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- bengkoonbengkoon
  ·2021-12-09
  Wow
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
  3,262 评论
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- bengkoonbengkoon
  ·2021-11-30
  Wow
  JPMorgan's S&P 500 forecast for 2022 is among the most bullish on Wall Street. Here's the biggest risk it sees for stocks.<blockquote>摩根大通对2022年标普500的预测是华尔街最乐观的预测之一。这是它认为股市面临的最大风险。</blockquote>
  Cue the selling again. Moderna CEO Stéphane Bancel brought the mood down early Tuesday with a predic
  JPMorgan's S&P 500 forecast for 2022 is among the most bullish on Wall Street. Here's the biggest risk it sees for stocks.<blockquote>摩根大通对2022年标普500的预测是华尔街最乐观的预测之一。这是它认为股市面临的最大风险。</blockquote>
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- bengkoonbengkoon
  ·2021-11-10
  Wow
  Blackstone Turns Sluggish Credit Business Into a Winner<blockquote>黑石将低迷的信贷业务转变为赢家</blockquote>
  Blackstone Inc.towers over most of its private-equity peers with $731 billion in assets, but the fir
  Blackstone Turns Sluggish Credit Business Into a Winner<blockquote>黑石将低迷的信贷业务转变为赢家</blockquote>
  3,429 评论
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- bengkoonbengkoon
  ·2021-11-08
  Wows
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
  4,184 评论
  4
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- bengkoonbengkoon
  ·2021-11-06
  $Baidu(BIDU)$Down
  2,884 评论
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- bengkoonbengkoon
  ·2021-11-06
  $Meta Platforms, Inc.(FB)$Wiw
  2,704 评论
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- bengkoonbengkoon
  ·2021-11-05
  $Nike(NKE)$Good
  3,521 评论
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- bengkoonbengkoon
  ·2021-11-05
  $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$Fly
  3,715 评论
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- bengkoonbengkoon
  ·2021-11-02
  $Microsoft(MSFT)$Flying
  3,589 评论
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- bengkoonbengkoon
  ·2021-10-31
  $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ Yahoo
  3,048 评论
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},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/602215495","repostId":"2189576203","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3262,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":609627868,"gmtCreate":1638281726043,"gmtModify":1638281726164,"author":{"id":"4088146696976370","authorId":"4088146696976370","name":"bengkoon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee8ec0fb6d2ba6a8495d1b92f45a46fe","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4088146696976370","idStr":"4088146696976370"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/609627868","repostId":"2187352582","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2187352582","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1638279131,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2187352582?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-30 21:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"JPMorgan's S&P 500 forecast for 2022 is among the most bullish on Wall Street. Here's the biggest risk it sees for stocks.<blockquote>摩根大通对2022年标普500的预测是华尔街最乐观的预测之一。这是它认为股市面临的最大风险。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2187352582","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Cue the selling again.\nModerna CEO Stéphane Bancel brought the mood down early Tuesday with a predic","content":"<p>Cue the selling again.</p><p><blockquote>再次提示抛售。</blockquote></p><p> Moderna&nbsp;CEO Stéphane Bancel brought the mood down early Tuesday with a prediction that current COVID-19 vaccines will struggle against the omicron coronavirus variant, due to its high mutations, and that it will take months to mass produce new immunizations.</p><p><blockquote>Moderna首席执行官Stéphane Bancel周二早些时候预测，由于奥密克戎冠状病毒变种的高度突变，目前的COVID-19疫苗将难以对抗其变种，并且需要几个月的时间才能大规模生产新的免疫疫苗，从而降低了人们的情绪。</blockquote></p><p> \"There is no world, I think, where [the effectiveness] is the same level...we had with delta,\" he told the Financial Times, adding that \"all the scientists I've talked to...are like 'this is not going to be good.'\"</p><p><blockquote>他对英国《金融时报》表示：“我认为，没有一个世界的[有效性]与我们与达美航空的水平相同。”他补充说，“我交谈过的所有科学家……都像‘这不会很好。’”</blockquote></p><p> Initial reports of \"mild\" symptoms among some South African patients helped cheer markets on Monday. \"In reality, the evidence is still incredibly limited on this question, and nothing from the Moderna CEO overnight changes that,\" said strategist Jim Reid and his team at Deutsche Bank, whose poll showed just 10% of investors see the variant as a major market threat by year-end.</p><p><blockquote>周一，一些南非患者出现“轻微”症状的初步报告帮助提振了市场。德意志银行策略师吉姆·里德(Jim Reid)和他的团队表示：“事实上，关于这个问题的证据仍然极其有限，Moderna首席执行官一夜之间的任何举动都没有改变这一点。”他们的民意调查显示，只有10%的投资者将这种变体视为主要问题。年底前的市场威胁。</blockquote></p><p> Indeed, the show must go on, with Wall Street banks continuing to churn out forecasts for the coming year. In our call of the day, JPMorgan predicts a 5,050 finish in 2022 for the S&amp;P 500 , which matches RBC's forecast and looks among the most optimistic on Wall Street so far.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，这场表演必须继续下去，华尔街银行将继续对来年做出预测。在我们当天的看涨期权中，摩根大通预测标普500 2022年收盘价为5,050点，这与加拿大皇家银行的预测一致，也是迄今为止华尔街最乐观的预测之一。</blockquote></p><p> A JPM team led by Dubravko Lakos-Bujas, chief U.S. equity strategist, sees further stock upside ahead, albeit more moderate, on better-than-expected earnings growth, easing supply shocks, improved background on China (which JPM upgraded to overweight on expectations for policy easing and as equity risk premiums from regulatory moves are priced in) and emerging markets, normalizing consumer spending habits and, most important, accommodative central banks.