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- Tre76Tre76
  ·2021-07-02
  Now very high
  The Stock Market Had a Great First Half. 3 Things That Could Cause it to Crash.
  Stocks have soared relentlessly this year. Several factors, however, have the potential to end the p
  The Stock Market Had a Great First Half. 3 Things That Could Cause it to Crash.
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- Tre76Tre76
  ·2021-07-01
  Nice
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- Tre76Tre76
  ·2021-07-01
  Great
  Wall Street Analyst Says Virgin Galactic Hype Already Priced In
  It’s not easy being a meme stock these days. Just ask Virgin Galatic. After rallying nearly 40% last
  Wall Street Analyst Says Virgin Galactic Hype Already Priced In
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- Tre76Tre76
  ·2021-07-01
  Nice article
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Several factors, however, have the potential to end the p","content":"<p>Stocks have soared relentlessly this year. Several factors, however, have the potential to end the party.</p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 has had its second-best first half of a year since 1998, and it hasn’t shown many signs of letting up. The index ended June up 14.4% year to date, hitting several records during the month and posting another record close on Thursday.</p>\n<p>Yet there are a couple key risks that could turn all of that around, according to Nick Colas, co-founder of DataTrek.</p>\n<p>First, there’s the possibility of an oil price shock, as the price of crude has shown little sign of cooling off. WTI crude oil is up 56% year to date and notched a&nbsp;new multi-year high&nbsp;Thursday—even amid growing&nbsp;expectations that OPEC will increase supply. If oil prices run hot enough, that could raise inflation to a level that—if sustained — could cause consumer demand to fall and that could surpass Federal Reserve expectations.</p>\n<p>“Suddenly higher oil prices” is atop the list of stock market concerns for Colas. “Rapidly rising oil prices will cause U.S. inflation to overshoot the Fed’s desired outcome and also stress the American consumer.”</p>\n<p>Both those things could dent the stock market, which has long benefited from the Fed’s accommodative monetary policy, especially if the Fed signals that interest-rate increases could come sooner than expected.</p>\n<p>That means the Fed will need to tread carefully when discussing rates to avoid spooking the market, Colas says.</p>\n<p>“Federal Reserve miscommunication about upcoming policy changes and/or raising interest rates too aggressively” is a second risk, Colas says. For instance, the S&amp;P 500&nbsp;dived 18% over roughly three months in late 2018 as the Fed raised rates, despite the market’s hope at that time for rates to stay put.</p>\n<p>Peaking earnings growth is the other threat to stocks, Colas says. Earnings growth for the average S&amp;P 500 company is expected slow down to 11% in 2022 from 36% in 2021, according to FactSet, as the economy normalizes and the postpandemic recovery eases. But on average, S&amp;P 500 stocks trade at 21.5 times expected earnings for the next 12 months, still above the index’s pre-pandemic multiple. At some point, stocks valuations will need to better reflect the expected decline in earnings growth, which would mean falling stock prices.</p>\n<p>“Valuations are high enough currently that peaking earnings could be a larger risk than before,” Colas writes.</p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Stock Market Had a Great First Half. 3 Things That Could Cause it to Crash.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Stock Market Had a Great First Half. 3 Things That Could Cause it to Crash.\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-02 15:49 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/stock-market-crash-risks-51625174065><strong>Barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Stocks have soared relentlessly this year. Several factors, however, have the potential to end the party.\nThe S&P 500 has had its second-best first half of a year since 1998, and it hasn’t shown many ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stock-market-crash-risks-51625174065\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stock-market-crash-risks-51625174065","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1126312436","content_text":"Stocks have soared relentlessly this year. Several factors, however, have the potential to end the party.\nThe S&P 500 has had its second-best first half of a year since 1998, and it hasn’t shown many signs of letting up. The index ended June up 14.4% year to date, hitting several records during the month and posting another record close on Thursday.\nYet there are a couple key risks that could turn all of that around, according to Nick Colas, co-founder of DataTrek.\nFirst, there’s the possibility of an oil price shock, as the price of crude has shown little sign of cooling off. WTI crude oil is up 56% year to date and notched a new multi-year high Thursday—even amid growing expectations that OPEC will increase supply. If oil prices run hot enough, that could raise inflation to a level that—if sustained — could cause consumer demand to fall and that could surpass Federal Reserve expectations.