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- ZifiedZified
  ·2021-12-01
  Ok
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
  3,109 1
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- ZifiedZified
  ·2021-11-05
  Ok
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
  3,248 评论
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- ZifiedZified
  ·2021-11-05
  $Alibaba(BABA)$where earnings???
  2,609 评论
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- ZifiedZified
  ·2021-11-04
  Ok
  Eco-friendly sneaker maker Allbirds spikes 110% on its first day of trading<blockquote>环保运动鞋制造商Allbirds首日交易股价飙升110%</blockquote>
  Eco-friendly sneaker maker Allbirds spikes 110% on its first day of trading. Allbirds, the sustaina
  Eco-friendly sneaker maker Allbirds spikes 110% on its first day of trading<blockquote>环保运动鞋制造商Allbirds首日交易股价飙升110%</blockquote>
  3,872 评论
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- ZifiedZified
  ·2021-10-19
  Ok
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
  2,185 评论
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- ZifiedZified
  ·2021-10-16
  Ok
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
  3,690 评论
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- ZifiedZified
  ·2021-10-15
  Ok
  4 Unstoppable Stocks to Buy If There's a Stock Market Crash<blockquote>如果股市崩盘，值得买入的4只不可阻挡的股票</blockquote>
  Crashes and corrections are the perfect opportunity to buy great companies at a discount.
  4 Unstoppable Stocks to Buy If There's a Stock Market Crash<blockquote>如果股市崩盘，值得买入的4只不可阻挡的股票</blockquote>
  2,634 评论
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- ZifiedZified
  ·2021-10-13
  $SEA LTD(SE)$DIPS ARE OVER. LET’S FLYAGAIN
  4,007 评论
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- ZifiedZified
  ·2021-10-07
  Ok
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
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- ZifiedZified
  ·2021-10-06
  Ok
  This veteran analyst hears echoes of the 1929 crash in today’s stock market<blockquote>这位资深分析师在今天的股市中听到了1929年崩盘的回声</blockquote>
  There are some signs of a recovery attempt following Monday’s wipeout, chiefly for techs. The Nasdaq
  This veteran analyst hears echoes of the 1929 crash in today’s stock market<blockquote>这位资深分析师在今天的股市中听到了1929年崩盘的回声</blockquote>
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01:25","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Eco-friendly sneaker maker Allbirds spikes 110% on its first day of trading<blockquote>环保运动鞋制造商Allbirds首日交易股价飙升110%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1145835908","media":"Barrons","summary":"Eco-friendly sneaker maker Allbirds spikes 110% on its first day of trading.\n\nAllbirds, the sustaina","content":"<p>Eco-friendly sneaker maker Allbirds spikes 110% on its first day of trading.</p><p><blockquote>环保运动鞋制造商Allbirds首日交易股价飙升110%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e8cf1dc39281c0616417e6baa42058c2\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Allbirds, the sustainable shoe company, raised nearly $303 million after increasing the size of its IPO that also priced above its expected price range.</p><p><blockquote>可持续鞋业公司Allbirds在扩大IPO规模后筹集了近3.03亿美元，IPO定价也高于预期价格范围。</blockquote></p><p> Allbirds said late Tuesday that it sold about 20.2 million shares at $15 each, up from the 19.2 million shares at $12 to $14 each it had planned to offer. At $15 a share, the startup’s valuation is roughly $2.15 billion. It will trade Wednesday on the Nasdaq under the ticker BIRD.</p><p><blockquote>Allbirds周二晚间表示，它以每股15美元的价格出售了约2020万股，高于其计划以每股12至14美元的价格出售的1920万股。按每股15美元计算，这家初创公司的估值约为21.5亿美元。它将于周三在纳斯达克交易，股票代码为BIRD。</blockquote></p><p> Seventeen investment banks are working on the Allbirds IPO. Morgan Stanley, JP Morgan, and BofA Securities are lead underwriters on the deal, a prospectus said.</p><p><blockquote>十七家投资银行正在参与Allbirds的IPO。招股说明书称，摩根士丹利、摩根大通和美国银行证券是该交易的主承销商。</blockquote></p><p> Allbirds is one of several highly anticipated IPOs that have or will launch in the fourth quarter.GlobalFoundries&nbsp;(ticker: GFS), a chipmaker, went public last week. GlobalFoundries shares dropped 1.3% from its $47 IPO price during its debut, giving the company a $24.8 billion market capitalization. Rivian, the all-electric truck maker that’s backed by&nbsp;Amazon.com,will trade on Nov. 10. Rivian is seeking a $60 billion valuation. Nubank, the Brazilian digital lender backed by&nbsp;Berkshire Hathaway,has also filed to go public and is targeting a $50.6 billion valuation.</p><p><blockquote>Allbirds是已经或将在第四季度推出的几家备受期待的IPO之一。芯片制造商GlobalFoundries（股票代码：GFS）上周上市。GlobalFoundries股价较首次亮相时47美元的IPO价格下跌1.3%，使该公司市值达到248亿美元。由Amazon.com支持的全电动卡车制造商Rivian将于11月10日上市。Rivian寻求600亿美元的估值。伯克希尔哈撒韦公司支持的巴西数字贷款机构Nubank也已申请上市，目标估值为506亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Founded in 2015, Allbirds uses renewable, natural materials to make its footwear. The company’s wool runner sneakers, which it calls the most comfortable shoe in the world, are made with sustainably sourced merino wool. The company’s SweetFoam sole technology, which is found in all of its shoes, uses carbon-negative green ethylene-vinyl acetate. The wool runners sneakers sell for $98 on the Allbirds website while the wool dweller slippers cost $65.</p><p><blockquote>Allbirds成立于2015年，使用可再生的天然材料制作鞋类。该公司的羊毛跑鞋是评级世界上最舒适的鞋子，由可持续来源的美利奴羊毛制成。该公司的SweetFoam鞋底技术存在于其所有鞋子中，使用负碳绿色乙烯-醋酸乙烯酯。羊毛跑步者运动鞋在Allbirds网站上的售价为98美元，而羊毛居民拖鞋的售价为65美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Eco-friendly sneaker maker Allbirds spikes 110% on its first day of trading<blockquote>环保运动鞋制造商Allbirds首日交易股价飙升110%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nEco-friendly sneaker maker Allbirds spikes 110% on its first day of trading<blockquote>环保运动鞋制造商Allbirds首日交易股价飙升110%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-04 01:25</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Eco-friendly sneaker maker Allbirds spikes 110% on its first day of trading.</p><p><blockquote>环保运动鞋制造商Allbirds首日交易股价飙升110%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e8cf1dc39281c0616417e6baa42058c2\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Allbirds, the sustainable shoe company, raised nearly $303 million after increasing the size of its IPO that also priced above its expected price range.</p><p><blockquote>可持续鞋业公司Allbirds在扩大IPO规模后筹集了近3.03亿美元，IPO定价也高于预期价格范围。</blockquote></p><p> Allbirds said late Tuesday that it sold about 20.2 million shares at $15 each, up from the 19.2 million shares at $12 to $14 each it had planned to offer. At $15 a share, the startup’s valuation is roughly $2.15 billion. It will trade Wednesday on the Nasdaq under the ticker BIRD.</p><p><blockquote>Allbirds周二晚间表示，它以每股15美元的价格出售了约2020万股，高于其计划以每股12至14美元的价格出售的1920万股。按每股15美元计算，这家初创公司的估值约为21.5亿美元。它将于周三在纳斯达克交易，股票代码为BIRD。</blockquote></p><p> Seventeen investment banks are working on the Allbirds IPO. Morgan Stanley, JP Morgan, and BofA Securities are lead underwriters on the deal, a prospectus said.</p><p><blockquote>十七家投资银行正在参与Allbirds的IPO。招股说明书称，摩根士丹利、摩根大通和美国银行证券是该交易的主承销商。</blockquote></p><p> Allbirds is one of several highly anticipated IPOs that have or will launch in the fourth quarter.GlobalFoundries&nbsp;(ticker: GFS), a chipmaker, went public last week. GlobalFoundries shares dropped 1.3% from its $47 IPO price during its debut, giving the company a $24.8 billion market capitalization. Rivian, the all-electric truck maker that’s backed by&nbsp;Amazon.com,will trade on Nov. 10. Rivian is seeking a $60 billion valuation. Nubank, the Brazilian digital lender backed by&nbsp;Berkshire Hathaway,has also filed to go public and is targeting a $50.6 billion valuation.</p><p><blockquote>Allbirds是已经或将在第四季度推出的几家备受期待的IPO之一。芯片制造商GlobalFoundries（股票代码：GFS）上周上市。GlobalFoundries股价较首次亮相时47美元的IPO价格下跌1.3%，使该公司市值达到248亿美元。由Amazon.com支持的全电动卡车制造商Rivian将于11月10日上市。Rivian寻求600亿美元的估值。伯克希尔哈撒韦公司支持的巴西数字贷款机构Nubank也已申请上市，目标估值为506亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Founded in 2015, Allbirds uses renewable, natural materials to make its footwear. The company’s wool runner sneakers, which it calls the most comfortable shoe in the world, are made with sustainably sourced merino wool. The company’s SweetFoam sole technology, which is found in all of its shoes, uses carbon-negative green ethylene-vinyl acetate. The wool runners sneakers sell for $98 on the Allbirds website while the wool dweller slippers cost $65.