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2021-06-29

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Amazon Stock: Get Ready For Earnings Season<blockquote>亚马逊股票：为财报季做好准备</blockquote>

The countdown to Amazon’s earnings day has begun. The Amazon Maven begins its preview by looking at

Amazon Stock: Get Ready For Earnings Season<blockquote>亚马逊股票：为财报季做好准备</blockquote>

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{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"data":{"magic":2,"id":159591019,"tweetId":"159591019","gmtCreate":1624973586631,"gmtModify":1633946358241,"author":{"id":3585560414540019,"idStr":"3585560414540019","authorId":3585560414540019,"authorIdStr":"3585560414540019","name":"Isaacmama","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ef8b21f28021dbc788afbc9e600d33dd","vip":1,"userType":1,"introduction":"","boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"fanSize":2,"starInvestorFlag":false},"themes":[],"images":[],"coverImages":[],"extraTitle":"","html":"<html><head></head><body>Cool</body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body>Cool</body></html>","text":"Cool","highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/159591019","repostId":1178728317,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1178728317","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624973015,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1178728317?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-29 21:23","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Amazon Stock: Get Ready For Earnings Season<blockquote>亚马逊股票：为财报季做好准备</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1178728317","media":"TheStreet","summary":"The countdown to Amazon’s earnings day has begun. The Amazon Maven begins its preview by looking at ","content":"The countdown to Amazon’s earnings day has begun. The Amazon Maven begins its preview by looking at analyst consensus and historical stock price behavior prior to and after the event.<blockquote>亚马逊财报日已经进入倒计时。Amazon Maven通过查看分析师共识和事件前后的历史股价行为来开始预览。</blockquote> June is ending along with the second calendar quarter of 2021. Amazon stock(AMZN)&nbsp;is staring at a couple of potential catalysts in July, with earnings season being the most obvious of them.<blockquote>6月和2021年第二季度一起结束。亚马逊股票(AMZN）正在关注7月份的几个潜在催化剂，其中财报季是其中最明显的。</blockquote> The Amazon Maven will cover the cloud and e-commerce giant’s earnings event in detail via live blog – dates are yet to be announced by Amazon. In the meantime, our channel will preview second quarter earnings in the next few weeks, starting with a high-level view of consensus expectations.<blockquote>亚马逊Maven将通过实时博客详细报道这家云和电子商务巨头的财报活动——亚马逊尚未宣布日期。与此同时，我们的频道将在未来几周内预览第二季度收益，首先是对共识预期的高层看法。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c1be54c5dedec1015d3b333406eaa9cb\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"858\">Figure 1; Amazon's HQ in Seattle, WA.<blockquote>图1；亚马逊总部位于华盛顿州西雅图。</blockquote> What Wall Street expects<blockquote>华尔街的期望</blockquote> For second quarter 2021, it helps to think first about last year’s numbers. As the COVID-19 crisis was still in its early stages, Amazon&nbsp;delivered&nbsp;astounding revenue growth of 40% in second quarter of 2020, the highest since 2018. EPS of over $10 beat consensus by the widest margin ever.<blockquote>对于2021年第二季度，首先考虑去年的数字会有所帮助。由于COVID-19危机仍处于早期阶段，亚马逊在2020年第二季度实现了40%的惊人收入增长，为2018年以来的最高水平。每股收益超过10美元，以有史以来最大的幅度超出了市场预期。</blockquote> When most businesses suffered due to the shutdown of the global economies, Amazon benefited in second quarter 2020 from the trends in digital consumption and cloud adoption acceleration. This year, the Seattle-based company will be facing an uphill battle to produce top- and bottom-line growth.<blockquote>当大多数企业因全球经济关闭而遭受损失时，亚马逊在2020年第二季度受益于数字消费和云采用加速的趋势。今年，这家总部位于西雅图的公司将面临一场实现营收和利润增长的艰苦战斗。</blockquote> Still, Wall Street is betting on revenue increase of nearly 30% this time – see table below. On earnings per share, $12.22 would represent an increase of nearly 20%. The earnings consensus climbed by over one dollar since two months ago, probably in anticipation for&nbsp;another successful Amazon Prime Day event.<blockquote>尽管如此，华尔街仍押注这次收入将增长近30%——见下表。每股收益为12.22美元，将增长近20%。自两个月前以来，盈利共识攀升了1美元以上，可能是因为预期亚马逊Prime Day活动将再次取得成功。</blockquote> In the next few weeks, the Amazon Maven will dig deeper into what are likely to be the most hotly debated topics of conversation on earnings day.<blockquote>在接下来的几周内，亚马逊专家将更深入地挖掘财报日最热门的话题。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/040bd5f518765adf07c85cd4a5955392\" tg-width=\"871\" tg-height=\"424\">Figure 2: AMZN's earnings and revenues estimates.<blockquote>图2：AMZN的盈利和收入预测。