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nicks
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·
2021-10-21
O...k....
AMC or GME Stock: Which Is the Better Long-Term Investment?
AMC and GameStop are the most popular meme investments
AMC or GME Stock: Which Is the Better Long-Term Investment?
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2021-10-18
Only can hope
GrowGeneration (NASDAQ:GRWG) Might Have The Makings Of A Multi-Bagger
If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends
GrowGeneration (NASDAQ:GRWG) Might Have The Makings Of A Multi-Bagger
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·
2021-10-13
Hmmmmm
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nicks
·
2021-10-13
[开心]
EV stocks rose in Tuesday morning trading
EV stocks rose in Tuesday morning trading.Tesla,Nio,Xpeng Motors,,Lucid,Nikola,Fisker,Niu Technologi
EV stocks rose in Tuesday morning trading
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·
2021-10-11
[流泪]
AMD: Prepare For A Selloff
Summary AMD is the shining star of the semiconductor sector from many fundamental viewpoints. Every
AMD: Prepare For A Selloff
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nicks
·
2021-10-11
[微笑] [微笑] [微笑] [微笑] [微笑] [微笑] [微笑]
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2021-10-11
[微笑]
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nicks
·
2021-09-28
$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$
nothing has changed, stick to basics of hodl, if possible then buy and hodl
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2021-09-27
To quote AA: "Every house has a kitchen, but everyone still eats out!" What a FUD article!
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2021-08-12
$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$
just hodl n hodl n hodl
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13:42","market":"us","language":"en","title":"AMC or GME Stock: Which Is the Better Long-Term Investment?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1142450583","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"AMC and GameStop are the most popular meme investments","content":"<p>Right out of the gate, I want to make clear I believe <b>AMC Entertainment</b>(NYSE:<b><u>AMC</u></b>) is a terrible investment. In addition, I think <b>GameStop</b>(NYSE:<b><u>GME</u></b>) stock is also a terrible investment. So I have no bias one way or another in this competition between the two most popular meme stocks.</p>\n<p>If you want to read why I’m so bearish on AMC and GameStop, I discuss tha there and here.</p>\n<p>This story is for the meme investors themselves who are looking to buy and hold for the long term. Which meme stock is likely to outperform the other in coming years? I’m putting AMC stock head-to-head with GME stock on six different measures. Together, we will determine which stock is likely the better long-term meme investment.</p>\n<p><b>Revenue Trends: AMC Stock Wins</b></p>\n<p>This comparison is about as simple as it gets. Both AMC stock and GME stock had their revenues crushed during the 2020 pandemic. I’m looking at trailing 12-month revenue from the beginning of 2015 to the beginning of 2020. How were these companies’ revenues trending before the pandemic?</p>\n<p>It turns out GameStop’s revenue peaked back in 2012. From 2015 to 2020, revenue dropped 21.1%. During the same stretch, AMC’s revenue more than doubled at 103%. If your company’s business is shrinking, it’s probably not going to be a great long-term investment. AMC stock is the clear revenue winner.</p>\n<p><b>Earnings/Losses: GME Stock Wins</b></p>\n<p>From 2016 through 2020, AMC generated a net loss of more than $5 billion. If you remove 2020 from the equation, AMC generated a net loss of $414.5 million from 2016 through 2019. AMC has turned a net profit in just two of the past five years.</p>\n<p>In its past five fiscal years, GameStop has generated a net loss of $971.3 million. If you remove 2020 from the equation, that net loss is just $756 million. GameStop has also been profitable in two of its past five fiscal years.</p>\n<p>This measure is a brutal one for both companies. Both are clearly struggling with profits, and both are still generating heavy losses as of their most recent quarterly reports. I’m going to give the earnings nod to GME stock as the winner simply because of how ugly that $4.6 billion net loss in 2020 was for AMC.</p>\n<p><b>Debt And Balance Sheet: GME Stock Wins</b></p>\n<p>AMC stock currently has $5.5 billion in total long-term debt. That long-term debt has risen by 43.7% over the past five years.</p>\n<p>At the same time, GameStop currently has $47.5 million in long-term debt. Surprisingly, GameStop’s long-term debt has actually declined by 94.1% over the past five years.</p>\n<p>This is another category with a clear winner. AMC has one of the worst balance sheets in the entire market, which is why it was on the brink of bankruptcy in early 2021. The company has avoided bankruptcy for the time being. But that debt and the interest associated with it will remain an albatross for AMC stock investors. GME stock wins this one.</p>\n<p><b>Shareholder Dilution: GME Stock Wins</b></p>\n<p>When it comes to shareholder dilution, it’s another no-brainer. The reason AMC was able to avoid bankruptcy in 2021 is because meme stock traders allowed AMC to flood the market with new shares of stock to raise desperately needed capital.</p>\n<p>AMC’s shares outstanding are up 403% in the past five years. In that same stretch, GameStop’s outstanding share count is down 25%. GME stock is the clear winner.</p>\n<p><b>Short Interest: AMC Stock Wins</b></p>\n<p>The entire meme stock trading fiasco started with Reddit traders deliberately triggering short squeezes. So what’s the short squeeze potential for AMC stock and GME stock these days?