</p><p><blockquote>Allbirds成立于2015年，使用可再生的天然材料制作鞋类。该公司的羊毛跑鞋是评级世界上最舒适的鞋子，由可持续来源的美利奴羊毛制成。该公司的SweetFoam鞋底技术存在于其所有鞋子中，使用负碳绿色乙烯-醋酸乙烯酯。羊毛跑步者运动鞋在Allbirds网站上的售价为98美元，而羊毛居民拖鞋的售价为65美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/allbirds-ipo-stock-ticker-bird-valuation-51635904794?mod=hp_LATEST\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BIRD":"Allbirds, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/allbirds-ipo-stock-ticker-bird-valuation-51635904794?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1145835908","content_text":"Eco-friendly sneaker maker Allbirds spikes 110% on its first day of trading.\n\nAllbirds, the sustainable shoe company, raised nearly $303 million after increasing the size of its IPO that also priced above its expected price range.\nAllbirds said late Tuesday that it sold about 20.2 million shares at $15 each, up from the 19.2 million shares at $12 to $14 each it had planned to offer. At $15 a share, the startup’s valuation is roughly $2.15 billion. It will trade Wednesday on the Nasdaq under the ticker BIRD.\nSeventeen investment banks are working on the Allbirds IPO. Morgan Stanley, JP Morgan, and BofA Securities are lead underwriters on the deal, a prospectus said.\nAllbirds is one of several highly anticipated IPOs that have or will launch in the fourth quarter.GlobalFoundries (ticker: GFS), a chipmaker, went public last week. GlobalFoundries shares dropped 1.3% from its $47 IPO price during its debut, giving the company a $24.8 billion market capitalization. Rivian, the all-electric truck maker that’s backed by Amazon.com,will trade on Nov. 10. Rivian is seeking a $60 billion valuation. Nubank, the Brazilian digital lender backed by Berkshire Hathaway,has also filed to go public and is targeting a $50.6 billion valuation.\nFounded in 2015, Allbirds uses renewable, natural materials to make its footwear. The company’s wool runner sneakers, which it calls the most comfortable shoe in the world, are made with sustainably sourced merino wool. The company’s SweetFoam sole technology, which is found in all of its shoes, uses carbon-negative green ethylene-vinyl acetate. The wool runners sneakers sell for $98 on the Allbirds website while the wool dweller slippers cost $65.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BIRD":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3872,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":850426228,"gmtCreate":1634619084944,"gmtModify":1634619085455,"author":{"id":"3575931476822699","authorId":"3575931476822699","name":"Zified","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2504476ab9db7b38867d7694e9c634e7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575931476822699","idStr":"3575931476822699"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/850426228","repostId":"2176120817","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2185,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":827001887,"gmtCreate":1634362157765,"gmtModify":1634362158281,"author":{"id":"3575931476822699","authorId":"3575931476822699","name":"Zified","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2504476ab9db7b38867d7694e9c634e7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575931476822699","idStr":"3575931476822699"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/827001887","repostId":"2175146556","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3690,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":825481808,"gmtCreate":1634254954793,"gmtModify":1634274402882,"author":{"id":"3575931476822699","authorId":"3575931476822699","name":"Zified","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2504476ab9db7b38867d7694e9c634e7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575931476822699","idStr":"3575931476822699"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/825481808","repostId":"1184483169","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1184483169","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1634205641,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1184483169?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-14 18:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"4 Unstoppable Stocks to Buy If There's a Stock Market Crash<blockquote>如果股市崩盘，值得买入的4只不可阻挡的股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1184483169","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Crashes and corrections are the perfect opportunity to buy great companies at a discount.","content":"<p><b>Key Points</b></p><p><blockquote><b>要点</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Double-digit percentage declines in the broader market are more common than investors realize.</li>  <li>There are no shortage of catalysts that could cause a stock market crash or correction.</li>  <li>Buying this quartet of unstoppable companies during a broad-market decline would be a wise move.</li> </ul> </p><p><blockquote><ul><li>大盘两位数的百分比下跌比投资者意识到的更常见。</li><li>不乏可能导致股市崩盘或调整的催化剂。</li><li>在大盘下跌期间收购这四家势不可挡的公司将是明智之举。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p> Some investors might not be thrilled with what I'm about to say, but it's simply a matter of allowing historical data do the talking: A stock market crash or correction may be brewing.</p><p><blockquote>一些投资者可能不会对我要说的话感到兴奋，但这只是一个让历史数据说话的问题：股市崩盘或调整可能正在酝酿。</blockquote></p><p> Recently, the benchmark&nbsp;<b>S&amp;P 500</b>&nbsp;underwent its first correction of at least 5% in 10 months. While nothing is guaranteed on Wall Street, a number of signs appear to be pointing to the growing likelihood of downside for the broader market.</p><p><blockquote>近日，基准<b>标普500</b>经历了10个月内至少5%的首次修正。虽然华尔街没有什么是可以保证的，但一些迹象似乎表明大盘下跌的可能性越来越大。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/abf177a2ce4f54e7ed16e4189edb28a7\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1334\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>There are a laundry list of catalysts that could send the market lower</b></p><p><blockquote><b>有一系列催化剂可能会导致市场走低</b></blockquote></p><p> For instance, since the beginning of 1950, there have been 38 double-digit percentage declines in the S&amp;P 500. That equates to one drop of at least 10%, on average, every 1.87 years. We're now more than 1.5 years removed from the chaotic bear market decline that bottomed out during the initial stages of the coronavirus pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>例如，自1950年初以来，标普500出现了38次两位数的百分比下降。这相当于平均每1.87年下降至少10%。我们现在距离冠状病毒大流行初期触底的混乱熊市下跌已经过去了1.5年多。</blockquote></p><p> To build on this point, the broader market&nbsp;has responded very similarly&nbsp;following crashes or corrections for the past 60 years. Following each of the previous eight bear markets, excluding the coronavirus crash, there were either one or two declines of 10% in the S&amp;P 500 within three years. What this tells us is that rebounding from a bear market is a process and pretty much never the straight line higher that investors have reveled in for more than 18 months.</p><p><blockquote>在这一点上，大盘在过去60年的崩盘或调整后做出了非常相似的反应。在之前的八次熊市之后，不包括冠状病毒崩盘，标普500在三年内都有一两次下跌10%。这告诉我们，从熊市中反弹是一个过程，而且几乎不会像投资者18个多月来所陶醉的直线上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Macroeconomic factors and fundamental metrics pose warnings, too. Rapidly rising crude oil and natural-gas prices threaten pocketbooks and could quickly throttle down economic growth following the pandemic-induced recession.</p><p><blockquote>宏观经济因素和基本面指标也发出了警告。原油和天然气价格的快速上涨威胁着人们的钱包，并可能在大流行引发的衰退后迅速抑制经济增长。</blockquote></p><p> There's also margin debt, which&nbsp;has climbed at a precipitous pace in 2021. Data from market-analytics company Yardeni Research shows that there have only been three instances since the beginning of 1995 where margin debt rose 60% or more in a single year. The previous two occurred just months before the dot-com bubble burst and the financial crisis began.</p><p><blockquote>还有保证金债务，该债务在2021年急剧攀升。市场分析公司Yardeni Research的数据显示，自1995年初以来，只有三起保证金债务在一年内上涨60%或以上的情况。前两次发生在互联网泡沫破裂和金融危机开始前几个月。</blockquote></p><p> Even valuations are a concern. The S&amp;P 500's Shiller price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio sits at 37.7, which is well over double its 151-year average of 16.9. Perhaps more worrisome, the S&amp;P 500's Shiller P/E has only crossed above and held 30 on five occasions in 151 years. The previous four instances saw minimum declines of at least 20% after the Shiller P/E ratio peaked.