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linrui
linrui
·
2021-11-23
Me too.
@KingKong87:
$Alibaba(BABA)$[Cry] [Cry]
$Alibaba(BABA)$[Cry] [Cry]
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linrui
linrui
·
2021-11-13
Bought but loss money.
@RjLee:
$Walt Disney(DIS)$buy
$Walt Disney(DIS)$buy
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linrui
linrui
·
2021-10-07
Nice.
Apple Earnings Are Coming. Analysts Are Focused on iPhone, Parts Issues, Services.
With Apple’s September quarter earnings report now just three weeks out, the Street is working hard
Apple Earnings Are Coming. Analysts Are Focused on iPhone, Parts Issues, Services.
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linrui
linrui
·
2021-10-02
Wow
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linrui
linrui
·
2021-09-24
Great
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linrui
linrui
·
2021-09-11
Noted
Bitcoin Crash September 2021: What You Should Know
Summary Bitcoin will be Bitcoin and bucket shops will be bucket shops. Stocks, options, commodities
Bitcoin Crash September 2021: What You Should Know
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linrui
linrui
·
2021-08-23
Wow
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linrui
linrui
·
2021-08-23
Wow
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linrui
linrui
·
2021-08-20
Like
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linrui
linrui
·
2021-08-20
Baba, sigh....
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","listText":"Bought but loss money. ","text":"Bought but loss money.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/879799369","repostId":"879472093","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":879472093,"gmtCreate":1636768608952,"gmtModify":1636768608952,"author":{"id":"3581641656112321","authorId":"3581641656112321","name":"RjLee","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581641656112321","authorIdStr":"3581641656112321"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIS\">$Walt Disney(DIS)$</a>buy","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIS\">$Walt Disney(DIS)$</a>buy","text":"$Walt Disney(DIS)$buy","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/db57812a65bd5012994c3c056a7b3a8e","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/879472093","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1167,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":823915831,"gmtCreate":1633571209431,"gmtModify":1633571209902,"author":{"id":"3581817420633828","authorId":"3581817420633828","name":"linrui","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/48b80059ee7e5428aa3ed30a6b83cfcd","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581817420633828","authorIdStr":"3581817420633828"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice. ","listText":"Nice. ","text":"Nice.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/823915831","repostId":"1155573486","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1155573486","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1633569833,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1155573486?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-07 09:23","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Earnings Are Coming. Analysts Are Focused on iPhone, Parts Issues, Services.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1155573486","media":"Barrons","summary":"With Apple’s September quarter earnings report now just three weeks out, the Street is working hard ","content":"<p>With Apple’s September quarter earnings report now just three weeks out, the Street is working hard to ferret out hints about the numbers. Among other topics, investors are on the hunt for info on how iPhone 13 sales are going so far, how the company is handling the ongoing component crunch and whether Apple can continue to produce robust growth in its services business.</p>\n<p>As it happens, Apple (ticker: AAPL) analysts have cranked out notes on all three topics.</p>\n<p>J.P. Morgan analyst Samik Chatterjee offered some thoughts on supply chain issues. He writes in a research note that the Street’s focus in recent weeks has been on iPhone 13 supply constraints, citing both disruptions related to a resurgence of Covid-19 cases and the impact on industrial production in China from a shortage of electric power.</p>\n<p>Chatterjee reports that initial iPhone 13 production was delayed by manufacturing related issues with the phone’s camera module, an issue he says implies Apple had more limited inventory heading into the launch compared with past years. And he says the camera module continues to be a primary bottleneck in producing the phones, due largely to headwinds from a Covid outbreak in Vietnam, where the parts are sourced.</p>\n<p>On the China power issue, he says most large assembly companies have seen limited impact from the problem, but that it could affect some smaller component companies. Both issues, he says, bear watching.