\n“Suddenly higher oil prices” is atop the list of stock market concerns for Colas. “Rapidly rising oil prices will cause U.S. inflation to overshoot the Fed’s desired outcome and also stress the American consumer.”\nBoth those things could dent the stock market, which has long benefited from the Fed’s accommodative monetary policy, especially if the Fed signals that interest-rate increases could come sooner than expected.\nThat means the Fed will need to tread carefully when discussing rates to avoid spooking the market, Colas says.\n“Federal Reserve miscommunication about upcoming policy changes and/or raising interest rates too aggressively” is a second risk, Colas says. For instance, the S&P 500 dived 18% over roughly three months in late 2018 as the Fed raised rates, despite the market’s hope at that time for rates to stay put.\nPeaking earnings growth is the other threat to stocks, Colas says. Earnings growth for the average S&P 500 company is expected slow down to 11% in 2022 from 36% in 2021, according to FactSet, as the economy normalizes and the postpandemic recovery eases. But on average, S&P 500 stocks trade at 21.5 times expected earnings for the next 12 months, still above the index’s pre-pandemic multiple. At some point, stocks valuations will need to better reflect the expected decline in earnings growth, which would mean falling stock prices.\n“Valuations are high enough currently that peaking earnings could be a larger risk than before,” Colas writes.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":341,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":158078176,"gmtCreate":1625117140995,"gmtModify":1633944586622,"author":{"id":"4088218326026050","authorId":"4088218326026050","name":"Tre76","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c4f765c41d3fcc8db0a27eb326eb22d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4088218326026050","idStr":"4088218326026050"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/158078176","repostId":"2148843099","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":361,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":158057627,"gmtCreate":1625116017169,"gmtModify":1633944599465,"author":{"id":"4088218326026050","authorId":"4088218326026050","name":"Tre76","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c4f765c41d3fcc8db0a27eb326eb22d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4088218326026050","idStr":"4088218326026050"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great","listText":"Great","text":"Great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/158057627","repostId":"2148112845","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2148112845","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625097827,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2148112845?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-01 08:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Wall Street Analyst Says Virgin Galactic Hype Already Priced In","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2148112845","media":"FX Empire","summary":"It’s not easy being a meme stock these days. Just ask Virgin Galatic. After rallying nearly 40% last","content":"<p>It’s not easy being a meme stock these days. Just ask Virgin Galatic. After rallying nearly 40% last Friday to its best price since early 2021, the stock has a target on its back and Wall Street is aiming straight for it. Bank of America analyst Ronald Epstein has reportedly downgraded shares of Richard Branson’s company to “sell” from “buy,” skipping over the “hold” rating altogether.</p>\n<p>Epstein might have gotten whiplash after seeing shares of Virgin Galactic surpass the USD 41 price target he had on the stock. Last Friday, shares climbed from just over USD 40 to almost USD 56. Epstein believes the space hype is already priced into the stock. That would mean that last Friday’s rally was the encore before the spacecraft left even the earth with passengers.</p>\n<p>Meme stocks tend to trade on social media sentiment instead of fundamentals, but the downward notches have taken a toll. The stock is down 1.5% today, extending yesterday’s sell-off.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ba5ee9b6f6a6a1c2debbe8a04ed33259\" tg-width=\"800\" tg-height=\"319\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<h2>No Backpedaling</h2>\n<p>Bank of America is the second Wall Street firm to lower its rating on Virgin Galactic since the company received regulatory approval for passenger flights to suborbital space. Alembic Global’s Pete Skibitski in recent days lowered his rating on the stock from overweight to neutral, blaming a valuation that has “now stretched to excess levels.” The same could be said for the entire meme stock category.</p>\n<p>And while the analyst didn’t backpedal, he did leave room to change his mind when Branson’s rocket takes flight, which will most likely be this summer. Skibitski reportedly acknowledged that the trip could be a potential driver of the stock price, suggesting that there might be more runway for gains.