all.\nDo not hold stop losses on another party’s platforms.\nDo not hold positions for no good reason.\nBe prepared to hold your positions after a crash if you get caught and stuck in one\nIf you arecertaina crash is underway, do not hold and hope,sell.\n\nStrategy 2) What to do\n\nNever stop searching out the next crash. It is inevitable. One BTC at $60,000 is two BTC at $30,000.\nBuy the crash but only well after it’s happened and the dust is settling. This is the ultimate test of an investor.\nIf you must trade during a crash, make sure you can depend on your providers not shuttering you in or out when it matters most (as true in stocks as in crypto). If you cannot depend on your service provider do not play. There is no customer service during a crash.\n\nA crash is a 25% drop in a dull asset but 50%-75% in anything spicy like crypto and 90% outside the blue chip instruments of a market.\nWhat next?\nHere is the chart:\nI’m still a bearbutI think the recent rally is heavily driven by the social clampdown in China with Bitcoin and other cryptos a way of expatriating capital away from a developing authoritarian nightmare; a nightmare where even kids who want to play computer games can’t escape the boot of ideology. The impact of this new development may prove to be extremely potent and not in a good way for many, but for crypto it could be very strong.\nHowever, without that tailwind or other geopolitical conniptions I would expect Bitcoin to go under $20,000 but markets don’t listen to me. Like with every call, you must measure your speculation against what transpired. I produced a similar chart a few months ago showing the bull and the bear trend like the above. I hovered to the bear trend as the move I expected, and up went Bitcoin exactly on the bull trend as if by magic. Speculation is just that, and you have to believe what you see not what you think.\nThe above trends will therefore develop, and I remain a bear.\nWhat to do?\nThe golden rule is if you think you know, you don’t, so stop. If you know you know then proceed.\nSpecifically:\n\nIf you are a Hodl’er continue to dollar cost average in. If it really does melt down then perhaps drop some extra fiat in.\nIf you don’t know what to do and need to ask then sell and save your fiat for when you are certain of your positions\nIf you want to buy the dip be sure you want to hold because you might need to Hodl for a long time. If you are looking to flip you should wait because this move could go way lower.\nIf you want to trade, look to go against extreme moves but only when they make your eyes bug out. Make sure the platform you use won’t choke and can execute under extreme volume.\nIf you are looking for a re-entry - like me - this isn’t it (yet).\nIf you are a tyro trader, study every tick of this. Crashes are where the real traders and investors make their killings because this is where the novices lose their shirts.\n\nWhat am I doing?\n‘Hodling’ what little ‘unstable coins’ I have. I am watching out for what will look great value when this move capitulates while focusing on midcap tokens for now. If this is the big crash of this cycle, after it’s all over and a week or two later, I’ll be picking a portfolio from the rubble.\nBitcoin dropped another $1000 while I wrote this article and jumped $1000 while I edited it. The big take away is Bitcoin will be Bitcoin and crypto will always crash and moon and that is one of the reasons it will always be a huge brand fascinating millions.\nLong term, Bitcoin will go a lot higher but it will not be a smooth or short road.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":486,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":889527168,"gmtCreate":1631160845654,"gmtModify":1631883969054,"author":{"id":"3581658741892979","authorId":"3581658741892979","name":"Abu888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/39dfd9ec19b4b4e5c99cbc270b33e932","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581658741892979","authorIdStr":"3581658741892979"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like my comnent","listText":"Like my comnent","text":"Like my comnent","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/889527168","repostId":"1158905975","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1158905975","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1631160341,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1158905975?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-09 12:05","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Fisker Vs NIO: Which EV Stock Is The Better Buy?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1158905975","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Summary\n\nImproving battery technology, greater charging infrastructure availability, and increasing ","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Improving battery technology, greater charging infrastructure availability, and increasing price parity with ICE vehicles have supercharged electric vehicle (“EV”) adoption in recent years.</li>\n <li>Global EV sales have surged by over 40% in 2020, and are poised to reach newer heights this year, making it an exciting investment opportunity.</li>\n <li>But the growing number of EV stocks, ranging from established EV makers to pre-revenue start-ups, have made it increasingly difficult to determine which makes a better investment.</li>\n <li>A similar investment dilemma applies to NIO and Fisker, with one being a leading EV brand in China, and the other still in pre-revenue and pre-production phase.</li>\n <li>While our outlook remains bullish on both stocks, we believe NIO makes a higher-growth long-term investment due to the increasing value ascribed to its proprietary technology, including battery swaps and autonomous driving.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ce9e6240d6fd9622f36cd021340e6c90\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1152\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Andy Feng/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p>Improving battery technology, greater charging infrastructure availability, and increasing price parity with ICE vehicles have supercharged electric vehicle (“EV”) adoption in recent years. The EV industry has emerged as one of the fastest-growing segments of the 21stcentury – while global car sales suffered from an unprecedented slump during 2020 due to COVID-related lockdowns and economic uncertainty,EV sales surged by over 40%&nbsp;from 2019. And EV sales are poised to&nbsp;reach newer heights&nbsp;this year, making it an exciting investment opportunity that many have set their eyes on.</p>\n<p>But the growing number of options, ranging from established EV makers to pre-revenue early-stage EV start-ups, have made it increasingly difficult to determine which makes a higher growth investment. A similar investment dilemma applies to NIO (NIO) and Fisker (FSR), where the former has already emerged as one of the leading EV brands in China with ongoing plans for overseas expansion, while the latter is still in testing phase for its first vehicle. In our most recent coverage of&nbsp;NIO&nbsp;and&nbsp;Fisker, we have assigned both companies a buy signal. Although the 12-month price targets we have set for both stocks would indicate that Fisker exhibits similar upside potential in the near-term, we believe NIO would generate a better risk-return tradeoff over the long-run due to the increasing value of its innovative technology developments. NIO also makes a safer investment considering its EVs and proprietary battery swapping technology have already been tried and tested with proven demand in both China and Europe.