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- TinPLJTinPLJ
  ·2021-12-29
  Jingle all the way.
  These 3 Indicators May Predict How the Stock Market Performs in 2022: Analyst
  Christmas may be over, but for investors, the gifts may have only just begun. The "Santa Claus Rally
  These 3 Indicators May Predict How the Stock Market Performs in 2022: Analyst
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- TinPLJTinPLJ
  ·2021-12-28
  Wow
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
  1,727 2
  10
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- TinPLJTinPLJ
  ·2021-12-28
  Up up
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
  1,823 1
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- TinPLJTinPLJ
  ·2021-12-28
  Yeah
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
  1,101 1
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- TinPLJTinPLJ
  ·2021-12-27
  Kaching
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
  1,288 2
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- TinPLJTinPLJ
  ·2021-12-27
  Oh oh
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
  1,609 评论
  2
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- TinPLJTinPLJ
  ·2021-12-27
  Jingle all the way
  Santa Claus Rally watch: What to know this week
  As traders return from the holiday-shortened week, the price action heading into the new year will be closely monitored — especially given the relatively light economic data and earnings calendar for the coming days.The S&P 500 is entering the period known for ushering in the so-called Santa Claus Rally, or seasonally strong timeframe for stocks at the end of each year.According to data from LPL Financial, the Santa Claus Rally period encapsulates the seven days most likely to be higher in any
  Santa Claus Rally watch: What to know this week
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- TinPLJTinPLJ
  ·2021-12-26
  Nice
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
  1,225 1
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- TinPLJTinPLJ
  ·2021-12-23
  Yeah
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
  1,567 2
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- TinPLJTinPLJ
  ·2021-12-22
  Still a long way to recover on previous peak
  Why Alibaba Stock Popped over 6% Today?
  What happened Shares of Alibaba(NYSE:BABA)stock bounced back from yesterday's tech sell-off, gaining
  Why Alibaba Stock Popped over 6% Today?
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all the way.&nbsp;","listText":"Jingle all the way.&nbsp;","text":"Jingle all the way.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/696555391","repostId":"1157924593","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1157924593","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640738343,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1157924593?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-29 08:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"These 3 Indicators May Predict How the Stock Market Performs in 2022: Analyst","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1157924593","media":"finance.yahoo","summary":"Christmas may be over, but for investors, the gifts may have only just begun.\nThe \"Santa Claus Rally","content":"<p>Christmas may be over, but for investors, the gifts may have only just begun.</p>\n<p>The \"Santa Claus Rally\" looks to send 2021 off on a high note for the stock market. The S&amp;P 500 (^GSPC) set a record high for the second consecutive day on Tuesday,subsequently falling&nbsp;a bit in light of a small midday tech stock sell-off.</p>\n<p><b>‘Ho, ho ho’, stocks on the rise?</b></p>\n<p>The last five trading days of the year and the first two trading days of the next year together are often the biggest week of the year for the market. The 1.2% average growth in the S&amp;P 500 over the period since 1945 is the largest of any seven-day period.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c54ea712b8fce648fa682efa965a15a\" tg-width=\"705\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>A trader wears a Santa hat as he works on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange the day before Christmas in New York December 24, 2015. REUTERS/Lucas Jackson</span></p>\n<p>Why do these days perform so well historically?Animal spirits, as the 20th century economist John Maynard Keynes might put it, have a lot to do with the Santa Clause Rally.</p>\n<p>“It's [the result of] sentiment,” said Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, on the causes of the rally. “Because [investors know that] if the market does well in the month of January, then it usually does well for the full year. But if we find that a lot of money has flowed into the markets, right off the bat, then the indication is that it's likely to be a very good year.”</p>\n<p>Investors anticipate that the period is coming, and that equity prices are about to rise, so they are more likely to invest money to earn higher returns, Stovall explained.</p>\n<p>Though the sentiments behind the Santa Clause Rally may appear to be begging-the-question, there is nothing mythical about its results.