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funky0612
funky0612
·
2021-12-23
Yes
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funky0612
funky0612
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2021-05-30
Tesla 😱😱😱
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funky0612
funky0612
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2021-05-27
Yes Palantir!!!
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funky0612
funky0612
·
2021-05-26
Cool
You Can Afford to Be Extremely Patient With Coinbase Stock
With Bitcoin crumbling, COIN will be deflated for a while. Cathie Wood is thematriarch of Wall Stre
You Can Afford to Be Extremely Patient With Coinbase Stock
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funky0612
funky0612
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2021-05-18
😎cool
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funky0612
funky0612
·
2021-05-15
Wow
Opinion: Why any stock market rally right now will be quick
Market-timers are running with the bulls but quick to turn bearish. Contrarian investors suspect th
Opinion: Why any stock market rally right now will be quick
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funky0612
funky0612
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2021-04-12
Interesting
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funky0612
funky0612
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2021-04-07
Interesting
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funky0612
funky0612
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2021-04-07
Really ?
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funky0612
funky0612
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2021-03-23
Semicon!!!
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11:48","market":"us","language":"en","title":"You Can Afford to Be Extremely Patient With Coinbase Stock","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1130362459","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"With Bitcoin crumbling, COIN will be deflated for a while.\n\nCathie Wood is thematriarch of Wall Stre","content":"<blockquote>\n <b>With Bitcoin crumbling, COIN will be deflated for a while.</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p>Cathie Wood is thematriarch of Wall Street. She delivers results for her clients while doing so in an ethical manner. Even if you’re not a money person, you got to respect Wood. Despite my reverence, though, I’ve got to question her decision to buy<b>Coinbase</b>(NASDAQ:<b><u>COIN</u></b>).</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f8c8b9616b33c8206aa3edc5c595e8ef\" tg-width=\"300\" tg-height=\"169\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Source: Primakov / Shutterstock.com</p>\n<p>Yes, COIN stock is on discount but not all markdowns are worth considering.</p>\n<p>Let’s back up a step. Technically, I’m referring to Barron’s post on May 21, which revealed that Wood’s ARK Invest fund “snapped up more than 1.2 million additional shares, lifting its total holdings by more than 40% to 4.2 million shares.”</p>\n<p>Most of the shares went to the fund’s flagship<b>ARK Innovation ETF</b>(NYSEARCA:<b><u>ARKK</u></b>).</p>\n<p>On the surface, I can understand why Wood jumped on the Coinbase dip. After all, the Oracle of Omaha Warren Buffett once stated in part, “be fearful when others are greedy andgreedy only when others are fearful.”</p>\n<p>Well, I think we can safely say that there’s a lot of fear going on in the crypto space. Therefore, if we apply Buffett’s words literally, now is the perfect time to invest in Coinbase stock, but is it really?</p>\n<p>Take it from a cryptocurrency advocate and investor. I’ve gone through multiple boom-bust cycles with this temptress known as<b>Bitcoin</b>(CCC:<b><u>BTC-USD</u></b>).</p>\n<p>As I shared with the<i>InvestorPlace</i>audience,I’m mortgage-free because of cryptocurrencies, and now I’m on the cusp of being able to buy back the cryptocurrencies I used to pay off my house.</p>\n<p>Seriously, I should have had my own crypto research project. I could have told you when to get in and, more importantly, when to get out. Because that’s where the problem with cryptos and by logical deduction, Coinbase stock lies.</p>\n<p>Too many people gambled on fantasies rather than realities.</p>\n<p><b>Coinbase Is a Long-Term Investment That You Can Wait on</b></p>\n<p>Frankly, the online publishing industry is ill-suited for cryptocurrency coverage. Editorial staffs must schedule story assignments, submitted works must undergo an editing process and once everything looks kosher, the piece goes live.</p>\n<p>But the challenge here is by the time crypto-related content goes through this normal procedure, everything could have changed. Indeed, the narrative for Bitcoin took only an hour or so to spark the negativity that it did.</p>\n<p>That segues into another point about virtual currencies — you’ve got to stay agile. This is a sector that will humble as quickly as it crowns you a genius. Something like Coinbase stock is especially at risk because it’s an equity unit that follows traditional market rules, yet is inextricably tied to an unprecedented, decentralized platform.