</p><p><blockquote>由首席美国股票策略师杜布拉夫科·拉科斯-布哈斯(Dubravko Lakos-Bujas)领导的摩根大通团队认为，由于盈利增长好于预期、供应冲击缓解、中国背景改善（摩根大通将中国升级为跑赢大盘）和新兴市场、消费者支出习惯正常化以及最重要的是宽松的央行，股市未来将进一步上涨，尽管涨幅较为温和。</blockquote></p><p> The team offered some comfort over recent market stress. \"While there have been sporadic setbacks with COVID-19 variants (e.g. delta, omicron), this needs to be seen in the context of higher natural and vaccine-acquired immunity, significantly lower mortality, and new antiviral treatments,\" said the team, which hammered home the important role of central banks.</p><p><blockquote>该团队对最近的市场压力提供了一些安慰。该团队表示：“虽然COVID-19变种（例如delta、奥密克戎）出现了零星挫折，但这需要在更高的自然和疫苗获得性免疫、显着降低的死亡率以及新的抗病毒治疗的背景下看待。”强调了央行的重要作用。</blockquote></p><p> \"With this in mind, the key risk to our outlook is a hawkish shift in CB [central bank] policy, especially if post-pandemic dislocations persist (e.g. further delay in China reopening, supply-chain issues, labor shortages continue),\" said Lakos-Bujas and the team.</p><p><blockquote>“考虑到这一点，我们前景的关键风险是CB（央行）政策的鹰派转变，特别是如果大流行后的混乱持续存在（例如中国重新开放进一步推迟、供应链问题、劳动力短缺持续），”Lakos-Bujas和团队说道。</blockquote></p><p> The bank sees \"broadly accommodative\" Federal Reserve policy despite tapering, and especially ahead of next November's midterm elections, with an extra $1.1 trillion in developed market central bank balance sheet expansion through 2022. It expects \"inflation rotation rather than broad-based accelerated in prices,\" and sees record corporate liquidity driving capital investment, shareholder returns and mergers and acquisitions.</p><p><blockquote>该行认为，尽管缩减规模，尤其是在明年11月中期选举之前，美联储的政策仍将是“广泛宽松的”，到2022年，发达市场央行的资产负债表将额外扩张1.1万亿美元。它预计“通胀轮动而不是价格普遍加速”，并认为创纪录的企业流动性将推动资本投资、股东回报和并购。</blockquote></p><p> Most of the upside for U.S. stocks should be seen between now and the first half of 2022, \"when monetary and fiscal policy tailwinds will be strongest, followed by sideways action in 2H22,\" when Fed liftoff could drive some de-risking and intra-cycle correction.</p><p><blockquote>从现在到2022年上半年，美国股市的大部分上涨空间应该会出现，“届时货币和财政政策的顺风将最强劲，随后是2022年下半年的横盘整理”，届时美联储的加息可能会推动一些去风险和内部调整。周期修正。</blockquote></p><p> As for stocks and sectors, the bank likes long equity exposure to rising oil prices (the bank predicts oil prices will hit $150 by 2023), financials, consumer services, healthcare and small-caps. The travel, leisure and experiences theme has \"extremely attractive risk-reward, while momentum is \"again getting increasingly correlated and crowded with growth stocks,\" the bank cautioned.</p><p><blockquote>至于股票和板块，该行喜欢在油价上涨（该行预测油价到2023年将达到150美元）、金融、消费服务、医疗保健和小盘股的多头股票敞口。该行警告称，旅游、休闲和体验主题具有“极具吸引力的风险回报，而势头“再次与成长型股票越来越相关并拥挤”。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/796e545cf3aa9d6923a076dd661e3c9a\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"381\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> A few stocks that ended up on its charts included a batch of global beneficiaries of easing supply-chain pressures -- Dollar Tree, Tapestry, Johnson Controls, Masco, Under Armour&nbsp;and Tyson Foods. Among those that stand to benefit from a global reopening in services are Disney, Las Vegas Sands <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LVS\">$(LVS)$</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EXPE\">Expedia</a> (EXPE). Beneficiaries of higher oil prices include Halliburton, Baker Hughes&nbsp;and Occidental Petroleum.</p><p><blockquote>最终出现在其图表上的一些股票包括一批供应链压力缓解的全球受益者——Dollar Tree、Tapestry、江森自控、Masco、Under Armour和泰森食品。迪士尼、拉斯维加斯金沙集团等将从全球服务业重新开放中受益<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LVS\">$(LVS)$</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EXPE\">Expedia</a>（EXPE）。油价上涨的受益者包括哈里伯顿、贝克休斯和西方石油公司。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>JPMorgan's S&P 500 forecast for 2022 is among the most bullish on Wall Street. Here's the biggest risk it sees for stocks.<blockquote>摩根大通对2022年标普500的预测是华尔街最乐观的预测之一。这是它认为股市面临的最大风险。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nJPMorgan's S&P 500 forecast for 2022 is among the most bullish on Wall Street. Here's the biggest risk it sees for stocks.<blockquote>摩根大通对2022年标普500的预测是华尔街最乐观的预测之一。这是它认为股市面临的最大风险。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-30 21:32</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Cue the selling again.</p><p><blockquote>再次提示抛售。</blockquote></p><p> Moderna&nbsp;CEO Stéphane Bancel brought the mood down early Tuesday with a prediction that current COVID-19 vaccines will struggle against the omicron coronavirus variant, due to its high mutations, and that it will take months to mass produce new immunizations.</p><p><blockquote>Moderna首席执行官Stéphane Bancel周二早些时候预测，由于奥密克戎冠状病毒变种的高度突变，目前的COVID-19疫苗将难以对抗其变种，并且需要几个月的时间才能大规模生产新的免疫疫苗，从而降低了人们的情绪。</blockquote></p><p> \"There is no world, I think, where [the effectiveness] is the same level...we had with delta,\" he told the Financial Times, adding that \"all the scientists I've talked to...are like 'this is not going to be good.'\"</p><p><blockquote>他对英国《金融时报》表示：“我认为，没有一个世界的[有效性]与我们与达美航空的水平相同。”他补充说，“我交谈过的所有科学家……都像‘这不会很好。’”</blockquote></p><p> Initial reports of \"mild\" symptoms among some South African patients helped cheer markets on Monday. \"In reality, the evidence is still incredibly limited on this question, and nothing from the Moderna CEO overnight changes that,\" said strategist Jim Reid and his team at Deutsche Bank, whose poll showed just 10% of investors see the variant as a major market threat by year-end.</p><p><blockquote>周一，一些南非患者出现“轻微”症状的初步报告帮助提振了市场。德意志银行策略师吉姆·里德(Jim Reid)和他的团队表示：“事实上，关于这个问题的证据仍然极其有限，Moderna首席执行官一夜之间的任何举动都没有改变这一点。”他们的民意调查显示，只有10%的投资者将这种变体视为主要问题。年底前的市场威胁。</blockquote></p><p> Indeed, the show must go on, with Wall Street banks continuing to churn out forecasts for the coming year. In our call of the day, JPMorgan predicts a 5,050 finish in 2022 for the S&amp;P 500 , which matches RBC's forecast and looks among the most optimistic on Wall Street so far.