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Tonica
Tonica
·
2022-01-27
Hope it's down more
WTI Crude Fell 1% to $86.46 a Barrel, Brent Fell 0.93%
WTI crude fell 1% to $86.46 a barrel, Brent fell 0.93%.
WTI Crude Fell 1% to $86.46 a Barrel, Brent Fell 0.93%
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Tonica
Tonica
·
2022-01-24
Play down?
开盘:美股跌势不止!三大股指集体低开
1月24日,道琼斯指数开盘下跌453.02点,跌幅1.32%,报33812.35点;标普500指数开盘下跌73.11点,跌幅1.66%,报4324.82点;纳斯达克综合指数开盘下跌295.2点,跌幅2
开盘:美股跌势不止!三大股指集体低开
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Tonica
Tonica
·
2022-01-21
Worries
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Tonica
Tonica
·
2022-01-17
Yes the clean energy
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Tonica
Tonica
·
2022-01-16
Agreed
Why Apple's Delay In Launching A Much-Awaited AR/VR Headset Makes Sense: Analyst
Apple Inc(NASDAQ:AAPL)is reportedly delaying the launch of its mixed reality headset until the end o
Why Apple's Delay In Launching A Much-Awaited AR/VR Headset Makes Sense: Analyst
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Tonica
Tonica
·
2022-01-16
Hope it's true
Amazon Stock Could Return 20% Annually Based on Analyst FCF Forecasts
Amazon(NASDAQ:AMZN) stock has been in a sort of free fall for the past several months. I suspect tha
Amazon Stock Could Return 20% Annually Based on Analyst FCF Forecasts
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Tonica
Tonica
·
2022-01-16
Monday no market
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Tonica
Tonica
·
2021-12-28
Year end rally
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Tonica
Tonica
·
2021-12-26
Good recommendation
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Tonica
Tonica
·
2021-12-25
You can predict
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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">阿里巴巴</a>近4%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOGL\">谷歌A</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">亚马逊</a>跌约3%;</p><p>区块链概念股重挫,Bit Digital跌逾12%,Marathon Digital跌逾10%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAN\">嘉楠科技</a>跌超11%;</p><p>热门中概股集体低开,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JKS\">晶科能源</a>跌超8%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BILI\">哔哩哔哩</a>跌超6%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TME\">腾讯音乐</a>跌近6%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">拼多多</a>跌近5%;</p><p>新能源车股普跌,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a>汽车跌近6%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">小鹏汽车</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">理想汽车</a>均跌超4%</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KSS\">科尔士百货</a>涨超30%,据悉激进投资公司Starboard支持的Acacia Research以及私募股权公司Sycamore Partners均对该公司提出收购要约。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>开盘:美股跌势不止!三大股指集体低开</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ 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margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n开盘:美股跌势不止!三大股指集体低开\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-01-24 22:30</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>1月24日,道琼斯指数开盘下跌453.02点,跌幅1.32%,报33812.35点;标普500指数开盘下跌73.11点,跌幅1.66%,报4324.82点;纳斯达克综合指数开盘下跌295.2点,跌幅2.14%,报13473.7点。</p><p>大型科技股普遍低开,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">阿里巴巴</a>近4%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOGL\">谷歌A</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">亚马逊</a>跌约3%;</p><p>区块链概念股重挫,Bit Digital跌逾12%,Marathon Digital跌逾10%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAN\">嘉楠科技</a>跌超11%;</p><p>热门中概股集体低开,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JKS\">晶科能源</a>跌超8%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BILI\">哔哩哔哩</a>跌超6%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TME\">腾讯音乐</a>跌近6%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">拼多多</a>跌近5%;</p><p>新能源车股普跌,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a>汽车跌近6%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">小鹏汽车</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">理想汽车</a>均跌超4%</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KSS\">科尔士百货</a>涨超30%,据悉激进投资公司Starboard支持的Acacia Research以及私募股权公司Sycamore Partners均对该公司提出收购要约。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff6e3231d788a5a6d28cf7965385cc7f","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","KSS":"柯尔百货",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1157289589","content_text":"1月24日,道琼斯指数开盘下跌453.02点,跌幅1.32%,报33812.35点;标普500指数开盘下跌73.11点,跌幅1.66%,报4324.82点;纳斯达克综合指数开盘下跌295.2点,跌幅2.14%,报13473.7点。大型科技股普遍低开,特斯拉、阿里巴巴近4%,谷歌A、亚马逊跌约3%;区块链概念股重挫,Bit Digital跌逾12%,Marathon Digital跌逾10%,嘉楠科技跌超11%;热门中概股集体低开,晶科能源跌超8%,哔哩哔哩跌超6%,腾讯音乐跌近6%,拼多多跌近5%;新能源车股普跌,蔚来汽车跌近6%,小鹏汽车、理想汽车均跌超4%科尔士百货涨超30%,据悉激进投资公司Starboard支持的Acacia Research以及私募股权公司Sycamore Partners均对该公司提出收购要约。