Love this article. Wake-up cal_老虎社区_美港股上老虎

HyperCat
2021-04-23

Love this article. Wake-up call

Warren Buffett could teach traders in dogecoin, GameStop and other hot trends a few things about ‘Mr. Market’<blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特可以向狗狗币、游戏驿站和其他热门趋势的交易者传授一些关于沃伦·巴菲特先生的知识。市场'</blockquote>

Be skeptical of fads, fashions and trends and operate within your circle of competence MarketWatch p

Warren Buffett could teach traders in dogecoin, GameStop and other hot trends a few things about ‘Mr. Market’<blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特可以向狗狗币、游戏驿站和其他热门趋势的交易者传授一些关于沃伦·巴菲特先生的知识。市场'</blockquote>

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{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"data":{"magic":2,"id":376246835,"tweetId":"376246835","gmtCreate":1619134492527,"gmtModify":1634288367236,"author":{"id":3570750402462573,"idStr":"3570750402462573","authorId":3570750402462573,"authorIdStr":"3570750402462573","name":"HyperCat","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/46d306d099586785cb11da80598e0c9e","vip":1,"userType":1,"introduction":"","boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"fanSize":4,"starInvestorFlag":false},"themes":[],"images":[],"coverImages":[],"extraTitle":"","html":"<html><head></head><body>Love this article. Wake-up call</body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body>Love this article. Wake-up call</body></html>","text":"Love this article. Wake-up call","highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/376246835","repostId":1171301745,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1171301745","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1619107041,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1171301745?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-22 23:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Warren Buffett could teach traders in dogecoin, GameStop and other hot trends a few things about ‘Mr. Market’<blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特可以向狗狗币、游戏驿站和其他热门趋势的交易者传授一些关于沃伦·巴菲特先生的知识。市场'</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1171301745","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Be skeptical of fads, fashions and trends and operate within your circle of competence\nMarketWatch p","content":"Be skeptical of fads, fashions and trends and operate within your circle of competence<blockquote>对时尚、流行和趋势持怀疑态度，并在自己的能力范围内运作</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/db221b5c38828963f24b035309d8303e\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"876\">MarketWatch photo illustration/iStockphoto<blockquote>MarketWatch照片插图/iStockphoto</blockquote> As the old joke goes, St. Peter had some bad news for an oil&nbsp;prospector&nbsp;who appeared at the pearly gates of heaven: “You’re qualified for admission,” said St. Peter, “but, as you can see, the section for oil prospectors is packed. There’s no way to fit you in.”<blockquote>正如一个古老的笑话所说，圣彼得对一个出现在天堂之门的石油勘探者有一些坏消息：“你有资格进入，”圣彼得说，“但是，正如你所看到的，石油勘探者区挤满了人。没有办法让你进去。”</blockquote> After a moment, the prospector asked to say just four words to the present occupants.&nbsp;That seemed harmless to St. Peter, so the prospector yelled, “Oil discovered in hell!”&nbsp; Immediately, most of the oil prospectors stampeded out for the nether regions.&nbsp;Impressed, St. Peter invited the prospector to move in and get comfortable. The prospector paused, saying “No, I think I’ll go along with the rest of them.&nbsp; There might be some truth to that rumor after all.”<blockquote>过了一会儿，探矿者要求对现在的居住者只说四个字。这对圣彼得来说似乎无害，所以探矿者喊道：“在地狱发现了石油！”随即，大多数石油勘探者纷纷涌向幽冥地区。圣彼得印象深刻，邀请探矿者搬进来，过得舒适些。探矿者停顿了一下，说：“不，我想我会和其他人一起去。毕竟那个谣言可能有一定的真实性。”