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- IvanhojhIvanhojh
  ·2021-12-13
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  Bull Run Enters Late Cycle
  Summary The short-term correction has probably not ended yet. Macroeconomic indicators signal furth
  Bull Run Enters Late Cycle
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- IvanhojhIvanhojh
  ·2021-12-08
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  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
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- IvanhojhIvanhojh
  ·2021-12-07
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  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
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- IvanhojhIvanhojh
  ·2021-12-05
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  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
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- IvanhojhIvanhojh
  ·2021-12-01
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  Direct Listings Jump. Why This Path to Going Public Is Getting Noticed.
  Direct listings have jumped this year, but are still in the single digits because that path to the p
  Direct Listings Jump. Why This Path to Going Public Is Getting Noticed.
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- IvanhojhIvanhojh
  ·2021-11-30
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  Moderna CEO says vaccines likely less effective against Omicron
  SYDNEY, Nov 30 (Reuters) - The head of drugmaker Moderna said COVID-19 vaccines are unlikely to be a
  Moderna CEO says vaccines likely less effective against Omicron
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- IvanhojhIvanhojh
  ·2021-11-29
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  November jobs report: What to know this week
  As investors return from the Thanksgiving-shortened trading week, focus will shift to the U.S. labor
  November jobs report: What to know this week
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- IvanhojhIvanhojh
  ·2021-11-23
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  Tesla Cybertruck reservation backlog reaches $80 billion in value based on latest tally
  Based on the latest tally, Tesla has a backlog of over 1.2 million Cybertruck reservations worth ove
  Tesla Cybertruck reservation backlog reaches $80 billion in value based on latest tally
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- IvanhojhIvanhojh
  ·2021-11-15
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- IvanhojhIvanhojh
  ·2021-11-14
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pls","listText":"Like pls","text":"Like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/604886191","repostId":"1169099899","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1169099899","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639367858,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1169099899?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-13 11:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Bull Run Enters Late Cycle","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1169099899","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Summary\n\nThe short-term correction has probably not ended yet.\nMacroeconomic indicators signal furth","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>The short-term correction has probably not ended yet.</li>\n <li>Macroeconomic indicators signal further upside for stocks despite short-term correction potential.</li>\n <li>The Fed could face tough challenges with its loose monetary stance sooner than many expect.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/35de74b68a683fda3b95d3fd873bc678\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1025\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>MundusImages/E+ via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p>The business cycle is maturing but has not ended yet. It is probably entering the late-cycle stage, according to Stouff capital's estimates. Their US Long-Term Macro Index gauge reached the 90% threshold, an early indicator for economic recessions. That's relevant because recessions had a perfect track record for bear markets in stocks. Every NBER recession in the past 170 involved a bear market in US stocks.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/631eab7d5b7d2c62994d942fc86cdcfc\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"511\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Refinitiv, Stouff Capital)</span></p>\n<p>Nonetheless, entering the late stage of the business cycle does not imply that equities are in a bear market. On the contrary, equities developed positively during the late stage of the business cycle during the past century. The recession stage of the business cycle is the time window that investors want to avoid if they believe in statistical evidence. Other leading indicators, which have been reliable historically, do not signal an imminent recession yet. The labor market has been constructive until the last report. Moreover, the conference board Leading Economic Index (LEI) marked an all-time high on its latest reading. Historically, the labor market and the LEI reached their cycle peak several months ahead of the economy. Most often, both indices peaked even ahead of the US stock market before the US economy went into recession. Likewise, the yield curve is not flashing recessionary signals yet. Historically, it inverted shortly before a recession arrived and was also a leading indicator for cyclical stock market highs. That's neither the case today.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9fed5b5760550aa77356656aee41f1d0\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"379\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Refinitiv, CEIC, Pictet Asset Management)</span></p>\n<p>However, equities corrected 5%-10% from their most recent highs into early December. The drop was not surprising because the market was running hot, as explained in our&nbsp;mid-November article&nbsp;here on Seeking Alpha. Sentiment and technical indicators signaled an imminent 5%-10% correction. Nonetheless, the correction is probably not finished short term. Some more weakness remains the base case during the next couple of weeks.</p>\n<p>Moreover, there is something peculiar about the current cycle. It is unfolding at an unprecedented speed. Therefore, the late-cycle stage may surprise many by not lasting as long as it usually does. Further, the current environment might prove extraordinarily challenging for central banks as inflation increases rapidly. The chart above shows that European purchasing prices are more than 20% higher versus last year. That's the steepest increase of the index since the '70s. The '70s were the latest period that recorded double-digit inflation after the breakup of the Bretton-Woods exchange-rate system. Inflation pressure is also mounting in the United States as well. Not only do goods become expensive due to supply shortages, but services also joined the party lately. The development is a problem for central banks as they have no effective tools against supply-side shortages. Consequently, we are unlikely to witness monetary easing short-term. That has been a headwind for equities in recent years. Yet again, that's not a hit-and-run event and we are not there yet. Historically, equities reached their cyclical high typically well after the initial rate hike.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bfdb33a6b0c068438eae297a0bd32d1d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"390\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Refinitiv, CEIC, Pictet Asset Management)</span></p>\n<p>Technicals support the macro evidence outlined above. Most of the major indices probably unfolded bearish Elliot waves from their November highs. The S&amp;P 500 counts best as an extending leading diagonal into the December 6th low. That's a signal that the short-term correction may not be over yet. The pattern will probably morph into a three-wave corrective leg towards 4250-4390 instead.