</p>\n<p>This leads me to one hard conclusion: Coinbase stock is a long-term investment. That doesn’t mean you should buy shares today.</p>\n<p>Given the extreme velocity of Bitcoin’s correction, we can reasonably surmise that it’s going through thetypical process of a bear market bust cycle. You can read about the various emotional ranges on the link provided but I don’t think that we’ve yet to reach capitulation. If we haven’t reached capitulation, the market has yet to find a bottom, not even close.</p>\n<p>While I don’t have proof, some compelling evidence suggests that market cycles work through natural sequences. One of the most powerful is the Fibonacci sequence. From Bitcoin’s peak price of approximately $64,529, here are the numbers to watch.</p>\n<ul>\n <li>8% retracement: $39,879</li>\n <li>50% retracement (an “unofficial” Fib level): $32,264</li>\n <li>2% retracement: $24,650</li>\n <li>6% retracement: $15,229</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Interestingly, when the<b>Nasdaq Composite</b>index hit a weekly average high of nearly 4,915 points during the euphoria of the 2000 tech bubble, it eventually found a bottom at just under 1,140 points, a 23.2% decline.</p>\n<p>Therefore, I see the bottom of Bitcoin at around $15,000, which means theoretically, Coinbase stock has much more to fall.</p>\n<p><b>You Got to Know the Game</b></p>\n<p>One of the unsavory elements of the crypto game is the proliferation of narrative frontrunners. When you hear talk about Bitcoin killing the central banks, the only thing you should do is run. Nothing is more dangerous than believing an idea that has no fundamental merit.</p>\n<p>Essentially, people got gamed. Personally, I thought that Bitcoin was going to $100,000 earlier this year, but when BTC struggled, that was when I had doubts. So I made sure to cash out a good chunk of my portfolio because I knew that no market is immune from the treachery of human emotions.</p>\n<p>As harsh as this correction is, it’s a lesson. Never believe that any asset is different, whether you’re talking Bitcoin, real estate or used car prices. Nothing can run up forever.</p>\n<p>But if you’re going to ignore this teaching moment, for goodness’ sake, don’t rush into Coinbase stock before performing due diligence. With the equity unit so tied to Bitcoin’s fortunes, this is not the time to bet the house on it.</p>\n<p><i>On the date of publication, Josh Enomoto held a LONG position in BTC. The opinions expressed in this article are those of the writer, subject to the InvestorPlace.comPublishing Guidelines.</i></p>","source":"lsy1606302653667","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>You Can Afford to Be Extremely Patient With Coinbase Stock</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nYou Can Afford to Be Extremely Patient With Coinbase Stock\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-05-26 11:48 GMT+8 <a href=https://investorplace.com/2021/05/you-can-afford-patience-with-coinbase/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>With Bitcoin crumbling, COIN will be deflated for a while.\n\nCathie Wood is thematriarch of Wall Street. She delivers results for her clients while doing so in an ethical manner. Even if you’re not a ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/05/you-can-afford-patience-with-coinbase/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc."},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2021/05/you-can-afford-patience-with-coinbase/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1130362459","content_text":"With Bitcoin crumbling, COIN will be deflated for a while.\n\nCathie Wood is thematriarch of Wall Street. She delivers results for her clients while doing so in an ethical manner. Even if you’re not a money person, you got to respect Wood. Despite my reverence, though, I’ve got to question her decision to buyCoinbase(NASDAQ:COIN).\nSource: Primakov / Shutterstock.com\nYes, COIN stock is on discount but not all markdowns are worth considering.\nLet’s back up a step. Technically, I’m referring to Barron’s post on May 21, which revealed that Wood’s ARK Invest fund “snapped up more than 1.2 million additional shares, lifting its total holdings by more than 40% to 4.2 million shares.”\nMost of the shares went to the fund’s flagshipARK Innovation ETF(NYSEARCA:ARKK).\nOn the surface, I can understand why Wood jumped on the Coinbase dip. After all, the Oracle of Omaha Warren Buffett once stated in part, “be fearful when others are greedy andgreedy only when others are fearful.”\nWell, I think we can safely say that there’s a lot of fear going on in the crypto space. Therefore, if we apply Buffett’s words literally, now is the perfect time to invest in Coinbase stock, but is it really?\nTake it from a cryptocurrency advocate and investor. I’ve gone through multiple boom-bust cycles with this temptress known asBitcoin(CCC:BTC-USD).\nAs I shared with theInvestorPlaceaudience,I’m mortgage-free because of cryptocurrencies, and now I’m on the cusp of being able to buy back the cryptocurrencies I used to pay off my house.