</p>\n<p>According to a recent research note published by Stovall, years following a Santa Claus Rally period with a price increase, experienced an S&amp;P 500 growth rate of 10.3%, higher than the average rate of 9.2% (since 1945).</p>\n<p><b>January Barometers</b></p>\n<p>Two other barometers exist for investors eager to predict the outlook for 2022’s market, both of them involving market performance during the month of January, Stovall wrote. The first five days of January are a great indicator for the rest of the month’s performance.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/99e3e7627b845414da42f555bc4db069\" tg-width=\"705\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>A screen displays a stock update on the trading floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in Manhattan, New York City, U.S., December 28, 2021. REUTERS/Andrew Kelly</span></p>\n<p>“The first five days offer an early warning signal as to how the market will likely perform during the entire month,” Stovall wrote in the CFRA report. “And it has done so with impressive accuracy, being correct two out of every three years for both up and down signals. What’s more, a positive showing for the equity market during the first five days of January improved the likelihood of an annual price increase by 12.8%, as well as an improvement in the FoA to 82%.”</p>\n<p>And as the old Wall Street adage goes, ‘So goes January, so goes the year.’ The third indicator, which Stovall dubbed “the January Barometer,” draws a correlation between the performance of the market in January and the succeeding 11 months.</p>\n<p>“Should the S&amp;P 500 go on to record a positive performance in the entire month of January, it has historically enhanced the possibility of a positive full-year performance, as the average annual price gain rose to 15.9% and the FoA (Frequency of Advance) increased to 87%,” the report noted.</p>\n<p>The biggest conclusion investors should draw from the barometers is that there is significant enough data to presume a causal relationship between the late December/January market performance and the larger year’s performance, Stovall said.</p>\n<p>“Not all of the year’s price gains were concentrated in the first month of the year, as a rise for the S&amp;P 500 in January was followed by an average 11.3% climb for the remaining 11 months of the year, with the market posting an 11-month FoA 83% of the time,” he wrote in the report.</p>\n<p>Though January’s gains appear to set the standard for the rest of the year by setting investor attitudes and expectations, Stovall stressed that these indicators are not guarantees.</p>\n<p>“Investors should always view history as a great guide, but never gospel,” he said. Past performance “gives a pretty strong hint of what might happen, but certainly no guarantee.”</p>\n<p>In 2022, the market will likely encounter challenges from the ongoing COVID pandemic as well as high inflation and the Federal Reserve’s attempts to control it.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a8c6b1ff968cfd5507f8c17566398310\" tg-width=\"705\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>NEW YORK, USA - DECEMBER 28: A man is getting a Covid-19 test at a Covid-19 testing center next to the Queens Hospital Center as hundreds of residents line up to get Covid-19 test in Queens of New York, United States on December 28, 2021 as Omicron rises around the country. (Photo by Tayfun Coskun/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images)More</span></p>\n<p>“When you think about some of the headwinds that could upset the track record of these different barometers, should they all be triggered,” Stovall said, adding the next COVID variant should be a top concern.</p>\n<p>The Omicron variant has been the latest strain of the coronavirus to spread throughout&nbsp;all 50 U.S. states. Though recent research suggests that Omicron cases are&nbsp;less severe&nbsp;than previous strains of the virus, it is highly transmissible and has already had an effect on consumer demand insome industries&nbsp;while some remain relatively&nbsp;unaffected.</p>\n<p>Secondly, the Federal Reserve has made it clear that it intends to raise interest rates in response to high inflation. Many economists expect these rate hikes to begin sometime next year.</p>\n<p>“That's a concern because if the Fed is too aggressive raising rates, that could throw the market into a tailspin,” Stovall said. “Also, historically, we have seen PE multiple contraction in a rising interest rate environment.”</p>","source":"lsy1612507957220","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>These 3 Indicators May Predict How the Stock Market Performs in 2022: Analyst</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThese 3 Indicators May Predict How the Stock Market Performs in 2022: Analyst\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-12-29 08:39 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/these-three-indicators-may-predict-how-the-stock-market-performs-in-2022-analyst-201508279.html><strong>finance.yahoo</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Christmas may be over, but for investors, the gifts may have only just begun.