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Fonkytonks
Fonkytonks
·
2021-12-20
Buy
Apple Stock: The Strongest Shield Against Rate Hikes
Summary With inflation running its hottest course in 40 years, the Federal Reserve has decided to a
Apple Stock: The Strongest Shield Against Rate Hikes
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Fonkytonks
Fonkytonks
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2021-10-05
Buy
3 reasons why airline stocks are screaming buys
The COVID-19 pandemic continues to wreak havoc on the airline space, but the time to buy is now, arg
3 reasons why airline stocks are screaming buys
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Fonkytonks
Fonkytonks
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2021-10-04
Buy
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Fonkytonks
Fonkytonks
·
2021-09-20
See this headline everyday
Some China concepts stocks fell in premarket trading
(Sept 20) Some China concepts stocks fell in premarket trading.
Some China concepts stocks fell in premarket trading
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Fonkytonks
Fonkytonks
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2021-09-20
Buy
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Fonkytonks
Fonkytonks
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2021-09-19
Buy
US IPO Week Ahead: Software, consumer products, and payment tech lead a diverse 14 IPO week
Summer may be over, but the IPO market is just heating up as 14 IPOs are slated to raise $5.3 billio
US IPO Week Ahead: Software, consumer products, and payment tech lead a diverse 14 IPO week
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Fonkytonks
Fonkytonks
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2021-09-17
Buy
Is Lululemon Stock A Buy Or Sell After Q2 Earnings? Key Risk Is Lower-Than-Expected Profitability
Summary Lululemon's share price has done much better than the key benchmark stock indices in the pa
Is Lululemon Stock A Buy Or Sell After Q2 Earnings? Key Risk Is Lower-Than-Expected Profitability
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Fonkytonks
Fonkytonks
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2021-09-16
Buy
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Fonkytonks
Fonkytonks
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2021-09-13
Buy
Retail sales, Consumer Price Index: What to know this week
Traders this week will be focused on new data on inflation and spending. Each are likely to have mod
Retail sales, Consumer Price Index: What to know this week
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Fonkytonks
Fonkytonks
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2021-09-09
Buy
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10:37","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Stock: The Strongest Shield Against Rate Hikes","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1183475424","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Summary\n\nWith inflation running its hottest course in 40 years, the Federal Reserve has decided to a","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>With inflation running its hottest course in 40 years, the Federal Reserve has decided to accelerate the stimulus tapering schedule and prepare for raising interest rates as early as March.</li>\n <li>While rate hikes have historically deterred investors from growth stocks due to concerns over eroding valuation prospects, the Apple stock has remained largely resilient.</li>\n <li>Apple is expected to realize additional upsides ahead, sustained by robust demand for its existing offerings and new opportunities arising from nascent technologies like AR/VR and autonomous vehicles.</li>\n <li>Its strong net cash position also provides sufficient dry powder to fund additional growth in coming years without incurring additional costs of capital amidst rising interest rates.</li>\n <li>As such, Apple's bullish thesis remains intact as it approaches a $3 trillion valuation, despite broader market valuation risks ahead.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fdf73ac36a98ce54b343c7e6b613f4d9\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>guvendemir/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p>As one of the world’s best performing stocks, Apple(NASDAQ:AAPL) has gained close to 40% this year. The stock, which last peaked at $182.13 not too long ago, is currently less than 7% from being the first U.S. publicly listed company to reach a $3 trillion market value and single-handedly accounts for about 15% of the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100’s performance. Apple’s market value has grown by more than 220x since the late 1990s, buoyed by the company’s continuous ability to capture robust demand for its innovative portfolio of products and services.</p>\n<p>And Apple’s strong fundamentals are expected to help the stock defy adverse impacts from the imminent rate hikes beginning next year. With inflation running at its hottest in almost four decades, the Federal Reserve decided Wednesday that it will increase the pace at which it is dialing back on the $120 billion monthly bond repurchasing program from $15 billion per month, which began in November, to $30 billion per month. This would effectively conclude the stimulus program, put in place at the onset of the pandemic, coming March, rather than in July as initially planned. Rate hikes are expected to begin soon after to counter rising price pressures, with Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell affirming that the process will only begin after tapering ends and at a gradual pace. The latest dot plot indicates potential for the Federal Fund Rate to lift-off from near-zero beginning early 2022 with three quarter-point increases, plus another three in 2023 and two more in 2024. If materialized, the process would up the funds rate to 2.1% by 2024.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ef3ca2d04c1b55a465e12bfae79890e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"315\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Bloomberg</span></p>\n<p>While rate hikes typically cause investors to turn risk averse due to concerns over faster erosion of value on future gains and stalled business growth due to rising costs of capital, especially for high-growth stocks, Apple gained close to 3% upon release of the Fed’s update on policy tightening. The stock closed at $179.30 on December 15th, nearing its peak of $182 on Monday. Apple’s rally, along with similar uptrends observed across other mega-cap tech stocks, accordingly drove intra-day gains of 2.4% for the Nasdaq 100 following the Federal Reserve’s update, indicating investors’ preference to park their money in companies with robust growth prospects to counter risks from the impending rate increases.</p>\n<p>With the coming holiday season a boon for Apple’s December-quarter sales, the stock’s valuation is expected to enter in the $3 trillion territory sooner than expected. Continued robust demand observed across Apple’s entire product line, generous share buy-backs, and additional revenue contributions expected within the foreseeable future resulting from new, cutting-edge products will also be key catalysts to support the company’s persistently strong fundamentals and keep the stock’s valuation above $3 trillion despite the impending rate hikes. Considering recent developments to the broader market and Apple’s growth prospects, we are raising our 12-month price target for the stock to $209.43.</p>\n<p><b>FY 2021 Overview and Recap of Fundamental Prospects</b></p>\n<p>Fiscal 2021 was a big year for Apple. The company’s revenues for the year grew 33% from fiscal 2020 to $366 billion, despite on-and-off store closures resulting from recurring coronavirus outbreaks and supply chain constraints that have led to more than $9 billion in lost sales. Every product and service segment achieved record-setting revenues with more than 20% growth from previous year results. Much of the year’s success were attributable to a series of new product launches and feature upgrades. The most notable of which included the 5G-enabled family of iPhone 12s and iPhone 13s, as well as the M1-powered MacBook Pro and iPad Pro.</p>\n<p><b>Key Developments in Products</b></p>\n<p>iPhone sales grew by 39% this year, the most amongst other segments, and drove more than half of Apple’s fiscal 2021 revenues. The results were a stark contrast to last year’s slump in demand for the mobile device when consumers braced for pandemic-driven economic uncertainties. iPhone sales are expected to remain robust in coming years as global 5G device upgrades continue to gather pace. The likely launch of a more affordable 5G-enabled iPhone SE in 2022 is also expected to further Apple’s market share gains by attracting switchers from “more than a billion non-premium Android users”, and drive the active installed base to another all-time high. The anticipated momentum is further corroborated by iPhone sales patterns observed in recent quarters following the launch of 5G-enabled iPhone 12s and iPhone 13s, where the number of upgraders and switchers grew by strong double digits. Apple’s strong ties with cell-phone carriers is also expected to drive meaningful iPhone sales contributions in coming years. Reputable wireless carriers in the U.S. like Verizon and AT&T have already been keen on promoting the sale of 5G-enabled devices like the iPhone 12 and iPhone 13 to encourage migration to the 5G network that they have spent billions of dollars on building across the nation. Telecom companies around the world are expected to spend more than $700 billion over the next five years on building-out the 5G network, underscoring significant additional growth opportunities ahead for the iPhone segment as carriers push for the strongest multiyear upgrade cycle in a decade to recoup their investments.</p>\n<p>Mac and iPad sales also grew significantly in fiscal 2021, reaching record revenues of $35.2 billion and $31.9 billion, respectively. Following the introduction of the all-new M1-powered iMac earlier this year, Apple also unveiled the reimagined M1-Pro / M1-Max powered MacBook Pro in October. The custom M1 processors made the newest MacBook “better than any Intel-based device for nearly every productivity use case outside of gaming”. This accordingly drove incredible demand for the portable workstation from a diverse group of consumers, ranging from professional creators and photographers to corporate users and students. The company is estimated to have shipped over 3.2 million units of Mac products during the September quarter, which drove record-setting revenues for the segment, while boosting its rank in global PC sales to fourth place amongst other vendors. The introduction of M1-processors in Apple’s computing products also bolstered its position in capitalizing on the surge in global demand for PCs and multi-purpose tablets by allowing the company to build devices with innovative features that can be seamlessly integrated across its ecosystem of peripheral accessories and services to draw adjacent revenues. With accelerated adoption of hybrid work and study arrangements in the post-pandemic era, global demand for portable workstations like PCs and multi-purpose tablets are expected to remain elevated in coming years – the sectors are expected to grow into a $224.3 billion and$600 billion market, respectively, by 2025, which makes favorable trends for Apple’s Mac and iPad segments.</p>\n<p>Recent speculations on Apple’s intentions to strengthen its in-house chip development capacity will likely further the advancement of its technologies offered in coming years and draw additional demand to its products. The company is currently looking for engineers to build-out its capacity in the development of “wireless radios, radio-frequency integrated circuits, and a wireless system-on-chip (“SoC”)”, as well as “semiconductors for connecting Bluetooth and Wi-Fi”. These developments are expected to further enhance seamless integration across Apple’s devices and increase stickiness to its ecosystem of product and service offerings, making its chip unit one of the company’s “most prized assets”.</p>\n<p><b>Key Developments in Services</b></p>\n<p>On the services front, a strong subscriber base had enabled the segment to hit record-setting revenues of more than $68.4 billion in fiscal 2021, up 27% from the prior year. To date, Apple has garnered more than 745 million paid subscribers across its high-margin service offerings, representing a five-fold increase over the last five years. Apple’s increasing push for a subscription-based business model across its wide variety of service platforms, ranging from Apple Music to iCloud storage solutions, paired with attractive new offerings that address key consumer trends in recent years have been a key driver to the company’s fast-expanding margins. New exciting add-on features introduced for existing service platforms include Spatial Audio and Lossless Audiofor Apple Music and the Apple Music Voice Plan. The new subscription-based offerings are expected to further Apple’s reach to adjacent opportunities stemming from increasing global usage of smartphones, laptops and other advanced home electronic products – for instance, the global music streaming market is expected to expand at a CAGR of 16% towards a projected value of $61 billion over the next five years, underscoring significant growth headroom for Apple Music. And Apple’s latest introduction of the Apple One bundle is expected to be a key contributor to furthering service segment sales in coming years by attracting new users to pay for subscription services that they otherwise would not have had it not been for the bundle discounts.</p>\n<p>Continued growth in market demand for mobile applications will also be a boon to Apple’s fast-growing services segment. The global market for mobile applications is expected to grow at a CAGR of 18.4% and reach a market value of more than $400 billion over the next five years. With AAPL hosting one of the largest and most used app stores in the world, it would be reasonable to assume that related revenues would grow at a similar pace. Despite mounting global regulatory scrutiny over Apple’s alleged antitrust violations with its App Store – the most notable of which stemming from an ongoing legal battle with Epic Games– the company’s continued focus on ensuring user privacy, security, and ease of transactions might have saved the day. According to a survey of 4,000 Apple product users performed by Morgan Stanley across the U.S. and China, most have indicated loyalty to Apple’s App store due to the “value of security, privacy and ease of transactions” provided, despite developers pushing for rights to transact outside of Apple’s ecosystem. Apple’s recent success in delaying App Store changes ordered by U.S. District Judge Yvonne Gonzalez Rogers in September as part of a year-long lawsuit brought against by Epic Games is another sign of the App Store’s continued strength. The company has argued that the court-mandated order to allow App Store users to “buy directly from developers on the web” would be a threat to the security of their privacy.