</p>\n<p>AMC currently has a short percent of float of 17.4%, according to Ortex Analytics. GameStop’s short percent of float is currently 12.2%.</p>\n<p>Year-to-date, GameStop’s short interest is down 89%, while AMC’s is still up 133.5%. If either stock still has potential for another short squeeze in the near-term, its AMC stock.</p>\n<p><b>Valuation: GME Stock Wins</b></p>\n<p>Without earnings, it’s difficult to assess these two stocks from a fundamental perspective. Analysts are currently expecting GameStop to report 15 cents in EPS in fiscal 2023. AMC is not expected to be profitable through at least 2022.</p>\n<p>AMC stock trades at 23.5x sales compared to a price-sales ratio of just 2.5 for GME stock. In the past five years, AMC’s P/S ratio is up 1,310%, while GameStop’s is up just 693.5%.</p>\n<p>These two stocks are both ridiculously overvalued based on their businesses. The only way GME stock looks attractively valued is when it is compared to AMC. GME stock wins.</p>\n<p><b>And the Winner Is …</b></p>\n<p>Congratulations to GME stock investors. Your meme stock appears to be a better investment than its high-profile counterpart.</p>\n<p>But rather than investing in the best of the worst stocks in the market, serious long-term investors would be much better served forgetting about AMC and GameStop all together. Instead, buy and hold a low-cost <b>S&P 500</b> index ETF, such as the <b>Vanguard 500 Index Fund ETF</b>(NYSE:<b><u>VOO</u></b>).</p>","source":"lsy1606302653667","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>AMC or GME Stock: Which Is the Better Long-Term Investment?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAMC or GME Stock: Which Is the Better Long-Term Investment?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-10-21 13:42 GMT+8 <a href=https://investorplace.com/2021/10/amc-or-gmc-stock-which-is-the-better-long-term-investment/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Right out of the gate, I want to make clear I believe AMC Entertainment(NYSE:AMC) is a terrible investment. In addition, I think GameStop(NYSE:GME) stock is also a terrible investment. So I have no ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/10/amc-or-gmc-stock-which-is-the-better-long-term-investment/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMC院线","GME":"游戏驿站"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2021/10/amc-or-gmc-stock-which-is-the-better-long-term-investment/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1142450583","content_text":"Right out of the gate, I want to make clear I believe AMC Entertainment(NYSE:AMC) is a terrible investment. In addition, I think GameStop(NYSE:GME) stock is also a terrible investment. So I have no bias one way or another in this competition between the two most popular meme stocks.\nIf you want to read why I’m so bearish on AMC and GameStop, I discuss tha there and here.\nThis story is for the meme investors themselves who are looking to buy and hold for the long term. Which meme stock is likely to outperform the other in coming years? I’m putting AMC stock head-to-head with GME stock on six different measures. Together, we will determine which stock is likely the better long-term meme investment.\nRevenue Trends: AMC Stock Wins\nThis comparison is about as simple as it gets. Both AMC stock and GME stock had their revenues crushed during the 2020 pandemic. I’m looking at trailing 12-month revenue from the beginning of 2015 to the beginning of 2020. How were these companies’ revenues trending before the pandemic?\nIt turns out GameStop’s revenue peaked back in 2012. From 2015 to 2020, revenue dropped 21.1%. During the same stretch, AMC’s revenue more than doubled at 103%. If your company’s business is shrinking, it’s probably not going to be a great long-term investment. AMC stock is the clear revenue winner.\nEarnings/Losses: GME Stock Wins\nFrom 2016 through 2020, AMC generated a net loss of more than $5 billion. If you remove 2020 from the equation, AMC generated a net loss of $414.5 million from 2016 through 2019. AMC has turned a net profit in just two of the past five years.\nIn its past five fiscal years, GameStop has generated a net loss of $971.3 million. If you remove 2020 from the equation, that net loss is just $756 million. GameStop has also been profitable in two of its past five fiscal years.\nThis measure is a brutal one for both companies. Both are clearly struggling with profits, and both are still generating heavy losses as of their most recent quarterly reports. I’m going to give the earnings nod to GME stock as the winner simply because of how ugly that $4.6 billion net loss in 2020 was for AMC.\nDebt And Balance Sheet: GME Stock Wins\nAMC stock currently has $5.5 billion in total long-term debt. That long-term debt has risen by 43.7% over the past five years.\nAt the same time, GameStop currently has $47.5 million in long-term debt. Surprisingly, GameStop’s long-term debt has actually declined by 94.1% over the past five years.\nThis is another category with a clear winner. AMC has one of the worst balance sheets in the entire market, which is why it was on the brink of bankruptcy in early 2021. The company has avoided bankruptcy for the time being. But that debt and the interest associated with it will remain an albatross for AMC stock investors. GME stock wins this one.\nShareholder Dilution: GME Stock Wins\nWhen it comes to shareholder dilution, it’s another no-brainer. The reason AMC was able to avoid bankruptcy in 2021 is because meme stock traders allowed AMC to flood the market with new shares of stock to raise desperately needed capital.\nAMC’s shares outstanding are up 403% in the past five years. In that same stretch, GameStop’s outstanding share count is down 25%. GME stock is the clear winner.