</p>\n<p><b>NIO’s Advantage with Innovation, Overseas Expansion, and a Differentiated Business Model</b></p>\n<p>In the span of just a little over three years, NIO has grown into one of the largest EV brands in China with more than 130,000 vehicles sold to date. Although delivery volumes have slowed in recent months due to ongoing volatility of global chip supply, NIO has continued to achieve strong double-digit year-over-year sales growth. New orders have also been consistently reaching all-time highs on a monthly basis, underpinning significant sales growth ahead as demand continues to ramp up rapidly.</p>\n<p><b>Sales Boost by Innovation</b></p>\n<p>In addition to its diversified line-up of fully battery-powered EVs, NIO is best known for their development of battery swapping technology, in-vehicle artificial intelligence and autonomous driving.Its innovative accomplishments achieved to date are a testament to its vision of expanding beyond the horizons of just building electric cars, but also a comprehensive ecosystem that is driven by technology.</p>\n<p>Most recently, NIO announced the addition of a&nbsp;150 kWh solid-state battery pack&nbsp;to its current line-up of swappable batteries. NIO currently offers swappable 70 kWh and 100 kWh battery packs, which already enable a range capability of 300 miles and 435 miles, respectively. The newest 150 kWh solid-state battery pack, which is expected to enter commercial use in Q4 2022, will deliver range capability of more than 450 miles for the first-generation ES8 SUVs, and up to 620 miles for the newer and more efficient models. This would top current record-holder&nbsp;Lucid Motors’(LCID) range capability of 517 miles on a single charge. Paired with its proprietary battery swapping technology, which can switch a dead battery out for a fully charged one in under three minutes, NIO answers to two of the biggest roadblocks to global EV adoption – range anxiety and long charge times.</p>\n<p>Although the average commute is typically less than 40 miles per day, most drivers have indicated a&nbsp;preference for EVs with higher range capability&nbsp;to preserve the “peace of mind” they have gotten used to with ICE vehicles. Charge time and charging infrastructure availability have also proven to be other critical considerations in the EV purchasing decision. Most Tesla owners have credited the accessible network of Supercharger fast-charging stations for their respective purchasing decisions, underpinning&nbsp;Tesla’s(TSLA) success in becoming the industry leader over the years. And NIO’s proprietary battery swapping technology enables the same growth prospects. In addition to its network of over 200 fast-charging&nbsp;Power Charger&nbsp;stations across China, NIO has also installed more than 300 Power Swap stations across the country, with a commitment to build&nbsp;4,000 more globally by 2025. NIO also one-ups Tesla by offering “Battery as a Service” (“BaaS”), which is a monthly subscription service that provides NIO owners with flexible options for battery upgrades based on personal budgets and travel needs. The increasing availability of its charging infrastructure, combined with the additional price-friendly and flexible battery options make NIO well-positioned to capture a larger share of the EV market in the long-run.</p>\n<p><b>Increasing Global Market Share</b></p>\n<p>The Chinese EV maker is also on track to making its Norway debut in a few weeks. Its first shipment of the ES8 to the new market has already arrived, and NIO has started offering test drives since August 30th&nbsp;in preparation for the grand opening of its first NIO House and delivery center overseas on&nbsp;September 23rd. The build-out of NIO’s sales and service network in Norway will continue into 2022, with four more locations to open across Bergen, Stavanger, Trondheim and Kristansand. In addition to the NIO House, the EV maker will also be deploying its proprietary swap stations across Norway, staying true to its commitment to offering NIO owners with a range-anxiety-free driving experience.</p>\n<p>NIO’s newest technological developments will also underpin its expansion plans across Europe, as the region continues to be one of the largest EV markets in the world, following closely behind China’s. The European Commission’s recent tightening of theiremissions standardsandemissions reduction targetsis expected to further accelerate mass-market EV adoption across the broader European markets in coming years, making NIO’s recent entry to the region a well-timed move. EV demand in Europe is expected to surge at a compounded annual growth rate (“CAGR”) of 25.4% towards amarket value of more than $143 billionthrough to 2027. And passenger EV makers like NIO are poised to be the largest beneficiaries. The passenger cars segment currently accounts for more than 80% of the European EV market, and is expected remain the leading driver of growth within the industry through to the end of the decade. In order to further its capitalization of the growing opportunities in Europe, NIO has recently hired a new CEO to lead NIO’s European operations, and is currently planning additional expansion into other regions includingGermanyandAmsterdam.</p>\n<p>Following its expansion into Europe, NIO also plans to step foot into the U.S. EV market. A recent interview by NIO’s founder and CEO, William Li, hints at the possibility of materializing its U.S. expansion plans within the ten-year horizon. Although U.S. EV sales currently lag behind China’s and Europe’s by a wide margin, the Biden administration’s recent push for electrification of the transportation sector makes the U.S. an opportunity-filled market with EV adoption rates to surge in the latter half of the decade. Preliminary estimates show that U.S. EV sales could grow at a CAGR of up to 30% towards a total of18 million EVs on American roadsby the end of the decade, representing approximately14% of projected global EV sales. These growth trends make strong tailwinds for NIO, with its potential entry into the U.S. market to coincide with the American EV market’s prime time.</p>\n<p><b>Growing via Horizontal Expansion</b></p>\n<p>The coming year is expected to be pivotal for NIO as it taps into the broader global market with new cars, a separate brand, and strategic investments into rival brands. During the second quarter earnings call, NIO announced the launch of two new EV models in addition to the previously announced ET7 sedan in 2022; one of which will become NIO’s lowest-priced offering. The EV maker also unveiled plans for a separate brand that will offer more affordably priced vehicles to drive higher mass-market appeal. The two newly announced strategies will be complementary to NIO’s near-term plans of expanding its presence in China’s smaller “Tier 3” cities, and competing head-on with Tesla’s best-selling Model Y/3.