</p>\n<p>All in all, there is potential for more damage short term. Technical evidence hints at another attack at the 4390 S/R before seeing the next sustainable leg up. Time will tell if it is the last leg up before the cycle ends. Some of the macro indicators discussed above will probably provide further hints before things turn sour. The bottom line is that the bull trend is most likely intact despite further short-term correction potential.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Bull Run Enters Late Cycle</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBull Run Enters Late Cycle\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-12-13 11:57 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4474830-bull-run-enters-late-cycle><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nThe short-term correction has probably not ended yet.\nMacroeconomic indicators signal further upside for stocks despite short-term correction potential.\nThe Fed could face tough challenges ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4474830-bull-run-enters-late-cycle\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4474830-bull-run-enters-late-cycle","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1169099899","content_text":"Summary\n\nThe short-term correction has probably not ended yet.\nMacroeconomic indicators signal further upside for stocks despite short-term correction potential.\nThe Fed could face tough challenges with its loose monetary stance sooner than many expect.\n\nMundusImages/E+ via Getty Images\nThe business cycle is maturing but has not ended yet. It is probably entering the late-cycle stage, according to Stouff capital's estimates. Their US Long-Term Macro Index gauge reached the 90% threshold, an early indicator for economic recessions. That's relevant because recessions had a perfect track record for bear markets in stocks. Every NBER recession in the past 170 involved a bear market in US stocks.\n(Source: Refinitiv, Stouff Capital)\nNonetheless, entering the late stage of the business cycle does not imply that equities are in a bear market. On the contrary, equities developed positively during the late stage of the business cycle during the past century. The recession stage of the business cycle is the time window that investors want to avoid if they believe in statistical evidence. Other leading indicators, which have been reliable historically, do not signal an imminent recession yet. The labor market has been constructive until the last report. Moreover, the conference board Leading Economic Index (LEI) marked an all-time high on its latest reading. Historically, the labor market and the LEI reached their cycle peak several months ahead of the economy. Most often, both indices peaked even ahead of the US stock market before the US economy went into recession. Likewise, the yield curve is not flashing recessionary signals yet. Historically, it inverted shortly before a recession arrived and was also a leading indicator for cyclical stock market highs. That's neither the case today.\n(Source: Refinitiv, CEIC, Pictet Asset Management)\nHowever, equities corrected 5%-10% from their most recent highs into early December. The drop was not surprising because the market was running hot, as explained in our mid-November article here on Seeking Alpha. Sentiment and technical indicators signaled an imminent 5%-10% correction. Nonetheless, the correction is probably not finished short term. Some more weakness remains the base case during the next couple of weeks.\nMoreover, there is something peculiar about the current cycle. It is unfolding at an unprecedented speed. Therefore, the late-cycle stage may surprise many by not lasting as long as it usually does. Further, the current environment might prove extraordinarily challenging for central banks as inflation increases rapidly. The chart above shows that European purchasing prices are more than 20% higher versus last year. That's the steepest increase of the index since the '70s. The '70s were the latest period that recorded double-digit inflation after the breakup of the Bretton-Woods exchange-rate system. Inflation pressure is also mounting in the United States as well. Not only do goods become expensive due to supply shortages, but services also joined the party lately. The development is a problem for central banks as they have no effective tools against supply-side shortages. Consequently, we are unlikely to witness monetary easing short-term. That has been a headwind for equities in recent years. Yet again, that's not a hit-and-run event and we are not there yet. Historically, equities reached their cyclical high typically well after the initial rate hike.\n(Source: Refinitiv, CEIC, Pictet Asset Management)\nTechnicals support the macro evidence outlined above. Most of the major indices probably unfolded bearish Elliot waves from their November highs. The S&P 500 counts best as an extending leading diagonal into the December 6th low. That's a signal that the short-term correction may not be over yet. The pattern will probably morph into a three-wave corrective leg towards 4250-4390 instead.\nAll in all, there is potential for more damage short term. Technical evidence hints at another attack at the 4390 S/R before seeing the next sustainable leg up. Time will tell if it is the last leg up before the cycle ends. Some of the macro indicators discussed above will probably provide further hints before things turn sour. The bottom line is that the bull trend is most likely intact despite further short-term correction potential.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1168,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":602043578,"gmtCreate":1638947471300,"gmtModify":1638947471596,"author":{"id":"3575241823069388","authorId":"3575241823069388","name":"Ivanhojh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a41f0bf4ce9ad13477b3d5ba49c8d025","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575241823069388","authorIdStr":"3575241823069388"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like pls","listText":"Like pls","text":"Like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/602043578","repostId":"2189719656","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1030,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":606161047,"gmtCreate":1638843660945,"gmtModify":1638843661341,"author":{"id":"3575241823069388","authorId":"3575241823069388","name":"Ivanhojh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a41f0bf4ce9ad13477b3d5ba49c8d025","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575241823069388","authorIdStr":"3575241823069388"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like pls","listText":"Like pls","text":"Like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/606161047","repostId":"2189686612","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1058,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":608806123,"gmtCreate":1638673844331,"gmtModify":1638673844520,"author":{"id":"3575241823069388","authorId":"3575241823069388","name":"Ivanhojh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a41f0bf4ce9ad13477b3d5ba49c8d025","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575241823069388","authorIdStr":"3575241823069388"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like pls","listText":"Like pls","text":"Like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/608806123","repostId":"1140678193","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1234,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":603962544,"gmtCreate":1638353829251,"gmtModify":1638353829725,"author":{"id":"3575241823069388","authorId":"3575241823069388","name":"Ivanhojh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a41f0bf4ce9ad13477b3d5ba49c8d025","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575241823069388","authorIdStr":"3575241823069388"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like pls","listText":"Like pls","text":"Like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/603962544","repostId":"1163333225","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1163333225","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1638353038,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1163333225?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-01 18:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Direct Listings Jump. Why This Path to Going Public Is Getting Noticed.