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KZY89
KZY89
·
2021-12-10
Tesla ftw
3 Undervalued EV Stocks You Can Buy and Hold for the Next Decade<blockquote>未来十年可以购买并持有的3只被低估的电动汽车股票</blockquote>
You can find hidden gems in the much-hyped electric vehicle space too.
3 Undervalued EV Stocks You Can Buy and Hold for the Next Decade<blockquote>未来十年可以购买并持有的3只被低估的电动汽车股票</blockquote>
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KZY89
KZY89
·
2021-12-10
jialat liao la
Grab stock dropped more than 6% in morning trading<blockquote>Grab股价早盘下跌逾6%</blockquote>
Grab Holdings stock dropped more than 6% in morning trading.
Grab stock dropped more than 6% in morning trading<blockquote>Grab股价早盘下跌逾6%</blockquote>
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KZY89
KZY89
·
2021-06-25
The increased volume and demand for Gamestop after the rebalancing could be a potential catalyst. At the very least it would lead to a price surge.
Gamestop In, AMC Out? Which Meme Stocks Will Be Impacted In Today's Russell Rebalance?<blockquote>游戏驿站加入,AMC退出?哪些模因股票将在今天的罗素再平衡中受到影响?</blockquote>
As we detailed previously, every June, the Russell Index rebalances by removing stocks that no longe
Gamestop In, AMC Out? Which Meme Stocks Will Be Impacted In Today's Russell Rebalance?<blockquote>游戏驿站加入,AMC退出?哪些模因股票将在今天的罗素再平衡中受到影响?</blockquote>
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KZY89
KZY89
·
2021-06-24
i hope Tiger Brokers allow us to trade crypto soon
非常抱歉,此主贴已删除
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KZY89
KZY89
·
2021-06-22
$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$
please be green soon
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KZY89
KZY89
·
2021-06-14
$Apple(AAPL)$
doing well tonight
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KZY89
KZY89
·
2021-06-14
Finally Apple is showing signs of life
非常抱歉,此主贴已删除
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KZY89
KZY89
·
2021-06-13
$Apple(AAPL)$
gogogo
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KZY89
KZY89
·
2021-06-12
Its time to short the market again. Or buy stocks with negative beta like GME
The Hangover Arrives: Explosive Inflation Leads To Record Collapse In Home, Car Purchase Plans<blockquote>宿醉来了:爆炸性通货膨胀导致房屋和汽车购买计划创纪录崩溃</blockquote>
For the past several months we have warned about the pernicious effects soaring prices are having on
The Hangover Arrives: Explosive Inflation Leads To Record Collapse In Home, Car Purchase Plans<blockquote>宿醉来了:爆炸性通货膨胀导致房屋和汽车购买计划创纪录崩溃</blockquote>
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KZY89
KZY89
·
2021-06-11
$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$
lol
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ftw","listText":"Tesla ftw","text":"Tesla ftw","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/605829569","repostId":"1192503036","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1192503036","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639123593,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1192503036?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-10 16:06","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"3 Undervalued EV Stocks You Can Buy and Hold for the Next Decade<blockquote>未来十年可以购买并持有的3只被低估的电动汽车股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1192503036","media":"Motley Fool ","summary":"You can find hidden gems in the much-hyped electric vehicle space too.","content":"<p>With electric vehicle (EV) maker <b>Tesla</b> valued at more than $1 trillion and <b>Rivian</b>, which has so far produced fewer than 200 vehicles, valued at more than $100 billion, value-focused investors may find staying away from the EV stock space to be the best course of action right now. But the truth is that there are ample undervalued opportunities even in this hot segment.</p><p><blockquote>与电动汽车(EV)制造商合作<b>特斯拉</b>价值超过1万亿美元<b>Rivian</b>迄今为止,该公司生产了不到200辆汽车,价值超过1000亿美元,注重价值的投资者可能会发现远离电动汽车股票领域是目前最好的行动方案。但事实是,即使在这个热门领域,也存在大量被低估的机会。</blockquote></p><p> Let's look at three such hidden gems in the electric vehicle space.</p><p><blockquote>让我们来看看电动汽车领域的三颗隐藏宝石。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/71c79fb7333c9ac1c5c74949b4c1b52b\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源:盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation of EV stocks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>电动汽车股票估值</b></blockquote></p><p> Trying to understand the valuations of EV stocks has become challenging lately. Not all EV stocks are getting valued the same way. As an example, consider <b>Nio</b>. The company sold 66,395 vehicles in the first nine months of 2021. Yet, its market capitalization is less than that of <b>Lucid Group</b> and Rivian, both of which have sold far fewer vehicles so far.</p><p><blockquote>最近,试图了解电动汽车股票的估值变得具有挑战性。并非所有电动汽车股票的估值都相同。例如,考虑<b>蔚来</b>.该公司在2021年前9个月销售了66,395辆汽车。然而,其市值低于<b>Lucid集团</b>和Rivian,这两家公司迄今为止的汽车销量都要少得多。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f0930ea5d664bfd46c1738510f8f05f3\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"387\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>NIO Market Cap data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>YCharts提供的蔚来市值数据</span></p></blockquote></p><p> With not much of a sales history, the price-to-sales ratios of Lucid and Rivian stocks are not meaningful. Although Nio's price-to-sales ratio of nearly 10 looks high, it pales when compared to Tesla's ratio of around 24.</p><p><blockquote>由于没有太多的销售历史,Lucid和Rivian股票的市销率没有意义。虽然蔚来近10的市销率看起来很高,但与特斯拉24左右的市销率相比就相形见绌了。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4ae1220d72de922e913f8428a58f24ba\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"387\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>NIO PS Ratio data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>YCharts提供的蔚来PS比率数据</span></p></blockquote></p><p> For sure, Tesla commands a higher ratio for being the EV pioneer, with a strong brand image and innovative offerings. However, the premium compared to Nio looks outsized.</p><p><blockquote>当然,特斯拉凭借强大的品牌形象和创新的产品,作为电动汽车先驱拥有更高的比例。然而,与蔚来相比,溢价看起来过大。</blockquote></p><p> Talking more about differences in EV valuations, pure-play EV manufacturers -- that offer only EVs -- typically get valued higher compared to legacy automakers, which are now entering in the EV segment. This is likely based either on hype, or on the opinion that pure-play EV makers can offer better EVs than legacy automakers. Neither of the two seems like a valid reason to avoid legacy automakers with solid EV ambitions.</p><p><blockquote>更多地谈论电动汽车估值的差异,纯电动汽车制造商(仅提供电动汽车)的估值通常高于目前进入电动汽车领域的传统汽车制造商。这可能是基于炒作,或者是基于纯电动汽车制造商可以提供比传统汽车制造商更好的电动汽车的观点。这两者似乎都不是避开具有坚定电动汽车雄心的传统汽车制造商的正当理由。</blockquote></p><p> Two such companies are <b>BYD</b> and <b>Volkswagen</b>. As the above graph shows, the stocks of both these companies trade at a much lower price-to-sales ratio than that of Tesla or even Nio. Whichever way you slice or dice it, Nio, BYD, and Volkswagen stocks look better valued than most of their EV peers.</p><p><blockquote>两家这样的公司是<b>比亚迪</b>和<b>大众汽车</b>如上图所示,这两家公司的市销率远低于特斯拉甚至蔚来。无论你如何划分,蔚来、比亚迪和大众汽车的股票看起来都比大多数电动汽车同行更有价值。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. There is a lot to like about Nio</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.蔚来有很多让人喜欢的地方</b></blockquote></p><p> Investors will find Nio attractive for more than one reason. To begin with, the company operates in a leading and fast-growing market. Of the 2.6 million EVs sold globally in the first half of 2021, roughly 1.1 million were sold in China alone. Furthermore, in the first half of 2021, the number of EVs sold in China was equal to that sold in the country in all of 2020.</p><p><blockquote>投资者会发现蔚来有吸引力的原因不止一个。首先,该公司在一个领先且快速增长的市场中运营。2021年上半年全球售出260万辆电动汽车中,仅在中国就售出了约110万辆。此外,2021年上半年,中国销售的电动汽车数量相当于2020年全年的销量。</blockquote></p><p> Nio reported strong vehicle deliveries for November. Except for October, when the company reported lower deliveries due to planned upgrading of its manufacturing lines, Nio's deliveries are largely on an upward trend.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来公布11月份汽车交付量强劲。除了10月份,由于计划升级生产线,该公司报告交付量下降,蔚来的交付量基本上呈上升趋势。</blockquote></p><p> The company faces stiff competition from local players, including BYD,<b>Xpeng</b>, and <b>Li Auto</b>, as well as global EV companies including Tesla. Nio is doing well so far despite the competition. Moreover, it is planning to start deliveries of its new luxury sedan, the ET7, early next year. The new sedan has some of the best features and technology available and should further boost Nio's growth.</p><p><blockquote>该公司面临着来自比亚迪、<b>小鹏</b>,和<b>理想汽车</b>,以及包括特斯拉在内的全球电动汽车公司。尽管竞争激烈,蔚来迄今为止表现良好。此外,该公司计划于明年初开始交付新款豪华轿车ET7。这款新轿车拥有一些最好的功能和技术,应该会进一步促进蔚来的增长。</blockquote></p><p> 2. BYD is gaining ground silently</p><p><blockquote>二、比亚迪悄然崛起</blockquote></p><p> While investors are focused on upcoming EV stocks, established Chinese automaker BYD has made a place for itself in the EV segment. According to<i>CleanTechnica</i>, BYD controls the highest share, 17%, of China's EV market, including plug-in hybrids. That's higher than the 16% market share controlled by a joint venture between SAIC Motor,<b>General Motors</b>, and Liuzhou Wuling Motors. By comparison, Tesla holds roughly 11% share of China's EV market.</p><p><blockquote>虽然投资者关注即将上市的电动汽车股票,但中国老牌汽车制造商比亚迪已在电动汽车领域为自己赢得了一席之地。根据<i>清洁技术</i>比亚迪控制着中国电动汽车市场(包括插电式混合动力汽车)的最高份额,为17%。这高于上汽集团的合资企业控制的16%的市场份额,<b>通用汽车</b>、柳州五菱汽车。相比之下,特斯拉约占中国电动汽车市场11%的份额。</blockquote></p><p> In November, sales of BYD's EV models grew 153% year over year to 46,137 units. Including plug-in hybrids, the company sold 90,121 units in the month.</p><p><blockquote>11月,比亚迪电动车型销量同比增长153%至46,137辆。包括插电式混合动力车在内,该公司当月销量为90,121辆。