</p>\n<p>NIO has also recently made aninvestment contribution to Lotus Technology, the EV unit of iconic British sportscar-maker, Lotus. As part of the strategic partnership, both NIO and Lotus will collaborate in developing “high-end intelligent EVs” and facilitate Lotus’ planned roll-out of new EV models over the next five years. It will also enable profit sharing for NIO as competition continues to rise within the sector.</p>\n<p><b>Fisker’s Entry to the Capital-Intensive Sector with an Asset Lite Model</b></p>\n<p>In contrast to NIO’s established operations, Fisker’s production timeline continues to trail behind its peers with the flagship Ocean SUV still in testing phase. The company has recently reiterated its commitment to begin production of the Fisker Ocean in late 2022, with a full marketing campaign to roll-out in November. Aside from repeatedly confirming that the Ocean program is “on time and on budget”, the EV start-up has remained tight-lipped as usual on the vehicle’s technology and specs, with plans to reveal the production version of the vehicle at the LA Auto Show in November.</p>\n<p><b>Pre-Launch Momentum</b></p>\n<p>To date, Fisker has secured over 17,500 reservations for the Ocean SUV. Considering each reservation is priced at $250, and only 90% refundable if cancelled, the volume of reservations acquired to date is a testament of strong public interest in the vehicle, given there has not been any information released on its technological capabilities yet. The pre-revenue EV start-up is aiming to acquire at least 25,000 reservations for the Fisker Ocean by the end of the year, with another 50,000 in 2022 to ensure a sell-out in 2023. The company has also turned to opportunities within the commercial landscape by acquiring fleet orders fromCredit Agricole Consumer Finance,Ontocar subscription services, andViggoride-hailing services. The achievements underscore its ability to ramp effectively once the Ocean SUV enters production phase in about 15 months.</p>\n<p>Like NIO and other rising EV start-ups, Fisker intends to adopt a direct sales strategy to maximize customer experience. Currently, Fisker plans to sell the Ocean in the U.S. and certain countries across Europe, including the U.K., Germany, Denmark, Norway and Sweden, first. And once additional models roll-out, the EV maker will likely make an entry into additional markets across Asia, including thefastest-growing Chinese market and India. Although specific details on its global expansion timeline are limited, Fisker’s international aspirations will be a critical factor to its long-term success.</p>\n<p><b>Asset Lite Business Model</b></p>\n<p>Similar to NIO, Fisker does not produce its vehicles in-house. Instead, the EV start-up implements an “asset lite” business model, which has bolstered its incredible strength in cost management – with the Ocean Program to be fully funded by the $1 billion proceeds from its SPAC merger last year, and only 15 months away from start of production, Fisker’s balance sheet still boasts a cash balance of more than $962 million. The asset lite business model helps Fisker bypass the capital-intensive nature of car-making by requiring it to co-develop its vehicles and platforms with renowned manufacturing partners and suppliers. And to avoid the typical cost inefficiencies that accompany outsourced manufacturing arrangements, Fisker ensures its production partners have “equal skin in the game” by either offering equity stake in the company or ensuring the project is a joint-venture investment. The carmaker has also been highly selective in the process of choosing its strategic partners, and only works with the most reputable and experienced in the industry to ensure quality control.</p>\n<p>The Ocean SUV will be manufactured by Magna, one of the largest auto manufacturers in the world. Together, the two companies have co-developed the FM 29 platform that will drive the Ocean SUV and additional EV models in the future. In exchange, Magna is offered a 6% stake in Fisker, exercisable through achievement of “interrelated performance conditions” (pg. 97 of the2020 10K). Magna has also opened several Fisker-dedicated operational areas at the carbon-neutral facility in Graz, Austria to facilitate theirlong-term manufacturing agreementthrough to 2029. The facilities will allocate annual production capacity of well over 100,000 vehicles at full ramp up to Fisker.</p>\n<p>In addition to the Ocean SUV, Fisker is also working with Foxconn on the production of their second model,PEAR, and its underlying FP 28 platform. The unique deal structure requires Foxconn to provide investments in areas related to the manufacturing process and the technology supply chain, while Fisker will lead on the design process, product development and go-to-market strategies. The PEAR is expected to be a new-segment vehicle that will “revolutionize” the electric vehicle driving experience. The new vehicle is scheduled to enter production in late 2023, with a price tag of $30,000 before tax incentives. Fisker and Foxconn are currently finalizing plans on amanufacturing site in the U.S.that could handle a production capacity of up to 150,000 units annually. And in the long-run, the partners plan to manufacture and sell at least 250,000 units of the PEAR per year globally upon full production ramp up.</p>\n<p>Aside from its production partners, Fisker has also forged strategic partnerships with critical component suppliers and after-sales service providers.Bridgestone Tireshas recently been selected as the exclusive tire partner for the Fisker Ocean, while another undisclosed battery cell manufacturer, who is one of the five largest in the world, will supply the battery packs.Sharphas also been engaged as the designated developer and supplier of interior display systems for up to four Fisker EV models. As for after-sales service partners, Fisker has recently made a $10 million private investment in public equity (“PIPE”) supporting the upcoming reverse merger ofAllego, a European EV charging network, with Spartan Acquisition Corp, III. The strategic investment will pave the way for efficient access to charging infrastructure for Fisker customers in Europe, a critical element in attracting sales and growing its market share. Fisker has also madeElectrify Americaits official charging partner for the U.S. market. The partnership will offer Fisker vehicle owners with exclusive package rates across more than 3,500 Electrify America chargers in the U.S. Other after-sales service partners include theMekonomen GroupandCox Automotive and Rivus Fleet Solutions, which will facilitate Fisker’s logistics and maintenance services in Europe.