\nSeriously, I should have had my own crypto research project. I could have told you when to get in and, more importantly, when to get out. Because that’s where the problem with cryptos and by logical deduction, Coinbase stock lies.\nToo many people gambled on fantasies rather than realities.\nCoinbase Is a Long-Term Investment That You Can Wait on\nFrankly, the online publishing industry is ill-suited for cryptocurrency coverage. Editorial staffs must schedule story assignments, submitted works must undergo an editing process and once everything looks kosher, the piece goes live.\nBut the challenge here is by the time crypto-related content goes through this normal procedure, everything could have changed. Indeed, the narrative for Bitcoin took only an hour or so to spark the negativity that it did.\nThat segues into another point about virtual currencies — you’ve got to stay agile. This is a sector that will humble as quickly as it crowns you a genius. Something like Coinbase stock is especially at risk because it’s an equity unit that follows traditional market rules, yet is inextricably tied to an unprecedented, decentralized platform.\nThis leads me to one hard conclusion: Coinbase stock is a long-term investment. That doesn’t mean you should buy shares today.\nGiven the extreme velocity of Bitcoin’s correction, we can reasonably surmise that it’s going through thetypical process of a bear market bust cycle. You can read about the various emotional ranges on the link provided but I don’t think that we’ve yet to reach capitulation. If we haven’t reached capitulation, the market has yet to find a bottom, not even close.\nWhile I don’t have proof, some compelling evidence suggests that market cycles work through natural sequences. One of the most powerful is the Fibonacci sequence. From Bitcoin’s peak price of approximately $64,529, here are the numbers to watch.\n\n8% retracement: $39,879\n50% retracement (an “unofficial” Fib level): $32,264\n2% retracement: $24,650\n6% retracement: $15,229\n\nInterestingly, when theNasdaq Compositeindex hit a weekly average high of nearly 4,915 points during the euphoria of the 2000 tech bubble, it eventually found a bottom at just under 1,140 points, a 23.2% decline.\nTherefore, I see the bottom of Bitcoin at around $15,000, which means theoretically, Coinbase stock has much more to fall.\nYou Got to Know the Game\nOne of the unsavory elements of the crypto game is the proliferation of narrative frontrunners. When you hear talk about Bitcoin killing the central banks, the only thing you should do is run. Nothing is more dangerous than believing an idea that has no fundamental merit.\nEssentially, people got gamed. Personally, I thought that Bitcoin was going to $100,000 earlier this year, but when BTC struggled, that was when I had doubts. So I made sure to cash out a good chunk of my portfolio because I knew that no market is immune from the treachery of human emotions.\nAs harsh as this correction is, it’s a lesson. Never believe that any asset is different, whether you’re talking Bitcoin, real estate or used car prices. Nothing can run up forever.\nBut if you’re going to ignore this teaching moment, for goodness’ sake, don’t rush into Coinbase stock before performing due diligence. With the equity unit so tied to Bitcoin’s fortunes, this is not the time to bet the house on it.\nOn the date of publication, Josh Enomoto held a LONG position in BTC. The opinions expressed in this article are those of the writer, subject to the InvestorPlace.comPublishing Guidelines.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":626,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":195757467,"gmtCreate":1621320170059,"gmtModify":1634192468127,"author":{"id":"3570505106221155","authorId":"3570505106221155","name":"funky0612","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa318a8ab3268800c1d8a78026359b1c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570505106221155","authorIdStr":"3570505106221155"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"😎cool","listText":"😎cool","text":"😎cool","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/195757467","repostId":"2136963139","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":505,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":196667513,"gmtCreate":1621049893532,"gmtModify":1634194288449,"author":{"id":"3570505106221155","authorId":"3570505106221155","name":"funky0612","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa318a8ab3268800c1d8a78026359b1c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570505106221155","authorIdStr":"3570505106221155"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/196667513","repostId":"1111018641","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1111018641","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1621000588,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1111018641?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-14 21:56","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Opinion: Why any stock market rally right now will be quick","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1111018641","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Market-timers are running with the bulls but quick to turn bearish.