</p>\n<p>Meanwhile,Morgan Stanley‘s Katy Huberty provides an update on the App Store. She writes in a research note that data from the research firm Sensor Tower suggests that App Store revenue in September grew16.1% from a year ago, the best level in five months, and ahead of her forecast for 12% growth.</p>\n<p>Huberty writes that both App Store revenue specifically and services revenue overall now appear to be running ahead of her forecast model. And she notes that her services estimates for the quarter were already above Street consensus levels. Huberty points out that China gaming revenue accelerated in September despite recent curbs on game play by children under age 18.</p>\n<p>Evercore ISI analyst Amit Daryanani observes that lead times for the iPhone 13 remain elevated in most countries, with lead times stretching out for most models. He says lead times in the U.S. for the Pro and Pro Max are running 31 days in the U.S. and 35 days in China, up from a previou estimate of 29 days here and 28 days in China. (As an aside, I would also note that I recently ordered a Pro Max via <a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/stock/T?mod=MW_story_quote\" target=\"_blank\">AT&T</a> and received it in well under a week.) In other countries, he says, delivery times are averaging 28 days.</p>\n<p>Daryanani notes that lead times are shorter for the base iPhone 13 and for the iPhone 13 Mini, which he thinks could mean a strong product mix skewed to the higher end models, driving higher margins for the company overall.</p>\n<p>Baird analyst William Power says his checks find that iPhone 13 demand remains strong, supported by a combination of growing consumer interest in 5G and record carrier subsidies – up to $1,000 in trade-in value from AT&T (T),Verizon (VZ), and T-Mobile (TMUS). He sees multiple reasons for the carriers’ aggressive promotions on the new phones.</p>\n<p>He says competition for customers is part of the equation, but also notes that a shift to 5G “should improve customer experience,” while opening up new revenue opportunities. He also says a switch to 5G provides the carriers with “significant network efficiency benefits.” Adds Power: ” We believe this could be part of the multi-year iPhone upgrade tailwind for Apple.”</p>\n<p>Apple shares rose 0.6% to $142 on Wednesday.</p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Earnings Are Coming. Analysts Are Focused on iPhone, Parts Issues, Services.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Earnings Are Coming. Analysts Are Focused on iPhone, Parts Issues, Services.\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-10-07 09:23 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/apple-earnings-are-coming-51633536321?mod=hp_LEADSUPP_2><strong>Barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>With Apple’s September quarter earnings report now just three weeks out, the Street is working hard to ferret out hints about the numbers. Among other topics, investors are on the hunt for info on how...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/apple-earnings-are-coming-51633536321?mod=hp_LEADSUPP_2\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/apple-earnings-are-coming-51633536321?mod=hp_LEADSUPP_2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1155573486","content_text":"With Apple’s September quarter earnings report now just three weeks out, the Street is working hard to ferret out hints about the numbers. Among other topics, investors are on the hunt for info on how iPhone 13 sales are going so far, how the company is handling the ongoing component crunch and whether Apple can continue to produce robust growth in its services business.\nAs it happens, Apple (ticker: AAPL) analysts have cranked out notes on all three topics.\nJ.P. Morgan analyst Samik Chatterjee offered some thoughts on supply chain issues. He writes in a research note that the Street’s focus in recent weeks has been on iPhone 13 supply constraints, citing both disruptions related to a resurgence of Covid-19 cases and the impact on industrial production in China from a shortage of electric power.\nChatterjee reports that initial iPhone 13 production was delayed by manufacturing related issues with the phone’s camera module, an issue he says implies Apple had more limited inventory heading into the launch compared with past years. And he says the camera module continues to be a primary bottleneck in producing the phones, due largely to headwinds from a Covid outbreak in Vietnam, where the parts are sourced.\nOn the China power issue, he says most large assembly companies have seen limited impact from the problem, but that it could affect some smaller component companies. Both issues, he says, bear watching.\nMeanwhile,Morgan Stanley‘s Katy Huberty provides an update on the App Store. She writes in a research note that data from the research firm Sensor Tower suggests that App Store revenue in September grew16.1% from a year ago, the best level in five months, and ahead of her forecast for 12% growth.