</p>\n<p><b>Financial ProspectsNIO</b></p>\n<p>Despite NIO’s recent decision to adjust its third-quarter delivery guidance from 23,000 to 25,000 vehicles down to 22,500 to 23,500 vehicles due to ongoing volatility of chip supply, we are expecting the company to keep progressing in line with ourearlier coverage. With close to 56,000 vehicles already delivered this year and new orders reaching an all-time high, NIO is expected to complete approximately 88,000 deliveries by the end of the year. This is expected to yield vehicle sales of RMB 32.6 billion ($5.0 billion) by the end of the year based on average vehicle revenue of RMB 367,000 ($56,635), which is consistent with NIO’s sales mix and pricing strategy observed in recent quarters. The projection also takes into consideration NIO’s upcoming debut in Norway, which will top-up on domestic sales growth expectations in the fourth quarter. Our base-case forecast projects NIO’s vehicle sales to further expand at a CAGR of 30.4% towards RMB 461.4 billion ($71.2 billion) by 2030. The growth assumption is consistent with global EV demand growth trends, as well as NIO’s historical performance and ongoing market share expansion initiatives.</p>\n<p>NIO’s achievements in battery and autonomous driving technology enhancement will also underpin growth in its other sales revenues. Other sales revenues, which are primarily generated from BaaS and “Autonomous Driving as a Service” (“ADaaS”), are expected to grow in line with vehicle sales at a CAGR of 30.0% from RMB 2.3 billion ($352.1 million) by the end of the year to RMB 31.5 billion ($4.9 billion) by 2030.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18d9287432802922a3c8c4a9e7cfab94\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"208\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal financial forecast (NIO_-_Forecasted_Financial_Information.pdf).</span></p>\n<p>NIO’s net losses are expected to further narrow towards 2024 as margins continue to expand with sales ramp up and scale. Nominal profits of RMB 8.2 billion ($1.3 billion) are forecasted for 2025, with growth at a CAGR of 36.8% towards RMB 39.3 billion ($6.1 billion) by the end of the decade.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/38a9a5037c6bb2e491a0d94c890d8f57\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"241\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal financial forecasts. Please refer to our previous analysis for a detailed breakdown of NIO’s projected cost structure.</span></p>\n<p><i>i. Base Case Financial Forecast:</i></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/48d96e680fc2537af9310d2ac9506ddd\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"179\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal financial forecast.</span></p>\n<p><b>Fisker</b></p>\n<p>On the other hand, our base-case forecast projects delivery of at least 40,000 Fisker Ocean SUVs across the U.S. and Europe in 2023 following the start of production, which is consistent with management’s original sales guidance and production volume estimates. With the Fisker Ocean’s middle-trim priced between $50,000 to $55,000 expected to be the best-seller, the flagship SUV is forecasted to generate $2.1 billion of revenues for the carmaker in 2023. And based on ramped-up production capacity of at least 5,000 units per month starting in 2023, we are projecting sales of at least 60,000 units of the Fisker Ocean by 2024, totaling $3.3 billion in projected revenues. Ocean sales are forecasted to grow further at a CAGR of 22.5% towards $11.1 billion by 2030. The growth assumption is consistent with Fisker’s intentions to expand into Asia-Pacific regions in the long-run, as well as&nbsp;market expectations on the rise of global EV demand.</p>\n<p>The PEAR model, which is expected to commence production and deliveries in late 2023, is forecasted to add an additional $1.8 billion to revenues in 2024. With aspirations to produce and sellat least 250,000 unitsof the PEAR annually in the long-run, Fisker is expected to generate PEAR revenues of $6.1 billion by the end of the decade. This accordingly translates to PEAR revenue growth at a CAGR of 22.5% from 2024 to 2030, which is consistent with Fisker’s sales guidance per itsInvestor Presentationand global EV market growth trends.</p>\n<p>Fisker also plans to launch two more vehicles in addition to the Ocean and PEAR before 2025. With a planned average sales price of $59,000 and a goal of selling 200,000 to 250,000 vehicles by the end of 2025, our base case forecast projects total revenues of $8.5 billion by then. Total revenues are expected to further expand at a CAGR of 25.6% towards $21.2 billion by 2030. Note that projected total revenues also include nominal merchandise sales of approximately $100,000 per year.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f6086733e59a4a20b8540494d0e688e2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"246\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal financial forecast.</span></p>\n<p>With Fisker’s margins to continuously improve after start of productions with cost-efficiencies enabled by its asset lite business model, our base-case forecast projects narrowing net losses from $380.0 million by the end of the year to $290.8 million by 2022. The EV start-up is expected to start realizing profits of $197.9 million starting in 2023, with further growth towards $774.3 million by 2025 when all four anticipated EV models enter production, and towards $1.95 billion by 2030.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9412fb3be94fd83ecc56715bc26b414a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"200\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal financial forecasts. Please refer to our previous analysis for a detailed breakdown of Fisker’s projected cost structure.</span></p>\n<p><i>i. Base Case Financial Forecast:</i></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/967dab57068b839e32c04b2d47260942\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"206\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal valuation analysis.</span></p>\n<p>Consistent with our&nbsp;recent&nbsp;analyses&nbsp;performed on both stocks, our 12-month price targets for NIO and Fisker remain at $59.74 and $20.61, respectively. These projections represent upside potential of close to 48% for both stocks based on their last traded share price on September 3rd.</p>\n<p>We have performed a discounted cash flow (“DCF”) analysis to determine the respective 12-month price targets for NIO and Fisker. Specifically, we have used projected free cash flows up to 2025 in the DCF analysis to reflect the valuation expectations on both companies’ near-term growth initiatives.</p>\n<p>For NIO’s valuation analysis, we have applied a WACC of 11.9% to discount the projected free cash flows. The valuation assumption is consistent with the company’s current risk profile, taking into consideration its highly leveraged balance sheet and recent volatility in its price performance given uncertainties over the Chinese regulatory landscape. The valuation analysis also assumes a 90.6x EV/EBITDA multiple, which reflects NIO’s achievements in proprietary technology development in addition to EV sales, as well as ongoing growth initiatives and business outlook. This compares to the EV/EBITDA range of 70.9x to 111.2x observed across its industry peers.</p>\n<p><i>i. Near-Term Valuation Analysis – NIO:</i></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89d32cdceadf5ef5899705290bf42593\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"282\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal valuation analysis.