\n\nContrarian investors suspect th","content":"<blockquote>\n <b>Market-timers are running with the bulls but quick to turn bearish.</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p>Contrarian investors suspect that the stock market’s recent decline has run its course — for now.</p>\n<p>That’s because these market timers, especially those who focus on the NasdaqNDX,1.07%market in particular, have become sufficiently bearish that the short-term path of least resistance has turned up. Still, it’s not clear that any new rally will have much lasting power. An even more serious U.S. market decline cannot be ruled out over the coming couple of months.</p>\n<p>For now, the recent decline appears to have been quite modest by historical standards, smaller even than what satisfies the semi-official definition of a correction as a 10% decline. Before Thursday’s big rally, the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,0.85%had fallen around 1,200 points from its previous all-time high, or 3.4%. The S&P 500SPX,0.98%was 4.0% below its high, and the Nasdaq CompositeCOMP,1.13%was down 7.8%.</p>\n<p>Consider how the Nasdaq-focused market timers reacted to these declines. As you can see from the chart below, their average recommended equity exposure (as represented by the Hulbert Nasdaq Newsletter Sentiment Index, or HNNSI) fell to minus 10.7%. That means that the Nasdaq-focused market timers are now recommending that their clients allocate an average of 10.7% of their equity trading portfolios to going short. As recently as April 29, this average exposure level stood at plus 83.6%.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d550f647619d600d419397967f7bb778\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"928\"></p>\n<p>That reflects a remarkably quick rush for the exits — 94.3 percentage points in just 10 trading sessions. In fact, out of the 5,000+ trading days since 2000, there have been only 18 — 0.3% — in which the HNNSI’s decline over the trailing 10 days was greater.</p>\n<p>To appreciate the contrarian significance of this, consider that, on average following those past few occasions when the HNNSI declined by this much and this fast, the Nasdaq Composite was 5.3% higher in one month’s time.</p>\n<p>Why, then, haven’t the contrarians become more bullish? The answer is also evident in the chart: The HNNSI’s plunge over the past 10 days stopped well short of the excessive bearish zone, defined as being in the bottom 10% of the historical distribution. That zone is represented by the beige-shaded box at the bottom of the chart.</p>\n<p>The last time the HNNSI fell into that zone was in March 2020. That was when the market’s “wall of worry” became incredibly strong and was able to support an impressive rally. That wall today is not as strong.</p>\n<p>The sentiment picture that the recent data are painting shows the market timers to be trigger-happy. They are quick to jump on the bullish bandwagon when the market rallies, and then jump on the bearish bandwagon when the market declines. As a result, both rallies and declines tend to be short-lived.</p>\n<p>A longer-lasting rally will require more extreme bearishness among the market timers, and for them to stubbornly hold onto their bearishness in the wake of the rally’s initial liftoff. Except for that to happen, the market to itself most likely would have to suffer a worse decline than we’ve experienced in recent days. In the meantime, enjoy this rally — while it lasts.</p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Opinion: Why any stock market rally right now will be quick</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOpinion: Why any stock market rally right now will be quick\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-05-14 21:56 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-any-stock-market-rally-right-now-will-be-quick-11620958836?mod=home-page><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Market-timers are running with the bulls but quick to turn bearish.\n\nContrarian investors suspect that the stock market’s recent decline has run its course — for now.\nThat’s because these market ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-any-stock-market-rally-right-now-will-be-quick-11620958836?mod=home-page\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-any-stock-market-rally-right-now-will-be-quick-11620958836?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1111018641","content_text":"Market-timers are running with the bulls but quick to turn bearish.\n\nContrarian investors suspect that the stock market’s recent decline has run its course — for now.\nThat’s because these market timers, especially those who focus on the NasdaqNDX,1.07%market in particular, have become sufficiently bearish that the short-term path of least resistance has turned up. Still, it’s not clear that any new rally will have much lasting power. An even more serious U.S. market decline cannot be ruled out over the coming couple of months.