</blockquote> Let that be a warning to CEOs and shareholders. Steering clear of rumors and self-delusion has been one of Warren Buffett’s key rules, ingrained into Berkshire Hathaway for years. We all need to hear such lessons repeatedly because reality’s temptations are always at war with our ideals.<blockquote>让这成为对首席执行官和股东的警告。避开谣言和自欺欺人一直是沃伦·巴菲特的关键规则之一，多年来在伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司根深蒂固。我们都需要反复听到这样的教训，因为现实的诱惑总是与我们的理想交战。</blockquote> The serial frenzies in meme stocks like&nbsp;GameStop&nbsp;and cryptocurrencies like dogecoin&nbsp;make this a good time to contrast what investors should do from what many seem to do. Comparing Berkshire’s and crypto’s faithful is apt given their outsized followings: an estimated 30 million Americanshave traded cryptocurrencies and 30 million are expected to stream this year’s Berkshire virtual annual meeting on May 1.<blockquote>游戏驿站等模因股票和狗狗币等加密货币的一系列狂热使得现在是对比投资者应该做什么和许多人似乎在做什么的好时机。考虑到伯克希尔和加密货币的忠实粉丝数量庞大，比较它们是恰当的：估计有3000万美国人交易过加密货币，预计将有3000万人观看今年5月1日举行的伯克希尔虚拟年会。</blockquote> Buffett defines Berkshire as a corporation with a partnership attitude. The value of each investor’s stake will rise (or fall) in lock step. This contrasts with how many seem to view companies with meme stocks or most of the crypto space. There, the culture is casino-like, where a small few stand to reap unimaginable riches while the overwhelming majority lose their shirts.&nbsp;<blockquote>巴菲特将伯克希尔定义为一家具有合伙人态度的公司。每个投资者的股份价值将同步上升（或下降）。这与许多人似乎用迷因股票或大部分加密货币领域来看待公司形成了鲜明对比。那里的文化就像赌场一样，少数人收获难以想象的财富，而绝大多数人却输光了。</blockquote> Moreover, Berkshire’s culture emphasizes patience and permanence. The company ideally holds investments and businesses forever and encourages its shareholders to hold indefinitely, through thick and thin. In the world of meme stocks and cryptocurrency trading, a strong norm favors immediate payday profits to be taken off the board. &nbsp;<blockquote>而且，伯克希尔的文化强调耐心和恒久。理想情况下，该公司永远持有投资和业务，并鼓励其股东无论同甘共苦都无限期持有。在迷因股票和加密货币交易的世界里，一个强有力的规范有利于立即将发薪日利润从董事会中扣除。 </blockquote> Relatedly, the Berkshire ideal accepts that it requires decades to build capital and that accumulating wealth entails skill and time — as well as a bit of luck. In contrast are those who strive to get rich quickly — and effortlessly. Today, some investment market players even seem to believe that everyone should be rich, as a matter of entitlement.<blockquote>与此相关的是，伯克希尔的理想承认，积累资本需要几十年的时间，积累财富需要技能和时间，以及一点运气。相比之下，那些努力快速致富的人——而且毫不费力。今天，一些投资市场参与者甚至似乎认为，每个人都应该富有，这是一种权利。</blockquote> The ideal Berkshire investor focuses on business, operating strategies, products or services and competitive advantages. For many in the meme-crypto world, what counts is hype and adrenaline, not whether there’s a business plan, let alone operations or customers. The Berkshire model is skeptical of fads, fashions and trends, while dogecoin and other cryptos thrive on these.<blockquote>理想的伯克希尔投资者关注业务、运营策略、产品或服务以及竞争优势。对于迷因加密世界中的许多人来说，重要的是炒作和肾上腺素，而不是是否有商业计划，更不用说运营或客户了。伯克希尔模型对时尚、时尚和趋势持怀疑态度，而狗狗币和其他加密货币则靠这些蓬勃发展。</blockquote> This leads to the Berkshire canon’s cardinal principle: the circle of competence. It prescribes to invest only in what you can understand with a moderate amount of effort. This excludes at least some meme stocks and many currently faddish&nbsp;“blank-check” IPO-mergers. For most people, cryptocurrencies are outside of their circle of competence. Indeed, large numbers of investors nowadays appear to be way out of their circle of competence.<blockquote>这就引出了伯克希尔经典的基本原则：能力圈。它规定只投资于你只要付出适度的努力就能理解的东西。这至少不包括一些模因股票和许多目前流行的“空白支票”IPO合并。对于大多数人来说，加密货币超出了他们的能力范围。事实上，如今大量投资者似乎远远超出了他们的能力范围。</blockquote> For investments within one’s circle of competence, Berkshire adherents appreciate that prices fluctuate widely and no one can predict such volatility. “Mr. Market” is a moody manic, always willing to trade with you at the going price, sometimes elevated, sometimes depressed.