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1163333225","media":"Barrons","summary":"Direct listings have jumped this year, but are still in the single digits because that path to the p","content":"<p>Direct listings have jumped this year, but are still in the single digits because that path to the public markets is a narrow one—so narrow that most companies will keep choosing IPOs or SPAC mergers, experts tell <i>Barron’s.</i></p>\n<p>So far this year, 942 companies have gone public—raising $299 billion, numbers from Dealogic show. The totals for initial public offerings and special-purpose acquisition company mergers are 383 and 559, respectively.</p>\n<p>By comparison, only seven firms have used a direct listing—raising not one dime, simply listing their stocks on exchanges. Still, the seven is more than half of the 13 companies to use a direct listing since 2018.</p>\n<p>“We may see more late-stage companies seeking to do direct listings,” said Eddie Molloy, co-head of equity capital markets for the Americas at Morgan Stanley. “They will not replace IPOs, but instead provide companies another avenue to the public markets.”</p>\n<p>IPO expert Jay Ritter also expects the number of direct listings to increase—as long as there are no blowups like an accounting scandal that could taint the method.</p>\n<p>“More and more companies will use direct listings to avoid selling underpriced shares in a traditional IPO or to avoid the dilution due to sponsor shares that come with a SPAC merger,” said Ritter, a University of Florida finance professor who studies IPOs.</p>\n<p>The first direct listing came nearly four years ago, on April 3, 2018, when Spotify (SPOT) opened for trading on the New York Stock Exchange. The music-streaming service didn’t raise any money with its offering, but ended its first day as a public company with a nearly $27 billion valuation.</p>\n<p>In the next two years, five companies direct listed: Watford Holdings, the reinsurance firm; the messaging app Slack Technologies; Palantir Technologies (PLTR), the data analytics company; Asana (ASAN), which offers project management software; and&nbsp;Thryv Holdings (THRY), a provider of marketing automation software for small businesses.</p>\n<p>This year—and with a month still to go—the total stands at seven: Roblox (RBLX), the gaming platform; cryptocurrency exchange&nbsp;Coinbase&nbsp;(COIN);Squarespace&nbsp;(SQSP), the website design and hosting firm; the money transfer firm Wise; ZipRecruiter&nbsp;(ZIP), the employment marketplace; Amplitude (AMPL), the product analytics company; and eyewear start-up&nbsp;Warby Parker&nbsp;(WRBY).</p>\n<p>One of the biggest public offerings is expected to come next year from Stripe, the online payment processor, which is considering a direct listing,&nbsp;Bloomberg reported. Stripe didn’t return requests for comment.</p>\n<p>Of the 13 direct listings since 2018, eight picked the NYSE and four settled on the Nasdaq. Wise listed its shares on the&nbsp;London Stock Exchange&nbsp;in July.</p>\n<p><b>The mechanics</b></p>\n<p>The appeal of a direct listing might not be obvious to the retail investor. After all, like an IPO or a SPAC merger, a direct listing requires the same paperwork—essentially a prospectus filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission—and roughly the same amount of time, 12 to 18 months, according to David Ethridge, co-lead of PwC’s IPO Services. The 12 to 18 months includes the time that companies need to prepare for life as a public entities, Ethridge said.</p>\n<p>But there are real differences: how money is raised and where it goes, and the role played by investment banks.</p>\n<p>First, the money. Companies that opt for an IPO typically need fresh capital and use the offering to sell stock to investors. In a direct listing, shareholders—most often founders, investors who were in on the ground floor, and employees—sell their stock and they get the money, not the company.</p>\n<p>Two experts—Magdalena Heinrich, Bank of America’s co-head of U.S. technology equity capital markets and venture capitalist Eric Liaw—point out that companies that don’t immediately need capital are better suited for a direct listing.</p>\n<p>“The key criteria for [companies] choosing a direct listing is whether their balance sheet is sufficiently strong that they don’t need to raise money in the offering,” said Liaw, a general partner at IVP, a venture-capital firm that has invested in over 400 companies, including 125 publicly traded entities.</p>\n<p>Second, the investment banks. In an IPO, banks underwrite the sale of shares. They help write the prospectus, set the price for the offering, sell the stock to investors through their network the night before the company lists, help set the roadshow, and give support once the stock begins trading.</p>\n<p>Consequently, underwriting fees are the single biggest direct cost in an IPO— an average of 5% to 7% of gross IPO proceeds, Ethridge said.</p>\n<p>Several banks typically work on a big IPO and split the fees. For example, Airbnb&nbsp;(ABNB), the home sharing service, raised $3.5 billion last December with its public offering. Three dozen banks, led by Morgan Stanley and&nbsp;Goldman Sachs,worked on the deal.</p>\n<p>In a direct listing, banks act as financial advisors. Still, they help prepare the company’s registration statement, and assist with positioning the business, according to a guide on direct listings from the law firm Gibson Dunn. They also act as market makers and guide the price, said an investment banker who has worked on several deals.</p>\n<p>Their fees are “materially” less, but just how much less is hard to determine with only a dozen direct listings, Ethridge said.</p>\n<p>“It wouldn’t surprise me if the total fees paid of gross spread is 50% of what might otherwise be paid [in IPOs],” he said.</p>\n<p>Oddly enough, though, banks generally make as much with a direct listing because fewer work on a deal so the split is bigger, said Richard Truesdell, co-head of global capital markets at Davis Polk, who worked on the Spotify and Watford direct listings.</p>\n<p>Coinbase is a case in point. The crypto exchange ended its first day as a public company in March with a near $86 billion market cap. Its financial advisors totaled four, including Goldman Sachs and JP Morgan.</p>\n<p>“Even though the total comp is substantially less, it’s not less per bank,” Truesdell said</p>\n<p><b>The investors</b></p>\n<p>The real winners in a direct listing could very well be investors—both institutions and regular people.</p>\n<p>Institutions like direct listings because many don’t have a lockup—the 90 to 180 days that investors in an IPO have to wait before they can sell their shares. In a direct listing, investors can unload their shares as soon the company begins trading.</p>\n<p>No lockup makes it easier for the likes of Wellington Management, which manages $1.4 trillion in assets, to build positions “right out of the shoot,” said Michael Carmen, a senior managing director at Wellington, which has helped take more than 2,000 companies public since 2010—four through direct listings.</p>\n<p>More important, direct listings can be better for regular people. In an IPO, institutional investors will buy shares of a company at the offer price the night before the debut. Then, the next day, the stock will jump in price as all kinds of investors try to get shares.</p>\n<p>“Retail drives the pop that first day,” Truesdell, of Davis Polk, told <i>Barron’s.</i></p>\n<p>The upshot: The stock for a traditional IPO can often become too expensive for the regular people during its first day of trading. Consider Airbnb again. Shares more than doubled from the $68 IPO price, closing at $144.71.</p>\n<p>“With a direct listing, [retail investors] have all the same rights as other institutions out there,” said Wellington’s Carmen.</p>\n<p>Avoiding the first-day pop is one reason why Amplitude chose a direct listing, said Spenser Skates, co-founder and CEO. Amplitude rose a mere 9.6% from its opening price.</p>\n<p>When a company’s stock rises 30% or 50% or 100% in its debut, the IPO was mispriced, Skates said. Companies are “giving up a huge amount of value for no reason other than a good press headline,” Skates said.