</p>\n<p>Currently, developers are fighting for their rights to have app users transact outside of Apple’s ecosystem, which charges developers a hefty commission fee of up to 30% on all purchases. As Apple continues with its appeal of the ruling, the ultimate court decision on whether App Store changes would need to be implemented could take at least another year. But even with an unfavorable ruling, where Apple would have to allow developers to redirect users to payments outside of its ecosystem and/or lower its in-app purchase commission rate, App Store revenues are only expected to decrease by at most $4 billion per year which will not place a material impact on its valuation prospects. The actual quantified impact might even be less than what the market has forecasted, considering the value that App Store users have ascribed to the level of security and convenience that Apple has offered through the platform.</p>\n<p><b>Key Catalysts Ahead</b></p>\n<p>Apple is undoubtedly a key gateway to bringing emerging technologies to the mainstream due to its massive installed base of devices and related service platform users. And because of this, the highly anticipated launch of cutting-edge products like AR/VR headsets and autonomous vehicles in coming years will likely catapult the stock to new heights. The pioneer of disruptive consumer electronics and devices is expected to launch a VR headset and AR glasses by early 2023, a nascent technology that has been picking up steam in recent months with increasing talks of the metaverse. Similar to most VR headsets already available in the market, Apple’s will feature a 3D display to enable an immersive environment for a variety of activities from gaming to communicating. The differentiating factor will be the company’s plans to implement best-in-class graphics chips in the device to facilitate ultra-high-resolution displays. The impending VR headset will ultimately lay the foundation for its AR glasses, which Apple expects to be the “larger opportunity”.</p>\n<p>Over the next five years, opportunities pertaining to the metaverse are expected to blossom into an $800 billion market. Related software and service sales are expected to drive more than 70% of the projected addressable market, while the remainder will likely be driven by hardware sales. This makes strong tailwinds for Apple, which does not only stand to capitalize on growing metaverse opportunities through the sale of its impending AR/VR headset, but also adjacent revenues pertaining to the usage of related apps, software and service platforms.</p>\n<p>Speculations on Apple’s ongoing development of a self-driving electric car is also expected to materialize into meaningful upsides for the stock within the foreseeable future. The company is now planning to launch the new product category by 2025, at which time the global autonomous vehicle market is expected to reach a value of more than $200 billion. The eventual car will likely feature homages to its existing product portfolio, like an “iPad-like touch screen” infotainment system. And on the technology front, Apple is believed to have completed the development of a custom silicon for powering the vehicle’s autonomous driving capabilities. The newest chips will soon be implemented into its existing fleet of retrofitted SUVs for testing in California according to the state’s DMV, a sign that the impending launch is near.</p>\n<p>While Apple’s current market value may already be reflective of “consistent material revenue contributions from new products and services over time”, additional upsides from the above-mentioned new product category launches are still missing. But this will likely change within the next 12 months as the impending launch of an Apple AR/VR device draws near. Near-term projections on early AR/VR device sales are expected to boost Apple’s valuation by at least $150 billion. And over time when metaverse trends continue to gain mainstream traction, Apple is expected to generate more than $200 billion in annual revenues from the AR/VR segment, which could add another 15% on top of its current market value.</p>\n<p><b>Valuation Prospects and Potential Impacts from the Impending Rate Increases</b></p>\n<p>Adjusting our most recent forecast for Apple’s fiscal 2021 year-end results and December-quarter guidance, our base case projection estimates total net sales of $439.3 billion by the end of fiscal 2022, with further growth towards $668.5 billion by fiscal 2026. The growth assumptions applied across segment revenues in our forecast remains largely unchanged from our most recent analysis on the stock, with additional consideration for management’s near-term outlook on supply constraint impacts and the impending rate hikes. Specifically, lost revenues of $9 billion (i.e. approximately $3 billion during June-quarter and $6 billion during September-quarter) attributable to industry-wide chip shortages and pandemic-driven manufacturing delays during the second half of fiscal 2021 is expected to worsen into the first half of fiscal 2022. While there have been observed improvements to supply chain challenges, continuously robust demand for Apple products is what will drive a higher volume of lost sales in coming quarters. Nonetheless, Apple remains well-positioned for strong fundamentals ahead, which will help to alleviate some of investors’ concerns on valuation due to impending rate hikes.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5aa95136cfca6f95b962ea36eadab74\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"257\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p><i>i. Base Case Financial Projections:</i></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6585b165abd25fab7d171dd944d05156\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"316\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal financial forecast (Apple_-_Forecasted_Financial_Information.pdf). Please refer here for further detail on material growth assumptions applied.</span></p>\n<p>Drawing on the above considerations, our 12-month price target for the Apple stock has been revised to $209.43. This represents upside potential of more than 22% based on the last traded price of $171.14 on December 17th.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e88e904b5b900fbcdf4541d856570e2d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"230\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal valuation analysis.</span></p>\n<p>The revised price target is derived using a discounted cash flow (“DCF”) analysis over a ten-year discrete period in conjunction with the financial projections updated for Apple’s recent developments as analyzed in earlier sections. Similar to our original valuation analysis, we have applied a WACC of 8% to discount Apple’s projected free cash flows. The discount function is reflective of the company’s risk profile, taking into consideration its current capital structure and strong balance sheet. Apple’s cost of capital for growth is not expected to change significantly as a result of the impending rate hikes, considering a large portion of its existing debt are fixed-rate notes. The company also boasts a consistently robust net cash position, in which management intends to deploy towards additional growth without having to incur incremental capital costs ahead of interest rate increases. This is expected to further cement investors’ confidence in the Apple stock, as they continue their “flight to quality” amidst fear of broader market pressure from rising interest rates.</p>\n<p>The valuation analysis also assumes an exit multiple of 19.8x, which is consistent with current market expectations on Apple’s growth trajectory over the forecasted period. The applied exit multiple assumption could even improve further within the next 12 months, considering the impending launch of new product segments like AR/VR devices and autonomous vehicles, and offset any potential impacts from the upcoming increases to interest rates.</p>\n<p><i>i. Base Case Valuation Analysis:</i></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/81f992ef8b2b59ea879f69a7b1e7ad52\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"300\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p><i>ii. Sensitivity Analysis:</i></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/da8b21dae04fd263929ab26bd8d83907\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"337\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal valuation analysis.</span></p>\n<p><b>Conclusion</b></p>\n<p>Based on the foregoing analysis, the anticipated addition of 175 to 200 basis points to the current near-zero Federal Fund Rate over the next two years is not expected to cause material adverse impacts to Apple’s performance from both a fundamental and valuation perspective. Robust global demand for Apple products and services, paired with new innovations are expected to further bolster the company’s fundamental growth prospects. This would accordingly bring additional improvements to Apple’s balance sheet, and further strengthen its position against downward valuation pressures from broader macro headwinds. In fact, increasing demand for quality growth stocks to counter risks resulting from the impending rate hikes might even fuel Apple’s valuation growth momentum. On these considerations, Apple remains one of the best-performing tech stocks to own given its robust uptrend to $3 trillion in the near-term despite impending rate hikes.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Stock: The Strongest Shield Against Rate Hikes</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Stock: The Strongest Shield Against Rate Hikes\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-12-20 10:37 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4475887-apple-stock-aapl-strongest-shield-against-rate-hikes><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nWith inflation running its hottest course in 40 years, the Federal Reserve has decided to accelerate the stimulus tapering schedule and prepare for raising interest rates as early as March.\n...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4475887-apple-stock-aapl-strongest-shield-against-rate-hikes\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4475887-apple-stock-aapl-strongest-shield-against-rate-hikes","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1183475424","content_text":"Summary\n\nWith inflation running its hottest course in 40 years, the Federal Reserve has decided to accelerate the stimulus tapering schedule and prepare for raising interest rates as early as March.\nWhile rate hikes have historically deterred investors from growth stocks due to concerns over eroding valuation prospects, the Apple stock has remained largely resilient.\nApple is expected to realize additional upsides ahead, sustained by robust demand for its existing offerings and new opportunities arising from nascent technologies like AR/VR and autonomous vehicles.\nIts strong net cash position also provides sufficient dry powder to fund additional growth in coming years without incurring additional costs of capital amidst rising interest rates.\nAs such, Apple's bullish thesis remains intact as it approaches a $3 trillion valuation, despite broader market valuation risks ahead.\n\nguvendemir/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images\nAs one of the world’s best performing stocks, Apple(NASDAQ:AAPL) has gained close to 40% this year. The stock, which last peaked at $182.13 not too long ago, is currently less than 7% from being the first U.S. publicly listed company to reach a $3 trillion market value and single-handedly accounts for about 15% of the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100’s performance. Apple’s market value has grown by more than 220x since the late 1990s, buoyed by the company’s continuous ability to capture robust demand for its innovative portfolio of products and services.\nAnd Apple’s strong fundamentals are expected to help the stock defy adverse impacts from the imminent rate hikes beginning next year. With inflation running at its hottest in almost four decades, the Federal Reserve decided Wednesday that it will increase the pace at which it is dialing back on the $120 billion monthly bond repurchasing program from $15 billion per month, which began in November, to $30 billion per month. This would effectively conclude the stimulus program, put in place at the onset of the pandemic, coming March, rather than in July as initially planned. Rate hikes are expected to begin soon after to counter rising price pressures, with Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell affirming that the process will only begin after tapering ends and at a gradual pace. The latest dot plot indicates potential for the Federal Fund Rate to lift-off from near-zero beginning early 2022 with three quarter-point increases, plus another three in 2023 and two more in 2024. If materialized, the process would up the funds rate to 2.1% by 2024.\nSource: Bloomberg\nWhile rate hikes typically cause investors to turn risk averse due to concerns over faster erosion of value on future gains and stalled business growth due to rising costs of capital, especially for high-growth stocks, Apple gained close to 3% upon release of the Fed’s update on policy tightening. The stock closed at $179.30 on December 15th, nearing its peak of $182 on Monday. Apple’s rally, along with similar uptrends observed across other mega-cap tech stocks, accordingly drove intra-day gains of 2.4% for the Nasdaq 100 following the Federal Reserve’s update, indicating investors’ preference to park their money in companies with robust growth prospects to counter risks from the impending rate increases.