</blockquote></p><p> With a trailing-12-months revenue of $30.2 billion, BYD operates in three main segments. In 2020, the company earned 53% of its revenue from auto and related products, 39% from mobile handset components and assembly, and the remaining 8% from rechargeable batteries and solar products. Geographically, the company derived 61% of its revenue from China.</p><p><blockquote>比亚迪过去12个月的收入为302亿美元,主要分为三个部门。2020年,该公司53%的收入来自汽车及相关产品,39%来自手机零部件和组装,其余8%来自充电电池和太阳能产品。从地域上看,该公司61%的收入来自中国。</blockquote></p><p> With a high focus on EVs, these will likely form an increasingly higher portion of BYD's revenue mix in the coming years.</p><p><blockquote>随着对电动汽车的高度关注,未来几年,这些汽车可能会在比亚迪的收入结构中占据越来越高的比例。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Volkswagen has big EV ambitions</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.大众汽车拥有远大的电动汽车雄心</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> EV investors would surely find value in top automaker Volkswagen. In the next few years, the company plans to invest 35 billion euros in electric mobility. It aims to increase its EV deliveries to 20% of its sales by 2025. By 2030, the company targets 60% of its sales in Europe to be EVs.</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车投资者肯定会发现顶级汽车制造商大众汽车的价值。未来几年,该公司计划在电动汽车领域投资350亿欧元。该公司的目标是到2025年将电动汽车交付量提高到其销量的20%。到2030年,该公司的目标是电动汽车占其在欧洲销量的60%。</blockquote></p><p> In the first nine months, Volkswagen delivered nearly 7 million vehicles globally. Of these, roughly 293,000 were fully electric. An additional 246,000 were plug-in hybrid vehicles. So, electric or hybrid vehicles accounted for around 7.8% of the company's deliveries. For perspective, Tesla delivered 627,572 vehicles in the first nine months of this year. So, even though EVs form a small percentage of Volkswagen's total vehicle deliveries, its absolute EV deliveries are huge and will continue to grow. In short, the stock cansurely find a placein your EV portfolio.</p><p><blockquote>前9个月,大众汽车在全球交付了近700万辆汽车。其中,大约293,000辆是全电动的。另外246,000辆是插电式混合动力汽车。因此,电动或混合动力汽车约占该公司交付量的7.8%。从长远来看,特斯拉今年前9个月交付了627,572辆汽车。因此,尽管电动汽车在大众汽车总交付量中所占比例很小,但其电动汽车的绝对交付量却很大,并且将继续增长。简而言之,该股票肯定可以在您的电动汽车投资组合中找到一席之地。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Undervalued EV Stocks You Can Buy and Hold for the Next Decade<blockquote>未来十年可以购买并持有的3只被低估的电动汽车股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Undervalued EV Stocks You Can Buy and Hold for the Next Decade<blockquote>未来十年可以购买并持有的3只被低估的电动汽车股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool </strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-10 16:06</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>With electric vehicle (EV) maker <b>Tesla</b> valued at more than $1 trillion and <b>Rivian</b>, which has so far produced fewer than 200 vehicles, valued at more than $100 billion, value-focused investors may find staying away from the EV stock space to be the best course of action right now. But the truth is that there are ample undervalued opportunities even in this hot segment.</p><p><blockquote>与电动汽车(EV)制造商合作<b>特斯拉</b>价值超过1万亿美元<b>Rivian</b>迄今为止,该公司生产了不到200辆汽车,价值超过1000亿美元,注重价值的投资者可能会发现远离电动汽车股票领域是目前最好的行动方案。但事实是,即使在这个热门领域,也存在大量被低估的机会。</blockquote></p><p> Let's look at three such hidden gems in the electric vehicle space.</p><p><blockquote>让我们来看看电动汽车领域的三颗隐藏宝石。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/71c79fb7333c9ac1c5c74949b4c1b52b\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源:盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation of EV stocks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>电动汽车股票估值</b></blockquote></p><p> Trying to understand the valuations of EV stocks has become challenging lately. Not all EV stocks are getting valued the same way. As an example, consider <b>Nio</b>. The company sold 66,395 vehicles in the first nine months of 2021. Yet, its market capitalization is less than that of <b>Lucid Group</b> and Rivian, both of which have sold far fewer vehicles so far.</p><p><blockquote>最近,试图了解电动汽车股票的估值变得具有挑战性。并非所有电动汽车股票的估值都相同。例如,考虑<b>蔚来</b>.该公司在2021年前9个月销售了66,395辆汽车。然而,其市值低于<b>Lucid集团</b>和Rivian,这两家公司迄今为止的汽车销量都要少得多。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f0930ea5d664bfd46c1738510f8f05f3\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"387\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>NIO Market Cap data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>YCharts提供的蔚来市值数据</span></p></blockquote></p><p> With not much of a sales history, the price-to-sales ratios of Lucid and Rivian stocks are not meaningful. Although Nio's price-to-sales ratio of nearly 10 looks high, it pales when compared to Tesla's ratio of around 24.</p><p><blockquote>由于没有太多的销售历史,Lucid和Rivian股票的市销率没有意义。虽然蔚来近10的市销率看起来很高,但与特斯拉24左右的市销率相比就相形见绌了。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4ae1220d72de922e913f8428a58f24ba\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"387\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>NIO PS Ratio data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>YCharts提供的蔚来PS比率数据</span></p></blockquote></p><p> For sure, Tesla commands a higher ratio for being the EV pioneer, with a strong brand image and innovative offerings. However, the premium compared to Nio looks outsized.</p><p><blockquote>当然,特斯拉凭借强大的品牌形象和创新的产品,作为电动汽车先驱拥有更高的比例。然而,与蔚来相比,溢价看起来过大。</blockquote></p><p> Talking more about differences in EV valuations, pure-play EV manufacturers -- that offer only EVs -- typically get valued higher compared to legacy automakers, which are now entering in the EV segment. This is likely based either on hype, or on the opinion that pure-play EV makers can offer better EVs than legacy automakers. Neither of the two seems like a valid reason to avoid legacy automakers with solid EV ambitions.</p><p><blockquote>更多地谈论电动汽车估值的差异,纯电动汽车制造商(仅提供电动汽车)的估值通常高于目前进入电动汽车领域的传统汽车制造商。这可能是基于炒作,或者是基于纯电动汽车制造商可以提供比传统汽车制造商更好的电动汽车的观点。这两者似乎都不是避开具有坚定电动汽车雄心的传统汽车制造商的正当理由。</blockquote></p><p> Two such companies are <b>BYD</b> and <b>Volkswagen</b>. As the above graph shows, the stocks of both these companies trade at a much lower price-to-sales ratio than that of Tesla or even Nio. Whichever way you slice or dice it, Nio, BYD, and Volkswagen stocks look better valued than most of their EV peers.</p><p><blockquote>两家这样的公司是<b>比亚迪</b>和<b>大众汽车</b>如上图所示,这两家公司的市销率远低于特斯拉甚至蔚来。无论你如何划分,蔚来、比亚迪和大众汽车的股票看起来都比大多数电动汽车同行更有价值。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. There is a lot to like about Nio</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.蔚来有很多让人喜欢的地方</b></blockquote></p><p> Investors will find Nio attractive for more than one reason. To begin with, the company operates in a leading and fast-growing market. Of the 2.6 million EVs sold globally in the first half of 2021, roughly 1.1 million were sold in China alone. Furthermore, in the first half of 2021, the number of EVs sold in China was equal to that sold in the country in all of 2020.</p><p><blockquote>投资者会发现蔚来有吸引力的原因不止一个。首先,该公司在一个领先且快速增长的市场中运营。2021年上半年全球售出260万辆电动汽车中,仅在中国就售出了约110万辆。此外,2021年上半年,中国销售的电动汽车数量相当于2020年全年的销量。</blockquote></p><p> Nio reported strong vehicle deliveries for November. Except for October, when the company reported lower deliveries due to planned upgrading of its manufacturing lines, Nio's deliveries are largely on an upward trend.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来公布11月份汽车交付量强劲。除了10月份,由于计划升级生产线,该公司报告交付量下降,蔚来的交付量基本上呈上升趋势。</blockquote></p><p> The company faces stiff competition from local players, including BYD,<b>Xpeng</b>, and <b>Li Auto</b>, as well as global EV companies including Tesla. Nio is doing well so far despite the competition. Moreover, it is planning to start deliveries of its new luxury sedan, the ET7, early next year. The new sedan has some of the best features and technology available and should further boost Nio's growth.</p><p><blockquote>该公司面临着来自比亚迪、<b>小鹏</b>,和<b>理想汽车</b>,以及包括特斯拉在内的全球电动汽车公司。尽管竞争激烈,蔚来迄今为止表现良好。此外,该公司计划于明年初开始交付新款豪华轿车ET7。这款新轿车拥有一些最好的功能和技术,应该会进一步促进蔚来的增长。</blockquote></p><p> 2. BYD is gaining ground silently</p><p><blockquote>二、比亚迪悄然崛起</blockquote></p><p> While investors are focused on upcoming EV stocks, established Chinese automaker BYD has made a place for itself in the EV segment. According to<i>CleanTechnica</i>, BYD controls the highest share, 17%, of China's EV market, including plug-in hybrids. That's higher than the 16% market share controlled by a joint venture between SAIC Motor,<b>General Motors</b>, and Liuzhou Wuling Motors. By comparison, Tesla holds roughly 11% share of China's EV market.</p><p><blockquote>虽然投资者关注即将上市的电动汽车股票,但中国老牌汽车制造商比亚迪已在电动汽车领域为自己赢得了一席之地。根据<i>清洁技术</i>比亚迪控制着中国电动汽车市场(包括插电式混合动力汽车)的最高份额,为17%。这高于上汽集团的合资企业控制的16%的市场份额,<b>通用汽车</b>、柳州五菱汽车。相比之下,特斯拉约占中国电动汽车市场11%的份额。</blockquote></p><p> In November, sales of BYD's EV models grew 153% year over year to 46,137 units. Including plug-in hybrids, the company sold 90,121 units in the month.</p><p><blockquote>11月,比亚迪电动车型销量同比增长153%至46,137辆。包括插电式混合动力车在内,该公司当月销量为90,121辆。</blockquote></p><p> With a trailing-12-months revenue of $30.2 billion, BYD operates in three main segments. In 2020, the company earned 53% of its revenue from auto and related products, 39% from mobile handset components and assembly, and the remaining 8% from rechargeable batteries and solar products. Geographically, the company derived 61% of its revenue from China.</p><p><blockquote>比亚迪过去12个月的收入为302亿美元,主要分为三个部门。2020年,该公司53%的收入来自汽车及相关产品,39%来自手机零部件和组装,其余8%来自充电电池和太阳能产品。从地域上看,该公司61%的收入来自中国。</blockquote></p><p> With a high focus on EVs, these will likely form an increasingly higher portion of BYD's revenue mix in the coming years.</p><p><blockquote>随着对电动汽车的高度关注,未来几年,这些汽车可能会在比亚迪的收入结构中占据越来越高的比例。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Volkswagen has big EV ambitions</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.