\nHuberty writes that both App Store revenue specifically and services revenue overall now appear to be running ahead of her forecast model. And she notes that her services estimates for the quarter were already above Street consensus levels. Huberty points out that China gaming revenue accelerated in September despite recent curbs on game play by children under age 18.\nEvercore ISI analyst Amit Daryanani observes that lead times for the iPhone 13 remain elevated in most countries, with lead times stretching out for most models. He says lead times in the U.S. for the Pro and Pro Max are running 31 days in the U.S. and 35 days in China, up from a previou estimate of 29 days here and 28 days in China. (As an aside, I would also note that I recently ordered a Pro Max via AT&T and received it in well under a week.) In other countries, he says, delivery times are averaging 28 days.\nDaryanani notes that lead times are shorter for the base iPhone 13 and for the iPhone 13 Mini, which he thinks could mean a strong product mix skewed to the higher end models, driving higher margins for the company overall.\nBaird analyst William Power says his checks find that iPhone 13 demand remains strong, supported by a combination of growing consumer interest in 5G and record carrier subsidies – up to $1,000 in trade-in value from AT&T (T),Verizon (VZ), and T-Mobile (TMUS). He sees multiple reasons for the carriers’ aggressive promotions on the new phones.\nHe says competition for customers is part of the equation, but also notes that a shift to 5G “should improve customer experience,” while opening up new revenue opportunities. He also says a switch to 5G provides the carriers with “significant network efficiency benefits.” Adds Power: ” We believe this could be part of the multi-year iPhone upgrade tailwind for Apple.”\nApple shares rose 0.6% to $142 on Wednesday.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1156,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":864794864,"gmtCreate":1633145917502,"gmtModify":1633145917893,"author":{"id":"3581817420633828","authorId":"3581817420633828","name":"linrui","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/48b80059ee7e5428aa3ed30a6b83cfcd","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581817420633828","authorIdStr":"3581817420633828"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/864794864","repostId":"2172968387","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1698,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":861343816,"gmtCreate":1632462944835,"gmtModify":1632464258041,"author":{"id":"3581817420633828","authorId":"3581817420633828","name":"linrui","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/48b80059ee7e5428aa3ed30a6b83cfcd","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581817420633828","authorIdStr":"3581817420633828"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great","listText":"Great","text":"Great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/861343816","repostId":"2169696023","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1083,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":881263507,"gmtCreate":1631345749309,"gmtModify":1631893598593,"author":{"id":"3581817420633828","authorId":"3581817420633828","name":"linrui","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/48b80059ee7e5428aa3ed30a6b83cfcd","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581817420633828","authorIdStr":"3581817420633828"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Noted","listText":"Noted","text":"Noted","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/881263507","repostId":"1148605188","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1148605188","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1631265518,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1148605188?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-10 17:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Bitcoin Crash September 2021: What You Should Know","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1148605188","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nBitcoin will be Bitcoin and bucket shops will be bucket shops.\nStocks, options, commodities","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Bitcoin will be Bitcoin and bucket shops will be bucket shops.</li>\n <li>Stocks, options, commodities and forex are no different from crypto in that they are filled with crashes, skulduggery and scandal.</li>\n <li>If you're in crypto you need two strategies for dealing with crashes.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Yesterday (7thSeptember 2021) Bitcoin crashed, and as I write it is spiking down again. As a bear this is no surprise to me, but it is a major shock to many bulls who are expecting Bitcoin to go straight to $100,000 without a halt.</p>\n<p>Bitcoin is plagued/blessed with volatility and, make no mistake, if it did not have huge volatility, it would not be the giant brand it has become and crypto would not be the financial earthquake that is changing financial services forever.