\nWith the coming holiday season a boon for Apple’s December-quarter sales, the stock’s valuation is expected to enter in the $3 trillion territory sooner than expected. Continued robust demand observed across Apple’s entire product line, generous share buy-backs, and additional revenue contributions expected within the foreseeable future resulting from new, cutting-edge products will also be key catalysts to support the company’s persistently strong fundamentals and keep the stock’s valuation above $3 trillion despite the impending rate hikes. Considering recent developments to the broader market and Apple’s growth prospects, we are raising our 12-month price target for the stock to $209.43.\nFY 2021 Overview and Recap of Fundamental Prospects\nFiscal 2021 was a big year for Apple. The company’s revenues for the year grew 33% from fiscal 2020 to $366 billion, despite on-and-off store closures resulting from recurring coronavirus outbreaks and supply chain constraints that have led to more than $9 billion in lost sales. Every product and service segment achieved record-setting revenues with more than 20% growth from previous year results. Much of the year’s success were attributable to a series of new product launches and feature upgrades. The most notable of which included the 5G-enabled family of iPhone 12s and iPhone 13s, as well as the M1-powered MacBook Pro and iPad Pro.\nKey Developments in Products\niPhone sales grew by 39% this year, the most amongst other segments, and drove more than half of Apple’s fiscal 2021 revenues. The results were a stark contrast to last year’s slump in demand for the mobile device when consumers braced for pandemic-driven economic uncertainties. iPhone sales are expected to remain robust in coming years as global 5G device upgrades continue to gather pace. The likely launch of a more affordable 5G-enabled iPhone SE in 2022 is also expected to further Apple’s market share gains by attracting switchers from “more than a billion non-premium Android users”, and drive the active installed base to another all-time high. The anticipated momentum is further corroborated by iPhone sales patterns observed in recent quarters following the launch of 5G-enabled iPhone 12s and iPhone 13s, where the number of upgraders and switchers grew by strong double digits. Apple’s strong ties with cell-phone carriers is also expected to drive meaningful iPhone sales contributions in coming years. Reputable wireless carriers in the U.S. like Verizon and AT&T have already been keen on promoting the sale of 5G-enabled devices like the iPhone 12 and iPhone 13 to encourage migration to the 5G network that they have spent billions of dollars on building across the nation. Telecom companies around the world are expected to spend more than $700 billion over the next five years on building-out the 5G network, underscoring significant additional growth opportunities ahead for the iPhone segment as carriers push for the strongest multiyear upgrade cycle in a decade to recoup their investments.\nMac and iPad sales also grew significantly in fiscal 2021, reaching record revenues of $35.2 billion and $31.9 billion, respectively. Following the introduction of the all-new M1-powered iMac earlier this year, Apple also unveiled the reimagined M1-Pro / M1-Max powered MacBook Pro in October. The custom M1 processors made the newest MacBook “better than any Intel-based device for nearly every productivity use case outside of gaming”. This accordingly drove incredible demand for the portable workstation from a diverse group of consumers, ranging from professional creators and photographers to corporate users and students. The company is estimated to have shipped over 3.2 million units of Mac products during the September quarter, which drove record-setting revenues for the segment, while boosting its rank in global PC sales to fourth place amongst other vendors. The introduction of M1-processors in Apple’s computing products also bolstered its position in capitalizing on the surge in global demand for PCs and multi-purpose tablets by allowing the company to build devices with innovative features that can be seamlessly integrated across its ecosystem of peripheral accessories and services to draw adjacent revenues. With accelerated adoption of hybrid work and study arrangements in the post-pandemic era, global demand for portable workstations like PCs and multi-purpose tablets are expected to remain elevated in coming years – the sectors are expected to grow into a $224.3 billion and$600 billion market, respectively, by 2025, which makes favorable trends for Apple’s Mac and iPad segments.\nRecent speculations on Apple’s intentions to strengthen its in-house chip development capacity will likely further the advancement of its technologies offered in coming years and draw additional demand to its products. The company is currently looking for engineers to build-out its capacity in the development of “wireless radios, radio-frequency integrated circuits, and a wireless system-on-chip (“SoC”)”, as well as “semiconductors for connecting Bluetooth and Wi-Fi”. These developments are expected to further enhance seamless integration across Apple’s devices and increase stickiness to its ecosystem of product and service offerings, making its chip unit one of the company’s “most prized assets”.\nKey Developments in Services\nOn the services front, a strong subscriber base had enabled the segment to hit record-setting revenues of more than $68.4 billion in fiscal 2021, up 27% from the prior year. To date, Apple has garnered more than 745 million paid subscribers across its high-margin service offerings, representing a five-fold increase over the last five years. Apple’s increasing push for a subscription-based business model across its wide variety of service platforms, ranging from Apple Music to iCloud storage solutions, paired with attractive new offerings that address key consumer trends in recent years have been a key driver to the company’s fast-expanding margins. New exciting add-on features introduced for existing service platforms include Spatial Audio and Lossless Audiofor Apple Music and the Apple Music Voice Plan. The new subscription-based offerings are expected to further Apple’s reach to adjacent opportunities stemming from increasing global usage of smartphones, laptops and other advanced home electronic products – for instance, the global music streaming market is expected to expand at a CAGR of 16% towards a projected value of $61 billion over the next five years, underscoring significant growth headroom for Apple Music. And Apple’s latest introduction of the Apple One bundle is expected to be a key contributor to furthering service segment sales in coming years by attracting new users to pay for subscription services that they otherwise would not have had it not been for the bundle discounts.\nContinued growth in market demand for mobile applications will also be a boon to Apple’s fast-growing services segment. The global market for mobile applications is expected to grow at a CAGR of 18.4% and reach a market value of more than $400 billion over the next five years. With AAPL hosting one of the largest and most used app stores in the world, it would be reasonable to assume that related revenues would grow at a similar pace. Despite mounting global regulatory scrutiny over Apple’s alleged antitrust violations with its App Store – the most notable of which stemming from an ongoing legal battle with Epic Games– the company’s continued focus on ensuring user privacy, security, and ease of transactions might have saved the day. According to a survey of 4,000 Apple product users performed by Morgan Stanley across the U.S. and China, most have indicated loyalty to Apple’s App store due to the “value of security, privacy and ease of transactions” provided, despite developers pushing for rights to transact outside of Apple’s ecosystem. Apple’s recent success in delaying App Store changes ordered by U.S. District Judge Yvonne Gonzalez Rogers in September as part of a year-long lawsuit brought against by Epic Games is another sign of the App Store’s continued strength. The company has argued that the court-mandated order to allow App Store users to “buy directly from developers on the web” would be a threat to the security of their privacy.\nCurrently, developers are fighting for their rights to have app users transact outside of Apple’s ecosystem, which charges developers a hefty commission fee of up to 30% on all purchases. As Apple continues with its appeal of the ruling, the ultimate court decision on whether App Store changes would need to be implemented could take at least another year. But even with an unfavorable ruling, where Apple would have to allow developers to redirect users to payments outside of its ecosystem and/or lower its in-app purchase commission rate, App Store revenues are only expected to decrease by at most $4 billion per year which will not place a material impact on its valuation prospects. The actual quantified impact might even be less than what the market has forecasted, considering the value that App Store users have ascribed to the level of security and convenience that Apple has offered through the platform.\nKey Catalysts Ahead\nApple is undoubtedly a key gateway to bringing emerging technologies to the mainstream due to its massive installed base of devices and related service platform users. And because of this, the highly anticipated launch of cutting-edge products like AR/VR headsets and autonomous vehicles in coming years will likely catapult the stock to new heights. The pioneer of disruptive consumer electronics and devices is expected to launch a VR headset and AR glasses by early 2023, a nascent technology that has been picking up steam in recent months with increasing talks of the metaverse. Similar to most VR headsets already available in the market, Apple’s will feature a 3D display to enable an immersive environment for a variety of activities from gaming to communicating. The differentiating factor will be the company’s plans to implement best-in-class graphics chips in the device to facilitate ultra-high-resolution displays. The impending VR headset will ultimately lay the foundation for its AR glasses, which Apple expects to be the “larger opportunity”.\nOver the next five years, opportunities pertaining to the metaverse are expected to blossom into an $800 billion market. Related software and service sales are expected to drive more than 70% of the projected addressable market, while the remainder will likely be driven by hardware sales. This makes strong tailwinds for Apple, which does not only stand to capitalize on growing metaverse opportunities through the sale of its impending AR/VR headset, but also adjacent revenues pertaining to the usage of related apps, software and service platforms.\nSpeculations on Apple’s ongoing development of a self-driving electric car is also expected to materialize into meaningful upsides for the stock within the foreseeable future. The company is now planning to launch the new product category by 2025, at which time the global autonomous vehicle market is expected to reach a value of more than $200 billion. The eventual car will likely feature homages to its existing product portfolio, like an “iPad-like touch screen” infotainment system. And on the technology front, Apple is believed to have completed the development of a custom silicon for powering the vehicle’s autonomous driving capabilities. The newest chips will soon be implemented into its existing fleet of retrofitted SUVs for testing in California according to the state’s DMV, a sign that the impending launch is near.\nWhile Apple’s current market value may already be reflective of “consistent material revenue contributions from new products and services over time”, additional upsides from the above-mentioned new product category launches are still missing. But this will likely change within the next 12 months as the impending launch of an Apple AR/VR device draws near. Near-term projections on early AR/VR device sales are expected to boost Apple’s valuation by at least $150 billion. And over time when metaverse trends continue to gain mainstream traction, Apple is expected to generate more than $200 billion in annual revenues from the AR/VR segment, which could add another 15% on top of its current market value.\nValuation Prospects and Potential Impacts from the Impending Rate Increases\nAdjusting our most recent forecast for Apple’s fiscal 2021 year-end results and December-quarter guidance, our base case projection estimates total net sales of $439.3 billion by the end of fiscal 2022, with further growth towards $668.5 billion by fiscal 2026. The growth assumptions applied across segment revenues in our forecast remains largely unchanged from our most recent analysis on the stock, with additional consideration for management’s near-term outlook on supply constraint impacts and the impending rate hikes. Specifically, lost revenues of $9 billion (i.e. approximately $3 billion during June-quarter and $6 billion during September-quarter) attributable to industry-wide chip shortages and pandemic-driven manufacturing delays during the second half of fiscal 2021 is expected to worsen into the first half of fiscal 2022. While there have been observed improvements to supply chain challenges, continuously robust demand for Apple products is what will drive a higher volume of lost sales in coming quarters. Nonetheless, Apple remains well-positioned for strong fundamentals ahead, which will help to alleviate some of investors’ concerns on valuation due to impending rate hikes.\n\ni. Base Case Financial Projections:\nSource: Author, with data from our internal financial forecast (Apple_-_Forecasted_Financial_Information.pdf). Please refer here for further detail on material growth assumptions applied.\nDrawing on the above considerations, our 12-month price target for the Apple stock has been revised to $209.43. This represents upside potential of more than 22% based on the last traded price of $171.14 on December 17th.\nSource: Author, with data from our internal valuation analysis.