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Adwin
Adwin
·
2021-06-11
Nice
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Adwin
Adwin
·
2021-06-11
Cool
The Fed's Sneaky Plot
For the past 22 years, every time the stock market whimpered, wheezed or whined, the Federal Reserve
The Fed's Sneaky Plot
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Adwin
Adwin
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2021-06-11
Good one
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Adwin
Adwin
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2021-06-11
$Chewy, Inc.(CHWY)$
How high could it goes.
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Adwin
Adwin
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2021-05-14
$NIO Inc.(NIO)$
Cheer up!
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Adwin
Adwin
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2021-05-11
Good article, thank you.
Don’t Look Now, but Nio Stock Is Becoming an Investment Not a Trade
Investors continue to expect more from NIO stock. Looking at the 12-month stock chart forNio(NYSE:N
Don’t Look Now, but Nio Stock Is Becoming an Investment Not a Trade
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20:37","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Fed's Sneaky Plot","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1187301815","media":"Zerohedge","summary":"For the past 22 years, every time the stock market whimpered, wheezed or whined, the Federal Reserve","content":"<p>For the past 22 years, every time the stock market whimpered, wheezed or whined, the Federal Reserve rushed to soothe the spoiled crybaby.</p>\n<p>There are two consequential results of the <i>Fed as savior</i>:</p>\n<blockquote>\n 1. \n <b>The Fed has perfected </b> \n <b><i>moral hazard</i></b> \n <b>:</b>everyone from the money manager betting billions to the punters gambling their stimmy money is absolutely confident I can’t lose because the Fed will always push the market higher.\n</blockquote>\n<p>What happens when participants are confident they can’t possibly lose? They make ever-riskier and ever-larger bets. The entire nation is in the grip of a moral hazard mania, all based on the confidence that the Fed will always push every market higher—always, without fail.</p>\n<blockquote>\n 2. \n <b>Organic (i.e. non-manipulated) market forces have been extinguished.</b>There is now only one consequential force, the Fed. All markets are now 100% dependent on the Fed responding to every bleat from every punter who’s recklessly risky bet is about to go bad.\n</blockquote>\n<p>The Fed is now the perfect union of quasi-religious savior and <i>Helicopter Parent</i>: oh dear, our little darling got high and crashed the Porsche? Quick, let’s save our precious market from any consequences!</p>\n<p><b>Every day, Fed speakers take to the pulpit to spew another sermon about the Fed’s god-like power and wisdom. The true believers soak up every word: golly-gee, the Fed is better than any god — it’s guaranteeing I can get rich if I just leverage up any bet in any market!</b></p>\n<p>With a savior like the Fed, you don’t need a real economy or a real market - all you need is the assurance that the Fed will save every market from every consequence.</p>\n<p><b>The Point of Diminishing Returns</b></p>\n<p>All this hubris is jolly while it lasts, but since risk cannot be dissipated, it can only be transferred, the Fed has transferred decades of fast-rising risk to the entire system. The entire system now rests on the Fed, a dependency that raises its own risks.</p>\n<p><b>By imposing moral hazard and crushing consequences, the Fed has stripped the entire financial system of self-correcting mechanisms. This is a surefire recipe for systemic failure and collapse.</b></p>\n<p>There is no way to wean the system off its dependence on the Fed, and no way to restore organic market functions. The slightest reduction in the Fed’s spew of trillions will crash the market, because there is literally nothing holding it aloft but Fed spew — monetary and verbal.</p>\n<p>The problem with becoming 100% dependent on the Fed is any wobble will crash the system — and <i>diminishing returns</i> guarantee a wobble.</p>\n<p><b>The system’s sensitivity to the Fed’s spew of trillions of dollars and claptrap preaching is diminishing,</b>which is why the Fed has moved from spewing hundreds of billions to trillions, and why Fed speakers who we once heard from once a month are now out in force every single day.</p>\n<p>Remarkably, few anticipate any consequence from the Fed’s perfection of moral hazard and the system’s 100% dependence on the Fed’s spew even as diminishing returns gnaw away at the efficacy of the Fed’s ever more grandiose policies and pronouncements.</p>\n<p><b>If you wanted to design a system guaranteed to collapse in a putrid heap, you’d make moral hazard ubiquitous and you’d make the system 100% dependent on a hubris-soaked faux savior.</b></p>\n<p>Hey, that describes America’s economy and financial system perfectly. But now I want to explore something about the Fed you’ve probably never considered before…</p>\n<p><b>The Fed’s Official and Unofficial Mandates</b></p>\n<p>There are two standard-issue narratives about the Federal Reserve’s agenda: the Fed’s official narrative is that the Fed’s mandate is to keep inflation under control while promoting full employment.