</p>\n<p>Markets are casinos; gamblers love to gamble and casinos love gamblers and ensure that they accommodate the players in as profitable a way as they can. Stocks, options, commodities, forex, they are no different from crypto in that they are filled with crashes, skulduggery and scandal, and the gaming tables are the same... ‘come play with leverage, come play with stop losses, this could be your lucky day.’</p>\n<p>Edwin Lefevre wrote the classic trading book in 1923 called ‘Reminiscences of a Stock Operator’ about famous trader/speculator/gambler Jesse Livermore. The ‘bucket shop’ scams of the time and the general trading environment around 1890-1930 remain basically unchanged today (…but, but, but think of all the regulation we have now…). Livermore was an incredibly talented trader that committed suicide when he lost it all, as traders are fated - by their counterparties and math - to do.</p>\n<p>Leverage and stop losses are just one example of how market actors like ‘bucket shops’ drive your account balances into their account balances. All the same finance scams of hidden charges, Ponzi schemes, ‘pump and dumps’ and so on are still everywhere to be seen in crypto, stocks etc. Where there are resources there are predators.</p>\n<p>So, a wild crash in crypto is to be expected and is perhaps even guaranteed. Take this phrase and write it like this:</p>\n<p>So, a wild crash in ______ is to be expected and is perhaps even guaranteed.</p>\n<p>Fill the blank as you see fit: stocks, bonds, property, the dollar, gold, junk bonds…. It will fit in just fine.</p>\n<p>Crashing is what markets do.</p>\n<p>Therefore, if you want to play in crypto, or for that matter in any financial market, you need two strategies for dealing with crashes.</p>\n<p><b>Strategy 1) What not to do</b></p>\n<ol>\n <li>Do not carry much leverage if any. If an instrument is volatile do not carry leverage at all.</li>\n <li>Do not hold stop losses on another party’s platforms.</li>\n <li>Do not hold positions for no good reason.</li>\n <li>Be prepared to hold your positions after a crash if you get caught and stuck in one</li>\n <li>If you are<b>certain</b>a crash is underway, do not hold and hope,<i>sell</i>.</li>\n</ol>\n<p><b>Strategy 2) What to do</b></p>\n<ol>\n <li>Never stop searching out the next crash. It is inevitable. One BTC at $60,000 is two BTC at $30,000.</li>\n <li>Buy the crash but only well after it’s happened and the dust is settling. This is the ultimate test of an investor.</li>\n <li>If you must trade during a crash, make sure you can depend on your providers not shuttering you in or out when it matters most (as true in stocks as in crypto). If you cannot depend on your service provider do not play. There is no customer service during a crash.</li>\n</ol>\n<p>A crash is a 25% drop in a dull asset but 50%-75% in anything spicy like crypto and 90% outside the blue chip instruments of a market.</p>\n<p><b>What next?</b></p>\n<p>Here is the chart:</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8e84d0c18312986bee801a102afc9dd6\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"420\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">I’m still a bear<i>but</i>I think the recent rally is heavily driven by the social clampdown in China with Bitcoin and other cryptos a way of expatriating capital away from a developing authoritarian nightmare; a nightmare where even kids who want to play computer games can’t escape the boot of ideology. The impact of this new development may prove to be extremely potent and not in a good way for many, but for crypto it could be very strong.</p>\n<p>However, without that tailwind or other geopolitical conniptions I would expect Bitcoin to go under $20,000 but markets don’t listen to me. Like with every call, you must measure your speculation against what transpired. I produced a similar chart a few months ago showing the bull and the bear trend like the above. I hovered to the bear trend as the move I expected, and up went Bitcoin exactly on the bull trend as if by magic. Speculation is just that, and you have to believe what you see not what you think.</p>\n<p>The above trends will therefore develop, and I remain a bear.</p>\n<p><b>What to do?</b></p>\n<p>The golden rule is if you think you know, you don’t, so stop. If you know you know then proceed.</p>\n<p>Specifically:</p>\n<ol>\n <li>If you are a Hodl’er continue to dollar cost average in. If it really does melt down then perhaps drop some extra fiat in.</li>\n <li>If you don’t know what to do and need to ask then sell and save your fiat for when you are certain of your positions</li>\n <li>If you want to buy the dip be sure you want to hold because you might need to Hodl for a long time. If you are looking to flip you should wait because this move could go way lower.</li>\n <li>If you want to trade, look to go against extreme moves but only when they make your eyes bug out. Make sure the platform you use won’t choke and can execute under extreme volume.</li>\n <li>If you are looking for a re-entry - like me - this isn’t it (yet).</li>\n <li>If you are a tyro trader, study every tick of this. Crashes are where the real traders and investors make their killings because this is where the novices lose their shirts.