大众汽车拥有远大的电动汽车雄心</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> EV investors would surely find value in top automaker Volkswagen. In the next few years, the company plans to invest 35 billion euros in electric mobility. It aims to increase its EV deliveries to 20% of its sales by 2025. By 2030, the company targets 60% of its sales in Europe to be EVs.</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车投资者肯定会发现顶级汽车制造商大众汽车的价值。未来几年,该公司计划在电动汽车领域投资350亿欧元。该公司的目标是到2025年将电动汽车交付量提高到其销量的20%。到2030年,该公司的目标是电动汽车占其在欧洲销量的60%。</blockquote></p><p> In the first nine months, Volkswagen delivered nearly 7 million vehicles globally. Of these, roughly 293,000 were fully electric. An additional 246,000 were plug-in hybrid vehicles. So, electric or hybrid vehicles accounted for around 7.8% of the company's deliveries. For perspective, Tesla delivered 627,572 vehicles in the first nine months of this year. So, even though EVs form a small percentage of Volkswagen's total vehicle deliveries, its absolute EV deliveries are huge and will continue to grow. In short, the stock cansurely find a placein your EV portfolio.</p><p><blockquote>前9个月,大众汽车在全球交付了近700万辆汽车。其中,大约293,000辆是全电动的。另外246,000辆是插电式混合动力汽车。因此,电动或混合动力汽车约占该公司交付量的7.8%。从长远来看,特斯拉今年前9个月交付了627,572辆汽车。因此,尽管电动汽车在大众汽车总交付量中所占比例很小,但其电动汽车的绝对交付量却很大,并且将继续增长。简而言之,该股票肯定可以在您的电动汽车投资组合中找到一席之地。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/09/3-undervalued-ev-stocks-you-can-buy-and-hold-for-t/\">Motley Fool </a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BYDDY":"比亚迪ADR","01211":"比亚迪股份","VWAGY":"大众汽车ADR","NIO":"蔚来"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/09/3-undervalued-ev-stocks-you-can-buy-and-hold-for-t/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1192503036","content_text":"With electric vehicle (EV) maker Tesla valued at more than $1 trillion and Rivian, which has so far produced fewer than 200 vehicles, valued at more than $100 billion, value-focused investors may find staying away from the EV stock space to be the best course of action right now. But the truth is that there are ample undervalued opportunities even in this hot segment.\nLet's look at three such hidden gems in the electric vehicle space.\nImage source: Getty Images.\nValuation of EV stocks\nTrying to understand the valuations of EV stocks has become challenging lately. Not all EV stocks are getting valued the same way. As an example, consider Nio. The company sold 66,395 vehicles in the first nine months of 2021. Yet, its market capitalization is less than that of Lucid Group and Rivian, both of which have sold far fewer vehicles so far.\nNIO Market Cap data by YCharts\nWith not much of a sales history, the price-to-sales ratios of Lucid and Rivian stocks are not meaningful. Although Nio's price-to-sales ratio of nearly 10 looks high, it pales when compared to Tesla's ratio of around 24.\nNIO PS Ratio data by YCharts\nFor sure, Tesla commands a higher ratio for being the EV pioneer, with a strong brand image and innovative offerings. However, the premium compared to Nio looks outsized.\nTalking more about differences in EV valuations, pure-play EV manufacturers -- that offer only EVs -- typically get valued higher compared to legacy automakers, which are now entering in the EV segment. This is likely based either on hype, or on the opinion that pure-play EV makers can offer better EVs than legacy automakers. Neither of the two seems like a valid reason to avoid legacy automakers with solid EV ambitions.\nTwo such companies are BYD and Volkswagen. As the above graph shows, the stocks of both these companies trade at a much lower price-to-sales ratio than that of Tesla or even Nio. Whichever way you slice or dice it, Nio, BYD, and Volkswagen stocks look better valued than most of their EV peers.\n1. There is a lot to like about Nio\nInvestors will find Nio attractive for more than one reason. To begin with, the company operates in a leading and fast-growing market. Of the 2.6 million EVs sold globally in the first half of 2021, roughly 1.1 million were sold in China alone. Furthermore, in the first half of 2021, the number of EVs sold in China was equal to that sold in the country in all of 2020.\nNio reported strong vehicle deliveries for November. Except for October, when the company reported lower deliveries due to planned upgrading of its manufacturing lines, Nio's deliveries are largely on an upward trend.\nThe company faces stiff competition from local players, including BYD,Xpeng, and Li Auto, as well as global EV companies including Tesla. Nio is doing well so far despite the competition. Moreover, it is planning to start deliveries of its new luxury sedan, the ET7, early next year. The new sedan has some of the best features and technology available and should further boost Nio's growth.\n2. BYD is gaining ground silently\nWhile investors are focused on upcoming EV stocks, established Chinese automaker BYD has made a place for itself in the EV segment. According toCleanTechnica, BYD controls the highest share, 17%, of China's EV market, including plug-in hybrids. That's higher than the 16% market share controlled by a joint venture between SAIC Motor,General Motors, and Liuzhou Wuling Motors. By comparison, Tesla holds roughly 11% share of China's EV market.\nIn November, sales of BYD's EV models grew 153% year over year to 46,137 units. Including plug-in hybrids, the company sold 90,121 units in the month.\nWith a trailing-12-months revenue of $30.2 billion, BYD operates in three main segments. In 2020, the company earned 53% of its revenue from auto and related products, 39% from mobile handset components and assembly, and the remaining 8% from rechargeable batteries and solar products. Geographically, the company derived 61% of its revenue from China.\nWith a high focus on EVs, these will likely form an increasingly higher portion of BYD's revenue mix in the coming years.\n3. Volkswagen has big EV ambitions\nEV investors would surely find value in top automaker Volkswagen. In the next few years, the company plans to invest 35 billion euros in electric mobility. It aims to increase its EV deliveries to 20% of its sales by 2025. By 2030, the company targets 60% of its sales in Europe to be EVs.\nIn the first nine months, Volkswagen delivered nearly 7 million vehicles globally. Of these, roughly 293,000 were fully electric. An additional 246,000 were plug-in hybrid vehicles. So, electric or hybrid vehicles accounted for around 7.8% of the company's deliveries. For perspective, Tesla delivered 627,572 vehicles in the first nine months of this year. So, even though EVs form a small percentage of Volkswagen's total vehicle deliveries, its absolute EV deliveries are huge and will continue to grow. In short, the stock cansurely find a placein your EV portfolio.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BYDDY":0.9,"01211":0.9,"VWAGY":0.9,"NIO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2211,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":602718681,"gmtCreate":1639065975055,"gmtModify":1639066031927,"author":{"id":"3570568072112084","authorId":"3570568072112084","name":"KZY89","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/071f393bbae2f59b995168be45caa82a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570568072112084","idStr":"3570568072112084"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"jialat liao la","listText":"jialat liao la","text":"jialat liao la","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/602718681","repostId":"1196130142","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1196130142","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1639062546,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1196130142?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-09 23:09","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Grab stock dropped more than 6% in morning trading<blockquote>Grab股价早盘下跌逾6%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1196130142","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Grab Holdings stock dropped more than 6% in morning trading.","content":"<p>Grab Holdings stock dropped more than 6% in morning trading.</p><p><blockquote>Grab Holdings股价早盘下跌超过6%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f1c84529a60ffcf4e7ba53b126b147d9\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Grab stock dropped more than 6% in morning trading<blockquote>Grab股价早盘下跌逾6%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGrab stock dropped more than 6% in morning trading<blockquote>Grab股价早盘下跌逾6%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-12-09 23:09</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Grab Holdings stock dropped more than 6% in morning trading.</p><p><blockquote>Grab Holdings股价早盘下跌超过6%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f1c84529a60ffcf4e7ba53b126b147d9\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GRAB":"Grab Holdings"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1196130142","content_text":"Grab Holdings stock dropped more than 6% in morning trading.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GRAB":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1954,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":122709844,"gmtCreate":1624631917388,"gmtModify":1633950276914,"author":{"id":"3570568072112084","authorId":"3570568072112084","name":"KZY89","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/071f393bbae2f59b995168be45caa82a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570568072112084","idStr":"3570568072112084"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"The increased volume and demand for Gamestop after the rebalancing could be a potential catalyst. At the very least it would lead to a price surge.","listText":"The increased volume and demand for Gamestop after the rebalancing could be a potential catalyst. At the very least it would lead to a price surge.","text":"The increased volume and demand for Gamestop after the rebalancing could be a potential catalyst. At the very least it would lead to a price surge.