</p>\n<p><b>The unofficial mandate that’s obvious to all is to prop up assets, especially the stock market, which has become the Fed’s preferred </b><b><i>signifier of prosperity and the rightness/goodness of Fed policies.</i></b></p>\n<p>The other narrative results from “following the money”: the Fed is owned by private-sector banks, and so behind the curtain of happy-talk (full employment, blah-blah-blah), the Fed’s only real agenda is to further enrich banks and too big to fail/jail financiers — something it has managed to do with remarkable success.</p>\n<p>That the Fed inflated the 1999-2000 dot-com bubble and the 2005-2008 housing bubble is undeniable, as is the Fed’s 2008-09 bailout of the global financial system and too big to fail/jail mortgage originators and a vast array of other profiteering, embezzler-scoundrels.</p>\n<p>The Fed’s zero-interest rate policy (ZIRP) and unprecedented quantitative easing monetary stimulus have pushed the Fed balance sheet, federal debt and systemic debt to heights that heretofore would have been inconceivable.</p>\n<p>While pursuing these non-mutually-exclusive agendas — <i>we came to do good and stayed to do well</i>— the Fed has generated destabilizing extremes of wealth and income inequality, a reality that the Fed laughably denies. (There must be much mirth about this BS behind closed doors.)</p>\n<p><b>Allow me to posit a third agenda which doesn’t negate either conventional agenda but does explain some of the Fed’s actions since 2008…</b></p>\n<p><b>The Fed’s Real Mandate</b></p>\n<p><b>As the system unravels, the Fed’s primary imperative is to save the financial system and economy from the greed-soaked incompetence of the other players, public and private, by taking charge of critical swaths of the financial system and economy.</b></p>\n<p>After the subprime debacle almost took down the entire global financial system, the Fed (with a bit of help from Congress) essentially took over the entire $10 trillion U.S. mortgage market.</p>\n<p>Private-sector lenders had figured out how to issue guaranteed-to-default mortgages and pass off the fraudulent mortgage-backed securities (MBS) to a global cast of suckers who believed America’s financial system was properly regulated. (Haha, the joke’s on you.)</p>\n<p>In response, the Fed basically nationalized the mortgage market, buying more than $1 trillion in mortgage-backed securities and ensuring that virtually all mortgages in the U.S. were guaranteed or originated by federal agencies: Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac (after their bankruptcy as quasi-private agencies), FHA and VA.</p>\n<p>More recently, the Fed realized the private broker-dealer banks that handle the all-important issuance of Treasury bonds could no longer be trusted.</p>\n<p>As analyst Christopher Whalen explains, <b><i>“The Fed’s primary concern is not employment or inflation, but rather keeping the market for Treasury securities functioning.”</i></b></p>\n<p>In response, the Fed is cutting the broker-dealers out as unreliable players. The Treasury market and the U.S. dollar are the foundations of federal spending and power, and so the Fed has realized that, just as it did with the fraudulent embezzlers of the private-sector mortgage market, it has to bypass or neuter the private-sector players as threats to stability.</p>\n<p><b>Next up on the Fed’s agenda: take charge of the issuance of new money to households and cut Congress out of the loop.</b></p>\n<p><b>Money Directly From the Fed</b></p>\n<p>If you read up on the Fed’s plans for its own digital currency and the FedNow system, you’ll come to understand that the Fed has concluded that supporting consumption (i.e. giving money to households to enable more spending) is too important to leave in the corrupt hands of the legislative bodies (Congress) or the Treasury, which must issue debt to raise cash to distribute to households, debt that further burdens federal revenues and spending.</p>\n<p>We can’t count on you, broker-dealers or Congress, so we’re taking charge, as the system is now so over-extended that any misadventure by other players could well be catastrophic. The only alternative from the Fed’s point of view is to take charge and cut the untrustworthy, self-serving incompetents out of the loop.</p>\n<p><b>So the Fed’s plan is to create new money out of thin air and deposit it directly in household accounts via the FedNow system.</b></p>\n<p>The danger of this power grab is that the Fed will misjudge the situation, and that will prove catastrophic because the system has been stripped of resilience, feedback and redundancy.</p>\n<p>I suspect the Fed sees itself as trapped by the incompetence and greed of the other players and by its own policy extremes that were little more than expedient “saves” of a system that is unraveling due to its fragility and brittleness.</p>\n<p><b>The groundwork is being laid for the Fed’s digital currency and direct deposits to households via FedNow accounts.</b></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Fed's Sneaky Plot</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Fed's Sneaky Plot\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-11 20:37 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.zerohedge.com/economics/feds-sneaky-plot><strong>Zerohedge</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>For the past 22 years, every time the stock market whimpered, wheezed or whined, the Federal Reserve rushed to soothe the spoiled crybaby.