\nThe \"Santa Claus Rally\" looks to send 2021 off on a high note for the stock market. The S&P 500 (^GSPC) set a record high ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/these-three-indicators-may-predict-how-the-stock-market-performs-in-2022-analyst-201508279.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/these-three-indicators-may-predict-how-the-stock-market-performs-in-2022-analyst-201508279.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1157924593","content_text":"Christmas may be over, but for investors, the gifts may have only just begun.\nThe \"Santa Claus Rally\" looks to send 2021 off on a high note for the stock market. The S&P 500 (^GSPC) set a record high for the second consecutive day on Tuesday,subsequently falling a bit in light of a small midday tech stock sell-off.\n‘Ho, ho ho’, stocks on the rise?\nThe last five trading days of the year and the first two trading days of the next year together are often the biggest week of the year for the market. The 1.2% average growth in the S&P 500 over the period since 1945 is the largest of any seven-day period.\nA trader wears a Santa hat as he works on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange the day before Christmas in New York December 24, 2015. REUTERS/Lucas Jackson\nWhy do these days perform so well historically?Animal spirits, as the 20th century economist John Maynard Keynes might put it, have a lot to do with the Santa Clause Rally.\n“It's [the result of] sentiment,” said Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, on the causes of the rally. “Because [investors know that] if the market does well in the month of January, then it usually does well for the full year. But if we find that a lot of money has flowed into the markets, right off the bat, then the indication is that it's likely to be a very good year.”\nInvestors anticipate that the period is coming, and that equity prices are about to rise, so they are more likely to invest money to earn higher returns, Stovall explained.\nThough the sentiments behind the Santa Clause Rally may appear to be begging-the-question, there is nothing mythical about its results.\nAccording to a recent research note published by Stovall, years following a Santa Claus Rally period with a price increase, experienced an S&P 500 growth rate of 10.3%, higher than the average rate of 9.2% (since 1945).\nJanuary Barometers\nTwo other barometers exist for investors eager to predict the outlook for 2022’s market, both of them involving market performance during the month of January, Stovall wrote. The first five days of January are a great indicator for the rest of the month’s performance.\nA screen displays a stock update on the trading floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in Manhattan, New York City, U.S., December 28, 2021. REUTERS/Andrew Kelly\n“The first five days offer an early warning signal as to how the market will likely perform during the entire month,” Stovall wrote in the CFRA report. “And it has done so with impressive accuracy, being correct two out of every three years for both up and down signals. What’s more, a positive showing for the equity market during the first five days of January improved the likelihood of an annual price increase by 12.8%, as well as an improvement in the FoA to 82%.”\nAnd as the old Wall Street adage goes, ‘So goes January, so goes the year.’ The third indicator, which Stovall dubbed “the January Barometer,” draws a correlation between the performance of the market in January and the succeeding 11 months.\n“Should the S&P 500 go on to record a positive performance in the entire month of January, it has historically enhanced the possibility of a positive full-year performance, as the average annual price gain rose to 15.9% and the FoA (Frequency of Advance) increased to 87%,” the report noted.\nThe biggest conclusion investors should draw from the barometers is that there is significant enough data to presume a causal relationship between the late December/January market performance and the larger year’s performance, Stovall said.\n“Not all of the year’s price gains were concentrated in the first month of the year, as a rise for the S&P 500 in January was followed by an average 11.3% climb for the remaining 11 months of the year, with the market posting an 11-month FoA 83% of the time,” he wrote in the report.\nThough January’s gains appear to set the standard for the rest of the year by setting investor attitudes and expectations, Stovall stressed that these indicators are not guarantees.\n“Investors should always view history as a great guide, but never gospel,” he said. Past performance “gives a pretty strong hint of what might happen, but certainly no guarantee.”\nIn 2022, the market will likely encounter challenges from the ongoing COVID pandemic as well as high inflation and the Federal Reserve’s attempts to control it.