</p>\n<p>For companies, analyst coverage is important. Analysts have clients. They rate stocks. They give outlooks. And direct listings don’t typically generate the same level of analyst coverage as IPOs, which have a roadshow.</p>\n<p>Most of the companies that have direct listed replaced the roadshow with an “analyst day,” where investors, including regular people, learn about the business. Coinbase, for example, hosted a Reddit: “Ask Us Anything.”</p>\n<p>But the lack of analyst coverage isn’t necessarily a deal breaker. “If you are Spotify you know you’ll get coverage so you don’t worry about it. People won’t ignore a $30 billion market cap company,” Wellington’s Carmen said.</p>\n<p>Skates didn’t seem fazed that Amplitude had to reach out to the analysts—and investors.</p>\n<p>“It’s a little more work on part of companies to make sure all of the information is out there,” he said. “You still get the analyst coverage.”</p>\n<p>Traditional IPOs, Skates said, get a “little more investor interest but that’s because they’re doing a massive multi-hundred [million] giveaway.</p>\n<p>“As a CEO, you don’t want investors looking for a quick flip on stock. You really want those committed to the long term.”</p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Direct Listings Jump. Why This Path to Going Public Is Getting Noticed.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDirect Listings Jump. Why This Path to Going Public Is Getting Noticed.\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-12-01 18:03 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/direct-listings-jump-why-this-path-to-going-public-is-getting-noticed-51638305261?mod=hp_LATEST><strong>Barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Direct listings have jumped this year, but are still in the single digits because that path to the public markets is a narrow one—so narrow that most companies will keep choosing IPOs or SPAC mergers,...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/direct-listings-jump-why-this-path-to-going-public-is-getting-noticed-51638305261?mod=hp_LATEST\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ABNB":"爱彼迎","WRBY":"Warby Parker Inc.",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","AMPL":"AmplitudeE, Inc.","ASAN":"阿莎娜","ZIP":"ZipRecruiter Inc.","PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc.","SQSP":"Squarespace Inc.","THRY":"Thryv Holdings Inc",".DJI":"道琼斯","COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc.",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/direct-listings-jump-why-this-path-to-going-public-is-getting-noticed-51638305261?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1163333225","content_text":"Direct listings have jumped this year, but are still in the single digits because that path to the public markets is a narrow one—so narrow that most companies will keep choosing IPOs or SPAC mergers, experts tell Barron’s.\nSo far this year, 942 companies have gone public—raising $299 billion, numbers from Dealogic show. The totals for initial public offerings and special-purpose acquisition company mergers are 383 and 559, respectively.\nBy comparison, only seven firms have used a direct listing—raising not one dime, simply listing their stocks on exchanges. Still, the seven is more than half of the 13 companies to use a direct listing since 2018.\n“We may see more late-stage companies seeking to do direct listings,” said Eddie Molloy, co-head of equity capital markets for the Americas at Morgan Stanley. “They will not replace IPOs, but instead provide companies another avenue to the public markets.”\nIPO expert Jay Ritter also expects the number of direct listings to increase—as long as there are no blowups like an accounting scandal that could taint the method.\n“More and more companies will use direct listings to avoid selling underpriced shares in a traditional IPO or to avoid the dilution due to sponsor shares that come with a SPAC merger,” said Ritter, a University of Florida finance professor who studies IPOs.\nThe first direct listing came nearly four years ago, on April 3, 2018, when Spotify (SPOT) opened for trading on the New York Stock Exchange. The music-streaming service didn’t raise any money with its offering, but ended its first day as a public company with a nearly $27 billion valuation.\nIn the next two years, five companies direct listed: Watford Holdings, the reinsurance firm; the messaging app Slack Technologies; Palantir Technologies (PLTR), the data analytics company; Asana (ASAN), which offers project management software; and Thryv Holdings (THRY), a provider of marketing automation software for small businesses.\nThis year—and with a month still to go—the total stands at seven: Roblox (RBLX), the gaming platform; cryptocurrency exchange Coinbase (COIN);Squarespace (SQSP), the website design and hosting firm; the money transfer firm Wise; ZipRecruiter (ZIP), the employment marketplace; Amplitude (AMPL), the product analytics company; and eyewear start-up Warby Parker (WRBY).\nOne of the biggest public offerings is expected to come next year from Stripe, the online payment processor, which is considering a direct listing, Bloomberg reported. Stripe didn’t return requests for comment.\nOf the 13 direct listings since 2018, eight picked the NYSE and four settled on the Nasdaq. Wise listed its shares on the London Stock Exchange in July.\nThe mechanics\nThe appeal of a direct listing might not be obvious to the retail investor. After all, like an IPO or a SPAC merger, a direct listing requires the same paperwork—essentially a prospectus filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission—and roughly the same amount of time, 12 to 18 months, according to David Ethridge, co-lead of PwC’s IPO Services. The 12 to 18 months includes the time that companies need to prepare for life as a public entities, Ethridge said.\nBut there are real differences: how money is raised and where it goes, and the role played by investment banks.\nFirst, the money. Companies that opt for an IPO typically need fresh capital and use the offering to sell stock to investors. In a direct listing, shareholders—most often founders, investors who were in on the ground floor, and employees—sell their stock and they get the money, not the company.\nTwo experts—Magdalena Heinrich, Bank of America’s co-head of U.S. technology equity capital markets and venture capitalist Eric Liaw—point out that companies that don’t immediately need capital are better suited for a direct listing.\n“The key criteria for [companies] choosing a direct listing is whether their balance sheet is sufficiently strong that they don’t need to raise money in the offering,” said Liaw, a general partner at IVP, a venture-capital firm that has invested in over 400 companies, including 125 publicly traded entities.\nSecond, the investment banks. In an IPO, banks underwrite the sale of shares. They help write the prospectus, set the price for the offering, sell the stock to investors through their network the night before the company lists, help set the roadshow, and give support once the stock begins trading.\nConsequently, underwriting fees are the single biggest direct cost in an IPO— an average of 5% to 7% of gross IPO proceeds, Ethridge said.\nSeveral banks typically work on a big IPO and split the fees. For example, Airbnb (ABNB), the home sharing service, raised $3.5 billion last December with its public offering. Three dozen banks, led by Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs,worked on the deal.\nIn a direct listing, banks act as financial advisors. Still, they help prepare the company’s registration statement, and assist with positioning the business, according to a guide on direct listings from the law firm Gibson Dunn. They also act as market makers and guide the price, said an investment banker who has worked on several deals.\nTheir fees are “materially” less, but just how much less is hard to determine with only a dozen direct listings, Ethridge said.\n“It wouldn’t surprise me if the total fees paid of gross spread is 50% of what might otherwise be paid [in IPOs],” he said.\nOddly enough, though, banks generally make as much with a direct listing because fewer work on a deal so the split is bigger, said Richard Truesdell, co-head of global capital markets at Davis Polk, who worked on the Spotify and Watford direct listings.