\nThere are two consequential results of the Fed as savior:\n\n 1...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/economics/feds-sneaky-plot\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/economics/feds-sneaky-plot","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1187301815","content_text":"For the past 22 years, every time the stock market whimpered, wheezed or whined, the Federal Reserve rushed to soothe the spoiled crybaby.\nThere are two consequential results of the Fed as savior:\n\n 1. \n The Fed has perfected \nmoral hazard\n:everyone from the money manager betting billions to the punters gambling their stimmy money is absolutely confident I can’t lose because the Fed will always push the market higher.\n\nWhat happens when participants are confident they can’t possibly lose? They make ever-riskier and ever-larger bets. The entire nation is in the grip of a moral hazard mania, all based on the confidence that the Fed will always push every market higher—always, without fail.\n\n 2. \n Organic (i.e. non-manipulated) market forces have been extinguished.There is now only one consequential force, the Fed. All markets are now 100% dependent on the Fed responding to every bleat from every punter who’s recklessly risky bet is about to go bad.\n\nThe Fed is now the perfect union of quasi-religious savior and Helicopter Parent: oh dear, our little darling got high and crashed the Porsche? Quick, let’s save our precious market from any consequences!\nEvery day, Fed speakers take to the pulpit to spew another sermon about the Fed’s god-like power and wisdom. The true believers soak up every word: golly-gee, the Fed is better than any god — it’s guaranteeing I can get rich if I just leverage up any bet in any market!\nWith a savior like the Fed, you don’t need a real economy or a real market - all you need is the assurance that the Fed will save every market from every consequence.\nThe Point of Diminishing Returns\nAll this hubris is jolly while it lasts, but since risk cannot be dissipated, it can only be transferred, the Fed has transferred decades of fast-rising risk to the entire system. The entire system now rests on the Fed, a dependency that raises its own risks.\nBy imposing moral hazard and crushing consequences, the Fed has stripped the entire financial system of self-correcting mechanisms. This is a surefire recipe for systemic failure and collapse.\nThere is no way to wean the system off its dependence on the Fed, and no way to restore organic market functions. The slightest reduction in the Fed’s spew of trillions will crash the market, because there is literally nothing holding it aloft but Fed spew — monetary and verbal.\nThe problem with becoming 100% dependent on the Fed is any wobble will crash the system — and diminishing returns guarantee a wobble.\nThe system’s sensitivity to the Fed’s spew of trillions of dollars and claptrap preaching is diminishing,which is why the Fed has moved from spewing hundreds of billions to trillions, and why Fed speakers who we once heard from once a month are now out in force every single day.\nRemarkably, few anticipate any consequence from the Fed’s perfection of moral hazard and the system’s 100% dependence on the Fed’s spew even as diminishing returns gnaw away at the efficacy of the Fed’s ever more grandiose policies and pronouncements.\nIf you wanted to design a system guaranteed to collapse in a putrid heap, you’d make moral hazard ubiquitous and you’d make the system 100% dependent on a hubris-soaked faux savior.\nHey, that describes America’s economy and financial system perfectly. But now I want to explore something about the Fed you’ve probably never considered before…\nThe Fed’s Official and Unofficial Mandates\nThere are two standard-issue narratives about the Federal Reserve’s agenda: the Fed’s official narrative is that the Fed’s mandate is to keep inflation under control while promoting full employment.\nThe unofficial mandate that’s obvious to all is to prop up assets, especially the stock market, which has become the Fed’s preferred signifier of prosperity and the rightness/goodness of Fed policies.\nThe other narrative results from “following the money”: the Fed is owned by private-sector banks, and so behind the curtain of happy-talk (full employment, blah-blah-blah), the Fed’s only real agenda is to further enrich banks and too big to fail/jail financiers — something it has managed to do with remarkable success.\nThat the Fed inflated the 1999-2000 dot-com bubble and the 2005-2008 housing bubble is undeniable, as is the Fed’s 2008-09 bailout of the global financial system and too big to fail/jail mortgage originators and a vast array of other profiteering, embezzler-scoundrels.\nThe Fed’s zero-interest rate policy (ZIRP) and unprecedented quantitative easing monetary stimulus have pushed the Fed balance sheet, federal debt and systemic debt to heights that heretofore would have been inconceivable.\nWhile pursuing these non-mutually-exclusive agendas — we came to do good and stayed to do well— the Fed has generated destabilizing extremes of wealth and income inequality, a reality that the Fed laughably denies. (There must be much mirth about this BS behind closed doors.)