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，这场表演必须继续下去，华尔街银行将继续对来年做出预测。在我们当天的看涨期权中，摩根大通预测标普500 2022年收盘价为5,050点，这与加拿大皇家银行的预测一致，也是迄今为止华尔街最乐观的预测之一。</blockquote></p><p> A JPM team led by Dubravko Lakos-Bujas, chief U.S. equity strategist, sees further stock upside ahead, albeit more moderate, on better-than-expected earnings growth, easing supply shocks, improved background on China (which JPM upgraded to overweight on expectations for policy easing and as equity risk premiums from regulatory moves are priced in) and emerging markets, normalizing consumer spending habits and, most important, accommodative central banks.</p><p><blockquote>由首席美国股票策略师杜布拉夫科·拉科斯-布哈斯(Dubravko Lakos-Bujas)领导的摩根大通团队认为，由于盈利增长好于预期、供应冲击缓解、中国背景改善（摩根大通将中国升级为跑赢大盘）和新兴市场、消费者支出习惯正常化以及最重要的是宽松的央行，股市未来将进一步上涨，尽管涨幅较为温和。</blockquote></p><p> The team offered some comfort over recent market stress. \"While there have been sporadic setbacks with COVID-19 variants (e.g. delta, omicron), this needs to be seen in the context of higher natural and vaccine-acquired immunity, significantly lower mortality, and new antiviral treatments,\" said the team, which hammered home the important role of central banks.</p><p><blockquote>该团队对最近的市场压力提供了一些安慰。该团队表示：“虽然COVID-19变种（例如delta、奥密克戎）出现了零星挫折，但这需要在更高的自然和疫苗获得性免疫、显着降低的死亡率以及新的抗病毒治疗的背景下看待。”强调了央行的重要作用。</blockquote></p><p> \"With this in mind, the key risk to our outlook is a hawkish shift in CB [central bank] policy, especially if post-pandemic dislocations persist (e.g. further delay in China reopening, supply-chain issues, labor shortages continue),\" said Lakos-Bujas and the team.</p><p><blockquote>“考虑到这一点，我们前景的关键风险是CB（央行）政策的鹰派转变，特别是如果大流行后的混乱持续存在（例如中国重新开放进一步推迟、供应链问题、劳动力短缺持续），”Lakos-Bujas和团队说道。</blockquote></p><p> The bank sees \"broadly accommodative\" Federal Reserve policy despite tapering, and especially ahead of next November's midterm elections, with an extra $1.1 trillion in developed market central bank balance sheet expansion through 2022. It expects \"inflation rotation rather than broad-based accelerated in prices,\" and sees record corporate liquidity driving capital investment, shareholder returns and mergers and acquisitions.</p><p><blockquote>该行认为，尽管缩减规模，尤其是在明年11月中期选举之前，美联储的政策仍将是“广泛宽松的”，到2022年，发达市场央行的资产负债表将额外扩张1.1万亿美元。它预计“通胀轮动而不是价格普遍加速”，并认为创纪录的企业流动性将推动资本投资、股东回报和并购。</blockquote></p><p> Most of the upside for U.S. stocks should be seen between now and the first half of 2022, \"when monetary and fiscal policy tailwinds will be strongest, followed by sideways action in 2H22,\" when Fed liftoff could drive some de-risking and intra-cycle correction.</p><p><blockquote>从现在到2022年上半年，美国股市的大部分上涨空间应该会出现，“届时货币和财政政策的顺风将最强劲，随后是2022年下半年的横盘整理”，届时美联储的加息可能会推动一些去风险和内部调整。周期修正。</blockquote></p><p> As for stocks and sectors, the bank likes long equity exposure to rising oil prices (the bank predicts oil prices will hit $150 by 2023), financials, consumer services, healthcare and small-caps. The travel, leisure and experiences theme has \"extremely attractive risk-reward, while momentum is \"again getting increasingly correlated and crowded with growth stocks,\" the bank cautioned.</p><p><blockquote>至于股票和板块，该行喜欢在油价上涨（该行预测油价到2023年将达到150美元）、金融、消费服务、医疗保健和小盘股的多头股票敞口。该行警告称，旅游、休闲和体验主题具有“极具吸引力的风险回报，而势头“再次与成长型股票越来越相关并拥挤”。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/796e545cf3aa9d6923a076dd661e3c9a\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"381\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> A few stocks that ended up on its charts included a batch of global beneficiaries of easing supply-chain pressures -- Dollar Tree, Tapestry, Johnson Controls, Masco, Under Armour&nbsp;and Tyson Foods. Among those that stand to benefit from a global reopening in services are Disney, Las Vegas Sands <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LVS\">$(LVS)$</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EXPE\">Expedia</a> (EXPE). Beneficiaries of higher oil prices include Halliburton, Baker Hughes&nbsp;and Occidental Petroleum.</p><p><blockquote>最终出现在其图表上的一些股票包括一批供应链压力缓解的全球受益者——Dollar Tree、Tapestry、江森自控、Masco、Under Armour和泰森食品。迪士尼、拉斯维加斯金沙集团等将从全球服务业重新开放中受益<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LVS\">$(LVS)$</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EXPE\">Expedia</a>（EXPE）。油价上涨的受益者包括哈里伯顿、贝克休斯和西方石油公司。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/jpmorgans-s-p-500-forecast-for-2022-is-among-the-most-bullish-on-wall-street-heres-the-biggest-risk-it-sees-for-stocks-11638273921?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"OEX":"标普100","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","SPY":"标普500ETF","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","OXY":"西方石油","BK4504":"桥水持仓",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/jpmorgans-s-p-500-forecast-for-2022-is-among-the-most-bullish-on-wall-street-heres-the-biggest-risk-it-sees-for-stocks-11638273921?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2187352582","content_text":"Cue the selling again.\nModerna CEO Stéphane Bancel brought the mood down early Tuesday with a prediction that current COVID-19 vaccines will struggle against the omicron coronavirus variant, due to its high mutations, and that it will take months to mass produce new immunizations.\n\"There is no world, I think, where [the effectiveness] is the same level...we had with delta,\" he told the Financial Times, adding that \"all the scientists I've talked to...are like 'this is not going to be good.'\"\nInitial reports of \"mild\" symptoms among some South African patients helped cheer markets on Monday. \"In reality, the evidence is still incredibly limited on this question, and nothing from the Moderna CEO overnight changes that,\" said strategist Jim Reid and his team at Deutsche Bank, whose poll showed just 10% of investors see the variant as a major market threat by year-end.