</span></p>\n<p>On the other hand, we have applied a WACC of 13.4% to discount the projected free cash flows of Fisker to compute the stock’s 12-month price target. Although the company has largely remained debt-free with sufficient liquidity to complete the Ocean program, the company is a relatively riskier investment compared to NIO considering itisa pre-revenue and pre-production start-up. The WACC also considers Fisker’s recent announcement to fund the PEAR program with a new private debt offering of $625 million at 2.50% due in 2026. The valuation analysis assumes a 13.6x EV/EBITDA multiple, which is consistent with those of EV start-ups that are still in pre-revenue and testing phase, and have recently completed a reverse SPAC merger. The valuation multiple applied also reflects Fisker’s smaller scale of operations in terms of sales capacity, as well as technological developments in comparison to NIO and other established EV makers in the industry.</p>\n<p><i>ii. Near-Term Valuation Analysis – Fisker:</i></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/844570c70f1d3c319436280658c72dd5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"330\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal valuation analysis.</span></p>\n<p>Over the next five years, we foresee NIO and Fisker’s share price to reach as high as$160and$39, respectively. The long-term valuations prescribed reflect both companies’ estimated intrinsic values upon realization of their respective growth aspirations set out for the next five to ten years. For Fisker, these initiatives include full materialization of launching four EV models before 2025 with expansion into Asia-Pacific regions, as well as achieving positive operating cash flow and profits. And for NIO, the projected long-term valuation also captures the additional value generated from its technological advancements, including the global build-out of battery swap stations, development of long-range solid-state batteries, and materialization oflevel four autonomous driving technology.</p>\n<p><b>Conclusion</b></p>\n<p>While accelerated global EV adoption trends underscore high-growth opportunities for both stocks, NIO makes a better long-term investment given its established operations and proprietary technological developments. But near-term catalysts for both stocks should not be overlooked. NIO’s official opening of its Norway operations in two weeks and Fisker’s reveal of the Ocean SUV’s production version in November are expected to underpin additional upsides for their respective price performances in the next twelve months. This makes both stocks attractive options at current price levels for those looking to capitalize on their growth potentials.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Fisker Vs NIO: Which EV Stock Is The Better Buy?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFisker Vs NIO: Which EV Stock Is The Better Buy?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-09-09 12:05 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4454103-fisker-vs-nio-ev-stock-better-buy><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nImproving battery technology, greater charging infrastructure availability, and increasing price parity with ICE vehicles have supercharged electric vehicle (“EV”) adoption in recent years.\n...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4454103-fisker-vs-nio-ev-stock-better-buy\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIO":"蔚来","FSR":"菲斯克"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4454103-fisker-vs-nio-ev-stock-better-buy","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1158905975","content_text":"Summary\n\nImproving battery technology, greater charging infrastructure availability, and increasing price parity with ICE vehicles have supercharged electric vehicle (“EV”) adoption in recent years.\nGlobal EV sales have surged by over 40% in 2020, and are poised to reach newer heights this year, making it an exciting investment opportunity.\nBut the growing number of EV stocks, ranging from established EV makers to pre-revenue start-ups, have made it increasingly difficult to determine which makes a better investment.\nA similar investment dilemma applies to NIO and Fisker, with one being a leading EV brand in China, and the other still in pre-revenue and pre-production phase.\nWhile our outlook remains bullish on both stocks, we believe NIO makes a higher-growth long-term investment due to the increasing value ascribed to its proprietary technology, including battery swaps and autonomous driving.\n\nAndy Feng/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nImproving battery technology, greater charging infrastructure availability, and increasing price parity with ICE vehicles have supercharged electric vehicle (“EV”) adoption in recent years. The EV industry has emerged as one of the fastest-growing segments of the 21stcentury – while global car sales suffered from an unprecedented slump during 2020 due to COVID-related lockdowns and economic uncertainty,EV sales surged by over 40% from 2019. And EV sales are poised to reach newer heights this year, making it an exciting investment opportunity that many have set their eyes on.\nBut the growing number of options, ranging from established EV makers to pre-revenue early-stage EV start-ups, have made it increasingly difficult to determine which makes a higher growth investment. A similar investment dilemma applies to NIO (NIO) and Fisker (FSR), where the former has already emerged as one of the leading EV brands in China with ongoing plans for overseas expansion, while the latter is still in testing phase for its first vehicle. In our most recent coverage of NIO and Fisker, we have assigned both companies a buy signal. Although the 12-month price targets we have set for both stocks would indicate that Fisker exhibits similar upside potential in the near-term, we believe NIO would generate a better risk-return tradeoff over the long-run due to the increasing value of its innovative technology developments. NIO also makes a safer investment considering its EVs and proprietary battery swapping technology have already been tried and tested with proven demand in both China and Europe.\nNIO’s Advantage with Innovation, Overseas Expansion, and a Differentiated Business Model\nIn the span of just a little over three years, NIO has grown into one of the largest EV brands in China with more than 130,000 vehicles sold to date. Although delivery volumes have slowed in recent months due to ongoing volatility of global chip supply, NIO has continued to achieve strong double-digit year-over-year sales growth. New orders have also been consistently reaching all-time highs on a monthly basis, underpinning significant sales growth ahead as demand continues to ramp up rapidly.\nSales Boost by Innovation\nIn addition to its diversified line-up of fully battery-powered EVs, NIO is best known for their development of battery swapping technology, in-vehicle artificial intelligence and autonomous driving.Its innovative accomplishments achieved to date are a testament to its vision of expanding beyond the horizons of just building electric cars, but also a comprehensive ecosystem that is driven by technology.