\nShort Interest: AMC Stock Wins\nThe entire meme stock trading fiasco started with Reddit traders deliberately triggering short squeezes. So what’s the short squeeze potential for AMC stock and GME stock these days?\nAMC currently has a short percent of float of 17.4%, according to Ortex Analytics. GameStop’s short percent of float is currently 12.2%.\nYear-to-date, GameStop’s short interest is down 89%, while AMC’s is still up 133.5%. If either stock still has potential for another short squeeze in the near-term, its AMC stock.\nValuation: GME Stock Wins\nWithout earnings, it’s difficult to assess these two stocks from a fundamental perspective. Analysts are currently expecting GameStop to report 15 cents in EPS in fiscal 2023. AMC is not expected to be profitable through at least 2022.\nAMC stock trades at 23.5x sales compared to a price-sales ratio of just 2.5 for GME stock. In the past five years, AMC’s P/S ratio is up 1,310%, while GameStop’s is up just 693.5%.\nThese two stocks are both ridiculously overvalued based on their businesses. The only way GME stock looks attractively valued is when it is compared to AMC. GME stock wins.\nAnd the Winner Is …\nCongratulations to GME stock investors. Your meme stock appears to be a better investment than its high-profile counterpart.\nBut rather than investing in the best of the worst stocks in the market, serious long-term investors would be much better served forgetting about AMC and GameStop all together. Instead, buy and hold a low-cost S&P 500 index ETF, such as the Vanguard 500 Index Fund ETF(NYSE:VOO).","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1054,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":850130230,"gmtCreate":1634564080850,"gmtModify":1634564081205,"author":{"id":"3574945725954257","authorId":"3574945725954257","name":"nicks","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/85456a6bf78b0f1c1313f64abbb3aa70","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574945725954257","authorIdStr":"3574945725954257"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Only can hope","listText":"Only can hope","text":"Only can hope","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/850130230","repostId":"2175191373","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2175191373","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1634213525,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2175191373?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-14 20:12","market":"us","language":"en","title":"GrowGeneration (NASDAQ:GRWG) Might Have The Makings Of A Multi-Bagger","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2175191373","media":"Simply Wall St.","summary":"If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends","content":"<html><body><p>If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an eye out for. Firstly, we'll want to see a proven <em>return</em> on capital employed (ROCE) that is increasing, and secondly, an expanding <em>base</em> of capital employed. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. With that in mind, we've noticed some promising trends at <strong>GrowGeneration</strong> (NASDAQ:GRWG) so let's look a bit deeper. </p>\n<h3> Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What is it? </h3>\n<p> For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on GrowGeneration is: </p>\n<p> <strong>Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)</strong> </p>\n<p>0.064 = US$25m ÷ (US$453m - US$60m) <em>(Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2021)</em>.</p>\n<p> Thus, <strong>GrowGeneration has an ROCE of 6.4%. </strong> Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Specialty Retail industry average of 18%. </p>\n<p><span> Check out our latest analysis for GrowGeneration </span></p>\n<figure>\n<img src=\"https://s1.yimg.com/uu/api/res/1.2/g0_owByd1Er34pJYSy8P4w--/cT03NTthcHBpZD15dmlkZW9mZWVkczs-/https://media.zenfs.com/en/simply_wall_st__316/2df3166d0303c844515f5eebd837990f\"/>\n<figcaption>\n NasdaqCM:GRWG Return on Capital Employed October 14th 2021\n </figcaption>\n</figure>\n<p> In the above chart we have measured GrowGeneration's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our <strong>free</strong> report for GrowGeneration. </p>\n<h3> What Does the ROCE Trend For GrowGeneration Tell Us? </h3>\n<p> We're delighted to see that GrowGeneration is reaping rewards from its investments and is now generating some pre-tax profits. About five years ago the company was generating losses but things have turned around because it's now earning 6.4% on its capital. Not only that, but the company is utilizing 13,785% more capital than before, but that's to be expected from a company trying to break into profitability. We like this trend, because it tells us the company has profitable reinvestment opportunities available to it, and if it continues going forward that can lead to a multi-bagger performance. </p>\n<h3> Our Take On GrowGeneration's ROCE </h3>\n<p> To the delight of most shareholders, GrowGeneration has now broken into profitability. And with the stock having performed exceptionally well over the last three years, these patterns are being accounted for by investors. So given the stock has proven it has promising trends, it's worth researching the company further to see if these trends are likely to persist. </p>\n<p> GrowGeneration does have some risks, we noticed <strong> 3 warning signs </strong> (and 1 which doesn't sit too well with us) we think you should know about. </p>\n<p> For those who like to invest in <strong>solid companies,</strong> check out this <strong>free</strong> list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity. </p>\n<p><i>This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. <strong>We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice.</strong> It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.