\nNEW YORK, USA - DECEMBER 28: A man is getting a Covid-19 test at a Covid-19 testing center next to the Queens Hospital Center as hundreds of residents line up to get Covid-19 test in Queens of New York, United States on December 28, 2021 as Omicron rises around the country. (Photo by Tayfun Coskun/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images)More\n“When you think about some of the headwinds that could upset the track record of these different barometers, should they all be triggered,” Stovall said, adding the next COVID variant should be a top concern.\nThe Omicron variant has been the latest strain of the coronavirus to spread throughout all 50 U.S. states. Though recent research suggests that Omicron cases are less severe than previous strains of the virus, it is highly transmissible and has already had an effect on consumer demand insome industries while some remain relatively unaffected.\nSecondly, the Federal Reserve has made it clear that it intends to raise interest rates in response to high inflation. Many economists expect these rate hikes to begin sometime next year.\n“That's a concern because if the Fed is too aggressive raising rates, that could throw the market into a tailspin,” Stovall said. “Also, historically, we have seen PE multiple contraction in a rising interest rate environment.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1229,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":696169616,"gmtCreate":1640650931968,"gmtModify":1640650932635,"author":{"id":"3584319358314273","authorId":"3584319358314273","name":"TinPLJ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1f44e52db537ba004a729d3ccce38cef","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584319358314273","authorIdStr":"3584319358314273"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/696169616","repostId":"2194101666","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1727,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":696169947,"gmtCreate":1640650922274,"gmtModify":1640650922931,"author":{"id":"3584319358314273","authorId":"3584319358314273","name":"TinPLJ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1f44e52db537ba004a729d3ccce38cef","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584319358314273","authorIdStr":"3584319358314273"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Up up","listText":"Up up","text":"Up up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/696169947","repostId":"1188928869","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1823,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":696169038,"gmtCreate":1640650906526,"gmtModify":1640650907211,"author":{"id":"3584319358314273","authorId":"3584319358314273","name":"TinPLJ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1f44e52db537ba004a729d3ccce38cef","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584319358314273","authorIdStr":"3584319358314273"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yeah","listText":"Yeah","text":"Yeah","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/696169038","repostId":"1127544468","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1101,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":698766996,"gmtCreate":1640560603654,"gmtModify":1640560911091,"author":{"id":"3584319358314273","authorId":"3584319358314273","name":"TinPLJ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1f44e52db537ba004a729d3ccce38cef","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584319358314273","authorIdStr":"3584319358314273"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Kaching","listText":"Kaching","text":"Kaching","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698766996","repostId":"2194177486","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1288,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":698768768,"gmtCreate":1640560590990,"gmtModify":1640560910396,"author":{"id":"3584319358314273","authorId":"3584319358314273","name":"TinPLJ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1f44e52db537ba004a729d3ccce38cef","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584319358314273","authorIdStr":"3584319358314273"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Oh oh","listText":"Oh oh","text":"Oh oh","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698768768","repostId":"2194177293","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1609,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":698768588,"gmtCreate":1640560568662,"gmtModify":1640560909348,"author":{"id":"3584319358314273","authorId":"3584319358314273","name":"TinPLJ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1f44e52db537ba004a729d3ccce38cef","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584319358314273","authorIdStr":"3584319358314273"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Jingle all the way","listText":"Jingle all the way","text":"Jingle all the way","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698768588","repostId":"2194177239","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2194177239","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640559609,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/2194177239?