<blockquote>对于自己能力范围内的投资，伯克希尔的追随者意识到价格波动很大，没有人能够预测这种波动。“市场先生”是一个喜怒无常的狂躁者，总是愿意以现行价格与你交易，有时高，有时低。</blockquote> Following from both the limits of personal competence and the whims of markets, the Berkshire playbook demands a wide margin between the price paid and the value received. In Berkshire’s value-investing lexicon, this is the “margin of safety,” and Buffett has long said that these are the&nbsp;three most important words in investing.<blockquote>根据个人能力的限制和市场的波动，伯克希尔的剧本要求支付的价格和收到的价值之间有很大的差距。在伯克希尔的价值投资词典中，这就是“安全边际”，巴菲特早就说过，这是投资中最重要的三个词。</blockquote> Finally, besides avoiding rumor-mongering and self-delusion, the Berkshire playbook says to beware the delusions of others. Berkshire’s Vice Chairman, Charlie Munger, tells a story about fishing for muskies at Leech Lake in Minnesota. A visiting angler asked the local guide, “Are any muskies caught in this lake?”<blockquote>最后，除了避免散布谣言和自欺欺人之外，伯克希尔的剧本还说要小心他人的妄想。伯克希尔副董事长查理·芒格讲述了一个在明尼苏达州利奇湖钓麝香鱼的故事。一位来访的垂钓者问当地导游：“这个湖里有钓到麝香鱼吗？”</blockquote> “More muskies are caught in this lake than in any other lake in Minnesota,” the guide replied.&nbsp; “This lake is famous for muskies.”<blockquote>“这个湖捕获的麝香鱼比明尼苏达州任何其他湖都多，”向导回答说，“这个湖以麝香鱼闻名。”</blockquote> “How long have you been fishing here?”<blockquote>“你在这里钓鱼多久了？”</blockquote> “Nineteen years,” the guide said.<blockquote>“十九年，”向导说。</blockquote> “And how many muskies have you caught?”<blockquote>“你抓了多少麝香猫？”</blockquote> “None.”<blockquote>“没有。”</blockquote> So the next time someone tells you of the untold riches being made in day trading, ask them, “How much cash have you banked?”<blockquote>所以，下次有人告诉你日内交易创造了数不清的财富时，问问他们，“你存了多少现金？”</blockquote>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Warren Buffett could teach traders in dogecoin, GameStop and other hot trends a few things about ‘Mr. Market’<blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特可以向狗狗币、游戏驿站和其他热门趋势的交易者传授一些关于沃伦·巴菲特先生的知识。市场'</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWarren Buffett could teach traders in dogecoin, GameStop and other hot trends a few things about ‘Mr. Market’<blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特可以向狗狗币、游戏驿站和其他热门趋势的交易者传授一些关于沃伦·巴菲特先生的知识。市场'</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\nMarketWatch2021-04-22 23:57\n\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\nBe skeptical of fads, fashions and trends and operate within your circle of competence<blockquote>对时尚、流行和趋势持怀疑态度，并在自己的能力范围内运作</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/db221b5c38828963f24b035309d8303e\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"876\">MarketWatch photo illustration/iStockphoto<blockquote>MarketWatch照片插图/iStockphoto</blockquote> As the old joke goes, St. Peter had some bad news for an oil&nbsp;prospector&nbsp;who appeared at the pearly gates of heaven: “You’re qualified for admission,” said St. Peter, “but, as you can see, the section for oil prospectors is packed. There’s no way to fit you in.”<blockquote>正如一个古老的笑话所说，圣彼得对一个出现在天堂之门的石油勘探者有一些坏消息：“你有资格进入，”圣彼得说，“但是，正如你所看到的，石油勘探者区挤满了人。没有办法让你进去。”</blockquote> After a moment, the prospector asked to say just four words to the present occupants.&nbsp;That seemed harmless to St. Peter, so the prospector yelled, “Oil discovered in hell!”&nbsp; Immediately, most of the oil prospectors stampeded out for the nether regions.&nbsp;Impressed, St. Peter invited the prospector to move in and get comfortable. The prospector paused, saying “No, I think I’ll go along with the rest of them.&nbsp; There might be some truth to that rumor after all.”<blockquote>过了一会儿，探矿者要求对现在的居住者只说四个字。这对圣彼得来说似乎无害，所以探矿者喊道：“在地狱发现了石油！”随即，大多数石油勘探者纷纷涌向幽冥地区。圣彼得印象深刻，邀请探矿者搬进来，过得舒适些。探矿者停顿了一下，说：“不，我想我会和其他人一起去。毕竟那个谣言可能有一定的真实性。”