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1201,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":630346367,"gmtCreate":1642724962082,"gmtModify":1642724962323,"author":{"id":"4093583449913140","authorId":"4093583449913140","name":"Tonica","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4093583449913140","authorIdStr":"4093583449913140"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Worries","listText":"Worries","text":"Worries","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/630346367","repostId":"2205013143","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1054,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":697167193,"gmtCreate":1642378205917,"gmtModify":1642378206151,"author":{"id":"4093583449913140","authorId":"4093583449913140","name":"Tonica","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4093583449913140","authorIdStr":"4093583449913140"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yes the clean energy","listText":"Yes the clean energy","text":"Yes the clean energy","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/697167193","repostId":"2203174213","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1197,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":697323791,"gmtCreate":1642300844107,"gmtModify":1642300844345,"author":{"id":"4093583449913140","authorId":"4093583449913140","name":"Tonica","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4093583449913140","authorIdStr":"4093583449913140"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Agreed","listText":"Agreed","text":"Agreed","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/697323791","repostId":"1164563855","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1164563855","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1642296215,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1164563855?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-01-16 09:23","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Apple's Delay In Launching A Much-Awaited AR/VR Headset Makes Sense: Analyst","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1164563855","media":"Benzinga","summary":"Apple Inc(NASDAQ:AAPL)is reportedly delaying the launch of its mixed reality headset until the end o","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Apple Inc</b>(NASDAQ:AAPL)is reportedly delaying the launch of its mixed reality headset until the end of 2022 or later. The delay has to do with development challenges related to overheating, cameras and software.</p><p><b>Delay Makes Sense:</b> Apple's decision to delay the product makes sense, given the AR/VR headset is a complex product with complex development cycles, supply chain and development technology, Loup Funds analyst <b>Andrew Murphy</b> said in a discussion on Loup TV.</p><p>A potential launch of the product around Apple's Worldwide Developers Conference 2023 would work well for Apple, say Loup Funds analysts. This will help the developer community get behind the product and make it ready from a software perspective as well as apps and features, Loup Funds' Managing Partner<b>Gene Munster</b> said.</p><p>The firm's analyst <b>Doug Clinton</b>, who predicted the delay, said the decision to hold off on releasing the headset doesn't matter to investors. He says the headset is coming, and it is going to take a long time for the device to ramp up and become meaningful relative to the current product base.</p><p>So, for Apple, it is still all about the iPhone and Services, and it will take a while before anything related to this headset really matters from a financial standpoint, Clinton said.</p><p><b>Push Back To Multiple Expansion:</b> Munster opined that the delay doesn't change the trajectory of Apple's opportunity in the metaverse, but it does create a headwind in terms of multiple expansion opportunities.</p><p>"Apple will eventually release a product that will build confidence with investors that Apple has a winning approach to AR and the metaverse," the analysts said.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1606299360108","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Apple's Delay In Launching A Much-Awaited AR/VR Headset Makes Sense: Analyst</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Apple's Delay In Launching A Much-Awaited AR/VR Headset Makes Sense: Analyst\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-01-16 09:23 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/22/01/25067521/why-apples-delay-in-launching-a-much-awaited-arvr-headset-makes-sense-analyst><strong>Benzinga</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Apple Inc(NASDAQ:AAPL)is reportedly delaying the launch of its mixed reality headset until the end of 2022 or later. The delay has to do with development challenges related to overheating, cameras and...