</blockquote> Amazon stock around earnings<blockquote>亚马逊股票围绕盈利</blockquote> Next, let’s look at the performance of Amazon stock around earnings dates to figure out whether it might make sense to buy AMZN ahead of it. The graph below shows three bars: the median two-week return of Amazon stock (1) before earnings, (2) after earnings, and (3) on any given day.<blockquote>接下来，让我们看看亚马逊股票在财报日期前后的表现，以确定在财报日期之前购买亚马逊是否有意义。下图显示了三个条形图：亚马逊股票的两周回报率中位数(1)财报前、(2)财报后以及(3)任何一天。</blockquote> Over the past 20 earnings seasons, Amazon share price increased by a median 2.6% prior to the event – much better than the 0.1% following earnings day. The consistency is also worth noting: the stock produced positive two-week returnsaheadof earnings 80% of the time vs. only half the timeafterearnings.<blockquote>在过去20个财报季中，亚马逊股价在活动前上涨了2.6%，远好于财报日后的0.1%。一致性也值得注意：该股两周产生正回报提前80%的时间盈利，而只有一半的时间盈利之后收入。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e360e6fb7b2688f235851e032bd4615a\" tg-width=\"770\" tg-height=\"411\">Figure 3: Median 2-week returns, earnings vs. non-earnings.<blockquote>图3：两周回报率中位数，盈利与非盈利。</blockquote> The data seems consistent with the idea of “buying the rumor, selling the news”. In other words, it is plausible that demand for AMZN shares rises ahead of the quarterly report, which has often exceeded analysts’ expectations. Once the numbers are in, investors proceed to lock in gains.<blockquote>数据似乎与“买谣言，卖消息”的思路一致。换句话说，对亚马逊股票的需求在季度报告发布之前上升是合理的，这往往超出了分析师的预期。一旦数据出来，投资者就会开始锁定收益。</blockquote>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Amazon Stock: Get Ready For Earnings Season<blockquote>亚马逊股票：为财报季做好准备</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAmazon Stock: Get Ready For Earnings Season<blockquote>亚马逊股票：为财报季做好准备</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\nTheStreet2021-06-29 21:23\n\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\nThe countdown to Amazon’s earnings day has begun. The Amazon Maven begins its preview by looking at analyst consensus and historical stock price behavior prior to and after the event.<blockquote>亚马逊财报日已经进入倒计时。Amazon Maven通过查看分析师共识和事件前后的历史股价行为来开始预览。</blockquote> June is ending along with the second calendar quarter of 2021. Amazon stock(AMZN)&nbsp;is staring at a couple of potential catalysts in July, with earnings season being the most obvious of them.<blockquote>6月和2021年第二季度一起结束。亚马逊股票(AMZN）正在关注7月份的几个潜在催化剂，其中财报季是其中最明显的。</blockquote> The Amazon Maven will cover the cloud and e-commerce giant’s earnings event in detail via live blog – dates are yet to be announced by Amazon. In the meantime, our channel will preview second quarter earnings in the next few weeks, starting with a high-level view of consensus expectations.<blockquote>亚马逊Maven将通过实时博客详细报道这家云和电子商务巨头的财报活动——亚马逊尚未宣布日期。与此同时，我们的频道将在未来几周内预览第二季度收益，首先是对共识预期的高层看法。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c1be54c5dedec1015d3b333406eaa9cb\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"858\">Figure 1; Amazon's HQ in Seattle, WA.<blockquote>图1；亚马逊总部位于华盛顿州西雅图。</blockquote> What Wall Street expects<blockquote>华尔街的期望</blockquote> For second quarter 2021, it helps to think first about last year’s numbers. As the COVID-19 crisis was still in its early stages, Amazon&nbsp;delivered&nbsp;astounding revenue growth of 40% in second quarter of 2020, the highest since 2018. EPS of over $10 beat consensus by the widest margin ever.<blockquote>对于2021年第二季度，首先考虑去年的数字会有所帮助。由于COVID-19危机仍处于早期阶段，亚马逊在2020年第二季度实现了40%的惊人收入增长，为2018年以来的最高水平。每股收益超过10美元，以有史以来最大的幅度超出了市场预期。</blockquote> When most businesses suffered due to the shutdown of the global economies, Amazon benefited in second quarter 2020 from the trends in digital consumption and cloud adoption acceleration. This year, the Seattle-based company will be facing an uphill battle to produce top- and bottom-line growth.<blockquote>当大多数企业因全球经济关闭而遭受损失时，亚马逊在2020年第二季度受益于数字消费和云采用加速的趋势。今年，这家总部位于西雅图的公司将面临一场实现营收和利润增长的艰苦战斗。</blockquote> Still, Wall Street is betting on revenue increase of nearly 30% this time – see table below. On earnings per share, $12.22 would represent an increase of nearly 20%. The earnings consensus climbed by over one dollar since two months ago, probably in anticipation for&nbsp;another successful Amazon Prime Day event.<blockquote>尽管如此，华尔街仍押注这次收入将增长近30%——见下表。每股收益为12.22美元，将增长近20%。自两个月前以来，盈利共识攀升了1美元以上，可能是因为预期亚马逊Prime Day活动将再次取得成功。</blockquote> In the next few weeks, the Amazon Maven will dig deeper into what are likely to be the most hotly debated topics of conversation on earnings day.<blockquote>在接下来的几周内，亚马逊专家将更深入地挖掘财报日最热门的话题。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/040bd5f518765adf07c85cd4a5955392\" tg-width=\"871\" tg-height=\"424\">Figure 2: AMZN's earnings and revenues estimates.<blockquote>图2：AMZN的盈利和收入预测。