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/122709844","repostId":"1179245434","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1179245434","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624620760,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1179245434?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-25 19:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Gamestop In, AMC Out? Which Meme Stocks Will Be Impacted In Today's Russell Rebalance?<blockquote>游戏驿站加入,AMC退出?哪些模因股票将在今天的罗素再平衡中受到影响?</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1179245434","media":"zerohedge","summary":"As we detailed previously, every June, the Russell Index rebalances by removing stocks that no longe","content":"<p>As we detailed previously, every June, the Russell Index rebalances by removing stocks that no longer meet their criteria (and incorporating recently improving names).</p><p><blockquote>正如我们之前详细介绍的,每年六月,罗素指数都会通过删除不再符合其标准的股票(并纳入最近改进的股票)来重新平衡。</blockquote></p><p> As SpotGamma notes,<b>many traders are starting to discuss the upcoming Russell Index rebalances, and the prospect of GME, AMC or other meme stocks being added to Russell 1000.</b></p><p><blockquote>正如SpotGamma指出的那样,<b>许多交易者开始讨论即将到来的罗素指数重新平衡,以及GME、AMC或其他模因股票被添加到罗素1000指数的前景。</b></blockquote></p><p> Each year in June<u><i><b>(today - Friday, June 25 this year)</b></i></u>the FTSE Russell uses a set ofcriteria to determine which companies stock will be tracked by their benchmark indices.</p><p><blockquote>每年六月<u><i><b>(今日-今年6月25日星期五)</b></i></u>富时罗素使用一套标准来确定哪些公司的股票将受到其基准指数的跟踪。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8620fa3c3147d2c806038327c9efd6e4\" tg-width=\"947\" tg-height=\"659\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>The new constituents will be announced after the bell today.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>新的选民将在今天盘后宣布。</b></blockquote></p><p> There are many ways investors can track these indices, such as through an ETF like IWM.</p><p><blockquote>投资者可以通过多种方式跟踪这些指数,例如通过IWM等ETF。</blockquote></p><p> For massive assets like pension funds, they track by owning the individual stock components of the index.</p><p><blockquote>对于养老基金等大型资产,他们通过拥有指数的个股成分来进行跟踪。</blockquote></p><p> <b>For example if the FTSE adds a 1% weighting of GameStop to the Russell 2000 Index, everyone that tracks the Russell 2000 must buy GME shares. To offset this addition, the Russell will reduce or remove other stock(s) that not longer meet their criteria.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>例如,如果富时指数将游戏驿站1%的权重添加到Russell 2000指数中,那么每个跟踪Russell 2000指数的人都必须购买GME股票。为了抵消这一增加,罗素将减少或删除不再符合其标准的其他股票。</b></blockquote></p><p> <i>*Note: While this post discusses the Russell, the mechanics are the same for the S&P Indices, too.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>*注意:虽然本文讨论的是罗素指数,但标准普尔指数的机制也是相同的。</i></blockquote></p><p> Analysts spend a lot of time trying to assess which stocks will be added or removed from the indices during this annual rebalance.</p><p><blockquote>分析师花费大量时间试图评估在这次年度再平衡期间哪些股票将从指数中添加或删除。</blockquote></p><p> According to the FTSE Russell approximately $16 trillion assets track the Russell indices, so a lot of shares may have to be bought and sold so that all of these various funds conform to the appropriate benchmark.</p><p><blockquote>根据富时罗素的数据,大约有16万亿美元的资产跟踪罗素指数,因此可能需要买卖大量股票,以便所有这些不同的基金都符合适当的基准。</blockquote></p><p> With volume like that, one can see the value of knowing which stocks may be bought and sold <i>before</i> these large funds start their adjustment.</p><p><blockquote>有了这样的交易量,人们就可以看到知道哪些股票可以买卖的价值<i>以前</i>这些大型基金开始调整。</blockquote></p><p> <u>Knowing what stocks will be added or removed from indices, such as Russell, is a huge opportunity for traders</u></p><p><blockquote><u>了解哪些股票将从指数(例如罗素指数)中添加或删除对交易者来说是一个巨大的机会</u></blockquote></p><p> TSLA was a prime example of how traders got ahead of these additions. In late November 2020, it was announced that TSLA would be added to the S&P500 Index. As you can see on the chart below, the stock traded nearly 50% higher from the announcement date to the actual addition date.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉是交易员如何领先于这些新增产品的一个典型例子。2020年11月下旬,宣布将TSLA纳入标准普尔500指数。如下图所示,从公告日到实际添加日,该股的交易价格上涨了近50%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5b5a1b955bc2c60236833e65ad22e8c9\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"638\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> It’s important to mention that Tesla’s massive move into the index addition was quite an aberration, and traders should not expect ~50% moves for all index events.</p><p><blockquote>值得一提的是,特斯拉大规模加入指数是相当反常的,交易者不应预期所有指数事件都会出现约50%的波动。</blockquote></p><p> <u>Mechanically, this is how an index rebalance trade may take place</u></p><p><blockquote><u>从机械上讲,这就是指数再平衡交易的发生方式</u></blockquote></p><p> <b>Theoretical Example:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>理论实例:</b></blockquote></p><p> The Huge State Pension Fund (like: CALPERS, Texas Teachers, etc.) has $1 billion tracking the Russell 2000 Index. It’s announced that at the close of trading on June 25th, GME will be added to the Russell 2000.</p><p><blockquote>庞大的国家养老基金(如:CALPERS、德州教师等。)有10亿美元跟踪罗素2000指数。据宣布,在6月25日收盘时,GME将被加入罗素2000指数。</blockquote></p><p> Huge State Pension Fund must therefore buy:</p><p><blockquote>因此,庞大的国家养老基金必须购买:</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>$1,000,000,000 (AUM) * 1.0% (index weighting) = $10,000,000 notional of GME stock</li> <li>$10,000,000/$225 (GME share price) =</li> <li><b>44,444 shares of GME stock</b></li> </ul> The index fund’s goal is to track the benchmark, and so they often work with bank dealers to try and buy these shares at the close of trading on June 25. Accordingly, bank dealers may start to build an inventory of shares in the days leading to the actual rebalance.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>$1,000,000,000(AUM)*1.0%(指数权重)=$10,000,000 GME股票名义价值</li><li>$10,000,000/$225(GME股价)=</li><li><b>44,444股GME股票</b></li></ul>该指数基金的目标是跟踪基准,因此他们经常与银行交易商合作,尝试在6月25日交易结束时购买这些股票。因此,银行交易商可能会在实际再平衡前几天开始建立股票库存。</blockquote></p><p> The hypothetical example above shows how many shares would be bought with just <i>one</i> relatively small fund. You can imagine how the share count increases when you start to allocate trillions of dollars of capital to the index re-weighting.</p><p><blockquote>上面的假设示例显示了只需<i>一</i>相对较小的基金。你可以想象,当你开始将数万亿美元的资本分配给指数重新加权时,股票数量会如何增加。</blockquote></p><p> <u><b>So, who will make it?</b></u></p><p><blockquote><u><b>那么,谁会成功呢?</b></u></blockquote></p><p> To be included in the Russell 1,000 Index - a group of the largest US stocks -<b>a company should be worth at least $5.2 billion by May 7</b>, according to a chart from FTSE Russell, which creates the indexes.</p><p><blockquote>将被纳入罗素1000指数-一组最大的美国股票-<b>到5月7日,一家公司的价值应至少为52亿美元</b>根据创建这些指数的富时罗素的图表。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/186872b8bba306cc607661671efeaed7\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"270\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><u><i><b>That puts retail-trader icon GameStop, which was worth about $12 billion as of the market close on May 7, in the running to be included.</b></i></u></p><p><blockquote><u><i><b>这使得截至5月7日收盘时市值约120亿美元的散户偶像游戏驿站(Bank of America)有望被纳入其中。</b></i></u></blockquote></p><p> <u><i><b>But AMC Entertainment might have just missed the cutoff.</b></i></u></p><p><blockquote><u><i><b>但AMC院线可能错过了截止日期。</b></i></u></blockquote></p><p> And finally, here's Goldman's best guess at the additions and deletions...</p><p><blockquote>最后,以下是高盛对添加和删除的最佳猜测...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/39e95e31f337f982f86d79aef5cc0e34\" tg-width=\"794\" tg-height=\"1197\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b><u>Potential Additions to the Russell 1000 Index</u></b></p><p><blockquote><b><u>罗素1000指数的潜在补充</u></b></blockquote></p><p> Investors can use the results of our analysis to<b>anticipate potential price moves and buying/selling pressure for stocks being added to and deleted from</b>the widely-followed large-cap and small-cap benchmark indices.</p><p><blockquote>投资者可以通过我们的分析结果,<b>预测添加和删除股票的潜在价格变动和买入/卖出压力</b>广受关注的大盘股和小盘股基准指数。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Gamestop In, AMC Out? Which Meme Stocks Will Be Impacted In Today's Russell Rebalance?<blockquote>游戏驿站加入,AMC退出?哪些模因股票将在今天的罗素再平衡中受到影响?</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGamestop In, AMC Out? Which Meme Stocks Will Be Impacted In Today's Russell Rebalance?<blockquote>游戏驿站加入,AMC退出?哪些模因股票将在今天的罗素再平衡中受到影响?</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-25 19:32</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>As we detailed previously, every June, the Russell Index rebalances by removing stocks that no longer meet their criteria (and incorporating recently improving names).</p><p><blockquote>正如我们之前详细介绍的,每年六月,罗素指数都会通过删除不再符合其标准的股票(并纳入最近改进的股票)来重新平衡。</blockquote></p><p> As SpotGamma notes,<b>many traders are starting to discuss the upcoming Russell Index rebalances, and the prospect of GME, AMC or other meme stocks being added to Russell 1000.</b></p><p><blockquote>正如SpotGamma指出的那样,<b>许多交易者开始讨论即将到来的罗素指数重新平衡,以及GME、AMC或其他模因股票被添加到罗素1000指数的前景。</b></blockquote></p><p> Each year in June<u><i><b>(today - Friday, June 25 this year)</b></i></u>the FTSE Russell uses a set ofcriteria to determine which companies stock will be tracked by their benchmark indices.</p><p><blockquote>每年六月<u><i><b>(今日-今年6月25日星期五)</b></i></u>富时罗素使用一套标准来确定哪些公司的股票将受到其基准指数的跟踪。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8620fa3c3147d2c806038327c9efd6e4\" tg-width=\"947\" tg-height=\"659\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>The new constituents will be announced after the bell today.