</p><p><blockquote>甚至估值也是一个问题。标普500的席勒市盈率(P/E)为37.7，远高于151年平均水平16.9的两倍多。也许更令人担忧的是，标普500的席勒市盈率在151年里只有五次突破并保持在30以上。在席勒市盈率见顶后，前四次的最低跌幅至少为20%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5907a4556df957bb90a0b8342cf7d9b9\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1390\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Crashes and corrections are an opportunity to buy great stocks at a discount</p><p><blockquote>崩盘和调整是以折扣价购买优质股票的机会</blockquote></p><p> But there's another side to this story. Even though stock market corrections occur often, they've always eventually been erased by a bull-market rally. Buying great companies at a discount during a crash or correction and holding those stakes for long periods of time is a recipe to build wealth over time.</p><p><blockquote>但是这个故事还有另一面。尽管股市调整经常发生，但它们最终总是被牛市反弹抹去。在崩盘或调整期间以折扣价购买优秀公司并长期持有这些股份是随着时间的推移积累财富的秘诀。</blockquote></p><p> If a stock market crash or double-digit percentage correction does materialize from this recent uptick in volatility, the following four unstoppable stocks would make for perfect buys.</p><p><blockquote>如果最近波动性上升确实导致股市崩盘或两位数百分比调整，那么以下四只势不可挡的股票将是完美的买入对象。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Berkshire Hathaway</b></p><p><blockquote><b>伯克希尔哈撒韦</b></blockquote></p><p> One of the safest ways to build wealth over the long run is to follow in the footsteps of billionaire investor Warren Buffett. The easiest way to do that is to buy shares of&nbsp;<b>Berkshire Hathaway</b>(NYSE:BRK.A)(NYSE:BRK.B), the conglomerate run by Buffett that's averaged ajaw-dropping annual return of 20%since the beginning of 1965 (an aggregate return of close to 3,300,000%).</p><p><blockquote>从长远来看，积累财富最安全的方法之一是追随亿万富翁投资者沃伦·巴菲特的脚步。最简单的方法是购买<b>伯克希尔哈撒韦</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：BRK.A）（纽约证券交易所代码：BRK.B），巴菲特经营的企业集团，自1965年初以来的平均年回报率为令人瞠目结舌的20%（总回报率接近3,300,000%）。</blockquote></p><p> Berkshire Hathaway's portfolio is successful for two key reasons. First,it's highly cyclical, with about 85% of the company's invested assets tied up in tech stocks, financial stocks, and consumer staples. Though the Oracle of Omaha is fully aware that recessions are an inevitable part of the economic cycle, he also understands that economic downturns don't last very long. He's positioned Berkshire's investment portfolio to take advantage of multiyear periods of expansion.</p><p><blockquote>伯克希尔·哈撒韦的投资组合之所以能够成功，有两个关键原因。首先，它具有很强的周期性，该公司约85%的投资资产与科技股、金融股和必需消费品相关。尽管这位奥马哈先知充分意识到经济衰退是经济周期不可避免的一部分，但他也明白经济衰退不会持续很久。他将伯克希尔的投资组合定位为利用多年的扩张期。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The other catalyst working in the company's favor is its&nbsp;dividend income. Over the next 12 months, Berkshire Hathaway should collect more than $5 billion in common and preferred dividends, which equates to about a 5% yield, relative to the company's cost basis on its investments. Warren Buffett has demonstrated how easy it is to build wealth on Wall Street by purchasing businesses with clear-cut competitive advantages and not selling.</p><p><blockquote>对该公司有利的另一个催化剂是其股息收入。未来12个月，伯克希尔哈撒韦公司应收取超过50亿美元的普通股和优先股股息，相对于公司投资的成本基础，这相当于约5%的收益率。沃伦·巴菲特已经证明，通过购买具有明显竞争优势的企业而不是出售，在华尔街积累财富是多么容易。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/79e58192e80c4f6d82046daca6fcb496\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1334\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Trulieve Cannabis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Trulieve大麻</b></blockquote></p><p> If growth stocks are more your thing,marijuana stock<b>Trulieve Cannabis</b>(OTC:TCNNF)&nbsp;has the look of an unstoppable buy if a crash or correction strikes.</p><p><blockquote>如果你更喜欢成长型股票，大麻股票<b>Trulieve大麻</b>（场外交易代码：TCNNF）看起来是一个不可阻挡的买入，如果崩盘或调整来袭。</blockquote></p><p> First of all, we witnessed during the pandemic that cannabis is treated as a non-discretionary good. In other words, people kept buying pot products, no matter how badly the pandemic altered the economic landscape in North America.</p><p><blockquote>首先，我们在疫情期间目睹了大麻被视为非自由支配的商品。换句话说，无论疫情如何严重改变北美的经济格局，人们都会继续购买大麻产品。</blockquote></p><p> More specific to Trulieve, it's&nbsp;really differentiated itself&nbsp;from other pot stocks. With most multistate operators (MSOs) setting up shop in well over a dozen legalized U.S. markets, Trulieve focused most of its attention on medical marijuana-legal Florida. Trulieve has 94 operating dispensaries in the Sunshine State, which represents about a quarter of all cannabis retail locations statewide.</p><p><blockquote>更具体地说，Trulieve确实与其他大麻股有所不同。随着大多数多州运营商(MSO)在十几个合法的美国市场开设商店，Trulieve将大部分注意力集中在医用大麻合法的佛罗里达州。Trulieve在阳光之州拥有94家运营药房，约占全州所有大麻零售点的四分之一。</blockquote></p><p> Saturating one of the largest pot markets in the U.S. has helped the company effectively build up its brand without breaking the bank on the marketing front. As a result, Trulieve Cannabis has been profitable for more than three years.</p><p><blockquote>美国最大的大麻市场之一的饱和帮助该公司有效地建立了自己的品牌，而不会在营销方面倾家荡产。因此，Trulieve Cannabis已经盈利三年多了。</blockquote></p><p> What's more, Trulieve recently completed its all-share acquisition of MSO Harvest Health &amp; Recreation. This deal moves it into new markets, and most importantly, makes it the key player in Arizona, which legalized recreational marijuana in November 2020.</p><p><blockquote>此外，Trulieve最近完成了对MSO Harvest Health&amp;Recreation的全股收购。这笔交易将其带入了新的市场，最重要的是，使其成为亚利桑那州的关键参与者，该州于2020年11月将娱乐性大麻合法化。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/454f3bd12d9f51f0677b0832102292fc\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Viatris</b></p><p><blockquote><b>维亚特里斯</b></blockquote></p><p> Want deep-discount value and a market-topping dividend yield? Drug-company<b>Viatris</b>(NASDAQ:VTRS)and its 3.2% yield may well be the unstoppable stock to buy if there's a stock market crash or correction.</p><p><blockquote>想要大幅折扣价值和市场领先的股息收益率？制药公司<b>维亚特里斯</b>（纳斯达克：VTRS）如果股市崩盘或调整，其3.2%的收益率很可能是不可阻挡的买入股票。</blockquote></p><p> Viatris was officially formed less than a year ago by combining Pfizer's established drug unit UpJohn with generic-drug company Mylan. The idea was that the combined entity would be stronger than the two individual units would have ever been.</p><p><blockquote>Viatris于不到一年前正式成立，由辉瑞已成立的药品部门UpJohn与仿制药公司Mylan合并而成。这个想法是，合并后的实体将比两个单独的单位更强大。</blockquote></p><p> As you might imagine, combining two drug juggernauts&nbsp;should yield significant efficiencies. The expectation is for more than $1 billion in annual cost synergies by 2023. Further, Viatris' management team expects to have whittled down the company's debt load from $26 billion, when the combination closed, to $19.5 billion by the end of 2023. Less debt outstanding means more financial flexibility and, potentially, the ability to reignite the company's internal research engine.</p><p><blockquote>正如您可能想象的那样，将两种药物巨头结合起来应该会产生显着的效率。预计到2023年，年度成本协同效应将超过10亿美元。此外，Viatris的管理团队预计，到2023年底，公司的债务负担将从合并完成时的260亿美元削减至195亿美元。未偿债务的减少意味着更大的财务灵活性，并有可能重新点燃公司内部研究引擎。</blockquote></p><p> The real beauty of Viatris is the consistency of demand for its products. Since&nbsp;healthcare stocks&nbsp;are highly defensive, a poorly performing stock market won't change the fact that people need prescribed drugs. Viatris' leading generic division is also perfectly positioned to take advantage of an aging U.S. and global population.</p><p><blockquote>Viatris的真正魅力在于对其产品需求的一致性。由于医疗保健股具有很强的防御性，表现不佳的股市不会改变人们需要处方药的事实。Viatris领先的仿制药部门也完全有能力利用美国和全球人口老龄化的优势。</blockquote></p><p> With a forward-year P/E ratio below 4, Viatris has about as a cheap of a multiple as you'll ever see in the healthcare space.</p><p><blockquote>Viatris的远期市盈率低于4，其市盈率几乎是您在医疗保健领域看到的最便宜的市盈率。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5b7df57a973eb8047515b9d2de719a53\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Sea Limited</b></p><p><blockquote><b>海有限公司</b></blockquote></p><p> A fourth unstoppable stock to gobble up if there's a stock market crash or correction is Singapore-based&nbsp;<b>Sea Limited</b>(NYSE:SE). Sea has&nbsp;three exceptionally fast-growing operating segments&nbsp;that could one day push its valuation to $1 trillion.</p><p><blockquote>如果股市崩盘或调整，第四只不可阻挡的股票是新加坡<b>海有限公司</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：SE）。