</blockquote> Let that be a warning to CEOs and shareholders. Steering clear of rumors and self-delusion has been one of Warren Buffett’s key rules, ingrained into Berkshire Hathaway for years. We all need to hear such lessons repeatedly because reality’s temptations are always at war with our ideals.<blockquote>让这成为对首席执行官和股东的警告。避开谣言和自欺欺人一直是沃伦·巴菲特的关键规则之一，多年来在伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司根深蒂固。我们都需要反复听到这样的教训，因为现实的诱惑总是与我们的理想交战。</blockquote> The serial frenzies in meme stocks like&nbsp;GameStop&nbsp;and cryptocurrencies like dogecoin&nbsp;make this a good time to contrast what investors should do from what many seem to do. Comparing Berkshire’s and crypto’s faithful is apt given their outsized followings: an estimated 30 million Americanshave traded cryptocurrencies and 30 million are expected to stream this year’s Berkshire virtual annual meeting on May 1.<blockquote>游戏驿站等模因股票和狗狗币等加密货币的一系列狂热使得现在是对比投资者应该做什么和许多人似乎在做什么的好时机。考虑到伯克希尔和加密货币的忠实粉丝数量庞大，比较它们是恰当的：估计有3000万美国人交易过加密货币，预计将有3000万人观看今年5月1日举行的伯克希尔虚拟年会。</blockquote> Buffett defines Berkshire as a corporation with a partnership attitude. The value of each investor’s stake will rise (or fall) in lock step. This contrasts with how many seem to view companies with meme stocks or most of the crypto space. There, the culture is casino-like, where a small few stand to reap unimaginable riches while the overwhelming majority lose their shirts.&nbsp;<blockquote>巴菲特将伯克希尔定义为一家具有合伙人态度的公司。每个投资者的股份价值将同步上升（或下降）。这与许多人似乎用迷因股票或大部分加密货币领域来看待公司形成了鲜明对比。那里的文化就像赌场一样，少数人收获难以想象的财富，而绝大多数人却输光了。</blockquote> Moreover, Berkshire’s culture emphasizes patience and permanence. The company ideally holds investments and businesses forever and encourages its shareholders to hold indefinitely, through thick and thin. In the world of meme stocks and cryptocurrency trading, a strong norm favors immediate payday profits to be taken off the board. &nbsp;<blockquote>而且，伯克希尔的文化强调耐心和恒久。理想情况下，该公司永远持有投资和业务，并鼓励其股东无论同甘共苦都无限期持有。在迷因股票和加密货币交易的世界里，一个强有力的规范有利于立即将发薪日利润从董事会中扣除。 </blockquote> Relatedly, the Berkshire ideal accepts that it requires decades to build capital and that accumulating wealth entails skill and time — as well as a bit of luck. In contrast are those who strive to get rich quickly — and effortlessly. Today, some investment market players even seem to believe that everyone should be rich, as a matter of entitlement.<blockquote>与此相关的是，伯克希尔的理想承认，积累资本需要几十年的时间，积累财富需要技能和时间，以及一点运气。相比之下，那些努力快速致富的人——而且毫不费力。今天，一些投资市场参与者甚至似乎认为，每个人都应该富有，这是一种权利。</blockquote> The ideal Berkshire investor focuses on business, operating strategies, products or services and competitive advantages. For many in the meme-crypto world, what counts is hype and adrenaline, not whether there’s a business plan, let alone operations or customers. The Berkshire model is skeptical of fads, fashions and trends, while dogecoin and other cryptos thrive on these.<blockquote>理想的伯克希尔投资者关注业务、运营策略、产品或服务以及竞争优势。对于迷因加密世界中的许多人来说，重要的是炒作和肾上腺素，而不是是否有商业计划，更不用说运营或客户了。伯克希尔模型对时尚、时尚和趋势持怀疑态度，而狗狗币和其他加密货币则靠这些蓬勃发展。</blockquote> This leads to the Berkshire canon’s cardinal principle: the circle of competence. It prescribes to invest only in what you can understand with a moderate amount of effort. This excludes at least some meme stocks and many currently faddish&nbsp;“blank-check” IPO-mergers. For most people, cryptocurrencies are outside of their circle of competence. Indeed, large numbers of investors nowadays appear to be way out of their circle of competence.<blockquote>这就引出了伯克希尔经典的基本原则：能力圈。它规定只投资于你只要付出适度的努力就能理解的东西。这至少不包括一些模因股票和许多目前流行的“空白支票”IPO合并。对于大多数人来说，加密货币超出了他们的能力范围。事实上，如今大量投资者似乎远远超出了他们的能力范围。</blockquote> For investments within one’s circle of competence, Berkshire adherents appreciate that prices fluctuate widely and no one can predict such volatility. “Mr. Market” is a moody manic, always willing to trade with you at the going price, sometimes elevated, sometimes depressed.