\nMost recently, NIO announced the addition of a 150 kWh solid-state battery pack to its current line-up of swappable batteries. NIO currently offers swappable 70 kWh and 100 kWh battery packs, which already enable a range capability of 300 miles and 435 miles, respectively. The newest 150 kWh solid-state battery pack, which is expected to enter commercial use in Q4 2022, will deliver range capability of more than 450 miles for the first-generation ES8 SUVs, and up to 620 miles for the newer and more efficient models. This would top current record-holder Lucid Motors’(LCID) range capability of 517 miles on a single charge. Paired with its proprietary battery swapping technology, which can switch a dead battery out for a fully charged one in under three minutes, NIO answers to two of the biggest roadblocks to global EV adoption – range anxiety and long charge times.\nAlthough the average commute is typically less than 40 miles per day, most drivers have indicated a preference for EVs with higher range capability to preserve the “peace of mind” they have gotten used to with ICE vehicles. Charge time and charging infrastructure availability have also proven to be other critical considerations in the EV purchasing decision. Most Tesla owners have credited the accessible network of Supercharger fast-charging stations for their respective purchasing decisions, underpinning Tesla’s(TSLA) success in becoming the industry leader over the years. And NIO’s proprietary battery swapping technology enables the same growth prospects. In addition to its network of over 200 fast-charging Power Charger stations across China, NIO has also installed more than 300 Power Swap stations across the country, with a commitment to build 4,000 more globally by 2025. NIO also one-ups Tesla by offering “Battery as a Service” (“BaaS”), which is a monthly subscription service that provides NIO owners with flexible options for battery upgrades based on personal budgets and travel needs. The increasing availability of its charging infrastructure, combined with the additional price-friendly and flexible battery options make NIO well-positioned to capture a larger share of the EV market in the long-run.\nIncreasing Global Market Share\nThe Chinese EV maker is also on track to making its Norway debut in a few weeks. Its first shipment of the ES8 to the new market has already arrived, and NIO has started offering test drives since August 30th in preparation for the grand opening of its first NIO House and delivery center overseas on September 23rd. The build-out of NIO’s sales and service network in Norway will continue into 2022, with four more locations to open across Bergen, Stavanger, Trondheim and Kristansand. In addition to the NIO House, the EV maker will also be deploying its proprietary swap stations across Norway, staying true to its commitment to offering NIO owners with a range-anxiety-free driving experience.\nNIO’s newest technological developments will also underpin its expansion plans across Europe, as the region continues to be one of the largest EV markets in the world, following closely behind China’s. The European Commission’s recent tightening of theiremissions standardsandemissions reduction targetsis expected to further accelerate mass-market EV adoption across the broader European markets in coming years, making NIO’s recent entry to the region a well-timed move. EV demand in Europe is expected to surge at a compounded annual growth rate (“CAGR”) of 25.4% towards amarket value of more than $143 billionthrough to 2027. And passenger EV makers like NIO are poised to be the largest beneficiaries. The passenger cars segment currently accounts for more than 80% of the European EV market, and is expected remain the leading driver of growth within the industry through to the end of the decade. In order to further its capitalization of the growing opportunities in Europe, NIO has recently hired a new CEO to lead NIO’s European operations, and is currently planning additional expansion into other regions includingGermanyandAmsterdam.\nFollowing its expansion into Europe, NIO also plans to step foot into the U.S. EV market. A recent interview by NIO’s founder and CEO, William Li, hints at the possibility of materializing its U.S. expansion plans within the ten-year horizon. Although U.S. EV sales currently lag behind China’s and Europe’s by a wide margin, the Biden administration’s recent push for electrification of the transportation sector makes the U.S. an opportunity-filled market with EV adoption rates to surge in the latter half of the decade. Preliminary estimates show that U.S. EV sales could grow at a CAGR of up to 30% towards a total of18 million EVs on American roadsby the end of the decade, representing approximately14% of projected global EV sales. These growth trends make strong tailwinds for NIO, with its potential entry into the U.S. market to coincide with the American EV market’s prime time.\nGrowing via Horizontal Expansion\nThe coming year is expected to be pivotal for NIO as it taps into the broader global market with new cars, a separate brand, and strategic investments into rival brands. During the second quarter earnings call, NIO announced the launch of two new EV models in addition to the previously announced ET7 sedan in 2022; one of which will become NIO’s lowest-priced offering. The EV maker also unveiled plans for a separate brand that will offer more affordably priced vehicles to drive higher mass-market appeal. The two newly announced strategies will be complementary to NIO’s near-term plans of expanding its presence in China’s smaller “Tier 3” cities, and competing head-on with Tesla’s best-selling Model Y/3.\nNIO has also recently made aninvestment contribution to Lotus Technology, the EV unit of iconic British sportscar-maker, Lotus. As part of the strategic partnership, both NIO and Lotus will collaborate in developing “high-end intelligent EVs” and facilitate Lotus’ planned roll-out of new EV models over the next five years. It will also enable profit sharing for NIO as competition continues to rise within the sector.\nFisker’s Entry to the Capital-Intensive Sector with an Asset Lite Model\nIn contrast to NIO’s established operations, Fisker’s production timeline continues to trail behind its peers with the flagship Ocean SUV still in testing phase. The company has recently reiterated its commitment to begin production of the Fisker Ocean in late 2022, with a full marketing campaign to roll-out in November. Aside from repeatedly confirming that the Ocean program is “on time and on budget”, the EV start-up has remained tight-lipped as usual on the vehicle’s technology and specs, with plans to reveal the production version of the vehicle at the LA Auto Show in November.\nPre-Launch Momentum\nTo date, Fisker has secured over 17,500 reservations for the Ocean SUV. Considering each reservation is priced at $250, and only 90% refundable if cancelled, the volume of reservations acquired to date is a testament of strong public interest in the vehicle, given there has not been any information released on its technological capabilities yet. The pre-revenue EV start-up is aiming to acquire at least 25,000 reservations for the Fisker Ocean by the end of the year, with another 50,000 in 2022 to ensure a sell-out in 2023. The company has also turned to opportunities within the commercial landscape by acquiring fleet orders fromCredit Agricole Consumer Finance,Ontocar subscription services, andViggoride-hailing services. The achievements underscore its ability to ramp effectively once the Ocean SUV enters production phase in about 15 months.