\nCoinbase is a case in point. The crypto exchange ended its first day as a public company in March with a near $86 billion market cap. Its financial advisors totaled four, including Goldman Sachs and JP Morgan.\n“Even though the total comp is substantially less, it’s not less per bank,” Truesdell said\nThe investors\nThe real winners in a direct listing could very well be investors—both institutions and regular people.\nInstitutions like direct listings because many don’t have a lockup—the 90 to 180 days that investors in an IPO have to wait before they can sell their shares. In a direct listing, investors can unload their shares as soon the company begins trading.\nNo lockup makes it easier for the likes of Wellington Management, which manages $1.4 trillion in assets, to build positions “right out of the shoot,” said Michael Carmen, a senior managing director at Wellington, which has helped take more than 2,000 companies public since 2010—four through direct listings.\nMore important, direct listings can be better for regular people. In an IPO, institutional investors will buy shares of a company at the offer price the night before the debut. Then, the next day, the stock will jump in price as all kinds of investors try to get shares.\n“Retail drives the pop that first day,” Truesdell, of Davis Polk, told Barron’s.\nThe upshot: The stock for a traditional IPO can often become too expensive for the regular people during its first day of trading. Consider Airbnb again. Shares more than doubled from the $68 IPO price, closing at $144.71.\n“With a direct listing, [retail investors] have all the same rights as other institutions out there,” said Wellington’s Carmen.\nAvoiding the first-day pop is one reason why Amplitude chose a direct listing, said Spenser Skates, co-founder and CEO. Amplitude rose a mere 9.6% from its opening price.\nWhen a company’s stock rises 30% or 50% or 100% in its debut, the IPO was mispriced, Skates said. Companies are “giving up a huge amount of value for no reason other than a good press headline,” Skates said.\nFor companies, analyst coverage is important. Analysts have clients. They rate stocks. They give outlooks. And direct listings don’t typically generate the same level of analyst coverage as IPOs, which have a roadshow.\nMost of the companies that have direct listed replaced the roadshow with an “analyst day,” where investors, including regular people, learn about the business. Coinbase, for example, hosted a Reddit: “Ask Us Anything.”\nBut the lack of analyst coverage isn’t necessarily a deal breaker. “If you are Spotify you know you’ll get coverage so you don’t worry about it. People won’t ignore a $30 billion market cap company,” Wellington’s Carmen said.\nSkates didn’t seem fazed that Amplitude had to reach out to the analysts—and investors.\n“It’s a little more work on part of companies to make sure all of the information is out there,” he said. “You still get the analyst coverage.”\nTraditional IPOs, Skates said, get a “little more investor interest but that’s because they’re doing a massive multi-hundred [million] giveaway.\n“As a CEO, you don’t want investors looking for a quick flip on stock. You really want those committed to the long term.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1401,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":609186307,"gmtCreate":1638252189264,"gmtModify":1638252189398,"author":{"id":"3575241823069388","authorId":"3575241823069388","name":"Ivanhojh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a41f0bf4ce9ad13477b3d5ba49c8d025","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575241823069388","authorIdStr":"3575241823069388"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like pls","listText":"Like pls","text":"Like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/609186307","repostId":"1141430877","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1141430877","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1638251771,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1141430877?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-30 13:56","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Moderna CEO says vaccines likely less effective against Omicron","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1141430877","media":"Reuters","summary":"SYDNEY, Nov 30 (Reuters) - The head of drugmaker Moderna said COVID-19 vaccines are unlikely to be a","content":"<p>SYDNEY, Nov 30 (Reuters) - The head of drugmaker Moderna said COVID-19 vaccines are unlikely to be as effective against the Omicron variant of the coronavirus as they have been previously, sparking fresh worry in financial markets about the trajectory of the pandemic.</p>\n<p>\"There is no world, I think, where (the effectiveness) is the same level . . . we had with Delta,\" Moderna Chief Executive Stéphane Bancel told the Financial Times&nbsp;in an interview.</p>\n<p>\"I think it's going to be a material drop. I just don't know how much because we need to wait for the data. But all the scientists I've talked to . . . are like 'this is not going to be good.'\"</p>\n<p>Vaccine resistance could lead to more sickness and hospitalisations and prolong the pandemic, and his comments triggered selling in growth-exposed assets like oil, stocks and the Australian dollar.</p>\n<p>Bancel added that the high number of mutations on the protein spike the virus uses to infect human cells meant it was likely the current crop of vaccines would need to be modified.</p>\n<p>He had earlier said on CNBC that it could take months to begin shipping a vaccine that does work against Omicron.</p>\n<p>Fear of the new variant, despite a lack of information about its severity, has already triggered delays to some economic reopening plans and the reimposition of some travel and movement restrictions.</p>","source":"lsy1612507957220","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Moderna CEO says vaccines likely less effective against Omicron</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nModerna CEO says vaccines likely less effective against Omicron\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-11-30 13:56 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/1-moderna-ceo-says-vaccines-055048321.html><strong>Reuters</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SYDNEY, Nov 30 (Reuters) - The head of drugmaker Moderna said COVID-19 vaccines are unlikely to be as effective against the Omicron variant of the coronavirus as they have been previously, sparking ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/1-moderna-ceo-says-vaccines-055048321.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/1-moderna-ceo-says-vaccines-055048321.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1141430877","content_text":"SYDNEY, Nov 30 (Reuters) - The head of drugmaker Moderna said COVID-19 vaccines are unlikely to be as effective against the Omicron variant of the coronavirus as they have been previously, sparking fresh worry in financial markets about the trajectory of the pandemic.\n\"There is no world, I think, where (the effectiveness) is the same level . . . we had with Delta,\" Moderna Chief Executive Stéphane Bancel told the Financial Times in an interview.\n\"I think it's going to be a material drop. I just don't know how much because we need to wait for the data. But all the scientists I've talked to . . . are like 'this is not going to be good.'\"\nVaccine resistance could lead to more sickness and hospitalisations and prolong the pandemic, and his comments triggered selling in growth-exposed assets like oil, stocks and the Australian dollar.\nBancel added that the high number of mutations on the protein spike the virus uses to infect human cells meant it was likely the current crop of vaccines would need to be modified.\nHe had earlier said on CNBC that it could take months to begin shipping a vaccine that does work against Omicron.\nFear of the new variant, despite a lack of information about its severity, has already triggered delays to some economic reopening plans and the reimposition of some travel and movement restrictions.