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- Sabre78Sabre78
  ·2021-12-20
  Let’s see
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
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- Sabre78Sabre78
  ·2021-12-16
  This is piece of good news for all investor .
  Stocks Set to Extend Gains Ahead of More Central Bank Decisions
  Stocks were poised to extend gains ahead of policy decisions by the European Central Bank and Bank o
  Stocks Set to Extend Gains Ahead of More Central Bank Decisions
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- Sabre78Sabre78
  ·2021-12-13
  Interesting to read this article
  Bull Run Enters Late Cycle
  Summary The short-term correction has probably not ended yet. Macroeconomic indicators signal furth
  Bull Run Enters Late Cycle
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- Sabre78Sabre78
  ·2021-12-12
  $Lemonade, Inc.(LMND)$Interesting invest 100k 1 million return so confident. Sound worried
  809 评论
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- Sabre78Sabre78
  ·2021-12-10
  $Grab Holdings(GRAB)$No one know which direction this stock will be heading. We all know grab transport and grab food. No dare to grab this counter.
  2,678 评论
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- Sabre78Sabre78
  ·2021-12-10
  $Lucid Group Inc(LCID)$Maybe up too much andwith all bad news sure need to face price correction. Hopefully see brightness after this dripping l.
  1,663 2
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- Sabre78Sabre78
  ·2021-12-10
  Looks very bad dropping so much
  Grab and Lucid stocks plunged more than 10%
  Grab and Lucid stocks plunged more than 10% in Thursday's trading.
  Grab and Lucid stocks plunged more than 10%
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- Sabre78Sabre78
  ·2021-12-10
  $Lucid Group Inc(LCID)$Didn’t expect so fast this drop to this level.
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- Sabre78Sabre78
  ·2021-12-09
  $SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$All can fly soon
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- Sabre78Sabre78
  ·2021-12-07
  $Alibaba(BABA)$Let’s wait for the show time if this counter U turn sharply.
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see&nbsp;","listText":"Let’s see&nbsp;","text":"Let’s see","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/693995683","repostId":"2192035909","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":817,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":690808402,"gmtCreate":1639651523017,"gmtModify":1639651523125,"author":{"id":"3583662661619311","authorId":"3583662661619311","name":"Sabre78","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0245878eb3debb164249e113a3a68836","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583662661619311","authorIdStr":"3583662661619311"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"This is piece of good news for all investor .&nbsp;","listText":"This is piece of good news for all investor .&nbsp;","text":"This is piece of good news for all investor .","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/690808402","repostId":"1184616731","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1184616731","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639650290,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1184616731?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-16 18:24","market":"fut","language":"en","title":"Stocks Set to Extend Gains Ahead of More Central Bank Decisions","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1184616731","media":"WSJ","summary":"Stocks were poised to extend gains ahead of policy decisions by the European Central Bank and Bank o","content":"<p>Stocks were poised to extend gains ahead of policy decisions by the European Central Bank and Bank of England, which follow the Federal Reserve’s pivot toward higher interest rates.</p>\n<p>Futures for the S&amp;P 500 rose 0.5% Thursday, a day after the broad stocks gauge closed at its second-highest level on record. Contracts for the Dow Jones Industrial Average added 0.4% and Nasdaq-100 futures climbed 0.6%, pointing to a strong start to the session for technology stocks.</p>\n<p>Brent-crude futures, the benchmark in international oil markets, rose 0.9% to $74.51 a barrel. Yields on 10-year Treasury notes ticked down to 1.451% Thursday from 1.460% Wednesday. Yields move in the opposite direction to bond prices and barely moved in response to the Fed’s shift to tighten monetary policy.</p>\n<p>Stocks rallied when the central bank completed that pivot Wednesday, approving plans to end a program of asset purchases by March and penciling in three rate rises in 2022. Investors said the change of stance—ending months in which the Fed said higher inflation would fade—removed the risk of runaway growth in consumer prices.</p>\n<p>“There’s a goldilocks interpretation,” said Edward Park, chief investment officer at Brooks Macdonald, referring to a situation in which the Fed tames inflation but doesn’t push rates high enough to kill the economic recovery.</p>\n<p>Mr. Park said stocks are likely to keep rising through to year end. “You have people saying, you know, it’s painful being in fixed income or cash.”