</i><br/><br/><strong>Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content?</strong> <strong>Get in touch</strong><strong> with us directly.</strong><i> Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.</i></p></body></html>","source":"yahoofinance","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>GrowGeneration (NASDAQ:GRWG) Might Have The Makings Of A Multi-Bagger</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGrowGeneration (NASDAQ:GRWG) Might Have The Makings Of A Multi-Bagger\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-10-14 20:12 GMT+8 <a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/growgeneration-nasdaq-grwg-might-makings-121205041.html><strong>Simply Wall St.</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an eye out for. Firstly, we'll want to see a proven return on capital employed (...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/growgeneration-nasdaq-grwg-might-makings-121205041.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://s.yimg.com/uu/api/res/1.2/9QLBVujnVeFeRRIn0cgszQ--~B/aD00MzI7dz0xMTk0O2FwcGlkPXl0YWNoeW9u/https://s.yimg.com/uu/api/res/1.2/ShqGpf2BYHtUllDu_nMHew--~B/aD00MzI7dz0xMTk0O2FwcGlkPXl0YWNoeW9u/https://media.zenfs.com/en/simply_wall_st__316/4ec940bb6b8d63b30bf30e7b89f8e013","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/growgeneration-nasdaq-grwg-might-makings-121205041.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5f26f4a48f9cb3e29be4d71d3ba8c038","article_id":"2175191373","content_text":"If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an eye out for. Firstly, we'll want to see a proven return on capital employed (ROCE) that is increasing, and secondly, an expanding base of capital employed. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. With that in mind, we've noticed some promising trends at GrowGeneration (NASDAQ:GRWG) so let's look a bit deeper. \n Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What is it? \n For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on GrowGeneration is: \n Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities) \n0.064 = US$25m ÷ (US$453m - US$60m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2021).\n Thus, GrowGeneration has an ROCE of 6.4%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Specialty Retail industry average of 18%. \n Check out our latest analysis for GrowGeneration \n\n\n\n NasdaqCM:GRWG Return on Capital Employed October 14th 2021\n \n\n In the above chart we have measured GrowGeneration's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report for GrowGeneration. \n What Does the ROCE Trend For GrowGeneration Tell Us? \n We're delighted to see that GrowGeneration is reaping rewards from its investments and is now generating some pre-tax profits. About five years ago the company was generating losses but things have turned around because it's now earning 6.4% on its capital. Not only that, but the company is utilizing 13,785% more capital than before, but that's to be expected from a company trying to break into profitability. We like this trend, because it tells us the company has profitable reinvestment opportunities available to it, and if it continues going forward that can lead to a multi-bagger performance. \n Our Take On GrowGeneration's ROCE \n To the delight of most shareholders, GrowGeneration has now broken into profitability. And with the stock having performed exceptionally well over the last three years, these patterns are being accounted for by investors. So given the stock has proven it has promising trends, it's worth researching the company further to see if these trends are likely to persist. \n GrowGeneration does have some risks, we noticed 3 warning signs (and 1 which doesn't sit too well with us) we think you should know about. \n For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity. \nThis article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":824,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":822195880,"gmtCreate":1634098750302,"gmtModify":1634098750761,"author":{"id":"3574945725954257","authorId":"3574945725954257","name":"nicks","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/85456a6bf78b0f1c1313f64abbb3aa70","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574945725954257","authorIdStr":"3574945725954257"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hmmmmm","listText":"Hmmmmm","text":"Hmmmmm","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/822195880","repostId":"2175137215","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1124,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":826784221,"gmtCreate":1634054683418,"gmtModify":1634054683564,"author":{"id":"3574945725954257","authorId":"3574945725954257","name":"nicks","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/85456a6bf78b0f1c1313f64abbb3aa70","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574945725954257","authorIdStr":"3574945725954257"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[开心] ","listText":"[开心] ","text":"[开心]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/826784221","repostId":"1154635938","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1154635938","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1634046349,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1154635938?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-12 21:45","market":"us","language":"en","title":"EV stocks rose in Tuesday morning trading","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1154635938","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"EV stocks rose in Tuesday morning trading.Tesla,Nio,Xpeng Motors,,Lucid,Nikola,Fisker,Niu Technologi","content":"<p>EV stocks rose in Tuesday morning trading.Tesla,Nio,Xpeng Motors,,Lucid,Nikola,Fisker,Niu Technologies,Nikola and Faraday Future climbed between 1% and 5%.