Sea拥有三个增长异常快速的运营部门，有朝一日可能会将其估值推至1万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> First, there's its digital-entertainment segment, which primarily encompasses mobile gaming. Sea ended June with 725 million quarterly active users, 12.7% of which (92.2 million) were paying to play. The average pay-to-play ratio throughout the gaming industry is closer to 2%. Additionally, average bookings per user rose to $1.60 in Q2 from $1.40 in the prior-year period. For the time being, this is the only segment generating positive earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA).</p><p><blockquote>首先是其数字娱乐部门，主要包括移动游戏。截至6月，Sea的季度活跃用户为7.25亿，其中12.7%（9220万）是付费用户。整个游戏行业的平均付费游戏比接近2%。此外，第二季度每位用户的平均预订量从去年同期的1.40美元升至1.60美元。目前，这是唯一一个产生正息税折旧摊销前利润(EBITDA)的部门。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Second, Sea has its rapidly growing e-commerce platform, known as Shopee. In the latest quarter, Shopee handled 1.4 billion gross orders (up 127% year over year) and&nbsp;$15 billion in gross merchandise value&nbsp;(GMV). For some context, Shopee handled $10 billion in GMV in the entirety of 2018. The company's annual online retail run rate has sextupled in 2.5 years.</p><p><blockquote>其次，Sea拥有快速增长的电子商务平台Shopee。最近一个季度，Shopee处理了14亿笔总订单（同比增长127%）和150亿美元的商品总价值(GMV)。在某些情况下，Shopee在2018年全年处理了100亿美元的GMV。该公司的年在线零售运行率在2.5年内增长了6倍。</blockquote></p><p> Lastly, its digital financial services segment has 32.7 million paying digital-wallet users and oversaw more than $4.1 billion in payments in the June-ended quarter. Since many of the emerging markets Sea serves are underbanked, digital wallets could be a sneaky long-term growth story for the company.</p><p><blockquote>最后，其数字金融服务部门拥有3270万付费数字钱包用户，在截至6月底的季度中监管了超过41亿美元的支付。由于Sea服务的许多新兴市场银行服务不足，数字钱包对该公司来说可能是一个偷偷摸摸的长期增长故事。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>4 Unstoppable Stocks to Buy If There's a Stock Market Crash<blockquote>如果股市崩盘，值得买入的4只不可阻挡的股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n4 Unstoppable Stocks to Buy If There's a Stock Market Crash<blockquote>如果股市崩盘，值得买入的4只不可阻挡的股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-14 18:00</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Key Points</b></p><p><blockquote><b>要点</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Double-digit percentage declines in the broader market are more common than investors realize.</li>  <li>There are no shortage of catalysts that could cause a stock market crash or correction.</li>  <li>Buying this quartet of unstoppable companies during a broad-market decline would be a wise move.</li> </ul> </p><p><blockquote><ul><li>大盘两位数的百分比下跌比投资者意识到的更常见。</li><li>不乏可能导致股市崩盘或调整的催化剂。</li><li>在大盘下跌期间收购这四家势不可挡的公司将是明智之举。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p> Some investors might not be thrilled with what I'm about to say, but it's simply a matter of allowing historical data do the talking: A stock market crash or correction may be brewing.</p><p><blockquote>一些投资者可能不会对我要说的话感到兴奋，但这只是一个让历史数据说话的问题：股市崩盘或调整可能正在酝酿。</blockquote></p><p> Recently, the benchmark&nbsp;<b>S&amp;P 500</b>&nbsp;underwent its first correction of at least 5% in 10 months. While nothing is guaranteed on Wall Street, a number of signs appear to be pointing to the growing likelihood of downside for the broader market.</p><p><blockquote>近日，基准<b>标普500</b>经历了10个月内至少5%的首次修正。虽然华尔街没有什么是可以保证的，但一些迹象似乎表明大盘下跌的可能性越来越大。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/abf177a2ce4f54e7ed16e4189edb28a7\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1334\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>There are a laundry list of catalysts that could send the market lower</b></p><p><blockquote><b>有一系列催化剂可能会导致市场走低</b></blockquote></p><p> For instance, since the beginning of 1950, there have been 38 double-digit percentage declines in the S&amp;P 500. That equates to one drop of at least 10%, on average, every 1.87 years. We're now more than 1.5 years removed from the chaotic bear market decline that bottomed out during the initial stages of the coronavirus pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>例如，自1950年初以来，标普500出现了38次两位数的百分比下降。这相当于平均每1.87年下降至少10%。我们现在距离冠状病毒大流行初期触底的混乱熊市下跌已经过去了1.5年多。</blockquote></p><p> To build on this point, the broader market&nbsp;has responded very similarly&nbsp;following crashes or corrections for the past 60 years. Following each of the previous eight bear markets, excluding the coronavirus crash, there were either one or two declines of 10% in the S&amp;P 500 within three years. What this tells us is that rebounding from a bear market is a process and pretty much never the straight line higher that investors have reveled in for more than 18 months.</p><p><blockquote>在这一点上，大盘在过去60年的崩盘或调整后做出了非常相似的反应。在之前的八次熊市之后，不包括冠状病毒崩盘，标普500在三年内都有一两次下跌10%。这告诉我们，从熊市中反弹是一个过程，而且几乎不会像投资者18个多月来所陶醉的直线上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Macroeconomic factors and fundamental metrics pose warnings, too. Rapidly rising crude oil and natural-gas prices threaten pocketbooks and could quickly throttle down economic growth following the pandemic-induced recession.</p><p><blockquote>宏观经济因素和基本面指标也发出了警告。原油和天然气价格的快速上涨威胁着人们的钱包，并可能在大流行引发的衰退后迅速抑制经济增长。</blockquote></p><p> There's also margin debt, which&nbsp;has climbed at a precipitous pace in 2021. Data from market-analytics company Yardeni Research shows that there have only been three instances since the beginning of 1995 where margin debt rose 60% or more in a single year. The previous two occurred just months before the dot-com bubble burst and the financial crisis began.</p><p><blockquote>还有保证金债务，该债务在2021年急剧攀升。市场分析公司Yardeni Research的数据显示，自1995年初以来，只有三起保证金债务在一年内上涨60%或以上的情况。前两次发生在互联网泡沫破裂和金融危机开始前几个月。</blockquote></p><p> Even valuations are a concern. The S&amp;P 500's Shiller price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio sits at 37.7, which is well over double its 151-year average of 16.9. Perhaps more worrisome, the S&amp;P 500's Shiller P/E has only crossed above and held 30 on five occasions in 151 years. The previous four instances saw minimum declines of at least 20% after the Shiller P/E ratio peaked.</p><p><blockquote>甚至估值也是一个问题。标普500的席勒市盈率(P/E)为37.7，远高于151年平均水平16.9的两倍多。也许更令人担忧的是，标普500的席勒市盈率在151年里只有五次突破并保持在30以上。在席勒市盈率见顶后，前四次的最低跌幅至少为20%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5907a4556df957bb90a0b8342cf7d9b9\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1390\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Crashes and corrections are an opportunity to buy great stocks at a discount</p><p><blockquote>崩盘和调整是以折扣价购买优质股票的机会</blockquote></p><p> But there's another side to this story. Even though stock market corrections occur often, they've always eventually been erased by a bull-market rally. Buying great companies at a discount during a crash or correction and holding those stakes for long periods of time is a recipe to build wealth over time.</p><p><blockquote>但是这个故事还有另一面。尽管股市调整经常发生，但它们最终总是被牛市反弹抹去。在崩盘或调整期间以折扣价购买优秀公司并长期持有这些股份是随着时间的推移积累财富的秘诀。</blockquote></p><p> If a stock market crash or double-digit percentage correction does materialize from this recent uptick in volatility, the following four unstoppable stocks would make for perfect buys.</p><p><blockquote>如果最近波动性上升确实导致股市崩盘或两位数百分比调整，那么以下四只势不可挡的股票将是完美的买入对象。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Berkshire Hathaway</b></p><p><blockquote><b>伯克希尔哈撒韦</b></blockquote></p><p> One of the safest ways to build wealth over the long run is to follow in the footsteps of billionaire investor Warren Buffett. The easiest way to do that is to buy shares of&nbsp;<b>Berkshire Hathaway</b>(NYSE:BRK.A)(NYSE:BRK.B), the conglomerate run by Buffett that's averaged ajaw-dropping annual return of 20%since the beginning of 1965 (an aggregate return of close to 3,300,000%).</p><p><blockquote>从长远来看，积累财富最安全的方法之一是追随亿万富翁投资者沃伦·巴菲特的脚步。最简单的方法是购买<b>伯克希尔哈撒韦</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：BRK.A）（纽约证券交易所代码：BRK.B），巴菲特经营的企业集团，自1965年初以来的平均年回报率为令人瞠目结舌的20%（总回报率接近3,300,000%）。</blockquote></p><p> Berkshire Hathaway's portfolio is successful for two key reasons. First,it's highly cyclical, with about 85% of the company's invested assets tied up in tech stocks, financial stocks, and consumer staples. Though the Oracle of Omaha is fully aware that recessions are an inevitable part of the economic cycle, he also understands that economic downturns don't last very long. He's positioned Berkshire's investment portfolio to take advantage of multiyear periods of expansion.