\nAllow me to posit a third agenda which doesn’t negate either conventional agenda but does explain some of the Fed’s actions since 2008…\nThe Fed’s Real Mandate\nAs the system unravels, the Fed’s primary imperative is to save the financial system and economy from the greed-soaked incompetence of the other players, public and private, by taking charge of critical swaths of the financial system and economy.\nAfter the subprime debacle almost took down the entire global financial system, the Fed (with a bit of help from Congress) essentially took over the entire $10 trillion U.S. mortgage market.\nPrivate-sector lenders had figured out how to issue guaranteed-to-default mortgages and pass off the fraudulent mortgage-backed securities (MBS) to a global cast of suckers who believed America’s financial system was properly regulated. (Haha, the joke’s on you.)\nIn response, the Fed basically nationalized the mortgage market, buying more than $1 trillion in mortgage-backed securities and ensuring that virtually all mortgages in the U.S. were guaranteed or originated by federal agencies: Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac (after their bankruptcy as quasi-private agencies), FHA and VA.\nMore recently, the Fed realized the private broker-dealer banks that handle the all-important issuance of Treasury bonds could no longer be trusted.\nAs analyst Christopher Whalen explains, “The Fed’s primary concern is not employment or inflation, but rather keeping the market for Treasury securities functioning.”\nIn response, the Fed is cutting the broker-dealers out as unreliable players. The Treasury market and the U.S. dollar are the foundations of federal spending and power, and so the Fed has realized that, just as it did with the fraudulent embezzlers of the private-sector mortgage market, it has to bypass or neuter the private-sector players as threats to stability.\nNext up on the Fed’s agenda: take charge of the issuance of new money to households and cut Congress out of the loop.\nMoney Directly From the Fed\nIf you read up on the Fed’s plans for its own digital currency and the FedNow system, you’ll come to understand that the Fed has concluded that supporting consumption (i.e. giving money to households to enable more spending) is too important to leave in the corrupt hands of the legislative bodies (Congress) or the Treasury, which must issue debt to raise cash to distribute to households, debt that further burdens federal revenues and spending.\nWe can’t count on you, broker-dealers or Congress, so we’re taking charge, as the system is now so over-extended that any misadventure by other players could well be catastrophic. The only alternative from the Fed’s point of view is to take charge and cut the untrustworthy, self-serving incompetents out of the loop.\nSo the Fed’s plan is to create new money out of thin air and deposit it directly in household accounts via the FedNow system.\nThe danger of this power grab is that the Fed will misjudge the situation, and that will prove catastrophic because the system has been stripped of resilience, feedback and redundancy.\nI suspect the Fed sees itself as trapped by the incompetence and greed of the other players and by its own policy extremes that were little more than expedient “saves” of a system that is unraveling due to its fragility and brittleness.\nThe groundwork is being laid for the Fed’s digital currency and direct deposits to households via FedNow accounts.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":409,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":188085646,"gmtCreate":1623416417585,"gmtModify":1631883987561,"author":{"id":"3581721632259192","authorId":"3581721632259192","name":"Adwin","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0345136e25503040a15362f078d34b31","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581721632259192","authorIdStr":"3581721632259192"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good one","listText":"Good one","text":"Good one","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/188085646","repostId":"1131879907","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":354,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":188086746,"gmtCreate":1623416385285,"gmtModify":1631883982924,"author":{"id":"3581721632259192","authorId":"3581721632259192","name":"Adwin","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0345136e25503040a15362f078d34b31","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581721632259192","authorIdStr":"3581721632259192"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CHWY\">$Chewy, Inc.(CHWY)$</a>How high could it goes.","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CHWY\">$Chewy, Inc.(CHWY)$</a>How high could it goes.","text":"$Chewy, Inc.(CHWY)$How high could it goes.","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57108152506c73a56c57900b93e13049","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/188086746","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":474,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":196923467,"gmtCreate":1621006495359,"gmtModify":1634194593756,"author":{"id":"3581721632259192","authorId":"3581721632259192","name":"Adwin","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0345136e25503040a15362f078d34b31","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581721632259192","authorIdStr":"3581721632259192"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$NIO Inc.