</li>\n</ol>\n<p><b>What am I doing?</b></p>\n<p>‘Hodling’ what little ‘unstable coins’ I have. I am watching out for what will look great value when this move capitulates while focusing on midcap tokens for now. If this is the big crash of this cycle, after it’s all over and a week or two later, I’ll be picking a portfolio from the rubble.</p>\n<p>Bitcoin dropped another $1000 while I wrote this article and jumped $1000 while I edited it. The big take away is Bitcoin will be Bitcoin and crypto will always crash and moon and that is one of the reasons it will always be a huge brand fascinating millions.</p>\n<p>Long term, Bitcoin will go a lot higher but it will not be a smooth or short road.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Bitcoin Crash September 2021: What You Should Know</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBitcoin Crash September 2021: What You Should Know\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-09-10 17:18 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4454069-bitcoin-crash-september-2021-what-you-should-know><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nBitcoin will be Bitcoin and bucket shops will be bucket shops.\nStocks, options, commodities and forex are no different from crypto in that they are filled with crashes, skulduggery and ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4454069-bitcoin-crash-september-2021-what-you-should-know\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GBTC":"Grayscale Bitcoin Trust","COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc.","01499":"欧科云链","01611":"新火科技控股"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4454069-bitcoin-crash-september-2021-what-you-should-know","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1148605188","content_text":"Summary\n\nBitcoin will be Bitcoin and bucket shops will be bucket shops.\nStocks, options, commodities and forex are no different from crypto in that they are filled with crashes, skulduggery and scandal.\nIf you're in crypto you need two strategies for dealing with crashes.\n\nYesterday (7thSeptember 2021) Bitcoin crashed, and as I write it is spiking down again. As a bear this is no surprise to me, but it is a major shock to many bulls who are expecting Bitcoin to go straight to $100,000 without a halt.\nBitcoin is plagued/blessed with volatility and, make no mistake, if it did not have huge volatility, it would not be the giant brand it has become and crypto would not be the financial earthquake that is changing financial services forever.\nMarkets are casinos; gamblers love to gamble and casinos love gamblers and ensure that they accommodate the players in as profitable a way as they can. Stocks, options, commodities, forex, they are no different from crypto in that they are filled with crashes, skulduggery and scandal, and the gaming tables are the same... ‘come play with leverage, come play with stop losses, this could be your lucky day.’\nEdwin Lefevre wrote the classic trading book in 1923 called ‘Reminiscences of a Stock Operator’ about famous trader/speculator/gambler Jesse Livermore. The ‘bucket shop’ scams of the time and the general trading environment around 1890-1930 remain basically unchanged today (…but, but, but think of all the regulation we have now…). Livermore was an incredibly talented trader that committed suicide when he lost it all, as traders are fated - by their counterparties and math - to do.\nLeverage and stop losses are just one example of how market actors like ‘bucket shops’ drive your account balances into their account balances. All the same finance scams of hidden charges, Ponzi schemes, ‘pump and dumps’ and so on are still everywhere to be seen in crypto, stocks etc. Where there are resources there are predators.\nSo, a wild crash in crypto is to be expected and is perhaps even guaranteed. Take this phrase and write it like this:\nSo, a wild crash in ______ is to be expected and is perhaps even guaranteed.\nFill the blank as you see fit: stocks, bonds, property, the dollar, gold, junk bonds…. It will fit in just fine.\nCrashing is what markets do.\nTherefore, if you want to play in crypto, or for that matter in any financial market, you need two strategies for dealing with crashes.\nStrategy 1) What not to do\n\nDo not carry much leverage if any. If an instrument is volatile do not carry leverage at all.\nDo not hold stop losses on another party’s platforms.\nDo not hold positions for no good reason.\nBe prepared to hold your positions after a crash if you get caught and stuck in one\nIf you arecertaina crash is underway, do not hold and hope,sell.\n\nStrategy 2) What to do\n\nNever stop searching out the next crash. It is inevitable. One BTC at $60,000 is two BTC at $30,000.\nBuy the crash but only well after it’s happened and the dust is settling. This is the ultimate test of an investor.\nIf you must trade during a crash, make sure you can depend on your providers not shuttering you in or out when it matters most (as true in stocks as in crypto). If you cannot depend on your service provider do not play. There is no customer service during a crash.