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1149,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":600588502,"gmtCreate":1638174265738,"gmtModify":1638174362516,"author":{"id":"3575241823069388","authorId":"3575241823069388","name":"Ivanhojh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a41f0bf4ce9ad13477b3d5ba49c8d025","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575241823069388","authorIdStr":"3575241823069388"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like pls","listText":"Like pls","text":"Like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/600588502","repostId":"1124072014","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1124072014","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1638140765,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1124072014?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-29 07:06","market":"us","language":"en","title":"November jobs report: What to know this week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1124072014","media":"yahoo","summary":"As investors return from the Thanksgiving-shortened trading week, focus will shift to the U.S. labor","content":"<p>As investors return from the Thanksgiving-shortened trading week, focus will shift to the U.S. labor market.</p>\n<p>The Labor Department's monthly jobs report due for release on Friday is set to provide an updated snapshot of the strength in hiring and labor force participation in the U.S. economy. Consensus economists are looking for a half-million jobs to have returned in November, with the pace of hiring slowing only slightly from October's 531,000 gain. The unemployment rate is also expected to improve further to 4.5% from October's 4.6%, reaching the lowest level since March 2020.</p>\n<p>\"We expect non-farm payrolls to have risen by 500,000 in November, but the growing risk of a winter COVID wave and a dwindling supply of available workers will weigh on jobs growth soon,\" wrote Paul Ashworth, chief North America economist for Capital Economics, in a note last week.</p>\n<p>\"Employment growth can’t continue at this pace for much longer unless the labor force stages a more notable recovery. If anything, labor supply could<i>worsen</i>over the coming months as the federal vaccine mandate covering 100 [million] workers begins on January 4,\" Ashworth added. \"That suggests wage growth will remain strong, and we expect a 0.4% [month-over-month] rise in average hourly earnings in October.\"</p>\n<p>On a year-over-year basis, average hourly earnings are expected to rise by 5.0%, accelerating even further after October's already marked 4.9% rise and representing the fastest wage growth rate since February.</p>\n<p>Growing average wages and a tight labor market — while a positive for consumers and their ability to spend — has also stoked concerns over persistent inflation. Last week's Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) deflator from the Bureau of Economic Analysis for October showed an annual jump of 5.0% in the index, or the biggest rise since 1990. And the core PCE, or the Fed's preferred inflation gauge stripping out volatile food and energy prices, rose by 4.1% year-over-year — the most in three decades.</p>\n<p>Other recent data have homed in on the tight labor market and presaged a potentially strong November jobs report. Last week'sinitial jobless claims fell to a 52-year low of 199,000, taking out both the prior pandemic-era low and pre-pandemic average for new first-time filings. This served as yet another point underscoring the steep competition for labor among U.S. employers, with companies attempting to hire and retain their existing workforces amid widespread labor shortages.</p>\n<p>Even given these lingering scarcities, the labor force participation rate has yet to return to pre-pandemic levels. The civilian labor force was still down by nearly 3 million participants compared to February 2020, with lingering concerns over the virus and adesire by many working-age individuals to seek out new roles with better flexibility and benefitsstill keeping many individuals on the sidelines of the workforce. Consensus economists expect the labor force participation rate to tick up only slightly in November to reach 61.7%, growing from October's 61.6% but coming in well below the 63.3% rate from February 2020.</p>\n<p>Returning the economy back to pre-pandemic labor force participation levels and ensuring job gains are seen equitably across different groups has become a key focus for the Federal Reserve. And the distance still left to make up on these fronts has also been the biggest factor keeping the Fed ultra-accommodative with its monetary policy support, even after a parade of hotter-than-expected inflation reports that would appear to warrant a more hawkish policy tilt and a quicker-than-expected hike to interest rates.Fed Chair Jerome Powell's renomination to remain as head of the central bankfurther suggests the Fed's focus on the labor market as a critical informing factor for monetary policy will remain.</p>\n<p>\"Market views for future Fed rate increases have been pulled forward aggressively in response to evidence that elevated inflation pressures are likely to persist for longer,\" wrote Deutsche Bank economist Justin Weidner in a note last week. \"However, as Chair Powell's November press conference made evident, prospects for the labor market to return to maximum employment remain a critical consideration for when the Fed will eventually begin to actively tighten monetary policy.\"</p>\n<p>Economic calendar</p>\n<ul>\n <li><p><b>Monday:</b>Pending home sales, month-over-month, October (0.7% expected, -2.3% in September); Dallas Federal Reserve Manufacturing Activity Index, November (17.0 expected, 14.6 in October)</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Tuesday:</b>FHFA House Price Index, month-over-month, September (1.2% expected, 1.0% in August); S&amp;P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20-City Composite Index, month-over-month, September (1.30% expected, 1.17% in August); S&amp;P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20-City Composite Index, September (19.66% during prior month); MNI Chicago PMI, November (67.0 expected, 68.4 in October); Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index, November (110.0 expected, 113.8 in October)</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Wednesday:</b>MBA Mortgage Applications, November 26 (1.8% during prior week); ADP Employment Change, November (515,000 expected, 571,000 in October); Markit U.S. Manufacturing PMI, November final (59.1 during prior month); Construction Spending, month-over-month, October (0.5% expected, -0.5% in September); ISM Manufacturing, November (61.0 expected, 60.8 in October); Federal Reserve releases Beige Book</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Thursday:</b>Challenger job cuts, November (-71.7% in October); Initial jobless claims, week ended Nov. 27 (199,000 during prior week); Continuing claims, Nov. 20 (2.049 during prior week)</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Friday:</b>Change in non-farm payrolls, November (500,000 expected, 531,000 in October); Unemployment rate, November (4.5% expected, 4.6% in October); Average Hourly Earnings, month-over-month, November (0.4% expected, 0.4% in October); Average Hourly Earnings, year-over-year, November (5.0% expected, 4.9% in October); Markit U.S. Services PMI, November final (57.0 in prior print); Markit U.S. Composite PMI, November final (56.5 in prior print); ISM Services Index, November (65.0 expected, 66.7 in October); Factory Orders, October (0.5% expected, 0.2% in September); Durable Goods Orders, October final (-0.5% in prior print)</p></li>\n</ul>\n<p>Earnings calendar</p>\n<ul>\n <li><p><b>Monday:</b><i>No notable reports scheduled for release</i></p></li>\n <li><p><b>Tuesday:</b>Salesforce.com (CRM) after market close</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Wednesday:</b>PVH Corp. (PVH) after market close</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Thursday:</b>Dollar General (DG), Kroger (KR) before market open; Ulta Beauty (ULTA) after market close</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Friday:</b><i>No notable reports scheduled for release</i></p></li>\n</ul>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>November jobs report: What to know this week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNovember jobs report: What to know this week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-11-29 07:06 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/november-jobs-report-what-to-know-this-week-144428419.html><strong>yahoo</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>As investors return from the Thanksgiving-shortened trading week, focus will shift to the U.S. labor market.