\nThe revised price target is derived using a discounted cash flow (“DCF”) analysis over a ten-year discrete period in conjunction with the financial projections updated for Apple’s recent developments as analyzed in earlier sections. Similar to our original valuation analysis, we have applied a WACC of 8% to discount Apple’s projected free cash flows. The discount function is reflective of the company’s risk profile, taking into consideration its current capital structure and strong balance sheet. Apple’s cost of capital for growth is not expected to change significantly as a result of the impending rate hikes, considering a large portion of its existing debt are fixed-rate notes. The company also boasts a consistently robust net cash position, in which management intends to deploy towards additional growth without having to incur incremental capital costs ahead of interest rate increases. This is expected to further cement investors’ confidence in the Apple stock, as they continue their “flight to quality” amidst fear of broader market pressure from rising interest rates.\nThe valuation analysis also assumes an exit multiple of 19.8x, which is consistent with current market expectations on Apple’s growth trajectory over the forecasted period. The applied exit multiple assumption could even improve further within the next 12 months, considering the impending launch of new product segments like AR/VR devices and autonomous vehicles, and offset any potential impacts from the upcoming increases to interest rates.\ni. Base Case Valuation Analysis:\n\nii. Sensitivity Analysis:\nSource: Author, with data from our internal valuation analysis.\nConclusion\nBased on the foregoing analysis, the anticipated addition of 175 to 200 basis points to the current near-zero Federal Fund Rate over the next two years is not expected to cause material adverse impacts to Apple’s performance from both a fundamental and valuation perspective. Robust global demand for Apple products and services, paired with new innovations are expected to further bolster the company’s fundamental growth prospects. This would accordingly bring additional improvements to Apple’s balance sheet, and further strengthen its position against downward valuation pressures from broader macro headwinds. In fact, increasing demand for quality growth stocks to counter risks resulting from the impending rate hikes might even fuel Apple’s valuation growth momentum. On these considerations, Apple remains one of the best-performing tech stocks to own given its robust uptrend to $3 trillion in the near-term despite impending rate hikes.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1042,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":820271041,"gmtCreate":1633398374194,"gmtModify":1633398374593,"author":{"id":"3559873043762670","authorId":"3559873043762670","name":"Fonkytonks","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4dfa5c5b6a3eb44de87d5ed63482f16c","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559873043762670","authorIdStr":"3559873043762670"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Buy","listText":"Buy","text":"Buy","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/820271041","repostId":"1118300110","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1118300110","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1633395826,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1118300110?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-05 09:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 reasons why airline stocks are screaming buys","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1118300110","media":"Yahoo Finance","summary":"The COVID-19 pandemic continues to wreak havoc on the airline space, but the time to buy is now, arg","content":"<p>The COVID-19 pandemic continues to wreak havoc on the airline space, but the time to buy is now, argues Morgan Stanley analyst Ravi Shanker.</p>\n<p>Shanker cites three reasons for his bullish call.</p>\n<p>First, the sector could see positive news flow into year-end as vaccinations continue for COVID-19 and international travel restrictions are lifted. To that end, the Biden administration said recently it would lift restrictions for fully vaccinated travelers to enter the U.S.starting in November.</p>\n<p>Secondarily, Shanker believes the bad news for the sector on the COVID front peaked in the third quarter. That suggests an improving runway for airline sector margins, according to Shanker's research.</p>\n<p>And lastly, Shanker thinks December analyst days for the airline sector will be \"very bullish\" with respect to 2022 and 2023 financial targets.</p>\n<p>To be sure, airline stocks have begun to lift off over the last few weeks as investors begin to price in brighter skies in 2022. Analysts such as Shanker point to news of Merck's potential new COVID-19 pill as being particularly friendly to airline stocks of late.</p>\n<p>Shares of SouthWest Airlines, Delta Air Lines , American Airlines and United Airlines have all gainedmore than 10% in the past month, perYahoo Finance Plus data. Spirit Airlines and JetBlue Airways have tacked on 9.8% and 9.3% during that same stretch.</p>\n<p>Meanwhile, The NYSE Arca Airline Index is up 8% in the the last month.</p>\n<p>Not every analyst is on board with Shanker's upbeat view on the sector, however. Some such as BofA's Andrew Didora advise a more disciplined approach to playing the airline recovery.</p>\n<p>\"While near term demand and cost pressures lower our 2H21E EPS for the industry, in our view, the overall trajectory of the recovery remains unchanged. We remain more cautious on corporate and continue to favor Southwest/Alaska Air given their strong balance sheets, and leisure oriented carriers such as Allegiant given little competition on its routes,\" said Didora in a note to clients.</p>","source":"yahoofinance_sg","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 reasons why airline stocks are screaming buys</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 reasons why airline stocks are screaming buys\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-10-05 09:03 GMT+8 <a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/3-reasons-why-airline-stocks-are-screaming-buys-analyst-172225207.html><strong>Yahoo Finance</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The COVID-19 pandemic continues to wreak havoc on the airline space, but the time to buy is now, argues Morgan Stanley analyst Ravi Shanker.\nShanker cites three reasons for his bullish call.\nFirst, ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/3-reasons-why-airline-stocks-are-screaming-buys-analyst-172225207.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"DAL":"达美航空","LUV":"西南航空","AAL":"美国航空"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/3-reasons-why-airline-stocks-are-screaming-buys-analyst-172225207.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1118300110","content_text":"The COVID-19 pandemic continues to wreak havoc on the airline space, but the time to buy is now, argues Morgan Stanley analyst Ravi Shanker.\nShanker cites three reasons for his bullish call.\nFirst, the sector could see positive news flow into year-end as vaccinations continue for COVID-19 and international travel restrictions are lifted. To that end, the Biden administration said recently it would lift restrictions for fully vaccinated travelers to enter the U.S.starting in November.\nSecondarily, Shanker believes the bad news for the sector on the COVID front peaked in the third quarter. That suggests an improving runway for airline sector margins, according to Shanker's research.\nAnd lastly, Shanker thinks December analyst days for the airline sector will be \"very bullish\" with respect to 2022 and 2023 financial targets.\nTo be sure, airline stocks have begun to lift off over the last few weeks as investors begin to price in brighter skies in 2022. Analysts such as Shanker point to news of Merck's potential new COVID-19 pill as being particularly friendly to airline stocks of late.\nShares of SouthWest Airlines, Delta Air Lines , American Airlines and United Airlines have all gainedmore than 10% in the past month, perYahoo Finance Plus data. Spirit Airlines and JetBlue Airways have tacked on 9.8% and 9.3% during that same stretch.\nMeanwhile, The NYSE Arca Airline Index is up 8% in the the last month.\nNot every analyst is on board with Shanker's upbeat view on the sector, however. Some such as BofA's Andrew Didora advise a more disciplined approach to playing the airline recovery.\n\"While near term demand and cost pressures lower our 2H21E EPS for the industry, in our view, the overall trajectory of the recovery remains unchanged. We remain more cautious on corporate and continue to favor Southwest/Alaska Air given their strong balance sheets, and leisure oriented carriers such as Allegiant given little competition on its routes,\" said Didora in a note to clients.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1665,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":867541725,"gmtCreate":1633304228883,"gmtModify":1633304229315,"author":{"id":"3559873043762670","authorId":"3559873043762670","name":"Fonkytonks","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4dfa5c5b6a3eb44de87d5ed63482f16c","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559873043762670","authorIdStr":"3559873043762670"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Buy","listText":"Buy","text":"Buy","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/867541725","repostId":"2172962784","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1469,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":860386145,"gmtCreate":1632136195287,"gmtModify":1632802622475,"author":{"id":"3559873043762670","authorId":"3559873043762670","name":"Fonkytonks","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4dfa5c5b6a3eb44de87d5ed63482f16c","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559873043762670","authorIdStr":"3559873043762670"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"See this headline everyday","listText":"See this headline everyday","text":"See this headline everyday","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/860386145","repostId":"1117610618","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1117610618","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1632126033,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1117610618?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-20 16:20","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Some China concepts stocks fell in premarket trading","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1117610618","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(Sept 20) Some China concepts stocks fell in premarket trading.","content":"<p>(Sept 20) Some China concepts stocks fell in premarket trading.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc0bfb5f2f1bc4d2f48c30ba44145250\" tg-width=\"357\" tg-height=\"724\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Some China concepts stocks fell in premarket trading</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSome China concepts stocks fell in premarket trading\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-09-20 16:20</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Sept 20) Some China concepts stocks fell in premarket trading.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc0bfb5f2f1bc4d2f48c30ba44145250\" tg-width=\"357\" tg-height=\"724\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1117610618","content_text":"(Sept 20) Some China concepts stocks fell in premarket trading.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":595,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":887726966,"gmtCreate":1632101335055,"gmtModify":1632802851754,"author":{"id":"3559873043762670","authorId":"3559873043762670","name":"Fonkytonks","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4dfa5c5b6a3eb44de87d5ed63482f16c","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559873043762670","authorIdStr":"3559873043762670"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Buy","listText":"Buy","text":"Buy","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/887726966","repostId":"2168089015","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":541,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":887154139,"gmtCreate":1632011398121,"gmtModify":1632804878783,"author":{"id":"3559873043762670","authorId":"3559873043762670","name":"Fonkytonks","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4dfa5c5b6a3eb44de87d5ed63482f16c","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559873043762670","authorIdStr":"3559873043762670"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Buy","listText":"Buy","text":"Buy","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/887154139","repostId":"1171558890","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1171558890","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1631921912,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1171558890?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-18 07:38","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US IPO Week Ahead: Software, consumer products, and payment tech lead a diverse 14 IPO week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1171558890","media":"renaissancecap...","summary":"Summer may be over, but the IPO market is just heating up as 14 IPOs are slated to raise $5.3 billio","content":"<p>Summer may be over, but the IPO market is just heating up as 14 IPOs are slated to raise $5.3 billion in the week ahead. The diverse group includes software, consumer products, payment technology, and more.</p>\n<p>The largest deal of the week,<b>Freshworks</b>(FRSH) plans to raise $855 million at a $9.6 billion market cap. The company’s core product is its customer support software, and it also offers IT service management software and a nascent competitor to CRM solutions. While losses are expected to increase with S&M spending, Freshworks has delivered solid growth and 100%+ net dollar-based revenue retention as of 6/30/21.</p>\n<p>Canadian consumer products company <b>Knowlton Development</b>(KDC) plans to raise $800 million at a $3.1 billion market cap. Over the past three years, Knowlton has been responsible for co-developing 9,000+ products across a variety of categories, and its products are sold by its brand partners in 70+ countries. Despite using offering proceeds to pay down debt, Knowlton will be leveraged post-IPO.</p>\n<p>Restaurant payment processor <b>Toast</b>(TOST) plans to raise $685 million at a $17.9 billion market cap. Toast provides a suite of integrated payment and software solutions that are designed to streamline restaurant operations. The company grew ARR over 100% in the 1H21, though it has historically been unprofitable, and growth could slow as tailwinds from restaurants reopening abate.