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2021-07-27

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How the 10-year Treasury rate and S&P 500 performed when the Fed tapered in 2013<blockquote>2013年美联储缩减规模时10年期国债利率和标普500的表现如何</blockquote>

In the wake of the Great Recession, it took about five years for the U.S. central bank to start slow

How the 10-year Treasury rate and S&P 500 performed when the Fed tapered in 2013<blockquote>2013年美联储缩减规模时10年期国债利率和标普500的表现如何</blockquote>

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WELLS FARGO INVESTMENT INSTITUTE<blockquote>标普500在2013年上涨了30%。富国银行投资研究所</blockquote> At the same time, the 10-year Treasury yield nearly doubled in six months from a low of almost 1.5% to roughly 3.1% by that December, leading to higher borrowing costs that rippled through the U.S. economy, from commercial real-estate owners to U.S. corporations <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LQD\">$(LQD)$</a>.<blockquote>与此同时，10年期美国国债收益率在6个月内几乎翻了一番，从近1.5%的低点升至去年12月的约3.1%，导致借贷成本上升，从商业地产所有者到美国企业，波及美国经济<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LQD\">$(LQD)$</a>.</blockquote> \"Higher inflation, rising long-term interest rates, and a less dovish Fed could potentially cause the market to pause,\" Chris Haverland, Wells Fargo Institute's global equity strategist wrote, in a Monday note.<blockquote>富国银行研究所全球股票策略师克里斯·哈弗兰在周一的一份报告中写道：“通胀上升、长期利率上升以及美联储不那么鸽派可能会导致市场暂停。”</blockquote> \"However, equities have historically performed well through these events, even if there was some initial selling pressure.\"<blockquote>“然而，即使最初存在一些抛售压力，股市在这些事件中历来表现良好。”</blockquote> Haverland thinks the Fed may announce plans to reduce its asset purchases later this year, which could lift longer-duration Treasury rates, including the 10-year, from its current 1.3% range. He also prefers to stick to his wheelhouse in equities over bonds.<blockquote>哈弗兰认为，美联储可能会在今年晚些时候宣布减少资产购买的计划，这可能会将包括10年期国债在内的长期国债利率从目前的1.3%区间上调。他还更愿意坚持自己在股票而不是债券方面的专长。</blockquote> \"If the market corrects, we would view it as an opportunity to fill our equity positions that may be below strategic or tactical targets,\" he said.<blockquote>他表示：“如果市场调整，我们会将其视为填补可能低于战略或战术目标的股票头寸的机会。”</blockquote> During the pandemic, the Fed has been buying about $80 billion of Treasurys each month and $40 billion of agency mortgage-backed securities (MBS), while increasing its balance sheet to about $8.2 trillion .<blockquote>在疫情期间，美联储每月购买约800亿美元的美国国债和400亿美元的机构抵押贷款支持证券（MBS），同时将其资产负债表增加到约8.2万亿美元。</blockquote> Some Fed officials have been debating buying, as a first step to withdrawing some support, particularly since the U.S. housing market has been red-hot during the COVID crisis, albeit with recent signs of cooling.<blockquote>一些美联储官员一直在讨论购买，作为撤回部分支持的第一步，特别是因为美国房地产市场在新冠危机期间一直炙手可热，尽管最近有降温迹象。</blockquote> The Federal Reserve kicks off a two-day policy meeting on Tuesday, with a statement due Wednesday at 2 p.m. Eastern, followed by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's press conference.<blockquote>美联储将于周二开始为期两天的政策会议，并于周三下午2点发表声明。东部，随后是美联储主席鲍威尔的新闻发布会。</blockquote> U.S. stocks drifted higher into record territory on Monday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average , S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq Composite Index claiming new closing highs.<blockquote>美国股市周一走高，创历史新高，道琼斯工业平均指数、标普500和纳斯达克综合指数创下收盘新高。</blockquote>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHow the 10-year Treasury rate and S&P 500 performed when the Fed tapered in 2013<blockquote>2013年美联储缩减规模时10年期国债利率和标普500的表现如何</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\nMarketWatch2021-07-27 15:51\n\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\nIn the wake of the Great Recession, it took about five years for the U.S. central bank to start slowing down its controversial large-scale bond-buying program, ultimately making 2013 the year of the \"taper tantrum .