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9faa240c3ac5ee0c06311d580fae1d48\" tg-width=\"411\" tg-height=\"721\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Tesla sold just over 56,000 vehicles made in China during September, the largest monthly total since it started production in Shanghai two years ago.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>EV stocks rose in Tuesday morning trading</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nEV stocks rose in Tuesday morning trading\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-10-12 21:45</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>EV stocks rose in Tuesday morning trading.Tesla,Nio,Xpeng Motors,,Lucid,Nikola,Fisker,Niu Technologies,Nikola and Faraday Future climbed between 1% and 5%.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9faa240c3ac5ee0c06311d580fae1d48\" tg-width=\"411\" tg-height=\"721\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Tesla sold just over 56,000 vehicles made in China during September, the largest monthly total since it started production in Shanghai two years ago.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIU":"小牛电动","XPEV":"小鹏汽车","WKHS":"Workhorse Group, Inc.","LCID":"Lucid Group Inc","TSLA":"特斯拉","FSR":"菲斯克","NIO":"蔚来","LI":"理想汽车"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1154635938","content_text":"EV stocks rose in Tuesday morning trading.Tesla,Nio,Xpeng Motors,,Lucid,Nikola,Fisker,Niu Technologies,Nikola and Faraday Future climbed between 1% and 5%.\n\nTesla sold just over 56,000 vehicles made in China during September, the largest monthly total since it started production in Shanghai two years ago.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1082,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":828744963,"gmtCreate":1633952317559,"gmtModify":1633952317559,"author":{"id":"3574945725954257","authorId":"3574945725954257","name":"nicks","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/85456a6bf78b0f1c1313f64abbb3aa70","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574945725954257","authorIdStr":"3574945725954257"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[流泪] ","listText":"[流泪] ","text":"[流泪]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/828744963","repostId":"1122242209","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1122242209","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1633938843,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1122242209?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-11 15:54","market":"us","language":"en","title":"AMD: Prepare For A Selloff","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1122242209","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Summary\n\nAMD is the shining star of the semiconductor sector from many fundamental viewpoints.\nEvery","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>AMD is the shining star of the semiconductor sector from many fundamental viewpoints.</li>\n <li>Every victory for AMD is a setback for Intel; the converse is also true.</li>\n <li>AMD is 100% to 229% overpriced relative to the market, depending on whether you account for its tax benefits.</li>\n <li>October has consistently been a losing month for AMD.</li>\n <li>Profit from (or protect your holdings from) the statistically likely pullback via a bear ratio spread.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/462c178e108d3712258ea4c46a361009\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"981\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Scott Olson/Getty Images News</span></p>\n<p>I last wrote about Advanced Micro Devices(AMD) back in April, when the stock was trading in the $70s. I was highly bullish on AMD, in part due to the Xilinx acquisition and in part due to being bearish on Intel(INTC). As many AMD investors know, the competition between AMD and Intel is fierce – and much of the chip game is a race to eat up competitors’ market shares.</p>\n<p>As AMD is up 30% since my last article, I was recently asked whether AMD is still a buy, here at $100+ per share. Today, I want to answer that question. (I was also asked if INTC is still a short, it having fallen 20% since my short call – I’ll get to that question later this month.)</p>\n<p><b>The Long Game</b></p>\n<p>I wanted to begin with a TLDR answer to the question as to AMD is a buy at this price, but the answer is not so simple. As you’ll see later, I believe AMD is overpriced here, but only from a short-term perspective. If you have a long-term time horizon, AMD should look cheap now, in retrospect.</p>\n<p>If you were to evaluate AMD via a fundamental perspective, with emphasis on its metrics’ trends, you’d see performance that will inevitably justify the $100+ valuation of the stock in the near future. Over the last two years, AMD has nearly tripled its revenue, improved its profit margin from single digits to 25%, and raised its GAAP net income from $191M to $3.4B – all while doubling its R&D expenses. That last part is important because increased R&D expenses have been shown to deliver a premium in the stock; as long as R&D is growing alongside income as well as revenue, the stock should continue upward as well, and short-term overboughtness will in the long-term appear relatively cheap.</p>\n<p>AMD has also been consistently outpacing the industry in its earnings growth.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0afecb00b1ce8168b472b74ed155655a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"246\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Simply Wall St., with permission</span></p>\n<p>This is possible because of AMD eating into Intel’s market share. And AMD need not conquer the whole market. The fact that AMD is fabless gives it an edge over Intel: The more of Intel’s market share AMD nibbles at, the more difficult it becomes for Intel to gain excess profits via economies of scale. Intel relies on volume to benefit from its fabs, as fabs come with high fixed costs. Thus, AMD’s revenue and earnings have an inverse relationship with Intel’s, and with AMD’s on the upswing, Intel’s is naturally on the downswing, as seen below.