\nLike NIO and other rising EV start-ups, Fisker intends to adopt a direct sales strategy to maximize customer experience. Currently, Fisker plans to sell the Ocean in the U.S. and certain countries across Europe, including the U.K., Germany, Denmark, Norway and Sweden, first. And once additional models roll-out, the EV maker will likely make an entry into additional markets across Asia, including thefastest-growing Chinese market and India. Although specific details on its global expansion timeline are limited, Fisker’s international aspirations will be a critical factor to its long-term success.\nAsset Lite Business Model\nSimilar to NIO, Fisker does not produce its vehicles in-house. Instead, the EV start-up implements an “asset lite” business model, which has bolstered its incredible strength in cost management – with the Ocean Program to be fully funded by the $1 billion proceeds from its SPAC merger last year, and only 15 months away from start of production, Fisker’s balance sheet still boasts a cash balance of more than $962 million. The asset lite business model helps Fisker bypass the capital-intensive nature of car-making by requiring it to co-develop its vehicles and platforms with renowned manufacturing partners and suppliers. And to avoid the typical cost inefficiencies that accompany outsourced manufacturing arrangements, Fisker ensures its production partners have “equal skin in the game” by either offering equity stake in the company or ensuring the project is a joint-venture investment. The carmaker has also been highly selective in the process of choosing its strategic partners, and only works with the most reputable and experienced in the industry to ensure quality control.\nThe Ocean SUV will be manufactured by Magna, one of the largest auto manufacturers in the world. Together, the two companies have co-developed the FM 29 platform that will drive the Ocean SUV and additional EV models in the future. In exchange, Magna is offered a 6% stake in Fisker, exercisable through achievement of “interrelated performance conditions” (pg. 97 of the2020 10K). Magna has also opened several Fisker-dedicated operational areas at the carbon-neutral facility in Graz, Austria to facilitate theirlong-term manufacturing agreementthrough to 2029. The facilities will allocate annual production capacity of well over 100,000 vehicles at full ramp up to Fisker.\nIn addition to the Ocean SUV, Fisker is also working with Foxconn on the production of their second model,PEAR, and its underlying FP 28 platform. The unique deal structure requires Foxconn to provide investments in areas related to the manufacturing process and the technology supply chain, while Fisker will lead on the design process, product development and go-to-market strategies. The PEAR is expected to be a new-segment vehicle that will “revolutionize” the electric vehicle driving experience. The new vehicle is scheduled to enter production in late 2023, with a price tag of $30,000 before tax incentives. Fisker and Foxconn are currently finalizing plans on amanufacturing site in the U.S.that could handle a production capacity of up to 150,000 units annually. And in the long-run, the partners plan to manufacture and sell at least 250,000 units of the PEAR per year globally upon full production ramp up.\nAside from its production partners, Fisker has also forged strategic partnerships with critical component suppliers and after-sales service providers.Bridgestone Tireshas recently been selected as the exclusive tire partner for the Fisker Ocean, while another undisclosed battery cell manufacturer, who is one of the five largest in the world, will supply the battery packs.Sharphas also been engaged as the designated developer and supplier of interior display systems for up to four Fisker EV models. As for after-sales service partners, Fisker has recently made a $10 million private investment in public equity (“PIPE”) supporting the upcoming reverse merger ofAllego, a European EV charging network, with Spartan Acquisition Corp, III. The strategic investment will pave the way for efficient access to charging infrastructure for Fisker customers in Europe, a critical element in attracting sales and growing its market share. Fisker has also madeElectrify Americaits official charging partner for the U.S. market. The partnership will offer Fisker vehicle owners with exclusive package rates across more than 3,500 Electrify America chargers in the U.S. Other after-sales service partners include theMekonomen GroupandCox Automotive and Rivus Fleet Solutions, which will facilitate Fisker’s logistics and maintenance services in Europe.\nFinancial ProspectsNIO\nDespite NIO’s recent decision to adjust its third-quarter delivery guidance from 23,000 to 25,000 vehicles down to 22,500 to 23,500 vehicles due to ongoing volatility of chip supply, we are expecting the company to keep progressing in line with ourearlier coverage. With close to 56,000 vehicles already delivered this year and new orders reaching an all-time high, NIO is expected to complete approximately 88,000 deliveries by the end of the year. This is expected to yield vehicle sales of RMB 32.6 billion ($5.0 billion) by the end of the year based on average vehicle revenue of RMB 367,000 ($56,635), which is consistent with NIO’s sales mix and pricing strategy observed in recent quarters. The projection also takes into consideration NIO’s upcoming debut in Norway, which will top-up on domestic sales growth expectations in the fourth quarter. Our base-case forecast projects NIO’s vehicle sales to further expand at a CAGR of 30.4% towards RMB 461.4 billion ($71.2 billion) by 2030. The growth assumption is consistent with global EV demand growth trends, as well as NIO’s historical performance and ongoing market share expansion initiatives.\nNIO’s achievements in battery and autonomous driving technology enhancement will also underpin growth in its other sales revenues. Other sales revenues, which are primarily generated from BaaS and “Autonomous Driving as a Service” (“ADaaS”), are expected to grow in line with vehicle sales at a CAGR of 30.0% from RMB 2.3 billion ($352.1 million) by the end of the year to RMB 31.5 billion ($4.9 billion) by 2030.\nSource: Author, with data from our internal financial forecast (NIO_-_Forecasted_Financial_Information.pdf).\nNIO’s net losses are expected to further narrow towards 2024 as margins continue to expand with sales ramp up and scale. Nominal profits of RMB 8.2 billion ($1.3 billion) are forecasted for 2025, with growth at a CAGR of 36.8% towards RMB 39.3 billion ($6.1 billion) by the end of the decade.\nSource: Author, with data from our internal financial forecasts. Please refer to our previous analysis for a detailed breakdown of NIO’s projected cost structure.\ni. Base Case Financial Forecast:\nSource: Author, with data from our internal financial forecast.