(NIO)$</a>Cheer up!","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$NIO Inc.(NIO)$</a>Cheer up!","text":"$NIO Inc.(NIO)$Cheer up!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/196923467","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":424,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":193904636,"gmtCreate":1620743163625,"gmtModify":1634196653815,"author":{"id":"3581721632259192","authorId":"3581721632259192","name":"Adwin","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0345136e25503040a15362f078d34b31","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581721632259192","authorIdStr":"3581721632259192"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good article, thank you.","listText":"Good article, thank you.","text":"Good article, thank you.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/193904636","repostId":"1153941496","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1153941496","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1620742696,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1153941496?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-11 22:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Don’t Look Now, but Nio Stock Is Becoming an Investment Not a Trade","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1153941496","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"Investors continue to expect more from NIO stock.\n\nLooking at the 12-month stock chart forNio(NYSE:N","content":"<blockquote>\n Investors continue to expect more from NIO stock.\n</blockquote>\n<p>Looking at the 12-month stock chart for<b>Nio</b>(NYSE:<b><u>NIO</u></b>) stock shows what happens when an entire sector becomes a bubble. For much of 2020, NIO could do no wrong.</p>\n<p>In 2021, however, it appears as if the electric vehicle (EV) manufacturer can’t do anything good enough for investors. As of this writing, NIO stock is down about 30% for the year.</p>\n<p>Frequently labeled “the<b>Tesla</b> (NASDAQ:<b><u>TSLA</u></b>) of China,” Nio is making strong inroads in its home country.</p>\n<p>In its recently released first-quarter 2021 earnings, thecompanyreported deliveries of over 20,000 for the first time and isprojecting deliveries of 21,000 to 22,000 vehicles in Q2 for revenue between $1.24billon and $1.29 billion.</p>\n<p>Nio also justlaunched its services in Norway. This is another area in which Nio delivered on expectations it gave investors.</p>\n<p>Investors seem unimpressed, possibly because of EV fatigue. Also, a global semiconductor chip shortage is likely to curtail Nio’s growth in the short term. However the chip shortage is neither of Nio’s creation, nor is Nio the only company subject to any fallout from it.</p>\n<p>Nevertheless, as I wrote back in March, with a market cap of just under $60 billion, Nio is facing theprivilege of expectations.</p>\n<p>Right now that means anything that suggests Nio won’t meet what will need to be lofty revenue expectations (in addition to turning a profit) is a drag on the stock.</p>\n<p><b>What Makes Nio Different?</b></p>\n<p>The company’s battery-as-a-service (BaaS) is a real innovation and one that is currently exclusive to Nio. The benefit of BaaS is reflected in the sticker price of a Nio vehicle.</p>\n<p>However I think the larger story with BaaS is that it takes an agnostic approach to the charging problem. And charging is a concern that is on prospective EVowners’ minds. A 2021<i>Autolist</i> surveyidentifiesEV battery range as being the primary concern among over 60% of respondents. But the larger story is that price and charging infrastructure came in second and third respectively.</p>\n<p>This creates a win-win-win situation for Nio. With the ability for owners to swap their batteries in what Nio claims will beless than three minutes, range becomes less of a concern.</p>\n<p>Plus, being able to sell the battery as a separate item lowers the price of a Nio which already benefits from subsidies.</p>\n<p>Although Nio’s BaaS program helps eliminate some of the range concerns for EV’s, the company does sell EV accessories including charging stations and internet connection services for its vehicles.</p>\n<p>As Louis Navellier recently wrote, revenue from these businessesincreased by 395.3% year-over-year, and the $88 million in revenue was a 23.4% increase from Q4 2020.</p>\n<p><b>Long-Term Outlook for NIO Stock</b></p>\n<p>One thing that I always look at in my investing decisions (and quitefrankly a lot of decisions period) is the cost of being wrong.</p>\n<p>Just one year ago, the cost of being wrong on Nio was severe. NIO stock looked like a candidate to go bankrupt.</p>\n<p>If you say you knew that the company was going to get a lifeline from the Chinese government, then you have access to a lot more inside information than most investors.</p>\n<p>Today, the risk premium for Nio is much smaller. That’s not to say that shares may not still have more room to fall, but this is the privilege of expectations.</p>\n<p>Analysts are generally bullish on NIO stock with a 12-month price target of $50.78 which would be a gain of over 37% from the stock’s current level.