</p>\n<p>European stock markets followed Wall Street higher Thursday. The pan-continental Stoxx Europe 600 rose 1.4%, led by tech, energy, travel and leisure stocks.</p>\n<p>Turkey’s currency crisis deepened ahead of a potential interest-rate cut by the central bank, which has come under pressure from President Recep Tayyip Erdogan to lower borrowing costs. The lira weakened 2.5% to trade at 15.18 per dollar.</p>\n<p>Like the U.S., the eurozone and the U.K. are experiencing their highest inflation in years. Central banks there are also contending with waves of coronavirus infections that complicate the outlook for consumer prices and economic growth.</p>\n<p>The Bank of England, which will publish its decision at 7 a.m. ET, was until recently expected to raise interest rates Thursday. However, a jump in Covid-19 cases driven by the Omicron variant might encourage the central bank to keep policy on hold, Mr. Park said. The pound rose 0.2% to $1.3293 before the decision.</p>\n<p>The European Central Bank, meanwhile, is expected to signal that it will continue buying bonds for some time, and that it won’t increase interest rates next year. The central bank is due to publish its decision at 7:45 a.m. The euro traded 0.2% higher at $1.1316.</p>\n<p>Investors will parse surveys of purchasing managers in the U.S. and Europe for evidence of the extent to which rising coronavirus cases have knocked economic growth. The reports—due at 9:45 a.m. for the U.S.—are expected to show factory output is growing, though at a slower pace than in November.</p>\n<p>In individual European stock moves, Novartis rose 4.3% after the Swiss pharmaceutical firm said it would use the proceeds from the recent sale of its stake in Roche to buy back up to $15 billion of its shares. Food-delivery firms Just Eat Takeaway.com and Delivery Hero both rose more than 5%. Électricité de France dropped 11% after the French utility cut earnings forecasts to reflect the safety-related outages at nuclear-power plants.</p>\n<p>In Asia, Japan’s Nikkei 225 gained 2.1%, the Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.8% and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng added 0.2%.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Stocks Set to Extend Gains Ahead of More Central Bank Decisions</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nStocks Set to Extend Gains Ahead of More Central Bank Decisions\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-12-16 18:24 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.wsj.com/articles/global-stock-markets-dow-update-12-16-2021-11639643633?mod=hp_lead_pos1><strong>WSJ</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Stocks were poised to extend gains ahead of policy decisions by the European Central Bank and Bank of England, which follow the Federal Reserve’s pivot toward higher interest rates.\nFutures for the S&...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.wsj.com/articles/global-stock-markets-dow-update-12-16-2021-11639643633?mod=hp_lead_pos1\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.wsj.com/articles/global-stock-markets-dow-update-12-16-2021-11639643633?mod=hp_lead_pos1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1184616731","content_text":"Stocks were poised to extend gains ahead of policy decisions by the European Central Bank and Bank of England, which follow the Federal Reserve’s pivot toward higher interest rates.\nFutures for the S&P 500 rose 0.5% Thursday, a day after the broad stocks gauge closed at its second-highest level on record. Contracts for the Dow Jones Industrial Average added 0.4% and Nasdaq-100 futures climbed 0.6%, pointing to a strong start to the session for technology stocks.\nBrent-crude futures, the benchmark in international oil markets, rose 0.9% to $74.51 a barrel. Yields on 10-year Treasury notes ticked down to 1.451% Thursday from 1.460% Wednesday. Yields move in the opposite direction to bond prices and barely moved in response to the Fed’s shift to tighten monetary policy.\nStocks rallied when the central bank completed that pivot Wednesday, approving plans to end a program of asset purchases by March and penciling in three rate rises in 2022. Investors said the change of stance—ending months in which the Fed said higher inflation would fade—removed the risk of runaway growth in consumer prices.\n“There’s a goldilocks interpretation,” said Edward Park, chief investment officer at Brooks Macdonald, referring to a situation in which the Fed tames inflation but doesn’t push rates high enough to kill the economic recovery.\nMr. Park said stocks are likely to keep rising through to year end. “You have people saying, you know, it’s painful being in fixed income or cash.”\nEuropean stock markets followed Wall Street higher Thursday. The pan-continental Stoxx Europe 600 rose 1.4%, led by tech, energy, travel and leisure stocks.\nTurkey’s currency crisis deepened ahead of a potential interest-rate cut by the central bank, which has come under pressure from President Recep Tayyip Erdogan to lower borrowing costs. The lira weakened 2.5% to trade at 15.18 per dollar.\nLike the U.S., the eurozone and the U.K. are experiencing their highest inflation in years. Central banks there are also contending with waves of coronavirus infections that complicate the outlook for consumer prices and economic growth.