</p>\n<p>Global money transfer firm <b>Remitly Global</b>(RELY) plans to raise $487 million at a $7.5 billion market cap. Remitly provides digital financial services for immigrants and their families in over 135 countries, and it has expanded its core cross-border remittance product to over 1,700 corridors worldwide. The company has demonstrated growth and margin improvement, though it remains unprofitable.</p>\n<p>Software firm <b>Clearwater Analytics</b>(CWAN) plans to raise $450 million at a $3.7 billion market cap. Clearwater provides its 1,000+ clients with cloud-native software that allows them to simplify their investment accounting operations, and the company has a 100% recurring revenue model. A new investor and certain existing shareholders intend to purchase $150 million worth of shares in the IPO.</p>\n<p>Food company <b>Sovos Brands</b>(SOVO) plans to raise $350 million at a $1.5 billion market cap. Formed by Advent International, Sovos Brands offers a select group of acquired premium food brands. According to the company, its largest brand of products, Rao's, included the #1 selling SKU in the pasta and pizza sauce category. Profitable with solid growth, Sovos will be leveraged post-IPO.</p>\n<p>Customer engagement software provider <b>EngageSmart</b>(ESMT) plans to raise $349 million at a $4.1 billion market cap. The company provides software that simplifies online workflows like paperless billing, electronic payment processing, scheduling, and client communication. While growth may slow post-pandemic, EngageSmart has a sticky customer based and a long track record of profitability.</p>\n<p>Hiring solutions provider <b>Sterling Check</b>(STER) plans to raise $300 million at a $2.1 billion market cap. Sterling is one of the leading US providers of background checks for corporate and government customers. The company serves more than 50% of the Fortune 100, often with exclusive contracts, though it operates in a highly competitive market.</p>\n<p>Jewelry retailer <b>Brilliant Earth Group</b>(BRLT) plans to raise $250 million at a $1.4 billion. Brilliant Earth is a digital-first jewelry company and a global leader in ethically sourced fine jewelry. The company has sold to consumers in all US states and over 50 countries, and has served over 370,000 customers through its e-commerce platform and 13 showrooms.</p>\n<p>Online fashion platform <b>a.k.a. Brands</b>(AKA) plans to raise $250 million at a $2.3 billion market cap. a.k.a. acquires digitally-focused fashion brands oriented toward millennial and Gen Z consumers, starting with its acquisition of Princess Polly in 2018. The company has successfully expanded Princess Polly and has a long runway to grow its brands in the US, but its M&A strategy carries execution risk.</p>\n<p>COVID-19 test maker <b>Cue Health</b>(HLTH) plans to raise $200 million at a $2.4 billion market cap. Cue’s first commercially available diagnostic test for use with its Cue Health Monitoring System is its COVID-19 Test Kit, which has been authorized by two EUAs. Cue has five additional Test Kits in late-stage technical development, for which it expects to begin seeking FDA authorization or clearance in the 2H22.</p>\n<p>London-listed crypto mining company <b>Argo Blockchain</b>(ARBK) plans to raise $138 million at an $855 million market cap. Argo states that it is a leading blockchain technology company focused on large-scale mining of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. Argo has a fleet of more than 21,000 purpose-built computers (mining machines) and can generate more than 1,075 petahash per second.</p>\n<p>Personalized supplements seller <b>Thorne Healthtech</b>(THRN) plans to raise $126 million at an $892 million market cap. The company’s vertically integrated brands, Thorne and Onegevity, provide actionable insights and personalized data, products, and services. Profitable with strong growth, Thorne has a base of more than 3 million customers.</p>\n<p>Canadian bank <b>VersaBank</b>(VBNK) plans to raise $50 million at a $269 million market cap. VersaBank is a Canadian Schedule I chartered bank and states that it is one of the world's first fully digital financial institutions. As of July 31, 2021, VersaBank had $1.8 billion in assets, $1.6 billion in loans, $1.5 billion in deposits, and $202 million in stockholders' equity.</p>","source":"lsy1619493174116","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US IPO Week Ahead: Software, consumer products, and payment tech lead a diverse 14 IPO week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS IPO Week Ahead: Software, consumer products, and payment tech lead a diverse 14 IPO week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-09-18 07:38 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/86272/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-Software-consumer-products-and-payment-tech-lead-a-divers><strong>renaissancecap...</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summer may be over, but the IPO market is just heating up as 14 IPOs are slated to raise $5.3 billion in the week ahead. The diverse group includes software, consumer products, payment technology, and...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/86272/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-Software-consumer-products-and-payment-tech-lead-a-divers\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"CWAN":"Clearwater Analytics Holdings, Inc.","RELY":"Remitly Global, Inc.","ESMT":"EngageSmart Inc.","AKA":"a.k.a. Brands Holding Corp.","SOVO":"Sovos Brands, Inc.","TOST":"Toast, Inc.","THRN":"Thorne Healthtech","BRLT":"Brilliant Earth Group, Inc.","FRSH":"Freshworks","STER":"Sterling Check Corp.","ARBK":"Argo Blockchain Plc","HLTH":"Cue Health Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/86272/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-Software-consumer-products-and-payment-tech-lead-a-divers","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1171558890","content_text":"Summer may be over, but the IPO market is just heating up as 14 IPOs are slated to raise $5.3 billion in the week ahead. The diverse group includes software, consumer products, payment technology, and more.\nThe largest deal of the week,Freshworks(FRSH) plans to raise $855 million at a $9.6 billion market cap. The company’s core product is its customer support software, and it also offers IT service management software and a nascent competitor to CRM solutions. While losses are expected to increase with S&M spending, Freshworks has delivered solid growth and 100%+ net dollar-based revenue retention as of 6/30/21.\nCanadian consumer products company Knowlton Development(KDC) plans to raise $800 million at a $3.1 billion market cap. Over the past three years, Knowlton has been responsible for co-developing 9,000+ products across a variety of categories, and its products are sold by its brand partners in 70+ countries. Despite using offering proceeds to pay down debt, Knowlton will be leveraged post-IPO.\nRestaurant payment processor Toast(TOST) plans to raise $685 million at a $17.9 billion market cap. Toast provides a suite of integrated payment and software solutions that are designed to streamline restaurant operations. The company grew ARR over 100% in the 1H21, though it has historically been unprofitable, and growth could slow as tailwinds from restaurants reopening abate.\nGlobal money transfer firm Remitly Global(RELY) plans to raise $487 million at a $7.5 billion market cap. Remitly provides digital financial services for immigrants and their families in over 135 countries, and it has expanded its core cross-border remittance product to over 1,700 corridors worldwide. The company has demonstrated growth and margin improvement, though it remains unprofitable.\nSoftware firm Clearwater Analytics(CWAN) plans to raise $450 million at a $3.7 billion market cap. Clearwater provides its 1,000+ clients with cloud-native software that allows them to simplify their investment accounting operations, and the company has a 100% recurring revenue model. A new investor and certain existing shareholders intend to purchase $150 million worth of shares in the IPO.\nFood company Sovos Brands(SOVO) plans to raise $350 million at a $1.5 billion market cap. Formed by Advent International, Sovos Brands offers a select group of acquired premium food brands. According to the company, its largest brand of products, Rao's, included the #1 selling SKU in the pasta and pizza sauce category. Profitable with solid growth, Sovos will be leveraged post-IPO.\nCustomer engagement software provider EngageSmart(ESMT) plans to raise $349 million at a $4.1 billion market cap. The company provides software that simplifies online workflows like paperless billing, electronic payment processing, scheduling, and client communication. While growth may slow post-pandemic, EngageSmart has a sticky customer based and a long track record of profitability.\nHiring solutions provider Sterling Check(STER) plans to raise $300 million at a $2.1 billion market cap. Sterling is one of the leading US providers of background checks for corporate and government customers. The company serves more than 50% of the Fortune 100, often with exclusive contracts, though it operates in a highly competitive market.\nJewelry retailer Brilliant Earth Group(BRLT) plans to raise $250 million at a $1.4 billion. Brilliant Earth is a digital-first jewelry company and a global leader in ethically sourced fine jewelry. The company has sold to consumers in all US states and over 50 countries, and has served over 370,000 customers through its e-commerce platform and 13 showrooms.\nOnline fashion platform a.k.a. Brands(AKA) plans to raise $250 million at a $2.3 billion market cap. a.k.a. acquires digitally-focused fashion brands oriented toward millennial and Gen Z consumers, starting with its acquisition of Princess Polly in 2018. The company has successfully expanded Princess Polly and has a long runway to grow its brands in the US, but its M&A strategy carries execution risk.\nCOVID-19 test maker Cue Health(HLTH) plans to raise $200 million at a $2.4 billion market cap. Cue’s first commercially available diagnostic test for use with its Cue Health Monitoring System is its COVID-19 Test Kit, which has been authorized by two EUAs. Cue has five additional Test Kits in late-stage technical development, for which it expects to begin seeking FDA authorization or clearance in the 2H22.\nLondon-listed crypto mining company Argo Blockchain(ARBK) plans to raise $138 million at an $855 million market cap. Argo states that it is a leading blockchain technology company focused on large-scale mining of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. Argo has a fleet of more than 21,000 purpose-built computers (mining machines) and can generate more than 1,075 petahash per second.\nPersonalized supplements seller Thorne Healthtech(THRN) plans to raise $126 million at an $892 million market cap. The company’s vertically integrated brands, Thorne and Onegevity, provide actionable insights and personalized data, products, and services. Profitable with strong growth, Thorne has a base of more than 3 million customers.\nCanadian bank VersaBank(VBNK) plans to raise $50 million at a $269 million market cap. VersaBank is a Canadian Schedule I chartered bank and states that it is one of the world's first fully digital financial institutions. As of July 31, 2021, VersaBank had $1.8 billion in assets, $1.6 billion in loans, $1.5 billion in deposits, and $202 million in stockholders' equity.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":490,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":884814380,"gmtCreate":1631878212740,"gmtModify":1632805642912,"author":{"id":"3559873043762670","authorId":"3559873043762670","name":"Fonkytonks","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4dfa5c5b6a3eb44de87d5ed63482f16c","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559873043762670","authorIdStr":"3559873043762670"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Buy","listText":"Buy","text":"Buy","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/884814380","repostId":"1139296336","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1139296336","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1631871404,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1139296336?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-17 17:36","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is Lululemon Stock A Buy Or Sell After Q2 Earnings? Key Risk Is Lower-Than-Expected Profitability","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1139296336","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Summary\n\nLululemon's share price has done much better than the key benchmark stock indices in the pa","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Lululemon's share price has done much better than the key benchmark stock indices in the past few months, as a result of better-than-expected financial performance in 1H 2021.</li>\n <li>LULU achieved strong top line and bottom line growth in Q2 2021 which also beat market expectations, but lower-than-expected profitability for the company going forward is a key downside risk.</li>\n <li>I see Lululemon stock as Hold after Q2 earnings, as its valuations are expensive, and an earnings miss in the future could de-rate its shares.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4c5831fd8e2c9cd8844c973c0f757a56\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1022\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>jentakespictures/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p><b>Elevator Pitch</b></p>\n<p>I assign a Neutral rating to Lululemon Athletica Inc (LULU).</p>\n<p>Lululemon has delivered significant stock price outperformance as compared to the major benchmark stock indices in the last couple of months, and the stock's current valuations are not that appealing following its recent share price run. Larger-than-expected investments in the near future, an unfavorable sales mix with the introduction of new footwear products next year, and potential supply chain disruptions could be a potential drag on LULU's forward earnings.</p>\n<p>My rating for Lululemon is a Hold or Neutral. On one hand, I am positive on LULU's better-than-expected Q2 results and its long-term growth prospects. On the flip side, LULU's premium valuations and recent share price run have priced in the near-term positives for the company, while there are downside risks relating to its future earnings outlook.