</p><p><blockquote>伯克希尔·哈撒韦的投资组合之所以能够成功，有两个关键原因。首先，它具有很强的周期性，该公司约85%的投资资产与科技股、金融股和必需消费品相关。尽管这位奥马哈先知充分意识到经济衰退是经济周期不可避免的一部分，但他也明白经济衰退不会持续很久。他将伯克希尔的投资组合定位为利用多年的扩张期。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The other catalyst working in the company's favor is its&nbsp;dividend income. Over the next 12 months, Berkshire Hathaway should collect more than $5 billion in common and preferred dividends, which equates to about a 5% yield, relative to the company's cost basis on its investments. Warren Buffett has demonstrated how easy it is to build wealth on Wall Street by purchasing businesses with clear-cut competitive advantages and not selling.</p><p><blockquote>对该公司有利的另一个催化剂是其股息收入。未来12个月，伯克希尔哈撒韦公司应收取超过50亿美元的普通股和优先股股息，相对于公司投资的成本基础，这相当于约5%的收益率。沃伦·巴菲特已经证明，通过购买具有明显竞争优势的企业而不是出售，在华尔街积累财富是多么容易。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/79e58192e80c4f6d82046daca6fcb496\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1334\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Trulieve Cannabis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Trulieve大麻</b></blockquote></p><p> If growth stocks are more your thing,marijuana stock<b>Trulieve Cannabis</b>(OTC:TCNNF)&nbsp;has the look of an unstoppable buy if a crash or correction strikes.</p><p><blockquote>如果你更喜欢成长型股票，大麻股票<b>Trulieve大麻</b>（场外交易代码：TCNNF）看起来是一个不可阻挡的买入，如果崩盘或调整来袭。</blockquote></p><p> First of all, we witnessed during the pandemic that cannabis is treated as a non-discretionary good. In other words, people kept buying pot products, no matter how badly the pandemic altered the economic landscape in North America.</p><p><blockquote>首先，我们在疫情期间目睹了大麻被视为非自由支配的商品。换句话说，无论疫情如何严重改变北美的经济格局，人们都会继续购买大麻产品。</blockquote></p><p> More specific to Trulieve, it's&nbsp;really differentiated itself&nbsp;from other pot stocks. With most multistate operators (MSOs) setting up shop in well over a dozen legalized U.S. markets, Trulieve focused most of its attention on medical marijuana-legal Florida. Trulieve has 94 operating dispensaries in the Sunshine State, which represents about a quarter of all cannabis retail locations statewide.</p><p><blockquote>更具体地说，Trulieve确实与其他大麻股有所不同。随着大多数多州运营商(MSO)在十几个合法的美国市场开设商店，Trulieve将大部分注意力集中在医用大麻合法的佛罗里达州。Trulieve在阳光之州拥有94家运营药房，约占全州所有大麻零售点的四分之一。</blockquote></p><p> Saturating one of the largest pot markets in the U.S. has helped the company effectively build up its brand without breaking the bank on the marketing front. As a result, Trulieve Cannabis has been profitable for more than three years.</p><p><blockquote>美国最大的大麻市场之一的饱和帮助该公司有效地建立了自己的品牌，而不会在营销方面倾家荡产。因此，Trulieve Cannabis已经盈利三年多了。</blockquote></p><p> What's more, Trulieve recently completed its all-share acquisition of MSO Harvest Health &amp; Recreation. This deal moves it into new markets, and most importantly, makes it the key player in Arizona, which legalized recreational marijuana in November 2020.</p><p><blockquote>此外，Trulieve最近完成了对MSO Harvest Health&amp;Recreation的全股收购。这笔交易将其带入了新的市场，最重要的是，使其成为亚利桑那州的关键参与者，该州于2020年11月将娱乐性大麻合法化。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/454f3bd12d9f51f0677b0832102292fc\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Viatris</b></p><p><blockquote><b>维亚特里斯</b></blockquote></p><p> Want deep-discount value and a market-topping dividend yield? Drug-company<b>Viatris</b>(NASDAQ:VTRS)and its 3.2% yield may well be the unstoppable stock to buy if there's a stock market crash or correction.</p><p><blockquote>想要大幅折扣价值和市场领先的股息收益率？制药公司<b>维亚特里斯</b>（纳斯达克：VTRS）如果股市崩盘或调整，其3.2%的收益率很可能是不可阻挡的买入股票。</blockquote></p><p> Viatris was officially formed less than a year ago by combining Pfizer's established drug unit UpJohn with generic-drug company Mylan. The idea was that the combined entity would be stronger than the two individual units would have ever been.</p><p><blockquote>Viatris于不到一年前正式成立，由辉瑞已成立的药品部门UpJohn与仿制药公司Mylan合并而成。这个想法是，合并后的实体将比两个单独的单位更强大。</blockquote></p><p> As you might imagine, combining two drug juggernauts&nbsp;should yield significant efficiencies. The expectation is for more than $1 billion in annual cost synergies by 2023. Further, Viatris' management team expects to have whittled down the company's debt load from $26 billion, when the combination closed, to $19.5 billion by the end of 2023. Less debt outstanding means more financial flexibility and, potentially, the ability to reignite the company's internal research engine.</p><p><blockquote>正如您可能想象的那样，将两种药物巨头结合起来应该会产生显着的效率。预计到2023年，年度成本协同效应将超过10亿美元。此外，Viatris的管理团队预计，到2023年底，公司的债务负担将从合并完成时的260亿美元削减至195亿美元。未偿债务的减少意味着更大的财务灵活性，并有可能重新点燃公司内部研究引擎。</blockquote></p><p> The real beauty of Viatris is the consistency of demand for its products. Since&nbsp;healthcare stocks&nbsp;are highly defensive, a poorly performing stock market won't change the fact that people need prescribed drugs. Viatris' leading generic division is also perfectly positioned to take advantage of an aging U.S. and global population.</p><p><blockquote>Viatris的真正魅力在于对其产品需求的一致性。由于医疗保健股具有很强的防御性，表现不佳的股市不会改变人们需要处方药的事实。Viatris领先的仿制药部门也完全有能力利用美国和全球人口老龄化的优势。</blockquote></p><p> With a forward-year P/E ratio below 4, Viatris has about as a cheap of a multiple as you'll ever see in the healthcare space.</p><p><blockquote>Viatris的远期市盈率低于4，其市盈率几乎是您在医疗保健领域看到的最便宜的市盈率。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5b7df57a973eb8047515b9d2de719a53\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Sea Limited</b></p><p><blockquote><b>海有限公司</b></blockquote></p><p> A fourth unstoppable stock to gobble up if there's a stock market crash or correction is Singapore-based&nbsp;<b>Sea Limited</b>(NYSE:SE). Sea has&nbsp;three exceptionally fast-growing operating segments&nbsp;that could one day push its valuation to $1 trillion.</p><p><blockquote>如果股市崩盘或调整，第四只不可阻挡的股票是新加坡<b>海有限公司</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：SE）。Sea拥有三个增长异常快速的运营部门，有朝一日可能会将其估值推至1万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> First, there's its digital-entertainment segment, which primarily encompasses mobile gaming. Sea ended June with 725 million quarterly active users, 12.7% of which (92.2 million) were paying to play. The average pay-to-play ratio throughout the gaming industry is closer to 2%. Additionally, average bookings per user rose to $1.60 in Q2 from $1.40 in the prior-year period. For the time being, this is the only segment generating positive earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA).</p><p><blockquote>首先是其数字娱乐部门，主要包括移动游戏。截至6月，Sea的季度活跃用户为7.25亿，其中12.7%（9220万）是付费用户。整个游戏行业的平均付费游戏比接近2%。此外，第二季度每位用户的平均预订量从去年同期的1.40美元升至1.60美元。目前，这是唯一一个产生正息税折旧摊销前利润(EBITDA)的部门。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Second, Sea has its rapidly growing e-commerce platform, known as Shopee. In the latest quarter, Shopee handled 1.4 billion gross orders (up 127% year over year) and&nbsp;$15 billion in gross merchandise value&nbsp;(GMV). For some context, Shopee handled $10 billion in GMV in the entirety of 2018. The company's annual online retail run rate has sextupled in 2.5 years.</p><p><blockquote>其次，Sea拥有快速增长的电子商务平台Shopee。最近一个季度，Shopee处理了14亿笔总订单（同比增长127%）和150亿美元的商品总价值(GMV)。在某些情况下，Shopee在2018年全年处理了100亿美元的GMV。该公司的年在线零售运行率在2.5年内增长了6倍。</blockquote></p><p> Lastly, its digital financial services segment has 32.7 million paying digital-wallet users and oversaw more than $4.1 billion in payments in the June-ended quarter. Since many of the emerging markets Sea serves are underbanked, digital wallets could be a sneaky long-term growth story for the company.</p><p><blockquote>最后，其数字金融服务部门拥有3270万付费数字钱包用户，在截至6月底的季度中监管了超过41亿美元的支付。由于Sea服务的许多新兴市场银行服务不足，数字钱包对该公司来说可能是一个偷偷摸摸的长期增长故事。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/10/14/4-unstoppable-stocks-to-buy-if-stock-market-crash/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TCNNF":"Trulieve Cannabis Corporation","SE":"Sea Ltd","BRK.B":"伯克希尔B","BRK.A":"伯克希尔","VTRS":"Viatris Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/10/14/4-unstoppable-stocks-to-buy-if-stock-market-crash/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1184483169","content_text":"Key Points\n\nDouble-digit percentage declines in the broader market are more common than investors realize.\nThere are no shortage of catalysts that could cause a stock market crash or correction.\nBuying this quartet of unstoppable companies during a broad-market decline would be a wise move.