\nIndeed, the show must go on, with Wall Street banks continuing to churn out forecasts for the coming year. In our call of the day, JPMorgan predicts a 5,050 finish in 2022 for the S&P 500 , which matches RBC's forecast and looks among the most optimistic on Wall Street so far.\nA JPM team led by Dubravko Lakos-Bujas, chief U.S. equity strategist, sees further stock upside ahead, albeit more moderate, on better-than-expected earnings growth, easing supply shocks, improved background on China (which JPM upgraded to overweight on expectations for policy easing and as equity risk premiums from regulatory moves are priced in) and emerging markets, normalizing consumer spending habits and, most important, accommodative central banks.\nThe team offered some comfort over recent market stress. \"While there have been sporadic setbacks with COVID-19 variants (e.g. delta, omicron), this needs to be seen in the context of higher natural and vaccine-acquired immunity, significantly lower mortality, and new antiviral treatments,\" said the team, which hammered home the important role of central banks.\n\"With this in mind, the key risk to our outlook is a hawkish shift in CB [central bank] policy, especially if post-pandemic dislocations persist (e.g. further delay in China reopening, supply-chain issues, labor shortages continue),\" said Lakos-Bujas and the team.\nThe bank sees \"broadly accommodative\" Federal Reserve policy despite tapering, and especially ahead of next November's midterm elections, with an extra $1.1 trillion in developed market central bank balance sheet expansion through 2022. It expects \"inflation rotation rather than broad-based accelerated in prices,\" and sees record corporate liquidity driving capital investment, shareholder returns and mergers and acquisitions.\nMost of the upside for U.S. stocks should be seen between now and the first half of 2022, \"when monetary and fiscal policy tailwinds will be strongest, followed by sideways action in 2H22,\" when Fed liftoff could drive some de-risking and intra-cycle correction.\nAs for stocks and sectors, the bank likes long equity exposure to rising oil prices (the bank predicts oil prices will hit $150 by 2023), financials, consumer services, healthcare and small-caps. The travel, leisure and experiences theme has \"extremely attractive risk-reward, while momentum is \"again getting increasingly correlated and crowded with growth stocks,\" the bank cautioned.\n\nA few stocks that ended up on its charts included a batch of global beneficiaries of easing supply-chain pressures -- Dollar Tree, Tapestry, Johnson Controls, Masco, Under Armour and Tyson Foods. Among those that stand to benefit from a global reopening in services are Disney, Las Vegas Sands $(LVS)$ and Expedia (EXPE). Beneficiaries of higher oil prices include Halliburton, Baker Hughes and Occidental Petroleum.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPY":0.9,"OXY":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"SSO":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"ESmain":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"SDS":0.9,"UPRO":0.9,"OEX":0.9,"SPXU":0.9,"IVV":0.9,"OEF":0.9,"SH":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4018,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":847417595,"gmtCreate":1636544939880,"gmtModify":1636545043616,"author":{"id":"4088146696976370","authorId":"4088146696976370","name":"bengkoon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee8ec0fb6d2ba6a8495d1b92f45a46fe","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4088146696976370","idStr":"4088146696976370"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow&nbsp;","listText":"Wow&nbsp;","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/847417595","repostId":"1151092697","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1151092697","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1636540850,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1151092697?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-10 18:40","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Blackstone Turns Sluggish Credit Business Into a Winner<blockquote>黑石将低迷的信贷业务转变为赢家</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1151092697","media":"Wall Street Journal","summary":"Blackstone Inc.towers over most of its private-equity peers with $731 billion in assets, but the fir","content":"<p>Blackstone&nbsp;Inc.towers over most of its private-equity peers with $731 billion in assets, but the firm has had a soft underbelly for years: its sluggish lending business. Now, credit has become one of the firm’s fastest-growing segments, part of a broad shift under the leadership of President Jonathan Gray.</p><p><blockquote>Blackstone Inc.以7,310亿美元的资产超越了大多数私募股权同行，但该公司多年来一直有一个软肋：其低迷的贷款业务。现在，信贷已成为该公司增长最快的部门之一，这是总裁乔纳森·格雷(Jonathan Gray)领导下广泛转变的一部分。</blockquote></p><p> Assets under management in the unit, which makes corporate loans backing leveraged buyouts for other private-equity firms, jumped 22% to $188 billion this year through Sept. 30. Private-equity assets under management rose 17% to $231.5 billion over the same period.</p><p><blockquote>截至9月30日，该部门管理的资产今年增长了22%，达到1,880亿美元，该部门为其他私募股权公司的杠杆收购提供企业贷款。同期管理的私募股权资产增长17%，达到2,315亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Blackstone is expanding in the space by launching low-fee funds and selling them to wealthy individuals who might not qualify for products tailored to institutions like pension plans. The strategy replicated a move that Mr. Grayused to turbocharge the growthof the firm’s real-estate investment trust, called BREIT.