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-27 07:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Santa Claus Rally watch: What to know this week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2194177239","media":"Yahoo Finance","summary":"As traders return from the holiday-shortened week, the price action heading into the new year will be closely monitored — especially given the relatively light economic data and earnings calendar for the coming days.The S&P 500  is entering the period known for ushering in the so-called Santa Claus Rally, or seasonally strong timeframe for stocks at the end of each year.According to data from LPL Financial, the Santa Claus Rally period encapsulates the seven days most likely to be higher in any ","content":"<p>As traders return from the holiday-shortened week, the price action heading into the new year will be closely monitored — especially given the relatively light economic data and earnings calendar for the coming days.</p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 (^GSPC) is entering the period known for ushering in the so-called Santa Claus Rally, or seasonally strong timeframe for stocks at the end of each year.</p>\n<p>The term, coined by Stock Trader's Almanac in the 1970s, encompasses the final five trading days of the year and first two sessions of the new year. This year, that Santa Claus Rally window is set to start on Monday, Dec. 27 — or the latest a Santa Claus rally has started in 11 years, due to the timing of the holidays this year.</p>\n<p>According to data from LPL Financial, the Santa Claus Rally period encapsulates the seven days most likely to be higher in any given year. Since 1950, the Santa Claus Rally period has produced a positive return for the S&amp;P 500 78.9% of the time, with an average return of 1.33%.</p>\n<p>“Why are these seven days so strong?” wrote Ryan Detrick, LPL Financial chief market strategist, in a note. “Whether optimism over a coming new year, holiday spending, traders on vacation, institutions squaring up their books — or the holiday spirit — the bottom line is that bulls tend to believe in Santa.”</p>\n<p>And if history is any indication, the absence of a Santa Claus Rally has also typically served as a harbinger of lower near-term returns.</p>\n<p>\"Going back to the mid-1990s, there have been only six times Santa failed to show in December. January was lower five of those six times, and the full year had a solid gain only once (in 2016, but a mini-bear market early in the year),\" Detrick added.</p>\n<p>“Considering the bear markets of 2000 and 2008 both took place after <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> of the rare instances that Santa failed to show makes believers out of us,\" he said. A bear market typically refers to when stocks drop at least 20% from recent record highs. \"Should this seasonally strong period miss the mark, it could be a warning sign.\"</p>\n<p>And this year, investors do have considerable additional concerns to mull heading into the new year. Though stocks closed out Thursday's session at fresh record highs before the long holiday weekend, December still marked a volatile month to start, with renewed concerns over the Omicron variant and the potential for tighter monetary policy from the Federal Reserve weighing on risk assets. Plus, prospects for more near-term fiscal support via the Biden administration's Build Back Better bill have dwindled, and inflation concerns spiked further. Last week, the Bureau of Economic Analysis reported core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) — the Fed's preferred inflation gauge — rose at a 4.7% year-over-year clip, or the fastest since 1983.</p>\n<p>\"If the U.S. was not battling the Omicron variant, U.S. stocks would be dancing higher as the Santa Claus Rally would have kept the climb going into uncharted territory,\" Edward Moya, chief market strategist at OANDA, wrote in a note last week. \"It is too early to say for sure if we will get a Santa Claus Rally, but given all the short-term risks of Fed tightening, Chinese weakness, fiscal support uncertainty and COVID, Wall Street is not complaining.\"</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1279eeacff5d764e6ff5b3e8f7a24f49\" tg-width=\"4000\" tg-height=\"2667\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>A man in a Santa Claus costume gestures on the floor at the closing bell of the Dow Industrial Average at the New York Stock Exchange on December 5, 2019 in New York. (Photo by Bryan R. Smith / AFP) (Photo by BRYAN R. SMITH/AFP via Getty Images)BRYAN R. SMITH via Getty Images</span></p>\n<h2>Economic calendar</h2>\n<ul>\n <li><p><b>Monday: </b>Dallas Federal Reserve Manufacturing Activity Index, Dec. (13.0 expected, 11.8 in November)</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Tuesday: </b>FHFA House Price Index, month-over-month, October (0.9% in September); S&amp;P <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CLGX\">CoreLogic</a> Case-Shiller 20 City Composite Index, month-over-month, October (0.9% expected, 0.96% in September); S&amp;P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20 City Composite Index, year-over-year, October (18.6%. expected, 19.05% in September); S&amp;P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Home Price Index, year-over-year, November (19.51% in October); Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index, December (11 expected,11 in November)</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Wednesday: </b>Wholesale Inventories, month-over-month, November preliminary (1.7% expected, 2.3% in October); Advance Goods Trade Balance, November (-$89.0 billion expected, -$82.9 billion in October); Retail Inventories, month-over-month, November (0.5% expected, 0.1% in October); Pending Home Sales, month-over-month, November (0.5% expected, 7.5% in October)</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Thursday: </b>Initial jobless claims, week ended Dec. 25. (205,000 during prior week); Continuing claims, week ended Dec. 18 (1.859 million during prior week); MNI Chicago PMI, December (62.2 expected, 61.8 in November)</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Friday: </b><i>No notable reports scheduled for release</i></p></li>\n</ul>\n<h2>Earnings calendar</h2>\n<ul>\n <li><p><b>Monday: </b><i>No notable reports scheduled for release</i></p></li>\n <li><p><b>Tuesday: </b><i>No notable reports scheduled for release</i></p></li>\n <li><p><b>Wednesday: </b>FuelCell Energy Inc. (FCEL) before market open</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Thursday: </b><i>No notable reports scheduled for release</i></p></li>\n <li><p><b>Friday: </b><i>No notable reports scheduled for release</i></p></li>\n</ul>","source":"yahoofinance_au","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Santa Claus Rally watch: What to know this week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSanta Claus Rally watch: What to know this week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-12-27 07:00 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/santa-claus-rally-watch-what-to-know-this-week-142909627.html><strong>Yahoo Finance</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>As traders return from the holiday-shortened week, the price action heading into the new year will be closely monitored — especially given the relatively light economic data and earnings calendar for ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/santa-claus-rally-watch-what-to-know-this-week-142909627.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY.AU":"SPDR® S&P 500® ETF Trust","BK4096":"电气部件与设备","BK4541":"氢能源","FCEL":"燃料电池能源"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/santa-claus-rally-watch-what-to-know-this-week-142909627.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2194177239","content_text":"As traders return from the holiday-shortened week, the price action heading into the new year will be closely monitored — especially given the relatively light economic data and earnings calendar for the coming days.\nThe S&P 500 (^GSPC) is entering the period known for ushering in the so-called Santa Claus Rally, or seasonally strong timeframe for stocks at the end of each year.\nThe term, coined by Stock Trader's Almanac in the 1970s, encompasses the final five trading days of the year and first two sessions of the new year. This year, that Santa Claus Rally window is set to start on Monday, Dec. 27 — or the latest a Santa Claus rally has started in 11 years, due to the timing of the holidays this year.\nAccording to data from LPL Financial, the Santa Claus Rally period encapsulates the seven days most likely to be higher in any given year. Since 1950, the Santa Claus Rally period has produced a positive return for the S&P 500 78.9% of the time, with an average return of 1.33%.\n“Why are these seven days so strong?” wrote Ryan Detrick, LPL Financial chief market strategist, in a note. “Whether optimism over a coming new year, holiday spending, traders on vacation, institutions squaring up their books — or the holiday spirit — the bottom line is that bulls tend to believe in Santa.”\nAnd if history is any indication, the absence of a Santa Claus Rally has also typically served as a harbinger of lower near-term returns.\n\"Going back to the mid-1990s, there have been only six times Santa failed to show in December. January was lower five of those six times, and the full year had a solid gain only once (in 2016, but a mini-bear market early in the year),\" Detrick added.\n“Considering the bear markets of 2000 and 2008 both took place after one of the rare instances that Santa failed to show makes believers out of us,\" he said. A bear market typically refers to when stocks drop at least 20% from recent record highs. \"Should this seasonally strong period miss the mark, it could be a warning sign.\"\nAnd this year, investors do have considerable additional concerns to mull heading into the new year. Though stocks closed out Thursday's session at fresh record highs before the long holiday weekend, December still marked a volatile month to start, with renewed concerns over the Omicron variant and the potential for tighter monetary policy from the Federal Reserve weighing on risk assets. Plus, prospects for more near-term fiscal support via the Biden administration's Build Back Better bill have dwindled, and inflation concerns spiked further. Last week, the Bureau of Economic Analysis reported core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) — the Fed's preferred inflation gauge — rose at a 4.7% year-over-year clip, or the fastest since 1983.