\nThe Bank of England, which will publish its decision at 7 a.m. ET, was until recently expected to raise interest rates Thursday. However, a jump in Covid-19 cases driven by the Omicron variant might encourage the central bank to keep policy on hold, Mr. Park said. The pound rose 0.2% to $1.3293 before the decision.\nThe European Central Bank, meanwhile, is expected to signal that it will continue buying bonds for some time, and that it won’t increase interest rates next year. The central bank is due to publish its decision at 7:45 a.m. The euro traded 0.2% higher at $1.1316.\nInvestors will parse surveys of purchasing managers in the U.S. and Europe for evidence of the extent to which rising coronavirus cases have knocked economic growth. The reports—due at 9:45 a.m. for the U.S.—are expected to show factory output is growing, though at a slower pace than in November.\nIn individual European stock moves, Novartis rose 4.3% after the Swiss pharmaceutical firm said it would use the proceeds from the recent sale of its stake in Roche to buy back up to $15 billion of its shares. Food-delivery firms Just Eat Takeaway.com and Delivery Hero both rose more than 5%. Électricité de France dropped 11% after the French utility cut earnings forecasts to reflect the safety-related outages at nuclear-power plants.\nIn Asia, Japan’s Nikkei 225 gained 2.1%, the Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.8% and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng added 0.2%.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":927,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":604600974,"gmtCreate":1639379000281,"gmtModify":1639379000404,"author":{"id":"3583662661619311","authorId":"3583662661619311","name":"Sabre78","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0245878eb3debb164249e113a3a68836","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583662661619311","authorIdStr":"3583662661619311"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Interesting to read this article&nbsp;","listText":"Interesting to read this article&nbsp;","text":"Interesting to read this article","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/604600974","repostId":"1169099899","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1169099899","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639367858,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1169099899?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-13 11:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Bull Run Enters Late Cycle","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1169099899","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Summary\n\nThe short-term correction has probably not ended yet.\nMacroeconomic indicators signal furth","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>The short-term correction has probably not ended yet.</li>\n <li>Macroeconomic indicators signal further upside for stocks despite short-term correction potential.</li>\n <li>The Fed could face tough challenges with its loose monetary stance sooner than many expect.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/35de74b68a683fda3b95d3fd873bc678\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1025\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>MundusImages/E+ via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p>The business cycle is maturing but has not ended yet. It is probably entering the late-cycle stage, according to Stouff capital's estimates. Their US Long-Term Macro Index gauge reached the 90% threshold, an early indicator for economic recessions. That's relevant because recessions had a perfect track record for bear markets in stocks. Every NBER recession in the past 170 involved a bear market in US stocks.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/631eab7d5b7d2c62994d942fc86cdcfc\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"511\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Refinitiv, Stouff Capital)</span></p>\n<p>Nonetheless, entering the late stage of the business cycle does not imply that equities are in a bear market. On the contrary, equities developed positively during the late stage of the business cycle during the past century. The recession stage of the business cycle is the time window that investors want to avoid if they believe in statistical evidence. Other leading indicators, which have been reliable historically, do not signal an imminent recession yet. The labor market has been constructive until the last report. Moreover, the conference board Leading Economic Index (LEI) marked an all-time high on its latest reading. Historically, the labor market and the LEI reached their cycle peak several months ahead of the economy. Most often, both indices peaked even ahead of the US stock market before the US economy went into recession. Likewise, the yield curve is not flashing recessionary signals yet. Historically, it inverted shortly before a recession arrived and was also a leading indicator for cyclical stock market highs. That's neither the case today.