</p>\n<h2>Billionaire Battle</h2>\n<p>The price turnaround could come sooner than analysts think. Billionaires are a competitive bunch, and Jeff Bezos, who is behind space tourism company Blue Origin, has already slated his flight to take place on July 20. According to reports, Branson is now eyeing liftoff on the weekend of July 4 to beat his rival to the punch. Retail investors on the WallStreetBets forum aren’t expecting Branson to rush his plans.</p>\n<p>Investors who are in SPCE for the long term don’t appear to be too worried about the recent profit-taking. In the meantime, Virgin Galactic is sitting on USD 600 million in cash, though it burns through that quickly, given the company’s lofty mission. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">Morgan Stanley</a> analysts don’t expect Branson’s company to produce positive free cash flow for another seven years even in the best of scenarios. With tickets to space running USD 250K a pop, and hundreds of reservations in the pipeline, this meme stock could have more surprises for Wall Street up its sleeve.</p>","source":"yahoofinance","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Wall Street Analyst Says Virgin Galactic Hype Already Priced In</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWall Street Analyst Says Virgin Galactic Hype Already Priced In\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-01 08:03 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/wall-street-analyst-says-virgin-181347187.html><strong>FX Empire</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>It’s not easy being a meme stock these days. Just ask Virgin Galatic. After rallying nearly 40% last Friday to its best price since early 2021, the stock has a target on its back and Wall Street is ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/wall-street-analyst-says-virgin-181347187.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/wall-street-analyst-says-virgin-181347187.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5f26f4a48f9cb3e29be4d71d3ba8c038","article_id":"2148112845","content_text":"It’s not easy being a meme stock these days. Just ask Virgin Galatic. After rallying nearly 40% last Friday to its best price since early 2021, the stock has a target on its back and Wall Street is aiming straight for it. Bank of America analyst Ronald Epstein has reportedly downgraded shares of Richard Branson’s company to “sell” from “buy,” skipping over the “hold” rating altogether.\nEpstein might have gotten whiplash after seeing shares of Virgin Galactic surpass the USD 41 price target he had on the stock. Last Friday, shares climbed from just over USD 40 to almost USD 56. Epstein believes the space hype is already priced into the stock. That would mean that last Friday’s rally was the encore before the spacecraft left even the earth with passengers.\nMeme stocks tend to trade on social media sentiment instead of fundamentals, but the downward notches have taken a toll. The stock is down 1.5% today, extending yesterday’s sell-off.\n\nNo Backpedaling\nBank of America is the second Wall Street firm to lower its rating on Virgin Galactic since the company received regulatory approval for passenger flights to suborbital space. Alembic Global’s Pete Skibitski in recent days lowered his rating on the stock from overweight to neutral, blaming a valuation that has “now stretched to excess levels.” The same could be said for the entire meme stock category.\nAnd while the analyst didn’t backpedal, he did leave room to change his mind when Branson’s rocket takes flight, which will most likely be this summer. Skibitski reportedly acknowledged that the trip could be a potential driver of the stock price, suggesting that there might be more runway for gains.\nBillionaire Battle\nThe price turnaround could come sooner than analysts think. Billionaires are a competitive bunch, and Jeff Bezos, who is behind space tourism company Blue Origin, has already slated his flight to take place on July 20. According to reports, Branson is now eyeing liftoff on the weekend of July 4 to beat his rival to the punch. Retail investors on the WallStreetBets forum aren’t expecting Branson to rush his plans.\nInvestors who are in SPCE for the long term don’t appear to be too worried about the recent profit-taking. In the meantime, Virgin Galactic is sitting on USD 600 million in cash, though it burns through that quickly, given the company’s lofty mission. Morgan Stanley analysts don’t expect Branson’s company to produce positive free cash flow for another seven years even in the best of scenarios. With tickets to space running USD 250K a pop, and hundreds of reservations in the pipeline, this meme stock could have more surprises for Wall Street up its sleeve.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":425,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":158054332,"gmtCreate":1625115935426,"gmtModify":1633944600673,"author":{"id":"4088218326026050","authorId":"4088218326026050","name":"Tre76","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c4f765c41d3fcc8db0a27eb326eb22d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4088218326026050","idStr":"4088218326026050"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice article&nbsp;","listText":"Nice article&nbsp;","text":"Nice article","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/158054332","repostId":"2148845975","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":543,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"followers","isTTM":false}