</p><p><blockquote>黑石正在通过推出低费用基金并将其出售给可能没有资格获得为养老金计划等机构量身定制的产品的富人来拓展这一领域。该策略复制了格雷先生用来推动该公司房地产投资信托基金BREIT增长的举措。</blockquote></p><p> It also marks a culture shift, as the hedge-fund operations that once lent Blackstone its Wall Street cachet fall out of favor. And large money managers that traditionally focused on private equity see a bigger opportunity in debt, where the addressable market could be as large as $40 trillion.</p><p><blockquote>这也标志着一种文化转变，因为曾经让黑石在华尔街享有盛誉的对冲基金业务失宠了。传统上专注于私募股权的大型基金经理看到了债务方面的更大机会，潜在市场可能高达40万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> The resurgent credit business should help Blackstone in the race for investor dollars against its principal competitors, includingApollo Global ManagementInc.,Ares ManagementCorp.and KKR &amp; Co.</p><p><blockquote>复兴的信贷业务应该有助于黑石与主要竞争对手（包括阿波罗全球管理公司、战神管理公司和KKR&amp;Co.）争夺投资者资金。</blockquote></p><p> Debt specialists Apollo and Ares have pledged to boost assets to $1 trillion and $500 billion, respectively, in coming years, while KKR more than doubled its credit business this year, primarily by purchasing insurer Global Atlantic Financial Group Ltd. Only Ares grew its own credit business as fast as Blackstone this year.</p><p><blockquote>债务专家Apollo和Ares承诺在未来几年将资产分别增加到1万亿美元和5000亿美元，而KKR今年的信贷业务增加了一倍多，主要是通过收购保险公司Global Atlantic Financial Group Ltd。只有Ares实现了自身的增长今年信贷业务与黑石一样快。</blockquote></p><p> Several large credit firms vied to win the lead role providing $2.6 billion of loans this year for private-equity firm Thoma Bravo LP’s leveraged buyout of Stamps.com Inc. Blackstone walked away with the top spot by offering to backstop the entire amount, Dwight Scott, head of Blackstone Credit, said.</p><p><blockquote>几家大型信贷公司竞相争夺主导地位，今年为私募股权公司Thoma Bravo LP杠杆收购Stamps.com Inc.提供了26亿美元的贷款。黑石集团(Blackstone)通过提供全额支持而夺得了头把交椅。黑石信贷负责人表示。</blockquote></p><p> The firm historically operated in debt markets through GSO Capital Partners, a hedge-fund manager it acquired in 2008 that was known for large, aggressive and lucrative trades. GSO’s founders— Bennett Goodman, Tripp Smith and Doug Ostrover —all left Blackstone in recent years. The credit business jettisoned the GSO name last year and has shut its hedge funds.</p><p><blockquote>该公司历来通过GSO Capital Partners在债务市场开展业务，GSO Capital Partners是该公司于2008年收购的一家对冲基金管理公司，以大规模、激进和利润丰厚的交易而闻名。GSO的创始人贝内特·古德曼(Bennett Goodman)、特里普·史密斯(Tripp Smith)和道格·奥斯特罗弗(Doug Ostrover)近年来均离开了黑石。该信贷业务去年放弃了GSO名称，并关闭了其对冲基金。</blockquote></p><p> Blackstone’s separate hedge-fund solutions business has shrunk in importance to 11% of total assets, down from 19.4% five years ago, according to earnings reports. John McCormick, co-head of Blackstone’s funds-of-hedge-funds business, told colleagues last month thathe plans to resign.</p><p><blockquote>财报显示，黑石独立的对冲基金解决方案业务占总资产的比重已从五年前的19.4%降至11%。黑石对冲基金业务联席主管约翰·麦考密克上个月告诉同事，他计划辞职。</blockquote></p><p> The hedge-fund solutions unit’s “revenues and earnings have doubled in the last three years and the business will continue to expand through new offerings and senior hires,” a Blackstone spokeswoman said.</p><p><blockquote>黑石发言人表示，该对冲基金解决方案部门的“收入和盈利在过去三年中翻了一番，业务将通过新产品和高级员工继续扩张”。</blockquote></p><p> The rebranded Blackstone Credit is aggressively marketing less-risky, cheaper funds to individual investors.</p><p><blockquote>更名后的Blackstone Credit正在积极向个人投资者推销风险较低、成本较低的基金。</blockquote></p><p> “It’s all about de-risking the portfolio,” said Mr. Scott. Blackstone believes the lower-fee products allow it to deliver attractive returns to investors without reaching for yield by purchasing debt with a higher chance of default, he said.</p><p><blockquote>“这一切都是为了降低投资组合的风险，”斯科特先生说。他表示，黑石认为，费用较低的产品使其能够为投资者提供有吸引力的回报，而无需通过购买违约可能性较高的债务来获得收益率。</blockquote></p><p> The credit revamp is part of Blackstone’s aim to achieve $1 trillion in assets by 2026. To get there, Mr. Gray has encouraged Blackstone’s business headsto embrace a thematic investing approachfocused on fast-growing industries. In credit, this translates into more loans to sectors such as technology and life sciences.</p><p><blockquote>此次信贷重组是黑石到2026年实现1万亿美元资产目标的一部分。为了实现这一目标，格雷先生鼓励黑石业务负责人采用专注于快速增长行业的主题投资方法。在信贷方面，这转化为对技术和生命科学等行业的更多贷款。</blockquote></p><p> Blackstone earlier this year launched BCRED, a business development company, or BDC, which makes direct loans to medium-size companies. BCRED raised $9.4 billion through share sales this year, primarily to individual investors.</p><p><blockquote>Blackstone今年早些时候推出了BCRED，这是一家业务开发公司，简称BDC，向中型公司提供直接贷款。BCRED今年通过股票销售筹集了94亿美元，主要面向个人投资者。</blockquote></p><p> Blackstone made its first big foray into credit whenit bought GSOfor about $1 billion. GSO hedge funds excelled at big risky bets on distressed debt thatreturned as much as $100 million each.</p><p><blockquote>黑石集团首次大举进军信贷领域，以约10亿美元收购了GSO。GSO对冲基金擅长对不良债务进行高风险押注，每笔回报高达1亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> The firm also joined with Franklin Square Holdings LP, which launched a BDC in 2009. GSO made the loans and split management fees with Franklin Square, which raised money from individual investors. Upfront broker and management fees averaged 9.4% in the BDC’s early days, high enough toattract scrutiny from regulators.</p><p><blockquote>该公司还与Franklin Square Holdings LP合作，后者于2009年推出了BDC。GSO发放贷款并与富兰克林广场分摊管理费，富兰克林广场从个人投资者那里筹集资金。BDC早期的前期经纪费和管理费平均为9.4%，高到足以引起监管机构的审查。</blockquote></p><p> Credit assets jumped about fivefold to $128 billion in the decade after the GSO acquisition as the business built a mixture of BDCs, hedge funds and securitized bundles of low-rated debt known as collateralized loan obligations.</p><p><blockquote>在收购GSO后的十年里，信贷资产增长了约五倍，达到1280亿美元，因为该业务建立了BDC、对冲基金和低评级债务证券化捆绑（即抵押贷款债券）的组合。</blockquote></p><p> The growth stalled out in mid-2018 when the venture with Franklin Square dissolved over the profit-sharing split and differing growth strategies. Blackstoneexited from the businessin exchange for a $640 million breakup fee. The last of the GSO founders resigned shortly afterward.