\nThe Labor Department's monthly jobs report due for release on Friday is set to provide an ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/november-jobs-report-what-to-know-this-week-144428419.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/november-jobs-report-what-to-know-this-week-144428419.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1124072014","content_text":"As investors return from the Thanksgiving-shortened trading week, focus will shift to the U.S. labor market.\nThe Labor Department's monthly jobs report due for release on Friday is set to provide an updated snapshot of the strength in hiring and labor force participation in the U.S. economy. Consensus economists are looking for a half-million jobs to have returned in November, with the pace of hiring slowing only slightly from October's 531,000 gain. The unemployment rate is also expected to improve further to 4.5% from October's 4.6%, reaching the lowest level since March 2020.\n\"We expect non-farm payrolls to have risen by 500,000 in November, but the growing risk of a winter COVID wave and a dwindling supply of available workers will weigh on jobs growth soon,\" wrote Paul Ashworth, chief North America economist for Capital Economics, in a note last week.\n\"Employment growth can’t continue at this pace for much longer unless the labor force stages a more notable recovery. If anything, labor supply couldworsenover the coming months as the federal vaccine mandate covering 100 [million] workers begins on January 4,\" Ashworth added. \"That suggests wage growth will remain strong, and we expect a 0.4% [month-over-month] rise in average hourly earnings in October.\"\nOn a year-over-year basis, average hourly earnings are expected to rise by 5.0%, accelerating even further after October's already marked 4.9% rise and representing the fastest wage growth rate since February.\nGrowing average wages and a tight labor market — while a positive for consumers and their ability to spend — has also stoked concerns over persistent inflation. Last week's Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) deflator from the Bureau of Economic Analysis for October showed an annual jump of 5.0% in the index, or the biggest rise since 1990. And the core PCE, or the Fed's preferred inflation gauge stripping out volatile food and energy prices, rose by 4.1% year-over-year — the most in three decades.\nOther recent data have homed in on the tight labor market and presaged a potentially strong November jobs report. Last week'sinitial jobless claims fell to a 52-year low of 199,000, taking out both the prior pandemic-era low and pre-pandemic average for new first-time filings. This served as yet another point underscoring the steep competition for labor among U.S. employers, with companies attempting to hire and retain their existing workforces amid widespread labor shortages.\nEven given these lingering scarcities, the labor force participation rate has yet to return to pre-pandemic levels. The civilian labor force was still down by nearly 3 million participants compared to February 2020, with lingering concerns over the virus and adesire by many working-age individuals to seek out new roles with better flexibility and benefitsstill keeping many individuals on the sidelines of the workforce. Consensus economists expect the labor force participation rate to tick up only slightly in November to reach 61.7%, growing from October's 61.6% but coming in well below the 63.3% rate from February 2020.\nReturning the economy back to pre-pandemic labor force participation levels and ensuring job gains are seen equitably across different groups has become a key focus for the Federal Reserve. And the distance still left to make up on these fronts has also been the biggest factor keeping the Fed ultra-accommodative with its monetary policy support, even after a parade of hotter-than-expected inflation reports that would appear to warrant a more hawkish policy tilt and a quicker-than-expected hike to interest rates.Fed Chair Jerome Powell's renomination to remain as head of the central bankfurther suggests the Fed's focus on the labor market as a critical informing factor for monetary policy will remain.\n\"Market views for future Fed rate increases have been pulled forward aggressively in response to evidence that elevated inflation pressures are likely to persist for longer,\" wrote Deutsche Bank economist Justin Weidner in a note last week. \"However, as Chair Powell's November press conference made evident, prospects for the labor market to return to maximum employment remain a critical consideration for when the Fed will eventually begin to actively tighten monetary policy.\"\nEconomic calendar\n\nMonday:Pending home sales, month-over-month, October (0.7% expected, -2.3% in September); Dallas Federal Reserve Manufacturing Activity Index, November (17.0 expected, 14.6 in October)\nTuesday:FHFA House Price Index, month-over-month, September (1.2% expected, 1.0% in August); S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20-City Composite Index, month-over-month, September (1.30% expected, 1.17% in August); S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20-City Composite Index, September (19.66% during prior month); MNI Chicago PMI, November (67.0 expected, 68.4 in October); Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index, November (110.0 expected, 113.8 in October)\nWednesday:MBA Mortgage Applications, November 26 (1.8% during prior week); ADP Employment Change, November (515,000 expected, 571,000 in October); Markit U.S. Manufacturing PMI, November final (59.1 during prior month); Construction Spending, month-over-month, October (0.5% expected, -0.5% in September); ISM Manufacturing, November (61.0 expected, 60.8 in October); Federal Reserve releases Beige Book\nThursday:Challenger job cuts, November (-71.7% in October); Initial jobless claims, week ended Nov. 27 (199,000 during prior week); Continuing claims, Nov. 20 (2.049 during prior week)\nFriday:Change in non-farm payrolls, November (500,000 expected, 531,000 in October); Unemployment rate, November (4.5% expected, 4.6% in October); Average Hourly Earnings, month-over-month, November (0.4% expected, 0.4% in October); Average Hourly Earnings, year-over-year, November (5.0% expected, 4.9% in October); Markit U.S. Services PMI, November final (57.0 in prior print); Markit U.S. Composite PMI, November final (56.5 in prior print); ISM Services Index, November (65.0 expected, 66.7 in October); Factory Orders, October (0.5% expected, 0.2% in September); Durable Goods Orders, October final (-0.5% in prior print)\n\nEarnings calendar\n\nMonday:No notable reports scheduled for release\nTuesday:Salesforce.com (CRM) after market close\nWednesday:PVH Corp. (PVH) after market close\nThursday:Dollar General (DG), Kroger (KR) before market open; Ulta Beauty (ULTA) after market close\nFriday:No notable reports scheduled for release","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1190,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":875511450,"gmtCreate":1637668033202,"gmtModify":1637668033327,"author":{"id":"3575241823069388","authorId":"3575241823069388","name":"Ivanhojh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a41f0bf4ce9ad13477b3d5ba49c8d025","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575241823069388","authorIdStr":"3575241823069388"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like pls","listText":"Like pls","text":"Like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/875511450","repostId":"1172702648","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1172702648","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1637667706,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1172702648?