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>新的选民将在今天盘后宣布。</b></blockquote></p><p> There are many ways investors can track these indices, such as through an ETF like IWM.</p><p><blockquote>投资者可以通过多种方式跟踪这些指数,例如通过IWM等ETF。</blockquote></p><p> For massive assets like pension funds, they track by owning the individual stock components of the index.</p><p><blockquote>对于养老基金等大型资产,他们通过拥有指数的个股成分来进行跟踪。</blockquote></p><p> <b>For example if the FTSE adds a 1% weighting of GameStop to the Russell 2000 Index, everyone that tracks the Russell 2000 must buy GME shares. To offset this addition, the Russell will reduce or remove other stock(s) that not longer meet their criteria.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>例如,如果富时指数将游戏驿站1%的权重添加到Russell 2000指数中,那么每个跟踪Russell 2000指数的人都必须购买GME股票。为了抵消这一增加,罗素将减少或删除不再符合其标准的其他股票。</b></blockquote></p><p> <i>*Note: While this post discusses the Russell, the mechanics are the same for the S&P Indices, too.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>*注意:虽然本文讨论的是罗素指数,但标准普尔指数的机制也是相同的。</i></blockquote></p><p> Analysts spend a lot of time trying to assess which stocks will be added or removed from the indices during this annual rebalance.</p><p><blockquote>分析师花费大量时间试图评估在这次年度再平衡期间哪些股票将从指数中添加或删除。</blockquote></p><p> According to the FTSE Russell approximately $16 trillion assets track the Russell indices, so a lot of shares may have to be bought and sold so that all of these various funds conform to the appropriate benchmark.</p><p><blockquote>根据富时罗素的数据,大约有16万亿美元的资产跟踪罗素指数,因此可能需要买卖大量股票,以便所有这些不同的基金都符合适当的基准。</blockquote></p><p> With volume like that, one can see the value of knowing which stocks may be bought and sold <i>before</i> these large funds start their adjustment.</p><p><blockquote>有了这样的交易量,人们就可以看到知道哪些股票可以买卖的价值<i>以前</i>这些大型基金开始调整。</blockquote></p><p> <u>Knowing what stocks will be added or removed from indices, such as Russell, is a huge opportunity for traders</u></p><p><blockquote><u>了解哪些股票将从指数(例如罗素指数)中添加或删除对交易者来说是一个巨大的机会</u></blockquote></p><p> TSLA was a prime example of how traders got ahead of these additions. In late November 2020, it was announced that TSLA would be added to the S&P500 Index. As you can see on the chart below, the stock traded nearly 50% higher from the announcement date to the actual addition date.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉是交易员如何领先于这些新增产品的一个典型例子。2020年11月下旬,宣布将TSLA纳入标准普尔500指数。如下图所示,从公告日到实际添加日,该股的交易价格上涨了近50%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5b5a1b955bc2c60236833e65ad22e8c9\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"638\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> It’s important to mention that Tesla’s massive move into the index addition was quite an aberration, and traders should not expect ~50% moves for all index events.</p><p><blockquote>值得一提的是,特斯拉大规模加入指数是相当反常的,交易者不应预期所有指数事件都会出现约50%的波动。</blockquote></p><p> <u>Mechanically, this is how an index rebalance trade may take place</u></p><p><blockquote><u>从机械上讲,这就是指数再平衡交易的发生方式</u></blockquote></p><p> <b>Theoretical Example:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>理论实例:</b></blockquote></p><p> The Huge State Pension Fund (like: CALPERS, Texas Teachers, etc.) has $1 billion tracking the Russell 2000 Index. It’s announced that at the close of trading on June 25th, GME will be added to the Russell 2000.</p><p><blockquote>庞大的国家养老基金(如:CALPERS、德州教师等。)有10亿美元跟踪罗素2000指数。据宣布,在6月25日收盘时,GME将被加入罗素2000指数。</blockquote></p><p> Huge State Pension Fund must therefore buy:</p><p><blockquote>因此,庞大的国家养老基金必须购买:</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>$1,000,000,000 (AUM) * 1.0% (index weighting) = $10,000,000 notional of GME stock</li> <li>$10,000,000/$225 (GME share price) =</li> <li><b>44,444 shares of GME stock</b></li> </ul> The index fund’s goal is to track the benchmark, and so they often work with bank dealers to try and buy these shares at the close of trading on June 25. Accordingly, bank dealers may start to build an inventory of shares in the days leading to the actual rebalance.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>$1,000,000,000(AUM)*1.0%(指数权重)=$10,000,000 GME股票名义价值</li><li>$10,000,000/$225(GME股价)=</li><li><b>44,444股GME股票</b></li></ul>该指数基金的目标是跟踪基准,因此他们经常与银行交易商合作,尝试在6月25日交易结束时购买这些股票。因此,银行交易商可能会在实际再平衡前几天开始建立股票库存。</blockquote></p><p> The hypothetical example above shows how many shares would be bought with just <i>one</i> relatively small fund. You can imagine how the share count increases when you start to allocate trillions of dollars of capital to the index re-weighting.</p><p><blockquote>上面的假设示例显示了只需<i>一</i>相对较小的基金。你可以想象,当你开始将数万亿美元的资本分配给指数重新加权时,股票数量会如何增加。</blockquote></p><p> <u><b>So, who will make it?</b></u></p><p><blockquote><u><b>那么,谁会成功呢?</b></u></blockquote></p><p> To be included in the Russell 1,000 Index - a group of the largest US stocks -<b>a company should be worth at least $5.2 billion by May 7</b>, according to a chart from FTSE Russell, which creates the indexes.</p><p><blockquote>将被纳入罗素1000指数-一组最大的美国股票-<b>到5月7日,一家公司的价值应至少为52亿美元</b>根据创建这些指数的富时罗素的图表。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/186872b8bba306cc607661671efeaed7\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"270\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><u><i><b>That puts retail-trader icon GameStop, which was worth about $12 billion as of the market close on May 7, in the running to be included.</b></i></u></p><p><blockquote><u><i><b>这使得截至5月7日收盘时市值约120亿美元的散户偶像游戏驿站(Bank of America)有望被纳入其中。</b></i></u></blockquote></p><p> <u><i><b>But AMC Entertainment might have just missed the cutoff.</b></i></u></p><p><blockquote><u><i><b>但AMC院线可能错过了截止日期。</b></i></u></blockquote></p><p> And finally, here's Goldman's best guess at the additions and deletions...</p><p><blockquote>最后,以下是高盛对添加和删除的最佳猜测...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/39e95e31f337f982f86d79aef5cc0e34\" tg-width=\"794\" tg-height=\"1197\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b><u>Potential Additions to the Russell 1000 Index</u></b></p><p><blockquote><b><u>罗素1000指数的潜在补充</u></b></blockquote></p><p> Investors can use the results of our analysis to<b>anticipate potential price moves and buying/selling pressure for stocks being added to and deleted from</b>the widely-followed large-cap and small-cap benchmark indices.</p><p><blockquote>投资者可以通过我们的分析结果,<b>预测添加和删除股票的潜在价格变动和买入/卖出压力</b>广受关注的大盘股和小盘股基准指数。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/gamestop-amc-out-which-meme-stocks-will-be-impacted-todays-russell-rebalance?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMC院线","GME":"游戏驿站"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/gamestop-amc-out-which-meme-stocks-will-be-impacted-todays-russell-rebalance?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1179245434","content_text":"As we detailed previously, every June, the Russell Index rebalances by removing stocks that no longer meet their criteria (and incorporating recently improving names).\nAs SpotGamma notes,many traders are starting to discuss the upcoming Russell Index rebalances, and the prospect of GME, AMC or other meme stocks being added to Russell 1000.\nEach year in June(today - Friday, June 25 this year)the FTSE Russell uses a set ofcriteria to determine which companies stock will be tracked by their benchmark indices.\n\nThe new constituents will be announced after the bell today.\nThere are many ways investors can track these indices, such as through an ETF like IWM.\nFor massive assets like pension funds, they track by owning the individual stock components of the index.\nFor example if the FTSE adds a 1% weighting of GameStop to the Russell 2000 Index, everyone that tracks the Russell 2000 must buy GME shares. To offset this addition, the Russell will reduce or remove other stock(s) that not longer meet their criteria.\n*Note: While this post discusses the Russell, the mechanics are the same for the S&P Indices, too.\nAnalysts spend a lot of time trying to assess which stocks will be added or removed from the indices during this annual rebalance.\nAccording to the FTSE Russell approximately $16 trillion assets track the Russell indices, so a lot of shares may have to be bought and sold so that all of these various funds conform to the appropriate benchmark.\nWith volume like that, one can see the value of knowing which stocks may be bought and sold before these large funds start their adjustment.\nKnowing what stocks will be added or removed from indices, such as Russell, is a huge opportunity for traders\nTSLA was a prime example of how traders got ahead of these additions. In late November 2020, it was announced that TSLA would be added to the S&P500 Index. As you can see on the chart below, the stock traded nearly 50% higher from the announcement date to the actual addition date.\n\nIt’s important to mention that Tesla’s massive move into the index addition was quite an aberration, and traders should not expect ~50% moves for all index events.\nMechanically, this is how an index rebalance trade may take place\nTheoretical Example:\nThe Huge State Pension Fund (like: CALPERS, Texas Teachers, etc.) has $1 billion tracking the Russell 2000 Index. It’s announced that at the close of trading on June 25th, GME will be added to the Russell 2000.\nHuge State Pension Fund must therefore buy:\n\n$1,000,000,000 (AUM) * 1.0% (index weighting) = $10,000,000 notional of GME stock\n$10,000,000/$225 (GME share price) =\n44,444 shares of GME stock\n\nThe index fund’s goal is to track the benchmark, and so they often work with bank dealers to try and buy these shares at the close of trading on June 25. Accordingly, bank dealers may start to build an inventory of shares in the days leading to the actual rebalance.