</p><p><blockquote>2018年年中，由于利润分享分割和不同的增长战略，与富兰克林广场的合资企业解散，增长陷入停滞。黑石退出了该业务，以换取6.4亿美元的分手费。GSO的最后一位创始人不久后辞职。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Credit assets under management rose by 3.1% to $144.3 billion from April 2018 to the end of 2019 even as Blackstone’s overall assets swelled by 27%, according to company earnings reports. Apollo’s credit assets grew 30.4% over the same period to $215.5 billion and Ares’s surged 43% to $110.5 billion.</p><p><blockquote>根据公司收益报告，从2018年4月到2019年底，管理的信贷资产增长了3.1%，达到1,443亿美元，尽管黑石的整体资产增长了27%。Apollo的信贷资产同期增长30.4%，达到2,155亿美元，Ares的信贷资产飙升43%，达到1,105亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Blackstone spent that time designing the terms and sales engine for its new BDC, from which it earns all of the management fees, said Brad Marshall, co-head of performing credit at the firm. BCRED uses the same brokers that sell BREIT for marketing and charges a 1.25% management fee and a 12.5% performance fee. Most big competitors charge 1.5% and 17.5%-20%, respectively, according to Securities and Exchange Commission filings.</p><p><blockquote>该公司执行信贷联席主管布拉德·马歇尔(Brad Marshall)表示，黑石集团花了这段时间为其新的BDC设计条款和销售引擎，并从中赚取所有管理费。BCRED使用与销售BREIT相同的经纪人进行营销，并收取1.25%的管理费和12.5%的绩效费。根据美国证券交易委员会提交的文件，大多数大型竞争对手的收费分别为1.5%和17.5%-20%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Blackstone Turns Sluggish Credit Business Into a Winner<blockquote>黑石将低迷的信贷业务转变为赢家</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBlackstone Turns Sluggish Credit Business Into a Winner<blockquote>黑石将低迷的信贷业务转变为赢家</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Wall Street Journal</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-10 18:40</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Blackstone&nbsp;Inc.towers over most of its private-equity peers with $731 billion in assets, but the firm has had a soft underbelly for years: its sluggish lending business. Now, credit has become one of the firm’s fastest-growing segments, part of a broad shift under the leadership of President Jonathan Gray.</p><p><blockquote>Blackstone Inc.以7,310亿美元的资产超越了大多数私募股权同行，但该公司多年来一直有一个软肋：其低迷的贷款业务。现在，信贷已成为该公司增长最快的部门之一，这是总裁乔纳森·格雷(Jonathan Gray)领导下广泛转变的一部分。</blockquote></p><p> Assets under management in the unit, which makes corporate loans backing leveraged buyouts for other private-equity firms, jumped 22% to $188 billion this year through Sept. 30. Private-equity assets under management rose 17% to $231.5 billion over the same period.</p><p><blockquote>截至9月30日，该部门管理的资产今年增长了22%，达到1,880亿美元，该部门为其他私募股权公司的杠杆收购提供企业贷款。同期管理的私募股权资产增长17%，达到2,315亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Blackstone is expanding in the space by launching low-fee funds and selling them to wealthy individuals who might not qualify for products tailored to institutions like pension plans. The strategy replicated a move that Mr. Grayused to turbocharge the growthof the firm’s real-estate investment trust, called BREIT.</p><p><blockquote>黑石正在通过推出低费用基金并将其出售给可能没有资格获得为养老金计划等机构量身定制的产品的富人来拓展这一领域。该策略复制了格雷先生用来推动该公司房地产投资信托基金BREIT增长的举措。</blockquote></p><p> It also marks a culture shift, as the hedge-fund operations that once lent Blackstone its Wall Street cachet fall out of favor. And large money managers that traditionally focused on private equity see a bigger opportunity in debt, where the addressable market could be as large as $40 trillion.</p><p><blockquote>这也标志着一种文化转变，因为曾经让黑石在华尔街享有盛誉的对冲基金业务失宠了。传统上专注于私募股权的大型基金经理看到了债务方面的更大机会，潜在市场可能高达40万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> The resurgent credit business should help Blackstone in the race for investor dollars against its principal competitors, includingApollo Global ManagementInc.,Ares ManagementCorp.and KKR &amp; Co.</p><p><blockquote>复兴的信贷业务应该有助于黑石与主要竞争对手（包括阿波罗全球管理公司、战神管理公司和KKR&amp;Co.）争夺投资者资金。</blockquote></p><p> Debt specialists Apollo and Ares have pledged to boost assets to $1 trillion and $500 billion, respectively, in coming years, while KKR more than doubled its credit business this year, primarily by purchasing insurer Global Atlantic Financial Group Ltd. Only Ares grew its own credit business as fast as Blackstone this year.</p><p><blockquote>债务专家Apollo和Ares承诺在未来几年将资产分别增加到1万亿美元和5000亿美元，而KKR今年的信贷业务增加了一倍多，主要是通过收购保险公司Global Atlantic Financial Group Ltd。只有Ares实现了自身的增长今年信贷业务与黑石一样快。</blockquote></p><p> Several large credit firms vied to win the lead role providing $2.6 billion of loans this year for private-equity firm Thoma Bravo LP’s leveraged buyout of Stamps.com Inc. Blackstone walked away with the top spot by offering to backstop the entire amount, Dwight Scott, head of Blackstone Credit, said.</p><p><blockquote>几家大型信贷公司竞相争夺主导地位，今年为私募股权公司Thoma Bravo LP杠杆收购Stamps.com Inc.提供了26亿美元的贷款。黑石集团(Blackstone)通过提供全额支持而夺得了头把交椅。黑石信贷负责人表示。</blockquote></p><p> The firm historically operated in debt markets through GSO Capital Partners, a hedge-fund manager it acquired in 2008 that was known for large, aggressive and lucrative trades. GSO’s founders— Bennett Goodman, Tripp Smith and Doug Ostrover —all left Blackstone in recent years. The credit business jettisoned the GSO name last year and has shut its hedge funds.</p><p><blockquote>该公司历来通过GSO Capital Partners在债务市场开展业务，GSO Capital Partners是该公司于2008年收购的一家对冲基金管理公司，以大规模、激进和利润丰厚的交易而闻名。GSO的创始人贝内特·古德曼(Bennett Goodman)、特里普·史密斯(Tripp Smith)和道格·奥斯特罗弗(Doug Ostrover)近年来均离开了黑石。该信贷业务去年放弃了GSO名称，并关闭了其对冲基金。</blockquote></p><p> Blackstone’s separate hedge-fund solutions business has shrunk in importance to 11% of total assets, down from 19.4% five years ago, according to earnings reports. John McCormick, co-head of Blackstone’s funds-of-hedge-funds business, told colleagues last month thathe plans to resign.