\n\"If the U.S. was not battling the Omicron variant, U.S. stocks would be dancing higher as the Santa Claus Rally would have kept the climb going into uncharted territory,\" Edward Moya, chief market strategist at OANDA, wrote in a note last week. \"It is too early to say for sure if we will get a Santa Claus Rally, but given all the short-term risks of Fed tightening, Chinese weakness, fiscal support uncertainty and COVID, Wall Street is not complaining.\"\nA man in a Santa Claus costume gestures on the floor at the closing bell of the Dow Industrial Average at the New York Stock Exchange on December 5, 2019 in New York. (Photo by Bryan R. Smith / AFP) (Photo by BRYAN R. SMITH/AFP via Getty Images)BRYAN R. SMITH via Getty Images\nEconomic calendar\n\nMonday: Dallas Federal Reserve Manufacturing Activity Index, Dec. (13.0 expected, 11.8 in November)\nTuesday: FHFA House Price Index, month-over-month, October (0.9% in September); S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20 City Composite Index, month-over-month, October (0.9% expected, 0.96% in September); S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20 City Composite Index, year-over-year, October (18.6%. expected, 19.05% in September); S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Home Price Index, year-over-year, November (19.51% in October); Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index, December (11 expected,11 in November)\nWednesday: Wholesale Inventories, month-over-month, November preliminary (1.7% expected, 2.3% in October); Advance Goods Trade Balance, November (-$89.0 billion expected, -$82.9 billion in October); Retail Inventories, month-over-month, November (0.5% expected, 0.1% in October); Pending Home Sales, month-over-month, November (0.5% expected, 7.5% in October)\nThursday: Initial jobless claims, week ended Dec. 25. (205,000 during prior week); Continuing claims, week ended Dec. 18 (1.859 million during prior week); MNI Chicago PMI, December (62.2 expected, 61.8 in November)\nFriday: No notable reports scheduled for release\n\nEarnings calendar\n\nMonday: No notable reports scheduled for release\nTuesday: No notable reports scheduled for release\nWednesday: FuelCell Energy Inc. (FCEL) before market open\nThursday: No notable reports scheduled for release\nFriday: No notable reports scheduled for release","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2168,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":698480999,"gmtCreate":1640491815324,"gmtModify":1640491963657,"author":{"id":"3584319358314273","authorId":"3584319358314273","name":"TinPLJ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1f44e52db537ba004a729d3ccce38cef","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584319358314273","authorIdStr":"3584319358314273"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698480999","repostId":"2193781141","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1225,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":691513879,"gmtCreate":1640219887616,"gmtModify":1640219888303,"author":{"id":"3584319358314273","authorId":"3584319358314273","name":"TinPLJ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1f44e52db537ba004a729d3ccce38cef","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584319358314273","authorIdStr":"3584319358314273"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yeah","listText":"Yeah","text":"Yeah","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/691513879","repostId":"2193113147","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1567,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":691340165,"gmtCreate":1640141003179,"gmtModify":1640141003777,"author":{"id":"3584319358314273","authorId":"3584319358314273","name":"TinPLJ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1f44e52db537ba004a729d3ccce38cef","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584319358314273","authorIdStr":"3584319358314273"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Still a long way to recover on previous peak","listText":"Still a long way to recover on previous peak","text":"Still a long way to recover on previous peak","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/691340165","repostId":"1161633992","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1161633992","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640139393,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1161633992?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-22 10:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Alibaba Stock Popped over 6% Today?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1161633992","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"What happened\nShares of Alibaba(NYSE:BABA)stock bounced back from yesterday's tech sell-off, gaining","content":"<p>What happened</p>\n<p>Shares of&nbsp;<b>Alibaba</b>(NYSE:BABA)stock bounced back from yesterday's tech sell-off, gaining 6.89% on Tuesday as stock market analysts debated whether the company's just-announced&nbsp;turnaround plan&nbsp;will work or not.