\nFisker\nOn the other hand, our base-case forecast projects delivery of at least 40,000 Fisker Ocean SUVs across the U.S. and Europe in 2023 following the start of production, which is consistent with management’s original sales guidance and production volume estimates. With the Fisker Ocean’s middle-trim priced between $50,000 to $55,000 expected to be the best-seller, the flagship SUV is forecasted to generate $2.1 billion of revenues for the carmaker in 2023. And based on ramped-up production capacity of at least 5,000 units per month starting in 2023, we are projecting sales of at least 60,000 units of the Fisker Ocean by 2024, totaling $3.3 billion in projected revenues. Ocean sales are forecasted to grow further at a CAGR of 22.5% towards $11.1 billion by 2030. The growth assumption is consistent with Fisker’s intentions to expand into Asia-Pacific regions in the long-run, as well as market expectations on the rise of global EV demand.\nThe PEAR model, which is expected to commence production and deliveries in late 2023, is forecasted to add an additional $1.8 billion to revenues in 2024. With aspirations to produce and sellat least 250,000 unitsof the PEAR annually in the long-run, Fisker is expected to generate PEAR revenues of $6.1 billion by the end of the decade. This accordingly translates to PEAR revenue growth at a CAGR of 22.5% from 2024 to 2030, which is consistent with Fisker’s sales guidance per itsInvestor Presentationand global EV market growth trends.\nFisker also plans to launch two more vehicles in addition to the Ocean and PEAR before 2025. With a planned average sales price of $59,000 and a goal of selling 200,000 to 250,000 vehicles by the end of 2025, our base case forecast projects total revenues of $8.5 billion by then. Total revenues are expected to further expand at a CAGR of 25.6% towards $21.2 billion by 2030. Note that projected total revenues also include nominal merchandise sales of approximately $100,000 per year.\nSource: Author, with data from our internal financial forecast.\nWith Fisker’s margins to continuously improve after start of productions with cost-efficiencies enabled by its asset lite business model, our base-case forecast projects narrowing net losses from $380.0 million by the end of the year to $290.8 million by 2022. The EV start-up is expected to start realizing profits of $197.9 million starting in 2023, with further growth towards $774.3 million by 2025 when all four anticipated EV models enter production, and towards $1.95 billion by 2030.\nSource: Author, with data from our internal financial forecasts. Please refer to our previous analysis for a detailed breakdown of Fisker’s projected cost structure.\ni. Base Case Financial Forecast:\nSource: Author, with data from our internal valuation analysis.\nConsistent with our recent analyses performed on both stocks, our 12-month price targets for NIO and Fisker remain at $59.74 and $20.61, respectively. These projections represent upside potential of close to 48% for both stocks based on their last traded share price on September 3rd.\nWe have performed a discounted cash flow (“DCF”) analysis to determine the respective 12-month price targets for NIO and Fisker. Specifically, we have used projected free cash flows up to 2025 in the DCF analysis to reflect the valuation expectations on both companies’ near-term growth initiatives.\nFor NIO’s valuation analysis, we have applied a WACC of 11.9% to discount the projected free cash flows. The valuation assumption is consistent with the company’s current risk profile, taking into consideration its highly leveraged balance sheet and recent volatility in its price performance given uncertainties over the Chinese regulatory landscape. The valuation analysis also assumes a 90.6x EV/EBITDA multiple, which reflects NIO’s achievements in proprietary technology development in addition to EV sales, as well as ongoing growth initiatives and business outlook. This compares to the EV/EBITDA range of 70.9x to 111.2x observed across its industry peers.\ni. Near-Term Valuation Analysis – NIO:\nSource: Author, with data from our internal valuation analysis.\nOn the other hand, we have applied a WACC of 13.4% to discount the projected free cash flows of Fisker to compute the stock’s 12-month price target. Although the company has largely remained debt-free with sufficient liquidity to complete the Ocean program, the company is a relatively riskier investment compared to NIO considering itisa pre-revenue and pre-production start-up. The WACC also considers Fisker’s recent announcement to fund the PEAR program with a new private debt offering of $625 million at 2.50% due in 2026. The valuation analysis assumes a 13.6x EV/EBITDA multiple, which is consistent with those of EV start-ups that are still in pre-revenue and testing phase, and have recently completed a reverse SPAC merger. The valuation multiple applied also reflects Fisker’s smaller scale of operations in terms of sales capacity, as well as technological developments in comparison to NIO and other established EV makers in the industry.\nii. Near-Term Valuation Analysis – Fisker:\nSource: Author, with data from our internal valuation analysis.\nOver the next five years, we foresee NIO and Fisker’s share price to reach as high as$160and$39, respectively. The long-term valuations prescribed reflect both companies’ estimated intrinsic values upon realization of their respective growth aspirations set out for the next five to ten years. For Fisker, these initiatives include full materialization of launching four EV models before 2025 with expansion into Asia-Pacific regions, as well as achieving positive operating cash flow and profits. And for NIO, the projected long-term valuation also captures the additional value generated from its technological advancements, including the global build-out of battery swap stations, development of long-range solid-state batteries, and materialization oflevel four autonomous driving technology.\nConclusion\nWhile accelerated global EV adoption trends underscore high-growth opportunities for both stocks, NIO makes a better long-term investment given its established operations and proprietary technological developments. But near-term catalysts for both stocks should not be overlooked. NIO’s official opening of its Norway operations in two weeks and Fisker’s reveal of the Ocean SUV’s production version in November are expected to underpin additional upsides for their respective price performances in the next twelve months. This makes both stocks attractive options at current price levels for those looking to capitalize on their growth potentials.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":322,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":889527983,"gmtCreate":1631160832242,"gmtModify":1631883969068,"author":{"id":"3581658741892979","authorId":"3581658741892979","name":"Abu888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/39dfd9ec19b4b4e5c99cbc270b33e932","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581658741892979","authorIdStr":"3581658741892979"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like my comments thsnks","listText":"Like my comments thsnks","text":"Like my comments thsnks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/889527983","repostId":"2165399556","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":277,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":false}