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/598aa5214eb37cd981db9b4c517fcea4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"310\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Simply Wall St., with permission</span></p>\n<p>While it is possible for Intel to stage a comeback, which would put downward pressure on AMD’s revenue and earnings, thereby also hindering the stock’s momentum, at present AMD has momentum on its side. I believe this momentum will last as long as AMD has the technical edge over Intel.</p>\n<p><b>The Short Game</b></p>\n<p>While the macros, market trends, and fundamentals backing AMD are all strong, the stock price has gotten ahead of the story. Again, $100 AMD will inevitably look cheap in the future, but for now, the stock price is overclocked, so to speak. While EPS has grown to an amazing extent the past few years, jumping from $0.75 to $2.85, the stock is nonetheless trading at 36.6x price-to-earnings, which is 100% higher than the market average.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8fedf7f6480bee8ece5130df94ee677\" tg-width=\"415\" tg-height=\"411\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Simply Wall St., with permission</span></p>\n<p>In addition, EPS is inflated in the short term due to AMD having taken a $1.3B tax benefit. Specifically, this tax benefit has inflated the EPS by 169%. Without this tax benefit, the price-to-earnings rises to 58.6x, or 229% higher than the market average.</p>\n<p>The problem here is with valuation, not the stock itself. It’s an opportunity cost issue: You can pay 200% more for this company or buy a general market ETF. Or you could buy a sector ETF, tracking semiconductors.</p>\n<p>The latter option comes with fewer risks than buying AMD. For one, stocks usually mean-revert, both against their own gains and against their fundamentals. AMD is overdue for such mean reversion.</p>\n<p>Second, AMD investors are negatively exposed to the risk of good news from AMD’s competitors. A new offering or strong performance from Intel’s CPUs or Nvidia’s (NVDA) GPUs could send shockwaves across the sector, negatively impacting AMD’s stock price. A sector ETF is likely to see gains in such a case.</p>\n<p>Third, AMD is highly exposed to market risk. It has a beta of 2.0, and so holding AMD exposes you to double the volatility of the general market. Intel, in contrast, has a beta of roughly 0.5, and is thus the less risky chip stock despite being the weaker company from a growth perspective.</p>\n<p>Over the past two months, AMD investors have not been rewarded for taking on such risk.</p>\n<p><b>Seasonality</b></p>\n<p>During my analysis of AMD, I came across something curious. October has been an awful month for AMD investors. Over the past fifteen years, while holding AMD would have led to a cumulative return of 220%, holding AMD over October would have led to an astonishing 83% loss!</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa09aca4ca7f8e634fe5c1ea73df2a95\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"420\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Damon Verial; data from Tiingo</span></p>\n<p>When I saw this result, I thought perhaps the result was overly influenced by AMD’s downward trajectory in the 2000s. However, when I restricted the backtest to AMD’s rally over the past five years, the results were still extremely bearish. While the stock rallied over 3500% since 2016, holding over October showed losses to the tune of 50%:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0bf2473b904b11a1dcae5b218756de70\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"420\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Damon Verial; data from Tiingo</span></p>\n<p>Such strength in seasonal patterns is rare. In my experience, such a signal is an opportunity for large profits.</p>\n<p><b>The Trade</b></p>\n<p>I believe over the course of my many articles on AMD, I have made it clear that I am highly bullish on this company. That said, given the price of the stock relative to the fundamentals, mean reversion, downside risk, and strong seasonality, I believe a short position on AMD is warranted. AMD should pull back over October, and we can dip-buy back into a long-term long position on the stock.</p>\n<p>Bear ratio spreads make sense here:</p>\n<ol>\n <li>Buy 1x Oct29 $105 put</li>\n <li>Sell 3x Oct29 $96 puts</li>\n</ol>\n<p>At the time of writing (Oct6), the price of this spread is exactly $0. Thus it is a free spread, giving you no potential upside risk and thus works also for investors who do not wish to sell their current AMD holdings. I chose this particular spread due to the prices allowing for a free credit spread and for the $96 strike price being close to the 100-day moving average of $96.5, a price that should act as a short-term support level.</p>\n<p>Anywhere between $96 and $105 is profit region. The risk is a sudden downward selloff pushing AMD to below $96, at which point you will lose $200 for every $1 movement below $96. You can evade this situation so long as you exit your position before AMD falls below $96. The ideal situation is AMD hitting $96 exactly by the end of October, in which case you would have made $900 on your $0 investment.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>AMD: Prepare For A Selloff</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAMD: Prepare For A Selloff\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-10-11 15:54 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4459252-amd-prepare-for-a-selloff><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nAMD is the shining star of the semiconductor sector from many fundamental viewpoints.