</p>\n<p>So what</p>\n<p>Hong Kong-based investment bank CLSA led off with the bull argument, calling Alibaba stock \"cheap\" at its recent price under $123 a share. CLSA predicts that as Chinese consumer spending grows, as Alibaba expands further into international markets, and as Alibaba's own technology improves, these three \"strategic engines\" will propel the company's growth, reports&nbsp;TheFly.com.</p>\n<p>Of these three \"engines,\" CLSA places the greatest weight on Alibaba's technological prowess, saying the company \"enjoys unparalleled competitive advantages and a strong technological lead,\" in particular in cloud-based computing, which will be \"the next big growth pillar\" for Alibaba stock.</p>\n<p>In its bearish rebuttal, though, U.K. stock broker Atlantic Equities says it has little confidence that Alibaba's Taobao and Tmall subsidiaries will perform well in the near term. The analyst agrees that Alibaba stock looks \"inexpensive\" at 17.5 times earnings. Still, Atlantic worries that Alibaba's \"aggressive\" spending on improving the technology that so impresses CLSA won't necessarily pay off for Alibaba. And in particular, Atlantic sees the company's investments in \"AliCloud\" as being only a \"modest\" catalyst for the stock.</p>\n<p>Now what</p>\n<p>For today, it appears that investors are buying CLSA's argument over Atlantic Equities'.</p>\n<p>Ultimately, though, this debate is going to come down to growth. Sure, 17.5 times earnings&nbsp;<i>looks</i>&nbsp;like avalue price&nbsp;for Alibaba stock -- but only if the company can produce enough growth to justify the valuation. While it's true that Alibaba has exhibited some fine growth in the past (a 30% compound rate of growth in earnings over the last five years for example, according to&nbsp;S&amp;P Global Market Intelligence&nbsp;data), over the&nbsp;<i>next</i>&nbsp;five years, most analysts don't see the company producing even 10% annual earnings growth -- but less than 9% instead.</p>\n<p>If that's the best Alibaba ends up doing, I fear that today's rebound in stock price&nbsp;will be short-lived.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Alibaba Stock Popped over 6% Today?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Alibaba Stock Popped over 6% Today?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-12-22 10:16 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/21/why-alibaba-stock-popped-65-today/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>What happened\nShares of Alibaba(NYSE:BABA)stock bounced back from yesterday's tech sell-off, gaining 6.89% on Tuesday as stock market analysts debated whether the company's just-announced turnaround ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/21/why-alibaba-stock-popped-65-today/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/21/why-alibaba-stock-popped-65-today/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1161633992","content_text":"What happened\nShares of Alibaba(NYSE:BABA)stock bounced back from yesterday's tech sell-off, gaining 6.89% on Tuesday as stock market analysts debated whether the company's just-announced turnaround plan will work or not.\nSo what\nHong Kong-based investment bank CLSA led off with the bull argument, calling Alibaba stock \"cheap\" at its recent price under $123 a share. CLSA predicts that as Chinese consumer spending grows, as Alibaba expands further into international markets, and as Alibaba's own technology improves, these three \"strategic engines\" will propel the company's growth, reports TheFly.com.\nOf these three \"engines,\" CLSA places the greatest weight on Alibaba's technological prowess, saying the company \"enjoys unparalleled competitive advantages and a strong technological lead,\" in particular in cloud-based computing, which will be \"the next big growth pillar\" for Alibaba stock.\nIn its bearish rebuttal, though, U.K. stock broker Atlantic Equities says it has little confidence that Alibaba's Taobao and Tmall subsidiaries will perform well in the near term. The analyst agrees that Alibaba stock looks \"inexpensive\" at 17.5 times earnings. Still, Atlantic worries that Alibaba's \"aggressive\" spending on improving the technology that so impresses CLSA won't necessarily pay off for Alibaba. And in particular, Atlantic sees the company's investments in \"AliCloud\" as being only a \"modest\" catalyst for the stock.\nNow what\nFor today, it appears that investors are buying CLSA's argument over Atlantic Equities'.\nUltimately, though, this debate is going to come down to growth. Sure, 17.5 times earnings looks like avalue price for Alibaba stock -- but only if the company can produce enough growth to justify the valuation. While it's true that Alibaba has exhibited some fine growth in the past (a 30% compound rate of growth in earnings over the last five years for example, according to S&P Global Market Intelligence data), over the next five years, most analysts don't see the company producing even 10% annual earnings growth -- but less than 9% instead.\nIf that's the best Alibaba ends up doing, I fear that today's rebound in stock price will be short-lived.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1174,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":false}