<blockquote>对于自己能力范围内的投资，伯克希尔的追随者意识到价格波动很大，没有人能够预测这种波动。“市场先生”是一个喜怒无常的狂躁者，总是愿意以现行价格与你交易，有时高，有时低。</blockquote> Following from both the limits of personal competence and the whims of markets, the Berkshire playbook demands a wide margin between the price paid and the value received. In Berkshire’s value-investing lexicon, this is the “margin of safety,” and Buffett has long said that these are the&nbsp;three most important words in investing.<blockquote>根据个人能力的限制和市场的波动，伯克希尔的剧本要求支付的价格和收到的价值之间有很大的差距。在伯克希尔的价值投资词典中，这就是“安全边际”，巴菲特早就说过，这是投资中最重要的三个词。</blockquote> Finally, besides avoiding rumor-mongering and self-delusion, the Berkshire playbook says to beware the delusions of others. Berkshire’s Vice Chairman, Charlie Munger, tells a story about fishing for muskies at Leech Lake in Minnesota. A visiting angler asked the local guide, “Are any muskies caught in this lake?”<blockquote>最后，除了避免散布谣言和自欺欺人之外，伯克希尔的剧本还说要小心他人的妄想。伯克希尔副董事长查理·芒格讲述了一个在明尼苏达州利奇湖钓麝香鱼的故事。一位来访的垂钓者问当地导游：“这个湖里有钓到麝香鱼吗？”</blockquote> “More muskies are caught in this lake than in any other lake in Minnesota,” the guide replied.&nbsp; “This lake is famous for muskies.”<blockquote>“这个湖捕获的麝香鱼比明尼苏达州任何其他湖都多，”向导回答说，“这个湖以麝香鱼闻名。”</blockquote> “How long have you been fishing here?”<blockquote>“你在这里钓鱼多久了？”</blockquote> “Nineteen years,” the guide said.<blockquote>“十九年，”向导说。</blockquote> “And how many muskies have you caught?”<blockquote>“你抓了多少麝香猫？”</blockquote> “None.”<blockquote>“没有。”</blockquote> So the next time someone tells you of the untold riches being made in day trading, ask them, “How much cash have you banked?”<blockquote>所以，下次有人告诉你日内交易创造了数不清的财富时，问问他们，“你存了多少现金？”</blockquote>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/warren-buffett-could-teach-traders-in-dogecoin-gamestop-and-other-hot-trends-a-few-things-about-mr-market-11619079021?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a>\n为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GBTC":"比特币ETF-Grayscale",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯","GME":"游戏驿站","AMC":"AMC院线"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/warren-buffett-could-teach-traders-in-dogecoin-gamestop-and-other-hot-trends-a-few-things-about-mr-market-11619079021?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1171301745","content_text":"Be skeptical of fads, fashions and trends and operate within your circle of competence\nMarketWatch photo illustration/iStockphoto\nAs the old joke goes, St. Peter had some bad news for an oil prospector who appeared at the pearly gates of heaven: “You’re qualified for admission,” said St. Peter, “but, as you can see, the section for oil prospectors is packed. There’s no way to fit you in.”\nAfter a moment, the prospector asked to say just four words to the present occupants. That seemed harmless to St. Peter, so the prospector yelled, “Oil discovered in hell!”  Immediately, most of the oil prospectors stampeded out for the nether regions. Impressed, St. Peter invited the prospector to move in and get comfortable. The prospector paused, saying “No, I think I’ll go along with the rest of them.  There might be some truth to that rumor after all.”\nLet that be a warning to CEOs and shareholders. Steering clear of rumors and self-delusion has been one of Warren Buffett’s key rules, ingrained into Berkshire Hathaway for years. We all need to hear such lessons repeatedly because reality’s temptations are always at war with our ideals.\nThe serial frenzies in meme stocks like GameStop and cryptocurrencies like dogecoin make this a good time to contrast what investors should do from what many seem to do. Comparing Berkshire’s and crypto’s faithful is apt given their outsized followings: an estimated 30 million Americanshave traded cryptocurrencies and 30 million are expected to stream this year’s Berkshire virtual annual meeting on May 1.