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/22/01/25067521/why-apples-delay-in-launching-a-much-awaited-arvr-headset-makes-sense-analyst\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/22/01/25067521/why-apples-delay-in-launching-a-much-awaited-arvr-headset-makes-sense-analyst","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1164563855","content_text":"Apple Inc(NASDAQ:AAPL)is reportedly delaying the launch of its mixed reality headset until the end of 2022 or later. The delay has to do with development challenges related to overheating, cameras and software.Delay Makes Sense: Apple's decision to delay the product makes sense, given the AR/VR headset is a complex product with complex development cycles, supply chain and development technology, Loup Funds analyst Andrew Murphy said in a discussion on Loup TV.A potential launch of the product around Apple's Worldwide Developers Conference 2023 would work well for Apple, say Loup Funds analysts. This will help the developer community get behind the product and make it ready from a software perspective as well as apps and features, Loup Funds' Managing PartnerGene Munster said.The firm's analyst Doug Clinton, who predicted the delay, said the decision to hold off on releasing the headset doesn't matter to investors. He says the headset is coming, and it is going to take a long time for the device to ramp up and become meaningful relative to the current product base.So, for Apple, it is still all about the iPhone and Services, and it will take a while before anything related to this headset really matters from a financial standpoint, Clinton said.Push Back To Multiple Expansion: Munster opined that the delay doesn't change the trajectory of Apple's opportunity in the metaverse, but it does create a headwind in terms of multiple expansion opportunities.\"Apple will eventually release a product that will build confidence with investors that Apple has a winning approach to AR and the metaverse,\" the analysts said.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1340,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":697323641,"gmtCreate":1642300693895,"gmtModify":1642300694165,"author":{"id":"4093583449913140","authorId":"4093583449913140","name":"Tonica","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4093583449913140","authorIdStr":"4093583449913140"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hope it's true","listText":"Hope it's true","text":"Hope it's true","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/697323641","repostId":"1102556611","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1102556611","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1642297266,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1102556611?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-01-16 09:41","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Amazon Stock Could Return 20% Annually Based on Analyst FCF Forecasts","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1102556611","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"Amazon(NASDAQ:AMZN) stock has been in a sort of free fall for the past several months. I suspect tha","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Amazon</b>(NASDAQ:<b><u>AMZN</u></b>) stock has been in a sort of free fall for the past several months. I suspect that it may be at a point where investors can begin accumulating it. One reason is that I foresee that AMZN stock will stage a rebound sometime this quarter or in the spring.</p><p>After peaking at $3,696.06 on Nov. 18, the stock has taken a tumble. At the end of December, AMZN stock closed at $3,334.34. But as of Jan. 13, it was lower at $3,224.28. That represents a drop of about 10% from its peak and a decline of 3.3% since the beginning of 2022.</p><p>However, once the company issues its upcoming earnings, I suspect that AMZN stock could make a rebound. Let’s look at this further.</p><p>Where Things Stand at Amazon.com</p><p>Amazon is likely to release its fourth-quarter (Q4) earnings report sometime before the end of this month. This is because it usually releases its quarterly earnings at the end of the month following the quarter-end.</p><p>More importantly, the release is likely to show a much higher free cash flow (FCF) figure than it did last quarter. In Q3, Amazon reported that its last 12 months (LTM) FCF fell to just$2.6 billion. This was substantially lower than its year-earlier Q3 LTM figure of $29.5 billion.</p><p>By the way, Amazon is one of the only large companies that reports its earnings this way. It likes to use a quarterly comparison of full-year FCF on a look-back basis over the prior 12 months.</p><p>This is most likely because the Christmas quarter (Q4) is such a large portion of its overall free cash flow. In other words, the quarterly changes are irrelevant, unless seen on an LTM basis, because the Christmas quarter is such an important factor.</p><p>One Time Costs and FCF</p><p>As I wrote last month, Amazon experienced a good deal of difficulty in operating costs. This is likely from the travails from Covid-19 and its effect on Amazon’s business. For example, its freight and shipping costs increased 20% on a year-over-year (YOY) basis in Q3.