\n\n\nSome investors might not be thrilled with what I'm about to say, but it's simply a matter of allowing historical data do the talking: A stock market crash or correction may be brewing.\nRecently, the benchmark S&P 500 underwent its first correction of at least 5% in 10 months. While nothing is guaranteed on Wall Street, a number of signs appear to be pointing to the growing likelihood of downside for the broader market.\nIMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.\nThere are a laundry list of catalysts that could send the market lower\nFor instance, since the beginning of 1950, there have been 38 double-digit percentage declines in the S&P 500. That equates to one drop of at least 10%, on average, every 1.87 years. We're now more than 1.5 years removed from the chaotic bear market decline that bottomed out during the initial stages of the coronavirus pandemic.\nTo build on this point, the broader market has responded very similarly following crashes or corrections for the past 60 years. Following each of the previous eight bear markets, excluding the coronavirus crash, there were either one or two declines of 10% in the S&P 500 within three years. What this tells us is that rebounding from a bear market is a process and pretty much never the straight line higher that investors have reveled in for more than 18 months.\nMacroeconomic factors and fundamental metrics pose warnings, too. Rapidly rising crude oil and natural-gas prices threaten pocketbooks and could quickly throttle down economic growth following the pandemic-induced recession.\nThere's also margin debt, which has climbed at a precipitous pace in 2021. Data from market-analytics company Yardeni Research shows that there have only been three instances since the beginning of 1995 where margin debt rose 60% or more in a single year. The previous two occurred just months before the dot-com bubble burst and the financial crisis began.\nEven valuations are a concern. The S&P 500's Shiller price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio sits at 37.7, which is well over double its 151-year average of 16.9. Perhaps more worrisome, the S&P 500's Shiller P/E has only crossed above and held 30 on five occasions in 151 years. The previous four instances saw minimum declines of at least 20% after the Shiller P/E ratio peaked.\nIMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.\nCrashes and corrections are an opportunity to buy great stocks at a discount\nBut there's another side to this story. Even though stock market corrections occur often, they've always eventually been erased by a bull-market rally. Buying great companies at a discount during a crash or correction and holding those stakes for long periods of time is a recipe to build wealth over time.\nIf a stock market crash or double-digit percentage correction does materialize from this recent uptick in volatility, the following four unstoppable stocks would make for perfect buys.\nBerkshire Hathaway\nOne of the safest ways to build wealth over the long run is to follow in the footsteps of billionaire investor Warren Buffett. The easiest way to do that is to buy shares of Berkshire Hathaway(NYSE:BRK.A)(NYSE:BRK.B), the conglomerate run by Buffett that's averaged ajaw-dropping annual return of 20%since the beginning of 1965 (an aggregate return of close to 3,300,000%).\nBerkshire Hathaway's portfolio is successful for two key reasons. First,it's highly cyclical, with about 85% of the company's invested assets tied up in tech stocks, financial stocks, and consumer staples. Though the Oracle of Omaha is fully aware that recessions are an inevitable part of the economic cycle, he also understands that economic downturns don't last very long. He's positioned Berkshire's investment portfolio to take advantage of multiyear periods of expansion.\nThe other catalyst working in the company's favor is its dividend income. Over the next 12 months, Berkshire Hathaway should collect more than $5 billion in common and preferred dividends, which equates to about a 5% yield, relative to the company's cost basis on its investments. Warren Buffett has demonstrated how easy it is to build wealth on Wall Street by purchasing businesses with clear-cut competitive advantages and not selling.\nIMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.\nTrulieve Cannabis\nIf growth stocks are more your thing,marijuana stockTrulieve Cannabis(OTC:TCNNF) has the look of an unstoppable buy if a crash or correction strikes.\nFirst of all, we witnessed during the pandemic that cannabis is treated as a non-discretionary good. In other words, people kept buying pot products, no matter how badly the pandemic altered the economic landscape in North America.\nMore specific to Trulieve, it's really differentiated itself from other pot stocks. With most multistate operators (MSOs) setting up shop in well over a dozen legalized U.S. markets, Trulieve focused most of its attention on medical marijuana-legal Florida. Trulieve has 94 operating dispensaries in the Sunshine State, which represents about a quarter of all cannabis retail locations statewide.\nSaturating one of the largest pot markets in the U.S. has helped the company effectively build up its brand without breaking the bank on the marketing front. As a result, Trulieve Cannabis has been profitable for more than three years.\nWhat's more, Trulieve recently completed its all-share acquisition of MSO Harvest Health & Recreation. This deal moves it into new markets, and most importantly, makes it the key player in Arizona, which legalized recreational marijuana in November 2020.\nIMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.\nViatris\nWant deep-discount value and a market-topping dividend yield? Drug-companyViatris(NASDAQ:VTRS)and its 3.2% yield may well be the unstoppable stock to buy if there's a stock market crash or correction.\nViatris was officially formed less than a year ago by combining Pfizer's established drug unit UpJohn with generic-drug company Mylan. The idea was that the combined entity would be stronger than the two individual units would have ever been.\nAs you might imagine, combining two drug juggernauts should yield significant efficiencies. The expectation is for more than $1 billion in annual cost synergies by 2023. Further, Viatris' management team expects to have whittled down the company's debt load from $26 billion, when the combination closed, to $19.5 billion by the end of 2023. Less debt outstanding means more financial flexibility and, potentially, the ability to reignite the company's internal research engine.\nThe real beauty of Viatris is the consistency of demand for its products. Since healthcare stocks are highly defensive, a poorly performing stock market won't change the fact that people need prescribed drugs. Viatris' leading generic division is also perfectly positioned to take advantage of an aging U.S. and global population.\nWith a forward-year P/E ratio below 4, Viatris has about as a cheap of a multiple as you'll ever see in the healthcare space.\nIMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.\nSea Limited\nA fourth unstoppable stock to gobble up if there's a stock market crash or correction is Singapore-based Sea Limited(NYSE:SE). Sea has three exceptionally fast-growing operating segments that could one day push its valuation to $1 trillion.\nFirst, there's its digital-entertainment segment, which primarily encompasses mobile gaming. Sea ended June with 725 million quarterly active users, 12.7% of which (92.2 million) were paying to play. The average pay-to-play ratio throughout the gaming industry is closer to 2%. Additionally, average bookings per user rose to $1.60 in Q2 from $1.40 in the prior-year period. For the time being, this is the only segment generating positive earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA).\nSecond, Sea has its rapidly growing e-commerce platform, known as Shopee. In the latest quarter, Shopee handled 1.4 billion gross orders (up 127% year over year) and $15 billion in gross merchandise value (GMV). For some context, Shopee handled $10 billion in GMV in the entirety of 2018. The company's annual online retail run rate has sextupled in 2.5 years.