\nFor now, the recent decline appears to have been quite modest by historical standards, smaller even than what satisfies the semi-official definition of a correction as a 10% decline. Before Thursday’s big rally, the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,0.85%had fallen around 1,200 points from its previous all-time high, or 3.4%. The S&P 500SPX,0.98%was 4.0% below its high, and the Nasdaq CompositeCOMP,1.13%was down 7.8%.\nConsider how the Nasdaq-focused market timers reacted to these declines. As you can see from the chart below, their average recommended equity exposure (as represented by the Hulbert Nasdaq Newsletter Sentiment Index, or HNNSI) fell to minus 10.7%. That means that the Nasdaq-focused market timers are now recommending that their clients allocate an average of 10.7% of their equity trading portfolios to going short. As recently as April 29, this average exposure level stood at plus 83.6%.\n\nThat reflects a remarkably quick rush for the exits — 94.3 percentage points in just 10 trading sessions. In fact, out of the 5,000+ trading days since 2000, there have been only 18 — 0.3% — in which the HNNSI’s decline over the trailing 10 days was greater.\nTo appreciate the contrarian significance of this, consider that, on average following those past few occasions when the HNNSI declined by this much and this fast, the Nasdaq Composite was 5.3% higher in one month’s time.\nWhy, then, haven’t the contrarians become more bullish? The answer is also evident in the chart: The HNNSI’s plunge over the past 10 days stopped well short of the excessive bearish zone, defined as being in the bottom 10% of the historical distribution. That zone is represented by the beige-shaded box at the bottom of the chart.\nThe last time the HNNSI fell into that zone was in March 2020. That was when the market’s “wall of worry” became incredibly strong and was able to support an impressive rally. That wall today is not as strong.\nThe sentiment picture that the recent data are painting shows the market timers to be trigger-happy. They are quick to jump on the bullish bandwagon when the market rallies, and then jump on the bearish bandwagon when the market declines. As a result, both rallies and declines tend to be short-lived.\nA longer-lasting rally will require more extreme bearishness among the market timers, and for them to stubbornly hold onto their bearishness in the wake of the rally’s initial liftoff. Except for that to happen, the market to itself most likely would have to suffer a worse decline than we’ve experienced in recent days. In the meantime, enjoy this rally — while it lasts.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":749,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":342170694,"gmtCreate":1618193541718,"gmtModify":1634294508301,"author":{"id":"3570505106221155","authorId":"3570505106221155","name":"funky0612","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa318a8ab3268800c1d8a78026359b1c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570505106221155","authorIdStr":"3570505106221155"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Interesting ","listText":"Interesting ","text":"Interesting","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/342170694","repostId":"1130321704","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":524,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":341126483,"gmtCreate":1617795741642,"gmtModify":1634296475309,"author":{"id":"3570505106221155","authorId":"3570505106221155","name":"funky0612","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa318a8ab3268800c1d8a78026359b1c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570505106221155","authorIdStr":"3570505106221155"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Interesting","listText":"Interesting","text":"Interesting","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/341126483","repostId":"1120726818","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":590,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":341126816,"gmtCreate":1617795711235,"gmtModify":1634296475429,"author":{"id":"3570505106221155","authorId":"3570505106221155","name":"funky0612","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa318a8ab3268800c1d8a78026359b1c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570505106221155","authorIdStr":"3570505106221155"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Really ?","listText":"Really ?","text":"Really ?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/341126816","repostId":"2125744665","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":686,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":353022423,"gmtCreate":1616434617262,"gmtModify":1634525830896,"author":{"id":"3570505106221155","authorId":"3570505106221155","name":"funky0612","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa318a8ab3268800c1d8a78026359b1c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570505106221155","authorIdStr":"3570505106221155"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Semicon!!!","listText":"Semicon!!!","text":"Semicon!!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/353022423","repostId":"1155582622","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":465,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"followers","isTTM":false}