</p><p>Moreover, shipping costs were up 30% in Q2 and 57% in Q1. This goes a long way in explaining why the Q3 trailing-12-month (TTM) free cash flow figures were significantly lower. However, you can see that the YOY cost increases have been declining. This could mean that Amazon is adapting to these changes.</p><p>Therefore, I suspect that the Q4 might not show as great an increase in these costs. As a result, FCF margins might be better than expected, given the poor results in Q3.</p><p>Free Cash Flow Estimates for AMZN Stock</p><p>Historically, Amazon has made TTM FCF margins of 8.5% or higher. Last year, Amazon made $29.5 billion in TTM FCF on sales of $348 billion. That is an LTM FCF margin of 8.5%.</p><p>So, Amazon could be at a low here in terms of its poor LTM FCF margins. Going forward, FCF margins might be at least 4.25%, half of the historical quarterly averages.</p><p>Therefore, assuming sales hit $553 billion in 2022, using Seeking Alpha’s analyst estimates, the FCF forecast for 2022 will be $23.5 billion. This is the result of multiplying 4.25% by $553 billion.</p><p>This is almost 10 times the $2.5 billion that Amazon made in LTM FCF during Q3. So, it represents a huge turnaround in the FCF. And remember, we are only using half of the normal 8.5% FCF margin for Amazon.</p><p>Where This Leaves AMZN Stock</p><p>Using a 1% FCF yield metric, we can forecast that Amazon’s market value will reach $2.35 trillion. This is the result of dividing $23.5 billion by 0.01 (i.e., $23.5b / 1.0% = $2.35 trillion).</p><p>This $2.35 trillion target market value is 43.73% higher than Amazon’s existing market value of $1.635 trillion.</p><p>That implies that AMZN stock is worth 43.73% more than its price today of $3,224.28. That puts its target value at $4,634.26 per share.</p><p>Here is the good thing about this. Even if it takes 2 years for the stock to rise 43.73% to this price, the average annual return will be about 20% annually (19.9%).</p><p>So, investing in AMZN stock should provide at least a 20% average return over the next 2 years, and possibly much more. That is a very good return on investment for most investors, especially over the long-term.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1606302653667","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Amazon Stock Could Return 20% Annually Based on Analyst FCF Forecasts</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAmazon Stock Could Return 20% Annually Based on Analyst FCF Forecasts\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-01-16 09:41 GMT+8 <a href=https://investorplace.com/2022/01/amzn-stock-could-return-20-percent-annually-over-2-years-based-on-its-fcf-estimates/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Amazon(NASDAQ:AMZN) stock has been in a sort of free fall for the past several months. I suspect that it may be at a point where investors can begin accumulating it. One reason is that I foresee that ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2022/01/amzn-stock-could-return-20-percent-annually-over-2-years-based-on-its-fcf-estimates/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"亚马逊"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2022/01/amzn-stock-could-return-20-percent-annually-over-2-years-based-on-its-fcf-estimates/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1102556611","content_text":"Amazon(NASDAQ:AMZN) stock has been in a sort of free fall for the past several months. I suspect that it may be at a point where investors can begin accumulating it. One reason is that I foresee that AMZN stock will stage a rebound sometime this quarter or in the spring.After peaking at $3,696.06 on Nov. 18, the stock has taken a tumble. At the end of December, AMZN stock closed at $3,334.34. But as of Jan. 13, it was lower at $3,224.28. That represents a drop of about 10% from its peak and a decline of 3.3% since the beginning of 2022.However, once the company issues its upcoming earnings, I suspect that AMZN stock could make a rebound. Let’s look at this further.Where Things Stand at Amazon.comAmazon is likely to release its fourth-quarter (Q4) earnings report sometime before the end of this month. This is because it usually releases its quarterly earnings at the end of the month following the quarter-end.More importantly, the release is likely to show a much higher free cash flow (FCF) figure than it did last quarter. In Q3, Amazon reported that its last 12 months (LTM) FCF fell to just$2.6 billion. This was substantially lower than its year-earlier Q3 LTM figure of $29.5 billion.By the way, Amazon is one of the only large companies that reports its earnings this way. It likes to use a quarterly comparison of full-year FCF on a look-back basis over the prior 12 months.This is most likely because the Christmas quarter (Q4) is such a large portion of its overall