</p>\n<p><b>Company Description</b></p>\n<p>In its press releases, Lululemon Athletica Inc refers to itself as \"a healthy lifestyle inspired athletic apparel company for yoga, running, training, and most other sweaty pursuits\". LULU was established in 1998, and the company's shares were listed on the Nasdaq in 2007.</p>\n<p>As of August 1, 2021, Lululemon boasted a network of 534 storesthat are located in 17 different markets. LULU generated 69%, 14% and 17%of the company's revenue from the US, Canada and international markets, respectively in the first half of FY 2021. The company-operated stores, the direct-to-consumer business, and others contributed 46%, 43% and 11% of its 1H 2021 sales, respectively. In the company's most recent 10-Q filing, Lululemon Athletica defines the others business segment as \"outlets, temporary locations, sales to wholesale accounts, license and supply arrangements, and MIRROR (home gym business acquired in2020).\"</p>\n<p><b>Lululemon Stock Price</b></p>\n<p>Lululemon's stock price increased by +20.4% and +32.8% in the year-to-date and past one-year time periods, respectively which tracked the performance of the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite very closely. However, LULU started to outperform the key benchmark stock indices in the last couple of months. In the past six months, Lululemon's share price rose by+33.3%, while the Nasdaq Composite and S&P 500 were only up in the low-teens percentages over the same period. In the last three months, LULU's shares went up by +25.0%, as compared to the +7.7% and +5.5% increases for the Nasdaq Composite and S&P 500, respectively during the same time.</p>\n<p>LULU's earnings beat for both the first and second quarter of 2021 clearly helped to drive the company's recent strong stock price performance. More significantly, Lululemon Athletica's above-expectations financial performance in the first half of this year implies that the company has structural growth drivers working in its favor, instead of merely being a beneficiary of one-off Work-From-Home or WFH tailwinds during the peak of COVID-19.</p>\n<p>At its recent second-quarter results briefing, Lululemon noted that \"the pandemic drove forward, accelerated some of the guest behaviors that play to the strength of our brand\" which included \"general fitness awareness\", \"being well, living well\" and \"the importance of functional apparel\". The company also emphasized that its \"brand is early innings across product with activities where we focus on\" and \"gaining market share across categories\".</p>\n<p>Separately, it is critical to examine if whether Lululemon's recent share price outperformance makes it less attractive as a potential investment candidate in terms of valuations.</p>\n<p><b>Peer Valuation Comparison For LULU</b></p>\n<table>\n <tbody>\n <tr>\n <td><b>Stock</b></td>\n <td><b>Consensus Current Fiscal Year Normalized P/E Multiple</b></td>\n <td><b>Consensus Forward One Fiscal Year Normalized P/E Multiple</b></td>\n <td><b>Consensus Current Fiscal Year Revenue Growth Metric</b></td>\n <td><b>Consensus Forward One Fiscal Year Revenue Growth Metric</b></td>\n <td><b>Consensus Current Fiscal Year ROE Metric</b></td>\n <td><b>Consensus Forward One Fiscal Year ROE Metric</b></td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td><b>Lululemon</b></td>\n <td>56.0</td>\n <td>47.1</td>\n <td>+41.6%</td>\n <td>+15.0%</td>\n <td>33.4%</td>\n <td>34.8%</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>Canada Goose Holdings Inc. (GOOS)</td>\n <td>40.8</td>\n <td>26.8</td>\n <td>+21.7%</td>\n <td>+18.2%</td>\n <td>18.7%</td>\n <td>21.3%</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>Under Armour, Inc. (UAA)</td>\n <td>38.7</td>\n <td>34.0</td>\n <td>+23.0%</td>\n <td>+5.3%</td>\n <td>13.4%</td>\n <td>14.8%</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>NIKE, Inc. (NKE)</td>\n <td>37.2</td>\n <td>31.5</td>\n <td>+12.4%</td>\n <td>+10.0%</td>\n <td>47.1%</td>\n <td>47.6%</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>adidas AG (OTCQX:ADDYY) (OTCQX:ADDDF) [ADS:GR]</td>\n <td>38.8</td>\n <td>29.0</td>\n <td>+10.6%</td>\n <td>+12.1%</td>\n <td>22.5%</td>\n <td>25.2%</td>\n </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p>Source: S&P Capital IQ</p>\n<p>As per the peer comparison table presented above, Lululemon is valued by the market at a significant premium to the company's listed peers with respect to forward P/E valuation metrics. LULU does boast superior revenue growth prospects as compared to all of its peers, while its forecasted ROEs are higher than the majority of its peers as well. As such, Lululemon does deserve to trade at higher P/E multiples than that of its peers, but the stock's lofty valuations are not very attractive on an absolute basis if one wants to consider it as an investment candidate.</p>\n<p><b>LULU Stock Earnings</b></p>\n<p>LULU reported its Q2 2021 earnings on September 8, 2021 after trading hours, and the company's stock price jumped by +11% the next day, from $380.85 to $420.71. It is clear that the market is very satisfied with Lululemon's recent quarterly financial performance.</p>\n<p>LULU's top line expanded by +61% YoY from $903 million in Q2 2020 to $1,451 million in Q2 2021, while its non-GAAP adjusted earnings per share increased by +123% YoY from $0.74 to$1.65over the same period. Notably, Lululemon's revenue and earnings per share were+9% and +39% higher than the market consensus' forecasts, respectively based on S&P Capital IQ data. As I highlighted in the preceding section with reference to the management's comments, athleisure continues to see strong demand, and Lululemon is a key beneficiary as the leading brand in this segment, which explains the company's good quarterly financial results.</p>\n<p>Specifically, the excellent performance of Lululemon's international and e-commerce businesses in the recent quarter is noteworthy. LULU's revenue from international markets grew by +49% YoY in Q2 2021, and this was equivalent to a two-year CAGR of +43%. Lululemon highlighted at the company's Q2 earnings call that \"our international business is ahead of the four times growth (revenue target) we put out to be completed by the end of 2023.\"</p>\n<p>On the other hand, LULU's e-commerce sales still increased by+4%YoY (adjusted for foreign exchange effects) in Q2 2021, despite an exceptionally high base in Q2 2020 (+157% YoY e-commerce sales growth). This translates to a two-year e-commerce sales CAGR of approximately +66%. Lululemonrevealedthat it is implementing new initiatives to further drive the growth of its e-commerce business, which includes \"expanding our alternative payment methods, improved storytelling, more predictive search and a more seamless checkout.\"</p>\n<p>Moving ahead, Lululemon is guiding for $6.19-$6.26 billion in revenue and $7.38-$7.48 in earnings per share for full-year fiscal 2021. This is aligned with Wall Street analysts' consensus top line and bottom line of $6.233 billion and $7.48, which translate to YoY growth rates of +41.6% and +59.2%, respectively as per S&P Capital IQ data.</p>\n<p>However, there is a real risk that the company disappoints on profitability in the coming quarters.</p>\n<p>Firstly, Lululemon's future investments could be larger than expected. The company guided at its recent results call for FY 2021 SG&A (Selling, General & Administrative) \"deleverage of 10 to 30 basis points versus 2020\" and an increase in capital expenditures this year. LULU attributed this to \"our investment in MIRROR (highlighted in \"Company Description\" section) brand building\", \"MIRROR shop-in-shops\" and \"increased investment in our supply chain, digital capabilities, new store openings and renovations.\" It is not unusual for actual investments to turn out to be greater than what companies budget for.</p>\n<p>Secondly, LULU's introduction of footwear products in 2022 could be negative for the company's overall gross profit margin. At its 1Q 2021 earnings call in June 2021, Lululemon mentioned that \"we are bringing footwear next year.\" As a new product line which will begin with relatively lower volume, footwear products are likely to have lower gross profit margins than LULU's existing core products. In other words, Lululemon's sales mix could be less favorable next year, and this could translate to lower gross margins for the company as a whole.</p>\n<p>Thirdly, lock-downs in Vietnam relating to COVID-19 could have an adverse impact on the company's business operations. Lululemon acknowledged at its Q2 2021 results briefing that the Vietnam production disruption \"is currently impacting approximately 20% of our second half inventory\", with the country accounting for \"30% of our finished goods.\" A September 13, 2021 <i>Seeking Alpha</i> news article quoted research from <i>BTIG</i> which mentioned that there are \"supply risks in the apparel and footwear sector as the negative impact of Vietnam factory closures becomes clearer.\" LULU's current full-year guidance is based onthe assumptionthat Southern Vietnam commences its re-opening process this month, and if that does not happen, Lululemon's financial numbers in the subsequent quarters could potentially come in below expectations.</p>\n<p><b>Is LULU Stock A Buy, Sell, Or Hold?</b></p>\n<p>LULU stock is a Hold based on my analysis.</p>\n<p>I fear that Lululemon could suffer from a valuation de-rating, assuming that the company's future quarterly earnings fall short of market expectations as a result of the various factors that I highlighted in the previous section. That said, I do acknowledge that LULU is the market leader in athleisure with significantmarket share, and its medium-term growth prospects are excellent, especially for the international and e-commerce segments. Considering both the positives and negatives associated with the stock, my opinion is that a Hold rating is fair for Lululemon.</p>\n<p>LULU's key risks are actual investments exceeding its original budget, a failure to ramp up sales of its new footwear products next year to achieve economies of scale, and prolonged lock-downs in Vietnam which bring greater-than-expected disruptions for the company.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is Lululemon Stock A Buy Or Sell After Q2 Earnings? Key Risk Is Lower-Than-Expected Profitability</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs Lululemon Stock A Buy Or Sell After Q2 Earnings? Key Risk Is Lower-Than-Expected Profitability\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-09-17 17:36 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4455585-lululemon-stock-buy-sell-q2-earnings><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nLululemon's share price has done much better than the key benchmark stock indices in the past few months, as a result of better-than-expected financial performance in 1H 2021.\nLULU achieved ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4455585-lululemon-stock-buy-sell-q2-earnings\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LULU":"lululemon athletica"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4455585-lululemon-stock-buy-sell-q2-earnings","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1139296336","content_text":"Summary\n\nLululemon's share price has done much better than the key benchmark stock indices in the past few months, as a result of better-than-expected financial performance in 1H 2021.\nLULU achieved strong top line and bottom line growth in Q2 2021 which also beat market expectations, but lower-than-expected profitability for the company going forward is a key downside risk.\nI see Lululemon stock as Hold after Q2 earnings, as its valuations are expensive, and an earnings miss in the future could de-rate its shares.\n\njentakespictures/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nElevator Pitch\nI assign a Neutral rating to Lululemon Athletica Inc (LULU).\nLululemon has delivered significant stock price outperformance as compared to the major benchmark stock indices in the last couple of months, and the stock's current valuations are not that appealing following its recent share price run. Larger-than-expected investments in the near future, an unfavorable sales mix with the introduction of new footwear products next year, and potential supply chain disruptions could be a potential drag on LULU's forward earnings.\nMy rating for Lululemon is a Hold or Neutral. On one hand, I am positive on LULU's better-than-expected Q2 results and its long-term growth prospects. On the flip side, LULU's premium valuations and recent share price run have priced in the near-term positives for the company, while there are downside risks relating to its future earnings outlook.\nCompany Description\nIn its press releases, Lululemon Athletica Inc refers to itself as \"a healthy lifestyle inspired athletic apparel company for yoga, running, training, and most other sweaty pursuits\". LULU was established in 1998, and the company's shares were listed on the Nasdaq in 2007.\nAs of August 1, 2021, Lululemon boasted a network of 534 storesthat are located in 17 different markets. LULU generated 69%, 14% and 17%of the company's revenue from the US, Canada and international markets, respectively in the first half of FY 2021. The company-operated stores, the direct-to-consumer business, and others contributed 46%, 43% and 11% of its 1H 2021 sales, respectively. In the company's most recent 10-Q filing, Lululemon Athletica defines the others business segment as \"outlets, temporary locations, sales to wholesale accounts, license and supply arrangements, and MIRROR (home gym business acquired in2020).\"\nLululemon Stock Price\nLululemon's stock price increased by +20.4% and +32.8% in the year-to-date and past one-year time periods, respectively which tracked the performance of the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite very closely. However, LULU started to outperform the key benchmark stock indices in the last couple of months. In the past six months, Lululemon's share price rose by+33.3%, while the Nasdaq Composite and S&P 500 were only up in the low-teens percentages over the same period. In the last three months, LULU's shares went up by +25.0%, as compared to the +7.7% and +5.5% increases for the Nasdaq Composite and S&P 500, respectively during the same time.\nLULU's earnings beat for both the first and second quarter of 2021 clearly helped to drive the company's recent strong stock price performance. More significantly, Lululemon Athletica's above-expectations financial performance in the first half of this year implies that the company has structural growth drivers working in its favor, instead of merely being a beneficiary of one-off Work-From-Home or WFH tailwinds during the peak of COVID-19.