</p><p><blockquote>财报显示，黑石独立的对冲基金解决方案业务占总资产的比重已从五年前的19.4%降至11%。黑石对冲基金业务联席主管约翰·麦考密克上个月告诉同事，他计划辞职。</blockquote></p><p> The hedge-fund solutions unit’s “revenues and earnings have doubled in the last three years and the business will continue to expand through new offerings and senior hires,” a Blackstone spokeswoman said.</p><p><blockquote>黑石发言人表示，该对冲基金解决方案部门的“收入和盈利在过去三年中翻了一番，业务将通过新产品和高级员工继续扩张”。</blockquote></p><p> The rebranded Blackstone Credit is aggressively marketing less-risky, cheaper funds to individual investors.</p><p><blockquote>更名后的Blackstone Credit正在积极向个人投资者推销风险较低、成本较低的基金。</blockquote></p><p> “It’s all about de-risking the portfolio,” said Mr. Scott. Blackstone believes the lower-fee products allow it to deliver attractive returns to investors without reaching for yield by purchasing debt with a higher chance of default, he said.</p><p><blockquote>“这一切都是为了降低投资组合的风险，”斯科特先生说。他表示，黑石认为，费用较低的产品使其能够为投资者提供有吸引力的回报，而无需通过购买违约可能性较高的债务来获得收益率。</blockquote></p><p> The credit revamp is part of Blackstone’s aim to achieve $1 trillion in assets by 2026. To get there, Mr. Gray has encouraged Blackstone’s business headsto embrace a thematic investing approachfocused on fast-growing industries. In credit, this translates into more loans to sectors such as technology and life sciences.</p><p><blockquote>此次信贷重组是黑石到2026年实现1万亿美元资产目标的一部分。为了实现这一目标，格雷先生鼓励黑石业务负责人采用专注于快速增长行业的主题投资方法。在信贷方面，这转化为对技术和生命科学等行业的更多贷款。</blockquote></p><p> Blackstone earlier this year launched BCRED, a business development company, or BDC, which makes direct loans to medium-size companies. BCRED raised $9.4 billion through share sales this year, primarily to individual investors.</p><p><blockquote>Blackstone今年早些时候推出了BCRED，这是一家业务开发公司，简称BDC，向中型公司提供直接贷款。BCRED今年通过股票销售筹集了94亿美元，主要面向个人投资者。</blockquote></p><p> Blackstone made its first big foray into credit whenit bought GSOfor about $1 billion. GSO hedge funds excelled at big risky bets on distressed debt thatreturned as much as $100 million each.</p><p><blockquote>黑石集团首次大举进军信贷领域，以约10亿美元收购了GSO。GSO对冲基金擅长对不良债务进行高风险押注，每笔回报高达1亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> The firm also joined with Franklin Square Holdings LP, which launched a BDC in 2009. GSO made the loans and split management fees with Franklin Square, which raised money from individual investors. Upfront broker and management fees averaged 9.4% in the BDC’s early days, high enough toattract scrutiny from regulators.</p><p><blockquote>该公司还与Franklin Square Holdings LP合作，后者于2009年推出了BDC。GSO发放贷款并与富兰克林广场分摊管理费，富兰克林广场从个人投资者那里筹集资金。BDC早期的前期经纪费和管理费平均为9.4%，高到足以引起监管机构的审查。</blockquote></p><p> Credit assets jumped about fivefold to $128 billion in the decade after the GSO acquisition as the business built a mixture of BDCs, hedge funds and securitized bundles of low-rated debt known as collateralized loan obligations.</p><p><blockquote>在收购GSO后的十年里，信贷资产增长了约五倍，达到1280亿美元，因为该业务建立了BDC、对冲基金和低评级债务证券化捆绑（即抵押贷款债券）的组合。</blockquote></p><p> The growth stalled out in mid-2018 when the venture with Franklin Square dissolved over the profit-sharing split and differing growth strategies. Blackstoneexited from the businessin exchange for a $640 million breakup fee. The last of the GSO founders resigned shortly afterward.</p><p><blockquote>2018年年中，由于利润分享分割和不同的增长战略，与富兰克林广场的合资企业解散，增长陷入停滞。黑石退出了该业务，以换取6.4亿美元的分手费。GSO的最后一位创始人不久后辞职。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Credit assets under management rose by 3.1% to $144.3 billion from April 2018 to the end of 2019 even as Blackstone’s overall assets swelled by 27%, according to company earnings reports. Apollo’s credit assets grew 30.4% over the same period to $215.5 billion and Ares’s surged 43% to $110.5 billion.</p><p><blockquote>根据公司收益报告，从2018年4月到2019年底，管理的信贷资产增长了3.1%，达到1,443亿美元，尽管黑石的整体资产增长了27%。Apollo的信贷资产同期增长30.4%，达到2,155亿美元，Ares的信贷资产飙升43%，达到1,105亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Blackstone spent that time designing the terms and sales engine for its new BDC, from which it earns all of the management fees, said Brad Marshall, co-head of performing credit at the firm. BCRED uses the same brokers that sell BREIT for marketing and charges a 1.25% management fee and a 12.5% performance fee. Most big competitors charge 1.5% and 17.5%-20%, respectively, according to Securities and Exchange Commission filings.</p><p><blockquote>该公司执行信贷联席主管布拉德·马歇尔(Brad Marshall)表示，黑石集团花了这段时间为其新的BDC设计条款和销售引擎，并从中赚取所有管理费。BCRED使用与销售BREIT相同的经纪人进行营销，并收取1.25%的管理费和12.5%的绩效费。根据美国证券交易委员会提交的文件，大多数大型竞争对手的收费分别为1.5%和17.5%-20%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.wsj.com/articles/blackstone-turns-sluggish-credit-business-into-a-winner-11636540201?siteid=yhoof2\">Wall Street Journal</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BX":"黑石"},"source_url":"https://www.wsj.com/articles/blackstone-turns-sluggish-credit-business-into-a-winner-11636540201?siteid=yhoof2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1151092697","content_text":"Blackstone Inc.towers over most of its private-equity peers with $731 billion in assets, but the firm has had a soft underbelly for years: its sluggish lending business. Now, credit has become one of the firm’s fastest-growing segments, part of a broad shift under the leadership of President Jonathan Gray.\nAssets under management in the unit, which makes corporate loans backing leveraged buyouts for other private-equity firms, jumped 22% to $188 billion this year through Sept. 30. Private-equity assets under management rose 17% to $231.5 billion over the same period.\nBlackstone is expanding in the space by launching low-fee funds and selling them to wealthy individuals who might not qualify for products tailored to institutions like pension plans. The strategy replicated a move that Mr. Grayused to turbocharge the growthof the firm’s real-estate investment trust, called BREIT.