\nLastly, its digital financial services segment has 32.7 million paying digital-wallet users and oversaw more than $4.1 billion in payments in the June-ended quarter. Since many of the emerging markets Sea serves are underbanked, digital wallets could be a sneaky long-term growth story for the company.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BRK.A":0.9,"SE":0.9,"VTRS":0.9,"BRK.B":0.9,"TCNNF":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2634,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":822288802,"gmtCreate":1634134595653,"gmtModify":1634134595829,"author":{"id":"3575931476822699","authorId":"3575931476822699","name":"Zified","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2504476ab9db7b38867d7694e9c634e7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575931476822699","idStr":"3575931476822699"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SE\">$SEA LTD(SE)$</a>DIPS ARE OVER. LET’S FLYAGAIN","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SE\">$SEA LTD(SE)$</a>DIPS ARE OVER. LET’S FLYAGAIN","text":"$SEA LTD(SE)$DIPS ARE OVER. LET’S FLYAGAIN","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ec865b1d1d1b1b2c4b8c7c91600de88","width":"750","height":"1174"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/822288802","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4007,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":823138181,"gmtCreate":1633596373897,"gmtModify":1633596374317,"author":{"id":"3575931476822699","authorId":"3575931476822699","name":"Zified","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2504476ab9db7b38867d7694e9c634e7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575931476822699","idStr":"3575931476822699"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/823138181","repostId":"2173948202","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2632,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":829847592,"gmtCreate":1633492369547,"gmtModify":1633492370003,"author":{"id":"3575931476822699","authorId":"3575931476822699","name":"Zified","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2504476ab9db7b38867d7694e9c634e7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575931476822699","idStr":"3575931476822699"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/829847592","repostId":"1140243685","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1140243685","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1633440012,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1140243685?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-05 21:20","market":"us","language":"en","title":"This veteran analyst hears echoes of the 1929 crash in today’s stock market<blockquote>这位资深分析师在今天的股市中听到了1929年崩盘的回声</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1140243685","media":"Marketwatch","summary":"There are some signs of a recovery attempt following Monday’s wipeout, chiefly for techs. The Nasdaq","content":"<p>There are some signs of a recovery attempt following Monday’s wipeout, chiefly for techs. The Nasdaq CompositeCOMPisteetering toward correction territory&nbsp;and the S&amp;P 500SPXand Dow industrialsDJIAare halfway there. With jobs data looming for Friday, even the bravest dip buyers may have second thoughts.</p><p><blockquote>在周一的暴跌之后，有一些复苏的迹象，主要是科技股。纳斯达克综合指数正在走向调整区域，标准普尔500SPX和道琼斯工业平均指数已经走到了一半。随着周五就业数据的临近，即使是最勇敢的逢低买入者也可能会改变主意。</blockquote></p><p> Don’t look for reassurance in our&nbsp;<b>call of the day</b>, where the founder and CEO ofBullAndBearProfits.com, Jon Wolfenbarger, predicts U.S. stocks may be “on the verge of starting the biggest bear market since the Great Depression.”</p><p><blockquote>不要在我们的<b>今日看涨期权</b>BullandBearProfits.com创始人兼首席执行官乔恩·沃尔芬伯格(Jon Wolfenbarger)预测，美国股市可能“即将开启自大萧条以来最大的熊市”。</blockquote></p><p> “Now with the Fed talking about tapering and money supply growth slowing&nbsp;significantly from 39% y/y in February to only 8% y/y in August, perhaps that is&nbsp;enough of a ‘tight monetary policy’ to change investor psychology to a more&nbsp;bearish mood? We will see,” he said in a Monday interview and follow-up comments with MarketWatch.</p><p><blockquote>“现在，随着美联储谈论缩减购债规模，货币供应增长从2月份的同比39%大幅放缓至8月份的同比仅8%，也许‘紧缩货币政策’足以将投资者心理转变为更悲观的情绪？我们拭目以待，”他在周一接受MarketWatch采访和后续评论时表示。</blockquote></p><p> Wolfenbarger, who spent 22 years as an equity analyst at Allianz Global Investors, said while he’s not a permabear — his newsletter offers strategies for profiting when markets go both ways — investors should heed some warnings signs.</p><p><blockquote>Wolfenbarger在Allianz Global Investors担任了22年的股票分析师，他表示，虽然他不是永久看跌者——他的时事通讯提供了在市场双向波动时获利的策略——但投资者应该注意一些警告信号。</blockquote></p><p> Overbullish sentiment, economic weakness, excessive debt levels and limited policy tools are key ingredients for a market rout worse than that seen in 2008-09, he said, adding that a top for the S&amp;P 500 reached a few weeks ago could have been the start.</p><p><blockquote>他表示，过度看涨情绪、经济疲软、债务水平过高和政策工具有限是导致市场暴跌比2008-09年更严重的关键因素，并补充说，几周前达到的标普500顶部可能是开始。</blockquote></p><p> One chart he’s watching that&nbsp;predicts future long-term stock returns— a favorite of legendary investor Warren Buffett, the chairman and CEO of Berkshire HathawayBRKBRK— shows equities 30% above the prior all-time high seen in the tech bubble peak of 2000.</p><p><blockquote>他正在观看的一张预测未来长期股票回报的图表（伯克希尔哈撒韦公司董事长兼首席执行官、传奇投资者沃伦·巴菲特的最爱）显示，股市比2000年科技泡沫高峰时的历史高点高出30%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e73964c10e0be9d02489e2764a98be5\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"297\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Wolfenbarger is watching S&amp;P 500 moving averages closely. If the 250-day, currently at 4,020, were to “really break through” that could trip a major drop for stock. His below chart shows the S&amp;P 500 price (black line) with its 250-dma since 1980. The red circles indicate when it fell below the 250-dma and the 250-dma slope was falling.</p><p><blockquote>沃尔芬伯格正在密切关注标普500移动平均线。如果250日线（目前为4,020点）“真正突破”，可能会导致股价大幅下跌。他的下图显示了标普500价格（黑线）自1980年以来的250日均线。红色圆圈表示何时跌破250-dma并且250-dma斜率正在下降。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f31fb05ef85111232a3410a405e05f72\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"316\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> As for what investors should do — Wolfenbarger advised using exchange-traded funds that actually go up in bear markets, which could be the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETFTLTor SPDR Gold SharesGLD,&nbsp;though he prefers inverse ETFs such as ProShares UltraShort S&amp;P 500SDSand the ProShares Short S&amp;P 500SH.</p><p><blockquote>至于投资者应该做什么——Wolfenbarger建议使用在熊市中实际上涨的交易所交易基金，这可能是iShares 20+年期国债ETFTLTor SPDR Gold SharesGLD，尽管他更喜欢ProShares UltraShort S&amp;P 500SDS和ProShares Short S&amp;P 500SH。</blockquote></p><p> “I personally think it’s easier for most people to just buy an inverse ETF because it moves the same way as a normal stock and ETF, and the SH went up 89% in the last bear market,” he said, adding that SDS went up 184%.</p><p><blockquote>“我个人认为，对于大多数人来说，购买反向ETF更容易，因为它的走势与普通股票和ETF相同，而且SH在上一次熊市中上涨了89%，”他说，并补充说SDS上涨了184%。</blockquote></p><p> Wolfenbarger said he has honed his strategies after adhering for years to Buffett’s advice of just&nbsp;buying and holding an S&amp;P 500 index fund.</p><p><blockquote>Wolfenbarger表示，多年来一直坚持巴菲特的建议，即只购买并持有标普500指数基金，他已经磨练了自己的策略。</blockquote></p><p> “But then I started looking at history and you know it took 25 years for the market to get back to the 1929 peak, and I don’t have 25 years,” said Wolfenbarger, who is in his early 50s. “Any given investment can go down 50% to 90% and it can stay down for decades, at least 10 to 20 years.”</p><p><blockquote>“但后来我开始回顾历史，你知道市场花了25年时间才回到1929年的峰值，而我没有25年的时间，”50岁出头的沃尔芬伯格说。“任何给定的投资都可能下降50%到90%，并且可以持续数十年，至少10到20年。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"market_watch","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>This veteran analyst hears echoes of the 1929 crash in today’s stock market<blockquote>这位资深分析师在今天的股市中听到了1929年崩盘的回声</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThis veteran analyst hears echoes of the 1929 crash in today’s stock market<blockquote>这位资深分析师在今天的股市中听到了1929年崩盘的回声</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Marketwatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-05 21:20</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>There are some signs of a recovery attempt following Monday’s wipeout, chiefly for techs. The Nasdaq CompositeCOMPisteetering toward correction territory&nbsp;and the S&amp;P 500SPXand Dow industrialsDJIAare halfway there. With jobs data looming for Friday, even the bravest dip buyers may have second thoughts.