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9fed5b5760550aa77356656aee41f1d0\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"379\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Refinitiv, CEIC, Pictet Asset Management)</span></p>\n<p>However, equities corrected 5%-10% from their most recent highs into early December. The drop was not surprising because the market was running hot, as explained in our&nbsp;mid-November article&nbsp;here on Seeking Alpha. Sentiment and technical indicators signaled an imminent 5%-10% correction. Nonetheless, the correction is probably not finished short term. Some more weakness remains the base case during the next couple of weeks.</p>\n<p>Moreover, there is something peculiar about the current cycle. It is unfolding at an unprecedented speed. Therefore, the late-cycle stage may surprise many by not lasting as long as it usually does. Further, the current environment might prove extraordinarily challenging for central banks as inflation increases rapidly. The chart above shows that European purchasing prices are more than 20% higher versus last year. That's the steepest increase of the index since the '70s. The '70s were the latest period that recorded double-digit inflation after the breakup of the Bretton-Woods exchange-rate system. Inflation pressure is also mounting in the United States as well. Not only do goods become expensive due to supply shortages, but services also joined the party lately. The development is a problem for central banks as they have no effective tools against supply-side shortages. Consequently, we are unlikely to witness monetary easing short-term. That has been a headwind for equities in recent years. Yet again, that's not a hit-and-run event and we are not there yet. Historically, equities reached their cyclical high typically well after the initial rate hike.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bfdb33a6b0c068438eae297a0bd32d1d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"390\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Refinitiv, CEIC, Pictet Asset Management)</span></p>\n<p>Technicals support the macro evidence outlined above. Most of the major indices probably unfolded bearish Elliot waves from their November highs. The S&amp;P 500 counts best as an extending leading diagonal into the December 6th low. That's a signal that the short-term correction may not be over yet. The pattern will probably morph into a three-wave corrective leg towards 4250-4390 instead.</p>\n<p>All in all, there is potential for more damage short term. Technical evidence hints at another attack at the 4390 S/R before seeing the next sustainable leg up. Time will tell if it is the last leg up before the cycle ends. Some of the macro indicators discussed above will probably provide further hints before things turn sour. The bottom line is that the bull trend is most likely intact despite further short-term correction potential.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Bull Run Enters Late Cycle</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBull Run Enters Late Cycle\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-12-13 11:57 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4474830-bull-run-enters-late-cycle><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nThe short-term correction has probably not ended yet.\nMacroeconomic indicators signal further upside for stocks despite short-term correction potential.\nThe Fed could face tough challenges ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4474830-bull-run-enters-late-cycle\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4474830-bull-run-enters-late-cycle","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1169099899","content_text":"Summary\n\nThe short-term correction has probably not ended yet.\nMacroeconomic indicators signal further upside for stocks despite short-term correction potential.\nThe Fed could face tough challenges with its loose monetary stance sooner than many expect.\n\nMundusImages/E+ via Getty Images\nThe business cycle is maturing but has not ended yet. It is probably entering the late-cycle stage, according to Stouff capital's estimates. Their US Long-Term Macro Index gauge reached the 90% threshold, an early indicator for economic recessions. That's relevant because recessions had a perfect track record for bear markets in stocks. Every NBER recession in the past 170 involved a bear market in US stocks.\n(Source: Refinitiv, Stouff Capital)\nNonetheless, entering the late stage of the business cycle does not imply that equities are in a bear market. On the contrary, equities developed positively during the late stage of the business cycle during the past century. The recession stage of the business cycle is the time window that investors want to avoid if they believe in statistical evidence. Other leading indicators, which have been reliable historically, do not signal an imminent recession yet. The labor market has been constructive until the last report. Moreover, the conference board Leading Economic Index (LEI) marked an all-time high on its latest reading. Historically, the labor market and the LEI reached their cycle peak several months ahead of the economy. Most often, both indices peaked even ahead of the US stock market before the US economy went into recession. Likewise, the yield curve is not flashing recessionary signals yet. Historically, it inverted shortly before a recession arrived and was also a leading indicator for cyclical stock market highs. That's neither the case today.