\nEvery victory for AMD is a setback for Intel; the converse is also true.\nAMD is 100% to 229% overpriced ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4459252-amd-prepare-for-a-selloff\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMD":"美国超微公司"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4459252-amd-prepare-for-a-selloff","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1122242209","content_text":"Summary\n\nAMD is the shining star of the semiconductor sector from many fundamental viewpoints.\nEvery victory for AMD is a setback for Intel; the converse is also true.\nAMD is 100% to 229% overpriced relative to the market, depending on whether you account for its tax benefits.\nOctober has consistently been a losing month for AMD.\nProfit from (or protect your holdings from) the statistically likely pullback via a bear ratio spread.\n\nScott Olson/Getty Images News\nI last wrote about Advanced Micro Devices(AMD) back in April, when the stock was trading in the $70s. I was highly bullish on AMD, in part due to the Xilinx acquisition and in part due to being bearish on Intel(INTC). As many AMD investors know, the competition between AMD and Intel is fierce – and much of the chip game is a race to eat up competitors’ market shares.\nAs AMD is up 30% since my last article, I was recently asked whether AMD is still a buy, here at $100+ per share. Today, I want to answer that question. (I was also asked if INTC is still a short, it having fallen 20% since my short call – I’ll get to that question later this month.)\nThe Long Game\nI wanted to begin with a TLDR answer to the question as to AMD is a buy at this price, but the answer is not so simple. As you’ll see later, I believe AMD is overpriced here, but only from a short-term perspective. If you have a long-term time horizon, AMD should look cheap now, in retrospect.\nIf you were to evaluate AMD via a fundamental perspective, with emphasis on its metrics’ trends, you’d see performance that will inevitably justify the $100+ valuation of the stock in the near future. Over the last two years, AMD has nearly tripled its revenue, improved its profit margin from single digits to 25%, and raised its GAAP net income from $191M to $3.4B – all while doubling its R&D expenses. That last part is important because increased R&D expenses have been shown to deliver a premium in the stock; as long as R&D is growing alongside income as well as revenue, the stock should continue upward as well, and short-term overboughtness will in the long-term appear relatively cheap.\nAMD has also been consistently outpacing the industry in its earnings growth.\nSource: Simply Wall St., with permission\nThis is possible because of AMD eating into Intel’s market share. And AMD need not conquer the whole market. The fact that AMD is fabless gives it an edge over Intel: The more of Intel’s market share AMD nibbles at, the more difficult it becomes for Intel to gain excess profits via economies of scale. Intel relies on volume to benefit from its fabs, as fabs come with high fixed costs. Thus, AMD’s revenue and earnings have an inverse relationship with Intel’s, and with AMD’s on the upswing, Intel’s is naturally on the downswing, as seen below.\nSource: Simply Wall St., with permission\nWhile it is possible for Intel to stage a comeback, which would put downward pressure on AMD’s revenue and earnings, thereby also hindering the stock’s momentum, at present AMD has momentum on its side. I believe this momentum will last as long as AMD has the technical edge over Intel.\nThe Short Game\nWhile the macros, market trends, and fundamentals backing AMD are all strong, the stock price has gotten ahead of the story. Again, $100 AMD will inevitably look cheap in the future, but for now, the stock price is overclocked, so to speak. While EPS has grown to an amazing extent the past few years, jumping from $0.75 to $2.85, the stock is nonetheless trading at 36.6x price-to-earnings, which is 100% higher than the market average.\nSource: Simply Wall St., with permission\nIn addition, EPS is inflated in the short term due to AMD having taken a $1.3B tax benefit. Specifically, this tax benefit has inflated the EPS by 169%. Without this tax benefit, the price-to-earnings rises to 58.6x, or 229% higher than the market average.\nThe problem here is with valuation, not the stock itself. It’s an opportunity cost issue: You can pay 200% more for this company or buy a general market ETF. Or you could buy a sector ETF, tracking semiconductors.\nThe latter option comes with fewer risks than buying AMD. For one, stocks usually mean-revert, both against their own gains and against their fundamentals. AMD is overdue for such mean reversion.\nSecond, AMD investors are negatively exposed to the risk of good news from AMD’s competitors. A new offering or strong performance from Intel’s CPUs or Nvidia’s (NVDA) GPUs could send shockwaves across the sector, negatively impacting AMD’s stock price. A sector ETF is likely to see gains in such a case.\nThird, AMD is highly exposed to market risk. It has a beta of 2.0, and so holding AMD exposes you to double the volatility of the general market. Intel, in contrast, has a beta of roughly 0.5, and is thus the less risky chip stock despite being the weaker company from a growth perspective.\nOver the past two months, AMD investors have not been rewarded for taking on such risk.\nSeasonality\nDuring my analysis of AMD, I came across something curious. October has been an awful month for AMD investors. Over the past fifteen years, while holding AMD would have led to a cumulative return of 220%, holding AMD over October would have led to an astonishing 83% loss!