</p><p><blockquote>在周一的暴跌之后，有一些复苏的迹象，主要是科技股。纳斯达克综合指数正在走向调整区域，标准普尔500SPX和道琼斯工业平均指数已经走到了一半。随着周五就业数据的临近，即使是最勇敢的逢低买入者也可能会改变主意。</blockquote></p><p> Don’t look for reassurance in our&nbsp;<b>call of the day</b>, where the founder and CEO ofBullAndBearProfits.com, Jon Wolfenbarger, predicts U.S. stocks may be “on the verge of starting the biggest bear market since the Great Depression.”</p><p><blockquote>不要在我们的<b>今日看涨期权</b>BullandBearProfits.com创始人兼首席执行官乔恩·沃尔芬伯格(Jon Wolfenbarger)预测，美国股市可能“即将开启自大萧条以来最大的熊市”。</blockquote></p><p> “Now with the Fed talking about tapering and money supply growth slowing&nbsp;significantly from 39% y/y in February to only 8% y/y in August, perhaps that is&nbsp;enough of a ‘tight monetary policy’ to change investor psychology to a more&nbsp;bearish mood? We will see,” he said in a Monday interview and follow-up comments with MarketWatch.</p><p><blockquote>“现在，随着美联储谈论缩减购债规模，货币供应增长从2月份的同比39%大幅放缓至8月份的同比仅8%，也许‘紧缩货币政策’足以将投资者心理转变为更悲观的情绪？我们拭目以待，”他在周一接受MarketWatch采访和后续评论时表示。</blockquote></p><p> Wolfenbarger, who spent 22 years as an equity analyst at Allianz Global Investors, said while he’s not a permabear — his newsletter offers strategies for profiting when markets go both ways — investors should heed some warnings signs.</p><p><blockquote>Wolfenbarger在Allianz Global Investors担任了22年的股票分析师，他表示，虽然他不是永久看跌者——他的时事通讯提供了在市场双向波动时获利的策略——但投资者应该注意一些警告信号。</blockquote></p><p> Overbullish sentiment, economic weakness, excessive debt levels and limited policy tools are key ingredients for a market rout worse than that seen in 2008-09, he said, adding that a top for the S&amp;P 500 reached a few weeks ago could have been the start.</p><p><blockquote>他表示，过度看涨情绪、经济疲软、债务水平过高和政策工具有限是导致市场暴跌比2008-09年更严重的关键因素，并补充说，几周前达到的标普500顶部可能是开始。</blockquote></p><p> One chart he’s watching that&nbsp;predicts future long-term stock returns— a favorite of legendary investor Warren Buffett, the chairman and CEO of Berkshire HathawayBRKBRK— shows equities 30% above the prior all-time high seen in the tech bubble peak of 2000.</p><p><blockquote>他正在观看的一张预测未来长期股票回报的图表（伯克希尔哈撒韦公司董事长兼首席执行官、传奇投资者沃伦·巴菲特的最爱）显示，股市比2000年科技泡沫高峰时的历史高点高出30%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e73964c10e0be9d02489e2764a98be5\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"297\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Wolfenbarger is watching S&amp;P 500 moving averages closely. If the 250-day, currently at 4,020, were to “really break through” that could trip a major drop for stock. His below chart shows the S&amp;P 500 price (black line) with its 250-dma since 1980. The red circles indicate when it fell below the 250-dma and the 250-dma slope was falling.</p><p><blockquote>沃尔芬伯格正在密切关注标普500移动平均线。如果250日线（目前为4,020点）“真正突破”，可能会导致股价大幅下跌。他的下图显示了标普500价格（黑线）自1980年以来的250日均线。红色圆圈表示何时跌破250-dma并且250-dma斜率正在下降。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f31fb05ef85111232a3410a405e05f72\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"316\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> As for what investors should do — Wolfenbarger advised using exchange-traded funds that actually go up in bear markets, which could be the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETFTLTor SPDR Gold SharesGLD,&nbsp;though he prefers inverse ETFs such as ProShares UltraShort S&amp;P 500SDSand the ProShares Short S&amp;P 500SH.</p><p><blockquote>至于投资者应该做什么——Wolfenbarger建议使用在熊市中实际上涨的交易所交易基金，这可能是iShares 20+年期国债ETFTLTor SPDR Gold SharesGLD，尽管他更喜欢ProShares UltraShort S&amp;P 500SDS和ProShares Short S&amp;P 500SH。</blockquote></p><p> “I personally think it’s easier for most people to just buy an inverse ETF because it moves the same way as a normal stock and ETF, and the SH went up 89% in the last bear market,” he said, adding that SDS went up 184%.</p><p><blockquote>“我个人认为，对于大多数人来说，购买反向ETF更容易，因为它的走势与普通股票和ETF相同，而且SH在上一次熊市中上涨了89%，”他说，并补充说SDS上涨了184%。</blockquote></p><p> Wolfenbarger said he has honed his strategies after adhering for years to Buffett’s advice of just&nbsp;buying and holding an S&amp;P 500 index fund.</p><p><blockquote>Wolfenbarger表示，多年来一直坚持巴菲特的建议，即只购买并持有标普500指数基金，他已经磨练了自己的策略。</blockquote></p><p> “But then I started looking at history and you know it took 25 years for the market to get back to the 1929 peak, and I don’t have 25 years,” said Wolfenbarger, who is in his early 50s. “Any given investment can go down 50% to 90% and it can stay down for decades, at least 10 to 20 years.”</p><p><blockquote>“但后来我开始回顾历史，你知道市场花了25年时间才回到1929年的峰值，而我没有25年的时间，”50岁出头的沃尔芬伯格说。“任何给定的投资都可能下降50%到90%，并且可以持续数十年，至少10到20年。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-this-veteran-analyst-sees-stocks-headed-for-the-biggest-bear-market-since-the-great-depression-11633432477?siteid=yhoof2\">Marketwatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-this-veteran-analyst-sees-stocks-headed-for-the-biggest-bear-market-since-the-great-depression-11633432477?siteid=yhoof2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/599a65733b8245fcf7868668ef9ad712","article_id":"1140243685","content_text":"There are some signs of a recovery attempt following Monday’s wipeout, chiefly for techs. The Nasdaq CompositeCOMPisteetering toward correction territory and the S&P 500SPXand Dow industrialsDJIAare halfway there. With jobs data looming for Friday, even the bravest dip buyers may have second thoughts.\nDon’t look for reassurance in our call of the day, where the founder and CEO ofBullAndBearProfits.com, Jon Wolfenbarger, predicts U.S. stocks may be “on the verge of starting the biggest bear market since the Great Depression.”\n“Now with the Fed talking about tapering and money supply growth slowing significantly from 39% y/y in February to only 8% y/y in August, perhaps that is enough of a ‘tight monetary policy’ to change investor psychology to a more bearish mood? We will see,” he said in a Monday interview and follow-up comments with MarketWatch.\nWolfenbarger, who spent 22 years as an equity analyst at Allianz Global Investors, said while he’s not a permabear — his newsletter offers strategies for profiting when markets go both ways — investors should heed some warnings signs.\nOverbullish sentiment, economic weakness, excessive debt levels and limited policy tools are key ingredients for a market rout worse than that seen in 2008-09, he said, adding that a top for the S&P 500 reached a few weeks ago could have been the start.\nOne chart he’s watching that predicts future long-term stock returns— a favorite of legendary investor Warren Buffett, the chairman and CEO of Berkshire HathawayBRKBRK— shows equities 30% above the prior all-time high seen in the tech bubble peak of 2000.\n\nWolfenbarger is watching S&P 500 moving averages closely. If the 250-day, currently at 4,020, were to “really break through” that could trip a major drop for stock. His below chart shows the S&P 500 price (black line) with its 250-dma since 1980. The red circles indicate when it fell below the 250-dma and the 250-dma slope was falling.\n\nAs for what investors should do — Wolfenbarger advised using exchange-traded funds that actually go up in bear markets, which could be the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETFTLTor SPDR Gold SharesGLD, though he prefers inverse ETFs such as ProShares UltraShort S&P 500SDSand the ProShares Short S&P 500SH.\n“I personally think it’s easier for most people to just buy an inverse ETF because it moves the same way as a normal stock and ETF, and the SH went up 89% in the last bear market,” he said, adding that SDS went up 184%.\nWolfenbarger said he has honed his strategies after adhering for years to Buffett’s advice of just buying and holding an S&P 500 index fund.\n“But then I started looking at history and you know it took 25 years for the market to get back to the 1929 peak, and I don’t have 25 years,” said Wolfenbarger, who is in his early 50s. “Any given investment can go down 50% to 90% and it can stay down for decades, at least 10 to 20 years.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3622,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":false}