\n(Source: Refinitiv, CEIC, Pictet Asset Management)\nHowever, equities corrected 5%-10% from their most recent highs into early December. The drop was not surprising because the market was running hot, as explained in our mid-November article here on Seeking Alpha. Sentiment and technical indicators signaled an imminent 5%-10% correction. Nonetheless, the correction is probably not finished short term. Some more weakness remains the base case during the next couple of weeks.\nMoreover, there is something peculiar about the current cycle. It is unfolding at an unprecedented speed. Therefore, the late-cycle stage may surprise many by not lasting as long as it usually does. Further, the current environment might prove extraordinarily challenging for central banks as inflation increases rapidly. The chart above shows that European purchasing prices are more than 20% higher versus last year. That's the steepest increase of the index since the '70s. The '70s were the latest period that recorded double-digit inflation after the breakup of the Bretton-Woods exchange-rate system. Inflation pressure is also mounting in the United States as well. Not only do goods become expensive due to supply shortages, but services also joined the party lately. The development is a problem for central banks as they have no effective tools against supply-side shortages. Consequently, we are unlikely to witness monetary easing short-term. That has been a headwind for equities in recent years. Yet again, that's not a hit-and-run event and we are not there yet. Historically, equities reached their cyclical high typically well after the initial rate hike.\n(Source: Refinitiv, CEIC, Pictet Asset Management)\nTechnicals support the macro evidence outlined above. Most of the major indices probably unfolded bearish Elliot waves from their November highs. The S&P 500 counts best as an extending leading diagonal into the December 6th low. That's a signal that the short-term correction may not be over yet. The pattern will probably morph into a three-wave corrective leg towards 4250-4390 instead.\nAll in all, there is potential for more damage short term. Technical evidence hints at another attack at the 4390 S/R before seeing the next sustainable leg up. Time will tell if it is the last leg up before the cycle ends. Some of the macro indicators discussed above will probably provide further hints before things turn sour. The bottom line is that the bull trend is most likely intact despite further short-term correction potential.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":967,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":604906111,"gmtCreate":1639294999173,"gmtModify":1639294999255,"author":{"id":"3583662661619311","authorId":"3583662661619311","name":"Sabre78","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0245878eb3debb164249e113a3a68836","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583662661619311","authorIdStr":"3583662661619311"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LMND\">$Lemonade, Inc.(LMND)$</a>Interesting invest 100k 1 million return so confident. Sound worried&nbsp;&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LMND\">$Lemonade, Inc.(LMND)$</a>Interesting invest 100k 1 million return so confident. Sound worried&nbsp;&nbsp;","text":"$Lemonade, Inc.(LMND)$Interesting invest 100k 1 million return so confident. Sound worried","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/604906111","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":809,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":605123137,"gmtCreate":1639131950383,"gmtModify":1639131950535,"author":{"id":"3583662661619311","authorId":"3583662661619311","name":"Sabre78","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0245878eb3debb164249e113a3a68836","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583662661619311","authorIdStr":"3583662661619311"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GRAB\">$Grab Holdings(GRAB)$</a>No one know which direction this stock will be&nbsp;heading. We all know grab transport and grab food. No dare to grab this counter.&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GRAB\">$Grab Holdings(GRAB)$</a>No one know which direction this stock will be&nbsp;heading. We all know grab transport and grab food. No dare to grab this counter.&nbsp;","text":"$Grab Holdings(GRAB)$No one know which direction this stock will be heading. We all know grab transport and grab food. No dare to grab this counter.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/605123137","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2678,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":605169217,"gmtCreate":1639130389261,"gmtModify":1639130389340,"author":{"id":"3583662661619311","authorId":"3583662661619311","name":"Sabre78","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0245878eb3debb164249e113a3a68836","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583662661619311","authorIdStr":"3583662661619311"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LCID\">$Lucid Group Inc(LCID)$</a>Maybe up&nbsp;too much andwith all bad news sure need to face price&nbsp;correction. Hopefully see brightness after this dripping l.&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LCID\">$Lucid Group Inc(LCID)$</a>Maybe up&nbsp;too much andwith all bad news sure need to face price&nbsp;correction. Hopefully see brightness after this dripping l.