\nSource: Damon Verial; data from Tiingo\nWhen I saw this result, I thought perhaps the result was overly influenced by AMD’s downward trajectory in the 2000s. However, when I restricted the backtest to AMD’s rally over the past five years, the results were still extremely bearish. While the stock rallied over 3500% since 2016, holding over October showed losses to the tune of 50%:\nSource: Damon Verial; data from Tiingo\nSuch strength in seasonal patterns is rare. In my experience, such a signal is an opportunity for large profits.\nThe Trade\nI believe over the course of my many articles on AMD, I have made it clear that I am highly bullish on this company. That said, given the price of the stock relative to the fundamentals, mean reversion, downside risk, and strong seasonality, I believe a short position on AMD is warranted. AMD should pull back over October, and we can dip-buy back into a long-term long position on the stock.\nBear ratio spreads make sense here:\n\nBuy 1x Oct29 $105 put\nSell 3x Oct29 $96 puts\n\nAt the time of writing (Oct6), the price of this spread is exactly $0. Thus it is a free spread, giving you no potential upside risk and thus works also for investors who do not wish to sell their current AMD holdings. I chose this particular spread due to the prices allowing for a free credit spread and for the $96 strike price being close to the 100-day moving average of $96.5, a price that should act as a short-term support level.\nAnywhere between $96 and $105 is profit region. The risk is a sudden downward selloff pushing AMD to below $96, at which point you will lose $200 for every $1 movement below $96. You can evade this situation so long as you exit your position before AMD falls below $96. The ideal situation is AMD hitting $96 exactly by the end of October, in which case you would have made $900 on your $0 investment.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":734,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":828817213,"gmtCreate":1633885136269,"gmtModify":1633885136269,"author":{"id":"3574945725954257","authorId":"3574945725954257","name":"nicks","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/85456a6bf78b0f1c1313f64abbb3aa70","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574945725954257","authorIdStr":"3574945725954257"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[微笑] [微笑] [微笑] [微笑] [微笑] [微笑] [微笑] ","listText":"[微笑] [微笑] [微笑] [微笑] [微笑] [微笑] [微笑] ","text":"[微笑] [微笑] [微笑] [微笑] [微笑] [微笑] [微笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/828817213","repostId":"2174692190","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1469,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":828817893,"gmtCreate":1633885084956,"gmtModify":1633885084956,"author":{"id":"3574945725954257","authorId":"3574945725954257","name":"nicks","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/85456a6bf78b0f1c1313f64abbb3aa70","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574945725954257","authorIdStr":"3574945725954257"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[微笑] ","listText":"[微笑] ","text":"[微笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/828817893","repostId":"2174892254","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1116,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":866576882,"gmtCreate":1632793742546,"gmtModify":1632797573336,"author":{"id":"3574945725954257","authorId":"3574945725954257","name":"nicks","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/85456a6bf78b0f1c1313f64abbb3aa70","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574945725954257","authorIdStr":"3574945725954257"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$</a>nothing has changed, stick to basics of hodl, if possible then buy and hodl","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$</a>nothing has changed, stick to basics of hodl, if possible then buy and hodl","text":"$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$nothing has changed, stick to basics of hodl, if possible then buy and hodl","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/866576882","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1101,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":866878528,"gmtCreate":1632756766064,"gmtModify":1632798038464,"author":{"id":"3574945725954257","authorId":"3574945725954257","name":"nicks","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/85456a6bf78b0f1c1313f64abbb3aa70","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574945725954257","authorIdStr":"3574945725954257"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"To quote AA: \"Every house has a kitchen, but everyone still eats out!\" What a FUD article! ","listText":"To quote AA: \"Every house has a kitchen, but everyone still eats out!\" What a FUD article! ","text":"To quote AA: \"Every house has a kitchen, but everyone still eats out!\" What a FUD article!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/866878528","repostId":"2170146216","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":883,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":895930338,"gmtCreate":1628700297124,"gmtModify":1633744996401,"author":{"id":"3574945725954257","authorId":"3574945725954257","name":"nicks","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/85456a6bf78b0f1c1313f64abbb3aa70","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574945725954257","authorIdStr":"3574945725954257"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$</a>just hodl n hodl n hodl","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$</a>just hodl n hodl n hodl","text":"$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$just hodl n hodl n hodl","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/895930338","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":476,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"following","isTTM":false}