\"<blockquote>在大衰退之后，美联储花了大约五年时间才开始放缓其备受争议的大规模债券购买计划，最终使2013年成为“缩减恐慌”之年。</blockquote> Federal Reserve officials have said they'd rather avoid a repeat of that episode, when it comes to eventually scaling back its $120 billion-a-month, pandemic-era asset-purchase program.<blockquote>美联储官员表示，在最终缩减大流行时期每月1200亿美元的资产购买计划时，他们宁愿避免这一事件重演。</blockquote> And while it felt like the U.S. stock and bond markets both freaked out in 2013, a review of the S&amp;P 500's performance in that tumultuous year shows it turned out pretty well for equity investors who stayed the course.<blockquote>尽管2013年美国股市和债市都陷入了恐慌，但对标普500在那动荡的一年中表现的回顾表明，对于坚持到底的股票投资者来说，结果相当不错。</blockquote> Following a roughly 6% pullback post-Fed taper announcement, the S&amp;P 500 finished the year higher by about 30%, according to the Wells Fargo Investment Institute.<blockquote>富国银行投资研究所(Wells Fargo Investment Institute)的数据显示，美联储宣布缩减购债规模后，标普500股价下跌约6%，今年收盘上涨约30%。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5888ee701d08887e5b8d11bca7d6e30\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"376\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">S&amp;P 500 rose 30% in 2013. WELLS FARGO INVESTMENT INSTITUTE<blockquote>标普500在2013年上涨了30%。富国银行投资研究所</blockquote> At the same time, the 10-year Treasury yield nearly doubled in six months from a low of almost 1.5% to roughly 3.1% by that December, leading to higher borrowing costs that rippled through the U.S. economy, from commercial real-estate owners to U.S. corporations <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LQD\">$(LQD)$</a>.<blockquote>与此同时，10年期美国国债收益率在6个月内几乎翻了一番，从近1.5%的低点升至去年12月的约3.1%，导致借贷成本上升，从商业地产所有者到美国企业，波及美国经济<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LQD\">$(LQD)$</a>.</blockquote> \"Higher inflation, rising long-term interest rates, and a less dovish Fed could potentially cause the market to pause,\" Chris Haverland, Wells Fargo Institute's global equity strategist wrote, in a Monday note.<blockquote>富国银行研究所全球股票策略师克里斯·哈弗兰在周一的一份报告中写道：“通胀上升、长期利率上升以及美联储不那么鸽派可能会导致市场暂停。”</blockquote> \"However, equities have historically performed well through these events, even if there was some initial selling pressure.\"<blockquote>“然而，即使最初存在一些抛售压力，股市在这些事件中历来表现良好。”</blockquote> Haverland thinks the Fed may announce plans to reduce its asset purchases later this year, which could lift longer-duration Treasury rates, including the 10-year, from its current 1.3% range. He also prefers to stick to his wheelhouse in equities over bonds.<blockquote>哈弗兰认为，美联储可能会在今年晚些时候宣布减少资产购买的计划，这可能会将包括10年期国债在内的长期国债利率从目前的1.3%区间上调。他还更愿意坚持自己在股票而不是债券方面的专长。</blockquote> \"If the market corrects, we would view it as an opportunity to fill our equity positions that may be below strategic or tactical targets,\" he said.<blockquote>他表示：“如果市场调整，我们会将其视为填补可能低于战略或战术目标的股票头寸的机会。”</blockquote> During the pandemic, the Fed has been buying about $80 billion of Treasurys each month and $40 billion of agency mortgage-backed securities (MBS), while increasing its balance sheet to about $8.2 trillion .<blockquote>在疫情期间，美联储每月购买约800亿美元的美国国债和400亿美元的机构抵押贷款支持证券（MBS），同时将其资产负债表增加到约8.2万亿美元。</blockquote> Some Fed officials have been debating buying, as a first step to withdrawing some support, particularly since the U.S. housing market has been red-hot during the COVID crisis, albeit with recent signs of cooling.<blockquote>一些美联储官员一直在讨论购买，作为撤回部分支持的第一步，特别是因为美国房地产市场在新冠危机期间一直炙手可热，尽管最近有降温迹象。</blockquote> The Federal Reserve kicks off a two-day policy meeting on Tuesday, with a statement due Wednesday at 2 p.m. Eastern, followed by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's press conference.<blockquote>美联储将于周二开始为期两天的政策会议，并于周三下午2点发表声明。东部，随后是美联储主席鲍威尔的新闻发布会。</blockquote> U.S. stocks drifted higher into record territory on Monday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average , S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq Composite Index claiming new closing highs.<blockquote>美国股市周一走高，创历史新高，道琼斯工业平均指数、标普500和纳斯达克综合指数创下收盘新高。