\nThe hypothetical example above shows how many shares would be bought with just one relatively small fund. You can imagine how the share count increases when you start to allocate trillions of dollars of capital to the index re-weighting.\nSo, who will make it?\nTo be included in the Russell 1,000 Index - a group of the largest US stocks -a company should be worth at least $5.2 billion by May 7, according to a chart from FTSE Russell, which creates the indexes.\nThat puts retail-trader icon GameStop, which was worth about $12 billion as of the market close on May 7, in the running to be included.\nBut AMC Entertainment might have just missed the cutoff.\nAnd finally, here's Goldman's best guess at the additions and deletions...\n\nPotential Additions to the Russell 1000 Index\nInvestors can use the results of our analysis toanticipate potential price moves and buying/selling pressure for stocks being added to and deleted fromthe widely-followed large-cap and small-cap benchmark indices.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GME":0.9,"AMC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1873,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":121291730,"gmtCreate":1624464365520,"gmtModify":1634005704298,"author":{"id":"3570568072112084","authorId":"3570568072112084","name":"KZY89","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/071f393bbae2f59b995168be45caa82a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570568072112084","idStr":"3570568072112084"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"i hope Tiger Brokers allow us to trade crypto soon","listText":"i hope Tiger Brokers allow us to trade crypto soon","text":"i hope Tiger Brokers allow us to trade crypto soon","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/121291730","repostId":"2145531099","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1397,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":129293332,"gmtCreate":1624372951426,"gmtModify":1634007076191,"author":{"id":"3570568072112084","authorId":"3570568072112084","name":"KZY89","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/071f393bbae2f59b995168be45caa82a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570568072112084","idStr":"3570568072112084"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$</a>please be green soon","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$</a>please be green soon","text":"$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$please be green soon","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/492f64196acf243d6691f3e9212308b8","width":"750","height":"1300"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/129293332","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1454,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":184961226,"gmtCreate":1623681181565,"gmtModify":1634030145587,"author":{"id":"3570568072112084","authorId":"3570568072112084","name":"KZY89","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/071f393bbae2f59b995168be45caa82a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570568072112084","idStr":"3570568072112084"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a>doing well tonight","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a>doing well tonight","text":"$Apple(AAPL)$doing well tonight","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c185383fbd935e098788c61b53c2dd60","width":"750","height":"1300"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/184961226","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1074,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":184989002,"gmtCreate":1623680823406,"gmtModify":1634030155033,"author":{"id":"3570568072112084","authorId":"3570568072112084","name":"KZY89","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/071f393bbae2f59b995168be45caa82a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570568072112084","idStr":"3570568072112084"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Finally Apple is showing signs of life","listText":"Finally Apple is showing signs of life","text":"Finally Apple is showing signs of life","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/184989002","repostId":"2143784913","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1403,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":186554141,"gmtCreate":1623514007283,"gmtModify":1634032213075,"author":{"id":"3570568072112084","authorId":"3570568072112084","name":"KZY89","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/071f393bbae2f59b995168be45caa82a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570568072112084","idStr":"3570568072112084"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a>gogogo","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a>gogogo","text":"$Apple(AAPL)$gogogo","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb26830bc9cd4576d941f08f33060e08","width":"750","height":"1300"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/186554141","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1609,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":188863450,"gmtCreate":1623428234170,"gmtModify":1634033270836,"author":{"id":"3570568072112084","authorId":"3570568072112084","name":"KZY89","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/071f393bbae2f59b995168be45caa82a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570568072112084","idStr":"3570568072112084"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Its time to short the market again. Or buy stocks with negative beta like GME","listText":"Its time to short the market again. Or buy stocks with negative beta like GME","text":"Its time to short the market again. Or buy stocks with negative beta like GME","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/188863450","repostId":"1114257617","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1114257617","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623425495,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1114257617?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-11 23:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Hangover Arrives: Explosive Inflation Leads To Record Collapse In Home, Car Purchase Plans<blockquote>宿醉来了:爆炸性通货膨胀导致房屋和汽车购买计划创纪录崩溃</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1114257617","media":"zerohedge","summary":"For the past several months we have warned about the pernicious effects soaring prices are having on","content":"<p>For the past several months we have warned about the pernicious effects soaring prices are having on both corporations (\"Buckle Up! Inflation Is Here!\") and consumers (\"\"This Is Not Transitory\": Hyperinflation Fears Are Soaring Across America\"), prompting even otherwise boring sellside research to get (hyper) exciting, with Deutsche Bank (which warned this week that \"Inflation Is About To Explode \"Leaving Global Economies Sitting On A Time Bomb\"\") and Bank of America (which \"Just Threw Up All Over The Fed's \"Transitory\" Argument\") now openly claiming that<i>the Fed is wrong</i>, and the US is facing an unprecedented period of far higher, non-transitory inflation, with DB going so far as towarn<i>\"policymakers will face the most challenging years since the Volcker/Reagan period in the 1980s.\"</i></p><p><blockquote>在过去的几个月里,我们一直在警告价格飙升对企业(“系好安全带!通货膨胀来了!”)和消费者(“这不是暂时的”:对恶性通货膨胀的担忧正在整个美国飙升”)的有害影响,促使即使是无聊的卖方研究也变得(超级)令人兴奋,德意志银行(本周警告称“通胀即将爆发”,“让全球经济坐在一颗定时炸弹上”)和美国银行(“刚刚吐槽了美联储的“暂时”论点”)现在公开声称<i>美联储错了</i>美国正面临前所未有的高得多的非暂时性通胀时期,德国央行甚至警告<i>“政策制定者将面临自上世纪80年代沃尔克/里根时期以来最具挑战性的几年。”</i></blockquote></p><p> But none of this has spooked the Fed into conceding - or believing - that inflation is anything more than transitory. And maybe just this once, the Fed has a point because all else equal, by which we mean lack of rising wages, the best cure to higher prices is, well... higher prices.</p><p><blockquote>但所有这些都没有吓到美联储承认——或相信——通胀只不过是暂时的。也许就这一次,美联储说得有道理,因为在其他条件相同的情况下,我们指的是工资没有上涨,解决物价上涨的最佳方法是,嗯...更高的价格。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Presenting Exhibit A</b>: two weeks ago,we observed that anticipatingan end to Biden's stimmy bonanza end and that soon they will have to live again within their means, Americans' buying intentions (6 months from today) as measured by the Conference Board, had cratered across the 3 major spending categories: homes, automobiles and major household appliances.</p><p><blockquote><b>出示附件A</b>:两周前,我们观察到,预计拜登令人兴奋的财富将结束,很快他们将不得不再次量入为出,根据世界大型企业联合会的衡量,美国人的购买意愿(从今天起6个月)在3个主要支出类别:住宅、汽车和主要家用电器。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/440125680ea111da38a7c9adbc47f811\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"258\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The drop was so massive, it amounted to the biggest one-month drop in intentions to purchase appliances...</p><p><blockquote>降幅如此之大,相当于购买家电意向的最大单月降幅...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/483ef9fdbbe4fe34fc94863262839a85\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"264\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> ... and homes...</p><p><blockquote>...还有家...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ea40a948d838e7eaa00fbde1f60e1906\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"264\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> This confirms what wenoted earlier, namely a record divergence between crashing homebuyer confidence (due to record home prices) and soaring homebuilder confidence (also due to record home prices). Guess which one will matter in the end.</p><p><blockquote>这证实了我们之前提到的,即购房者信心崩溃(由于创纪录的房价)和房屋建筑商信心飙升(也由于创纪录的房价)之间的创纪录差异。猜猜哪一个最终会很重要。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a49f04b77740aab4ba75d00085dd8ada\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"275\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Fast forward to today when we just got<b>Exhibit B: the June UMichigan Sentiment Survey.