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-23 19:41","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Cybertruck reservation backlog reaches $80 billion in value based on latest tally","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1172702648","media":"Electrek","summary":"Based on the latest tally, Tesla has a backlog of over 1.2 million Cybertruck reservations worth ove","content":"<p>Based on the latest tally, Tesla has a backlog of over 1.2 million Cybertruck reservations worth over $80 billion.</p>\n<p>But there’s still no production in sight.</p>\n<p>Tesla unveiled the Cybertruck almost two years ago to the day.</p>\n<p>The electric pickup truck was supposed to be in production already, but the automaker delayed the program as it focused on growing Model Y production.</p>\n<p>Tesla’s best estimate now puts the start of Cybertruck production in late 2022.</p>\n<p>In the meantime, Tesla is still taking reservations for the electric pickup truck.</p>\n<p>The Cybertruck reservation program has been quite successful.</p>\n<p>CEO Elon Musk announced that&nbsp;Tesla received over 250,000 reservations for the Cybertruck&nbsp;within a week of unveiling the vehicle.</p>\n<p>Generally, Tesla receives a lot of reservations early after an unveiling, and then it tapers off — but that wasn’t the case with the Cybertruck.</p>\n<p>Even throughout the pandemic, sources told us that some&nbsp;Tesla stores were getting hundreds of Cybertruck reservations per week, and&nbsp;Cybertruck pre-orders even helped boost sales.</p>\n<p>The number was last updated in June 2020, and at that point,&nbsp;the number had risen to over 650,000 Cybertruck reservations.</p>\n<p>A crowdsourced Cybertruck reservation tally&nbsp;by the Cybertruck forum with over 28,000 entries put&nbsp;reservations at over 1 million&nbsp;back in May 2021.</p>\n<p>Now the tally estimates that Tesla has over 1,270,000 reservations for the electric pickup truck:</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7be2bdc3adecef01ce7ea51655673dac\" tg-width=\"1128\" tg-height=\"658\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>The tally also collects information on the reservations that show the vast majority are ordering the Dual Motor and Tri Motor versions of the Cybertruck.</p>\n<p>As we recently reported,Tesla has decided to remove references to trims and pricing of the Cybertruckfrom its website last month.</p>\n<p>But based on the prices previously disclosed by Tesla, it would put the average sale price at $58,000 and the value of the reservations at over $80 billion.</p>\n<p>To be fair, the fact that Tesla requires only a $100 deposit for the Cybertruck (used to be $1,000 for Model 3/Y) makes it less of a commitment to place a reservation resulting in the take rate from reservation to order is expected to be lower.</p>\n<p>Either way, Tesla is certainly leading the electric pickup truck market in terms of reservations, but several companies are beating the company to market.</p>\n<p>Rivian has already started deliveries of the R1T electric pickup. GM is expected to start deliveries of the Hummer EV pickup by the end of next month, and Ford will deliver the F-150 Lightning next year.</p>\n<p>But the real race is not who can deliver the first electric pickup truck. It’s who can achieve volume production and deliveries.</p>","source":"lsy1627037122897","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Cybertruck reservation backlog reaches $80 billion in value based on latest tally</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Cybertruck reservation backlog reaches $80 billion in value based on latest tally\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-11-23 19:41 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://electrek.co/2021/11/23/tesla-cybertruck-reservation-backlog-80-billion-value-tally/><strong>Electrek</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Based on the latest tally, Tesla has a backlog of over 1.2 million Cybertruck reservations worth over $80 billion.\nBut there’s still no production in sight.\nTesla unveiled the Cybertruck almost two ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://electrek.co/2021/11/23/tesla-cybertruck-reservation-backlog-80-billion-value-tally/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://electrek.co/2021/11/23/tesla-cybertruck-reservation-backlog-80-billion-value-tally/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1172702648","content_text":"Based on the latest tally, Tesla has a backlog of over 1.2 million Cybertruck reservations worth over $80 billion.\nBut there’s still no production in sight.\nTesla unveiled the Cybertruck almost two years ago to the day.\nThe electric pickup truck was supposed to be in production already, but the automaker delayed the program as it focused on growing Model Y production.\nTesla’s best estimate now puts the start of Cybertruck production in late 2022.\nIn the meantime, Tesla is still taking reservations for the electric pickup truck.\nThe Cybertruck reservation program has been quite successful.\nCEO Elon Musk announced that Tesla received over 250,000 reservations for the Cybertruck within a week of unveiling the vehicle.\nGenerally, Tesla receives a lot of reservations early after an unveiling, and then it tapers off — but that wasn’t the case with the Cybertruck.\nEven throughout the pandemic, sources told us that some Tesla stores were getting hundreds of Cybertruck reservations per week, and Cybertruck pre-orders even helped boost sales.\nThe number was last updated in June 2020, and at that point, the number had risen to over 650,000 Cybertruck reservations.\nA crowdsourced Cybertruck reservation tally by the Cybertruck forum with over 28,000 entries put reservations at over 1 million back in May 2021.\nNow the tally estimates that Tesla has over 1,270,000 reservations for the electric pickup truck:\n\nThe tally also collects information on the reservations that show the vast majority are ordering the Dual Motor and Tri Motor versions of the Cybertruck.\nAs we recently reported,Tesla has decided to remove references to trims and pricing of the Cybertruckfrom its website last month.\nBut based on the prices previously disclosed by Tesla, it would put the average sale price at $58,000 and the value of the reservations at over $80 billion.\nTo be fair, the fact that Tesla requires only a $100 deposit for the Cybertruck (used to be $1,000 for Model 3/Y) makes it less of a commitment to place a reservation resulting in the take rate from reservation to order is expected to be lower.\nEither way, Tesla is certainly leading the electric pickup truck market in terms of reservations, but several companies are beating the company to market.\nRivian has already started deliveries of the R1T electric pickup. GM is expected to start deliveries of the Hummer EV pickup by the end of next month, and Ford will deliver the F-150 Lightning next year.\nBut the real race is not who can deliver the first electric pickup truck. It’s who can achieve volume production and deliveries.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1253,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":873559472,"gmtCreate":1636966158406,"gmtModify":1636966158838,"author":{"id":"3575241823069388","authorId":"3575241823069388","name":"Ivanhojh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a41f0bf4ce9ad13477b3d5ba49c8d025","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575241823069388","authorIdStr":"3575241823069388"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like pls","listText":"Like pls","text":"Like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/873559472","repostId":"2183046479","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1065,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":873100237,"gmtCreate":1636869669032,"gmtModify":1636869669205,"author":{"id":"3575241823069388","authorId":"3575241823069388","name":"Ivanhojh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a41f0bf4ce9ad13477b3d5ba49c8d025","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575241823069388","authorIdStr":"3575241823069388"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like pls","listText":"Like pls","text":"Like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/873100237","repostId":"1103944030","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1485,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"followers","isTTM":false}