\nAt its recent second-quarter results briefing, Lululemon noted that \"the pandemic drove forward, accelerated some of the guest behaviors that play to the strength of our brand\" which included \"general fitness awareness\", \"being well, living well\" and \"the importance of functional apparel\". The company also emphasized that its \"brand is early innings across product with activities where we focus on\" and \"gaining market share across categories\".\nSeparately, it is critical to examine if whether Lululemon's recent share price outperformance makes it less attractive as a potential investment candidate in terms of valuations.\nPeer Valuation Comparison For LULU\n\n\n\nStock\nConsensus Current Fiscal Year Normalized P/E Multiple\nConsensus Forward One Fiscal Year Normalized P/E Multiple\nConsensus Current Fiscal Year Revenue Growth Metric\nConsensus Forward One Fiscal Year Revenue Growth Metric\nConsensus Current Fiscal Year ROE Metric\nConsensus Forward One Fiscal Year ROE Metric\n\n\nLululemon\n56.0\n47.1\n+41.6%\n+15.0%\n33.4%\n34.8%\n\n\nCanada Goose Holdings Inc. (GOOS)\n40.8\n26.8\n+21.7%\n+18.2%\n18.7%\n21.3%\n\n\nUnder Armour, Inc. (UAA)\n38.7\n34.0\n+23.0%\n+5.3%\n13.4%\n14.8%\n\n\nNIKE, Inc. (NKE)\n37.2\n31.5\n+12.4%\n+10.0%\n47.1%\n47.6%\n\n\nadidas AG (OTCQX:ADDYY) (OTCQX:ADDDF) [ADS:GR]\n38.8\n29.0\n+10.6%\n+12.1%\n22.5%\n25.2%\n\n\n\nSource: S&P Capital IQ\nAs per the peer comparison table presented above, Lululemon is valued by the market at a significant premium to the company's listed peers with respect to forward P/E valuation metrics. LULU does boast superior revenue growth prospects as compared to all of its peers, while its forecasted ROEs are higher than the majority of its peers as well. As such, Lululemon does deserve to trade at higher P/E multiples than that of its peers, but the stock's lofty valuations are not very attractive on an absolute basis if one wants to consider it as an investment candidate.\nLULU Stock Earnings\nLULU reported its Q2 2021 earnings on September 8, 2021 after trading hours, and the company's stock price jumped by +11% the next day, from $380.85 to $420.71. It is clear that the market is very satisfied with Lululemon's recent quarterly financial performance.\nLULU's top line expanded by +61% YoY from $903 million in Q2 2020 to $1,451 million in Q2 2021, while its non-GAAP adjusted earnings per share increased by +123% YoY from $0.74 to$1.65over the same period. Notably, Lululemon's revenue and earnings per share were+9% and +39% higher than the market consensus' forecasts, respectively based on S&P Capital IQ data. As I highlighted in the preceding section with reference to the management's comments, athleisure continues to see strong demand, and Lululemon is a key beneficiary as the leading brand in this segment, which explains the company's good quarterly financial results.\nSpecifically, the excellent performance of Lululemon's international and e-commerce businesses in the recent quarter is noteworthy. LULU's revenue from international markets grew by +49% YoY in Q2 2021, and this was equivalent to a two-year CAGR of +43%. Lululemon highlighted at the company's Q2 earnings call that \"our international business is ahead of the four times growth (revenue target) we put out to be completed by the end of 2023.\"\nOn the other hand, LULU's e-commerce sales still increased by+4%YoY (adjusted for foreign exchange effects) in Q2 2021, despite an exceptionally high base in Q2 2020 (+157% YoY e-commerce sales growth). This translates to a two-year e-commerce sales CAGR of approximately +66%. Lululemonrevealedthat it is implementing new initiatives to further drive the growth of its e-commerce business, which includes \"expanding our alternative payment methods, improved storytelling, more predictive search and a more seamless checkout.\"\nMoving ahead, Lululemon is guiding for $6.19-$6.26 billion in revenue and $7.38-$7.48 in earnings per share for full-year fiscal 2021. This is aligned with Wall Street analysts' consensus top line and bottom line of $6.233 billion and $7.48, which translate to YoY growth rates of +41.6% and +59.2%, respectively as per S&P Capital IQ data.\nHowever, there is a real risk that the company disappoints on profitability in the coming quarters.\nFirstly, Lululemon's future investments could be larger than expected. The company guided at its recent results call for FY 2021 SG&A (Selling, General & Administrative) \"deleverage of 10 to 30 basis points versus 2020\" and an increase in capital expenditures this year. LULU attributed this to \"our investment in MIRROR (highlighted in \"Company Description\" section) brand building\", \"MIRROR shop-in-shops\" and \"increased investment in our supply chain, digital capabilities, new store openings and renovations.\" It is not unusual for actual investments to turn out to be greater than what companies budget for.\nSecondly, LULU's introduction of footwear products in 2022 could be negative for the company's overall gross profit margin. At its 1Q 2021 earnings call in June 2021, Lululemon mentioned that \"we are bringing footwear next year.\" As a new product line which will begin with relatively lower volume, footwear products are likely to have lower gross profit margins than LULU's existing core products. In other words, Lululemon's sales mix could be less favorable next year, and this could translate to lower gross margins for the company as a whole.\nThirdly, lock-downs in Vietnam relating to COVID-19 could have an adverse impact on the company's business operations. Lululemon acknowledged at its Q2 2021 results briefing that the Vietnam production disruption \"is currently impacting approximately 20% of our second half inventory\", with the country accounting for \"30% of our finished goods.\" A September 13, 2021 Seeking Alpha news article quoted research from BTIG which mentioned that there are \"supply risks in the apparel and footwear sector as the negative impact of Vietnam factory closures becomes clearer.\" LULU's current full-year guidance is based onthe assumptionthat Southern Vietnam commences its re-opening process this month, and if that does not happen, Lululemon's financial numbers in the subsequent quarters could potentially come in below expectations.\nIs LULU Stock A Buy, Sell, Or Hold?\nLULU stock is a Hold based on my analysis.\nI fear that Lululemon could suffer from a valuation de-rating, assuming that the company's future quarterly earnings fall short of market expectations as a result of the various factors that I highlighted in the previous section. That said, I do acknowledge that LULU is the market leader in athleisure with significantmarket share, and its medium-term growth prospects are excellent, especially for the international and e-commerce segments. Considering both the positives and negatives associated with the stock, my opinion is that a Hold rating is fair for Lululemon.\nLULU's key risks are actual investments exceeding its original budget, a failure to ramp up sales of its new footwear products next year to achieve economies of scale, and prolonged lock-downs in Vietnam which bring greater-than-expected disruptions for the company.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":634,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":885148899,"gmtCreate":1631769904811,"gmtModify":1631889755184,"author":{"id":"3559873043762670","authorId":"3559873043762670","name":"Fonkytonks","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4dfa5c5b6a3eb44de87d5ed63482f16c","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559873043762670","authorIdStr":"3559873043762670"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Buy","listText":"Buy","text":"Buy","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/885148899","repostId":"2167592712","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":762,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":888597987,"gmtCreate":1631505221949,"gmtModify":1631889755195,"author":{"id":"3559873043762670","authorId":"3559873043762670","name":"Fonkytonks","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4dfa5c5b6a3eb44de87d5ed63482f16c","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559873043762670","authorIdStr":"3559873043762670"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Buy","listText":"Buy","text":"Buy","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/888597987","repostId":"2166303094","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2166303094","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1631488015,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2166303094?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-13 07:06","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Retail sales, Consumer Price Index: What to know this week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2166303094","media":"Yahoo Finance","summary":"Traders this week will be focused on new data on inflation and spending. Each are likely to have mod","content":"<p>Traders this week will be focused on new data on inflation and spending. Each are likely to have moderated last month after initial reopening surges in demand and price increases earlier this year.</p>\n<p>On the inflation front, the Labor Department's August Consumer Price Index (CPI) is set for release on Tuesday. The print is expected to decelerate on both a monthly and annual basis, suggesting the peak growth rates in prices for consumer goods and service may already have passed during this economic recovery.</p>\n<p>Consensus economists expect the broadest measure of CPI will grow 0.4% in August compared to July, and by 5.3% compared to August 2020. In July, the headline CPI grew 0.5% month-on-month and by 5.4% year-on-year, with the latter representing the fastest annual growth rate since 2008.</p>\n<p>Excluding more volatile food and energy prices, the CPI likely grew 0.3% month-on-month in August to match July's pace. However, on a year-over-year basis, the CPI excluding food and energy prices likely ticked down to a 4.2% rate, or a hair below July's 4.3% rate. That had, in turn, moderated from a 4.5% annual rate in June, which had marked the fastest rise since 1991.</p>\n<p>The multi-year highs in consumer price increases so far this year have coincided with the broadening economic recovery, as more Americans became vaccinated and were more inclined to spend. This especially drove up prices in goods and services closely tied to renewed consumer mobility.</p>\n<p>Used car and truck prices, for instances, rose at least 7.3% in each of April, May and June before decelerating sharply to an only 0.2% rise in July — suggesting an initial wave of demand was finally being unwound as consumers reacclimatized to going back out and companies' supply chains began to catch up with demand. Similar trends have been seen in prices for airline tickets, motor vehicle insurance and apparel prices, which pulled back in July after spiking earlier in late spring and early summer.</p>\n<p>Other categories of consumer prices have seen more sustained increases, especially in food and energy prices. Other services-related areas of consumption have also seen sustained rises, with consumers returning to in-person activities like dining out at bars and restaurants and leisure traveling. The CPI's \"services less energy services\" category has on a monthly basis in every month so far in 2021 except January, mostly recently at a 0.3% clip.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b3ba3dcdb70c21ee0f288bf7cd56e371\" tg-width=\"4949\" tg-height=\"3345\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Muhlenberg, PA - March 18: Redner's Quick Shoppe employee Julie Zezenski and Manager Pete Ostrowski work behind the counter at the Redner's Quick Shoppe on Tuckerton Road in Muhlenberg township Thursday afternoon March 18, 2021. (Photo by Ben Hasty/MediaNews Group/Reading Eagle via Getty Images)MediaNews Group/Reading Eagle via Getty Images via Getty Images</p>\n<p>\"Although the rise in global CPI inflation earlier this year was concentrated in energy and a narrow set of goods prices linked to supply constraints, the acceleration in food prices, alongside a recent pickup in services price inflation, sends a signal that pandemic-related pressures on prices are broadening,\" JPMorgan economists Nora Szentivanyi and Bruce Kasman wrote in a note last week.</p>\n<p>\"While we believe much of this pressure will prove transitory, inflation should remain elevated through early next year, as rising food and services price inflation offsets a moderation in energy and core goods price gains,\" they added.</p>\n<p>The CPI also serves as another metric pointing to the relative stickiness or transience of inflationary pressures in the recovering economy. Its outsized increases earlier this year — along with increases in the Federal Reserve's preferred inflationary gauge, core personal consumption expenditures — have suggested to some economists that the central bank might be prudent to alter its monetary policies to stave off a sustained overheating of the economy.</p>\n<p>Federal Reserve policymakers, however, have largely stuck to the conviction that inflation will prove transitory in this economy. Central bank officials like Fed Chair Jerome Powell further suggested that a premature policy move could actually backfire by cutting short the recovery in the labor market.</p>\n<p>\"The spike in inflation is so far largely the product of a relatively narrow group of goods and services that have been directly affected by the pandemic and the reopening of the economy,\" Powell said during his speech at the central bank's Jackson Hole symposium in late August.</p>\n<p>\"Some prices — for example, for hotel rooms and airplane tickets — declined sharply during the recession and have now moved back up close to pre-pandemic levels,\" he said. \"The 12-month window we use in computing inflation now captures the rebound in prices but not the initial decline, temporarily elevating reported inflation. These effects, which are adding a few tenths to measured inflation, should wash out over time.\"</p>\n<h2>Retail sales</h2>\n<p>Another closely watched economic data report out this week will be Thursday's retail sales print from the U.S. Commerce Department.