</blockquote> Amazon stock around earnings<blockquote>亚马逊股票围绕盈利</blockquote> Next, let’s look at the performance of Amazon stock around earnings dates to figure out whether it might make sense to buy AMZN ahead of it. The graph below shows three bars: the median two-week return of Amazon stock (1) before earnings, (2) after earnings, and (3) on any given day.<blockquote>接下来，让我们看看亚马逊股票在财报日期前后的表现，以确定在财报日期之前购买亚马逊是否有意义。下图显示了三个条形图：亚马逊股票的两周回报率中位数(1)财报前、(2)财报后以及(3)任何一天。</blockquote> Over the past 20 earnings seasons, Amazon share price increased by a median 2.6% prior to the event – much better than the 0.1% following earnings day. The consistency is also worth noting: the stock produced positive two-week returnsaheadof earnings 80% of the time vs. only half the timeafterearnings.<blockquote>在过去20个财报季中，亚马逊股价在活动前上涨了2.6%，远好于财报日后的0.1%。一致性也值得注意：该股两周产生正回报提前80%的时间盈利，而只有一半的时间盈利之后收入。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e360e6fb7b2688f235851e032bd4615a\" tg-width=\"770\" tg-height=\"411\">Figure 3: Median 2-week returns, earnings vs. non-earnings.<blockquote>图3：两周回报率中位数，盈利与非盈利。</blockquote> The data seems consistent with the idea of “buying the rumor, selling the news”. In other words, it is plausible that demand for AMZN shares rises ahead of the quarterly report, which has often exceeded analysts’ expectations. Once the numbers are in, investors proceed to lock in gains.<blockquote>数据似乎与“买谣言，卖消息”的思路一致。换句话说，对亚马逊股票的需求在季度报告发布之前上升是合理的，这往往超出了分析师的预期。一旦数据出来，投资者就会开始锁定收益。</blockquote>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/amazon/news/amazon-stock-get-ready-for-earnings-season\">TheStreet</a>\n为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"亚马逊"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/amazon/news/amazon-stock-get-ready-for-earnings-season","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1178728317","content_text":"The countdown to Amazon’s earnings day has begun. The Amazon Maven begins its preview by looking at analyst consensus and historical stock price behavior prior to and after the event.\nJune is ending along with the second calendar quarter of 2021. Amazon stock(AMZN) is staring at a couple of potential catalysts in July, with earnings season being the most obvious of them.\nThe Amazon Maven will cover the cloud and e-commerce giant’s earnings event in detail via live blog – dates are yet to be announced by Amazon. In the meantime, our channel will preview second quarter earnings in the next few weeks, starting with a high-level view of consensus expectations.\nFigure 1; Amazon's HQ in Seattle, WA.\nWhat Wall Street expects\nFor second quarter 2021, it helps to think first about last year’s numbers. As the COVID-19 crisis was still in its early stages, Amazon delivered astounding revenue growth of 40% in second quarter of 2020, the highest since 2018. EPS of over $10 beat consensus by the widest margin ever.\nWhen most businesses suffered due to the shutdown of the global economies, Amazon benefited in second quarter 2020 from the trends in digital consumption and cloud adoption acceleration. This year, the Seattle-based company will be facing an uphill battle to produce top- and bottom-line growth.\nStill, Wall Street is betting on revenue increase of nearly 30% this time – see table below. On earnings per share, $12.22 would represent an increase of nearly 20%. The earnings consensus climbed by over one dollar since two months ago, probably in anticipation for another successful Amazon Prime Day event.\nIn the next few weeks, the Amazon Maven will dig deeper into what are likely to be the most hotly debated topics of conversation on earnings day.\nFigure 2: AMZN's earnings and revenues estimates.\nAmazon stock around earnings\nNext, let’s look at the performance of Amazon stock around earnings dates to figure out whether it might make sense to buy AMZN ahead of it. The graph below shows three bars: the median two-week return of Amazon stock (1) before earnings, (2) after earnings, and (3) on any given day.\nOver the past 20 earnings seasons, Amazon share price increased by a median 2.6% prior to the event – much better than the 0.1% following earnings day. The consistency is also worth noting: the stock produced positive two-week returnsaheadof earnings 80% of the time vs. only half the timeafterearnings.\nFigure 3: Median 2-week returns, earnings vs. non-earnings.\nThe data seems consistent with the idea of “buying the rumor, selling the news”. In other words, it is plausible that demand for AMZN shares rises ahead of the quarterly report, which has often exceeded analysts’ expectations. Once the numbers are in, investors proceed to lock in gains.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMZN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1053,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":4,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[],"hasMoreComment":false,"orderType":2}