\nIt also marks a culture shift, as the hedge-fund operations that once lent Blackstone its Wall Street cachet fall out of favor. And large money managers that traditionally focused on private equity see a bigger opportunity in debt, where the addressable market could be as large as $40 trillion.\nThe resurgent credit business should help Blackstone in the race for investor dollars against its principal competitors, includingApollo Global ManagementInc.,Ares ManagementCorp.and KKR & Co.\nDebt specialists Apollo and Ares have pledged to boost assets to $1 trillion and $500 billion, respectively, in coming years, while KKR more than doubled its credit business this year, primarily by purchasing insurer Global Atlantic Financial Group Ltd. Only Ares grew its own credit business as fast as Blackstone this year.\nSeveral large credit firms vied to win the lead role providing $2.6 billion of loans this year for private-equity firm Thoma Bravo LP’s leveraged buyout of Stamps.com Inc. Blackstone walked away with the top spot by offering to backstop the entire amount, Dwight Scott, head of Blackstone Credit, said.\nThe firm historically operated in debt markets through GSO Capital Partners, a hedge-fund manager it acquired in 2008 that was known for large, aggressive and lucrative trades. GSO’s founders— Bennett Goodman, Tripp Smith and Doug Ostrover —all left Blackstone in recent years. The credit business jettisoned the GSO name last year and has shut its hedge funds.\nBlackstone’s separate hedge-fund solutions business has shrunk in importance to 11% of total assets, down from 19.4% five years ago, according to earnings reports. John McCormick, co-head of Blackstone’s funds-of-hedge-funds business, told colleagues last month thathe plans to resign.\nThe hedge-fund solutions unit’s “revenues and earnings have doubled in the last three years and the business will continue to expand through new offerings and senior hires,” a Blackstone spokeswoman said.\nThe rebranded Blackstone Credit is aggressively marketing less-risky, cheaper funds to individual investors.\n“It’s all about de-risking the portfolio,” said Mr. Scott. Blackstone believes the lower-fee products allow it to deliver attractive returns to investors without reaching for yield by purchasing debt with a higher chance of default, he said.\nThe credit revamp is part of Blackstone’s aim to achieve $1 trillion in assets by 2026. To get there, Mr. Gray has encouraged Blackstone’s business headsto embrace a thematic investing approachfocused on fast-growing industries. In credit, this translates into more loans to sectors such as technology and life sciences.\nBlackstone earlier this year launched BCRED, a business development company, or BDC, which makes direct loans to medium-size companies. BCRED raised $9.4 billion through share sales this year, primarily to individual investors.\nBlackstone made its first big foray into credit whenit bought GSOfor about $1 billion. GSO hedge funds excelled at big risky bets on distressed debt thatreturned as much as $100 million each.\nThe firm also joined with Franklin Square Holdings LP, which launched a BDC in 2009. GSO made the loans and split management fees with Franklin Square, which raised money from individual investors. Upfront broker and management fees averaged 9.4% in the BDC’s early days, high enough toattract scrutiny from regulators.\nCredit assets jumped about fivefold to $128 billion in the decade after the GSO acquisition as the business built a mixture of BDCs, hedge funds and securitized bundles of low-rated debt known as collateralized loan obligations.\nThe growth stalled out in mid-2018 when the venture with Franklin Square dissolved over the profit-sharing split and differing growth strategies. Blackstoneexited from the businessin exchange for a $640 million breakup fee. The last of the GSO founders resigned shortly afterward.\nCredit assets under management rose by 3.1% to $144.3 billion from April 2018 to the end of 2019 even as Blackstone’s overall assets swelled by 27%, according to company earnings reports. Apollo’s credit assets grew 30.4% over the same period to $215.5 billion and Ares’s surged 43% to $110.5 billion.\nBlackstone spent that time designing the terms and sales engine for its new BDC, from which it earns all of the management fees, said Brad Marshall, co-head of performing credit at the firm. BCRED uses the same brokers that sell BREIT for marketing and charges a 1.25% management fee and a 12.5% performance fee. Most big competitors charge 1.5% and 17.5%-20%, respectively, according to Securities and Exchange Commission filings.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3429,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":844937847,"gmtCreate":1636382572785,"gmtModify":1636382573050,"author":{"id":"4088146696976370","authorId":"4088146696976370","name":"bengkoon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee8ec0fb6d2ba6a8495d1b92f45a46fe","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4088146696976370","idStr":"4088146696976370"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wows&nbsp;","listText":"Wows&nbsp;","text":"Wows","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/844937847","repostId":"1173434003","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4184,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":842151366,"gmtCreate":1636157705360,"gmtModify":1636157705607,"author":{"id":"4088146696976370","authorId":"4088146696976370","name":"bengkoon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee8ec0fb6d2ba6a8495d1b92f45a46fe","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4088146696976370","idStr":"4088146696976370"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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