</blockquote>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/how-the-10-year-treasury-rate-and-s-p-500-performed-when-the-fed-tapered-in-2013-11627344095?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a>\n为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","OEX":"标普100","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares","MBB":"美国按揭抵押债券ETF-iShares",".DJI":"道琼斯","LQD":"债券指数ETF-iShares iBoxx投资级公司债","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","SPY":"标普500ETF","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/how-the-10-year-treasury-rate-and-s-p-500-performed-when-the-fed-tapered-in-2013-11627344095?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2154875967","content_text":"In the wake of the Great Recession, it took about five years for the U.S. central bank to start slowing down its controversial large-scale bond-buying program, ultimately making 2013 the year of the \"taper tantrum .\"\nFederal Reserve officials have said they'd rather avoid a repeat of that episode, when it comes to eventually scaling back its $120 billion-a-month, pandemic-era asset-purchase program.\nAnd while it felt like the U.S. stock and bond markets both freaked out in 2013, a review of the S&P 500's performance in that tumultuous year shows it turned out pretty well for equity investors who stayed the course.\nFollowing a roughly 6% pullback post-Fed taper announcement, the S&P 500 finished the year higher by about 30%, according to the Wells Fargo Investment Institute.\nS&P 500 rose 30% in 2013. WELLS FARGO INVESTMENT INSTITUTE\nAt the same time, the 10-year Treasury yield nearly doubled in six months from a low of almost 1.5% to roughly 3.1% by that December, leading to higher borrowing costs that rippled through the U.S. economy, from commercial real-estate owners to U.S. corporations $(LQD)$.\n\"Higher inflation, rising long-term interest rates, and a less dovish Fed could potentially cause the market to pause,\" Chris Haverland, Wells Fargo Institute's global equity strategist wrote, in a Monday note.\n\"However, equities have historically performed well through these events, even if there was some initial selling pressure.\"\nHaverland thinks the Fed may announce plans to reduce its asset purchases later this year, which could lift longer-duration Treasury rates, including the 10-year, from its current 1.3% range. He also prefers to stick to his wheelhouse in equities over bonds.\n\"If the market corrects, we would view it as an opportunity to fill our equity positions that may be below strategic or tactical targets,\" he said.\nDuring the pandemic, the Fed has been buying about $80 billion of Treasurys each month and $40 billion of agency mortgage-backed securities (MBS), while increasing its balance sheet to about $8.2 trillion .\nSome Fed officials have been debating buying, as a first step to withdrawing some support, particularly since the U.S. housing market has been red-hot during the COVID crisis, albeit with recent signs of cooling.\nThe Federal Reserve kicks off a two-day policy meeting on Tuesday, with a statement due Wednesday at 2 p.m. Eastern, followed by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's press conference.\nU.S. stocks drifted higher into record territory on Monday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average , S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite Index claiming new closing highs.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"161125":0.9,"513500":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"MBB":0.9,"IVV":0.9,"OEF":0.9,"OEX":0.9,"SDS":0.9,"UPRO":0.9,"ESmain":0.9,"SPXU":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"SH":0.9,"SPY":0.9,"LQD":0.9,"SSO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2741,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":8,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[],"hasMoreComment":false,"orderType":2}