&nbsp;","text":"$Lucid Group Inc(LCID)$Maybe up too much andwith all bad news sure need to face price correction. Hopefully see brightness after this dripping l.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/605169217","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1663,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":605033580,"gmtCreate":1639091566547,"gmtModify":1639091747304,"author":{"id":"3583662661619311","authorId":"3583662661619311","name":"Sabre78","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0245878eb3debb164249e113a3a68836","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583662661619311","authorIdStr":"3583662661619311"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Looks very bad dropping so much&nbsp;","listText":"Looks very bad dropping so much&nbsp;","text":"Looks very bad dropping so much","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/605033580","repostId":"1165217477","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1165217477","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1639067136,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1165217477?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-10 00:25","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Grab and Lucid stocks plunged more than 10%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1165217477","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Grab and Lucid stocks plunged more than 10% in Thursday's trading.","content":"<p>Grab and Lucid stocks plunged more than 10% in Thursday's trading.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff3dbe26b3f4c86357541ed2ff3d7bfe\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c38542f4d2e6fa7aceb9fdf2aeb694ab\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Grab and Lucid stocks plunged more than 10%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGrab and Lucid stocks plunged more than 10%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-12-10 00:25</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Grab and Lucid stocks plunged more than 10% in Thursday's trading.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff3dbe26b3f4c86357541ed2ff3d7bfe\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c38542f4d2e6fa7aceb9fdf2aeb694ab\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GRAB":"Grab Holdings","LCID":"Lucid Group Inc"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1165217477","content_text":"Grab and Lucid stocks plunged more than 10% in Thursday's trading.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":879,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":605005401,"gmtCreate":1639090068833,"gmtModify":1639090068941,"author":{"id":"3583662661619311","authorId":"3583662661619311","name":"Sabre78","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0245878eb3debb164249e113a3a68836","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583662661619311","authorIdStr":"3583662661619311"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LCID\">$Lucid Group Inc(LCID)$</a>Didn’t expect so fast this drop to this level.&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LCID\">$Lucid Group Inc(LCID)$</a>Didn’t expect so fast this drop to this level.&nbsp;","text":"$Lucid Group Inc(LCID)$Didn’t expect so fast this drop to this level.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/605005401","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1436,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":602208546,"gmtCreate":1639022336094,"gmtModify":1639022336216,"author":{"id":"3583662661619311","authorId":"3583662661619311","name":"Sabre78","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0245878eb3debb164249e113a3a68836","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583662661619311","authorIdStr":"3583662661619311"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C6L.SI\">$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$</a>All can fly soon&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C6L.SI\">$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$</a>All can fly soon&nbsp;","text":"$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$All can fly soon","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/602208546","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":928,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":606692371,"gmtCreate":1638868386630,"gmtModify":1638868386752,"author":{"id":"3583662661619311","authorId":"3583662661619311","name":"Sabre78","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0245878eb3debb164249e113a3a68836","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583662661619311","authorIdStr":"3583662661619311"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$Alibaba(BABA)$</a>Let’s wait for the show time if this counter U turn sharply.&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$Alibaba(BABA)$</a>Let’s wait for the show time if this counter U turn sharply.&nbsp;","text":"$Alibaba(BABA)$Let’s wait for the show time if this counter U turn sharply.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/606692371","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":862,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":false}