</p>\n<p>Consumer spending has retreated in recent months as a boost from stimulus checks and other government support faded compared to earlier this year. In July, retail sales fell by a worse-than-expected 1.1%, which was more than three times greater than the drop expected.</p>\n<p>The August retail sales report will capture more of the impact on spending from the latest jump in coronavirus cases, with infections related to the Delta variant's spread having picked up mid-summer. Consensus economists expect to see sales fall for a back-to-back month, dropping by 0.8% for the month.</p>\n<p>Some service-related spending already slowed in July, suggesting consumers were already going out somewhat less frequently as infections mounted. Food services and drinking places sales increase by 1.7% in July, following a 2.4% monthly gain in June.</p>\n<p>The August retail sales report, however, will not capture any impact on spending related to the national expiration of enhanced unemployment benefits. Throughout the summer, about half of U.S. states had ended pandemic-era federal jobless benefits to try and incentivize unemployed individuals to return to work. The other half of states ended these benefits by Sept. 6.</p>\n<p>Future retail sales reports for September and onward may reflect slowing sales as a result of the expiration of this aid, some economists suggested.</p>\n<p>\"Spending by the unemployed, especially low-income households, has been supported by enhanced unemployment benefits,\" Rubeela Farooqi, chief economist at High Frequency Economics, wrote in a note. \"Absent this support, spending outcomes will surely be different, especially if households are less secure about job prospects going forward.\"</p>\n<h2>Economic calendar</h2>\n<ul>\n <li><p><b>Monday: </b>Monthly budget statement, August (-$302.1 billion during prior month)</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Tuesday: </b>NFIB Small Business Optimism, August (99.7 during prior month); Real Average Weekly Earnings, year-over-year, August (-0.9% during prior month); Consumer Price Index, month-over-month, August (0.4% expected, 0.5% in July); Consumer Price Index excluding food and energy, month-over-month, August (0.3% expected, 0.3% in July); Consumer Price Index, year-over-year, August (5.3% expected, 5.4% in July); Consumer Price Index excluding food and energy, year-over-year (August (4.2% expected, 4.3% in August)</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Wednesday: </b>MBA Mortgage Applications, week ended September 10 (-1.9% during prior week); Empire Manufacturing, September (20.0 expected, 18.3 during prior month); Import Price Index, month-over-month, August (0.3% expected, 0.3% in July); Industrial Production, month-over-month, August (0.6% expected, 0.9% in July); Capacity Utilization, August (76.4% in August, 76.1% in July); Manufacturing Production, August (0.4% expected, 1.4% in July)</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Thursday: </b>Retail Sales Advance, month-over-month, August (-0.8% expected, -1.1% in July); Retail Sales excluding autos and gas, August (-0.5% expected, -0.7% in July); Initial jobless claims, week ended September 11; Continuing Claims, week ended September 4; Philadelphia Fed Business Outlook Index, September (20.0 expected, 19.4 in August); Business inventories, July (0.5% expected, 0.8% in June); Total Net TIC Flows, July ($31.5 billion in June); Total Long-term TIC Flows, July ($110.9 billion in June)</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Friday: </b>University of Michigan Sentiment, September preliminary (72.7 expected, 70.3 in August)</p></li>\n</ul>\n<h2>Earnings calendar</h2>\n<ul>\n <li><p><b>Monday: </b>Oracle (ORCL) after market close</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Tuesday:</b> Lennar (LEN), FuelCell Energy (FCEL) before market open <b> </b></p></li>\n <li><p><b>Wednesday: </b>Weber (WEBR) before market open</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Thursday: </b><i>No notable reports scheduled for release</i></p></li>\n <li><p><b>Friday: </b><i>No notable reports scheduled for release</i></p></li>\n</ul>","source":"yahoofinance_au","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Retail sales, Consumer Price Index: What to know this week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nRetail sales, Consumer Price Index: What to know this week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-09-13 07:06 GMT+8 <a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/retail-sales-consumer-price-index-what-to-know-this-week-145855567.html><strong>Yahoo Finance</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Traders this week will be focused on new data on inflation and spending. Each are likely to have moderated last month after initial reopening surges in demand and price increases earlier this year.\nOn...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/retail-sales-consumer-price-index-what-to-know-this-week-145855567.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ORCL":"甲骨文","LEN":"莱纳建筑公司","WEBR":"Weber Inc.","FCEL":"燃料电池能源"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/retail-sales-consumer-price-index-what-to-know-this-week-145855567.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2166303094","content_text":"Traders this week will be focused on new data on inflation and spending. Each are likely to have moderated last month after initial reopening surges in demand and price increases earlier this year.\nOn the inflation front, the Labor Department's August Consumer Price Index (CPI) is set for release on Tuesday. The print is expected to decelerate on both a monthly and annual basis, suggesting the peak growth rates in prices for consumer goods and service may already have passed during this economic recovery.\nConsensus economists expect the broadest measure of CPI will grow 0.4% in August compared to July, and by 5.3% compared to August 2020. In July, the headline CPI grew 0.5% month-on-month and by 5.4% year-on-year, with the latter representing the fastest annual growth rate since 2008.\nExcluding more volatile food and energy prices, the CPI likely grew 0.3% month-on-month in August to match July's pace. However, on a year-over-year basis, the CPI excluding food and energy prices likely ticked down to a 4.2% rate, or a hair below July's 4.3% rate. That had, in turn, moderated from a 4.5% annual rate in June, which had marked the fastest rise since 1991.\nThe multi-year highs in consumer price increases so far this year have coincided with the broadening economic recovery, as more Americans became vaccinated and were more inclined to spend. This especially drove up prices in goods and services closely tied to renewed consumer mobility.\nUsed car and truck prices, for instances, rose at least 7.3% in each of April, May and June before decelerating sharply to an only 0.2% rise in July — suggesting an initial wave of demand was finally being unwound as consumers reacclimatized to going back out and companies' supply chains began to catch up with demand. Similar trends have been seen in prices for airline tickets, motor vehicle insurance and apparel prices, which pulled back in July after spiking earlier in late spring and early summer.\nOther categories of consumer prices have seen more sustained increases, especially in food and energy prices. Other services-related areas of consumption have also seen sustained rises, with consumers returning to in-person activities like dining out at bars and restaurants and leisure traveling. The CPI's \"services less energy services\" category has on a monthly basis in every month so far in 2021 except January, mostly recently at a 0.3% clip.\nMuhlenberg, PA - March 18: Redner's Quick Shoppe employee Julie Zezenski and Manager Pete Ostrowski work behind the counter at the Redner's Quick Shoppe on Tuckerton Road in Muhlenberg township Thursday afternoon March 18, 2021. (Photo by Ben Hasty/MediaNews Group/Reading Eagle via Getty Images)MediaNews Group/Reading Eagle via Getty Images via Getty Images\n\"Although the rise in global CPI inflation earlier this year was concentrated in energy and a narrow set of goods prices linked to supply constraints, the acceleration in food prices, alongside a recent pickup in services price inflation, sends a signal that pandemic-related pressures on prices are broadening,\" JPMorgan economists Nora Szentivanyi and Bruce Kasman wrote in a note last week.\n\"While we believe much of this pressure will prove transitory, inflation should remain elevated through early next year, as rising food and services price inflation offsets a moderation in energy and core goods price gains,\" they added.\nThe CPI also serves as another metric pointing to the relative stickiness or transience of inflationary pressures in the recovering economy. Its outsized increases earlier this year — along with increases in the Federal Reserve's preferred inflationary gauge, core personal consumption expenditures — have suggested to some economists that the central bank might be prudent to alter its monetary policies to stave off a sustained overheating of the economy.\nFederal Reserve policymakers, however, have largely stuck to the conviction that inflation will prove transitory in this economy. Central bank officials like Fed Chair Jerome Powell further suggested that a premature policy move could actually backfire by cutting short the recovery in the labor market.\n\"The spike in inflation is so far largely the product of a relatively narrow group of goods and services that have been directly affected by the pandemic and the reopening of the economy,\" Powell said during his speech at the central bank's Jackson Hole symposium in late August.\n\"Some prices — for example, for hotel rooms and airplane tickets — declined sharply during the recession and have now moved back up close to pre-pandemic levels,\" he said. \"The 12-month window we use in computing inflation now captures the rebound in prices but not the initial decline, temporarily elevating reported inflation. These effects, which are adding a few tenths to measured inflation, should wash out over time.\"\nRetail sales\nAnother closely watched economic data report out this week will be Thursday's retail sales print from the U.S. Commerce Department.\nConsumer spending has retreated in recent months as a boost from stimulus checks and other government support faded compared to earlier this year. In July, retail sales fell by a worse-than-expected 1.1%, which was more than three times greater than the drop expected.\nThe August retail sales report will capture more of the impact on spending from the latest jump in coronavirus cases, with infections related to the Delta variant's spread having picked up mid-summer. Consensus economists expect to see sales fall for a back-to-back month, dropping by 0.8% for the month.\nSome service-related spending already slowed in July, suggesting consumers were already going out somewhat less frequently as infections mounted. Food services and drinking places sales increase by 1.7% in July, following a 2.4% monthly gain in June.\nThe August retail sales report, however, will not capture any impact on spending related to the national expiration of enhanced unemployment benefits. Throughout the summer, about half of U.S. states had ended pandemic-era federal jobless benefits to try and incentivize unemployed individuals to return to work. The other half of states ended these benefits by Sept. 6.\nFuture retail sales reports for September and onward may reflect slowing sales as a result of the expiration of this aid, some economists suggested.\n\"Spending by the unemployed, especially low-income households, has been supported by enhanced unemployment benefits,\" Rubeela Farooqi, chief economist at High Frequency Economics, wrote in a note. \"Absent this support, spending outcomes will surely be different, especially if households are less secure about job prospects going forward.\"\nEconomic calendar\n\nMonday: Monthly budget statement, August (-$302.1 billion during prior month)\nTuesday: NFIB Small Business Optimism, August (99.7 during prior month); Real Average Weekly Earnings, year-over-year, August (-0.9% during prior month); Consumer Price Index, month-over-month, August (0.4% expected, 0.5% in July); Consumer Price Index excluding food and energy, month-over-month, August (0.3% expected, 0.3% in July); Consumer Price Index, year-over-year, August (5.3% expected, 5.4% in July); Consumer Price Index excluding food and energy, year-over-year (August (4.2% expected, 4.3% in August)\nWednesday: MBA Mortgage Applications, week ended September 10 (-1.9% during prior week); Empire Manufacturing, September (20.0 expected, 18.3 during prior month); Import Price Index, month-over-month, August (0.3% expected, 0.3% in July); Industrial Production, month-over-month, August (0.6% expected, 0.9% in July); Capacity Utilization, August (76.4% in August, 76.1% in July); Manufacturing Production, August (0.4% expected, 1.4% in July)\nThursday: Retail Sales Advance, month-over-month, August (-0.8% expected, -1.1% in July); Retail Sales excluding autos and gas, August (-0.5% expected, -0.7% in July); Initial jobless claims, week ended September 11; Continuing Claims, week ended September 4; Philadelphia Fed Business Outlook Index, September (20.0 expected, 19.4 in August); Business inventories, July (0.5% expected, 0.8% in June); Total Net TIC Flows, July ($31.5 billion in June); Total Long-term TIC Flows, July ($110.9 billion in June)\nFriday: University of Michigan Sentiment, September preliminary (72.7 expected, 70.3 in August)\n\nEarnings calendar\n\nMonday: Oracle (ORCL) after market close\nTuesday: Lennar (LEN), FuelCell Energy (FCEL) before market open \nWednesday: Weber (WEBR) before market open\nThursday: No notable reports scheduled for release\nFriday: No notable reports scheduled for release","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":583,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":889227376,"gmtCreate":1631152640895,"gmtModify":1631889755210,"author":{"id":"3559873043762670","authorId":"3559873043762670","name":"Fonkytonks","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4dfa5c5b6a3eb44de87d5ed63482f16c","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559873043762670","authorIdStr":"3559873043762670"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Buy","listText":"Buy","text":"Buy","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/889227376","repostId":"2166392072","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":646,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"followers","isTTM":false}