</p>\n<p>NIO stock has traded within apretty wide range in the past month.So you may want to wait for a little more consolidation to find a clear entry point before adding to or entering a position.</p>\n<p><i>On the date of publication Chris Markoch did not have (either directly or indirectly) any positions in the securities mentioned in this article.</i></p>","source":"lsy1606302653667","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Don’t Look Now, but Nio Stock Is Becoming an Investment Not a Trade</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDon’t Look Now, but Nio Stock Is Becoming an Investment Not a Trade\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-05-11 22:18 GMT+8 <a href=https://investorplace.com/2021/05/nio-stock-is-long-term-investment-not-short-term-trade/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Investors continue to expect more from NIO stock.\n\nLooking at the 12-month stock chart forNio(NYSE:NIO) stock shows what happens when an entire sector becomes a bubble. For much of 2020, NIO could do ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/05/nio-stock-is-long-term-investment-not-short-term-trade/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIO":"蔚来"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2021/05/nio-stock-is-long-term-investment-not-short-term-trade/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1153941496","content_text":"Investors continue to expect more from NIO stock.\n\nLooking at the 12-month stock chart forNio(NYSE:NIO) stock shows what happens when an entire sector becomes a bubble. For much of 2020, NIO could do no wrong.\nIn 2021, however, it appears as if the electric vehicle (EV) manufacturer can’t do anything good enough for investors. As of this writing, NIO stock is down about 30% for the year.\nFrequently labeled “theTesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) of China,” Nio is making strong inroads in its home country.\nIn its recently released first-quarter 2021 earnings, thecompanyreported deliveries of over 20,000 for the first time and isprojecting deliveries of 21,000 to 22,000 vehicles in Q2 for revenue between $1.24billon and $1.29 billion.\nNio also justlaunched its services in Norway. This is another area in which Nio delivered on expectations it gave investors.\nInvestors seem unimpressed, possibly because of EV fatigue. Also, a global semiconductor chip shortage is likely to curtail Nio’s growth in the short term. However the chip shortage is neither of Nio’s creation, nor is Nio the only company subject to any fallout from it.\nNevertheless, as I wrote back in March, with a market cap of just under $60 billion, Nio is facing theprivilege of expectations.\nRight now that means anything that suggests Nio won’t meet what will need to be lofty revenue expectations (in addition to turning a profit) is a drag on the stock.\nWhat Makes Nio Different?\nThe company’s battery-as-a-service (BaaS) is a real innovation and one that is currently exclusive to Nio. The benefit of BaaS is reflected in the sticker price of a Nio vehicle.\nHowever I think the larger story with BaaS is that it takes an agnostic approach to the charging problem. And charging is a concern that is on prospective EVowners’ minds. A 2021Autolist surveyidentifiesEV battery range as being the primary concern among over 60% of respondents. But the larger story is that price and charging infrastructure came in second and third respectively.\nThis creates a win-win-win situation for Nio. With the ability for owners to swap their batteries in what Nio claims will beless than three minutes, range becomes less of a concern.\nPlus, being able to sell the battery as a separate item lowers the price of a Nio which already benefits from subsidies.\nAlthough Nio’s BaaS program helps eliminate some of the range concerns for EV’s, the company does sell EV accessories including charging stations and internet connection services for its vehicles.\nAs Louis Navellier recently wrote, revenue from these businessesincreased by 395.3% year-over-year, and the $88 million in revenue was a 23.4% increase from Q4 2020.\nLong-Term Outlook for NIO Stock\nOne thing that I always look at in my investing decisions (and quitefrankly a lot of decisions period) is the cost of being wrong.\nJust one year ago, the cost of being wrong on Nio was severe. NIO stock looked like a candidate to go bankrupt.\nIf you say you knew that the company was going to get a lifeline from the Chinese government, then you have access to a lot more inside information than most investors.\nToday, the risk premium for Nio is much smaller. That’s not to say that shares may not still have more room to fall, but this is the privilege of expectations.\nAnalysts are generally bullish on NIO stock with a 12-month price target of $50.78 which would be a gain of over 37% from the stock’s current level.\nNIO stock has traded within apretty wide range in the past month.So you may want to wait for a little more consolidation to find a clear entry point before adding to or entering a position.\nOn the date of publication Chris Markoch did not have (either directly or indirectly) any positions in the securities mentioned in this article.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":226,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"followers","isTTM":false}