</b></p><p><blockquote>快进到今天我们刚刚得到<b>证据B:六月密歇根情绪调查。</b></blockquote></p><p> While there wassome good news here, in that inflation expectations for both the 1-year and 5-10 look ahead periods dropped slightly...</p><p><blockquote>虽然这里有一些好消息,但未来1年和5-10年的通胀预期均略有下降...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6f0cf98553bfedc6500457c9aa3cbe0f\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"289\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> ... what we found more concerning is what chief economist, Richard Curtin said namely that since \"Rising inflation remained a top concern of consumers\", the spontaneous references to market prices for homes, vehicles, and household durables fell to their worst level since the all-time record in November 1974.</p><p><blockquote>...我们发现更令人担忧的是首席经济学家理查德·科廷(Richard Curtin)所说的,即由于“通胀上升仍然是消费者最关心的问题”,房屋、汽车和家庭耐用品市场价格的自发参考跌至自1974年11月创纪录以来的最糟糕水平。</blockquote></p><p> And as Curtin adds, \"<b>these unfavorable perceptions of market prices reduced overall buying attitudes for vehicles and homes to their lowest point since 1982.</b>These declines were especially sharp among those with incomes in the top third, who account for more than half of the dollar volume of retail sales.\"</p><p><blockquote>正如科廷补充的那样,“<b>这些对市场价格的不利看法将汽车和房屋的整体购买态度降至1982年以来的最低点。</b>对于收入排名前三分之一的人来说,这些下降尤其严重,他们占零售额的一半以上。”</blockquote></p><p> This can be seen in the following chart showing records across the board for \"bad buying conditions\" due to high prices for houses, durable goods and autos. In other words, due to soarking prices is America is going on a buyers' strike.</p><p><blockquote>这可以从下图中看出,该图显示了由于房屋、耐用品和汽车价格高企而导致的“不良购买条件”的全面记录。换句话说,由于价格飙升,美国正在进行买家罢工。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b46f5f27af1090c20579d573274a9f52\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"288\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> This, for better or worse,<b>screams not only stagflation but also permanently higher prices,</b>as Curting elaborates:</p><p><blockquote>不管是好是坏,<b>尖叫的不仅是滞胀,还有永久上涨的价格,</b>正如柯廷所阐述的:</blockquote></p><p> <i>... in the emergence from the pandemic, consumers are temporarily less sensitive to prices due to pent-up demand and record savings as well as improved job and income prospects.</i> <i><b>The acceptance of price increases as due to the pandemic, makes inflationary psychology more likely to gain a foothold if the exit is lengthy.</b></i> The problem: sooner or laters the stimmies will end, but prices by then will already be fixed higher, and good luck trying to pull them down.</p><p><blockquote><i>...在疫情的出现中,由于被压抑的需求和创纪录的储蓄以及就业和收入前景的改善,消费者对价格的敏感度暂时降低。</i><i><b>如果退出时间很长,人们接受疫情导致的价格上涨,使得通胀心理更有可能站稳脚跟。</b></i>问题是:刺激迟早会结束,但到那时价格已经被固定得更高,祝你好运,试图拉低价格。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <i>While expansive monetary and fiscal policies are still warranted, the accompanying rise in inflation will cause uneven distributional impacts. Those impacts have already been noticed in June among the elderly and lower income households. A shift in the Fed's policy language could douse any incipient inflationary psychology, it would be no surprise to consumers, as two-thirds already expect higher interest rates in the year ahead.</i> Oh, and for those saying wage hikes may be permanent we have some bad news: employers know very well that the extended unemployment benefits bonanza ends in September at which point millions of currently unemployed workers will flood back into the labor force sending wages sharply lower, and is why instead of raising base pay, most potential employers offer one-time bonuses, which - as the name implies - are one-time. As for higher wage pressures, well... just wait until October when everything reverses, Uncle Sam is no longer a better paying competitor to the US private sector, and wages slump.</p><p><blockquote><i>虽然扩张性货币和财政政策仍然是必要的,但随之而来的通胀上升将造成分配不均的影响。六月份,老年人和低收入家庭已经注意到了这些影响。美联储政策语言的转变可能会浇灭任何初期的通胀心理,这对消费者来说并不奇怪,因为三分之二的人已经预计未来一年利率会上升。</i>哦,对于那些说工资上涨可能是永久性的人来说,我们有一些坏消息:雇主非常清楚,延长失业救济金的繁荣将于9月份结束,届时数百万目前失业的工人将涌入劳动力市场,导致工资大幅下降,这就是为什么大多数潜在雇主不提高基本工资,而是提供一次性奖金,顾名思义,这是一次性的。至于更高的工资压力,嗯...等到10月份,当一切发生逆转时,山姆大叔不再是美国私营部门薪酬更高的竞争对手,工资也会暴跌。</blockquote></p><p> What does that mean for the economy? Well, all those producers and retailers who got used to bumper demand and pushed their prices sharply and not so sharply higher, will face a stark choice: either drag prices right back down, or sell far fewer goods and services. That, or just await the next bailout.</p><p><blockquote>这对经济意味着什么?好吧,所有那些习惯于满足需求并大幅推高价格(而不是大幅上涨)的生产商和零售商将面临严峻的选择:要么直接拉低价格,要么销售更少的商品和服务。或者只是等待下一次救助。</blockquote></p><p> One thing is certain:<b>six months from today, the US economy will be far, far uglier.</b></p><p><blockquote>有一点是肯定的:<b>从今天起六个月后,美国经济将会更加丑陋。</b></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Hangover Arrives: Explosive Inflation Leads To Record Collapse In Home, Car Purchase Plans<blockquote>宿醉来了:爆炸性通货膨胀导致房屋和汽车购买计划创纪录崩溃</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Hangover Arrives: Explosive Inflation Leads To Record Collapse In Home, Car Purchase Plans<blockquote>宿醉来了:爆炸性通货膨胀导致房屋和汽车购买计划创纪录崩溃</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-11 23:31</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>For the past several months we have warned about the pernicious effects soaring prices are having on both corporations (\"Buckle Up! Inflation Is Here!\") and consumers (\"\"This Is Not Transitory\": Hyperinflation Fears Are Soaring Across America\"), prompting even otherwise boring sellside research to get (hyper) exciting, with Deutsche Bank (which warned this week that \"Inflation Is About To Explode \"Leaving Global Economies Sitting On A Time Bomb\"\") and Bank of America (which \"Just Threw Up All Over The Fed's \"Transitory\" Argument\") now openly claiming that<i>the Fed is wrong</i>, and the US is facing an unprecedented period of far higher, non-transitory inflation, with DB going so far as towarn<i>\"policymakers will face the most challenging years since the Volcker/Reagan period in the 1980s.\"</i></p><p><blockquote>在过去的几个月里,我们一直在警告价格飙升对企业(“系好安全带!通货膨胀来了!”)和消费者(“这不是暂时的”:对恶性通货膨胀的担忧正在整个美国飙升”)的有害影响,促使即使是无聊的卖方研究也变得(超级)令人兴奋,德意志银行(本周警告称“通胀即将爆发”,“让全球经济坐在一颗定时炸弹上”)和美国银行(“刚刚吐槽了美联储的“暂时”论点”)现在公开声称<i>美联储错了</i>美国正面临前所未有的高得多的非暂时性通胀时期,德国央行甚至警告<i>“政策制定者将面临自上世纪80年代沃尔克/里根时期以来最具挑战性的几年。”</i></blockquote></p><p> But none of this has spooked the Fed into conceding - or believing - that inflation is anything more than transitory. And maybe just this once, the Fed has a point because all else equal, by which we mean lack of rising wages, the best cure to higher prices is, well... higher prices.</p><p><blockquote>但所有这些都没有吓到美联储承认——或相信——通胀只不过是暂时的。也许就这一次,美联储说得有道理,因为在其他条件相同的情况下,我们指的是工资没有上涨,解决物价上涨的最佳方法是,嗯...更高的价格。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Presenting Exhibit A</b>: two weeks ago,we observed that anticipatingan end to Biden's stimmy bonanza end and that soon they will have to live again within their means, Americans' buying intentions (6 months from today) as measured by the Conference Board, had cratered across the 3 major spending categories: homes, automobiles and major household appliances.</p><p><blockquote><b>出示附件A</b>:两周前,我们观察到,预计拜登令人兴奋的财富将结束,很快他们将不得不再次量入为出,根据世界大型企业联合会的衡量,美国人的购买意愿(从今天起6个月)在3个主要支出类别:住宅、汽车和主要家用电器。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/440125680ea111da38a7c9adbc47f811\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"258\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The drop was so massive, it amounted to the biggest one-month drop in intentions to purchase appliances...</p><p><blockquote>降幅如此之大,相当于购买家电意向的最大单月降幅...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/483ef9fdbbe4fe34fc94863262839a85\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"264\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> ... and homes...</p><p><blockquote>...还有家...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ea40a948d838e7eaa00fbde1f60e1906\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"264\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> This confirms what wenoted earlier, namely a record divergence between crashing homebuyer confidence (due to record home prices) and soaring homebuilder confidence (also due to record home prices). Guess which one will matter in the end.</p><p><blockquote>这证实了我们之前提到的,即购房者信心崩溃(由于创纪录的房价)和房屋建筑商信心飙升(也由于创纪录的房价)之间的创纪录差异。猜猜哪一个最终会很重要。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a49f04b77740aab4ba75d00085dd8ada\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"275\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Fast forward to today when we just got<b>Exhibit B: the June UMichigan Sentiment Survey.</b></p><p><blockquote>快进到今天我们刚刚得到<b>证据B:六月密歇根情绪调查。</b></blockquote></p><p> While there wassome good news here, in that inflation expectations for both the 1-year and 5-10 look ahead periods dropped slightly...</p><p><blockquote>虽然这里有一些好消息,但未来1年和5-10年的通胀预期均略有下降...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6f0cf98553bfedc6500457c9aa3cbe0f\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"289\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> ... what we found more concerning is what chief economist, Richard Curtin said namely that since \"Rising inflation remained a top concern of consumers\", the spontaneous references to market prices for homes, vehicles, and household durables fell to their worst level since the all-time record in November 1974.</p><p><blockquote>...我们发现更令人担忧的是首席经济学家理查德·科廷(Richard Curtin)所说的,即由于“通胀上升仍然是消费者最关心的问题”,房屋、汽车和家庭耐用品市场价格的自发参考跌至自1974年11月创纪录以来的最糟糕水平。</blockquote></p><p> And as Curtin adds, \"<b>these unfavorable perceptions of market prices reduced overall buying attitudes for vehicles and homes to their lowest point since 1982.