free cash flow. In other words, the quarterly changes are irrelevant, unless seen on an LTM basis, because the Christmas quarter is such an important factor.One Time Costs and FCFAs I wrote last month, Amazon experienced a good deal of difficulty in operating costs. This is likely from the travails from Covid-19 and its effect on Amazon’s business. For example, its freight and shipping costs increased 20% on a year-over-year (YOY) basis in Q3.Moreover, shipping costs were up 30% in Q2 and 57% in Q1. This goes a long way in explaining why the Q3 trailing-12-month (TTM) free cash flow figures were significantly lower. However, you can see that the YOY cost increases have been declining. This could mean that Amazon is adapting to these changes.Therefore, I suspect that the Q4 might not show as great an increase in these costs. As a result, FCF margins might be better than expected, given the poor results in Q3.Free Cash Flow Estimates for AMZN StockHistorically, Amazon has made TTM FCF margins of 8.5% or higher. Last year, Amazon made $29.5 billion in TTM FCF on sales of $348 billion. That is an LTM FCF margin of 8.5%.So, Amazon could be at a low here in terms of its poor LTM FCF margins. Going forward, FCF margins might be at least 4.25%, half of the historical quarterly averages.Therefore, assuming sales hit $553 billion in 2022, using Seeking Alpha’s analyst estimates, the FCF forecast for 2022 will be $23.5 billion. This is the result of multiplying 4.25% by $553 billion.This is almost 10 times the $2.5 billion that Amazon made in LTM FCF during Q3. So, it represents a huge turnaround in the FCF. And remember, we are only using half of the normal 8.5% FCF margin for Amazon.Where This Leaves AMZN StockUsing a 1% FCF yield metric, we can forecast that Amazon’s market value will reach $2.35 trillion. This is the result of dividing $23.5 billion by 0.01 (i.e., $23.5b / 1.0% = $2.35 trillion).This $2.35 trillion target market value is 43.73% higher than Amazon’s existing market value of $1.635 trillion.That implies that AMZN stock is worth 43.73% more than its price today of $3,224.28. That puts its target value at $4,634.26 per share.Here is the good thing about this. Even if it takes 2 years for the stock to rise 43.73% to this price, the average annual return will be about 20% annually (19.9%).So, investing in AMZN stock should provide at least a 20% average return over the next 2 years, and possibly much more. That is a very good return on investment for most investors, especially over the long-term.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1443,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":697323136,"gmtCreate":1642300582492,"gmtModify":1642300582732,"author":{"id":"4093583449913140","authorId":"4093583449913140","name":"Tonica","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4093583449913140","authorIdStr":"4093583449913140"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Monday no market","listText":"Monday no market","text":"Monday no market","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/697323136","repostId":"2203201745","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1263,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":696805989,"gmtCreate":1640657213545,"gmtModify":1640657339435,"author":{"id":"4093583449913140","authorId":"4093583449913140","name":"Tonica","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4093583449913140","authorIdStr":"4093583449913140"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Year end rally","listText":"Year end rally","text":"Year end rally","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/696805989","repostId":"1127544468","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1375,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":698468622,"gmtCreate":1640497190676,"gmtModify":1640497190924,"author":{"id":"4093583449913140","authorId":"4093583449913140","name":"Tonica","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4093583449913140","authorIdStr":"4093583449913140"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good recommendation","listText":"Good recommendation","text":"Good recommendation","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698468622","repostId":"2193781141","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1542,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":698291387,"gmtCreate":1640398856113,"gmtModify":1640398856405,"author":{"id":"4093583449913140","authorId":"4093583449913140","name":"Tonica","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4093583449913140","authorIdStr":"4093583449913140"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"You can predict","listText":"You can predict","text":"You can predict","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698291387","repostId":"1156159690","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1899,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":false}