\nBuffett defines Berkshire as a corporation with a partnership attitude. The value of each investor’s stake will rise (or fall) in lock step. This contrasts with how many seem to view companies with meme stocks or most of the crypto space. There, the culture is casino-like, where a small few stand to reap unimaginable riches while the overwhelming majority lose their shirts. \nMoreover, Berkshire’s culture emphasizes patience and permanence. The company ideally holds investments and businesses forever and encourages its shareholders to hold indefinitely, through thick and thin. In the world of meme stocks and cryptocurrency trading, a strong norm favors immediate payday profits to be taken off the board.  \nRelatedly, the Berkshire ideal accepts that it requires decades to build capital and that accumulating wealth entails skill and time — as well as a bit of luck. In contrast are those who strive to get rich quickly — and effortlessly. Today, some investment market players even seem to believe that everyone should be rich, as a matter of entitlement.\nThe ideal Berkshire investor focuses on business, operating strategies, products or services and competitive advantages. For many in the meme-crypto world, what counts is hype and adrenaline, not whether there’s a business plan, let alone operations or customers. The Berkshire model is skeptical of fads, fashions and trends, while dogecoin and other cryptos thrive on these.\nThis leads to the Berkshire canon’s cardinal principle: the circle of competence. It prescribes to invest only in what you can understand with a moderate amount of effort. This excludes at least some meme stocks and many currently faddish “blank-check” IPO-mergers. For most people, cryptocurrencies are outside of their circle of competence. Indeed, large numbers of investors nowadays appear to be way out of their circle of competence.\nFor investments within one’s circle of competence, Berkshire adherents appreciate that prices fluctuate widely and no one can predict such volatility. “Mr. Market” is a moody manic, always willing to trade with you at the going price, sometimes elevated, sometimes depressed.\nFollowing from both the limits of personal competence and the whims of markets, the Berkshire playbook demands a wide margin between the price paid and the value received. In Berkshire’s value-investing lexicon, this is the “margin of safety,” and Buffett has long said that these are the three most important words in investing.\nFinally, besides avoiding rumor-mongering and self-delusion, the Berkshire playbook says to beware the delusions of others. Berkshire’s Vice Chairman, Charlie Munger, tells a story about fishing for muskies at Leech Lake in Minnesota. A visiting angler asked the local guide, “Are any muskies caught in this lake?”\n“More muskies are caught in this lake than in any other lake in Minnesota,” the guide replied.  “This lake is famous for muskies.”\n“How long have you been fishing here?”\n“Nineteen years,” the guide said.\n“And how many muskies have you caught?”\n“None.”\nSo the next time someone tells you of the untold riches being made in day trading, ask them, “How much cash have you banked?”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"XBTmain":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"AMC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"GBTC":0.9,"GME":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"BTCmain":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3035,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":27,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[],"hasMoreComment":false,"orderType":2}