</b>These declines were especially sharp among those with incomes in the top third, who account for more than half of the dollar volume of retail sales.\"</p><p><blockquote>正如科廷补充的那样,“<b>这些对市场价格的不利看法将汽车和房屋的整体购买态度降至1982年以来的最低点。</b>对于收入排名前三分之一的人来说,这些下降尤其严重,他们占零售额的一半以上。”</blockquote></p><p> This can be seen in the following chart showing records across the board for \"bad buying conditions\" due to high prices for houses, durable goods and autos. In other words, due to soarking prices is America is going on a buyers' strike.</p><p><blockquote>这可以从下图中看出,该图显示了由于房屋、耐用品和汽车价格高企而导致的“不良购买条件”的全面记录。换句话说,由于价格飙升,美国正在进行买家罢工。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b46f5f27af1090c20579d573274a9f52\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"288\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> This, for better or worse,<b>screams not only stagflation but also permanently higher prices,</b>as Curting elaborates:</p><p><blockquote>不管是好是坏,<b>尖叫的不仅是滞胀,还有永久上涨的价格,</b>正如柯廷所阐述的:</blockquote></p><p> <i>... in the emergence from the pandemic, consumers are temporarily less sensitive to prices due to pent-up demand and record savings as well as improved job and income prospects.</i> <i><b>The acceptance of price increases as due to the pandemic, makes inflationary psychology more likely to gain a foothold if the exit is lengthy.</b></i> The problem: sooner or laters the stimmies will end, but prices by then will already be fixed higher, and good luck trying to pull them down.</p><p><blockquote><i>...在疫情的出现中,由于被压抑的需求和创纪录的储蓄以及就业和收入前景的改善,消费者对价格的敏感度暂时降低。</i><i><b>如果退出时间很长,人们接受疫情导致的价格上涨,使得通胀心理更有可能站稳脚跟。</b></i>问题是:刺激迟早会结束,但到那时价格已经被固定得更高,祝你好运,试图拉低价格。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <i>While expansive monetary and fiscal policies are still warranted, the accompanying rise in inflation will cause uneven distributional impacts. Those impacts have already been noticed in June among the elderly and lower income households. A shift in the Fed's policy language could douse any incipient inflationary psychology, it would be no surprise to consumers, as two-thirds already expect higher interest rates in the year ahead.</i> Oh, and for those saying wage hikes may be permanent we have some bad news: employers know very well that the extended unemployment benefits bonanza ends in September at which point millions of currently unemployed workers will flood back into the labor force sending wages sharply lower, and is why instead of raising base pay, most potential employers offer one-time bonuses, which - as the name implies - are one-time. As for higher wage pressures, well... just wait until October when everything reverses, Uncle Sam is no longer a better paying competitor to the US private sector, and wages slump.</p><p><blockquote><i>虽然扩张性货币和财政政策仍然是必要的,但随之而来的通胀上升将造成分配不均的影响。六月份,老年人和低收入家庭已经注意到了这些影响。美联储政策语言的转变可能会浇灭任何初期的通胀心理,这对消费者来说并不奇怪,因为三分之二的人已经预计未来一年利率会上升。</i>哦,对于那些说工资上涨可能是永久性的人来说,我们有一些坏消息:雇主非常清楚,延长失业救济金的繁荣将于9月份结束,届时数百万目前失业的工人将涌入劳动力市场,导致工资大幅下降,这就是为什么大多数潜在雇主不提高基本工资,而是提供一次性奖金,顾名思义,这是一次性的。至于更高的工资压力,嗯...等到10月份,当一切发生逆转时,山姆大叔不再是美国私营部门薪酬更高的竞争对手,工资也会暴跌。</blockquote></p><p> What does that mean for the economy? Well, all those producers and retailers who got used to bumper demand and pushed their prices sharply and not so sharply higher, will face a stark choice: either drag prices right back down, or sell far fewer goods and services. That, or just await the next bailout.</p><p><blockquote>这对经济意味着什么?好吧,所有那些习惯于满足需求并大幅推高价格(而不是大幅上涨)的生产商和零售商将面临严峻的选择:要么直接拉低价格,要么销售更少的商品和服务。或者只是等待下一次救助。</blockquote></p><p> One thing is certain:<b>six months from today, the US economy will be far, far uglier.</b></p><p><blockquote>有一点是肯定的:<b>从今天起六个月后,美国经济将会更加丑陋。</b></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/hangover-arrives-explosive-inflation-leads-record-collapse-home-car-purchase-plans\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/hangover-arrives-explosive-inflation-leads-record-collapse-home-car-purchase-plans","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1114257617","content_text":"For the past several months we have warned about the pernicious effects soaring prices are having on both corporations (\"Buckle Up! Inflation Is Here!\") and consumers (\"\"This Is Not Transitory\": Hyperinflation Fears Are Soaring Across America\"), prompting even otherwise boring sellside research to get (hyper) exciting, with Deutsche Bank (which warned this week that \"Inflation Is About To Explode \"Leaving Global Economies Sitting On A Time Bomb\"\") and Bank of America (which \"Just Threw Up All Over The Fed's \"Transitory\" Argument\") now openly claiming thatthe Fed is wrong, and the US is facing an unprecedented period of far higher, non-transitory inflation, with DB going so far as towarn\"policymakers will face the most challenging years since the Volcker/Reagan period in the 1980s.\"\nBut none of this has spooked the Fed into conceding - or believing - that inflation is anything more than transitory. And maybe just this once, the Fed has a point because all else equal, by which we mean lack of rising wages, the best cure to higher prices is, well... higher prices.\nPresenting Exhibit A: two weeks ago,we observed that anticipatingan end to Biden's stimmy bonanza end and that soon they will have to live again within their means, Americans' buying intentions (6 months from today) as measured by the Conference Board, had cratered across the 3 major spending categories: homes, automobiles and major household appliances.\n\nThe drop was so massive, it amounted to the biggest one-month drop in intentions to purchase appliances...\n\n... and homes...\n\nThis confirms what wenoted earlier, namely a record divergence between crashing homebuyer confidence (due to record home prices) and soaring homebuilder confidence (also due to record home prices). Guess which one will matter in the end.\n\nFast forward to today when we just gotExhibit B: the June UMichigan Sentiment Survey.\nWhile there wassome good news here, in that inflation expectations for both the 1-year and 5-10 look ahead periods dropped slightly...\n\n... what we found more concerning is what chief economist, Richard Curtin said namely that since \"Rising inflation remained a top concern of consumers\", the spontaneous references to market prices for homes, vehicles, and household durables fell to their worst level since the all-time record in November 1974.\nAnd as Curtin adds, \"these unfavorable perceptions of market prices reduced overall buying attitudes for vehicles and homes to their lowest point since 1982.These declines were especially sharp among those with incomes in the top third, who account for more than half of the dollar volume of retail sales.\"\nThis can be seen in the following chart showing records across the board for \"bad buying conditions\" due to high prices for houses, durable goods and autos. In other words, due to soarking prices is America is going on a buyers' strike.\n\nThis, for better or worse,screams not only stagflation but also permanently higher prices,as Curting elaborates:\n\n... in the emergence from the pandemic, consumers are temporarily less sensitive to prices due to pent-up demand and record savings as well as improved job and income prospects.\nThe acceptance of price increases as due to the pandemic, makes inflationary psychology more likely to gain a foothold if the exit is lengthy.\n\nThe problem: sooner or laters the stimmies will end, but prices by then will already be fixed higher, and good luck trying to pull them down.\n\nWhile expansive monetary and fiscal policies are still warranted, the accompanying rise in inflation will cause uneven distributional impacts. Those impacts have already been noticed in June among the elderly and lower income households. A shift in the Fed's policy language could douse any incipient inflationary psychology, it would be no surprise to consumers, as two-thirds already expect higher interest rates in the year ahead.\n\nOh, and for those saying wage hikes may be permanent we have some bad news: employers know very well that the extended unemployment benefits bonanza ends in September at which point millions of currently unemployed workers will flood back into the labor force sending wages sharply lower, and is why instead of raising base pay, most potential employers offer one-time bonuses, which - as the name implies - are one-time. As for higher wage pressures, well... just wait until October when everything reverses, Uncle Sam is no longer a better paying competitor to the US private sector, and wages slump.\nWhat does that mean for the economy? Well, all those producers and retailers who got used to bumper demand and pushed their prices sharply and not so sharply higher, will face a stark choice: either drag prices right back down, or sell far fewer goods and services. That, or just await the next bailout.\nOne thing is certain:six months from today, the US economy will be far, far uglier.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1400,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":181704520,"gmtCreate":1623410094760,"gmtModify":1634033623737,"author":{"id":"3570568072112084","authorId":"3570568072112084","name":"KZY89","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/071f393bbae2f59b995168be45caa82a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570568072112084","idStr":"3570568072112084"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$</a>lol","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$</a>lol","text":"$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$lol","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1ac401a2ee865b2e89dfe32c0ccceaf1","width":"750","height":"1300"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/181704520","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1627,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"following","isTTM":false}