\n\nA crash is a 25% drop in a dull asset but 50%-75% in anything spicy like crypto and 90% outside the blue chip instruments of a market.\nWhat next?\nHere is the chart:\nI’m still a bearbutI think the recent rally is heavily driven by the social clampdown in China with Bitcoin and other cryptos a way of expatriating capital away from a developing authoritarian nightmare; a nightmare where even kids who want to play computer games can’t escape the boot of ideology. The impact of this new development may prove to be extremely potent and not in a good way for many, but for crypto it could be very strong.\nHowever, without that tailwind or other geopolitical conniptions I would expect Bitcoin to go under $20,000 but markets don’t listen to me. Like with every call, you must measure your speculation against what transpired. I produced a similar chart a few months ago showing the bull and the bear trend like the above. I hovered to the bear trend as the move I expected, and up went Bitcoin exactly on the bull trend as if by magic. Speculation is just that, and you have to believe what you see not what you think.\nThe above trends will therefore develop, and I remain a bear.\nWhat to do?\nThe golden rule is if you think you know, you don’t, so stop. If you know you know then proceed.\nSpecifically:\n\nIf you are a Hodl’er continue to dollar cost average in. If it really does melt down then perhaps drop some extra fiat in.\nIf you don’t know what to do and need to ask then sell and save your fiat for when you are certain of your positions\nIf you want to buy the dip be sure you want to hold because you might need to Hodl for a long time. If you are looking to flip you should wait because this move could go way lower.\nIf you want to trade, look to go against extreme moves but only when they make your eyes bug out. Make sure the platform you use won’t choke and can execute under extreme volume.\nIf you are looking for a re-entry - like me - this isn’t it (yet).\nIf you are a tyro trader, study every tick of this. Crashes are where the real traders and investors make their killings because this is where the novices lose their shirts.\n\nWhat am I doing?\n‘Hodling’ what little ‘unstable coins’ I have. I am watching out for what will look great value when this move capitulates while focusing on midcap tokens for now. If this is the big crash of this cycle, after it’s all over and a week or two later, I’ll be picking a portfolio from the rubble.\nBitcoin dropped another $1000 while I wrote this article and jumped $1000 while I edited it. The big take away is Bitcoin will be Bitcoin and crypto will always crash and moon and that is one of the reasons it will always be a huge brand fascinating millions.\nLong term, Bitcoin will go a lot higher but it will not be a smooth or short road.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":439,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":835979702,"gmtCreate":1629685727506,"gmtModify":1631893598598,"author":{"id":"3581817420633828","authorId":"3581817420633828","name":"linrui","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/48b80059ee7e5428aa3ed30a6b83cfcd","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581817420633828","authorIdStr":"3581817420633828"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/835979702","repostId":"1105963953","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":596,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":835979010,"gmtCreate":1629685698630,"gmtModify":1631893598599,"author":{"id":"3581817420633828","authorId":"3581817420633828","name":"linrui","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/48b80059ee7e5428aa3ed30a6b83cfcd","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581817420633828","authorIdStr":"3581817420633828"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/835979010","repostId":"1105963953","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":376,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":838455044,"gmtCreate":1629425517088,"gmtModify":1631893598602,"author":{"id":"3581817420633828","authorId":"3581817420633828","name":"linrui","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/48b80059ee7e5428aa3ed30a6b83cfcd","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581817420633828","authorIdStr":"3581817420633828"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/838455044","repostId":"1132806035","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":557,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":838458986,"gmtCreate":1629425385045,"gmtModify":1631893598605,"author":{"id":"3581817420633828","authorId":"3581817420633828","name":"linrui","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/48b80059ee7e5428aa3ed30a6b83cfcd","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581817420633828","authorIdStr":"3581817420633828"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Baba, sigh.... 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